At 7 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Tulane.  The Tigers and Green Wave are both 4-1 on the season.  Each won its previous game two weeks ago, as Tulane downed UAB, 35-23, while Memphis bested Boise St., 35-32.  Memphis has been installed as a home underdog, and the Tigers fall into 80-37 and 79-27 ATS systems of mine that play on certain rested teams at home.  Additionally, Tulane has covered just 20% of its conference road games vs. rested foes over the past 44 seasons.  Take Memphis + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars + the points over West Virginia.  The Mountaineers pulled off a major upset in their previous game, when they won outright, 24-21, as a 13-point road underdog at TCU.  But off that huge win, we'll fade WVU tonight, as road favorites with a winning record have cashed just 31% over the last 44 seasons following an upset road win as a double-digit dog, if their current opponent was off a straight-up loss.  With Houston in off a 49-28 loss at Texas Tech, we'll grab the points with the Cougars.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans minus the points over Arizona.  The Wildcats almost pulled off a big upset last week, but they lost by 7 vs. Washington, as a 19-point home underdog.  We'll fade the Wildcats as they're a wallet-breaking 0-17 ATS away from home vs. .500 (or better) foes, if Arizona was not favored by 6 (or more) points, and off an ATS win.  Take USC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders over Baylor.  The Bears pulled off a huge upset last Saturday at Central Florida, when they knocked off the Knights, 36-35, as an 8-point road underdog.  Unfortunately, Baylor is a brutal 0-8 ATS at home off an upset win.  Take the Red Raiders.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones + the points over TCU.  The Horned Frogs were upset last week, 24-21, at home as a 13-point favorite.  And now, they've been installed as a road favorite vs. the Cyclones.  I don't like backing road favorites (like TCU) off big upset losses and will fade the Frogs tonight, in Ames.  The Cyclones check in off a 30-point loss at Oklahoma, and also play this game with revenge from a 48-point loss at TCU last season.  That was Iowa State's biggest loss in 8 seasons, and Big 12 Conference home underdogs have cashed 69% since 1991, if they were playing with revenge from a 47-point (or worse) defeat.  Grab the points with the Cyclones.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Notre Dame.  This is the 3rd straight week that the Irish will be playing an undefeated team, and they've been installed as a road favorite vs. the 6-0 Cardinals.  Last week, the Irish were exceptionally fortunate to escape with a victory against Duke.  But I don't think they will leave Louisville with a 'W' on Saturday night.  Notre Dame has covered just 36% as a road favorite vs. undefeated teams dating back to 1980.  And the Cardinals are an awesome 9-0 ATS as a regular season underdog vs. .800 (or better) non-conference foes.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels minus the points over Arkansas.  Last year, Ole Miss lost at Arkansas, 42-27.  We'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Rebels, as Arkansas is an awful 0-9 ATS when priced from +10 to +13.5 points vs. a revenge-minded foe.  Take Mississippi.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Kentucky.  The Bulldogs will welcome the 5-0 Wildcats to Athens on Saturday evening.  Georgia's won the last 13 games in this series, and is 12-8-1 ATS at home vs. Kentucky, including 7-1 ATS if the Bulldogs entered the game off a point spread defeat.  Last week, the Bulldogs failed to cover against Auburn.  But I love them to bounce back in a big way here, at home, as Georgia is 28-15-1 ATS at home off an ATS loss when priced from -10 to -28 points.  And undefeated SEC Conference teams have cashed 61% in conference games as a favorite off an ATS defeat.  Lay the points with the Bulldogs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles minus the points over Old Dominion.  The Golden Eagles lost here, at home, to Texas State, 50-36, last Saturday, and come into this game off 4 straight ATS defeats.  And those point spread failures have kept a lid on this number, to the point that there's value on the Golden Eagles.  Sun Belt Conference teams off 3 ATS losses have gone 34-13 ATS if they were off a double-digit loss.  And the Golden Eagles have covered 67% since 1980 as a home favorite off a SU conference loss at home the previous week.  We'll lay the points with Southern Mississippi.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Virginia Tech.  The Hokies snapped their 3-game losing streak with an upset win over Pittsburgh last week.  But off that big win, we'll fade Virginia Tech in Tallahassee on Saturday.  Va Tech is a miserable 1-12 ATS their last 13 off a win, including 0-7 ATS on the road.  Lay the points with Florida State.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas A/M Aggies + the points over Alabama.  Last season, the Crimson Tide edged the Aggies, 24-20, as a 24.5-point favorite.  The number is considerably less this year, and we'll take the homestanding Aggies + the points, as they're 20-7 ATS at home when playing with revenge against an opponent off a win, if the Aggies weren't laying 3 or more points.  Meanwhile, Alabama is a soft 6-13 ATS when not laying 7+ points, if the Crimson Tide weren't off a loss, or playing with revenge.  Take Texas A/M + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Akron Zips +the points over Northern Illinois.  The Zips lost starting QB DJ Irons last week, late in the 4th quarter, and went on to lose at Buffalo, in overtime, 13-10.  Sixth-year senior, Jeff Undercuffler, Jr., took over under center for Irons, and he has experience as a starting QB.  Indeed, last year, he started against this Huskies squad, and led the Zips to a 44-12 blowout win.  We'll grab the points with the home underdog, as Northern Illinois is 0-11 ATS when priced from -2.5 to -10 points, and 0-12-1 ATS off a road point spread win, when the line in its current game was 14 points or less.  Take Akron.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks minus the points over Bowling Green.  The Falcons pulled off a major upset last week when they went into Georgia Tech and stunned the Yellow Jackets, 38-27, as a 21-point underdog.  Unfortunately, conference underdogs off a road win over a non-conference foe, as a 14.5-point (or greater) underdog, have covered just 28% since 1980, including 0-14 ATS their last 14 when priced from +3.5 to +16.  Lay the points with Miami-Ohio.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Washington State.  The Cougars pulled off an upset in their previous game when they toppled Oregon State, 38-35.  Meanwhile, the Bruins come into this game off a 14-7 loss to Utah.  We'll fade Wazzu at UCLA, as the Bruins have cashed 79% since 1980 vs. conference foes that were in off a home upset win over a fellow Pac-12 Conference foe.  Even better:  Pac-12 teams have covered 61.3% since 1980 after failing to score 10+ points in defeat, if they were matched up in their current game against an opponent off a straight-up win.  Take UCLA minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Maryland.  The Buckeyes had a dreadful offensive game vs. the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, as they were held scoreless in the 2nd half until they scored the game-winning touchdown with 1 second left, to prevail, 17-14.  I look for the Buckeyes to erupt on offense on Saturday, as they're 42-14 ATS in Big 10 Conference games after scoring less than 25 points in their previous game.  This will be a roast.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners + the points over Texas.  The Sooners play this game with MAJOR revenge, as the Longhorns blanked them, 49-0, last year.  Needless to say, Oklahoma will be out for blood on Saturday.  And I think it will get its revenge.  The Sooners have cashed 88% away from home in the regular season when playing with revenge against a .571 (or better) foe.  And NCAA teams playing with revenge from a 45-point (or worse) shutout loss have covered 64.8% since 1980 when not getting more than 20 points.  Take the Sooners.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the UNDER in the LSU/Missouri game.  Last week, Missouri triumphed at Vanderbilt, 38-21, while LSU was upset at Ole Miss, 55-49.  Missouri has been installed as a home underdog vs. LSU in this early kickoff on Saturday.  I look for a relatively low scoring game, as Missouri has gone Under the total 37-16-1 here, at home, if they weren't getting 14+ points.  Moreover, Mizzou is 15-1 UNDER the total at home after failing to score 40 points while winning its previous game.  And the Under also falls into totals systems of mine with records of 104-59 and 140-86.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Arizona/Washington game.  Washington comes into this game off 4 straight offensive performances in which it tallied more than 40 points.  But I expect the sledding to be more difficult for Washington on Saturday night in Tucson, as Arizona's giving up just 16 ppg, and all four of its games have gone Under the total (by an average of 15 ppg).  The Wildcats have also gone Under 11-5 as a Pac-12 home underdog, while Washington's gone Under 12-6 as a Pac-12 road favorite.  This will be a relatively low scoring game.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils + the points over Notre Dame.  The Dukies are 11-4 SU and 12-3 ATS under 2nd year coach, Mike Elko, including 7-0 ATS their last seven.  On Saturday, Elko will match up against the team for which he served as defensive coordinator in 2017.  Duke comes into this game with a 4-0 record, and is outscoring its opposition by 28.5 ppg.  Notre Dame suffered a horrible loss last Saturday night at South Bend, when they gave up a touchdown to Ohio State with 1 second left in the game.  The Irish are a soft 61-81-2 ATS off a loss, and 3-8 ATS as road favorites vs. .857 (or better) foes.  That doesn't bode well for Notre Dame.  Nor does the fact that home dogs of more than 3 points, with scoring margins greater than 28 points, have covered 63 percent of non-conference games over the past 44 seasons.  Take Duke + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles + the points over Texas State.  The Bobcats come into this game off a 35-24 home win vs. Nevada.  Unfortunately, Texas State is a terrible 5-24 SU and 9-19-1 ATS off a win.  Meanwhile, the Golden Eagles suffered an upset loss, 44-37, at Arkansas State.  But they've cashed 73% in Hattiesburg the last 42 years off an upset loss vs. a foe off a win.  Grab the points with Southern Miss.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers + the points over Georgia Southern.  Coastal Carolina was upset, 30-17, by Georgia State, in Conway, last Saturday.  But off that upset loss, we'll take the home dog, as Sun Belt Conference home favorites have gone 10-27-1 ATS vs. foes off upset losses.  Additionally, Georgia Southern is a poor 1-9 ATS its last 10 vs. foes off upset defeats.  Take Coastal Carolina + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Texas State/Southern Miss game.  Last season, the Golden Eagles defeated the Bobcats, 20-14, and the game sailed under the total.  I expect another relatively low scoring game in Hattiesburg on Saturday afternoon, as Southern Miss will be looking to bounce back off its upset loss last week, where it gave up 44 to Arkansas State.  The Golden Eagles are 11-2 under off an upset loss as a road favorite.  And they're also 12-1-1 under the total after allowing 44+ points, including 8-0 under their last eight.  Take the UNDER.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt/Missouri game UNDER the total.  The Tigers have gone 51-29-1 UNDER in their last 81 conference games, including 8-1-1 UNDER their last 10.  Likewise, Vanderbilt has gone UNDER 48-28 its last 76 conference games.  And eight of the last nine meetings between these rivals has gone UNDER the total.  Additionally, the UNDER falls into totals systems of mine that have records of 103-56, 140-87, and 65-38.  Take the Commodores and Tigers Under the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Auburn.  The Bulldogs have been installed as a double-digit road favorite at Auburn, and we'll lay the points with Kirby Smart's men, as it falls into Georgia's best point spread range.  The Bulldogs are an eye-popping 29-1 straight-up, and 24-6 ATS when priced from -7 to -20 points, including 10-0 SU/ATS their last 10.  Additionally, Georgia is 66-39 ATS on the road vs. winning foes, and 11-2 ATS its last 13 vs. Auburn (including 6-0 ATS since Dec 2017).  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Massachusetts Minutemen over Arkansas State.  UMass opened its 2023 season with an upset win at New Mexico State, but has dropped its last four games to fall to 1-4.  They'll welcome the Red Wolves to Amherst, and we'll take Don Brown's men on Saturday afternoon to snap their losing streak.  Arkansas State upset Southern Miss, 44-37, as a 7-point home dog last week, and it's a dreadful 1-9 SU and 2-7-1 ATS on the road off an upset win as a 4-point (or greater) underdog.  Moreover, that Red Wolves victory has triggered a negative 54-101 ATS system of mine which goes against Arkansas State this week.  Take UMass.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars + the points over James Madison.  The Dukes return home following three straight road wins (including ATS wins in the last two), and have been installed as a favorite vs. the 2-2 Jaguars.  We played against South Alabama last week, and got the $$$ with Central Michigan, which upset the Jags, 34-30, as a 16.5-point favorite.  But off that huge upset loss, we'll take the Jaguars to bounce back in Harrisonburg on Saturday.  Indeed, .500 (or better) underdogs have covered 78% since 1980 vs. conference foes, if our underdog was off an upset non-conference loss as a 16-point (or greater) favorite.  That bodes well for South Alabama.  As does the fact that it has covered 60% off a straight-up loss, if its opponent was off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Under in the Colorado/USC game.  After scoring 45, 36 and 43 points to open its 2023 season, Colorado hit a brick wall on offense last week, and scored just 6.  And its touchdown came with just 2:51 left in the game.  The Buffs did give up 35 first-half points, but just 7 in the 2nd half as Oregon relaxed its offense.  I expect more of the same from Colorado in this game vs. USC, as USC should break out to a healthy lead, and then take its foot off the gas in the 2nd half.  Take the UNDER.

At 9 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Texas El Paso Miners over Louisiana Tech.  The Bulldogs will play their 2nd straight road game after losing (but covering) at Nebraska last weekend, in a 28-14 defeat.  Meanwhile, the Miners come into this game on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak following a 45-28 loss here, at home, to UNLV last Saturday.  We'll take UTEP to bounce back in this game vs. the Bulldogs, as UTEP has cashed 63% over the last 39 years at home as a favorite (or PK) in conference games off a SU loss.  And Louisiana Tech is 0-7-1 ATS on the road vs. conference foes, and 0-8 ATS its last eight off a point spread win.  Take UTEP.  Good luck, as always, Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies + the points over James Madison.  The Dukes come into this game off an upset win of conference rival, Troy, and are now 3-0 on the season (but 1-2 ATS).  Meanwhile, Utah State is 1-2 SU, but 2-1 ATS.  We played against Utah State last Friday, and easily got the $$$ when Air Force blew out the Aggies, 39-21, as a 9-point favorite.  We'll take Utah State to bounce back on Saturday, as Mountain West conference teams have cashed 59.3% vs. non-conference foes off upset wins.  And James Madison also falls into a negative system of mine, which is 60-104 ATS since 1980, that goes against certain teams off upset conference wins.  Take Utah State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over UAB.  The #1-ranked Bulldogs are 3-0 on the season, but 0-2-1 ATS in Vegas after escaping last week with a too-close-for-comfort, 24-14 win vs. South Carolina.  We'll lay the points with Kirby Smart's men, as defending National Champs have covered 60.2% since 1980 as double-digit home favorites off an ATS loss.  And Georgia is 35-1 SU and 27-9 ATS as a favorite of -3 (or more) points off an ATS loss, while UAB is 0-8 ATS its last eight games away from Birmingham.  Take Georgia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish + the points over Ohio State.  The Irish have easily won their first three games behind the brilliant play of ex-Wake Forest QB, Sam Hartman.  He's already passed for over 1000 yards, and has 13 TDs and 0 interceptions.  In what will no doubt be a raucous South Bend environment, I would rather have the veteran presence of Hartman than the relative inexperience of Kyle McCord (who will be making just his 5th career start).  The Irish have been installed as a home underdog vs. the Buckeyes, and we'll happily take the points, as Notre Dame is 19-8-1 ATS at home when priced from -2 to +6 points.  Even better:  Notre Dame plays this game with revenge from a 21-10 loss at Columbus last season.  And undefeated, single-digit, revenge-minded home underdogs have cashed 58% of non-conference games since 1980.  Take the Irish.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Buffalo/Louisiana game.  The Rajin' Cajuns have tended to go over the total away from home, but under the total at home.  To wit:  Louisiana is 9-3 OVER their last 12 games away, but it's gone UNDER the total in 15 of 18 home games, including 7-0 UNDER when the O/U line was greater than 57 points.  I look for another low-scoring game here, as the UNDER falls into a 103-55 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.

At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles minus the points over Arkansas State.  The Red Wolves are 1-2 on the season, but 0-2 in games vs. FBS foes.  And they've been outscored, 117-34 on the season, for a negative scoring margin of -27.66.  That doesn't bode well here, as Southern Miss is 40-4 SU and 32-10-2 ATS as a favorites of less than 24 points vs. conference foes with a negative scoring margin of -8.5 points (or worse).  Admittedly, Golden Eagles RB Frank Gore, Jr. did get injured in last week's loss to Tulane.  But Southern Miss head coach, Will Hall, gave promising news Monday when he stated that Gore "had a great workout this morning.  He's looking good."  Regardless of whether Gore ultimately suits up on Saturday, we'll lay the points with the road favorite.  Take the Golden Eagles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams + the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Rams suffered a brutal overtime loss to rival Colorado last Saturday.  But they easily covered the 23.5-point spread in defeat.  Today, the Rams will be seeking revenge against an MTSU squad which defeated it last season, 34-19, in Fort Collins.  The Rams are 8-1 ATS with revenge vs. non-conference foes when not getting 7+ points.  And they're 50-24 ATS off a point spread win, when not getting 3+ points in their current game.  Take Colorado State.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas + the points over South Alabama.  Last week, the Jaguars pulled off a huge upset win over Oklahoma State when they won, 33-7, as a 7-point road underdog.  Unfortunately for the Jaguars, Sun Belt Conference teams have covered just 35.2% as favorites of more than 8 points following a non-conference upset win.  That doesn't bode well for South Alabama on Saturday.  Nor does the fact that Sun Belt teams have covered just 17 of 48 at home or neutral fields vs. Mid-American Conference foes.  Take Central Michigan + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys + the points over Iowa State.  Both of these Big 12 teams come into this game off non-conference losses.  The Cowboys were blown out in Stillwater, 33-7, by South Alabama, while Ohio upset the Cyclones, 10-7, in Athens.  We'll grab the points with Mike Gundy's men, as they're 7-0 ATS off a 14-point (or worse) upset defeat.  Take the Cowboys + the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Colorado.  Both the Ducks and Buffaloes are 3-0 on the season.  But there's still a wide disparity in talent, which is why Oregon is a sizable home favorite on Saturday afternoon.  We'll lay the points with the Ducks, as they're 30-13-1 ATS at home after covering the spread by 7+ points in winning their previous game.   And they're 8-2 ATS their last 10 games vs. Colorado.  Take the Ducks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Boston College.  We played on the Eagles last week, and got the $$$$ when they easily covered as a 26-point underdog at home vs. Florida State.  But Boston College will be playing its first road game of the season on Saturday, and it's a poor 4-10 ATS its last 14 away from Chestnut Hill.  That doesn't bode well for BC on Saturday afternoon.  Nor does the fact that the Cardinals check in off a point spread defeat.  And Louisville is a sensational 14-3-1 ATS off an ATS loss, including a perfect 7-0 ATS as a favorite.  Take the Cardinals.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UMass/New Mexico game UNDER the total.  We played on the UNDER in Massachusetts' game vs. Eastern Michigan last Saturday and easily got the $$$ when the two teams only combined for 36 points, and went way under the total of 50.  We'll look for another low-scoring game here, as the Lobos have gone UNDER 11 straight road games following a home game.  And the UNDER also falls into a 140-86 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Rutgers.  The Wolves are 3-0 and ranked #2 in the country, and lead the nation in defensive ppg (5.3).  They've been without head coach, Jim Harbaugh, for their first 3 games, as he served a school-imposed suspension.  But Harbaugh will be back on the sidelines this Saturday.  And Michigan has gone 23-1 SU and 17-6-1 ATS in the regular season the past two seasons with Harbaugh, including 7-1-1 ATS when priced from -21 to -49 points.  We'll lay the points with Michigan, as NCAA double-digit favorites off an ATS loss, have gone 12-1 ATS in Game 4, if they owned a defense that gave up less than 8 ppg.  Meanwhile, undefeated, 3-0 teams (like Rutgers) off an ATS win, have cashed just 25% since 1980 when getting 20+ points.  And Rutgers is also a soft 15-36 ATS when priced from +21.5 to +33.5 points.  Take Michigan.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers minus the points over Georgia State.  After blowing out Duquesne, 66-7, the Chanticleers are a perfect 3-0 ATS on the season, and will welcome the Panthers to Conway for this Sun Belt Conference opener.  We'll lay the points with Coastal Carolina, as single-digit home favorites have covered 59.4% of conference games since 1980 after winning a game in which they scored 60+ points.  Take the Chanticleers to blow out Georgia State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Hawaii/Oregon game Under the total.  Both of these teams come into this Saturday night game off Unders:  the Ducks outlasted the Texas Tech Red Raiders, 38-30, and the game went under by a half-point, while Hawaii defeated Albany, 31-20, and that game went under by 5.5 points.  The Rainbows have historically been an Over team at home, but have gone Under more often than not on the road.  We'll take the UNDER, as it falls into an 81-29 Totals system of mine

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Bowling Green.  This will be the 3rd (and final) game of Jim Harbaugh's suspension for alleged NCAA violations.  The Wolves have won both games in his absence, but have failed to cover the spread.  I like Michigan to break through today with an ATS win, as it is 12-0 ATS as a home favorite of -14 (or more) points off back to back ATS defeats.  Lay the wood.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Brigham Young Cougars + the points over Arkansas.  These two teams met last season in Provo, and the Razorbacks won, 52-35.  We'll take the revenge-minded Cougars + the points in Fayetteville, as BYU is 22-4 ATS as revenge-minded road underdogs, including 8-0 ATS its last eight in this situation.  Grab the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over Syracuse.  The Orange have been stellar defensively to start the season.  They allowed just 7 points last week in a 48-7 victory over Western Michigan, and shut out Colgate, 65-0, to kick off the season.  They're now favored by a small amount on the road vs. Purdue, which won, 24-17, as a 1-point favorite last week at Virginia Tech.  This is a revenge match for Purdue, which lost, 32-29, at Syracuse last season.  We'll take the home underdog Boilermakers, as home dogs off a SU/ATS win have cashed 66% since 1981 in non-conference games vs. foes that gave up less than 10 points in their two previous games.  Additionally, the Orange are 14-28-1 ATS in their last 43 games vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take the Boilermakers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks + the points over Cincinnati.  The Bearcats pulled off a huge upset of the Pitt Panthers last week, 27-21.  But off that upset win, we'll fade the Bearcats as a big favorite on Saturday.  The RedHawks are playing with revenge from a 38-17 loss last season.  And revenge-minded double digit underdogs have 65.6% since 1980 against non-conference foes off an upset win as a 3.5-point (or greater) underdog.  Take Miami-Ohio.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Western Kentucky.  Ryan Day's Buckeyes have gotten off to a slow start this season -- at least in Las Vegas -- as they're 0-2 ATS (though 2-0 SU).  And they've failed to cover the point spread by double-digits in each win.  Notwithstanding this lack of point spread success, we'll take Ohio State on Saturday, as it's 8-0 ATS its last eight (and 50-38-2 ATS its last 90) off back to back point spread defeats.  Lay the points with the Buckeyes.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over Appalachian State.  The Mountaineers have been installed as a favorite of more than a TD vs. East Carolina, and we'll happily take the underdog Pirates, as Appalachian State is a horrid 0-13 ATS its last 13 when priced from +4 to -8.5 points.  Take East Carolina.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Duke.  The Duke Blue Devils are 2-0 and ranked #21 in the country, and own an impressive win over then-No. 9 Clemson. On Saturday, the Blue Devils will host a Northwestern team in transition this season following the firing of longtime head coach Pat Fitzgerald. The Wildcats and Blue Devils have met each of the previous two seasons, and six of the last eight. And what’s most unusual is that Duke has won outright as an underdog in each of the last four meetings, including 31-23 as a double-digit road underdog last season. This year, of course, it’s Northwestern catching double-digits, and I’ll take the points with the Wildcats. For technical support, consider that teams playing with revenge that were upset in each of the previous three meetings have covered 58.3% the past 43 years, including 34-18-1 ATS, 65%, on the road. I know that Duke has been an ATM machine under 2nd-year head coach Mike Elko, as it’s gone 10-3 ATS. But it was only favored by more than 10 points one other time, and it failed to cover that game vs. Boston College as an 11.5-point favorite. Here, it’s laying considerably more than that, and my numbers say It’s too many points. Take Northwestern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Massachusetts/Eastern Michigan game UNDER the total.  The Minutemen have gone Over the total in three straight games to start the season, as their first three games totaled 71, 73 and 69 points.  Meanwhile, Eastern Michigan has played each of its games Under the total, including a 25-6 loss at Minnesota last week, which went Under by 16.5 points.  I look for UMass to play a relatively low-scoring game vs. the Eagles on Saturday afternoon, as teams off 3+ Overs have gone 561-497 Under the total, including 139-106 UNDER if their opponent was off back to back Unders.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Georgia Southern.  The Badgers were upset by the Washington State Cougars, 31-22, as a 5.5-point road favorite last Saturday.  And that was the 2nd straight ATS defeat for Luke Fickell's men.  We'll lay the points with Wisky in this game, as favorites of 14+ points have covered 83% since 1980 in Week 3, if they were off an upset loss, and were 0-2 ATS on the season.  Last year, Wisconsin was upset four times, and was a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS off those upset defeats, winning by an average of 28 points (and covering by an average of 14.25).  This will be a rout.  Take the Badgers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers + the points over Kansas State.  The Tigers had a scare last week, as it won, 23-19, as a 21-point home favorite vs. Middle Tennessee.  This Saturday, it will be a home underdog vs. the 15th-ranked Wildcats, who are 2-0 SU/ATS. I love Missouri in this game, as it's covered 75% over the past 43 years as a home dog off an ATS loss vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Meanwhile, K-State is a wallet-crushing 7-19 ATS on the non-conference road when not getting 17+ points, including 3-7 ATS as a road favorite.  Take Missouri.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the OVER in the Ohio/Iowa State game.  These two teams' games have averaged 33.8 ppg this season, and all five of those games went under the total.  That has led to this O/U line being depressed, and my math says the value is clearly on the Over.  MAC Conference home teams have gone OVER the total 58.1% in non-conference games, and we'll look for a relatively high-scoring game on Saturday.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls + the points over Liberty.  The Bulls was shocked last week in an upset home loss to Fordham, 40-37, as a 22.5-point favorite.  The Bulls are now installed as a home underdog vs. the 2-0 SU/ATS Flames, and we'll grab the points, as home dogs have cashed 60% since 1980 off an upset loss as a double-digit favorite if matched up against a non-conference foe off back to back ATS wins.  Buffalo's also cashed 82% the last 22 years as underdogs vs. non-conference foes off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Bulls.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles + the points over Florida State.  The Seminoles have sprinted out to a 2-0 SU/ATS start with blowout wins over LSU (45-24) and Southern Miss (66-13).  In contrast, the Eagles are 0-2 ATS after being upset, 27-24, by Northern Illinois in Week 1, and narrowly defeating Holy Cross last week, 31-28, as as 10.5-point favorite.  We'll fade Florida State as a big favorite on Saturday, as ACC Conference favorites of -7 (or more) points have gone 21-49-1 ATS off back to back ATS wins when playing an opponent off back to back ATS losses, including 0-9 ATS vs. foes off a SU win.  Take Boston College.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins minus the points over Virginia.  The Terps will host a former ACC Conference rival, Virginia, on Friday night.  Maryland left the ACC for the Big 10 Conference in 2014, but has gone 4-1 SU/ATS vs. the ACC since then.  And the Terrapins have also been terrific since 1980 as a home favorite of -7 (or more) points vs. ACC schools, as they've covered 63.8%.  Meanwhile, the Cavaliers are 1-14 SU and 2-13 ATS as road underdogs vs. foes off back to back ATS losses.  Take Maryland minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Army Black Knights + the points over Texas San Antonio.  QB Frank Harris suffered a toe injury in last week's win, but managed to play through the pain, and guided the Roadrunners to the win over Texas State.  He's questionable to play tonight.  Regardless, we're going to go against Texas San Antonio, and grab the points with Army.  The Black Knights play this game with revenge from a 41-38 loss at home to UTSA last season, and fall into a 228-145-5 ATS revenge system of mine.  Additionally, the Roadrunners are a dismal 1-15 ATS their last 16 when priced from -6.5 to -10.5 points.  Take Army.  Good luck, a always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Auburn.  We played on the Tigers last week as our NCAA Football Game of the Week, and were rewarded with a 59-14 massacre of UMass.  But off that 45-point triumph, we'll switch gears, and fade the Tigers in Berkeley on Saturday night.  Like Auburn, California's offense was in high gear last weekend, as they annihilated North Texas, 58-21, as a 5-point road favorite.  California piled up 669 yards of offense, and allowed the Mean Green just 225.  Auburn is 0-6 ATS its last six non-conference road games, and has covered just 28% as a non-conference road favorite over the last 40 seasons.  Take California + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the USC/Stanford game.  Caleb Williams & Co. exploded for 66 points in last week's thrashing of Nevada.  And that game went way over the total of 63.5.  Dating back to last season, the Trojans have now gone over the total in 10 straight games, including their previous three which totaled 80, 84 and 91 points.  And the last three meetings between these two Pac-12 rivals have also gone over the total.  So, the knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game here, on Saturday night.  But I'm going to run the other way, and play on the UNDER, as the oddsmakers have set this number too high.  Additionally, the UNDER falls into totals systems of mine with records of 81-29, 44-11 and 55-20.  And, finally, the Trojans are 12-5 UNDER when the O/U line is greater than 67 points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls + the points over Rutgers.  The Scarlet Knights won their season-opener, 24-7, at home vs. Northwestern.  But Rutgers is a poor 3-12 ATS off a point spread win, including 1-8 ATS at home.  Temple also will be looking to avenge a home loss to the Scarlet Knights last season.  And the Owls are a sensational 75-34-5 ATS when playing with revenge, and priced as an underdog of less than 23 points.  Take Temple.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders + the points over Oregon.  The Ducks put up 81 points last week in an 81-7 pummeling of Portland State.  We'll go against Oregon on the road in Lubbock, as NCAA road teams have covered just 36% in Week 2 since 1990 after scoring more than 65 points in their season opener.  Even better:  Texas Tech is 15-0 ATS as a home underdog priced from +4 to +18 points off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the Red Raiders + the points.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners minus the points over SMU.  The Mustangs blew out Louisiana Tech, 38-14, last Saturday, in their season opener.  Unfortunately, SMU is a wallet breaking 0-9 ATS its last nine (and 13-25 ATS its last 38) road games off a win by 15+ points, and 6-22 ATS on the road after scoring 38+ points.  Take Oklahoma minus the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Texas A&M.  The Aggies walloped New Mexico, 52-10, as a 38-point home favorite last Saturday.  But the Aggies have a massive step-up in class this weekend, as they will have to go into Hard Rock Stadium to take on a Hurricanes squad riding high after its season-opening 38-3 win over Miami-Ohio.  The Hurricanes have cashed 68% since 1980 as home underdogs vs. non-conference foes, while Texas A&M is 0-15 ATS away from home in the regular season vs. .600 (or better) foes, if the Aggies weren't getting more than 14 points.  Take Miami-Fla + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Colorado.  The Buffaloes pulled off a massive upset last week, when they went into Fort Worth, and knocked off the Horned Frogs, 45-42, as a 21-point underdog.  But off that stunning win, I'll look for a letdown on Saturday, as home favorites off an upset win as a double-digit underdog to kick off the season have covered just 35 percent over the last 43 years.  Grab the points with Nebraska.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the North Carolina State Wolfpack + the points over Notre Dame.  NC State kicked off its season with a win at Connecticut, 24-14, last week, and will welcome the 2-0 Fighting Irish into Carter-Finley Stadium for their home opener.  The Irish come into Raleigh off back to back stifling defensive performances.  Notre Dame blew out Navy, 42-3, in Dublin, and then trounced Tennessee State, 56-3, in South Bend.  But off those two games, we'll fade the Irish as a road favorite on Saturday.  Indeed, since 1980, road favorites have covered just 25% vs. winning teams in Game 3, if our road favorite didn't give up more than 7 points combined in their first two games.  NC State has won its last 13 home openers, straight-up, and I look for an upset win in this early game on Saturday.  Grab the points with NC State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over the Massachusetts Minutemen.  Last week, we had our College Football Game of the Month on UMass +7 over New Mexico State, and were rewarded with a 41-30 upset win by Don Brown's troops.  UMass has now matched its win total for each of the last three full seasons, as it went 1-11 in each of 2019, 2021 and 2022 (it went 0-4 in the COVID-shortened 2020 season).  But even though victorious, the Minutemen were out-yarded by the Aggies, 458-389.  The difference in the game, of course, was turnovers.  UMass held onto the ball, while New Mexico State coughed it up 3 times.  It would be folly to expect that kind of turnover luck to continue here, at Jordan-Hare Stadium.  Moreover, since 2019, the Minutemen have been miserable against the spread, including 0-15 SU and 3-12 ATS when priced from +23 to +38 points.  Meanwhile, Auburn has gone 26-19 ATS in that point spread range.  Off that big upset win, we'll fade UMass, as it falls into a 'letdown' system of mine which has cashed 69.6% since 1988.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Massachusetts Minutemen + the points over New Mexico State.  After coaching UMass from 2004 to 2008 (the best 5-year period in UMass' football history), Don Brown returned to Amherst last season to man the sidelines again.  Last season, UMass struggled to a 1-11 record, which was the 3rd straight full season it went 1-11.  This year, UMass will look to improve on that record, and it will open the 2023 season against a team which it lost to each of the past two years.  The Aggies won, 44-27, in 2021, as a 7 point home favorite.  And then, last season, they went into Amherst, and down the Minutemen, 23-13, in a PK'em game.  We'll play on the double-revenge-minded Minutemen, as the Aggies are a poor 3-17 ATS at home when playing an opponent it defeated the previous season, including 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of less than 8 points.  And they're 4-11 ATS vs. teams they defeated each of the two previous seasons, including 1-7 ATS at home.  Grab the points with UMass.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over Georgia.  The Bulldogs are the defending champs, and are a deserved favorite.  But they've been an average team against the point spread this year.  They're 7-7 ATS, and have gone 4-4 ATS away from home, with an average point spread differential of 1.75.  In contrast, TCU is 10-2-2 ATS, and has gone 5-0-2 ATS away from home, with an average point spread differential of 7.00.  Additionally, Big 12 Conference teams have gone 14-5 ATS in the Bowls when installed as an underdog of more than 9 points.  We'll take the points with the Horned Frogs.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, in the Cotton Bowl, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave and USC Trojans to go Under the total.  The Trojans had a meltdown in the 2nd half of the Pac-12 Championship game, as they allowed 30 points en route to a 47-24 loss.  Utah bullied the Trojans on the ground with 223 yards on 35 rushes, and Utes QB Cam Rising threw for 310 yards on 22-34 passing.  That was the Trojans' worst defensive performance of the season -- in terms of points surrendered -- and I expect that they will tighten things up today on that side of the ball.  Pac-12 teams have gone 19-8 Under their last 27 Bowl games, while American Athletic Conference teams have gone Under in 16 of their last 19 Bowl games.  Take the Cotton Bowl Under the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes + the points over Georgia.  The Buckeyes were a whopping 9-point home favorite, but were blown out in the 2nd half of their season-ending game vs. rival Michigan.  Ohio State actually held the lead, 20-17, at the break.  But it couldn't find the end zone after intermission, and lost, 45-23.  The Buckeyes, though, have excelled as an underdog in Bowl games, including 9-1 ATS when getting 4 or more points!  Even better:  Bowl underdogs, priced from +3.5 to +8 points, off an upset loss as a 9-point (or greater) favorite, have gone 10-0 ATS.  This will be a difficult match-up for the Bulldogs, who are 2nd in scoring defense (12.77 ppg), but whose pass defense ranks 51st, surrendering 215.1 passing yards per game.  Ohio State will be able to exploit Georgia's secondary, as OSU boasts the nation's top QB in passer efficiency rating (CJ Stroud), and a brilliant route-runner (Marvin Harrison, Jr) at WR.  Stroud threw for 3,340 yards, 37 TDs (and just six INTs), while Harrison had 72 receptions for 1,157 yards (16.1 avg yds), and 12 TDs.  Ohio State's covered 15 of 18 away from home off a home loss, including 9-0 ATS vs. .666 (or better) foes.  And, finally, defending National Champs are a wallet-busting 22-44 ATS away from home off a win, if priced from -4.5 to -14 points.  Take the Buckeyes + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, in the Music City Bowl, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Kentucky.  The Over/Under line (currently 31) is the lowest OU Line for any FBS game in the past 10 seasons.  And the Hawkeyes have excelled in games with low OU lines, as they're 7-1 ATS their last eight when the line has been less than 42 points.  Iowa's also 7-0-1 ATS their last eight in 'win situation' games where the line was less than 3 points.  The Hawkeyes have covered the point spread by an average of 4.70 ppg away from home this season, while Kentucky's point spread differential away from home has been -0.75.  That bodes well for the Hawkeyes.  As does the fact that they're 13-7-1 ATS their last 21 bowl games.  Take Iowa.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the OVER in the Iowa/Kentucky game.  This is the lowest OU line over the past 10 years in a game matching two FBS schools -- in part, due to the fact that each team will be playing without their starting quarterbacks.  Iowa will turn to 3rd string QB, Joe Labas, while Kentucky will have Destin Wade under center.  Still, by my math, the line is too low, and confers value on the OVER.  For technical support, consider that 63% of Big 10/SEC Conference matchups have gone OVER the total the past 10 seasons when the line was less than 60 points.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio Bobcats minus the points over Wyoming.  These two teams will meet in the Arizona Bowl, in Tucson, this afternoon.  We'll go against a Cowboys team which laid an egg (literally, a 'Goose Egg'), as it was shut out, 30-0, by Fresno in its final regular season game.  Wyoming is a horrid 8-27 ATS away from home off a SU/ATS loss, if it wasn't getting 5+ points.  And the Cowboys are 3-18 ATS away from home after scoring 14 points or less, if they weren't getting 4+ points in their current game.  Lay the points with Ohio.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over South Carolina.  The Gamecocks come into this game off back to back upset wins over Tennessee and Clemson.  But I expect Notre Dame to halt their win streak, as the Irish are a perfect 13-0-1 ATS, if they owned a winning record, and were installed as a favorite of less than 14 points vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  We played against the Irish last Bowl season, in Marcus Freeman's debut as Notre Dame head coach, and got the $$$ with Oklahoma State as our 5* NCAA Football Game of the Year.  The Irish blew a big, 21-point lead in that Bowl game.  Rest assured that Freeman won't let that happen here.  Notre Dame is a spotless 5-0 SU/ATS in Bowl games when priced from -2 to -6 points (but 6-18 ATS when it wasn't).  And South Carolina is a wallet-busting 9-27-2 ATS off back to back ATS wins, when the point spread was 13 points or less (or PK).  Take Notre Dame minus the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Notre Dame/South Carolina game.  This Gator Bowl game will be played in Jacksonville, FL this afternoon.  Seven of the last nine Gator Bowls have gone Under, and we'll look for another relatively-low scoring game today.  Admittedly, it's true that South Carolina's offense has posted back-to-back high-scoring games, in wins over Tennesse (63-38) and Clemson (31-30).  And both of those games went Over the total.  But post-season games have gone Under 61.4% the past 10 seasons if a team has scored, in the aggregate, 85+ points over its two previous games.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Pittsburgh/UCLA game.  Over the last 8 seasons, Pac-12 teams have gone Under the total 69% in Bowl games when the O/U Line was 50+ points, including 4-0 Under already this Bowl season.  And when a Pac-12 team has been favored in a Bowl game, regardless of the OU Line, the bowl game has gone Under 70% of the time, including 6-0 Under the last six.  The Sun Bowl game, in El Paso, has had a long Bowl history.  There has often been issues with weather at this time of year in El Paso, and today will be no different.  Rain is in the forecast early in the morning, but should recede by game time.  However, winds will be around 15 miles per hour, with gusts upwards of 20 miles per hour (wind has the most impact on the passing game).  Five of the last six Sun Bowl games have gone Under the total, and that's the way we'll look for this Pitt/UCLA game.  Take the Under.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Over in the Maryland/NC State game.  Both of these teams ended the season with high-scoring wins.  Maryland tallied 37 in its win against Rutgers, while NC State scored 30 in its upset victory at North Carolina.  We'll look for both offense to continue to play well on this Friday, as post-season games have gone Over the total 88% the past 10 years if both teams scored 30+ points in their previous game, and the O/U line was 47 or less points.  Take the Over.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Texas/Washington game.  The Longhorns come into this game off back to back OVERS, as they defeated Kansas, 55-14, and then bested Baylor, 38-27.  Texas has gone UNDER in 8 straight games (and 31 of 46) following back to back games where 49+ points were scored.  And the UNDER also falls into a system of mine which has won 72.9%.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners + the points over Florida St.  Over the last 42 years, Bowl underdogs of +8.5 (or more) points have gone 84-50-2 ATS if they weren't off back to back wins.  Take the Sooners + the points.

>At 2 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Minnesota/Syracuse game.  Both of these teams played Overs to end the regular season, and that's the way we'll look in this Pinstripe Bowl game.  The Over falls into a Totals system of mine which has cashed 67.7% since 2013.  And Syracuse has gone OVER the total 83% the past 10 seasons when the line has been less than 50 points.  Take the OVER.

At 9 pm, on Wednesday, in the Texas Bowl, our selection is on Mississippi minus the points over Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders ended their season by scoring the most points they had all season vs. an FBS school, when they upset Oklahoma, 51-48, as a 2.5-point home dog.  Unfortunately for Texas Tech, it's 1-7-1 ATS after scoring 37+ points in its previous game.  And it's 12-25 ATS after an upset win, including 2-11 ATS when priced from +2 to +10 points.  Finally, the Red Raiders are 1-9-1 ATS in the Bowls when priced from +7 to -3.5 points, while the Rebels are 11-3-1 ATS their last 15 Bowl games.  Take Ole Miss minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, on Wednesday, in the Liberty Bowl, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks + the points over Arkansas.  The Jayhawks greatly overachieved this season.  Picked by the media to finish last in the Big 12 conference, Kansas went 5-0 SU/ATS out of the gate, and was competitive in defeat vs. teams like TCU and Oklahoma.  Kansas did stumble badly its last two games, as it lost to Texas (55-14) and Kansas St (47-27), but still finished 6-6 to earn a bowl bid.  The Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS their last six post-season games, while Arkansas is 8-18-1 ATS its last 27 post-season games.  That bodes well for the Jayhawks as an underdog in this game.  As does the fact that the Underdog has gone 13-5 ATS in the Liberty Bowl games since 2004.  Finally, underdogs that were outscored, in the aggregate, by more than 40 points in their two previous games, have covered 62% in the post-season.  Take Kansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, in the Liberty Bowl, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks and Arkansas Razorbacks UNDER the total.  This Bowl game will match-up the Razorbacks from the SEC vs. the Jayhawks from the Big 12.  We'll look for a relatively-low scoring game, as Bowl games involving SEC teams are currently riding a 17-5-1 UNDER run, including 9-0 UNDER if our SEC team was priced between +3 to -7 points.  Likewise, Bowl games involving Big 12 teams have gone 21-5 UNDER, if our Big 12 team was installed as an underdog (or PK), including 14-1 UNDER their last 15.  Four of the last five Liberty Bowl games have gone Under the total.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, on Wednesday, in the Military Bowl, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over Duke.  The Knights owned the nation's 7th most prolific rushing attack, as they averaged 235.6 yards on the ground this season.  And they've been installed as an underdog vs. Duke in this Bowl game.  We'll take the underdog, as we note that Bowl underdogs of +3 (or more) points, that averaged 235+ yards rushing on the season, have gone 77-56-1 ATS over the last 43 seasons.  Take UCF.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 2:30 pm, on Monday, in the Quick Lane Bowl, our selection is on the New Mexico State Aggies + the points over Bowling Green.  After going 2-10 last year under coach Doug Martin, the Aggies turned to veteran head coach Jerry Kill to lead the team in 2022.  Kill previously manned the sideline at Northern Illinois (2008-2010) and Minnesota (2011-2015), and as an interim head coach last season at TCU.  Not including TCU, where he coached just 4 games, and went 2-2 ATS, Kill's teams have always been profitable.  Overall, he's gone 63-48-2 ATS, including 44-25 ATS when priced from -6 to +17 points.  His Aggies ended this season in impressive fashion, with a 65-3 blowout of Valparaiso, and a 49-14 upset win (as a 24-point underdog) at Liberty in their penultimate game.  They also were 5-1 ATS down the stretch.  In contrast, Bowling Green was 4-7-1 ATS this season, and 1-3 ATS in their final four games.  They scored just 14 points in their final game of the season -- a 24 point loss at Ohio, as a 5.5-point underdog.  The Mid-American Conference is, generally speaking, a horrible football conference.  And it's teams have gone 12-25-1 ATS as a favorite in the Bowls, if they were off a straight-up loss in their previous game.  Take the Aggies + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St Blue Raiders + the points over San Diego St.  The Blue Raiders ended the season on a 3-game win streak (2-1 ATS) to finish 7-5 on the season.  The Aztecs also were 7-5, but ended the season with a whimper, as they lost, 13-3, to Air Force.  They're laying a sizable amount of points today to Middle Tennessee, but I can't get behind an SDSU team which was 2-4 ATS as a favorite.  Even worse:  Mountain West Conference favorites of more than 3 points have gone 6-19 ATS in bowl games vs. foes not off a SU/ATS loss.  And Mountain West teams are 4-9 ATS their last 13 vs. Conference USA foes in Bowl games.  With San Diego State entering with a 1-6 ATS mark in the post-season when favored by more than 3 points, we'll take the Underdog Blue Raiders tonight.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Houston/Louisiana Lafayette game.  This Independence Bowl match-up will pit 9-3 Houston (from the American Athletic Conference) vs. 6-6 Louisiana (from the Sun Belt).  When the Cougars have been installed as a double-digit favorite, their games have generally been high-scoring, and have gone 11-3-1 ATS Over the total, including 4-0-1 Over their last 5.  BUT when Houston's been installed as a favorite of LESS than 10 points, they've gone Under 30-11 their last 41.  Here, of course, Houston is a single-digit favorite, which bodes well for the Under.  As does the fact that Louisiana is 28-16-1 Under its last 45, including 9-2 Under as an underdog of less than 13 points.  Finally, American Athletic Conference teams have played 7 straight Unders in Bowl games since 2021; are 8-0 Under their last 8 as a favorite in the Bowls; and have gone 13-2 Under their last 15 Bowl games, overall.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Air Force.  The Falcons were 9-3 on the season, while Baylor was 6-6.  But the Bears played a rugged Big 12 schedule (as well as a road game at BYU), while Air Force played a comparatively-easy Mountain West schedule.  The Falcons played 4 teams that earned a bowl bid this season:  Wyoming, San Diego St, Boise St. and Utah St.  And Air Force went 1-3 in those games, with its lone win coming against San Diego St.  This is a big step-up in class for Air Force, and I don't think they'll get the job done tonight.  And especially not with Baylor coming into this game off a SU/ATS loss to Texas.  Key stat:  Baylor's 13-0-1 off an ATS loss when matched up against a foe with a W/L percentage greater than .600.  Take the Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames plus the points over Toledo.  The Flames have been installed as an underdog for this Boca Raton Bowl.  And Liberty is a solid 14-4 ATS its last 18 when not favored by more than 3 points.  Toledo, on the other hand, is 18-32-1 ATS in Non-Conference games when playing away from home.  Take Liberty.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the San Jose St Spartans minus the points over Eastern Michigan.  The Eagles won their last 3 games, including a 38-19 win vs. Central Michigan to end its season.  Unfortunately, Eastern Michigan is a wallet-breaking 30-50 ATS off a win, including 5-18 ATS away from home vs. non-conference foes.  Lay the points with San Jose St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies + the points over Marshall.  It's never been a bad idea to take double-digit underdogs in Bowl games.  And that's because they've gone 85-64-3 ATS since 1980.  So, while I will go with a double-digit Bowl favorite on occasion, it's not something I will do with regularity.  Moreover, Connecticut was blown out, 34-17, by Army in its season-ending game.  And double-digit Bowl dogs have cashed 63% if they didn't win their previous game (compared to 54% if they were off a win).  Meanwhile, Marshall is 17-26 ATS away from home as a favorite of -7+ points, while UConn is 11-5 ATS as an underdog.  Finally, Sun Belt Conference favorites (or PK) are a dismal 41-75-3 ATS in non-conference games, if our Sun Belt team didn't own a losing record.  Take UConn + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, in the Myrtle Beach Bowl, our selection is on the OVER in the Connecticut/Marshall game.  Both of these teams had mid-season stretches where they played a streak of Unders.  UConn went under the total 5 straight games starting on October 1, while Marshall went under in 6 straight games starting on September 24.  But both teams ended the season with high-scoring games that went over the total.  Marshall's season-ending game vs. Georgia St went over the total of 45.5 by 5.5 points, as the Herd lost, 28-23, to the Panthers.  Likewise, Connecticut's season-ending game vs. Army went over the 45-point total by 6 points, as Connecticut lost, 34-17.  And its next-to-last regular season game went over the total of 45 by 24 points, as it upset Liberty, 36-33.  In its last 10 seasons, Marshall has NEVER had a Total this low.  But it's gone Over the total 65% since 2013 when the Over/Under line was less than 48 points.  We'll look for a relatively high scoring game this afternoon.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:15 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green + the points over Boise St.  The Mean Green won't have to travel far from their Denton campus to this Frisco Bowl game, so they'll have most of today's crowd rooting for them.  We'll fade Boise St, as the Broncos have burned money in the post-season when favored by less than 12 points, as they're 1-8 ATS their last nine!  And double-digit Conference USA underdogs have gone 14-7 ATS in Bowl games.  Take North Texas + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:45 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls + the points over Southern Miss.  These two teams know each other well, as they battled virtually every year as members of Conference USA.  But Southern Miss left this year for the Sun Belt Conference, so this meeting will be the first time they met in a Bowl game.  Rice won each of the past two seasons (both SU and ATS), and is 8-4 ATS vs. Southern Miss in this series.  It's true that the Owls ended their season with 3 straight losses.  But College football underdogs of 6+ points have covered 68% in post-season games since 1980 off 3+ losses.  Take Rice + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington St Cougars + the points over Fresno St.  The Bulldogs are a horrid 4-15 ATS away from home, when favored against a non-conference foe, including 1-7 ATS in Bowl games.  Take Washington St.

At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over Oregon State.  The Gators are 18-7 ATS as underdogs of +5 (or more) points away from home, when matched up against a foe off a point spread win.  And Oregon State is 2-14 ATS away from home vs. non-conference foes off a loss, including 0-8 ATS when favored by 7+ points.  Grab the points with the Gators.

At 11 am, our selection is on the Over in the Louisville/Cincinnati game.  This Fenway Bowl game matches Louisville from the ACC against Cincinnati from the American Athletic Conference.  In games between schools from the ACC and AAC, the OVER has cashed 69% when the Over/Under line was 51 points or less. The Over/Under line in this game actually opened at 45, but has been significantly lowered from that opener.  By my math, the current number confers great value on the Over, and I'll look for a relatively-high scoring game on this Saturday.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Army Black Knights minus the points over Navy.  The Midshipmen come into this game -- at Philadelphia's Lincoln Financial Field -- off an upset win over Central Florida, 17-14, as a 14.5-point underdog.  But that was just Navy's 4th win on the season (against 7 losses).  They'll now face an Army team which is a red-hot 5-0 ATS its last five after blowing out UMass, 44-7.  We'll lay the points with Army, as NCAA favorites (or PK) off 4 ATS wins have gone 79-42 ATS away from home in the regular season vs. foes that don't have a winning record (including 7-0 ATS the last 7).  And if our red-hot team was playing a non-conference opponent, then our 79-42 record moves to a perfect 8-0 ATS.  Take Army.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels + the points over Clemson.  The Tar Heels come into this ACC Championship game off back to back losses to Georgia Tech and NC State.  I look for North Carolina to rebound on Saturday night, as it's 37-19 ATS off back to back losses, including 22-10 ATS as an underdog of 7+ points.  Meanwhile, Clemson is a soft 19-36-1 ATS as a favorite of -7 (or more) points when playing a foe off back to back losses.  Even worse:  the Tigers are 11-30 ATS as a favorite away from home, if it was off an ATS loss in its previous game (and 1-12 ATS if the Tigers were off a SU loss).  Take North Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.