At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over Arizona.  Los Angeles will hand the ball to Walker Buehler tonight.  And all Buehler has done in his last 5 starts vs. the Diamondbacks is give up just 6 earned runs over 28 2-3 innings (1.88 ERA), with 36 strikeouts and just 25 baserunners (0.87 WHIP).  Not surprisingly, the Dodgers went 4-1 in those five starts.  Buehler will face Arizona's veteran southpaw, Madison Bumgarner.  Earlier in Bumgarner's career, he was a Dodger killer, as he won 13 of his first 18 decisions.  But lately, he's struggled vs. Los Angeles, as he's won just 2 of his last 11 decisions, including 0-5 since 2018.  The Dodgers are a powerful 45-13 (+19 games on the moneyline) as a home favorite, priced from -175 to -250, while the Diamondbacks are a horrible  39-130 (minus 55 games on the moneyline) as a road underdog, priced from +175 to +250.  Take Los Angeles tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Washington Capitals.  The Caps prevailed in Game one of this series in OT, but that important home victory came with a price.  Up 1-0 and seemingly in control of things, goalie Vitek Vanecek sprawled to make a save on Jake DeBrusk but instead gave up the tying goal and remained face down on the ice.  He was helped off with an obvious lower-body injury and the veteran Craig Anderson had to fill in for the Caps the rest of the game.  Although Anderson acquitted himself well the rest of the way, he will have to carry the load for the Caps tonight and maybe beyond and that's a lot to ask of a 40-year-old third string goalie who has appeared in a total of four regular season games for his team.  On the other side, Tuukka Rask was brilliant for the Bruins and he'll no doubt get the call again tonight in net for Game two.  Normally the veteran goalie in a game, Rask is seven years Anderson's junior.  Rask has a career 51-42 record with a 2.20 GAA in 93 NHL post-season starts.  Take Boston.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Denver.  If the Trail Blazers win this game, they will avoid the dreaded play-in round, and be seeded #6 in the Western conference.  Denver also would like to win, but their benefit of securing the #3 seed rather than the #4 seed isn't as great as Portland's.  It's true that Denver won its 3rd straight game (and 2nd straight by double-digits) when it defeated Detroit, 114-103, on Friday.  But the Nuggets are a poor 3-14 ATS off back to back double-digit wins.  Meanwhile, Portland falls into a 28-6 ATS division revenge angle of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded home favorites of -6 (or more) points in the regular season.   Lay the points with the Trail Blazers.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder have lost 23 of their last 24 games, and are clearly pointing ahead toward the draft lottery.  They've lost their last five games by 21, 39, 28, 16 and 16 points.  Los Angeles still has an incentive to win this game for playoff positioning, and will also look to remove the stench from a 122-115 loss at Houston on Friday.  The Clippers are 22-7 ATS their last 29 on the road off a loss.  Take the Clippers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Cleveland.  The Cavs have not been competitive down the stretch, as they've lost 12 of 13 games, including a 15-point defeat at the hands of Washington, on Friday.  Interestingly, the Nets have dropped both meetings this season to the woeful Cavaliers.  And they lost each by 12 points!  With that as a backdrop, we'll take Brooklyn to close out their season with a big win this evening.  Brooklyn falls into a 166-98 ATS revenge angle of mine, while Cleveland is a nasty 13-31 ATS off a point spread defeat this season, and 27-48 ATS off a loss by 15+ points.  Take the Nets.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Houston.  The Rockets are 17-54 this season after upsetting the Clippers to snap a 7-game slide.  But faithful followers know I love playing against bad teams off wins.  And this is a great spot to do so, given it's Houston's final road game of the season.  The Rockets fall into a 13-57 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams in late season games, while Atlanta applies to a 120-55 ATS 'momentum' system, based on its 116-93 victory over Orlando on Thursday.  Lay the points with the Hawks.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Cardinals over the San Diego Padres.  San Diego has taken the first two games of this 3-game series, so it will be up to lefty Kwang-Hyun Kim to help the Redbirds avoid the sweep.  Kim has thrived in the underdog role, as the Cardinals are a sensational 7-1 with him on the hill, when dressed up as the dog.  San Diego will also turn to a southpaw this evening, as rookie Ryan (son of David) Weathers will toe the rubber for the Padres.  We'll go against the young pitcher, as St. Louis is 5-2 this season vs. lefties, while the Padres are a poor 29-37 (minus 14 games on the moneyline) vs. opposing lefty starters. 

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Memphis.  The Grizzlies won their fifth straight game on Friday, with a 1-point triumph over Sacramento.  They'll now travel to San Francisco to play a critical game (for both teams) vs. Golden State.  Because of the importance of this afternoon's game, Warriors' coach Steve Kerr rested his stars on Friday because this Sunday game would be for "all the marbles" anyway.  But the Warriors won that Friday game, 125-122.  That was the Warriors' fifth straight win and cover, and I look for them to stretch their streak to six straight this afternoon.  The Warriors fall into an 84-45 "Last Home Game" system of mine, while Memphis applies to a negative 48-76 ATS "Last Road Game" system which goes against certain teams in their final road game that are headed to the playoffs.  And Memphis is also a wallet-breaking 24-42 ATS off 5+ wins.  Take the Warriors minus the points.

At 2:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago White Sox over the Kansas City Royals.  After a red hot start, the Kansas City Royals came back down to earth and most people probably figured that they were done winning meaningful games for the season.  But here we are on Sunday afternoon with KC having won two of the first three games of this series against the mighty White Sox.  But today it will be a tall order as the Sox send out one of their brightest young stars -- and they have quite a few -- in RHP Dylan Cease.  After some uninspiring results in his first two seasons in the Majors, Cease has flourished in 2021 so far.  In seven starts, the 25-year-old is 2-2 with a 2.80 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and a strikeout rate of 12.5 per nine IP.  Cease still has to cut down on his free passes but if he can do that -- and it seems as though he's starting to -- he could be one of the dominant starters in the league.  Despite their taking two of three so far, including last night, the Royals are still just 4-14 in the last 18 meetings with the White Sox.  Take Chicago.

At 2:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Brewers over the Atlanta Braves.  The Braves go for a three-game sweep this afternoon after beating Milwaukee on Friday and Saturday.  Yesterday's loss dropped the Brewers record to .500 for the first time in over a month.  This afternoon it will be up to RHP Freddy Peralta to keep his team at or above the .500 mark.  It's hard to have a better start than Peralta did in his last outing as he held the Cardinals to just one hit in seven innings with eight strikeouts and one walk.  But his bullpen couldn't seal the deal and so Peralta will hope for a better outcome today against Atlanta and young RHP Huascar Ynoa.  That last start lowered Peralta's ERA down to 2.77 in seven starts covering 37 innings with a 0.95 WHIP (Peralta also has two innings of relief under his belt).  Peralta has always done by far his best work here in Milwaukee.  In 40 career games (13 starts) at Miller Park, Peralta is 12-3 with a 2.93 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 160 strikeouts in just under 120 innings.  Take the Brewers.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Mets over the Tampa Bay Rays.  One of the big questions surrounding players who opted out of playing in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic was whether they would be able to come back and be effective after a year off.  Well, Mets' veteran RHP Marcus Stroman has answered that question with an emphatic "yes I can."  Stroman's first season in New York was the second half of 2019 (after 5 1/2 with the Blue Jays) and he was solid if nothing else (4-2 with a 3.77 ERA in 11 Mets starts).  And now after a voluntary year off, the 30-year-old is having one of his best campaigns, going 2-2 with a 2.03 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in seven starts covering just over 40 innings.  Stroman is very familiar with the Rays and Tropicana Field from his years in the AL East.  In six starts at The Trop, he is 4-1 with a 3.40 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in just under 40 innings.  And, finally, the Mets do some of their best work recently before the sun goes down as they are 8-4 in their last 12 games during the day.  Take New York.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Charlotte.  This season finale is important to each of these two teams because of playoff positioning.  But we'll take the homestanding Wizards, who play this game with revenge from a double-digit home loss to the Hornets on March 30.  The Wizards are 51-33 ATS when playing with revenge, including 17-9 ATS this season.  Moreover, Washington won its previous game, 120-105, on Friday vs. Cleveland.  And the Wizards are 11-1 ATS this season off a double-digit win.  Lay the points.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Boston.  Last night, the Knicks defeated Charlotte, 118-109, in overtime, and they'll now take on the Boston Celtics, who are locked into the #7 seed after winning yesterday vs. the Timberwolves.  That win by the Celtics snapped their four-game losing streak, which was important for Brad Stevens' team.  But off that win, I expect a less intense effort by the Celtics this afternoon, given there's really nothing to play for.  New York lost by two points in the previous meeting vs. Boston, but is 15-6 ATS when playing with revenge this season.  And the Knicks also fall into 74-37 and 64-34 ATS "Last Home Game" systems of mine.  Take New York minus the points.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Chicago.  The Bulls were officially eliminated from the Playoffs last night when the Washington Wizards bested the Cleveland Cavaliers, 120-105.  Chicago will now travel to play the Nets, who are still locked in a battle with Milwaukee for playoff seeding.  These two teams met earlier this week in the Windy City, and the Nets won that game, 115-107.  That was, ironically, the same score of the teams' first meeting this season -- but that game was won by Chicago.  We'll take the homestanding Nets, as they fall into a 27-3, 90% ATS late season system of mine, which is based on their current win streak.  Even better:  coach Steve Nash has stated that his All-Star triumvirate of Kevin Durant, James Harden and Kyrie Irving will all play in this game.  And it will be the first time this troika has played together vs. the Bulls, and just the 8th time all season they all suited up for a game.  Take Brooklyn to blow out Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the San Diego Padres over the St. Louis Cardinals.  Joe Musgrove has been a bit of an enigma so far this season.  The 28-year-old RHP is in his first year in San Diego after being traded from the Pirates back in January.  Despite some very dominant underlying statistics including a 3.00 ERA in seven starts with a 7.71 K:BB ratio -- and the fact that he threw the first no-hitter of the season in Texas back on April 9 -- Musgrove is just 2-4 in the W/L column.  That wouldn't be unusual if it weren't for the fact that Musgrove plays for the Padres -- a team considered to have one of the best offensive lineups in the majors this year.  Musgrove will try to even out that won-lost ledger a bit tonight with a start against the Cards.  Although they have one of the best records in the NL, the Cards' schedule has been mostly vs. NL Central teams with some NL East clubs sprinkled in.  The only West team St. Louis has faced so far is the Rockies, so this will be one of its first tests against a club with a winning record.  Take the Padres.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Phillies over the Toronto Blue Jays.  As a reliever, Phillies RH Vince Velasquez's season got off to a rough start.  After three straight appearances out of the bullpen, the 28-year-old had posted a 9.00 ERA and had a 9:8 K:BB ratio.  But Velasquez got a chance to start on April 23 and hasn't looked back.  In four starts, Velasquez is 1-0 with a 3.20 ERA with 21 strikeouts and eight walks -- a far cry from those relief numbers.  He tries to build on it today in start number five against the Jays -- a team against which he's had past success.  In three career starts vs. Toronto, Velasquez is 2-0 with a 3.94 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 16 innings.  This will be the first meeting between these two this season.  However, the Phils took three of four when they met last September.  The Jays' relief pitching has been pretty good, but their starting pitching ERA so far is 4.70, which is fourth-worst in the AL.  Finally, consider that the Phils have been playing to the level of their competition lately as they are 7-0 in their last seven vs. winning teams.  Take the Phillies in the underdog role tonight.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Yankees over the Baltimore Orioles.  The Yankees got thumped by the Rays last night in Tampa, 9-1.  If there's a cure for the boys in pinstripes after a lopsided loss like that, it's likely a weekend series against the Orioles in Baltimore.  The Yankees are 39-12 in the 51 meetings with the O's but even more impressive is their 21-6 record in the last 27 games here at Camden Yards.  Making Baltimore's task even harder tonight is the fact that two-time Cy Young award winner RH Corey Kluber will get the start for the visitors.  Sure, the now 35-year-old's skills have eroded from when he was considered among the top three starters in baseball, but Kluber still knows how to get young players out (and the Orioles lineup is loaded with young, inexperienced players).  In eight career starts vs. Baltimore covering 56 innings, Kluber is 4-1 with a 2.73 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 6.8 K:BB ratio.  Take the Yankees.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat over the Philadelphia 76ers.  These two teams played back-to-back games in January, and the Sixers won both meetings.  But both were in Philadelphia.  And each game was played when the Heat was playing awful basketball.  The defending Eastern conference champs got off to a 7-14 start (6-13-1 ATS), but they've been playing very good basketball since.  Indeed, over its last 48 games, Miami is 31-17 SU and 26-21-1 ATS).  This will be Miami's final home game of the season, while it will also be the 76ers' final road game.  And that set of events has triggered a very good 99-59-4 ATS "last home game" system of mine, which has gone 26-7-2 ATS since 2013, as well as a second "last home game" system which has cashed 84 of 129 since 1991.  Although both of these teams would certainly like to win tonight's game for playoff positioning, it's less important to the 76ers, as they only need to win one of their final three games to secure the conference's #1 seed.  And Philly has two very winnable home games vs. the Magic on deck.  The Heat, on the other hand, are locked in a three-way battle for home court advantage with the Hawks and Knicks.  And Miami has a difficult finishing schedule with road games at Milwaukee and Detroit on the weekend.  I look for Miami to get the win tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Utah.  After dropping seven of eight games in April, the Blazers have caught fire.  Since April 27, they've won eight of nine, including 5-1 SU/ATS on the road.  Tonight, they'll be in Salt Lake City to take on the league's #1 team, Utah.  Portland has yet to defeat Utah this season, but the Jazz are currently playing short-handed, as Donavan Mitchell and Mike Conley remain sidelined.  Portland blew out the Spurs (124-102) and Rockets (140-129) at home in their last two games -- both at home.  And that bodes well for Portland tonight, as it's 27-10 ATS on the road off back to back home wins, including a perfect 8-0-1 ATS when priced from +3 to +5.5 points.  Finally, the Jazz are a wallet-breaking 5-24-1 ATS vs. double-revenging foes, if the Jazz were not favored by 7+ points.  Take the Trail Blazers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Brewers over the St. Louis Cardinals.  The Brew Crew will hand the ball to RHP Brandon Woodruff this evening.  And he's dominated the Cards in his career, with a 3-1 record, 2.45 ERA, and 1.01 WHIP.  His most recent start (Sept 26, 2020) was his best, as he struck out 10 Cardinals over eight innings, and allowed just two hits and one walk, en route to a 3-0 shutout win.  Woodruff's mound opponent will be John Gant.  Unfortunately for St. Louis, Gant has made three starts vs. the Brewers in his career, and the Cards lost all three.  His ERA vs. Milwaukee is 4.61, while his WHIP is a dreadful 1.83.  We'll take Milwaukee as a home favorite tonight, as they're 24-8 their last 32 behind Woodruff, when installed as a favorite, including 16-4 at home.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros over the Los Angeles Angels.  Lance McCullers, Jr. will get the start for Houston tonight.  And all McCullers has done this season is throw quality starts in five of his six outings, including his previous match-up against this Angels team, on April 25.  In that game, the Houston RHP gave up just two runs in six innings, on three hits and two walks.  For his career, McCullers has a super 3.20 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP in 14 starts vs. the Angels, which is in line with his overall 2021 stats (3.58 ERA; 1.16 WHIP).  Meanwhile, his mound opponent, Shohei Ohtani, has a 7.72 ERA and 2.14 WHIP in three career starts vs. Houston.  But the clincher is that Los Angeles has won just 21 of 76 games vs. American League pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 (or better).  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Dallas Mavericks.  Memphis comes into this game off back-to-back wins over Toronto and New Orleans, and now sits just a half-game behind Golden State for the all-important #8 seed in the Play-In Round.  Likewise, Dallas is playing well, with four straight wins.  And the Mavericks also triumphed over Memphis in the first two meetings this season.  But we'll take the revenge-minded Grizzlies as a home underdog tonight, as they're 21-12 ATS as an underdog this season.  Even better:  Memphis is 21-1 ATS at home when playing with revenge vs. an opponent off a win, provided Memphis was not favored by more than 2 points.  Take the Grizzlies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:20 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Blue Jays over the Atlanta Braves.  Bryse Wilson will get the ball for the Braves tonight, while veteran lefty, Robbie Ray, will start for Toronto.  Interestingly, these two teams already met three times earlier this season in Dunedin, Florida - the Blue Jays' home away from home.  Toronto swept that series, three games to none, including a 13-5 blowout behind Ray (6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H) on April 30.  And, subsequent to that game, Ray went out and led his team to a 9-4 victory at Oakland (6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H).  Over his last three starts, his WHIP is a super 0.91 (18 2/3 IP, 17 H, 0 BB, 23 K).  So, Toronto will have a nice advantage on the mound tonight, as Braves' RHP Bryse Wilson brings a 6.75 ERA and 1.91 WHIP into the contest.  Ray's teams are a solid 14-8 when he's worked with an extra day or two of rest; 19-12 as a road favorite; and 22-12 in his nighttime starts.  Take the Blue Jays.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:45 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Giants over the Texas Rangers.  Whatever is in the water in the San Francisco Bay, it is enabling the Giants to resurrect veteran pitchers whose careers appear to be on a serious downslide.  Witness former Orioles/Braves RHP Kevin Gausman and former Reds prospect Anthony DeSclafani, each enjoying incredible success here in San Francisco.  It seems we can also add to that list former Braves/Dodgers southpaw Alex Wood.  After being left to the MLB scrap heap following a 2018 trade by the Dodgers, Wood floundered the next two seasons with Cincinnati (2019) and then back in L.A. (2020), before becoming a free agent who failed to attract much interest.  Enter the Giants who signed him to a team-friendly one-year deal and -- all of a sudden -- Wood is flourishing again.  In four starts, the 30-year-old is 3-0 with a 1.96 ERA and 0.78 WHIP in 23 innings.  And he also has a career 0.64 ERA in two starts vs. Texas.  Meanwhile, the Rangers are 48-80 (minus 15 games on the moneyline) on the road, including 0-5 in their last five inter-league road games.  And they're 1-4 in the last five meetings here in San Francisco.  Take the Giants.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over New Orleans.  The NBA's Western conference has a great race between the Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors coming down the stretch.  Both teams have lost 33 games and, as it now stands, would meet each other in the 'play-in' round should the season end today.  But there will be a significant advantage conferred to the team which finishes with the better record, as it will only have to win one of two 'play-in' games, while the team with the lesser record will have to win two 'play-in' games to advance into the conference quarterfinals.  So, these final games are ultra-important for Memphis.  We'll lay the points tonight, as the Grizzlies play with revenge from a 31-point blowout loss to New Orleans earlier in the season.  And NBA teams with a better record than their opponent, have gone 71-48-2 ATS if they were playing with revenge from a 25-point (or worse) defeat, and their opponent was off a SU/ATS win.  With the Pelicans in off an upset win over Charlotte on Sunday, we'll fade Stan Van Gundy's men tonight.  Take Memphis.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Lightning over the Florida Panthers.  Both teams will be highly motivated for this final regular season game.  If Florida secures at least one point, then it will have home ice advantage over Tampa in the opening round of the playoffs.  But if the Lightning win in regulation, and earn two points, then they'll leapfrog Florida into second place, and host the Panthers for the first two playoff games.  In Saturday's game, the Panthers dominated, and won by a 5-1 score.  But off that blowout loss -- Tampa's 2nd straight defeat -- we'll take the defending Stanley Cup champs tonight.  The Lightning are a super 7-0 on the road off back to back losses, and 38-19 when playing with revenge.  And they're 28-4 after not scoring 2+ goals in their previous game.  Finally, the Panthers are 36-53 (minus 20 games on the moneyline) after winning by more than three goals in their previous game.  Take the Lightning tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the San Diego Padres over San Francisco.  The Padres (along with the Dodgers and Yankees) were expected to be among the sport's top three teams this season.  But they've all gotten off to slow starts.  In contrast, the Giants were expected to be below .500, but have sprinted out to a 20-13 record. Yesterday, San Francisco won its second straight game.  But it's 3-6 this season off back to back wins.  San Diego has yet to announce its starting pitcher, but it appears as if Chris Paddack will be activated after being out for COVID19 protocols.  If Paddack can't go, then Ryan Weathers or Dinelson Lamet would be candidates to make the start.  Paddack was pitching well before being sidelined, with a 2.94 ERA over his last three starts.  But regardless of who gets the ball for San Diego, we'll back the Padres off back to back upset losses on the road vs. a division rival.  Take San Diego.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Denver.  We played against Denver last night, and got the $$$ with the Utah Jazz, who won, 127-120, as a 4.5-point home favorite.  "Out of the frying pan, and into the fire" would certainly apply to Denver's situation tonight, as it has to go from playing the league's #1 team to a game against a rested Nets squad.  And, to make matters worse, the Nets have lost their last four games SU/ATS, so they'll be in an ornery mood tonight.  Denver is a poor 52-96-1 ATS at home when playing without rest.  And it's 0-8 ATS its last eight (and 8-29 ATS its last 37) against the Nets, if it wasn't favored by 5+ points.  Take Brooklyn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Los Angeles Angels.  The defending World Series champs haven't gotten off to a good start this season.  And tonight, they'll hand the ball to their veteran southpaw, Clayton Kershaw, as he'll start on three days rest for the first time in five seasons (and first time ever in the regular season).  Of course, the reason Kershaw will be starting on such short rest is that he had his shortest start of his career this past Tuesday vs. the Cubs.  Kershaw threw just 39 pitches in one inning, and the Cubs scored four runs against him en route to a 7-1 victory.  We'll take the Dodgers to bounce back on this Saturday, as Angels starter Dylan Bundy has led his teams to victory in just one of his last five starts vs. the National League, and nine of his last 27 home starts.  Take the Dodgers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Blue Jays over the Houston Astros.  Steven Matz was a second round draft pick of the Mets way back in 2009.  The New York native made his Major League debut in 2015 and proceeded to play the next six seasons in New York.  Expectations were sky high but those expectations were never realized.  So, this past January, Matz was dealt to Toronto where he has begun his second chapter with the Blue Jays.  Matz's 4.78 ERA in six starts this season is a bit misleading as he also has a 4-2 record.  And Matz has made four starts where he has allowed three earned runs or less.  Having spent all of his previous six seasons in the National League, this will be Matz's first career start vs. the Astros.  Take the Blue Jays.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Lightning over the Florida Panthers.  These two teams are tied in the division standings for second place, with a two-game series at Florida over the next three days to decide which of the teams will have home ice advantage in the first round of the playoffs.  Florida got the better of Tampa Bay in the last meeting, as it won, 5-3, at Tampa on April 17.  And the Panthers are currently riding a 4-game win streak.  Still, we will play on the Lightning tonight, as they're 11-3 this season, and 38-18 their last 56 when playing with revenge.   Meanwhile, the Panthers are an awful 67-83 (minus 24 games on the moneyline) off 3+ wins.  Take Tampa.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Indians over Cincinnati.  These two pitchers are going in opposite directions -- at least when you look at the win column.  In Aaron Civale's six starts this season, the Indians have won five of the six games.  And Civale's ERA is 3.20, with a 1.04 WHIP.  In contrast, the Reds have dropped five of Luis Castillo's starts, including each of his last four.  And his ERA is an ugly 6.07, with a 1.61 WHIP.  Even worse:  dating back to last season, the Reds have lost 15 of his 21 starts (and eight of his last 10 road starts).  And, finally, Cincy is a horrid 22-44 in competitively-priced road games, when priced from -125 to +125.  Take Cleveland.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Brewers over the Miami Marlins.  The Marlins put a hurting on the Brewers at home on Friday night and now the Crew will try to get some revenge in this Saturday rematch.  RH Adrian Houser will get his seventh start of the season for Milwaukee.  After a a 2020 campaign that he would like to forget (a 1-6 record in 12 games with a 5.30 ERA), Houser has rebounded nicely this season.  In six starts covering just under 31 innings, Houser has logged a 2-3 record with a 3.52 ERA.  Miami's upset victory on Friday extended the Brew Crew's losing streak to six coming into tonight's game.  In two previous games vs. the Marlins (one start), Houser is 1-0 with a 3.12 ERA and 0.92 WHIP with 14 strikeouts and two walks in 8 2/3 innings.  Despite their loss on Friday night, the Brewers are 4-1 in the last five meetings with the Marlins in South Florida.  And Miami is a woeful 15-28 in its last 43 games vs. NL Central opponents.  Take the Brewers.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the San Diego Padres over San Francisco.  We played on the Giants as a home underdog last night, and got the cash as the Giants got to Blake Snell early, and ended up winning 5-4.  Today, San Diego will hand the ball to Joe Musgrove, who will seek to avenge his loss to the Giants and RHP Kevin Gausman last Sunday.  We also played on the Giants and Gausman in that game last weekend, but we will switch gears and take San Diego this afternoon.  For technical support, consider that Gausman is a wallet-breaking 26-38 (minus 15 games on the moneyline) when pitching on an extra day or two of rest.  Meanwhile, Musgrove's teams have gone 8-3 when priced as a road favorite of -150 (or less).  Take the Padres to bounce back this afternoon.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points with New York.  Last week, we took the Suns at the Knicks, and were rewarded with an 8-point win, 118-110.  And we'll come right back with Phoenix in this rematch.  The Suns were upset by Atlanta, 135-103, on Wednesday.  But they're 45-14 ATS their last 59 off an upset road loss.  Take Phoenix.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Sacramento.  San Antonio dropped its fifth straight game on Wednesday, 126-94, at Utah, while the Kings won for the fourth straight time, 104-93, at Indiana.  The Spurs are in the 10th spot right now, and need to stay ahead of Sacramento and New Orleans to qualify for the play-in round.  Coming into tonight, the Spurs are 1.5 games in front of the Pelicans, and 2.5 games clear of Sacramento.  This game is the only match-up left on the schedule which pits two of the three teams, so this game will be critical in determining which of the three teams earns a post-season berth.  We'll take the Spurs minus the points, as the Silver and Black have gone 42-12 ATS as a favorite off a loss by 18+ points, if their opponent was off a point spread win in its previous game.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Avalanche over Los Angeles.  The Avalanche are in a tight battle with the Minnesota Wild for home ice advantage in the Playoffs' opening round, so they will remain focused down the stretch of this season.  Tonight, Colorado will look to bounce back off a loss to the San Jose Sharks, 3-2, on Wednesday.  But, if history is any indication, the Avs will bounce back, as they're 12-4 this season off a loss.  Los Angeles has won its last two games, but is a wallet-breaking 7-13 (minus 5 games on the moneyline) its last 20, and 28-50 (minus 11 games on the moneyline) its last 78, off a win in its previous game.  And the Kings are 11-24 (minus 9 games on the moneyline) their last 35 off a road win.  Take Colorado.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:45 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Giants over San Diego.  Anthony DeSclafani is quietly having a solid season for San Francisco.  He's made six starts, and has compiled a 2.00 ERA and 0.94 WHIP.  Even better:  in his two home starts, he's yet to allow a run, and has allowed just 11 baserunners over 15 innings (0.73 WHIP).  Blake Snell has been merely pedestrian this season, as his ERA is 3.51, while his WHIP is 1.48.  On the road, those numbers take a severe hit, as his Road ERA is 7.50, and his Road WHIP is 2.33.  The Giants are 10-3 this season at home; 9-2 off a loss; and 9-6 as an underdog.  Take San Francisco.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Oakland A's over Tampa Bay.  Rich Hill has been ineffective this season, as his ERA is 6.40.  And, away from home, it's 12.00.  In contrast, southpaw Sean Manaea will attempt to lead the A's to victory in his sixth straight start, as the A's have won each of his last five outings, by a combined score of 30-12.  One of those victories was against this Tampa Bay team, on April 26, when Manaea gave up just 1 run over five innings.  That game lowered his career ERA vs. Tampa to 3.67.  Meanwhile, Hill's 1-2 in three starts vs. Oakland, with a 5.25 ERA.  Take the A's.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Denver.  The Nuggets blew out New York, 113-97, on Wednesday, for their 18th win over their last 22 games.  But off that 16-point blowout, we will fade the Nuggets tonight, as they're 16-38 ATS on the road off a win by more than 8 points.  Lay the points with the Jazz.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Dallas.  The Cavaliers come into this game on an 8-game SU/ATS losing streak, and will play the Mavericks twice this weekend (today, and Sunday).  We'll grab the points with Cleveland in this game, as rested road underdogs off a SU/ATS loss, and 7 ATS losses in a row, are a solid 88-54-3 ATS, including 29-10 ATS vs. foes playing their third game in four nights.  And that's the situation here, as the Mavericks played last night vs. Brooklyn, as well as on Tuesday, at Miami.  Take Cleveland + the points.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Mariners over the Texas Rangers.  When we last saw the Mariners on the baseball field, it was on Wednesday afternoon and they were being no-hit over nine innings by John Means in a 6-0 drubbing by the Orioles.  Means might just be the best pitcher in the AL right now and there is no John Means-caliber pitcher starting games for the Rangers currently.  It appears the M's are now using a six-man rotation and tonight it will be RH Chris Flexen taking the ball.  Far from a household name, the 26-year-old has been quietly effective this season, going 2-1 with a 3.33 ERA in five starts covering 27 innings.  Most importantly, Seattle is 4-1 in Flexen's five trips to the hill.  This weekend series marks the first meetings of these two teams this year and the Mariners have dominated play between them recently.  In the last seven meetings, Seattle is 7-0 going back to last August 21.  Take the Mariners.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  Atlanta comes into tonight's game off a 3-game SU/ATS sweep of its home stand, including a blowout win last night over Phoenix.  Meanwhile, the Pacers check in off back to back SU/ATS wins.  We'll take Indiana tonight, and go against the Hawks, as unrested NBA road teams off 3 SU/ATS home wins are a poor 31% ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take the Pacers as a home underdog on Thursday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Dallas.  The Nets were drilled, 115-98, earlier this season by Dallas, so they will seek revenge in this rematch in Texas.  And they're 45-22 ATS on the road when playing with revenge, so that bodes well for the Nets tonight.  It's true that Brooklyn comes into this game off 3 straight losses.  But .650 (or better) road favorites have covered 57% over the last 31 years as road favorites of 3+ losses.  Take Brooklyn.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Charlotte.  The Bulls are favored on the road tonight, even though they have a worse record than Charlotte, and have dropped each of their last four games, SU/ATS.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the home underdog Hornets.  But consider that NBA road favorites (or PK), that are off back to back SU/ATS losses, have covered the spread 67% since 1990 against .400 (or better) foes that have a better W/L record.  More good news for Chicago:  leading scorer Zach Levine (27.5 ppg) should return to action tonight.  Lay the points with Chicago.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Brewers over Philadelphia.  The Brewers will hand the ball to RHP Brandon Woodruff this afternoon, and all he's done this season is go 2-0 in six starts, with a 1.80 ERA and 0.80 WHIP.  The Brewers have won five of his six starts this season, including a 6-5 win over the world champion Dodgers his last time out.  Even better:  Woodruff is 2-0 in his career vs. the Phillies with an ERA of 0.50, and a WHIP of 0.55.  In his three starts vs. the Phils, he's allowed just three hits in 18 innings, and has struck out 18.  Take Milwaukee this afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over Sacramento.  The Pacers were defeated, 154-141 by the Wizards on Monday, while Sacramento won last night, 103-99, in Oklahoma City.  That was Sacramento's 3rd straight win, and 8th cover (against just two ATS losses) in its last 10 games.  When these two teams met in Sacramento earlier this season, the Kings upset the Pacers, 127-122.  But I love Indiana to turn the tables tonight, as it's 22-11 its last 33 as a revenge-minded favorite.  And it's 49-24 ATS off a loss by 13+ points, if it's now matched up against a .400 (or better) foe.  Take the Pacers minus the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Royals over the Cleveland Indians.  Brady Singer is having a nice season for the Royals, as he's made five starts, and has a 3.09 ERA in those games.  Indeed, if you take away Singer's first start of the season, in which he gave up five runs in 3 1-3 innings, then his ERA is a fantastic 1.35, with a WHIP of 1.00.  Singer's made two starts in his career (both last season) vs. Cleveland, and KC has gone 2-0 in those games, and Singer's ERA was 1.38, with an 0.61 WHIP.  Take the Royals as a big home underdog tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Vegas Golden Knights over the Minnesota Wild.  Since the end of March -- more than a month now -- the Golden Knights have turned to a goalie strategy that not many teams have employed recently in NHL.  Specifically, since March 27, Vegas has alternated between Robin Lehner and Marc-Andre Fleury for 20 games.  Other teams may want to take note, as the strategy has been successful with the Knights posting a 14-6 record during that time.  As a result, Vegas has catapulted past Colorado into first place in the West.  This is a revenge situation tonight as the Wild beat the Knights on Monday, 6-5.  That game had Lehner in net for Vegas, so we should expect to see Fleury this evening.  That win makes five in a row for the Wild over the Knights so you can be sure that Vegas wants to put a stop to the bleeding.  Allowing five goals in the last last game may be just what the doctor ordered for Vegas in this one as it is 5-0 in its last five after allowing five or more goals in its previous game, and it's 64-37 after allowing more than 3 goals in its previous game.  Meanwhile, the Wild are a dismal 13-23 (minus 17 games on the moneyline) after scoring more than three goals in each of their three previous games.  Take the Knights.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Chicago Cubs.  The talented, young, and deep Dodgers pitching staff was dealt a blow on Saturday when young stud Dustin May felt something in his elbow and had to leave his start against the Brewers after only 1 2/3 innings.  It turned out that May will require Tommy John surgery and will now miss at least 9 months of action.  The good news is that this deep group of youngsters still boasts two uber-talented starters in LH Julio Urias and RH Walker Buehler.  Tonight it will be the righthander as Buehler gets his sixth start of the season.  The Cubs will counter with RHP Adbert Alzolay who is 1-2 with a 4.71 ERA in four starts covering just 21 innings.  The Dodgers have been very successful with Buehler pitching away from Dodger Stadium as a favorite  In Buehler's last 19 road starts as a favorite, the Dodgers have gone 14-5.  Meanwhile the Cubs are 1-4 (-3 games on the moneyline) in Alzolay's last five home starts.  Take Los Angeles.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros over the New York Yankees.  The first game of this series went to the Yankees in pretty dominating fashion on Tuesday and now the 'Stros will try to even the score.  Despite a career ERA of 2.78 and 10 games now under his belt (four of them starts), RHP Luis Garcia is still searching for his first MLB victory.  Garcia gets start number four in his sixth appearance this season and the 24-year-old Venezuelan righthander will pull out all of the stops in hopes of getting that first career win.  The Yanks will go with LHP Jordan Montgomery who is 1-1 with a 4.39 ERA in just under 27 innings of action.  Montgomery goes in start number six tonight and it will be his fourth career outing vs. the Astros (all starts).  In those three previous starts vs. Houston, Montgomery has posted an 0-1 record with a 4.63 ERA in 12 1/3 innings.  This could be a very good match-up for Garcia and his team as the Astros are 64-33 (+11 games on the moneyline) in their last 97 games vs. teams with a LH starter.  Take Houston

At 6:40 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Diamondbacks over the Miami Marlins.  The D-backs will hand the ball to Luke Weaver, while Miami will start RHP, Pablo Lopez.  Unfortunately for the Marlins, Lopez has been a big money-burner in his career, as his teams have won just 17 of his 49 starts (minus 11 games on the moneyline).  Even worse:  Lopez's ERA in his career starts vs. Arizona is 4.50.  The Diamondbacks are 6-2 this season as a road underdog priced from +125 to +175 this season, and we'll take the live underdog this evening.

At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Giants over the Colorado Rockies.  The Rockies will start Jon Gray on this Wednesday, while the Giants will hand the ball to Logan Webb.  Gray has had scant success vs. the Giants in his career, as he's 1-6, with an ERA of 6.16, and an ugly 1.70 WHIP.  And Gray's teams have gone 3-9 in his 12 starts vs. the Giants.  In contrast, Webb is 1-0 in three starts vs. Colorado, including a quality start  (5 IP, 3 ER) in a no-decision back on April 10 of this year.  The Giants are 28-15 their last 43 vs. losing teams (+13 games on the moneyline), and 8-1 this season in day games.  Meanwhile, Colorado is a poor 4-7 in afternoon starts.  Take San Francisco.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Mariners over the Baltimore Orioles.  Jorge Lopez will get the start for the Birds tonight.  Unfortunately, in his career, his teams have gone 6-14 on the road with him on the mound.  This season, his road ERA is 5.58 (and it's 7.48 overall).  Lopez will match up against Justin Dunn, who has a 3.98 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP this season.  He also already defeated the Orioles back on April 15, 2-1, when he threw 5 innings, and gave up just 1 run and 2 hits (with six strikeouts).  The Orioles are a horrid 3-24 their last 27 American League road games against pitchers with a WHIP below 1.30.  Take Seattle.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans over the Golden State Warriors.  Last night's loss to the Warriors may have been New Orleans' death knell, as it now trails the 8th-seeded Warriors by four games, and the 10th-seeded San Antonio Spurs by 2.5 games, with just seven to play.  Tonight, the Pelicans will get another crack at Golden State in the 2nd of this 2-game series.  And New Orleans knows it must win this home game, as it faces an extremely difficult schedule down the stretch.  After tonight, the Pels will hit the road for 5 straight games -- all against teams currently qualifying for the Playoffs.  And then New Orleans will come back home to face the Lakers to end the regular season.  We'll take New Orleans tonight as a small favorite, as they fall into a 64% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams in the 2nd of a back to back set against the same opponent.  Additionally, the Warriors are 30-50 ATS their last 80 games off a SU win.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Islanders over the Buffalo Sabres.  Last night, the Isles were stunned, 4-2, by Buffalo, as Michael Houser -- a career-minor league goalie -- won his NHL debut.  In that game, Houser stopped 34 New York shots, and the Sabres fought back from a 2-0 second period-deficit to garner the victory.  That win snapped the Sabres 4-game losing streak.  Unfortunately, though, it's 1-10 its last 11 off a win, 11-27 off a win by 2+ goals, and 21-38 (minus 14 games on the moneyline) after scoring more than three goals in its previous game.  With the Isles 10-2 in the last 12 meetings, we'll the New York tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over the New York Knicks.  The Knicks won (and covered) again on Sunday, as they blew out the Houston Rockets, 122-97.  That was New York's 14th ATS win in its last 15 games played.  Tonight, New York will be saddled with playing without rest, while Memphis will be rested following its shocking loss on Saturday at Orlando.  Memphis was up by nine points entering the 4th quarter, but fell, 112-111, to the Magic.  But off that loss, Memphis falls into an 83% ATS (since 1991) system of mine which has won 14 in a row.  Even better:  the Grizzlies lost in overtime, 133-129, earlier this year at New York (also blowing a 15-point lead in that game), but are 36-21 ATS, 63%, when playing with revenge from an upset defeat.  Meanwhile, the Knicks are 4-14 ATS, 22%, on the road vs. a foe it upset in the previous meeting.  And, finally, revenge-minded teams that gave up 125+ points in an upset loss are 102-68 ATS, 60%, when playing an opponent off a SU/ATS win.  With Memphis in off a game where they blew a big lead, and playing with revenge against an opponent that also mounted a big comeback win, I fully expect the Grizzlies to be ultra-focused tonight.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks over the Portland Trail Blazers.  Damian Lillard & Co. went into Beantown yesterday, and upended the Celtics at TD Garden, 129-119. That was Portland's 4th straight win (and cover), which sets up our play tonight.  The Hawks have been dominant over the years here, in Atlanta, vs. opponents off 4+ wins, as they're 72-46 ATS, including 28-8 ATS vs. unrested foes.  And they're also 41-27 ATS at home when rested, and not laying 7+ points vs. unrested Western conference foes.  Finally, the Blazers are a wallet-busting 13-30 ATS vs. revenge-minded, winning Eastern conference foes when Portland isn't getting 3+ points.  Take the Hawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over New York.  The Knicks come into this game off a 17-point blowout win over Chicago at Madison Square Garden - their 13th ATS win in 14 games.  But this will be a difficult task for New York as it's favored by a huge amount on the road.  And it's the biggest number New York has been favored by on the road since March 21, 2014, which is troubling considering the fact that it's 6-18 ATS its last 24 as a road favorite of more than 6 points.  We played against Houston last night, and got the $$$ with Miami, in a 26-point blowout.  The Rockets will once again play at home tonight, and we'll grab the points with Houston, as I look for them to bounce back today.  Indeed, home teams that lost by 15+ points at home the previous day, have cashed 69% since 1990 when matched up against opponents off a SU/ATS home win.  Take the Rockets + the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Charlotte.  Miami won its second straight game last night, with a 124-107 blowout of Cleveland.  It will seek its 3rd straight win and cover tonight, as it travels to Charlotte to play the Hornets.  It's true that Charlotte has defeated Miami in each of the first two meetings this season.  But double-revenging road favorites (or PK) have cashed 59% in the regular season since 1990 if they were off a SU win.  Take Miami.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Sacramento.  These two teams met six days ago, and the Mavs were upset on the road, 113-106, by Sacramento.  Dallas hasn't lost since, and it eked out a 1-point win against Washington last night.  Today, Dallas will go for its 4th straight win and cover, and has been installed as a big favorite vs. the Kings, who upset the Lakers on Friday.  Unfortunately for Sacramento, it's covered just 50 of 122 games off a win, if it was a road underdog against a revenge-minded foe.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 goals over Detroit.  Yesterday, the Red Wings upset Tampa, 1-0, in a shootout.  But the final score belied the complete dominance by the Lightning.  Tampa outshot Detroit by a 33-15 count, which only tells part of the story.  Bad luck befell the Lightning, as they hit four posts, and also had a goal overturned due to goaltender interference.  The result was a shutout defeat.  But that bodes well for the Lightning this afternoon, as they're 27-4 in their last 31 games after scoring less than two goals.  Take Tampa Bay.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the Denver Nuggets.  These two Western conference rivals are battling it out for 3rd place, so this game will go a long way toward determining the teams' playoff seeding.  We'll go against Denver off its double-digit victory against Toronto, and take Los Angeles to bounce back off its 109-101 defeat at Phoenix on Wednesday.  That was the Clippers' second straight defeat.  But each of those losses was on the road; tonight's game is at home.  And L.A. is a solid 45-20 ATS off a loss, including 10-1 ATS when favored by 7 or less points against a winning team.  Meanwhile, Denver is a horrid 15-38 ATS away from home off a win by 9+ points.  Take the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Vegas Golden Knights over Arizona.  Last night, the Coyotes shut out Vegas, 3-0, here in Phoenix.  We'll take Vegas in this rematch, as it's 45-25 off a road defeat, including 15-3 if it lost its previous game to a division rival.  Moreover, after scoring less than two goals in its previous game, Vegas is 37-18 its last 57, including 10-4 off a shutout defeat.  Take the Golden Knights.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Minnesota.  These two teams met three weeks ago, and Minnesota thoroughly embarrassed New Orleans, 135-105, as an 8-point underdog.  That 30-point loss was the first time in franchise history that New Orleans lost by 30+ points as a favorite of -5 (or more) points.  But we'll lay the points with the Pelicans tonight, as favorites have covered 62.6% since 1990 when playing with revenge from a 15-point (or worse) upset loss as an 8-point (or greater) favorite.  Take New Orleans.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Wild over the St. Louis Blues.  The Blues have certainly had the Wild's number, of late.  St. Louis not only won the first two games of this 3-game set, but also won two other games earlier in April, for a 4-game win streak vs. Minnesota, overall.  But I love the Wild to snap this losing streak tonight, as it's a solid 26-11 when playing with revenge from four losses, and a perfect 6-0 this season off back to back defeats.  Take Minnesota.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Houston.  The Rockets come into this game off an upset win over the Milwaukee Bucks, 143-136, while Golden State checks in off 2 SU/ATS losses.  We'll lay the points with the Warriors tonight, as Golden State is 33-17 ATS off back-to-back SU/ATS losses, if it was playing an opponent off a win.  Even better:  NBA home teams not favored by 7+ points, have cashed just 32% since 1991 off an upset home win as a 7-point (or greater) underdog, if they were playing an opponent off a SU loss in their current game.  Take the Warriors.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Milwaukee Brewers.  Dustin May will get the start for the champs tonight, and he will no doubt want a better result than the one he was dealt in his last start.  That was six days ago against the Padres.  May pitched six innings, and gave up just one run, on two hits, with 10 strikeouts.  Yet the Dodgers lost that game, 8-7, in extra innings.  May has a more-than-respectable 2.53 ERA on the season, in four starts.  But he only has one win to show for it.  I expect him to get back into the 'win column' on this Saturday, as the Dodgers are a fantastic 14-7 in his 21 career starts, and 20-8 (+9 games on the moneyline) off back to back losses.  Meanwhile, his mound opponent, Brandon Woodruff, has a career ERA of 6.96 in his starts vs. Los Angeles.  Take the Dodgers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Capitals over the Pittsburgh Penguins.  These two played a classic Caps-Pens game on Thursday, with the Pens winning in overtime, after 60 minutes of back-and-forth hockey with basically the same number of shots on each side.  So if the Caps need something to swing it to their favor tonight in the rematch, then perhaps that something just might be named Alex Ovechkin.  Ovechkin hasn't played since April 22 due to a lower body injury, but he may make his return tonight.    Meanwhile, the Penguins will still be without star center Evgeni Malkin, who is out indefinitely with a lower body injury.  This is a super situation for Washington, which is a perfect 8-0 in its last eight games revenging a home loss vs. an opponent.  And the Penguins are 10-13 (-10 games on the moneyline) in their last 23 games off a road win against a division rival.  Take the Caps.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over the Phoenix Suns.  We're coming down to the wire in this NBA season, so this game will go a long way toward determining the #1 seed in the Playoffs.  Currently, Utah resides in first place, while Phoenix is just one game behind.  This has been an underdog-oriented series of late, as the dog has cashed each of the last four meetings.  Tonight, Utah's the underdog, primarily because it will play without All Stars Donovan Mitchell and Mike Conley.  But there's still enough firepower on Utah's roster to get the 'W.'  Indeed, the Jazz scored 154 points on Wednesday (the most points scored by an NBA team this season), in a 49-point blowout of the Sacramento Kings.  We played on the Jazz in that game, and will come right back with them tonight.  For technical support, consider that .720 (or better) NBA road underdogs of 2+ points have covered 73.6% in the regular season since 1990 when playing with double revenge.  Take the Jazz + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Avalanche over the San Jose Sharks.  The Avalanche lost, 5-2, on Wednesday to their biggest rivals in the Division -- the Golden Knights.  And that defeat placed Colorado  six points behind Vegas for first place.  With only one game left to play vs. the Knights, it's imperative that the Avs win games like the one they're playing tonight.  The Sharks are just 20-24-5 and sit 21 points behind Colorado, so they're not a threat but can still play the role of spoiler.  The good news is that the Avs have dominated this series recently, winning five of the last six meetings overall and going 5-0 in the last five here at Ball Arena.  The Avs are also dangerous right after they get beat like they did on Wednesday.  In their last 13 games following a loss by three or more goals, the Avs are 11-2.  Meanwhile, the Sharks are 7-12 (-6 games on the moneyline) in their last 19 immediately off a win against a division rival.  Take Colorado.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  Two nights ago, the Thunder snapped their 14-game losing streak with an upset win over the Boston Celtics.  But off that rare victory, we'll fade OKC as a home underdog on Thursday.  Indeed, home dogs of +8 (or more) points off an upset win have covered just 33% since 1991 vs. non-division foes off a straight-up loss.  Take the Pelicans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Sacramento.  The Kings upset Dallas, 113-106, on Monday, while the Jazz come into this game off back to back upset losses -- both to the Minnesota Timberwolves.  We played on Utah in its last game and (unfortunately) lost.  But we'll come right back with the Jazz tonight, as Sacramento is a terrible 19-40 ATS at home off a SU/ATS win, when it is playing an opponent off a SU/ATS loss.  And NBA favorites are 71.1% ATS since 1991 off a SU loss as a double-digit road favorite, if they're playing an opponent off a win.  Take Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the San Diego Padres over the Arizona Diamondbacks. NOTE: There's been a pitching change on the Arizona side, but we will still be on San Diego with David Weathers. We played on the Padres and Weathers last Friday as a +160 underdog vs. the Dodgers, and got the $$$ in a 3-2 victory. Here, the Padres have been installed as a road favorite vs. Arizona, and we'll once again back the rookie southpaw. Weathers has been sensational in his two starts, as he has yet to allow a run, and has surrendered just two hits and three walks in 9 1/3 innings. And both of those starts were against the best team in baseball -- the Los Angeles Dodgers -- and also one of the best pitchers, Walker Buehler. Tonight, Weathers will get a relative breather by facing Arizona and Riley Smith. Take the Padres. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over Edmonton.  The Oilers thrashed the Jets on Monday, 6-1.  And that was Winnipeg's fourth straight defeat, overall.  But the Jets have generally been a reliable bet to bounce back off a bad game, as they're 59-35 (+24 games on the moneyline) off a loss, and 21-14 (+9 games on the moneyline) off a loss by 4+ goals.  That bodes well for the Jets on Wednesday.  As does the fact that Edmonton is a soft 45-61 (-20 games on the moneyline) after scoring 6+ goals in its previous game.  Take Winnipeg.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Cincinnati Reds.  We were 7-2 yesterday, but one of our two defeats was in this match-up.  Cincinnati came back to win that game, 6-5.  And that was the 2nd straight loss suffered by the Dodgers.  We'll once again back the defending champs here, at home, as they'll hand the ball to their veteran lefty, Clayton Kershaw.  Although Kershaw stumbled in his first start of the season, in hitter-friendly Colorado, he's been lights-out since.  In his last four starts, he's surrendered just 4 runs and 16 hits in 26 innings, with 29 strikeouts and just 3 walks.  He'll face Cincy's RHP, Sonny Gray, who comes into this game off a loss at St. Louis, in which he gave up 5 runs, and 9 baserunners in just 3 2-3 innings.  Gray's ERA on the season is 7.87, and his WHIP is a dreadful 2.12.  One of Kershaw's best situations, historically, has been pitching in the daytime, as the Dodgers are 80-28 (+35 games on the moneyline) in his daytime starts.  Meanwhile, the Reds are an awful 34-56 (minus 26 games on the moneyline) in the afternoon.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Dallas Stars.  The Hurricanes lost here last night, 4-3, in overtime.  But off that defeat, we'll take the visitors in this rematch.  Carolina is 8-1 on the road following a 1-goal loss to a division rival.  And it's also 10-6 off a loss, generally.  Meanwhile, the Stars are a poor 29-39 (minus 20 games on the moneyline) after back-to-back division wins.  Take Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Florida Panthers over the Nashville Predators.  The Preds blew out the Panthers, 4-1, last night.  But that big loss places Florida in several of its best situational roles tonight, and Nashville in its worst.  To wit:  Florida is 31-16 its last 47 after allowing 4+ goals in its previous game.  And it's 13-5 its last 18 off a loss.  With respect to the Predators, they're 22-36 (minus 26 games on the moneyline) off back to back wins.  And they're a soft 17-25 (minus 12 games on the moneyline) after allowing less than 3 goals in each of their two previous games.  Take Florida to bounce back on Tuesday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Toronto.  These Atlantic division rivals met six days ago here, in Tampa (the Raptors' home base for the season), and the Raptors prevailed, 114-103.  That game, though, was a good set-up for Toronto, as it was well-rested, while the Nets had played the previous night.  And neither Kevin Durant nor James Harden played for Brooklyn in that game.  Durant is healthy again, and Brooklyn is currently riding a two-game win streak, with impressive wins over Boston and Phoenix.  The Nets are a super 44-21 ATS on the road when playing with revenge.  Take Brooklyn minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Brewers over the Miami Marlins.  Last night, the Marlins were the first team to find success against Milwaukee RHP Corbin Burnes, as they ran roughshod over the Brewers, 8-0.  But off that blowout loss, we'll back Adrian Houser and the Brew Crew tonight, as Milwaukee's 68-35 (+26 games on the moneyline) when playing with revenge from a home upset loss, while Miami is an atrocious 34-59 (minus 22 games on the moneyline) after scoring 8+ runs.  Additionally, Milwaukee is a solid 256-136 (+23 games on the moneyline) as a home favorite priced at -150 (or higher), while Miami is a poor 108-177 (-20 games on the moneyline) as a road dog priced from +125 to +175.  Take Adrian Houser and the Brewers today.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Charlotte.  The Bucks were stung by the Hornets in the last meeting, as Charlotte upset them, 127-119.  But with revenge on its mind, and also off an upset loss in its previous game, we'll look for Milwaukee to bounce back this evening.   And Charlotte's win a few weeks ago must be taken with a grain of salt, as Giannis Antetokounmpo didn't play in that game.   But the MVP is back on the court now, and scored 31 points on Sunday vs. Atlanta.  Milwaukee's 45-20 ATS as a road favorite, priced from -5.5 to -10.5 points, while Charlotte is a horrible 46-89 ATS at home vs. non-division foes playing back to back road games, if such foe failed to cover the spread in its previous game.  Lay the points with the Bucks.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over the Indiana Pacers.  Portland plays this game with revenge from a 24-point upset home loss to these Pacers on January 14.  And that bodes well for the Blazers, as they've cashed 75% over the last 31 years as a favorite of -2 (or more) points, when playing with revenge from a double-digit home loss.  And, notwithstanding its loss to Indiana in January, the Trail Blazers are still 13-3 ATS vs. the Pacers in the last 16 meetings, including 6-1 here in Indianapolis, and 7-0 ATS if Indy was off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Lay the points with Portland.