Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-28-22 | NC-Wilmington v. Monmouth +12 | Top | 68-55 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Monmouth Hawks + the points over NC Wilmington. The Hawks were blown out by Yale, 76-44, in their previous game, while NC Wilmington is currently riding a 9-game win streak after it dispatched of Campbell, 74-66. We'll take the Hawks as a home underdog tonight, as it falls into a 63% ATS system of mine which plays on certain home dogs off a loss by more than 20 points, when matched up against an opponent off a SU win. Take Monmouth. |
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12-28-22 | Central Florida +3.5 v. Duke | Top | 13-30 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 57 m | Show |
At 2 pm, on Wednesday, in the Military Bowl, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over Duke. The Knights owned the nation's 7th most prolific rushing attack, as they averaged 235.6 yards on the ground this season. And they've been installed as an underdog vs. Duke in this Bowl game. We'll take the underdog, as we note that Bowl underdogs of +3 (or more) points, that averaged 235+ yards rushing on the season, have gone 77-56-1 ATS over the last 43 seasons. Take UCF. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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12-27-22 | Hornets +4.5 v. Warriors | Top | 105-110 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over Golden State. The Warriors pulled off a big upset win in their previous game, 123-109, vs. Memphis. But Golden State is an awful 11-24-1 ATS off a 7-point (or greater) upset win. Take Charlotte. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-27-22 | Knicks +5.5 v. Mavs | Top | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Dallas Mavericks. New York lost earlier this season, at home, to these Mavericks, 121-100. We'll take the Knicks tonight as a road dog, as they're 79-37 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes when playing with revenge from a home loss, if the Knicks were also off a SU/ATS loss in their previous game. With New York in off a home loss to Philly on Christmas Day, we'll take Tom Thibodeau's men tonight. |
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12-27-22 | Tex A&M Commerce +30 v. Texas | Top | 72-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M-Commerce Lions + the points over Texas. In the last 20 days of November, the Lions were 6-0 ATS. But in the first 20 days of December, they reversed course, and went 0-5 SU/ATS, including a 62-52 loss to IUPUI, as a 12.5-point favorite in their most recent game, last Tuesday. I look for the Lions to get back into the win column, in Vegas, and cover this large number tonight. Texas is a horrid 0-7-1 ATS off a win, when matched up against an opponent on a 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streak. And Texas is also 0-11 ATS at home vs. foes off an 8-point (or worse) upset loss. Take Texas A&M-Commerce + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-27-22 | Penguins -125 v. Islanders | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over the New York Islanders. Dating back to November 17, the Pens are 13-4, including 6-1 on the road. Meanwhile, the Islanders are 4-8 their last 12, including 2-3 at home. Admittedly, New York did play a great game at home its last time on the ice, as it blew out Florida, 5-1. But the Islanders are a dreadful 63-85 (minus 44.8 net games) at home after scoring 4+ goals in a home win, and 18-38 their last 56 vs. winning foes. And they're also 15-24 their last 39 off a win by 2+ goals. Both teams, of course, had the holiday weekend off to relax with their families. And the Pens are 9-2 when well-rested following a 3-day (or greater) stretch of no games. Take Pittsburgh. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-27-22 | Lakers +4.5 v. Magic | Top | 129-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over the Orlando Magic. The Lakers have dropped 4 in a row following their nine-point loss at Dallas on Christmas Day. We'll take Los Angeles as an underdog tonight, as Orlando's an ugly 17-43 ATS at home vs. foes off back to back losses. Grab the points. |
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12-27-22 | Jacksonville v. Notre Dame -7.5 | Top | 43-59 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Jacksonville. The Dolphins are 7-3 after winning by 11, as a 7.5-point road favorite vs. Louisiana-Monroe. In contrast, the Fighting Irish come into tonight's game off 3 SU/ATS losses to Marquette, Georgia and Florida State. But I look for the Irish to get back on the winning track tonight, as it will step down in class in hosting the Dolphins. For technical support, consider that Notre Dame is 20-10-1 ATS off 3 SU losses, if matched up against an opponent off a SU win. And Jacksonville is 0-15 SU and 3-12 ATS away from home off back to back wins, as an underdog of more than 2 points. Take the Irish. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-26-22 | Chargers v. Colts UNDER 46.5 | Top | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 130 h 33 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Under in the Colts/Chargers game. The Colts were stunned last week by Minnesota, which roared back from a 33-0 deficit to down the Colts, 39-36. We'll look for a much lower scoring game on Monday, as Indy has gone Under the total 47-27 at home off a loss in which it gave up 30+ points. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-26-22 | New Mexico State +3.5 v. Bowling Green | Top | 24-19 | Win | 100 | 37 h 2 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, on Monday, in the Quick Lane Bowl, our selection is on the New Mexico State Aggies + the points over Bowling Green. After going 2-10 last year under coach Doug Martin, the Aggies turned to veteran head coach Jerry Kill to lead the team in 2022. Kill previously manned the sideline at Northern Illinois (2008-2010) and Minnesota (2011-2015), and as an interim head coach last season at TCU. Not including TCU, where he coached just 4 games, and went 2-2 ATS, Kill's teams have always been profitable. Overall, he's gone 63-48-2 ATS, including 44-25 ATS when priced from -6 to +17 points. His Aggies ended this season in impressive fashion, with a 65-3 blowout of Valparaiso, and a 49-14 upset win (as a 24-point underdog) at Liberty in their penultimate game. They also were 5-1 ATS down the stretch. In contrast, Bowling Green was 4-7-1 ATS this season, and 1-3 ATS in their final four games. They scored just 14 points in their final game of the season -- a 24 point loss at Ohio, as a 5.5-point underdog. The Mid-American Conference is, generally speaking, a horrible football conference. And it's teams have gone 12-25-1 ATS as a favorite in the Bowls, if they were off a straight-up loss in their previous game. Take the Aggies + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-25-22 | Utah State -3.5 v. Washington State | Top | 82-73 | Win | 100 | 20 h 31 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over Washington St. The Aggies were upset, here, in Honolulu, on Friday by SMU. Utah State was favored by 12, yet lost, 77-74. Likewise, Washington St. was also upset in the 2nd round of the tournament by homestanding Hawaii, 62-51, as a 2.5-point favorite. We'll take Utah St. to bounce back, as it's 31-23-1 ATS off a loss where it failed to cover by more than 11 points. Additionally, Washington St is a poor 4-13 ATS as an underdog away from home, if it was priced from +2.5 to +10 points, and off an upset loss. Lay the points with Utah St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-25-22 | Bucks +5.5 v. Celtics | Top | 118-139 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 12 m | Show |
At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over Boston. The Bucks come into this Christmas Day game vs. Boston off back-to-back losses at Cleveland and Brooklyn. We'll take Milwaukee to bounce back, as it is an awesome 83-43-3 ATS in the regular season off back to back losses, including 26-7 ATS their last 33 vs. foes with a W/L percentage greater than .625. Grab the points with Mike Budenholzer's men. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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12-25-22 | Broncos v. Rams OVER 36.5 | Top | 14-51 | Win | 100 | 59 h 39 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Over in the Denver/Los Angeles Rams game. The Broncos opened the season with 11 unders in their first 12 games. And after that start to the season, the oddsmakers continually adjusted the Over/Under lines to get us to the point today where we are at. By my math, the value in Denver's Over/Unders has been on the Over the last two games, and not surprisingly, both went Over the total. I think there's also value on the Over in this game, as the line is still just too low. Indeed,it's been 11 seasons since the Rams have seen an Over/Under line this low. And it's tied for the lowest Over/Under line in a Broncos game over the past 11 seasons. Take the Rams & Broncos to go Over the total. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-25-22 | DePaul +16 v. Creighton | Top | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the DePaul Blue Demons + the points over Creighton. After winning its first two road games this season (at Minnesota, at Loyola-Chicago), the Blue Demons have dropped their last three on the road (at St. Johns, at Duquesne, at Northwestern). And their 83-45 loss at Northwestern was their worst defeat of the season yet. We'll take the Blue Demons to bounce back off that blowout loss, as it's 10-2 ATS off a loss by more than 30 points, and 9-1 ATS after scoring 46 or less points. Meanwhile, Creighton's a wallet-breaking 12-33 ATS vs. conference foes that failed to cover by more than 10 points in their previous game. Take DePaul + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-24-22 | Middle Tennessee State +7 v. San Diego State | Top | 25-23 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St Blue Raiders + the points over San Diego St. The Blue Raiders ended the season on a 3-game win streak (2-1 ATS) to finish 7-5 on the season. The Aztecs also were 7-5, but ended the season with a whimper, as they lost, 13-3, to Air Force. They're laying a sizable amount of points today to Middle Tennessee, but I can't get behind an SDSU team which was 2-4 ATS as a favorite. Even worse: Mountain West Conference favorites of more than 3 points have gone 6-19 ATS in bowl games vs. foes not off a SU/ATS loss. And Mountain West teams are 4-9 ATS their last 13 vs. Conference USA foes in Bowl games. With San Diego State entering with a 1-6 ATS mark in the post-season when favored by more than 3 points, we'll take the Underdog Blue Raiders tonight. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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12-24-22 | Eagles v. Cowboys -6 | Top | 34-40 | Push | 0 | 102 h 22 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over Philadelphia. We played against the Eagles last week, and cashed our NFC Underdog of the Month on the Chicago Bears. This will be Philly's 3rd straight road game, and underdogs playing their 3rd straight road game, off back to back wins, have gone 24-37-1 ATS since 1980. Meanwhile, the Cowboys lost, 40-34, at Jacksonville. But the Cowboys are 25–12-1 ATS off an upset road loss, if they were playing an opponent off a SU win, including 7-0 ATS if they allowed 34+ points in that upset loss. Take Dallas minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-24-22 | Commanders v. 49ers OVER 37.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 77 h 25 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders and San Francisco 49ers Over the total. Since trading for Christian McCaffrey, the 49ers' offense has scored 23, 31, 22, 38, 13, 33, 35 and 21 points, for an average of 27 points per game. Before getting McCaffrey, the Niners' offense averaged 20.33 ppg. Not surprisingly, five of San Francisco's first six games went under the total, but since the trade, it has gone OVER the total in five of eight games. I look for another high-scoring game on Saturday. Take Washington & San Francisco Over the total |
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12-24-22 | Texans +3 v. Titans | Top | 19-14 | Win | 105 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
At 1 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over Tennessee. The Titans are 7-7, but mired in a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak. They now will be hosting a Texans team which is 1-12-1, but still playing hard, as evidenced by their last two losses to the KC Chiefs (30-24, overtime) and Dallas Cowboys (27-23). I don't want any part of a Titans team without its #1 signal caller, Ryan Tannehill, who underwent ankle surgery, and will be unlikely to play the remainder of this season. Tennessee will be quarterbacked this afternoon by rookie Mailk Willis. Houston will be familiar with Willis, as he led Tennessee to a 17-10 win at Houston earlier this season (his first-ever NFL start), as a 1.5-point road favorite. But non-winning NFL teams off a loss have covered just 34% at home vs revenge-minded foes, if they were favored by less than 7 points (or PK). Take Houston + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-24-22 | Falcons v. Ravens OVER 36.5 | Top | 9-17 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 20 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Baltimore/Atlanta game. The Ravens come into this game off 3 low-scoring contests vs. Denver (10-9), Pittsburgh (16-14) and Cleveland (13-3). And each went under the total. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game, here. But NFL games have gone OVER the total 58% over the past 43 seasons if a team didn't score 17+ points in any of its three previous games, and those 3 games went Under the total, and totaled, in the aggregate, 80 or less points. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-24-22 | Lions v. Panthers +3 | Top | 23-37 | Win | 100 | 74 h 19 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Detroit. This is Carolina's final home game of the season, and they're off a loss to Pittsburgh where they failed to cover the spread by 11 points. Meanwhile, Detroit’s off three straight wins, and has won 6 of 7. We’ll take Carolina, as home teams have covered 59% of their final home games of the season if they failed to cover the spread by 10+ points in their previous game, and their opponent was off back to back wins. Take the Panthers. |
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12-23-22 | Raptors v. Cavs -4 | Top | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Toronto. This series has been dominated by the home team. Dating back to 2015, the home team has gone 27-12-1 ATS, including a perfect 2-0 ATS this season, and 13-2 ATS since Dec 2018. Cleveland is 7-1 ATS its last eight home games vs Toronto, and it's also on a 5-game win streak coming into this game. We had our 2nd strongest play of the NBA season-to-date this past Wednesday on Cleveland in its 114-106 win vs. Milwaukee. And we'll come right back with the Cavaliers tonight, as they seek their 6th straight win. Cleveland owns the best home record in the NBA, at 16-2, and it's covered the spread by 4.86 ppg at home this season. Meanwhile, Toronto is a dismal 4-12 on the road, and it's failed to cover the spread by 2.46 ppg in those 16 road games. Lay the points with Cleveland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-23-22 | Houston v. UL-Lafayette UNDER 57 | Top | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Houston/Louisiana Lafayette game. This Independence Bowl match-up will pit 9-3 Houston (from the American Athletic Conference) vs. 6-6 Louisiana (from the Sun Belt). When the Cougars have been installed as a double-digit favorite, their games have generally been high-scoring, and have gone 11-3-1 ATS Over the total, including 4-0-1 Over their last 5. BUT when Houston's been installed as a favorite of LESS than 10 points, they've gone Under 30-11 their last 41. Here, of course, Houston is a single-digit favorite, which bodes well for the Under. As does the fact that Louisiana is 28-16-1 Under its last 45, including 9-2 Under as an underdog of less than 13 points. Finally, American Athletic Conference teams have played 7 straight Unders in Bowl games since 2021; are 8-0 Under their last 8 as a favorite in the Bowls; and have gone 13-2 Under their last 15 Bowl games, overall. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-22-22 | Southern Miss v. UNLV -8 | Top | 63-74 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels minus the points over Southern Mississippi. UNLV was upset here, at home, by San Francisco on Saturday, 75-73, as a 6-point favorite. But after seeing what San Francisco did last night to Arizona State (which was 11-1) -- a 37-point blowout win -- then losing by just two to the Red-Hot Dons doesn't seem all that bad. And prior to losing to San Francisco, the Rebels had won 10 in a row, going 6-3-1 ATS. UNLV is 21-12 ATS at home off a home upset loss. Take the Rebels minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-22-22 | Hartford +26.5 v. San Francisco | Top | 53-85 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Hartford Hawks + the points over San Francisco. Yesterday, the Dons played a great game, as they smashed Top 25-ranked Arizona State, 97-60, as a 2.5-point underdog. But off that huge win, I'll look for a letdown tonight against lowly Hartford, as the Dons are 8-23-1 ATS off an upset win. Take the Hawks + the points. |
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12-22-22 | Air Force v. Baylor -3 | Top | 30-15 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Air Force. The Falcons were 9-3 on the season, while Baylor was 6-6. But the Bears played a rugged Big 12 schedule (as well as a road game at BYU), while Air Force played a comparatively-easy Mountain West schedule. The Falcons played 4 teams that earned a bowl bid this season: Wyoming, San Diego St, Boise St. and Utah St. And Air Force went 1-3 in those games, with its lone win coming against San Diego St. This is a big step-up in class for Air Force, and I don't think they'll get the job done tonight. And especially not with Baylor coming into this game off a SU/ATS loss to Texas. Key stat: Baylor's 13-0-1 off an ATS loss when matched up against a foe with a W/L percentage greater than .600. Take the Bears. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-22-22 | Islanders v. Rangers -155 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Rangers over the New York Islanders. With more than one-third of the season elapsed, the two New York-based NHL teams have almost identical records. Both the Rangers and Islanders have 18 victories coming into tonight, with the Rangers winning the scoring differential battle, +18 to +12. The Rangers lost a tough one on Monday, falling in Pittsburgh to the Pens by a 3-2 final. They'll try to start another win streak tonight at home as, before the loss in the Steel City, they had won seven straight. Three of those seven were here at Madison Square Garden and that's a good sign as the Rangers had previously been struggling at home. The biggest problem for the Isles right now is that #1 goalie Semyon Varlamov (8-3-1 with a 2.65 GAA in 12 games) is nursing an injury and hasn't resumed skating which means he will almost certainly miss tonight's game. That means backup Ilya Sorokin will man the net and the Isles are 0-6 in his last six starts. The Isles are also 1-5 in their last six playing on two days of rest. Take the Rangers. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-22-22 | Western Kentucky -2 v. South Carolina | Top | 58-65 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over South Carolina. The Gamecocks upended Western Kentucky last season, 75-64, so the Hilltoppers will be looking for a measure of revenge tonight. We'll lay the points with Western Kentucky, as they've cashed 65% since 1990 away from home when playing with revenge against a non-conference foe. And South Carolina is a poor 35.7% ATS at home since 1990 when playing a revenge-minded, non-conference foe. Take the Hilltoppers minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-22-22 | Yale v. Monmouth +13.5 | Top | 76-44 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
At 7 pm our selection is on the Monmouth Hawks + the points over Yale. This past Saturday, the Hawks were hammered by Charlotte, 80-46, as a 10 points home underdog. But off that blowout defeat, we'll grab the points with the Hawks here, at home, tonight, as Monmouth falls into a 269-177 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams that failed to cover the spread by 20+ points in their previous game against foes off a SU win. Take the Hawks. |
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12-22-22 | Louisville +18 v. NC State | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over NC State. The Cardinals are 1-11 ATS this season. We've played on the Cardinals just once this year, and that was the ONLY time they covered the spread (when they upset Western Kentucky as a 7.5-point home dog). We'll take Louisville tonight at North Carolina State, as the Cards fit a super 172-88 ATS system of mine. Moreover, the Wolfpack are not exactly point spread beaters, themselves, as they're 22-42-3 ATS their last 67, including 3-15 ATS at home vs. ACC conference foes (including 0-7 ATS if their foe was off an ATS loss). Take Louisville + the points. |
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12-22-22 | Boise State v. Santa Clara +3 | Top | 58-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Santa Clara Broncos + the points over Boise St. Santa Clara lost by 12 to Boise last year, and has been installed as a home dog this afternoon. We'll grab the points, as Boise is a poor 36% ATS since 1990 as a favorite against a revenge-minded, non-conference foe. Take Santa Clara. |
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12-21-22 | Lakers v. Kings -6 | Top | 120-134 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Minnesota. These two teams met two nights ago, and the T-Wolves won, 116-106. We'll take Dallas in the rematch, as it's 114-71-2 ATS off a double-digit road loss. |
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12-21-22 | St. Mary's -8 v. Wyoming | Top | 66-54 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the St Mary's Gaels minus the points over Wyoming. The Gaels were upset here, at home, by Colorado St, on Sunday. We'll take the Gaels to bounce back, as they're 19-6 ATS in non-conference games off an upset loss to a non-conference foe. Take St. Mary's. |
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12-21-22 | Mavs -3 v. Wolves | Top | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Minnesota. These two teams met two nights ago, and the T-Wolves won, 116-106. We'll take Dallas in the rematch, as it's 114-71-2 ATS off a double-digit road loss. |
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12-21-22 | SIU-Edwardsville v. St. Louis -15.5 | Top | 69-67 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the St Louis Billikens minus the points over SIU Edwardsville. The Cougars come into this game off a 15-point win over Illinois Tech, but they're 4-8 ATS their last 12 off a double-digit win. We played on St Louis over the weekend, and got the $$$ when it defeated Drake by 8 points. We'll come right back with St Louis tonight vs Edwardsville, as the Billikens are 43-22-3 ATS as a home favorite, including 22-9-1 ATS vs. foes off a win by 5+ points. And the Billikens also fall into a 260-175 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams favored in non-conference games. Take St. Louis. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-22 | Mississippi Valley State v. Tulane -28.5 | Top | 63-84 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over Mississippi Valley St. The Delta Devils are an ugly 11-27 ATS when getting more than 23 points. Lay the points with Tulane. |
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12-21-22 | Pacers v. Celtics -10 | Top | 117-112 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Indiana. The Celts have hit the skids with four losses in five games, and an 0-4-1 ATS losing streak along with it. We'll lay the points tonight, as Boston is 13-0-1 ATS as a favorite of -2 (or more) points off back to back upset losses. Take the Celtics. |
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12-21-22 | Bucks v. Cavs -1.5 | Top | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers over the Milwaukee Bucks. The Cavaliers come into this game on a red-hot 4-game win streak. And they're 21-11 on the season, two games behind the Bucks in the race for the Central division lead. We'll lay the points with the Cavs, as they're 13-0 ATS at home off back-to-back wins, against winning teams, when not laying 8 or more points. Take Cleveland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-22 | Texas-Arlington v. California -4 | Top | 51-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears minus the points over Texas Arlington. The Mavericks come into tonight's game off a big upset win over San Francisco, as a 14.5-point underdog. We'll fade the Mavericks, as California is 8-0 ATS its last eight (and 20-4 ATS its last 24) at home vs. foes off an upset win. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-22 | Oakland +21 v. Michigan State | Top | 54-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Golden Grizzlies + the points over Michigan State. Oakland lost, 77-57, at Boise St on Sunday, and will look to snap its 7-game losing streak tonight, while Michigan State will seek its 3rd straight victory. These two cross-state rivals have met 16 of the last 17 seasons, and the Grizz have only lost by 20+ points four times, including last season when they fell, 90-78. I expect a relatively-close game tonight, as the Spartans are an awful 5-21 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes off a loss, when MSU is priced from -8.5 to -23.5 points. And the Grizzlies are 15-4 ATS as underdogs off a loss by more than 15 points. Take Oakland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-20-22 | Fresno State -5.5 v. CS Bakersfield | Top | 56-48 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs minus the points over Cal State Bakersfield. The Roadrunners are a dreadful 5-20-1 ATS their last 26 games when not getting 8+ points. Take the Bulldogs as a road favorite. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-20-22 | Wizards +7.5 v. Suns | Top | 113-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Phoenix Suns. The Wizards are on a 10-game losing streak, but were extremely competitive in their last two games (both single-digit losses) at the Clippers and Lakers. Meanwhile, the Suns are on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak. We'll take Washington + the points at Phoenix, as NBA teams on 10-game (or worse) losing streaks have gone 12-1-1 ATS on the road vs. winning foes off 3 SU/ATS wins. Take the Wizards. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-20-22 | Idaho State +16 v. Grand Canyon | Top | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Idaho St Bengals + the points over Grand Canyon. The Bengals enter this game off back to back SU/ATS wins against St Thomas and Washington. But they're a solid 65% as a double digit road underdog off back to back SU/ATS losses. Grab the points with Idaho St. |
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12-20-22 | Queens NC v. Nebraska -12.5 | Top | 65-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Queens U, NC. The Cornhuskers lost, 71-56, vs. Kansas State in their previous game. And the Huskers are back at home tonight vs. a Queens U, NC team on a 6-game ATS win streak. We'll fade the Royals, as the Cornhuskers are 16-4 ATS as a home (or neutral) court favorite of more than 8 points off 2+ losses. Take Nebraska. |
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12-20-22 | Toledo v. Liberty +4 | Top | 21-19 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames plus the points over Toledo. The Flames have been installed as an underdog for this Boca Raton Bowl. And Liberty is a solid 14-4 ATS its last 18 when not favored by more than 3 points. Toledo, on the other hand, is 18-32-1 ATS in Non-Conference games when playing away from home. Take Liberty. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-20-22 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs -129 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over Tampa Bay. After earning a point in 15 consecutive games, the Leafs stumbled in their last two outings at the Rangers, and at the Capitals. But Toronto is back home tonight, and it's a stellar 25-4 at home following a road game. And it's also 55-22 at home when the total was 6+ goals. Meanwhile, Tampa is a poor 2-6 (minus 7.8 net games) when it was on a 5-game win streak. The Leafs play this game with revenge from an overtime loss in Tampa earlier this month (not to mention a playoff series loss last spring). The Maple Leafs are 34-14 when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. Take Toronto. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-20-22 | Elon v. Indiana -28.5 | Top | 72-96 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Elon. We played against the Hoosiers on Saturday, as we laid the points with Kansas, and were rewarded with a 22 point blowout. That was Indiana's 2nd straight ATS loss (both away from home). But the Hoosiers are back in Bloomington tonight, and they are 10-1 ATS their last 11 at home off an ATS loss. Lay the points with Indiana. |
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12-20-22 | Marquette v. Providence +1 | Top | 98-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Providence Friars over Marquette. Both of these teams come into this Big East game with identical 9-3 records (and 1-0 conference records). Providence is a solid 36-16 ATS in conference games against .750 (or better) foes, when not getting 7 or more points. Take the Friars. |
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12-20-22 | Georgetown +23 v. Connecticut | Top | 73-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgetown Hoyas + the points over Connecticut. The Hoyas lost, 102-89, at home to Xavier on Saturday, while UConn blew out Butler, 68-46. We'll take Georgetown as a big road dog tonight, as double-digit road dogs have cashed 61% since 1990 in Big East conference games, if they were off a SU loss, and their opponent was off an ATS win. Grab the points with the Hoyas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-20-22 | Eastern Michigan v. San Jose State -4 | Top | 41-27 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the San Jose St Spartans minus the points over Eastern Michigan. The Eagles won their last 3 games, including a 38-19 win vs. Central Michigan to end its season. Unfortunately, Eastern Michigan is a wallet-breaking 30-50 ATS off a win, including 5-18 ATS away from home vs. non-conference foes. Lay the points with San Jose St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-19-22 | Blues v. Canucks -105 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Vancouver Canucks over the St Louis Blues. Vancouver got off to a slow start this season, as it was 0-7 its first seven games, and 4-12 its first 16. But since then, the Canucks have played much better, and have won nine of their last 14, while averaging 3.50 gpg. The Canucks' offense didn't show up on Saturday, as Vancouver was blown out at home, 5-1, by the Winnipeg Jets. They're on home ice once again tonight, and they're a solid 12-5 (but +11.0 net games) off a home loss by 3+ goals. Take the Canucks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-19-22 | Mavs -4 v. Wolves | Top | 106-116 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Minnesota. The Mavs and T-Wolves will play two games here, in Minnesota, over the next three days. We'll take Dallas in Round 1, as it comes into this game off a 1-point loss at Cleveland. And Dallas is 14-0 ATS on the road off a road defeat, if the Mavs were rested, and not getting more than 3 points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-19-22 | Magic v. Hawks -7 | Top | 125-126 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Orlando. The Magic blew out Atlanta, 135-124, last week. We'll take the Hawks, as they're 97-56-1 ATS at home when rested, and playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. Lay the points. |
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12-19-22 | Raptors +7.5 v. 76ers | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over Philadelphia. The Raptors were blown out, 126-110, by Golden State on Sunday. And that was Toronto's 5th straight loss. We'll take the points with the Raptors, as they're 110-70 ATS in regular season games off back to back losses (including 29-12 ATS when playing without rest). Take the Raptors + the points. |
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12-19-22 | Connecticut +12.5 v. Marshall | Top | 14-28 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies + the points over Marshall. It's never been a bad idea to take double-digit underdogs in Bowl games. And that's because they've gone 85-64-3 ATS since 1980. So, while I will go with a double-digit Bowl favorite on occasion, it's not something I will do with regularity. Moreover, Connecticut was blown out, 34-17, by Army in its season-ending game. And double-digit Bowl dogs have cashed 63% if they didn't win their previous game (compared to 54% if they were off a win). Meanwhile, Marshall is 17-26 ATS away from home as a favorite of -7+ points, while UConn is 11-5 ATS as an underdog. Finally, Sun Belt Conference favorites (or PK) are a dismal 41-75-3 ATS in non-conference games, if our Sun Belt team didn't own a losing record. Take UConn + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-19-22 | Connecticut v. Marshall OVER 40.5 | Top | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, in the Myrtle Beach Bowl, our selection is on the OVER in the Connecticut/Marshall game. Both of these teams had mid-season stretches where they played a streak of Unders. UConn went under the total 5 straight games starting on October 1, while Marshall went under in 6 straight games starting on September 24. But both teams ended the season with high-scoring games that went over the total. Marshall's season-ending game vs. Georgia St went over the total of 45.5 by 5.5 points, as the Herd lost, 28-23, to the Panthers. Likewise, Connecticut's season-ending game vs. Army went over the 45-point total by 6 points, as Connecticut lost, 34-17. And its next-to-last regular season game went over the total of 45 by 24 points, as it upset Liberty, 36-33. In its last 10 seasons, Marshall has NEVER had a Total this low. But it's gone Over the total 65% since 2013 when the Over/Under line was less than 48 points. We'll look for a relatively high scoring game this afternoon. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-18-22 | Flames -165 v. Sharks | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over the San Jose Sharks. James Reimer was in goal for San Jose last night, so back-up Kaapo Kahkonen will be between the pipes tonight vs. Calgary. When we last saw Kahkonen, he was getting torched by Vancouver, and only lasted two periods before getting pulled. He surrendered four goals on 19 shots that night, which lowered his save percentage to .877, and raised his GAA to 3.71. The Sharks have yet to beat a Pacific division rival here, at home, this season, as they're 0-6. Take Calgary. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-18-22 | Wizards +4.5 v. Lakers | Top | 117-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. The Wizards had a lead entering the 4th quarter of yesterday's game against the Clippers, but collapsed, and lost by nine points. That was the Wizards' 9th straight defeat, overall. We'll take Washington tonight, as it falls into a super 405-277 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on losing streaks. Additionally, the Wizards play with revenge from a loss to the Lakers two weeks ago, in DC. And the Lakers are an awful 40-78 ATS at home when playing a revenge-minded opponent it defeated on the road earlier in the season. Take Washington + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-18-22 | Giants v. Commanders OVER 40 | Top | 20-12 | Loss | -110 | 107 h 52 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Washington/New York Giants game. The Giants' last four games have averaged 51.75 ppg, and three of the four have gone 'over' the total. We'll look for another relatively-high scoring game on Sunday night, as the Over falls into a 98-53 Totals system of mine. Take the Over. |
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12-18-22 | Giants +4.5 v. Commanders | Top | 20-12 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over Washington. Last week, the Giants were mauled at home by the Philadelphia Eagles, 48-22. New York now sits with a 7-5-1 record, and would earn the 7th (and final) NFC playoff berth, based on the current standings. We'll grab the points with New York, as it's 14-4 ATS off a home loss by 20+ points. And it's also 27-11 ATS as an underdog of +2.5 (or more) points vs. division rivals, if New York owned a winning record. Take the Giants. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-18-22 | Jets v. Seattle Kraken -140 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Kraken over the Winnipeg Jets. At 16-10-3, they still have a winning record and they're still probably the most surprising team in the league, but the Kraken have run into some rough waters lately. Coming into tonight, Seattle has lost five of its last six games -- all against Eastern Conference opponents. So maybe they're happy to be playing a team from the West -- albeit a pretty good one in Winnipeg. For the Jets, they had lost five of their last seven before winning last night's contest against the Canucks. They will have a quick --less than 24 hours -- turnaround after their 10:00 pm ET Saturday match-up in Vancouver. The Jets have a stingy defense at home this season, allowing just 2.25 GPG when playing in Winnipeg. But on the road, that number balloons to 3.08. The Jets went with regular #1 goalie Connor Hellebuyck last night against the Canucks which means they will use back-up David Rittich tonight. Seattle is 5-0 in its last five games vs. teams from the Western Conference. Take the Kraken. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-18-22 | Bulls -1.5 v. Wolves | Top | 126-150 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls over the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Bulls come into this game off 3 straight losses, while Minnesota enters off an upset win at Oklahoma City. Chicago has been installed as a road favorite over the banged-up Timberwolves. We'll take Chicago, as NBA road favorites (or PK) have cashed 55% since 1990 if they were rested, and off back-to-back losses. Take the Bulls. |
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12-18-22 | Houston Christian +8 v. UT-Rio Grande Valley | Top | 90-100 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Houston Christian Huskies + the points over UT-Rio Grande Valley. These two teams met eight days ago, in Houston, and the Vaqueros won, 95-82, as a 3-point road favorite. We'll take the Huskies in this rematch on South Padre Island, as they've cashed 61.1% away from home when playing with revenge, while the Vaqueros are 40% ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe. And the Huskies also fall into a 65.1% ATS revenge system of mine. Take Houston Christian + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-18-22 | California +11.5 v. Santa Clara | Top | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Santa Clara. The Bears are winless, at 0-11. That's the bad news. The good news, though, with respect to this evening's game, is that winless teams, with an 0-11 (or worse) record, have cashed 65% since 1990 off back to back ATS losses. Take California + the points. |
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12-18-22 | Bengals v. Bucs OVER 44 | Top | 34-23 | Win | 100 | 103 h 57 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Tampa Bay/Cincinnati game. We played on the Buccaneers to go Over the total last week, in their game against San Francisco, and were rewarded with a 35-7 49ers blowout. We'll look for this game to go Over the total, as well, as Tom Brady's teams have gone OVER 11 of 14 games after scoring less than 10 points, including 6-0 OVER if they lost that previous game by 17+ points. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-18-22 | Bengals v. Bucs +4 | Top | 34-23 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + the points over the Cincinnati Bengals. Last week, Tom Brady & Co. played about as bad a game as they could have, and were destroyed by San Francisco, 35-7. But off that 28-point blowout loss, we'll take the Bucs to bounce back on this afternoon. Indeed, over the last 43 years, home dogs of more than 3 points that scored 7 or less, and allowed 35 or more in their previous game, have covered 62%. We saw this situation earlier this season when Pittsburgh was blown out, 38-3, by Buffalo. They played these Bucs in their next game, and we had a huge play on the Steelers as a 9.5-point underdog. They won outright, 20-18. Coincidentally, that game marked the start of Tampa's decline this season. The Bucs were 3-2 entering that contest, but have gone 3-5 SU and 1-6-1 ATS from that point. Of course, the oddsmakers have significantly adjusted the numbers for Tampa, such that it's now installed as a home dog vs. Cincy. I won't pass up this opportunity to play on Tampa, as Tom Brady's teams are 16-0 ATS their last 16 (and 25-2 ATS their last 27) off a straight-up loss, if they weren't favored by more than 1 point! Take the Buccaneers + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-18-22 | Patriots v. Raiders +1 | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 103 h 36 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Raiders + the points over New England. The Raiders were upset by the Rams last Thursday night, as a road favorite, while New England won and covered as a road favorite at Arizona. We'll take the Raiders, as teams off an upset loss as a road favorite have gone 54-33 ATS vs. foes off an SU/ATS win as a road favorite. |
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12-18-22 | Magic v. Celtics -10 | Top | 95-92 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Orlando. This is the 2nd of back-to-back meetings between these clubs. Orlando took round 1 with a 117-109 victory, as a 13.5-point underdog. We'll take Boston in the rematch, as the Celtics have covered 67% since 1990 as a home favorite in the regular season, if they were upset by their opponent in the Celtics' previous game. Lay the points. |
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12-18-22 | Green Bay +17 v. Oregon State | Top | 56-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix + the points over Oregon St. The Beavers have been installed as a huge favorite today vs. UWGB. Unfortunately for Oregon St, it's a woeful 1-11-1 ATS as a favorite of 2+ points (and 6-21-1 ATS its last 28). That bodes well for Green Bay tonight. As does the fact that the Phoenix are 12-3-1 ATS in non-conference games off back to back ATS losses. Take Wisconsin-Green Bay + the points. |
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12-18-22 | Eagles v. Bears +9 | Top | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 28 h 4 m | Show |
At 1:00 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over Philadelphia. The Bears come into this game on a 6-game losing streak. And they've also failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games. We'll take Chicago as a big home dog, as it's cashed 83% over the last 43 seasons as a home underdog of +6 (or more) points, if it didn't cover the spread in its two previous games. Even better: the Bears had their Bye week last weekend. And NFL teams off their Bye week have cashed 67.7% as a home dog of more than 5 points. Take Chicago + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-22 | Boise State v. North Texas +11 | Top | 35-32 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
At 9:15 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green + the points over Boise St. The Mean Green won't have to travel far from their Denton campus to this Frisco Bowl game, so they'll have most of today's crowd rooting for them. We'll fade Boise St, as the Broncos have burned money in the post-season when favored by less than 12 points, as they're 1-8 ATS their last nine! And double-digit Conference USA underdogs have gone 14-7 ATS in Bowl games. Take North Texas + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-22 | Oklahoma State -4 v. Wichita State | Top | 59-49 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma St Cowboys minus the points over Wichita St. The Shockers blew out Mississippi Valley State, 71-48, in their last game. Unfortunately, they're a dreadful 1-13 ATS off a win by 4+ points. Take Oklahoma St minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-22 | Dolphins v. Bills OVER 43 | Top | 29-32 | Win | 100 | 69 h 39 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins to go OVER the total. Yes, it's the month of December, and wintry weather conditions are afoot. But the forecast for Saturday night isn't horribly bad. There's a little bit of snowfall in the forecast, with winds in the 10 mph to 15 mph range, and a temperature of 22 degrees. I like the Over in this game, as this is a relatively-low total for a Bills game. Indeed, in the past three seasons only eight Buffalo games have had a lower number than what we currently see for this game. And the Bills went OVER the total in six of those eight games. Similarly, the Dolphins have played 30 games over the past two seasons. Only 7 of those 30 had a lower number than this game, and Miami went Over the total in four of those seven. Earlier this season, the number posted for the Bills game in Miami was 54; last year, the two games had lines of 48.5 and 48. By my math, the value clearly is on the side of the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-22 | Grizzlies v. Thunder +9 | Top | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City + the points over Memphis. The Grizz have won their last seven (and nine of their last 10) games SU/ATS. But we'll fade Memphis today, as OKC will be seeking revenge from a 21-point loss just 10 days ago. The Thunder are a solid 74-51-1 ATS when playing with revenge in the regular season vs. a foe off a SU/ATS win. Take OKC + the points. |
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12-17-22 | Jazz v. Bucks -4.5 | Top | 97-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Utah. The Jazz are a wallet-breaking 12-24 ATS on the road when they weren't favored by 3 or more points. And Milwaukee's a terrific 37-19 ATS in the regular season when favored (or PK) off a loss by more than 5 points. With the Bucks in off a 142-101 blowout loss to Memphis, we'll lay the points with Giannis Antetokounmpo & Co. tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-22 | Drake v. St. Louis -5 | Top | 75-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the St Louis Billikens minus the points over Drake. St Louis does enter tonight's game off back to back losses to Iona and Boise St. However, the Billikens are 42-22 ATS as a home favorite (or PK), including 9-1-1 ATS off back to back losses. Take St. Louis. |
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12-17-22 | Connecticut v. Butler +7.5 | Top | 68-46 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs + the points over Connecticut. The Huskies are 11-0, and enter off a 53-point win over Long Island. But UConn is 25-51 ATS on the road off back to back wins, if they won their previous game by more than 8 points. Take Butler. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-22 | Utah v. BYU +2.5 | Top | 66-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 53 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars + the points over Utah. We'll take the homestanding Cougars in this Beehive State rivalry. BYU has covered five of the last six meetings, including two double-digit blowouts the past two years. The Cougars were a 1-point favorite in those two games, and the spread is also competitively-priced this evening. Unfortunately, for the Utes, they're 1-10 ATS their last 11 in games with point spreads of 3 or less. And BYU's 83-63 ATS here, at home vs. non-conference foes when not getting 3+ points.. Take the Cougars. |
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12-17-22 | Rice +7 v. Southern Miss | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 40 m | Show |
At 5:45 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls + the points over Southern Miss. These two teams know each other well, as they battled virtually every year as members of Conference USA. But Southern Miss left this year for the Sun Belt Conference, so this meeting will be the first time they met in a Bowl game. Rice won each of the past two seasons (both SU and ATS), and is 8-4 ATS vs. Southern Miss in this series. It's true that the Owls ended their season with 3 straight losses. But College football underdogs of 6+ points have covered 68% in post-season games since 1980 off 3+ losses. Take Rice + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-22 | Wizards +6.5 v. Clippers | Top | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
At 4:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Los Angeles. The Clippers went into Washington last Saturday, and upended the Wizards, 114-107. We'll take the Wizards + the points in this rematch, as they're 82-54 ATS when playing with revenge from a home defeat. Take Washington. |
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12-17-22 | Ducks v. Oilers -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers minus 1.5 goals over the Anaheim Ducks. After getting shut out in back-to-back games on their trip across Canada by the Senators and Maple Leafs, the Ducks bounced back nicely on Thursday to upset the Canadiens in Montreal, 5-2. But let's not kid ourselves, this is still a bad team that has won just eight times in 31 games and has a league-worst minus 57 goals differential. The Oilers come in having lost here at home on Thursday in a tough one to the Blues in a shootout, 4-3. It's Edmonton's second loss in its last three games but the good news for tonight is that the Oilers don't lose two in a row very often (they haven't in almost a month). Just how bad have the Ducks been on the road this season? How about a 2.11 GPG scoring average combined with a 4.42 goals-against average for a scoring differential of -2.31 goals in 19 games away from Anaheim. The Ducks are 1-4 in the last five meetings with the Oilers and 2-5 in the last seven here in Edmonton. The Oilers are 25-7 in their last 32 vs. teams with a win % below .400. Take Edmonton on the puck line, minus 1.5 goals. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-22 | Fresno State v. Washington State +4.5 | Top | 29-6 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington St Cougars + the points over Fresno St. The Bulldogs are a horrid 4-15 ATS away from home, when favored against a non-conference foe, including 1-7 ATS in Bowl games. Take Washington St. |
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12-17-22 | Cornell v. Syracuse -8.5 | Top | 63-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange minus the points over Cornell. After losing three straight, the Orange have rebounded to win their last four (3-1 ATS). And they'll welcome the Big Red to The Dome this afternoon, as they seek their 42nd straight win in this upstate New York rivalry. Cornell played another ACC team on the road in its last game, and it did cover the spread in a 2-point loss to the Miami Hurricanes. But the Big Red are still just 17-31 ATS as a regular season road underdog of more than 4 points, if they weren't off a SU/ATS loss. Take the Orange minus the points. |
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12-17-22 | Northwestern State v. Rice -6 | Top | 73-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls minus the points over Northwestern St. The Owls are a solid 17-6-2 ATS their last 25 home games, including a perfect 7-0 ATS when priced from -5 to -12 points. Take Rice. |
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12-17-22 | Florida +8.5 v. Oregon State | Top | 3-30 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over Oregon State. The Gators are 18-7 ATS as underdogs of +5 (or more) points away from home, when matched up against a foe off a point spread win. And Oregon State is 2-14 ATS away from home vs. non-conference foes off a loss, including 0-8 ATS when favored by 7+ points. Grab the points with the Gators. |
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12-17-22 | Florida International +16 v. Florida Atlantic | Top | 53-79 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers + the points over Florida Atlantic. The Panthers are a super 22-13 ATS in this rivalry, including 12-3 ATS their last 15 when getting 3.5 (or more) points. And the Owls are 4-13 ATS as a home favorite of -9 (or more) points. The Panthers also fall into 101-52 and 133-68 ATS systems of mine. Take Florida International + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-22 | Colts +4 v. Vikings | Top | 36-39 | Win | 100 | 61 h 33 m | Show |
At 1 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts + the points over Minnesota. I continue to believe the Vikings are overrated. Last week, I played on the Lions -2.5 over Minnesota as my NFC North Division Game of the Year, and the Lions shellacked the Vikings, 34-23. This week, Minny returns home to face the well-rested Colts, who are off their Bye week. Two weeks ago, the Colts were blown out by the Cowboys, 54-19. But that was a highly misleading final, as the score was 21-19 with 14 minutes left in the game, before Dallas exploded for 33 points in the fourth quarter. We'll take Jeff Saturday's men to bounce back, as Indianapolis is a wallet-fattening 32-8 ATS off a straight-up loss, if it failed to cover the spread by 8 or more points in that defeat. Additionally, NFL teams that gave up more than 52 points in their previous game have rebounded to go 10-0 ATS their last 10 (and 21-3 ATS their last 24), provided they weren't playing a revenge-minded opponent which they beat in the same, or prior season. Take the Colts + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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12-17-22 | Alabama v. Gonzaga +2 | Top | 90-100 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs + the points over Alabama. This game will be played in Birmingham, Alabama. The Zags lost last season to the Crimson Tide, so they'll be playing this game with revenge. I think they'll get it, as the Tide is 7-21 ATS as a favorite (or PK). And it's also 3-11-1 ATS when favored against a revenge-minded foe. Even better: the Bulldogs are 11-0 ATS their last 11 (and 21-3-2 ATS their last 26) when playing away from home with revenge. Take Gonzaga. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-22 | Indiana v. Kansas -5 | Top | 62-84 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Indiana. The Hoosiers are a woeful 54-89-1 ATS as a single-digit road underdog since 1994. Take Kansas minus the points. |
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12-17-22 | Louisville v. Cincinnati OVER 38.5 | Top | 24-7 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 15 m | Show |
At 11 am, our selection is on the Over in the Louisville/Cincinnati game. This Fenway Bowl game matches Louisville from the ACC against Cincinnati from the American Athletic Conference. In games between schools from the ACC and AAC, the OVER has cashed 69% when the Over/Under line was 51 points or less. The Over/Under line in this game actually opened at 45, but has been significantly lowered from that opener. By my math, the current number confers great value on the Over, and I'll look for a relatively-high scoring game on this Saturday. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-22 | Blues v. Flames -190 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -190 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over the St. Louis Blues. Yesterday, St. Louis went into Edmonton, and outlasted the Oilers with a 4-3 shootout victory. The Blues #1 Goalie, Jordan Binnington, started that game, so back-up Thomas Greiss will be in net tonight. Unfortunately for the Blues, their opponents have scored at least 4 goals in each of Greiss' 7 starts this season, for an average of 4.57 gpg. A year ago, for Detroit, Greiss had the worst saves percentage (.891) of his career (not including seasons where he made less than 16 starts). This season has started off similarly for Greiss, as his saves percentage is a dreadful .899. The Flames will be looking to snap a 4-game losing streak tonight. But Calgary hasn't been playing all that poorly, as its last three losses have all come after regulation. So, it is a decent 3-1-3 in its last seven games. Still, the Flames will need to break out of their offensive slump (9 goals in last 4 games) tonight. However, given Greiss' season stats, I believe they will light the lamp several times tonight. Take Calgary. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-15-22 | Suns +1.5 v. Clippers | Top | 111-95 | Win | 100 | 17 h 27 m | Show |
At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns over the Los Angeles Clippers. Last night, the Clippers won their 3rd straight game, 99-88, vs. Minnesota. Meanwhile, the Suns lost for the 5th straight time on Tuesday, as Houston blew them out, 111-97. We'll take Phoenix to bounce back on Thursday, as it is 56-20 ATS its last 76 off an upset road loss. That bodes well for the Suns tonight. As does the fact that it's 113-67 ATS vs. an unrested opponent which won its previous game, provided the Suns weren't laying 8+ points. Take Phoenix. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-15-22 | Pelicans -1.5 v. Jazz | Top | 129-132 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 20 m | Show |
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans over the Utah Jazz. These two teams met two nights ago, and the Jazz routed New Orleans, 121-101, as a 2.5-point underdog. That snapped the Pelicans' 7-game win streak, and dropped them into a tie with Memphis for the #1 spot in the Western Conference. We'll take the Pelicans to bounce back in this rematch, as they're 10-3 ATS off an upset loss. Even better: New Orleans has cashed 64% since 2009 when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season by more than 20 points, while Utah has covered four of its last 14 at home vs. a foe it defeated by more than 20 points earlier in the season. Finally, the revenger in this Pelicans/Jazz series is 39-19-4 ATS. Take New Orleans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-15-22 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3 | Top | 21-13 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 8 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks + the points over San Francisco. The Seahawks received welcome news this week when RB Kenneth Walker III returned to practice. And that's all we need to pull the trigger on Seattle, as it has been hampered without its top 2 running backs (Walker, Rashaad Penny) on the field. The 49ers, of course, have their own injury problems. WR Deebo Samuel went down last week, and will miss tonight's game. QB Brock Purdy is questionable (though I assume he will play). Last week, the Seahawks lost here, at home, to Carolina, as a 3.5-point favorite. We'll take Seattle to bounce back, as winning teams are 62% ATS at home since 1980 off an upset loss, if their opponent won its previous game by more than 14 points. With SF in off a 28-point blowout win over Tampa, grab the points with Seattle. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-14-22 | Western Kentucky v. Louisville +8 | Top | 83-94 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Western Kentucky. The Hilltoppers enter tonight's game on a 5-game win streak (while Louisville is on an 0-9 SU/ATS start to the season). We'll look for these streaks to be halted tonight, and will grab the points with the home underdog Cardinals. The Hilltoppers are 0-8 ATS away from home off back to back wins. And Louisville also falls into 82-30, 41-7, 62-23 and 109-55 ATS systems of mine. Take the Cardinals. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-14-22 | Tennessee Tech v. Lipscomb -10 | Top | 63-64 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Lipscomb Bisons minus the points over Tennessee Tech. Lipscomb is back home tonight after dropping back-to-back road games at Alabama A&M and Tennessee St. And Lipscomb was favored in each of those games. The Bisons are now 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS on the road, but a perfect 5-0 SU and 2-0 ATS at home. We'll lay the points with Lipscomb, as the Golden Eagles are 0-11 ATS vs. non-conference foes off an upset loss. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-14-22 | UCF v. Ole Miss -6 | Top | 72-61 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels minus the points over Central Florida. The Rebels have covered 60% as a single-digit home favorite vs. non-conference foes since 1990. Lay the points. |
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12-14-22 | Warriors -1 v. Pacers | Top | 119-125 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors over the Indiana Pacers. These two teams met earlier this season in San Francisco. The Pacers upset Golden State, 112-104, as an 11-point road underdog. We'll take the Warriors in this rematch, as Golden State is 53-31 ATS when playing with revenge, if the Warriors were off a SU/ATS loss. With Golden State in off a blowout loss at Milwaukee last night, we'll take the defending Champs to bounce back tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-14-22 | DePaul v. Duquesne -2.5 | Top | 55-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Duquesne Dukes minus the points over DePaul. The Dukes come into this game off 3 ATS losses. We'll lay the points with the Dukes, as DePaul is an ugly 35.7% ATS over the past 33 years vs. non-conference foes that lost ATS in each of their three previous games. Take Duquesne. |
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12-14-22 | Queens NC v. East Tennessee State -2.5 | Top | 78-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the East Tennessee St Buccaneers minus the points over Queens Univ., NC. The Royals upset High Point, 87-79, as a 2.5-point road underdog on Friday. And that was Queens U.'s fifth straight ATS win. We'll go against the Royals tonight, as NCAA underdogs on a 5-game (or better) ATS win streak have covered just 35% of non-conference games since 1990, if they were off an upset win on the road against another non-conference foe. Lay the points with East Tennessee St. |
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12-14-22 | Coastal Carolina v. South Dakota -2.5 | Top | 87-86 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the South Dakota Coyotes minus the points over Coastal Carolina. The Chanticleers walloped Regent U., 102-39, on Saturday. We'll fade Coastal Carolina tonight, as it is a horrid 3-18-1 ATS after scoring more than 80 points in winning its previous game. Take South Dakota. |