11-12-24 |
North Florida v. Georgia -14.5 |
Top |
77-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over North Florida. The Ospreys went into Atlanta, and upset the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 105-93, on Sunday. They'll play back to back road games in Georgia, as they're in Athens tonight to face the Bulldogs. We'll fade North Florida, as it's a poor 2-9 ATS as an underdog away from home off a road upset win. Take Georgia.
|
11-12-24 |
Eastern Kentucky v. Clemson -23 |
Top |
62-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over Eastern Kentucky. The Tigers are 2-0 after blowout wins over Charleston Southern (91-64) and St. Francis PA (88-62). We'll lay the points with Clemson tonight, as home teams off back to back 24-point home wins have gone 446-376-15 ATS. Take the Tigers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-12-24 |
Tarleton State +19 v. Florida State |
Top |
52-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Tarleton State Texans + the points over Florida State. The Texans are 0-2 ATS to start the season, including a home loss to Sam Houston St. in their previous game. But we'll grab the points with the Texans on the road, in Tallahassee, as Florida State is 0-9 ATS vs. non-conference foes on a 2-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, if FSU wasn't favored by 20+ points. Additionally, the Texans are 6-0 ATS their last six off a home defeat. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-12-24 |
Drexel v. Temple -8 |
Top |
61-69 |
Push |
0 |
10 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls minus the points over Drexel. The Owls have dominated this cross-town, Philadelphia rivalry, going 9-1 the last 10 meetings, including 5-0 ATS when favored by 11 or less points. Even better: The Dragons come into this game off an upset win over Colgate. But Drexel is a poor 9-26 ATS off an upset win. Take the Owls.
|
11-12-24 |
Maryland-Eastern Shore v. Miami-OH -17 |
Top |
70-88 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks minus the points over Maryland-Eastern Shore. The RedHawk were upset here, at home, by Wright State on Saturday. We'll take Miami-Ohio to bounce back off that upset loss, as it's cashed 60% since 1990 at home off a home upset defeat. Lay the points.
|
11-12-24 |
Cornell v. La Salle -3.5 |
Top |
77-93 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the La Salle Explorers minus the points over Cornell. Jon Jaques' first year at Cornell head coach is off to a 2-0 start, with wins over Marywood and Samford. But those two games were at home; this game will be in Philadelphia, at La Salle. The Explorers are also 2-0, with double-digit wins over American and Lafayette. And they covered the spread in those victories by an average of 10.5 ppg. Over the last 35 years, the Explorers have cashed 57% of its non-conference games, when it was favored, and off a double-digit, SU/ATS win. Take La Salle minus the points.
|
11-11-24 |
Dolphins v. Rams UNDER 49 |
Top |
23-15 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 8:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins and Los Angeles Rams to go UNDER the total. Miami has had a disappointing season, as it's 2-6, while the Rams enter with a 4-4 record. The Dolphins have gone 56-41 Under the total on the road when they were a losing team, including 28-9 Under if the O/U line was greater than 44 points. Meanwhile, the Rams have gone 29-16 Under the total in their last 45 home games, including 9-0 their last 9 (and 15-2 their last 17) when the O/U line was greater than 47 points. And, regardless of home/away venue, when the O/U line was 49+ points, and the Rams have played a team without a winning record, the Rams have gone 11-0 Under the total. The Rams also have played their last 4 Monday Night Football games Under the total, as well as Unders their last four games against the Dolphins. Finally, the Under falls into a Totals system of mine which is 340-237. Take tonight's game Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-11-24 |
Clippers +7 v. Thunder |
Top |
128-134 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder. We played against OKC last night, and got the $$$ with Golden State which pulled off the upset win. Even worse for OKC, it lost Chet Holmgren for 8-10 weeks, as he sustained a pelvic fracture midway through the first quarter. Earlier this season, the Thunder went into Los Angeles, and defeated the Clippers, 105-92. We'll take L.A. in this rematch, as the Thunder have cashed just 30% over the last 35 years when playing at home without rest, vs. a rested, revenge-minded, winning foe, while the Clips have cashed 68% since 2012 as a winning team, when rested, and playing with revenge vs. an unrested opponent. Take Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-11-24 |
Stars -155 v. Penguins |
Top |
7-1 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Stars over the Pittsburgh Penguins. At first glance, November doesn't look good so far for the Stars. But despite a 1-3 record since the beginning of the month, consider the following: Those three losses were twice to the defending Cup Champion Panthers (who look like the best team in the East once again), and once to the Jets. And all Winnipeg has done so far this season is set an NHL record by winning 14 of its first 15 games. For the Penguins, they went into Washington on Friday night and beat a red-hot Caps team that clearly wasn't at its best in that one (the Caps turned around a day later and annihilated the Blues in St. Louis, 8-1). At 6-8-2, the Pens are off to one of their worst starts in recent memory and their age has been showing on the ice so far this season -- especially in the third period when they seem to almost always run out of gas. This has been a very lopsided series lately with the Stars winning the last three meetings and five of the last six going back to October of 2021. Additionally, Dallas is 45-22 (+11.7 net games) its last 67 as a road favorite, and 56-28 (+15.7 net games) off a loss. And the Pens are a putrid 18-44 (minus 21.1 net games) as an underdog, and 38-45 (minus 23.7 net games) off a win. Take Dallas. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
|
11-11-24 |
Coppin State +26 v. Virginia |
Top |
45-62 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Coppin State Eagles + the points over Virginia. The Cavaliers saw long-term head coach Tony Bennett surprisingly retire last month, so Ron Sanchez will serve as Interim Head Coach for this season. Sanchez was formerly the head coach for Charlotte for 5 seasons, and went 72-78 in his tenure there. In his career, his teams have burned money as a favorite, going 28-35 ATS. We will fade Virginia, which will be playing its 2nd game after not covering the spread in its first against Campbell. UVA was favored by 16, yet won by just nine, 65-56. Meanwhile, this will be Coppin State's 4th game, already. It is 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS on the season. Still, Coppin State is a solid 23-9-1 ATS off 3+ losses, when getting 10+ points. Take the Eagles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-10-24 |
Lions v. Texans +4 |
Top |
26-23 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over Detroit. The Lions had a huge division win last Sunday. They were 6-1 entering the game vs. 6-2 Green Bay, so the winner was going to be all alone in first place. Detroit won that game, and now has to go on the road to face a Houston team off a SU loss to the Jets on Thursday night. I’ll take Houston, as Detroit falls into a negative 9-26 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off big division wins. Also, teams off Thursday games have had an edge over unrested foes off a Saturday, Sunday or Monday game, going 352-312 ATS. Take Houston + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-10-24 |
Jets -1.5 v. Cardinals |
Top |
6-31 |
Loss |
-108 |
12 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets minus the points over the Arizona Cardinals. The Jets will be playing this game with additional days of rest, since they last played on Thursday Night Football. And NFL teams that played on Thursday have gone 352-312 ATS vs. unrested foes that last played on Saturday, Sunday or Monday, so a slight edge to New York. Additionally, the Jets fall into several of my best NFL systems that have records of 53-18, 92-57 and 83-44 ATS since 1980. Finally, in his career as a starting QB, Aaron Rodgers' teams have gone 14-6 ATS away from home, when playing a foe off back-to-back SU/ATS wins, including 8-1 ATS when not getting more than 2 points. Take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-10-24 |
Titans +7.5 v. Chargers |
Top |
17-27 |
Loss |
-108 |
12 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over the Los Angeles Chargers. The Titans won in overtime, 20-17, last week, but failed to cover the closing 3.5-point line, while the Chargers won and covered their 2nd straight game, with a 27-10 blowout of Cleveland, as a 2-point favorite. I love Tennessee + the points, as it falls into 28-3, 32-6 and 48-16 ATS systems of mine. Additionally, the Chargers are a wallet-busting 7-17 ATS off back to back point spread wins, while the Titans are a solid 20-12 ATS vs. foes off back to back ATS wins. Finally, NFL teams (like the Chargers) off back to back covers by 9+ points, have gone 1-12-1 ATS their last 14 vs. foes off 4+ ATS losses. Take the Titans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-10-24 |
Texas Southern v. Georgia -17 |
Top |
64-92 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Texas Southern. The Tigers blew out A&M-San Antonio, 100-66, on Wednesday, while Georgia got by Tennessee Tech on Monday, 83-78, but failed to cover the double-digit spread. We'll play against the Tigers as a double-digit dog this afternoon, as dogs of +13 (or more) points, of a win by 34+ points, have covered just 44% on the non-conference road over the last 35 years when matched up against a foe off an ATS loss. Additionally, Georgia is 8-2 ATS its last 10 off a point spread loss, while the Tigers are 2-7 ATS off a win by 30+ points. Take the Bulldogs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-10-24 |
Falcons v. Saints +3.5 |
Top |
17-20 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 60 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over Atlanta. The Saints lost their 7th straight last week, and coach Dennis Allen was fired. Darren Rizzi will serve as interim head coach. I'll take New Orleans as a home dog, as it is 69-38 ATS when matched up against .500 (or better) foes off a SU win. Also, NFL teams are 28-12 ATS in their first two games following a head coach's departure, if it occurred prior to Game 11 of a season. Take the Saints. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-10-24 |
49ers v. Bucs UNDER 50.5 |
Top |
23-20 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers and Tampa Bay Bucs to go UNDER the total. The Buccaneers have played 6 straight Overs and have given up 30, 31, and 41 points in their last three games. I'll look for a much lower-scoring game on Sunday, as NFL teams that gave up 30+ points in each of their two previous games have gone UNDER the total 58% when the O/U line was 50+ points. Additionally, since Kyle Shanahan took over as head coach, the 49ers are 9-1-1 UNDER off a bye week, while the Bucs are 5-0 UNDER their last 5 when playing with a week off. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-09-24 |
BYU v. Utah +3.5 |
Top |
22-21 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 10:15 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over BYU. Utah is having a down season, as it's 4-4, while its Beehive State rival, BYU, is unblemished, at 8-0. But in this rivalry game, you can throw the records out the window. Indeed, the underdog has gone 25-11 ATS in the last 26 meetings (with Utah accounting for 16-6 ATS of the 25-11). It's true that the Utes have lost their last four games, SU/ATS, and have scored just 7 and 14 in their two most recent games. But Utah is 9-0 ATS its last 9 after scoring less than 15 points in each of its two previous games. Take the Utes + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-09-24 |
Kennesaw State v. California Baptist -10 |
Top |
84-88 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Cal Baptist Lancers minus the points over Kennesaw St. Both of these teams won their season openers. The Owls routed Toccoa Falls, 110-61, on Tuesday, while the Lancers edged, Incarnate Word, 83-78, as an 11.5-point favorite on Monday. We'll fade Kennesaw tonight, as road underdogs off a season-opening win, in which they scored 105+, have cashed just 33.7% since 1990, including 1-9 ATS this season. Lay the points with the Lancers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-09-24 |
Washington v. Penn State -12 |
Top |
6-35 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Washington. Last week, the Nittany Lions once again lost to Ohio State. And that's par for the course with the Nittany Lions, as they have gone 1-16 straight-up their last 17 games when installed as an underdog (and 3-9 ATS their last 12). The good news, then, for James Franklin's men is that they're a favorite in this game vs. Washington. And Penn State excels when it has the talent advantage, as it's 36-3 SU and 28-10-1 ATS its last 39 FBS games as a favorite, including 16-0 ATS when priced from -6 to -18.5 points! We will lay the number with the Nittany Lions. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-09-24 |
Jazz +6.5 v. Spurs |
Top |
111-110 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over the San Antonio Spurs. These two teams met in Salt Lake City on Halloween, and the Spurs routed the Jazz, 106-88. But Utah was without star Lauri Markkanen that night. He returned from injury in Thursday's loss to the Bucks, and played 29 minutes in that 23-point defeat. The Spurs, meanwhile, enter tonight's action off a blowout win, 118-105, over Portland. We'll fade San Antonio, as it's a poor 0-15 ATS at home off a SU/ATS win by less than 18 points vs. a revenge-minded, non-division foe off a SU/ATS loss. Take the Jazz + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-09-24 |
Bucknell v. Kentucky -28.5 |
Top |
72-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Bucknell. We played on the Bison in their first two games, and they rewarded us with back-to-back wins and covers, including an overtime victory over Southern Indiana on Thursday. But off those two SU/ATS wins, we'll fade the Bison in Lexington this afternoon, as .666 (or better) teams off back to back SU/ATS wins, have covered just 34% as underdogs of 20+ points since 1990. Take Kentucky minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-09-24 |
Colorado -4 v. Texas Tech |
Top |
41-27 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 4 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes minus the points over Texas Tech. The Red Raiders stunned then-undefeated Iowa State, 23-22, last week, as a 13.5-point road underdog. Meanwhile, Colorado had last week off after downing the Cincy Bearcats, 34-23, two weeks ago to move its record to 6-2. We'll fade the Red Raiders, as underdogs have cashed just 37.2% since 1980 after defeating an undefeated opponent with a 7-0 (or better) record. Additionally, the Red Raiders are 8-17 ATS as underdogs of +10 (or less) points off an upset win, while Colorado has gone 11-4 ATS vs. foes off upset wins, when the Buffs owned a .666 (or better) win percentage. Finally, Texas Tech is 2-7 ATS as an unrested home dog vs. a rested foe, while Colorado is 5-1-1 its last 7 when playing with rest, and 8-1-1 ATS its last 10 when playing a foe with a winning record. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-09-24 |
Clemson v. Virginia Tech +6 |
Top |
24-14 |
Loss |
-109 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies + the points over Clemson. Virginia Tech will no doubt want to bounce back off its overtime loss to Syracuse last week, as well as snap its 6-game losing streak to the Tigers. The good news is that its QB, Kyron Drones, and RB, Bhayshul Tuten, have been fully participating in practice this week, so I expect them to suit up. Additionally, the Hokies are 24-6 ATS as an underdog off a SU loss when playing an opponent that won the prior meeting. Take Virginia Tech + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-09-24 |
Toronto +2 v. Montreal |
Top |
30-28 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Toronto Argonauts + the points over the Montreal Alouettes. The Argos come into this CFL semi-final match-up playing their best football of the season. They walloped Ottawa in the opening round of the playoffs, 58-38, as a 6-point home favorite. And that was Toronto's 5th straight point spread cover. And one of those ATS wins was an upset win against these Alouettes, back on September 28, when Toronto won 38-31, as a 1.5-point road dog. The point spread is similar for this playoff game, and I expect another Argos upset win. The Alouettes have had just one SU/ATS win among their last seven games, and have been outscored over their final 7 games by a 177-148 tally. In contrast, Toronto's aggregate score over its last 7 games is 241-192. Finally, underdogs (or PK) on 4-game (or better) ATS win streaks have cashed 82% in the CFL Playoffs. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-09-24 |
Toronto v. Montreal UNDER 52 |
Top |
30-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Montreal Alouettes and Toronto Argonauts to go UNDER the total. Last week, the Argonauts erupted for a season-high 58 points, which was 19 points greater than their second-best offensive performance of the season. Off that extremely high-scoring game, we'll look for a lower-scoring game in this CFL Playoff game. Indeed, the Argos have gone 12-1 UNDER in competitively-priced games with point spreads of 3 or less, after scoring more than 35 points in their previous game. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-09-24 |
Florida v. Texas -21.5 |
Top |
17-49 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Florida. The Longhorns ascended to the #1 ranking in the country, but were knocked off that perch by Georgia, in a 30-15 upset loss. Unsurprisingly, the Longhorns were a bit flat off that deflating Georgia loss, and only beat Vanderbilt by three, 27-24. Texas had last week off to regroup, and that extra time should do it some good in this home game vs. Florida. Indeed, rested home teams off an ATS loss have cashed 73% the last 45 years, when priced from -21 to -30 points, vs. unrested foes off an ATS win. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-09-24 |
Minnesota v. Rutgers +6 |
Top |
19-26 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights + the points over Minnesota. PJ Fleck's Gophers come into Piscataway on a 4-game win streak (and a 5-game ATS streak). All that should come to an end on this Saturday afternoon, as Minnesota falls into negative 18-61, 27-71 and 44-84 ATS systems of mine, based on its win streak. Additionally, Rutgers had last week off after its 42-20 loss at Southern Cal. And Rutgers is 34-17 ATS vs. foes on SU/ATS win streaks when the game was competitively-priced, with a line less than 7 points. And the Scarlet Knights are 14-1-1 ATS when playing with rest against a foe off a SU/ATS win. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-08-24 |
Heat +3.5 v. Nuggets |
Top |
122-135 |
Loss |
-115 |
11 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Denver Nuggets. We played on Denver at home on Wednesday vs. Oklahoma City, and the Nuggets upset the Thunder, 124-122, as a 7-point dog. That was OKC's first loss of the season, and Denver got the job done without Jamal Murray, who has been sidelined with a concussion, and Aaron Gordon, who sustained a calf sprain. Murray may make his return tonight. But regardless, we will fade the Nuggets off that upset win over their division rival. Indeed, Denver is a dreadful 29% ATS over the past 35 years as a home favorite vs. a non-division foe, if it upset a division rival as a 3.5-point (or greater) underdog in its previous game. Grab the points with Miami. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-08-24 |
Rice v. Memphis -8 |
Top |
20-27 |
Loss |
-109 |
11 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Rice. The Tigers were favored by 7 last week at UTSA, but were upset, 44-36. Meanwhile, Rice won, 24-10, over Navy. We'll take Memphis to bounce back on Friday, as it's 7-0 ATS its last seven off an upset loss when playing an opponent off a SU win. Even better: Rice has covered just 42% the last 45 years on the road vs. foes off upset defeats. And it's a woeful 0-13 ATS its last 13 (and 3-25 ATS its last 28) as a road underdog in vs. .600 (or better) conference foes, priced from +2.5 to +18 points. Take Memphis. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-08-24 |
Princeton v. Duquesne +6 |
Top |
75-68 |
Loss |
-115 |
10 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 8:30pm, our selection is on the Duquesne Dukes + the points over Princeton. This game will be played in Trenton, as part of the Jersey Jam tournament. The Dukes lost their season opener, 77-72, at home to Lipscomb, which was their first game under new head coach, Dru Joyce. We'll take the Dukes, and go against Princeton, which has cashed just 27% over the last 35 years as a winning team vs. a non-conference foe off an upset loss. Meanwhile, the Dukes have gone 17-2 ATS their last 19 off an upset loss, when priced from +4 to +16.5 points. Take Duquesne + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-08-24 |
South Carolina State v. South Carolina -18 |
Top |
64-86 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks minus the points over South Carolina St. The Gamecocks lost by 3 in their season opener, 74-71, as an 20-point home favorite vs. N. Florida, while the Bulldogs blew out Morris College, 137-55. It's not often an NCAA team loses outright as a 20-point favorite in its season opener, but when they do, consider going with them in their next game, as NCAA teams off upset losses as 19-point (or greater) favorites to start the season tend to bounce back in their next game, and have covered 60.0% since 1990.
|
11-08-24 |
Iona v. Hofstra -4.5 |
Top |
76-90 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Hofstra Pride minus the points over Iona. Hofstra got its season off on the right foot, with a 27-point blowout win over SUNY-Old Westbury, on Monday, while The Pride are on a 68.5% ATS run, when priced from -3 to -18 points -- and 72.2% vs. an opponent off a SU loss. With Iona in off a 1-point loss to Princeton, we'll fade the Gaels, and take the Pride minus the points.
|
11-08-24 |
Austin Peay v. Butler -16.5 |
Top |
68-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Austin Peay. Both teams enter this game off wins in their season opener. The Bulldogs downed Missouri State, 72-65, but failed to cover as a 17-point favorite, while Austin Peay blew out Union, 95-75. We'll take Butler tonight as a big favorite to bounce back off its ATS loss, as NCAA teams, priced from -13.5 to -18.5 in Game 2 have cashed 68% the past 35 years if they were off a win in Game 1, but an ATS loss by 10+ points. Take Butler.
|
11-08-24 |
St. Peter's v. UMass Lowell -10 |
Top |
74-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Massachusetts Lowell River Hawks minus the points over St. Peter's. UMass Lowell blew out Rivier, 115-59, on Monday. We'll lay the points with the River Hawks tonight, as favorites of 4+ points have cashed 63.2% over the last 35 years off a win by 55+ points in their season opener. Take the River Hawks.
|
11-07-24 |
Bengals v. Ravens UNDER 53.5 |
Top |
34-35 |
Loss |
-115 |
11 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Cincinnati/Baltimore game. Both of these teams tallied 41 points lasts week. The Bengals blew out Las Vegas, 41-24, while the Ravens routed Denver, 41-10. I'll look for a much lower-scoring game tonite, as NFL games have gone UNDER the total 60.4% since 1980 if both teams scored 38+ points in their previous game, and the O/U line was 54 points or less. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-07-24 |
Prairie View A&M v. DePaul -15 |
Top |
59-92 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the DePaul Blue Demons minus the points over Prairie View A&M. DePaul won its opener, 80-78, vs. Southern Indiana, while Prairie view routed the College of Biblical Studies, 111-90. Since 1990, DePaul has cashed 63% as a double-digit favorite vs. non-conference foes off a win by more than 20 points. Lay the points with the Blue Demons.
|
11-07-24 |
Bucknell -2.5 v. Southern Indiana |
Top |
75-69 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Bucknell Bison minus the points over Southern Indiana. We played on Bucknell, Monday, as a road underdog at Delaware, and were rewarded with an 85-73 upset win. Tonight, the Bison have been installed as a small road favorite, and we'll come right back with John Griffin's men, as Bucknell has gone 9-0 ATS off a SU win, when installed as a road favorite of -6 (or less) points (or PK). Take the Bison. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-07-24 |
Southern Miss v. UAB -13 |
Top |
84-98 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers minus the points over Southern Mississippi. The Blazers were upset on Monday, 67-62, here, at home, vs. Vermont, while Southern Miss won its opener, 77-68, vs. Bowling Green. These two teams met last season in Birmingham, and Southern Miss came away with an 85-82 victory. Over the last 35 seasons, UAB has cashed 64% when playing at home with revenge vs. non-conference foes. Lay the points with the Blazers.
|
11-06-24 |
Thunder v. Nuggets +7 |
Top |
122-124 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over Oklahoma City. These two teams met last week here, in Denver, and the Thunder won that game, 102-87. We'll take the Nuggets to avenge that defeat tonight, as Denver is a super 20-6 ATS as a rested, home dog of more than 4 points, if it owned a .500 (or better) win percentage on the season (including 6-0 ATS if it lost the season's previous meeting vs. its opponent by 15+ points). Even better: the Nuggets are 8-0 ATS their last eight vs. OKC when Denver was getting 2+ points. Take the Nuggets. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-06-24 |
Spurs +7 v. Rockets |
Top |
100-127 |
Loss |
-115 |
11 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Houston. This is the 3rd meeting of the season between these Lone Star State rivals. The first two games were played in San Antone, and both went down to the wire. The Spurs won Round 1 with a 109-106 win, as a 1.5-point home dog. And then Houston won the rematch, two days later, with a 106-101 triumph. This game will be played in Houston, and I expect another tight affair. The Spurs are 4-3 ATS, and have been in every game. And their +3.57 point spread differential ranks #8 in the league. They failed to cover the spread by just 2.5 points in their season-opening loss to Dallas. And they also failed to cover the spread by just 2.5 points in the aforementioned 106-101 defeat to Houston. The only time the Spurs lost to the spread by more than a single possession was their most recent game -- a 113-104 defeat at the LA Clippers. And the Spurs actually led that game in the first half by 26 points, but were outscored by 13 in the 4th quarter. We will take San Antonio to bounce back on Wednesday, as it is 59-28-4 ATS when it owned a win percentage greater than .395, and was playing with revenge, including 7-0-1 ATS when getting more than 5 points. Take the Spurs + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-05-24 |
Miami-OH -11.5 v. Ball State |
Top |
27-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Miami-OH RedHawks minus the points over Ball State. The Cardinals stunned Northern Illinois last week, 25-23, as a 13-point home underdog. They're once again installed as a home pup, and we'll go against the Cardinals tonight. Miami has won and covered 3 straight, after a 46-7 undressing of Central Michigan, in Oxford. And the RedHawks are 29-10 ATS when priced from -9 to -18 points, including 13-2 ATS on the road, and 21-4 ATS off a SU win. Meanwhile, Ball State is a brutal 14-29 ATS vs. Mid-American Conference foes off a win by more than 21 points. And the Cardinals also fall into negative 61-96 and 118-210 ATS systems of mine, based on their upset win over Northern Illinois. Lay the points with Miami-OH. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-04-24 |
Raptors +10 v. Nuggets |
Top |
119-121 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over the Denver Nuggets. These two teams met earlier this season, and the Raptors lost at home by 2 points to the Nuggets. We'll take Toronto tonight, as the Nuggets are a poor 6-23 ATS at home in the regular season when they were off a SU/ATS win, and playing a revenge-minded foe. Take the Raptors. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-04-24 |
Magic +12.5 v. Thunder |
Top |
86-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder are off to a 6-0 start this season, and have been installed as a double-digit favorite tonight. We'll grab the points with Orlando, as undefeated teams, with a 2-0 (or better) record, have gone 27-56-3 ATS when priced from -9.5 to -14 points. Take the Magic.
|
11-04-24 |
Jazz +7.5 v. Bulls |
Top |
135-126 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over the Chicago Bulls. The Jazz have lost all 6 of their games this season, including their last 3 by margins of 17, 18, and 26 points. We'll take Utah to bounce back tonight, as teams off 3 straight losses by 17+ points have gone 104-81 ATS since 1990. Additionally, the Bulls are a brutal 49-87-1 ATS at home vs. Western Conference foes off an ATS loss. Take Utah + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-04-24 |
Missouri +5 v. Memphis |
Top |
75-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers + the points over Memphis. Memphis upset Missouri, 70-55, last season, as a 3-point dog. We'll take Missouri + the points, as Memphis is a wallet-breaking 22-40-1 ATS vs. revenge-minded, non-conference foes. Additionally, Missouri falls into a 50-21 ATS revenge system of mine. Take Missouri + the points. Good luck as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-04-24 |
Lakers -6.5 v. Pistons |
Top |
103-115 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Detroit Pistons. Detroit blew out Brooklyn, 106-92, on Sunday. We'll fade the Pistons at home tonight, as they're 15-41 ATS off a win by more than 7 points, including 1-14 ATS when priced from +5.5 to +10 points. Take Los Angeles minus the points.
|
11-04-24 |
Bucks +9 v. Cavs |
Top |
114-116 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over Cleveland. This is the 2nd of two back-to-back meetings between these Central division rivals. Cleveland won on Saturday, when Donovan Mitchell hit the game-winner with less than a second left in the game. We'll take Milwaukee as the road underdog, as NBA teams playing back-to-back regular season games vs. a division rival, have cashed 63% since 1992 if they were off an upset loss in the first meeting. Take Milwaukee. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-04-24 |
Bucknell +3.5 v. Delaware |
Top |
85-73 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Bucknell Bison + the points over Delaware. The Bison return 4 starters from last year's team, while Delaware only returns 1 starter. Last year, the Blue Hens blew out the Bison, 78-57. We'll take Bucknell to avenge that defeat, as Delaware is a soft 50-77-5 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, if Delaware was not off an ATS loss. Grab the points. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.
|
11-03-24 |
Lions v. Packers +2.5 |
Top |
24-14 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers + the points over Detroit. The Lions have won and covered 5 straight after a 52-14 blowout win over Tennessee. We'll fade Detroit as a road favorite at Green Bay, as NFL road teams off 3 SU/ATS wins are a poor 86-124-4 ATS vs. .666 (or better) foes. Even worse for Detroit: it's 1-12-1 ATS on the division road, off a home win, if it owned a win percentage greater than 0.667. Take Green Bay. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-03-24 |
Lions v. Packers UNDER 47.5 |
Top |
24-14 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Detroit/Green Bay game. The Lions have played their last 4 games OVER the total, including a 52-14 blowout of Tennessee last week. I will look for a lower-scoring game this afternoon, as road teams off 4+ Overs have gone Under 60.2% since 1980 vs. division rivals, including 73.9% Under if they scored 40+ points in their previous game. Moreover, there is rain in the forecast today, with winds at 15 to 25 mph. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-03-24 |
Jaguars +7.5 v. Eagles |
Top |
23-28 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over the Philadelphia Eagles. This season, underdogs of +6 (or more) points started out like a house on fire, as they were 16-3 ATS through the first five weeks. They've come down a bit since, but are still 21-12-1 ATS on the season, including 7-0-1 ATS if they were off an ATS win. And, of course, the Jaguars are off a point spread win, as they covered in last week's loss to Green Bay. The Eagles are a soft 45-67 ATS when priced from -3 to -9.5 points. Take Jacksonville. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-03-24 |
Patriots v. Titans -3.5 |
Top |
17-20 |
Loss |
-100 |
40 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans minus the points over New England. The Titans were demolished, 52-14 last week. And they've lost 3 straight, overall. I'll take Tennessee to bounce back off that blowout loss, as home teams have gone 7-0 ATS their last seven (and 23-6 ATS their last 29) off a loss by 38+ points, if they also lost 2 games back. Lay the points.
|
11-03-24 |
Dolphins +6.5 v. Bills |
Top |
27-30 |
Win
|
100 |
40 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins + the points over the Buffalo Bills. The Dolphins were upset by Arizona last Sunday, and were also upset by Buffalo in the season's first meeting. I'll take Miami to avenge that upset loss, as road dogs of +5 (or more) points have gone 82-49 ATS if they were upset in the season's prior meeting, including 22-9 ATS if our road dog was also off an upset loss in its previous game. Take Miami.
|
11-03-24 |
Cowboys v. Falcons UNDER 52 |
Top |
21-27 |
Win
|
100 |
40 h 0 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Dallas Cowboys/Atlanta Falcons game. The Cowboys enter this game off back to back Overs, as they were blown out, 47-9, by Detroit, and lost to San Francisco, 30-24. I will take this game UNDER, as Dallas is 29-17 Under the total off back-to-back Overs, while Atlanta is 33-21 Under vs. an opponent off back-to-back Overs. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-03-24 |
Saints v. Panthers UNDER 43.5 |
Top |
22-23 |
Loss |
-105 |
40 h 60 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints and Carolina Panthers to go UNDER the total. The first meeting between these two NFC South division rivals was in Week 1, and the Saints blew out the Panthers, 47-10. That game went over the total of 41.5 by 15.5 points. But prior to that meeting, these two teams had gone Under in 7 straight games. I'll look for a reversion to the norm on Sunday, as the Under falls into a 339-255 Totals system of mine, as well as another 145-87 system. Take the Under.
|
11-03-24 |
Patriots v. Titans UNDER 38 |
Top |
17-20 |
Win
|
100 |
40 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots and Tennessee Titans to go UNDER the total. Both of these teams come into this game off a string of Overs. The Pats have gone Over in 3 straight, while the Titans have gone Over in 2 straight, including last week's 52-14 blowout loss to the Detroit Lions. I'll look for a lower-scoring game on Sunday, as teams off back-to-back Overs that gave up more than 38 points in their previous game have gone Under 58.6% vs. foes off 3+ Overs. Take the Pats/Titans game to go UNDER.
|
11-03-24 |
Broncos v. Ravens -9.5 |
Top |
10-41 |
Win
|
100 |
40 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over the Denver Broncos. Last week, the Broncos moved to 5-3 with a 28-14 win over Carolina, while Baltimore was upset by Cleveland, 29-24. I like the Ravens to bounce back, as they have dominated winning teams outside their division, going 84-49 ATS, including 48-15 ATS if the Ravens were not off an ATS win. Denver also falls into negative 36-102 and 62-135 ATS systems of mine. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-03-24 |
Chargers v. Browns OVER 42 |
Top |
27-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
40 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns and Los Angeles Chargers to go OVER the total. The Chargers went under the total of 41.5 last week vs. New Orleans, as they won, 26-8. And that was L.A.'s 6th under in their 7 games. A lot of bettors might look to play the under in this game, especially because the Browns are 5-3 under, themselves. I'm going to look for a relatively high-scoring game, as the Over falls into a Totals system of mine which has cashed 59.2% of the time. Additionally, the Chargers tend to go Under at home in non-division games (101-53 Under), but Over on the road outside the division (114-93 Over). Take the Browns/Chargers game Over the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-03-24 |
Saints v. Panthers +7.5 |
Top |
22-23 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the New Orleans Saints. The Saints have lost 6 straight since their 2-0 start, and have been installed as a big road favorite at Carolina. The Saints' scoring margin is -2.62 ppg, and I won't lay this many points with teams that have negative scoring margins. And especially not on the road vs. foes off back to back losses, as they've covered just 26.3% since 1980. We saw this exact situation last week, when the Jets were favored by 7 at New England, even though the Jets' scoring margin was -2.42 ppg. The Patriots won that game outright, and I wouldn't be surprised to see Carolina do the same. We'll take the Panthers + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-02-24 |
Heat -8.5 v. Wizards |
Top |
118-98 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over the Washington Wizards. This game will be played in Mexico City. Washington is on a 2-game win streak, as it upset Atlanta twice, earlier this week, including a 133-120 triumph on Wednesday. Unfortunately for the Wizards, they're a wallet-breaking 44-74-1 ATS off an upset win by more than 10 points. Take Miami.
|
11-02-24 |
Cavs v. Bucks -2 |
Top |
114-113 |
Loss |
-105 |
17 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Cleveland. This is the first of a 2-game, home-and-home series between these Central division rivals. Cleveland is off to a 6-0 start after its 11-point win over the Magic last night, while Milwaukee has lost its last four, including a 23-point loss at Memphis, on Thursday. This will be Milwaukee's first home game following a 3-game road trip, and the Bucks have gone 31-10 ATS at home following 3 road games, if they were also off back-to-back SU/ATS losses. Even better: the Bucks are a solid 92-52-3 ATS in the regular season off back to back losses, including 14-2 vs. unrested foes off a win. Finally, Cleveland is a poor 9-27 ATS on the road, when playing without rest against a foe off a SU loss. Take Milwaukee minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-02-24 |
Pittsburgh v. SMU -7 |
Top |
25-48 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs minus the points over Pittsburgh. This is a great match-up in the ACC Conference. Both SMU (4-0) and Pittsburgh (3-0) enter with undefeated conference records, and Pitt is also undefeated on the season, with a 7-0 mark (SMU is 7-1). The Panthers are outscoring their foes by 18.85 ppg, which ranks 13th in NCAA (and betters SMU's mark of 17.75 ppg). The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on Pitt as an underdog. But consider that road underdogs with an 18.85 (or better) scoring margin (as well as a better scoring margin than their opponent) have cashed just 39% over the last 45 years (and just 31.5% when getting 7+ points). That doesn't bode well for Pitt on Saturday. Nor does the fact that the Panthers fall into a negative system of mine which is 26-76-2 ATS since 1980 (the same angle I used last week for my SEC Game of the Year Winner on Texas A&M over SMU). The Mustangs are 11-4 ATS in conference games off a conference win (including a perfect 5-0 ATS at home). Lay the points with SMU. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-02-24 |
Colorado State v. Nevada +2.5 |
Top |
38-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack + the points over Colorado St. The Rams have covered the spread in their last five games. They're now favored on the road against Nevada, which was blown out by 21 last week in Hawaii. We'll fade Colorado St., as Mountain West road favorites have covered just 10 of 36 after 3 straight ATS wins. Even better: the Rams are an ugly 0-6 ATS their last six (and 1-8 ATS their last nine) off 3 SU/ATS wins, while Nevada is 31-15 ATS off a loss by more than 17 points. Take the Wolf Pack. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-02-24 |
TCU v. Baylor -3 |
Top |
34-37 |
Push |
0 |
21 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over TCU. The Bears were blown out by the Horned Frogs, 42-17, last season in Fort Worth, as a 13-point dog. Last week, Baylor beat Oklahoma St., 38-28, while TCU won a thriller vs. Texas Tech, 35-34, as a 5-point home favorite. That was TCU's 2nd straight win, and it will look for #3 in a row at Baylor on Saturday night. We'll side with the homestanding Bears, as Baylor is 17-3 ATS at home vs. .875 (or worse) foes off a SU win, including a perfect 8-0 ATS when playing with revenge. And Baylor also falls into 197-111 and 149-71 ATS systems of mine, that play on certain home teams off back-to-back wins. Take the Bears minus the points.
|
11-02-24 |
Grizzlies v. 76ers +2 |
Top |
124-107 |
Loss |
-108 |
17 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over Memphis. The 76ers were upset by Detroit, 105-95, on Wednesday, while Memphis upset Milwaukee, 122-99, on Thursday. We'll fade the Grizzlies off that upset win, and grab the points with the Sixers, who are 37-24-3 ATS off an upset loss, including 5-1-2 ATS as a home underdog. Take Philly. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-02-24 |
Texas A&M v. South Carolina +3.5 |
Top |
20-44 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks + the points over Texas A&M. The Gamecocks had last week off after blowing out Oklahoma, in Norman, 35-9, in a Pk'em game. We played on Texas A&M last Saturday over LSU, as our SEC Game of the Year, and were rewarded with a big 38-23 win. This week, we'll switch gears and fade the Aggies on the road in Columbia. Since 1980, the Aggies are an awful 1-16 ATS on the road vs. rested foes off a SU win. Take South Carolina + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-02-24 |
Celtics v. Hornets +11 |
Top |
113-103 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 25 m |
Show
|
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over Boston. This is the 2nd of back-to-back meetings in Charlotte between these two teams. Last night, Boston won, 124-109. We'll take the Hornets in today's rematch, as home teams have cashed 57% since 1990 in the 2nd of back-to-back home meetings vs. the same foe, if they lost the first game. Grab the points.
|
11-02-24 |
Indiana v. Michigan State +8 |
Top |
47-10 |
Loss |
-105 |
17 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan St. Spartans + the points over Indiana. Curt Cignetti's Hoosiers are off to an 8-0 start, and have covered the spread in their last seven. And they rank #1 in scoring margin (inclusive of FCS games) with a 32.37 margin of victory. The Spartans, meanwhile, are 4-4 SU/ATS after losing to Michigan, 24-17, as a 3-point road dog. We'll take the home dog, as NCAA road favorites have covered just 27% since 1980 vs. conference foes off an ATS loss, if our road fave owned a scoring margin of 24.0 ppg (or better). Take the Spartans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-02-24 |
Oregon v. Michigan +14.5 |
Top |
38-17 |
Loss |
-105 |
17 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over the Oregon Ducks. The Ducks were my preseason pick (at 8-1 odds) to win the National Championship. They're currently ranked #1, and will face a stiff test on Saturday afternoon in Ann Arbor, against the defending champs. Oregon's been installed as a double-digit road favorite, and we'll grab the points with the Wolverines, as defending champs have gone 17-5 ATS in home conference games vs. undefeated foes. Additionally, Michigan is 7-1-1 ATS its last nine vs. foes off back to back ATS wins. And it's also 26-18-1 ATS vs. foes off 3+ point spread wins. Take Michigan + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-02-24 |
UCLA +7 v. Nebraska |
Top |
27-20 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins + the points over Nebraska. The Cornhuskers lost to Ohio State last week, 27-24 (but covered the spread), while the Bruins snapped a 5-game losing streak with a 35-32 upset win at Rutgers. We'll fade the 'Huskers, as Nebraska is an ugly 5-16-1 ATS when favored in Big 10 Conference games, including 0-7-1 ATS off a point spread win. Take UCLA.
|
11-02-24 |
North Carolina v. Florida State +2.5 |
Top |
35-11 |
Loss |
-105 |
17 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles + the points over North Carolina. We played on the Tar Heels last week, and were rewarded with a blowout, 41-14, upset win over Virginia. Florida State, meanwhile, dropped its fourth straight game, in a 22-point loss at Miami. But despite its down year, the Seminoles are still 31-14-3 ATS off a road loss the previous week. And North Carolina is a miserable 0-8-1 ATS off a road upset win, if it wasn't favored by more than 7 in its current game. Take Florida State.
|
11-02-24 |
Kansas State -12 v. Houston |
Top |
19-24 |
Loss |
-109 |
17 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Houston. The Wildcats edged their rival, Kansas, 29-27, as a 10-point favorite last week, while Houston upset Utah, 17-14, as a 4.5-point dog. The Wildcats are a super 86-51-1 ATS off a point spread defeat, including 20-2-1 ATS their last 23 vs. .375 (or better) foes. And Houston is a woeful 0-12 ATS as an underdog of 20 or less points (or PK). Take Kansas State minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-02-24 |
Arizona State -4 v. Oklahoma State |
Top |
42-21 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm (time change), our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over Oklahoma State. This is the first season these two teams have been conference rivals. But they did meet each of the last two seasons when ASU was a Pac-12 Conference school. Oklahoma State won each of those two meetings, by scores of 34-17 and 27-15. We'll take the Sun Devils to avenge those defeats, as they fall into a revenge system of mine which is 256-193 ATS since 1980. ASU has also cashed 78% since 1980 as a revenge-minded road favorite vs. conference foes. Take Arizona State.
|
11-02-24 |
Ottawa v. Toronto UNDER 51.5 |
Top |
38-58 |
Loss |
-105 |
16 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Ottawa/Toronto game. These two teams met two games ago (also here, in Toronto), and the Argonauts won a high-scoring game, 38-31. Then, Toronto ended its regular season with another high-scoring game -- a 31-30 loss at Edmonton. CFL Playoff teams have gone UNDER 64% if they tallied 30+ points in each of their two previous games. Also, this season, the Argos were 5-0 UNDER off back-to-back OVERS. Take Toronto and Ottawa UNDER the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-02-24 |
Old Dominion v. Appalachian State +3 |
Top |
20-28 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian St. Mountaineers + the points over Old Dominion. The Monarchs pulled off their third straight upset win last week, when they walloped Georgia Southern, 47-19. They're now favored on the road at App State, and we will happily grab the points. Last season, App State was favored by 6 points, but upset by ODU, 28-21. I look for the Mountaineers to avenge that defeat, as NCAA road favorites have covered just 37% over the last 42 years off 3 straight underdog covers. Moreover, Appalachian State is 6-0 ATS as an underdog vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. And it's 3-0 ATS as a revenge-minded underdog. Take the Mountaineers + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-02-24 |
Vanderbilt v. Auburn -7 |
Top |
17-7 |
Loss |
-120 |
14 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 12:45 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Vanderbilt. The Tigers had an impressive win at Kentucky last week, as they blew out the Wildcats, 24-10, as a 1.5-point underdog. Vandy also impressed in defeat, as it lost by just three to Texas, as a 17-point dog. Auburn is an awesome 13-0-1 ATS its last 14 (and 18-3-1 its last 22) as a favorite at home, or on neutral fields vs. conference foes off a point spread win, if Auburn was off a conference win. And Vandy is a wallet-breaking 1-11 ATS on the SEC road off a home game where it covered the spread by more than 9 points. Take Auburn. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
11-02-24 |
Stars -102 v. Panthers |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-102 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 12:05 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Stars over the Florida Panthers. No team had more depth last season than the Stars. Still, it wasn't enough and in the post-season Dallas fell to the red-hot Oilers who then turned around and lost to the Panthers in the Cup Finals. While Dallas saw the retirement of one of its best offensive players in recent years -- Joe Pavelski -- there is such a strong youth brigade currently underway that few would be surprised if this team matches the 113 points it put up last season. So far so good, as Dallas is off to a 7-3 start. This afternoon is the back-end of a 2-game International series in Finland against last season's Champions, who are coming into this contest on a four-game winning streak. Because these two just played on Friday with their #1 goalies, tonight's rematch will feature each team's back-up. Stars back-up Casey DeSmith has a 1.69 GAA in three games including a shutout, while Florida back-up Spencer Knight has a 3.03 number in three games. Take the Stars. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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11-01-24 |
Pacers v. Pelicans +4 |
Top |
118-125 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 46 m |
Show
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At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over the Indiana Pacers. Indiana won an emotional game its last time on the court, when it avenged a playoff series loss to the champion Celtics. Meanwhile, the Pelicans enter off 3 blowout defeats, as they lost back-to-back games to Golden State by 18 and 15 points, and by 22 to Portland before that. I look for the Pelicans to bounce back tonight, as teams off 3 SU/ATS losses by more than 10 points have cashed 57.1% vs. foes off upset wins. Additionally, the Pacers fall into a negative 22-48 ATS system of mine (as well as an 0-13 subset) which fades certain teams off a revenge win over the team which ousted it from the previous season's playoffs. Finally, the Pacers are a poor 27-60-1 ATS away from home vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses, if the line was 5 points or less. Take New Orleans + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-31-24 |
Suns v. Clippers +5 |
Top |
125-119 |
Loss |
-108 |
15 h 21 m |
Show
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At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over the Phoenix Suns. The Suns come into this game off a 4-point home win over the Lakers, while the Clippers lost by a point, 106-105, to Portland last night. We'll take L.A. to bounce back, and go against Phoenix, which is a poor 36-55-1 ATS on the road off a home win. Additionally, the Clippers are 36-23 ATS vs. the Suns, including 10-1 ATS at home off a SU loss. And, finally, dating back 35 seasons, unrested NBA home underdogs have cashed 64.7% off an upset loss, as a 7-point (or greater) favorite, when matched up against an opponent off a SU win. Grab the points with the Clippers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-31-24 |
Texans v. Jets -2 |
Top |
13-21 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 57 m |
Show
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At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets minus the points over Houston. The Jets are on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak and their last two losses were both as road favorites. The Jets lost, 37-15, at Pittsburgh, as a 2.5-point favorite, and fell last week at New England, 25-22, as a 7-point fave. I'll take New York to get off the schneid tonight, as home teams have cashed 61% since 1980 off back-to-back losses as road favorites. Additionally, the Jets are 5-0-1 ATS vs. Houston in the last six meetings, when not favored by 4+ points. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-30-24 |
Knicks -1.5 v. Heat |
Top |
116-107 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 13 m |
Show
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At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Miami. The Knicks were upset at home, 110-104, by Cleveland two nights ago, while Miami beat Detroit, 106-98. We'll take New York to rebound at Miami, as the Knicks are an awesome 66-28-1 ATS on the road off an upset loss, when playing a .500 (or better) team, including 7-1 ATS as a favorite. Take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-30-24 |
Kennesaw State v. Western Kentucky -24 |
Top |
14-31 |
Loss |
-109 |
36 h 27 m |
Show
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At 7:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Kennesaw St. Last week, the Owls pulled off the 2nd biggest upset of the season when they upended the then-undefeated Liberty Flames, 27-24, as a 27-point home dog. Only Northern Illinois' upset of Notre Dame, as a 28-point dog, was bigger. But off that win, we'll fade Kennesaw vs. a Hilltoppers team which has won 5 of its last 6, straight-up, and six straight ATS. Indeed, since 1980, teams off wins as 7-point (or greater) underdogs have gone 427-532-19 ATS vs. winning foes. Look for Western Kentucky to cover its seventh straight. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-30-24 |
Hawks -3.5 v. Wizards |
Top |
120-133 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 46 m |
Show
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At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Washington. These two teams faced off on Monday, in Atlanta, and the Hawks were upset, 121-119, as a 7.5-point home favorite. We'll take the Hawks to avenge that defeat, as teams off an upset loss as a 7.5-point (or greater) home favorite have bounced back to cover 69.4% of the time since 1994 in the regular season when they were playing the same opponent. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-29-24 |
Dodgers v. Yankees -125 |
Top |
4-11 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 7 m |
Show
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At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Yankees over the Los Angeles Dodgers. It's put up or shut up time for the team with more World Series trophies than any other. The Yankees are in that unenviable position that they wanted to avoid, down 0-3 to a very strong opponent. When you're in that situation, you probably want a reliable pitcher, with solid numbers on the mound. And in fact that's what the home team has tonight as RH Luis Gil is set to start his first World Series game. Carlos Rodon might have had more wins than Gil (16 vs. 15) but the 26-year-old Rookie-of-the-Year finalist had a better win percentage (15-7) and an ERA (3.50) that was almost a half-run lower than Rodon's. And Gil was on the mound on June 9 when the Yankees faced the Dodgers here in the Bronx and he pitched well enough to keep his team in the game which the Yankees won, 6-4. And if you count the 8-6 New York win over Cleveland in Game 4 of the ALCS, the team has won five of Gil's last six starts going back to the beginning of September. Take the Yanks in Game 4. As always, good luck...Al McMordie
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10-29-24 |
UL-Lafayette v. Texas State -4 |
Top |
23-17 |
Loss |
-109 |
12 h 28 m |
Show
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At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over Louisiana-Lafayette. The Bobcats come into this game off a 24-14 upset loss at Old Dominion, as a 10.5-point favorite, while the Cajuns have won four straight, including a 34-24 triumph at Coastal Carolina their last game. We'll lay the points with the Bobcats, as teams off double-digit losses, as double-digit favorites the previous week, have cashed 66.2% of regular season games vs. conference foes off back to back wins. Additionally, the Bobcats have cashed 70% of conference games off upset defeats, while the Cajuns are 3-10-1 ATS vs. foes off upset losses. Take Texas State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-28-24 |
Blazers v. Kings -12 |
Top |
98-111 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 38 m |
Show
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At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over the Portland Trail Blazers. The Trail Blazers blew out New Orleans, 125-103, as a 6.5-point home dog last night, while the Kings fell by 4 points at Los Angeles, on Saturday. We'll lay the points with Sacramento, as double-digit favorites off a SU loss have covered 62.3% since 1990 vs. unrested foes, if their foe was off an upset win as a home underdog of more than 5 points. Moreover, the Kings are 28-10 ATS off back to back losses, including 8-0 ATS their last eight. Take Sacramento. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-28-24 |
Giants +6 v. Steelers |
Top |
18-26 |
Loss |
-105 |
92 h 34 m |
Show
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At 8:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over Pittsburgh. The New York Giants mustered just 3 points last week, in a 25-point loss to the Eagles, while the Steelers went for 37 in a 22-point win vs. the New York Jets. Given the disparate results, the knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the home team in this Monday Night Football game. But I will grab the points with New York, as underdogs off losses by more than 20 points have gone 40-24-1 ATS vs. foes off wins by more than 20 points. Take the Giants. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-28-24 |
Giants v. Steelers OVER 36 |
Top |
18-26 |
Win
|
100 |
92 h 32 m |
Show
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At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Pittsburgh/New York Giants game. Last week, in Russell Wilson's debut for the Steelers, Mike Tomlin's men racked up 37 points in a 22-point win over the Jets. And that was the most points that the Steelers scored in a win since October 18, 2020, when they blew out Cleveland, 38-7. I expect a relatively high-scoring game on Monday, and will take the OVER, as Pittsburgh has gone 75-51-2 OVER the total when the O/U line was less than 40 points, including 30-8-2 OVER when the Steelers were favored between -3.5 and -8.5 points. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-28-24 |
Rockets -2.5 v. Spurs |
Top |
106-101 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 40 m |
Show
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At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs. This is the 2nd of two back-to-back meetings between these Lone Star State rivals, with both being played in the Alamo City. We played on San Antone in Saturday's game, and were rewarded with a 109-106 upset win. We'll switch gears tonight, and take the road favorite, Houston. Since 1990, in the regular season, teams have cashed 56% in the 2nd of back-to-back meetings if they were upset in the prior game. Additionally, the Rockets are 19-10 ATS on the road vs. the Spurs when playing with revenge, while the Spurs are 0-6 ATS vs. division foes following an upset win. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-28-24 |
Dodgers v. Yankees -136 |
Top |
4-2 |
Loss |
-136 |
14 h 40 m |
Show
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At 8:08 pm, our selection is on the New York Yankees over the Los Angeles Dodgers. For sure, the Yankees wanted to win one of the first two games of the series in L.A. And while being down 0-2 is not ideal, New York can take some positives away from those first two games. The main thing is that the Yanks were in both games right up until the end and had a big chance to win one or even both of those. They'll return home to a raucous crowd tonight in the Bronx with RH Clarke Schmidt on the mound. But the most important factor might be the fact that RH Walker Buehler is going for the Dodgers. The 30-year-old struggled all season but particularly on the road where he was 0-2 with a 6.53 ERA in seven regular season starts. That carried over to his first start of the playoffs when he got knocked around in San Diego for six runs in five innings. Conversely, Schmidt has been solid this post-season, allowing two runs in each of his two starts so far. The Yanks were also 6-2 in Schmidt's eight home starts this season (this will be his first home start of the playoffs). Take New York. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-28-24 |
Nuggets -8 v. Raptors |
Top |
127-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 7 m |
Show
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At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Toronto. The Nuggets lost to the Clippers, 109-104, on Saturday, and are 0-2 on the season. Meanwhile, the Raptors got the cover in their last game, as they lost 112-101, as a 15-point road underdog at Minnesota. We'll lay the points tonight, as Denver is an awesome 71-43-5 ATS off back-to-back losses. Additionally, the Nuggets are 37-19 ATS vs. Toronto, including 20-7 ATS on the road. And the Raptors are 0-7 ATS their last seven (and 1-13-1 ATS their last 15) as a home dog off a point spread win. Take Denver minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-27-24 |
Cowboys +5 v. 49ers |
Top |
24-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
68 h 43 m |
Show
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At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys + the points over San Francisco. Dallas was blown out, 47-9, two weeks ago, and had last week off to lick their wounds and regroup for this huge game against San Francisco. The Cowboys have been installed as a road underdog. And NFL dogs of +4 (or more) points have cashed 72.7% ATS off losses by more than 37 points. We'll take the Cowboys on this Sunday night. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-27-24 |
Bucks -9.5 v. Nets |
Top |
102-115 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 51 m |
Show
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At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Brooklyn Nets. We cashed our Central Division Game of the Year on Chicago over Milwaukee on Friday, when the Bulls blew out the Bucks, 133-122, as a 9.5-point road underdog. But off that blowout home defeat, we'll play on the Bucks to bounce back on Sunday evening. Indeed, Milwaukee is an awesome 22-9 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite of more than 8 points, including 8-1 ATS on the road. And Brooklyn is a brutal 10-22 ATS as a home underdog vs. foes off home upset losses. Take Milwaukee. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-27-24 |
Panthers +10.5 v. Broncos |
Top |
14-28 |
Loss |
-108 |
64 h 49 m |
Show
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At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Denver Broncos. The Panthers are in a tailspin, and have failed to cover the spread by 23, 12, and 22 points in their last 3 games. They're now getting more than a touchdown from the Broncos, and underdogs of more than 4 points that failed to cover the spread by 12+ points in each of their last three games, have gone 16-4 ATS their last 20, including 9-1 ATS on the road. Take Carolina. Good luck as always...Al McMordie.
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10-27-24 |
Panthers v. Broncos UNDER 41.5 |
Top |
14-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
64 h 45 m |
Show
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At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Carolina/Denver game. The Panthers' defense is giving up 34.7 ppg this season. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for their games to go Over the total. But consider that NFL teams with horrid defenses that give up more than 34 ppg, have gone 160-106 UNDER the total. We played on Carolina/Washington UNDER last week, and got the $$$ in the Commanders' 40-7 win. We'll take the UNDER once again, as it falls into a 112-55 totals system of mine. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-27-24 |
Saints v. Chargers UNDER 41 |
Top |
8-26 |
Win
|
100 |
63 h 29 m |
Show
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At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Under in the New Orleans/LA Chargers game. The Chargers are 5-1 Under this season. And their one game which went Over -- their 23-16 win at Denver -- only did so when the Broncos kicked a FG with 1:03 left in the game. For those who follow coach Jim Harbaugh, this isn't a surprise, as the 49ers went 21-13 Under his last 2 seasons with them, as head coach. I'll look for another low-scoring Chargers game on this Sunday.
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10-27-24 |
Saints +7 v. Chargers |
Top |
8-26 |
Loss |
-100 |
63 h 27 m |
Show
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At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over the Los Angeles Chargers. The Saints were blown out in their Thursday night football game, 33-10, by the Denver Broncos. I like playing on NFL teams off huge blowout losses on Thursdays, and especially when they're installed as an underdog vs. an unrested opponent. One reason is that teams that get embarrassed are highly-motivated to redeem themselves in their next game. And when you are able to get points as a dog, and play a team which isn't as well-rested, it adds up to an advantageous situation, which has cashed north of 60% over the last 45 years. Take New Orleans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-27-24 |
Falcons v. Bucs UNDER 46 |
Top |
31-26 |
Loss |
-115 |
60 h 26 m |
Show
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At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Atlanta/Tampa Bay game. The Bucs lost their top 2 receivers when Chris Godwin and Mike Evans went down with injuries in Monday's loss to Baltimore. QB Baker Mayfield will now have to rely on rookie Jalen McMillan, ex-NY Giant, Sterling Shepard, and 2nd year-pro, Trey Palmer. Although the Buccaneers have played their last four games Over the total, including a 36-30 overtime loss at Atlanta three games ago, I expect their offense to take a major step backwards on Sunday. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-27-24 |
Cardinals v. Dolphins OVER 45.5 |
Top |
28-27 |
Win
|
100 |
60 h 25 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Arizona/Miami game. Tua Tagovailoa is set to return from the injured reserve this week, and I'll pull the trigger on the Dolphins and Cards to go Over the total. Without their star QB under center, the Dolphins' offense has sputtered in their last four games, and averaged just 10 points. Three of those four games went Under the total. For the season, Miami is averaging just 11.66 ppg. And NFL teams that average 11.66 (or less) points, and have gone Under their previous two games, have proceeded to play OVERS in their next game 66% of the time. Take the Over.
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10-26-24 |
Kings +2.5 v. Lakers |
Top |
127-131 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 50 m |
Show
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At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. LeBron James & Co. are off to a 2-0 start, with SU/ATS home wins over the Timberwolves and Suns. We'll fade Los Angeles at home tonight, as it is a poor 103-142-7 ATS in the regular season off back-to-back wins and covers, including 13-29 ATS when playing its 3rd straight home game. Take the Kings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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