At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Pittsburgh Penguins.  These two teams played about as close a game as can be played on Sunday with the Penguins finally prevailing, 1-0 at home.  The rematch is tonight and you can bet that with the Bruins falling even further behind in the East -- and with the Rangers trailing them by only four points -- the visitors will come out much more physically than they did in the first game.  Despite the loss, Boston still has the upper hand in the season series, leading four games to three with tonight being the last meeting of the season.  However, Pittsburgh is still without the services of Evgeni Malkin, a critical piece of the Penguins' overall structure (and Malkin hasn't played a game since March 16 against these Bruins).  When teams hold the Bruins' offense down, the Bruins typically rebound in the next game, going 8-1 in their last nine immediately after scoring two goals or less.  Boston is also 6-0 in its last six following two or more consecutive losses.  Take the Bruins.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Islanders over the Washington Capitals.  The Caps did what no other team has been able to do this season, and that's to hand the Islanders back-to-back home losses.  Tonight's game will instead be played in the nation's capital, and we'll back the revenge-minded Islanders.  New York is a solid 16-6 when playing with revenge from a home loss, and 26-16 off back-to-back losses.  Take the Islanders.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the San Jose Sharks over the Arizona Coyotes.  Tonight, the Sharks will try to snap their losing streak, which reached 8 games with their 6-3 home loss to the Minnesota Wild on Saturday.  Meanwhile, their opponent tonight, Arizona, comes into this game off a 4-0 shutout of the Los Angeles Kings at Staples Center.  Unfortunately, the Coyotes are a poor 36-62 (minus 22 games on the moneyline) off a division win, and 35-61 (minus 18 games on the moneyline) off a road win.  Additionally, San Jose generally rebounds off blowout home losses, as it's 71-48 (+20 games on the moneyline) off a home loss by more than two goals.  Take the Sharks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Minnesota.  These two teams met two nights ago in Salt Lake City, and the T-Wolves stunned the Jazz, 101-96, as a 12-point underdog.  And even more stunning is the fact that the 17-44 Timberwolves also defeated the 44-16 Jazz in the season's first meeting -- also in Salt Lake -- as a 9.5-point underdog, 116-111.  But with revenge from those two losses, we'll lay the points with Utah tonight, as double-revenge-minded road teams have cashed 90% over the last 31 seasons if they owned a win percentage at least 33% greater than their opponent.  Even worse for the T-Wolves:  in the regular season, teams playing back to back games against the same opponent are a horrible 23.8% ATS since 1995 if they won the first meeting on the road as an underdog of 7 (or more) points.  As faithful followers know, I love playing against bad teams off wins.  And Minnesota is a wallet-breaking 5-17-1 ATS off an upset win, including 0-12 ATS when priced as an underdog from +6 to +17 points.  Take Utah to blow out Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over New York.  The Knicks come into this game off nine straight wins, including double-digit upset wins over Atlanta (137-127) and Toronto (120-103) in their last two.  Unfortunately for New York, underdogs off back to back double-digit upset wins, in which they scored 120+ points, have gone 0-10 ATS.  Take Phoenix to blow out New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Dallas Stars.  If not for two overtime losses to two of the best teams in Division, the Hurricanes would be 5-0 in their last five games coming into tonight.  On April 19, the 'Canes dropped a tough 3-2 decision to the Lightning and then on the 24th, they lost 4-3 in OT, this time to the Panthers.  They revenged the Tampa loss one night later on April 20.  But they won't get the chance to do the same thing to Florida as, instead, the Canes have to travel to Dallas to take on the Stars.  This is a great match-up for Carolina, which is 5-1 in the last six meetings with Dallas going back to the start of the season.  The Hurricanes are also a solid 14-6 in their last 20 games coming off a one-goal loss to a division rival, and 10-5 in their last 15 coming off a loss.  Take Carolina.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Orlando Magic.  The Lakers come into tonight's game on a 3-Game SU/ATS losing streak.  But those three losses were to the Utah Jazz and Dallas Mavericks (twice).  Tonight's game is against the Orlando Magic, who are on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak (and who have lost 11 of their last 12 games).  The problem for the Magic is that they've had a "red carpet" defense of late.  Four of their last five opponents have shot 50% from the floor.  The Magic are an atrocious 4-17-1 ATS at home vs. foes off a loss, including 1-10-1 ATS as an underdog.  Lay the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Atlanta.  These two teams have already met twice this season, with each game won by the Hawks.  But both games were competitive (Detroit lost by eight, 128-120, on December 28, and in overtime on January 20), and both games were in Atlanta.  Tonight's game is in the Motor City, and we'll grab the points with the home underdog.  The Pistons are competing hard this season for coach Dwane Casey, and they're at their best when they're off an ATS loss, as they're 20-5 ATS in that situation, including 8-1 ATS as a home underdog.  Atlanta will be at a scheduling disadvantage tonight, as it will be unrested, and playing its 3rd game in four nights (and fifth game in seven nights).  Meanwhile, the Pistons are rested.  And revenge-minded NBA teams off a loss have cashed 59.2% ATS vs. unrested foes off a win that were playing their 3rd game in four nights.  Take the Pistons.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Avalanche over the St. Louis Blues.  The Avs, Knights, and Wild have all locked up a spot in the post-season but that doesn't mean they can cruise for the next eight games.  Vegas has wrested first place away from Colorado and that could be a big deal with the likelihood of fans in the stands come playoff time.  So don't look for the Avs to take a breather heading into the final 18 days of the season as they desperately would like to leapfrog the Knights to get back into first place.  They are looking for revenge tonight in the third game of a three-game set in St. Louis.  This is the rubber match, as Colorado took the first one on Thursday, then the Blues returned the favor on Saturday, scoring five goals in the process.  That loss snapped a five-game win streak for the Avs who are hoping to get more players back from the COVID-19.  The win on Saturday also snapped five straight for the Avs in this series.  For technical support, consider that the Avs are 11-0 in their last 11 when revenging a same-season loss vs. an opponent.  Take Colorado.

At 3:05 pm, on NBC TV, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Pittsburgh Penguins.  There are few teams in the league as hot as the Penguins right now.  Pittsburgh has won six of its last eight games and it's been having all of this success despite the loss of C Evegeni Malkin who continues to miss time due to a lower body injury.  The Pens actually took over first place in the East briefly after they beat the Devils yesterday afternoon -- that is, until the Caps won later in the day and jumped back on top.  Boston currently sits in fourth place, six points behind the Caps.  But Boston has also played two less games than each of the other three contenders.  Don't be surprised if the final eight games is a real back-and-forth between the Caps, Pens, Bruins, and Isles who have separated themselves from the rest of the pack in their Division.  So this is a quick turnaround for the Pens.  The Bruins come into today's game also off a loss to the Sabres but they are still 21-10 in the last 31 meetings with the Pens.  Take Boston.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Charlotte.  This series has been dominated lately by the Celtics, as they've won the last four meetings by 21, 26, 17 and 30 points.  Even better for Boston:  it's 16-3-1 ATS over the last 20 meetings, including 10-1 ATS if the Hornets were off a win, and 7-0 ATS if Boston was laying 7+ points.  Boston does come into this game off a SU/ATS loss to the Brooklyn Nets, but it's a solid 34-18-2 ATS as a rested favorite, away from home, off a loss.  Meanwhile, the Hornets are a wallet-busting 24-47-2 ATS at home off a SU/ATS win, if matched up against a rested, non-division foe off a loss.  Lay the points with the Celtics.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the San Diego Padres over the Los Angeles Dodgers.  Rookie southpaw Ryan (son of David) Weathers earned another start after his solid performance last week vs. the Dodgers (and mound opponent, Walker Buehler).  In that game -- the first of 19 regular season games between these SoCal rivals -- Weathers gave up 0 ER in 3 2-3 innings, and allowed just 1 hit and 2 walks.  San Diego ended up falling to the Dodgers, 11-6, in extra innings, and lost two of the three games in that series.  We played on the Padres as a home underdog in the third game of that series against the Dodgers' Trevor Bauer, and got the $$$ when the Padres pulled off the mild upset.  San Diego is a bigger underdog today.  Indeed, it's the biggest price on San Diego yet this season.  And we'll take the live underdog, as the Padres are 10-9 (+7.4 games on the moneyline) when priced as a road underdog of +150 or more.  Take San Diego.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:45 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Giants over the Miami Marlins.  Whereas NL teams like the Braves, Cardinals, and Nats have struggled this season, the Giants and Marlins have done much better than expected.  The Giants even have a winning record.  And even though the Marlins are still under the .500 mark, they are very close and seem like they've been in just about every game they've played regardless of the outcome.  For the Giants, they're finding success with their veterans leading the way...guys like Posey, Belt, and Cueto.  On the other hand, it's been mostly young guns for the Fish.  So it's fitting that tonight's pitching match-up features an eight-year MLB veteran for the Giants in RH Aaron Sanchez vs. a second-year rookie in LH Daniel Castano.  It's true that Sanchez is still looking for his first win of 2021, but he has pitched well enough to have at least two victories at this point, posting a 2.45 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in his three starts covering just under 15 innings.  It won't hurt Sanchez tonight that Oracle Park has not been friendly to the Fish lately, as Miami is just 1-4 in its last five tries here.  Take the Giants.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Detroit.  This game will be the 2nd in two nights for Detroit, and also its fifth game in seven nights.  Unfortunately for Detroit, the Spurs have generally done well vs. unrested teams, as they've gone 100-73 ATS.  But those numbers zoom to 25-9 ATS if the Spurs are off an upset loss, including 5-1 ATS if San Antonio's foe was playing its fifth game in seven nights.  Last night, Gregg Popovich's crew were embarrassed here, at home, by the Miami Heat, 107-87.  We'll play on the Silver and Black to rebound this evening, as San Antonio is 41-12-2 ATS as a favorite off a loss by more than 17 points, when matched up against a foe off an ATS win.  Take San Antone.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Red Sox over the Seattle Mariners.  Here are two teams that were expected to be also-rans in their respective divisions.  It's early, but so far the Mariners and Red Sox have been two of the biggest surprises in the AL this season.  Seattle is 11-7 and sitting fairly comfortably in second place in the West while the Red Sox, at 12-7, are all alone atop the East.  Boston is pretty good at grabbing starting pitchers off the MLB scrap heap and bringing them back to life.  The Sox did it three seasons ago with Nathan Eovaldi.  And now Eovaldi is having his best season ever -- albeit in a small sample size.  But the latest reclamation project is 28-year-old RH Nick Pivetta.  Pivetta was toiling in Philly as a middle reliever when Boston picked him up last August and he hasn't looked back, assuming a full time rotation job, while going 2-0 in three starts with a 3.68 ERA.  Pivetta's teams are 7-1 in his last eight starts as a home favorite.  Meanwhile, the Mariners are a wallet-busting 17-40 in the last 57 meetings in Boston.   Take the Red Sox.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Minnesota.  These two teams met here, in Sacramento, last night.  And the Timberwolves came away with a 134-120 upset win.  Unfortunately for Minnesota, unrested teams off upset wins the previous day, have covered just 37% since Dec. 21, 1990, if they scored more than 130 points in that upset win.  Moreover, Minnesota is a poor 27-46-1 ATS off an upset road win, including 6-21 ATS when priced between +3 and +8 points.  Take the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Detroit.  The Mavs were upset by Sacramento, here at home, in their previous game, while Detroit upset the Cavaliers in its most recent game.  That bodes well for the Mavericks, as they're 116-72 ATS off a loss when playing an opponent off a win.  Lay the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the New York Knicks.  Last night, New York covered the point spread in its 10th straight game.  But we'll fade New York tonight, as home teams have covered just 13% of the time off 10+ ATS wins in the regular season, if they also covered the spread by 5+ points in their previous game.  Take Atlanta + the points.

At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Angels over the Texas Rangers.  We will forgive Shohei Ohtani for only having one start in 2021 up to this point.  The 26-year-old Japanese superstar has been busy crushing balls, driving in runs, and even stealing the occasional base as a DH this season.  There may not be much argument anymore that Ohtani is more valuable to this club as an everyday hitter.  But given the state of the Angels' rotation and the fact that Ohtani is probably good enough to be a #3 starter on most teams, he will continue to get regular starts assuming he's healthy.  Start number two for the RH comes tonight against a Rangers team which has had some production issues lately (notwithstanding Monday's 6-run outburst).  Veteran RHP Jordan Lyles will get the start for Texas and, although his ERA (4.70) is better than last season, that's not saying much. In 2020, Lyles led the league with 45 earned runs allowed, which resulted in a scary 7.02 ERA.  And his teams are a horrid 24-50 (minus 13 games on the moneyline) as a road underdog in his career starts.  Despite their victory yesterday, the Rangers are still just 1-5 in their last six games vs. RH starters, and 44-75 (minus 17 games on the moneyline) their last 119 on the road.  Take Los Angeles.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Tampa Bay Lightning.  Tampa Bay won last night against Carolina, 3-2, but we'll take the 'Canes in this rematch.  Carolina is a fantastic 13-5 this season vs. winning teams, and 25-12 (+11 games on the moneyline) when playing without rest.  It's also 28-17 off a division loss.  Meanwhile, the Lightning are a poor 16-17 (minus 13 games on the moneyline) after winning its previous game in overtime.  Take Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Phillies over the San Francisco Giants.  Logan Webb is a perfect example why you need to ignore spring training statistics.  Webb's numbers this spring were completely off the charts -- one run on seven hits in 17 innings (a 0.53 ERA) with 22 strikeouts and two walks.  Pretty impressive, right?  The only problem is that the 24-year-old Giants RH has a career MLB ERA of over five runs, and a career WHIP of over 1.50 (his minor league numbers weren't much better for the most part).  And so far this season, Webb is 0-1 with a 4.76 ERA in three appearances, including two starts, covering 11 1/3 innings.  He has a tough assignment tonight as well, having to face a Phillies team which will put a proven starter on the mound in veteran RH Zach Wheeler.  Wheeler is 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA in three starts covering 18 innings.  The Giants took the first game of this three-game series last night, but the Phillies are still 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these two here at Citizens Bank Park.  Take Philadelphia.

At 4:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Seattle Mariners.  Los Angeles lost back-to-back games for the first time last night.  The Dodgers certainly had their chances, but were unable to get the key hits they needed to mount a comeback win.  In the 9th inning, Mookie Betts was hit in his forearm by a pitch, so it would not be a surprise if he is held out of this afternoon game.  But we'll still back the defending champs today, as Seattle is an awful 27-49 (minus 14 games on the moneyline) vs. left-handed starters, and 27-64 (minus 16 games on the moneyline) as underdogs of +150 (or more).   And Julio Urias is one of the best (and one of my favorite) lefties in baseball.  The Dodgers are 3-0 behind Urias this season and, in his career, are 10-3 (+4 games on the moneyline) as road favorites with him on the mound.  Take the Dodgers.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over the New York Knicks.  It's often said that "all good things must come to an end," and that's the case today with the Knicks ATS win streak.  Dating back to April 3, New York has covered its last eight games.  But New York is a horrid 0-12 ATS if it was on a 7-game (or better) ATS win streak, and wasn't getting 6+ points in its current game.  This is also a rematch of a game won by the Knicks, 116-106, in New Orleans this past Wednesday.  But New York is a wallet-breaking 34.6% ATS over the last 31 years as a favorite of more than 2 points against a non-conference foe it upset in the previous meeting earlier in the season.  Finally, New Orleans comes into this game off back to back upset defeats.  However, the Pelicans are 8-1 ATS their last 9 off two straight upset losses.  Take the points with New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  This will be Miami's final game in its 4-game road trip.  And, after losing back to back games against Phoenix and Denver, Miami will no doubt be happy to play the NBA's worst team tonight.  Minnesota has won just 14 of its 56 games this season.  And, since 1990, losing teams are a poor 43% ATS as home dogs in non-division games vs. rested, winning teams off back to back losses.  Additionally, Miami is 25-6 ATS away from home off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take the Heat.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Reds over the Cleveland Indians.  The Reds will hand the ball to Jeff Hoffman tonight, while Cleveland will start Logan Allen.  This will be Allen's first road start this season.  And he's been a much worse pitcher away from home (8.10 ERA) compared to his outings at home (3.60 ERA). Hoffman will be making his second start at home, and his first one was brilliant, as he gave up just 1 run over 5 innings, in a 12-1 Cincy victory vs. the Cardinals. Overall, the Reds have won their last five at home.  And that bodes well, especially given that Cleveland is a poor 18-24 (minus 7.4 games on the moneyline) on the road, when priced from +125 to -125.  Take the Reds in this opening game of this 3-game series.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks over the Atlanta Hawks.  Giannis Antetokounmpo has just been upgraded to 'probable,' so we'll put the trigger on the Bucks.  Both teams do come into this game on win streaks.  The Bucks routed the Magic by 37, and the Timberwolves by 25.  Meanwhile, Atlanta's won its last three in a row, including back to back upset wins over Charlotte and Toronto in their last two.  Generally speaking, I like to go against teams off back to back upset wins, and especially if they're matched up against foes also in good form, off back to back wins, themselves.  Dating back to 1990, our teams off back to back upset wins are a poor 166-228 ATS.  That doesn't bode well for Atlanta tonight.  Nor does the fact that the Hawks have lost 11 of the last 12 meetings, straight-up, vs. Milwaukee.  And Atlanta's only win was by a single point, 136-135, in overtime.  Finally, Atlanta's a poor 20-39 ATS as home dogs off a win, if they're matched up against a non-division foe.  Lay the points with Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks over the Memphis Grizzlies.  The Mavs come into tonight's game off back to back home losses, including an 18-point blowout at the hands of the Philly 76ers.  I love Dallas to rebound off those defeats, and get the W tonight at Memphis.  Indeed, the Mavs are 24-6 straight-up, and 23-6-1 ATS their last 30 as road favorites of less than 7 points, including a perfect 4-0 ATS off back to back losses.  Even better:  Dallas is a terrific 77-39-1 ATS off a loss by 14+ points.  And it's 116-71 ATS off a loss, if its opponent was off a straight-up win.  Take the Mavericks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros over Detroit.  After dropping Games 1 + 2 in this three-game series, the Astros will look to salvage things with a win in Game 3, tonight.  Lance McCullers, Jr. will get the start for the Astros, and he's been a model of consistency in his two starts this season.  McCullers went five innings in each start, and also gave up just one run, two hits and three walks in both of those starts!  Tonight, McCullers will face a Tigers team, which will hand the ball to Michael Fulmer.  Unfortunately for Detroit, Fulmer is 0-2 in his career vs. Houston, with an ERA north of 6 runs per game, and a WHIP of 1.79.  The Tigers are a dreadful 43-133 (minus 32 games on the moneyline) as an underdog of +200 (or higher), and 11-28 (minus 13 games on the moneyline) after allowing 2 or less runs in their previous game.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:45 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Reds over the San Francisco Giants.  Yesterday, we played on the Giants behind Kevin Gausman, and were rewarded with a 7-6 come-from-behind victory.  Today, we'll switch gears, and take the road team, Cincinnati.  The Reds will hand the ball to RHP Tyler Mahle, who has been terrific this season.  Mahle has made two starts, and threw four shutout innings last Friday at Arizona, and gave up just two earned runs over five innings vs. the Cardinals, back on April 3.  Today, Mahle will match up against the Giants' Johnny Cueto, who has a career 4.50 ERA vs. the Reds.  Cincy is 11-6 behind Mahle, when installed as a favorite.  Take the Reds.

At 1:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Brewers over the Chicago Cubs.  The Brewers' Corbin Burnes has been as effective as any pitcher in baseball through his first two starts.  He's faced the Twins and Cardinals, and has given up just 1 run over 12 1-3 innings, while allowing just two baserunners (!!!), and striking out 20 batters.  Today, Burnes will take on Jake Arrieta and the Cubs.  Chicago's a poor 26-38 on the division road, and 140-284 (minus 42 games on the moneyline) as an underdog of +150 (or higher), while Milwaukee is a dominant 255-134 (+25 games on the moneyline) as a home favorite of -150 (or more).  Take the Brewers this afternoon.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors. It has just been announced that Trae Young will not play for Atlanta, so that's enough for us to pull the trigger on the Raptors. Take Toronto tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over the Phoenix Suns.  We played on Houston last Monday vs. these Suns, and got the cash when the Rockets lost by just three points, 133-130, as a 14-point home underdog.  And we also played on the Suns in their last game, which was an easy win for us vs. the Wizards (134-106).  Tonight, we'll once again take Houston as a double-digit underdog, as it comes into this game off back to back blowout losses, at the Clippers, and at the Warriors.  But Houston is a solid 91-59 ATS on the road as an underdog off back to back ATS losses, including 39-17 ATS when playing with revenge.  And Phoenix is a horrid 9-29 ATS as a favorite of 9+ points, if it was off a win, in which it covered by 9+ points.  And the Suns are also 0-7 ATS their last seven vs. Houston, if the Suns were off a double-digit win.  Take the Rockets + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros over Detroit.  Zack Greinke will get the ball tonight, as he looks to stop the bleeding for Houston, after it dropped its last two games on Friday + Saturday to the Oakland A's.  The good news for Houston is that Greinke is as good as any pitcher in baseball when installed as a favorite, as his teams have gone 196-112 in his career, including 36-8 (+19 games on the moneyline) when priced as a favorite of -200 (or more).  Meanwhile, Detroit is 42-133 (minus 34 games on the moneyline) as an underdog of +200 (or more).  Finally, Houston is 31-6 its last 37 when playing with a day off.  Take the Astros.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Angels over the Kansas City Royals.  For years, the Angels had Mike Trout's bat in the line-up and not a whole lot more.  Sure, future Hall of Famer Albert Pujols put in some very good seasons alongside Trout, but the offense was missing that spark plug to go with the best player in the game.  But those days may be over and Trout may finally have some major help in the top half of the order in the form of Japanese star Shohei Ohtani.  In his fourth season in the Majors and with his injuries apparently behind him, the 26-year-old Ohtani is having a Trout-like campaign so far in 2021, showing both power at the plate and speed on the basepaths.  Tonight, it will be veteran RH Alex Cobb getting his second start for L.A. as the Halos try to come back from a big 15-1 loss on Saturday.  The Angels are 4-2 in the last six meetings and will face the Royals' Brady Singer, who was hit hard by the Rangers in his 2021 debut (3 1/3 IP, 6 R, 5H, 3 BB).  KC is a poor 13-25 when priced from -125 to +125. and 67-106 (minus 13 games on the moneyline) vs. RHP.  Take L.A.

At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Cardinals over the Washington Nationals.  The fluid state of the Cards' rotation gives opportunity to talented pitchers who want a chance to show their stuff as a starter.  Enter 28-year-old RH John Gant.  Gant was a star out of the bullpen in 2019, going 11-1 with a 3.66 ERA despite not starting a single game (he also threw in three saves).  Then in a short 2020 campaign, Gant showed that the previous year was no fluke as he posted a 2.40 ERA in 17 games, although his W-L record took a hit.  Those numbers, combined with elbow injuries to Mikolas and Hudson, have enabled Gant to get a shot at starting.  And in his first effort he didn't disappoint, throwing four scoreless innings in a Cards win over Miami last Tuesday.  Normally a second start against a team like the Nats for someone like Gant might be concerning, but Washington seems to be in total disarray right now with a 1-5 record after a late start to its season due to COVID.  The Nats are also 17-40 in their last 57 trips to St. Louis.  Take the Cards.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Orlando Magic.  Milwaukee's banged-up right now, as many key players (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jrue Holiday, Donte DiVincenzo, Brook Lopez, Khris Middleton) missed its last game -- a 127-119 loss to Charlotte.  The good news tonight is that Milwaukee should still have its way with the Magic, regardless of which Bucks players suit up for this game.  Orlando's lost four straight, and 17 of 21.  And it's an awful 16-33 ATS its last 49 vs. .595 (or better) foes.  Milwaukee, meanwhile, is 34-17 ATS vs. sub-.650 foes, if Milwaukee lost its previous game.  Finally, over the last 31 years, road favorites with a win percentage greater than .600, have covered 65% off 3 SU/ATS losses, if matched up against a non-division foe.  Lay the points with Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Islanders over the New York Rangers.  These two teams met on Friday, and the Rangers blew out the Isles, 4-1, in Uniondale.  But I love the Isles to avenge that home loss, back at home this afternoon.  The Islanders are 13-3 this season vs. losing teams, and also a perfect 6-0 at home after giving up 4+ goals in their previous game.  The Rangers, meanwhile, are an awful 10-23 (minus 11 games on the moneyline) off a win by more than 2 goals, and 13-28 off a road win.  Take the Isles to bounce back on Sunday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4:10 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Reds over the Arizona Diamondbacks.  Roughly 10 games into the MLB season, there have been some surprising performances.  But none have been more surprising than that of the Cincinnati Reds.  After an off-season that saw their best player -- pitcher Trevor Bauer -- sign a free agent contract with the Dodgers, most people figured that 2021 would be a rebuilding year at best.  And it still could be.  But right now the Reds are sitting alone in first place in the NL Central with a 6-2 record.  Tonight will be the rubber game in this three-game set with the D-Backs.  And RH Jose DeLeon will get his second start for the Reds after a solid outing first time out in a Reds win over the Pirates last Monday.  RH Luke Weaver also gets his second Arizona start of 2021.  Once a promising prospect with the Cards, Weaver saw things completely unravel last season with the D-Backs as he went 1-9 with a 6.58 ERA in 12 starts.  Despite the loss last night, Cincy is 4-2 in the last six meetings here in Arizona.  Take the Reds.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Charlotte.  These two teams are surprisingly having strong seasons, as they sit in the 4th (Charlotte) and 5th (Atlanta) spots in the Eastern conference.  So, this game is critical for playoff positioning.  We'll take the Hawks, as they fall into a 145-66 ATS revenge system of mine, after losing, 113-105, to the Hornets in the last meeting.  Additionally, the Hawks are 11-3 ATS when playing with revenge from a road loss.  And, since 1990, they've cashed 67% as road favorites vs. winning teams, if Atlanta was playing with revenge from an upset loss.  Lay the points with Atlanta.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Washington Wizards.  Yesterday, the Wizards upset Golden State, 110-107, as a 4.5-point road underdog.  But off that upset win, we'll fade Washington in the Valley of the Sun tonight, as Phoenix is playing with revenge from a 128-107 upset loss to Washington earlier this season.  The Suns are 33-18 ATS this season -- an NBA best -- and they're doing their best work at home, where they've covered the spread by 3.37 points per game.  The Suns are 15-5 ATS their last 20 at home, and they also fall into a 58-22 ATS system of mine which plays on certain .673 (or better) teams playing with revenge from losses by more than 20 points.  Finally, since 1997, Phoenix has covered 63% at home off a loss vs. foes off upset road wins.  Take Phoenix to blow out Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Wild over the St Louis Blues.  Last night, the Wild suffered one of their worst defeats in the history of the franchise when they lost, 9-1, to St. Louis.  But off that huge embarrassing loss, we'll take Minnesota to bounce back on Saturday afternoon.  Indeed, the Wild generally do just that, as they're 32-22 after allowing 6+ goals in their previous game, and 20-8 their last 28 (+13 games on the moneyline) off a loss by more than 4 goals.  And they're 10-2 when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 3 goals.  Take the Wild over St. Louis.  Good luck, as always.....Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros over the Oakland Athletics.  Nobody knew how the Astros would perform this season, being that they will face hostile fans at virtually every road venue since they were caught in a cheating scandal.  But so far, this Houston team seems to have used the adversity to its advantage, getting off to a 6-2 start.  And while the road fans may not be very friendly to them, the 'Stros will be greeted with nothing but love here at Minute Maid Park this season.  RH Jose Urquidy didn't start pitching for the 'Stros until 2019 so he has been somewhat immune to the controversy and that's probably fine with him.  More importantly, the 24-year-old is a very talented player with a bright future.  After a very solid rookie season, Urquidy landed a full-time rotation spot in the shortened 2020 season and responded with a 2.73 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in five starts covering just under 30 innings.  The A's may have taken game one of this series last night, but they are still 1-6 in the last seven meetings with Houston.  Take the Astros.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Lightning over the Columbus Blue Jackets.  If you're a Lightning fan, you may be a bit concerned over the team's recent struggles, but it's certainly no reason to panic.  After all, this is a club that usually saves its major problems for the playoffs -- last season notwithstanding.  The fact that Tampa has lost five of its last seven games may not look that good on the surface, but there are plenty of reasons to think it will be the conference favorite heading into the post-season, which begins in a little more than a month.  First, there is the fact that this is a very healthy team going into the final month of the season.  And, second, despite their stumbles of late, the Bolts still feature the top net-minder in the game in veteran Russian Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is sporting the best numbers of his career (2.00 GAA; .931 Sv Pct).  This is a revenge situation for the Bolts and they are 8-2 in their last 10 revenging a loss as a favorite; 26-9 off a road loss; and 31-8 (+18 games on the moneyline) in their last 39 after a loss by two or more goals.  Meanwhile, the Blue Jackets are a wallet-busting 13-21 (minus 12 games on the moneyline) off a home win, in which they scored more than three goals.  Take Tampa.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Memphis.  The Grizzlies and Hawks both played last night.  Memphis went into Miami, and upset the Heat, 124-112, for its 3rd straight win (and 5th straight cover).  Meanwhile, Atlanta defeated New Orleans here, at home, 123-107, for its fourth straight win and cover.  We'll go against Memphis tonight, as this will be its 3rd road game in four nights.  And NBA teams that were playing their 3rd road game in 4 nights, have covered just 37% over the past 31 seasons if they were off two wins, and matched up against an opponent with a better W/L record, which was off back to back SU/ATS wins.  The Hawks are a super 105-56-4 ATS at home in the regular season vs. foes off 3+ wins, including 31-8-2 ATS its last 41 if its opponent was unrested.  Take Atlanta.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Phillies over the New York Mets.  The Phillies got their season off to a 4-0 start, sweeping the Braves in three games and then taking the first of this series on Monday, despite the presence of Jacob deGrom on the mound for New York.  The Phils finally lost on Tuesday, but they come back this afternoon with their ace, RHP Aaron Nola.  The 27-year-old was in mid-season form in his first start last Thursday against Atlanta, throwing 6 2/3 quality innings, allowing two runs on six hits with six Ks and no walks.  And if there's one thing Nola likes, it's starting games against the Mets.  In 16 starts vs. New York, Nola is 8-2 with a 3.30 ERA, including 114 strikeouts and only 75 hits in just over 95 innings.  Throughout his MLB career, Nola has loved pitching in his home park.  In 72 starts here at Citizens Bank, Nola is 33-17 with a 2.98 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 455 2/3 innings (vs. 25-23 with a 4.02 ERA in 68 starts elsewhere).  The Mets are also a woeful 6-20 in their last 26 games as a road underdog of at least +125.  Take Philly.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 2:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Blue Jays over the Texas Rangers.  Two seasons ago, Hyun Jin Ryu had a ridiculous season with the L.A. Dodgers, almost winning the NL Cy Young award while leading his team to yet another NL West Division title.  Ryu signed with the Jays as a free agent in December of that year and proceeded to have another outstanding, albeit shortened, campaign in 2020 with Toronto.  Now with an even better team around him, and a full season with which to work, Ryu may be poised to do with the Jays what he did with the Dodgers.  His first start of 2021 was solid (5 1/3 IP; 2 ER; 5 Ks; 0 BBs) and he looks to follow that up this afternoon with another good outing.  Ryu's career record in day games is even more dominant than his overall numbers.  In 39 daytime starts covering 227 innings, the veteran LHP is 21-9 with a 2.66 ERA with 222 strikeouts and only 40 walks.  And Ryu's teams are 10-2 (+8 games on the moneyline) in his last 12 daytime starts.  Take the Blue Jays.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Twins over the Detroit Tigers.  The Twins are my pick this season (at 22-1 odds) to win the World Series, so we will no doubt be on the Twins often this season.  Today, we'll back Minnesota's veteran righty, Kenta Maeda.  In his first start of the season, Maeda was effective, as he gave up just 1 run in 4 1-3 innings vs. the Brewers.  Here, Maeda will be matched-up against the Detroit Tigers' Matt Boyd.  This is a favorable spot for Minnesota, as Detroit is a horrible 25-64 (minus 27 games on the moneyline) as a home underdog, while Maeda's teams are 36-19 (+ 8 games on the moneyline) when priced from -125 to -175.  Take the Twins.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over Philadelphia.  These two teams met earlier this season in Philadelphia for a back-to-back set.  And the 76ers won each of those two games, by 8 and 12 points, respectively.  But this game is in Boston, and we'll take the homestanding Celtics to avenge those defeats.  Boston comes into this game off back-to-back blowout wins over Houston (118-102) and Charlotte (116-86), and has gone 5-2 ATS its last seven.  That bodes well for Brad Stevens men tonight, as they're 56-23 ATS off a home blowout win by more than 20 points.  And they're 32-12 ATS at home when not favored by 3+ points, including a perfect 9-0 ATS off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Philadelphia, meanwhile, has dropped four of its last five to the point spread.  And the 76ers are a poor 8-22-1 ATS as road favorites vs. .500 (or better) foes off a win, including 0-7-1 ATS if their foe was playing with revenge.  Take the Celtics.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Philadelphia Flyers.  Boston won the first five meetings between these two teams this season, but faltered last night, when it lost, 3-2, in overtime.  But off that loss, we'll take the Bruins to resume their winning ways vs. Philadelphia.  Carter Hart will be in goal tonight for the Flyers, and he's 0-2-2 with a 5.32 GAA and an awful .843 Saves Pct. vs. Boston this season.  The Bruins are a solid 10-5 this season off a loss, and 39-28 when playing with same-season revenge.  Meanwhile, the Flyers are a wallet-busting 209-240 (but minus 76 games on the moneyline) off a road win.  Take the Bruins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over the Phoenix Suns.  The Rockets are 2-25 straight-up, and 5-22 ATS over their last 27 games.  Their problems started when forward Christian Wood sustained an injury in the February 4 game at Memphis, and the Rockets lost their next 20 games.  But Wood returned to action on March 17.  And, then, over the next week, Houston made roster moves to bring in Kelly Olynyk, Avery Bradley, D.J. Augustin, and D.J. Wilson.  And it is now playing better basketball, as it's 2-5 SU and 3-4 ATS its last seven, and has "only" been outscored by an average of 4.42 ppg over this stretch.  Tonight, Houston has been installed as a huge home underdog against the Western conference's #2 seed, the Phoenix Suns, who are on a 5-game winning streak.  This is a letdown spot, as the Suns blew out Oklahoma City by 37 points on Friday, and have games against the two teams (Jazz, Clippers) that sit above and below them in the standings, on Wednesday and Thursday.  We'll take Houston tonight, as double-digit home underdogs, with a win percentage less than .285, off a straight-up loss, have gone 140-73 ATS vs. .630 (or better) foes that are off a straight-up win.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Atlanta.  The Warriors were blasted, 130-77, by the Toronto Raptors on Friday.  But off that loss, we'll take Golden State to rebound this evening against the Hawks.  The good news for Steve Kerr's troops is that superstar Steph Curry will be back on the court tonight.  Curry has missed six of the Warriors' last eight games, due to a tailbone contusion, but was upgraded to 'probable' on Saturday afternoon.  As faithful followers know, I love to play on teams off big losses.  And they don't get much worse than 53 points.  Indeed, NBA favorites (or PK) off losses by more than 40 points have cashed 68.1% over the last 31 seasons!  That bodes well for Golden State on Sunday night.  As does the fact that the Warriors will be playing this game with revenge from a 124-108 loss earlier this season in San Francisco.  And Golden State is a super 51-25 ATS on the road when playing with revenge.  Meanwhile, the Hawks have covered just 34 of 95 as underdogs against rested, revenge-minded foes that they beat by more than 10 points earlier in the season (and just 14 of 55 if their opponent was off a SU/ATS loss).  Take the Warriors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  Last night, the Kings were blown out here, at home, by the injury riddled Los Angeles Lakers.  Los Angeles played without LeBron James, Anthony Davis, and newly-signed Andre Drummond, which made Sacramento a 5-point home favorite.  No matter.  The Lakers won without their stars, 115-94.  Perhaps Sacramento thought it was going to have it easy, and lost focus?  But, as luck would have it, tonight they will face Milwaukee without MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo.  However, with last night's result fresh in the minds of the Kings, I fully expect them to NOT take the Bucks lightly tonight.  Instead, I look for Sacramento to be focused, with an eye toward redeeming itself off its 21-point home loss last night.  The Bucks come into this game off back to back road wins.  But, since 1999, Milwaukee's covered just 38% on the road off back to back road wins.  Take Sacramento.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Orlando.  Will this finally be the year that Utah wins an NBA title?  The Jazz certainly are playing like it.  They're 2nd in adjusted offensive efficiency; 3rd in adjusted defensive efficiency; and #1 (by a mile) in Net adjusted efficiency.  Indeed, the only other teams that rank among the top 10 in both adjusted offensive and adjusted defensive efficiency are the Suns and Bucks.  But they're 3.75 and 4.24 points, respectively, behind Utah in Net adjusted efficiency.  Not surprisingly, the Jazz are also doing great "in Vegas," as they're #2 in the NBA with a .625 ATS win percentage (30-18 ATS), trailing only the Phoenix Suns (32-16 ATS).  Utah did, however, fail to cover the point spread in each of its two previous games.  But in the 2nd half of the NBA season (Game 42 forward), NBA teams with a .625 (or better) ATS win percentage, off back to back ATS losses, have rebounded to cover the spread 72.4% over the last 31 years when they were playing at home.  Even better:  Utah's 17-4 ATS its last 21 at home; 8-2 ATS its last 10 at home when playing without rest; and 151-109 ATS at home off back to back ATS losses.  Lay the points with the Jazz.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Vegas Golden Knights over the Minnesota Wild.  There's not much separating the Knights, Wild and Avalanche right now in the Honda West Division.  There's only a four points difference in the standings among those three, and the 4th place team is eight points behind.  The fact that these three are in a dogfight with each other was borne out on Thursday night.  The Wild and Knights played to a 3-2 shootout final won by Minnesota.  And the shots-on-goal in that game were 37 apiece.  But there are several reasons to think that the Knights will come through tonight in the rematch.  First, there's the fact that the Knights are 7-3 in their last 10 coming off a home loss to a division rival and 4-1 in their last five off of a close loss (one goal or less) to a division rival.  Second is the fact that despite Thursday's result, the home team is 6-1 in the last seven meetings of these two.  Finally, Vegas is 8-3 (+7 games on the moneyline) in its last 11 games when revenging a loss vs. an opponent.  Take the Knights.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins + the points over Gonzaga.  I think it's safe to say that we should throw out UCLA's last four Pac-12 games (all losses) to end its conference season.  And that's because Mick Cronin's men have been a completely different animal in this tourney.  They've defeated Michigan State (86-80), BYU (73-62), Abilene Christian (67-47), Alabama (88-78) and Michigan (51-49).  But look more closely at their wins over Michigan State and Alabama, and you'll notice that both went into overtime.  In regulation, UCLA held Michigan State to 77 and Alabama to 65.  Thus, in this tournament, the Bruins have given up an average of 60 points per game in regulation.  That's impressive, in and of itself.  But then consider the teams that UCLA has faced.  Their opponents included Michigan, which ranks 9th in Ken Pomeroy's offensive efficiency rankings; BYU, which ranks 20th; and Alabama, which ranks 29th.  Yet through regulation time, UCLA held Michigan to its lowest offensive output of the season, BYU and Abilene Christian to their 2nd-lowest, and Alabama to its 5th-lowest.  Certainly, Gonzaga is another animal, altogether.  The Bulldogs rank #1 in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency, and have yet to lose a game.  Indeed, Gonzaga has only played one team which came within single-digits (West Virginia, 87-82).  Still, I believe the points will be valuable today.  And, for technical support, consider that NCAA Tourney favorites of more than 10 points, off back to back double-digit SU/ATS wins, are a horrible 8-32 ATS against foes seeded #15 (or better).  Finally, in the NCAA's Final Four, favorites of more than eight points have gone 1-7 ATS since 1991, with only North Carolina (-10, 83-66) covering against Syracuse in 2016.  Take the points with the Bruins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars + the points over the Baylor Bears.  The Cougars were an ATM Machine in Vegas during the regular season, as they went 18-8 ATS (.692 ATS pct.), and covered the point spread by an average of 5.32 ppg.  Those two marks ranked #8 and #4 of the 68 teams that qualified for the NCAA tournament (in contrast, Baylor ranked #25 and #35 in those metrics).  It took a last-second three-point shot by Oregon State to hand the Cougars a point spread defeat in their previous game.  But Houston is 8-0 ATS its last eight, and 28-8 ATS its last 36 off a point spread defeat!  The Cougars are also 13-2 ATS their last 15 as an underdog of less than 7 points, while Baylor is a wallet-busting 10-19 ATS vs. .866 (or better) teams off an ATS loss.  Finally, Houston gives up just 57.5 points per game, and ranks 8th in adjusted defensive efficiency in Ken Pomeroy's NCAA basketball ratings (in contrast, Baylor ranks 28th).  And the Cougars also prefer to play at a much slower pace than Baylor, as Houston's games average just 134.1 ppg -- much less than the Bears' 148.5 ppg.  That bodes well for the underdog, as in the semi-final round of the NCAA Tourney, teams with defenses that give up 63 or less points have covered 73.6% if they weren't favored by 4+ points!  Moreover, underdogs seeded #5 (or better), that average 134.5 (or less) points per game, have covered 61.9%, including 8-2 ATS in the semi-final round.  We'll take the points with the defensive-minded underdog in this game.  Take Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Coyotes over the Anaheim Ducks.  In their last game, the Coyotes were embarrassed by Colorado as the Avalanche scored 9 goals on 38 shots.  That 9-3 defeat was Arizona's worst loss this season, and the most goals it has given up since it lost to Detroit, 9-2, on Oct. 11, 2006.  But off that defeat, we'll take the Coyotes tonight, as they're 5-0 this season after giving up 5+ goals.  And looking out further finds Arizona 31-23 (+14 games on the moneyline) after allowing 4+ goals.  After facing the Avalanche, there's no doubt the Coyotes will be happy to see the Ducks tonight.  And Anaheim has been out-shot 122-63 over its last three games.  That doesn't bode well for the Ducks tonight, as they're 1-6 after three straight games of 24 (or less) shots on goal, and 3-8 after being out-shot by 8+ shots in three straight games.  Even worse:  Anaheim lost the previous meeting with Arizona, 5-1.  And the Ducks are 27-48 their last 75 when playing with revenge, including 0-9 this season when playing with revenge from a loss by 2+ goals.  Take the Coyotes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Stars over the Nashville Predators.  The defending Western conference champion Stars are on a 3-game losing streak after dropping a 3-2 decision in overtime on Tuesday to these Predators.  Dallas has been horrid this season when games go past regulation (2-10), so if it fails to make the playoffs, it can point to that as the reason why.  We'll take Dallas tonight, as it's 81-64 (+15 games on the moneyline) off 3+ losses, while Nashville is a dreadful 21-33 (minus 24 games on the moneyline) off back-to-back wins.  Even better:  Dallas is 101-59 (+43 games on the moneyline) off a division road loss.  Take the Stars.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Cleveland.  The Sixers will once again play without center Joel Embiid tonight.  But Cleveland's injury problems are even worse.  We'll lay the points with Philly tonight, as it's playing with double-revenge from two losses to Cleveland earlier this season, including a 112-109 defeat as an 11.5-point favorite in the last meeting.  The good news for Philadelphia in this game is that winning NBA teams are 93-65 ATS when laying more than 6 points against a losing team, if our winning team was playing with double revenge.  Even better:  if our revenger was favored by 8+ points in the previous meeting, then our 93-65 stat zooms to 28-10 ATS, including a perfect 7-0 ATS the last seven.  It's true that Cleveland does come into this game off an embarrassing 39-point loss at Utah.  But the Cavaliers are 0-11 ATS their last 11, and 74-125-4 ATS their last 203 off a 17-point (or worse) defeat.  Take Philadelphia minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Lightning over Columbus.  The defending Stanley Cup champions are on a rare 3-game losing streak after dropping a 3-1 decision to these Blue Jackets on Tuesday.  I look for the Lightning to bounce back tonight, as they're 48-19 (+17 games on the moneyline) off a loss.  And Tampa's an eye-popping 25-3 (+20 games on the moneyline) after not scoring 2+ goals in its previous game!  Meanwhile, Columbus is a poor 4-9 (minus 5 games on the moneyline) off a win, and 23-36 (minus 16 games on the moneyline) when playing its 3rd road game in five days.  Take the Lightning.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Islanders over the Washington Capitals.  New York returns home today after losing back-to-back games at Pittsburgh on Saturday and Monday.  And the Isles also play with revenge from a 3-1 loss at Washington on March 16.  The good news for New York tonight is that it's 24-16 (+7 games on the moneyline) off back to back losses.  And it's 26-13 (+14 games on the moneyline) when playing with revenge from a game where it failed to score 2+ goals.  Take the Islanders.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Wild over the San Jose Sharks.  The Wild come into this game off a 4-3 loss to San Jose, and have 4 games against the Avalanche and Golden Knights on deck, so this game is important for Minnesota to win, as it tries to jockey for playoff positioning in the rugged West division.  The Sharks are 3-10 off a win this season, and 33-41 (minus 17 games on the moneyline) after scoring more than 3 goals, while the Wild are 8-2 when playing with revenge from a loss to its opponent earlier in the season.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Sacramento.  These two teams met on Monday, here in the Alamo City. And the Kings blew out the Spurs, 132-115.  We'll lay the points with the Spurs in this rematch, as the Spurs are 29-12 ATS in the regular season at home, when playing with revenge.  Even better:  the Spurs are 64-27 ATS off a loss by 15+ points, if they weren't an underdog of more than 2 points in their current game, and their opponent wasn't off a SU/ATS loss.  And, finally, when the Spurs have played an opponent who the Spurs lost to in their previous game, they've gone 48-24-3 ATS if they were favored (or PK'em) in that next game.  Take San Antonio.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Sabres over the Philadelphia Flyers.  The Sabres have tied the all-time NHL record for the most consecutive losses at 18 and tonight they "go for" the outright record.  But not so fast.  You have to feel that if they're going to break out of their losing ways, it's going to be against the Flyers.  For one thing, it almost happened on Monday, as the Sabres raced to a 3-0 lead by the end of the second period.  But the Flyers came back in the final 20 minutes to tie it and then they won it OT, thus extending the Sabres' misery.  But that was the second straight Flyers-Sabres contest that had gone into overtime, and you just feel that Philly is the shakiest team -- defensively anyway -- in the division right now.  So we're counting on tonight being the night that the Sabres put one up in the win column (but don't count on a win streak after that).  Philly's defense and goaltending has been awful of late.  In their last 12 games, the Flyers have allowed a total of 54 goals, or a GAA of 4.50.  Take the Sabres.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Winnipeg Jets.  These two teams met earlier this month in Toronto, and the Jets took 2 of 3, including the most recent meeting by a 5-2 score.  We'll take Toronto to avenge that defeat, as it's 52-31 when playing with revenge, including 12-2 this season.  Meanwhile, the Jets come into tonight off a 5-2 win at Calgary.  But the Jets are a horrible 69-93 (minus 23 games on the moneyline) off a road win, and 2-9 at home after scoring more than 4 goals in their previous game.  Take Toronto.

At 7:15 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans + the points over Gonzaga.  This season, I've largely avoided playing on or against Gonzaga.  I only played on them once -- and won when they blew out Norfolk State in the opening round of this Tournament.  And I also only played against them once this season (and lost), as I didn't think there were many teams that had the right mix of players to compete with Gonzaga.  But USC is one of the teams that CAN compete with the Bulldogs.  So, we'll grab the points with the Trojans tonight.  For technical support, consider that, over the last 22 seasons, in the ELITE EIGHT round of the tournament, .700 (or better) teams seeded #4 (or worse) are a perfect 16-0-1 ATS vs. .800 (or better) opponents!  And, even better, USC comes into this game off 3 dominant wins over Drake (72-56), Kansas (85-51) and Oregon (82-68).  And their last two games were quite impressive, as they covered the point spread in each by double digits (Kansas +32.5; Oregon +11.5).  And that leads us to our second angle, which is 20-0-1 ATS, which plays on underdogs off 2 Tourney wins, in which they covered the spread by 28+ points combined, provided their opponent was off an ATS win, but didn't also cover its two previous games by 28+ points combined.  Take USC + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over Washington.  The Wizards pulled off an upset, 132-124, last night, as a 7-point home underdog vs. Indiana.  Unfortunately, unrested teams off an upset home win, in which they scored 130+ points, have covered just 28% over the past 31 seasons.  That doesn't bode well for Washington tonight.  Nor does the fact that Charlotte blew it out by a 119-97 score when these two Southeast division rivals met last month.  And Washington is a poor 16-36 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a 20-point (or worse) defeat when it wasn't getting 4+ points in the current game.  Take Charlotte.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the New Jersey Devils.  Boston was shut out, 1-0, by New Jersey on Sunday.  So, the Bruins will want to avenge that defeat tonight.  In Sunday's loss, Boston threw 40 shots at Mackenzie Blackwood, but none got by the goalie.  Interestingly, the last three times Boston had 40+ shots on goal, they lost all three games, and scored 0, 1 and 0 goals in those games!  Still, if a team gets 40+ shots on goal, you will generally take your chances with the result.  I look for Boston to bounce back on Tuesday, as the Devils are a horrid 31-49 (minus 35 games on the moneyline) after a road shutout win.  Meanwhile, the Bruins are 21-11 (+6 games on the moneyline) off a shutout loss, and an awesome 51-21 (+18 games on the moneyline) off a strong defensive effort where they didn't allow 2+ goals.  Take Boston tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.