Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-15-22 | Arkansas v. LSU -6.5 | 65-58 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
Arkansas @ LSU 2:00 PM ET Game# 627-628 Play On: LSU -6.5 (5*) #12 LSU is 15-1 and their only loss occurred at #4 Auburn. The Bayou Bengals are a dominating 10-0 SU&ATS at home this season with an average victory margin of 27.3 points per game. Arkansas is 0-3 SU&ATS in true road games this season. This will also be the Razorbacks first game this season versus a ranked opponent. Give me LSU minus the points. |
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01-15-22 | Texas v. Iowa State +2.5 | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
Texas @ Iowa State 2:00 Game# 637-638 Play On: Iowa State +2.5 (5*) #21 Texas has a stellar 13-3 record but is just 1-2 in true road games. Conversely, #15 Iowa State is 10-1 at home and their lone defeat came by 5 versus #1 Baylor. The Cyclones are coming off a gut-wrenching 62-61 loss at #9 Kansas in a game they closed as a 13.0-point underdog. Look for the Cyclones to bounce back at home with a superb effort. Bet Iowa State plus the small number. |
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01-13-22 | Stanford v. Washington State -7.5 | 62-57 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Stanford @ Washington State 5:00 PM ET Game# 763-764 Play On: Washington State -7.5 (5*) Stanford is coming off a huge upset win over then unbeaten and 5th ranked USC just 2 days ago. Now they find themselves on the road as a sizable underdog versus a 9-6 Washington State team that has already suffered 4 home losses. This falls under the category of a fishy line which is a trap to play the underdog. Give me Washington State minus the points. |
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01-12-22 | Heat v. Hawks -2.5 | 115-91 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
Miami @ Atlanta 7:40 PM ET Game# 563-564 Play On: Atlanta -2.5 (5*) Miam is playing the finale of a 6-game road swing. The Heat are coming off an extremely impressive 123-100 win at Phoenix in their previous game. It would be hard to imagine they can match that emotional intensity tonight versus an opponent that’s been struggling mightily. I’m call for this to be a flat spot for Miami. Atlanta will be playing with 2 days rest following an unsuccessful 2-4 road trip. They dropped their last 2 on that trip. However, Atlanta is 5-1 SU&ATS in their last 6 immediately following 2 consecutive losses. Bet Atlanta minus the points. |
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01-12-22 | Hornets v. 76ers -5 | 109-98 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
Charlotte @ Philadelphia 7:10 PM ET Game# 553-554 Play On: Philadelphia -5.0 (5*) The 76ers enter today on a 7-game win streak while also covering its last 5. The average line in their last 5 games was -4.8 and the 76ers outscored those opponents by 15.4 points per contest. Philadelphia has won their last 16 games played against Charlotte. The 76ers allowed 100 and 91 points in their last 2 games. Charlotte is currently averaging a lofty 115.2 points scored per game this season. Any NBA home favorite (Philadelphia) that allowed 100 points or less in each of their previous 2 games, and they’re facing an opponent (Charlotte) that’s averaging 114.0 points or more scored per game, resulted in those home favorites going 23-4 ATS throughout the previous 5 season. The average line in those 27 contests was 5.4 and the home favorite outscored their opponents by 12.7 points per game. Bet on Philadelphia minus the points. |
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01-12-22 | Celtics v. Pacers +2.5 | 119-100 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Boston @ Indiana 7:10 PM ET Game# 559-560 Play On: Indiana +2.5 (5*) Boston has lost their last 6 road games. The Celtics allowed 98 and 75 points in their last 2 games. Since the start of last season, Boston is an abysmal 1-11 SU after allowing 105 points or fewer in each of their previous 2 games and were outscored by 8.9 points per contest. Indiana is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games, but they covered 5 of its previous 6. Bet Indiana plus the points. |
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01-12-22 | Duke v. Wake Forest +6 | 76-64 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
Wake Forest @ Duke 7:00 PM ET Game# 709-710 Play On: Wake Forest +6.0 (5*) This will be just the 2nd true road game for Duke this season. They were upset at Ohio State 71-66 as a 3.5-point favorite on 11/30/21 in their only other true road contest. In the you may be surprised to know category, since the 2019-2020 season, Duke is an abysmal 3-10 SU in their last 13 true road games. Duke is coming off a 2-point home upset loss to Miami in their previous game and they closed as a substantial 15.0-point favorite. Since the 2019-2020 season, Duke is a terrible by their standards 2-6 SU immediately following a conference favorite upset loss. Duke will be facing a Wake Forest team this evening which has gone an unbeaten 10-0 at home this season while outscoring those opponents by an average of 18.3 points per game. Bet Wake Forest plus the points. |
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01-12-22 | Villanova +1.5 v. Xavier | 64-60 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Villanova @ Xavier 6:30 PM ET Game# 685-686 Play On: Villanova +1.5 (5*) Villanova is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in their last 4 versus Xavier and that includes a 13-point home win last month. Despite their 4 losses, Villanova is ranked #14 in the country, and that speaks well to the level of competition it has faced. As a matter of fact, their 3 non-conference losses came at #3 UCLA in overtime, versus #7 Purdue by 6, and at #1 Baylor. Their other defeat came at Creighton versus a Blue Jays team which is on the periphery of making the AP Top 25. They avenged that Creighton loss with a 34-point home win over them 3 weeks later. Furthermore, Villanova has won and covered each of their previous 4 Big East Conference games while allowing opponents to score only 57.5 points per game while shooting a combined 37.6%. Granted they will be facing #17 Xavier (12-2) this evening. However, they own 3 wins already this season versus ranked opponents in knocking off #20 Seton Hall, #22 Tennessee, and the previously mentioned home win over Xavier. Bet Villanova plus the small number. |
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01-11-22 | Auburn v. Alabama -3 | 81-77 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Auburn @ Alabama 9:00 PM ET Game# 667-668 Play On: Alabama -3.0 (5*) The Crimson Tide faithful need something to feel good about today after watching their football team lose the National Championship Game last night. What better way to change the mood than a convincing home win on the hardwood over their bitter rival the Auburn Tigers. Auburn (14-1) is currently ranked #4 in the nation. The Tigers have gone a sizzling hot 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS since their only loss of the season which came in triple overtime to Connecticut. Nevertheless, they come up as an underdog against an Alabama team coming off a shocking loss at Missouri as a 14.0-point in their previous game. Which Alabama team is going to show up tonight? The one that has seen all 4 of their losses this season come versus teams that are presently unranked. Or the one that’s 3-0 versus ranked teams this season while posting wins over #2 Gonzaga, #11 Houston, and #21 Tennessee. My educated prediction is on the latter of those two scenarios. Bet Alabama minus the points. |
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01-11-22 | Iowa State v. Kansas -12.5 | 61-62 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ Kansas 8:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: Kansas -12.5 (5*) This line jumped right off the page at me as being extremely heavy. More times than not, that indicates to me that the sportsbooks are begging you to take the underdog. This is a textbook example of such when considering Kansas is coming off an upset loss as a 7.0-point favorite at Texas Tech on Saturday, and Iowa State comes in ranked #15. Bet Kansas minus the points. |
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01-11-22 | Miami-FL v. Florida State -6.5 | 64-65 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Miami Fla. @ Florida State 8:00 PM ET Game# 653-654 Play On: Florida State -6.5 (5*) So Miami enters today riding an 8-game win streak which includes 4-0 in ACC play. Furthermore, they’re coming off a huge upset win at #8 Duke in a game that closed as a mammoth 15.0-point underdog. Yet, here they are as a sizable road dog versus an unranked and 8-5 Florida State side. Give me Florida State minus the points. |
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01-11-22 | Texas Tech v. Baylor -11.5 | 65-62 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
Texas Tech @ Baylor 7:00 PM ET Game# 625-626 Play On: Baylor -11.5 (5*) #19 Texas Tech is coming off a huge 8-point home win over #9 Kansas in a game they closed as a 7.0-point underdog. That certainly didn’t impress the oddsmakers considering they’re currently a double-digit road underdog tonight at #1 Baylor (15-0). The Bears have been a bit complacent over their previous 3 games and that’s been apparent with some uninspiring defensive efforts. I look for Baylor to turn up the defensive intensity tonight and pull away for a decisive win. Keep in mind, this is a Baylor team that owns wins over #14 Villanova by 21, #10 Michigan State by 17, and at #15 Iowa State by 5. Bet on Baylor minus the points. |
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01-10-22 | Georgia -2.5 v. Alabama | Top | 33-18 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Georgia vs. Alabama 8:27 PM ET Game# 287-288 Play On: Georgia -2.5 (10*) These teams squared off just 5 weeks ago in the SEC Championship game and Alabama won 41-24 as a 6.0-point underdog. The Crimson Tide offense racked up 536 yards versus the vaunted Georgia defense which included a huge day from Heisman Trophy winning quarterback Young who threw for 421 yards and 3 touchdowns. Despite that convincing win, Alabama is currently a 2.5-point underdog, and the public is betting on Alabama like it’s found money on their doorsteps. Even with that poor performance versus Alabama, Georgia’s defense still ranks #1 nationally in points allowed (9.5 PPG) and #2 in yards allowed (254.4 YPG). This elite stop unit was embarrassed versus Alabama and look for them to come up with a huge effort tonight. The Georgia defense has received a plethora of accolades all season and rightfully so. However, Georgia’s offense has quietly averaged a quite impressive 46.6 points scored, and 486.5 yards gained per game over its last 6 contests. That includes racking up 449 yards in the loss to Alabama. The first time these teams met Georgia entered that contest 12-0 and was 99.9% sure that even with a loss they were going to be in the 4-team College Football Playoffs. Conversely, Alabama didn’t have that same luxury since they already had 1 loss on their regular season resume and it was highly improbable they would be part of the 4-team field as a 2-loss team. As a result, the Crimson Tide played with a far higher degree of urgency and desperation than Georgia displayed. I’m betting on Georgia to turn the table on their SEC rival. Lastly, Georgia has lost their last 7 meetings with Alabama, and yet here they are still a favorite in a National Championship Game. Alabama in this matchup. Bet Georgia minus the small number. |
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01-09-22 | Chargers v. Raiders +3 | Top | 32-35 | Win | 100 | 31 h 5 m | Show |
Chargers @ Raiders 8:20 PM ET Game# 481-482 Play On: Raiders +3.0 (10*) Whoever wins this game will be in the postseason parade and the loser won’t be a participant. The Chargers are coming off a 34-13 home win over Denver. Nevertheless, the Chargers are 1-4 SU&ATS in their last 5 following a win. Additionally, they’re 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 away games when they’re +3.0 to -3.0 and are coming off a win and were outscored by 12.7 points per contest. The Chargers have scored 28 points or more in each of their last 5 games. However, throughout their previous 3 contests, the Chargers defense has allowed 29.3 points and 417.3 yards per game. Moreover, since 2019, the Chargers are 0-6 SU on the road following a game in which they scored 30 points or more and lost by an average of 10.0 points per game. The Raiders are coming off a huge win at Indianapolis last Sunday which extended their unbeaten streak to 3 games. What’s eye catching to me is they won those 3 games despite being having a combined turnover margin of -7. What’s been their main catalyst is a defense that allowed 15.7 points and 218.7 yards per game during this current win streak. Las Vegas will also be out to revenge a 28-14 road loss to the Chargers earlier this season. I look for the Raiders to come up with a huge effort on Sunday night and give their newly ordained city of Las Vegas a taste of playoff football for a first time. Bet the Raiders plus the points. |
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01-09-22 | Patriots v. Dolphins +6.5 | 24-33 | Win | 100 | 25 h 9 m | Show | |
Patriots @ Dolphins 4:25 PM ET Game# 455-456 Play On: Dolphins +6.5 (5*) Miami was eliminated from playoff contention after last week’s extremely poor performance which resulted in a 34-3 loss at Tennessee. However, there’s a high degree of certainty that the Dolphins aren’t going to just lay down on Sunday. Their track record since Brian Flores took over as head coach in 2019 is indicative of such. During Flores rookie campaign, Miami started 0-7 but rallied to go 5-4 over their last 9 contests. Last season, Miami began 1-3 but proceeded to win 9 of their next 11 games. This season, they started 1-7 then when on a 7-game win streak before last Sunday’s loss halted that hot run. For as much success as Bill Belichick has attained since becoming the head coach in New England, his teams have gone just 9-12 SU and 8-13 ATS in their games at Miami. That includes 2-6 SU&ATS in their last 8 trips to South Florida. Bet the Dolphins plus the points. |
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01-09-22 | 49ers v. Rams -4 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 45 m | Show | |
49ers @ Rams 4:25 PM ET Game# 479-480 Play On: Rams -4.0 (5*) The 49ers need a win or a New Orleans loss to Atlanta to make the playoffs. Just because they need the game so badly, doesn’t mean the Rams are going to give it to them. Especially after Loss Angeles was embarrassed at San Francisco earlier this season during a 31-10 shellacking in which the 49ers dominating physically on both sides of the ball. They’ll not only be out to avenge that loss but are 0-5 in their last 5 versus their divisional in stater rival. Besides, with a win on Sunday the Rams clinch the NFC West Division and a #2 seed. I’m looking for an inspired effort by the Rams and for even more reasons that I already mentioned. Bet the Rams minus the points. |
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01-09-22 | Seahawks v. Cardinals -5.5 | 38-30 | Loss | -102 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
Seahawks @ Cardinals 4:25 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Cardinals -5.5 (5*) Arizona is still alive in the NFC West Division title chase and #2 seed but they must win for them to have any chance of that occurring. Regardless is they win the division or not, the Cardinals need to build some momentum and confidence going into the postseason. They took a step in the right direction last week with a huge win at Dallas as a 5.5-point underdog which snapped a 3-game losing skid. Arizona won at Seattle on 11/21 by a score of 23-13 and outgained the Seahawks by a wide 413-266 margin. Seattle is coming off a 51-29 home win over Detroit. Nevertheless, the Seahawks are 1-4 SU&ATS this season following a win with their lone win and cover in that precise situation coming against the hapless 4-12 Houston Texans. Kyler Murray will torch a Seahawks defense that’s allowing 270.4 yards passing per game which is 31st in the NFL. On the other hand, Arizona is #8 in passing offense at 255.6 yards per game. Bet Arizona minus the points. |
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01-09-22 | Packers v. Lions +3.5 | 30-37 | Win | 100 | 22 h 30 m | Show | |
Packers @ Lions 1:00 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Lions +3.5 (5*) Green Bay has already clinched the top seed in the NFC and a first-round bye in the upcoming playoffs. Barring something unforeseen, the Packers will rest or give limited playing time to key starters on Sunday in Detroit. Conversely, this is a Lions team that has fought hard this season for head coach Dan Campbell despite their many shortcomings and horrible 2-13-1 record. I don’t expect that kind of effort to wane in their regular season finale at home versus a bitter rival. The Lions are 4-0 ATS and 2-2 SU in its last 4 at home versus Green Bay. Detroit has also lost 5 games this season by 4 points or fewer. The Lions are coming off last week’s 51-29 SU&ATS loss at Seattle. Here’s a hidden gem of a trend, Detroit is 5-0 ATS this season following a game in which they failed to cover. The Lions are also 6-2 SU&ATS in their last 8 games overall. Bet Detroit plus the points. |
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01-09-22 | Steelers v. Ravens -3.5 | 16-13 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 36 m | Show | |
Steelers @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Ravens -3.5 (5*) The Ravens enter this week on a 5-game losing streak and their playoff chances hanging by a thread. Yet, they opened as a 6.5-point favorite versus a division rival who has scant playoff hopes as well. The Steelers did stay alive in the playoff hunt with a 26-14 home win over Cleveland last week. Nonetheless, Pittsburgh hasn’t won 2 in a row in a little over 2 months. The drastic line movement in this game is a result of Lamar Jackson being ruled doubtful to play. However, I have no trouble backing Ravens backup quarterback Tyle Huntley who has shown he’s plenty capable when given the opportunity this season. Public betting has backed the underdog Steelers in this matchup. There are worse ideas than betting against public money. Bet the Ravens minus the points. |
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01-09-22 | Titans -10 v. Texans | 28-25 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
Titans @ Texans 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Titans -10.0 (5*) I predict that Tennessee will jump on Houston early in this matchup and take the Texans will away. Beside the fact, they should’ve learned their lesson already after losing to Houston earlier this season as an identical 10.0-point favorite they currently are. With a #1 seed on the line, and playing with revenge, the Titans will be plenty motivated against the 4-12 Texans. This is a Houston team that’s scored 14 points or fewer on 9 occasions this season and failed to reach 300 yards of total offense in 9 of its last 14 games. They will be up against a Titans defense which has allowed 9.7 points and 251.3 yards over their previous 4 contests. Bet Tennessee minus the points. |
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01-08-22 | Cowboys -3.5 v. Eagles | 51-26 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Dallas @ Philadelphia 8:15 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Dallas -3.5 (5*) Both teams will be missing key personnel via COVID protocols, illness, or injury. Philadelphia has clinched an NFL wildcard spot and it’s just a matter if they will be the #6 or #7 seed. The Eagles do head into this matchup on a 4-game win streak. However, those wins came against the Jets, Giants, and Football Team (Twice) who have a current combined record of 14-34. As a matter of fact, the Eagles don’t own a win all season versus a team who currently possesses a winning record. On the other hand, Dallas has clinched the NFC East Division, and they’re currently the #4 seed. They can move up to the #2 or #3 seed but they need to win and get a little bit of help. If the season ended today, Dallas would have a tough 1st round matchup versus either the Arizona Cardinals or Los Angeles Rams. All the Cowboys can do is control what they can control and that’s beating Philadelphia. They will do exactly that and by a decisive margin. Dallas has been a solid road team this season while going 6-2. Even more impressive was that 3 of their road opponents and 2 more are still alive for a postseason berth heading into this week. Furthermore, and most importantly, Dallas is a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS as a road favorite this season. Bet Dallas minus the points. |
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01-08-22 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma -5.5 | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 17 h 41 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ Oklahoma 6:00 PM ET Game# 741-742 Play On: Oklahoma -5.5 (5*) Iowa State is 13-1, ranked #11 in the country, and their only loss was a 5-point setback versus #1 Baylor. Yet, they’re a 5.5-point dog versus an unranked Oklahoma (10-3) coming off a 10-point loss at Baylor. During their previous 5 contests Oklahoma shot 52.7% from the floor, converted on 40.7% of their 3-point attempts, and made 81.1% of its free throws. The Sooners are also an excellent defensive team that’s holding opponents to 61.8 points scored per game and 39.9% shooting. This is a fishy line to say the least. Gove me Oklahoma minus the points. |
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01-08-22 | Chiefs v. Broncos +11 | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 30 m | Show | |
Kansas City @ Denver 4:30 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: Denver +11.0 (5*) The Broncos limp into this regular season finale with a 7-9 record and have gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 games. The biggest issue has been an offense that produced 13 points or fewer in each of those defeats. On the other, the Broncos defense has been strong more times than not this season. As a matter of fact, heading into this week, Denver is #9 in total defense (322.1 YPG), #3 in scoring defense (18.4 PPG), and #7 in pass defense (212.3 YPG). If Denver’s offense is every going to get going it would be on Saturday versus a Kansas City defense that’s #26 in total defense, #27 in sacks, and #28 against the pass. The Kansas City defense is also coming off a game at Cincinnati where they allowed the Bengals to rack up 475 yards or total offense in a 34-31 loss. The Broncos lost at Kansas City 41-21 on 12/5. However, that final score is a bit misleading since Denver outgained Kansas City 464-267 in total yards but shot themselves in the foot with a turnover margin of -3. Since that loss, the Broncos have committed just 2 turnovers in 4 games. Bet Denver plus the points. |
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01-08-22 | Kansas v. Texas Tech +4.5 | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
Kansas @ Texas Tech 4:00 PM ET Game# 695-696 Play On: Texas Tech +4.5 (10*) #6 Kansas (12-1) has faced just 1 team this season currently in the Top 25 and that was in their season opener versus #10 Michigan State. Conversely, #25 Texas Tech (10-3) only 3 losses this season came at the hands of #16 Providence, #11 Iowa State, and #4 Gonzaga. The Red Raiders also own a win over #18 Tennessee. Since the start of the 2017-2018 season, Texas Tech has gone 68-10 at home and that includes 8-0 in their current campaign. The Red Raiders are a terrific defensive team that is 9th nationally in field goal percentage defense and #11 in scoring defense. We have a team with a strong home court which holds opponents to less than 40% shooting, allows less than 60 points per game, and has an extremely strong court. Bet on Texas Tech plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-08-22 | Colorado State v. San Diego State -2.5 | 49-79 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
Colorado State @ San Diego State 4:00 PM ET Game# 805-806 Play On: San Diego State -2.5 (5*) Colorado State is ranked #20 in the nation and has a perfect 11-0 record. Nonetheless, they’re currently a small underdog versus an unranked 9-3 San Diego State team. The Aztecs are a perfect 7-0 at home and are a terrific defensive team. They enter this contest on a 4-game win streak in which they allowed only 55.2 points per game and opponents shot an abysmal 35.7% from the field. Furthermore, San Diego State has faced a more difficult |
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01-07-22 | Marquette v. Georgetown +2.5 | Top | 92-64 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
Marquette @ Georgetown 6:30 PM ET Game# 861-862 Play On: Georgetown +2.5 (10*) Unranked Marquette is coming off a resounding 32-point home win over #16 Providence. We must keep things in perspective before overreacting to that blowout win which did indeed end a 4-game Marquette losing streak. Conversely, Georgetown is coming off a 80-73 home loss to TCY which put a halt to a 3-game Hoyas win streak. Marquette has played the much stronger schedule and has a better record than Georgetown. Yet, they’re just a tiny favorite in this matchup. It’s rarely that easy when it comes to sports betting. Bet Georgetown plus the small number for a Top Play wager. |
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01-06-22 | USC v. California +5.5 | Top | 77-63 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
USC @ California 11:00 PM ET Game# 835-836 Play On: California +5.5 (10*) USC enters this contest with unbeaten 12-0 record and ranked #7 in the country. Nevertheless, they will be facing a red-hot California team which has won 5 straight and by an average of 17.6 points per game. During this current win streak, Cal is allowing just 52.8 points per game and held their opponents to a miserable 34.9% shooting from the field. Additionally, throughout their 5-game win streak Call has converted on a terrific 39.5% of its 3-point shot attempts and is a +10 rebound per game differential. Lastly, Cal was upset in their home opener by UC-Sam Diego, and since that time has reeled off 9 consecutive wins in Berkely while covering 8 of those contests. Bet California plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-06-22 | Ohio State v. Indiana -3.5 | 51-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
Ohio State @ Indiana 7:00 PM ET Game# 749-750 Play On: Indiana -3.5 (5*) Ohio State is ranked #13 nationally yet find themselves as an underdog versus unranked Indiana. However, they will be facing a Hoosiers team which is a perfect 9-0 at home this season and covered 7 of those 9 contests. Indiana is coming off a 61-58 upset loss at Penn State in their previous game which dropped their season record to 10-3. The Hoosiers followed their previous 2 defeats by going 2-0 SU&ATS and with a substantial average victory margin of 20.6 points per game. The Hoosiers are an excellent defensive team which is allowing just 61.6 points per game this season. Indiana has allowed 64 points or fewer in each of its previous 6 games. Bet Indiana minus the points. |
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01-05-22 | North Carolina v. Notre Dame +2.5 | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
North Carolina @ Notre Dame 9:00 PM ET Game# 731-732 Play On: Notre Dame +2.5 (5*) North Carolina has gone 7-1 in their last 8 games. Their only setback during that time was a 98-69 blowout loss to #16 Kentucky in a game played on a neutral floor in Las Vegas. That was the same Kentucky team that just 7 days earlier lost at Notre Dame 66-62 as a 4.5-point favorite. By the way, Notre Dame is a perfect 5-0 at home this season. Bet Notre Dame plus the small number. |
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01-05-22 | Syracuse +2.5 v. Miami-FL | 87-88 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Syracuse @ Miami 8:00 ET Game# 715-716 Play On: Syracuse +2.5 (5*) Syracuse won their first 3 games this season and have gone a disappointing 4-6 since. Yet, they're just a 2.0-point underdog versus a Miami team that enters today on a 7-game win streak. I'm taking the contrarian approach in this one. Bet Syracuse plus the small number. |
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01-05-22 | Ole Miss v. Tennessee -16.5 | 60-66 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
Ole Miss @ Tennessee 7:00 PM ET Game# 697-698 Play On: Tennessee -16.5 (5*) This line jumped off the page at me as a heavy number. Granted Tennessee (9-3) is ranked #18 nationally. However, they'll be facing an Ole Miss team with a respectable 8-4 record. This appears to be a huge invitation by the sportsbooks to take the double-digit underdog in this SEC clash. They won't be receiving an RSVP from me. This will be the first true road game for Ole Miss this season. The Rebels have played 4 games on a neutral floor this season and went 1-3 SU&ATS in those contests. Tennessee is coming off a 5-point loss at #15 Alabama. Their only other 2 defeats this season have come versus #19 Villanova and #25 Texas Tech. The Volunteers are 2-0 SU&ATS following a loss this season. The Vols secured a substantial win in their previous home game over #8 Arizona. This is certainly a substantial number to lay but justified. Bet Alabama minus the points. |
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01-04-22 | Kings +6.5 v. Lakers | Top | 114-122 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
Kings @ Lakers 10:35 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Kings +6.5 (10*) The Lakers are coming off home wins in their last 2 outings which halted a 1-6 SU&ATS losing run. However, since the start of last season, the Lakers are an abysmal 1-12 ATS following home wins in each of their previous 2 games, and they were outscored by an average of 4.1 points per contest. Furthermore, since the start of the last season, the Lakers are a money-draining 3-12 ATS during division home games. Sacramento enters today having gone a more than respectable 3-1 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. The most recent of which was Sunday’s 2-point win over Miami. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, the Kings are an extremely profitable 14-3 ATS on the road following a win by 6 points or fewer. Bet the Kings plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-04-22 | LSU +7.5 v. Kansas State | 20-42 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
LSU vs. Kansas State 9:00 PM ET Game# 285-286 Play On: LSU +7.5 (5*) LSU will be missing several players for various reasons in addition to playing with an interim coaching staff. However, there’s still enough talented players and quality depth for them to make this an extremely close game if not pulling off an outright upset. The Tigers defense showed vast improvement in the final third of their regular season schedule. Specifically speaking, LSU held their last 4 opponents 18.5 points and 299.5 yards gained per game. It’s not like they were facing all creampuffs over that stretch with 3 of those contests coming against #1 Alabama, #8 Ole Miss, and #23 Texas A&M. The Bayou Bengals stop unit will be going against a Kansas State offense that was held under 300 total yards in each of their previous 3 games. Bet LSU plus the points. |
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01-04-22 | Oklahoma v. Baylor -12 | 74-84 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Oklahoma @ Baylor 7:00 PM ET Game# 617-618 Play On: Baylor -12.0 (5*) Despite Baylor being ranked #1 in the country, this still seems like an extremely heavy line against a good Oklahoma team who enters today with an 11-2 record. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the underdog in this spot. However, I am going the opposite way. The major contributing factor to covering this game is Baylor’s ability to force turnovers and Oklahoma’s high turnover rate thus far. Bet Baylor minus the points. |
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01-04-22 | Illinois -7 v. Minnesota | 76-53 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Illinois @ Minnesota 7:00 PM ET Game# 715-716 Play On: Illinois -7.0 (5*) This line makes no sense whatsoever and when that occurs, I like to go against public perception. Minnesota is at home and is off to a terrific 10-1 start to the season. Yet they find themselves as a sizable home underdog versus an unranked Illinois team which is 9-3. Nonetheless, Illinois is 7-1 SU in their last 8 and their only defeat in that span came by 4 versus #8 Arizona. These teams met twice last season and Illinois easily prevailed on both occasions 94-63 and 92-65. Bet Illinois minus the points. |
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01-03-22 | Wisconsin v. Purdue -12.5 | Top | 74-69 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Purdue 7:00 PM ET Game# 867-868 Play On: Purdue -12.5 (10*) We have two nationally ranked teams squaring off in this matchup. The #3 Purdue Boilermakers (12-1) enters this contest as a double-digit favorite versus the #23 Wisconsin Badgers (10-2). Purdue is 8-0 at home this season while winning by a substantial margin of 28.0 points per game. The Boilermakers have shot 50% or better in 10 of 13 games this season and have made an impressive 41.1% of their 3 point-shot attempts on the year. Purdue is also a dominant rebounding team at +14 per game in that category. The Badgers aren’t a great offensive nor rebounding team. Considering these are 2 ranked teams, this is a heavy line in which the sportsbooks are begging you to take the double-digit underdog. I’m not falling for the trap. Give me Purdue minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-02-22 | Broncos v. Chargers -7.5 | Top | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 23 h 20 m | Show |
Broncos @ Chargers 4:05 PM ET Game# 121-122 Play On: Chargers -7.5 (10*) These teams met just 5 weeks in Denver and the Broncos walked away with an easy 28-10 win. Yet, the oddsmakers weren’t deterred by that result based in this current point-spread. Additionally, Denver is coming off a pir of deflating losses 15-10 versus Cleveland and 17-13 to Las Vegas. That really put a dent into their postseason hopes and their overall confidence level. Los Angeles is also coming off losses to Houston 41-29 as a 13.0-point road favorite and in overtime to Kansas City. As a result, the Chargers are on the outside of the playoff bubble looking in with an 8-7 record. The Chargers will be facing a Denver team which has struggled to score at times this season. As a matter of fact, Denver has scored 13 points or fewer in 6 of their last 12 games. That hasn’t been the Chargers problem of late. During their last 4 outings, Los Angeles has averaged 33.8 points scored and 407.8 yards gained per game. NFL betting history show that teams like the Chargers in this exact situation have passed the test with flying colors. Any division favorite of 4.5 or greater that’s playing with revenge, and they’re coming off a non-division straight up favorite loss by 10 points or more, resulted in those favorites going 16-0 ATS since 1985. Furthermore, they won those contests by an enormous 20.3 points per game and their average line was -7.2. Bet the Chargers minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-02-22 | Falcons v. Bills -14.5 | 15-29 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 9 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Buffalo 1:00 PM ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Buffalo -14.5 (5*) Atlanta is coming off a narrow 20-16 home win over hapless Detroit Lions (2-12-1) which improved their season record to 7-8 and still alive for an NFC wildcard spot. However, Atlanta has beaten just 1 team that currently has a winning record, and that was Miami (8-7). The Falcons have gone a dismal 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 following a win and were outscored by an average of 19.3 points per game. Buffalo enters this week 9-6, leading the AFC East, and coming off a huge win at New England last Sunday. Some will say they’re vulnerable to a flat spot. I disagree with that idea. It’s not like the Bills win over New England came in Week 8. Heading into their final 2 games both at home knowing with wins they clinch the AFC East Division for a 2nd year in a row. Buffalo also learned their lesson earlier this season when they lost at Jacksonville as a double-digit favorite. Furthermore, all 9 Buffalo wins have come by 12 points or more, and they have outscored their opponents by an average of 10.9 points per game which is #1 in that category amongst all NFL teams. Lastly, Buffalo is 3-0 SU&ATS this season as a double-digit home favorite and with an average victory margin of 24.0 points per game. Bet Buffalo minus the points. |
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01-02-22 | Chiefs v. Bengals +4.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 22 h 8 m | Show | |
Chiefs @ Bengals 1:00 PM ET Game# 115-116 Play On: Bengals +4.5 (5*) Cincinnati will play with a higher degree of urgency and desperation in this contest than Kansas City will display. The Chiefs have won 8 consecutive games and has already clinched the AFC West Division. Yes, they are only 1.0 game ahead of Tennessee for the top AFL seed with the Titans holding the tiebreaker. Nevertheless, the Chiefs have been a great road team in recent seasons and are a much better team than Tennessee at this juncture. The point being, Kansas City comes into this contest knowing they have a lot of room for error and very little to lose. On the other hand, Cincinnati can clinch the AFC North with a win on Sunday. If they lose, then it’s a regular season finale at Cleveland which could hinge on even making the playoffs. Bet the Bengals plus the points. |
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01-02-22 | Dolphins +3.5 v. Titans | 3-34 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 7 m | Show | |
Dolphins @ Titans 1:00 PM ET Game# 119-120 Play On: Dolphins +3.5 Tennessee (10-5) may possess the better record in this matchup, but you can make a strong cast that presently Miami (8-7) is the superior team. After a 1-7 start, Miami has won 7 straight games and covered on 6 of those occasions. The Dolphins sizzling hot run has catapulted them to the AFC #7 seed and final wildcard spot. Even with that, Miami knows they have very little if any room for error. I’ve been saying this for weeks now, without Derek Henry, Tennessee is a fraudulent Super Bowl contender. This upcoming result will exemplify just that. Bet the Dolphins plus the points. |
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01-01-22 | Utah +4 v. Ohio State | Top | 45-48 | Win | 100 | 29 h 54 m | Show |
Utah vs. Ohio State 5:00 PM ET Game# 281-282 Play On: Utah +4.0 (10*) Ohio State had the much higher aspirations this season of winning a national championship compared to Utah. Nevertheless, they failed to even reach the Big 10 Championship Game and were dominated in a 42-27 loss to Michigan during their regular season finale. The Buckeyes will be missing their top 2 wide receivers in this contest who combined to score 25 touchdowns and amass just shy of 2000 receiving yards this season. Utah has won its first ever PAC-12 Championship in football and will be making their Rose Bowl debut. There’s no doubt in my mind they’ll have an emotional edge in this game as a result. Not to mention, Utah enters this contest on a 6-game win streak which included a pair of blowout wins over #15 Oregon. All 3 Utah losses this season have come by single-digit margins. Bet Utah plus the points for my “Bowl Game of the Year”. |
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01-01-22 | Providence v. DePaul +1.5 | 70-53 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
Providence @ DePaul 3:00 ET Game# 651-652 Play On: DePaul +1.5 (5**) Providence enters this game nationally ranked and on a 7-game win streak. Yet, the oddsmakers deem this to be virtually an even game against unranked DePaul. The Blue Demons are coming off a 63-59 conference loss at Butler in their previous game. However, DePaul has gone an outstanding 7-1 SU&ATS at home this season while outscoring opponents by 16.0-points per game. This looks like a prime spot for the home team to make a statement. Bet on DePaul. |
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01-01-22 | Kentucky -3 v. Iowa | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
Kentucky vs. Iowa 1:00 PM ET Game# 279-280 Play On: Kentucky -3.0 (5*) Iowa is coming off a humiliating 42-3 loss to Michigan in the Big 10 Championship game. As good as Iowa’s record is, the Hawkeyes have failed to record a win versus a current Top 25 team this season. Iowa’s offensive production has left a lot to be desired. The Hawkeyes scored 17 points or fewer in 4 of its last 7 games and they have averaged only 293.7 yards gained per contest this season. This is an intriguing matchup between #25 Kentucky (9-3) and #17 Iowa (10-3). Yet, the lower ranked Kentucky Wildcats are the favorite and I trust the oddsmakers unequivocally more than the pollsters. Kentucky finished the season on a 3-game win streak in which they outscored those opponents by a combined 142-54. Kentucky went 3-0 SU&ATS this season as a favorite of 6.0 or less. The Wildcats will be more excited and ready to play in the New Year’s Day bowl game. Bet Kentucky minus the points. |
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01-01-22 | Arkansas v. Penn State +2.5 | 24-10 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
Penn State vs. Arkansas 12:00 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Penn State +2.5 (5*) Penn State may be 7-5 but they’re a lot better than their record indicates. All 5 of the Nittany Lions losses came by single digit margins and that includes 4 defeats by 4 points or fewer. Their last 3 losses came against #7 Ohio State (10-2) by 9, #2 Michigan (12-1) by 3, and #11 Michigan State (11-2) by 3. They also lost to #17 Iowa (10-3). Conversely, Arkansas started the season 4-0 and went just 4-4 in their final 4 games. Arkansas is a run-heavy offense which is verified by 64.7% of their offensive snaps being rushing attempts. They Razorbacks will have their hands full against a Penn State defense that has allowed only 106 yards rushing per game and a mere 3.1 yards per attempt. Bet Penn State plus the points. |
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12-31-21 | Georgia -7.5 v. Michigan | Top | 34-11 | Win | 101 | 25 h 44 m | Show |
Georgia vs. Michigan 7:30 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Georgia -7.5 (10*) Michigan has been a nice story this season in a year that head coach Jim Harbaugh entered on the proverbial hot seat. The former Wolverines quarterback has his team peaking at the right time. Here’s where the issue for me comes in with regards to backing Michigan. The Wolverines have run the ball on 60% of their offensive plays this season and they’ll be facing a Georgia defense which allows just 82.2 rushing yards per game. The Bulldogs stop units is also tied for 4th nationally with 42 sacks. Georgia was embarrassed in their 41-24 SEC Championship Game loss to Alabama. Nevertheless, I’m willing to give them a pass since win or lose they 100% knew a college football playoff invitation awaited. Georgia was a 6.0-point favorite in that defeat. The good news, Georgia is 4-0 SU&ATS this season immediately following a game in which they failed to cover. They won those 4 contests by a substantial average of 39.5 points per game. The Alabama game was the first time all season that Georgia allowed more than 17 points. The Bulldogs defense has received much acclaim this season and rightfully so. But don’t sleep on the Georgia offense which scored 41 points or more in 4 of their last 5 and collected 449 yards or greater on each occasion. Bet Georgia minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-31-21 | Cincinnati +13.5 v. Alabama | 6-27 | Loss | -104 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
Cincinnati vs. Alabama 3:30 PM ET Game# 273-24 Play On: Cincinnati +13.5 (5*) I’m among the minority of people who thinks Cincinnati is more than capable of giving Alabama all it can handle in this College Football Playoff Semifinal. Granted, the Crimson Tide routed then #1 Georgia in the SEC Championship game 41-24 while amassing 556 yards of total offense. However, Georgia’s defensive strength is their front 7. Their secondary was exposed against Alabama’s Heisman Trophy winning quarterback Bryce Young who threw for 421 yards and 3 touchdowns. Young has been off the charts good this season. However, the Cincinnati secondary is amongst the finest in all of college football. The Bearcats ranked #2 nationally in passing yards allowed and has a pair of cornerbacks that will be playing on Sundays in the NFL. Cincinnati has a hidden gem of a quarterback in 4-year starter Desmon Ritter who accounted for a combined 36 touchdowns this season running and passing. Ritter has rushed for over 2000 yards and 25 touchdowns in his college career which brings an added dimension for Alabama’s defense to deal with. I wouldn’t be shocked to see this game go right down to the wire and possibly even an outright upset. Nonetheless, I won’t get greedy and take the generous number being afforded to me. Bet Cincinnati plus the points. |
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12-30-21 | Pittsburgh +3.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 21-31 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
Michigan State vs. Pittsburgh 7:00 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Pittsburgh +3.5 (10*) Both teams will be without their top offensive player. Pitt quarterback Kenny Pickett is a potential 1st round draft choice who opted out for risk of injury. All Picket did this season was throw for 4319 yards and 42 touchdowns. Michigan State will be without star running back Kenneth Walker III. Walker rushed for 1646 yards and 18 touchdowns this season while averaging a lofty 6.2 yards per carry. It comes down to this for me when handicapping this game. Which difference can make the difference between winning and losing? The answer to this then becomes simple. I unequivocally trust Pitt’s defense more than that of today’s opponent. Pitt is #40 in total defense, #6 in rush defense, and #2 in sacks nationally. Conversely, Michigan State is #117 out of 130 college football FBS teams in total defense and dead last in pass yards allowed. Bet Pittsburgh plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-30-21 | Michigan v. UCF +3 | 71-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
Michigan @ Central Florida 7:00 PM ET Game# 737-738 Play On: Central Florida +3.0 (5*) UCF will be out to atone for last season’s 80-58 blowout loss at Michigan. The Golden Knights have gone 8-2 thus far with its only defeats coming to Oklahoma by 3 and at #11 Auburn (12-1). As a matter of fact, UCF will enter today’s game on a 4-game win streak while covering 3 of those contests. The Golden Knights have converted on a terrific 79.4% of their free throws this season. Conversely, Michigan State has made just 66.8% of their free throw attempts. Additionally, UCF is #29 national in forcing turnovers and Michigan State is #332 out of 357 Division 1 teams in that identical category. Bet Central Florida plus the points. |
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12-29-21 | Oregon v. Oklahoma -6.5 | 32-47 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Oregon vs. Oklahoma 9:15 PM ET Game# 253-254 Play On: Oklahoma -6.5 (5*) Both teams lost their head coach following their final regular season game. Lincoln Riley left Oklahoma for the USC job and Oregon’s Mario Cristobal bolted for the Miami Fla. job. I think Oklahoma made a brilliant motivational move by bringing in legendary former Sooners head coach Bob Stoops to take over during this interim period. Besides the loss of Cristobal, Oregon is a shell of the team which we saw upset Ohio State on the road earlies this season and was in the playoff hunt until late in the season. Bet Oklahoma minus the points. |
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12-29-21 | Western Illinois +18.5 v. Iowa | 71-92 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
Western Illinois @ Iowa 8:00 PM ET Game# 681-682 Play On: Western Illinois +18.5 (5*) This is a veteran Western Illinois team that’s gone 10-3 this season. Their 3 defeats came by a combined 14 points. They own a win over Nebraska in their season opener in a game they closed as a 17.0-point underdog. Iowa (9-3) recently fell out of the Top 25 after going through a stretch in which they lost 3 straight including go 0-2 versus fellow Big 10 opponents. With a conference game up next at home versus Maryland, look for the Hawkeyes to not not be at their sharpest tonight. Bet Western Illinois plus the points. |
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12-29-21 | Wake Forest v. Louisville -4.5 | 69-73 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
Wake Forest @ Louisville 8:00 PM ET Game# 691-692 Play On: Louisville -4.5 (5*) Wake Forest is off to an 11-1 start to the season but is still unranked. Now they find themselves as a road underdog versus a Louisville team with an uninspiring 7-4 record and coming off a 10-point loss at Western Kentucky. During the past 3 season, the Cardinals have gone 6-0 SU&ATS at home following a loss by 10 or more and they won by an average of 17.5 points per game. Additionally, Louisville is an unscathed 3-0 SU&ATS this season following a loss with an average victory margin of 16.0 points per game. The sportsbooks and oddsmakers are begging you to take the road underdog in this contest. I’m not falling for the trap. Bet Louisville minus the points. |
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12-29-21 | Seton Hall v. Providence +1.5 | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Seton Hall @ Providence 7:00 ET Game# 663-664 Play On: Providence +1.5 (5*) This is a marquee game between #15 Seaton Hall (9-1) and #21 Providence (11-1). Providence is 8-0 at home this season while outscoring opponents by an average of 12.9 points per game. The Friars have posted quality wins over #25 Texas Tech, #24 Wisconsin, and over a solid UConn team that had been nationally ranked up until the most recent poll. Providence has been terrific defensively throughout their previous 5 contests while holding opponents to 56.8 points score per game and 35.8% shooting from the floor. Bet on Providence. |
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12-29-21 | Iowa State +2.5 v. Clemson | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Iowa State vs. Clemson 5:45 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Iowa State +2.5 (10*) #19 Clemson (9-3) and enters this Cheez-It Bowl on a 5-game win streak. Yet, they’re less than a field goal favorite versus unranked Iowa State (7-5). That’s all I need to know and especially considering that Iowa State opened as a favorite in this matchup. Iowa State will be without star running back Breece Hall who opted out to prepare for the NFL draft. However, they still have 4-year starting quarterback Brock Purdy who will be playing his final game in a Cyclones uniform. Bet on Iowa State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-29-21 | Maryland -3.5 v. Virginia Tech | 54-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech vs. Maryland 2:15 PM ET Game# 249-250 Play On: Maryland -3.5 (5*) Virginia Tech has lost numerous players via the transfer portal or opting out to prepare for the NFL draft. They will also have to reach way down the depth chart at quarterback after their starter entered the transfer portal and the backup is unavailable as well. Additionally, the Hokies will be playing with an interim head coach due to Justin Fuentes getting fired late in the year and their entire coaching staff is operating in lame duck status. The Hokies finished the season with an upset win over Virginia. However, Virginia Tech has gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 games this season immediately following a loss. Maryland started the season 4-0 and then last 6 of its next 7 games before defeating Rutgers in their last contest to become bowl eligible at 6-6. The Terrapins aren’t very good defensively, but they did score 31 points or more in 7 of its last 8 games, and they’re #14 nationally in passing yards at 307.1 per game. Bet Maryland minus the points. |
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12-28-21 | West Virginia +5.5 v. Minnesota | 6-18 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
West Virginia vs. Minnesota 10:15 PM ET Game# 245-246 Play On: West Virginia +5.5 (5*) This line makes no sense. Minnesota is 8-4 and less than a touchdown favorite versus a 5-6 West Virginia team who went 2-6 versus teams playing in a bowl game. The Mountaineers enter this Guaranteed Rate Bowl game with some momentum after winning their final 2 regular season contest and surprisingly ending up in a bowl game despite their losing record. You can make a strong case that West Virginia will be far more motivated to play in this bowl game than Minnesota will be. Bet West Virginia plus the points. |
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12-28-21 | Louisville +1.5 v. Air Force | 28-31 | Loss | -116 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
Air Force vs. Louisville 3:15 PM ET Game# 239-240 Play On: Louisville +1.5 (5*) Louisville has played a much tougher regular season schedule than Air Force has and that will pay dividends in this matchup. The oddsmakers and sportsbooks see this as an even matchup despite Louisville being 6-6 and Air Force at 9-3. Those season record disparities and this current line can mislead the novice sports bettors out there. Thankfully, I’m not in that category. Bet on Louisville. |
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12-26-21 | Lions +7 v. Falcons | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
Detroit @ Atlanta 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Detroit +7.0 (5*) The Falcons are coming off back-to-back road games. The Falcons are 6-8 but a an abysmal 0-5 SU&ATS at home while being outscored by an average of 14.8 points per contest. During the past 3 seasons, Atlanta is 2-14 SU and 3-13 ATS in conference home games. All previously mentioned is hardly a stellar resume for the touchdown home favorite. Detroit looks to continue building on positives in what has been otherwise a terrible season. After beginning the season with 8 straight losses, the Lions are a respectable 2-3-1 SU and more importantly from a betting viewpoint an extremely profitable 5-1 ATS. Furthermore, despite being winless on the road, the Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 away games. Bet Detroit plus the points. |
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12-26-21 | Rams v. Vikings +3.5 | 30-23 | Loss | -114 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
LA Rams @ Minnesota 1:00 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Minnesota +3.5 (5*) The Rams are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 and are now tied with Arizona for the NFC West Division lead with both teams at 10-4. However, since 2019, and all under current head coach Sean McVeigh, the Rams are a dismal 1-6 ATS and 2-5 SU in road games following 2 or more consecutive wins. Since Mike Zimmer took over as head coach in Minnesota, the Vikings are 28-11 SU and 26-13 ATS in regular season non-division home games. That team trend with Zimmer takes on even more added significance in this case since the Vikings are an underdog of better than a field goal. Furthermore, I’m of the opinion that this matchup gives a slight edge to Minnesota regarding the degree of urgency and desperation at stake. There’s on thing for certain, with or without Dalvin Cook, this is the best looking 7-7 team I’ve seen in quite some time. Bet Minnesota plus the points. |
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12-26-21 | Bills +2.5 v. Patriots | 33-21 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
Buffalo @ New England 1:00 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Buffalo +2.5 (5*) New England is at home, has a 1.0-game lead over Buffalo in the AFC East, is 7-1 in their last 8, and just won at Buffalo 14-10 during a Week 13 Monday night nationally televised game. Additionally, they embarrassed the Bills by winning despite throwing a mere 3 passes in the contest. Yet, here they are as less than a field goal favorite at home in a game if they win would result in an AFC East title. Think like an oddsmaker in this spot. He’s set the bait for bettors to perceive New England as being a logical pick. I have no problem being illogical just this once (laugh). Bet Buffalo plus the small number. |
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12-23-21 | 49ers -3 v. Titans | 17-20 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
San Francisco @ Tennessee 8:20 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: San Francisco -3.0 (5*) The line at the time of this writing tells me everything I need to know. We have an 8-6 San Francisco team as a road favorite versus 9-5 Tennessee in Week 16 of the season. Let’s face it, Tennessee hasn’t been the same offensively since losing star running back Derek Henry to an injury. The Titans have lost 3 of their last 4 and averaged a mere 14.7 points scored per game during that stretch while also committing an alarming 13 turnovers. San Francisco is playing their best football at the most opportune time. The 49ers are 5-1 SU&ATS in their last 6 and had a +7 turnover margin while doing so. The 49ers are also a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 non-division games with an average victory margin of 12.0 points per contest. Bet San Francisco minus the points. |
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12-23-21 | Miami-OH v. North Texas +3 | 27-14 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
North Texas vs. Miami-Ohio 3:30 PM ET Game# 291-292 Play On: North Texas +3.0 (5*) Somehow the MAC has 7 teams invited to bowl games and that includes Miami-Ohio who went just 5-6 this season. The early results haven’t been very good as MAC teams are 0-4 thus far. Miami posted just 1 win all season versus an opponent with a winning record. They lost their regular season finale 48-47 to Kent State in a game they allowed 303 yards rushing. That’s not a good sign in regards to this Frisco Football Classic matchup against an opponent in North Texas that has rushed for 321 yards or more in 3 of their last 4 contests. North Texas started the season 1-6 but then finished 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 while winning by a sizable margin of 19.6 points per game. It must be noted, North Texas routed nationally ranked UTSA in their regular season finale 45-23 in a game the Roadrunners entered with a perfect 11-0 record. Bet North Texas plus the points. |
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12-22-21 | Missouri +7 v. Army | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
Missouri vs. Army 8:00 PM ET Game# 225-226 Play On: Missouri +7.0 (5*) Public betting trends have heavily sided with Army since the opening line for this Armed Forces Bowl matchup has been dropped. As a matter of fact, Army has gone from an opening 3.0-point favorite to as high as 7.0 at the time of this writing. Part of the reason for this huge line move is that Missouri will be without star running back Tyler Badie who accounted for for 1934 total yards from scrimmage and scored 18 touchdowns this season. Brady Cook has been named the starter at quarterback for Missouri which is a bit of a surprise when considering his limited experience. However, since arriving on campus last season Cook has gone 25-31 passing for 179 yards and 2 touchdowns versus 0 interceptions. Missouri is a balanced offensive team that averages 36 runs and 35 passes per game. Missouri is an uninspiring 6-6 heading into the bowl season. Nevertheless, 4 of their 6 wins came over bowl participants and their regular season schedule saw them face 10 of 12 opponents that will be playing in postseason games. Army is a deceiving 8-4 when considering 1 of their wins came against Bucknell that plays at the FCS level in addition to victories over Massachusetts and Connecticut who are arguably the worst FBS programs in college football. Army is also coming off an upset loss to bitter rival Navy (4-8) 17-13 in a game their potent rushing attack was held to 124 yards which is 154 yards below its season average. The similarity between Navy and Missouri is both played a much tougher slate than the Black Knights. Bet Missouri plus the points. |
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12-22-21 | East Tennessee State +3.5 v. Georgia | 86-84 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
East Tennessee State @ Georgia 7:00 Game# 745-746 Play On: East Tennessee State +3.5 (5*) The sportsbooks are begging you to take a Power Conference team over one from a mid-major in this matchup. We have an SEC team as a small home favorite versus an Ohio Valley Conference team? That will raise some of the sharp’s eyebrows including mine. The line becomes even fishier when considering that ETSU is coming off 2 consecutive losses heading into tonight while losing to the likes of UNC-Asheville and North Carolina A&T. Georgia is coming off a narrow 6-point home win over Western Carolina but failed to cover as a 11.5-point favorite. The Bulldogs sustained resume ruining losses already this season to George Mason and Wofford. I won’t be shocked whatsoever if ETSU is added to that list after this game goes final. But, let’s not get greedy and take the points with East Tennessee State. |
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12-21-21 | Utah Valley +6.5 v. Washington | 68-52 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Utah Valley State @ Washington 9:00 PM ET Game# 671-672 Play On: Utah Valley State +6.5 (5*) Washington is an uninspiring 5-5 this season. The Huskies already suffered home losses to the likes of Northern Illinois as a 20.0-point favorite, Winthrop as a 5.0-point favorite, and Wyoming as a 1.0-point favorite. Altogether, Washington is 3-3 SU and 1-5 ATS at home thus far. The Huskies will have their hands full on the boards tonight against a UVS team that has a rebound margin of +8 per game this season while the Huskies are at -6 per contest. Furthermore, since 2019, Washington is 3-13 SU versus opponents with a rebound per game margin of +4 or better. UVS pulled off a shocking road upset earlier this season on the road when they defeated then nationally ranked BYU 72-65 as a 13.0-point underdog. UVS has held opponents to 38.6% shooting from the field this season and that includes 28.3% from 3-point territory. They’re also allowing their opponents only 13 free throw attempts per contest. That’s significant when considering Washington is shooting a horrible 35.6% during its 6 home games this season and 25.8% of their points have come from the free throw line in those contests. Bet Utah Valley State plus the points. |
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12-21-21 | Seahawks +7 v. Rams | 10-20 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Seattle @ LA Rams 7:00 PM ET Game# 337-338 Play On: Seattle +7.0 (5*) Seattle is 5-8 but unlike some teams with that poor of a record this late in the season they won’t be waving the white flag with Pete Carroll as their head coach. As a matter of fact, the Seahawks have won and covered their last 2 which included an upset of San Francisco. The Rams are coming off a huge Monday night national televised win over NFC West Division leading Arizona. However, the Rams were one of the hardest hit teams by COVID this week which caused this game to be rescheduled from Sunday until today. Their meetings have been held virtually this week since they were 1 of 7 NFL teams placed under the heading of emergency COVID protocol. It would be hard to imaging they will be sharp mentally or physically headed into this matchup. Winning the game is one thing but asking Los Angeles to cover this sizable of a point-spread under their current circumstances is a difficult ask. Bet Seattle plus the points. |
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12-19-21 | Packers v. Ravens +7 | Top | 31-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 45 m | Show |
Green Bay @ Baltimore 4:25 PM ET Game# 315-316 Play On: Baltimore +7.0 I like the Ravens with or without Lamar Jackson. I assume at +7.0 it will be Tyler Huntley at quarterback. If Lamar gets the green light and get medical clearance on his injured ankle, then we aren’t going to be getting 7.0 points it will be more like 3.5 or 4.0 and that’s still fine. Tyler Huntley has accounted himself well when called upon this season. He was the starter in place of the injured Jackson at Chicago when the Ravens walked away with a 16-13 win. Last week, he just came up short of rallying Baltimore from a 24-6 halftime deficit at Cleveland, but the Ravens fell 24-22. Baltimore has gone 4-0 in non-division home games this season which includes wins Kansas City (10-3), LA Chargers (8-5), Indianapolis (7-6), and the best 6-7 team in years the Minnesota Vikings. Baltimore has gone 8-0 SU&ATS during the last 4 weeks of regular season action over the last 2 years and won by a decisive margin of 17.8 points per game. Additionally, since 2019, Baltimore is a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS as a home underdog and won by an average of 12.0 points per game. All 3 losses by Green Bay this season were sustained away from Lambeau Field. They also escaped with narrow road wins by 3 in overtime versus Cincinnati, by 3 over Arizona, and 2 against San Francisco. It’s inevitable that Green Bay will win the NFC North and that may transpire as soon as the Vikings and Bears Monday night game goes final. I just firmly believe that a Jim Harbaugh coached Ravens team will be difficult for Green Bay to pull away from regardless of the adversity they may be facing. Bet Baltimore plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-19-21 | Jets v. Dolphins -9 | 24-31 | Loss | -114 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
NY Jets @ Miami 1:00 PM ET Game# 309-310 Play On: Miami -9.0 (5*) Miami is coming off their bye week after going 5-0 SU&ATS in the preceding 5 weeks. During this current win streak, the Dolphins allowed 9.0 points per game. Since last season, Miami has gone a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS versus the Jets and won by an average of 16.0 points per game. Since 2019, Miami is an unscathed 4-0 SU&ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 and won by 13.7 points per game. The Jets offense has averaged a mere 16.7 points scored per game throughout their previous 5 outings. Additionally, New York has averaged just 267.6 total yards of offensive per game over its last 3 contests. Since 2019, the Jets are 1-7 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 9.5, lost all 8 straight up, and were outscored by a sizable margin of 17.7 points per game. Bet on Miami minus the points. |
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12-18-21 | Marshall +4.5 v. UL-Lafayette | 21-36 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 19 m | Show | |
Marshall vs. UL-Lafayette 9:15 PM ET Game# 217-218 Play On: Marshall +4.5 (5*) We have #16 UL-Lafayette who has won 12 straight games since losing their season opener at Texas as just a 4.0-point favorite versus a 7-5 Marshall team from Conference USA. This game has trap written all over it as they’re pleading with you to take the ranked favorite at an inviting number over an opponent who’s mediocre on paper. Not to mention, this game is being played in New Orleans, Louisiana. If it smells like a rat, looks like a rat, then it’s a rat. Give me Marshall plus the points. |
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12-18-21 | Texas A&M -2.5 v. Oregon State | 83-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Texas A&M @ Oregon State 8:00 PM ET Game# 693-694 Play On: Texas A&M -2.5 (5*) Texas A&M (7-2) isn’t a top caliber power conference right now by any stretch, but they don’t have to be in this matchup against the 1-9 Beavers. Oregon State opened the season with a win, and since that time, they’ve lost 9 games in a row. The Beavers are also 1-9 ATS in those contests as well. Furthermore, Oregon State is 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home which includes losses to Samford (not Stanford), Cal-Davis, and Princeton. They were also blown out by 25 by #8 Arizona. Bet Texas A&M minus the points. |
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12-18-21 | Oregon State -7 v. Utah State | Top | 13-24 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 57 m | Show |
Oregon State @ Utah State 7:30 PM ET Game# 215-216 Play On: Oregon State -7.0 (10*) Utah State crushed San Diego State in the Mountain West Conference Championship Game 46-13 in a game they closed as a 6.5-point underdog. The Aggies enter this Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl having won 7 of their last 8 yet find themselves as a touchdown underdog versus a 7-5 Oregon State team. This is one of those situations where I trust the oddsmakers ability to set an accurate line more than what may appear to be obvious underdog betting value. As opposed to most Power 5 Conference teams playing opponents from the Group of 6 Conferences, Oregon State is delighted to be playing in a bowl game and will be plenty motivated. Especially when considering that Oregon State went a dismal 10-32 during the previous 4 seasons. Bet Oregon State minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-18-21 | Oklahoma State v. Houston -8.5 | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State vs. Houston 7:00 PM ET Game# 677-678 Play Onn: Houston -8.5 (5*) Oklahoma State has gone 2-2 in their last 4 with their only wins coming by 1 at Oral Roberts and by 5 at home over Cleveland State. Now they’ll face #14 Houston who’s only 2 losses came by 1 at #6 Alabama and by 2 on a neutral floor versus Wisconsin. Many experts expected the Cougars to fall from grace after losing 4 starters from last season’s Final Four team, but so far, they’ve exceeded expectations, and then some. Houston has forced 18.3 turnovers per game throughout its last 6 contests. Conversely, Oklahoma State has committed 16 turnovers or more in 7 of 9 games this season. Not exactly a recipe for success for the Cowboys. Bet Houston minus the points. |
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12-18-21 | Eastern Michigan v. Liberty -9.5 | 20-56 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan vs. Liberty 5:45 PM ET Game# 213-214 Play On: Liberty -9.5 (5*) The Liberty Flames are coming off a disappointing 7-5 season which included finishing regular season play 0-3 SU&ATS. Nevertheless, they find themselves as a sizable favorite against an Eastern Michigan team that sports an identical 7-5 record. It must be noted, those last 3 losses by Liberty came to #8 Ole Miss (10-2), #16 UL-Lafayette (12-1) and Army (8-4). The Flames also own 4 wins over teams participating in bowl games. Liberty has outgained their opponents by 112.7 yards per game this season. Conversely, Eastern Michigan has been outgained by 49.4 yards per contest. Bet on Liberty minus the points. |
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12-18-21 | UAB +7 v. BYU | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
UAB vs. BYU 3:30 PM ET Game# 211-212 Play On: UAB +7.0 (5*) This line makes no sense to me. BYU is ranked #12 in the country with a stellar 10-2 record. They have quality wins over #10 Utah, Mountain West Conference Champion Utah State, in addition to bowl teams Arizona State, Washington State, and Virginia. Additionally, BYU finished regular season action on a 5-game win streak. Yet here they are playing in the low-profile Independence Bowl against a team from Conference USA with an 8-4 season record. There’s no doubt in my mind that UAB will be more motivated to be playing BYU than visa-versa. When it comes to minor bowl games motivation is a key handicapping component to consider. UAB has unequivocally faced the weaker schedule of these 2 teams. However, they did give #24 UTSA (12-1) all they can handle in a 34-31 road loss in a game they outgained the Roadrunners 474-375. Bet UAB plus the points. |
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12-17-21 | Coastal Carolina -10.5 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 47-41 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 39 m | Show |
Coastal Carolina vs. Northern Illinois 6:00 PM ET Game# 203-204 Play On: Coastal Carolina -10.5 (10*) Northern Illinois is the MAC Champion that comes into this Cure Bowl matchup in Orlando Florida with a 9-4 record. However, they allowed 40 points or more in each of their 4 losses and were outgained by an average of 26.1 yards per game. Conversely, Coastal Carolina averaged 40.4 points scored per game and outgained their opponents by an average of 166.3 yards per contest. They will be facing a Northern Illinois defense that’s allowed 32.7 points per game this season. Since the start of last season, Coastal Carolina has gone a dominating 8-0 SU&ATS when facing an opponent that allows 31.0 or more points per game and they won by a decisive margin of 20.7 points per contest. Lastly, although Coastal Carolina didn’t reach the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game despite an outstanding 10-2 record, their 2 losses came by just a combined 5 points. They were that close to going undefeated. Bet Coastal Carolina minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-16-21 | Knicks v. Rockets +5 | 116-103 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
New York @ Houston 8:10 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Houston +5.0 (5*) Yes, Houston is coming off a horrendous performance last night in Cleveland in which they suffered a 124-89 blowout loss to the Cavaliers. I’m also aware of the fact that this will be the Rockets 5th game in 7 days. However, they’re an underdog and on a home floor in which they’ve won 7 of their last 8. Furthermore, they’ll be facing a Knick to that’s lost 7 of their previous 8 and that includes going 0-4 SU&ATS during its last 4 contests. During their current 4-game losing streak, New York has only averaged 95.5 points scored per game and lost by 11.7 points per contest. Bet Houston plus the points. |
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12-14-21 | Alabama v. Memphis +3.5 | Top | 78-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Alabama @ Memphis 9:00 PM ET Game# 633-634 Play On: Memphis +3.5 (10*) This game has trap written all over it. We have #6 Alabama coming off huge wins in their last 2 outings over #5 Gonzaga and #14 Houston who both were Final Four Teams last April. Then there’s Memphis who’s gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 games after starting the season 5-0 and being nationally ranked. Yet, Alabama is a short favorite in this spot and would seem to be an obvious choice for novice bettors. Well, I’m not a novice and rarely does obvious choices in sports betting appeal to me. Bet Memphis plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-13-21 | Rams +2.5 v. Cardinals | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Rams @ Cardinals 8:15 PM ET Game# 129-130 Play On: Rams +2.5 (5*) The sportsbooks are giving you the winner based on this current point-spread in my professional opinion. After all, Arizona won at Los Angeles 37-20 earlier this season, leads the Rams by 2-games in the NFC West Standings, and is facing a Los Angeles team that snapped a 3-game losing streak last week with a home win over lowly Jacksonville (2-11). Yet. the Cardinals are a home favorite of less than a field goal. It also must be noted, the Rams are 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games at Arizona and won by an average of 13.5 points per contest. Since 2019, Arizona has gone 0-3 ATS as a home favorite of 3.0 or less. Conversely, since 2019, the Rams are a profitable 13-7 ATS (65%) when their point-spread is between +3.0 to -3.0. Bet the Rams plus the points. |
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12-12-21 | 49ers v. Bengals +2 | 26-23 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 35 m | Show | |
49ers @ Bengals 4:25 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Bengals +2.0 (5*) Cincinnati is coming off last Sunday’s 41-22 blowout loss to the Cargers in a game they closed as a 3.0-point home favorite. That win dropped their season record to a still respectable 7-5. Any NFL team that’s playing in regular season action only and after Game 4, coming off a home favorite straight up loss by 17 points or more, and they currently have a winning record, resulted in those teams going 16-0 SU and 15-1 ATS since the start of the 2014-2015 season. As impressive as that 93.8% ATS betting angle is, the unbeaten SU record takes on added significance since it backs the underdog in this matchup. Bet the Bengals plus the small number. |
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12-12-21 | Bills +3.5 v. Bucs | 27-33 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 34 m | Show | |
Bills @ Buccaneers 1:00 PM ET Game# 125-126 Play On: Bills +3.5 (5*) The Bills are coming off an extremely disappointing 14-10 Monday night home loss to New England. They allowed over 200 yards rushing and will down in NFL annals in rare company after losing a game when the opponent had 2 passing days or less. Being that a national television audience witnessed that performance, I fully expect public betting to back Tampa Bay. I never have an issue when it requires going against public betting patterns. This is one of those instances. Bet the Bills plus the points |
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12-12-21 | Lions v. Broncos -10.5 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
Lions @ Broncos 4:05 PM ET Game# 121-122 Play On: Broncos -10.5 (5*) Detroit is coming off their 1st win of the season in last Sunday’s walk off win over Minnesota. However, NFL teams that are playing after Game 11 of their season, and they’re an underdog of from 7.0 to 114.0 points, resulted in those 1st time winners going 0-5 SU&ATS since 1981. They lost those 5 contests by a decisive margin of 24.2 points per game. This is rare air for Denver at home with no pun intended. Since Vic Fangio took over as head coach for the Broncos in 2019, they’ve only been a home favorite of 7.5 or greater twice and covered on each occasion. Denver is coming off last Sunday’s 22-9 loss at Kansas City. During Vic Fangio’s current tenure, Denver has gone 6-0 SU&ATS at home following a game in which they scored 14 points or fewer. Bet the Broncos minus the points. |
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12-12-21 | Raiders v. Chiefs -9.5 | Top | 9-48 | Win | 100 | 23 h 27 m | Show |
Raiders @ Chiefs 1:00 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Chiefs -9.5 (10*) After starting the season 5-2, the Raiders have gone on to lose 4 of its last 5 games. Las Vegas scored 16 points or fewer in all 4 of those defeats. Kansas City enters this week on a 5-game win streak in addition to covering each of its last 3. It’s the Chiefs defense and not their offense that has been the catalyst throughout those 5 Kansas City wins. Furthermore, and since 2019, the Chiefs are 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS after allowing 17 points or less in their previous 2 contests while winning by an average of 15.3 points per game. Lastly, Kansas City walloped the Raiders during their earlier season meeting in Las Vegas by a final score of 41-14. The Chiefs had a huge total offense yards edge of 516-299. Bet the Chiefs minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-11-21 | Arizona v. Illinois +3 | Top | 83-79 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
Arizona @ Illinois 5:00 PM ET Game# 671-672 Play On: Illinois +3.0 (10*) This line opened with #11 Arizona (8-0) being a 1.0-point favorite and now it’s -3.0 against unranked Illinois (7-2). Public betting has surely been influenced by Arizona not only being 8-0 but 7-1 ATS as well. Conversely, Illinois started the season 2-2 but has reeled off 5 straight wins since. They covered each of their previous 3 versus Notre Dame, Rutgers, and at Iowa. During their current 5-game win streak Illinois has averaged a robust 84.2 points scored per game, shot 51.6%, and converted on a superb 41.5% of its 3-point attempts. Illinois also possesses an outstanding +14 rebound per game margin. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Illinois is 31-5 at home and has only been an underdog once. Bet Illinois plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-11-21 | St Bonaventure +4 v. Connecticut | 64-74 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
St. Bonaventure vs. Connecticut 4:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: St. Bonaventure +4.0 (5*) After being ranked in the Top 25 for the first couple weeks of the season, St. Bonaventure dropped out after suffering their only loss to Northern Iowa by 10 at home. They followed that up with some uninspiring wins. A win here versus #15 UConn will assuredly catapult them back into the rankings. This game will be played at a neutral site which is the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey. The Bonnies are 3-0 on a neutral floor this season with wins over Marquette, Clemson, and Boise State. This will be the first time that St. Bonaventure will be an underdog and look for them to relish being in that role. The Bonnies are an experienced team that has enjoyed their fair share of success in recent years including a trip to the 2021 NCAA Tournament where they lost to LSU. The underdog will be up to the challenge today. Bet St. Bonaventure plus the points. |
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12-11-21 | Navy +7 v. Army | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
Navy vs. Army 3:00 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Navy +7.0 (5*) Don’t be misled by the disparity in the 2 team’s records. Navy is 3-8 and Army is 8-3. However, Navy has far and away played the tougher schedule. The Midshipmen have gone up against #4 Cincinnati, #5 Notre Dame, and #21 Houston. The only lopsided loss out of the 3 came at Notre Dame 34-6. The other 2 games saw the Middies cover each in a 28-20 loss at Houston as a 20-point underdog and a 27-20 loss Cincinnati as a 29.0-point dog. The only ranked opponent that Army faced this season was #20 Wake Forest and they suffered a 70-56 loss in that contest. The Black Knights allowed Wake Forest to rack up 638 yards of total defense and were outclassed from the start. This contest goes right down to the wire, and I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see an outright upset. Nevertheless, I won’t get greedy and take the number being given to me. Bet Navy plus the points. |
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12-11-21 | Mississippi State v. Colorado State -2 | 63-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
Mississippi State vs. Colorado State 2:00 PM ET Game# 625-626 Play On: Colorado State -2.0 (5*) Mississippi State was exposed and humbled in their last game which was a 5-point home loss to Minnesota in a game they were a large 11.0-point favorite. That’s exactly the type of loss that carries over to the next game and results in another defeat. Colorado State will have an agenda in this matchup. The Rams have begun their season 9-0 and outscored opponents by 17.9 points per game, but still haven’t cracked the Top 25 rankings. They’re in desperate need of a resume building win and they can do exactly that on Saturday. Looked for the Rams to make a statement in this one. Bet Colorado State minus the small number. |
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12-11-21 | Arkansas v. Oklahoma | 66-88 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
Arkansas @ Oklahoma 1:30 ET Game# 621-622 Play On: Oklahoma (Pick) 5* Unranked Oklahoma (7-2) plays host to #12 Arkansas (9-0) in this matchup. Yet there are currently some sportsbooks that have Oklahoma listed as high as a 1.5-point favorite. Besides the point, this is a Sooners team coming off an embarrassing 66-62 home loss to Butler in a game they were a sizable 11.0-point favorite. The #12 Razorbacks look like the obvious pick, right? Well wrong, it’s rarely that easy in sports betting and result will prove precisely that. Bet Oklahoma at a pick’em. |
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12-11-21 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State -4.5 | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
Wisconsin @ Ohio State 12:00 ET Game# 603-604 Play On: Ohio State -4.5 (5*) Wisconsin came from 22 points down at home on Wednesday to beat Indiana by 5 in their previous game. The Badgers expended a plethora of physical and mental energy to overcome a deficit that large. You can’t help but thing that will take its total in a road game just 3 days later. Additionally, they will be facing an Ohio State team that’s 5-0 at home including an upset of then #1 Duke. Ohio State has shot a red-hot 51.4% from the field and 41.4% from 3-point territory throughout their previous 5 games. Conversely, Wisconsin is shooting just 40.7% as a team this season. Bet Ohio State minus the points. |
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12-10-21 | DePaul +8 v. Louisville | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
DePaul @ Louisville 8:00 PM ET Game# 881-882 Play On: DePaul +8.0 (5*) Louisville is 3-1 at home thus far but failed to cover on 3 of those 4 occasions. Their lone home loss came to Furman by 8 as a 9.0-point favorite. This will be DePaul’s 1st game of the season not played on their home floor. However, we can’t ignore the fact the Blue Demons are 7-1 SU&ATS to start the season. Their only loss came by 4 to Loyola-Chicago who is a fringe Top 25 team. They also own a home win over Rutgers who just upset #1 Purdue last night. Bet DePaul plus the points. |
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12-09-21 | Iowa -5 v. Iowa State | 53-73 | Loss | -116 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Iowa @ Iowa State 9:00 PM ET Game# 861-862 Play On: Iowa -5.0 (5*) Iowa is coming off losses in their last 2 games. Yet, here they are as a road favorite versus an undefeated and #17 Iowa State (8-0) team. Can you say trap? They’re begging you to take the ranked home underdog against an unranked team. Going back to Iowa’s 2 losses. One came at #1 Purdue by 7 as a 12.0-point underdog and the other was versus a Top 25 caliber team in Illinois. By the way, Iowa is 3-0 SU&ATS the past 3 seasons versus Iowa State and won each of those meeting by 14 points or more. Bet on Iowa minus the points. |
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12-08-21 | Michigan State -7 v. Minnesota | Top | 75-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
Michigan State @ Minnesota 9:00 PM ET Game# 703-704 Play On: Michigan State -7.0 (10*) Minnesota enters this contest with an unblemished 7-0 record. Yet, they received no votes in the latest college basketball AP Poll and for good reason in my opinion. They haven’t really beat anyone of note. The Golden Gophers will be playing its first game this season against a ranked opponent. The public will surely be enticed to take an unbeaten sizable home underdog like Minnesota against a 2-loss opponent. I on the other hand, look at this contest from a contrarian betting viewpoint. #19 Michigan State is 6-2 with their only losses coming to #2 Baylor and #9 Kansas in their season opener. They own a win on a neutral floor over #15 Connecticut and another coming at home by 9 over Louisville. The Spartans are unequivocally more battle tested of the 2 teams in this matchup and it will pay dividends this evening. Not to mention, they’ll be out to revenge an embarrassing 25-point loss at Minnesota last season. Bet Michigan State minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-08-21 | Nuggets v. Pelicans +2.5 | 120-114 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Denver @ New Orleans 8:10 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: New Orleans +2.5 (5*) Denver will be playing their 5th of a 7-game in 13-day road trip. The Nuggets have arguably been one of the league’s biggest disappointments this season based on their current 11-12 record. As a matter of fact, Denver has gone a dismal 2-8 SU&ATS in their last 10 games. The Nuggets are 0-3 SU&ATS as a road favorite this season. New Orleans is coming off a 118-109 loss at Houston on Sunday. However, the Pelicans are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss in their previous game and won by a decisive 20.0 points per contest. Bet New Orleans plus the points. |
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12-08-21 | Knicks v. Pacers -5 | 102-122 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
New York @ Indiana 7:10 PM ET Game# 501-502 Play On: Indiana -5.0 (5*) New York is coming off last night’s win at San Antonio and that’s the good news. The bad news is they’ve not won 2 consecutive games since 10/30. The Knicks are 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 following a win. The Knicks lost at Indiana 111-98 on 11/3. Indiana snapped a 4-game losing streak with a 116-110 home win over Washington on Monday. Despite going a poor 3-8 in their last 11 games, the oddsmakers still feel that Indiana is still worthy of being a sizable favorite in this matchup. The sportsbooks aren’t that generous. Bet Indiana minus the points. |
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12-08-21 | Wagner +7.5 v. Penn State | 54-74 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
Wagner @ Penn State 7:00 PM ET Game# 49-50 Play On: Wagner +7.5 (5*) Don’t go to sleep on Wagner. They’re an experienced team and off to a 3-1 SU&ATS start to the season. One of their wins came by 14 against a solid VCU squad. Their only loss occurred at #23 Seton Hall which a far better team than the one they’ll face today. Penn State is off to an uninspiring 4-4 start which includes home losses to Ohio State and Miami Fla. In their last 2 games. Additionally, the Nittany Lions have a conference game at #19 Michigan State up next on Saturday. Sandwiched between these 3 games versus Power Conference teams is a matchup against tiny Wagner. This looks like a trap and flat spot for a home team that’s average at best to start with. Bet Wagner plus the points. |
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12-07-21 | Texas Tech v. Tennessee -3.5 | 57-52 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Texas Tech vs. Tennessee 7:00 PM ET Game# 613-614 Play On: Tennessee -3.5 (5*) Both teams possess identical 6-1 records. However, my strength of schedule rating has #13 Tennessee at +9.2 over Texas Tech. In layman’s terms, The Volunteers have a played a significantly stronger schedule and especially when consider both are Power Conference teams. Tennessee suffered their only loss against #6 Villanova. The Vols do have a dominating 89-72 quality win over North Carolina. Tennessee is coming off a 69-54 win at Colorado in which they covered easily as a 6.0-point favorite. Conversely, Texas Tech is coming off its first loss of the season at unranked Providence. The Volunteers are the more complete team in this matchup. Bet Tennessee minus the points. |
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12-06-21 | Patriots v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 14-10 | Loss | -122 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
New England @ Buffalo 8:15 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Buffalo -2.5 (-122) (10*) New England has gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games and enters this contest the hottest team in the NFL. Additionally, the Patriots have gone 5-0 on the road this season. Yet, here they are as a road underdog versus a Bills team that’s just 3-3 in their last 6 games. Like I said on many occasions, it’s rarely that east when it comes to sports betting and tonight’s game will be a prime example of such. It also must be noted, 4 of the 5 road wins by New England have come over teams that currently have a losing record in the Jets (3-9), Texans (2-10), Panthers (5-7), and Falcons (5-7). The lone exception was their win at the Chargers (7-5). New England is coming off a 36-13 home win over Tennessee last Sunday. However, that final score is a bit deceiving since they only were able to Buffalo is coming off a 31-6 blowout win at New Orleans in a game they held the Saints to a mere 146 passing yards. Since 2019, Buffalo is 11-1 SU and 9-2-1 ATS following a game in which they allowed 150 or fewer passing yards and includes 4-0 SU&ATS (+16.2 PPG) at home. Furthermore, since 2019, Buffalo is 5-0 SU at home following a game in which they allowed 14 points or fewer and they won by an average of 13.8 points per contest. Kudos to the New England Patriots and future Hall of Fame head coach Bill Belichick for the masterful job he’s done so far this season. Nonetheless, Buffalo is the better team in this matchup and they’ll make a huge statement tonight to fulfill that statement. Bet Buffalo minus the small number for a Top Play wager. |
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12-06-21 | Grizzlies +4.5 v. Heat | 105-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Miami 7:40 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: Memphis +4.5 (5*) Miami has lost 3 of its last 4 which includes going 0-2 SU&ATS at home. Key injuries have played a significant role during that mini slump. Jimmy Butler (tailbone) remains questionable for tonight and Bam Adebayo (thumb) will be out for an indefinite amount of time. Memphis suffered a setback when they lost start point guard Ja Morant (24.1 PPG/5.6 RPG/6.8 APG) to a knee injury early in a game against Atlanta on 11/25. However, even without Morant, the Grizzlies have managed to go 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games while holding opponents to an average of 90.3 points scored per contest and a combined 35.1% shooting. Bet on Memphis plus the points. |
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12-05-21 | Broncos v. Chiefs -9.5 | Top | 9-22 | Win | 100 | 30 h 1 m | Show |
Denver @ Kansas City 8:20 ET Game# 457-458 Play On: Kansas City -9.5 (10*) The public has jumped all over Denver to cover this contest as of this writing. Nonetheless, I’m here to tell you they’re dead wrong. Yes, I know the Chiefs have been a terrible play on as a home favorite this season and last. I also know Denver is coming off an impressive 28-13 home win over the Chargers and recently blew out Dallas in Arlington. It doesn’t matter, because I don’t see this as a favorable betting situation for the sizable road underdog. The Chiefs seemed to sleepwalk through the first half of the season and frankly looked uninspired. However, Kansas City has recently caught fire and enter this week on a 4-game win streak. The most encouraging part of that successful run was the play of their defensive unit. The Chiefs have allowed an average of 11.7 points and 294.0 yards per game while also forcing 8 turnovers. Furthermore, they’ve owned the Broncos in recent seasons while going 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS against them. Lastly, Kansas City is just 1.0 game ahead of Denver in the standings, yet they are more than a touchdown favorite. It sure feels like the sportsbooks are baiting to take the road underdog. Thanks, but no thanks. Bet on Kansas City minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-05-21 | Washington Football Team +1.5 v. Raiders | 17-15 | Win | 100 | 25 h 57 m | Show | |
Washington @ Las Vegas 4:05 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Washington +1.5 (5*) The only thing consistent about the Raiders this season has been their inconsistency. That’s especially been the case since former head coach Jon Gruden was let go. Which team is going to show up? The one that has wins over the Cowboys, Ravens, and Denver, or losses against the Giants (4-7) and Bears (4-7). My strong feeling is we’ll see the latter. The raiders have lost 3 of their last 4 at home. Don’t look now but after a 2-6 start to the season, Washington has gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3. They currently are holding down the final NFC wildcard position as a result. What’s even more encouraging, the highly touted Washington defense is finally living expectations after floundering through the first 6 games of the season. During the last 5 contests, Washington has allowed 19.0 points and 282.8 yards per game while facing opposing quarterbacks such as Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, and Russell Wilson. Bet the Washington Football Team. |
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12-05-21 | Chargers +3 v. Bengals | 41-22 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
LA Chargers @ Cincinnati 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: LA Chargers +3.0 (5*) Cincinnati has been and will continue to be a heavily bet side in this matchup. Public bettors tend to have a short memory and overreact at times to what has transpired in the last couple of weeks. With that being said, the Chargers are coming off a poor performance in a 28-13 loss at Denver last Sunday. However, it’s worth noting that the Chargers are 3-1 SU following a loss this season and includes 2-0 SU&ATS in away games. Cincinnati is coming off impressive wins over Las Vegas 32-13 and Pittsburgh 41-10. Despite those 2 high scoring outputs, the Bengals averaged just 329.0 yards of total offense per game and benefitted from forcing 5 turnovers. Let us not forgot, Cincinnati is just 3 weeks removed from suffering back-to-back losses to the Jets (3-8) and Browns (5-6) while allowing a combined 75 points during those defeats. The Chargers have failed to cover their previous 3 games. On the other hand, Cincinnati has covered their last 2 contests. Any NFL team that’s +3.0 to -3.0 (Chargers) that failed to cover in 3 more games in a row and is facing an opponent (Bengals) who covered 2 or more games in a row, resulted in those teams on an ATS losing streak to go 35-7 ATS (80%) since 2012, 19-2 ATS since 2017, and 11-0 ATS since 2019. Bet the Chargers plus the points. |
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12-04-21 | Iowa v. Michigan -10.5 | Top | 3-42 | Win | 100 | 29 h 26 m | Show |
Iowa vs. Michigan 8:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Michigan -10.5 (10*) Give a lot of credit to Iowa head coach Kirk Ferentz and his staff for getting Iowa to the Big 12 Championship game despite some glaring offensive weaknesses. Case in point, the Hawkeyes averaged just 20.7 points per game in their final 7 Big 10 Conference games. Unquestionably the Hawkeyes defense has been the catalyst to a successful 10-2 regular season campaign. Nonetheless, Michigan’s defense has been superb as well. The Wolverines are #14 nationally in total defense and #8 in scoring while allowing only 17.2 points per contest. Conversely, Iowa is 123rd out of 130 Division 1 teams in total offense at only 299.3 yards per game. The defenses comparisons are a wash since both units are elite. The telling difference in us covering this spread will be Michigan’s offense which is #20 nationally in total yards. The Wolverines offense is especially difficult to defend since their yards gained between run and pass are almost identical. Bet Michigan minus the points for a Top Play wager. |