10* Temple+ over UNC

CFB EASTERN EDGE BOWL OF THE YEAR

BDS

5* Georgia Southern -7 over Georgia State

SUN BELT GAME OF THE WEEK...BDS

Realize GSU letdown last week in their loss to Troy on the road.  But, needs to respond in game where underdog State is accruing late interest.  Georgia State has solid forces in Ellington, Barnett and McCoy.  QB Ellington, though, is injured playing on a so-so leg issue.  On the road I don't want that angle burying our chances of covering when getting points.  We're going GSU who is coming off a loss, while State just beat 1-10 South Alabama at home which was not impressive.  For now, we're laying the points with a homer in a must win scenario.  Good Luck.

ALREADY CASHED AMERICAN/ALBANY UNDER CBB EARLY

4* NMS/Liberty UNDER the total

Scoring ability on both sides especially when you see the Aggies scoring 85 the last two games, but check that was vs. UTEP and Incarnate.  Liberty was crushed at Virginia last week running for under 100 yards giving out two interceptions in a real sloppy game.  This is rebound game for both after Liberty lost earlier in October vs. NMS 13-20 on the road.  Clearly you're viewing two different programs with Liberty 6-5 against 2-9 NMS.  Being at home we expect Liberty to BB after losing to BYU and Virginia on the road at that end of 4 game road swing.  Believe this will be more of a one-sided game with NMS coming up a little short on the road after two previous SU wins.  In the series there has been just three games.  Technically Liberty is a perfect 4-0 UNDER in the 60's this season, while NMS shows 2-4 UNDER 2019.   Good Luck, and by the way in CBB this morning we CASHED another total with American/Albany UNDER.

4* MARSHALL/FIU OVER the total

Greedy situation for each unit with playoff hopes in the balance for one unit.  Technically as just an observation the Herd are 2-6 ATS as a chalk this season. They lost last week to 6-5 Charlotte breaking their 5 game win streak.  The Panthers show 1-3 ATS and dog this year off an emotional huge upset win over Miami Florida who destroyed their win chances with 3 INT.  FIU was a 20-1/2 underdog at Marlins Park.  The series, however, has gone OVER in BB seasons with the totals 52-1/2 and 47-1/2. Here we check in with 48-1/2 as you sits between the L2 battles.  With QB Green having a horrid outing last time, he should respond in the appropriate fashion.  We believe Marshall at home will respond LARGE in front of their home stands.  So, should force FIU to fall in long down and distance situations driving this baby OVER the total...GOOD LUCK.

5* Central Michigan (7-4, 9-2) over Toledo (6-5, 3-7-1)

CFB FRIDAY EARLY BEST BET ANGLE....BDS

HOW CENTRAL HAS PERFORMED THE LAST TWO VERSUS NIU AND BALL STATE HAS BEEN SUPERLATIVE WINNING AND COVERING EACH, WHILE OUT SCORING THE OPPOSITION IN THEIR SEVEN WINS BY 135 POINTS.  LAY THE WOOD NOON TIME ON THE NETWORK.  GOOD LUCK.

3* MISSISSIPPI STATE -1 over Ole Miss

CFB EGG BOWL WINNER...BDS

4* NO. ILLINOIS+ over Western Michigan

Much press for WMU who have won 3 straight in conference games against 3-8, 4-8 and 5-6 teams.  Western has been a loser on the road this season, despite they should come in a little over confident against NIU.  The road chalk in this series has not won and covered going back to 2012, we'll grab the value tonight.  Good Luck.

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4* Minnesota+ (335) over Iowa

CFB Key Reverse Angle…BDS

Coach Fleck of Minnesota has turned around the team’s course of action, winning 9 straight (6-2-1 ATS) this season and 11 in a row going back to 2018.  Last week the Golden Gophers stunned Penn State (-6-1/2) 31-26.  OB Morgan of Minnesota was the key completing 18-20 (339) and 3 touchdowns.  Last season Minny went 6-6 SU with Big-10 losses to Maryland (13-42), Iowa (31-48), Ohio State (14-30), Nebraska (28-53), Illinois (31-55) and Northwestern (14-24).  They were out scored 242-131 in those defeats.  Thus far in 2019 the Golden Gophers have faced Maryland, Nebraska and Illinois out scoring the group 126-34 winning all three SU & ATS.  So, it’s easy to ascertain the improvement by Minnesota on the playing field.  Iowa comes in 6-3 SU (4-5 ATS), 4-1 L5 SU in Iowa City. They have won 6 of 7 SU over Minnesota out scoring in the series 187-172.  Technically, the road unit comes in 3-0-1 ATS L4 with the underdog 3-1-1 ATS L5 times out.  Remember Minnesota has covered 7-straight versus the Big-10, 6-0 ATS L6 overall and 5-0 ATS on turf.  Iowa (after losing to Wisconsin 22-24) shows 1-4 ATS L5 after a SU loss and 2-5 ATS L7 after allowing 200+ rushing yards prior.  No matter, we’re going with the Golden Gophers to cover considering they have so much revenge built up in the que.  Good Luck.

3* Cornell+ over Dartmouth

The Green (8-0) is a perfect 5-0 SU in the Ivies this season after taking care of hated rival Princeton last week in easy fashion.  Their two largest blowouts at home were against Yale and Columbia one sided affairs.  However, those easy winners where after a road game with a road game scheduled next after those two huge wins.  Today Dartmouth has another game versus Cornell.  The Big Red (2-6) have played seven difficult games in a row.  They dropped a road game to Princeton 21-20 last week and now have even a tougher situation on the road.  The Big Red did cover earlier this season in the second of BB road games against Yale.  In 2018 as a RF the Green (-9) beat Cornell 35-24, and the line sets up herewith +30-1/2.  Take the points in what we expect might be somewhat of a letdown for Dartmouth.  Good Luck.

4* STONY BROOK+ over Delaware

Key CFB Eastern Edge...BDS

Again turnovers and OL blocking (2 fumbles and 3 sacks) hurt the Blue Hens in their loss to Albany running their losing streak to three, while the Brook on a 1-4 SU run L5 looks to bounce back after some tough losses.  We must recall Stony on the road a few games upset Villanova 36-35. Here feel the Brook is in the right spot to pull road upset.  Good Luck.

3* VMI/Army OVER the total

It's a beautiful cold day up in West Point with no precipitation estimated.  VIM visits Army after being defeated 60-21 last week at Furman.  VMI shows 4-1 OVER in the 2019 season.  The Cadets are off a dismantling of UMass last time on this same field 63-7.  Prior Army had lost five games in a row by nine points or less.  So they are primed to finish the season on a strong note bringing an average of 38.2 points per game at home thus far, while going 4-1 OVER L5 at West Point.  No doubt this is tough number, but Army is riding a different mindset now.  Good Luck.

4* Fresno State over Utah State

CFB MWC Special Saturday...BDS

5* Texas Tech/West Va. OVER the total

CFB Conference Total of the Week...BDS

Early Saturday we have two 3-5 teams pairing up down in Morgantown in what should be a high scoring game.  Granted WVU has averaged only 14 points the last three games, but that was against Iowa State, Oklahoma and Baylor who are a combined 20-4 coming into Saturday.  In prior games the Mounties scored 31, 29 and 44 versus Texas, Kansas and NCS.  Again the value of their foe has rescinded so they should be viable scoring unit here.   Over the last four games Tech has averaged 33+ against KU, ISU, Baylor and Oklahoma State.  Texas Tech is OVER 4-0-1 L5, 4-0-1 OVER in conference and 3-0-1 OVER after a loss.   WVU comes 4-0 OVER L4 after ATS win, 5-0 OVER in November and 8-2 OVER L10 in conference.  Go HIGH on Saturday afternoon.  GL.

5* WASHINGTON (5-4) over Oregon State (4-4)

Incredible scenario with the Huskies losers (leading in the 4th quarter in each) of BB games to Oregon and Utah, and they were the underdog in each case.  Now they go on the road against the Beavers who show off BB road wins over California and Arizona. Talk about contrasting situations!  Don't forget it's November and Washington has not secured a bowl bid.  SOS of late really favors the Huskies, but their defense will face a balanced scoring arsenal with QB Luton (who is hot) and a bevy running backs.  Washington no doubt is in a must win situation on the road.  However, overall they have the better defense and should be able to respond with a run first attack controlling the tempo of the game.  Remember State has been more vulnerable  at home against the run this season allowing on average of 236 yards.  Washington has won the last three by 19, 35 and 24 points, but the spread has been -32, -27 and -26 and the -10 does extend the mind alittle.  The Huskies have controlled the series winning seven straight games, and the road team has covered the last four.  Also, despite being jacked up State has poor history on their field going 2-7 ATS L9.  In addition, they are 1-4 ATS L5 in Friday games.  Washington looking to regain their mojo is 4-1 ATS L5 after running for less than 100 yards and 7-2 ATS Friday's.  What should be a close game early, feel the Huskies focusing on the run and TOP will circumvent Oregon State's prolific gang somewhat.  Don't forget Washington just played Oregon and Utah two top ten units.  Drop in overall physical pressure at the line of scrimmage equates to a 38-24 win by Washington.

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4:30 Eastern

4* 365/366…Oregon State/Arizona UNDER the total

WEST COAST TOTAL OF THE WEEK…BDS

Oregon State (3-4) visits Arizona (4-4) Saturday in a conference battle.  Last week the Beavers pulled an upset at California, while the ‘Cats were out gunned by Stanford.  Coming into action Arizona has the edge SU in the series at 25-14-1.  This is a major revenge game for the improving visitors who gave up 442 yards on the ground at home versus Arizona in 2018.  If the Beavers defense can limit the opposing offense from taking over the game, they just might win SU.  As far as the total, the number has regressed from 73 to 71.  No doubt both clubs have strong OVER tendencies, but in 2019 the Beavers show 2-0 UNDER off a loss with the total in the 70’s.  Arizona plays with 1-0 UNDER mark this season at home with the total in the 70’s.  A strong “gut” feeling from our side of the desk.  Good Luck.

3* FLORIDA+ over South Carolina

SEC APPRECIATION SATURDAY ANGLE

BRAD DIAMOND SPORTS

LES MILES!

10* KANSAS+ (348) over Kansas State

CFB...BIG-12 GAME OF THE YEAR...BDS

4* North Carolina State+ over Wake Forest

CFB REVERSE ANGLE ELITE...BDS

Double Revenge for reeling Pack who show 0-3 SU & ATS this season on the road against West Virginia, Florida State and Boston College.  Wake 6-1 and 4-1 SU at home with all close games with the exception of ELON!  For the Demon Deacons QB Newman should start, while State will look at 1-3 options behind the center, but frosh QB Leary should get the nod.  Overall the spread series has been controlled by Wake of late, but Deacons 0-4 ATS after a bye.  NCS is a perfect 5-0 ATS after carrying for under 100 yards in their last game.  Another positive angle for the Pack is the additional rest after the Boston College game.  Good Luck.

4* Columbia+ over Yale

IVY LEAGUE SPECIAL...BDS

3* UCONN+ (308) over Navy

CFB Friday Appreciation Angle…BDS

Navy travels tonight 6-1 with the loss being earlier at Memphis.  They ran for almost 400 yards last week rarely in a must throw situation versus a testy Tulane team.  Also, the Middies managed only 68 yards through the air winning 41-38 at home.  The Huskies with a 2-6 record show off a nice win against lesser UMass and have improved offensively with a frosh quarterback.  Can they stay in the game enough to cover the large number?  One insight has the #1 rushing team (Navy) quite capable of piling up the points, especially considering they have the #18 rush defense in the country.  However, we believe UConn will have the edge in mental focus being at home and showing off a rare win.  In addition, teams who have Notre Dame (Navy) up next are 2-4 ATS L6 in 2019.  Granted Navy has been a consistent spread unit of late, still they come in 1-4-1 ATS on grass and 1-5 ATS L6 against a losing home unit.  TAKE THE POINTS!

4* AUBURN+ over LSU

CFB SEC Special Saturday...BDS

5* Brown+ over Cornell

IVY LEAGUE SPECIAL...BDS

The Bears have not won an Ivy League game in two years, while continuing their streak this season with losses to both Harvard (7-42) and Princeton (22-65).  Granted they are no doubt overdue for a reclamation win.  Cornell this season shows 0-2 SU in the Ivies copying Brown, but in both cases Yale and Harvard they covered +18 for nice underdog covers.  The aforementioned line was originally  stroked at -10 with the Big Red.  The line change still has value for the Bears  considering they played two of the top four units (9-1) in the Ivies.  The Bears should have enough offense to stay close with an "expected" win by Cornell with Princeton up next(!).  Big Red lost to the Tigers 66-0 last season, TAKE THE POINTS.

3* Pennsylvania+ over Yale

By all means this the Eli football game.  However, we were not impressed by their last two wins.  If the running game can execute more effectively for Pennsylvania they should manage to stay close in what could a shocking final score.  Good Luck.

5* LSU over Mississippi State

SATURDAY CFB GAME OF THE WEEK

BRAD DIAMOND SPORTS

3* Tulsa+ over Cincinnati

CFB Saturday Appreciation Side

Good Luck, BDS

4* Auburn over Arkansas

Saturday SEC Special...BDS

Auburn (5-1 SU & ATS) shows off a bye week and a SU loss to talented Florida.  And now must travel to Arkansas to face a 2-4 team both SU & ATS.  Granted Arkansas despite their negative is seemingly on the improve, but recently the War Eagles have dominated, especially in the last three games winning and covering each by an average margin of 38.7 points.  We know HC Malzahn of Auburn will want to rebound after their horrific loss and will be well rested.  The favorite in the series is 6-0 ATS and the Tigers show 5-1 ATS L6 meetings.  Good Luck.

3* Florida/South Carolina UNDER the total

CFB EARLY TOTAL ANGLE...BDS

No doubt the Gators own this series historically, but they go against their former coach Muschamp who has a feel for the opposition.  The Gamecocks will have QB Hillinski back as the starter which help the offense be more competitive.  Last week against hated Georgia club, the offense was shutdown being held to under 300 yards total, while the 'Dawgs breached 500 total yards losing in double OT 20-17 because of turnovers.  With rain showers forecasted we expect Muschamp to play an extremely conservative game.  The Gators will look to bounce back from LSU and will be highly motivated despite the site and weather.  No matter, the spot looks to be more relative to a lower scoring game.  From the trend standpoint SC is UNDER 0-3 against the SEC L3 encounters this season.  In fact, they show 21-9 L30 UNDER against the SEC of late.  And, come 6-2 UNDER L8 overall.  Florida with a gaudy offense led QB Trask could be less effective with heavy showers estimated.  The Gators come 4-1 L5 UNDER at South Carolina and 7-3 UNDER L10 meetings.  

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4* Marshall+ (309) over Florida Atlantic

Friday Night Key College Angle…BDS

At home Marshall (3-3, 1-5) won 31-17 last week over a 1-5 Old Dominion club, while FAU (4-2, 4-2) at home won 28-13 over MTS (2-4). Earlier FAU dropped both games to quality opponents in Ohio State and Central Florida. Since improving their running game, the Owls are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS.  Although QB Robison and young RB Davidson played well last week, though, it was the ineptness of the ODU passing game which earmarked three interceptions making the difference.  Marshall knowing, they are going up against Kiffin just might show a different look offensively.  Of course, they will be looking for QB Green to get untracked in a negative environment.   We look for the Herd to improve on the defensive side of the ball with some of the players dealing with nagging injuries.  Granted this is a tough call with the home team winners of the last three in the series, but the road units are 4-1 ATS and the underdog 5-1 L6 ATS.  Marshall comes an amazing 16-5 ATS on grass, FAU is 3-8 ATS L11 in that venue. And, don’t forget the Owls show 1-9 ATS L10 at home when laying between -3-1/2 and -7.  In Friday encounters the Herd is 8-3 L11 ATS and opposing Florida Atlantic a PERFECT 0-6 ATS.  Grab the line value now and earn with us.  Good Luck.

THIS IS A TOP PLAY!

5* Temple (128) over Memphis

CFB Game of the Week…BDS

On Saturday we have another exciting football game with the high -flying Memphis (5-0) Tigers traveling to Philadelphia and a date with eastern (AAC) unit Temple (4-1).  The Tigers come off a blasting (52-33) of UL-Monroe though giving up over 300 yards passing will have their hands filled Saturday afternoon in a situation that will represent an uptick in team strengths.  Key, the Tigers have struggled somewhat in stopping the run.  And the Owls will be their most physical opponent since game #1 against Ole Miss.  From the Temple offensive perspective, the running game went for over 230 yards on the ground last week against ECU (who is a stronger unit than ULM), and clearly should have a noted edge here.  Memphis has not encountered a running game thus far that will control the tempo.  So, if QB Russo of Temple stays out of negative yardage issues, we can easily see a win and cover for the Owls.  No doubt current and former head coach Matt Rhule will have the unit sky high.  Technically with Temple a perfect 3-0 ATS at home this season, we’ll take the points.  Good Luck.

4* VIRGINIA PLUS over Miami Florida

Friday CFB Key Alert...BDS