Knicks/Pacers 8:00: Pacers should pick up the pace at home and do what they do best: force turnovers into transition buckets. It will be hard for the slower and some hobbling - Karl Anthony-Towns (knee) to slow them down on this floor. Haliburton should turn up his game several notches to spur the offensive output. Knicks should get their share of points; after all, Brunson has been unstoppable, underutilized Anunoby should continue to put up points with Big KAT. Over the call. 

Cincinnati/Iowa State 12:30: Both teams are well disciplined defensively and this should be a physical battle on this neutral floor. Bearcats are 25th nationally in scoring defense yet struggle to put up points vs good defensive teams. Iowa State is a good defensive team that can choke you out on a good day. The Cyclones are well rested, getting the bye and should be up for the task. Cincinnati sports an 11-21 O/U mark on the season. Iowa State is 13-18 O/U on the year. These teams combined for 151 points back on February 15th win for Iowa State. Look for thorough defensive adjustments by coaches to keep this one "Under". 

Chiefs/Eagles 6:30: Since that high scoring 2022 Super Bowl, these defenses have improved dramatically. Eagles hired DC Vic Fangio to fix a 2023 pass defense dead last in the NFL. All Fangio did was turn it into the #1 ranked defense in the NFL, including a top tier pass defense. KC explosive plays will be hard to come by. KC offense in 2022 was #1 in the NFL. It's mid level this season. On the other hand, KC's defense was ranked 16th the last time these teams met in the Super Bowl. KC DC Spagnuolo tweaked it to the #4 scoring defense in the NFL this season. In Spagnuolo we trust. He'll find a way to keep Barkley from breaking those explosive runs in the secondary. Fortunately, KC defensive backs are fundamentally sound in tackling. We'll look for this one to stay "under". 

Analysis to follow...

Analysis to follow...

Bengals/Steelers 8:00: Most likely a shootout. Bengals have been outscoring three of their last four opponents. Backup quarterbacks they faced in three of the last four. The other - Nix - is a rookie. Steelers' offense no juggernaut but Wilson and a healthy receiving corps (Pickett is back) should see the end zone vs the injury ravaged Bengals' defense that hasn't gotten its footing all year. Last time they played - Dec 1st - Wilson dropped 414 yards on them with 3 TD passes in a 44-38 win. Burrow has been an absolute machine for most of the season and I don't see the Steelers stopping him or his fully loaded receiving corps. "Over" the call. 

Lions/49ers 8:15: This series has gone 4-0 O/U including that January 28th 34-31 Detroit debacle in Santa Clara. Projected about 52 for this 'total'. We get a few points of value with the "over".  Detroit offense at near full strength with RB Montgomery out. The strong Lions' offensive line can surely win the battle of the LOS and unleash Gibbs for a bulk of the carries. Goff is loaded with all receivers in check against a vulnerable SF secondary with CB Ward out. Dolphins gutted the 49ers with speedster Achane (120 yards rush, including 50 yard TD). On the other hand, Detroit's defense is decimated with lots of its top players from early in the year on the IR. Shanahan still has Kittle, Samuel and Jennings for Purdy to do damage with. We'll look for explosive plays and points tonight. . 

Dolphins/Browns 4:05: Both teams are experiencing offensive woes. Dolphins won't have Tua (hip) and that's always a problem for the Dolphins. Tyler Huntley (1 TD/I INT) will attempt to rev up the offensive machine. He likely won't have Waddle (knee). Tua was in great rhythm with newfound go-to-guy TE Jonnu Smith - who has as many TD catches (6) as Tyreek Hill (wrist). Defensively, Browns pretty healthy and once again should keep them in the game. On the other hand, Browns' offense not in good hands with Dorian Thompson Robinson (0 TD/5 INT). And he won't have TE Njoku or Tillman. We'll look for good punting and low offensive output today. "Under" the call. 

Jaguars/Raiders 4:25: Both of these defenses leave much to be desired. They each allow 27 PPG. And Raiders' Aiden O'Connell gives us value with the "over". He can effectively throw the ball downfield and utilize TE matchup nightmare - Brock Bowers much better than Ridder was able to. Jaguars struggle to rush the passer (30th in sacks) which should allow more downfield plays. On the other hand, interception prone Mac Jones offers big play potential with Brian Thomas Jr.. Fortunately for Mac Jones, he won't have to worry about edge disrupter - Maxx Crosby (out) leading to a bit more time to make a downfield read. He's also got a run game to lean on with Bigsby and Etienne. "Over" the call. 

Browns/Bengals 1:00: Both defenses should be on their heels today. Bengals' defense is riddled with injuries and should have trouble controlling the L.O.S. against a better Browns' offensive line. Browns' QB Thompson-Robinson has the mobility to buy time and talented receiving corps to go to. On the other hand, Bengals' machinelike QB Burrow should continue to put up big numbers with Chase and company. Bengals are 11-3 O/U at home vs their division off an away game. Regardless of the inclement weather, "Over" it is. 

Clemson/Texas 4:00: Projected a 48 total here so a few points of value exist. Texas, with the #1 defense in yards per play (4) and #2 scoring defense (12.5 PPG), have gone "under" in 8 of the last 9 games. Clemson, which is really struggling to run the football, has gone "under" in 8 of its 12 games. Both defenses solid in not allowing explosive plays (20 yards +). We'll look for this one to stay "under". 

Bengals/Cowboys 8:15: Defensively, both of these teams can't stop anyone. Injuries have virtually ruined the Bengals' defense. And more bad news on the way with their top LB Logan Wilson out. They have reserves loaded at all three levels. Cowboys' offense surely not a juggernaut. No run game but Cooper Rush is efficient in his passing and the Bengals' defense can't sack the QB (31st in league). Any NFL QB can pick and choose in a virtual 7 on 7 drill and Rush should be able to locate Lamb often. Cowboys' defense is getting healthier; however, they're not going to stop the Joe Burrow machine from connecting to healthy Chase, Higgins, TE Gesicki, RB Brown or whoever he chooses. I thought this "total" was going to be set at 52 and we'll roll with the "over"

Bills/Rams 4:25: Projected a 50 point total and lines makers came in accurate. Bills have scored 30 or more points in six straight games. Rams' defense has its moments but remains inconsistent under DC Shula. Bills' offensive line is similar in strength to Philadelphia's. And a few weeks back, the Eagles ran roughshod (314 yards) over the Rams. Bills' offense every bit as potent. Defensively, Bills' defense could yield some points here. Stafford has Nacua and Kupp back in the fray, and he could have his old go-to big target TE Tyler Higbee (off IR) make a cameo. And RB Kyren Williams could have a solid game; after all, Bills' defense allows a generous 4.9 YPC (30th). McVay 13-1 O/U as a dog vs an opponent off a double digit SU win. "Over" the call. 

Georgia/Texas 4:00: These teams have arguably the best defensive minds in college football. Kirby Smart is brilliant in breaking down film and implementing schemes - as he did in the first matchup to frustrate - Ewers and limit the run game. On the other hand, Texas' DC Kwiatkowski has an immense blend of talent that's molded into a well disciplined wrecking machine that's allowed just 11.7 PPG. Texas is 1-7 O/U in SEC games. Georgia doesn't have the offensive firepower from the Bowers/McConkey years. And RB Etienne is doubtful as of now. "Under" the call. 

Packers/Lions 8:15: Projected this total to be at 52 and lines-makers did not disappoint. Injuries have mounted to key defensive personnel on both sides. GB second level depth hurting without a few linebackers out including Cooper (31 solo/2 sacks). The Detroit run game is potent with Gibbs and Montgomery behind the bruising Lions' OL. And QB Goff is machinelike at home. GB C Alexander (knee) is out and he's one of their top defenders. On the other hand, Detroit defense is decimated with injuries with three key linemen (Reader, Paschal and Onwuzurike) out. LaFleur is quite good at exploiting weaknesses. RB Jacobs should have another big game. He rushed for 95 yards in the first meeting November 3rd. And QB Love has been protected well this season (2nd in the NFL). He has speedsters Watson and Reed available along with go-to-guy TE Kraft. Detroit HC Campbell is 17-4 O/U vs an opponent off a SU/ATS win. LaFleur is 9-2 O/U as a conference dog of more than 2 points. "Over" the call. 

Giants/Cowboys 4:30: Backup QBs, bottom tier run games, shaky offensive lines, and a division game add up to a low scoring affair here. "Under" the call. 

Ravens/Chargers 8:15: Somewhat surprised this 'total' is set so high. Was projecting 46-48 range. The last four games in this series averaged 35.5 with a range of 30 to 40. And the Harbaugh brothers are always about run game and defense. John Harbaugh sports a 5-14 O/U mark as a favorite vs an opponent off back-to-back SU/ATS wins. "Under" the call. 

Lions/Texans 8:20: Both defenses seem vulnerable here. Houston, which blitzes 33.4% of the time (5th most in NFL), will have to face the wrath of top tier QB Goff, who is at the top of the list in defeating blitzes. And he has the explosive weaponry to connect to. On the other hand, Houston is overdue to get back on track after struggling at New York on Halloween. Stroud could have Rico Collins back today. He's had some time to work with Woods, Metchie and Tank Dell, TE Shultz and versatile RB Mixon. Detroit, although adding Za'Darius Smith to the edge, hasn't had that fierce pass rush they did earlier in the year with Hutchinson (IR). I don't think Stroud will be rattled this week like he was under the pressure of the NY Sack Exchange II last week. Detroit's had some secondary issues for Branch can't cover the whole field. We'll go "over" here. 

Cowboys/Falcons 1:00: Falcons have an embarrassment of riches for Kirk Cousins to go to. Pitts, London, Mooney and throw in RB Robinson will be hard to be contained by a depleted Cowboys' defense that's given up 28.3 PPG. And with a banged up secondary, no Parsons (out) or Lawrence (IR) to generate any kind of consistent rush, Atlanta should continue to get in the end zone. On the other hand, Atlanta's defense ranks dead last in sacking the QB and who better than garbage time player of the decade - Dak Prescott to sit back and find CeeDee Lamb and company. We'll go "over". 

Ravens/Bucs 8:15: Both of these offenses are percolating to a high degree. Baltimore is in the top tier offensively across the board and scores 29.5 PPG. Derrick Henry already has 704 rushing yards and 8 TDs. He's clearly fueling Lamar Jackson's play action game with his multitude of weapons. TB defense leaves much to be desired. They're 28th vs the pass and allow a generous 23.5 PPG. Ravens' defense, however, is not what it was a year ago under former DC McDonald (Seattle HC). Baltimore pass defense ranks 31st allowing 276 YPG! Mayfield is having a great year. Godwin is healthy and leading the team in catches, Evans (hamstring) should be good to go. And the run game with Bucky Irving (5.4 YPC) is a great complement to the Bucs' pass game. This "total" set a few points lower than I projected. We'll go "over". 

Georgia State/Marshall 7:00: Both of these defenses are yielding in areas where they should be exploited. GSU will have its hands full with Marshall's RB A.J. Turner (9.6 YPC / 540 rush yards). And GST QB Veilleux can sling it. He'll throw interceptions but has some weapons with big play capability. "Over" the call. 

Lions/Cowboys 4:25: Both defenses are giving up explosive plays and poor on back end coverage. Dallas is in the bottom tier defensively in pass yards per play. That doesn't bode well vs an explosive well rounded Detroit offense. And with Parsons (ankle) and LB Kendricks (calf) out, the Cowboys' defense should continue to struggle to put pressure on the QB. Dallas' offense, sports the worst run offense in the NFL and will surely air it out repeatedly against a shaky Detroit secondary. We'll look for a higher scoring game. 

Commanders/Ravens 1:00: Both offenses are cooking. Each are in the top tier in terms of yardage and points scored. On the other hand, each defense has its weakness that can be exploited today. Washington defense in the bottom tier of the NFL in yards per rush allowed. Ravens control one of the top ground games in the NFL behind Jackson and Derrick Henry. Ravens' defense, however, has been terrible in the back end. Joe Burrow lit it up last week. Ravens' pass defense ranks in the bottom tier in pass yards allowed and explosive plays allowed. QB Daniels has been dynamic in finding his targets and scrambling effectively. We'll go "over". 

49ers/Seahawks 8:15: Both defenses underachieving. Seattle's defense, under former Ravens' DC McDonald, locked down its first three opponents, albeit NE and Denver - not exactly juggernauts, and Miami was without Tua for the first time of the season. Since then, Detroit went perfect on them with Goff (18 for 18) and Giants' rookie RB Tracy ran roughshod on them. Not all dire as the media points out. Sure, Woolen and Nwosu - two key cogs, are out but remember, Seahawks have been stockpiling quality defensive depth for a few years now. They have the athletes and the defensive discipline under McDonald and DC Durde to make the adjustments. SF offense misses McCaffrey. Last year, SF converted red zone TD opportunities 68% of the time; this season, just 41% (29th in NFL). Other than against Detroit, the Seahawks have been solid in limiting explosive plays. Without SF's McCaffrey, we'll look for FG's (Moody out) in red zone. As for SF defense, DC Sorensen under fire for lack of in game adjustments. Arizona tweaked their zone read in the second half to ignite RB Conner, and RB Murray piled up yards in the second half. Seattle, throws a league high 67.4% of the time, actually wants to run the football with Walker and Charbonnet; after all, they're averaging 5 YPC. SF defense, which is the least penalized defense in the NFL, should be well prepared to secure gaps. Most of their quality defensive personnel healthy, and Bosa will surely be unleashed on long yardage against Geno Smith - who's been sacked 3.6 x per game. Total, a few points too high. We'll stay "under". 

Saints/Chiefs 8:15: Both of these defenses have been playing some good football. Saints have a ball hawking secondary and solid vs the run. They've yielded yardage but very strong in the red zone and allowed just 17.8 PPG. KC's defense is one of the reasons why they're undefeated. Spagnuolo, arguably the best DC in the NFL, has his unit playing great, especially when it needs to. The Chiefs' defense has held opponents to 18 PPG. Tonight, they face the #1 scoring offense in the NFL; however, most of those points came in the first two games. With Taysom Hill (ribs) out and two of their starting offensive linemen out, you can bet Spagnuolo will align on field menace Chris Jones over the weakest lineman, or most likely rotating in the 1 and 3 Technique tonight. Most likely he should wreak havoc and be a big part of halting the run game and getting Derek Carr comfortable in the pocket. KC's offense, on the other hand, limited too without Rice. There is Worthy, Kelce and RB Hunt was a solid pick up too. But Andy Reid most likely will keep it conservative vs the ball hawking secondary of New Orleans. Limited explosive plays should field an "under" here. 

Jets/Vikings 9:30: This one is in London on the sport turf field of Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Rain in the forecast and no field protection from the elements. Total driven down to a reachable level. Vikings' defense has been strong under DC Flores. He likes to blitz 41% of the time (2nd only to Denver) and in the process yields more passing yards than any other team. Teams haven't been able to cash in on explosive plays. Look for seasoned veteran Aaron Rodgers to dissect man coverage with Wilson, Lazard and Mike Williams - all with top end speed. And TE Conklin has been a reliable move-the-chain target, and Breece Hall a solid check down. On the other hand, brilliant offensive mind of Kevin O'Connell has his guy in QB Darnold who is distributing the ball well to his talented receiving corps, including uncoverable Justin Jefferson. Jets 12-1 O/U as a road dog of less than 7 points vs a .666 or greater opponent. "Over" the call. 

Commanders/Cardinals 4:05: These two teams not the usual slothing offenses of yesteryear. Former Arizona HC Kingsbury doing a great job mentoring #! pick Jayden Daniels. He finally got a guy who can utilize the weaponry - McLaurin, Noah Brown, McCaffrey, and resurrecting career of former Pro Bowl TE Zach Ertz. Daniels completing an astonishing 80% of his passes without an interception. Arizona defense - middle of the road at best. And the big news is they got a run game in Brian Robinson Jr. Another testament to a solid offensive line. On the other hand, Arizona OC Petzing doing a decent job fueling the #4 scoring offense. Murray has found his range with #1 pick Marvin Harrison Jr. and Michael Wilson. And, like Washington, Arizona sound in running the rock - Conner. Both defenses struggling in sacking the QB and stopping the run. These teams are a combined 4-2 O/U on the season and we'll stay on the "over" here. 

Chargers/Steelers 1:00: Harbaugh and Tomlin very similar in their coaching style. They want to pound the football, play great defense, and limit or eliminate mistakes (turnovers). Herbert (ankle) should go but should be limited to play-action with the strong run game (Dobbins). Stick a capable backup. Steelers' Fields will do what he did first two games - quick passes, check downs, run without forcing anything. Old school three yards and a cloud of dust low scoring game expected. 

Patriots/Commanders 8:00: Both defenses will most likely be respectable under defensive minded coaches Mayo and Quinn. However, as the game progresses, young defensive players filter the field. Secondary issues always play a part in breakdowns in the final week. We'll look for that to materialize on both teams. "Over" the call. 

SF/LV 10:00: SF switched game plans late by electing to play starters; consequently, the line flipped substantially from Raiders at -2' to +9. How long Shanahan plays his starters is not known; however, with this being final game of the pre-season and the season starting in less than two weeks, good chance, we'll see them for only an extended quarter at best; some skill personnel less than that. And SF skill personnel not that deep to begin with as the Aiyuk deal is still in negotiation. Raiders' defense is the strength of the team and depth is decent. Their offense is the problem. Points have been limited in pre-season with Minshew (starter) and O'Connell battling it out at the helm. Bradley and interception king Peterman should struggle mightily against a well-structured defense of SF. We'll stay "under".

Bears/Chiefs 8:20: Overreaction by sportsbooks dropping this total down to 32. Remember, KC backups Oladokun and Book are well schooled and completed roughly 76% of their passes, albeit Book checked down quite a bit for just 5 YPC. Chiefs' HC Reid always a stickler for developing second and third tier players. They should be able to get in the end zone late vs a Bears' defense that is top heavy with starters but light on the back end. On the other hand, Bears' Eberflus continues to be impressive in pre-season at 7-2 SU. Bears have now outscored teams 71-26 this pre-season. Realize that Caleb Williams won't play but Baget and Rypien connecting on healthy 73.7% and 71.4% completions, respectively. We're going "over". 

Chargers/Seahawks 7:05: Again, we're playing the percentages on the "under" here. In Week 1, offenses are struggling and that's holding true this week. And both head coaches are sticklers for strong defensive play. Total adjusted down but we're not flinching. "Under' the call. 

Commanders/Jets Noon: Two teams set defensively. Commanders should be much improved on that side of the ball under the new regime. Meanwhile, Jets still need to develop a rhythmic offense. And one or two drives with Rodgers won't be enough to send this one over the low set 'total'. "Under" the call. 

Magic/Cavs 1:00: Defensive intensity picking up in playoffs. In addition, two defensive minded coaches who know each other well. Both teams are solid defensively. However, I'm not buying into the low total. Despite the defensive discipline, these teams managed to go "over" in 4 of the last 6 clashes, including 2-0 O/U in the last 2 in Cleveland. Based on the numbers, I was projecting a total of around 215 and this one comes in under 208. Both offenses are efficient and execute well. Orlando's Suggs, Banchero and Wagner can put up numbers. Cleveland's backcourt duo of Garland and Mitchell are very good at penetrating, scoring and kicking out to open perimeter shooters. "Over" the call. 

Warriors/Kings 10:00: Both teams are well disciplined defensively. Both of these teams picked up defensive intensity down the stretch of the regular season. Both of these teams allowed approximately 115 PPG during the season. Over the last 10 games, Warriors allowed an average of 108 PPG while Kings yielded 104 PPG. This playoff series last year went "under" in 4 of 6. And both games in Sacramento combined to average 220. With a play on or go home mentality, "Under" is the smart call here. 

Indiana/MD 2:00: Both of these teams struggle offensively - 12th and 13th in Big Ten offensive production. MD clunks from beyond the arc at 28.2%. Indiana has trouble scoring on the road. Terps do bring defensive intensity and that should be a constant here. Terps are 0-8 O/U at home vs teams with losing records on the road. And 5 of the last 6 in this series has gone "under". We'll stay "under" here. 

Oklahoma/Iowa State 8:00: This is the second game in this season series. Oklahoma took the first one 71-63 in Norman. Iowa State tough to beat at home where they're undefeated this season. Otzelberger's defense allows a stingy 63 PPG. The Cyclones pack the paint often in a man to zone switch at any given instant. Teams that can kick out and hit threes have moderate success. Oklahoma is not a great 3-point shooting team at a 34% clip. On the other hand, Porter Moser is another defensive minded coach who will have his boys schooled to bring optimum intensity. And they guard the perimeter well at 29% - 10th nationally. The last 3 played at Iowa State in this series combined for 122, 129 and 111, respectively. We'll look for both teams to ratchet up the defensive intensity again to stay "under"

Warriors/Jazz 9:10: Both of these teams are coming off losses last night. Utah defense was torched from the perimeter as the LeBron-less Lakers sank 14 of 31 from the perimeter at a 45.2% clip. Now they face the NBA's all-time perimeter scorer who has sunk at least 6 trey bombs in 8 of his last 11 games. And usually before All-Star break teams will dismiss defensive prep - lots of them already checked out for break. Going unrested, I see that magnified tonight. We'll grab the "over"

Lions/Cowboys 8:15: Cowboys have been offensively prolific at home this season posting 30 or more points in all 7 of their games in Arlington. Detroit's defense has been vulnerable on the road. Throw out the dominant 6 points they allowed at Tampa Bay October 15th, and they've allowed 28 PPG. The Lions' defense also is in the bottom tier in allowing explosive plays. Prescott sports a 20:2 TD:INT ratio at home on 74% completions. Cee Dee Lamb has been virtually unstoppable while Cooks adds to the fire. And TE Ferguson is that go-to 3rd down guy. On the other hand, the Lions sport the NFL's 3rd ranked offense and close with 27.5 PPG. Cowboys show vulnerability to the run lately and Parsons has been neutralized over his last 3 games. Cowboys are 7-0 O/U as a non-division home favorite of less than 6 points when the O/U is set below 56 points. We'll go "over" here. 

Ole Miss/Penn State Noon: Both of these teams surprisingly near full strength with limited opt outs. Penn State has a handful of 2024 future NFL draft picks questionable at this time. They'll either see limited time or not play. Nevertheless, the Lions' sport a deep defensive unit that is #1 in yards allowed (223 per game), #1 in sacks (4.1 per game), #3 in scoring (11.4 PPG). When Ole Miss played physical defenses as such, they were stalled out. Alabama limited them to 10 points and Georgia held them to 17. On the other hand, Penn State offense no juggernaut. Penn State OC Yurcich fired after Michigan game. Fortunately, Penn State relied on a strong run game and dominant defense in final two games. QB Drew Allar didn't play well against his two biggest foes - OSU and Michigan. And the receivers could not get separation. Ole Miss' defense respectable vs the run (3.9 YPC), have a ball hawking secondary, and allowed a respectable 22.3 PPG in the strong SEC. This early game we'll look to stay "under". 

Texas State/Rice 5:30: Should be an entertaining game. Two offenses that should flourish here. Texas State has a well-balanced offense under offensive minded HC Kinne. Kinne has Auburn transfer T.J. Finley directing a potent offense scoring 36 PPG. The 10th rank offense in the nation should be able to work a mediocre rice defense that doesn't rush the passer very well; consequently, back end is stressed throughout games. What Texas State doesn't have is a defense. They're in the bottom tier of the NCAA. They give up many an explosive play. Rice doesn't have much of a run game but that could change today vs the yielding Bobcats' run-stop-unit. QB Padgett showed he can run Bloomgren's offense after J.T. Daniels was forced to retire after multiple concussions. We'll go "over" here. 

Saints/Rams 8:15: Both of these teams' coaching staffs have emphasized closing in the red zone; particularly, New Orleans. Saints have scored TDs in 9 of its last 10 trips to the red zone. Rams' defense has been yielding this year and vulnerable in spots. And Derek Carr has main weapon Olave back for this one. On the other hand, Rams' well-balanced offense should give Saints' defense trouble. Saints have been able to stall out one dimensional offensive teams like NY and Carolina the last few weeks; however, Rams have too much weaponry to limit, especially with top corner Lattimore (IR) still out. Rams are 11-2 O/U in 2nd of back-to-back home games vs teams above .333. Over the call.

Patriots/Steelers 8:15: Plummeting 'total' pretty much dictates the number of points expected here. Both offenses are abysmal. Defenses, however, are solid. Both veteran coaches know the value of maintaining drives, utilizing run game and burning clock without turnovers. We'll look for the punters to work overtime tonight. "Under" the call.  

Bears/Vikings 8:15: I projected about 43 to 43' on this 'total' so we get some value. Limiting turnovers and ball control emphasized on both teams. Vikings playing with Dobbs who is 2-1 O/U. Vikings 3-8 O/U for the season. Defense of Vikings has improved dramatically under DC Flores this season. Fields and explosive WR Moore with versatile RB Herbert will be focal points. On the other hand, liked how the Bears' defense improved since that October 5th game at Washington. They've gone 2-4 O/U since. We'll look for a physical battle with limited explosive plays. "Under" the call.

Patriots/Giants 1:00: Patriots had an extra week to prepare and surely Belichick has devised a scheme to fluster rookie QB Devito after his stellar performance vs Washington. Belichick has made many rookie QBs miserable in his career. On the other hand, Belichick doesn't know who he's starting today. And that's no threat to the Giants' defensive coordinator Martindale. Add Jones, Zappe and Grier's QBR together and it barely equals Belichick's shoe size. With the turnover potential great here, conservative run oriented football with limited explosive play would be the consensus. Patriots 2-14 O/U as a non-conference favorite of more than a point. "Under" the call. 

Dolphins/Jets 3:00: Jets will rely on run game with Breece Hall (4.7 YPC) to ignite their pedestrian offense. Surely Saleh won't put the game in the hands of perennial backup QB Tim Boyle (3 TDs/9 INTs in career). Miami defense now showing late season signs of improvement now that Ramsey is in the fold and players in tune with DC Fangio system. On the other hand, Jets' defense keeps them in games. They'll have their hands full with the #1 offense in the NFL; however, Miami offensive line banged up across the board and the Jets can rush the passer. They also have the quality secondary personnel to limit explosive plays. Miami 1-3 O/U on road. Jets on an 0-5 O/U run. This series in New York is 1-4 O/U. "Under" 

Colorado/Washington State 10:30: Both of these teams are similar in structure: Explosive, pass happy offense, no run game, and poor defense. Colorado's QB Sanders has lit up secondaries ranked in the bottom tier of FBS teams. Washington State has one of those secondaries (112th). What's more, they're not pressuring or sacking the QB, not opportunistic (bottom tier in interceptions and fumble recoveries) and in the bottom tier in defensive penalties. On the other hand, Colorado defense, which allows 31 PPG, has a secondary ranked 118th in the nation and have trouble sacking the QB (bottom tier). Cameron Ward is equally impressive lighting up defenses with his arm to his speedy receiving corps. This 'total' inexplicably dropped a few points (64) since its opening. Take the "over".  

Akron/Eastern Michigan 7:00: Both of these offenses are brutal to watch. Ever since Akron lost their QB Irons - early in the season, they've been relying solely on RB Lingard. He can only do so much. QB Undercuffler Jr. has shown promise but limited help on the offensive line and from receivers Gathings and George. Akron does play a decent defense - allowing 28 PPG - good considering the limitations on offense (132nd in points produced).  EM offense every bit as bad with Austin Smith. EM at the bottom of the FBS in offensive yards produced (132nd). And the Eagles' defense, which allows 25 PPG, keeps them in games against teams they can be competitive with. We'll look for a slugfest here in a low scoring game. 

Broncos/Bills 8:15: Denver's defense improved dramatically since that 70-point debacle September 24th. Broncos have hit 3 straight "under". Buffalo's Allen has had trouble with turnovers; as a matter of fact, 14 interceptions last 13 games dating back to last season. Bills have gone "under" in 4 of the last 5 scoring 25 points or less. Finishing in the red zone has been a problem over that stretch. On the other hand, Bills defense has been hit with injuries across the board. Their defense is yielding but tight in red zone when it counts yielding just 17.8 PPG. Denver should be able to drive yet stall out inside 20 yard line. Broncos non-explosive play team with no vertical threats to speak of. Prime Time TV games at 7-25 O/U and NFL MNF 1-10 O/U. Stay "under".

Browns/Ravens 1:00: Two defenses that are tops in the NFL. Ravens' defense allows just 13.8 PPG while the Browns allow 17.4 PPG. Baltimore offense percolating under OC Monken; however, Ravens have just beaten teams senseless down field with limited explosive plays (20+ yards). Cleveland very tough to pound the course of the field on. In contrast, Browns a non-explosive offense themselves regardless of who is at the helm. Tough sledding against this Ravens' defense. Take the "Under" in limited scoring here.  

Bears/Chargers 8:20: Both defenses leave much to be desired - ranking in the bottom of the league in most categories. Bears' QB Bagent stepped in last week like he's been doing this for years. Great poise, pocket awareness, and a go-to target D.J. Moore who's been virtually uncoverable. Meanwhile, Herbert should shred a the fourth worst secondary in the NFL. Bears give up nearly 27 PPG. Chicago is 6-1 O/U this season. We'll look for a higher scoring game here. 

Chargers/Chiefs 4:25: When these teams go at it, they tend to put up points, especially in KC; as a matter of fact, the last 4 games in this series at KC averaged 54 with a range of 51 to 59.  Both gunslingers - Mahomes and Herbert are equipped with most of their key weapons. Weather should be nice at game time (72 degrees and sunny). Chargers got swept in this series last year. When they're in a revenge mode off a SU loss, they're 8-1 O/U. Over the call. 

FIU/SHS 7:00: Both of these teams have offenses stuck in the mud. Sam Houston has one of the worst offenses in college football with virtually no run game (2.4 YPC). Offensive line problems allow defenses to pin their ears back and tee off on them. FIU is not a defensive stalwart by no means. They hemorrhage yardage by the boatload but do tighten a bit in the red zone, which is a weakness of the Bearkats' offense. On the flip side, SHS has a defense that keeps them in games and FIU does not have explosive play arsenal. We'll stay "under" here.  

Saints/Patriots 1:00 Both offenses struggling mightily. Saints have now scored 21 or fewer points in 10 straight games. Patriots, despite the injuries, will surely be schematically sound under Belichick after disastrous game last week. And New Orleans has been solid most of the year defensively. We'll stay "under" here. Patriots 2-14 O/U as a non-conference favorite. Under the call. 

Jets/Cowboys 4:25: With the exception of SF, these two teams arguably had the best defensive performances last week. Cowboys' pass rush was unstoppable and that doesn't bode well against Zach Wilson and his shaky offensive line. On the other hand, Jets' defense is in great hands under Ulbrich. They're deep in all areas. Cowboys have gone conservative under McCarthy as the new signal caller. Can't see McCarthy giving green light to Prescott to air it out repeatedly against this loaded secondary of the Jets. We'll look for a defensive battle here in a lower scoring game. "Under" the call. 

TCU/Houston 8:00: Both teams are in the bottom tier of defensive yards allowed. The two offensive minded head coaches: Dykes and Holgorsen should guide the offenses to big numbers. We won't be afraid of the high and going higher posted 'total'. "Over" the call. 

Dolphins/Chargers 4:25: This is a rematch from last year's 23-17 Chargers' win. A few changes on the coaching staffs should keep this score down under the surprising high total. Dolphins are now led by arguably the best defensive mind in the league - Vic Fangio. He'll have his secondary in the right places and dial up the needed blitzes, drops, etc. to limit explosive plays from a dangerous receiving corps and a great QB Herbert. On the other hand, Fangio's understudy - Staley - promoted defensive backs coach Ansley to DC. He did a solid job with coverage last year (4th vs the pass). And he has a serious set of edge rushers (Bosa, Mack, Tuipulotu) to force Tua into errant throws. "Under' the call. 

Baltimore/Washington 8:00: Defenses a bit ahead of the offenses for these teams. Washington is coming off a 17-15 win over Cleveland. Jack Del Rio, in his 4th season as Washington's DC, has some quality young talent to work with late. On the offensive side, Commanders have established Sam Howell as their starter and he most likely will sit. Jacoby Brissett is a solid veteran backup that can set up scoring drives but it will be difficult to deliver explosive plays on the Ravens' defense under Mike MacDonald. And why QB Jake Fromm is still in the league is one of life's mysteries. On the other hand, Ravens' OC Monken, in his first year engineering the offense, will go with veteran journeyman Josh Johnson and second-year man - Anthony Brown. Johnson nor versatile Brown will have the explosive unit of receivers/back: Flowers, Beckam, Andrews, Dobbins - at their disposal. Don't see a lot of scoring here. "Under" the call. 

Texans/Patriots 7:00: Two teams with great defensive minds leading the charge on the sidelines. Belichick is equipped with some solid young talent through the draft while Houston's Demarco Ryans is set with an already great secondary and some extraordinary edge rushers in #1 draft choice Will Anderson Jr. and a steal at #4 in Dylan Horton from TCU add to a respectable line. Can't see a lot of points here as both teams break in new offensive systems with new OCs. We'll stay "under". 

Heat/Celtics 8:30: Heavy "over" trends for both teams in their respective situations. Heat have gone 'over' in 10 of their last 11 road games. They're also 17-5 O/U on 1 day of rest.  Celtics 11-4 O/U last 15 overall, 4-0 O/U after a 10+ point win, and 12-3 O/U on 1 day of rest. This series is 5-0 O/U in Boston. "Over" it is!

Nuggets/Lakers 8:30: Lakers should be a bit more comfortable back on their home court where they average 117 PPG. Anthony Davis roller coaster performance should continue after coming off a sluggish scoring game. And James most likely won't go 0 of 6 from downtown. Fortunately for the Lakers, Reeves and Hachimura have been fabulous in the playoffs. Walker IV, Schroder and Russell should play well. Denver's Jokic most likely won't be stopped and Murray is clearly back in top form. Lakers 15-5 O/U after scoring 100+ and 15-6 O/U after opponent scores 100+. Nuggets 5-1-1 O/U in last 7 road tilts. We'll look for a shootout here. 

Heat/Celtics 8:30: Good value with the "over" in what has been a 4-0 O/U series at TD Garden. Miami sports heavy "over" trends. They're 20-7 O/U in their last 27 games and 9-1 O/U in their last 10 road tilts and 17-4 O/U off a SU win. Boston, 9-3 O/U run, is 9-2 O/U after scoring 100+ and 7-2 O/U after allowing 100+. The Celtics have gone "over" in 9 of their last 12 Conference Finals games. Over the call. 

Celtics/76ers 7:30: These teams are a combined 7-23 O/U in Conference Semifinals games. Both are defensively stout and create turnovers and disciplined in taking away strength of opposition. The "under" is 1-4 O/U in the last 5 meetings. Still value with the "under".

Michigan/Illinois 7:00: Heavy "under" trends on both sides. Illinois ranks 334th in the nation from 3-point range at a paltry 31%; moreover, over their last 3 games, they've shot a measly 25.8% from downtown. Michigan is defensively solid, including guarding the perimeter - allowing 32.1%. On the other hand, Illinois is a strong defensive team and has held opponents to just 60.5 PPG on this floor this season. Illinois may be a #9 NCAA Tournament seed heading into this game while Michigan is on the bubble. Both teams need a win here to solidify an at large bid. Look for the defensive intensity to increase. We'll give the edge to Michigan in a lower scoring game. "Under" the call. 

Wizards/Wolves 8:10: Heavy "over" trends on this one and it being the last game before the All-Star break gives us extra value. These teams are checking out defensively and we'll look for the "over" to hit.

Chargers/Jaguars 8:15: Jaguars' offense is cooking under Lawrence and don't believe the Chargers' defense can slow them down here. At the same time, Herbert may be without matchup nightmare WR Williams (back) but he's an elite QB who makes good receivers even better. Palmer, Carter and TE Everett have elevated their game this season. And Ekeler and Keenan Allen are outstanding go-to weapons. Don't see Jaguars shutting them down like in Game 3. Staley 5-1 O/U w/ revenge. "Over" the call. 

Maryland/Rutgers 6:30: Both of these teams are offensively challenged in the bottom tier of the NCAA in shooting. What separates these teams is Rutgers' strength on the offensive glass and their +4.7-turnover margin. Maryland is not a great rebounding team but not that opportunistic at -1 turnover margin. But both of these teams can flat out play defense. Rutgers a top tier defensive team that's even more stifling at home - allowing just 50.2 PPG. MD, which averages a paltry 61.3 PPG, is 11 points worse on the road. MD, which got pummeled in Michigan on January 1st, is 0-4 O/U off a SU loss of 20+. They're 0-4 O/U last 4 on road. Rutgers is 1-4 O/U vs a winning team above .600. This series has gone under three straight times. "Under" the call. 

Iowa/Kentucky Noon: Two sluggish offenses but rock-solid defenses collide early. These offenses were pedestrian with their starting QBs Petras and Will Levis. Today, Iowa will have third stringer Joe Labas run the offense. Petras (shoulder surgery) is out and 2nd stringer Padilla went into the transfer portal. Kentucky's overrated QB Will Levis is opting out to prep for NFL. And the Wildcats' lead back - Chris Rodriquez (904 yards) also opted out for the NFL draft prep. These teams met January 1st, 2022 at full strength and slothed to a 20-17 Kentucky win. They ran the ball a combined 75 times! Today, more of the same with less athleticism offensively. Iowa's defense allows just 14.4 PPG. Kentucky's defense is a Top 20 unit. We won't fear the low set total. Points will be at a premium here with the lack of explosive plays. We'll stay under in a defensive battle. 

Analysis to follow...

Coastal Carolina/ECU 6:45: Both of these teams have similar explosive offenses and similar yielding defenses. Both record setting QBs - McCall for CC and Ahlers for ECU - are playing. McCall is essentially showcasing his ability as he enters the transfer portal. Both defenses allow 412 YPG and around 30 PPG. CC will have their DC Staggs as their interim HC as Chadwell is off to Liberty. CC has one of their best players - LB Josiah Stewart - out. He's opted to go to Michigan. Look for a shootout here. These teams are a combined 9-1 O/U in December. CC is 10-4 O/U vs non-conference foes and ECU is 5-0 O/U after producing 450+ yards. "Over" it is. 

Packers/Dolphins 1:00: Both teams still alive for a playoff spot. Look for fireworks on the offensive side. QB Rodgers is getting in rhythm with his young receivers, including Christian Watson. Miami defense has given up lots of yards through the air (lower tier of NFL) and points (nearly 25 ppg - 27th in NFL). On the other hand, Dolphins got their run game going last week with Mostert leading the way (136 yards). And GB defense has been vulnerable to the run (149 YPG - 29th in NFL). Effective running game will surely open the lanes for Waddle and Hill. GB has heavy "over" trends while Miami is on a 5-2 O/U run. "Over" the call. 

Philadelphia/Dallas 4:25: This series has gone 'over' 4 straight and 5 of the last 7 in Dallas. Philadelphia offense shouldn't slow down with Minshew at the helm. He would most likely be a starting QB on at least 3 NFL teams this season. And he's got a lot of skill weaponry at his disposal, including TE Goedert back for this one. Cowboys have injuries on the back end of their defense, and with Dallas LB Vander Esch out, Eagles run game won't miss a beat with arguably the best offensive line in the league leading the way. Cowboys' run stop unit 24th in the league vulnerable. On the other hand, Eagles only soft spot is their run stop unit. They're in the lower echelon of the league stopping the run (19th). And Dallas can run the football when they're devoted to it. With heavy "over" trends for these teams in December, we'll go "over" here. 

Jaguars/Jets 8:15: This series has gone "over" 5 straight and "over" in 5 of the last 6 overall. I projected about a 39 or 40 'total' for tonight based on the inclement weather, defensive prowess of the Jets, and lack of offense by the Jets. Therefore, a few points of value with the "over" here. Both teams have had turnover issues - which leads to sudden change points. Jaguars have cleaned their turnovers up over their winning streak as Lawrence has been razor sharp as the offense is humming. Jets' offense stuck in neutral with Wilson at QB but did gut the Jaguars last year on the ground with 273 yards rushing en route to 26-21 win on this field. Jax is 8-1 O/U in their last 9 road games and 4-0 O/U in their last 4 overall. They're also 5-0 O/U in December. We'll go "over".