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Kyle Hunter Football Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
09-07-13 Utah State v. Air Force UNDER 59 52-20 Loss -106 25 h 58 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Air Force Falcons are notorious for running the football constantly and completely abandoning the throw. Utah State's front seven on defense is extremely good, probably as good as anyone in the Mountain West Conference. Air Force won't stop trying to run the ball, but I don't think they'll be getting big chunks of yardage either. Utah State's offense is good, but they haven't been as good away from home the past couple years. Air Force has the best defense they have had in several years, and their secondary is extremely good. Both teams should be running the ball a lot here. This number is too high. Take the under.
09-07-13 Western Kentucky v. Tennessee OVER 55 20-52 Win 100 106 h 20 m Show
*4 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are a brand new team this year with Bobby Petrino as their new head coach this season. Petrino is an offensive mastermind, and he has a lot of talent to work with here. Antonio Andrews is one of the top runners in the nation, and he should have a good game against a Tennessee defense that is less than stellar. Doughty is the new quarterback for the Hilltoppers, and he is a big upgrade from last year. Tennessee has a great running game, and Western Kentucky is inexperienced on the defensive line. I think this game gets into the 60's. Take the over here.
09-07-13 Florida v. Miami (Florida) UNDER 48 16-21 Win 100 21 h 28 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Florida/Miami Total Domination* The Florida Gators have one of the top five defensive lines in college football, and they may have the single best secondary in the nation. The Gators offense still needs a lot of work, but I don't see them getting beaten up by many people this year thanks to their terrific defense. Florida will run the ball a lot, and Miami is sure to try to run it early and often with Duke Johnson as well. Miami is much better when they establish Johnson first and then try to have Morris throw the ball around a little. The clock should keep ticking during this one. Expect a close game all the way to the end. The under is 43-19-1 in Miami's last 63 home games. Take the under.
09-05-13 Baltimore Ravens v. Denver Broncos OVER 48.5 27-49 Win 100 19 h 34 m Show
*3 Star NFL Opening Night Total Domination* The Baltimore Ravens beat the Denver Broncos 38-35 en route to a Super Bowl win last year. The Broncos and Ravens both got a lot worse on the defensive side of the ball in the offseason, and we get a total that is set at just 48.5. Von Miller is a huge loss for the Broncos, and the Ravens absolutely have the offensive weapons to put up big numbers against Denver. Peyton Manning and this Broncos offense can score against anyone, and Baltimore is going to miss Ray Lewis and Ed Reed this season. Denver's no huddle offense gets them extra plays throughout the course of the game. Look for this total to climb as the game draws near, so bet the over as early as possible. I think this one gets into the mid 50's. The over is 7-1 in the Ravens last 8 games in September. The over is 3-0-1 in the Broncos last 4 against the AFC. Take the over.
08-31-13 Northwestern v. California OVER 57 Top 44-30 Win 100 67 h 47 m Show
*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play of the Week* The Cal Golden Bears are in for a long season. I like Sonny Dykes, and I think he was a great hire, but he inherited a team with very little talent that needs built from the ground up. Cal is going to push the tempo and try to run Dykes' patented offense this year, which should create a lot of extra possessions for both teams in this one. Northwestern's defense is improved, but they aren't a shut down defense. Venric Mark and the Wildcats defense are very good, and the Cal defense simply doesn't have the firepower to stop them. Look for Northwestern to score quickly here, and Cal is going to keep running plays without using up the clock. These are huge benefits to the over. I had this number pegged at 65 points, so I see a lot of value on the over. The over is 20-8-1 in the Bears last 29 non-conference games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against the Big 10. Take the over big!
08-31-13 Nevada v. UCLA Bruins OVER 65.5 20-58 Win 100 66 h 22 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB West Coast Total* The Nevada Wolfpack return a terrific quarterback in Cody Fajardo. Fajardo had a brilliant season a year ago, and he has a lot on his shoulders this year as Chris Ault is gone as head coach at Nevada. Look for Nevada to open it up and throw a lot here. Jim Mora Jr. did a good job with the UCLA Bruins last year, but this defense lost a lot of talent from last season. The Bruins secondary is the weakness of their defense and I expect that to be exploited on Saturday night. Nevada had a bad defense last year, and they should be even worse this year. Brett Hundley is going to have a sensational season for the Bruins, and I expect him to light up this Wolfpack defense on Saturday. The over is 5-1 in Nevada's last 6 against the Pac 12. The over is 6-1 in the Bruins last 7 games. Take the over.
08-31-13 LSU v. TCU UNDER 50 37-27 Loss -106 51 h 47 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB LSU/TCU Total CRUSHER* The TCU Tigers went 7-6 overall last year and just 4-5 in the Big 12. That made some think the team can't compete with top teams, but that isn't the case at all. TCU still finished with the top defense in the Big 12, and that was with some significant injuries. The Horned Frogs should be much better this year with a much healthier team. At the same time, LSU isn't getting enough respect ahead of the 2013 season. Les Miles' team is stacked on defense yet again, and the Tigers could easily be a top ten team once again. Expect both of these defenses to flex their muscles in a big way here. I see a lot of field goals instead of touchdowns. This number is a few points too high. Take the under.
08-31-13 Miami (OH) v. Marshall OVER 67.5 14-52 Loss -110 268 h 26 m Show
*4 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Marshall Thundering Herd have one of the most prolific offenses in the nation. They also have one of the worst defenses in the country. How bad was the Marshall defense last year? They allowed at least 51 points in five different games. Miami (Ohio) doesn't necessarily have a terrific offense, but a terrific offense isn't needed to score points against Marshall. On the other side, Rakeem Cato is one of the most talented quarterbacks in the nation and he put up video game stats last year. I expect more of the same from him this season. Cato is athletic and has a big arm. Marshall has a ton of weapons around him, and the Redhawks from Miami have seen their defense go downhill quickly the past few years. The scoreboard should be lighting up in this one. Expect lots of quick strike scores from both teams. The over is 8-1 in Marshall's last 9 games overall. Take the over.
08-31-13 UAB v. Troy OVER 63 31-34 Win 100 48 h 20 m Show
*4 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Troy Trojans offense is all about moving quickly and not letting the defense get set. UAB runs the same type of hurry up offense. When these two teams get together, there are going to be a ton of plays ran. Combine that with the fact that both of these defenses are very weak, and we have a recipe for a very high scoring game here. Last year's contest between these two finished at 68 points, and I think this total should have been right around that number. Instead, we got a solid amount of line value with the over. The over is 4-0 in Troy's last 4 home games. The over is 5-1 in UAB's last 6 against the Sun Belt. The over is 6-1 in Troy's last 7 games overall. Take the over in this one.
02-03-13 Baltimore Ravens v. San Francisco 49ers OVER 47 34-31 Win 100 263 h 19 m Show
*3 Star Super Bowl Total Domination* The Baltimore Ravens used to be known for their superb defense. The defense is still pretty good, but it is far from what it used to be. You could make a good argument that Baltimore is better on the offensive side of the ball now. Joe Flacco is playing like an elite quarterback, and that makes all the difference in the world for this offense. Ray Rice is one of the best players in the NFL, and he is a guy the defense has to account for on every single play. San Francisco's defense carried it through most of last year and early on this year, but with the change to Colin Kaepernick, the 49ers are far more dangerous offensively. Kaepernick can beat a team with his feet or his arm. Frank Gore and LaMichael James are both very good in the backfield for San Francisco. The 49ers defense has given up quite a few yards in both playoff games. Green Bay scored 31 points and Atlanta put up 24. Look for both teams to be able to move the ball in this one. The over is 6-0 in the 49ers last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 games on field turf. The over is 5-0 in the 49ers last 5 against a team with a winning record. Take the over.
01-20-13 Baltimore Ravens v. New England Patriots UNDER 52.5 28-13 Win 100 18 h 25 m Show
*3 Star AFC Championship Total Domination* The Baltimore Ravens and New England Patriots have definitely seen a lot of each other over the past few seasons. These teams know what the strengths of weaknesses of their opponent is very well. The Ravens defense hasn't been as good this year, but they still have play makers who will make it tough on Tom Brady. The Patriots defense is quite a bit better than it was last season. A big X factor to watch in this one is the weather. The wind is expected to be gusting up to 35 mph during this one, and that is no good for passing games. With a total this high and the weather looking that way, I like the under. The under is 5-2 in the Ravens last 7 playoff games. Take the under.
01-20-13 San Francisco 49ers v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 48 28-24 Win 100 137 h 28 m Show
*3 Star NFC Title Total Domination* The San Francisco 49ers offense is a completely different animal with Colin Kaepernick at the helm. Kaepernick is explosive on the ground, which makes teams pay a lot of attention to him and leaves more running room for Frank Gore. The Falcons defense has relied on turnovers all year, and at some point it has to come back to bite them that they allow so many yards. Matt Ryan and the Falcons receivers are tremendous, and they should be able to throw it against the 49ers as long as Ryan gets some time to throw the ball. The over is 5-0 in San Francisco's last 5 games. The over is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in Atlanta's last 4 home playoff games. Take the over.
01-13-13 Houston Texans v. New England Patriots OVER 48 28-41 Win 100 16 h 15 m Show
*3 Star Texans/Patriots Total Domination* The Houston Texans and New England Patriots just met a few weeks ago and the Patriots won 42-14. I don't expect the same spread in this one, but I do think the Pats offense will put up a big number again. New England is playing excellent on offense right now, and other than J.J. Watt the Texans defense has regressed a bit. Arian Foster and the Texans running attack should be able to get going against a mediocre Pats defense. New England's games rarely stay under this number, and the weather looks pretty decent for Sunday. The over is 6-1 in the Patriots last 7 January games. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
01-12-13 Green Bay Packers v. San Francisco 49ers OVER 44.5 31-45 Win 100 17 h 42 m Show
*3 Star Packers/49ers Total Domination* The Packers and Niners met in week one in Green Bay. In that game, we saw 52 points put up on the board. I believe both offenses are in better shape now than they were for that game. Aaron Rodgers has some of his receivers back and healthy. Rodgers is playing as well as ever right now. San Francisco's offense has more firepower with Kaepernick at quarterback. The running game is still terrific, and I'm not sure Green Bay can stop it. The 49ers defense isn't quite as good with a dinged up Justin Smith. Rodgers doesn't need much time to pick apart defenses. The over is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 games. The over is 4-0 in the Niners last 4 home games. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
01-06-13 Indianapolis Colts v. Baltimore Ravens UNDER 47 9-24 Win 100 12 h 24 m Show
*3 Star Colts/Ravens Total Domination* The Baltimore Ravens defense gets a big boost from Ray Lewis being back in the lineup for this one. Baltimore's defense hasn't been nearly as good this season, but I think they'll pick up their game in the postseason. They still have guys like Lewis, Suggs, and Reed to lead the team. The Colts are too one-dimensional, and the Ravens should be able to get after Andrew Luck with their pass rush. The Ravens offense has been disappointing for much of the year. They have a lot of talent, but they haven't put it all together. The under is 5-0 in the Colts last 5 playoff road games. The under is 4-0 in the Ravens last 4 playoff home games. The under is 4-0 in the Ravens last 4 after allowing 90 yards of rushing or less in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. I like the under here.
01-05-13 Minnesota Vikings v. Green Bay Packers OVER 45 10-24 Loss -110 6 h 9 m Show
*3 Star Vikings/Packers Total Domination* Minnesota and Green Bay meet in the first round of the playoffs tonight at Lambeau. There is a public perception out there that points are extremely tough to come by at Lambeau in the playoffs because of the cold weather, but the numbers don't show that to be true. The over is actually 4-0 in the Packers last 4 home playoff games. Minnesota's pass defense has been a problem this year, and Aaron Rodgers is playing tremendous football right now. Nobody has been able to stop Adrian Peterson of late, including the Green Bay Packers. This total is set a little lower than it should be. The over is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings between these two teams. The over is 17-6 in the Packers last 23 home games. Take the over.
01-04-13 Texas A&M v. Oklahoma OVER 72 41-13 Loss -110 42 h 22 m Show
*3 Star Cotton Bowl Total Domination* Johnny Manziel and the Texas A&M Aggies have been one of the hottest teams in the nation down the stretch, but it won't be easy for them in this game. Oklahoma's offense has really heated up as the season moved along. Landry Jones is looking much more comfortable again and the Aggies pass defense hasn't been good this year (remember they gave up 57 points to Louisiana Tech). Whoever wins this game is going to have to score a lot of points. Texas A&M went for 527 total yards of offense last year against Oklahoma, and they are much better offensively this season. The Sooners defense is only mediocre. Look for a shootout. The over is 11-2 in Oklahoma's last 13 on turf. Take the over.
01-02-13 Louisville v. Florida UNDER 45.5 33-23 Loss -105 667 h 58 m Show
*3 Star Sugar Bowl Super Total* The Louisville Cardinals are in the Sugar Bowl as a representative of the Big East. No one in the Big East was very good, and that includes the Cardinals. Louisville is a little fortunate that they drew the Florida Gators in this game. Florida is a very good team, but they have struggled with lesser opponents this year. They should have lost to Louisiana-Lafayette, and the Gators weak offense gives lesser opponents a chance to hang around. Florida's defense is giving up just 12.9 points per game, and they played plenty of teams with a much better offense than Louisville. Louisville's defense is the strength of their team. This one should be a defensive battle. The under is 6-1 in Florida's last 7 games non-conference games. The under is 9-4 in Florida's last 13 games overall.
01-01-13 Nebraska v. Georgia OVER 59.5 31-45 Win 100 256 h 25 m Show
*3 Star Capital One Bowl Totals Cash* The Nebraska Cornhuskers are one of the most overrated teams in the nation in my opinion. They have ten wins, but those wins came against the extremely weak Big 10. Nebraska was crushed by Ohio State, Wisconsin, and UCLA in their three losses. The Cornhuskers have up more than 50 points in all three of those games. Nebraska's defense is no longer a strength, but now it's a major weakness. Georgia's pass defense is solid, but their front seven has struggled against the run. Look for both running attacks to have a lot of success here. Todd Gurley should have a huge game against the Huskers, and Taylor Martinez should lead the Huskers offense to quite a few points too. The over is 3-0-1 in Nebraska's last 4 against a team with a winning record. The over is 8-3 in Georgia's last 11 non-conference games. Take the over.
01-01-13 Michigan v. South Carolina UNDER 48 28-33 Loss -110 12 h 0 m Show
*3 Star Outback Bowl Total Domination* The South Carolina Gamecocks have some serious injury problems. Without Marcus Lattimore, this offense isn't nearly as dangerous. A couple of Lattimore's backups have been dinged up lately as well. Connor Shaw has matured this year, but he'll be up against a tremendous Michigan secondary. The Wolverines rank second in the nation in pass defense. Look for Michigan to stack the box and dare South Carolina to beat them with the pass. Michigan's offense has been less dynamic this year than it was a year ago. Denard Robinson still isn't completely healthy, and that hurts this team's big play ability. South Carolina's defense is one of the best in the nation, and they can rush the passer extremely well. The under is 4-0 in South Carolina's last 4 bowl games. The under is 12-5 in Michigan's last 17 against teams with a winning record. Take the under.
12-31-12 Clemson v. LSU OVER 58.5 25-24 Loss -105 17 h 22 m Show
*3 Star Chick-Fil-A Bowl Total Domination* The Clemson Tigers gave up 70 points in a BCS bowl last year. Clemson's defense may be a little better this year, but this unit still isn't good at all. LSU's offense has gotten quite a bit better late in the year as Mettenberger has become more confident in his ability as a passer. LSU should control the line of scrimmage here as well. Clemson does have a high-powered offense, and even though LSU's defense is good, it's hard to imagine Clemson not putting up a decent amount of points. The over is 6-1 in LSU's last 7 games on turf. Take the over.
12-30-12 Carolina Panthers v. New Orleans Saints OVER 54 44-38 Win 100 12 h 47 m Show
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The New Orleans Saints have shown that they are going to play all the way to the end this year. The Saints offense is clicking much better as the season moves along. Drew Brees and his receivers are starting to look like they have the last couple years. Carolina's defense has been good of late, but they haven't been able to even slow down the Saints the past couple years, and I don't think they'll slow them down here either. Carolina's offense should be able to move the ball against a Saints defense that is dead last in the NFL in total defense. Cam Newton is playing with a ton of confidence right now. The over is 13-3 in the Saints last 16 against the NFC. The over is 4-0 in the Panthers last 4 against the NFC South. Take the over.
12-29-12 West Virginia v. Syracuse OVER 73 14-38 Loss -110 159 h 39 m Show
*3 Star Pinstripe Bowl Total Domination* The West Virginia Mountaineers certainly have one of the best offenses in the nation. Geno Smith is perfect for Holsgorsen's offense, and Stedman Bailey and Tavon Austin are terrific wideouts. Syracuse hasn't been very good against the pass this year, so what should make us think they'll do well against such a terrific passing attack? On the other side, West Virginia may have the worst secondary in college football. They allow 323 passing yards per game. Syracuse's Ryan Nassib is an underrated quarterback, and I think he'll pick the Mountaineers apart. The over is 6-2 in West Virginia's last 8 bowl games. The over is 8-1 in Syracuse's last 9 non-conference games. The over is 5-0-1 in Syracuse's last 6 games overall. Take the over.
12-29-12 Air Force v. Rice OVER 61 14-33 Loss -105 562 h 18 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Rice Owls have improved quite a bit this year, but they still have a very weak defense. Air Force is a very difficult team to prepare for because of their option attack running game. The Falcons run the football well even when the other team knows the run is coming. Rice has struggled badly against the run this year. In their loss to UCLA, the Bruins riddled them on the ground. Air Force may be very good at running the ball, but they aren't good at all at stopping the run. The Falcons allow almost 200 yards per game on the ground. The over is an impressive 67-33 in the Rice Owls last 100 games. The oddsmakers just can't catch up to Rice. Expect both teams to have a big game offensively. Take the over.
12-27-12 Cincinnati v. Duke OVER 58.5 Top 48-34 Win 100 257 h 28 m Show
*5 Star Top Bowl Play of the Season* The Duke Blue Devils aren't used to being in a bowl game, but this year's squad earned it. Sean Renfree is terrific for the Duke offense. He is a senior quarterback who makes good decisions with the football, and he is great in the short passing game. Duke's offense is good this season, but their defense is still very weak. Cincinnati inserted a new starting quarterback a few weeks ago, and he has helped the Bearcats offense become more consistent. Cincinnati is a run first team, and Duke's defense cannot stop the run. The over is 6-1-1 in Duke's last 8 games overall. The over is 7-0-1 in Duke's last 8 against a team with a winning record. Take the over big.
12-23-12 Washington Redskins v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 45 27-20 Win 100 41 h 44 m Show
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* It looks like RG3 is a go for Sunday afternoon. Kirk Cousins has done great, but obviously RG3 is the man for this team when he is ready to go. There isn't a better play maker in the league at the quarterback position, and he is only a rookie. Philadelphia's defense has injury issues, and they don't rush the passer well. Washington put up 31 points a few weeks ago against the Eagles. Washington's defense isn't very good, and Nick Foles is starting to get in a rhythm with the Eagles offense. I think the Eagles can put up some points here as well. The over is 5-0 in the Eagles last 5 home games. The over is 6-1 in the Redskins last 7 following a victory of 14 points or more. Take the over.
12-20-12 BYU v. San Diego State UNDER 49 23-6 Win 100 354 h 54 m Show
*3 Star BYU/San Diego State Total Domination* The BYU Cougars and San Diego State Aztecs are both pretty good football teams, and for both of them it starts with good defense. BYU ranks third in the entire nation in total defense. They are second in the country in rushing defense. San Diego State really can't move the ball much at all through the air. If they are unable to run against BYU, they probably won't put up many points here. BYU's offense is far from dynamic, and San Diego State has a couple future NFL stars on their defense. The under is 11-2 in BYU's last 13 against a team with a winning record. Take the under.
12-16-12 Carolina Panthers v. San Diego Chargers OVER 44.5 31-7 Loss -105 46 h 27 m Show
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The Carolina Panthers have really been on a roll of late. Cam Newton was in a sophomore slump for the first half of the season, but he has been great in the team's last few games. San Diego's offense looked great in Pittsburgh last week, and the Chargers seem to always make that late run at the end of the season. The Carolina defense isn't very good, and they haven't shut down many teams this year. The over is 5-0 in Carolina's last 5 games overall. The over is 5-1 in the Panthers last 6 December games. The over is 5-1 in the Chargers last 6 games against teams with a losing road record. Take the over.
12-16-12 Detroit Lions v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 44 10-38 Loss -110 46 h 24 m Show
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Arizona Cardinals have the worst offense in the NFL right now, and it isn't even close. Arizona has scored a total of 6 points in their last two games. It's hard to believe, but the Cardinals were actually 4-0 at the start of the season. They have now lost 9 straight games. They haven't scored more than 19 points in any of those games. The Cardinals defense is still better than most realize, but they haven't gotten any help from the offense. The strength of this defense is their secondary. Detroit relies heavily on the pass, and I think Arizona can slow them down a bit. Detroit's defense should be able to keep the Cardinals offense out of the end zone most of the game. Take the under.
12-16-12 Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. New Orleans Saints OVER 54 0-41 Loss -105 43 h 22 m Show
*3 Star NFL Total Value Play* The Tampa Bay Bucs and New Orleans Saints are both probably out of the playoff picture at this point. Tampa Bay's offense has improved quite a bit as the season has gone along, but their pass defense is terrible. Tampa Bay ranks dead last in the league in pass defense. New Orleans can air it out with the best of them. The Saints put up 35 points at Tampa Bay earlier this year. The Saints defense is one of the worst in all of football. Tampa Bay has scored 30 points or more in 4 of their last 9 games. Don't be surprised if they do it again here. Take the over.
12-09-12 Miami Dolphins v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 39 13-27 Loss -105 157 h 54 m Show
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Miami Dolphins have an underrated defense. Miami is especially strong against the run. San Francisco can throw the football, but they still rely heavily on their rushing attack. It looks like Colin Kaepernick will get another start in this one. He certainly has the potential to be a special player, but he has plenty of room for improvement. The 49ers defense is the best in the NFL. San Francisco is giving up only 14 points per game this year! I expect both teams to settle for field goals in a low scoring battle. The under is 26-9 in Miami's last 35 road games. The under is 5-0 in the 49ers last 5 following a loss. Take the under.
12-09-12 Dallas Cowboys v. Cincinnati Bengals OVER 45 20-19 Loss -110 58 h 54 m Show
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Dallas Cowboys and Cincinnati Bengals meet in a very important game Sunday afternoon. The Bengals have won four straight and they are right in the thick of the AFC playoff race. Dallas has struggled much of the year, but they are still 6-6 and very much alive. Tony Romo should be able to throw it against a Bengals secondary that has struggled this year. The Bengals offense has been much better of late, largely thanks to a strong offensive line and a great wide receiver in A.J. Green. BenJarvus Green-Ellis has three straight 100 yard rushing games. The over is 12-5 in the Cowboys last 17 against teams with a winning record. Take the over.
12-09-12 Atlanta Falcons v. Carolina Panthers OVER 48 20-30 Win 100 13 h 32 m Show
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Atlanta Falcons have the best record in the NFL, but their defense relies too heavily on forcing turnovers. Cam Newton and the Panthers offense have had a lot of success against the Falcons in their last few matchups. Look for Carolina to surprise some people and score several times in this on. On the other side, the Falcons offense is much better than it was a year ago. Matt Ryan has a tremendous group of pass catchers at his disposal. The Panthers don't have the personnel to stop the Falcons passing attack. The over is 4-0 in the Panthers last 4 games. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 vs. the NFC. The over is 5-1-2 in the last 8 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
12-08-12 Navy v. Army UNDER 56.5 17-13 Win 100 86 h 9 m Show
*3 Star Navy/Army Total Domination* The Navy and Army game should be never be overlooked as a major rivalry. These two teams have a ton of respect for each other, but they also want to beat each other very badly. The defenses have a key advantage in this game. Both offenses run a very similar triple option. This means both defenses are seeing something in the game that they see every single day in practice. It's no coincidence that the 'under' has been on a nice run when these two teams get together. The under is a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 meetings. The under is 8-0 in Navy's last 8 games on turf. The under is 5-0 in Navy's last 5 December games. The under is 7-0 in Army's last 7 December games. Take the under here!
12-01-12 Alabama v. Georgia UNDER 50.5 32-28 Loss -110 20 h 21 m Show
*3 Star Alabama/Georgia Total Domination* The SEC is going to be back in the BCS title game once again this year. Who will be playing for that title? Most assume it will be Alabama, but Georgia is better than many believe. The strength of both teams is their defense. Georgia likes to run the football with Marshall and Gurley, but Alabama's run defense is extremely good. Aaron Murray has been shaky in big games. Georgia's defense has been amazing of late. The Bulldogs have allowed 14 points or less in four straight games. The under is 6-0 in Georgia's last 6 games. The under is 5-0 in Georgia's last 5 conference games. Look for both defenses to play well. Take the under.
12-01-12 Oklahoma State v. Baylor OVER 81.5 34-41 Loss -110 129 h 58 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* This will be the highest 'over' I have ever recommended, but I still believe this is a good value. Baylor is a perfect over team because they have a prolific passing offense and a horrible defense. Baylor is second in the nation in total offense, and second to last in the nation in total defense. Oklahoma State averages 45.6 points per game, and they have allowed more than 40 points four times this year. Don't expect to see any defense played in this game. It should be a lot of passing and missed tackles by the secondary. The over is 4-0 in the Cowboys last 4. The over is 21-4-1 in Baylor's last 26 games. Take the over. **I recommend a play on this one all the way up to 88 points**
11-25-12 Green Bay Packers v. NY Giants OVER 50.5 10-38 Loss -110 52 h 5 m Show
*3 Star Sunday Night Total Domination* The Green Bay Packers offense hasn't been what they were last year, but they are still are a very formidable unit. The New York Giants defense has struggled against top quarterbacks this year, and the Packers have a terrific QB in Aaron Rodgers. Look for his quick passes to chew up this secondary. On the other side, the Packers secondary has given up a lot of yards this year. Eli Manning is putting up big numbers this year, and he has been good in the past against the Packers. The over is 11-4 in the Packers last 15 games against the NFC. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
11-25-12 Atlanta Falcons v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 50.5 24-23 Loss -110 45 h 35 m Show
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* Matt Ryan is having the best season of his career. Having said that, he played very poorly last weekend. Ryan should fare better against a Tampa Bay defense that ranks dead last in the NFL in pass defense. Opponents are racking up 313 yards through the air against Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay's offense has been on fire of late as well. The Bucs have scored at least 27 points in each of their last six games. Atlanta's defense relies on forcing turnovers, but Tampa Bay should be able to move the ball. The over is 7-0 in Tampa Bay's last 7 games. The over is 5-0 in the Bucs last 5 games following a victory. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. Take the over.
11-24-12 Vanderbilt v. Wake Forest UNDER 47.5 55-21 Loss -110 23 h 17 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Vanderbilt Commodores are only giving up 175 yards per game through the air. This is one of the best secondaries in the country. Wake Forest's offense is brutally bad, and they especially can't do anything on the ground. Look for Vanderbilt to make life miserable for Wake Forest's offense in this one. Wake Forest's defense has been much better at home. This being the team's last home game of the year, I think the Demon Deacons defense shows up better than expected here. Neither team is likely to put up many points. The under is 6-0 in Wake Forest's last 6 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against the SEC. The under is 14-3 in Wake Forest's last 17 November games. Take the under.
11-24-12 Connecticut v. Louisville UNDER 45.5 23-20 Win 100 20 h 17 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The UConn Huskies have one of the best defenses in the country, but their terrible offense holds them back quite a bit. UConn only allows 296 yards per game, which puts them at ninth best in the nation in total defense. Five of their last six opponents have failed to reach 20 points. Louisville's offense is pretty good, but I don't think they'll move it too easily against UConn. On the other side, Louisville's pass defense has been stellar. UConn has almost no running game, so it is hard to imagine them getting many points in this one. The under is 5-1 in UConn's last 6 games. Take the under.
11-22-12 New England Patriots v. NY Jets OVER 48 49-19 Win 100 42 h 59 m Show
*3 Star Patriots/Jets Total Domination* The New England Patriots offense is firing on all cylinders right now. No team in the NFL is scoring more than New England. Tom Brady has had quite a bit of success against the Jets in the past, and I think he'll have even more now without Revis on the outside for the Jets. New England's rushing attack has been very good this year, which helps Brady and the passing game in a big way. The Jets offense should be able to get their points against a mediocre Patriots defense. The over is 4-0 in the Patriots last 4 Thursday games. The over is 13-3 in their last 16 against a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
11-22-12 Washington Redskins v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 48 38-31 Win 100 38 h 4 m Show
*3 Star Redskins/Cowboys Turkey Total* The Washington Redskins offense has been terrific all year. RG3 has been everything anyone could have expected and more. The Redskins are very balanced on offense, and I expect them to move the ball well against Dallas. The Redskins defense has been bad all year. Washington's secondary is a major weakness. Tony Romo makes a lot of mistakes, but he can pick apart bad secondaries. Until last week, Washington had allowed at least 21 points in every game this year. Both teams should put up a decent amount of points here. Both of these teams have been on a recent under streak, which gives us great value here. Take the over.
11-18-12 New Orleans Saints v. Oakland Raiders OVER 54.5 38-17 Win 100 39 h 32 m Show
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The New Orleans Saints are still in a must win situation after a horribly slow start to the year. New Orleans' offense has been clicking after a bit of a slow start. Drew Brees seems to have a nice rhythm, and the Raiders defense hasn't been able to stop anyone lately. Oakland allowed 42 and 55 points in their last two games. New Orleans is absolutely capable of putting up 40 plus points here. The Saints defense isn't very good, and Carson Palmer should be able to find plenty of open receivers to help the Raiders get on the board a few times here. The over is 7-1 in the Raiders last 8 home games. The over is 11-3 in the Saints last 14 games. Take the over.
11-18-12 Philadelphia Eagles v. Washington Redskins OVER 43.5 6-31 Loss -105 65 h 31 m Show
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Washington Redskins offense was shockingly terrible last week against the Carolina Panthers. RG3 and the Redskins just couldn't get the job done in that game. I expect them to bounce back and be much better this weekend. Philadelphia will have Nick Foles starting at quarterback, and I actually think Foles will do a solid job for them. Washington's defense has given up at least 21 points in every single game this year, and the Eagles have some nice offensive weapons. Don't be surprised if Foles looks better than most expect in this game. Neither defense has been shutting anyone completely down this year. Look for a relatively high scoring game. The over is 6-2 in Washington's last 8 home games. Take the over.
11-18-12 Cincinnati Bengals v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 43.5 28-6 Win 100 36 h 33 m Show
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Bengals are coming off a big win against the New York Giants last week. The Bengals defense played by far its best game of the season in that one. This unit has been dinged up pretty badly this year, but they are slowly getting healthier. The Chiefs offense has been horrible of late, and I think the Bengals defense will play well again. Kansas City has a good pass rush, and I think they'll make life difficult on Andy Dalton in this game. The Bengals don't have much of a ground game to keep them honest. The under is 9-0 in the Chiefs last 9 home games against a team with a losing road record. The under is 7-0 in the Bengals last 7 games following a win by 14 points or more. Look for a low scoring game here.
11-17-12 Kansas State v. Baylor OVER 74 24-52 Win 100 43 h 11 m Show
*3 Star Kansas State/Baylor Total* The Baylor Bears are just 4-5 on the season, but they get to host Kansas State in a huge game Saturday night in Waco. The Bears would love nothing more than to end Kansas State's perfect season. Baylor can put up points with the best of them, but they also give up points like nobody's business. Baylor is second in the nation in total offense (averaging 564 yards per game). On the other side of the ball, Baylor is dead last in total defense in the nation. Opponents are averaging 520 yards per game. Kansas State's defensive weakness is their secondary, and Baylor will exploit that. Collin Klein and the Wildcats should run all over Baylor's terrible defense. Look for big points here. The over is 23-5-1 in Baylor's last 29 games. Take the over.
11-17-12 East Carolina v. Tulane OVER 60.5 28-23 Loss -110 70 h 21 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total SMACKDOWN* The Tulane Green Wave couldn't put up any points earlier in the season, but now they have their starting quarterback back in the lineup. Ryan Griffin is a pretty good quarterback, and the team has been moving the ball well with him under center. East Carolina has been bad defensively for several years now. The Pirates offense hasn't been terrific, but everyone has been able to move the ball against Tulane's horrific defense. Both of these teams move quickly, so the tempo should be conducive for a high scoring game. The over is 4-0 in Tulane's last 4 home games. The over is 9-1 in Tulane's last 10 November games. The over is 8-1 in East Carolina's last 9 November games. Take the over.
11-17-12 Wake Forest v. Notre Dame UNDER 42.5 0-38 Win 100 39 h 32 m Show
*3 Star Wake Forest/Notre Dame Total* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have a ton to play for right now. Not many could have expected that Notre Dame would get through their tough first ten games on the schedule without a blemish. Indeed, the Fighting Irish have done it with a terrific defense. Manti Te'o has been the best defensive player in the nation this year, and it is Senior Day for him in this one. Wake Forest's offense hasn't been able to score much on anyone, and I think they'll struggle to get past 10 points or so in this one. Notre Dame's offense is still raw, and Wake Forest's running defense is better this year. This looks like a low scoring contest. The under is 5-0 in Wake Forest's last 5 games. The under is 6-0 in Notre Dame's last 6 following an ATS loss. Take the under.
11-17-12 Duke v. Georgia Tech OVER 67.5 24-42 Loss -105 39 h 31 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Duke Blue Devils are a much improved team this year. Duke's Sean Renfree is a nice veteran quarterback who can throw the football around pretty well. Georgia Tech's defense has given up at least 41 points in 4 of their last 6 games. Georgia Tech's option offense is nearly unstoppable for most defenses, and Duke struggles to stop the run almost every week. Georgia Tech piled up 68 points against North Carolina last weekend. Last year, these two teams played to a 38-31 final. The over is 7-0-1 in Duke's last 8 conference games. The over is 9-0 in Georgia Tech's last 9 following an ATS win. The over is 6-0 in Georgia Tech's last 6 when playing a team with a winning record. Take the over.
11-17-12 Houston v. Marshall OVER 74.5 41-44 Win 100 67 h 52 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Marshall Thundering Herd offense is prolific this year. Rakeem Cato leads the entire nation in passing yards. Marshall also plays at as fast of a tempo as anyone in football right now. They'll get plenty of plays, and against a Houston defense that ranks 110th in the nation in pass defense, they should get a ton of yards. On the other side, Marshall's defense is terrible. Houston averages 475 yards per game on offense. Marshall is giving up 41.1 points per game this year. This one has the makings of a major shootout. The over is 4-0 in Marshall's last 4 following a straight up loss. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. Take the over.
11-17-12 Central Florida v. Tulsa UNDER 56.5 21-23 Win 100 39 h 52 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* Tulsa has a good offense, but the Golden Hurricane offense revolves around running the ball and eating up clock. UCF has one of the best defenses in Conference USA, and I think Tulsa will struggle to pound it down their throats in this one. On the other side, UCF's offense just isn't as dynamic as most in this conference. The Knights are inconsistent and often can't finish off drives. The under is a perfect 5-0 in Tulsa's last 5 home games. The under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two. Look for a lot of running the ball from both teams, and the clock will tick away quickly here. Take the under.
11-17-12 Rutgers v. Cincinnati UNDER 48 10-3 Win 100 35 h 11 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Cincinnati Bearcats have changed starting quarterbacks. Munchie Legeuax is out because of turnover problems and Brendon Kay is in. Kay looked good last week, but he'll face a much better defense this week. Rutgers and Cincinnati are both terrific at stopping the run. Both of these offenses revolve around running the football. I think both teams will try to run the ball early and often, but I don't see them having very much success. Cincinnati gives up 18.8 points per game, while Rutgers gives up only 13.4 points per game. Look for a low scoring game here. Take the under.
11-17-12 Kent State v. Bowling Green UNDER 47 31-24 Loss -105 35 h 8 m Show
*3 Star MAC Total Takedown* The Bowling Green Falcons have been absolutely dominating on defense of late. Bowling Green is allowing just 15.1 points per game this year. How good has this unit been of late? No team has scored more than 14 points on Bowling Green in their last six games. Kent State's offense revolves around the run, and Bowling Green is great on the defensive line. Bowling Green's offense isn't very good, and Kent State is better than average defensively, especially against the run. It's hard to imagine either team lighting up the scoreboard int his one. The under is 7-0 in Bowling Green's last 7 home games. The under is 6-0 in the Falcons last 6 conference games. Take the under.
11-11-12 St. Louis Rams v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 38.5 24-24 Loss -103 44 h 42 m Show
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The St. Louis Rams offense is one of the worst in the NFL. The reason the Rams have been more competitive this year is their defense is much improved. I don't expect the Rams to be able to do much offensively against the stacked 49ers defense. San Francisco is first in the NFL in points per game allowed at just 12.9 per contest. The Rams defensive strength is stopping the run, and we know that is what the 49ers normally do is run the football early and often. This is the type of game where I expect the Niners to get an early lead and then play it pretty safe the rest of the way. Don't be surprised if the Rams struggle to get above 10 points or so. The under is 6-2-1 in the 49ers last 9 games. The under is 4-0-1 in the 49ers last 5 against the NFC. Take the under.
11-11-12 Buffalo Bills v. New England Patriots OVER 52 31-37 Win 100 41 h 1 m Show
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots have a real history of putting up big points when they meet. In 4 of the team's last 5 meetings, the final total has been at least 60 points. In the meeting earlier this year, the Patriots scored 31 points in the 4th quarter alone in a blowout win in Buffalo. New England ranks first in the NFL in total offense and points per game. The Patriots are averaging 33 points per game. Buffalo's defense has given up at least 35 points in 3 of their last 5 games. Buffalo's offense is getting healthier, and they should be able to put up points against a mediocre Pats defense. The over is 6-0 in the Pats last 6 games against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0-1 in the Bills last 6 against the AFC East. Take the over.
11-10-12 Fresno State v. Nevada OVER 69 52-36 Win 100 49 h 59 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The Fresno State Bulldogs and the Nevada Wolfpack both have a very explosive offense. Fresno State has stars at quarterback and running back with Derek Carr and Robbie Rouse. Carr is second in the nation in passing yards so far this season. Nevada always has one of the best ground games in the nation, and this year is no different. With Stephfon Jefferson leading the way, Nevada is averaging 261 yards per game on the ground. Both defenses are suspect against high-powered attacks. Last year's meeting between these two finished in a 45-38 final score. The over is 4-0 in Fresno State's last 4 following a bye week. The over is 5-2 in Nevada's last 7 home games. Take the over.
11-10-12 Utah v. Washington Huskies UNDER 47.5 Top 15-34 Loss -110 49 h 42 m Show
*5 Star NCAA FB Top Play of the Week* The Utah Utes and Washington Huskies have been two pretty similar teams this year. Both of them have been very disappointing on the offensive side of the ball, but they have both been very good defensively. Three of Washington's last four games have finished at a total of 38 points or less (including their game against USC). Utah has scored a total of 28 points in their last three road games combined. Both of these offenses have serious trouble putting together long drives. This will likely be a game where both teams settle for quite a few field goals. The under is 4-0 in Utah's lats 4 road games. The under is 6-0 in Washington's last 6 home games. Take the under big!
11-10-12 Louisiana Tech v. Texas State Bobcats OVER 70.5 62-55 Win 100 119 h 3 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have one of the most potent offenses in the nation. How good are they? They are third in the nation in yards per game at 571 per contest. They are second in the country in points per game with 52.4 per contest. They are top 12 in both rushing and passing yards. Texas State's defense allows 479 yards per game, and I suspect they are going to have a very long night in this one. On the other side, Louisiana Tech's defense is bad. They are second worst in the nation against the pass. Texas State should be able to put up some points at home here. The over is 8-1 in La. Tech's last 9 games overall. Take the over.
11-10-12 South Alabama Jaguars v. North Texas UNDER 50 14-24 Win 100 43 h 53 m Show
*3 Star CFB Bookie SMASHER* South Alabama has fought hard in their first year of existence as an FBS level football program. The Jaguars don't have much of an offense at all, but their defense is very solid. They have been in almost all of their games this year because of their defense. North Texas has a dinged up quarterback and a disappointing running game. The Mean Green defense is quite a bit better than it was a year ago. There is no reason to believe that either of these inefficient offenses will suddenly break out and put up a big number in this game. The under is 4-0 in North Texas' last 4 games following a straight up loss. Take the under.
11-10-12 Navy v. Troy OVER 58.5 31-41 Win 100 116 h 38 m Show
*3 Star CFB Bookie CRUSHER* The Navy Midshipmen can run the ball with the best of them, and Troy hasn't proven they are capable of stopping the run. Look for Navy to run the ball over and over again, and I don't expect Troy to have any answers for it. Last year, Navy piled up 42 points against Troy. On the other side, the Navy defense has struggled against good offenses this year. Troy actually has the 14th ranked offense in the nation. They are more balanced this year on offense, and the Trojans are scoring 30.1 points per game. The over is 4-0 in Troy's last 4 contests. Look for both offenses to have their way here. Take the over.
11-10-12 Air Force v. San Diego State OVER 57.5 9-28 Loss -110 39 h 44 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* Air Force is an interesting team because they run the football about as well as anyone, but they can't stop the run at all. This often leads to high scoring games for the Falcons. In fact, 5 of their 9 games this year have topped the 60 point mark. San Diego State has gotten very good at running the ball as the year has moved along. I expect the Aztecs to be able to run the ball easily against Air Force's undersized defensive front. The over is 7-2 in Air Force's last 9 games following a straight up loss. The over is 6-1 in San Diego State's last 7 games against a team with a winning record. Take the over.
11-10-12 Kent State v. Miami (OH) OVER 55.5 48-32 Win 100 21 h 17 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Kent State Golden Flashes are one of the most improved teams in college football this year. Darrell Hazzell is doing a tremendous job with this team. Kent State is getting it done largely because of their strong rushing attack. Miami's defense has been chewed up on the ground this year. Opponents are averaging 232 yards per game on the ground. Miami is allowing 34.4 points per game. Kent State's defense has struggled against strong passing games. Miami can't run the ball, but they do have a strong passing game. Look for Miami to move it through the air nicely in this one. I think this one gets to at least 60. Take the over.
11-10-12 Army v. Rutgers UNDER 52.5 7-28 Win 100 35 h 54 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Army Black Knights have the number one running game in the nation, but they can't throw the football at all. In fact, they average just 67 yards per game through the air. One of the team's leading rushers is questionable for this game due to an injury. The Rutgers defense has been awesome against the run this year. Rutgers is fourth in the nation in rushing defense. I think Army will have a lot of trouble scoring points here. The Rutgers offense averages just 26 points per game, and I don't see them putting up a big number here either. The under is 11-2 in Army's last 13 games coming off a bye week. The under is 6-1 in Rutgers last 7 against Independent teams. Look for a low scoring game. Take the under.
11-10-12 Wisconsin v. Indiana OVER 55 62-14 Win 100 20 h 12 m Show
*3 Star Big 10 Total* The Wisconsin Badgers will start Curt Phillips at quarterback here. Phillips isn't a very good quarterback, but I'm not sure the team needs a good quarterback to put up points against Indiana. Wisconsin still has a good running game with Montee Ball and James White, and the Hoosiers defensive line has been dominated numerous times this year. Wisconsin scored 83 against Indiana two years ago and 59 last year. While I don't expect that here, I do think they'll score plenty. Indiana's passing attack has been impressive, and Wisconsin's secondary is a bit weak right now. Indiana's offense should move the ball well here too. The over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings between these two, and it is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings at Indiana. Take the over.
11-06-12 Ball State v. Toledo OVER 67.5 34-27 Loss -110 24 h 13 m Show
*3 Star Tuesday Night Total* The Ball State Cardinals have turned into a fast-paced offense that is tough to stop. Keith Wenning is an underrated quarterback who leads this offense very well. Toledo's defense has been torched on a constant basis over the past couple years, and it will likely happen again in this one. Toledo's defense ranks 108th in the nation in total defense. The Rockets offense has been gaining steam of late, and Ball State's defense is one of the worst in the nation. The Cardinals have given up 33.3 points per game so far this year. The over is 4-0 in Toledo's last 4 games after a bye week. The over is 7-1 in Ball State's last 8 road games. Look for a high scoring game. Take the over.
11-04-12 Minnesota Vikings v. Seattle Seahawks UNDER 38.5 20-30 Loss -103 39 h 4 m Show
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The Seattle Seahawks are a completely different team at Qwest Field. Their defense has been dominating at home, even against some of the best offenses in the league. Seattle's run defense is amazing, and that really is Minnesota's bread and butter on offense. Seattle games often end up being field goal battles. Poor weather is expected in this one, which just makes me feel even more strongly about the under. Both defenses should have the upper hand in this game. The under is 6-1 in the Seahawks last 7 games against the NFC. The under is 5-2 in the Vikings last 7 games overall. Look for a very low scoring game. Take the under.
11-04-12 Carolina Panthers v. Washington Redskins OVER 46.5 Top 21-13 Loss -110 131 h 24 m Show
*5 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Washington Redskins are a good team to play the 'over' with because they are very good offensively with RG3 at the helm and very suspect on the defensive side of the ball. Washington is dead last in the NFL in passing defense, and they are allowing 28.4 points per game. Carolina looked pretty good in a 23-22 loss to Chicago last week, and if they come out with that same kind of enthusiasm here they should put up a big number. The Panthers defense is giving up 24 points per game, and no one has had the answer to stopping RG3 all season. I don't see the Panthers having the answer in this one. The over is 5-0 in the Panthers last 5 after allowing 150 yards or less through the air in their previous game. The over is 5-0-1 in the Redskins last 6 after an ATS loss. Take the over big!
11-03-12 Arizona v. UCLA Bruins OVER 70.5 10-66 Win 100 46 h 1 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The Arizona Wildcats showed what they can do offensively last week in a win over USC. Matt Scott is the perfect quarterback for Rich Rod's offense. Scott can run when needed, and he can absolutely pick apart a defense with his arm. UCLA's defense has been shaky all year, and I think they'll struggle here. Arizona's defense is slightly better than last year, but UCLA's balanced offense has been scoring a lot of points against everyone. Look for Hundley and Franklin to have a big game here. The over is 4-0 in Ariozna's last 4 games. Take the over.
11-03-12 Alabama v. LSU UNDER 41.5 21-17 Win 100 42 h 24 m Show
*3 Star Alabama/LSU Total Domination* This is the showdown everyone has been looking forward to since last season ended. Oddsmakers are down on LSU right now because the team has struggled a bit of late, but remember this team still has an amazing defense. LSU ranks third in the nation in total defense, and I just don't see Alabama coming into Baton Rouge and piling up the points on this ultra-talented defense. Speaking of talented defenses, Alabama is absolutely stacked on the defensive end. The Crimson Tide are first in almost all the major defensive statistics. LSU is struggling mightily on offense, and it won't surprise me if they can't get above 10 points here. The under is 4-1 in the Tigers last 5 following a bye week. The under is 5-1 in their last 6 following a straight up win. The under was 2-0 in the meetings between these two last year. Take the under.
11-03-12 Clemson v. Duke OVER 65.5 56-20 Win 100 43 h 31 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Clemson Tigers have one of the best offenses in the nation. Tajh Boyd is a great leader at the quarterback spot, and the Tigers have weapons at all the skill positions. Ellington is a solid running back and Watkins and Hopkins are tremendous on the outside. Duke is a much better team this year, but it is largely because of their offense. The Blue Devils should be able to put points on the board because of their passing game. Renfree is a good quarterback, and the Clemson secondary has struggled all year. Duke has been an 'over' bettors best friend of late. The over is 4-0-1 in the Blue Devils last 5. The over is 6-0-1 in their last 7 conference games. Take the over here.
11-03-12 Oregon v. USC OVER 69 62-51 Win 100 29 h 57 m Show
*3 Star Oregon/USC Total Domination* The Oregon Ducks can score points faster than any other team in the nation. Chip Kelly's offense is tremendous at keeping their opponent off guard. USC gave up 52 points to Oregon two years ago and 35 last year. The weakness of the Oregon defense is their secondary, and Matt Barkley and his terrific group of receivers should be able to exploit that weakness. USC's offense has been really coming into their own over the last couple games. Oregon has been taking their foot off the gas early in PAC 12 games before this one, but they can't afford to do that here. Both offenses should pile up the points. The over is 22-8 in Oregon's last 30 conference games. Take the over.
11-03-12 Rice v. Tulane OVER 62.5 Top 49-47 Win 100 109 h 35 m Show
*5 Star NCAA FB Play of the Week* The Rice Owls have been one of the worst defensive teams in the nation over the last few years, and this year is no different. Rice is giving up 32.3 points per game this year. Tulane's offense was horrible earlier this year, but they now have starting quarterback Ryan Griffin back and it makes a big difference. With Griffin the team put up 55 points last week. Tulane's defense is giving up almost 500 yards of offense per game. Rice has a pretty good offense, and I expect them to move the ball at will in this one. In 4 of their last 7 games, Tulane has allowed at least 41 points. I think this one goes way over the posted total. The over is 43-9 in Rice's last 52 games on turf. Take the over in a big way here.
10-28-12 New Orleans Saints v. Denver Broncos OVER 54 14-34 Loss -110 44 h 49 m Show
*3 Star Sunday Night Total Domination* The New Orleans Saints have a way of making games very high scoring. The Saints have a high-powered offense that can score very quickly, and they also have a defense that gives up a ton of points. Denver is a much more potent offense now with Peyton Manning at the helm. Manning should be able to take advantage of a very poor Saints secondary. The Saints are giving up 30.3 points per game and scoring 29.3 per contest. Denver is averaging 29 points per game at home this year. In a game that is played at a quick pace, I expect both teams to get plenty of chances to put points on the board here. The over is 6-0 in the Saints last 6 after a bye week. The over is 5-0 in the Saints last 5 road games. The over is 4-0 in the Saints last 4 October games. Look for lots of points here. Take the over.
10-28-12 Miami Dolphins v. NY Jets UNDER 40 30-9 Win 100 36 h 58 m Show
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Miami Dolphins and New York Jets will be playing in some ugly conditions Sunday afternoon. Hurricane Sandy will be dumping rain on this game and kicking up the wind. These kind of conditions aren't helpful to offenses, especially the wind. Miami's defense has been solid all year. The Jets offense is very inconsistent, and this kind of weather will lead to a lot more running. With the clock ticking throughout the game, it will be hard to get as many points as normal. Look for a defensive battle played in the driving rain in New York. The under is 7-0 in the Dolphins last 7 October games. Take the under in this one.
10-27-12 UNLV v. San Diego State OVER 56.5 13-24 Loss -110 89 h 55 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* UNLV is a team I like to look at the 'over' with because of their terrible defense and their much improved offense. The Rebels have scored 30 points or more in three of their last five contests. Their defense has allowed at least 30 points in every game against an FBS level opponent this year. San Diego State has really gotten their running game going of late. The Aztecs offensive front should dominate UNLV's weak defensive front in this game. San Diego State's defense has been poor against the pass this year, and UNLV should get some yards there. The over is 6-2 in UNLV's last 8 games. The over is 4-1 in San Diego State's last 5 games. Take the over.
10-27-12 Michigan v. Nebraska OVER 57.5 9-23 Loss -105 44 h 2 m Show
*3 Star Michigan/Nebraska Total Domination* The Michigan Wolverines and Nebraska Cornhuskers meet in a crucial Big 10 matchup Saturday night. Michigan is in the driver's seat in the Legends Division, but Nebraska still has a major say. Nebraska's offense is much more potent this year with an improved Taylor Martinez under center. Michigan's secondary is good, but the front seven is questionable. Denard Robinson is in his senior season with the Wolverines, and he has really turned it on over the past few games. Nebraska has struggled against good running games (UCLA and Ohio State) and I think Michigan can run for a big number against the Cornhuskers. Look for both offenses to have quite a bit of success. Take the over.
10-27-12 Kent State v. Rutgers UNDER 46 35-23 Loss -105 61 h 56 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are unbeaten going into week nine of the college football season. Not many people saw that coming. How have they done it? Rutgers wins with their defense. Rutgers is third in the nation in rushing defense. They allow opponents to run for only 69 yards per game. Rutgers is allowing only 11.3 points per game, which is also third best in the nation. Kent State relies on its ground game, and I don't think they can run very well on this Rutgers defense. The Scarlet Knights offense isn't very good, and this feels like a low scoring game to me. The under is 12-4 in Rutgers last 16 games. Take the under.
10-27-12 Texas Tech v. Kansas State OVER 60.5 24-55 Win 100 61 h 56 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Play of the Week* The Texas Tech Red Raiders have been extremely impressive over the last few weeks. Texas Tech smashed West Virginia and won on the road at TCU. Kansas State has been the biggest surprise in college football this season. The Wildcats beat West Virginia 55-14 in Morgantown last weekend, and that game was as much of a "statement game" as you'll ever see. Kansas State's running attack is extremely tough to stop, and I don't think Texas Tech has the personnel to slow them down. On the other side, Kansas State's weakness is in the secondary. Seth Doege leads the nation with 28 touchdown passes. The Red Raiders should be able to put quite a few points on the board as well. The over is 6-0 in Kansas State's last 6 home games. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 between these teams. Take the over.
10-27-12 Ohio v. Miami (OH) OVER 60.5 20-23 Loss -105 61 h 44 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Ohio Bobcats are unbeaten and in the top 25. Ohio has a well-balanced offense that has been very consistent this year. The Bobcats major problem right now is their defense is really banged up. Ohio's best pass rushers and their best members of the secondary are out. Miami (Ohio) doesn't have a good running game, but they can throw the football. Opponents have been moving the ball through the air against Ohio of late, and Miami should do the same. Miami's defense is giving up 38 points per game, and the Bobcats will be one of the better offenses they have faced. I expect a high scoring game here. The over is 4-0 in Ohio's last 4 coming off a bye week. Take the over.
10-27-12 UCLA v. Arizona State OVER 57.5 45-43 Win 100 39 h 32 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB PAC 12 Total* UCLA is a much better team this year thanks in large part to Brett Hundley being under center. Hundley is a terrific dual-threat quarterback who jump starts this offense. Johnathan Franklin is one of the best running backs in the nation. Franklin averages 6.8 yards per carry, and I think he can do a lot of damage against this Arizona State defense. Arizona State's offense is fast-paced now with Todd Graham as their coach. Both of these offenses will be playing uptempo, and I think that will give them both plenty of scoring chances. UCLA averages 32 points per game and Arizona State averages 38. Take the over.
10-27-12 Ball State v. Army OVER 66.5 30-22 Loss -110 81 h 56 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Ball State Cardinals have completely changed the way they play over the past couple years. Ball State is now a hurry up offense that looks to get as many offensive plays in a game as possible. Army's defense is allowing 38 points per game this year. Army gave up 48 points to a terrible Eastern Michigan offense last weekend. On the other side of the ball, Army is the number one rushing offense in the nation. That will be a problem for a Ball State defense that is 114th in the nation in total defense. Ball State allows 476 yards of offense per game. The over is a perfect 7-0 in Ball State's last 7 road games. The over is 10-1 in Army's last 11 games against the MAC. The over is 4-0 in Army's last 4 games following a loss. Take the over.
10-21-12 Washington Redskins v. NY Giants OVER 49.5 23-27 Win 100 84 h 53 m Show
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Washington Redskins are a terrific 'over' team this year. Washington hasn't had a quarterback in the last few years, but now they have a star dual-threat quarterback. RG3 has more than lived up to all the hype so far this year. He is a game changer for this offense. Washington is averaging 30 points per game this year. At the same time, the Redskins defense continues to have problems stopping anyone. The Redskins are dead last in the NFL in pass defense. The New York Giants have a terrific passing attack, and I expect them to shred up this defense. The Giants are also averaging 30 points per game. This is a game that I expect to reach at least 55 points, so I really like the value on this one. The over is 6-1-1 in the Redskins last 8. Look for these offenses to get up and down the field quickly. Take the over.
10-21-12 New Orleans Saints v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 49.5 35-28 Win 100 59 h 35 m Show
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New Orleans Saints finally got a win two weeks ago by coming back and beating the San Diego Chargers. New Orleans is still only 1-4, but they are holding onto faint hopes that they will be able to get into the postseason. New Orleans is 4th in the NFL in total offense, and I don't see Tampa Bay slowing them down much. The Bucs are second to last in the NFL in passing defense. Drew Brees seems to be coming into his own of late, and he should have a big day in this one. At the same time, the Saints defense isn't very good at all right now. The Saints are allowing 31 points per game on the season. Look for both teams to put up quite a few points here. The over is 8-0 in the Saints last 8 games against the NFC. The over is 4-0 in the Saints last 4 road games. The over is 5-0 in the Saints last 5 games following a straight up win. Take the over.
10-20-12 Marshall v. Southern Mississippi OVER 66.5 59-24 Win 100 120 h 49 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Tempo Total* The Marshall Thundering Herd have one of the fastest paced offenses in the nation. Marshall's scoring drives often only last 2 or 3 minutes. Rakeem Cato is a very talented young quarterback for the Thundering Herd. Marshall is averaging 396 passing yards per game this year, which is second in the nation. Southern Miss has defensive problems this year. The Golden Eagles are allowing 36 points per game. On the other side, Marshall's rushing defense is abysmal and Southern Miss can still run the football. The Golden Eagles should be able to rack up some big yardage in this one. The over is 5-1 in Marshall's last 6 road games. Take the over.
10-20-12 Cincinnati v. Toledo OVER 64.5 23-29 Loss -110 120 h 48 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Cincinnati Bearcats and the Toledo Rockets can both score points in bunches. Cincinnati averages 37 points per game this year. The Bearcats have scored 52 and 49 points in the last two weeks. Toledo's defense is one of the worst in all of football. Toledo is 111th out of 124 teams in the nation in total defense. The Bearcats should pile up the points here. At the same time, Toledo's offense averages 36.4 points per game, and they will be the best offense the Bearcats defense has faced this season. The over is 5-0 in Toledo's last 5 games against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in Cincinnati's last 4 following a win. Take the over and expect a high scoring game.
10-20-12 Boston College v. Georgia Tech OVER 61.5 Top 17-37 Loss -110 116 h 50 m Show
*5 Star NCAA FB Top Play of the Week* Boston College has a much improved offense compared to a year ago, but their defense is much worse than it was a year ago. The Eagles are averaging 281 passing yards per game this year. On the other side, Boston College is giving up 248 yards per game on the ground. Georgia Tech is third in the nation with 331 rushing yards per game. Army's offense piled up the yards and points against Boston College, and Georgia Tech runs the option even better. Georgia Tech's passing defense has been terrible, so Boston College should pile up the yards here. I don't see either defense slowing down the opposition in this one. The over is 4-0 in Georgia Tech's last 4 games. Look for a very high scoring game. I think this goes way over. Take the over big!
10-18-12 Oregon v. Arizona State OVER 68 43-21 Loss -107 20 h 54 m Show
*3 Star Thursday Night Total Domination* The Oregon Ducks are an amazing offensive team. Chip Kelly just continues to plug in athletic players and run this high-powered offense beautifully. Oregon is averaging 52.3 points per game so far this year. Thomas is one of the most dynamic offensive players in football, and Mariota is a terrific quarterback for this system. Arizona State's defense has good numbers this year, which is giving us some value here. Arizona State hasn't faced a good offense yet this year, and I think they'll struggle in a big way here. At the same time, Todd Graham has this offense putting up points. Oregon has given up quite a few yards through the air, and I think the Sun Devils can score quite a few here. The over is 7-0 in Arizona State's last 7 Thursday games. The over is 5-0 in Oregon's last 5 games following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. Take the over.
10-14-12 NY Giants v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 46 26-3 Win 100 38 h 39 m Show
*3 Star Giants/49ers Total Domination* The New York Giants and San Francisco 49ers have quite a bit of bad blood between them at this point. They met in the NFC Championship game last year, and it was the Giants who pulled off a come from behind victory in that one. San Francisco is definitely looking for revenge here. The 49ers do it with defense first. At this point, it is tough to argue with the fact that the 49ers have the best defense in the league. They are giving up less than 14 points per game. The Giants have had offensive explosions this year several times, but they haven't played a defense like the Niners. New York's defense should get a good pass rush on the 49ers, and I expect both defenses to bring their best in this intense game. The under is 4-0 in the Giants last 4 road games. The under is 5-0 in the Giants last 5 games after scoring 30 points or more in the previous game. Take the under.
10-14-12 Buffalo Bills v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 43.5 19-16 Win 100 37 h 25 m Show
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Arizona Cardinals are 4-1 this year, but a lot of people see their offense and assume they aren't a very good team. Many people overlook the fact that Arizona has one of the best defenses in the NFL. Patrick Peterson is a star at cornerback, and the Cardinals have a ton of very solid guys in their front seven. No team has scored more than 21 points on Arizona this year. Buffalo's offense has been dreadful of late. The Bills scored three points last week against the 49ers. Kevin Kolb and the Cardinals offense is out of sync right now, and I don't expect them to put up too many points without any kind of running game. The under is 4-1 in the Cardinals 5 games this season. Take the under.
10-13-12 Texas A&M v. Louisiana Tech OVER 79 59-57 Win 100 30 h 6 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Texas A&M Aggies offense is starting to get rolling. Kevin Sumlin's fast-paced offense struggled early in the year, but Johnny Manziel is getting it going of late. Louisiana Tech's defense has been torched through the air this year. The Bulldogs allowed an eye-popping 580 yards through the air in a win at Houston earlier this year. On the other side, the Bulldogs offense is tremendous. Louisiana Tech is averaging 53.2 points per game this year, which is fourth best in the nation. The weakness of the Aggies defense is their secondary, and that will be a big problem this week. The over is 5-0 in LA Tech's last 5 games. Look for a shootout. Take the over.
10-13-12 West Virginia v. Texas Tech OVER 78 14-49 Loss -105 25 h 60 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Offensive Explosion* The West Virginia Mountaineers now rival the Oregon Ducks as having the team with the most high-octane offense in the nation. Geno Smith has thrown 24 touchdowns and ZERO interceptions. He is clearly the Heisman front runner for great reason. Texas Tech's pass defense has been ranked at the top of the charts all year, but that will end quickly after this one. The Red Raiders shut down a ton of weak offenses and they'll be torched by West Virginia in this one. On the other side, Texas Tech has a nice quarterback in Seth Doege. West Virginia's defense is nothing special. I think both teams get to 40 points here. Take the over.
10-13-12 Maryland v. Virginia UNDER 45.5 27-20 Loss -110 85 h 31 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Maryland Terrapins have been making progress this year. Randy Edsall's team is making progress because they can play defense. Edsall has instilled his defensive toughness on this team, and it is showing on the field. West Virginia even struggled at times against the Terrapins defense. For the season, Maryland is allowing only 257 yards per game (7th in the nation). Virginia's offense is inconsistent, and I don't expect them to break out of their slump this week. As good as Maryland has been on defense, their offense has been terrible. The Terrapins rank 121st out of 124 teams in the nation in total offense. The under is 8-1 in the Cavs last 9 home games. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Take the under.
10-13-12 Western Michigan v. Ball State OVER 66.5 24-30 Loss -110 22 h 52 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Play of the Week* The Ball State Cardinals have had high scoring games every week this year. Ball State has transitioned to a new fast-pace offense in the past year, and it is paying dividends in a big way now. The Cardinals only scored two touchdowns in 7 trips inside the red zone last weekend, but they'll face a poor defense this week. Western Michigan gave up 35 points against Ball State last year. On the other side, Western Michigan's passing attack is solid and the Cardinals secondary isn't good. Expect both teams to move the ball well through the air in this one. The over is 11-2-1 in Ball State's last 14 home games. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings at Ball State. I think this one gets into the low-mid 70's. Take the over.
10-13-12 North Carolina v. Miami (Florida) OVER 68.5 18-14 Loss -110 21 h 24 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Value* The North Carolina Tar Heels are getting accustomed to Larry Fedora's uptempo offense, and it is starting to work well. The Tar Heels like to wear defenses down, and that has been exactly what they are doing over the last few weeks. Bryn Renner is a budding star at the quarterback spot. Renner already has 1,600 passing yards this year. Giovanni Bernard piled up a record 262 rushing yards last week against Virginia Tech. The Hokies defense was supposed to be strong, but North Carolina put up 48 points. Miami's defense is very weak. The Hurricanes have allowed 32 points or more against every FBS team they have played this year. Look for a high scoring game here. Take the over.
10-13-12 UAB v. Houston OVER 67 17-39 Loss -110 35 h 42 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Houston Cougars offense took some time to get going this year, but they are rolling once again. It is the passing attack behind David Piland that is really clicking right now. Houston averages 344 passing yards per game. UAB's defense is allowing 33.8 points per game this year. On the other side, Houston's defense is bad once again this season. The Cougars are giving up almost 500 yards of total offense per game. Houston allows 32 points per game. UAB's passing attack has been very good of late. UAB put up 42 points in a loss to Tulsa last week. I don't see many stops in this one. Take the over.
10-06-12 Washington v. Oregon OVER 64.5 21-52 Win 100 124 h 36 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night Bailout* The Washington Huskies defense was horrible last season. The Huskies defense has been surprisingly decent this year, but they haven't played anyone with even close to the level of offensive talent that Oregon has. The Ducks probably have the most dynamic offense in the nation. Oregon is averaging 52.4 points per game, and I'll be surprised if they don't get close to that level again this week. They just have too many weapons and too much speed for the Huskies defense. Washington has a very good quarterback in Keith Price, and I expect the Huskies to be able to do some scoring of their own in this one too. The over is 20-7 in Oregon's last 27 conference games. Take the over.
10-06-12 Tulsa v. Marshall OVER 67.5 Top 45-38 Win 100 117 h 38 m Show
*6 Star College Football Play of the Year!* This one sets up to a be huge play for me. Tulsa's offense averages 42 points per game. The Golden Hurricane average 245 rushing yards per game, which is 12th in the nation. Marshall's weakness as a defense is the front seven, and opponents are averaging 225 rushing yards per game. Overall, the Thundering Herd are allowing a ridiculous 44.4 points per game. On the other side, Marshall ranks third in the nation in passing offense. The Thundering Herd average 395 yards per game through the air thanks to super sophomore Rakeem Cato. Cato leads the nation in passing yards. Tulsa's secondary is definitely the weakness of the defense. UAB threw for 337 yards on Tulsa last weekend. Marshall is putting up 41 points per game this year. Marshall scored 34 points against West Virginia and 41 against a pretty good Purdue defense. Both of these teams are teams I look to play the over with, and I was prepared to play a much higher number than this on the over. My numbers have this game projected at 82 points. Look for a major shootout in this one. Take the over in a very big way!
10-06-12 Georgia Tech v. Clemson OVER 73 31-47 Win 100 18 h 16 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets run the triple option as well as anyone, and I don't think Clemson has the personnel to stop the Yellow Jackets running game. At the same time, Georgia Tech's defense simply isn't very good. Clemson has one of the most dynamic offenses in the nation. The Tigers put up 37 points against a great Florida State defense. Clemson has the type of offense that could score 45-50 points in a game like this. Tajh Boyd has his best play maker back this weekend as Sammy Watkins has been cleared to play. Boyd is one of the best quarterbacks in the land, and he should have a great game here. Take the over.
10-06-12 Northern Illinois v. Ball State OVER 67 Top 35-23 Loss -110 115 h 16 m Show
*5 Star Top Play Total Domination* Ball State has quickly becoming a scoring machine over the past couple years. If you look at Ball State's games this year, the combined score at the end of their games has been: 79, 80, 58, and 88 points. Northern Illinois and Ball State played to a 41-38 final last year. Two years ago the final was 59-21. Northern Illinois has a great play maker at quarterback in Jordan Lynch. Northern Illinois put up 55 points on Central Michigan last weekend. This is one of those games where I think both teams are very capable of putting up 40 points. This is a total I would have played up to 74 points. The over is 6-0-1 in Ball State's last 7 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in Ball State's last 4 when allowing 40 points or more in the previous game. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams at Ball State. Take the over big!
10-06-12 Boston College v. Army OVER 56 31-34 Win 100 17 h 39 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Total* Boston College is a completely different team than they were a year ago. Chase Rettig leads an impressive passing attack for the Eagles. Boston College is putting up more than 300 passing yards per game this year. On the other side, Boston College's defense took a big hit when Kuechly graduated after last season. Army is second in the nation in rushing yards, and I think they'll be able to run the ball well against a fairly weak Boston College front seven. Army's defense has given up more than 40 points in three of their five games this year. I think this game gets into the 60's. Take the over.
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