*3 Star Big Play* There should be no pace war in this game as both teams love to slow the game down and run the shot clock down. The under is 13-7 in Citadel's games this year and 14-8 in Samford's. The stakes are high now that it is conference tourny time, so expect both teams to hunker down and play tough defense. This has the makings of a tight game where the winner may have about 50 points. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* Duquesne has gone back to the tempo they played at a year ago. This team is running and gunning with the best of them lately. The over is 5-1 in their last six games. Fordham is a team that plays no defense and tries to run despite the fact they aren't a good team at all. I expect Duqusne to put up 85 or 90 themselves in this one and Fordham should be able to cover the rest. Take the over in this one.

*5 Star Top Play* Fresno State has quite obviously forgotten how to put the ball in the hoop over the last few games. The under is 10-1 in their last 11 games and they are averaging just 58 points per game in their last 5 games overall. The under is also 7-2 in Lousiana Tech's last 9 games and their leading scorer is questionable due to an ankle injury. The data and the trends are screaming to take the under here.

*3 Star Big play* Washington State started the season out with a new, much faster tempo. As the year has gone along they have gone back toward their style of play from last year. In a game against Oregon State I feel like the Cougars of Washington State will end up in a very slow half court battle. The under is 9-2 in Oregon State's last 11 and 5-1 in Washington State's last 6 overall. Take the under here.

*5 Star Top Play* Cal State Northridge has really gotten their running game going over the last few games. This team doesn't always shoot a good percentage, but they always put up a lot of shots. The last three times they have played Davis the totals have finished at 158, 171, and 165. A line set at 146 certainly looks to have some nice value on the over in this match up.

*5 Star Top Play* Dayton needs this win badly for its tournament hopes and for Richmond it is senior night. The under is 14-9 overall this year for both teams. I expect this to be a half court game in which both teams play very tough man to man defense and force some pretty ugly shots. The game should stay close and I think 60 points could easily win this game. I like the under a lot in this one.

*3 Star Big Play* This should be a pretty spirited game between these two directional Michigan schools. The first time these two met the total was 134 points and the shooting was about average. I think both teams will come ready to play for this rivalry game and there will be a lot of free throws taken in this one. I think this one goes above 130 again. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* Remember those really low scoring games that occurred in Washington State? Those are now taking place in Virginia since Tony Bennett moved to the east coast to coach the Cavs. The under is 7-2 in Virginia's last 9 overall and 11-3-1 in Boston College's last 15 home games. Landesburg, Virginia's top player, will probably not play in this one, which makes this an even stronger play. The pace should stay slow here and the shooting will likely not be impressive either. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* BYU has a great offense this year and I just don't see them allowing this game to stay under this posted total. Earlier this year the two teams put up 151 points despite shooting percentages of just 42.6% and 45.5%. Utah will probably keep this rivalry game close, which would lead to more free throws at the end of this one as well. I like this one to end in the mid 140's or so. Take the over here.

*5 Star Top Play* I was all over this one when the line came out. The pace of this game will be about as slow as you ever see in a big time conference. St. Louis and Temple have both had several games this year below this total and now when they meet I think it will breed an even lower game. I think this has the potential to be one of those games that stays under 100 points. It should be close to end and it should be a slow half-court battle. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* Mississippi State and Auburn met earlier this year and the game went over the posted total despite some very poor shooting numbers. The tempo was basically a frantic rush back and forth and a lot of missed three pointers. I think the shooting will improve a little in this one and I think the pace will stay very quick. Auburn tends to score more at home, but they can't play defense hardly at all. Take the over in this one.

*3 Star Big Play* The Cleveland Cavaliers seem to have changed their ways of late. The Cavs are running and scoring in bunches, especially since Antawn Jamison came over from Washington. New Jersey has no defense and Cleveland should put up 105 or more here. The Cavs defense hasn't been the same it was earlier this year, so I think the Nets will put up enough to make this an attractive over.

*3 Star Big Play* The Atlanta Hawks seem to have found their offense again. The Sixers play better on the road than they do at home, so they may well make this a competitive game. The three referees set to be at this game are all three pretty high scoring refs against the NBA average. I think the tempo will be pretty quick here and both teams will get plenty of chances at the free throw line. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* Without Luke Harangoady Notre Dame has slowed down their tempo by a large amount. The Fighting Irish have had a lot of success doing this, so I don't expect them to change now. The under is 11-5 in UConn's last 16 road games and 9-4 in Notre Dame's last 13 games overall. This one should be a tight game, but I don't think the tempo will be nearly as quick as we are used to seeing from these teams. I like the under.

*3 Star Big Play* Tennessee Tech plays no defense at all and Austin Peay has proven they are able to capitalize on that. In two meetings this year the totals were 149 and 184. Austin Peay will be the home team in this first round OVC tournament match up and the over is 24-11 in their last 35 home games. Expect a lot of offense in this one. Take the over!

*3 Star Big Play* Eastern Illinois is a nice team to play the under with in general. The under is 27-10-1 in their last 38 games overall. The two match ups between these two this year came to totals of 126 and 131, but the shooting percentages were high in both. I don't think they'll be shooting over 50% in this one, and for that reason I think the under is a nice value here.

*3 Star Big Play* Nebraska is a tough team to get a handle on of late, but I have to think they'll slow things down in this one. It is senior night so everyone will be pumped up and they should bring their best effort. The first time these two played the total was 132 and I think that is a decent projection for this one as well. Nebraska should hold Colorado to a low shooting percentage here. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* Last time these two met at Valpo the final was 74-70. There were 144 points scored despite the two teams shooting 35% and 44%. I have to think the shooting will improve a little bit here. I also think this game could be a close one and neither team will want their season to end, so there could be a whole lot of fouling at the end of this one. I like the over here.

*3 Star Big Play* The Celtics and the Pistons are both teams that tend to like to slow the pace down. The under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings between these two teams. This number is set pretty low, but I still think a total in the mid 180's is fairly likely, so the under looks like the side that has the value. Expect a half court game in this one. Take the under.

*5 Star Top Play* I find that the small conferences often offer some of the best opportunities because the lines are soft. I think this is another case of just that. Radford and Charleston Southern played twice this year and the totals were 125 and 119 in overtime. This conference is tough to predict on totals, but I do think a total set at 134.5 is simply too high in this case. Neither team shoots well from the floor normally. I think the under is the play here.

*3 Star Big Play* This number just seems too high to me. The Knicks have been scoring and allowing a ton of points of late, but Cleveland will more than likely be way too much for New York to handle in this one. I can see Cleveland getting a solid lead and then taking the foot off the gas to the point where this stays under 210. I like the under in this one.

*3 Star Big Play* Georgia Southern is a very bad team, but they sure do love to push the tempo. In their last 8 games the lowest total was 151 points. Greensboro is very bad as well, and both teams are horrible defensively. I think this will be a nice chance for both teams to run and gun and get a lot of trips to the free throw line. I like this one to go over 150. Take the over here.

*3 Star Big Play* The match ups and the referees for this game make this over look pretty intriguing. Bill Spooner is the main ref here, and the over is 24-15 in his 39 games this year. Atlanta is a potent team offensively, especially at home. Milwaukee is playing great basketball of late so I expect it to be pretty close. Set at this low number, I like the over in this one.

*5 Star Top Play* Irvine is not a team that likes to run, and they do well dictating the tempo at home. In their last ten games only one has gone over 141, and that one ended at 142. Last time these two played they finished at 127, and the shooting wasn't that awful either at 43% and 47%. I think Irvine slows this one down nicely, and a game in the low to mid 130's is what I would expect. Take the under.

*3 Star ESPN Showcase Play of the Night* Tonight's play of the night is on the Syracuse and Villanova over. This total has dropped throughout the day, and I don't understand why. Villanova will push the ball the whole game. Syracuse shoots the ball very well from distance and I think Rautins should have plenty of open looks in this one. Last year these teams played two gams that were track meets. This one should be the same. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* The first time these two played they scored 147, but that was in overtime. After regulation it was just at 120 points even though the teams shot 42% and 49% from the floor. SE Missouri State just doesn't have the firepower to run and gun with these teams, so I expect them to slow this one down a pretty nice amount. I like the under in this one.

*5 Star Top Play* Northern Iowa is a great team to play the under with because of their defensive intensity and how well they control the tempo. Last time they played Illinois State the final was 59-44. The shooting percentages weren't very good, so I expect this one to go a little higher than that one, but 123 definitely seems too high to me. I put this one at about 115 or 116 myself, so I see a whole lot value in taking the under here.

*3 Star Big Play* Earlier this season these two put up 176 points in their match up. Ohio and Buffalo both like to push the tempo against their MAC conference foes, and in this one there won't be another team to try to slow down the pace. Expect a lot of trips to the free throw line and a lot of 3 point attempts. As long as the shooting percentages are decent, this one should get over the posted total.

*3 Star Big Play* The under is 8-3 in George Washington's last 11 overall and they scored just 140 in their first meeting. This has all the makings of a game that could go right down to the wire, and I don't think the shooting percentages will be too terribly high in this one. I think another game at about 140 is pretty likely. Take the under here.

*3 Star Big Play* Charleston is a team that has a whole lot of firepower on offense and they love to push the ball and make other teams wear down. Furman tends to play at the pace of their opponent, and the first time these two got together this year the total was 172 points. Charleston shot lights out, so I don't think they'll get that high again, but I do think this number was set too low. Take the over here.

*3 Star Big Play* UIC commits a whole lot of fouls each game, and the over is now 7-1 in their last 8 games overall. Last time these two played they scored just 109, but the shooting percentages of 29% and 35% were pathetic. I see this one staying pretty close throughout and I highly suspect that a lot of free throws at the end will put this one over the posted total.

*3 Star Big Play* Vanderbilt and Arkansas are probably the best two teams in the SEC to play the over with right now. The over is 9-2 in Vandy's last 11 and 5-1 in Arkansas' last 6 games overall. The Razorbacks have a very poor defense, but they can put points on the board, especially at home. Vandy is averaging 80 points per game in their last 5 and Arkansas is averaging 76. This should be a very high scoring game, with a lot of fouls as well. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* The Pistons have started playing a little bit better basketball of late and the Nuggets have been scoring in bunches lately. The over is 6-2 in their last 8 games, and this line of 203 is about as low as you'll see for a Nuggets game. The referees in this one lean slightly to the over and I think Denver will push the tempo here. I like this one to go over 203.

*3 Star Big Play* Both of these teams play at a fast tempo compared to their Ivy League opponents. They got together two weeks ago and scored 148 points total. Brown actually scores more points per game on the road and Harvard more at home, so I like the over in this one. I think this one could easily get to the mid 140's. Take the over here.

*5 Star Top Play* I think the game between Stanford and Arizona State earlier this year when they put up 158 was a one-time deal. Both of these teams tend to play at a slow tempo and neither shoots that well, especially Stanford. The under is 3-1 in Arizona State's last 4 and 5-0 in Stanford's last 5. I think this game will go back to being an ugly PAC 10 grind it out basketball game.

*3 Star Big Play* Wisconsin really put it to Indiana the last time they played, blowing them out 83-55. Lately Indiana hasn't played as quick as they did earlier in the year. The under is 7-3 in the last 10 home games for Indiana. The under is 14-4 in the last 18 games overall for Wisconsin and 35-16 in their last 51 road games. I think the shooting percentages stay lower here and Indiana has real trouble scoring. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* Kentucky has had a lot of trouble with South Carolina of late. The Gamecocks have actually won 3 straight games against the Wildcats. I think Kentucky will win this one, but I expect South Carolina to slow it down and try to both Kentucky with the pace of the game changing. The under is 18-7-1 in South Carolina's last 26. Take the under here.

*5 Star Top Play* MTSU is the better team of late and they like to control the tempo and play solid defense. FIU is a tough team to get a read on, but the truth is they aren't that efficient offensively. Generally in their games FIU takes a lot of shots to get to a high total. I think MTSU limits the possessions here and this one stays in the mid 130's. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* Morehead State and Murray State are the top two teams in the OVC, so this should be a great game. Morehead State would be well-suited to slow this one down and not let the Racers control the tempo here. Morehead State is solid defensively and has a great shot blocker which should slow Murray State down some. I think this one should stay in the lower 130's. Take the under here.

*3 Star Big Play* North Texas is very efficient offensively at home and Lafayette struggles quite badly defensively, especially of late. The Mean Green should drive the ball to the basket and get a whole lot of trips to the line in this one. If Lafayette wants any chance to win this one, I figure they'll need to put up quite a few points. This one should see the mid 140's. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* These two teams got together just a few weeks ago and put up just 174, which I think has made this line as good of a value as it is on the over. Indiana is back to scoring in bunches of late. They have scored more than 100 points in 7 of their last 10 games. All three of the referees for tonight's game have called more games that have gone over the total than those that stayed under, so there should be plenty of trips to the line as well. I think something like 210 is very possible. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* The Commodores have adopted a new strategy, which is to run and beat teams with their athleticism. Their only bad slip up in the last several games was against Georgia last time. At home Vanderbilt is great offensively, and I simply don't think the Bulldogs will keep them away from the rim. Ogilvy will do damage down low and Taylor and Beal should do damage around the perimeter. Take the over in this one.

*3 Star Big Play* The Charlotte Bobcats have transformed into a much higher scoring team since Stephen Jackson came to the team. Even before Jackson came to the team the over was 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Utah can put up a lot of points at home and Deron Williams should be back and ready to play tonight. Two of the three officials in tonight's game are very high scoring officials, so that won't hurt a bit. I like the over here.

*3 Star Big Play* These teams put up 125 earlier this year, but they went to the line a combined 51 times and I just don't see that happening again. Air Force controls the tempo much better at home, where the under is 15-4-1 in their last 20 games. The pace in this one should be very slow and I think the shooting percentages will be below average as well. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* Northern Illinois is a team that I don't think the oddsmakers have a very good handle on right now. The team has to decided to run and gun in a big way of late and their totals haven't been adjusted enough yet. These teams met and scored 156 a month ago. I think Central Michigan should be able to score plenty on this terrible Huskies defense, but NIU will put up a lot on its home court as well. Take the over.

*5 Star Top Play* The Cornhuskers are a team that likes to slow the pace down to a crawl. Iowa State ran a lot earlier this year, but they seem to have slowed down quite a bit again of late. The two totaled just 109 earlier this year, but the shooting was poor. I expect a game in the mid 120's, which gives us a nice amount of room for the under. This should be a halfcourt game with not that many fouls. Take the under!

*3 Star Big Play* The Buffalo Bulls push the tempo well in almost every game they play. The over is 20-6 in their last 26 games overall. Akron tends to play to the tempo of their opponent. These teams finished at 143 earlier this year, despite their shooting percentages being less than stellar. A game in the mid 140's is pretty likely here. I'll take the over in this one!

*5 Star Top Play* Cincinnati and DePaul are both teams that prefer to play at a slower pace than most teams. Many teams in the Big East like to run and gun, which skews their averages some, but when they meet I expect a low scoring game. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 meetings and the under is 11-6 for Depaul and 12-8 for Cincinnati this year. This is a low number, but this is the type of game that could stay around 110 or 115. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* The under is 9-0 this year in Toledo's 9 home games. The under is 7-3 in Western Michigan's 10 games away from home. This line is likely boosted because of the high scoring in Toledo's game last Saturday. If you look at the astronomical shooting percentages in that I just don't see that continuing. These two played to a 73-41 final earlier this year and I just don't see this game getting above 120. I like the under here.

*3 Star Big Play* Both of these teams have changed the way they play of late, and both have slowed down in a big way. The under is 17-7 in Florida's last 24 and 12-4 in their last 16 home games. Bruce Pearl and the Vols don't quite have the same types of athletes they have had to create turnovers and run, so they are also playing much slower of late. The under is 6-1 in their last 7 games. A few weeks ago these two put up just 121. I think this one will stay in the lower 130's beacuse of the slower pace. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* The New York Knicks were absolutely pathetic last night, and now TMac has apparently injured his leg again. He is questionable tonight against a very good Celtics defense. The under is 8-2 in Boston's last 10 games and the under is 6-2 in New York's last 8 road games. The Knicks don't have enough firepower to put up many points against Boston as long as the Celtics show up and play their team defense. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* Someone has bet this one up in a big way, so I am going against the grain here, but I'm taking the under. I had this one pinned at about 114 points, and now there is a whole lot of value there. Earlier this year they didn't put up 100. I know they should put up more than that, but ODU should give Georgia State a whole lot of trouble with their great defense. Take the under here.

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Knicks just acquired Tracy McGrady and I really think this will make them even more of a free offense that runs and shoots quickly. TMac won't be gun shy and he should be able to put up quite a few points as long as he in shape. Just a couple of weeks ago these teams met and scored 221, and now the Knicks are on a huge 6-0 streak to the over. I like the over here.

*3 Star Big Play* This one is really a play on both teams recent pace changes. Elon has sped things up and scored a whole lot more of late and 4 of their last 5 games have gone over the posted total. Appalachian State is a team that loves to run and tends to get to the free throw line very often. Elon does a lot of fouling, so that should be a nice combination. Earlier this year the total was 154. This one might not get that high, but the upper 140's are likely here. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* The last time these two met the final was 97-82. The amount of free throws taken in that game was ridiculous so that won't occur again, but the teams combined to shoot 5-29 from 3 point range as well, which should improve today. I see this total as being too low for the two fastest paced teams in the MEAC. I like this one to go over.

*NBA Total of the Day* The Golden State Warriors tend to bring out the best in an opposing offense. The Atlanta Hawks have been very inconsistent offensively of late, but they have too many weapons to stay that way for too terribly long. The over is 8-1 in their last 9 meetings, and some of those totals have been extremely high. I really think the Hawks will be able to run and get a lot of easy buckets against the Warriors, and the Warriors will get plenty as well. Take the over here.

*3 Star Big Play* A game between Wisconsin and Northwestern is simply an under bettors dream unless the two teams get white hot from behind the three point line. Earlier this year they combined for 110 points, and while I think this meeting may see a few more points than that I don't think they'll get above the upper 110's. Expect a whole lot of half court offense and very few transition buckets. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* Fresno State has its star back in Paul George and since he has returned they have turned it up a notch offensively. UCSB may try to slow things down, but I don't think they can keep this one below 130 or so. This should be a close hard fought game. Take the over and expect 130 or more.

*3 Star Big Play* When the line gets this high on a Pacific game you have to take a good hard look at the under. Pacific has had quite a few games go over this year, but it has simply been because the line is set so low. I don't think they'll let the Aggies play to their tempo here, and at their home court they play very tough defense. I like the under here.

*5 Star Top Play* Kent State has been very good to me this year on "overs" and Western Carolina loves to run down in the Southern Conference. The Golden Flashes are the deeper team, but Western Carolina should be able to put up enough points to make this over a very solid play. I think 150 is likely here. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* The Golden Eagles have been great to me on the "under" of late. This team has clearly decided they are better suited to slow the game down and play great defense. Central Florida typically adjusts to the pace of their opponent, so they probably won't push it here. The under is 9-0 in Southern Miss' last 9 games overall and 5-1 in UCF's last 6.

*3 Star Big Play* Presbyterian is a team that is offensively challenged and is well-suited to slow the game down against almost everyone, especially a school from a much bigger conference. Jacksonville State isn't great, so they probably won't blow anyone away by too much. A game in the upper 120's is to be expected here.

*5 Star Top Play* Cansius is a team with a solid offense and a poor defense. James Madison plays in the more difficult conference, so I expect they'll be able to put up points against a team from the MAAC. I think the pace here will be a little above average and there will be numerous trips to the stripe. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* Central Michigan is one of the slowest teams pace-wise in the MAC. Tennessee State has scored a decent amount of points in recent games, but that is largely because their competition in the OVC likes to run and gun and play a very sloppy game. Central Michigan should be play tougher defense and slow this one down. I don't think the offensive firepower is there to put this one over this total. Take the under.

*5 Star Top Play* Toledo is just a miserable team this year and the under is now 16-2 in their 18 games this year. Cleveland State should handle them, and Toledo may struggle to get to 50 in this one. I think 110 or so would have been a more accurate line. I love this under!

*5 Star Top Play* No doubt California is now starting to distinguish themselves from the PAC 10 and it is largely because of their offensive ability. Oregon has no defensive strength at all, but they do have some 3 point shooters that can keep them in the game at Eugene. I think this one goes over 150.

*5 Star Top Play* This is a classic case of a team, Rhode Island, who can score at will, against a lowly team that can't defend. Fordham likes to run and gun, but they are terrible at it. Rhode Island is very good at it, and they could probably name their score in this one. Earlier this year they put up 152 total despite Rhode Island having a very cold shooting game. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* Rider and Hofstra both like to push the tempo against their respective conference foes, but many of their normal opponents fight it. In this game no one will be slowing down the flow of the game. Jenkins is a big scorer for Hofstra and should do some major damage. Rider has proven able to win and score points on the road. The over looks good here.

*3 Star Big Play* The Maryland Terrapins are a vastly improved team on the offensive end from a year ago. Greivis no longer has to do it by himself and the team is one of the higher scoring teams in the country. Georgia Tech will probably have to score quite a few points if they want to be in the contest here. I like this one to get into the mid 140's.

*3 Star Big Play* Both of these teams play the fastest pace in their respective conferences, so I expect when they get together they'll run and gun. Morgan State probably can't keep up with the Racers, but they'll give it their best. I think this one gets to the mid 150's. Take the over here in this early Bracketbuster game.

*3 Star Big Play* Iona and William & Mary will be playing on the first night of the BracketBusters Challenge. Both of these teams like to slow the game down, so I see no reason to think either will push it in this one. In fact, the under is 9-0 in William & Mary's last 9 games and the under is 9-3 in Iona's last 12 games. Open shots should be hard to come by and I think this one stays under.

*NBA Play of the Day* On Friday evening the Cavaliers will be playing their first game with Antawn Jamison as part of their team. Over the long run I expect Jamison will help them, but at first I think it could be difficult for him to get into the offensive flow with the team. 5 of the last 6 match ups with Charlotte have gone under the posted total. I think this will be a half court battle that goes down to the wire and stays under the total.

*3 Star Big Play* The trends are strongly in our favor with the under in this one. The under is 7-2 in Cleveland State's last 9 and 13-6 in Wisconsin Milwaukee's last 19. The first time this two got together this year the over hit, but that was due to amazing shooting. The Panthers hit 55% of their 3 pointers and 93% of their free throws. The recent trends suggest this one is much more likely to stay in the low 130's. I like the under.

*5 Star Top Play* I have to admit, I don't understand why this one is this high. Just a couple of weeks ago these teams finished at 137 in their first meeting and the shooting was fairly good. The under is 12-5 in MTSU's 17 lined games this season and the under is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings. I expected this one to be somewhere around 135, so I'll take the value in the under here.

*5 Star Top Play* The Waves and Pilots met a month ago and the total was 144, but Portland shot 53% for the game. Pepperdine has lost 7 games in a row and is having a very difficult time scoring of late. The under is 7-1 in Portland's last 8 road games. I think this one could stay in the lower 130's. Look for Pepperdine to struggle shooting and Portland to slow down from last meeting. Take the under here.

*3 Star Big Play* The under has been a great play for me this year in New Orleans' games. Last time these two played I picked the under and the final was 48-47. Granted I don't expect anything that low this time, but the trends are strongly in favor of the under here. The under is 10-2 in Monroe's last 12 and 6-1 in New Orleans' least 7 games overall. The winner of this game may have trouble getting above 60 or so. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* This one is more of a gut feel from me, based on watching Vanderbilt play recently. Ole Miss likes to push the tempo, but they haven't been shooting well of late. Vanderbilt has made a concerted effort to go much faster of late, and the results have been great for them. Vandy has won 8 of their last 10 and the over is 8-2 in their last 10 games. I think a game in the upper 150's is pretty likely here. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* The home/away splits look great for this under. The under is 15-7-1 in Colorado's last 23 home games and the under is 17-8-1 in Oklahoma's last 26 road games. Willie Warren has mono right now and is questionable on Wednesday night. He is an important part of the Sooners offense. Colorado seems to have made a decision to slow things down of late and 5 of their last 6 games have gone under the posted total.

*3 Star Big Play* The over is 4-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. BYU put up 91 points in their meeting earlier this year, but Colorado State scored just 47. Colorado State is much better at home and BYU will still put up quite a few points here. I think this one will have the tempo and the amount of fouls needed to get it to 145 or so. I like the over.

*3 Star Big Play* Southern Miss. is one of my favorite under plays going right now as they have definitely decided that slowing things down is their way to down win games, and it has been working out nicely for them. UAB is in no hurry at all either. The total in their game last month was just 113 and I expect somewhere around 115 or so in this one. The value is with the under.

*3 Star Big Play* Ohio and Kent State are both MAC teams that like to dictate the tempo against their opponent, but luckily both like to speed up the game. Ohio started the year without an identity, but now it has one in its ability to run and push the pace. The over is 6-2 in their last 8 games and the over is 8-3 in Kent State's last 11 home games. Earlier this year they scored just 122, but the teams shot 39% and 36% from the floor. Take the over here!

*5 Star Top Play* Earlier this year these two teams put up 122 points and the shooting wasn't all that bad. This time the line has been set higher than last time for some reason. Morehead State really clamps down the defense at home and Eastern Kentucky has struggled to score on the road this season. I put this one at about 127, so I see a lot of value on the under!

*3 Star Big Play* These two teams played less than a month ago and the total was just 114 despite the fact that both teams shot about 50%. Clearly the pace was very slow. I am very surprised the number was set this high here. The under is 10-4 in Green Bay's last 14 and 6-2 in Cleveland State's last 8 road games. Take the under.

*5 Star Top Play* These two teams played to a total of 112 earlier this season and now they are both missing their most talented players due to suspension. The under is 18-5 in Northern Iowa's last 23 games and I'm not sure Creighton has the firepower to push the tempo anymore. I think UNI keeps the pace to their liking and this one is a tough half court Missouri Valley battle. I think this stays under by 5 points or more.

*3 Star Big Play* Earlier this year both of these teams seemed to be running and gunning, but of late they have gone back to their slower and more typical pace. While the over hit easily earlier this year I think this will be a grind it out type of game where the winning team is at about 65 points. I like the under here.

*3 Star Big Play* The Kansas Jayhawks are known for their ability to score, but what really sets them apart from the rest of the pack is their ability to defend. They are ranked #1 in the entire country in field goal % defense, allowing opponents to shoot just 36.5%. Texas A&M is a solid team, but with no big scorers I think they'll struggle to put up a lot of points. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* Youngstown State has a glaring weakness on the defensive end. They are allowing 75 points per game on the road and the over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games. These two met earlier in the year and finished at 128, but the shooting percentages were pretty low and the free throw attempts were lower than normal. I like this one to get to 140.

*3 Star Big Play* Western Carolina pushes the tempo more than anyone else in the Southern Conference. Only one of their last 10 games has finished below 144. Last time these two teams met they put up 148 points total, despite shooting 43% from the floor each. Greensboro is terrible defensively and Western Carolina should exploit that. This one should be in the upper 140's.

*3 Star Big Play* The Toledo Rockets are absolutely terrible and the under is 15-2 in their 17 lined games this year. The under is 9-4 in Central Michigan's last 13 home games. Earlier this year they met and the total was 107. The shooting was pretty poor, but I think we'll see more of that in this game. I think this one will come in a little below 115. Take the under here.

*3 Star Big Play* Rutgers simply doesn't have that much firepower on offense, but they can play hard on the defensive end at home. The under is 11-3 in their last 14 home games. The first time these two teams met this year the total was 151, but Georgetown shot an astronomical 63% from the field. I think they'll come back to earth some and this one will stay under the total.

*5 Star Top Play* Both of these squads have sped up their pace quite a lot over the last few weeks. The over is 6-1 in Western Michigan's last 7 games overall as they seem to have decided to speed things up. Eastern Michigan is one of those teams that plays to the pace of their opponent. Earlier this year they scored just 108, which obviously is scary, but when you look at the shooting percentages they were downright awful. I don't think a 26% shooting percentage will happen again, and the recency of those two teams suggests a much higher game here. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* This is a classic battle between two teams who love to slow it down and play a half court game. No one will be running and gunning here, but rather just some great defense and teams who use up the shot clock. Earlier this year these two teams put up 116 despite shooting well from 3 point range. I look for a total in the low 110's here. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* The Aggies of Utah State are a great defensive team and they have proven that over the last few weeks. The under is 7-3 in their last 10 road games. San Jose State is typically a team that scores often, but I'm not sure they can do that against this Utah State team. I put this at about 135, so I see value on the under here.

*3 Star Big Play* Portland has undergone a change in their philosophy of late because of an injury to their star player, Nik Raivio. The Pilots are now a much more defensively oriented team and they are slowing the pace down. St. Mary's started the season as an over machine, but the under is now 4-0 in their last 4 games. Last time they played the total was 149 and the shooting was pretty good. I'm going to bank on the fact that an injury depleted Pilots team will slow it down and the shooting will back off a little here.

*3 Star Big Play* Denver simply cannot score on the road, as evidenced by their 5-1 record to the under in their last 6 road games. North Texas is 10-7 to the under in their 17 games this year and they seem to have slowed down a bit from previous years. I put this one at 130, so I like the value in the under here.

*3 Star Over of the Day* I'm adding this pick as my final play of the day in college hoops because I find a lot of value in this over after the line has dropped a couple of points. Auburn is a team that cannot defend well, especially on the road. Six of the last seven meetings between these two have gone over the posted total. In fact two of the last four games between them have ended at 167 points. I think this one gets to the upper 140's. Play the over here.

*3 Star Big Play* I love playing the over with VCU this year. This is a team that pushes the tempo very well and forces their opponent to play their style. James Madison is poor defensively and I expect the Rams to take advantage of that. The over is 11-5 in JMU's last 16 and 36-16-1 in VCU's last 53 road games. Expect an uptempo game and a lot of fouling. Take the over.

*5 Star Top Play* Southern Miss is one of my favorite teams to play an "under" with. The team seems to have reinvented itself later in the year with their newfound slower tempo and it has worked very nicely. They are now forcing opponents to play their game. Rice is a team that is pretty neutral when it comes to tempo, and I really think Southern Miss. will be able to slow this one down. Take the under here in a big way.

*5 Star Top Play* I really like the under in this one. Alabama is a solid defensive team, especially at home. The under is 6-2 in Arkansas' last 8 games on the road. The under is 8-1-1 in Alabama's last 8 in the SEC and 15-5-1 in their last 21 overall. I think this should be a competitive game and I think the Crimson Tide will do their best to slow down the 3 point shooters of Arkansas. I made this one about 134 or 135 in my projections, so this one looks very appealing.

*5 Star Top Play* Take a close look at Northern Iowa's last several games and tell me you don't like the under in this one! The Panthers play great defense and control the tempo brilliantly against their Missouri Valley foes. The under is 10-1 in their last 11 and the one that went over did so by a tiny margin. These two teams met earlier this year and the total was 102. The shooting percentages weren't very good, but I don't think they'll get a lot better in this one. I think this one stays under 115, so take the value in the under.