*3 Star Big Play* North Texas is very efficient offensively at home and Lafayette struggles quite badly defensively, especially of late. The Mean Green should drive the ball to the basket and get a whole lot of trips to the line in this one. If Lafayette wants any chance to win this one, I figure they'll need to put up quite a few points. This one should see the mid 140's. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* These two teams got together just a few weeks ago and put up just 174, which I think has made this line as good of a value as it is on the over. Indiana is back to scoring in bunches of late. They have scored more than 100 points in 7 of their last 10 games. All three of the referees for tonight's game have called more games that have gone over the total than those that stayed under, so there should be plenty of trips to the line as well. I think something like 210 is very possible. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* The Commodores have adopted a new strategy, which is to run and beat teams with their athleticism. Their only bad slip up in the last several games was against Georgia last time. At home Vanderbilt is great offensively, and I simply don't think the Bulldogs will keep them away from the rim. Ogilvy will do damage down low and Taylor and Beal should do damage around the perimeter. Take the over in this one.

*3 Star Big Play* The Charlotte Bobcats have transformed into a much higher scoring team since Stephen Jackson came to the team. Even before Jackson came to the team the over was 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Utah can put up a lot of points at home and Deron Williams should be back and ready to play tonight. Two of the three officials in tonight's game are very high scoring officials, so that won't hurt a bit. I like the over here.

*3 Star Big Play* These teams put up 125 earlier this year, but they went to the line a combined 51 times and I just don't see that happening again. Air Force controls the tempo much better at home, where the under is 15-4-1 in their last 20 games. The pace in this one should be very slow and I think the shooting percentages will be below average as well. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* Northern Illinois is a team that I don't think the oddsmakers have a very good handle on right now. The team has to decided to run and gun in a big way of late and their totals haven't been adjusted enough yet. These teams met and scored 156 a month ago. I think Central Michigan should be able to score plenty on this terrible Huskies defense, but NIU will put up a lot on its home court as well. Take the over.

*5 Star Top Play* The Cornhuskers are a team that likes to slow the pace down to a crawl. Iowa State ran a lot earlier this year, but they seem to have slowed down quite a bit again of late. The two totaled just 109 earlier this year, but the shooting was poor. I expect a game in the mid 120's, which gives us a nice amount of room for the under. This should be a halfcourt game with not that many fouls. Take the under!

*3 Star Big Play* The Buffalo Bulls push the tempo well in almost every game they play. The over is 20-6 in their last 26 games overall. Akron tends to play to the tempo of their opponent. These teams finished at 143 earlier this year, despite their shooting percentages being less than stellar. A game in the mid 140's is pretty likely here. I'll take the over in this one!

*5 Star Top Play* Cincinnati and DePaul are both teams that prefer to play at a slower pace than most teams. Many teams in the Big East like to run and gun, which skews their averages some, but when they meet I expect a low scoring game. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 meetings and the under is 11-6 for Depaul and 12-8 for Cincinnati this year. This is a low number, but this is the type of game that could stay around 110 or 115. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* The under is 9-0 this year in Toledo's 9 home games. The under is 7-3 in Western Michigan's 10 games away from home. This line is likely boosted because of the high scoring in Toledo's game last Saturday. If you look at the astronomical shooting percentages in that I just don't see that continuing. These two played to a 73-41 final earlier this year and I just don't see this game getting above 120. I like the under here.

*3 Star Big Play* Both of these teams have changed the way they play of late, and both have slowed down in a big way. The under is 17-7 in Florida's last 24 and 12-4 in their last 16 home games. Bruce Pearl and the Vols don't quite have the same types of athletes they have had to create turnovers and run, so they are also playing much slower of late. The under is 6-1 in their last 7 games. A few weeks ago these two put up just 121. I think this one will stay in the lower 130's beacuse of the slower pace. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* The New York Knicks were absolutely pathetic last night, and now TMac has apparently injured his leg again. He is questionable tonight against a very good Celtics defense. The under is 8-2 in Boston's last 10 games and the under is 6-2 in New York's last 8 road games. The Knicks don't have enough firepower to put up many points against Boston as long as the Celtics show up and play their team defense. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* Someone has bet this one up in a big way, so I am going against the grain here, but I'm taking the under. I had this one pinned at about 114 points, and now there is a whole lot of value there. Earlier this year they didn't put up 100. I know they should put up more than that, but ODU should give Georgia State a whole lot of trouble with their great defense. Take the under here.

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Knicks just acquired Tracy McGrady and I really think this will make them even more of a free offense that runs and shoots quickly. TMac won't be gun shy and he should be able to put up quite a few points as long as he in shape. Just a couple of weeks ago these teams met and scored 221, and now the Knicks are on a huge 6-0 streak to the over. I like the over here.

*3 Star Big Play* This one is really a play on both teams recent pace changes. Elon has sped things up and scored a whole lot more of late and 4 of their last 5 games have gone over the posted total. Appalachian State is a team that loves to run and tends to get to the free throw line very often. Elon does a lot of fouling, so that should be a nice combination. Earlier this year the total was 154. This one might not get that high, but the upper 140's are likely here. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* The last time these two met the final was 97-82. The amount of free throws taken in that game was ridiculous so that won't occur again, but the teams combined to shoot 5-29 from 3 point range as well, which should improve today. I see this total as being too low for the two fastest paced teams in the MEAC. I like this one to go over.

*NBA Total of the Day* The Golden State Warriors tend to bring out the best in an opposing offense. The Atlanta Hawks have been very inconsistent offensively of late, but they have too many weapons to stay that way for too terribly long. The over is 8-1 in their last 9 meetings, and some of those totals have been extremely high. I really think the Hawks will be able to run and get a lot of easy buckets against the Warriors, and the Warriors will get plenty as well. Take the over here.

*3 Star Big Play* A game between Wisconsin and Northwestern is simply an under bettors dream unless the two teams get white hot from behind the three point line. Earlier this year they combined for 110 points, and while I think this meeting may see a few more points than that I don't think they'll get above the upper 110's. Expect a whole lot of half court offense and very few transition buckets. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* Fresno State has its star back in Paul George and since he has returned they have turned it up a notch offensively. UCSB may try to slow things down, but I don't think they can keep this one below 130 or so. This should be a close hard fought game. Take the over and expect 130 or more.

*3 Star Big Play* When the line gets this high on a Pacific game you have to take a good hard look at the under. Pacific has had quite a few games go over this year, but it has simply been because the line is set so low. I don't think they'll let the Aggies play to their tempo here, and at their home court they play very tough defense. I like the under here.

*5 Star Top Play* Kent State has been very good to me this year on "overs" and Western Carolina loves to run down in the Southern Conference. The Golden Flashes are the deeper team, but Western Carolina should be able to put up enough points to make this over a very solid play. I think 150 is likely here. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* The Golden Eagles have been great to me on the "under" of late. This team has clearly decided they are better suited to slow the game down and play great defense. Central Florida typically adjusts to the pace of their opponent, so they probably won't push it here. The under is 9-0 in Southern Miss' last 9 games overall and 5-1 in UCF's last 6.

*3 Star Big Play* Presbyterian is a team that is offensively challenged and is well-suited to slow the game down against almost everyone, especially a school from a much bigger conference. Jacksonville State isn't great, so they probably won't blow anyone away by too much. A game in the upper 120's is to be expected here.

*5 Star Top Play* Cansius is a team with a solid offense and a poor defense. James Madison plays in the more difficult conference, so I expect they'll be able to put up points against a team from the MAAC. I think the pace here will be a little above average and there will be numerous trips to the stripe. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* Central Michigan is one of the slowest teams pace-wise in the MAC. Tennessee State has scored a decent amount of points in recent games, but that is largely because their competition in the OVC likes to run and gun and play a very sloppy game. Central Michigan should be play tougher defense and slow this one down. I don't think the offensive firepower is there to put this one over this total. Take the under.

*5 Star Top Play* Toledo is just a miserable team this year and the under is now 16-2 in their 18 games this year. Cleveland State should handle them, and Toledo may struggle to get to 50 in this one. I think 110 or so would have been a more accurate line. I love this under!

*5 Star Top Play* No doubt California is now starting to distinguish themselves from the PAC 10 and it is largely because of their offensive ability. Oregon has no defensive strength at all, but they do have some 3 point shooters that can keep them in the game at Eugene. I think this one goes over 150.

*5 Star Top Play* This is a classic case of a team, Rhode Island, who can score at will, against a lowly team that can't defend. Fordham likes to run and gun, but they are terrible at it. Rhode Island is very good at it, and they could probably name their score in this one. Earlier this year they put up 152 total despite Rhode Island having a very cold shooting game. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* Rider and Hofstra both like to push the tempo against their respective conference foes, but many of their normal opponents fight it. In this game no one will be slowing down the flow of the game. Jenkins is a big scorer for Hofstra and should do some major damage. Rider has proven able to win and score points on the road. The over looks good here.

*3 Star Big Play* The Maryland Terrapins are a vastly improved team on the offensive end from a year ago. Greivis no longer has to do it by himself and the team is one of the higher scoring teams in the country. Georgia Tech will probably have to score quite a few points if they want to be in the contest here. I like this one to get into the mid 140's.

*3 Star Big Play* Both of these teams play the fastest pace in their respective conferences, so I expect when they get together they'll run and gun. Morgan State probably can't keep up with the Racers, but they'll give it their best. I think this one gets to the mid 150's. Take the over here in this early Bracketbuster game.

*3 Star Big Play* Iona and William & Mary will be playing on the first night of the BracketBusters Challenge. Both of these teams like to slow the game down, so I see no reason to think either will push it in this one. In fact, the under is 9-0 in William & Mary's last 9 games and the under is 9-3 in Iona's last 12 games. Open shots should be hard to come by and I think this one stays under.

*NBA Play of the Day* On Friday evening the Cavaliers will be playing their first game with Antawn Jamison as part of their team. Over the long run I expect Jamison will help them, but at first I think it could be difficult for him to get into the offensive flow with the team. 5 of the last 6 match ups with Charlotte have gone under the posted total. I think this will be a half court battle that goes down to the wire and stays under the total.

*3 Star Big Play* The trends are strongly in our favor with the under in this one. The under is 7-2 in Cleveland State's last 9 and 13-6 in Wisconsin Milwaukee's last 19. The first time this two got together this year the over hit, but that was due to amazing shooting. The Panthers hit 55% of their 3 pointers and 93% of their free throws. The recent trends suggest this one is much more likely to stay in the low 130's. I like the under.

*5 Star Top Play* I have to admit, I don't understand why this one is this high. Just a couple of weeks ago these teams finished at 137 in their first meeting and the shooting was fairly good. The under is 12-5 in MTSU's 17 lined games this season and the under is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings. I expected this one to be somewhere around 135, so I'll take the value in the under here.

*5 Star Top Play* The Waves and Pilots met a month ago and the total was 144, but Portland shot 53% for the game. Pepperdine has lost 7 games in a row and is having a very difficult time scoring of late. The under is 7-1 in Portland's last 8 road games. I think this one could stay in the lower 130's. Look for Pepperdine to struggle shooting and Portland to slow down from last meeting. Take the under here.

*3 Star Big Play* The under has been a great play for me this year in New Orleans' games. Last time these two played I picked the under and the final was 48-47. Granted I don't expect anything that low this time, but the trends are strongly in favor of the under here. The under is 10-2 in Monroe's last 12 and 6-1 in New Orleans' least 7 games overall. The winner of this game may have trouble getting above 60 or so. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* This one is more of a gut feel from me, based on watching Vanderbilt play recently. Ole Miss likes to push the tempo, but they haven't been shooting well of late. Vanderbilt has made a concerted effort to go much faster of late, and the results have been great for them. Vandy has won 8 of their last 10 and the over is 8-2 in their last 10 games. I think a game in the upper 150's is pretty likely here. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* The home/away splits look great for this under. The under is 15-7-1 in Colorado's last 23 home games and the under is 17-8-1 in Oklahoma's last 26 road games. Willie Warren has mono right now and is questionable on Wednesday night. He is an important part of the Sooners offense. Colorado seems to have made a decision to slow things down of late and 5 of their last 6 games have gone under the posted total.

*3 Star Big Play* The over is 4-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. BYU put up 91 points in their meeting earlier this year, but Colorado State scored just 47. Colorado State is much better at home and BYU will still put up quite a few points here. I think this one will have the tempo and the amount of fouls needed to get it to 145 or so. I like the over.

*3 Star Big Play* Southern Miss. is one of my favorite under plays going right now as they have definitely decided that slowing things down is their way to down win games, and it has been working out nicely for them. UAB is in no hurry at all either. The total in their game last month was just 113 and I expect somewhere around 115 or so in this one. The value is with the under.

*3 Star Big Play* Ohio and Kent State are both MAC teams that like to dictate the tempo against their opponent, but luckily both like to speed up the game. Ohio started the year without an identity, but now it has one in its ability to run and push the pace. The over is 6-2 in their last 8 games and the over is 8-3 in Kent State's last 11 home games. Earlier this year they scored just 122, but the teams shot 39% and 36% from the floor. Take the over here!

*5 Star Top Play* Earlier this year these two teams put up 122 points and the shooting wasn't all that bad. This time the line has been set higher than last time for some reason. Morehead State really clamps down the defense at home and Eastern Kentucky has struggled to score on the road this season. I put this one at about 127, so I see a lot of value on the under!

*3 Star Big Play* These two teams played less than a month ago and the total was just 114 despite the fact that both teams shot about 50%. Clearly the pace was very slow. I am very surprised the number was set this high here. The under is 10-4 in Green Bay's last 14 and 6-2 in Cleveland State's last 8 road games. Take the under.

*5 Star Top Play* These two teams played to a total of 112 earlier this season and now they are both missing their most talented players due to suspension. The under is 18-5 in Northern Iowa's last 23 games and I'm not sure Creighton has the firepower to push the tempo anymore. I think UNI keeps the pace to their liking and this one is a tough half court Missouri Valley battle. I think this stays under by 5 points or more.

*3 Star Big Play* Earlier this year both of these teams seemed to be running and gunning, but of late they have gone back to their slower and more typical pace. While the over hit easily earlier this year I think this will be a grind it out type of game where the winning team is at about 65 points. I like the under here.

*3 Star Big Play* The Kansas Jayhawks are known for their ability to score, but what really sets them apart from the rest of the pack is their ability to defend. They are ranked #1 in the entire country in field goal % defense, allowing opponents to shoot just 36.5%. Texas A&M is a solid team, but with no big scorers I think they'll struggle to put up a lot of points. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* Youngstown State has a glaring weakness on the defensive end. They are allowing 75 points per game on the road and the over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games. These two met earlier in the year and finished at 128, but the shooting percentages were pretty low and the free throw attempts were lower than normal. I like this one to get to 140.

*3 Star Big Play* Western Carolina pushes the tempo more than anyone else in the Southern Conference. Only one of their last 10 games has finished below 144. Last time these two teams met they put up 148 points total, despite shooting 43% from the floor each. Greensboro is terrible defensively and Western Carolina should exploit that. This one should be in the upper 140's.

*3 Star Big Play* The Toledo Rockets are absolutely terrible and the under is 15-2 in their 17 lined games this year. The under is 9-4 in Central Michigan's last 13 home games. Earlier this year they met and the total was 107. The shooting was pretty poor, but I think we'll see more of that in this game. I think this one will come in a little below 115. Take the under here.

*3 Star Big Play* Rutgers simply doesn't have that much firepower on offense, but they can play hard on the defensive end at home. The under is 11-3 in their last 14 home games. The first time these two teams met this year the total was 151, but Georgetown shot an astronomical 63% from the field. I think they'll come back to earth some and this one will stay under the total.

*5 Star Top Play* Both of these squads have sped up their pace quite a lot over the last few weeks. The over is 6-1 in Western Michigan's last 7 games overall as they seem to have decided to speed things up. Eastern Michigan is one of those teams that plays to the pace of their opponent. Earlier this year they scored just 108, which obviously is scary, but when you look at the shooting percentages they were downright awful. I don't think a 26% shooting percentage will happen again, and the recency of those two teams suggests a much higher game here. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* This is a classic battle between two teams who love to slow it down and play a half court game. No one will be running and gunning here, but rather just some great defense and teams who use up the shot clock. Earlier this year these two teams put up 116 despite shooting well from 3 point range. I look for a total in the low 110's here. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* The Aggies of Utah State are a great defensive team and they have proven that over the last few weeks. The under is 7-3 in their last 10 road games. San Jose State is typically a team that scores often, but I'm not sure they can do that against this Utah State team. I put this at about 135, so I see value on the under here.

*3 Star Big Play* Portland has undergone a change in their philosophy of late because of an injury to their star player, Nik Raivio. The Pilots are now a much more defensively oriented team and they are slowing the pace down. St. Mary's started the season as an over machine, but the under is now 4-0 in their last 4 games. Last time they played the total was 149 and the shooting was pretty good. I'm going to bank on the fact that an injury depleted Pilots team will slow it down and the shooting will back off a little here.

*3 Star Big Play* Denver simply cannot score on the road, as evidenced by their 5-1 record to the under in their last 6 road games. North Texas is 10-7 to the under in their 17 games this year and they seem to have slowed down a bit from previous years. I put this one at 130, so I like the value in the under here.

*3 Star Over of the Day* I'm adding this pick as my final play of the day in college hoops because I find a lot of value in this over after the line has dropped a couple of points. Auburn is a team that cannot defend well, especially on the road. Six of the last seven meetings between these two have gone over the posted total. In fact two of the last four games between them have ended at 167 points. I think this one gets to the upper 140's. Play the over here.

*3 Star Big Play* I love playing the over with VCU this year. This is a team that pushes the tempo very well and forces their opponent to play their style. James Madison is poor defensively and I expect the Rams to take advantage of that. The over is 11-5 in JMU's last 16 and 36-16-1 in VCU's last 53 road games. Expect an uptempo game and a lot of fouling. Take the over.

*5 Star Top Play* Southern Miss is one of my favorite teams to play an "under" with. The team seems to have reinvented itself later in the year with their newfound slower tempo and it has worked very nicely. They are now forcing opponents to play their game. Rice is a team that is pretty neutral when it comes to tempo, and I really think Southern Miss. will be able to slow this one down. Take the under here in a big way.

*5 Star Top Play* I really like the under in this one. Alabama is a solid defensive team, especially at home. The under is 6-2 in Arkansas' last 8 games on the road. The under is 8-1-1 in Alabama's last 8 in the SEC and 15-5-1 in their last 21 overall. I think this should be a competitive game and I think the Crimson Tide will do their best to slow down the 3 point shooters of Arkansas. I made this one about 134 or 135 in my projections, so this one looks very appealing.

*5 Star Top Play* Take a close look at Northern Iowa's last several games and tell me you don't like the under in this one! The Panthers play great defense and control the tempo brilliantly against their Missouri Valley foes. The under is 10-1 in their last 11 and the one that went over did so by a tiny margin. These two teams met earlier this year and the total was 102. The shooting percentages weren't very good, but I don't think they'll get a lot better in this one. I think this one stays under 115, so take the value in the under.

*3 Star Big Play* The Sooners and Cowboys renew their rivalry Saturday and last time they played the total was 119 in overtime. Granted the shooting was atrocious, but I was still surprised to see the total be this much higher. I was expecting a high 130's release. The under is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings and 9-3 in Oklahoma State's last 12 home games. Both teams have much less offensive firepower than in previous years.

*3 Star Big Play* Montana and Portland State combined for 148 points earlier this year, but Montana shot 58% from the floor in that game. Typically the Grizzlies slow other teams down and they would be best suited to do that in this game as well. The trends point toward the over, but I projected this one at about 140, so I've got to play the under here.

*3 Star Big Play* This is a hotly contested rivalry game in the MAAC conference. Siena is the top dog, but Niagara will be doing their best to get a big win at home. Both teams have had a lot of injury trouble this year, but both are healthy now. Look for the tempo to be quick and both teams to get to the line often. I think the low 150's are a good possibility here, so take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* The Ivy League is a tough conference to get a handle on, but Harvard definitely likes to push the ball more than most in the Ivy League. The Yale Bulldogs are a team that can score pretty well most of the time and I am counting on a decent output from them. The pace of this game should be much faster than your average game in the Ivy League. I'll take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* Stanford has been great at home and awful on the road this year. The team averages 5 more points per game at home. The over is 13-6 in Washington State's last 19 as they have fooled the bookies by the faster paced tempo this season. Last time they met last month they scored 150 despite Stanford shooting 35%. Stanford will do better this time and I think they get to 150 again. Take the over.

*5 Star Top Play* The tempo in this one should be extremely quick. Earlier this year they met and the total was 153 despite Cal playing dreadful offense. Cal will be at home this time where they score 3.5 points per game more and Washington gives up about 81 points per game on the road. The over is 15-6 in Washington's last 21 road games and 12-5-1 in Cal's last 18 home games. Take the over here.

*5 Star Top Play* The Utah State Aggies looked a little down at the beginning of the year, but once again this year they have turned into the class of the WAC at this point in the season. They do it with great defense and efficient offense. The under is 11-7 in their games this year. Boise State is generally thought of as a high scoring team, but this year that isn't the case. The under is 12-5 in their last 17 games. I think Utah State's defense keeps this one low scoring.

*3 Star Big Play* These two teams don't care for each other one bit and this should be a heated game. Earlier this year they scored 155 in their meeting and both teams should under 43% from the floor. The over is 10-2-1 in the last 13 meetings between these two rivals. I think this one has a good chance to get to 150. Take the over here.

*3 Star Big Play* SE Missouri State is a very bad team, but they do play better at home. The first time these two played the total was 142, but both teams shot at least 50% from 3 point range and hit 11 and 13 from behind the arc respectively. I'm doubting that the prolific shooting will occur again and since the line is just about where they ended before I'll take the under this time!

*5 Star Top Play* Both Denver and MTSU are teams that play a half court style of game and paly great defense. Last year they scored 114 in their only match up. Denver has sped up slightly, but MTSU is slower this year. The under is 21-7 in MTSU's last 28 home games and 4-1 Denver's last 5 road games. I think this one will probably stay under 120. Take the under here.

*3 Star Big Play* A game between these two teams should be a very free flowing game where shots are taken as quickly as possible. I thought the line would be 165 or 166 here. Both teams shoot the ball well and neither team is particularly good defensively. Look for Hazell to have a big game for Seton Hall and Harangoady to crush the Pirates down low. Take the over.

*5 Star Top Play* Tulsa is a very solid team and Southern Miss is much improved of late. Southern Miss. is on an impressive 10-1 streak to the under, while the under is also 5-1 in Tulsa's last 6 games. Amazingly, Southern Miss. hasn't had a game go above 121 in their last six games. The pace should be slow in this one. I'll take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* LSU has been an under machine this year at 13 games under and 5 over the posted total. Arkansas has improved quite a bit of late, but they aren't running and running quite as much as they did earlier in the year. The under is 5-2 in the Razorbacks last 7 games. This looks like a half court game that will stay low scoring unless the teams are on fire from the perimeter. I like the under.

*5 Star Top Play* Buffalo is a team that is running and gunning like crazy lately, and Eastern Michigan tends to adapt to the other teams tempo. Buffalo has a solid offense and poor defense, which should keep Eastern Michigan in the game. The over is 19-7 in the Bulls last 26 games and 55-27 in their last 82 MAC games. Clearly the odds makers haven't caught up with this team yet. The play is on the over here.

*3 Star Big Play* Samford may play slower than any other team in the country this year. They do a great job of forcing your to play their tempo, whether you want to do so or not. Chattanooga is a very streaky team that can go ice cold from the field or light it up. In this one I like Samford to slow them down and keep this game in the upper 50's.

*5 Star Top Play* This is a very low number, but I honestly thought this one would be around 110. Miami is a classic slow the game down type of team, and the under is 13-4 in their last 17. Toledo is an absolutely terrible team and the under is 14-2 in their last 16 games. Last year when they met the total was 93, and a number below 100 again wouldn't exactly shock me. Take the under here.

*3 Star Big Play of the Day* The Ohio Bobcats have started pushing the tempo a whole lot more this year, especially at home. If you look at both teams, their splits are much higher in this particular spot. Ohio pushes the tempo at home and Western Michigan scores more on the road and gives up a lot more on the road than they do at home. This has the makings of a game that could go up and down. Take the over in this one!

*3 Star Big Play* Valpo is a team that has decided to run and gun this year, much more than in year's past. UIC isn't a team that can score effectively too often, but they sure can give up points and second chance opportunities. Valparaiso will push the tempo here and UIC should be able to put up enough for this one to clear 140. I like the over here.

*3 Star Big Play* The Manhattan Jaspers have been a very nice team for unders at home of late, with the under going 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The under is also 5-2 in Loyola's last 7 road games. The under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 meetings as well. A half court game with below average shooting is to be expected here. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* While Syracuse likes to run when it has the opportunity, they have actually been a solid under team of late because of their solid zone defense. The under is 6-1 in their last 7 games and I really doubt the Bearcats will push the tempo here. Cincinnati isn't a great outside shooting team, which could mean they will struggle against the zone. Take the under.

*5 Star Top Play* This may be the one game that looks the most "off" as far as the line. Utah State's defensive intensity is being overlooked here. Last time the total was just 151 despite an overtime and both teams shooting 50% from 3 point range. This one looks quite a bit too high. Take the under in a big way here.

*3 Star Big Play* Ohio has established itself as the team that plays the fastest tempo in the MAC. Eastern Michigan is a much better team offensively at home, so I expect them to put up quite a few points themselves. I thought this one should be around 141 or 142, so I see some value in the over here.

*5 Star Top Play* If you are a subscriber you've probably noticed, I absolutely love Air Force unders. The Falcons are a terrible team, but they do their best to stay in the game by slowing it way down. TCU won't battle to make them run, rather they'll just play the slow game well. Earlier this year they met and scored 109 total and the shooting wasn't that bad. I expect 115 or so in this one. Take the under big!

*5 Star Top Play* The Aggies of Texas A&M are having a solid season despite having some injury trouble. Baylor is having a terrific year as well, and Baylor has transformed themselves into a team that plays solid defense and doesn't just run and gun anymore. A total around 135 seemed about right to me, so I see 6 points of value in this under.

*3 Star Big Play* Loyola Chicago is a team that generally adapts well to the team it plays against and their tempo. Cleveland State is a defensive oriented team that plays a half court style game. Their game earlier this year finished at 119 points and the shooting was not that bad, so a total as high as 132 definitely seems too high. Take the under here.

*5 Star Top Play* This is a match up between two teams who have completely changed the way they play from last year to this. Both teams run and gun this year when both were a defensive oriented team last year. The over is 6-2 in K State's last 8 road games and Iowa State can put up the points at home. Expect a game that goes into the mid 150's, which makes this a top play.

*5 Star Top Play* Toledo is an absolutely terrible team that cannot play defense well at all. Buffalo is very weak defensively as well, but the Bulls like to run and they can score. Toledo plays a little better at home so they should keep it reasonable at least and I think this one could be in the upper 130's instead of down around 130. Take the over in this one!

*3 Star Big Play* The Western Michigan Broncos have amped their offense up quite a bit, thanks largely to David Kool. Bowling Green is a little unpredictable, but I think they'll have to score to keep this one close. Since there isn't a large talent differential here and Western Michigan is the home team I think they'll control the tempo. Take the over here.

*3 Star Big Play* Kent State has shown that it can really score the basketball of late. Central Michigan scores 9 points per game more at home than their overall average, so they should be able to put up some points here as well. The over is 16-6 in Kent State's last 22 games and the over is 4-1 in Central Michigan's last 5 home games. I like this one to go over nicely.

*3 Star Big Play* This Fordham team is interesting because they are one of worst teams in all of college basketball, but they continue to run and try to push the pace. Opponents have a field day playing against this "defense." Charlotte should put up a lot of points if they are ready to play, and I think this one ends around 150. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* Both of these teams are a bit tough to get a read on, but the history between these two teams shows the under to be a solid play. The under is 5-2 in their last 7 and Jacksonville State has a lot more trouble generating offense when they are playing on the road. The under looks like the play to me.

*3 Star Big Play* Portland State has been an absolutely terrific team to bet if you like overs. The over is 43-17-1 in their last 61 games overall and 38-12-1 in their last 51 games in the Big Sky Conference. Clearly the theme for the Vikings is to run, run, and run. Sacramento State is a team that typically scores more and gives up less at home, which should make this a pretty close game. I think a score around 155 is fairly likely, so take the over in this one!

The Sixers have been on a huge under streak of late and Chris Paul is out for the Hornets now. Marc Davis is the lead official today, and quite simply there is no better official for an under than Marc Davis. Last time these two played it went safely under the posted total and today there are less healthy bodies, so I think a low scoring game is in store.

*Ivy League Play of the Day* This is my play of the day because quite simply this game will be extremely ugly. Both of these teams have serious trouble scoring and this has the potential to be a game where 55 points wins the game. Neither team is really able to push the pace, so barring an amazing shooting effort this should be a great under.

*3 Star Big Play* St Mary's loves to run and they have plenty of shooters who can bury the three ball. Santa Clara tends to run, but they also have a very weak defense. The Gaels will probably run away with this one, but don't be shocked if they score 85 or so themselves. I like this one to get up to around 152, which is where they finished last time they played.

The Dons have played much better basketball of late, but San Diego will definitely do their best to control the tempo in this one. Expect San Diego to slow this game in a big way. Since their last meeting the Toreros have had all 5 of their games go under, and most of them by a large margin. I think they realized they need to slow it down.

*3 Star Big Play* Riverside has been an under machine this year with the under winning 12 of their 16 lined games. The last time these two played they finished at just 114, but the total is 19 points higher this time. Yes the shooting was very bad that day, but this time it will be played at Riverside, where they will control the tempo even more. Look for a game a little below 130. I like the under.

*3 Star Big Play* These two met about a month ago and scored 138 points. This time the line is set 10 points lower. Youngstown State struggles badly on the defensive end and they average giving up 74 points per game on the road. This one will be sloppy, but it should be high enough to go over 128. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* Kent State has started to rev up their offense and their tempo quite a bit of late, and I have definitely noticed. Kent State overs have been very kind to me. The over is 15-6 in Kent's last 21 games and Eastern Michigan scores quite a bit more at home than they do on the road. I think this one gets near 140.