10*Arkansas State +2.5

This will be the first road game for South Alabama in 12 days. This is also a big revenge game for the Red Wolves as they committed 18 turnovers in a loss earlier this month. In that game, South Alabama shot 35 free throws (making 25) compared to just 13 attempts for Arkansas State. The Red Wolves should be super focused at home in a big revenge spot. The Red Wolves are 6-2 SU against winning teams this season and 13-5 ATS overall. They are undervalued in this spot. The Jaguars are 7-26 SU on the road over the past three seasons. The home team is 6-1 ATS past seven meetings. I'll take the home underdog!

4*Temple +2.5

4*Georgetown +4.5

4*LSU -2.5

4*Boston College +3.5

5*Santa Clara -5

Santa Clara returns home off a 31-point loss. This team is highly motivated to get back on track.

5*Virginia -5.5

I picked this team to win it all before the tourney started. Virginia yields only 55.4 points per game and holds opponents to 28.7 percent shooting from 3-point range. Auburn loves to run a lot but the Cavaliers have excelled against high-tempo teams. I have seen this before when #1 seeds barley escape in the Elite 8, and than go on to blowout their next foe in the Final 4. I think Virginia will play its best game against an Auburn team that will miss Chuma Okeke quite a bit. The Cavs are 25-11 ATS this season which represents beating "Las Vegas" expectations close to 70% of the time. Public is in love with the underdog. Not me. Lay the wood up to -7!

4*Lipscomb +2

5*Virginia -4

5*Tennessee -1

I have the Vols rated much higher than Purdue. I think Tennessee will wake up against a Purdue team who rode Carsen Edwards career-best 42 points and nine 3-pointers in ousting the defending national champs. Very emotional game. Tennessee is ranked 5th at protecting the rim with 5.4 blocks per game. They almost blew a 25-point lead against Iowa. I think they will be super focused in this one. Take the Vols!

5*Liberty +9

5*Buffalo U +4

4*Villanova +4

I'm taking the points with the much defense. Look for a more complete effort after barley winning against St. Mary's. The Wildcats are the defending the Champs and will be playing with a "chip" on its shoulders after being listed as the underdog. Take Villanova plus the points!

5*Murray State +5

The Racers have Ja Morant and FSU does not. He will be the second player picked in the next NBA draft. Take Murray State in this upset maker.

5*Wofford +5.5

Both teams shot the lights out in their opening round games. Kentucky is coming off a 35-point blowout win over Abilene Christian. This Wofford defense can force the Wildcats into some turnovers. Kentucky is ranked 144th in ball security while Wofford is ranked 24th. The Wildcats are allowing opponents to shoot 38.6% from the 3-point land in all neutral sites games. That's one of the worst marks of all the Top 2 seeds. The Terriers are ranked #2 in 3-point percentage in all of College basketball. I'll take the underdog in this spot!

5*Oregon +2

Oregon enters this game having won 8 games in a row. That's a key number. Underdogs in the first round having won 8 or more games in a row has been gold for quite some time. Murray State cashed in this role. I will take the Ducks in this one as they sport the better coach in my opinion. Oregon also has the advantage at point guard and this team is quite long on defense. I like Oregon to win outright.

5*Cal Irvine +5

The Anteaters will be playing in the Big Dance for the first time since 2014. They should pumped-up for sure. I love playing on underdogs in the first round if they have won 8 or more straight. This has been gold over the past decade. Murray State cashed for us yesterday in that same role. I actually think UC Irvine will give Kansas State all they can handle. The advanced metrics indicate that UC Irvine might win outright. Take the points!

5*Nevada -2

The Wolfpack are experienced, talented, athletic, versatile. On defense, they are long and athletic and can switch on any pick and roll. Nevada started 24-1, but went 5-3 to close the season, including two losses to San Diego State. It was the second straight season that the Aztecs sent the Wolfpack packing in the Mountain West Tourney semifinals. This team is well-coached under Eric Musselman. They have been tremendous after a loss the past two seasons. Last year, Nevada defeated Texas & Cincinnati before losing in the Sweet 16. Florida played a tough SEC schedule and went 9-9 in Conference play. Nevada went 15-3 against Conference foes. The advanced metrics suggests Nevada should be the favorites. Swallow the two points and take the Wolfpack.

5*Murray State +4

This Murray State team is for real. Ja Morant is a future NBA lottery selection. I love playing on underdogs in the first game of the tournament who have won 8 or more games in a row. This has been gold over the past decade. Take the Racers plus the generous 4 points. 

4*New Mexico State +6

Auburn relies on 3-point shooting, and will have to play at high-altitude for the first time all season after playing a late game on Sunday. They have also played one extra game this season. Tough. The Aggies are use to playing at altitude and they played at Colorado this season. Ignore the stats. This is a perfect situational play on the underdog.

4*St. Johns +2.5

5*St. Bonaventure -1

10*Davidson -2.5

This one seems quite simple to me. Davidson is better in all the key stats I look for, and have them rated 5 points better than St Louis right now. Lay the lumber!

4*Richmond +5.5

5*St. Johns -4.5

St. Johns has lost three in a row, including a loss at Depaul. I believe the Red Storm will get back on track playing at Madison Square Garden. St. Johns is 11-4 at home while Depaul is 3-8 on the road. Take St. Johns!

5*Temple -1

Central Florida is coming off its biggest win of the season defeating the Bearcats 58-55. Temple should be pumped-up for its last home game of the season. Temple wins this one!

4*Rice Owls -1.5

3*Texas +1

4*Penn State +2

4*Drake -4

5*St. John's +4.5

Taking the Red Storm here at home to give the Wildcats all they can handle. The Wildcats shot 42.5% from 3-point land in their last game. I don't see that high of a shooting percentage in this contest. Both teams recently played at Marquette. The Red Storm won by 1 point while the Wildcats lost by 1 point. St. John's lost by 5 points in the first meeting at Villanova and now they are getting 4.5 at home. Seems high to me. Take the hungry host!

4*Fresno State -1.5

4* Kansas State +3.5

4*Fresno State -1.5

4*Georgetown +5.5

4*Tulsa +4.5

4*Pennsylvania -5.5

5*Drake -4

The Bulldogs have an extra day of rest and will bring in the better offense and defense. Drake is 9-1 SU and 7-1-1 ATS at home this season. Illinois State is 1-6 SU and 5-5 ATS on the road this season. I think Drake is the more talented team and peeking at the right time. The Bulldogs are 7-1 ATS vs. winning teams this season and 28-14 ATS in that same role over the past three years. Take the Bulldogs in this one!

3*Texas State +2.5

3*Kent State +8.5

3*Baylor +3

4*Boston College +6.5

5*Vanderbilt -3.5

The Commodores are coming off a season-low 47 points scored @ Kentucky on 1/12/19. They should be super focused at home after losing three straight. South Carolina has scored 172 points in their past two games combined and now must play a road game. Tough. SC will be playing its 4th road game this season were they are 1-2 SU. Take the hungry host!

4*Richmond +2

4*Northern Illinois +4

3*Mercer -1.5

4*Pennsylvania +6

4*Villanova -5

4*Duke -3

4*Kansas State +5.5

4*Marshall +12.5

4*Purdue -3.5

5*College Charleston +9.5

I think Auburn is a tad overrated and they haven't traveled past the state of Texas this season. The College of Charleston has two terrific guards and the entire team is well-coached. I think this line is heading lower so get down ASAP. Take the underdog!

4*NC State +2.5

5*Rhode Island -2

Oklahoma hasn't played in eight days. Tough. I think this Rhode Island team is flying under the radar. They matchup quite well against the Sooners. Not sold on Oklahoma as they are just 13-13 SU and 8-18 ATS vs teams with a winning record. This line opened at Pick and still love it at the current number. Take the Rams!

4*Eastern Washington +5

4*Baylor +6

4*Vanderbilt +2.5

3* Iowa +1.5

4*Georgia Southern -1

4*Marshall +3

4*Illinois State +1.5

4*Houston U +2.5

4*OK State -2

5*TCU -3

TCU is very good at home and I believe they matchup quite well against the Red Raiders. Unranked home favorites against ranked teams cash at a very high rate this time of year. Take the Horned Frogs!

3*Old Dominion -2.5

4*Clemson +2

5*Wisconsin -2.5

Nebraska scored 98 points on 30-for-52 shooting against Iowa on Sunday. They now must play a road game against Wisconsin, who have this game circled. On 1/9/18, the Cornhuskers defeated the Badgers 63-59 because of a huge discrepancy in free throw attempts. The host should get more calls than Wisky after receiving just 10 tries in that 4-point loss. Nebraska is 0-5 ATS after scoring 90+ points of late. Take the hungry host!

4*Miami Ohio -1

3*St. Joe's PK

4*Georgetown +6.5

5*Gonzaga Bulldogs +1.5

Team is on a mission. The Bulldogs should be the small favorite. Take the points before they disappear.

5*Oregon Ducks +5

If you look at the average power rating of opponents played it's not that far apart. Average power rating of opponents played: OREGON 79.9 vs.  N CAROLINA 81.2. The Ducks know how to play without the injured Chris Boucher and matchup quite well against the Tar Heels. I thought this line would be closer to NC -3 and the hook. Take the Ducks in this upset maker.

4*Kentucky +2.5

The Wildcats are on a huge winning run and a wise man once said you don't bet against these teams. Kentucky is 4-0 SU and ATS under coach John Calipari as an underdog in the NCAA tournament. Take the Wildcats!

5*Oregon Ducks +1.5

Wow! I thought this game would be closer to a pick em. I will gladly take the generous 1.5 points in this upset maker.

4*Rhode Island +5.5

4*Wichita State +5

5*Purdue +1

I like this Purdue team which should enjoy a healthy rebounding edge, and they are much more consistent at the FT stripe which is key in these type of games. Take the Boilermakers to advance to the sweet 16!

5*New Mexico State +12.5

The Aggies are a real College Basketball team that can score and rebound with the best of them. Baylor has been inconsistent at times throughout the season. I have the Bears favored by 10 points so lets take the generous 12.5 points in this matchup.

4*Bucknell +14

5*Princeton +7

I try to keep it simple when handicapping the tournament. I really like teams getting points that tend to play lower scoring games by being methodical. The Tigers certainly do that and should feel right at home playing in Buffalo. Princeton last appeared in the Big Dance back in 2010, losing to Kentucky by just two points as 12-point underdogs. I have Notre Dame as 5.5-point chalk so I will trust my numbers in this game and go with the underdog. Upset Alert!

4*Ohio U -2.5

4*TCU  PK

4*Iowa State -2.5

4*Virginia Tech +1.5

5*TCU Horned Frogs +5

TCU hasn't shot the ball particularly well of late and should get a nice boost at home against a ranked team. The Horned Frogs are 5-2 revenging a road loss this season while WV is only 2-7 ATS on Saturday this year. TCU is hell bent on defeating a highly-ranked team. The Mountaineers have a much bigger game on deck against Baylor. TCU is 13-4 SU at home and 35-19 SU in all home games over the past three seasons. Take the hungry host!

4*Syracuse +4

4*Houston U +2

4*Vanderbilt -3.5

5*USC +3.5

The Trojans shot just 31% while committing a season-high 17 turnovers in losing to Oregon on December 30th by 23 points. Now in the rematch, the line is "only" 3.5 points mostly because the Ducks have won 10 straight in the series, while covering six of those tilts. The public will be all over Oregon. It's a trap line in my opinion. USC is playing its best basketball of the season and should be super focused in this spot. Take the hungry host! 

4*Illinois Chicago -4.5

4*Rutgers +6.5

3*Villanova +3

I believe the Wildcats' run to the championship game has been more impressive as Miami, Kansas and Oklahoma were all power rated among the top 15 nationally and seeded No. 3 or higher. The Tar Heels had an easier go of it by drawing no opponent better than a No. 5 seed. North Carolina hasn't faced a top-level defense in this tourney. Indiana, Notre Dame and Syracuse do not boast elite-level stop units like Villanova. North Carolina has a lot of size up front. This should be a close game that goes down to the wire. Small play on the underdog!

5*Villanova -2

The public will look at their previous encounter when Oklahoma crushed Villanova 78-55 and say this one is easy. Not so fast. That game was back in December. The difference in the first meeting was 3-point shooting. OU was 14-of-26 (53.8%) while Villanova went 4-of-32 (12.5%). This game is being played at NRG stadium in Houston. I expect the Sooners to struggle a bit behind the arc in a very tough venue for long distance shooting. I believe stadium style venues are difficult for teams that rely heavily on outside shooting, basically from one player (Buddy Hield). The Wildcats look like a better team to me especially on defense. Take the Wildcats!

5*Maryland +6.5

The talent gap between these two teams is closer than you think. I will take the Terrapins in what should be a closely contested affair. Maryland has a decent shot to win this game outright, so lets take the generous 6.5 points. 

4*St Josephs +6.5

5*Miami +2

10*Northern Iowa +4.5

Northern Iowa has won 11 out of their past 12 games and got a taste of the Big Dance last season. They defeated Wyoming 71-54 as 6.5-point favorites before losing to Louisville in the 2nd round. Northern Iowa has one of the best defenses (62.9) in this tourney. They are much better at the free throw stripe as the Longhorns are one of the worst teams in free throw percentage. Texas is extremely overrated and should not be favored by this much. I would not be shocked with an outright upset.

4*Yale +5.5

5*Iona +8

Both teams like to push the pace and take quick shots. The Gaels have won 8 in a row and are led by future NBA talent A.J. English. Iowa State is a good team, but I will take the generous 8 points in what should be a closer contest than what most people believe in the high-altitude of Denver.