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Jeff Hochman ALL Sports Sides Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
01-03-16 Raiders +7 v. Chiefs Top 17-23 Win 100 89 h 15 m Show

10*Oakland Raiders +7

This will be Oakland's Super Bowl. The Raiders lost by 14 points despite outgaining the Chiefs 361-232 in the first meeting back in early December. In fact, the Raiders blew a 14-point 4th quarter lead and should be focused at finishing the season at .500, after Vegas pegged their win total at 5.5 wins for the season. The Chiefs can only win the division if the Broncos lose at home as 10-point chalk against the Chargers. Kansas City is primed for a let down after winning nine straight to reach the playoffs. They are leaking oil, having been outgained by 89 and 110 yards respectively the last two weeks. Oakland has a sneaky good defense, allowing 5.6 yards per play while the Chiefs are allowing 5.4 yards per play. NFL division games tend to be closer in the second same-season meeting. The Raiders are 29-14 ATS as road favorites of 3.5 to 7 points, while the Chiefs are 6-12 ATS in January games since 1993. I would expect a very close game so lets take the road dog in this spot! 

01-02-16 Penn State +6.5 v. Georgia 17-24 Loss -103 12 h 23 m Show

4*Penn State +6.5

01-01-16 Tennessee v. Northwestern +9 45-6 Loss -115 20 h 40 m Show

4*Northwestern +9

12-31-15 Michigan State +10 v. Alabama 0-38 Loss -109 580 h 48 m Show

5*Michigan State +10

The Spartans have a QB that will be playing on Sunday's while Alabama is pretty much one-dimensional. I have this line closer to 8 so I'm taking the points with Michigan State. The SEC conference was sub-par while the Big 10 is arguably the best this season. The eye test tells me this will be a closer game than what the line indicates.

12-30-15 NC State v. Mississippi State -5 28-51 Win 100 134 h 8 m Show

5*Mississippi State -5

The Bulldogs are led by a bunch of seniors, including QB Dak Prescott who is looking to make up for the way last season ended. He will also be playing in the Senior Bowl. Mississippi State is ranked 26 spots higher in the Las Vegas College Bowl Rankings. NC State went 0-5 SU and 0-5 ATS vs. other Bowl teams, getting outgained in all five games. The Bulldogs went 4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS, and won the stats in five of their eight games against other bowl teams.

12-29-15 Air Force +7.5 v. California 36-55 Loss -125 135 h 14 m Show

5*Air Force +7.5

The Falcons have all the motivation in this one and bring a potent rushing attack (322 YPG), going against one of the poorest rushing defenses of all the Bowl teams, allowing over 200 yards per game. The Bears are ranked No .102 against-the-run nationally and have the fifth-worse rushing defense of all the bowl teams. California is also ranked No. 124 in red zone defense. Air Force has a sneaky good defense allowing 5.5 yards per play, while California is allowing 6.1 yards per play. The Bears are 4-18 SU and 7-15 ATS against winning teams over the last three seasons. Take the underdog in this overlay!  

12-27-15 Giants +5.5 v. Vikings 17-49 Loss -110 100 h 41 m Show

4*New York Giants +5.5

12-27-15 Panthers v. Falcons +7.5 Top 13-20 Win 100 91 h 43 m Show

10*Atlanta Falcons +7.5

The Panthers' defense is leaking, allowing 38 and 35 points in their last two road games. Carolina is coming off a very physical game against the Giants last week and will be facing a team who has a lot to play for. The Falcons are still in the hunt for a playoff spot and they remember these same Panthers embarrassed them 38-0 just two weeks ago. Carolina held the Falcons to 250 total yards. This is the Falcons' Super Bowl and I would expect a top-notch effort. Look for the home team improve to 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.

12-26-15 Nebraska +7 v. UCLA 37-29 Win 100 212 h 15 m Show

Foster Farms Bowl

5*Nebraska +7

The Cornhuskers clearly have the talent to play with nation's elite, as evident by a win over Michigan State, a 4th-quarter game against Iowa, and a bunch of close losses this season. The Foster Farms Bowl figures to a big deal for head coach Mike Riley and the Cornhuskers, who can end the year on a high note with a win in the state of California, where Riley would to grab some top recruits from. UCLA lost a must-win game that would have clinched the Pac-12 South for the second straight season, and now must make a short trip North to play in a lesser Bowl game. The Bruins have suffered a plethora of injuries that should make them vulnerable in this spot. Love the fact that Nebraska has outgained six straight foes. Last season, Nebraska lost 45-42 as 7-point underdogs against USC in the Holiday Bowl at Qualcomm stadium. This line should be closer to four. Take Nebraska!

12-26-15 Indiana v. Duke +2 41-44 Win 100 184 h 7 m Show

Pinstripe Bowl

5*Duke +2

Duke hasn't won a Bowl game since the 1961 Cotton Bowl and will be motivated to end that streak. The Blue Devils went 1-4 SU  & 1-4 ATS down the stretch, after starting the season with six wins in seven games. Duke's defense is much better, allowing 5.2 yards per play compared to 6.4 for the Hoosiers. Indiana is allowing 37 points per game and have allowed season-high yards in five of the last six games. Duke head coach Cutcliffe is 7-2 ATS in bowl games, including 5-1 ATS as an underdog. Duke wins outright! 

12-26-15 Southern Miss +9 v. Washington 31-44 Loss -115 157 h 53 m Show

5*Southern Miss +9

Washington played a tougher schedule, but I believe these two teams style of play will keep this game close. Southern Miss has a passing attack than can score on any defense. Two very strong systems that support the underdog in this one. Bowl dogs of 7 or more points who lost their conference title game are 7-1 ATS. Nine win Bowl dogs of 8 or more points are 14-5 ATS when facing a team that doesn't have a winning record.

12-24-15 Cincinnati v. San Diego State +1.5 Top 7-42 Win 100 194 h 25 m Show

10*San Diego State +1.5

The Aztecs have already played in Hawaii earlier this season and did quite well with its 5th-best defense in the nation. San Diego State started slow with a 1-3 SU record, but turned it on winning 9-straight while going 7-1-1 ATS. They have outgained their opponent in nine straight games, thanks in part to a lethal running game and ball-hawking defense. The Bearcats will have to make the very long flight to Hawaii, knowing their defense is one of the worst out of all the Bowl teams. Cincinnati is allowing 5.0 yards per carry which ties in with their 86th-ranked defense. Donnel Pumphrey has rushed for 1,554 yards and 16 touchdowns and should have a huge game. He's averaging 5.5 yards per rush and 14.7 yards per reception. Defense travels well and the Aztecs have the better stop unit by far. They are really focused on capping its 10-win season with a Bowl victory, considering they lost their Bowl game by 1 point last season. The Bearcats are minus -16 in turnover differential, while the Aztecs are plus +19. Wow! The Las Vegas Bowl power rankings have San Diego State ranked 21 spots higher than Cincinnati. The Bearcats went 3-5 SU against Bowl teams, while the Aztecs went 5-2 SU against bowlers this season. SD State by 6!

12-21-15 Western Kentucky v. South Florida +2.5 45-35 Loss -105 38 h 45 m Show

5*South Florida +2.5

The Bulls are for real and will be playing essentially a home game. South Florida defeated Bowl-bound Temple and Cincinnati as underdogs to cement their legitimacy. They also own a defense that allowed 5.0 Yards per play this season. The Bulls went 5-1 ATS against other Bowl teams while allowing 26 points per game. Western Kentucky allowed 35 points per game against other Bowl teams while also allowing 6.4 yards per play. The Bulls have played Western Kentucky five times since 1999 and they have won all five times. The Bulls have not appeared in a Bowl game since 2010, and I would expect Willie Taggart and company to be pumped-up to the max. The head man is 16-3 ATS as an underdog off a victory. South Florida is 12-3 SU against Conference USA foes since 1993 and the Bulls went 5-1 SU in the state of Florida this season.

12-20-15 Dolphins v. Chargers -1.5 Top 14-30 Win 100 40 h 18 m Show

10*San Diego Chargers -1.5

The Chargers have scored six points combined in their last two games so nobody will want to back them here except some "sharps". This game will be like the Chargers' Super Bowl, considering they are a potential candidate to relocate. I know 12-year veteran QB Philip Rivers is pumped-up to give the fans a victory at Qualcomm. Miami is the perfect opponent for this Chargers team to play right now. The Dolphins are coming off a Monday Night high-heat & high-humidity physical game and now must travel three time zones off a short week in Week 15 of a long season. That's tough to do and the Chargers bring in the better offense, defense, special teams, red-zone efficiency, and time of possession stats. Miami has been outgained in seven straight games. If that's not enough to make you like the Chargers, maybe this will. Miami clobbered the Chargers 37-0 last November and held San Diego to just 178 total yards. Look for RB Melvin Gordon to have his best game of the season and the home team to improve to 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.

12-20-15 Bears +5.5 v. Vikings 17-38 Loss -110 37 h 41 m Show

5*Chicago Bears +5.5

12-19-15 BYU +2.5 v. Utah 28-35 Loss -100 91 h 19 m Show

5*BYU +2.5

I believe BYU is the more talented team and should be focused big time. They really want to give head coach Bronco Mendenhall one more victory, to reach 100 before he leaves for Virginia. His record of 99-42 is very impressive in 11 seasons with the Cougars. Teams returning to the same Bowl game they won last year (Utah) are 32-48-1 ATS as a favorite. Utah was once 6-0 and had their sites on a bigger bowl game, but losing three of their final six games derailed any chances for that. The Utes seem overrated, considering they've outgained their opponents in just 20 of 63 games over the last five years. Lets take the motivated underdog in the Las Vegas Bowl. BYU plus the generous 2.5 points! 

12-19-15 Arizona v. New Mexico +8 45-37 Push 0 43 h 28 m Show

New Mexico Bowl

5*New Mexico +8.5

New Mexico will be pumped-up for their first Bowl game since 2007, playing a Pac-12 team in front of their home crowd. The Lobos' offense is more suited to hang with Arizona than ever before. New Mexico defeated Mountain-West division powers Boise State, Utah State, and Air Force down the stretch. New Mexico was a solid 4-4 ATS against other bowl teams, while Arizona went 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS. Lets take the motivated home underdog in this spot.

12-13-15 49ers v. Browns -1.5 10-24 Win 100 46 h 25 m Show

5*Cleveland Browns -1.5

This will be the second straight cold-weather road game for the 49ers. They must now travel cross-country to play a 1:00 PM E (10 AM Body Clock) game. The Browns will be playing its third straight home game after going 0-2 SU & 0-2 ATS in the previous two. NFL teams in this role are cashing just under 70% if the line is +3 to -3. This seems like a great spot for the home team to end its long embarrassing losing streak. San Francisco is 1-5 SU on the road this season and hasn't won back-to-back road games with this new regime. The 49ers have been outgained by a whopping 953 yards in their six road games this season. They are 0-6 ITS (in the stats) on the road and 2-10 ITS overall. At five reputable sportsbooks combined, 71% of the bets are coming in on the road team and the line hasn't moved. This seems like a trap line and the smart play is on the home team. While I'm not a fan of Manziel's long term success in this league, I do believe he can make enough plays with his arm and legs to win this game. 

12-13-15 Lions v. Rams +3 14-21 Win 100 46 h 55 m Show

5*St. Louis Rams +3

The Lions are coming off a tough emotional loss, losing on a hail-marry and now must travel to St. Louis. The Rams are coming off a dismal effort losing 27-3 at home to the Cardinals. The public has bet this game from Lions +1 to Lions -3. The big advantage for the Rams is the offensive line. St. Louis is ranked No. 2, allowing just 15 QB sacks this season, while the Lions are ranked 19th, allowing 31 sacks through last week. The Rams have the better running game and better scoring defense. I like them in this spot getting three points after last week's ugly showing.

12-11-15 Wizards v. Pelicans -2.5 105-107 Loss -105 20 h 55 m Show

5*New Orleans Pelicans -2.5

The Pelicans are coming off a dismal effort at home in which the starting five scored a combined 27 points for the entire game. The starting backcourt of Tyreke Evans and Eric Gordon scored a combined 0 points. Anthony Davis shot 8-of-21 for just 16 points. Well below his career average. New Orleans has had three days of good practice time and will welcome back Center Kendrick Perkins. The Wizards are without Nene Hilario, Drew Gooden, and Kris Humphries which significantly weakens their frontcourt. Look for Davis to have a monster game and the Pelicans to get a big home win! New Orleans has gone 14-8 SU and 14-8 ATS (61%) as home favorites of three or less. What's more impressive, is a 10-2 SU and 11-1 ATS mark at home after shooting under 42%.

12-08-15 Massachusetts +3.5 v. UCF 63-67 Loss -114 1 h 38 m Show

4*UMASS +3.5

12-06-15 Panthers v. Saints +7 41-38 Win 100 63 h 22 m Show

4*New Orleans Saints +7

12-06-15 Chiefs v. Raiders +3 34-20 Loss -115 63 h 4 m Show

4*Oakland Raiders +3

12-06-15 Bengals v. Browns +10 37-3 Loss -115 60 h 9 m Show

4*Cleveland Browns +10

12-06-15 Cardinals v. Rams +6 27-3 Loss -105 60 h 1 m Show

4*St. Louis Rams +6

12-05-15 Temple +6.5 v. Houston 13-24 Loss -100 131 h 36 m Show

5*Temple Owls +6.5

The Cougars only loss this season was to Uconn who is ranked No. 34 in total defense. Temple brings in the 18th ranked defense in the nation, allowing 328 yards per game. Both teams recently played Memphis at home. Temple won 31-12 as 3.5-point underdogs while outgaining Memphis by a whopping 229 yards. On the flip side, Houston defeated Memphis 35-34 as 4.5-point chalk while getting outgained by 98 yards. The Owls love this role and will look to improve to 4-0 ATS as road underdogs this season. Temple has advantages in the kicking game, discipline, red-zone efficiency, and time of possession. Take the road dog in this overlay! 

12-01-15 Suns v. Nets +3 91-94 Win 100 6 h 14 m Show

5*New Jersey Nets +3

The Nets play good defense in their building and are coming off an impressive win against the much improved Pistons. Tyson Chandler will not suit up tonight and the Suns will miss his rebounding and rim protection. I like the Nets in this spot.

11-29-15 Patriots v. Broncos +3 24-30 Win 100 55 h 44 m Show

4*Denver Broncos +3

11-29-15 Steelers +3.5 v. Seahawks 30-39 Loss -108 51 h 42 m Show

4*Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5

11-29-15 Saints +3 v. Texans 6-24 Loss -105 47 h 14 m Show

5*New Orleans Saints +3

I wanted to see how teams (Saints) with worst defense in terms of points allowed (318) have performed after its BYE week. The numbers suggest these teams play much better with two weeks to prepare, after hearing how bad its defense has been. NFL teams that are ranked last in points allowed have gone 9-5 SU and 11-3 ATS coming of a BYE after Week 10 of the season. Also, the Texans are just 5-12-1 ATS following a straight-up win and will now face a new defensive coordinator in his first game with two weeks to prepare. Houston doesn't really know what to expect from the Saints on defense. All of the previous Saints' games on tape with Ryan running the defense are useless to the Texans' coaching staff. I like the Saints to win this game outright!

11-28-15 Florida State v. Florida +3 Top 27-2 Loss -120 73 h 14 m Show

10*Florida +3

The Gators are well-coached under Jim McElwain and will bring in the better defense. Florida has held nine foes to season low or second low yards this year. Florida defeated Ole Miss 38-10 as a 7-point home underdogs earlier this season. Florida still has a chance at a top four NCAAF playoff birth by winning this game and the SEC Title game next week. The Las Vegas College Football rankings has Florida ranked No. 9 and FSU No. 18. That equates to about 4.5 points. Florida was clearly looking ahead to this game in last week's OT win against FAU. Win or lose, FSU is almost guaranteed a spot in the Peach Bowl on Dec. 31. I believe the wrong team is favored and will gladly take the motivated Gators at home in this spot. 

11-28-15 Duke -4 v. Wake Forest 27-21 Win 100 66 h 7 m Show

5*Duke -4

11-28-15 Cincinnati v. East Carolina -1 19-16 Loss -110 65 h 20 m Show

5*East Carolina -1

11-26-15 Bears +9 v. Packers 17-13 Win 100 28 h 27 m Show

4*Chicago Bears +9

The Bears are by far the most improved team as far as coaching goes. John Fox has been excellent as an underdog off a loss. The Bears have played a lot of close games as six of their past seven have been decided by 3 points or less. Chicago outgained the Packers in their opening week home loss and one sportsbook manager told me this line should be closer to 7. NFL teams are just 3-7 ATS after playing the Vikings this season. Short week and a 100% chance of rain points to a Bears cover.

11-22-15 Chiefs v. Chargers +3 33-3 Loss -100 63 h 59 m Show

5*San Diego Chargers +3

The Chargers have two weeks to prepare for this double-revenge game and Philip Rivers is looking to snap his second-longest losing streak in his career. The Chargers are taking this game very seriously and despite only having two wins, they are outgaining foes by 50 yards per game. The Chiefs will be playing their second straight road game and these teams are big time fade material as favorites after Week 10. Kansas City played a physical game last Sunday and teams usually suffer a huge let down after defeating the Broncos in Denver. Take the home dog!

11-22-15 Colts +6 v. Falcons 24-21 Win 100 60 h 13 m Show

5*Colts +6

The Falcons' defense is very similar to what Matt Hasselbeck saw against the Jaguars. He went 30-of-47 for 282 yards and one score earlier this season. I think the BYE week and playing indoors will benefit the 40-year old QB. The Colts offensive line, defensive line, and overall team defense are ranked higher than the Falcons according to Football Outsiders. Atlanta is 5-13 ATS as a favorite in the last three seasons. This should be a very close game so lets take the points.

11-22-15 Redskins +8.5 v. Panthers 16-44 Loss -130 59 h 25 m Show

4*Washington +8.5

11-21-15 Texas A&M v. Vanderbilt +7 25-0 Loss -110 73 h 55 m Show

5*Vanderbilt +7

This will just be Texas A&M's third road game of the season and they were outgained by Ole Miss and Arkansas in both tilts. The Commodores have played their last four SEC foes to a combined score of 48-48. Vanderbilt needs one or possibly two more wins to become bowl-eligible. They have played really well in this spot (home underdogs of 7 or more points at night in conference play) going 12-2 SU & 12-2 ATS. Kyle Shurmur is getting better with each game and the 6-4, 225-pound freshman QB wants to give the fans a win in their last home game of the season. Lets take the motivated home underdog with the better stop unit in this spot.

11-21-15 Tennessee v. Missouri +8.5 19-8 Loss -110 72 h 26 m Show

4*Missouri +8.5

11-21-15 LSU v. Ole Miss -4 17-38 Win 100 69 h 44 m Show

4*Ole Miss -4

11-21-15 Michigan v. Penn State +4 28-16 Loss -108 65 h 17 m Show

4*Penn State +4

11-20-15 Jazz v. Mavs -1.5 93-102 Win 100 5 h 52 m Show

4*Dallas Mavericks -1.5

11-18-15 Mavs +5 v. Celtics 106-102 Win 100 6 h 7 m Show

4*Dallas Mavericks +5

I believe these two teams are equal in talent and this line seems kinda high. Third game in four nights for the host. Western Conference underdogs have been gold against the East, especially winning teams. Take the road dog in this one!

11-15-15 Patriots v. Giants +7.5 27-26 Win 100 43 h 54 m Show

5*NY Giants +7.5

11-15-15 Panthers v. Titans +6 Top 27-10 Loss -110 66 h 43 m Show

10*Tennessee Titans +6

The Carolina Panthers will be playing its first road game in just about 1 month after defeating the Packers, Colts, Eagles, and the Seahawks in successive weeks. Very tough especially later in the season. The Steelers were in this very same role last year and lost to the Jets, 20-13 as 4-point road chalk. The Titans have a sneaky good defense, allowing 21 fewer yards per game than the Panthers and their special teams is ranked five spots (23rd) higher than Carolina (28th). Mike Mularkey will bring something new on offense in his second game as interim head coach so the Panthers don't really know what to expect. Dorial Green Beckham is a rising star and I like his matchup against the Panthers' secondary. Jonathon Stewart is questionable and even if Stewart does play he won't be at 100%. Carolina has some injury issues on the offensive line as well. Finally, the Titans have lost their last four home games and are pumped-up for this game. Take the home dog in this classic overlay. 

11-15-15 Saints v. Redskins +1.5 14-47 Win 100 40 h 32 m Show

5*Washington +1.5

11-14-15 Temple v. South Florida +3 23-44 Win 100 49 h 10 m Show

5*South Florida +3

South Florida is one win away from becoming bowl-eligible. The Bulls have performed great in home night games against winning teams. South Florida has been very sound with the football this year, with just one turnover in 7 of 9 games. That's key against Temple who thrive on takeaways. The Bulls have already won three games as underdogs and I see more of the same in this one at home.

11-14-15 Nebraska v. Rutgers +8.5 31-14 Loss -106 46 h 58 m Show

5*Rutgers +8.5

Nebraska's come-from-behind score should not of counted in last week's win against MSU. Rutgers will welcome back WR Leonte Carroo, who has missed the last two games with an injury. The Scarlet Knights will face a pass defense that has allowed 8 TD passes and seven 20-yard completions the last two weeks. That's a welcome sight for an offense which has faced three pretty good defenses the last three weeks (Michigan, Wisconsin and Ohio State). The Huskers have lost both Big Ten games this season they have played as a road favorite. This should be a closer game than most people think. Nebraska is 1-5 ATS as a favorite this season. The host is 5-1 in their last six games as underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points. Take the home underdog in this overlay!

11-14-15 Alabama v. Mississippi State +8 31-6 Loss -105 46 h 35 m Show

4*Mississippi State +8

11-13-15 Hawks v. Celtics 93-106 Loss -110 23 h 17 m Show

5*Atlanta Hawks 

Avery Bradley and Marcus Smart are battling through some injuries which will hurt Boston's depth. The Celtics will be playing its third game in four nights after a four day break. Boston is not in good rhythm right now. The Hawks are 31-10 straight-up when playing on Friday over the last three seasons. Kent Bazemore has been on fire for the Hawks. The 6-5 swing man is contributing in all areas and you can be sure the Lakers wish they still had him. 

11-09-15 Wolves +9 v. Hawks 117-107 Win 100 8 h 32 m Show

4*Minnesota T-Wolves +9

11-08-15 Giants v. Bucs +3 32-18 Loss -120 20 h 59 m Show

4*Tampa Bay +3

11-08-15 Raiders v. Steelers -4 35-38 Loss -117 66 h 37 m Show

5*Pittsburgh Steelers -4

The Steelers held the Bengals to a season-low 296 yards in last week's home loss. I like the Steelers here at home with the Raiders flying cross country to play an early 1:00 PM E (10:00 AM Body Clock) game. DeAngelo Williams is a capable replacement at running back and I expect the Steelers to roll in this one. Look for the Steelers to push the pace on offense early and often.

11-08-15 Redskins +14.5 v. Patriots 10-27 Loss -115 17 h 57 m Show

4*Washington +14.5

11-07-15 Iowa v. Indiana +7 35-27 Loss -115 69 h 19 m Show

4*Indiana +7

11-07-15 Duke +8 v. North Carolina Top 31-66 Loss -106 85 h 49 m Show

10*Duke +8

North Carolina kept Duke from a second straight ACC championship game with a 45-20 victory last November. It's customary for the winning team in the rivalry to spray-paint the Victory Bell in its specific shade of blue when the traveling trophy changes hands, but the celebration irked the Blue Devils because the carpet and inside and outside walls of the visitors' locker room at Wallace Wade Stadium were damaged by paint. Duke will be focused after losing in dramatic fashion at home last week to the Hurricanes. Replays showed the touchdown should not have counted. Duke owns the better overall defense by over 60 yards per game while North Carolina's run defense is allowing 180 yards per game. The Blue Devils average 205 rushing yards per game and should be able to score enough points to keep this one very close. Duke is 11-2 ATS on the road over the last three seasons and 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss. North Carolina has three big revenge games on deck starting next week. Take the road dog in this overlay.

11-07-15 Notre Dame v. Pittsburgh +9 42-30 Loss -110 66 h 34 m Show

4*Pittsburgh +9

11-05-15 Thunder v. Bulls +1 98-104 Win 100 7 h 15 m Show

5*Chicago Bulls +1

The Bulls return home after allowing the Hornets to score 130 points the other night. The Bulls should be focused on playing better defense against a Thunder team that will playing its third game in four nights. Look for the Bulls to get a big win on TNT!

11-01-15 Seahawks v. Cowboys +6 13-12 Win 100 65 h 54 m Show

5*Dallas Cowboys +6

The Cowboys offense is much better with Cassel under Center and I believe they match-up well with the Seahawks. Seattle has the worst offensive line in the league, allowing 31 sacks already while the Cowboys have allowed just 12. Dallas defeated the Seahawks in Seattle as 10-point underdogs last season. Dallas outgained the Giants 460-289 in last week's loss. This line is out of whack so take the home team in this overlay. 

11-01-15 Jets v. Raiders +3 20-34 Win 100 64 h 23 m Show

4*Oakland Raiders +3

11-01-15 Vikings v. Bears +1 23-20 Loss -115 62 h 59 m Show

5*Chicago Bears +1

The Bears have a sneaky good defense holding four opponents to season-low yards this season. The Bears own the better offensive line by a wide margin. Minnesota has allowed 19 sacks while the Bears have allowed just 12 sacks this season. John Fox has been highly successful, winning his last seven games immediately after the BYE dating back to when he coached the Carolina Panthers. Fox is 10-3 overall after byes, with his last loss coming in 2007. Chicago has won and covered six out of the last seven meetings at Solider Field. More of the same. 

10-31-15 Texas v. Iowa State +6 0-24 Win 100 47 h 37 m Show

5*Iowa State +6

When Iowa State is not facing a top passing offense their defense is solid. The Longhorns' passing offense is ranked No. 122 in the nation and Texas will be playing just its third true road game of the season. Texas is 0-2 SU on the road and will be playing a pissed off team that has lost three straight games. Iowa State is 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in night games after three straight losses. Take the home dog! 

10-31-15 Georgia +3 v. Florida 3-27 Loss -120 44 h 33 m Show

5*Georgia +3

The Bulldogs enter with the better offense, defense, and special teams. Florida was holding open tryouts for a place kicker during their BYE week. In fact, both teams have a week of rest and the Bulldogs have some revenge on their minds. They allowed the Gators to rush for over 400 yards in last year's 18-point loss as 11.5-point home chalk. The Bulldogs are extremely focused on this game as a victory would put them in the drivers seat to win the SEC East. Georgia has been waiting for this game all season. Take the road dog and don't be shocked if they win outright.

10-25-15 Atlanta Falcons v. Tennessee Titans +6 10-7 Win 100 43 h 16 m Show

5*Tennessee +6

I think the Titans' offense will be better with Zack Mettenberger. Lets fade the public and take home underdog in this one. I would not be surprised if the Titans won straight-up, so a little taste on the money line is recommended. NFL Home underdogs coming off a blowout (27 points or more) loss at home are cashing close to 80% if they play at home in their very next game. Tennessee is allowing 313 yards per game, while the Falcons are allowing 369.5 yards per game. I love NFL home underdogs with the better defense. 

10-25-15 New Orleans Saints v. Indianapolis Colts -4 27-21 Loss -105 43 h 12 m Show

4*Indianapolis Colts -4

10-25-15 Minnesota Vikings v. Detroit Lions +2 28-19 Loss -109 43 h 10 m Show

4*Detroit Lions +2

10-24-15 Western Kentucky +17 v. LSU 20-48 Loss -110 69 h 57 m Show

5*Western Kentucky +17

10-24-15 Wisconsin v. Illinois +6.5 24-13 Loss -109 66 h 46 m Show

10*Illinois +6.5

Illinois has two weeks to prepare for this contest and I am hearing extremely pumped-up for this game. Wisconsin will be playing their 8th straight game without more than 1 week of rest. Should be a low-scoring contest as Illinois is allowing 4.7 yards per play while Wisconsin is allowing 4.5. New head coach Bill Cubit will show something new coming off their BYE week. Wisconsin doesn't know what to expect. Illinois has covered three of four meetings in Champaign and are 9-2 SU in their last 11 home games. I have Wisconsin as 4-point favorites. We are getting tremendous value on the rested home underdog with revenge from a 10-point loss last season.

10-24-15 Duke +3 v. Virginia Tech 45-43 Win 100 66 h 40 m Show

5*Duke +3

10-18-15 Arizona Cardinals -3 v. Pittsburgh Steelers 13-25 Loss -125 70 h 30 m Show

5*Arizona Cardinals -3 (-125)

It's normally tough for NFL teams to play back-to-back road games on the East Coast. However, Arizona did something a little different. The Cardinals arrived at The Greenbrier Resort in West Virginia on Sunday night after defeating the Lions, a place they will stay through Friday before heading to Pittsburgh for this matchup. The Steelers were outgained in last week's victory. Michael Vick is 5-11 SU against winning teams after a SU win. Short week against an explosive offense. Take the road team!

10-18-15 Denver Broncos v. Cleveland Browns +5 26-23 Win 100 69 h 17 m Show

5*Cleveland Browns +5

This will be Peyton's first cold weather and windy game of the season. I think the Browns will be fired up at home and should be able to score enough points to keep this one close. The Broncos played a physical game against a bitter rival last week. The Broncos are 3-11 ATS as road chalk after facing the Raiders with no rest. Denver's defense is a little "nicked" up this week. Take the underdog in the Dawg pound.

10-17-15 Florida +9.5 v. LSU 28-35 Win 100 73 h 2 m Show

4*Florida +9.5

10-17-15 Buffalo +7.5 v. Central Michigan 14-51 Loss -113 67 h 2 m Show

5*Buffalo U +7.5

The Bulls held high-powered Bowling Green to a season low yards two weeks ago. Buffalo will be playing with a week of rest along with revenge from last year's 6-point loss. These two teams have played very close games the last three years with no victory being decided by more than 7 points. Buffalo U has a solid running game and should be able to keep this one close.

10-17-15 Ole Miss v. Memphis +10.5 24-37 Win 100 66 h 18 m Show

4*Memphis +10.5

10-17-15 Western Michigan v. Ohio -3.5 49-14 Loss -110 66 h 58 m Show

4*Ohio U -3.5

10-11-15 Denver Broncos v. Oakland Raiders +6 16-10 Push 0 117 h 52 m Show

5*Oakland Raiders +6

The Raiders are coming home with a chip on its shoulder and should be pumped up for this rivalry matchup. Denver played a physical game last week against the Vikings last Sunday. Check out this nugget. NFL teams are 0-3 ATS after playing the Vikings this season. The Browns easily covered 7.5 points against the Chargers this past Sunday. Jack Del Rio facing former team. He served as the defensive coordinator for three years before taking the Oakland gig. Oakland enters this game with the higher-rated QB. Carr has a quarterback rating of 97.7, while Manning checks in at 80.7. Oakland has lost seven straight in this series and the line is less than a TD. Seems like a trap. I like the home team to keep it close.

10-11-15 Jacksonville Jaguars v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 31-38 Win 100 24 h 34 m Show

4*Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5

10-11-15 Cleveland Browns +7 v. Baltimore Ravens 33-30 Win 100 24 h 33 m Show

4*Cleveland Browns +7

10-10-15 Michigan State v. Rutgers +13.5 31-24 Win 100 28 h 47 m Show

3*Rutgers +13.5

10-10-15 Northwestern +7.5 v. Michigan 0-38 Loss -106 24 h 39 m Show

4*Northwestern +7.5

10-04-15 Green Bay Packers v. San Francisco 49ers +9.5 17-3 Loss -125 51 h 7 m Show

4*San Francisco 49ers +9.5

10-04-15 Cleveland Browns +7.5 v. San Diego Chargers 27-30 Win 100 51 h 54 m Show

4*Cleveland Browns +7.5

10-04-15 NY Giants +6 v. Buffalo Bills 24-10 Win 100 110 h 11 m Show

5*New York Giants +6

The New York Giants have 10 days to prepare for this game. The Bills have to travel back home after playing the Dolphins at Sun Life Stadium. The Bills are cashing 33% after defeating the Miami Dolphins. Lets fade Tyrod Taylor is his first career game as the betting favorite. This line is too high so take the points in this overlay.

10-03-15 UNLV +7 v. Nevada 23-17 Win 100 71 h 40 m Show

4*UNLV +7

10-03-15 Bowling Green v. Buffalo +8.5 28-22 Win 100 67 h 12 m Show

4*Buffalo U +8.5

10-03-15 Florida International v. UMass -3 14-24 Win 101 67 h 47 m Show

5*Massachusetts -3

FIU will be playing its fourth road game in five weeks. The Minutemen are led by QB Blake Frohnapfel who be playing in the NFL in the near future. The Panthers enter this game with just four healthy safeties going against a very good passing team. The home team should have no trouble in this spot. 

09-27-15 Pittsburgh Steelers v. St Louis Rams +1.5 12-6 Loss -110 69 h 7 m Show

5*St. Louis Rams +1.5

09-27-15 Philadelphia Eagles +2.5 v. NY Jets Top 24-17 Win 100 69 h 51 m Show

10*Philadelphia Eagles +2.5

The Jets are coming off an emotional Monday Night victory at Indianapolis in which they accumulated 5 turnovers. With that said, they only scored 20 points. Eric Decker played a big part in the win and he is OUT for this game. The Eagles are 0-2 and have looked awful on both sides of the ball. Nobody is giving them a chance to win this game. In the NFL, no team is as bad or as good as they looked the week before. The Eagles are in desperate mode facing the Jets off a short week. Talent wise, the Eagles and Jets are pretty equal. Take the road dog!

09-27-15 San Diego Chargers v. Minnesota Vikings -1 14-31 Win 100 69 h 47 m Show

5*Minnesota Vikings -1 (-125)

09-26-15 UCLA v. Arizona +3.5 56-30 Loss -115 72 h 19 m Show

4*Arizona U +3.5

09-26-15 California v. Washington +4.5 30-24 Loss -110 69 h 23 m Show

5*Washington U +4.5

California remains undefeated despite getting outgained by 105 yards in last week's win at Texas. The Golden Bears will now play its second consecutive road game against a team that has defeated them six straight times. California is 0-3 SU in their last three games playing the second of back-to-back road games. The Huskies offense is improving and they have the better defense. Take the home dog in this one.

09-26-15 Virginia Tech v. East Carolina +8.5 28-35 Win 100 68 h 37 m Show

4*East Carolina +8.5

09-26-15 Northern Illinois +5 v. Boston College 14-17 Win 100 65 h 10 m Show

4*Northern Illinois +5

09-20-15 Arizona Cardinals v. Chicago Bears +2.5 48-23 Loss -110 24 h 46 m Show

4*Chicago Bears +2.5

The Cardinals are tough at home, but will have to work a little harder playing on natural grass. Arizona is just 8-9 SU on the road over the last three seasons. Arizona has a division game next Week against the 49ers. Possible look ahead. NFL home underdogs off a loss, playing their second straight home game with no rest do very well. Take the home dog in this mild upset.

09-20-15 St Louis Rams v. Washington Redskins +3.5 10-24 Win 100 24 h 36 m Show

4*Washington Redskins +3.5

Washington was doomed by their special teams in last week's opening week home loss. The front seven played extremely well. The Rams are coming off their upset win at home against Seattle. Teams have performed poor on the road after facing the Seahawks and their physical style.

09-20-15 Houston Texans +3 v. Carolina Panthers 17-24 Loss -101 23 h 24 m Show

4*Houston Texans +3

I like when teams change quarterbacks and Ryan Mallett has a very strong arm. I believe the Texans defense can exploit some weaknesses from the Panthers' offensive line. Carolina will be without stud linebacker Luke Kuechly and that should bolster the Texans' run game.

09-19-15 Southern Miss v. Texas State -3 56-50 Loss -105 42 h 14 m Show

4*Texas State -3

09-19-15 Utah State +6.5 v. Washington 17-31 Loss -106 40 h 24 m Show

4*Utah State +6.5

09-19-15 Northwestern v. Duke -3.5 19-10 Loss -100 36 h 55 m Show

4*DUKE -3.5

09-13-15 NY Giants +6 v. Dallas Cowboys 26-27 Win 100 77 h 58 m Show

5*NY Giants +6

The Giants should have extra motivation from getting swept in two straight seasons by Dallas. Division underdogs normally do very well in Week one. The Cowboys starters played very little in the preseason. Dallas gets a lot of attention for having an excellent offensive line and they do. You might be surprised to see that Dallas is much better at run-blocking than pass-protection. The Cowboys were ranked 16th in sacks allowed last season and the starting offensive line hardly played together in the preseason. The Underdog in Dallas Cowboy games are cashing nearly 70% over the last four seasons combined. I don't see the Cowboys defense being able to stop the Giants from scoring enough to cover this game. Should be a tight one. Take the Giants in this overlay.

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