It's Monday Night Football and we get TWO games on the schedule for tonight. We will look at the game between the Baltimore Ravens and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Both teams come into this inter-conference matchup with 4-2 records. The Ravens, led by quarterback Lamar Jackson, boast the NFL's top rushing attack, averaging over 205 rushing yards per game, with Derrick Henry contributing a league-leading 704 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns. Jackson has also been efficient through the air, completing 67% of his passes for 1,529 yards and 10 touchdowns. Baltimore's offense is complemented by a solid defense, led by Roquan Smith and Kyle Van Noy, that allows 24.8 points per game. On the other side, the Buccaneers, helmed by Baker Mayfield, have been impressive as well, with Mayfield completing nearly 71% of his passes and throwing for 15 touchdowns. The offense, powered by stars like Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, is one of the top-scoring units in the league, averaging 29.7 points per game. Tampa Bay's defense has been solid but vulnerable, allowing 23.5 points per game. Tampa Bay has a history of performing well as home underdogs, particularly early in games. The Bucs have covered the spread in six consecutive games following a division matchup, and their defense is getting healthier. The Ravens' rushing attack and Tampa's opportunistic offense will likely dictate the flow of the game. This one could be a back and forth contest with the last team holding the ball having a shot to win. Or we could even see OT in this game. Either way, I expect to see the offenses dictate the pace in this game. I'll take the OVER. 

The Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs are set to kick off the 2024 NFL season with a huge matchup between defending Super Bowl Champion KC and powerhouse Baltimore. Both teams enter the game with high expectations this season as the Chiefs try for an unprecedented third straight Super Bowl Title. The Ravens, led by quarterback Lamar Jackson, will look to capitalize on a retooled offense under new offensive coordinator Todd Monken. Jackson, a dual-threat QB, will showcase his improved passing game, supported by a strong running attack featuring J.K. Dobbins and Derick Henry. He has great targets too in including Odell Beckham Jr. and rookie Zay Flowers. Baltimore's defense, anchored by veteran linebacker Roquan Smith and cornerback Marlon Humphrey, will be tasked with containing one of the league's most explosive offenses. On the other side, the Kansas City Chiefs, reigning Super Bowl champions, are spearheaded by superstar quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Coming off another MVP season, Mahomes will be looking to continue his dominance, with Travis Kelce as his top target. Despite losing some key pieces in the offseason, the Chiefs' offense remains potent, with emerging wide receivers Skyy Moore and Kadarius Toney expected to step up. Defensively, Chris Jones and the Kansas City front will aim to disrupt Baltimore's offensive rhythm, while their secondary focuses on limiting Jackson's ability to exploit deep plays. This primetime showdown between two elite AFC squads promises to deliver excitement as both teams seek an early statement win. The matchup of Mahomes vs. Jackson will be a major storyline, and fans can expect a high-energy, fast-paced game at Arrowhead Stadium. For me, I'm taking the over as I expect both these QB's to lead their teams to points and a lot of them. Take OVER.

The Philadelphia Eagles limp into the playoffs. After what looked like a sure thing for them to win the NFC East, they lost it to the Dallas Cowboys because of a 1-5 s/u stretch to finish the season. That culminating in a loss at the NY Giants, 10-27, as a 5-point favorite in the final game. They are also 0-6 ATS to finish the season. The once very good defense allowed at least 20 points in each of those last six games and over 30 in three of those games. QB Jalen Hurts comes into this game banged up with a injured finger on his throwing hand and his top target, AJ Brown is questionable with a knee injury. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay comes into this Wildcard game with momentum. They Bucs have won five of their last six and covered four of the last five. The defense has been very good, allowing just 19.1 ppg on the season. QB Baker Mayfield is also banged-up as he has a bad ankle. That's not good for an offense that ranked just 20th in scoring. They also finished last in rushing so Mayfield needs to be on his game today if they hope to win. Too many question marks on both these offenses today. I'm taking the under in this one.

The NFL Super Wildcard playoffs continue here on Sunday as the Dallas Cowboys welcome the Green Bay Packers to town. The Packers are the 7th seed in the NFC with a 9-8 record. The Cowboys finished with the #2 Seed in the NFC and won the NFC East. Jordan Love led the Packers with over 4,000 yards passing and 32 TD's. Love has lots of targets on the offense including a pair of tight ends. The Packers are young and inexperienced though with the youngest roster in the NFL. They are 12th ranked in the NFL in points scored and 9th in rushing offense. Aaron Jones return to the lineup has greatly improved the rushing attack. The Packers also have the top scoring offense in the third quarter of games this year. The defense will have its hands full on Sunday with the high flying Dallas offense. Dallas is 8-0 at home this year with a 21.5 point scoring differential. Dak Prescot leads the offense with over 4,500 passing yards and a league best 36 touchdowns. Ceedee Lamb set a Cowboys team record in receptions and yards. The Cowboys have the top ranked scoring offense in the NFL and at home average 37 points per game. Love should get his shots too and I expect this game to go OVER the total on Sunday.

The Miami Dolphins are 7-3 S/U and 6-4 ATS as they head to the Meadowlands to play the Jets here on Friday. The Dolphins are in 1st place in the AFC East, 1.5-games ahead of the Bills. They also have a +67 point differential and average 30.5 ppg while allowing 23.8 ppg. The offense averages 38.8 ppg at home but considerably less on the road with a 24.3 ppg average. They are coming off a home win over the Raiders, 20-13, failing to cover the 14-point line. They Dolphins have scored just 20 last game and 14 the week before. They have also gone under in three of their last four games. The Jets are 4-6 and 3-games back of the Dolphins in the division. The Jets average just 15 ppg on the season while allowing 20.4 ppg. The Jets have been a great under play, with their last five going under. They have also lost and failed to cover in each of their last three games. The Jets defense is good enough to keep them in this game, especially the way the Dolphins offense has played the last few weeks. For me, I'm taking the UNDER in this one.

The Denver Broncos and Buffalo Bills conclude week 10 of the NFL tonight here on Monday Night Football. The Broncos horrible start to the season has seen a turnaround the last two weeks with a pair of wins and covers in a row. Denver beat Green Bay three weeks ago, 19-17, then two weeks ago beat Kansas City, 24-9 as a 7-point dog. Holding the KC Chiefs offense to 275 totals yards. Denver had last week off to prepare for tonight's contest. Denver scores 21.5 ppg while allowing 28.2 ppg. The latter coming way down the last few weeks. Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bills have struggled, going 2-3 S/U and 0-5 ATS over the last five games. They are coming off a loss at Cincinnati last week, 18-24. The Bills average 26.7 ppg and allow 17.8 ppg. The Bills have gone under in six of their nine games this year, including four of their last five games. The Broncos have gone under in three straight games. I'm taking the UNDER here tonight.

The Bears look to be without their starting QB in Justin Fields who is expected to miss another game with a thumb injury. That means Tyson Bagent is likely to start for the Bears. This contest starts week 10 as the 1-7 Panthers take on the 2-7 Bears. Not exactly a game likely to garner a lot of attention. Expect for us betting enthusiasts. This game holds some cash for us here tonight. I'm going to be on the UNDER. Tha Panthers offense has been anemic, averaging just 17.5 ppg and 283.4 yards. They are coming off a loss to the Colts, 13-27, going under the 45 point total. The Bears have been without Fields the last two weeks and the offense has just 13 points vs the Chargers and last week lost at New Orleans, 17-24, but did cover the 9-point dog line. This team will continue to rely on the ground game, as they average 135.3 yards per game and had 156 last week at the Saints. The defense has been better then expected, holding the last six teams to under 100 yards rushing. While this won't be the most exciting game, I'll be on the under as I don't expect to see a lot of scoring. Play UNDER.

 The 49ers look to rebound from that loss last week to the Cleveland Browns. The Niners led most of the way and then missed the game winning field goal late in the loss 17-19 as a 9.5-point favorite. For me I believe the Niners will rebound tonight. However, I have to side with the UNDER in this one as SF will be missing key offensive players. Their star running back Christian McCaffrey is questionable with a oblique injury. They could also miss some key offensive linemen. As for the Vikings, they will be without star WR Justin Jefferson who has a hamstring injury. And when we add that SF has one of the best defenses in the league. They allow just 14.5 ppg and 278 yards per game. For me, I'm just taking the UNDER in this one.

AFC West clash here on Thursday night football has the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Denver Broncos. The Chiefs are 4-1 and comfortably in 1st place in the division while Denver is in last place at 1-4. The Chiefs have a +48 point differential while Denver is at -60 points. The Chiefs could be without one of their stars on Thursday, as TE Travis Kelce is questionable with an ankle injury. I'm going to be on the under in this game and mainly because the weather looks to be bad. There's chance of showers, but more important are the 21 mph winds. Winds, in my opinion, influence totals more than anything. And if Kelce doesn't play, then that will even make this a stronger play. Either way, I'll be on the UNDER on Thursday night.

I look at the defenses to be the superior units in this game, especially the Philly defense which has been great. However, it's offenses which win Super Bowls. I also like Andy Reid who has been here many times and knows how to coach in the Super Bowl. Philly has a young coach and young team making their first appearance in some time. You can make a argument for just about any side or total in this contest. For me, I'm looking at a very good Philly defense to keep the score low. Plus, You have Jalen Hurts with that aching throwing shoulder. He hasn't been called on to make many throws the last two games, both of which dominated by the Philly defense. So we'll have to see if that changes much here on Sunday. I'm taking the UNDER in the Super Bowl and going against the historic trends of overs. I look for defense to be the units that take more over in this contest. So lets take the UNDER in the Super Bowl.

The Indianapolis Colts are officially eliminated with their 4-9-1 overall record. They will host the 8-6 Chargers tonight. Chargers trying for one of those Wild Card games and right now it's theirs to lose. The Chargers are coming off a win last week over the Tennessee Titans, 17-14 as a 3-point favorite. That is two wins in a row and three of their last four games. The Chargers offense is 12th overall, but just 31st rushing and 3rd passing. The defense is 21st, 11th vs pass and 28th vs the rush. The Colts are coming off that devastating loss to the Vikings where they blew the biggest lead in NFL History, 33-0, before losing 36-39 in OT. Have to wonder if they have anything left in the tank here tonight. The Colts will start their third different QB here tonight as Matt Ryan takes a seat. In comes Nick Foles, who has started just once in the last two seasons. Foles will lineup behind the worst pass protection line in the NFL. Foles will also be without Jonathon Taylor who is back on the IR. The Colts offense, despite the 36 points last week, has not eclipsed 20 points in nine of their first 13 games. Tonight a new QB and no Taylor? I think I'll stick with the UNDER here tonight as the Colts have problems putting points on the board. Play UNDER.

A key AFC North clash on Saturday as the 9-4 Baltimore Ravens take on the 5-8 Cleveland Browns. The Ravens are tied for first place in the division and need a win here on Saturday to assure they stay at least tied for the division lead. The Ravens will once again be without QB Lamar Jackson, who missed last week's game also with a knee injury. QB Tyler Huntley is out of concussion protocol and likely will start here today. Baltimore just got by the Steelers last week, 16-14, passing for just 59 totals yards. They did get 215 rushing yards last week. The Cleveland Browns lost at Cincinnati last week, 10-23, as a 4.5-point dog. They had 71 rushing yards, well below their season average and 273 yards passing. QB Deshaun Watson looking much more comfortable with some time under his belt. Baltimore is just 14th overall on offense and Cleveland is 6th, though 5th rushing. The Ravens defense is 12th while the Browns are 17th. The Ravens are 2-8 Ov/Un their last 10 games and 7-15 Ov/Un their last 22 road games. Weather could be a factor here today with a 30% chance of snow. The winds could be steady 10 to 14 MPHP with gusts to 26. For me, it's that 15 MPH level where I start to see the winds effecting a game. With temperatures around freezing and winds that could be a factor, I look for this game to go UNDER today.

Every game important at this juncture of the season. Teams also have to deal with lots of injuries. That's the case in the NFC West clash between the 49ers and Seahawks on Thursday. The 49ers lead the NFC West with a 9-4 record, two games ahead of 2nd place Seattle (7-6). These teams met back in week 2 in San Francisco where the 49ers walked away with that game, 27-7, as a 8-point favorite. they held the Seahawks to 30 yards rushing and 216 total yards. Not surprising that all these weeks later the Niners would have the league's top ranked defense and top ranked rushing defense. The Niners will be without QB JImmy Garappolo whi is out with a foot injury. That means Brock Purdy will get the start, though he has been hurting with a oblique and is officially listed as questionable. RB Christian McCaffrey is probable with a knee injury. Seattle has its share of injuries, especially at RB where Rashaad Penni is out with a fibula injury, RB Kenneth Walker III is probably with an ankle injury and RB DeeJay Dallas is questionable with a ankle injury. That doesn't bode well against this top ranked rush defense of the 49ers. This looks to be a very "vanilla" game tonight. The 49ers won't expose Purdy to much pressure and the Seahawks won't get much on the ground. I'm taking this game UNDER.

 The Las Vegas Raiders have won three straight games to improve to 5-7 and third place in the AFC West. The LA Rams are in last in the NFC West at 3-9 and have lost six straight games. The Raiders are coming off a win over the Chargers last week at home, 27-20. That marks three straight games they have held their opponent to under 100 yards rushing. The Rams have been decimated by injuries this year and are without QB Matthew Stafford (neck) and WR Cooper Kupp (Ankle), their two best offensive players. The Rams did acquire QB Baker Mayfield who they picked up when the Panther released him earlier in the Week. His status is available for tonight's contest. The Rams are 4-9-1 ATS their last 14 overall games and 2-6 ATS their last eight game at home. The Rams have gone under in seven of their last eight home games against a team with a losing road record. They are also 8-17 O/U in their last 25 home games. Vegas has gone under in seven of their last 10 road games. These teams have gone under in four of their last five meetings. I'll take the UNDER here tonight as the Rams should have issues moving the ball even if Mayfield plays. Take the UNDER.

NFC West clash here on Monday night has the 5-4 San Francisco 49ers taking on the 4-6 Arizona Cardinals. The 49ers are coming off a win last week over the Chargers, 22-16, failing to cover the 8-point favorite line. That makes two wins in row in their division. The Rams held the Chargers to just 238 total yards. The Cardinals coming off a win last week over the Rams, 27-17, as a 3-point dog. That win snapped a two game losing streak for the Cardinals. While Arizona had just 298 total yards they held the Rams to 256 total yards. The 49ers have the NFL's 9th ranked total offense while Arizona comes in at 19th. The big difference is on defense where the 49ers are now the top defense in the NFL and tops against the rush. Arizona falls all the way down to 24th overall and 12th vs the rush. The 49ers are 2-10 Ov/Un their last 12 games on grass and 4-13 O/U their last 17 overall games. The Cardinals are 1-9 O/U their last 10 Monday Night games. These teams have gone under in five of the last six meetings in Arizona and are 1-6-1 O/U in their last eight overall meetings. I'm taking UNDER here tonight.

 NFC South matchup here on Thursday in what is one of the worst divisions in the NFL. No one is out of this division, even the 2-7 Panthers. Both Tampa Bay and Atlanta are currently in 1st place with 4-5 records. The Falcons are coming off a loss last week at home to the Chargers, 17-20. While the Falcons have the 26th ranked offense, they do have the 4th ranked rushing game. The Falcons have been a good under play here on Thursday, going 0-6 O/U in their last six on that day. Meanwhile, Carolina was blown out last week at Cincinnati, 21-42. Though QB Baker Mayfield came into the game and led the team to 21 points. However, despite PJ Walker being benched at halftime, he's expected to make the start here on Thursday. The offense had just 228 total yards. Carolina traded away Christian McCaffrey to the 49ers a few weeks ago. The Panthers have the 30th ranked offense in the league. The Panthers have gone under in seven of their last 10 games vs the NFC South. This has also been a very good under series with the teams going 5-13-1 Ov/Un their last 19 meetings and 5-15-2 Ov/Un the last 22 meetings at Carolina. I'm going UNDER here on Thursday.

Bragging rights in Ohio are on the line tonight as the Cincinnati Bengals take on the Cleveland Browns. The Bengals can move into a 1st place tie with Baltimore in the AFC North win a win tonight. Meanwhile, the Browns are 2-5 in the North. The Bengals arecoming off a win at home over Atlanta, 35-17. They have also covered their last five games and have gone under in five of their seven games this season. The defense has been very good, ranked 11th in the NFL, while the Browns are 16th. The Browns rank 6th on offense thanks to their third ranked rushing offense that averages 164 yards per game. The Bengals rank 11th on offense, 4th in passing. Cincinnati has gone under in 10 of their last 12 games and are 0-8 Ov/Un in their last eight vs the AFC. This series has favored the under with a 2-6-1 Ov/Un mark the last nine meetings in Cleveland. I'm sticking with the UNDER here on Monday Night.

The Indianapolis Colts dropped to 1-2-1 after losing last week to the Titans, 17-24 as a 4-point home favorite. That coming after that big win over the Chiefs the week before. All four games for the Colts have gone under this year. The Colts offense ranks 19th overall in the NFL, 27th rushing. The defense has been better, ranked 6th in the NFL. Despite losing last week, the Colts won the stat sheet, holding Tennessee to just 243 yards. The issue were the three turnovers the Colts had in the contest. The Denver Broncos dropped to 2-2 after losing at the LV Raiders last week, 23-32. The Broncos defense, which was ranked 3rd over, was torched for 32 points. Actually six of those coming on a turnover returned for a TD. The defense gave up 212 yards on the ground after not allowing 100 yards in the first three games. The teams have meet twice in the last five years with both games going UNDER. The Colts have been a very good under team of late, going under in nine straight games. They are also 0-8 U/U in their last eight vs the AFC. The Broncos are 4-11 O/U in their last 15 games and 2-6 O/U in their last eight home games. Two very good defenses here and I'm looking for an UNDER.

NFC West battle here on Monday Night as the Rams make the trip North to face San Francisco. The Rams can move back into first place with a win tonight. The Cardinals and Seahawks are both 2-2 after four weeks and the Rams can go to 3-1 with a win. San Francisco is in last place at 1-2. However, a win by the 49ers and all four division teams will be a 2-2. The Rams opened their season with a loss at home to Buffalo, 10-31. They have rebounded with wins over Atlanta and then last week at Arizona, 20-12. Two of their three games have gone under. Now they face the 2nd best defense in the NFL in San Francisco. The Niners have the leagues best passing defense. The Rams offense hasn't been like last year, as they rank just 25th overall and 30th in rushing. San Francisco isn't much better, coming in at 24th overall and 29th passing. San Francisco lost their QB , Trey Lance, to a season ending injury in week 2. Back at starter is Jimmy Garoppolo. After leading the 49ers to a win in the game Lance went down, they lost last week at Denver, 10-11. All three of their games have gone under thanks to their 2nd ranked defense. The Niners have now gone under in 10 of their last 11 games and four of their last five home games. These teams have gone under in seven of the last nine meetings in San Francisco and four of the last five overall. With the Rams offense not firing on all cylinders, I will be the UNDER.

Miami Dolphins bring a 3-0 record into this Thursday matchup with the Cincinnati Bengals. The Dolphins had little issues with the Patriots (20-7) and then had the huge fourth quarter comeback against the Ravens, 42-38. Last week they just got by the Buffalo Bills, 21-19, covering all three games and going under in two of the three games. The Bengals didn't look like the team of last year to start this season, with back-to-back losses to the Steelers and Cowboys. Then last week they finally broke through with a win over the Jets, 27-12. The defense had four turnovers compared to just one offensive turnover. The Dolphins have been a good under play on Thursday night, going 2-10-1 O/U their lasts 13 Thursday games. They are also 1-5 O/U their last six road games. The Bengals have now gone under in eight straight games. They are also 0-6 O/U in their last six vs the AFC. These two teams have gone under in their last five meetings in Cincinnati and 1-5-1 O/U their last seven overall. I'm taking the UNDER here on Thursday.

The Las Vegas Raiders were a perfect 4-0 in the preseason under first year coach Josh McDaniels. The Raiders had the highest points differential in preseason at +41. Right away this Raiders team will be tried by the LA Chargers and Justin Herbert. We can think back to the last game of the regular season when the winner of the Raiders vs Chargers game went on to the playoffs. The game could have easily ended in an OT tie had the Chargers not called that controversial timeout, but instead it allowed the Raiders to setup the winning field goal. Besides McDaniels taking over in Vegas, is the highly anticipated debut of Davante Adams, arguably the best receiver in the NFL. Even though the Chargers are much improved on defense, I expect to see a lot of points in this game with these two offenses. I'm going to take the OVER.

Two NFC West teams that are well acquainted meet here on Wild Card Monday as the Rams host the Cardinals at So-Fi Stadium. The Rams won the NFC West, despite their loss in their last game to the San Francisco 49ers, 24-27. That loss snapped a five game win streak by the Rams and a 4-1 spread win streak. That opened the door for Arizona to win the division but they also lost their last game to Seattle, 30-38. The Cardinals slumped badly down the stretch, going 1-4 S/U and ATS in their last five games. I'm looking at this game under tonight. The Cards don't play all that well on field turf, going 3-13 O/U in their last 16 games. They are also 3-14 O/U in their last 17 road games. The Rams have gone under in four of their last five home games and 5-17 O/U in their last 22 as a home favorite. I am sticking with the UNDER here on Monday Night.

The Miami Dolphins have been hot, winning six straight games and covering five of those. They have also gone under in five of their last seven games, thanks in big part to a stingy defense that has allowed more than 17 points just one time in their last six games. The Miami defense has also climbed to 18th overall in the NFL after being near bottom back in November. The New Orleans Saints defense has been solid, ranked 13th overall and 5th vs the run. The Saints have won two straight games including their big shutout win at Tampa Bay last time out, 9-0. They held the high powered Bucs offense to just 302 totals yards and frustrated Tom Brady the entire game. The problem with the Saints is at QB. They will not have Trevor Siemian today and Tayson Hill is doubtful with Covid protocols. That leaves starting duties to Ian Book. Book is the only QB left on the Saints roster and will make his first every NFL start tonight. That with the wild card on the line for the Saints. Book was a fourth-round 2021 draft choice out of Notre Dame. With Book starting and the Miami defense playing great, I'll take this game UNDER tonight.

The San Francisco 49ers are in one of the toughest division in football, the NFC West. Even though they have a 8-6 record, they trail the Rams and Cardinals by 2-games. However, they do have the best Wild Card record at this point, so they need to keep winning. The 49ers have won two straight games over Cincinnati, 26-23 and then last week over Atlanta, 31-13. Now they have the short week turnaround as they travel to Tennessee to take on the Titans. The Titans are coming off a loss at Pittsburgh, 13-19 as a 1-point dog. That makes them 1-3 S/U and ATS over their last four games. The 49ers are ranked 12th overall in offense, 7th in rushing. The Titans have dropped to 17th since the loss of Derek Henry. The 49ers are 7-3-1 O/U in their last 11 games as a road favorite. The Titans are 6-2 O/U in their last eight home games. These teams have gone over in their last four meetings and that's what I look for again here today. Play OVER.

The Dallas Cowboys look to get back on the winning track tonight as they play under the dome in New Orleans. The Cowboys have lost two straight games, including last week's OT home loss to the Raiders, 33-36. Despite the losing streak, Dallas still has the NFL's top overall offense, ranked 7th in rushing and 3rd in passing. They will face a New Orleans team that has had lots of issues on offense since QB Jameis Winston went down with an injury. The Saints are now 28th overall on offense. The good news is that they have a solid defense, that ranks 12th overall and 3rd against the rush. The Saints have lost four straight games, including last week at home to the Bills, 6-31. The offense had just 190 total yards in the loss. Four of the last five in this series at New Orleans has gone UNDER and I don't expect a lot of points out of the Saints tonight. They have very few big offensive weapons and little help with the few they do have. Take UNDER.

Who would have expected the Indianapolis Colts to return to HC Frank Reich's old stomping grounds and put a hurting on the 1st place Hills? But they did. The Colts behind FIVE Jonathon Taylor TD's manhandled the Bills, 41-15. The Colts have four takeaways and no turnovers in the win. Now the Bills have to hit the road for a game at the Saints. Two of their last three games have not been good, beginning three weeks again in Jacksonville where they lost 6-9. Sure they rebounded an blew out the NY Jets, 45-17, but that's the Jets we are talking about. The Saints also got blown out last week, despite a mad fourth quarter rally against Philadelphia, 29-40. The Saints have the 10th ranked defense in the league, 3rd against the rush and 21st vs the pass. The Bills still have the leagues top defense, despite the blowout last week. The Bills are 8th vs the rush and 2nd vs the pass. I look for this game to go under today with weather not playing any issue as it did last week in Buffalo. Play UNDER

The New York Giants hit the road today for this inter-conference clash at Kansas City. New York coming off it's best overall performance of the year in a 25-3 win over Carolina last week. Kansas City is coming off its worst performance yet in the Patrick Mahomes era, losing to Tennessee, 3-27. The Giants hope their 11-3 record vs the Chiefs will come into play again tonight as they are a double-digit dog in this one. The Giants started the season 1-5 S/U and 2-4 ATS. They have the 18th ranked offense and 20th ranked defense. The Chiefs have the 28th ranked defense and the third ranked offense. Patrick Mahomes was forced from last week's game with a head injury but will be starting tonight. The will be without RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire who is on IR with a knee injury. The Chiefs are 3-4 S/U and 2-5 ATS on the season. Yet, here they are laying 10.5 or even 11.5 points tonight. Yes, they have the ability to blow out the Giants. I'll just take the easy way out tonight and play the OVER.

There will be some key injuries on both sides of the ball here tonight, likely effecting the total as much as the side. The Saints will be without QB Taysom Hill, who will miss this game with a concussion. The Seahawks are once again without QB Russell Wilson who has that broken finger and has been put on IR. The are also without RB Chris Carson (neck), though RB Rashaad Penny looks to return tonight from the IR. The Saints had last week off to prepare for tonight's contest. They are coming off a win at Washington, 33-22. The Saints are now 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. The Seattle offense is now ranked 22nd overall, 16th rushing and 21st passing. The Saints have the 28th ranked offense, 9th in rushing but 31st in passing. Both teams possess poor offenses and with Wilson out and Hill out, I expect less scoring opportunities. Play the UNDER.

This AFC contest could come down to a battle of the backup QB's. Browns QB Mayfield is already ruled out for this game and Case Keenum is the starter. The Broncos QB Teddy Bridgewater has both a quad and foot injury and while he's not listed as out, it could be a tough game for him to play. The Broncos opened the season with three wins, but have now lost three straight after last week's loss to Las Vegas, 24-34. The Browns are also 3-3 on the season after last week's loss at home to Arizona, 14-34. The offense managed just 290 total yards in the loss and had trouble protecting their QB's with five sacks allowed. The Broncos have been a good under team with five of their last seven road games going under. This is thanks to their 4th ranked defense. The Browns also have a very good defense, ranked 3rd overall. And this game looks to be a battle between these top rated units. Turnovers likely also key here today. I'll take the UNDER with QB issues on both sides.

The Jalen Hurts era made a good start last week for the Philadelphia Eagles as they beat the best defense in the NFL, the Saints 24-21. The Eagles ran for 246 and Hurts passed for 167 yards and no INT's. Arizona snapped a three game losing streak with a win over the Giants, 26-7. The Cardinals held the Giants to just 159 totals yards and had a whopping 37 more offensive plays then the Giants had. The Cards boast the NFL's 4th best offense, 4th in rushing and 17th in passing yards. Philly has been near the bottom third in the offense, but we'll see if that turns around with Hurts at the helm. We might be seeing the end of Carson Wentz in Philly as Hurts looks like the real deal thus far. For me, I'm taking the OVER here on Sunday.

This Thursday battle will feature two of the last three Heisman Trophy winners in Joe Burrow and Baker Mayfield. As we have seen numerous times, just because you had success in college doesn't always translate to the NFL field. Burrow started his first game as member of the Bengals last week. Burrow led his team on two drives in the 4th quarter that could have tied or taken the lead from the LA Chargers. However, the first was resulted in Burrow's first interception of his NFL career and the second was a missed 31-yard field goal. Good news though tonight, one of these college standouts will get his team even at 1-1 while the other will drop to 0-2. The Browns were blown out last week at Baltimore, 6-38. This Browns offense needs to get on track early if they hope for success. They have the pieces, Mayfield at QB, Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb in the backfield and Odell Beckham and Jarvis Landry at wide out. They just have trouble putting it all together. The Bengals didn't ask much of their young QB, with his longest completion coming in at just 19-yards. The Browns will need to clean up their sloppy play if they hope to do anything tonight. The Bengals will continue to nudge Burrow along. For me, this looks like a big under play. Take the UNDER.

Playoff Total of the Year: The Divisional playoffs here on Sunday and Jim Feist has his best total of the playoffs going. Last time these teams met back on Oct 13, it was a 31-24 win by Houston. Deshaun Watson threw for 280 yards in that game. The Texans had to overcome a 0-16 deficit to the Bills last week before coming back for the win and cover 19-16 in OT. JJ Watt returned for that game and had a big sack that sparked the Texans. The Chiefs won their last six games of the season (five after their bye). The big news for Houston today is that WR Will Fuller should play. The Offense is so much better with Fuller to compliment DeAndre Hopkins and take pressure off him. The Chiefs defense has been much improved, but where they lack is the secondary and the return of Fuller could be a big plus here to the Texans offense. Lets face it, this one should be a shootout. I expect both teams to score in the 30's here today. With Fuller's return and a total in the low 50's I expect this game to fly OVER. Play OVER as your Playoff Total of the Year.

Both these teams had rough losses last week and look to bounce back here tonight. The Colts are 6-7 and have lost five of their last six games. They had hopes of a playoff spot until this recent bad run. They lost last week at the Bucs, 35-38 and allowed 542 yards of offense. The Saints have clinched the NFC South but have given up the NFC best record. They also came out on the losing end of a shootout last week at home to the 49ers, 46-48. The Saints defense is banged-up, losing two defensive linemen in Sheldon Rankins and Marcus Davenport - both will miss rest of season. Defense probably won't be on display here today. I'm taking the over and enjoying the show. Play OVER.

A pair of first place teams meet here on Sunday as the Baltimore Ravens host the Houston Texans. Houston is 6-3 and leads the Colts by one-game in the AFC South. The Ravens are 7-2 and have a 2 1/2 game cushion over the Steelers. Baltimore's offense has been hitting on all cylinders, scoring 30 points or more in each of their last three games, including last week's win over the Bengals, 49-13. Baltimore has the 2nd ranked overall offense in the league. Houston might have something to say in this one, ranking fourth in the NFL in offense. Houston has scored at least 23 points in each of their last five games including two week's ago over Jacksonville, 26-3. The Texans had the week off following their London trip. That should do nothing but help the offense here today. I'm looking for a high scoring game in this one. Play the OVER.

The Oakland Raiders were hit hard last week by Aaron Rodgers who wracked-up the yards and Touchdowns against them in a 42-24 loss. The Raiders had no answer for Rodgers who threw five TD's and over 400 yards. It's not surprising, given the Raiders have the 24th ranked defense. The Raiders also have the third worse pass defense, allowing 289 yards per game. Offensively, the team isn't bad, ranked 13th in the NFL behind QB Carr and a good RB in Jacobs. The Raiders defense will once again be tasked here on Sunday against the league's 4th ranked offense in Houston. The Texans are coming off a loss at Indianapolis, 23-30. These clubs have gone over the last four meetings. Houston has also gone over in 16 of their last 23 vs the AFC. I expect a lot of points in this one. The total is high at around 51, but I don't think these clubs will have any problem going over that. Play the OVER.      

Minnesota improved to 5-2 both S/U and ATS with a win last week over the Detroit Lions, 42-30. The Vikings offense was clicking with 166 yards rushing and 337 yards passing by Kirk Cousins. The offense improved to 6th ranked overall in the NFL. The 6th ranked defense didn't perform as well, allowing 352 yards through the air to the Lions and 81 yards on the ground. It was the third straight win and cover for the Vikings, who have scored at least 28 points in four of their five games this year. The Redskins covered the spread last week, but barely. And considering they were shutout by the 49ers 0-9, that's even more amazing. But the 10-point line was their savior. The Skins covered their first game of the season last week against four losses. The managed just 154 total yards of offense in the loss and the ranking dropped to 29th overall. These teams last met in 2017 when the Vikings won in Washington, 38-30. The last three meetings have all gone over the total. That's what I'm sticking with here tonight. If we can get 10 points out of Washington then this one should go over. Play OVER.

New England Patriots look like they are making another run at the NFL Super Bowl as their defense has just been outstanding this year. Last week the Pats beat the other New York team, the Giants, 35-14. The Pats defense held the Giants to just 213 total yards and had four takeaways. The Pats defense is ranked 1st overall in the NFL with the Jets at 19th. The last six games in this series have gone UNDER. The Patriots are 1-7 O/U as a road favorite of seven or more points their last eight games. Meanwhile, the Jets are 1-5 O/U when coming off a S/U home dog win as they did last week vs the Cowboys. I'm going to take the UNDER tonight in this one. Play UNDER.

The San Francisco 49ers look to keep their perfect record in tact here on Monday night football as they host the Cleveland Browns. Cleveland pulled the upset win last week at Baltimore, 40-25. They have now covered both road games and not covered both home games. The Browns are 2-2 S/U and ATS. The entire offense was clicking last week at Baltimore with 337 yards passing and 193 yards rushing. The Browns offense now ranked 12th in the league with the defense ranked 13th. The 49ers had last week off to prepare for this game. Jimmy Garoppolo has a 9-2 record in his starts for the Niners. Shanahan is an offensive specialist and now you give him an extra week to prepare for this game? To me that means we'll be seeing plenty of points here on Monday. I'm expecting to see a high scoring contest in this one. take the OVER.

One of these teams should come away with their first win of the season here on Monday Night (barring a OT tie). Both Cincinnati and Pittsburgh are both 0-3 S/U to start the season. The Bengals looked great in their opener at Seattle, losing 20-21. The defense held Seattle to 72 yards rushing and 161 yards passing. Since the it's been downhill with a blowout loss at home to San Francisco, 17-41, and then a loss at Buffalo, 17-21. The Bengals have gone UNDER in two of their three games. Pittsburgh opened with a loss at New England, 3-33, then lost at home to Seattle, 26-28 and last week lost at San Francisco, 20-24. They have also gone under in two of their three games. Both teams rank near the bottom of the NFL in both offense and defense. Cincy has the 27th ranked defense and the 18th ranked offense. Pittsburgh is ranked 29th in defense and 30th in offense. For me, I'm looking UNDER here on Monday. The Bengals are 0-4-1 O/U in their last five road games. They are also 2-7-1 O/U the last 10 vs the AFC North. Pittsburgh is 2-5 O/U in their last seven games and now without Big Ben that should even be more magnified. The last 10 meetings between these teams in Pittsburgh has seen these teams go under eight time. Poor matchup here, so I'm sticking just with the UNDER.

Divisional Series Game of the Year: It wasn't that long ago that these teams met and the Saints pummeled the Eagles, 48-7. So what's different this time? The Eagles are a different team this time around. The Eagles still have the third worst pass defense in the league and now have to face Drew Brees and Company. Even QB Mitchel Trubisky threw for 303 yards in the Bears loss to the Eagles last week. Last time Brees threw for 363 yards vs the Eagles and could easily eclipse that this time. But this time, the Eagles have a rejuvenated Nick Foles. Foles seems to come alive come playoff time. The Saints haven't faced Foles since 2013. Foles has won nine of 10 starts in this late season period. Plus, RB Darren Sproles is going to play this time, something the Eagles lacked last time. So for this game, I'm going to take the OVER. The total is right at 51 or 51 1/2. Last time these teams met the game went under the 56.5 total as they came up just short with 55 points. This time, I expect the Eagles to get much more points the way the team is playing with Foles. And, Brees will still put up points for the Saints with that explosive offense they have. My best play of this round is the OVER.

Monday night matchup here has the Atlanta Falcons hosting the Giants. The Giants seem to be that one piece away from a winning team. Many are saying it's Eli Manning and his poor play is the reason. It surely isn't the play of rookie Saquon Barkely who continues to impress everyone or that of Odel Beckham. The Giants defense has given up 34, 33 and 33 points in each of their last three games. The offense isn't bad, but Eli is making too many mistakes. Today they face the 30th ranked defense in Atlanta. The Falcons offense is ranked 8th, but the defense has lost them games. I like the over here tonight. Both defenses give up lots of points. Both offenses can strike and strike quickly. Play the OVER here tonight and enjoy the show. Play OVER.

I think we have to really discard last week's lackluster effort by the Vikings. They were clearly looking past the inept Bills to tonight's game with the Rams. Only problem was, the Bills showed up and kicked their behinds to the tune of 27-6. In fact, the Vikings didn't even score until late in the 4th quarter. Minnesota had three turnovers to no takeaways and rushed for a paltry 14 yards. The Rams, they cruised to victory over their intra-city rivals, the Chargers, 35-23. The Rams offense continues to thrive, however their much anticipated defense took some hits last week.The Rams lost CB Marcus Peters (calf) who will not likely play tonight. They also lost CB Aqib Talib to an ankle injury and the IR list. That's a big loss at both starting corners. The Vikings should get their running game back tonight with the return of Dalvin Cook who returns from a hamstring injury. All in all the Vikings are still one of the best in the NFC and the Rams can score at will. I'm taking this game over and I'll just sit back and enjoy the show. Play the OVER.

 Two AFC North rivals meetup here to begin Week 2 of the NFL as the Bengals host the Ravens. Both teams won last week. The Ravens dismantled the Bills, 47-3 and the Bengals used a big 2nd half to win at the Colts, 34-23. The Bengals offense shot itself in the foot in the first half with turnovers. However, they fixed that in the second half and scored the points they should have early on. The Ravens have gone over in five of their last seven road games and are 9-4 O/U in their last 13 games overall. Both these QB's are playing well after week 1 and both offenses have generated plenty of offense. I like tonight's contest to go OVER the total.

 The Rams open the season and will debut their new defense under Wade Phillips. The Raiders get to debut new head coach Jon Gruden and a defense without their top player from last year in Khalil Mack. The Rams defense was bolstered during the offseason with the addition of All-Pro corners Aqib Talib and Marcus Peters plus Ndamakong Suh on the defensive line. While it was the offense last year that grabbed headlines, this defense has the ability to be one of the best in the NFL this season. The Rams didn't play any of their offensive stars during the preseason. This game should be exciting, but early on I do like defenses ahead of the offenses and I think the Rams unit will be on display here tonight. I'm taking the UNDER as I don't see the Raiders getting many points. Play UNDER.

The Chiefs have dominated the Chargers in recent times, winning eight straight dating back to 2014. QB Patrick Mahomes begins his tenure as the Chiefs starting signal-caller. The Chiefs will be without star defensive players Joey Bosa. Charger's QB Phillip Rivers begins his 15th season in the NFL. Combined with Melvin Gordon at running back and the Chargers have a potent offensive attack. The Chiefs are 8-3 Over/Under in their last 11 road games. I'm playing the OVER here on Sunday in this game as both teams should be able to put up plenty of points. The Chiefs won't be the same run team we've seen the in past. Play OVER.

 You could tell the Jags plan of attack last week was to play defense and not get QB Blake Bortles into any problems. Bortles made most of his passes behind the line of scrimmage or on short pass plays. These teams met back in week five with the Jags defense dominating Pittsburgh with five INT's and two pick-six touchdowns in a 30-9 win. I don't expect this Steelers team to play like that today, but I also don't expect this Jaguars team to get many points against a very good Steelers defense. I look for a low scoring game here today with Bortles again being asked to not do too much and let the defense take over. Play the UNDER.

01/22 3:05 PM EST   NFL   (311) GREEN BAY PACKERS VS (312) ATLANTA FALCONS.
Take: NFL Playoff Total of the Year: Green Bay/Atlanta Over the total.
Reason: An indoor game with a pair of ace QBs and loads of talented passing targets. Green Bay is on a 6-0 run over the total and the Over is 27-13 in Packers last 40 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. QB Aaron Rodgers is on a red-hot run and the Packers hope to have WR Jordy Nelson back after injured ribs prevented him from playing Sunday. Bu the battered Packers defense just lost S Morgan Burnett as the latest casualty. Atlanta is 9-0 over the total at home this season. The Falcons scored 540 points in the regular season, tied for eighth most in NFL history. And they're even better at home, where they've averaged 35.1. QB Matt Ryan had little problem carving up Green Bay in Week 8 (288 yards, 3 TD passes, 129.5 QB rating) despite a quiet day from Jones (3 catches, 29 yards) and absence of dynamic Tevin Coleman. The Falcons won that game 33-32 when the clubs met October 30 and this will be another offensive show. Play Green Bay/Atlanta Over the total.

11/27 1:00 PM  EST   NFL   (257) CINCINNATI BENGALS VS (258) BALTIMORE RAVENS.
Take: NFC North Total of the Year: Bengals/Ravens Under.
Reason: Baltimore has a dominant defense, especially at home. Cincinnati (3-6) is going nowhere and banged up with key players out, 1-4 SU on the road. Cincinnati already had a void in their receiving corps following the offseason departures of Marvin Jones and Mohamed Sanu, but there is no way to replace Green, who had racked up 66 receptions for for 964 yards. Andy Dalton has three touchdowns and four interceptions during Cincinnati's three-game winless drought (0-2-1). They are 6-2 under the total on the road, plus 14-3 under in November when the weather turns cold. Baltimore has a winning home mark and is in a division title race. The under is 36-17-3 for the Ravens after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Play Cincy/Baltimore Under the total.

NFL Platinum Club High Roller Total: Rams/49ers Under the total.
Defenses are ahead of the offenses in Week 1. And let's face it: as long as Jeff fisher is running the Rams, everyone will be ahead to their anemic offense. He prefers a safe, conservative offense that is long on punts and short on points, 29th in the NFL in scoring in 2015. Their talent is on the defensive side of the ball, especially up front, and that's a plus against a San Francisco offense that is learning the no-huddle, run-oriented attack of Chip Kelly. That will take time to learn, plus Kelly inherited bad QBs. Last year these teams played games of 24-6 and 19-16, part of a 12-4 run UNDER the total run by the Rams. Play the Rams/49ers Under the total.

01/16 08:15 PM  NFL   (303) GREEN BAY PACKERS VS (304) ARIZONA CARDINALS. 
Take:  NFL Playoff Total of the Year: Packers/Cardinals Over the total.
Green Bay has the best QB in the NFL in Aaron Rodgers (31 TDs, 8 INTs), off a terrific game at Washington as the offense erupted for 32 points. The over is 4-1 in the Packers last 5 playoff road games, plus 10-2 over after a straight up win of more than 14 points. Now they head to Arizona, playing indoors, which will help the Green Bay air attack. But the Packer defense faces a dynamite and rested Arizona offense that is tops in the NFL in total yards (408.3 per game) and second in points (30.6 ppg). Arizona is 4-0 over the total in home playoff games, plus 40-13 over the total after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. They are rested off a bye week following a loss at home to Seattle and the over is 35-16 in the Cardinals last 51 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. This has all the makings of an offensive show. Play the Packers/Cardinals OVER the total.

01/03 08:30 PM EST  NFL   (325) MINNESOTA VIKINGS VS (326) GREEN BAY PACKERS
Take:  NFL Total of the Year: Vikings/Packers Under the total.
The division title is on the line, so look for both defenses to show up with so much at stake. It's a revenge game for Minnesota after getting smoked at home by the Packers. The weather will br frigid, 20 degrees, so the Vikings will pound the line with RB Adrian Peterson. The Minnesota defense is outstanding, 14th in yards allowed, 9th against the pass and 6th in points allowed. Minnesota is on an 11-6-1 run under the total, 9-4 under vs the NFC, and 22-10 under after a win over 14+ points. Harrison Smith, linebacker Anthony Barr and nose tackle Linval Joseph all returned from injuries, putting the Vikings back at full strength on defense heading into the rematch with the Packers. The Packers are not prolific on offense, No. 20 in yards and just 26th in passing, off a 38-8 loss at Arizona, getting just 178 total yards. The Packers are on a 9-3 run under the total and the defense is Top 10 in points (19.5 ppg). Look for a low scoring defensive battle with so much at stake. Play the Vikings/Packers Under the total.

11/02 08:30 PM EST  NFL   (275) INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS (276) CAROLINA PANTHERS
Take: over the total.
Reason: Can't trust this Indianapolis defense that is 31st in the NFL in yards allowed. Only the Giants are worse, the team that allowed 52 on Sunday! The matchup with the Panthers kicks off a three-game stretch in which the Colts will face opponents with an combined 18-1 mark entering the weekend. Indianapolis turned in a clunker last week, falling behind by 27 points to visiting New Orleans before a belated rally came up short in a 27-21 setback. Luck tossed three scoring passes for the second game in a row, but he was also intercepted twice to mark the fourth time in his five starts he has thrown multiple picks. The Colts rank second to last in the league, allowing an average of 408.6 yards, and were gashed for 183 rushing yards by New Orleans. The Colts are 13-6 over the total on the road and 9-4 over on grass. They face the league's top-ranked ground game (144.7 yards) in Carolina. And the Over is 3-0-1 in Panthers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. Play the Colts/Panthers over the total.      

10/26 08:30 PM EST   NFL   (475) BALTIMORE RAVENS VS (476) ARIZONA CARDINALS
Take: NFL Monday Night Game of the Year: Ravens/Cardinals Over the total.
The loss of Terrell Suggs has been a big blow to this Baltimore defense, ranked 25th in yards allowed and 27th in points (27 ppg allowed). At least they have an elite NFL QB in Joe Flacco, with 8 TDs and 1,605 yards. Despite behing forced to pass often he's only been sacked 8 times. But Baltimore is on a 4-1 run over the total with a defense that has struggled everywhere. They head to Arizona, a team with a strong QB in Carson Palmer (14 TDs, 5 INTs) and great speed at WR. Arizona is 5-1 over the total this season and with this game indoors, look for a shootout with these QBs and passing attacks. Play Baltimore/Arizona Over the total.

01/18 6:40 PM EST  NFL   (303) INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS (304) NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Take:  NFL Playoff Total of the Year: Colts/Patriots Over the total.
Good weather for these great quarterbacks in New England Sunday night, no wind, no rain, 35 degrees. The Colts are tops in the NFL in passing with 306 yards per contest behind QB Andrew Luck (40 TDs, 16 INTs, 4,761 yds, 61.7%, 27 sacks), WR TY Hilton (1,345 yds), WR Reggie Wayne (779 yards) and TE Coby Fleener (774 yards). While the defense is off a brilliant game against Denver, this is still not an elite group, ranked 12th against the pass, 18th against the run and No. 19 in points allowed (23.3 ppg). Their linebackers are weak in pass coverage and they don't have run stuffers to contain the run. That's something New England will attack because....well, because they've destroyed this Colts defense with matchups twice in the last year. The Patriots beat the Colts in the playoffs last January, 43-22, and then two months ago, 42-20. New England had 503 yards in November (246 yards rushing) and 419 total yards (234 rushing) last January. The Pats are off a 35-31 win over the Ravens and this offense will have an easier time against the Colts defense. New England is on a 40-19-1 run over the total at home, 48-22 over vs. the AFC and the last six meetings between these teams are a perfect 6-0 over the total. Play the Colts/Patriots Over the total.      

12/14 04:25 PM EST   NFL   (329) SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS VS (330) SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
Take: NFC West Total of the Year: 49ers/Seahawks Under the total.
Seattle is peaking on defense at the right time, just like last year, allowing 3, 3 and 14 points the last three games. Seattle is 7-0 under in December and the under is 10-3 when the Seahawks face a team with a winning record. Into town comes rival San Francisco, a team with offensive line problems. Seattle took advantage of that two weeks ago in a 19-3 win at San Fran. San Francisco can't block anyone, they can't pass (27th in passing) and come off a 24-13 loss to Oakland. The 49ers are 7-3 under the total on the road and on a 4-0 run under the total overall. At least the defense is playing well, 4th against the pass, 7th against the run. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings, including 4-1-1 under the total here in Seattle. Play the 49ers/Seahawks Under the total.

12/14 1:00 PM EST  NFL   (309) PITTSBURGH STEELERS VS (310) ATLANTA FALCONS
Take: NFL High Roller Total Wipeout: Steelers/Falcons Over the total.
An indoors game between a pair of teams with high profile, veteran quarterbacks, lots of speedy wide receivers and suspect defenses. Pittsburgh heads to Atlanta with the No. 2 ranked passing offense and 8th ranked rushing game. They just hung 42 on the Bengals. But they can give up points with a pass defense ranked 23rd, allowing 21 and 35 the last two games. In fact, they've allowed 31, 23, 34, 23, 20, 24, 35 and 21 points the last 7 games. Pittsburgh is on a 6-1 run over the total and faces a terrible Atlanta defense, one ranked 21st in rushing and dead last against the pass allowing 288 yards per game. They just gave up 43 in cold and windy Green Bay and now head home, but at least they can pass and score with QB Matt Ryan. The over is 11-5 in the Falcons last 16 home games. Play the Steelers/Falcons Over the total.      

12/07 1:00 PM EST   NFL   (151) BALTIMORE RAVENS VS (152) MIAMI DOLPHINS
Take:  AFC Total of the Year: Ravens/Dolphins Over.
A pair of very good quarterbacks meet in nice weather in Miami. The Ravens rank fifth in the NFL in rushing, due mostly to the outstanding production of Justin Forsett, who has run for 100-plus yards in each of the last three games. QB Joe Flacco and Torrey Smith hooked up for two touchdowns last Sunday before the Baltimore defense allowed 21 fourth-quarter points, marking the fourth time in five games that the Ravens have given up at least 27 points. The Ravens rank 31st in defending the pass (273.9 yards per game. Baltimore is 4-0 over the total on the road and the over is 5-0 in the Ravens last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Ravens now must take the field without one of their best players, defensive tackle Haloti Ngata, who was suspended for the rest of the regular season due to violating the league's policy against performance-enhancing drugs. Miami has good balance on offense and has been more attacking this season behind QB Ryan Tannehill (20 TDs, 9 picks), so look for an offensive show. Play Baltimore/Miami Over the total.

11/27 04:30 PM EST  NFL   (307) PHILADELPHIA EAGLES VS (308) DALLAS COWBOYS
Take:  NFL Rivalry Total of the Year: Eagles/Cowboys Over the total.
Philadelphia is about an uptempo, no-huddle attack and they are playing indoors (for the most part) in this rivalry game. The Eagles are on a 4-0 run over the total scoring 31, 45, 20 and 43 points. Defense is an afterthought and the Eagles rank 16th against the run, 30th against the pass. Josh Huff returned the opening kickoff 107 yards, LeSean McCoy ran for 130 yards and the Eagles beat the Tennessee Titans 43-24 on Sunday. QB Mark Sanchez threw for 307 yards and one touchdown in his third start for the injured Nick Foles. He has 300 yards passing in three straight games, tying a team record. Dallas has plenty of offensive punch, scoring 31 points in each of the last two games. The defense is starting to show some cracks, allowing over 400 yards and 28 points in a win at the NY Giants. Dallas is on a 4-1-1 run over the total and this shapes up as an offensive show. Play the Eagles/Cowboys Over the total.      

11/03 08:30 PM EST  NFL   (473) INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS (474) NEW YORK GIANTS
Take:   Monday Night NFL Total of the Year: Colts/NY Giants over the total.
The weather is looking good for the offenses in New Jersey for Monday night -- 48, no wind, no rain. Indianapolis is in town with some impressive defensive numbers after being so weak on defense last year....until last week, when the Steelers hung 51 points and over 500 yards passing on them! This team still has problems, giving up 31 to Denver, 30 to Philly, 28 to Houston and now 51. At least the Colts offense is spectacular, 13th in rushing, No. 1 in the NFL in passing behind QB Andrew Luck (22 TDs, 9 INTs) with 336.5 yards per game. Indy is on an 8-2 run over the total. The NY Giants have improved the offensive line for QB Eli Manning (14 TDs, 5 INTs), as he had 39 sacks in 2013, but only 13 this year. The defense is what is letting the team down, 25th in pass D (262 yds pg), and 22nd vs the rush (122). They are off a 31-21 loss at Dallas, getting outgained 432-352. The Giants allowed 156 rushing and Dallas was 9-14 on third down. Manning was 21 of 33 for 248 yards. Look for an offensive show in the Meadowlands. Play the Colts/NY Giants over the total.

11/02 08:30 PM EST  NFL   (471) BALTIMORE RAVENS VS (472) PITTSBURGH STEELERS
Take:  NFL High Roller Total: Ravens/Steelers Over the total.
A pair of division rivals with reputations as fierce on defense, but these offenses are very good and they usually got over the total. Baltimore is 13th in the NFL in passing and has developed a terrific ground game this season averaging 128.4 yards per game (8th). They are 2-1 over the total scoring 48, 29 and 24 points the last three games. The defense is soft in the secondary allowing 256 yards passing per game (22nd) and they face a red-hot QB in Ben Roethlisberger. He is off a historic game, throwing for 522 yards (4th most in NFL history) as Pittsburgh topped the Colts, 51-34. This is the end of a three-game home stand and the Steelers have scored 81 points the first two! Pittsburgh ranks 9th in the NFL in rushing and 4th in passing. Play the Ravens/Steelers over the total.      

10/12 1:00 PM EST  NFL   (267) BALTIMORE RAVENS VS (268) TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
Take:  NFL High Roller Total Wipeout: Ravens/Bucs Over the total.
A pair of pass-happy teams meet in Tampa Bay and this is a low NFL total. The over is 7-1 in the Ravens last 8 games on grass and they come to town with a balanced offense, 12th in rushing, 13th in passing. The defense, though, has troubles in the secondary ranked 27th allowing 269 yards per game. They face a new-look Tampa Bay offense that is much better with second-year QB Mike Glennon running the show. He led them to a 27-24 upset at Pittsburgh two weeks ago, and last week they gave the Saints a game before losing 37-31 in OT, so this passing offense is clicking. The defense, however, is 18th against the run and 30th against the pass. The over is 7-0 when the Bucs play in October, 7-1 over the total after the Buccaneers allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game, as well as 4-1 over in the Buccaneers last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. This shapes up as a game with a lot of passing yards and points. Play the Ravens/Bucs Over the total.