Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-09-24 | Bengals v. Cowboys OVER 49.5 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 35 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals (4-8) will face the Dallas Cowboys (5-7) on Monday at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The Bengals' offense has been productive, averaging 33 points per game over their last three contests. Quarterback Joe Burrow leads the league with 30 passing touchdowns, and wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase has been a consistent playmaker. Defensively, Cincinnati has struggled, allowing an average of 37.7 points per game in their last three games, indicating potential for high-scoring affairs. The Cowboys' offense has been inconsistent, ranking 29th in the NFL in EPA per play and 27th in success rate. However, they have shown improvement, averaging 27 points in their recent victory over the New York Giants. Dallas' defense has been vulnerable, allowing significant yardage and points, which could contribute to a higher combined score. The over has hit in five consecutive Bengals games, reflecting their recent high-scoring trends. The Bengals have a potent offense, but they also have a poor defense. Despite Dallas playing without Dak Prescott at QB, I look for these teams to exchange points back and forth on Monday. I'm taking the OVER. |
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12-08-24 | Chargers v. Chiefs UNDER 43 | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 21 h 29 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Chargers (8-4) will face the Kansas City Chiefs (11-1) on Sunday at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. The Chiefs lead the AFC West with an 11-1 record and have secured a playoff spot. Their success is attributed to a league-leading third-down conversion rate of 50%, resulting in 11 touchdowns and only two turnovers in these situations. The Chargers, holding an 8-4 record, are second in the AFC West. They recently achieved a 17-13 victory over the Atlanta Falcons, with their defense dominating Kirk Cousins' offense. However, they are 3.5-point underdogs for the upcoming game against the Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes continues to be a pivotal figure in the Chiefs' offense, leading the team with his exceptional playmaking abilities. Justin Herbert (Quarterback): Herbert leads the Chargers' offense and will be crucial in challenging the Chiefs' defense. Ladd McConkey (Wide Receiver) is listed on the injury report; his status could impact the Chargers' passing game. McConkey is a huge part of this Chargers passing game and without him that will take a key weapon away on Sunday. I'm taking the Chiefs and the UNDER. |
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12-08-24 | Seahawks v. Cardinals UNDER 44.5 | 30-18 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks (7-5) are set to face the Arizona Cardinals (6-6) on Sunday, at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. Currently leading the NFC West, the Seahawks are on a three-game winning streak, including a recent 16-6 victory over the Cardinals on November 24. The Cardinals are aiming to break a two-game losing streak, with their most recent game being a last-second loss to the Minnesota Vikings. Seattle QB Geno Smith has thrown for 3,241 yards this season, with 13 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Zach Charbonnet (Running Back) will step back into the starting role on Sunday with Kenneth Walker III ruled out due to a calf injury. The Cardinals are led by QB Kyler Murray who has accumulated 2,603 passing yards, 13 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions this season. James Conner leads the Cardinals with 773 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns. A lot on the line for all the teams in the NFC West as they are bunched together. This game went way under just a few weeks ago and I don't see that changing here on Sunday. I'm sticking with the UNDER. |
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12-08-24 | Raiders v. Bucs OVER 46.5 | 13-28 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
The Las Vegas Raiders (2-10) are set to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-6) on Sunday, December 8, 2024, at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. The Raiders are enduring a challenging season, currently on an eight-game losing streak. Their most recent game was a narrow 19-17 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. The Raiders fell to the Chiefs curse though as their winning drive was thwarted by a miscue on the snap and penalty. The Buccaneers have shown resilience, securing back-to-back victories, including a 26-23 win over the Carolina Panthers. Aidan O'Connell has done well for the Raiders at QB, in the recent game against the Chiefs, O'Connell completed 23 of 35 passes for 340 yards and two touchdowns, showcasing his potential as a reliable signal-caller. Brock Bowers has been a consistent target in the passing game, leading the team with 884 receiving yards this season. Tampa Bay QB Baker Mayfield has been effective under center, amassing 3,034 passing yards with 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions this season. Tampa WR Mike Evans practiced fully on Friday and is expected to play. This game looks to be a shootout on Sunday as the Bucs can go up and down the field and should have little issues vs this Raiders defense. Take the OVER. |
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12-08-24 | Browns v. Steelers OVER 43.5 | 14-27 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Browns (3-9) are set to face the Pittsburgh Steelers (9-3) on Sunday at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The Browns are looking to rebound after a 41-32 loss to the Denver Broncos. Despite their record, they have shown resilience, notably defeating the Steelers 24-19 in Week 12. Quarterback Jameis Winston has stepped up in Deshaun Watson's absence, leading the team with determination. The Steeler aiming to avenge their recent loss to the Browns. Quarterback Russell Wilson has been effective, supported by a strong defense. However, recent injuries could impact their performance. Jameis Winston since taking over as starter at QB, has shown leadership, including a notable performance in the Week 12 victory over Pittsburgh. George Pickens (WR) leads the Steelers team with 55 receptions for 850 yards and three touchdowns, Pickens' status is questionable due to a hamstring injury. The Steelers offense has been very upgraded since Russell Wilson took over at QB and I look for that to continue against a Browns defense that is not good. Take the OVER. |
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12-05-24 | Packers v. Lions OVER 51.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show | |
Week 14 begins here on Thursday as the the Green Bay Packers (9-3) and the Detroit Lions (11-1) face off from Ford Field in Detroit. The Lions are on a remarkable 10-game winning streak, leading the NFC North. Their offense averages 31.9 points per game, the highest in the NFL, while their defense has allowed an average of 13.75 points over the last four games. The Packers have won seven of their last eight games, including a recent 30-17 victory over the Miami Dolphins. Quarterback Jordan Love has been efficient, completing 21 of 28 passes for 278 yards in the latest win. In their earlier encounter on November 3, 2024, the Lions defeated the Packers 24-14 at Lambeau Field. Safety Kerby Joseph contributed significantly with a 27-yard interception return for a touchdown. Both teams have lengthy injury reports which isn't odd this time of year. This will be a duel of QB's with the Lions Jared Goff facing Jordan Love of the Packers. This is a big divisional contest and I will be taking the Packers here on Thursday. I also like the over to go along with this side. Both teams will put up plenty of points here on Thursday. Should be an excellent contest as I take the Packers and the OVER. |
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12-01-24 | Titans v. Commanders OVER 44.5 | 19-42 | Win | 100 | 24 h 31 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans (3-8) will face the Washington Commanders (7-5) on Sunday at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland. This Week 13 matchup features two teams with contrasting trajectories, as the Titans aim to build on recent success, while the Commanders seek to halt a three-game losing streak. The Titans are coming off a significant 32-27 road victory against the Houston Texans, marking their third win of the season. Under head coach Brian Callahan, the team has shown resilience despite a challenging season. Quarterback Will Levis has gained increased support from fans, with 48% believing he should remain the starter moving forward. The Commanders have encountered difficulties recently, enduring a three-game losing streak, including a 26-34 loss to the Dallas Cowboys. Despite these setbacks, they maintain a 7-5 record, positioning them second in the NFC East. Fan confidence has waned, dropping to 57%, reflecting concerns over the team's current form. Titans' QB Will Levis has shown promise, leading the Titans to a recent victory and earning increased confidence. Washington QB Jayden Daniels has been a key contributor, but the offense has struggled with consistency during the losing streak. Both teams have been in some recent high scoring games and I look for the offenses to be on target again this Sunday. I'm taking the OVER here between these teams. |
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11-28-24 | Dolphins v. Packers UNDER 48.5 | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 32 h 3 m | Show | |
The Miami Dolphins (5-6) are set to face the Green Bay Packers (8-3) on Thursday at Lambeau Field in Green Bay. This is the late game on Thanksgiving day and with the last start time could be bitter cold in Green Bay. The Dolphins currently hold a 5-6 record, placing them second in the AFC East. They are coming off a 34-15 victory over the New England Patriots, showcasing a strong offensive performance in a blowout win. The Packers boast an 8-3 record, positioning them third in the NFC North. They recently secured a dominant 38-10 victory over the San Francisco 49ers, highlighting their offensive prowess. The big addition to this team was thatt of RB Josh Jacobs who scored three TD's on Sunday and helps set up the passing game with his prolific running. Dolphins' quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been instrumental in their recent victories after missing many games with the concussion protocol. Packers' quarterback Jordan Love has led the team to an impressive 8-3 record with Jacobs leading the way on the ground. This gives the Packers a strong pass/run attack. The Packers' defense held the 49ers to just 10 points in their recent matchup, showcasing their ability to limit opposing offenses. One thing to keep in mind is the weather. Green Bay can not only be bitter cold, but snow also a possibility. Miami historically has never done well in cold weather and this could prove a tough spot for Tua and the passing attack. With the cold weather possible and the ground game of the Packers, I'll look for this game to go UNDER the Total. |
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11-28-24 | Bears v. Lions OVER 48 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 23 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears (4-7) are set to face the Detroit Lions (10-1) on Thursday at Ford Field in Detroit. This Thanksgiving Day matchup features two NFC North rivals with contrasting seasons. The Bears began the season with a 4-2 record but have since lost five consecutive games, bringing their record to 4-7. Despite significant offseason acquisitions, including quarterback Caleb Williams, wide receiver Rome Odunze, and running back D'Andre Swift, the offense has struggled, averaging only 14.5 points per game during this losing streak. The Lions are enjoying their best start in franchise history with a 10-1 record, currently on a nine-game winning streak. Their offense has been potent. However, they have not won on Thanksgiving since 2016 and want nothing more than to turn this around for the home crowd on this holiday. How will the Bears offense be able to keep up with this prolific Lions offense? Not sure, as they have struggled a lot, especially during their losing streak. The Bears' running back D'Andre Swift has been dealing with a groin injury but is expected to be active for the game. The Lions have faced injuries to key players, including David Montgomery, who sustained a shoulder injury in their game last Sunday but is probable for Thursday's contest. The Lions have been pretty much unstoppable on offense and I don't see that changing here on Thursday. That means the Bears will have to ramp up the offense just to stay close. I'm taking the OVER as my 20-Star Hi-Roller Total on Thursday. |
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11-24-24 | Patriots v. Dolphins OVER 46 | 15-34 | Win | 100 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots (3-7) are set to face the Miami Dolphins (3-6) on Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida in an AFC East battle. The Patriots have encountered challenges this season, holding a 3-7 record. Their recent 28-22 loss to the Los Angeles Rams highlighted both offensive potential and defensive vulnerabilities. Quarterback Matthew Stafford threw four touchdown passes, benefiting from excellent offensive line protection that allowed no sacks. Top receivers Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp both surpassed 100 yards receiving, with Kupp scoring two touchdowns. Defensive end Braden Fiske contributed significantly with two sacks and a forced fumble, while defensive back Kamren Kinchens grabbed a game-sealing interception. The Dolphins stand at 3-6, recently securing a 34-19 victory over the Las Vegas Raiders. I see the Dolphins putting up big points here on Sunday as the Pats have to try and keep up. I'll take the OVER. |
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11-18-24 | Texans v. Cowboys UNDER 41 | 34-10 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
It's Monday Night Footgall as the Houston Texans (6-4) are set to face the Dallas Cowboys (3-6) at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The Texans have experienced a solid season, holding a 6-4 record. However, they've encountered recent challenges, including a narrow 26-23 loss to the Detroit Lions after leading big in the first half, 23-7, but failing to score in the 2nd half. Quarterback C.J. Stroud has been pivotal, amassing 2,371 passing yards with 12 touchdowns and six interceptions. Running back Joe Mixon has contributed 655 rushing yards and seven touchdowns. The return of wide receiver Nico Collins, who leads the team with 567 receiving yards and three touchdowns, is expected to bolster the offense. The Cowboys have struggled this season, currently at 3-6 and enduring a four-game losing streak. Their most recent defeat was a 34-6 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. The team faces significant challenges, including the absence of quarterback Dak Prescott due to a hamstring injury. Cooper Rush will now be under center for Dallas. The Cowboys' numerous injuries, particularly in the secondary and at quarterback, could significantly affect their performance. The Cowboys are already struggling running the ball and now with Rush as the QB I don't see them scoring much here tonight. I'll take the UNDER. |
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11-17-24 | Bengals v. Chargers OVER 47 | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 105 h 38 m | Show | |
AFC matchup here on Sunday has the Cincinnati Bengals and the Los Angeles Chargers facing off from SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. The Cincinnati Bengals currently hold a 4-6 record, placing them third in the AFC North and ninth in the AFC. Their offense has been productive, averaging 27 points per game, with quarterback Joe Burrow leading the league in passing yards at 2,672. However, their defense has been inconsistent, allowing an average of 26.2 points per game. The Los Angeles Chargers boast a 6-3 record, positioning them second in the AFC West and holding the seventh seed in the playoff standings. Their defense has been formidable, allowing a league-low 13 points per game, and excelling in areas such as third-down defense and red zone performance. Offensively, quarterback Justin Herbert has been efficient, supported by a balanced attack that includes rookie receiver Ladd McConkey. The Bengals Joe Burrow is leading the league in passing yards, Burrow's performance is crucial for the Bengals' offensive success. He had over 400 yards last week in a high scoring affair with his main target being Da'Marr Chase who has 981 receiving yards. This matchup features a high-powered Bengals offense against a stout Chargers defense. The Bengals will aim to exploit any weaknesses in the Chargers' secondary, while the Chargers will look to pressure Burrow and disrupt the Bengals' passing game. No one seems to stop the Bengals freight train of an offense right now. Problem is the Bengals defense isn't any good. Look for a back-and-forth contest here as these teams score at will. I'm taking the OVER. |
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11-17-24 | Packers v. Bears UNDER 40.5 | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 97 h 17 m | Show | |
NFC North matchup here on Sunday has the Green Bay Packers taking on the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois. The Green Bay Packers hold a 6-3 record, placing them third in the NFC North. Their offense averages 25.6 points per game, with quarterback Jordan Love leading the team with 1,820 passing yards and 15 touchdowns. Defensively, they allow 21.6 points per game. The Chicago Bears have a 4-5 record, placing them fourth in the NFC North. Their offense averages 19.4 points per game, with rookie quarterback Caleb Williams contributing 1,785 passing yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, they allow 18.6 points per game. The Bears have recently fired offensive coordinator Shane Waldron after a series of underwhelming offensive performances, including a 19-3 loss to the New England Patriots. Thomas Brown has been promoted to offensive coordinator. Head coach Matt Eberflus has confirmed that Caleb Williams will remain the starting quarterback despite recent struggles. Green Bay Packers QB Jordan Love leads the team with 1,820 passing yards and 15 touchdowns. Josh Jacobs (RB) is contributing 762 rushing yards. Both teams offenses have struggled of late and with that I'll be on the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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11-17-24 | Browns v. Saints OVER 44.5 | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 97 h 16 m | Show | |
The Interconference matchup here on Sunday has the Cleveland Browns taking on the New Orleans Saints from the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana. The Cleveland Browns hold a 2-7 record, placing them fourth in the AFC North. Their offense has struggled, averaging 17.3 points per game, while the defense has allowed 23.3 points per game. Quarterback Jameis Winston has contributed 652 passing yards, 5 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions this season after Watson went down with a season ending Achillie's injury a few weeks ago. The New Orleans Saints have a 3-7 record, placing them third in the NFC South. Their offense averages 17.7 points per game, while the defense allows 18.0 points per game. Running back Alvin Kamara has been a key contributor, recently becoming the franchise's all-time leading rusher. The Saints recently fired head coach Dennis Allen after a seven-game losing streak, appointing special teams coordinator Darren Rizzi as interim head coach. This coaching change may influence team dynamics and performance in the upcoming game. Jameis Winston (QB) performance will be crucial in revitalizing the Browns' offense. Nick Chubb (RB) ability to establish the run game can provide balance to the offense. Alvin Kamara (RB) has dual-threat capability as a runner and receiver makes him a focal point of the Saints' offense. Taysom Hill (TE/QB) versatility can create matchup challenges for the Browns' defense. With the Saints change in coaching we might see them open it up a bit more and not play so conservative. The Browns with Winson have shown they can score points too. I'm looking for this matchup to go over the total on Sunday. |
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11-09-24 | Georgia v. Ole Miss UNDER 55 | 10-28 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
The Georgia Bulldogs and the Ole Miss Rebels face off on Saturday at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, Mississippi. The Bulldogs hold a 7-1 overall record and a 5-1 mark in SEC play, positioning them at the top of the SEC East division. They are ranked No. 2 in the AP Top 25 poll. Georgia's offense averages 33.1 points per game, while their defense allows 17.2 points per game, indicating a balanced and effective team. The Rebels have a 7-2 overall record and are 3-2 in SEC play, placing them third in the SEC West division. They are ranked No. 16 in the AP Top 25 poll. Ole Miss's offense averages 42.1 points per game, ranking fourth nationally, while their defense concedes 13.2 points per game, ranking sixth nationally, reflecting a high-powered offense complemented by a stout defense. Georgia Quarterback Carson Beck has been instrumental, delivering consistent performances throughout the season. Running back Trevor Etienne and wide receiver Arian Smith have also been significant contributors to the Bulldogs' offensive success. Ole Miss Quarterback Jaxson Dart leads the Rebels' high-powered offense, with running back Henry Parrish Jr. and wide receiver Jordan Watkins providing key support. Dart's ability to extend plays and his connection with Watkins have been pivotal in Ole Miss's offensive production. The Bulldogs are coming off a 34-20 victory over Florida on November 2, 2024. The Rebels are riding a two-game winning streak, including a commanding 63-31 victory over Arkansas on November 2 where Dart threw for 311 yards and five touchdowns. I look for the defenses of both teams to be on display here on Saturday. I'm taking this game under. |
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11-07-24 | Bengals v. Ravens OVER 53 | 34-35 | Win | 100 | 25 h 27 m | Show | |
Week 10 of the NFL kicks off here on Thursday as the Cincinnati Bengals and the Baltimore Ravens meet in a pivotal AFC North clash. The Ravens hold a 6-3 record, positioning them second in the AFC North. The Bengals are at 4-5, placing them third in the division. Baltimore's offense has been formidable, averaging 31.4 points per game, the highest in the league. Quarterback Lamar Jackson has thrown for 1,810 yards and 15 touchdowns, while running back Derrick Henry leads the NFL with 873 rushing yards and eight touchdowns. Cincinnati's offense has shown potential, with quarterback Joe Burrow leading the NFL in passing yards. Wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase has been a standout, recording 620 receiving yards and six touchdowns. Baltimore's defense has been solid against the run, allowing only 75.7 rushing yards per game, ranking first in the league. However, they've struggled against the pass, conceding 280.9 passing yards per game, which is the highest in the NFL. The Ravens and Bengals met earlier this season on October 6, with Baltimore securing a 41-38 overtime victory. The game was a high-scoring affair, featuring standout performances from both quarterbacks. Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry have been instrumental in Baltimore's offensive success. Henry, in particular, has been a force in the running game, leading the league in rushing yards. Joe Burrow's connection with Ja'Marr Chase has been a highlight for Cincinnati's offense, with Chase leading the league in receiving yards. Two offenses that have been explosive meet tonight. I look for a repeat of their first meeting with the Bengals possibly pulling the upset win. Take the Bengals and the OVER. |
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11-03-24 | Colts v. Vikings OVER 46.5 | 13-21 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 17 m | Show | |
Week 9 of the NFL in full swing here on Sunday as the Indianapolis Colts (4-4) will face the Minnesota Vikings (5-2) at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. The Colts have experienced an inconsistent season, highlighted by a recent 30-23 loss to the Houston Texans. Following this defeat, the team benched second-year quarterback Anthony Richardson in favor of veteran Joe Flacco. This decision aims to stabilize the offense, which has struggled with a 63% Drive Success Rate, ranking 20th percentile for the season. The Colts' defense has allowed an average of 21.5 points per game, placing them in the middle tier of the league. The Vikings began the season with a strong 5-0 start but have since suffered two consecutive losses to the Detroit Lions and Los Angeles Rams. Despite these setbacks, they maintain a solid defensive unit, ranking 5th in points per drive allowed and excelling in both pass and rush defense metrics. Offensively, the Vikings have been productive, with key contributions from wide receiver Justin Jefferson, who leads the team with 646 receiving yards and six touchdowns. Joe Flacco's experience brings a new dynamic to the Colts' offense. His ability to manage the game and avoid turnovers will be crucial against a formidable Vikings defense. The Colts have had success with Flacco at the helm as he looks like his young days again. With Flacco in this game I'm taking the Colts and the OVER in this game on Sunday Night. |
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11-03-24 | Bears v. Cardinals OVER 44.5 | 9-29 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 52 m | Show | |
Week 9 NFL Matchup has the NFC showcase between the Chicago Bears (4-3) and the Arizona Cardinals (4-4) at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. Both teams are seeking to rebound from recent losses and strengthen their playoff prospects. The Bears are coming off a narrow 18-15 loss to the Washington Commanders, highlighted by a last-second Hail Mary touchdown. Rookie quarterback Caleb Williams has shown promise, completing 65% of his passes for 1,800 yards, 12 touchdowns, and six interceptions. Wide receiver Darnell Mooney leads the team with 45 receptions for 600 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, the Bears have been stout against the pass, ranking 5th in the league, but have struggled against the run, allowing 120 rushing yards per game. The Cardinals secured a 28-27 victory over the Miami Dolphins in Week 8, showcasing resilience. Quarterback Kyler Murray has passed for 1,638 yards, 10 touchdowns, and four interceptions, adding 300 rushing yards and three touchdowns. Tight end Trey McBride leads with 446 receiving yards and three touchdowns. The Cardinals' defense has been vulnerable, allowing 25.6 points per game, ranking 26th in the league. The Bears are dealing with injuries in their secondary, which could impact their pass defense. Both teams have QB's that can run and pass well so this game should be a great showcase of young talent. I'm looking for this game to go OVER the total. |
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11-03-24 | Commanders v. Giants OVER 44 | 27-22 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
Week 9 NFL action has a key NFC East matchup here on Sunday as the Washington Commanders (6-2) will face the New York Giants (2-6) at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The Commanders have emerged as a formidable force, leading the NFC East. Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has been instrumental, completing 71.8% of his passes for 1,736 yards, seven touchdowns, and two interceptions. He's also contributed 424 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Wide receiver Terry McLaurin leads the team with 40 receptions for 579 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, the Commanders have improved, now ranking 13th in yards allowed and 10th in points allowed. The Giants have struggled, particularly on offense, averaging 14.6 points per game, ranking 31st in the league. Quarterback Daniel Jones has thrown for 1,706 yards, six touchdowns, and five interceptions. Running back Tyrone Tracy Jr. has been a bright spot, rushing for 376 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, the Giants allow 21.9 points per game, ranking 14th. Jayden Daniels' dual-threat capability has added a dynamic element to Washington's offense, contrasting with Daniel Jones' inconsistent performance. I look for Washington to score on most of their offensive possessions. The question mark is will New York be able to counter. I'm counting on it to some degree, so I'll be on the OVER here on Sunday. |
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11-03-24 | Broncos v. Ravens OVER 46 | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
Key AFC battle here on Sunday week 9 of the NFL as the Denver Broncos (5-3) are set to face the Baltimore Ravens (5-3) at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. Both teams have rebounded from 0-2 starts, making this Week 9 matchup crucial for their playoff aspirations. After a shaky start, the Broncos have won five of their last six games, including a 28-14 victory over the Carolina Panthers in Week 8. Rookie quarterback Bo Nix has been instrumental, throwing for 1,850 yards, 12 touchdowns, and five interceptions. Running back Javonte Williams has contributed 650 rushing yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, the Broncos rank 10th in points allowed per game (20.5) and have recorded 25 sacks this season. The Ravens also started 0-2 but have since found their rhythm. Despite a recent 29-24 loss to the Cleveland Browns, they remain competitive in the AFC North. Quarterback Lamar Jackson has passed for 2,100 yards, 15 touchdowns, and six interceptions, adding 500 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Wide receiver Diontae Johnson, acquired mid-season, has quickly become a key target, amassing 300 receiving yards and three touchdowns in four games. The Ravens' defense ranks 12th in points allowed per game (21.0) and has forced 15 turnovers this season. Bo Nix's poise as a rookie will be tested against a Ravens defense known for its blitz packages. Lamar Jackson's dual-threat ability poses a significant challenge for the Broncos' defense. The Ravens have been putting up plenty of points this year. Will Denver be able to keep up? I think they will against a Ravens defense that gave up 29 points last week to a Jameis Winston led Browns offense. I'll take the OVER here on Sunday. |
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11-02-24 | Wisconsin v. Iowa OVER 41.5 | 10-42 | Win | 100 | 19 h 30 m | Show | |
Big Ten Clash here on Saturday between the Iowa Hawkeyes and the Wisconsin Badgers on at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City is set to be a pivotal contest, with both teams holding identical records of 5-3 overall and 3-2 in conference play. The Hawkeyes are coming off a commanding 40-14 victory over Northwestern, showcasing a balanced offensive attack and a staunch defense. Running back Kaleb Johnson led the ground game with 109 yards and three touchdowns, while quarterback Brendan Sullivan, stepping in for the injured Cade McNamara, contributed both through the air and on the ground. The Badgers faced a setback in their recent outing, falling 28-13 to Penn State. Quarterback Braedyn Locke completed 22 of 42 passes for 217 yards but was unable to find the end zone, throwing one interception. The offense struggled to establish momentum against a formidable Penn State defense. The Hawkeyes have demonstrated a potent rushing attack, with Kaleb Johnson leading the Big Ten in rushing yards (1,144) and touchdowns (16). Sullivan's mobility adds a dual-threat dimension to the offense. Iowa's defense has been resilient, allowing an average of 18.9 points per game, ranking 24th nationally. They have been effective in limiting opponents' rushing yards and forcing turnovers. The Badgers have averaged 27.0 points per game, with a balanced offensive approach. However, recent performances have shown inconsistencies, particularly in the passing game. Both of these teams have proven they can put points on the board. I'm looking at taking the OVER here on Saturday. |
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11-02-24 | Ohio State v. Penn State UNDER 48 | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Reason: The Marquee Matchup of the day on Saturday has no 4 Ohio State taking on No 3 Penn State. Ohio State Buckeyes holding a 6-1 record, the Buckeyes are ranked 4th in the AP poll. Their sole loss this season was a narrow defeat to top-ranked Oregon. Penn State Nittany Lions come into this contest undefeated at 7-0, the Nittany Lions are ranked 3rd nationally. Their most recent victory was a 28-13 win over Wisconsin. The Buckeyes have averaged 40.3 points per game, ranking 11th nationally. Quarterback Will Howard has been instrumental, though the offensive line has faced challenges, particularly with injuries affecting key positions. The Buckeyes allow just 11.9 points per game, Ohio State's defense ranks 4th nationally, demonstrating a robust ability to limit opponents' scoring opportunities. The Nittany Lions have shown versatility, with a strong rushing attack led by juniors Kaytron Allen and Nicholas Singleton, who have combined for nearly 1,000 rushing yards this season. Quarterback Drew Allar's status is uncertain due to a lower-body injury sustained in the game against Wisconsin. Note, Allar's current status was upgraded to Probable. Penn State's defense is formidable, ranking 11th in points allowed per drive. They excel in creating disruptions and limiting explosive plays by opponents. This is a clash of top tier defensive units and I expect a low scoring affair. Penn State's home-field advantage, undefeated record and the fact that Allar should play today make them the play for me. I'll take Penn State and the UNDER. |
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10-31-24 | Texans v. Jets UNDER 42.5 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
Week 9 of the NFL kicks off from the Meadowlands here on Thursday as the Houston Texans take on the NY Jets. The Jets have struggled this year, even with the fully healthy Aaron Rodgers and the new addition of his old Packers' WR D'Vante Adams. The Jets are known for their solid defense, especially against the run, they have consistently held opponents to low scores in recent games. This strength often results in lower-scoring games, as they can control the tempo. Houston's defense has been more variable, with occasional lapses, especially against the pass. However, they have also shown an ability to tighten up, particularly in the red zone, which limits scoring opportunities. The Houston offense was dealt another huge blow last week as WR Diggs went down with a season ending injury. Add to that another week with star WR Nico Collins and they will be without two of their explosive deep threats on offense. Both teams have been involved in relatively low-scoring games recently, with neither team consistently surpassing the league average in points per game. The Jets, in particular, have a pattern of hitting the under in their games, largely due to their defense and slower offensive pace. Based on the defensive strength and both teams tendencies toward lower-scoring, controlled games, I like the UNDER here tonight. |
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10-27-24 | Cowboys v. 49ers UNDER 47 | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
Sunday Night football will close out the day as the Dallas Cowboys visit the San Francisco 49ers. In what normally would be a marquee matchup, both teams have struggled. The Cowboys (3-3) have struggled to find consistency, particularly after a heavy 47-9 loss to the Detroit Lions, with quarterback Dak Prescott logging 1,602 passing yards, 8 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions so far. Despite their strong pass game, Dallas' run game has lagged, and they've allowed opponents an average of 28 points per game, putting pressure on their defense to improve. The 49ers (3-4), have been hit big time by the injury bug. They lost WR Ayuik for the season last week and Deebo Samual had to be hospitalize with pneumonia. Purdy led has 1,841 passing yards, 9 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions, and will be looking to capitalize on their ground game led by Jordan Mason and their robust defensive front featuring Nick Bosa. RB Christrian McCaffrey could return in week 10 and give a bolster to this 49er's offense, but that remains to be seen. The 49ers' pass rush will be pivotal in containing Prescott. With all the 49ers injuries I have to take the Cowboys here on Sunday and the UNDER as I don't see the 49ers putting up a lot of points. |
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10-27-24 | Saints v. Chargers OVER 41 | 8-26 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 1 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints will face the Los Angeles Chargers in a key Week 8 matchup on Sunday at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles. Both teams have struggled this season and are looking to rebound, with the Chargers at 2-4 and the Saints at 2-5. Saints Quarterback Derek Carr has had a mixed season, recording 989 passing yards, 8 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. The Saints have averaged 196.6 passing yards and 116.3 rushing yards per game, with Alvin Kamara as their leading rusher. However, the defense has allowed 25.7 points per game, which could be a concern against an offense like the Chargers. Despite a skilled secondary led by Marshon Lattimore, they've struggled to stop the run, allowing nearly 147 rushing yards per game. Chargers QB Justin Herbert has managed 1,164 passing yards with 6 touchdowns and just one interception. The Chargers' defense has been inconsistent, particularly in the secondary, which has struggled with injuries. Their pass rush, however, remains a strength, led by Khalil Mack and Joey Bosa. Offensively, the Chargers have shown potential but are averaging only 20 points per game and have not always been able to close out games. Both teams have the offensive power players to get big points on the board here on Sunday. I will take the OVER in this one. |
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10-21-24 | Ravens v. Bucs OVER 50 | Top | 41-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 59 m | Show |
It's Monday Night Football and we get TWO games on the schedule for tonight. We will look at the game between the Baltimore Ravens and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Both teams come into this inter-conference matchup with 4-2 records. The Ravens, led by quarterback Lamar Jackson, boast the NFL's top rushing attack, averaging over 205 rushing yards per game, with Derrick Henry contributing a league-leading 704 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns. Jackson has also been efficient through the air, completing 67% of his passes for 1,529 yards and 10 touchdowns. Baltimore's offense is complemented by a solid defense, led by Roquan Smith and Kyle Van Noy, that allows 24.8 points per game. On the other side, the Buccaneers, helmed by Baker Mayfield, have been impressive as well, with Mayfield completing nearly 71% of his passes and throwing for 15 touchdowns. The offense, powered by stars like Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, is one of the top-scoring units in the league, averaging 29.7 points per game. Tampa Bay's defense has been solid but vulnerable, allowing 23.5 points per game. Tampa Bay has a history of performing well as home underdogs, particularly early in games. The Bucs have covered the spread in six consecutive games following a division matchup, and their defense is getting healthier. The Ravens' rushing attack and Tampa's opportunistic offense will likely dictate the flow of the game. This one could be a back and forth contest with the last team holding the ball having a shot to win. Or we could even see OT in this game. Either way, I expect to see the offenses dictate the pace in this game. I'll take the OVER. |
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10-20-24 | Panthers v. Commanders OVER 51.5 | 7-40 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
The Week 7 NFL matchup between the Carolina Panthers and Washington Commanders on Sunday, October 20, 2024, presents a challenging test for the struggling Panthers. The Panthers, sitting at 1-5, have been poor defensively, giving up over 30 points per game in their last three matchups. Their run defense, ranked 30th in the league, will face a significant challenge against the Commanders' strong rushing attack, led by quarterback Jayden Daniels and running back Brian Robinson Jr. The Panthers also face injury concerns, particularly with key players like Diontae Johnson. The Washington Commanders (4-2) have been effective on offense, averaging 29.7 points per game, and they are expected to exploit Carolina's defensive weaknesses. Daniels has been consistent both in the air and on the ground, and Washington's rushing attack ranks 5th in the league. The Commanders score on most of their drives of late and I don't see the Panthers stopping them here today. Carolina will be forced to play catch up and that means possibly a high scoring game here on Sunday. I'll take the OVER. |
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10-20-24 | Texans v. Packers OVER 48 | 22-24 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
The upcoming NFL matchup between the Houston Texans (5-1) and Green Bay Packers (4-2) on Sunday, October 20, 2024, at Lambeau Field is expected to be a tightly contested game. Both teams are in good form, with Houston riding high on a four-game winning streak and Green Bay coming off a dominant win against Arizona. The Texans have been one of the league's most balanced teams, ranking 5th in total offense, averaging 364 yards per game. C.J. Stroud has been impressive, throwing for 1,577 yards and 10 touchdowns this season. Defensively, Houston has been stout, particularly against the pass, allowing only 182 passing yards per game, the 3rd-best mark in the league. Houston's defense has been especially effective in the red zone, ranking 1st in red zone efficiency. The Packers, meanwhile, boast a strong offense led by Jordan Love, who has thrown for 1,131 yards and 12 touchdowns. Green Bay has averaged 27 points per game this season. However, their pass defense has been a weak spot, ranking near the bottom of the league, allowing over 250 passing yards per game. This could be a problem against Houston's dynamic passing attack. Two of the more dynamic young QB's in the league face off here on Sunday and both can put up points. I look for this game to go OVER the total. |
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10-20-24 | Seahawks v. Falcons OVER 51.5 | 34-14 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
The Week 7 NFL matchup between the Seattle Seahawks (3-3) and the Atlanta Falcons (4-2) on Sunday, October 20, 2024, is expected to be a close contest. The Falcons are slight favorites, favored by 3 points, largely due to their strong offense, which ranks 4th in the NFL, averaging 369 yards per game. Led by their passing attack, which ranks 6th in the league, quarterback Kirk Cousins and the Falcons' offense will look to exploit Seattle's defense, which has struggled against the run, allowing 5.43 yards per carry, one of the worst in the league. Seattle, however, brings a potent passing game to the table, ranking 1st in the NFL with 291 passing yards per game. Quarterback Geno Smith will aim to keep the Seahawks competitive by targeting his key weapons, including DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. Despite their offensive success, the Seahawks' defense has struggled, particularly against the run, and this could be an area the Falcons exploit. I look for a high scoring game with the Seahawks passing attack and poor defense. Take the OVER here on Sunday. |
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10-19-24 | Miami-FL v. Louisville OVER 59.5 | 52-45 | Win | 100 | 30 h 55 m | Show | |
The matchup between Miami (FL) and Louisville on October 19, 2024, promises to be an exciting contest as both teams are navigating pivotal points in their seasons. Miami enters the game undefeated at 6-0, largely thanks to their high-powered offense led by quarterback Cam Ward. The Hurricanes have been averaging an impressive 47.7 points per game this season, but they've also shown some defensive vulnerabilities, allowing an average of 36 points in their last two games. Despite escaping with victories in those contests, Miami's defense will need to tighten up if they want to remain unbeaten. Their offense, however, has been electric, producing 583.8 yards per game. Louisville, on the other hand, is 4-2 and faces a must-win situation to stay in contention for an ACC title. Their offense has not been nearly as explosive, averaging just 19.7 points per game. However, with Miami's defensive lapses in recent weeks, the Cardinals have an opportunity to exploit weaknesses and put up some big points. I expect a high-scoring affair, with this game going over the total on early Saturday. |
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10-14-24 | Bills v. Jets UNDER 41 | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 45 m | Show | |
The Monday night showdown on October 14, 2024, between the Buffalo Bills (3-2) and the New York Jets (2-3) is set to be a closely contested AFC East matchup. Both teams are eager to bounce back, as they enter the game on two-game losing streaks. The Bills, led by Josh Allen, have been productive offensively, averaging 28.4 points per game, while Allen has thrown for 945 yards and 8 touchdowns this season. Buffalo's rushing attack, featuring James Cook, has also been effective, with Cook adding 309 rushing yards and 4 TDs. The Jets, on the other hand, have struggled with consistency, particularly in the run game, ranking last in the league with only 80.4 rushing yards per game. However, their defense has been impressive, allowing just 17 points per game and ranking 2nd in passing yards allowed (136.6 per game). Aaron Rodgers will need to limit mistakes, as he has thrown 4 interceptions so far this season. The Jets also fired head coach Robert Saley after their loss to the Vikings. Interim HC Jeff Ulbrich has taken the play calling away from Todd Downing and will take over those duties. So lots of changes going on in New York. The Jets have a stout defense and that won't change. They also are a home dog, which I do like. I think the offensive problems the Jets have had might just find new life here in week six. I'm still not convinced that the new coaching on offense will pay dividends right away. I'll stick with the UNDER here tonight. |
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10-13-24 | Bengals v. Giants OVER 46.5 | 17-7 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
In the Week 6 NFL matchup on Sunday, October 13, 2024, the Cincinnati Bengals (1-4) will face off against the New York Giants (2-3) in a game that both teams need to win. The Bengals have struggled despite high expectations, particularly with their defense, which ranks near the bottom of the league, allowing an average of 29 points per game. Joe Burrow has been a bright spot for Cincinnati, throwing for over 1,300 yards and leading the league with 12 passing touchdowns. Ja'Marr Chase has been a major factor in the passing game, ranking second in the NFL with 493 receiving yards and five touchdowns. However, the Bengals' lack of a strong rushing attack (96 yards per game) and defensive issues, especially against the run (30th in the league), have led to their disappointing start. The Giants, on the other hand, are coming off an upset win against Seattle and will be looking to keep their momentum going. Quarterback Daniel Jones has been solid but unspectacular, with 1,138 passing yards and six touchdowns this season. His key target, Malik Nabers, has been productive, leading the NFL with 35 receptions. However, there are concerns about the Giants' offensive line and Nabers potentially missing this game due to a concussion. Despite the Bengals being favored by 3.5 points, this game is expected to be competitive. The Giants' defense, which recorded seven sacks last week, could exploit Cincinnati's weak offensive line, ranked 24th in the league. I like both teams to score here on Sunday so I'll on the OVER in this game. |
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10-13-24 | Chargers v. Broncos UNDER 36 | 23-16 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
The upcoming NFL Week 6 matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers (2-2) and the Denver Broncos (3-2) on Sunday, October 13, 2024, promises to be a defensive battle. Both teams have been defined by strong defensive performances this season. The Chargers are allowing the fewest points per game in the league, averaging just 12.5 points allowed per contest. Their defense is top-tier in both rushing and passing defense, making them a formidable opponent. However, their offense, led by Justin Herbert, has been inconsistent, especially in the passing game, ranking near the bottom of the league. The Broncos, coming off a three-game winning streak, also rely heavily on their defense, which ranks second in points allowed (14.6 per game) and fifth in passing yards allowed. Denver's offense, led by rookie quarterback Bo Nix, has been less reliable, particularly in the passing game, but their defense continues to keep them in games. Given the strengths of both defenses and the struggles of their respective offenses, this game is expected to be low-scoring, with the total points likely staying under 35.5. Play the UNDER. |
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10-13-24 | Commanders v. Ravens OVER 51.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
The NFL Week 6 matchup between the Washington Commanders (4-1) and the Baltimore Ravens (3-2) on Sunday, October 13, 2024, promises to be an exciting clash between two teams riding winning streaks. The Commanders, led by rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, have been on fire, winning four straight games. Daniels has impressed with his dual-threat abilities, throwing for over 1,100 yards and four touchdowns, while adding 300 rushing yards and four rushing scores. Terry McLaurin has been his favorite target, and with Baltimore's struggling pass defense, ranked 31st in the league, McLaurin is expected to have another big game. Washington's balanced offense, which ranks second in both rushing yards and points scored, should continue to find success on the ground with Brian Robinson Jr. and Austin Ekeler contributing. On the other side, Baltimore's offense, powered by Lamar Jackson, is equally dangerous. The Ravens lead the NFL in rushing yards and are third in points scored. Jackson has been a dual-threat force, with over 1,200 passing yards and 363 rushing yards. That's been enhanced this season with the addition of Derrick Henry who has been an amazing rusher, opening up more chances for Jackson. However, Baltimore's weakness lies in their pass defense, which could be exploited by Daniels and McLaurin. The Ravens' defense has allowed 280 passing yards per game, which ranks near the bottom of the league. Overall, this game is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with both teams boasting strong offenses but vulnerable defenses. Take the OVER today. |
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10-13-24 | Colts v. Titans OVER 43 | 20-17 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
In the upcoming NFL Week 6 matchup on Sunday, October 13, 2024, the Indianapolis Colts will visit the Tennessee Titans in a divisional clash. Both teams are navigating key issues, particularly at the quarterback position. The Colts (2-3) are managing injuries to quarterback Anthony Richardson, and Joe Flacco might start again, as Richardson recovers. Flacco has performed well in his appearances, throwing for 527 yards and five touchdowns over two games. However, the Colts' defense has struggled, ranking near the bottom of the league in passing and rushing defense. If Indianapolis can establish its ground game with Jonathan Taylor (who may miss the game), they will have a good chance to win, especially since Tennessee's secondary is strong but their offense has been inconsistent. The Titans (1-3), coming off a bye week, also have quarterback concerns, with Will Levis dealing with injury issues. Levis has had a rough start, throwing six interceptions to only four touchdowns, which has hindered the Titans' offensive flow. Tennessee's offense will likely lean on its run game, featuring Tony Pollard, but they face a Colts defense that has been vulnerable to both the run and the pass. Flacco has been more than a good fill-in for QB Richardson, he's been excellent in the role. I expect him to have another good day and the Titans will need to keep pace. I'll take OVER. |
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10-13-24 | Jaguars v. Bears OVER 44.5 | 16-35 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show | |
The NFL Week 6 contest between the Chicago Bears (3-2) and Jacksonville Jaguars (1-4), held at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, promises to be an intriguing matchup. The Bears, led by rookie quarterback Caleb Williams, are coming off solid performances, winning three of their last four games. Williams has thrown for 1,091 yards with five touchdowns and four interceptions, supported by D.J. Moore's strong receiving (294 yards, 3 TDs) and a defense that ranks fifth in points allowed per game (17.0). The Jaguars, meanwhile, have had a disappointing start to the season but secured their first win last week against the Colts. Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 1,100 yards and six touchdowns, though the Jaguars have struggled defensively, ranking 30th in points allowed (28.6 per game) and last in pass defense. Chicago's defense, particularly its ability to pressure the quarterback, could be a deciding factor, with Jaquan Brisker and Gervon Dexter performing well. The Jaguars will need Travis Etienne and Tank Bigsby to establish the run, as Jacksonville's rushing attack ranks 11th in the league. Bigsby appears to have taken over the starting spot as Etienne has struggled in that role. This could be a game for Williams to shine against a struggling Jagaurs defense. I look for this game to go OVER the total on early Sunday morning. |
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10-10-24 | 49ers v. Seahawks OVER 49 | 36-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
Week 6 Action kicks off on Thursday Night as the San Francisco 49ers (2-3) ttake on the Seattle Seahawks (3-2) in a NFC West clash. The Seahawks lead the division by one game over Arizona and San Francisco. The Hawks started the season 3-0 but have dropped their last two games after a upset loss at home last week to the New York Giants. The 49ers did something they haven't done in a long time, lose a game after leading by 10-points or more starting the 4th quarter. They led the Arizona Cardinals by 10 points but couldn't hold on and lost to the Cardinals, 23-24. One reason they lost was that placekicker Jake Moody left the game in the 1st half with a injury and didn't return. That impacted their decision to go for a 1st down in the 4th quarter when a field goal was the right option. They have since had to sing Matthew Wright to replace Moody. Tonight's contest holds a lot of weight in the division for the Niners as they are 0-2 in the NFC West and 0-3 in the NFC, which means they realize this NFC West game has huge impacts on tiebreakers and such if they want to make the postseason. The 49ers hold a strong recent record against Seattle, winning their last five matchups and outscoring them by 76 points in those games. San Francisco's offense, led by quarterback Brock Purdy (1,374 passing yards), has been effective, especially with Jordan Mason averaging 107 rushing yards per game. On the other side, Geno Smith's Seahawks have shown offensive firepower, ranking third in the NFL with 270.8 passing yards per game, but their run defense has been shaky, allowing 128 yards per game. Both teams will look to capitalize on their strengths, their offenses. Both teams have had shaky performances from their defenses of late and with that I'm going with the OVER here on Thursday Night. |
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10-06-24 | Browns v. Commanders OVER 43.5 | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
In the upcoming matchup between the Cleveland Browns (1-3) and the Washington Commanders (3-1) on October 6, 2024, the Commanders are riding a wave of momentum, having won three straight games. Led by rookie QB Jayden Daniels, Washington's offense has been highly effective, averaging 30.3 points per game, ranking them third in the league. The Commanders have also been efficient on the ground, ranking third in rushing yards per game, with Brian Robinson Jr. leading their ground attack. However, Daniels' mobility has also been a significant factor, as he's rushed for over 200 yards this season. The Browns, on the other hand, have struggled offensively, averaging just 16.5 points per game, which ranks near the bottom of the league. Deshaun Watson and the offense have been plagued by inconsistency and turnovers. However, Cleveland's defense has been one of the stronger units, ranking 11th in total yards allowed and excelling against the pass. Key injuries on both sides may impact the game, with the Commanders potentially missing key players like Robinson and Austin Ekeler, while the Browns are dealing with injuries to their offensive line and defensive stars like Myles Garrett. I like Daniels a lot as he's looked the best thus far of the 2024 QB class. They have scored on just about every drive they have had and Cleveland will need to up their offense to stay with the Commanders. I'll take the OVER on Sunday. |
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10-06-24 | Ravens v. Bengals OVER 48.5 | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
In the AFC North clash between the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens on October 6, 2024, both teams will be looking to make important statements as they jockey for position in the division. The Ravens enter the game with a 2-2 record and are coming off a dominant 35-10 win over the Buffalo Bills. They have found success with the addition of running back Derrick Henry, who posted 199 rushing yards in the win against Buffalo. Lamar Jackson has been efficient, contributing both with his legs and through the air, but the Ravens' defense remains a concern, especially in the secondary, as they've allowed 22 points per game this season. Baltimore's ability to run the ball and control the clock will be crucial, especially with offensive lineman Ronnie Stanley questionable due to injury. On the other side, the Bengals (1-3) finally got their first win of the season last week, defeating the Carolina Panthers 34-24. Joe Burrow looked more comfortable, throwing for 232 yards and two touchdowns, while running back Chase Brown added 80 yards and two touchdowns on the ground. However, Cincinnati's defense has been vulnerable, allowing 26 points per game, and they rank 27th in total defense. This game represents a must-win for the Bengals if they want to avoid falling deeper into the standings. With the pressure on, I expect the Bengals best performance her on Sunday. As such I don't see either team able to stop the other. I'm taking the OVER. |
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10-06-24 | Bills v. Texans OVER 47 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills are positioned as slight favorites in their Week 5 matchup against the Houston Texans on October 6, 2024. Both teams come into this contest with a 3-1 record, but their performances this season show distinct trends. The Bills are looking for a bounce-back win after a tough loss to the Baltimore Ravens in Week 4, where they were dominated on both sides of the ball. Before that, Buffalo had been strong offensively, averaging 30.5 points per game, which ranks them third in the NFL. Their ability to score will be key in this game, especially against a Texans defense that allows 23.5 points per game. Josh Allen has been effective, with 814 passing yards, seven touchdowns, and no interceptions so far this season, and he'll be pivotal against Houston's secondary, which has been solid but vulnerable under pressure. Houston, led by quarterback C.J. Stroud, has relied on its passing game, with Stroud throwing for over 1,000 yards already this season. However, their offensive line has struggled to protect him, allowing 14 sacks, which could play into Buffalo's hands as the Bills will likely pressure him heavily. Houston's rushing attack has been lackluster, and their injury issues at running back further complicate their ability to exploit Buffalo's weaknesses in run defense. Buffalo's defense has shown strength against the pass but struggles against the run, ranking 30th in rushing yards allowed. If Houston cannot capitalize on that, it will put more pressure on Stroud, and the Bills could take control. Offensively, Buffalo is expected to rely on James Cook and Josh Allen's rushing abilities, as Houston's defense ranks poorly against the run, allowing 4.7 yards per carry. Overall, Buffalo seems well-positioned to cover the spread and bounce back from their Week 4 loss, especially with their offensive firepower and Houston's vulnerabilities in protection and on the ground. I expect to see lots of points in this game today. I'm taking the OVER. |
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09-30-24 | Seahawks v. Lions OVER 46.5 | 29-42 | Win | 100 | 21 h 19 m | Show | |
Week 4 wraps up here on Monday night with a pair of games and I'll be looking at the contest between the Seattle Seahawks and Detroit Lions. The Lions come in as slight favorites, likely benefiting from home-field advantage at Ford Field. Detroit is 2-1 this season, while the Seahawks remain unbeaten at 3-0. Seattle's defense has been one of the strongest in the league, allowing just 14.3 points per game and leading the NFL in passing defense, giving up only 132.3 passing yards per game. Offensively, quarterback Geno Smith has been efficient, completing nearly 75% of his passes for 787 yards and three touchdowns. However, their rushing attack has struggled, ranking 23rd in the NFL, which could put more pressure on Smith to perform in the passing game. On the other hand, the Lions have shown a well-balanced offensive attack. Jared Goff has thrown for 723 yards and three touchdowns, while their ground game, led by David Montgomery and rookie Jahmyr Gibbs, has been strong, ranking 4th in the league. Look for the Seahawks to exploit Detroit's secondary through their passing game. The Seahawks will have RB Kenneth Walker back as the starter after he missed the last few weeks with an abdominal injury. That should help the Seahawks ground game and in turn their passing. I look for this game to go over the total on Monday Night. |
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09-29-24 | Commanders v. Cardinals OVER 49 | 42-14 | Win | 100 | 22 h 42 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals welcome the Washington Commanders to Phoenix here on Sunday as the heat will be on with temps well into the 100's. The Washington Commanders, currently at 2-1, are coming off an impressive win against the Cincinnati Bengals, defeating them 38-33. Jayden Daniels has been a standout at quarterback, completing over 80% of his passes and totaling 664 yards this season. Washington's offense has been efficient, scoring on nearly every possession in their last two games, and they have shown a strong run game led by Brian Robinson Jr. However, their defense has been vulnerable, allowing an average of 29.3 points per game, which could be problematic against Arizona. On the other hand, the Arizona Cardinals hold a 1-2 record, having struggled offensively in their recent 20-13 loss to the Detroit Lions. Kyler Murray, despite the loss, has performed well overall this season, throwing for 635 yards and five touchdowns, while James Conner will be looking to rebound after a poor rushing performance against Detroit. Arizona's defense has also had difficulties, especially with injuries depleting their lineup. Key players like defensive tackle Justin Jones and linebacker BJ Ojulari are out, which may weaken their pass rush. This game is expected to be a high-scoring affair given both teams' defensive struggles and potent offenses. I don't see either defense performing all that well here today. I'll take the OVER. |
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09-29-24 | Saints v. Falcons UNDER 41 | 24-26 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
The Week 4 matchup between the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons on Sunday features two NFC South rivals with varying performances so far this season. The Saints come into this game with a 2-1 record, having started the season on fire offensively but stumbling in a narrow 15-12 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 3. New Orleans has averaged 34.3 points per game this season, led by quarterback Derek Carr and a potent rushing attack spearheaded by Alvin Kamara, who has rushed for 285 yards and four touchdowns. The Saints are expected to focus on their ground game against a Falcons defense that has struggled to stop the run, allowing 150.3 rushing yards per game. The Falcons, at 1-2, are looking to recover after a tough 22-17 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 3. Quarterback Kirk Cousins has been solid but inconsistent, throwing for 626 yards and four touchdowns this season. However, Atlanta's offense has struggled to convert yards into points, averaging just 16.3 points per game. The Falcons' defense, particularly against the run, has been a weak spot, which could be a problem against the Saints' powerful rushing attack. Key to this game will be the Saints' ability to pressure Cousins. New Orleans has been one of the top pass-rushing teams in the league with 11 sacks in three games, and with Atlanta's offensive line issues, this could lead to a difficult afternoon for Cousins. I expect the Saints to smother the Falcons here on Sunday and give Cousins all kinds of issues. I look for the UNDER as the Saints control the ball on the ground. Play UNDER. |
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09-22-24 | Lions v. Cardinals OVER 51.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -109 | 87 h 47 m | Show | |
The upcoming NFL contest between the Detroit Lions and the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday, September 22, 2024, sets the stage for a high-scoring affair. Both teams have demonstrated offensive firepower in recent games, and several key factors point towards the over being a strong betting angle for this matchup. The Lions, led by Jared Goff, have shown the ability to move the ball effectively. In their Week 1 overtime win against the Los Angeles Rams, Detroit tallied 26 points, followed by a 16-point outing in Week 2. Despite the Week 2 loss to the Buccaneers, Goff put up 307 passing yards, and Amon-Ra St. Brown continues to be a reliable target, hauling in 11 receptions for 119 yards. With Detroit's offense clicking and a capable ground game led by David Montgomery, the Lions are poised to score consistently. On the Cardinals' side, QB Kyler Murray and company bounced back in Week 2 with an impressive 41-10 victory over the Rams. Murray threw for 266 yards and three touchdowns and had a perfect QB rating, while James Conner added 122 rushing yards. Arizona has a history of high-scoring games, especially at home, eight of their last nine games at State Farm Stadium have gone over the total. Additionally, with Marvin Harrison Jr. emerging as a deep threat, the Cardinals are well-positioned to contribute heavily to the point total. Both defenses have vulnerabilities. The Lions have allowed an average of 20 points over two games, and Arizona's defense, while strong in Week 2, gave up 34 points to the Buffalo Bills in Week 1. Both teams can score in bunches, and with favorable weather conditions in Arizona, this game has all the makings of a shootout. Take the OVER. |
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09-22-24 | Eagles v. Saints OVER 49 | 15-12 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia Eagles (1-1) head to New Orleans to face the unbeaten Saints (2-0) in Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season. Both teams come into this matchup with different trajectories, as the Saints have been dominant early in the season, while the Eagles are still finding their footing. The Saints' offense has been explosive through the first two games, leading the league in scoring with an impressive 45.5 points per game. Quarterback Derek Carr has been efficient, completing 30 of 39 passes for 441 yards, five touchdowns, and only one interception. The Saints have also leaned on their dynamic rushing attack, with Alvin Kamara already tallying 198 rushing yards and four touchdowns. The Eagles have had a shaky start offensively, particularly struggling to score early in games—they are yet to record any first-quarter points this season. Jalen Hurts will need to ignite the offense early to keep pace with the high-scoring Saints. The Eagles' ground game, led by Hurts and Saquon Barkley, could be key to slowing down the game and keeping the Saints' offense off the field. The Eagles' defense has struggled significantly, ranking 30th in defensive EPA in close-game situations since last season. They've been particularly vulnerable against the run, giving up over 300 rushing yards across the first two games of the season. This bodes poorly against a Saints team that thrives on the ground. I look for both teams to get their share of points in this contest. I'm taking the OVER. |
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09-22-24 | Chargers v. Steelers UNDER 35 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
The Week 3 NFL matchup on Sunday, September 22, 2024, between the LA Chargers and Pittsburgh Steelers is shaping up to be a tightly contested battle between two undefeated teams. The Chargers have started the season strong with a 2-0 record, largely due to a dominant rushing attack and stout defense. Running back J.K. Dobbins has been key, already racking up over 260 rushing yards in the first two games. Justin Herbert, while dealing with an ankle injury, is still expected to start, but the Chargers may lean heavily on their ground game given his limited mobility. Defensively, the Chargers have been one of the best units in the league, allowing just 6.5 points per game and ranking first in multiple defensive categories. The Steelers have also surprised many with their 2-0 start. Despite struggling offensively, averaging just 15.5 points per game, their defense has been elite. Led by T.J. Watt and a dominant front seven, Pittsburgh is allowing only 8 points per game, the second-lowest in the league. Quarterback Justin Fields, who was recently acquired by Pittsburgh, has been efficient in avoiding turnovers but has struggled with consistency, especially in the second half of games. If Herbert's ankle limits his passing game, Pittsburgh's ability to pressure him could swing the game in their favor. Both teams have relied on their defenses to carry them, so a low-scoring game is anticipated, with the Over/Under line currently set at just 34.5 points. I'll take the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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09-19-24 | Patriots v. Jets UNDER 38.5 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
Thursday Night NFL Action kicks off week 3 of the NFL as the New England Patriots travel to the Meadowlands to take on the New York Jets. Both teams come into the game with a 1-1 record, and this divisional battle could have significant early-season implications. For the Jets, quarterback Aaron Rodgers is still shaking off the rust after coming back from an Achilles injury last season. Though he's yet to light up the stat sheet, Rodgers will look to take advantage of a banged-up Patriots defense, which is dealing with several key injuries, including the loss of linebacker Ja'Whaun Bentley for the season. The Jets' offense, led by the dynamic Breece Hall, will also aim to exploit the Patriots' vulnerable defense, especially with the ground game. On the Patriots' side, their offensive struggles, particularly in pass protection, are a major concern. Their offensive line has allowed significant pressure despite few blitzes from opponents. With all five offensive linemen appearing on the injury report, protecting quarterback Jacoby Brissett (filling in for Mac Jones) will be a tough task. Tight end Hunter Henry is expected to be a primary target again, especially under duress?. Defensively, the Jets could also be dealing with injury issues. Pro Bowl linebacker C.J. Mosley and cornerbacks D.J. Reed and Michael Carter II have all been listed on the injury report, and their availability could be crucial in limiting the Patriots' already limited passing game. I fully expect a low-scoring affair, with the Jets dominant defense taking charge in this game. Play the UNDER. |
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09-16-24 | Falcons v. Eagles UNDER 47.5 | 22-21 | Win | 100 | 24 h 4 m | Show | |
The Monday Night Football matchup on September 16, 2024, between the Atlanta Falcons and the Philadelphia Eagles promises to be an exciting one, with both teams coming into the game with something to prove. The Eagles, fresh off a 34-29 victory over the Packers in Brazil, are looking to start their season 2-0 for the third straight year. Jalen Hurts will be key, having thrown for 278 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions in Week 1. The Eagles' ground game, led by Saquon Barkley (109 yards and two touchdowns), is also a focal point, especially given the Falcons' defense gave up 155 passing yards in a disappointing Week 1 loss to the Steelers. The Falcons, on the other hand, will need a much better performance from new quarterback Kirk Cousins, who struggled in his Atlanta debut with two interceptions and only one touchdown. Cousins acknowledged that the offense wasn't "clean and crisp" in Week 1, and he will need to elevate his play to avoid another sluggish start. The team will look to its running back duo of Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier to exploit the Eagles' defense, which gave up 163 rushing yards to the Packers. Both teams will look to establish the running game here on Monday night. I'll be looking at the UNDER in this game. Take the Falcons/Eagles UNDER. Plus your bonus Prop play is to take Bijan Robinson OVER 28.5 receiving yards. |
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09-15-24 | Chargers v. Panthers UNDER 39 | 26-3 | Win | 100 | 114 h 38 m | Show | |
Week 2 NFL action has the LA Chargers travelling to Carolina to take on the Panthers from the Bank of America Stadium. Both teams are coming off mixed results in Week 1 and will look to establish momentum early in the season. One aspect of this game that stands out is the potential for a lower-scoring contest, making the under an intriguing angle for this matchup. The Chargers' high-powered offense, led by Justin Herbert, has the potential to put up points in bunches. However, they'll be facing a Panthers defense that, despite some inconsistencies, has shown flashes of being able to disrupt passing attacks. Carolina's young secondary, could limit big plays down the field, forcing Herbert to rely on short, methodical drives. The Chargers' offense is known for having stretches of inconsistency. The Panthers' offense is still finding its identity under quarterback Bryce Young. The rookie signal-caller has shown promise but has been up and down, and the Chargers' defense will look to exploit any weaknesses in the Panthers' offensive line. The Panthers offense garnered only 10 points last week in their loss at New Orleans, 10-47. If the Panthers' game plan is to control the clock and keep the ball out of Herbert's hands, this could further shorten the game and keep the score low. Look for a more conservative approach from Carolina, particularly if they want to avoid putting too much pressure on their young quarterback. Carolina's best bet for competing in this game may be to play a ball-control style, limiting the number of possessions for both teams and keeping the game relatively low-scoring. The likelihood of a lower-scoring affair is high. The Chargers' offensive talent may be somewhat neutralized by Carolina's defensive schemes, while the Panthers' conservative, run-heavy approach could keep the clock moving and limit scoring opportunities. As a result, the under looks like a solid angle for this contest. |
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09-15-24 | Bucs v. Lions OVER 51.5 | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 114 h 38 m | Show | |
Week 2 NFL action has the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Detroit Lions facing off as both teams come off week 1 wins. The Bucs beat the Washington Commanders in week 1, 37-20. The Bucs spoiled the debut of Commanders QB Jaylen Daniels. Baker Mayfield threw for 289 yards and four TD's to lead the Bucs to the win. The Detroit Lions needed to go to OT to beat the LA Rams on Sunday night, 26-20. David Montgomery rushed for 91 yards and scored the winning TD in OT. Tampa's offense continues to lean on its reliable veteran wide receivers, Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Evans, one of the most consistent receivers in NFL history, remains Mayfield's primary target, while Godwin provides a valuable option in the slot. The Bucs are also hoping to get more production out of their ground game with running back Rachaad White looking to establish himself as a true lead back. On defense, Tampa Bay will rely on its experienced core, led by linebacker Lavonte David and defensive tackle Vita Vea, to control the game. Defensive coordinator Kacy Rodgers will likely employ an aggressive approach, looking to get after Lions quarterback Jared Goff and disrupt the timing of Detroit's high-powered offense. Head coach Dan Campbell has instilled a tough, gritty culture that has won over fans and helped Detroit become one of the most exciting up-and-coming teams in the league. Led by quarterback Jared Goff, the Lions' offense has become a balanced, versatile unit that can attack defenses in multiple ways. Aidan Hutchinson will lead Detroit's defensive front in an effort to disrupt Mayfield and force the Buccaneers' offense into mistakes. Mayfield's ability to handle pressure will be critical, as his decision-making will be put to the test. Both teams can put up points with lots of offensive weapons on both sides. I'm taking the OVER here in the game on Sunday. |
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09-15-24 | Saints v. Cowboys OVER 46.5 | 44-19 | Win | 100 | 16 h 3 m | Show | |
The Week 2 NFL matchup on September 15, 2024, between the New Orleans Saints and Dallas Cowboys is shaping up to be an exciting contest between two teams that dominated their openers. Both teams come in with 1-0 records after convincing victories—New Orleans routed Carolina 47-10, while Dallas handled Cleveland 33-17. Offensively, Dak Prescott was efficient in Week 1, but the Cowboys will need to clean up penalties and improve on third downs, where they went just 4-for-14. Look for wide receiver CeeDee Lamb and running back Ezekiel Elliott to be pivotal to the Dallas attack, as both players are expected to play major roles. The Saints are coming off a dominant performance in which Derek Carr threw for 200 yards and three touchdowns, and their defense stifled the Panthers' run game, allowing just 36 rushing yards. With a balanced offensive approach and the potential return of Alvin Kamara from suspension, the Saints could exploit a Cowboys team that, while solid defensively, has been susceptible to strong running games. The game is expected to be close, with Dallas having a slight edge at home?. Expect a hard-fought, closely contested game with potential for fireworks on both sides of the ball. I'm taking the OVER here on Sunday. |
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09-14-24 | Utah v. Utah State UNDER 43.5 | 38-21 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 11 m | Show | |
In-State rivalry here on Saturday between Utah Utes and the Utah State Aggies. The Utes, currently ranked No. 12, come into this game with a perfect 2-0 record, while Utah State is 1-1. Utah has dominated the series in recent years, and the Utes are heavy favorites again. Utah's defense has been outstanding this season, allowing just 6 points per game (7th in the nation), while Utah State has struggled offensively, averaging only 18 points per game. The Utes' defensive front, led by Van Fillinger and Connor O'Toole, has been disruptive, and they rank among the nation's leaders in sack rate. This pressure could cause issues for Utah State's quarterback, Bryson Barnes, especially considering Utah State's inconsistent pass protection. On offense, Utah will look to exploit Utah State's weaknesses in defending tight ends. The Aggies have allowed significant production to opposing tight ends through two games, making Utah's Brant Kuithe a key target?. The Utes' run game, while improving, will also be crucial. They face an Aggies defense that allowed 249 rushing yards against USC last week?. For Utah State, wide receiver Jalen Royals is the focal point of their passing game. However, Utah's secondary has been stingy, allowing just 93 passing yards per game, which could limit his impact?. Overall, Utah is expected to control the game with its stout defense as Utah State likely won't crack double digits in this contest. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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09-08-24 | Rams v. Lions OVER 52 | 20-26 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
The Sunday Night Football matchup features the Los Angeles Rams visiting the Detroit Lions at Ford Field to kick off the season. This game is highly anticipated, given both teams' recent histories and rising expectations. The Detroit Lions are coming off a successful 12-5 season and have become serious NFC contenders under head coach Dan Campbell. Quarterback Jared Goff, who threw for over 4,500 yards and 30 touchdowns last year, leads an explosive offense, complemented by standout wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown and a solid rushing attack from David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs. Detroit's defense is also strong against the run, anchored by Aidan Hutchinson, but their secondary could be a weak point the Rams may look to exploit. On the other side, the Rams are eager for a bounce-back season after struggling in 2023. Led by veteran quarterback Matthew Stafford, they will rely on playmakers like Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua in the passing game. The Rams' defense, although young and in transition, showed promise in the preseason, with improved tackling and play from their secondary. Both these teams are known for their explosive offenses and I expect this game to be a high scoring affair. Take the OVER. |
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09-08-24 | Jaguars v. Dolphins OVER 49 | 17-20 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
The Jacksonville Jaguars will face the Miami Dolphins on Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium, kicking off their 2024 NFL season. Both teams are eager to start the season strong after mixed results in 2023. The Jaguars, led by quarterback Trevor Lawrence, have revamped their offense with new additions like wide receiver Gabe Davis and rookie Brian Thomas Jr., hoping to build on last year's 9-8 finish. Jacksonville's defense, under new coordinator Ryan Nielsen, will be challenged by Miami's high-octane offense, featuring stars like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Miami, led by quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, is slightly favored in this matchup, thanks to home-field advantage and their explosive offensive potential. However, the Dolphins need to improve defensively after struggling to close out games last season. Both teams will look to capitalize on each other's weaknesses, with Miami's defense aiming to contain Jacksonville's revamped passing attack. I expect both teams to score at will in this contest and as such I'll be taking the OVER in this matchup on Sunday. |
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09-08-24 | Steelers v. Falcons UNDER 42 | 18-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
The Steelers come into the season after a 10-7 campaign in 2023, where they secured a Wild Card spot but were eliminated in the first round by the Buffalo Bills. The offseason saw some significant changes for Pittsburgh, including the acquisition of Russell Wilson at quarterback, hoping to stabilize their offense. On the other hand, the Falcons are looking to bounce back from a disappointing 7-10 season, which led to the firing of head coach Arthur Smith. With new leadership and Kirk Cousins now leading their offense. Atlanta hopes to turn things around, particularly on the offensive side, where they aim to be more dynamic. This game is expected to be closely contested. The Falcons are slight favorites at home. Key players to watch include Falcons' rookie RB Bijan Robinson, who is projected to make a significant impact, and Steelers' RB Najee Harris, who has been a consistent performer against NFC opponents. Reports now have QB Wilson for the Steelers having issues with the same calf that kept him out of practice earlier this week. If he can't go then Justin Fields will replace him and either way I don't expect to see the Pittsburgh QB's put into a lot of passing spots. I expect more ground game here in this contest and as such I'll take the UNDER. |
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09-06-24 | Packers v. Eagles OVER 49 | 29-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
NFL On Friday Night and it's the first time the NFL will play in Brasil. However, there is some controversy with the riots and unrest in the area the NFL has come under attack for playing this game at this location. Still, they are on and the Packers and Eagles both looking to get that first win of the season. These first games of the season are almost like preseason game since most of these players never play in the actual preseason so this is their first real game situations they have had. The Packers enter their 2nd season under QB Jordan Love after the departure of Aaron Rodgers for the NY Jets. The Packers offensive line's ability to protect Love and open up lanes for the running backs will be crucial especially on first and second downs. The Packers defense will need to create pressure on Jalen Hurts and contain the Eagles' dynamic rushing attack that now features Saquon Barkley. The Eagles come into this game with one of the most explosive offenses in the league, led by quarterback Jalen Hurts and now one of the best running backs in Barkley. Their offense revolves around Hurts' dual-threat ability, combined with a top-tier offensive line and a dynamic receiving duo in A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith. The Eagles' running game got a huge upgrade with Barkley coming over from the Giants. If he can remain healthy he will give defenses lots issues as they have to now content with him and Hurts scrambling ability too. Philadelphia's defense is led by an elite defensive front that thrives on disrupting opposing quarterbacks. Packers' Offensive Line vs. Eagles' Defensive Line will be a critical battle in the trenches. The Packers must protect Love and establish the run against Philadelphia's ferocious pass rush and strong run defense. This neutral site contest holds the promise of lots of points with the new look for Philly and Love leading the Packers attack. I look for the OVER here tonight. |
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09-05-24 | Ravens v. Chiefs OVER 46.5 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
The Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs are set to kick off the 2024 NFL season with a huge matchup between defending Super Bowl Champion KC and powerhouse Baltimore. Both teams enter the game with high expectations this season as the Chiefs try for an unprecedented third straight Super Bowl Title. The Ravens, led by quarterback Lamar Jackson, will look to capitalize on a retooled offense under new offensive coordinator Todd Monken. Jackson, a dual-threat QB, will showcase his improved passing game, supported by a strong running attack featuring J.K. Dobbins and Derick Henry. He has great targets too in including Odell Beckham Jr. and rookie Zay Flowers. Baltimore's defense, anchored by veteran linebacker Roquan Smith and cornerback Marlon Humphrey, will be tasked with containing one of the league's most explosive offenses. On the other side, the Kansas City Chiefs, reigning Super Bowl champions, are spearheaded by superstar quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Coming off another MVP season, Mahomes will be looking to continue his dominance, with Travis Kelce as his top target. Despite losing some key pieces in the offseason, the Chiefs' offense remains potent, with emerging wide receivers Skyy Moore and Kadarius Toney expected to step up. Defensively, Chris Jones and the Kansas City front will aim to disrupt Baltimore's offensive rhythm, while their secondary focuses on limiting Jackson's ability to exploit deep plays. This primetime showdown between two elite AFC squads promises to deliver excitement as both teams seek an early statement win. The matchup of Mahomes vs. Jackson will be a major storyline, and fans can expect a high-energy, fast-paced game at Arrowhead Stadium. For me, I'm taking the over as I expect both these QB's to lead their teams to points and a lot of them. Take OVER. |
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08-31-24 | Kent State v. Pittsburgh OVER 55 | 24-55 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
The 2024 college football season kicks off with a non-conference matchup between the Kent State Golden Flashes and the Pittsburgh Panthers. Both teams are looking to start their campaigns on a high note, but they come into this game from very different perspectives. Pittsburgh, a member of the ACC, has aspirations of contending in their conference, while Kent State, representing the MAC, is aiming to make a statement against a Power Five opponent. Pittsburgh had a strong 2023 campaign, where they finished with a respectable record in the ACC. Head Coach Pat Narduzzi has built a reputation for tough, physical teams, particularly on the defensive side of the ball. The Panther offense, led by a new quarterback under center, aims to find its rhythm. On offense, Pittsburgh will look to establish the run game early, with a strong offensive line paving the way for their dynamic backfield. The Panthers' passing game, although in a bit of transition, has plenty of potential with talented receivers who can stretch the field. Kent State, on the other hand, is in a bit of a rebuilding phase under new Head Coach Kenni Burns. The Golden Flashes are coming off a challenging 2023 season and face the daunting task of competing against a higher-caliber opponent in Pittsburgh. However, Kent State has historically been a team that plays fast and tries to spread defenses out, which could pose challenges for the Panthers. The key for Kent State will be their ability to execute on offense and take advantage of any opportunities that come their way. They'll need a big performance from their quarterback, who must be poised against a relentless Pittsburgh pass rush. The most intriguing matchup to watch will be Pittsburgh’s defensive front against Kent State's offensive line. If the Golden Flashes can provide their quarterback with enough protection and open lanes for their running backs, they might be able to move the ball effectively. I look for this game to be higher scoring with the Pitt offense and a Kent State that needs to score a lot to win games this year. Let's take the over here on Saturday. |
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01-20-24 | Packers v. 49ers OVER 50.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers will host the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Divisional playoffs. The 49ers got the bye last week after finishing the season 12-5 S/U and 9-8 ATS. Green Bay pulled off one of the biggest upsets last week when they went to Dallas and beat the Cowboys handily. They jumped out to a 27-0 lead on the Cowboys. The Offense finished the year 12th in scoring with a 22.5 ppg average. They were much better down the stretch, scoring 33 or more points in three of their last four games. They also went over in four of their last five games and have a 11-7 O/U record on the season. The 49ers were 12-5 S/U and 9-7 ATS with an over/under of 9-7-1. They averaged 28.9 ppg while allowing 17.5 ppg. The 49ers lost their final game, 20-21 to the Rams and went over in three of their last four games. They were 5-3 O/U at home this year. The Packers offense has been outstanding of late and the 49ers we know can score. I'll take the OVER today. |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs UNDER 43 | Top | 9-32 | Win | 100 | 21 h 55 m | Show |
The Philadelphia Eagles limp into the playoffs. After what looked like a sure thing for them to win the NFC East, they lost it to the Dallas Cowboys because of a 1-5 s/u stretch to finish the season. That culminating in a loss at the NY Giants, 10-27, as a 5-point favorite in the final game. They are also 0-6 ATS to finish the season. The once very good defense allowed at least 20 points in each of those last six games and over 30 in three of those games. QB Jalen Hurts comes into this game banged up with a injured finger on his throwing hand and his top target, AJ Brown is questionable with a knee injury. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay comes into this Wildcard game with momentum. They Bucs have won five of their last six and covered four of the last five. The defense has been very good, allowing just 19.1 ppg on the season. QB Baker Mayfield is also banged-up as he has a bad ankle. That's not good for an offense that ranked just 20th in scoring. They also finished last in rushing so Mayfield needs to be on his game today if they hope to win. Too many question marks on both these offenses today. I'm taking the under in this one. |
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01-14-24 | Packers v. Cowboys OVER 50.5 | Top | 48-32 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
The NFL Super Wildcard playoffs continue here on Sunday as the Dallas Cowboys welcome the Green Bay Packers to town. The Packers are the 7th seed in the NFC with a 9-8 record. The Cowboys finished with the #2 Seed in the NFC and won the NFC East. Jordan Love led the Packers with over 4,000 yards passing and 32 TD's. Love has lots of targets on the offense including a pair of tight ends. The Packers are young and inexperienced though with the youngest roster in the NFL. They are 12th ranked in the NFL in points scored and 9th in rushing offense. Aaron Jones return to the lineup has greatly improved the rushing attack. The Packers also have the top scoring offense in the third quarter of games this year. The defense will have its hands full on Sunday with the high flying Dallas offense. Dallas is 8-0 at home this year with a 21.5 point scoring differential. Dak Prescot leads the offense with over 4,500 passing yards and a league best 36 touchdowns. Ceedee Lamb set a Cowboys team record in receptions and yards. The Cowboys have the top ranked scoring offense in the NFL and at home average 37 points per game. Love should get his shots too and I expect this game to go OVER the total on Sunday. |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs UNDER 43.5 | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
Miami had a chance to play at home in nice weather, but a loss to the Bills last week thrust them into this wild card slot and a trip to frigid Kansas City today. Preliminary weather has bitter cold at -10 degrees at kickoff and a potential wind chill around -30 degrees with winds 10-20 and gusting higher. Not a great door prize for Miami losing last week. That makes this game more about mental mindset then stats or physical. Chiefs HC Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes are 4-2 vs the spread in playoff games since 2021. They also have the experience of two Super Bowls. Miami comes in with inexperience in postseason and a 1-3 ATS as road dogs this year. The weather will be the great neutralizer to the Dolphins speed and will keep the score from getting out of hand. With blustery snow, high winds and that freezing wind chill this all lends toward a lower scoring game. I'm taking the under as both teams should have issues moving the ball and scoring with further impacts on the field goal lengths also. Play UNDER. |
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01-06-24 | Texans v. Colts OVER 47.5 | 23-19 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 16 m | Show | |
Last week of the NFL regular season begins here on Saturday. We have to be careful of which teams have nothing to play for and might sit players. This game today has Houston Texans playing at the Indianapolis Colts. While this is the last week of the regular season, this game on Saturday is like a playoff game. The winner is in, the loser is out. Houston lost to the Colts back in week 2 and looks to avenge that loss and propel themselves into the playoffs today. Rookie QB CJ Stroud has led the Texans to the brink of the playoffs. The Texans are fourth in passing and average 22.1 ppg this season. The defense, which gave up 31 points to the Colts in the first meeting, is ranked 13th in scoring with an average of 20.9 ppg allowed. The Texans main issue is passing defense where they rank 30th. Meanwhile, the Colts average 23.6 ppg which is good for 10th and at home they average 26.5 ppg. The Colts have scored at least 21 points in every home game. Like the Texans, the issue for this Colts team is on defense, where they are 27th in points allowed (24.5 ppg). At home that number goes up to 25.8 ppg allowed. This game looks to me to be a real shoot out. Both teams will pull out all the plays from the playbook for this one. I love the over here today. PLAY OVER. |
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12-31-23 | Packers v. Vikings OVER 46 | 33-10 | Loss | -110 | 129 h 59 m | Show | |
The Green Bay Packers just got by the Carolina Panthers last week, winning 33-30 on the road as a 3.5-point favorite. That makes five straight games the Packers have gone OVER the total. The Packers average 22.2 ppg and allow 22.1 ppg. They also average 331.4 ypg and allow 352.9 ypg. However, over the last five their low score was 20 points and they had 27 or more in three games. The defense also hasn't been good. In addition to the 30 points the lowly Panthers sored, that is 64 points allowed over the last two weeks. The Vikings lost a tough back and forth game last week at home to Detroit, 24-30, as a 2.5-point dog. The game went over for the second straight week. The Vikings and Packers are now both tied for 2nd place in the NFC North at 7-8. They average 20.9 ppg and allow 19.9 ppg. Both teams have been over achieving lately on offense while their defenses have not played well. I expect plenty of points in this one today. Take the OVER. |
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12-31-23 | Rams v. Giants OVER 43.5 | 26-25 | Win | 100 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
The LA Rams are 8-7 and tied for 2nd place in the NFC West. The Rams are the No6 Seed right now in the NFC. The Rams greatly improve their playoff chances with a win here today at the NY Giants. They have won five of their last six games to breath life back into their playoff hopes. The Rams average 23.8 ppg and allow 22.1 ppg. However, if you just look at their last five games, they have scored at least 28 points in every game. Their one loss that OT loss at Baltimore, 31-37. The Giants have nothing to play for as they sit 5-10 with the Rams today and the Eagles next week. The can play the role of spoiler though. They are coming off a loss at Philly last week, 25-33, covering the 14-point dog line. They have gone over inf three of their last five games. If the Rams continue their recent play then they should be able to score a lot of points here on Sunday. I'll take the OVER in this one. |
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12-26-23 | Kansas v. UNLV OVER 67 | 49-36 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
The Guaranteed Rate Bowl from Phoenix AZ has Kansas taking on Mountain West runner up UNLV. Kansas finished the season 8-4 S/U and 7-5 ATS with a 6-6 ov/un mark. The Jayhawks were 4th in the Big 12. They averaged 33.6 ppg and allowed 25.7 ppg on the season. The finished with a big win over Cincinnati, 49-16, as a 7.5-point road favorite. The Hawks had 562 total yards in that win. Kansas might be licking their chops at the prospect of facing this UNLV defense. UNLV lost in the Mountain West Championship to Boise State, 20-44. The Rebels lost their last two games of the season, allowing 81 points. They have also gone over in four of their last five games. The Rebs had their best season since the Randal Cunningham days of the 1980's as they finished 9-4 overall and 10-3 vs the spread. The Rebels have a potent offense, averaging 34.3 ppg and 416.2 ypg. However, they give up a lot too, allowing 27 ppg and 403.9 ypg. This one looks to be a shootout as I doubt the Rebels can contain this high scoring Kansas offense. I'll take the OVER in this one. |
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12-25-23 | Ravens v. 49ers OVER 46 | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
Late game of the three NFL games here on Christmas Day has the Baltimore Ravens taking on the San Francisco 49ers. Both teams come into this game 11-3 S/U while the Ravens are 9-5 ATS and the 49ers are 8-5-1 ATS. The Ravens are 2-games ahead of the Browns in the AFC North. They average 27.4 ppg and allow 16.1 ppg. They also average 374.1 ypg and allow just 287.9 ypg. After tonight's contest, the Ravens will return home to face the Dolphins and then finish up at home vs the Steelers. The Ravens have won four straight games and are 3-1 ATS. They are coming off a win at Jacksonville last week, 23-7, as a 4-point favorite. Meanwhile, the 49ers have won five straight games, going 3-2 vs the spread. They have been very good on offense, scoring at least 27 points in all five wins. They average 30.4 ppg overall and allow 16.7 ppg. The 49ers have the NFC West wrapped up as the Rams are a distant 2nd at 8-7. After today the 49ers will go to Washington to face the Commanders and then return home to face the Rams. Both these teams have excellent offenses that have been clicking of late. I'm going to take the OVER here on Christmas night. |
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12-24-23 | Browns v. Texans OVER 40 | 36-22 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Browns are 9-5 S/U and 9-5 ATS with a 7-6-1 o/u mark. The Browns are in 2nd in the AFC North, 2-games back of the Baltimore Ravens. With the Bengals losing on Saturday, that gives them a bit of breathing room. The Browns finish up next week at home vs the jets and then at Cincinnati. They average 22.1 ppg and allow 20.6 ppg. The Browns will rotate QB's with Joe Flacco and Dorian Thompson-Robinson. They are coming off a win over the Bears last week as a 2.5-point favorite, 20-17. That's two wins in a row since they lost two in a row. They have also gone over in three of their last four games. The strange this is that at home they are 1-6 Over/Under, allowing 13.1 ppg and on the road they are 6-0 Over/Under and allow 30.7 ppg. The Houston Texans are 8-6 S/U and 7-7 ATS. They are tied for first in the AFC South with the Colts and Jaguars. After today they finish up with divisional games vs the Titans and then a big game at the Colts to finish up. The Texans average 21.9 ppg and allow 21.1 ppg. They are coming off a win at Tennessee, 19-16, as a 3-point favorite. The Texans are 5-2 S/U and 3-4 ATS at home this year. Their home games have averaged 45.3 points. The total here today is right at 40 and I look for both teams to score points. The Browns play bad road defense so I look for the OVER here today. |
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12-17-23 | Bears v. Browns UNDER 38 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears won their second straight game last week with a big home win over the Detroit Lions, 28-13, as a 3-point dog. The Bears were my NFC North Game of the Year Winner. The Bears are also 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games. The Bears average 20.8 ppg while allowing 23.8 ppg. They also average 324.2 ypg and allow 314.5 ypg. The Bears are 5-8 overall and in last in the NFC North. They will hit the road here today to face the Browns in Cleveland. Always have to look at the weather in Cleveland. It's going to be in the 40's with rain showers and winds from 15 Mph. The Cleveland Browns snapped their 2-game losing streak with a win over Jacksonville last week, 31-27, as a 2.5-point favorite. That improved them to 8-5 both S/U and ATS. The Browns have been very good at home, 6-1 S/U and ATS and out score their visitors by a 20.6 to 12.6 margin. The Browns have the best defense in the NFL, allowing 263 yards per game. That combined with the weather will be the key to this game going UNDER the total. Play UNDER. |
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12-16-23 | Miami-OH v. Appalachian State UNDER 41.5 | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
The Cure Bowl from Orlando Florida here on Saturday has Miami Ohio taking on Appalachian State. The Miami Ohio Redhawks are the MAC Champions and finished the regular season at 11-2, including five straight wins. App State Mountaineers joined the FBD in 2014 and will make their 7th bowl appearance. Miami will be without their top QB in Brett Gabbert who will miss the game with a leg injury. They will have to start Henry Hessen or Maddox Kopp today. Rushing though will be the main focus on this game as the weather is not expected to be good with lots of rain. That means Rashad Amos will be the key for Miami. Amos finished 5th in the MAC in rushing this year. The team's strength is the defense, which ranks 1st in the MAC and 26th in the country. They are also 7th in the nation in redzone defense. App State got beat bad in the Sun Belt Championship game by Troy, 23-49. Their defense is not nearly as good as Miami, ranking 73rd in the nation. The defense did improve late though. With weather likely to play a role in this one, I'm going to expect Miami's defense to play a big role here today. With a backup QB at Miami for this one I don't expect a lot of throwing. Take the UNDER. |
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12-10-23 | Texans v. Jets UNDER 33 | 6-30 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
One good thing going for the Jets here on Sunday will be rain and wind. With rains expected in this game and the winds gusting to 27 mph, throwing the ball will be tough for both teams. This Jets offense scores only 14.2 ppg as it is under ideal conditions. The Jets have lost and failed to cover in five straight games, including last game vs the Falcons, 8-13, as a 2-point dog. They have also gone under in six of their last seven games. The Houston Texans improved to 7-5 with their win over the Broncos last week, 22-17, as a 3-point favorite. They look to make a playoff drive as they trail first place Jacksonville by just one game now. After today's game they will have a road game at Tennessee before returning home to face Cleveland and Tennessee and finishing at the Colts. The Texans could win the division with this schedule they have left. As for today, I'm taking the under with the conditions being blustery and the Jets already having issues scoring. Play UNDER. |
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12-10-23 | Rams v. Ravens UNDER 39.5 | 31-37 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
Taking a look at the Baltimore weather report sees a change of Thunderstorms and 62 degrees with winds around 7 mph. That being said, it could be a rough day for the Rams who have to make the long trek from the West Coast to the East Coast. The Rams have won three straight games to improve to 6-6 overall and 5-5-2 vs the spread. They are also 5-7 over/under on the season and average 22.3 ppg while allowing 21.1 ppg. Baltimore has won two straight and six of the last seven games. They are 9-3 S/U and 8-4 ATS with a 5-7 over/under mark. The Ravens have averaged 27 ppg while allowing just 15.6 ppg. They are coming off a win over the Chargers, 20-10 as 3-point favorites with the game going under. They held the Chargers to just 279 yards. I look for the Rams to find points tough in this contest. I'll stick to the UNDER today. |
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12-10-23 | Colts v. Bengals UNDER 44.5 | 14-34 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
This time of year have to take a look at the weather reports in these Midwest and Eastern games. Today's game between the Colts and Bengals will be around 37 degrees with winds about 9-10 mph. The Colts have won four straight games both S/U and ATS as they have improved to 7-5 overall and 8-4 ATS. They also have been good on the road with a 4-1 S/U and ATS record. They have gone under in two of their last three road games. The Colts average 25 ppg and allow 24.7 ppg this season. They finish up the season with Pittsburgh, at Atlanta then home to finish vs the Raiders and Texans. They could easily run the board the rest of the way. The Bengals shocked everyone last week with their win at Jacksonville, 34-31, as a 10-point dog. Jake Browning stepped in for the injured Joe Burrows and promptly went 32-of-37 for one TD and no INT with 354 yards. The Bengals average 20.5 ppg while allowing 22.7 ppg. They have seen four of their six home games go under the total this year. I don't expect to see that big score they had last week. I'm looking for a lower scoring game this time out. Play the UNDER. |
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12-10-23 | Lions v. Bears UNDER 43 | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions jumped out to a huge lead last week at New Orleans, but had to hold on late to get the win, 33-28 as a 4-point favorite. The Lions rushing game continues to shine with 142 last week and at least 140 in four of their last five games. The Lions have now won four of their last five games and eight of the last 10 for their 9-3 record to go along with their 8-4 ats mark. Unless the Lions completely collapse in their last five games, they should cruise to the NFC North crown. They lead 2nd place Green Bay and Minnesota by 3-games with five to play. They do face Minnesota twice yet along with Denver and Dallas. The Bears won't be going to the postseason with their 4-8 record. They are coming off a big win at Minnesota last week, 12-10 as a 3-point dog. It was just on Nov 19th that they faced the Lions in Detroit and gave them all they could handle in their loss, 26-31, covering the 8-point line. In that game they rushed for 183 yards on the Lions defense while holding the Lions to just 115 yards rushing. It will be cool in Chicago with the temps in the 30's and winds around 12 mph. That might not seem like a lot but it can hinder passing. This game looks to be controlled more on the ground and with that I'm going to take the Under as both teams look to control the time of possession in this one. Play UNDER. |
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12-10-23 | Jaguars v. Browns UNDER 34 | 27-31 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
After leaving the last game, Jacksonville QB Trevor Lawrence, is questionable for today's game at Cleveland. Lawrence was limited in Friday's practice. The Jags ended up losing that game at home last week to the Bengals, 31-34, as a 10-point favorite. If Lawrence can't go then C.J. Beathard will have to start after going 9-of-10 last week for 63 yards. To make matters worse for Beathard could be the weather. It's supposed to be in the 30's in Cleveland Sunday with a chance of rain and winds that are at least 13 MPH. The Browns also have QB issues. Deshaun Watson is out for the rest of the year. Dorian Thompson-Robinson missed last week with a concussion. Thompson-Robinson could play today or it will then be veteran Joe Flacco. Either way the windy condition could make throwing a bit more difficult. The weather combined with QB issues on both sides should keep this game lower scoring. I'm taking the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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12-09-23 | Army v. Navy UNDER 28.5 | 17-11 | Win | 100 | 19 h 23 m | Show | |
One of the biggest rivalries in college football takes place in their annual event on Saturday as Navy takes on Army. This time they will be playing in Foxboro, MA instead of Philadelphia where they regularly play. Both teams come into this one at 5-6 on the season with Army riding a 3-game win streak over Air Force as a 18-point dog, Holy Cross and last game over Coastal Carolina, 28-21. The Black Knights average 20.8 ppg while allowing 22.0 ppg. They also average 317.5 ypg and allow 369.6 ypg. Both these teams still primarily running teams with Army averaging 210.2 rush yards and Navy at 201 rushing yards. The Navy Midshipmen are coming off a blowout loss at SMU, 14-59, as 19-point dogs. They had just 253 total yards in the game. Navy averages just 18.3 ppg and allows 22.9 ppg. Last year Navy won this game, 20-17. These games usually low scoring. Last year they had 37 points, but before that they had 30, 15, 38, 27, 27, 38, 38 and 27 since 2014. This is the first year at Foxboro. Mostly they play at Philly. Both teams are run first teams. For me, I'm going to stick with the UNDER here today. |
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12-07-23 | Patriots v. Steelers UNDER 30 | 21-18 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Might be the worse game on national tv this year as the pathetic Patriots take on the struggling Steelers. The Steelers got shut out last week at home by the Chargers in a snoozefest, 0-6 game. That means over the last three games they have scored a total of 13 points. They average just 290.4 ypg on the season and have gone under in nine of their 12 games. The Steelers played an embarrassing game last week, losing at home to the Arizona Cardinals, 10-24, as a 6.5-point favorite. That makes three straight games with 16 or fewer points scored. They average 16 ppg this season and 294.9 ypg. They have gone under in 10 of their 12 games. The winner in this game might be the team that scores any points. I'll just take the UNDER. |
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12-04-23 | Bengals v. Jaguars UNDER 40 | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 31 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals and Jacksonville Jaguars close out week 13 of the NFL. The Bengals are 5-6 S/U and 4-6-1 ATS with a 5-6 O/U record. The Bengals are in last in the AFC North, with Pittsburgh and Cleveland ahead of them and all three trailing 9-3 Baltimore. The Bengals average just 19.3 ppg and 291.7 ypg. They allow 22 ppg and 389.0 ypg on the season. The Bengals look to snap a three-game losing streak here today. They are coming off a loss to Pittsburgh last week, 10-16, as 2-point dogs. QB Joe Burrow is out for the rest of the season with a wrist injury. Jake Browning will have to be the QB the rest of the way. Browning came in at Baltimore and went 8 of 14 for 68 yards and a TD. Last week he was 19 of 26 for 227 yards with one INT and one TD. The Jags are sitting pretty good in the AFC South as they are 8-3 and in first place. The Texans and Colts both improved to 7-6 after Sunday wins. The Jags are 5-6 o/u and average 23.1 ppg with 344 ypg. The Jags have won two straight after last week's win over the Texans, 24-21, as a 1-point favorite. They have gone under in three of their last four games. With Burrow out, the Bengals can't get into a scoring match here today. I look for the Bengals to try and keep the Jags offense off the field as much as possible. I'll take the UNDER on Monday night. |
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12-03-23 | 49ers v. Eagles UNDER 48 | 42-19 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
Rematch of the NFC Championship game from last year has San Francisco 49ers making the trek East to play the Philadelphia Eagles. The 49ers are 8-3 S/U and 6-4-1 ATS on the season. they average 28.2 ppg and give up just 15.5 ppg. They also average 386.1 ypg while allowing 295.3 ypg. The 49ers have a 2.5 game lead in the NFC West over Seattle who lost at Dallas on Thursday. The 49ers have won three straight games, covering two of those. They have scored at least 27 points in those game while allowing no more than 14 points. The Eagles are 10-1 S/U and 7-2-2 ATS on the season. They are 1.5-games ahead of Dallas which won on Thursday. A loss today would setup a showdown with the Cowboys next week for the division lead. Don't think Philly will be looking much past this game since this is the Niners. The Eagles average 28.2 ppg and 364.3 ypg. They allow 22.4 ppg and 341 ypg on the season. The defense is not as dominant as it was last year, but still good. Their only loss coming back on Oct 15 at the NY Jets, 14-20. Since that loss they have won five straight games and gone 4-0-1 ATS. This is the marquee game on Sunday. Both these teams have excellent defenses and the Niners defense playing particularly well of late. I'm taking UNDER here on Sunday in this matchup. |
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12-03-23 | Panthers v. Bucs UNDER 36.5 | 18-21 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers are 1-10 S/U and 1-8-2 ATS on the season. They are also 3-8 O/U on the year. They won their lone game back on Oct 29 vs Houston, 15-13 as a 3.5-point dog. Since then they have gone 0-4 S/U, 0-3-1 ATS and 0-4 O/U. They have scored 13, 13, 10 and 10 their last four games. The defense still plays well at time, allowing 26.5 ppg overall on the season. But the offense averages just 15.7 ppg and 265.9 yards. Hard to win any games with that kind of offense. Bryce Young has been a bust this year at QB and a point of contention between the owner and head coach. The Panther did make sweeping changes last week as it looks to hire a head coach who can help bring the overall No 1 pick from last year, Young, along. Right now they have interim HC Chris Tabor taking over for the rest of the season. The Tampa Bay Bucs haven't exactly been an offensive juggernaut this year either. The Bucs average just 19.3 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg. They also average 304.1 ypg and allow 363.7 ypg. Tampa Bay is 4-7 S/U and 7-4 ATS overall with a 3-8 O/U record. The Bucs have lost four of their last five games including last game at the Colts, 20-27 as a 2.5-point dog. I don't expect many points being scored in this game. Take the UNDER. |
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12-02-23 | Georgia v. Alabama OVER 55 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
SEC Championship has undefeated and playoff bound 12-0 Georgia taking on 11-1 Alabama. Lots of teams at 11-1 so a win by Alabama could make a argument for them being included in the playoff picture. Georgia is coming off a lackluster performance against Georgia Tech, 31-23, not coming close to covering the 23-point line. The Bulldogs allowed Tech to rush for 205 yards. Georgia is also 4-7-1 vs the number this year and 6-6 over/under. Georgia averages 39.6 ppg while allowing just 15.7 ppg. They also average 496.6 ypg while allowing 294.5 ypg. Alabama is 11-1 S/U and 8-4 vs the spread. The Crimson Tide is coming off a win over Auburn, 27-24, but failed to cover the 13.5-point favorite line. That was the teams first non-cover in their last five games. Alabama averages 35.7 ppg and 409.3 ypg while allowing 17.9 ppg and 312.7 ypg. Both teams have potent offenses and stingy defenses. This one has all the markings of a shoot out here today. I'm taking the OVER. |
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11-27-23 | Bears v. Vikings UNDER 44 | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 57 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears are 3-8 S/U and 4-5-2 ATS on the season. They travel to play Minnesota tonight. The Vikings are 6-5 S/U and 7-3-1 ATS on the season. The Bears are in last place in the NFC North with a 3-8 record and -56 point differential. The good news is that they got back QB Justin Fields. The Bears average 20.9 ppg and allow 26.0 ppg. They also average 323.8 ypg and allow 325.5 ypg. The Bears are coming off a loss at Detroit, 26-31, but covered the eight point dog line. Minnesota has to play the rest of the season with QB Kirk Cousins, who went down with an injury. That gives QB Joshua Dobbs a chance to shine. The Vikings average 23.0 ppg while allowing 20.9 ppg. Minnesota coming off a loss last week at Denver, 20-21, covering the 2.5-point dog line. That loss snapped a five-game winning streak for the Vikings. The Vikings have been a good under team too, with six of their last eight games going under the total. I look at this being a lower scoring game tonight. Take the UNDER. |
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11-26-23 | Bills v. Eagles OVER 48.5 | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
The marquee matchup on the schedule here today has the Buffalo Bills going to the city of Brotherly love to play the Philadelphia Eagles. Though I doubt there will be much love for the visiting Bills in this one. The Bills are 6-5 and 2nd in the AFC East behind the 8-3 Miami Dolphins. The Bills need to win games and not fall out of the Wild Card race. Dropping to 6-6 today could hurt their chances. The Bills average 26.7 ppg while allowing 17.3 ppg. They also have a +104 point differential. The Bills snapped a two-game losing streak last week with a win over the Jets, 32-6, as a 8.5-point favorite. They held the Jets offense to just 155 total yards in that win. The Philadelphia Eagles are 9-1 and in 1st place in the NFC East ahead of the 8-3 Dallas Cowboys. The Eagles average 27.3 ppg while allowing 21.2 ppg. The Eagles have won four straight since their first and only loss of the season to the Jets on Oct 15, 14-20, as a 6.5-point favorite. Both teams have the offense and defense to win this game. I expect these teams to put up plenty of points here today. Take the OVER. |
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11-26-23 | Browns v. Broncos UNDER 37 | 12-29 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
The best defense in the league is owned by the Cleveland Browns. The longest winning streak in the NFL is owned by the Denver Broncos. Something has to give today! The Browns allow just 18 ppg and 243.3 ypg this year. They are 2nd in the AFC North and a win coupled with a Ravens loss can put them into a tie in the division lead. The Browns have won three straight games and are coming off a win last week over the Steelers, 13-10. The Broncos started the season 1-5 and have since won four straight games after last weeks win over the Vikings, 21-20. The Broncos have also gone under in five straight games as their defense has played very well. The defense allows 26.8 ppg and 400.2 ypg, but those numbers have come way down during this winning streak. I'm taking the UNDER here today as both defenses have been excellent. |
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11-26-23 | Jaguars v. Texans OVER 48 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
The top two teams in the AFC South meet here today as the 7-3 Jacksonville Jaguars meet the 6-4 Houston Texans. The Texans can get into a tie with the Jags with a win. The Jags are 7-3 ATS and average 23 ppg while allowing 20.4 ppg. The Jags coming off a win last week over Tennessee, 34-14, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Jags are on a 6-1 S/U and ATS run the last seven games. Houston is 6-4 S/U and 5-5 vs the spread. The Texans average 23.8 ppg while allowing 20.8 ppg. They also average 377.2 ypg and allow 337.9 ypg. The Texans have won three straight games, including last week at home over Arizona, 21-16, though they failed to cover the 5.5-point line. Should be an excellent game here today. Hard to pick a side in this one. However, I do look for both teams to get plenty of points. I'll take the OVER. |
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11-25-23 | Ohio State v. Michigan UNDER 46.5 | 24-30 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
This is the marquee game on the Saturday and maybe the biggest game of the 2023 schedule as No 2 Ohio State take on No 3 Michigan from Ann Arbor. The winner today wins the Big 10 East and goes to the title game. In addition guaranteeing their entry into the college football playoffs. The Ohio State offense could find trouble here today against this Michigan Defense. The Buckeyes put up just 13 first half points vs Minnesota. But its the defense that is their strength, allowing 252.9 ypg (3rd) and 144.4 passing yards (1st). They also allow just 9.3 ppg (2nd). Michigan struggled last week without HC Jim Harbaugh (suspension), just getting by Maryland, 31-24. The Wolverines led the country in yards allowed, 235.5 and points (9 ppg). This one today looks to be the best defenses against each other. Which one will break first? I'm taking the UNDER. |
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11-24-23 | Dolphins v. Jets UNDER 40.5 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
The Miami Dolphins are 7-3 S/U and 6-4 ATS as they head to the Meadowlands to play the Jets here on Friday. The Dolphins are in 1st place in the AFC East, 1.5-games ahead of the Bills. They also have a +67 point differential and average 30.5 ppg while allowing 23.8 ppg. The offense averages 38.8 ppg at home but considerably less on the road with a 24.3 ppg average. They are coming off a home win over the Raiders, 20-13, failing to cover the 14-point line. They Dolphins have scored just 20 last game and 14 the week before. They have also gone under in three of their last four games. The Jets are 4-6 and 3-games back of the Dolphins in the division. The Jets average just 15 ppg on the season while allowing 20.4 ppg. The Jets have been a great under play, with their last five going under. They have also lost and failed to cover in each of their last three games. The Jets defense is good enough to keep them in this game, especially the way the Dolphins offense has played the last few weeks. For me, I'm taking the UNDER in this one. |
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11-23-23 | Packers v. Lions OVER 47 | 29-22 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
The early game here on Thanksgiving day has the Detroit Lions hosting the Green Bay Packers. This year, the Lions have their best start and team in a long, long time. The Lions are running away with the NFC North with a 8-2 record with Minnesota in 2nd at 6-5 and the Packers in third with a 4-6 mark. The Lions are also the highest scoring team in the division as they tally 272 points this season, a +43 point differential. They average 27.2 ppg and allow 22.9 ppg. They also average 399.6 ypg and allow 313.0 ypg. The Lions have won three straight since that drubbing they took in Baltimore, 6-38. They have beat Las Vegas, 26-14, the Chargers, 41-38 and last week over Chicago, 31-26, though they failed to cover vs the Bears. They have also gone over in three of their last four games. The Lions average 30.0 ppg at home this season and are 3-2 O/Un. The Packers are coming off a win at home over the Chargers, 23-20, covering the 3-point dog spread and going UNDER. The offense isn't very good as they average just over 20ppg this season and allow about the same. They also average 319.6 ypg and allow 327.9 ypg. Seems like the Lions always put together a good performance on Thanksgiving. I'm going to take the over here on Thursday. |
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11-20-23 | Eagles v. Chiefs UNDER 45.5 | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
One of the better Matchups of the NFL season here tonight as the KC Chiefs host the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles are 8-1 S/U and 5-2-2 ATS on the season with five of nine going over. The Chiefs are 7-2 S/U, 6-3 ATS and 2-7 O/U on the season and coming off a win over Miami, 21-14 in Frankfurt. The Eagles coming off a win over the Cowboys, 28-23, despite being outgained by Dallas, 292-406. The Eagles average 28 ppg (3rd in the NFL) and 376.8 ypg (5th in the NFL). They allow 21.7 ppg and 323.3 ypg. The Chiefs defense has been excellent, which takes a lot of pressure off the offense. They only average 23.1 ppg (13th) and 368.7 yards (8th). But they allow just 15.9 ppg (2nd in the NFL) and 288.2 yards (4th). This is a rematch of last year's Super Bowl that the Chiefs won. Can they get the rematch here today? I look to their defense to keep Jalen Hurts under control and that's the key. They held the best scoring offense in the NFL (Miami) to just 14 points. They can do it again here tonight. I'll take the UNDER with two of the best defenses in the NFL. Play UNDER. |
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11-19-23 | Vikings v. Broncos UNDER 42 | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 23 h 45 m | Show | |
The Vikings thought they might get start WR Justin Jefferson back for this game as he's been dealing with a hamstring issue that's had him out for some time. However, that's not the case, Jefferson has been ruled out for this game today. The Vikings lost Kirk Cousins at QB when he went down with a season ending injury. Josh Dobbs was acquired and will start for the Vikings again today. The Vikings are in the playoff race as they are 6-4 and in 2nd place in the NFC North, behind 7-2 Detroit. It will come down to one of these two teams to win the division as the Packers and Bears are both out of it with just three wins. The Vikings and Lions won't meet until Christmas eve, so still have a while before the showdown here. The Vikings average just 23.3 ppg and 358.1 ypg. They allow 20.9 ppg and 323.2 ypg. The Vikes have won and covered five straight and have gone under in five of their last seven games. The Broncos are like a cat with nine lives after pulling out the win last week in Buffalo, 24-22. They looked dead before a pass interference call moved them into field goal position. Then after missing the field goal to win it, the Bills were called for 12 men on the field and the Broncos got a second shot - which of course they didn't miss this time. That was their third win in a row with their last four games going UNDER the total. The weather won't be too bad in Denver, with around 50 degrees and a chance of showers. The winds will be light at 8mph. Still, I like these teams to go UNDER the total. |
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11-19-23 | Jets v. Bills UNDER 39.5 | 6-32 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
The Ny Jets fell to 4-5 after losing last week at Las Vegas Raiders, 12-16. The offense is pathetic, scoring 12 last week, six the week before that and 13 the week before that. They average just 16 ppg and 283.1 yards per game. The defense is very good but can only do so much. They allow 19.1 ppg and 307.8 ypg. Zack Wilson had to take over the team when Aaron Rodgers went down in game one of the season. They will face the inconsistent Bills here today. Somehow the Bills lost last week to the Broncos, 22-24, self imploding at the end. Between that pass interference and 12-men on the field during the Broncos first winning FG attempt, well conspiracy theorists had a field day with that ending. It was the Bills 2nd loss in a row and third in their last four games. The offense has been sputtering as they haven't scored more than 25 points in any of their last six game with five of those games going Under. The defense is still decent, allowing just 18.4 ppg and 330.5 yards per game. As for today, both defenses should keep this game close. Just depends on which offense doesn't keep making mistakes and give this one way. I'll take the under. |
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11-19-23 | Steelers v. Browns UNDER 33 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
Bad news for the Cleveland Browns as QB Deshaun Watson is done for the year after needing shoulder surgery. The Browns were coming off a huge win over the Baltimore Ravens as they came from behind to get the AFC North victory, 33-31, as a 5.5-point dog. That win brought the Browns to 6-3, just one game back of the Ravens in the division. The Browns also had won two straight and four of their last five both S/U and ATS. Now the QB job goes back to P.J. Walker with rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson as the backup. This could be the end of the season for the Browns as they likely will regret not getting a better backup QB. This could open the door even more for the Steelers who are tied with the Browns at 6-3. Pittsburgh coming off a win last week over Green Bay, 23-19, as a 3-point favorite. That makes four wins in their last five games both S/U and ATS for the Steelers. Now with Watson gone have to believe that the Browns will have a much more difficult time putting points on the board. I'll take this game UNDER here on Sunday. |
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11-19-23 | Cardinals v. Texans OVER 48 | 16-21 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
Kyle Murray returned from his ACL injury that sidelined him last year. It wasn't sure how he would do last week. The results? Pretty good. He rushed well, one for a TD. His passing was good too. The Cardinals won that game against Atlanta, 25-23, covering the 2-point dog line. They also went over. So going forward we will not look at the previous stats. Now that Murray is back he brings a whole new dynamic to this offense. The Houston Texans are 5-4 S/U and ATS. They average 24.1 ppg and 372.6 yards. They are allowing 21.3 ppg and 340.0 yards. They are coming off a win at Cincinnati last week, 30-27. It was their second in a row and third in the last four games. They have also gone over in two straight. I'm taking the over here today. I feel both teams will get plenty of points now that Murray is back at the helm. |
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11-13-23 | Broncos v. Bills UNDER 47.5 | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
The Denver Broncos and Buffalo Bills conclude week 10 of the NFL tonight here on Monday Night Football. The Broncos horrible start to the season has seen a turnaround the last two weeks with a pair of wins and covers in a row. Denver beat Green Bay three weeks ago, 19-17, then two weeks ago beat Kansas City, 24-9 as a 7-point dog. Holding the KC Chiefs offense to 275 totals yards. Denver had last week off to prepare for tonight's contest. Denver scores 21.5 ppg while allowing 28.2 ppg. The latter coming way down the last few weeks. Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bills have struggled, going 2-3 S/U and 0-5 ATS over the last five games. They are coming off a loss at Cincinnati last week, 18-24. The Bills average 26.7 ppg and allow 17.8 ppg. The Bills have gone under in six of their nine games this year, including four of their last five games. The Broncos have gone under in three straight games. I'm taking the UNDER here tonight. |
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11-12-23 | 49ers v. Jaguars UNDER 45 | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers look to snap out of a three game losing streak here today at Jacksonville. The once undefeated Niners are now 5-3 S/U and 4-3-1 ATS. They have dropped games at Cleveland, at Minnesota and last week at home to the Bengals, 17-31. They now find themselves tied for 1st in the NFC West with Seattle. They still have a very good +78 point differential. They allow just 17.5 ppg and 315 yards. The Jaguars lead the AFC South by two games over the Houston Texans. The Jags have won and covered five straight games. They are also 2-3 O/U during that stretch. The defense has been very good, allowing just 19.5 ppg and 342.8 ypg. The offense has been decent but not great with 24.1 ppg. Both teams are led by their defenses first and I look for those units to shine here on Sunday. I'll be on the UNDER in this game. |
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11-12-23 | Texans v. Bengals OVER 47 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show | |
The Houston Texans are 4-4 S/U and ATS on the season and in 2nd place in the AFC South, two games back of the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Texans coming off a win over Tampa Bay, 39-37, but just failed to cover the 2.5-point favorite line. They are just 1-3 S/U and 2-2 ATS on the road this season. The Texans average 23.4 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg and have a plus-22 point differential. They will take on the Cincinnati Bengals today. The Bengals are 5-3 S/U and 4-3-1 ATS. The Bengals have won four straight both S/U and ATS after last week's win vs Buffalo, 24-18, as a 1.5-point favorite. They have beat the Bills, 49ers and Seahawks the last three weeks. The Bengals held the Bills to 249 total yards and the 49ers to 347 yards, both below their 363.6 season average. After a slow start to the season the Bengals appear to be playing their best football of the season. The Bengals have scored 55 points the last two weeks against some of the elite defenses in the NFL. They should have little issue putting up points on this Houston team today. Take the OVER. |
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11-11-23 | Michigan v. Penn State UNDER 45.5 | 24-15 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
Big 10 powerhouses meet here on Saturday as Penn State welcomes Michigan. Michigan will put its perfect 9-0 record and playoff hopes on this matchup today against 8-1 Penn State. Michigan easily beat Penn State last year, 41-17 in Ann Arbor. Michigan will be without HC Jim Harbaugh who has been suspended for this game. Michigan has dominated this season, scoring 40.7 ppg while their staunch defense has allowed just 6.7 points and 231.4 yards per game. The Wolverines coming off a win over Purdue last week, 41-13, but failing to cover the 31-point line. This will be their first big test against this Penn State that has an equally impressive defense that allows just 11.9 ppg and 234.9 yards. Penn State coming off that win last week at Maryland, 51-15, as a 7.5-point favorite. Both these teams are impressive on defense and neither likely to break here today. I won't pick a side in this one, but I will be on the UNDER. |
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11-09-23 | Panthers v. Bears UNDER 38.5 | Top | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 19 h 18 m | Show |
The Bears look to be without their starting QB in Justin Fields who is expected to miss another game with a thumb injury. That means Tyson Bagent is likely to start for the Bears. This contest starts week 10 as the 1-7 Panthers take on the 2-7 Bears. Not exactly a game likely to garner a lot of attention. Expect for us betting enthusiasts. This game holds some cash for us here tonight. I'm going to be on the UNDER. Tha Panthers offense has been anemic, averaging just 17.5 ppg and 283.4 yards. They are coming off a loss to the Colts, 13-27, going under the 45 point total. The Bears have been without Fields the last two weeks and the offense has just 13 points vs the Chargers and last week lost at New Orleans, 17-24, but did cover the 9-point dog line. This team will continue to rely on the ground game, as they average 135.3 yards per game and had 156 last week at the Saints. The defense has been better then expected, holding the last six teams to under 100 yards rushing. While this won't be the most exciting game, I'll be on the under as I don't expect to see a lot of scoring. Play UNDER. |
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11-05-23 | Bills v. Bengals OVER 50.5 | 18-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 32 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills hit the road on Sunday for their game at Cincinnati. The Bills are 5-3 on the season and in 2nd place in the AFC East, one game back of Miami. They have a +86 point differential. The Bills also average 27.7 ppg while allowing 17 ppg. They average 376.9 ypg while allowing 326.1 ppg. The Bills are coming off a win over Tampa Bay last week, 24-18, but failed to cover the 10-points spread. In fact, they are 0-4 against the number the last four games. The Cincinnati Bengals are in 3rd place in the AFC North, behind 5-3 Pittsburgh and 6-2 Baltimore. They average 18.7 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg on the season. The Bengals finally put together a complete game last week, beating San Francisco on the road, 31-17, as a 4.5-point dog. That makes three straight wins both S/U and ATS. They have also gone over in two of their last three games. The Bengals have also scored 31 points or more in two of the last three. The way the Bengals have finally been playing offensively and I will look to play the OVER here on Sunday evening. Play OVER. |
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11-05-23 | Cardinals v. Browns UNDER 38 | 0-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals hoped to welcome back QB Kyler Murray who has been practicing with the team. But, he's still out for this week. That leaves the starting duties to Clayton Tune. Tune will be thrown to the dogpound of Cleveland here today and they will be chomping at the bit to get to the young QB. Arizona already scores just 18.9 ppg on the season with 318.6 ypg. I expect those number to be even less on Sunday against this Browns defense. Arizona is just 1-7 S/U and 4-4 vs the spread this year. They did break a four game spread losing streak last week vs the Ravens. They lost at home to Baltimore, 24-31, as a 9.5-point dog. That was more points then they had the prior two weeks combined (19). The Cleveland Browns defense allows just 19.9 ppg and 260 ypg on the season. They are 4-3 and tied with the Bengals for last in the AFC North. However, they trail Pittsburgh by just one game and first place Baltimore by two games. They are coming off a loss last week at Seattle, 20-24, covering the 4.5-point line. I look for the Browns to give the Cardinals all kinds of problems on offense. I'm taking the UNDER here today. |