Game 6 was a statement. Indiana took it to OKC 108-91 thanks to ball movement, great defense, and contributions from the likes of Obi Toppin and Andrew Nembhard while Tyrese Haliburton played through a calf injury . That’s exactly the type of game plan needed for Game 7. For the Thunder, their home court is important. Home teams have won 15 of the past 19 Finals Game 7s and this young, disciplined group has MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and rising All-Star Jalen Williams .

In terms of the bet, Jim Feist has clearly sided with the Pacers. He took Indiana +8.5 (now +7.5 in some shops) and backed it up—he hit his Game 6 selection and has gone 35-28 (55.6%) during the playoffs for a net profit of +$4,820 . He likes Indiana’s momentum, control of the pace and the ball and how they force turnovers and thrive off of it. Game 7 is a continuation of that game plan.

Sure, OKC’s 68-14 regular season record still matters. They have a great defense and more depth . But the Pacers have tournament-long stretches where they have dominated, where they defend to the death and when they run in transition and shoot it. They are clearly not an underdog . If Haliburton, Siakam and Turner can repeat what they did in Game 6, Indiana can stay within that 7.5 to 8.5 point spread.

So, this isn’t just who will win the title. It’s where the value lies. Feist isn’t betting the Pacers just survive, they think they can win it or lose it by less than eight. If Indiana can replicate that second-quarter burst and slow down the Thunder, they can win the ring, or at least cover.

So betting the Pacers + points isn’t a longshot. It’s a calculated wager on momentum, matchups and betting analytics. Expect high energy, great defense and a final game worthy of its buildup.

Jim’s Play: Pacers

It all comes down to this, Game 7, on Sunday, June 22, 2025, in Oklahoma City as the Oklahoma City Thunder host the Indiana Pacers for the NBA Championship. Both teams have shown why they belong here, but the Thunder enter as heavy favorites. OKC was the NBA’s top regular-season team (68-14), and MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been nearly un-guardable, averaging over 30 points per game in the Finals and leading a home-court charge that includes eight playoff wins at Chesapeake Energy Arena this postseason. Yet Indiana has refused to fold, overcoming early deficits and clinching a lopsided Game-6 win (108-91) behind clutch play from Tyrese Haliburton and spark from T.J. McConnell.

Turning to the betting angle, Jim Feist, known for his sharp player-prop instincts, has pegged this as a high-scoring affair and is backing the “over” for the total points. With both teams playing up-tempo, trading baskets, and leaning on their star guards (SGA and Haliburton) along with efficient role players like Jalen Williams, Bennedict Mathurin, and Pascal Siakam, the projection makes sense. The over/under is set around 214 to 215 points, the highest for a Finals Game-7 ever.

Why Jim playing the over? First, history favors this outcome. Every team to force a Game-7 after winning Game-6 has gone on to win, and Game-7s tend to produce fireworks. Home teams typically prevail, but road dogs bring no fear-and Indiana plays its brand of fast-paced, passing-heavy basketball that pushes tempo. Both offenses thrive under pressure: OKC pours in points with SGA and Williams combining for 70-plus in Game 5, while Indiana’s bench and Haliburton’s playmaking have unlocked efficient scoring bursts.

Second, Game-7 intensity often flips defense to offense-teams push harder, pace quickens, shots come faster. Jim figures SGA’s knack for fouls, quick baskets, and Haliburton’s clutch shot-making (ask Game-1 or Game-3) will grease the scoring wheels.

Players like McConnell, Mathurin, and Siakam. who can explode offensively if left unchecked. add to the confidence in crossing 215. The big question: can the defenses clamp down, slow things down? That would be needed to hold things under the total. 

So, Jim Feist playing the over isn't a flier. it's a bet on two high-octane teams locked in at do-or-die levels, underpinned by star talent and explosive bench depth. Expect Game 7 to be a back-and-forth, full-throttle slugfest, with the over flashing green.

Enjoy the game, it’s gonna be one for the ages.

Jim's Play: 513. Pacers/Thunder OVER

6/19 05:30 PM PT / 8:30 PM ET  

NBA   (511) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER  VS  (512) INDIANA PACERS

Take: 512. Pacers +6.5 

Game 6 of the 2025 NBA Finals begins Thursday, June 19, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. With the Thunder taking a 3–2 series lead after winning Game 5 by a final of 120-109, they’re now one victory away from clinching their first-ever title in Oklahoma City .

Oklahoma City is entering this game full of confidence and balance. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is having an MVP-caliber season, averaging 32.7 ppg in the regular season and eclipsing 30 per game in the playoffs They shot the three well - OKC hit 14 threes at nearly 44%—and forced 22 turnovers, giving them a decisive advantage .

Meanwhile, Indiana is on the ropes. Their own star duo of Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam battled OKC’s starters head-to-head, but Haliburton’s calf injury sapped him to just four points in Game 5 . Siakam’s still scoring at a clip of 28, but with Haliburton limited, the Pacers couldn’t sustain momentum and struggled to create scoring opportunities . They’ll need more to advance, but with Haliburton at less than full strength, they may have a tougher road to traverse.

Coach Rick Carlisle has received plaudits for his strategic ingenuity—using zone defense, full-court pressure, and long-range passing to remain competitive at home . I don't believe it matters if Haliburton is not 100% today, this Pacers team will fight tooth and nail to the end with the personel they have at hand. 

The Thunder are favored again on the road, a place they have covered just once in all the playoffs this season, going 1-8 ATS. Oklahoma City is playing with confidence and momentum, using elite shooting, pressure defense, and star playmakers to move on to Game 6. Indiana has fight and a home-crowd boost and I look for them to fight all the way to end in this game. They might not win, but I do see them covering the spread here on Thursday. 

Jim's Play: 512. Pacers  

Game 5 of the NBA Finals series moves to Oklahoma City after currently being tied at 2-2. The Thunder benefits from home-court advantage because they achieved a strong 68-14 regular season record. After delivering a dominant Game 4 performance where they outscored Indiana 31-17 in the fourth quarter and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 15 of the final 16 points OKC enters game 5 feeling confident and in control. 

Indiana, however, arrives with resilience. Tyrese Haliburton provided critical Game 1 and Game 3 performances to stun OKC with a game-winning jumper in the opener and a near triple-double output in Game 3. Coach Rick Carlisle has maintained his team’s concentration throughout the series by labeling the Thunder as a “daunting challenge” and encouraging his players to focus on each game individually. Despite facing criticism for its lack of aggressiveness the team still relies heavily on Haliburton for their offensive tempo and ball distribution.

The Oklahoma City Thunder's disciplined defense led by MVP Shai and their top-five historical standing faces off against Indiana's dynamic high-tempo offense spearheaded by Haliburton and Pascal Siakam. Alex Caruso's strong bench play gives OKC an advantage through their deep roster but Indiana's late-game performance could turn the tide if the match reaches crunch time. The outcome of Game 5 depends on Oklahoma City locking down defensively and controlling the fourth quarter versus Indiana using their clutch momentum and ball movement to win Game 5 on their home ground.

It's been a tough series thus far and the Pacers have been there at the end in most of the games. If we can get +10 all the better, but I'll take +9.5 with Indiana. 

Jim's Play: Indiana Pacers

The Indiana Pacers claimed Game 3 decisively to establish a 2–1 advantage in the series following their initial two game splits. The upcoming Indianapolis matchup features both teams retaining their primary game plans as they prepare for Friday’s game.

Indiana arrives on the upswing. Coach Rick Carlisle has guided the Pacers to embrace their underdog status while teaching his team to remain focused and acknowledge the Thunder's powerful presence. Game 3 was a showcase of their depth: Tyrese Haliburton directed the team's offense superbly while approaching a triple-double as Bennedict Mathurin led the bench with 27 points. Draymond Green highlighted Pascal Siakam as the primary playmaker whose performance will determine their momentum. The Pacers are playing with a deeper purpose that connects their current performance to the city’s ABA roots and their ongoing season journey.

Oklahoma City continues to depend on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander who leads the Finals in scoring with nearly 30 points per game. Coach Mark Daigneault described Game 3 as atypical and plans to implement strategic adjustments to combat fatigue and pressure that hindered their performance. Jalen Williams rebounded in Game 3 with 26 points and now faces heightened expectations to restore his deep-shooting form as analysts predict multiple three-point makes from him .

The upcoming game will be defined by momentum shifts and strategic adjustments alongside the energy from playing at home. The Pacers maintain their advantage at Gainbridge with a performance marked by strong confidence and team unity. The Thunder have not experienced consecutive playoff losses this season so their resilience following defeats could change the game dynamics if they repeat their response like they did against Denver in an earlier playoff round.

Another interesting note is that the Thunder have yet to cover a game on the road in the playoffs.  Just as we saw here in game 3 at Indy.  

In short: expect intensity. The Pacers will exploit every mismatch on the floor while drawing energy from their home crowd while OKC must regain their defensive strength and put Gilgeous-Alexander in a consistent rhythm. The outcome of Game 4 is highly significant because a victory in this game could determine the series' remaining trajectory. For me, I have to go with the home team as the Thunder have yet to prove they can cover even one game away from home. 

Jim's Play: 508. Pacers 

After a spectacular 111–110 buzzer-beater the Pacers in Game 1 by shutting down the Thunder’s narrow lead and making consistent plays in critical moments. The Pacers took over home court with that win. Indiana’s success during Game 1 revealed Oklahoma City’s primary weakness which is their offense becomes stagnant when both Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam perform well. The Thunder made a strong comeback in Game 2 with a commanding 123–107 home victory thanks to Shai Gilgeous Alexander's 34 points along with a 20-point bench contribution from Alex Caruso and comprehensive team defensive rebounding which limited Indiana’s scoring efficiency. That bounce-back showcased why the Thunder are the favorite: Their rotation achieves balanced scoring while also applying top-tier perimeter pressure.

Now playing three of their next five games at home in Indiana gives the Pacers perfect conditions to let Haliburton set game pace and for Siakam to exploit mismatch opportunities while role players Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith and Obi Toppin secure key attempts. To maintain their position in the game Oklahoma City needs to minimize turnovers because they depend on converting mistakes into transition points and even a short scoring lapse might prove expensive.

The upcoming Game 3 promises to be an intense battle for team momentum. Indiana stands a chance to earn a 2-1 series lead by capturing their Game 1 energy while keeping their half-court game effective. Oklahoma City’s defensive strength combined with their roster depth would be able to completely overwhelm that energy if they gain an early lead. The upcoming match promises intense competition where early advantages might determine the series' outcome. 

That being said, the fact that the Thunder have yet to cover a road game in the playoffs and the Pacers looking to bounce back here on Wednesday will have me the host dog in this one.  I'm taking the Pacers in game 3. 

Jim's Play: 506. Indiana Pacers

Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis will host Game 3 of the 2025 NBA Finals between Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers with the series evenly matched at one game each. Oklahoma City Thunder turned the tables in Game 2 with a commanding 123-107 win after Indiana Pacers snatched Game 1 in a nail-biting finish. Oklahoma City MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads them to maintain resilience throughout the season with an 18-2 record regardless of losses. The Thunder's offensive production tends to decrease during away playoff games compared to home games and Indiana plans to take advantage of this pattern.

Indiana's quick offensive style and excellent three-point shooting were essential to their surprising Game 1 victory. Tyrese Haliburton must excel in playmaking because his skill in generating plays for teammates takes precedence over his own scoring reputation. Indiana receives a significant home-court advantage because they maintain strong playoff performances at Gainbridge Fieldhouse with a 6-2 record straight up and 5-3 against the spread. Indiana's role players who excel at shooting three-pointers need to improve their performance because their combined long-range shooting proved pivotal during Game 1. 

The Thunder will use their tough perimeter defense to prevent Indiana from succeeding with long-range shots and push them into difficult positions. The upcoming Game 3 outcome will depend on which team best executes their strategy while leveraging their home-court advantage after proving their adaptive skills in previous games. 

I look for the Pacers to get many more points here at home and the Thunder to keep pace. I'm taking the OVER here in game 3. 

Jim's Play: 505 Pacers/Thunder OVER 228

With Oklahoma City Thunder favored by 11 points for Sunday's Game 2 of the NBA Finals on June 8, the Indiana Pacers face the matchup as considerable underdogs. Indiana's recent performance suggests the Pacers plus the points present a valuable betting opportunity.

The Pacers demonstrated their perseverance by recovering from a 15-point fourth-quarter shortfall to win Game 1 with a score of 111–110 which became their fifth postseason victory after trailing by at least 15 points setting a record in the play-by-play NBA era. Indiana demonstrated their ability to perform under pressure when Tyrese Haliburton made a crucial jumper with only 0.3 seconds remaining to win game one.

The Thunder's strong defense and MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's 38-point performance couldn't stop the Pacers from succeeding through their balanced offense and team depth. The Pacers lead all playoff teams with 28.1 assists per game and shooting percentages of 49.7% overall and 40.1% from three-point range. The Pacers pose a formidable challenge because they effectively spread scoring duties between their starting lineup and bench players such as Andrew Nembhard and Obi Toppin.

The Thunder have established a strong home-court advantage over time yet the Pacers have shown they can handle pressure situations and surpass expectations. Indiana's current performance paired with the significant point spread suggests they can cover in Game 2 is a sound betting decision.

Jim's Play: Pacers +11

6/08 05:00 PM PT / 8:00 PM ET 

NBA   (503) INDIANA PACERS  VS  (504) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER

503. Pacers/Thunder OVER 227.5 (5 PT / 8 ET) 

Game 2 of the NBA Finals between the Indiana Pacers and the Oklahoma City Thunder is set for Sunday, June 8, at 5:00 PM PDT at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. The Thunder are 11-point favorites, with the over/under set at 227.5 points. 

In Game 1, the Pacers pulled off a remarkable comeback, overcoming a 15-point fourth-quarter deficit to win 111–110. Tyrese Haliburton's game-winning jumper with 0.3 seconds left capped the rally, marking Indiana's fifth postseason win after trailing by 15 or more points—an NBA record in the play-by-play era.  

Despite the Thunder's strong defense and MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's 38-point effort in Game 1, the Pacers' balanced offense and depth have been effective. Indiana leads the playoffs in assists (28.1), field goal percentage (49.7%), and three-point shooting (40.1%). Their ability to distribute scoring responsibilities among starters and bench players like Andrew Nembhard and Obi Toppin makes them a challenging opponent. 

Given both teams' offensive capabilities and the high-scoring nature of Game 1, betting on the over in Game 2 is my total play in this game.

Jim's Play: OVER the Total

Game 1 of the 2025 NBA Finals tips off Thursday night in Oklahoma City, where the top-seeded Thunder host the Indiana Pacers. The Thunder are heavy favorites, but the Pacers have been defying expectations all postseason. For bettors, this game presents an intriguing opportunity: backing the underdog Pacers or laying big points with the host Thunder. 

The Thunder boast the league's best record at 68–14 and have dominated the playoffs with a 12–4 run. Led by MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who averaged 32.7 points per game during the regular season, Oklahoma City has been nearly unbeatable at home, going 8–1 in the playoffs with an average margin of victory of 21.3 points.  

However, the Pacers have been on a remarkable journey. After a 10–15 start to the season, they turned things around, finishing with a 50–32 record. Indiana's offense, orchestrated by Tyrese Haliburton and bolstered by Pascal Siakam, has been potent, leading the league in assist percentage and true shooting percentage. Their depth and resilience have been evident throughout the playoffs, culminating in a 125–108 victory over the Knicks to clinch their first Finals appearance since 2000.  

Betting odds heavily favor the Thunder, with Oklahoma City at -750 to win the series and Indiana at +525. Despite this, the Pacers' high-powered offense and recent form suggest they could cover the spread and keep the game competitive. 

In summary, while the Thunder are the favorites, the Pacers' momentum and offensive prowess make them a compelling underdog pick. 

Jim's Play: 501. Pacers +9.5

6/05 05:30 PM PT / 8:30 PM ET  

NBA   (501) INDIANA PACERS  VS  (502) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER

Take: 501. Pacers/Thunder OVER 230.5

Game 1 of the 2025 NBA Finals tips off Thursday night in Oklahoma City, where the top-seeded Thunder host the Indiana Pacers. The Thunder are heavy favorites, but the Pacers have been defying expectations all postseason. For bettors, this game presents an intriguing opportunity: Backing a big dog or favorite play or playing the over/under on the total points. 

The Thunder boast the league's best record at 68–14 and have dominated the playoffs with a 12–4 run. Led by MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who averaged 32.7 points per game during the regular season, Oklahoma City has been nearly unbeatable at home, going 8–1 in the playoffs with an average margin of victory of 21.3 points.  

However, the Pacers have been on a remarkable journey. After a 10–15 start to the season, they turned things around, finishing with a 50–32 record. Indiana's offense, orchestrated by Tyrese Haliburton and bolstered by Pascal Siakam, has been potent, leading the league in assist percentage and true shooting percentage. Their depth and resilience have been evident throughout the playoffs, culminating in a 125–108 victory over the Knicks to clinch their first Finals appearance since 2000.  

The over/under is set at around 230.5 points. Given both teams' offensive capabilities and recent trends, playing the over seems like a solid bet. The Pacers have consistently hit the over in their playoff games, and the Thunder's home games have been high-scoring affairs. 

In summary, I belieive the likelihood of a high-scoring game will be what we see here in games one. I'm taking the OVER the total in this one. 

Jim's Play: 501. Pacers/Thunder OVER 230.5

Saturday, May 31, 2025 will feature a crucial Game 6 between the New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis during the Eastern Conference Finals. The Indiana Pacers hold a 3-2 series lead while pursuing their first NBA Finals appearance since 2000 but must face the New York Knicks who need a Game 6 today and Game 7 victory at Madison Square Garden to punch their ticket to the NBA Finals. 

The Knicks secured a decisive 111-94 win during Game 5 with Jalen Brunson scoring 32 points while Karl-Anthony Towns added 24 points and 13 rebounds to their performance. Their performance played a key role in preventing elimination and restored momentum for New York. Throughout the series Brunson consistently displayed offensive dominance by averaging 33.0 points per game.

The Pacers showed weakness in Game 5 when they turned the ball over 20 times and couldn't stop the Knicks' strong attack. Despite his Game 4 triple-double performance Tyrese Haliburton recorded only eight points and six assists during Game 5. Despite the Game 5 setback, Haliburton remains confident about the team's ability to recover because of their demonstrated resilience and preparedness to face pressure situations.

The Pacers displayed exceptional home performance this season with a 29-11 record while scoring an average of 115 points across their two home games in this series. The Pacers aim to use their home-court advantage and fan support to finish the series.

The Knicks will need to keep their defensive intensity while reducing turnovers to prolong the series. The team needs to reduce turnovers through simplified play according to Coach Tom Thibodeau who emphasized that risky passes have been a consistent problem.

The knowledge of what's at stake ensures that Game 6 will be an intense matchup between both teams. The series outcome will depend on Brunson and Haliburton's performances combined with each team's execution of their strategies.

The Pacers are a high scoring team on their home court and that means the Knicks will need to keep up on Saturday. I'm taking the OVER here on Saturday. 

Jim's Play: Take: 555. Knicks/Pacers OVER 219.5

Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves will take place at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City on Wednesday, May 28, 2025. Standing at a 3-1 lead in the series, the Thunder need only one more win to reach the NBA Finals since their last appearance in 2012. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET, with the game airing on ESPN.

After enduring a 42-point defeat in Game 3 Oklahoma City achieved a close 128-126 win in Game 4 which demonstrated the determination and skill of their youthful team members. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander recorded 40 points with 10 rebounds and nine assists to lead his team while Jalen Williams scored 34 points and Chet Holmgren added 21 points along with seven rebounds and three blocks.

To prolong the series Minnesota must receive extraordinary performances from their leading players while facing elimination. Anthony Edwards and Julius Randle need to improve after scoring only 16 and five points respectively in Game 4. The Minnesota bench shined during their last match as Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Donte DiVincenzo scored a total of 44 points together.

Oklahoma City holds an 8.5-point advantage while the total points projection stands at 220.5. Oklahoma City stands strong with their depth and defensive capabilities while benefiting from home-court advantage yet the Timberwolves have demonstrated their ability to perform well when facing challenges. I'm turning to the total here tonight as I look for this game to get over the posted number. 

Jim's Play: 549. T’Wolves/Thunder OVER 220.5

The Eastern Conference Finals will continue with Game 4 between the New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis on Tuesday, May 27, 2025. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. 

Indiana Pacers hold a 2-1 advantage in the current seven-game series. The Pacers triumphed in Games 1 and 2 with a 138-135 victory followed by a 114-109 win. The Knicks managed to close the series gap by winning Game 3 with a score of 106-100.

The Knicks showed exceptional determination in Game 3 by turning around a 20-point disadvantage to achieve their inaugural postseason victory at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Since 1997 no team in the play-by-play era has managed three playoff victories from deficits of 20 points or more like the Knicks did in this game.

Karl-Anthony Towns scored 20 fourth-quarter points to make a key contribution to the comeback. However, a challenge persists: Whenever Jalen Brunson and Towns share time on the court together their defensive performance often results in negative outcomes.

The Pacers under Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam leadership look to recover from their Game 3 second-half breakdown. Indiana relies on Haliburton to lead their offensive efforts after he took personal responsibility for their defeat.

Indiana forward Aaron Nesmith remains undecided for Game 4 participation because of a right ankle injury he suffered during Game 3. Nesmith delivered his best game with a career peak of 30 points in Game 1 but has struggled to maintain that level of scoring in later matches.

The Knicks perform better defensively during road games which have a defensive rating of 110.1 compared to their home games with a rating of 114.6. Mikal Bridges and Josh Hart credit their achievements to the increased focus and team unity they build in challenging environments.

I once again look for the Knicks to flex their defensive muscles here on Tuesday. In a slower paced game I like the UNDER in this one. 

Jim's Play: 547. Knicks/Pacers UNDER 

Monday’s Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Minnesota Timberwolves tips off at 8:30 PM ET at the Target Center in Minneapolis. The Thunder maintain a slight advantage in moneyline odds between -150 to -160 at most books even after losing Game 3 heavily as they lead the series 2–1.

Game 3 saw the Thunder lose in a 143–101 blowout which stands out as an anomaly for a team that achieved 68 regular season victories. That puts this OKC team into bounce back situation here on Monday.  Oklahoma City has shown strong resistance throughout their history by responding vigorously after experiencing defeats. Head coach Mark Daigneault explained that the Thunder understands playoff series unpredictability but emphasized every game begins anew. It’ll be 0-0 when Game 4 starts."

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored only 14 points in Game 3 and fell significantly below his playoff scoring average of 28.7 PPG. His history suggests he will soon regain his usual performance level. The Thunder consistently benefited from his skill of attacking the basket while drawing fouls throughout the postseason.

Oklahoma City's defense must make strategic adjustments following Minnesota's exceptional 50% three-point shooting performance in Game 3. The Oklahoma City Thunder's playoff success stems largely from their adaptable defense and dedicated efforts.

During the regular season, the Thunder demonstrated impressive road capabilities by achieving a 32–8 record. Game 4 in Minneapolis looks promising as their proven success in tough environments suggests another solid performance.

The Thunder's combination of resilience and road strength makes betting on them for Game 4 a strong choice. Despite the Timberwolves building momentum after their Game 3 win, history indicates the Thunder will deliver a powerful comeback.

I'm going to take the small line out of the equation here and lay the money line with the Thunder here in game four. 

Jim's Play: 545. Thunder (Money Line -1.50)

Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals will see the New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers compete tonight at Gainbridge Fieldhouse with the Pacers leading the series 2-0 based on their narrow wins in New York. 

The Pacers maintained their high offensive output from the regular season where they averaged 117.4 points per game into the postseason. The quick offensive approach led by Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam has proved dominant against their opponents. Indiana scored 138 points in Game 1 while their Game 2 performance resulted in 114 points with Siakam achieving a playoff career-best 39 points. The Pacers' top-tier ability to operate quickly on offense combined with their scoring proficiency makes betting on the over appealing.

The Knicks depend on Jalen Brunson who scored 43 points in the first game and 36 points in the second game. The Knicks maintained close scores in their games and showed effective offensive performance despite their defeat. The Knicks demonstrate strong performance in playoff road games with a 5-1 record showing they can succeed without playing at Madison Square Garden. The potential for high scoring from both teams together with past game totals of 138-135 and 114-109 makes betting on the over a sound decision.

Indiana's explosive offense combined with New York's scoring potential led by Brunson indicates that Game 3 will likely produce high total points. The over on 223.5 points emerges as a strong wager based on current trends and team performances.

Jim's Play: 543. Knicks/Pacers OVER

The New York Knicks welcome the Indiana Pacers to Madison Square Garden for Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals tonight at 8:00 PM ET. The Pacers took a 1–0 series lead after defeating the Knicks 138–135 in overtime by surmounting a 14-point deficit with less than three minutes to go. The Pacers mounted their comeback thanks to Aaron Nesmith's six fourth-quarter three-point shots and Tyrese Haliburton's 31 points with 11 assists.

The Knicks look to bounce back from their Game 1 defeat behind Jalen Brunson's 45 points and Karl-Anthony Towns' 35 points with 12 rebounds. Head coach Tom Thibodeau stressed the importance of learning from late-game errors while maintaining constant focus during each game.

This postseason opponents have struggled to defend Indiana's quick offensive plays directed by Haliburton. The Pacers have shown exceptional execution when facing high-pressure situations throughout their playoff campaign.

I still believe these teams will look to slow the pace here tonight, especially by the Knicks who don’t want to get into another run and gun showdown like they did in game one.

Jim’s Play: Under the Total 

The Western Conference Finals Game 2 between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder will occur on Thursday, May 22 at 8:30 p.m. The Western Conference Finals Game 2 between the Timberwolves and Thunder will take place at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City according to Eastern Time. The Thunder maintain a 1–0 series advantage following their dominant 114–88 Game 1 victory. The Thunder's recently crowned league MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander amassed 31 points and nine assists during the game while demonstrating his game-changing abilities especially in the second half with 20 points.

The game-winning performance by Oklahoma City included a strong defensive effort that played a major part in their Game 1 victory. The Thunder limited the Timberwolves to only 34.9% shooting accuracy and caused them to commit 17 turnovers. Minnesota's top scorer Anthony Edwards ended the game with 18 points from 13 attempts while noting that Oklahoma City's defense mirrored an "AAU" style through its aggressive and unpredictable tactics. Julius Randle stood out for the Timberwolves by scoring 28 points and making five three-pointers although he also gave the ball away five times.

The Timberwolves must see better play from their bench players to secure a victory in Game 2. In Game 1 both Donte DiVincenzo and Nickeil Alexander-Walker combined to shoot only 6-of-25 from the field as they struggled to find their rhythm. The team's head coach Chris Finch demanded improved decision-making and faster ball movement as strategies to overcome the Thunder's intense defense.

The Thunder maintains its depth advantage through defensive versatility and bench energy provided by Lu Dort, Alex Caruso, and Cason Wallace. The rotation of fresh defenders against the Timberwolves' key players effectively disrupted Minnesota's offensive rhythm.

The Timberwolves must implement substantial strategic changes throughout the series to prevent a 2–0 disadvantage before moving the games to Minnesota. Game 2 provides the Timberwolves with a chance to show their toughness and bounce back against the powerful Thunder team.  I’ll take the points with the visitors in this one. 

Jim’s Play : Timberwolves

The Indiana Pacers and New York Knicks renew their storied rivalry tonight in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals at Madison Square Garden, tipping off at 8:00 p.m. ET on TNT. This marks the ninth playoff meeting between the two franchises, with the Pacers holding a 5–3 edge in prior series. The Knicks won two of the three regular-season matchups this year, including a commanding 123–98 victory in the opener. 

New York enters the series riding high after a decisive six-game triumph over the defending champion Boston Celtics. Jalen Brunson has been the engine of the Knicks' offense, averaging nearly 29 points and over seven assists per game in the postseason. Karl-Anthony Towns has provided a strong interior presence, averaging 19.8 points and 11.3 rebounds per game. The Knicks' supporting cast, including OG Anunoby, Mikal Bridges, and Josh Hart, has contributed significantly, with Hart notably recording a triple-double in the series-clinching win over Boston.  

The Pacers arrive in New York after a convincing five-game series win over the top-seeded Cleveland Cavaliers. Tyrese Haliburton has been instrumental, averaging 19 points and nine assists per game, and delivering in clutch moments. Pascal Siakam brings championship experience and versatility, averaging 20.2 points and 6.9 rebounds per game. Myles Turner adds a defensive anchor, contributing 16 points, seven rebounds, and two blocks per game.  

Tthe Pacers' depth and offensive versatility could pose significant challenges for the Knicks. The game is expected to be a physical battle, reminiscent of the intense matchups between these teams in the 1990s.  

With both teams aiming for their first NBA Finals appearance in over two decades, tonight's game sets the stage for what promises to be a thrilling series. 

Jim is taking the UNDER here in game one.  Maybe nerves, physicality of the game should contribute to a lower scoring game one. 

Jim’s Play: Under the Total. 

Game 1 of the 2025 Western Conference Finals begins Tuesday night when the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder host sixth-seeded Minnesota Timberwolves at Paycom Center. Both teams have momentum but reached this point through very different journeys.

The Oklahoma City Thunder ended the regular season as the league's best team with a 68–14 record which secured their home-court advantage throughout the playoff series. The Thunder eliminated the Memphis Grizzlies in the opening round with ease before defeating the Denver Nuggets in a challenging seven-game series which concluded with an extraordinary 125–93 victory in Game 7. The main force behind the team's success is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander who maintains a postseason average of over 30 points per game while Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams deliver strong support on both ends of the floor.

The playoff season has brought Minnesota Timberwolves unexpected success as the biggest surprise. The Timberwolves achieved a winning streak of 17 out of their final 21 games and secured the sixth seed following the midseason trade that sent Karl-Anthony Towns to the Knicks and brought Julius Randle to Minnesota. The team succeeded in defeating the Los Angeles Lakers in five games before they quickly eliminated the Golden State Warriors in another five-game series. Anthony Edwards has become a legitimate superstar by leading the team in scoring while Rudy Gobert remains the defensive cornerstone after winning his fourth Defensive Player of the Year award.

This matchup was evenly matched during the regular season with both teams claiming two victories each. The Thunder have roster depth and the benefit of playing at home. Minnesota though is the more rested teams and I look for the Wolves to be right there at the end in game one Tuesday. 

Jim’s Play: Take: 527. Timberwolves 

The Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder are set to clash in a decisive Game 7 of the Western Conference Semifinals on Sunday, May 18, 2025.   The playoff series stands even at 3-3 as both teams demonstrated determination and resilience during their confrontations.

Nikola Jokic of the Denver Nuggets leads the series with averages of 29.6 points and 12.7 rebounds in each game. Game 6 victory that pushed the series to a seventh game occurred because of his essential performance for the Nuggets' 119-107 win. Denver Nuggets face an uncertain situation because forward Aaron Gordon remains questionable after sustaining a left hamstring strain during Game 6. Throughout the series Gordon's performance has been essential as he maintains averages of 14.5 points and 9.2 rebounds per game. If he cannot play, Julian Strawther who scored 15 points in Game 6 might receive more playing time.

The Thunder hopes to leverage their home-court advantage while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander maintains his 28.4 points average from the past 10 games. The Thunder has maintained a strong home playoff presence with a record of 4 wins to 1 loss. Players such as Lu Dort and Alex Caruso have delivered substantial defensive impact which together with team depth has been essential to their achievements.

Oklahoma around a 8.5 point favorite here today. That is less than they have been, but the oddsmaker adjustment is because they expect a closer contest here today. The Nuggets have a lot of heart and even if Gordon doesn’t play today, I expect the Nuggets to stay close in this game. I’ll take the points with Denver.

Jim’s Play: Denver Nuggetss. 

The upcoming Game 6 matchup between the Knicks and Celtics at Madison Square Garden promises to be a high-point total contest. The Knicks who are leading the series 3–2 have the opportunity to secure their first Eastern Conference Finals appearance in 25 years. The Celtics show their fight spirit even when Jayson Tatum is absent from the game.

Boston's offense has been impressive lately. Boston achieved a 127-point game total during Game 5 with Derrick White taking an important role without Jayson Tatum. During the conference semifinals Derrick White has been putting up an average of 23 points while collecting 6 rebounds and dishing out 3 assists per game. The Celtics have maintained efficient shooting alongside Jaylen Brown's substantial performance.

Jalen Brunson remains an essential player for the Knicks. He has maintained postseason averages of 29.4 points and 7.8 assists despite his difficult performance in Game 5. The Knicks rely on Brunson and supporting play from Karl-Anthony Towns and OG Anunoby to match Boston's scoring output.

Tonight's over/under point total stands at approximately 211 The recent history of high-scoring matches combined with the strong offensive strengths of both teams shows me this game should go over, even without Tatum. Both teams will push the tempo in this fast-paced game which will result in higher total points. 

Jim’s Play: 509. Celitcs/Knicks OVER 

The Oklahoma City Thunder face the Denver Nuggets in Game 6 of the Western Conference Semifinals at Ball Arena in Denver on Thursday, May 15, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET (5:30 p.m. PT). With the series standing at 3-2 in their favor the Thunder will attempt to clinch victory and advance to the Western Conference finals with a win tonight.

Oklahoma City won Game 5 with a final score of 112-105 despite Nikola Jokic's impressive 44-point and 15-rebound performance. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander spearheaded the Thunder's scoring with 31 points while showing his calmness during key moments of the game. Lu Dort and Jaylin Williams provided valuable support that demonstrated both the team's depth and their ability to remain resilient.

Facing elimination the Nuggets will depend heavily on Jokic who played a central role throughout the series. The team faces challenges with limited depth and Jokic's fatigue after his high-minute performance in Game 5 . The Nuggets' success in prolonging the series hinges on their capacity to back their star player while effectively handling their player rotations.

The Thunder will once again be a road favorite here tonight. I’m sticking with the defending champs getting points at home to keep this series alive and send it back to OKC. 

Take: 508. Nuggets 

The Eastern Conference semifinal series moves to TD Garden in Boston for Game 5 between the New York Knicks and Boston Celtics on Wednesday, May 14, 2025. The Knicks maintain a 3-1 series lead against the Celtics, giving them a chance to reach the Eastern Conference Finals for the first time since their 1999-2000 season.

The Knicks won Game 4 at Madison Square Garden with a score of 121-113 due to Jalen Brunson's performance of 39 points and 12 assists. Mikal Bridges and Karl-Anthony Towns both scored 23 points during the game while OG Anunoby contributed 20 points. The Knicks managed to turn the game in their favor when they scored 70 points to the Celtics' 51 during the second half which enabled them to erase their halftime deficit.

Boston faces a serious obstacle because star forward Jayson Tatum tore his right Achilles tendon during Game 4 which removes him from the playoffs and possibly the entire next season. Boston needs Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis and Derrick White to step up without Tatum to maintain their playoff title aspirations. Still, this is a deep team and I fully expect a big performance out of the other players tonight. 

The Knicks can move on to the Eastern Conference finals with a win or the Celtics can force a game six back in New York. I expect the latter here tonight. 

Jim’s Play- Boston Celtics. 

The Western Conference Semifinals will see the Denver Nuggets face the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 5 at Paycom Center on Tuesday, May 13, 2025. Both teams are competing for an essential advantage as the series stands even at 2-2 in this best-of-seven matchup.

The Thunder entered the playoffs as league leaders with an exceptional 68-14 regular-season record which showcased their roster depth and steadfast resilience. As Oklahoma City Thunder competes in home playoff games Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads his team by scoring more than 30 points per game. His control of the game tempo combined with his clutch performances has played a vital role in Oklahoma City's success. Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren have delivered steady performances throughout the game while supporting their team on both offensive and defensive ends of the court.

The Nuggets count on three-time MVP Nikola Joki? who struggles against the Thunder's athletic defense. Oklahoma City has managed to decrease Joki?'s shooting efficiency while causing him to commit more turnovers than assists throughout the series through their effective defensive strategies. Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon must step up their game to relieve pressure from Joki? so the Nuggets can remain a strong contender.

Both teams will battle fiercely in their quest to gain control of the series and progress towards the Western Conference Finals. Denver seems to have the personnel to compete with the Thunder. So I’ll take the points here with the visitors. 

Take:  581. Nuggets

Game 4 of the Western Conference semifinals between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Golden State Warriors is set for Monday, May 12, 2025 at 7:00 PM PDT at the Chase Center in San Francisco.

The Minnesota Timberwolves hold a 2-1 series advantage following their 102-97 Game 3 win. Anthony Edwards dominated with 36 points including a 13-point fourth quarter performance as Julius Randle recorded a triple-double by contributing 24 points, 12 assists and 10 rebounds. The Warriors endured difficulties as Stephen Curry stayed out with a hamstring injury despite Jimmy Butler's 33 points and Jonathan Kuminga's 30 bench points.

The Warriors' offensive system operates without its normal flow in Curry's absence while Butler shows signs of fatigue after his 43-minute performance in Game 3. The Warriors' performance suffered additional setbacks when Draymond Green fouled out during the game's closing moments.

Rudy Gobert and Jaden McDaniels serve as the foundation of Minnesota's defense which has successfully restricted the Warriors' scoring chances. Minnesota took advantage of second-chance scoring opportunities while surpassing Golden State in rebounds with a 44-36 advantage during Game 3.

The Warriors' path to evening out the series remains challenging without clear information on Curry's potential return.  However, I expect an all out performance from the Warriors as they can ill afford to go back to Minnesota down 1-3 in the series. 

Take: 578. Warriors

Game 4 of the Eastern Conference semifinals between the Boston Celtics and the New York Knicks is set for Monday, May 12, 2025, at 4:30 PM PDT at Madison Square Garden. The New York Knicks hold a 2-1 series advantage following the Boston Celtics' 115-93 Game 3 win. A remarkable shooting performance propelled Boston to a resurgence when they hit 20 of their 40 three-point attempts as Payton Pritchard achieved a playoff career-high 23 points while playing off the bench. Jayson Tatum produced 22 points while also delivering nine rebounds and seven assists for a well-rounded offensive performance.

The Knicks who took an unexpected 2-0 series lead with victories in Boston experienced difficulties in Game 3 where they made just 5 of their 25 attempted three-pointers. Jalen Brunson scored 27 points to lead New York while Karl-Anthony Towns contributed 21 points and 15 rebounds. Coach Tom Thibodeau identified team slow starts as a persistent problem and called for more defensive intensity and urgency from the beginning of games.

The Celtics gained control through their Game 3 triumph and now seeks to tie the series before returning to their home court for Game 5. The Celtics must succeed in taking advantage of open shots while keeping defensive pressure to achieve victory. The Knicks must reassert their defensive identity while improving offensive execution to take back control of the series. The result of Game 4 will play a decisive role in determining how this evenly matched series will progress. 

I don’t expect the same effort from the Knicks here in game four. The Knicks will come out strong and fast in this game.  They don’t want to give back home court to the Celtics and that means a win here in game four. 

Take: 576. Knicks  

Game 4 of the Western Conference semifinal series between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets will take place on Sunday, May 11, 2025 at Ball Arena in Denver. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. The Oklahoma City Thunder finds itself behind in the series with a 2-1 deficit. Oklahoma City faces the difficult situation of keeping the series alive after their dominant regular season performance and first-round sweep because they now confront the possibility of falling 3-1 behind the defending champions.

Despite maintaining their lead throughout most of the match the Thunder lost steam at the end which forced the Nuggets into overtime before winning 113-104. As Oklahoma City's leading MVP contender Shai Gilgeous-Alexander showed poor shooting efficiency he scored 18 points on 7-of-22 shooting. Despite Jalen Williams delivering a strong 32-point performance the Thunder could not surpass Denver's enduring resilience. A decisive three-pointer from Aaron Gordon sent the game into overtime, marking his key contribution to the Nuggets' success. Even though Nikola Jokic had an inconsistent shooting performance he delivered 20 points along with 16 rebounds and six assists which demonstrated his comprehensive game impact.

Denver Nuggets prove their championship quality by utilizing home-court advantage to make key plays during game-clinching moments. The Thunder need to secure a victory in Game 4 to restore their momentum and prevent a challenging series position. This contest features two teams battling intensely for a chance to reach the Western Conference Finals. I’m once again taking the points here with the defending champs on their home court.

Jim’s Play: Denver Nuggets 

The Western Conference Semifinals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets begins tonight at 10:00 p.m. ET at Ball Arena in Denver. Following two contrasting games the series stands even at 1–1. Aaron Gordon delivered a clutch performance for the Nuggets by hitting a game-winning three-pointer and collecting 12 rebounds to win Game 1 on the road. The Thunder delivered a powerful answer in Game 2 when they defeated Denver 149–106 by combining a dominant defense with outstanding three-point shooting performance.

The Thunder ranks among the league’s top road teams with a 32–8 away-from-home record this season. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander keeps his team ahead with playoff averages of 29.7 points and 6.7 assists while Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren contribute with versatile scoring and rim protection. Alex Caruso recently described the Thunder’s defense as their “superpower” due to their success in forcing Memphis to commit more turnovers than made shots during the second half of their first-round series.

The essential challenge for Denver now lies in recovering from their demoralizing defeat in Game 2. After collecting 22 rebounds in Game 1 Nikola Jokic must find ways to make his presence felt throughout the early stages of the game. Following playoff blowouts Jokic typically recovers by taking control of the rebounding game in the next contest. Jamal Murray must step up his scoring and playmaking while the Nuggets face difficulties defending Oklahoma City’s perimeter players.

I fully expect the Nuggets and Jokic to bounce back here on Friday.  I won’t be surprised by a straight-up Denver win tonight. However, I’ll take the generous points the oddsmaker is giving me.

Jim’s Play: Denver Nuggets

The Golden State Warriors and Minnesota Timberwolves are set to clash in Game 2 of their Western Conference Semifinals tonight 5:30 PM PDT at Minneapolis' Target Center. The Warriors earned the 1-0 series lead after defeating the Timberwolves 99-88 in Game 1 despite losing Stephen Curry to a Grade 1 hamstring strain early in the match. Golden State will need to depend on their other key players since Curry will miss three upcoming games.

With Curry out the Warriors plan to depend on Jimmy Butler, Buddy Hield, and Draymond Green for offense. Hield scored 24 points during Game 1 while Butler added 20 points with 11 rebounds and 8 assists and Green contributed 18 points together with 8 rebounds and 6 assists. The Warriors secured their victory by limiting the Timberwolves to a shooting percentage of 39.5% overall and 17.2% from beyond the arc.

Game 1 exposed the Timberwolves' offensive difficulties. Anthony Edwards recorded a single point during the first half before accumulating a total of 23 points through an impressive performance in the second half. Naz Reid delivered strong bench performance with 19 points which displayed his capability to stretch the floor. Minnesota requires stronger showings from their bench players and enhanced shooting accuracy to balance out the series.

The absence of Curry poses a major obstacle for the Warriors as they attempt to keep their offensive flow. The Timberwolves plan to take advantage of this chance by using their bigger roster to overpower the paint and dictate the game's pace. The second game will prove critical because both teams will refine their strategies during this closely fought series. I look for the Wolves to bounce back with a big win here on Thursday

Jim’s Play: Minnesota Timberwolves. 

The first Western Conference Semifinals matchup between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors will take place at Target Center in Minneapolis on Tuesday, May 6, 2025. Following their decisive 4-1 victory against the Los Angeles Lakers the Timberwolves have enjoyed plenty of rest time since their last matchup on May 1. The Warriors begin this series off a demanding seven-game series against the Houston Rockets that ended with their Game 7 triumph on May 4.

Anthony Edwards' 26.8 points per game performance along with Julius Randle's 22.6 points and his additional 5.6 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game drove Minnesota to success in the first round. Rudy Gobert and Randle's size advantage benefits the Timberwolves against the Warriors' smaller lineup. The experienced Golden State team might face difficulties controlling Minnesota's frontcourt strength and rebounding skill.

To overcome the Timberwolves' physical game plan the Warriors must draw from Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler's championship backgrounds and utilize perimeter shooting skills. Buddy Hield's outstanding Game 7 performance against Houston which included 33 points and nine three-pointers set an NBA record while emphasizing the importance of role players stepping up. Golden State struggles with team depth which becomes more apparent when facing Minnesota's balanced and well-rested lineup.

Game 1 is scheduled at 6:30 PM PDT. The Timberwolves are favored by 6.5 points which sets up a captivating opening for the series. Minnesota stands out to me with their combination of youth, size and rest. The Warriors have experience, but they are coming of that demanding, physical, and emotional 7-game win vs the Rockets. I don’t expect much from the Warriors here in game one and that makes this the perfect spot to strike with the Timberwolves.

Jim’s Play: Minnesota Timberwolves (Western Conference 2nd Round Game of the Year)

The Western Conference Semifinals of the 2025 NBA Playoffs begin tonight when the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder hosts Game 1 against the defending champion Denver Nuggets at Paycom Center. 

Oklahoma City approaches the series after completing their first-round sweep against Memphis Grizzlies on April 26 and enjoying full rest. The Oklahoma City Thunder showed strong offensive skills and defensive determination under the leadership of MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander who averaged 32.7 points per game during the regular season. The team has achieved success this season thanks to their balanced offensive approach and roster depth.

After enduring an intense seven-game battle with the Los Angeles Clippers that ended with a decisive 120-101 win on May 3 in Game 7 the Denver Nuggets enter the series. The three-time MVP Nikola Jokic has led Denver by averaging a triple-double in the regular season while maintaining top-level performance throughout the postseason. The Nuggets' offensive rhythm depends heavily on Jamal Murray's scoring performance .

The regular-season match-up between these two teams ended with each team winning two games to demonstrate their equally matched abilities.

OKC has had plenty of rest while Denver coming off that hard fought 7-game win of the Clippers. I look for this game to have plenty of scoring tonight.

Jim’s Play: OVER the Total

The Eastern Conference Semifinals between the New York Knicks and the Boston Celtics will tip off on Monday, May 5, 2025 at TD Garden in Boston at 7:00 PM ET. These storied rivals will play in their 16th playoff meeting since their last encounter in 2013. The Celtics retained their NBA champion status after defeating the Orlando Magic in five games while the Knicks secured their advancement through a challenging six-game series against the Detroit Pistons.

Jalen Brunson has led the Knicks with 31.5 points and 8.2 assists per game throughout the first round and delivered a critical 40-point effort in Game 6. The NBA recognized him as Clutch Player of the Year because he delivered excellent performances when it mattered most. Brunson will need to overcome a strong defensive challenge from the Celtics' backcourt duo Jrue Holiday and Derrick White. Holiday who earned two NBA championships and three All-Defensive First Team selections continues to recover from a hamstring injury without a set return date. Brunson scored an average of 26.7 points in his regular-season matchups against Boston yet the Knicks lost all four games to the Celtics.

Jayson Tatum leads Boston's offense by scoring 33.5 points per game against the Knicks throughout the regular season. Boston's offensive strategies together with Tatum's pick-and-roll maneuvers have proven highly successful in breaking down New York's defensive setup. The Celtics have a robust backup squad featuring Jaylen Brown alongside Kristaps Porzi??is and the Sixman of the Year Payton Pritchard. The Knicks face a major challenge from Boston's depth and versatility.

The success of New York's performance relies heavily on how well Karl-Anthony Towns plays. He delivered uneven performances throughout the first-round series and experienced a significant decline in output during Game 6. New York must improve his defensive performance because he will face Porzi??is who dominated their previous regular-season matchups.

Several key statistical advantages favor the Celtics. During the regular season the Celtics achieved a superior offensive rating at 119.5 while the Knicks recorded 117.3 and demonstrated greater efficiency in both shooting and ball movement. The Celtics' ability to manage game tempo and reduce turnovers may become a crucial factor in determining the outcome of this series.

Despite the Knicks' impressive clutch performances and resilience, the Celtics stand out as the frontrunners due to their team depth and veteran experience combined with their strategic strengths. This initial game is expected to establish the atmosphere for a highly competitive battle between two legendary sports organizations.

I'll take the Celtics here in game one.

Jim's Play: Boston Celtics

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland will host the opening game of the Eastern Conference Semifinals series between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Indiana Pacers on Sunday, May 4, 2025. Tip-off is scheduled for 6: The game will begin at 6:00 PM ET (3:00 PM PT) and will be broadcast across the nation on TNT.

The Cavaliers head into this match with renewed confidence after achieving their largest point differential against the Miami Heat in a first-round series sweep. Donovan Mitchell distinguished himself as a key player by scoring 23.8 points per game during the first round. Mitchell will break Michael Jordan's record for consecutive 30-point playoff opening performances if he scores 30 points during Game 1.

The Cleveland Cavaliers face potential uncertainty as All-Star guard Darius Garland remains day-to-day with a toe injury. Garland did not attend practice on Saturday but took part in a full-contact session on Friday. His status will be a game-time decision .

After securing a five-game series victory against Milwaukee Bucks, the Pacers now head to their matchup in Cleveland. Tyrese Haliburton has played a critical role in Indiana Pacers' winning streak by delivering 17.6 points and leading the playoffs with an average of 11.6 assists per game. The Cavaliers' defense must focus on stopping his playmaking abilities which enable him to generate scoring chances for his teammates.

The Pacers' defensive approach concentrates on reducing three-point shot attempts while they usually refrain from switching screens and maintain less emphasis on protecting the paint. 

Cleveland ranks first in the league with 121.9 points per game while Indiana holds seventh place with 117.4 points per game in offensive scoring throughout the regular season. The series is expected to produce many points while the Cavaliers maintain their lead by controlling Haliburton's playmaking skills and using their offensive depth to their advantage.

As the series begins fans will closely monitor Darius Garland's condition and how teams adjust their strategies to neutralize each other's strengths. I believe the Pacers will be competitive in this series and as such I'm taking the points here in game one. 

Jim's play: Indiana Pacers +points

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland will host the opening game of the Eastern Conference Semifinals series between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Indiana Pacers on Sunday, May 4, 2025. Tip-off is scheduled for 6: The game will begin at 6:00 PM ET (3:00 PM PT) and will be broadcast across the nation on TNT.

The Cavaliers head into this match with renewed confidence after achieving their largest point differential against the Miami Heat in a first-round series sweep. Donovan Mitchell distinguished himself as a key player by scoring 23.8 points per game during the first round. Mitchell will break Michael Jordan's record for consecutive 30-point playoff opening performances if he scores 30 points during Game 1.

The Cleveland Cavaliers face potential uncertainty as All-Star guard Darius Garland remains day-to-day with a toe injury. Garland did not attend practice on Saturday but took part in a full-contact session on Friday. His status will be a game-time decision .

After securing a five-game series victory against Milwaukee Bucks, the Pacers now head to their matchup in Cleveland. Tyrese Haliburton has played a critical role in Indiana Pacers' winning streak by delivering 17.6 points and leading the playoffs with an average of 11.6 assists per game. The Cavaliers' defense must focus on stopping his playmaking abilities which enable him to generate scoring chances for his teammates.

The Pacers' defensive approach concentrates on reducing three-point shot attempts while they usually refrain from switching screens and maintain less emphasis on protecting the paint. 

Cleveland ranks first in the league with 121.9 points per game while Indiana holds seventh place with 117.4 points per game in offensive scoring throughout the regular season. The series is expected to produce many points while the Cavaliers maintain their lead by controlling Haliburton's playmaking skills and using their offensive depth to their advantage.

As the series begins fans will closely monitor Darius Garland's condition and how teams adjust their strategies to neutralize each other's strengths. I do expect a lot of points in this series and tonight I'm taking game one OVER the Total. 

Jim's Play: OVER the Total 

5/03 04:30 PM PT / 7:30 PM ET  

NBA   (537) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS  VS  (538) DENVER NUGGETS

Take: 538. Nuggets 

The Los Angeles Clippers will take on the Denver Nuggets in a crucial Game 7 of their first-round NBA playoff series at Ball Arena in Denver on Saturday, May 3, 2025. The playoffs between the two teams have reached a competitive balance since both teams ended the regular season with 50-32 records and now share three victories each. The team that wins this matchup will move on to play against the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder in the Western Conference semifinals.

During Game 6 the Clippers avoided elimination by winning 111-105, thanks to James Harden's 28 points and eight assists plus Kawhi Leonard's 27 points and 10 rebounds. Norman Powell delivered a substantial performance by scoring 24 points in the game. The Clippers defense played a key role in their victory by containing Nikola Jokic to only five points during the second half with 2-of-9 shooting.

The Nuggets will aim to leverage their home-court benefit during Game 7. Throughout the series Jamal Murray maintained consistency with averages of 24.6 points, 6.2 assists, and 4.8 rebounds per game. Denver requires improved performance from their supporting players including Michael Porter Jr. who has shown inconsistency throughout the series. The Nuggets need to minimize their turnovers which reached 14 during Game 6 while the Clippers managed only seven.

Game 7 situations have historically proven difficult for both teams. Denver remains winless in Game 7s since their NBA bubble triumph against the Clippers in 2020 yet Los Angeles Clippers continue to struggle in clutch situations including their Game 7 defeat to Denver in last year's playoffs. 

Jim's Play: Denver Nuggets

The Houston Rockets will travel to Chase Center in San Francisco to face the Golden State Warriors in Game 6 of their first-round playoff series on May 2, 2025. Golden State Warriors maintained a 3-2 series advantage after Houston Rockets dominated them with strong defense and excellent shooting to win Game 5 by a substantial 131-116 margin. Stephen Curry faced a notable defensive challenge from Amen Thompson after a strong 36-point Game 3 performance .

The Warriors approach Game 6 as favorites by five points while the expected total points scored stands at 203.5. The Warriors have demonstrated impressive home performance at the Chase Center with a 17-3 record over their most recent 20 playoff games there. The Rockets have demonstrated resilience through their "double bigs" lineup with Alperen Sengun and Steven Adams disrupting the Warriors' offensive flow.

Physical confrontations and escalating tensions defined the series while Dillon Brooks revealed he specifically hit Curry's injured thumb. While Warriors faced challenges in their composure due to the physical play, their expertise from past high-pressure games may become a key advantage.

The Warriors have the home-court advantage and playoff experience needed to finish off the series. The Warriors do not want to go back to Houston for a game seven. They have depth in their bench, a great coach and lots of playoff experience. I'm taking the Warriors to close out the series and cover the spread. 

Jim's Play: 530. Warriors 

The Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California will host the decisive Game 6 between the Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday, May 1, 2025. Jamal Murray scored 43 points with Nikola Jokic recording a triple-double as the Denver Nuggets achieved a commanding 131-115 victory in Game 5 to take a 3-2 series lead.

While Game 5 ended with high scoring totals the next matchup is expected to result in fewer points overall. The Clippers maintain a reputation for defensive discipline which propels them to top rankings in league points allowed per game and they anticipate intensifying their defense to prevent elimination from the series. The Clippers plan to break Murray's game flow and limit Jokic's playmaking abilities which should push Denver into making difficult and less effective shot attempts.

As the Clippers fight to avoid elimination with desperation tactics and the Nuggets work to finish the series with control and poise both teams will focus more intensively on half-court execution and defensive plays. The high stakes and playoff environment of Game 6 will turn this Western Conference showdown into a battle of endurance rather than a game of speed which makes betting 'under' my choice.

TAKE: Nuggets/Clippers UNDER the Total 

The Lakers start as 5½ to 6-point favorites for Game 5 against the Timberwolves Wednesday but Jim Feist argues this advantage is excessive because the Timberwolves have shown superior performance over the first four games. Minnesota maintains a 3-1 series advantage after defeating the Lakers twice at Crypto.com Arena by controlling the game pace through excellent defense and balanced scoring. Anthony Edwards stands out as the series top performer by successfully dismantling the Lakers' perimeter defense to generate open shots for himself and his teammates. The Lakers experience difficulty in half-court situations because they depend on single-player plays from Luka Doncic and LeBron James who both encounter double teams and defensive pressure throughout the series. The Lakers' offensive rhythm has suffered because of Minnesota’s defensive switching capabilities and their bench led by Naz Reid and Kyle Anderson has made crucial contributions that shift the game's momentum. Because Los Angeles plays with pressure while Minnesota maintains composure and confidence Jim Feist predicts the Timberwolves will maintain control. The value of scoring so many points against the better overall team is too significant to overlook. The play is on Minnesota to cover.

Jim's Play: Timberwolves +6

Tonight marks a decisive Game 5 for the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena against the Los Angeles Clippers while the series remains evenly matched at 2-2. The Denver Nuggets earned back their momentum and home-court advantage thanks to a dramatic 101-99 Game 4 win finalized by Aaron Gordon's buzzer-beater dunk. Nikola Jokic remains the foundation of Denver's success through his commanding performance in Game 4 which featured 36 points alongside 21 rebounds and 8 assists. Jokic's series averages of 28.5 points, 13.5 rebounds and 10.8 assists per game demonstrate his MVP level performance.

Jamal Murray hasn't yet reached his full potential but the Nuggets have received strong performances from Christian Braun and Michael Porter Jr. who played despite his shoulder injury. Although Russell Westbrook faces a foot injury and Porter Jr. has a probable status, Denver shows strong depth and resilience.

Kawhi Leonard and James Harden have led the Clippers to demonstrate strong defensive abilities by keeping Denver below its season scoring average across their four matchups. Leonard leads the series with an average of 26.5 points per game but Harden provides 21.3 points and 9.5 assists per game.

The Denver Nuggets hold a potential advantage to take the series lead since they benefit from home-court support and Nikola Jokic’s leadership while the series remains even. If Denver wins tonight they will lead the series 3-2 and get the chance to finish the series in Los Angeles. 

Nuggets also a small dog here tonight, which I'll gladly take. 

Jim's Play: Denver Nuggets

The Detroit Pistons face elimination in tonight's Game 5 at Madison Square Garden as they trail 3-1 in the series against the New York Knicks. The Detroit Pistons have shown both resilience and competitiveness in the series despite their current deficit. Cade Cunningham played an exceptional game in Game 4 by achieving a triple-double with 25 points, 10 assists, and 10 rebounds which showcased their team's tenacity. Cunningham's persistent turnover problem included 24 giveaways during the series which allowed the Knicks to effectively score from these mistakes.

The players supporting the Pistons such as Tobias Harris, Tim Hardaway Jr., Malik Beasley, and Dennis Schroder have made notable contributions by achieving double-figure scoring averages. Jalen Duren dominates the court with a game average of 11 rebounds. If Isaiah Stewart cannot play due to a knee injury this might weaken the Pistons' interior defense and rebounding performance.

The Pistons must reduce turnovers and manage the game pace while maximizing their scoring chances against the Knicks' experienced lineup led by Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns to prolong the series. If the Pistons win tonight they would secure Game 6 at their home court allowing them to decrease the deficit between the teams. Detroit possesses the necessary weapons to achieve an upset victory and prolong their season thanks to Cunningham's comprehensive play and their deep roster. Detroit Pistons will face their opponent in this critical game.

Jim's Play: Detroit Pistons

The Milwaukee Bucks must secure victory in their Game 5 clash against the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse as they trail 3-1 in their first-round playoff series. Without star guard Damian Lillard who tore his Achilles tendon during Game 4 Giannis Antetokounmpo must now carry the team's offensive responsibilities. Giannis Antetokounmpo has maintained his dominance this season by posting averages of 30.4 points, 11.9 rebounds, and 6.5 assists per game. Milwaukee needs strong performances from players like Gary Trent Jr., who set a franchise playoff record with nine three-pointers in Game 3 and Bobby Portis to continue their series against the Pacers.

With Tyrese Haliburton distributing 9.2 assists per game the Pacers have showcased balanced and efficient offense during the series. During Game 4 Indiana demonstrated their team strength when they managed to get eight players into double-figure scoring which showcased their team depth and versatility. By leveraging their home-court advantage Indiana Pacers target to finish off this playoff series after winning their first game at Indianapolis against the Bucks.

Injuries continue to impact both teams. The Bucks will likely miss Tyler Smith as he is doubtful and Indiana lacks Isaiah Jackson while Benedict Mathurin remains questionable. What is the difference for me is the depth of bench. The Bucs rely on Giannis too much while the Pacers have shown they can go deep on the bench.

I look for the Pacers to wrap up the series here tonight and cover the spread.

Jim's Play: Indiana Pacers.

The New York Knicks will face the Detroit Pistons in Game 4 of their first-round playoff series on Sunday, April 27, 2025 at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit. Tip-off is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. The New York Knicks currently hold a 2-1 advantage in the series against the Pistons. The Knicks prevailed with a slim 118-116 win in Game 3 because Karl-Anthony Towns scored 31 points and Jalen Brunson contributed 30 points along with several key shots during the game's final moments. OG Anunoby and Mikal Bridges combined for 42 points during the game while Josh Hart provided 11 rebounds and 9 assists. Despite their victory the New York bench continues to struggle as Detroit's reserves scored 40 points compared to just nine for New York's bench in their last matchup. Cade Cunningham scored 24 points and delivered 11 assists while Tim Hardaway Jr. also reached 24 points but the Pistons showed resilience yet were unable to finish strong at the end. As the series unfolds each team will implement strategic changes so that the Knicks seek to build upon their lead while the Pistons work toward balancing the series outcome. The Pistons have the big edge in depth as they go deep into the bench. Compared to the Knicks who pretty much rely solely on their starters for points. I am going to take the Pistons here on Sunday and with such a small line I'm taking the Pistons on the Money Line. 

Jim's Play: Detroit Pistons (Money Line)

The Los Angeles Clippers and Denver Nuggets will play Game 4 of their first-round playoff series on Saturday, April 26, 2025 at the Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California. The Clippers currently lead the series 2-1.

The Denver Nuggets won Game 1 in overtime with a final score of 112-110 thanks to Nikola Jokic who delivered 29 points together with 12 rebounds and 9 assists. Aaron Gordon scored 25 points and grabbed 8 rebounds while Jamal Murray added 21 points to the team's effort. James Harden scored 32 points to lead the Clippers while Ivica Zubac contributed 21 points and 13 rebounds.

The Clippers leveled the series to 1-1 after their 105-102 victory in Game 2. Kawhi Leonard scored 39 points shooting 15-of-19 while Nikola Joki? achieved 26 points and a triple-double of 12 rebounds and 10 assists for Denver.

The Clippers secured a commanding 117-83 win in Game 3 to move ahead in the series with a 2-1 lead. Leonard finished with 21 points and 11 rebounds while Harden and Norman Powell each scored 20 points and Zubac provided 19 points and 9 rebounds. Jokic achieved a triple-double performance with 23 points and 13 rebounds and assists but Denver faced overall team challenges.

Denver faces multiple injury concerns. Michael Porter Jr. remains questionable for Game 4 because of a left shoulder sprain while he states his performance level is between 20-30%. Russell Westbrook faces uncertainty in Game 4 because of left foot inflammation. DaRon Holmes II continues to be sidelined because of his right Achilles tendon repair. 

The Nuggets have an uphill battle here tonight on the Clippers home court. Plus they are dealing with numerous injured players. Still, I believe this line is way over compensated by the oddsmaker. I can't pass on this many points.

Jim's Play: Denver Nuggets

The Cleveland Cavaliers, who currently lead their first-round playoff series 2-0, will travel to Miami for Game 3 against the Heat on April 26, 2025. Tipoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET at the Kaseya Center. The Cavaliers demonstrated their superiority throughout the series by winning the initial games with scores of 121-100 and 121-112. Donovan Mitchell's scoring leadership above 30 points each game includes his critical 17-point fourth-quarter performance in Game 2 which stopped Miami from mounting a comeback. Evan Mobley who won Defensive Player of the Year has reinforced the Cavs' defense while Darius Garland gives substantial game contributions with 24 points and seven assists per game. The status of Darius Garland for Game 3 remains unclear because of a sprained left toe which could disrupt Cleveland's backcourt setup. As of this writing, Garland is officailly listed as questionable for today's contest. 

The Miami Heat begin their playoff journey as the eighth seed while approaching a decisive moment in the series. The team displayed resilience by turning a 19-point deficit into a two-point edge in Game 2 because of Tyler Herro's 33 points. Bam Adebayo maintained his consistent performance while almost reaching a triple-double in their last match. The Miami Heat will miss Kevin Love because of personal reasons and Terry Rozier who is sidelined with an injury. The Heat possess an impressive home playoff performance track record which they must utilize to prevent falling into a 3-0 series deficit because no NBA team has ever come back from that position. 

This is really a must win spot for the Heat. They might as well give up if they lose game three on their home court. Therefore, I'm looking for their best effort here on Saturday.  I'll take the points with the Heat here on Saturday.

Jim's Play: Miami Heat

Game 3 between the Boston Celtics and Orlando Magic of their first-round NBA playoff series will take place at the Kia Center in Orlando on April 25, 2025. The Celtics lead their playoff series 2-0 after winning their initial two home games and aim to maintain this advantage with another win on the road.

Boston managed to secure a win in Game 2 without their star forward Jayson Tatum who is currently doubtful for Game 3 because of a right wrist bone bruise. Jaylen Brown delivered an impressive performance by scoring 36 points and grabbing 10 rebounds while dishing out five assists. Kristaps Porzingis delivered 20 points and 10 rebounds while Derrick White scored 17 points through key three-pointers during the final period. The Celtics demonstrated their team depth and resilience to handle Orlando's physical defense while keeping the series lead.

While implementing an aggressive defensive strategy, the Magic have failed to establish any offensive flow. Paolo Banchero's 32 points and Franz Wagner's 25 points could not compensate for the team's poor 24% shooting percentage from the three-point line. The Magic can prevent a 3-0 deficit by increasing their shooting precision and reducing turnovers while utilizing their home crowd's support.

Boston aims to stay dominant in Florida to advance to the second round while the Magic have a critical chance to regain control and maintain their playoff chances.

No reason the Celtics have to hurry Tatum back into the lineup. Better to probably let his bruised wrist heal completely. That being said, the Magic got in under the number and covered game two. No reason they can't cover game three here at home on Friday at around a 4 1/2 to 5 point dog. 

Jim's Play: Orlando Magic

Game 3 between the Boston Celtics and Orlando Magic of their first-round NBA playoff series will take place at the Kia Center in Orlando on April 25, 2025. The Celtics lead their playoff series 2-0 after winning their initial two home games and aim to maintain this advantage with another win on the road.

Boston managed to secure a win in Game 2 without their star forward Jayson Tatum who is currently doubtful for Game 3 because of a right wrist bone bruise. Jaylen Brown delivered an impressive performance by scoring 36 points and grabbing 10 rebounds while dishing out five assists. Kristaps Porzingis delivered 20 points and 10 rebounds while Derrick White scored 17 points through key three-pointers during the final period. The Celtics demonstrated their team depth and resilience to handle Orlando's physical defense while keeping the series lead.

While implementing an aggressive defensive strategy, the Magic have failed to establish any offensive flow. Paolo Banchero's 32 points and Franz Wagner's 25 points could not compensate for the team's poor 24% shooting percentage from the three-point line. The Magic can prevent a 3-0 deficit by increasing their shooting precision and reducing turnovers while utilizing their home crowd's support.

Boston aims to stay dominant in Florida to advance to the second round while the Magic have a critical chance to regain control and maintain their playoff chances.

Even though Orlando struggled offensively at the start of the series they demonstrated potential scoring abilities through Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner. Boston may have to continue without Jayson Tatum after consecutive challenging victories which creates an excellent opportunity for the Magic to strike back in their home arena. The Magic are expected to start the game with high intensity while both teams maintain a fast pace which will favor the over in this crucial matchup. I look for the OVER to come into play here in game three. 

Jim's Play: Over the Total

The Denver Nuggets will square off against the Los Angeles Clippers in Game 3 of their first-round playoff series on Thursday, April 24th, 2025 at the Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California. Both teams enter Game 3 knowing that the winner will gain a substantial advantage in this evenly matched series since they currently have equal wins.

The Denver Nuggets won Game 1 against the Los Angeles Clippers with an overtime victory of 112-110 thanks to Nikola Jokic's near triple-double performance. The celebration after the victory faded because of internal conflicts which resulted in the dismissal of coach Mike Malone and Nikola Jokic's public criticism of Michael Porter Jr. regarding his commitment to the game. Assistant coach David Adelman took over team leadership responsibilities for the upcoming games. The Clippers secured a 105-102 victory in Game 2 thanks to Kawhi Leonard's exceptional 39-point performance which demonstrated his ability to dominate crucial moments. By strengthening their defense during crucial moments the Clippers executed important stops that helped them maintain their lead until the end.

The Nuggets must consider lineup changes for Game 3 because Michael Porter Jr. has a questionable status while DaRon Holmes II is unavailable. The Clippers benefit from both a healthy roster and the home-court advantage.  Denver faces immediate pressure to establish stability through their temporary coaching leadership while enhancing the output of their supporting players. The Clippers aim to capitalize on their veteran players and Game 2's momentum to secure what may become a definitive victory at their home arena. The upcoming game will test teams' self-control and roster strength against star player performances while determining the series' direction.

We find the Clippers around a 5-point favorite here on Thursday. The way the first two games played out, this one looks to be another contest that comes down to the buzzer. And, as such, I'm taking these points with a Denver team that could easily steal game three. 

Jim's Play: Denver Nuggets.

The Eastern Conference first-round playoff matchup between the New York Knicks and Detroit Pistons continues on April 24th, 2025 with Game 3 scheduled at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit on Thursday. This game stands as a decisive match because the series remains deadlocked at 1-1 and both teams arrive with self-belief after excellent performances in the first two games. The Knicks captured Game 1 through a dominant fourth-quarter run when they scored 21 consecutive points to erase the deficit and secure a 123-112 victory. Jalen Brunson acted as the leading force by scoring 34 points while Karl-Anthony Towns and OG Anunoby delivered essential support throughout the game. Detroit showed determination in Game 2 to secure a 100-94 win through Cade Cunningham's breakout performance which delivered 33 points and 12 rebounds. Dennis Schröder ignited the game from the bench with crucial playmaking and delivered a decisive three-pointer during the last minute that secured the victory.

The Knicks stay healthy and intend to maintain their core lineup for Game 3 while the Pistons face potential player shortages if Isaiah Stewart misses action due to a knee problem. Jaden Ivey remains sidelined. Brunson continues to lead the charge with his series average of over 35 points while the Knicks must seek improved performance from Towns after his 10-point showing in Game 2. Detroit finds success through Cunningham's versatile performance and Schröder's veteran skills and plans to maintain their intense defensive approach at home. 

This looks to be another hard fought contest. The Knicks are now a 1-point favorite but really we just need them to win the game. I look for a healthy Knicks team to be the team to beat here on Thursday.

Jim's Play: NY Knicks

The Cleveland Cavaliers hold a 1-0 series lead over the Miami Heat after their decisive 121-100 Game 1 victory as they prepare to face off again on Wednesday, April 23, 2025. The game will start at 7:30 p.m. ET at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland.

Donovan Mitchell achieved a game-high 30 points with four steals while Cleveland's backcourt trio of him, Darius Garland, and Ty Jerome exceeded 80 total points in Game 1. Garland contributed 27 points to the team's effort while Jerome produced a game-changing 28-point performance from the bench that included 16 points in the fourth quarter to help secure the victory. The Cavaliers displayed strong three-point shooting by hitting 18 out of their 43 attempts which demonstrated their depth and power on offense.

Miami entered the playoffs as the first No. 10 seed to move past the Play-In Tournament. To reach the playoffs from the Play-In Tournament as the first No. 10 seed to do so Miami depended primarily on Bam Adebayo's 24 points and Tyler Herro's 21 points. Miami could not stop Cleveland’s perimeter attack from advancing while their offense failed to maintain an equivalent pace. The absence of veteran players Kevin Love and Terry Rozier due to injuries has left Miami Heat with fewer players and reduced scoring ability.

Miami needs strategic defensive improvements primarily against three-point shooters and additional offensive support besides their two leading scorers for Game 2. Cleveland aims to maintain their scoring drive to build a 2-0 series advantage before moving to South Florida. The betting lines favor the Cavaliers with a double-digit advantage after they demonstrated their superior performance in Game 1 against Miami's significant challenges. The Heat must deliver sharp performances from all players to prevent falling into a 0-2 series deficit against the strong playoff-aspiring Cavaliers.

Big line here in game two as the Cavs around a 12-point favorite. While I don't expect a Heat win, I do look for them to slide in under that line.

Jim's Play: Miami Heat

The Milwaukee Bucks will face the Indiana Pacers in Game 2 of their Eastern Conference first-round playoff series on Tuesday, April 22, 2025, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. The Pacers took a 1-0 series lead with their commanding Game 1 win over the Bucks by 117-98 after establishing their dominance with a 24-point halftime lead that they maintained throughout the game.

Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 36 points to lead Milwaukee but received minimal support from his starting teammates who only scored 14 points combined. The Bucks showed poor performance from beyond the arc by making only 24.3% of their shots which they need to fix to bring the series to a tie. The main focus as Game 2 approaches will be the playing status of Damian Lillard who has moved from doubtful to questionable. After multiple weeks sidelined by a calf blood clot Damian Lillard completed full practice sessions on Monday which would boost Milwaukee's offense if he receives clearance to play.

The Pacers demonstrated a balanced offensive strategy during their first game. Pascal Siakam scored 25 points and led the team as Myles Turner contributed 19 points along with four blocks. Tyrese Haliburton struggled with shooting yet managed to create multiple scoring opportunities by delivering 12 assists. Indiana demonstrated strong defensive depth in their initial game performance and they aim to preserve this progression while taking advantage of their home-court standing in Game 2.

If Lilliard can play tonight it will be a huge boost to this Bucks lineup. Either way, the Bucks have to play with urgency here on Tuesday. I'll take the points with Milwaukee. 

Jim's Pick: Bucks

Game 2 of the NBA Western Conference playoff series between the LA Clippers and Denver Nuggets on Monday, April 21 from Ball Arena in Denver. After the Denver Nuggets won Game 1 of their series against the Los Angeles Clippers with a close 112-110 overtime victory, Jim Feist predicts the Clippers will bounce back in Game 2.

The Clippers remained competitive in Game 1 even though they had 20 turnovers and lost their late lead and at times led by 15-points. James Harden delivered 32 points and performed impressively while Kawhi Leonard contributed 22 points and Ivica Zubac controlled the paint with 21 points and 13 rebounds. The Clippers showed strong performance by outshooting Denver throughout the game and maintaining control during most periods until their last-game failure. 

Despite Nikola Jokic’s near triple-double performance of 29 points, 12 assists and 9 rebounds, Denver demonstrated both resilience and signs of vulnerability during their play. The Nuggets scored 25 points from Aaron Gordon and reaped the benefits of several late-game clutch successes involving Russell Westbrook’s decisive corner shot which might not occur again under similar high-pressure situations.

Jim Feist believes the Clippers are better prepared as they head into Game 2. The Clippers displayed better efficiency during the majority of the opener but need to address their turnovers through adjustments. The combination of L.A.'s team depth and veteran experience results in their slight advantage which remains valid even during road games and oddsmakers confirm this by listing L.A. as an uncommon road favorite.

L.A. should establish dominance early while displaying urgency after their loss in Game 1. The current matchup gives L.A. great chances to achieve a victory and even this series at 1-1 as they head back to Los Angeles. 

Jim Feist's Play: Clippers

The Detroit Pistons will play the New York Knicks in Game 2 of their first-round playoff series at Madison Square Garden on Monday, April 21, 2025. New York Knicks currently lead the series 1-0 with their impressive 123-112 comeback win in Game 1. New York staged an impressive 21-0 fourth-quarter comeback that was powered by Jalen Brunson's 34 points and Cam Payne providing 11 crucial points. Both Karl-Anthony Towns and OG Anunoby scored 23 points each to demonstrate the depth and resilience of the Knicks team.

Detroit showed potential for three quarters during its playoff return since 2019 before succumbing to the final period's pressure. During his first playoff game Cade Cunningham scored 21 points with 12 assists but displayed inefficient play through an 8-of-21 field goal performance and six turnovers. Tobias Harris scored 25 points to lead the Pistons but managed only three points during the second half. The team's 21 turnovers which featured eight in the fourth quarter turned out to be detrimental.

After losing Game 1 veteran handicapper Jim Feist believes the Pistons will cover the spread in Game 2. The Knicks hold a 6.5-point advantage while the total points stand at 222. According to Feist's endorsement Detroit demonstrates strong potential to make necessary adjustments and improve performance in their next game. The Pistons looked great for three quarters in game one so they know they can play with the Knicks. 

The Pistons hope to even this series at 1-1 before moving the venue back to Detroit. Jim looks for the Pistons to make this one close and at least cover the spread if not win outright. 

Jim Feist's Play: Pistons 

The first-round playoff series between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Miami Heat starts on Sunday, April 20, 2025 at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland.  The Cavaliers took home the top seed in the Eastern Conference thanks to their 64–18 record while the Heat claimed the eighth seed after moving forward from the Play-In Tournament.

Cleveland boasts the highest offensive rating in the league by scoring 121.9 points for every 100 possessions. The team ranks eighth defensively because they permit opponents to score 111.8 points per 100 possessions. Donovan Mitchell has spearheaded the Cavaliers' offense by averaging 26.5 points per game while Darius Garland steers the team as an efficient floor general with 6.7 assists per game. Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen serve as the foundation for Cleveland’s inside defense and rebounding efforts.

The Heat took an alternate route to reach the playoffs. After Jimmy Butler left the team during the regular season Miami finished with a record of 37–45 and went on to win against Chicago Bulls and Atlanta Hawks in the Play-In round. Tyler Herro has assumed the lead position for Miami Heat by scoring 23.9 points per game and receives crucial support from Bam Adebayo and Andrew Wiggins during both offensive and defensive plays.

The Cavaliers secured victories in two of three regular-season games against the Heat through wins with scores of 126–106 and 112–107. Miami achieved a 122–113 victory during their latest matchup. The upcoming series will largely revolve around the battle between Cleveland's explosive offensive style and Miami's tough and structured defensive approach.

Cleveland stands to benefit from home-court advantage as they have shown dominant play at home during Game 1 projections. The combination of Mitchell’s scoring ability and Cleveland’s comprehensive offensive strategy gives the Cavaliers a strong position to start the series with an advantage. 

The Cavs offense will be too much for the Miami defense and the home crown should have the Cleveland team pumped-up for game one. 

Take: Cleveland Cavaliers.  

The Los Angeles Lakers launch their 2025 NBA Playoffs season against the Minnesota Timberwolves on Saturday, April 19 at Crypto.com Arena. Game 1 tips off at 8:30 p.m. ET and will be broadcast nationally.

The Los Angeles Lakers secured the third seed in the Western Conference for the postseason after finishing the regular season with a 50–32 record and their first Pacific Division title since 2020. The Los Angeles Lakers acquired Luka Doncic in a major midseason trade which boosted their offensive capabilities. After Doncic joined the Lakers their record stands at 19 wins and 5 losses while he delivers 28.2 points together with 8.1 rebounds and 7.5 assists in each game. LeBron James' performance of 24.6 points, 8.4 assists, and 8.0 rebounds this season alongside Luka Doncic proved essential for the team's rise through the standings.

The Lakers have discovered their rhythm under head coach JJ Redick with a starting lineup that includes Doncic, James, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura and Dorian Finney-Smith. The team has reached elite standards through superior offensive and defensive play which includes effective ball movement paired with perimeter shooting and strong physical on-ball defense.

Minnesota's sixth-seeded Timberwolves present a tough matchup with Anthony Edwards as their leading guard who posted averages of 27.6 points along with 5.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game. The Minnesota team boasts Julius Randle and Rudy Gobert which creates a powerful frontcourt strength. The Wolves stand as one of the league's premier defensive teams by maintaining fifth place in point allowance with only 109.1 points given up per game.

Both teams achieved two victories each during their regular season matchups while defending their respective home courts. The Lakers have two of the biggest names in the NBA with James and Doncic and that experience should take them far in the playoffs this year.

Take; LA Lakers

The Eastern Conference first-round matchup of the 2025 NBA Playoffs begins with a strong contest between third-seeded New York Knicks and sixth-seeded Detroit Pistons on Saturday, April 19 at Madison Square Garden.

The Detroit Pistons achieved an impressive season turnaround by going from last year's league-low 14 wins to a 44–38 record this season under head coach J.B. Bickerstaff. The Detroit Pistons returned to the playoffs for the first time since their appearance in 2019. The Pistons were led by All-Star guard Cade Cunningham who averaged 26.1 points and provided 9.1 assists with 6.1 rebounds each game. The Pistons have won three out of four regular-season matchups against the Knicks while Cade Cunningham posted averages of 30.8 points and 8.3 assists during these games with shooting accuracy at 56.3%.

With a regular-season record of 51–31 the Knicks join the playoffs with extensive experience and notable star power. New York plans to take advantage of its home-court advantage and experienced team led by Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns. Brunson has consistently delivered high-scoring playoff performances by averaging more than 30 points in 11 out of his 24 postseason games for the Knicks. 

I'll be on the Knicks here in game one at home.

Play: New York Knicks

The Western Conference first-round matchup between the Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Clippers will take center stage during the 2025 NBA Playoffs Saturday, April 19th. The Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Clippers both ended the regular season with 50–32 records but Denver earned the No. 4 seed due to a tiebreaker. A tiebreaker awarded Denver the No. 4 seed which allows them to host the first playoff game at Ball Arena. Denver Nuggets star three-time MVP Nikola Jokic achieved a historic triple-double average this season by scoring almost 30 points per game and grabbing more than 12 rebounds while dishing out over 10 assists. Nikola Jokic stands as Denver’s offensive center and their main chance at winning a championship. The outcome of the season depends heavily on Jamal Murray's health and performance because Denver entered the playoffs after making a coaching change late in the season.

The Clippers have reached the postseason riding a successful eight-game winning streak which has allowed them to play at their peak. After healing from his injuries, Kawhi Leonard performs at maximum capacity while James Harden has become a stabilizing force in the backcourt through his combination of scoring and ball distribution. The Clippers stand among the top defensive teams in the league and intend to disrupt Denver's successful offensive plays. The dynamics of the series will be significantly influenced by the performances in key matchups including Leonard versus Aaron Gordon and Zubac's defense against Jokic.

The Clippers have hit their peak here at the end of the season and that coupled with Leonard being healthy and Harden leading the way, I look for the Clippers to cover here in game one. 

Take : LA Clippers

The NBA Playoffs open on Saturday, April 19, 2025 with an exciting first-round Eastern Conference series between the No. 4 seed Indiana Pacers and the No. 5 seed Milwaukee Bucks. The first game between Indiana Pacers and Milwaukee Bucks starts at 1:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Indiana Pacers head into the playoffs as a strong team by winning 14 out of their last 17 regular-season games. Indiana's offense demonstrates considerable potency under the leadership of All-Star guard Tyrese Haliburton and forward Pascal Siakam through its top league standings in field-goal percentage and assists. Indiana maintains home-court advantage which becomes vital considering their impressive home performances after the All-Star break. 

As the regular season came to a close the Bucks had eight consecutive victories. Giannis Antetokounmpo maintains his dominance as a two-time MVP by delivering averages of over 30 points, 11 rebounds and 6 assists for every game he plays. Damian Lillard will miss the start of Game 1 because of a calf injury but hopes remain high for his participation in subsequent games. Milwaukee managed to secure victories in three out of four matchups with the Pacers during the regular season which demonstrated their capability to handle Indiana's rapid style of play.

Indiana and Milwaukee's upcoming series will showcase a fierce competition between Indiana's roster depth together with their home-court advantage juxtaposed with Milwaukee's playoff-hardened team and Antetokounmpo's exceptional talent. 

I like the depth of this Indiana team and coupled with home court, I look for them to take and cover game one.

Play: Indiana Pacers

The NBA Playoffs open on Saturday, April 19, 2025 with an exciting first-round Eastern Conference series between the No. 4 seed Indiana Pacers and the No. 5 seed Milwaukee Bucks. The first game between Indiana Pacers and Milwaukee Bucks starts at 1:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Indiana Pacers head into the playoffs as a strong team by winning 14 out of their last 17 regular-season games. Indiana's offense demonstrates considerable potency under the leadership of All-Star guard Tyrese Haliburton and forward Pascal Siakam through its top league standings in field-goal percentage and assists. Indiana maintains home-court advantage which becomes vital considering their impressive home performances after the All-Star break. 

As the regular season came to a close the Bucks had eight consecutive victories. Giannis Antetokounmpo maintains his dominance as a two-time MVP by delivering averages of over 30 points, 11 rebounds and 6 assists for every game he plays. Damian Lillard will miss the start of Game 1 because of a calf injury but hopes remain high for his participation in subsequent games. Milwaukee managed to secure victories in three out of four matchups with the Pacers during the regular season which demonstrated their capability to handle Indiana's rapid style of play.

Indiana and Milwaukee's upcoming series will showcase a fierce competition between Indiana's roster depth together with their home-court advantage juxtaposed with Milwaukee's playoff-hardened team and Antetokounmpo's exceptional talent. 

Typically NBA playoff games tend to lower scoring games then regular season.  That being said, this is the one game on Saturday that stands out to me for an under play. 

Play: Bucks/Pacers UNDER

On April 18th, 2025, during a crucial NBA Play-In Tournament match on Friday, the Dallas Mavericks will face the Memphis Grizzlies with the victor earning the 8th seed position in the Western Conference.

Dallas enters the matchup with newfound optimism after defeating Sacramento thanks to Anthony Davis who achieved 27 points and secured 9 rebounds. After trading Luka Doncic to the Lakers for Davis the Mavericks developed a new team identity. The offense maintains productivity because Klay Thompson has risen to become a reliable second option and Kyrie Irving suffered a season-ending ACL injury.

Memphis aims to recover from their close defeat against Golden State. The team stayed competitive under interim coach Tuomas Iisalo after Taylor Jenkins was dismissed in the season's middle. Ja Morant battles his ankle injury while Desmond Bane sustains his role as the main scoring option after achieving a 30-point game. The Grizzlies must assign Jaren Jackson Jr. to control Davis inside the paint.

With their offense standing as one of the league's top scoring forces the Grizzlies achieve an average score of nearly 122 points per game. The Mavericks have reached their peak performance at an advantageous time despite the Grizzlies' home court advantage and fast-paced play offering them a marginal lead. Both teams will push the pace throughout the game resulting in high scores as their main players step up.

I'm taking the points here on Friday with the Mavs.

Take: Dallas Mavericks

The Miami Heat will compete against the Atlanta Hawks in a crucial Eastern Conference Play-In Tournament matchup on Friday, April 18th, 2025 at State Farm Arena located in Atlanta. The team that wins this game will obtain the 8th seed position and will face the top-seeded Cleveland Cavaliers during the first round of the playoffs.

The Miami Heat enters this contest with fresh momentum after their previous Play-In game victory against the Chicago Bulls with a score of 109-90. Tyler Herro delivered a stellar 38-point performance which highlighted his offensive skills and defensive capabilities. Bam Adebayo achieved a double-double with 15 points and 12 rebounds and Andrew Wiggins contributed 18 points and nine rebounds which showed the Miami Heat's strong team depth and versatility. Off the bench Davion Mitchell delivered a notable performance by scoring 15 points and providing eight assists.

The Hawks aim to recover from their 120-95 defeat to the Orlando Magic during their first Play-In game. Trae Young stands as the essential playmaker for Atlanta’s offense with his regular season averages of 24.2 points and 11.6 assists. The team needs his leadership and playmaking capabilities to successfully advance past Miami’s defense. The Hawks completely surrendered to the Magic during that game. I always feel bothered when a team decides to forfeit. That also weighs on my decision today.

I predict tonight will be a close contest while my concern remains about how the Hawks performed in their last game. After their dominant win over Chicago Miami Heat looks set to replicate that success facing Atlanta's struggling defense.

Take: Miami Heat.

The high-stakes NBA Play-In Tournament match between the Miami Heat and Chicago Bulls will take place at the United Center in Chicago on Wednesday, April 16, 2025. The winner of this match will play against the team the Atlanta Hawks, who lost to the Orlando Magic 95-120 on Tuesday. This game will determine the Eastern Conference's final playoff spot.

The Bulls hold a slight edge as they proceed into the game with a 9th seed secured by their 39-43 record while the Heat stand as the 10th seed with 37 wins and 45 losses. The Chicago Bulls won all three matchups with Miami this season including a recent home win of 119-111. The Bulls have shown exceptional performance by winning 10 of their most recent 13 games while scoring an average of 117.8 points per contest which places them sixth in team scoring within the league. The team's performance relies heavily on Coby White and Nikola Vucevic while rookie Matas Buzelis stands out for his shooting prowess from three-point range.

The Miami Heat encountered difficulties during this season which intensified after Jimmy Butler's trade. Following the All-Star break Miami Heat have compiled a 12-17 record while their offensive play has dropped to an average of 110.6 points per game. The Miami Heat stand as a strong defensive team since they permit only 110.0 points per game which positions them seventh in NBA defensive rankings. The Miami Heat have Tyler Herro as their top scorer and playmaker while Bam Adebayo acts as their defensive leader. The Heat's roster depth has been compromised due to multiple players remaining on day-to-day injury lists.

The outcome likely depend on whether Bulls guard Josh Giddey can play after his forearm injury recovery. Giddey is currently listed as probable for tonight's contest.  The Chicago Bulls have thrived recently due to Giddey who recorded averages of 21.2 points, 10.7 rebounds and 9.3 assists during his last 19 games. 

With Giddey likely to play, I like the Bulls at home to just win this game on Wednesday.

Take: Chicago Bulls 

The Golden State Warriors and Memphis Grizzlies clash on Tuesday, April 15, in a high-stakes Western Conference Play-In Tournament matchup at the Chase Center. The winner secures the No. 7 seed and a first-round series against the Houston Rockets, while the loser faces the winner of the Kings-Mavericks game for the final playoff spot.

Golden State concluded the regular season with a 48–34 record, narrowly missing a top-six seed after a 124–119 overtime loss to the Clippers in their finale. Stephen Curry remains the focal point, averaging 24.4 points and 6.0 assists per game, and recently erupted for 52 points in a victory over Memphis on April 1. The addition of Jimmy Butler has bolstered the Warriors, contributing 30 points in the recent loss to the Clippers. Golden State has been formidable at home, posting a 24–17 record at the Chase Center. Against the spread (ATS), the Warriors finished the season at 42–40.

Memphis also ended the season at 48–34, securing the No. 8 seed. Despite a challenging season marked by injuries and the midseason dismissal of head coach Taylor Jenkins, the Grizzlies have shown resilience. Under interim coach Tuomas Iisalo, Memphis has improved, ranking sixth in efficiency differential (+8.8) over their last six games. Ja Morant leads the team with 23.2 points and 7.3 assists per game, while rookie center Zach Edey has been a force inside, averaging 9.3 points and 15.7 rebounds in April. However, the Grizzlies are dealing with significant injuries, including the absences of Jaren Jackson Jr., Desmond Bane, and Luke Kennard. Memphis concluded the season with a 39–43 ATS record.

Golden State won three of the four regular-season meetings against Memphis, including a 134–125 victory on April 1, where Curry's 52-point performance was pivotal. Given the Warriors' home-court advantage, playoff experience, and the Grizzlies' injury woes I'm looking for a Grizzlies win and cover here on Tuesday.

Play: Golden State Warriors

The Golden State Warriors (48-33) host the Los Angeles Clippers (49-32) at the Chase Center in San Francisco on Sunday, April 13, 2025, at 3:30 PM ET. This pivotal matchup carries significant playoff implications for both teams. 

The Warriors are currently sixth in the Western Conference and can secure a guaranteed playoff spot with a victory over the Clippers. A loss, however, would leave their fate dependent on other outcomes, potentially relegating them to the play-in tournament. The Clippers, holding the fifth seed, aim to solidify their position and avoid the play-in scenario. They enter the game on a seven-game winning streak, showcasing strong form as the regular season concludes. The Clippers are tied with Denver at 49-32 and trail the Lakers by 1-game. 

In their previous three meetings this season, the Clippers have emerged victorious each time, with scores of 112-104, 102-99, and 102-92. The Warriors. Stephen Curry leads the team with an average of 24.4 points per game, supported by Jimmy Butler's all-around contributions of 17.3 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 5.4 assists per game. Curry is currently questionable for this game. 

Considering the Clippers' recent dominance in head-to-head matchups and their current winning streak, it's difficult to pass on the few points they are getting. I look for the Clippers to come away with the win. 

Take the LA Clippers.

The Los Angeles Lakers (49-31) host the Houston Rockets (52-28) on Friday, April 11, 2025, at Crypto.com Arena in a pivotal Western Conference matchup. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:30 PM ET. The Lakers are riding high after a 112-97 victory over the Dallas Mavericks, where Luka Doncic scored 45 points in his return to Dallas. LeBron James added 27 points, and the team forced 20 turnovers while securing 15 offensive rebounds. Los Angeles has won five of their last seven games and currently holds the third seed in the Western Conference, just one game ahead of the Denver Nuggets and LA Clippers. The Rockets have secured the second seed in the West and are likely to rest key players, Fred VanVleet, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, and Dillon Brooks, all of whom are dealing with injuries or rest. In their recent 134-117 loss to the LA Clippers, Houston rested most starters, with Reed Sheppard leading the team with 20 points. 

With the Rockets potentially resting several starters, the Lakers' full-strength lineup, featuring Doncic and James, will look to capitalize and secure the third seed. The Lakers' defense, which recently held the Mavericks to 97 points, will be tested against Houston's depth. The Lakers could fall as far as far a 6th in the standings so this game is important to keep that No 3 slot. 

Given the Rockets' likely shorthanded roster and the Lakers' motivation to secure playoff positioning, Los Angeles is the side to back here on Friday.

Play the LA Lakers 

The Miami Heat (36-44) are set to face the New Orleans Pelicans (21-58) on Friday, April 11, 2025, at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET. The Heat are aiming to rebound after a 119-111 loss to the Chicago Bulls on April 9. In that game, Miami shot 47.8% from the field and 36.4% from three-point range. Tyler Herro led the team with 30 points, supported by Bam Adebayo's 18 points and 9.6 rebounds per game this season.  Offensively, the Heat average 110.0 points per game, ranking 25th in the league, with a field goal percentage of 46.3%. They allow the same number of points per game defensively, placing them 7th in the NBA. The Pelicans are on a four-game losing streak, including a recent 119-114 defeat to the Brooklyn Nets on April 8. In that matchup, New Orleans shot 47.6% from the field and 36.4% from beyond the arc. Karlo Matkovic contributed 17 points and 4 rebounds. This season, the Pelicans average 110.0 points per game (24th in the league) with a field goal percentage of 45.4%. Defensively, they allow 118.7 points per game, ranking 26th. 

The Heat have several players listed as game-time decisions, including Alec Burks (SG) and Isaiah Stevens (G). Nikola Jovic (F), Pelle Larsson (G), and Kevin Love (PF) are out. The Pelicans also face injury concerns, with Kelly Olynyk (PF), Yves Missi (C), Bruce Brown (SF), Jose Alvarado (PG), and Jordan Hawkins (G) listed as game-time decisions.  

Just two days of games left before the Play-In tournament begins on Tuesday. The Heat have clinched the 10th play-in spot but are one game back of the Bulls and two games back of the Hawks. So a win here and Sunday could move the Heat up from that 10th spot.

As for the Pelicans, they play out the season here and on Sunday. I look for them to play lots of minutes to bench and younger players. Heat still need to compete so I'll take them here on Friday.

Play the Miami Heat

The Cleveland Cavaliers (63-16) face the New York Knicks (50-29) on Friday, April 11, 2025, at Madison Square Garden. The Cavaliers are leading the Eastern Conference and have already secured the top seed. They boast the NBA's highest-scoring offense, averaging 122.3 points per game, and rank 11th in defense, allowing 112.3 points per game. Cleveland has dominated the season series against New York, winning all three previous meetings. The Knicks are currently second in the Atlantic Division and have clinched a playoff spot. They average 116.1 points per game and allow 111.8 points per game. New York is looking to avoid a season sweep by Cleveland and gain momentum heading into the playoffs. Cavaliers: Donovan Mitchell (SG), Darius Garland (PG), Evan Mobley (PF), and Max Strus (SG) are all listed as game-time decisions. I expect most of these players to rest as this game has no meaning to the Cavaliers. Knicks: Mitchell Robinson (C), Josh Hart (SG), and OG Anunoby (SF) are listed as game-time decisions. Ariel Hukporti (C) is out. Conversely, the Knicks players will go if possible. The Knicks are 3rd in the East, but only by one game over the Pacers. They want to secure that 3rd spot so expect players to play. This game serves as a potential playoff preview, with both teams looking to make a statement. Cleveland played last night at the Indiana Pacers, losing a close 112-114 contest. Now they travel for this 2nd of a back-to-back spot and with no meaning to the game look for players to rest.

Your Free play in on the New York Knicks. 

04/10 04:00 PM PT / 7:00 PM ET  

NBA   (503) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS VS (504) INDIANA PACERS

Take: (504) INDIANA PACERS

The Indiana Pacers (48-31) are set to host the Cleveland Cavaliers (63-16) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. The Cavaliers enter this matchup as the top team in the Eastern Conference with a 63-16 record. Their offense has been electric this season, leading the NBA with an average of 122.3 points per game. Defensively, they’re also strong, allowing just 112.3 points per game, ranking 11th overall. The Pacers, meanwhile, are currently fourth in the East and have been one of the league’s most exciting teams to watch. They average 117.3 points per game (7th in the NBA) but allow 115.0 points per game (17th), indicating their tendency to get into high-scoring affairs. 

Indiana comes into the game riding a five-game winning streak, including a gritty 104-98 win over the Washington Wizards. Cleveland has also been sharp lately, winning seven of their last ten games. They recently dismantled the Chicago Bulls with a dominant 135-113 performance. Cleveland likely will be without Donovan Mitchell due to his ankle issue, a significant potential absence. They will also be missing guard Darius Garland. Two big cogs in this Cleveland offense. 

The season series is tied 1-1. Indiana won the first meeting 108-93 on January 12, while Cleveland responded with a 127-117 win on January 14. This game will decide the regular-season series. This game doesn't mean anything to Cleveland as they hold the top spot and won't be giving it up. The Pacers can still move up or down so the games has more impact on their seeding. 

The Pacers are a big favorite vs the Cavs because of Mithchel and Garland being out of the lineup.  I'm taking the Pacers as this game means nothing to the Cavs. 

The Charlotte Hornets (19-60) will face the Toronto Raptors (29-50) at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. Both teams have been eliminated from playoff contention and are wrapping up disappointing seasons. The Hornets are on a four-game losing streak and have just one win in their last ten games. Offensively, they rank 28th in the league, averaging 105.7 points per game, and are last in field goal percentage at 43.1%. Defensively, they allow 114 points per game. Injuries have taken a toll, with LaMelo Ball, Tre Mann, Brandon Miller, and Grant Williams all out for the season. Charlotte has covered just two of its last 10 games and is 36-40-2 overall this season. 

Toronto recently snapped a three-game losing streak with a 120-109 win over the Brooklyn Nets. They rank 23rd in scoring offense (110.7 PPG) and 20th in field goal percentage (45.8%). They give up 115.2 points per game defensively. The Raptors are managing injuries too, with Ochai Agbaji and Jamal Shead being rested and Scottie Barnes, Jakob Poeltl, and Brandon Ingram listed as questionable.  The Hawks have covered six of their last 10 games and are 46-30-3 for the season. 

This is the third meeting between these two teams this season, with the series tied at 1-1. The Raptors won the most recent matchup on March 28 with a 108-97 victory. I look for Toronto to cover the spread here on Wednesday,  especially considering their edge in rebounding and points in the paint. With the Hornets short-handed and struggling offensively, the Raptors are positioned to take control of this matchup. Neither team has anything to play for, but Toronto does have some momentum and depth on their side. 

Play Toronto Raptors. 

The Minnesota Timberwolves (46-32) head to Milwaukee to face the Bucks (44-34) in a pivotal late-season showdown at Fiserv Forum. Both teams come into the contest riding hot streaks—Minnesota with five straight wins and Milwaukee with four—as they aim to solidify playoff seeding with only a few games remaining. Minnesota has been red-hot, winning 14 of its last 17 games. The Timberwolves are coming off a strong win over the Philadelphia 76ers, led by Anthony Edwards, who dropped 37 points. Rudy Gobert dominated inside with 23 points, 19 rebounds, and three blocks, underlining his importance on both ends. Defensively, Minnesota has been one of the best teams in the league, allowing just 109.4 points per game—sixth-best in the NBA. Their ability to control the tempo and contest shots has made them a tough out lately.

The Bucks are also surging, having notched four straight victories, most recently edging out the New Orleans Pelicans. Gary Trent Jr. led the way in that game with 29 points, supported by Brook Lopez and Kevin Porter Jr., who each added 20. Giannis Antetokounmpo remains the focal point of the team, averaging 30.5 points and 11.9 rebounds per game. However, his availability is uncertain due to a shoulder injury. Damian Lillard continues to be sidelined, putting added pressure on Milwaukee’s supporting cast.

The Bucks average 114.9 points per game; Timberwolves average 114.1. The Timberwolves allow 109.4 PPG; Bucks give up 112.9 PPG. 

Giannis’ Health: His presence—or absence—will heavily impact Milwaukee’s ability to compete inside.

This game promises to be a hard-fought battle with postseason implications. The Bucks are tied with the Clippers and Grizzlies for positions six through eight. In addition, they all three trail both Golden State and Denver by just a 1/2 game for the No 3 and No 4 spots. 

The Wolves just too hot to pass on here today. I'll lay the  points on the road with Minnesota. 

Take Minnesota

After a long college basketball season that started back in November, we have finally arrived at the NCAA Championship game between Houston and Florida.  The 2025 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship features a compelling clash between two No. 1 seeds: the Florida Gators (35-4) and the Houston Cougars (35-4). Both teams showcased resilience in the Final Four, each mounting significant comebacks to secure their spots in the title game. Florida overcame a nine-point deficit to defeat Auburn 79-73, while Houston rallied from a 14-point shortfall to edge out Duke 70-67. The Cougars were down 11 points with under two minutes to play and had that improbable comeback late. Florida boasts a potent offense, averaging 85 points per game this season. Senior guard Walter Clayton Jr. has been instrumental, delivering back-to-back 30-point performances in the Elite Eight and Final Four, a feat last achieved by Larry Bird in 1979. The Gators demonstrated grit, notably overcoming a 10-point deficit with under six minutes remaining against Texas Tech in the Elite Eight. Houston prides itself on a stifling defense, leading the nation by allowing just 58 points per game. Graduate guard L.J. Cryer has been pivotal, scoring 26 points against Duke, including crucial free throws in the final moments. The Cougars' path has been marked by resilience, highlighted by their dramatic comeback against Duke, closing the game on a 9-0 run.  Florida's Offense vs. Houston's Defense: The Gators' high-scoring offense, led by Clayton Jr., will be tested against the Cougars' top-ranked defense. Houston's ability to contain Clayton will be crucial. Both teams excel in rebounding. Florida ranks fifth nationally in offensive rebounding percentage (38.9%), while Houston's physicality under the boards has been a hallmark. This championship showdown promises an exhilarating battle between Florida's dynamic offense and Houston's formidable defense. Both teams have displayed remarkable resilience throughout the tournament, setting the stage for a memorable conclusion to the 2025 NCAA Men's Basketball season. I like to side with the great defenses as we saw what they did to Duke late. I'm taking Houston to win the National Championship on Monday. 

After a long college basketball season that started back in November, we have finally arrived at the NCAA Championship game between Houston and Florida.  The 2025 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship features a compelling clash between two No. 1 seeds: the Florida Gators (35-4) and the Houston Cougars (35-4). Both teams showcased resilience in the Final Four, each mounting significant comebacks to secure their spots in the title game. Florida overcame a nine-point deficit to defeat Auburn 79-73, while Houston rallied from a 14-point shortfall to edge out Duke 70-67. The Cougars were down 11 points with under two minutes to play and had that improbable comeback late. Florida boasts a potent offense, averaging 85 points per game this season. Senior guard Walter Clayton Jr. has been instrumental, delivering back-to-back 30-point performances in the Elite Eight and Final Four, a feat last achieved by Larry Bird in 1979. The Gators demonstrated grit, notably overcoming a 10-point deficit with under six minutes remaining against Texas Tech in the Elite Eight. Houston prides itself on a stifling defense, leading the nation by allowing just 58 points per game. Graduate guard L.J. Cryer has been pivotal, scoring 26 points against Duke, including crucial free throws in the final moments. The Cougars' path has been marked by resilience, highlighted by their dramatic comeback against Duke, closing the game on a 9-0 run.  Florida's Offense vs. Houston's Defense: The Gators' high-scoring offense, led by Clayton Jr., will be tested against the Cougars' top-ranked defense. Houston's ability to contain Clayton will be crucial. Both teams excel in rebounding. Florida ranks fifth nationally in offensive rebounding percentage (38.9%), while Houston's physicality under the boards has been a hallmark. This championship showdown promises an exhilarating battle between Florida's dynamic offense and Houston's formidable defense. Both teams have displayed remarkable resilience throughout the tournament, setting the stage for a memorable conclusion to the 2025 NCAA Men's Basketball season. This game looks to be a great defensive battle and as such I'm taking the UNDER tonight in this contest.

The Sacramento Kings (38-40) are set to face the Detroit Pistons (43-35) in a crucial inter-conference matchup here on Monday. The Kings are battling for a spot in the Western Conference play-in tournament, while the Pistons have secured the sixth seed in the Eastern Conference. The Kings sit 9th right now a half game ahead of Dallas for 10th and three-games ahead of Phoenix for that final play-in spot. I fact, Phoenix is the only team that can still make the play-in that sits below the 10th spot line. As for Detroit, they have a solid hold on the East No6 Spot. That's important since they have a playoff spot and not a play-in position. They sit five games ahead of Orlando for the coveted 6th spot but could improve to 5th as they trail the Bucks by just a half game. With the regular season ending on April 20th, this makes every game important for positioning. 

The Kings average 115.8 points per game, ranking 10th in the league, with a field goal percentage of 47.7%. Defensively, they allow 115.6 points per game, placing them 20th in the NBA. DeMar DeRozan leads the team with 22.2 points per game, while Domantas Sabonis contributes significantly with 19.1 points and 14.0 rebounds per game. Sabonis is Questionable due to a Grade 1 left hamstring strain sustained on March 3. He had missed three straight games and nine of the last 11.  Detroit scores an average of 115.2 points per game, holding the 11th spot in the league, with a shooting accuracy of 47.4%. The Pistons concede 113.1 points per game, ranking 14th in defensive performance. Cade Cunningham is the standout performer, averaging 25.7 points and 9.1 assists per game.  

The Kings enter this game on the second night of a back-to-back, having played the Cleveland Cavaliers on Sunday. They pulled a big upset on Sunday, beating the Cavs 120-113. Sabonis played in that game and scored 27 points and just missed a Triple Double. Having played yesterday, have to keep in mind if they rest Sabonis here on Monday.  The Pistons, with a day's rest and home-court advantage, are positioned favorably. Cade Cunningham's leadership and playmaking abilities will be crucial, especially if key players like Jalen Duren and Tobias Harris are unavailable. 

I usually stay away from teams in the back-to-back spot. However, as long as Sabonis plays I believe they are the more motivated team. The Pistons can only improve one slot up, but the Kings could still miss the postseason. And the Pistons might give their starters more rest in a spot like this. Sabonis was amazing on Sunday and will make a huge impact on Monday. I'm counting on his playing tonight and I will break my rule and take the Kings here plus the points.

The Portland Trail Blazers (34-44) are set to host the San Antonio Spurs (32-45) at the Moda Center on Sunday, April 6, 2025, with tip-off scheduled for 6:00 PM ET. Both teams are striving to keep their slim postseason hopes alive, making this Western Conference matchup crucial. Currently 12th in the Western Conference, the Trail Blazers are 3.5 games behind the 10th-seeded Sacramento Kings. In their recent outing on Friday, they fell to the Chicago Bulls 118-113, despite a standout performance from Deni Avdija, who recorded 37 points, 11 rebounds, and five assists. Sitting 13th in the Western Conference, the Spurs are 4.5 games behind the Kings. They narrowly lost to the Cleveland Cavaliers 114-113 on Friday, with Devin Vassell contributing 24 points, four rebounds, and three assists. The Spurs have dominated the season series thus far, winning all three previous encounters. November 7, 2024: Spurs 118, Trail Blazers 105, December 13, 2024: Spurs 118, Trail Blazers 116, December 21, 2024: Spurs 114, Trail Blazers 94. The Spurs will be without key players though on Sunday. Victor Wembanyama (shoulder) and De'Aaron Fox (finger) and Jeremy Sochan (back) are all out. Portland Trail Blazers: Deni Avdija is averaging 16.9 points, 7.3 rebounds, and 3.9 assists per game. Anfernee Simons is leading the team with 19.3 points per game. San Antonio Spurs are led by Devin Vassell who is averaging 16.4 points per game. Both teams are grappling with significant injuries to key players, which could impact their performance. The Trail Blazers' depth will be tested, especially if multiple players listed as questionable are unable to play. The Spurs, missing both Wembanyama and Fox, will rely heavily on Vassell and Castle to lead their offense. The Spurs have won the previous three meetings this year but that was with a healthier squad. Without their two top players and playing on the road today, I'm taking Portland to win and cover this contest. Play Portland. 

The Dallas Mavericks (38-40) are set to face the Los Angeles Clippers (45-32) on Saturday, April 5, 2025, at the Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California. This game marks the second of a back-to-back series between the two teams, with the Clippers having secured a 114-91 victory on Friday night. The Mavericks are currently 9th in the Western Conference, striving to maintain their position in the play-in tournament. They currently hold a slim half game lead over No 10 Sacamento and 2 1/2 games lover No 11 Phoenix. The team has faced significant injury challenges, notably the season-ending torn ACL suffered by Kyrie Irving in early March. Additionally, center Daniel Gafford is sidelined with a Grade 3 MCL sprain, and Dereck Lively II is out due to a foot fracture. Anthony Davis, who has been instrumental since his return, was ruled out for Friday's game due to a left adductor strain, and his status for Saturday remains uncertain. The Clippers are positioned tied for 7th with the Grizzlies in the Western Conference, aiming to secure a direct playoff spot and avoid the play-in tournament. They only trail No 6 Minnesota by one game and are within two games of No 3 LA Lakers. So every game is a big one for the Clippers. They have been in strong form, winning 12 of their last 15 games. Kawhi Leonard has been a consistent performer, contributing 20 points in Friday's win. However, the Clippers are managing injuries as well, with Amir Coffey (knee inflammation), Jordan Miller (hamstring tendinopathy), and Ben Simmons (knee injury management) all listed as out. With the Mavericks potentially missing Anthony Davis and Dereck Lively II, the Clippers' Ivica Zubac, who recorded a double-double with 14 points and 13 rebounds on Friday, could have an advantage in the paint. The Mavericks will rely on players like Naji Marshall, who led the team with 22 points in the previous game, to counter the offensive threats posed by the Clippers' wings, including Kawhi Leonard and Norman Powell. The Clippers' recent form and home-court advantage position them as favorites in this matchup. The Mavericks' performance will heavily depend on the availability of Anthony Davis. If Davis is unable to play, Dallas may struggle to contain the Clippers' frontcourt and generate sufficient offense. Conversely, if Davis is active, his presence could significantly impact the game's dynamics, providing the Mavericks with a much-needed boost on both ends of the floor. Either way, Davis or no Davis, I'm taking this game OVER tonight. I had the Clippers last night and the game got to just 205 total points. I expect a better showing tonight from Dallas as this one goes OVER the total. 

The stage is set for a thrilling Final Four clash between two of college basketball’s elite programs: the Houston Cougars and the Duke Blue Devils. It’s a showdown of contrasting styles—Duke’s offensive firepower meets Houston’s lockdown defense. Duke enters the contest boasting the most efficient offense in the nation. Leading the charge is freshman phenom Cooper Flagg, who’s been sensational throughout the season, averaging 18.9 points, 7.5 rebounds, 4.2 assists, 1.4 steals, and 1.3 blocks per game. Supporting him is fellow freshman Kon Knueppel, a reliable scorer with 14.4 points per game and a 40.1% shooting clip from three-point range. Houston counters with the nation’s top-ranked defense and an elite 3-point shooting percentage (39.7%). Senior guard L.J. Cryer leads the way offensively with 15.4 points per game, hitting nearly 42% of his shots from deep. Junior guard Emanuel Sharp adds 12.7 points per game, giving Houston multiple perimeter threats. Cooper Flagg vs. Joseph Tugler: This battle in the paint is one to watch. Flagg will be tested by Joseph Tugler, a strong, physical defender with a massive 7-foot-6 wingspan. Tugler's defensive presence could disrupt Flagg’s rhythm and alter Duke’s offensive flow. Both teams are lethal from long range. Houston features sharp-shooters like Milos Uzan (44.5%), Cryer (41.9%), and Sharp (41.5%). On the other side, Duke counters with Tyrese Proctor (41.2%) and Knueppel. Whichever team can get hot from beyond the arc may swing the momentum. Duke is averaging close to 92 points per game during the tournament, showcasing explosive scoring capabilities. Houston, however, has held opponents to just 56.5 points per game over its four tournament victories. This is a textbook matchup between offensive firepower and defensive grit. Duke’s Defense is No Slouch. While known for its explosive offense, Duke also ranks among the top defensive teams in the country, giving up only 62.6 points per game—seventh nationally. Their ability to limit second-chance opportunities and contest shots effectively adds another layer of resistance. Houston thrives on a deliberate, methodical tempo that limits the number of possessions per game. They prefer to grind games out in the half court, emphasizing defensive execution and forcing opponents into uncomfortable offensive sets. This slower pace often keeps scoring totals down, even against more potent offenses. Both teams are great defensively and I look or Houston to do it's best to slow this game down and not get into a run and gun shootout. Take the UNDER.

The NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four features a compelling matchup between the Houston Cougars and the Duke Blue Devils on Saturday, April 5, 2025, at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas. The Duke Blue Devils (35-3) enter the Final Four on a 15-game winning streak. Their offense has been prolific, averaging 91.8 points per game during the tournament, with standout performances from freshmen Cooper Flagg and Kon Knueppel. The Houston Cougars (34-4) boast a 17-game winning streak, underpinned by the nation's top-ranked defense, allowing only 56.5 points per game in the tournament. Their defensive prowess was evident in their 69-50 victory over Tennessee in the Elite Eight. A pivotal battle will be between Duke's freshman forward Cooper Flagg and Houston's defensive stalwart Joseph Tugler. Flagg, averaging 18.9 points and 7.5 rebounds per game, will be challenged by Tugler, the Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year, known for his versatility and 7-foot-6 wingspan.  Duke leads the nation with an average of 91.8 points per game in the tournament. Houston tops the charts in defensive efficiency, allowing 56.5 points per game during the tournament. This matchup presents a classic contrast between Duke's high-powered offense and Houston's stifling defense. Duke's success will hinge on their ability to navigate Houston's defensive schemes, particularly the performance of Cooper Flagg against Joseph Tugler's defense. Conversely, Houston will need to find consistent scoring to keep pace with Duke's offensive output. While Duke's offensive firepower is formidable, Houston's defensive tenacity and experience could neutralize the Blue Devils' attack. I expect a close contest here on Saturday and won't be surprised by a outright Houston win. Still, I'll take the points with Houston. 

The stage is set for a high-octane SEC showdown as the Florida Gators and the Auburn Tigers battle for a spot in the national championship game. Both teams have had dominant seasons and bring explosive offenses and disciplined coaching into this Final Four matchup. Under head coach Todd Golden, Florida posted a 34-4 record and finished second in the SEC. The Gators are one of the nation’s most potent offensive teams, averaging 85.4 points per game, good for fourth nationally. Senior guard Walter Clayton Jr. has been the engine of their attack, averaging 18.1 points and 4.2 assists per game. Led by veteran coach Bruce Pearl, Auburn compiled a 32-5 record and won the SEC regular-season title. They average 83.2 points per game (12th nationally) and are anchored by dominant forward Johni Broome, who averages 18.7 points, 10.9 rebounds, and 2.1 blocks per contest. Florida holds a slight edge on offense, averaging 85.4 points to Auburn’s 83.2. Auburn allows 69.2 points per game, slightly better than Florida’s 69.7. 

The Tigers have shown exceptional consistency on the defensive end, allowing 70 points or fewer in all six of their SEC and NCAA Tournament games leading up to the Final Four. Their ability to control tempo and limit quality looks has been a major factor in their postseason success. Florida ranks among the nation’s best in defending both the two-point and three-point shot. Their perimeter defense makes it difficult for opponents to get hot from deep, and their length inside challenges finishes at the rim. The game will be played at the Alamodome, a large football stadium converted for basketball. These types of venues can affect shooting accuracy due to unusual sightlines and depth perception issues, especially on three-point attempts. In high-pressure games like the Final Four, teams often emphasize defensive execution and deliberate offensive sets over fast-break scoring. That leads to fewer possessions and lower-scoring outcomes, especially in the early stages of the game when nerves are high. Both teams proved they can play defense and with the stadium being a converted football stadium and the stakes at hand, I'm sticking with the UNDER here today. 

Take : UNDER the Total

The NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four features an all-SEC showdown between the Florida Gators and the Auburn Tigers on Saturday, April 5, 2025, at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas. The Florida Gators (34-4) have been on an impressive run, losing only once since February 1. Their journey to the Final Four included victories over Norfolk State, UConn, Maryland, and Texas Tech. The Auburn Tigers (32-5), the No. 1 overall seed, secured their Final Four spot with wins against Alabama State, Creighton, Michigan, and Michigan State. Despite their strong performance, they enter this matchup as 2.5-point underdogs. A pivotal battle will be between Florida's guard Walter Clayton Jr. and Auburn's forward Johni Broome. Clayton has been exceptional, averaging 22.3 points per game in the tournament and shooting 45.2% from three-point range. Broome, averaging 18.7 points and 10.9 rebounds per game, suffered a right elbow injury during the Elite Eight but is expected to play. The Gators and Tigers met earlier this season on February 8, with Florida securing a 90-81 victory on the road. In that game, Clayton led with 19 points, nine assists, and six rebounds, while Broome contributed 18 points and 11 rebounds.  The Gators' success hinges on Clayton's offensive prowess and their ability to contain Broome. Their depth, despite a shorter rotation, has been bolstered by contributions from players like Thomas Haugh. The Tigers will look to leverage their greater depth and the performance of key players like Broome and sixth man Tahaad Pettiford. Containing Clayton will be crucial to their defensive strategy. Auburn's depth and motivation as underdogs could make this a closely contested game. Tough to beat a great team twice in a season. I'm taking Auburn here on Saturday to advance to the finals.

The UCF Knights (19-16) are set to face the Villanova Wildcats (21-14) in the semifinals of the inaugural College Basketball Crown (CBC) tournament on Saturday, April 5, 2025, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The Knights advanced to the semifinals by defeating Cincinnati 88-80 in the quarterfinals. Junior guard Darius Johnson led the team with a game-high 31 points. Notably, UCF is competing without their leading scorer, Keyshawn Hall, who has left the team and plans to transfer to Auburn.  The Wildcats reached the semifinals following a narrow 60-59 victory over USC. Senior forward Eric Dixon was instrumental, scoring 24 of his 28 points in the second half and becoming Villanova’s all-time career scoring leader. UCF will rely heavily on Darius Johnson to fill the scoring void left by Keyshawn Hall’s departure. Villanova’s Eric Dixon has been a consistent offensive force, and his performance will be crucial for the Wildcats. Villanova's defense has been effective, holding opponents to 67.1 points per game this season. UCF will need to execute their offense efficiently to overcome this defensive pressure. Villanova’s roster features seasoned players with postseason experience, which may provide an advantage in high-pressure situations. UCF’s depth will be tested, especially given their shortened rotation. I will take Villanova here on Saturday but on the Money Line. 

The Nebraska Cornhuskers (19-14) are set to face the Boise State Broncos (26-10) in the semifinals of the College Basketball Crown (CBC) tournament on Saturday, April 5, 2025, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Nebraska advanced to the semifinals following an 81-69 victory over Georgetown. Senior guard Brice Williams led the Huskers with 28 points, while Juwan Gary contributed a double-double with 17 points and 10 rebounds. Off the bench, Andrew Morgan added 12 points and nine rebounds. The Huskers have been effective offensively, averaging 75.9 points per game and shooting 45.5% from the field. Defensively, they allow 72.9 points per game.  Boise State reached the semifinals after a high-scoring 100-93 win over Butler. Senior forward Tyson Degenhart scored 21 points, becoming the first player in program history to surpass 2,000 career points. The Broncos average 76.0 points per game while allowing 66.6 points per game, demonstrating strong defensive capabilities. A pivotal battle will be between Nebraska's Brice Williams and Boise State's Tyson Degenhart. Williams has been a consistent offensive force for the Huskers, while Degenhart leads the Broncos in scoring and has been instrumental in their recent success. The performance of these two players could significantly influence the game's outcome. Considering Boise State's recent offensive performances and Nebraska's defensive challenges, the Broncos look to have the edge. If the Broncos can maintain their scoring efficiency and leverage their rebounding advantage, they will win today. I'm taking Boise State but laying the money lien with them. 

The Dallas Mavericks (38-39) are set to face the Los Angeles Clippers (44-32) on Friday, April 4, 2025, at Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET (7:30 p.m. PT). Currently holding the ninth spot in the Western Conference, the Mavericks are striving to secure a position in the play-in tournament. They recently edged out the Atlanta Hawks with a 120-118 victory on April 2, where Anthony Davis led with 34 points, including the game-winning basket. The Clippers are tied for the sixth seed in the Western Conference and have been on an impressive run, winning 10 of their last 12 games. Their latest triumph was a 114-98 win over the New Orleans Pelicans on April 2, with Kawhi Leonard contributing 28 points. The teams have split their previous two meetings this season: December 19, 2024: Clippers defeated the Mavericks 118-95. December 21, 2024: Mavericks responded with a 113-97 victory over the Clippers. Dallas Anthony Davis (PF): is questionable due to a left groin strain. Dereck Lively II (C): Out with a right ankle injury.  Anthony Davis is averaging 24.7 points, 9.2 rebounds, and 2.3 blocks per game. His availability will significantly impact the Mavericks' performance. The Clippers Kawhi Leonard is contributing 20.8 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 3.0 assists per game. Leonard's two-way play is crucial for the Clippers' success. The Mavericks are averaging 114.3 points per game with a field goal percentage of 47.9%. The Clippers are averaging 113.5 points per game with a field goal percentage of 47.8%. The Mavericks are allowing 113.7 points per game while the Clippers are allowing 112.1 points per game. The Clippers enter the game with momentum, aiming to strengthen their playoff positioning. The Mavericks face uncertainty with key injuries, particularly concerning Anthony Davis's availability. The Clippers' defensive prowess and recent form position them as favorites in this matchup. Even if Davis plays you have to believe he won't be 100%. I'm taking the Clippers here on Friday Night. 

The Villanova Wildcats and the USC Trojans are set to face off in the second round of the College Basketball Crown tournament on Thursday, April 3, 2025, at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. The Villanova Wildcats concluded their regular season with a 20-14 record, finishing sixth in the Big East Conference with an 11-9 conference record. They secured a first-round victory over Seton Hall in the Big East tournament before falling to UConn in the quarterfinals. Villanova accepted a bid to the inaugural College Basketball Crown tournament, where they advanced to the second round. USC Trojans (17-17) ended their season with a 17-17 overall record, placing 12th in the Big Ten Conference with an 8-14 conference record. Despite a challenging season, USC's balanced scoring and defensive efforts have been pivotal in their tournament run. Villanova averages 73.4 points per game, shooting 42.4% from the field and 33.8% from three-point range. USC averages 76.9 points per game with a field goal percentage of 44.8% and 32% from beyond the arc. The Wildcats allow an average of 67.7 points per game, while the Trojans concede 75.5 points per game. Villanova: Forward Eric Dixon leads the Wildcats with an average of 23.0 points per game, providing a significant offensive presence. USC: Guard Desmond Claude is the Trojans' top scorer, averaging 16.0 points per game, and also contributes 4.3 assists per game. I'm looking at taking the dog here tonight. USC has had its ups and downs this year but they are close to home in Las Vegas and should have a good crowd presence. Take USC. 

The Timberwolves are in the thick of the Western Conference playoff hunt, currently tied for the sixth seed. Securing a top-six finish is key to avoiding the Play-In Tournament. Minnesota enters this matchup riding a three-game winning streak, including a dramatic 140-139 double-overtime victory over the Denver Nuggets. In that game, Anthony Edwards led the way with 34 points, 10 rebounds, and eight assists, continuing his strong season. While already eliminated from playoff contention, the Nets are coming off back-to-back wins over the Washington Wizards and Dallas Mavericks. In their most recent outing, a 113-109 win over Dallas, Keon Johnson led with 24 points and D'Angelo Russell added 18 points and 11 assists. The Nets are giving increased minutes to their young core as they look toward the future. Anthony Edwards has emerged as one of the league’s premier young scorers, averaging 27.3 points per game. The Nets will need to prioritize defensive schemes to try to slow him down, though that’s easier said than done given his current form. D'Angelo Russell’s experience and court vision make him a central figure for Brooklyn. However, Minnesota’s defense ranks among the league’s best, making his job more difficult. The Timberwolves rank sixth in defensive efficiency, and they’ve been tough on opposing guards. Minnesota enters this game with momentum and something to play for, while Brooklyn is experimenting with lineups and developing young talent. With the Timberwolves’ playoff aspirations driving their intensity—and the Nets struggling defensively—Minnesota is expected to control the game and score enough points to get this game OVER the total. 

The UCF Knights and the Cincinnati Bearcats are set to clash in the quarterfinals of the College Basketball Crown tournament on Thursday, April 3, 2025, at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. The UCF Knights (18-16) secured their spot in the quarterfinals with a narrow 76-75 victory over Oregon State. In that game, three players—Tyler Hendricks, Nils Machowski, and Darius Johnson—each contributed 15 points. Notably, leading scorer Keyshawn Hall, who averages 18.8 points per game, did not participate in the matchup against Oregon State. The Cincinnati Bearcats (19-15) advanced by defeating DePaul 83-61 in their opening game of the tournament. Cincinnati showcased a balanced offense with six players scoring in double figures, led by Dillon Mitchell's 15 points and seven rebounds. UCF averages 79.2 points per game, shooting 42.4% from the field and 33.8% from three-point range. Cincinnati averages 70.9 points per game with a field goal percentage of 44.8% and 32% from beyond the arc. Knights allow an average of 80 points per game, while the Bearcats have a stronger defensive record, conceding 65.6 points per game. Cincinnati has dominated recent matchups, winning the last five games against UCF. Their most recent encounter was on February 5, 2025, where the Bearcats triumphed 93-83. I expect much the same this time around as we should see plenty of points scored in this contest. Play the OVER.

The San Antonio Spurs (31-44) are set to face the Denver Nuggets (47-28) at Ball Arena in Denver on Wednesday, April 2, 2025, at 6:00 PM PDT. The season series is currently tied 1-1, with each team securing a win on the other's home court earlier this year. The Spurs are on a five-game losing streak, including a 116-105 loss to the Orlando Magic on April 1. They not only play the second of a back-to-back spot here but had to travel for this game. Devin Vassell: Leading the team with 16.4 points per game. The Nuggets have won four of their last five games, including a dominant 129-93 victory over the Utah Jazz on March 28. Nikola Jokic: Averaging 29.3 points, 12.8 rebounds, and 10.2 assists per game. Jamal Murray adding 21.6 points and 6.0 assists per game. Jamal Murray (right hamstring tightness) and Michael Porter Jr. (undisclosed) are listed as out for the upcoming game. The Spurs are averaging 114.2 points per game, 46.5% field goal percentage. The Nuggets average 120.9 points per game, 50.7% field goal percentage. The Spurs have struggled on the second night of back-to-back games, holding a 3-11 record in such situations, while the Nuggets excel with a 12-2 record.  Denver's offense, led by Jokic, presents a significant challenge for San Antonio's defense, which has allowed at least 122 points in six of their last seven road games. The Spurs had 61 points at the half last night then laid an egg in the 2nd half, scoring just 44 points and blowing a lead. It gets worse against an much better Denver team tonight. Lots of points to lay here tonight, but the Nuggets can do it against this depleted and tire Spurs club. Play Denver. 

The College Basketball Crown tournament tips off in Las Vegas with an intriguing first-round matchup between the Colorado Buffaloes (14-20) and the Villanova Wildcats (19-14). Both programs are looking to cap their seasons with a strong showing in this inaugural postseason event. Despite a tough season overall, Colorado found late momentum during the Big 12 Championship, notching impressive upsets over TCU and West Virginia before falling to Houston in the quarterfinals. That stretch demonstrated the Buffaloes’ grit and ability to play up to their competition when it matters most. Colorado averages 69.9 points per game on 44.6% shooting while allowing 71.5 points defensively. Guard Julian Hammond III leads the team in scoring with 12.5 points per game, and Andrej Jakimovski adds value on the boards and defensively. Villanova enters the tournament with a solid 19-14 record, but recent coaching changes have added an extra layer of intrigue. The Wildcats are turning to assistant coach Mike Nardi as interim head coach, and how the team responds could be a key factor in this game. Offensively, Villanova has been more efficient than Colorado, putting up 73.4 points per game while shooting 46.2% from the field and an impressive 39.8% from three-point range. Defensively, they allow 67.5 points per game. Forward Eric Dixon leads the scoring attack with 23.0 points per game, with guard Wooga Poplar contributing 14.5 points per game. This game is a classic clash of tempo and efficiency. Villanova’s offensive polish, particularly from beyond the arc, will test Colorado’s perimeter defense. Villanova’s consistent shooting and experience give them the edge here tonight, especially if Dixon and Poplar find early rhythm. I'm taking Villanova in what shouldn't be a close game. 

The Orlando Magic (36-40) head to the Frost Bank Center to face the San Antonio Spurs (31-43) in a matchup with a projected total set at 220.5 points. Both teams bring contrasting recent form and defensive tendencies that make a compelling case for the over. The Magic have picked up wins in four of their last six games, showing improved offensive execution. In a recent high-scoring win over the Kings, they dropped 121 points, shooting nearly 50% from the field and over 46% from deep. When this team finds rhythm early, their pace and ball movement create open looks, especially from beyond the arc. The Spurs, on a four-game losing streak, have struggled to contain opponents, recently surrendering 148 points to the Warriors. Their season average in total points per game is nearly 229, signaling a high-tempo game environment and a vulnerable defense prone to breakdowns—particularly in transition and against perimeter shooting. The over has hit in the last two meetings between these teams, and both clubs have had games this season where defensive execution gave way to shootouts. The Spurs’ willingness to push pace, paired with Orlando’s ability to capitalize on a porous defense, suggests another contest leaning toward high total scoring. The way the Spurs have given up points in recent games should have the Magic coming in around 120 points. I'm taking the game OVER. 

The Oregon State Beavers (20-12) take on the UCF Knights (17-16) in a first-round clash of the newly launched College Basketball Crown (CBC) tournament. Held at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, this game offers both teams a chance to build momentum and make a postseason statement. The Beavers average 76.3 points per game while shooting an efficient 48.4% from the field. They allow 72.8 points per contest, with opponents shooting 44.2% against them. Michael Rataj leads the team with 16.9 points and 7.2 rebounds per game, anchoring the offense and providing a strong inside presence. UCF puts up 79.3 points per game, though their overall shooting percentage sits at 42.4%. The Knights give up 75.5 points per game, with opponents hitting 45.1% from the floor. Keyshawn Hall is the go-to scorer, averaging 18.8 points and 7.1 rebounds per game. His versatility makes him a constant threat. This game features two offensively capable squads who have struggled to consistently lock things down on the defensive end. Oregon State holds the advantage in shooting efficiency, while UCF boasts a slightly higher scoring average and a more up-tempo style. I'm taking Central Florida here on Tuesday.

The Houston Rockets (48-26) travel to Los Angeles to face the Lakers (45-29) in a key Western Conference showdown. Both teams have clinched playoff spots, with the Rockets holding the second seed and the Lakers sitting at fourth. This game could have serious implications for playoff seeding as the regular season winds down. Under Coach Ime Udoka, the Rockets have emerged as a legitimate contender in the West. Their offensive strategy thrives on balance and depth, with seven players averaging at least 12 points per game. Center Alperen Sengun has been a standout, averaging over 19 points and 10 rebounds, and anchoring both ends of the floor. Houston leads the league in rebounding and boasts one of the top defensive units, allowing just over 109 points per game. The Lakers are powered by the ever-reliable LeBron James, who continues to defy age with averages of 24.5 points, 8.1 rebounds, and 8.5 assists. The recent addition of Luka Don?i? has added a new dimension to their offense, although the team has struggled recently with a 2-4 record in their last six games. With the postseason looming, the Lakers will be looking to regain momentum at home. In their previous matchup on January 5, the Rockets edged the Lakers 119-115 in a high-intensity battle led by a 33-point performance from Jalen Green. Expect both teams to come out motivated in what could be a playoff preview. One drawback for the Rockets is that they played last night in Phoenix, blowout out the Suns. This is the 2nd of a back-to-back spot for the Rockets with travel. That gives an edge to the Lakers here tonight. I'm going to take the Lakers here at home with more rest than the Rockets. Play the Lakers

The Utah Utes (16-16) and Butler Bulldogs (14-19) face off in the opening round of the College Basketball Crown tournament from Las Vegas, NV. Both teams are looking to finish their seasons strong after inconsistent conference play. Utah is slightly favored heading into the matchup, with the game expected to be high-scoring. Utah finished with a .500 overall record and went 8-12 in Big 12 competition. They were eliminated early in the conference tournament with a loss to UCF. Gabe Madsen: Leading scorer with 15.1 points per game and also adds 2.6 rebounds. Keanu Dawes: Coming off a 21-point performance in their most recent game. Utah excels at ball movement, averaging 17.5 assists per game, ranking among the top teams nationally in that category. Butler ended their regular season 6-14 in Big East play. They notched a win over Providence in the conference tournament before falling to St. John’s. Jahmyl Telfort: Pacing the Bulldogs with 16.0 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 3.4 assists per game. Pierre Brooks: Contributing 15.2 points and 5.0 rebounds per contest. Butler averages 14.0 assists per game and looks to move the ball effectively to create perimeter shots. Utah averages 75.3 points per game, while Butler averages 73.8. On defense, both teams give up around 73 points, suggesting a potentially balanced and competitive game. Utah has lost five of their last six games, while Butler has dropped four of their last five. Pretty even matched game so this one could be who is more motivated. I'm counting on Butler to be that team here tonight. Play Butler. 

The New Orleans Pelicans (41–32) will welcome the Charlotte Hornets (19–54) in a cross-conference matchup that holds more weight for the home team. The Pelicans are in the thick of the Western Conference playoff race, looking to secure positioning in the top six and avoid the play-in. The Hornets, meanwhile, have long been eliminated from postseason contention and are shifting focus toward player development and lottery odds. New Orleans has been playing solid basketball over the past few weeks, winning six of their last eight games. Brandon Ingram and Zion Williamson have led the charge, with Ingram playing with poise on the wing and Williamson dominating inside. Their defense has improved lately, holding opponents under 110 points in four of their last six games. Charlotte comes into this game having lost four straight. Injuries have decimated the roster, and their offensive consistency has been a major issue. Despite that, young players like Brandon Miller and Nick Smith Jr. have shown promise and are getting extended minutes in March. The Hornets injuries: LaMelo Ball remains out with an ankle injury. Mark Williams and Gordon Hayward are also unavailable, leaving Charlotte thin on both ends of the floor. The Pelicans have a clear edge in talent, depth, and motivation. They're solid at home and have one of the more physical frontcourts in the NBA, which should dominate a short-handed Hornets team lacking size and experience. New Orleans' ability to push the pace and get easy buckets in transition may overwhelm Charlotte early. Take the Pelicans here today as I look for a double digit New Orleans win!

The 2025 NCAA Tournament’s South Regional Final brings a high-stakes clash between two powerhouse programs as the No. 2 seed Michigan State Spartans face off against the No. 1 seed Auburn Tigers on Sunday in Atlanta. Tip-off is set for 5:05 PM ET at State Farm Arena, and a trip to the Final Four in San Antonio is on the line. Michigan State Spartans (30-6) under Tom Izzo has once again led his Spartans deep into March, relying on a disciplined, defense-first approach. Michigan State has allowed just over 67 points per game this season while holding opponents to 40% shooting from the field. Offensively, they average 78 points per game, with solid ball movement and efficient perimeter play. Freshman guard Jase Richardson has emerged as a clutch performer, dropping 20 points in the Sweet 16 win over Ole Miss. Tyson Walker and A.J. Hoggard provide veteran leadership in the backcourt, while Malik Hall anchors the frontcourt with grit and experience. The Auburn Tigers (31-5) led by Bruce Pearl. The Tigers have ridden a high-octane offense to the brink of the Final Four. Auburn averages nearly 84 points per game, powered by a deep and athletic rotation. In their Sweet 16 comeback win over Michigan, the Tigers showed resilience behind Johni Broome’s 22 points and 16 rebounds. Guards Denver Jones and freshman sensation Tahaad Pettiford have given Auburn perimeter scoring punch, while their defense has held opponents to under 70 points per contest. Auburn also boasts one of the nation’s top shot-blocking teams, averaging six swats per game. Both teams are battle-tested. Michigan State thrives in gritty, close games, while Auburn can explode offensively in spurts. Whichever team dictates pace will hold the upper hand. Expect a physical, tightly contested battle with shifting momentum. Michigan State’s defense will slow Auburn’s tempo early, but the Tigers’ athleticism and depth may wear down the Spartans over 40 minutes. I look for Michigan State to come in under the spread if not win outright. Play Michigan State. 

The 2025 NCAA Tournament’s South Regional Final brings a high-stakes clash between two powerhouse programs as the No. 2 seed Michigan State Spartans face off against the No. 1 seed Auburn Tigers on Sunday in Atlanta. Tip-off is set for 5:05 PM ET at State Farm Arena, and a trip to the Final Four in San Antonio is on the line. Michigan State Spartans (30-6) under Tom Izzo has once again led his Spartans deep into March, relying on a disciplined, defense-first approach. Michigan State has allowed just over 67 points per game this season while holding opponents to 40% shooting from the field. Offensively, they average 78 points per game, with solid ball movement and efficient perimeter play. Freshman guard Jase Richardson has emerged as a clutch performer, dropping 20 points in the Sweet 16 win over Ole Miss. Tyson Walker and A.J. Hoggard provide veteran leadership in the backcourt, while Malik Hall anchors the frontcourt with grit and experience. The Auburn Tigers (31-5) led by Bruce Pearl. The Tigers have ridden a high-octane offense to the brink of the Final Four. Auburn averages nearly 84 points per game, powered by a deep and athletic rotation. In their Sweet 16 comeback win over Michigan, the Tigers showed resilience behind Johni Broome’s 22 points and 16 rebounds. Guards Denver Jones and freshman sensation Tahaad Pettiford have given Auburn perimeter scoring punch, while their defense has held opponents to under 70 points per contest. Auburn also boasts one of the nation’s top shot-blocking teams, averaging six swats per game. Both teams are battle-tested. Michigan State thrives in gritty, close games, while Auburn can explode offensively in spurts. Whichever team dictates pace will hold the upper hand. Expect a physical, tightly contested battle with shifting momentum. Michigan State’s defense will slow Auburn’s tempo early, but the Tigers’ athleticism and depth may wear down the Spartans over 40 minutes. This looks to be a grind out game with every point being important. I'm taking the UNDER. 

The Midwest Region's Elite Eight matchup features the No. 2 seed Tennessee Volunteers (30–7) against the No. 1 seed Houston Cougars (33–4). Both teams are renowned for their defensive prowess and disciplined playstyles, setting the stage for a highly competitive battle with a Final Four berth at stake. Tennessee Volunteers are 30–7 under Head Coach Rick Barnes. Tennessee secured their Elite Eight spot by defeating Kentucky 78–65, showcasing their defensive strength and balanced scoring. Houston is 33–4 under Head Coach Kelvin Sampson. Houston advanced by narrowly edging out Purdue 62–60, demonstrating resilience and clutch performance in critical moments. Houston allows 88.0 points per 100 possessions. Tennessee allows 89.3 points per 100 possessions. Houston averages 123.4 points per 100 possessions. Tennessee averages 121.1 points per 100 possessions. Pace of play: Houston 61.6 possessions per 40 minutes. Tennessee: 63.7 possessions per 40 minutes. Both teams exhibit elite defenses and methodical offensive approaches, often resulting in low-scoring, possession-controlled games. Tennessee Volunteers:Zakai Zeigler (Guard): Instrumental in the Sweet 16 victory over Kentucky with 18 points and 10 assists, Zeigler's playmaking and defensive tenacity are vital for Tennessee's success. Chaz Lanier (Guard): Contributed 17 points against Kentucky, providing a reliable scoring option from the perimeter. Felix Okpara (Center): Anchors the defense with shot-blocking ability and added 11 rebounds in the previous game, effectively controlling the paint. Houston Cougars: L.J. Cryer (Guard): Averaging 15.3 points per game, Cryer's scoring prowess and experience are crucial for Houston's offensive rhythm. Milos Uzan (Guard): Delivered a game-high 22 points, including the game-winning layup against Purdue, showcasing his clutch performance under pressure. Jamal Shead (Guard): Provides leadership and stability in the backcourt, facilitating the offense and contributing defensively. This Elite Eight clash is anticipated to be a defensive battle, with both teams excelling in limiting opponents' scoring opportunities. Houston's slight edge in offensive efficiency and superior three-point shooting (39.8%) could be pivotal. I'm taking Houston on the Money Line here on Sunday.  

The Midwest Region's Elite Eight matchup features the No. 2 seed Tennessee Volunteers (30–7) against the No. 1 seed Houston Cougars (33–4). Both teams are renowned for their defensive prowess and disciplined playstyles, setting the stage for a highly competitive battle with a Final Four berth at stake. Tennessee Volunteers are 30–7 under Head Coach Rick Barnes. Tennessee secured their Elite Eight spot by defeating Kentucky 78–65, showcasing their defensive strength and balanced scoring. Houston is 33–4 under Head Coach Kelvin Sampson. Houston advanced by narrowly edging out Purdue 62–60, demonstrating resilience and clutch performance in critical moments. Houston allows 88.0 points per 100 possessions. Tennessee allows 89.3 points per 100 possessions. Houston averages 123.4 points per 100 possessions. Tennessee averages 121.1 points per 100 possessions. Pace of play: Houston 61.6 possessions per 40 minutes. Tennessee: 63.7 possessions per 40 minutes. Both teams exhibit elite defenses and methodical offensive approaches, often resulting in low-scoring, possession-controlled games. Tennessee Volunteers: Zakai Zeigler (Guard): Instrumental in the Sweet 16 victory over Kentucky with 18 points and 10 assists, Zeigler's playmaking and defensive tenacity are vital for Tennessee's success. Chaz Lanier (Guard): Contributed 17 points against Kentucky, providing a reliable scoring option from the perimeter. Felix Okpara (Center): Anchors the defense with shot-blocking ability and added 11 rebounds in the previous game, effectively controlling the paint. Houston Cougars: L.J. Cryer (Guard): Averaging 15.3 points per game, Cryer's scoring prowess and experience are crucial for Houston's offensive rhythm. Milos Uzan (Guard): Delivered a game-high 22 points, including the game-winning layup against Purdue, showcasing his clutch performance under pressure. Jamal Shead (Guard): Provides leadership and stability in the backcourt, facilitating the offense and contributing defensively. This Elite Eight clash is anticipated to be a defensive battle, with both teams excelling in limiting opponents' scoring opportunities. Houston's slight edge in offensive efficiency and superior three-point shooting (39.8%) could be pivotal. This looks to be a close game and slow pace. I'm taking UNDER as my Elite 8 Total of the Year. 

The Elite Eight clash between the No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils and No. 2 seed Alabama Crimson Tide is set for Saturday night at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey, with tipoff at 8:49 p.m. ET. Duke comes in with a 34-3 record, driven by an efficient and balanced roster. Freshman sensation Cooper Flagg has led the way, averaging 19 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 4.2 assists per game. His performance in the Sweet 16 — 30 points, six rebounds, seven assists, and three blocks — was nothing short of elite, proving he’s built for March. Alabama (28-8) brings one of the most potent offenses in the country, fresh off a 113-88 win over BYU where they set an NCAA Tournament record with 25 made three-pointers. Senior guard Mark Sears exploded for 34 points, hitting 10 from beyond the arc. Alabama’s experience and tempo-heavy attack make them a unique threat. The defining battle could be between Duke’s top-ranked two-point defense (holding opponents to 43.2%) and Alabama’s explosive two-point offense (converting 60.1%). Another critical factor will be Alabama’s outside shooting against Duke’s strong perimeter defense, which has limited opponents to around 30% from deep. Duke leads the all-time series 8-3 and has won seven straight matchups against Alabama. However, these teams haven’t met since 2013, and both programs have evolved significantly since then. This game pits Duke’s polished, defensive-minded approach against Alabama’s free-flowing, high-octane offense. The outcome may depend on whether Duke can limit Alabama’s three-point barrage and slow down their pace. Either way, this one has all the makings of a classic.  I look for both teams to dictate the pace at times. And as such, I'm expecting this game to get enough points to go over the total. 

The Elite Eight clash between the No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils and No. 2 seed Alabama Crimson Tide is set for Saturday night at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey, with tipoff at 8:49 p.m. ET. Duke comes in with a 34-3 record, driven by an efficient and balanced roster. Freshman sensation Cooper Flagg has led the way, averaging 19 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 4.2 assists per game. His performance in the Sweet 16 — 30 points, six rebounds, seven assists, and three blocks — was nothing short of elite, proving he’s built for March. Alabama (28-8) brings one of the most potent offenses in the country, fresh off a 113-88 win over BYU where they set an NCAA Tournament record with 25 made three-pointers. Senior guard Mark Sears exploded for 34 points, hitting 10 from beyond the arc. Alabama’s experience and tempo-heavy attack make them a unique threat. The defining battle could be between Duke’s top-ranked two-point defense (holding opponents to 43.2%) and Alabama’s explosive two-point offense (converting 60.1%). Another critical factor will be Alabama’s outside shooting against Duke’s strong perimeter defense, which has limited opponents to around 30% from deep. Duke leads the all-time series 8-3 and has won seven straight matchups against Alabama. However, these teams haven’t met since 2013, and both programs have evolved significantly since then. This game pits Duke’s polished, defensive-minded approach against Alabama’s free-flowing, high-octane offense. The outcome may depend on whether Duke can limit Alabama’s three-point barrage and slow down their pace. Either way, this one has all the makings of a classic.  I look for Alabama to come in under the spread here today. This is too many points for a team of this caliber. I'm taking Alabama. 

The Oklahoma City Thunder (61-12) host the Indiana Pacers (43-30) in a marquee inter-conference matchup at Paycom Center. The Thunder, leaders of the Western Conference, are riding an eight-game winning streak and remain nearly unbeatable at home. Meanwhile, the Pacers are heating up offensively and look to test themselves against the league’s best. The Thunder have won eight straight games and own a dominant 31-5 home record. They’re averaging nearly 120 points per game while holding opponents to just under 107. Their most recent win was a 125-104 blowout over Memphis, led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's 37 points. The Pacers, currently fourth in the Eastern Conference, recently demolished Washington 162-115 — a franchise scoring record. Tyrese Haliburton led the effort with 29 points, showcasing the explosive offensive potential of this young team. Indiana is averaging 117.2 points while allowing 115.2. Thunder: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Averaging 30.3 points, 6.4 assists, and 4.5 rebounds over his last 20 games. He’s been one of the most efficient scorers in the league. Isaiah Hartenstein: Providing inside presence with 10.7 points and 8.5 rebounds per game. Pacers: Tyrese Haliburton: The engine of Indiana’s offense, capable of orchestrating high-paced attacks and knocking down threes. Myles Turner: A reliable interior scorer and rim protector, adding 17 points in their last outing. Back in December, the Thunder edged out the Pacers 120-114, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander pouring in 45 points. The Pacers struggled to contain him in isolation and pick-and-roll situations. Thunder have a +13 average point differential, 119.9 PPG (Offense) / 106.9 PPG (Defense). Indiana Pacers have a +2 average point differential, 117.2 PPG (Offense) / 115.2 PPG (Defense). While the Pacers have firepower and momentum after a historic offensive outing, they face a major challenge in Oklahoma City. The Thunder’s defense, depth, and dominance at home make them strong favorites. I look for a double Digit Thunder win here on Saturday. Play Okalahoam City.

The No. 1 seed Florida Gators face off against the No. 3 seed Texas Tech Red Raiders in a high-stakes Elite Eight showdown at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:09 p.m. ET. Florida rides into this game on a nine-game win streak, including a dominant 87-71 Sweet 16 victory over Maryland. The Gators showed off their depth with six players scoring in double figures and a +18 margin on the glass. They’ve been one of the tournament’s most efficient offensive teams, averaging 85.4 points per game heading into the round. Florida’s success comes from balance — several players are shooting 35.7% or better from beyond the arc — and a stingy defense that has held opponents to just 25.8% shooting from deep during the tournament. Texas Tech punched their ticket to the Elite Eight with an 85-83 overtime comeback win over Arkansas, erasing a 16-point deficit. JT Toppin, Darrion Williams, and Christian Anderson combined for 62 points, carrying the Red Raiders through a nail-biting finish. However, Texas Tech’s outside shooting has dipped in the tournament. They’ve connected on just 25.0% of their three-point attempts, down from a season average of 36.7%. The possible absence of guard Chance McMillian due to an oblique injury could also impact their rotation. The spotlight will be on how Texas Tech’s offense handles Florida’s elite defense. Florida ranks second in adjusted offensive efficiency (129.2 points per 100 possessions) and ninth in adjusted defensive efficiency (92.9 points allowed per 100 possessions). One key battle will be at point guard: Elijah Hawkins for Texas Tech vs. Walter Clayton Jr. for Florida. Whoever controls the pace and tempo could shift the game’s direction dramatically.  Florida is an offensive machine and I don't see anyone keeping them down. Tech will have to keep pace or get blowout on Saturday. I'm taking OVER.