Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-26-24 | Bulls v. Wizards OVER 244.5 | Top | 127-108 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 28 m | Show |
Reason: The Chicago Bulls (7-11) are set to face the Washington Wizards (2-13) on Tuesday at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. Both teams have encountered challenges this season, with the Bulls losing four of their last six games and the Wizards enduring an 11-game losing streak. The Bulls have struggled defensively, allowing an NBA-worst 123.9 points per game. Offensively, they rank second in the Eastern Conference with 28.7 assists per game, led by Josh Giddey averaging 6.6 assists. The Wizards are allowing 122.9 points per game, ranking 29th in team defense. They average 12.0 made three-pointers per game, slightly below the 13.4 that the Bulls allow. Historically, the Bulls have a favorable record against the Wizards, leading the all-time series 133-110. In their most recent encounter on April 12, 2024, the Bulls edged out the Wizards 129-127. The Bulls are led Coby White who is averaging 19.1 points and 4.8 assists per game, playing a pivotal role in the Bulls' offense. Washington is led Jordan Poole who leads the Wizards with averages of 21.2 points, 4.9 assists, and 1.9 steals per game. Both of these teams have horrible defenses and we should see a lot of points here on Tuesday. The total is one of the highest we'll see this year at 244. I might be crazy, but I'm going to take this game OVER the total as both teams get into the 120's in this one. Play over. |
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10-21-24 | Ravens v. Bucs OVER 50 | Top | 41-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 59 m | Show |
It's Monday Night Football and we get TWO games on the schedule for tonight. We will look at the game between the Baltimore Ravens and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Both teams come into this inter-conference matchup with 4-2 records. The Ravens, led by quarterback Lamar Jackson, boast the NFL's top rushing attack, averaging over 205 rushing yards per game, with Derrick Henry contributing a league-leading 704 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns. Jackson has also been efficient through the air, completing 67% of his passes for 1,529 yards and 10 touchdowns. Baltimore's offense is complemented by a solid defense, led by Roquan Smith and Kyle Van Noy, that allows 24.8 points per game. On the other side, the Buccaneers, helmed by Baker Mayfield, have been impressive as well, with Mayfield completing nearly 71% of his passes and throwing for 15 touchdowns. The offense, powered by stars like Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, is one of the top-scoring units in the league, averaging 29.7 points per game. Tampa Bay's defense has been solid but vulnerable, allowing 23.5 points per game. Tampa Bay has a history of performing well as home underdogs, particularly early in games. The Bucs have covered the spread in six consecutive games following a division matchup, and their defense is getting healthier. The Ravens' rushing attack and Tampa's opportunistic offense will likely dictate the flow of the game. This one could be a back and forth contest with the last team holding the ball having a shot to win. Or we could even see OT in this game. Either way, I expect to see the offenses dictate the pace in this game. I'll take the OVER. |
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10-15-24 | Guardians v. Yankees UNDER 7 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
In Game 2 of the 2024 ALCS, the New York Yankees will host the Cleveland Guardians at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees, having secured a 5-2 victory in Game 1, will send their ace Gerrit Cole to the mound. Cole has been stellar in the postseason, posting a 3.00 ERA in his playoff appearances this year. Cleveland will counter with Tanner Bibee, who has been solid as well, with a 2.08 ERA in his two postseason starts. The Yankees hold a slight edge going into this game, primarily due to their offensive firepower led by Aaron Judge and Juan Soto. Cleveland's strength lies in its bullpen, featuring standout closer Emmanuel Clase and a group of reliable relievers. However, their starting rotation has struggled to go deep into games, which could put extra pressure on their bullpen in this series. Expect a close, tactical game with Cole likely to dominate. I'm taking the UNDER as I expect both teams to have excellent starting pitching today and bullpens. Take UNDER. |
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09-05-24 | Ravens v. Chiefs OVER 46.5 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
The Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs are set to kick off the 2024 NFL season with a huge matchup between defending Super Bowl Champion KC and powerhouse Baltimore. Both teams enter the game with high expectations this season as the Chiefs try for an unprecedented third straight Super Bowl Title. The Ravens, led by quarterback Lamar Jackson, will look to capitalize on a retooled offense under new offensive coordinator Todd Monken. Jackson, a dual-threat QB, will showcase his improved passing game, supported by a strong running attack featuring J.K. Dobbins and Derick Henry. He has great targets too in including Odell Beckham Jr. and rookie Zay Flowers. Baltimore's defense, anchored by veteran linebacker Roquan Smith and cornerback Marlon Humphrey, will be tasked with containing one of the league's most explosive offenses. On the other side, the Kansas City Chiefs, reigning Super Bowl champions, are spearheaded by superstar quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Coming off another MVP season, Mahomes will be looking to continue his dominance, with Travis Kelce as his top target. Despite losing some key pieces in the offseason, the Chiefs' offense remains potent, with emerging wide receivers Skyy Moore and Kadarius Toney expected to step up. Defensively, Chris Jones and the Kansas City front will aim to disrupt Baltimore's offensive rhythm, while their secondary focuses on limiting Jackson's ability to exploit deep plays. This primetime showdown between two elite AFC squads promises to deliver excitement as both teams seek an early statement win. The matchup of Mahomes vs. Jackson will be a major storyline, and fans can expect a high-energy, fast-paced game at Arrowhead Stadium. For me, I'm taking the over as I expect both these QB's to lead their teams to points and a lot of them. Take OVER. |
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08-25-24 | Giants v. Mariners UNDER 7 | Top | 3-4 | Push | 0 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
The San Francisco Giants and Seattle Mariners conclude their three game set here on Sunday from Seattle. The teams have split the first two games with the Mariners winning on Friday and the Giants on Saturday, 4-3. The Giants are in 4th place in the NL West. 11.5-games back of the LA Dodgers. The Giants are five games back in the Wild Card race with four teams ahead of them. Robbie Ray will start today for the Giants. Ray is 3-2 with a 4.88 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. Ray is coming off an excellent start vs the White Sox where he allowed three hits and one run over 6 2/3 innings for the win. Ray has allowed two runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. Brian Woo will counter for the Mariners. Woo has been very good with a 5-2 record, 2.12 ERA and 0.83 WHIP this season. Woo has allow no runs in three of his last five starts with the other two starts coming in at two runs and three runs. Both teams have excellent pitching staffs and I look for a low scoring affair here on Sunday. Play the UNDER. |
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07-30-24 | Twins v. Mets OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
Interleague action here today has the Minnesota Twins playing at the NY Mets. The Mets are in 3rd in the NL East with a 56-50 record, nine games back of first place Philadelphia. The Mets have won seven of their last 10 games and have a +29 point differential. The Twins are 4-6 over their last 10 games and have dropped to 2nd in the AL Central with a 58-47 record, 5.5-games back of the Guardians. They have a +38 run differential. The Twins start David Festa who is 1-1 with a 8.16 ERA and 1.60 WHIP. He's allowed 13 runs over his three starts (14 1/3 innings). Sean Manaea will start for the Mets with a 6-4 record and 3.74 ERA. He's allowed 10 runs over his last three starts (16 2/3 innings) but has walked as many (5) as he's struck out. I don't have much confidence in either starter so I will just be on the OVER here today. |
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07-25-24 | Saskatchewan v. Montreal UNDER 49 | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 22 h 45 m | Show |
Week 8 opens play with an exciting matchup as the best of the East plays the best of the Week as Montreal hosts Saskatchewan. These are two of the best in the CFL, but both teams missing their starting QB's. The Roughriders will start former All-Big 10 Michigan QB in Shea Patterson. He has won two of his three starts this year. In addition, the Riders will be without running back A.J. Ouellette. Montreal will go from Fajardo at QB to Caleb Evans. Fajardo was having a excellent season before hurting his hamstring. He's listed as doubtful for tonight. His replacement would be Evens. Evans is a very mobile QB but not very good passing with too many INT's. Both these teams will be missing key offensive players in addition to their starting QB's. Montreal will also be without their second and third best receivers. Both these teams are very good at scoring defense, ranking 1st and 2nd in the CFL in yards allowed per play and scoring defense. I like the UNDER a lot in this matchup tonight. Play UNDER. |
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07-10-24 | Nationals v. Mets OVER 9.5 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
NL East battle here today has the Washington Nationals taking on the NY Mets. The Nationals are in 4th in the division with a 42-50 record and 17.5 games back of the 1st place Phillies. They also have a -25 run differential. The Mets are in 3rd in the division with a 45-45 record and 13.5 games back. They have a zero run differential. The Mets have won three of their last four games including game one in this series with the Nationals. Their 7-5 win over the Nats on Tuesday went over the total. Patrick Corbin will start for the Nats today with his 1-8 record and 5.49 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. The Nats have lost his last three starts with two of those three going over the total. Luis Severino will counter for the Mets. He's 5-3 with a 3.83 ERA. The Mets have lost his last two starts as Severino has allowed 11 runs over his last 13 innings. I look for a high scoring game here on Wednesday as both starters have struggle of late. Take the OVER. |
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07-02-24 | Brewers v. Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
The Milwaukee Brewers and Colorado Rockies play game two of their set here today. The Brewers lost game one on Monday night to the Rockies, 7-8 with the game going over. The Brewers are in first in the NL Central with a 50-35 record, 6-games up on the St Louis Cardinals. The Rockies won their second straight game on Monday, but are 22.5-games back of the LA Dodgers in the NL West. The Rockies will likely be a seller at the upcoming trade deadline. Dallas Keuchel makes only his second start of the season here tonight for the Brewers. His first start didn't go so well on June 26 vs the Rangers where he allowed eight hits and five runs over his four innings of work. Ryan Feltner will start for the Rocks. Feltner is 1-7 this season with a 5.82 ERA. He hasn't done well at Coors field either, going 0-2 in his seven starts with a 7.43 ERA. Neither pitcher should be around long for this one. I'm taking the over today. |
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06-20-24 | Dodgers v. Rockies OVER 12 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 27 m | Show |
The Dodgers and the Rockies play the final game of their four game set here on Thursday from Coors field in Denver. The Dodgers took the first two games, 9-5 and 11-9, before losing last night 6-7. All three games going over the total. Both teams have scored plenty of runs in this series. The Dodgers remain comfortably in first place in the NL West with a 46-30 record and nine game lead over the Padres and Diamondbacks. Colorado brings up last place in the division with a 26-48 record, 19-games back of the Dodgers. The Dodgers will start Gavin Stone here today who is 7-2 in his 13 starts with a 2.53 ERA. The Rockies will counter with Ty Blach who is 3-4 in his eight starts with a 5.31 ERA. Coors field is a hitters park and its lived up to that reputation in this series. I'll stick with the OVER here in the final game of this set today. Play OVER. |
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05-18-24 | Thunder v. Mavs UNDER 209.5 | Top | 116-117 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
Game six of this NBA Western Conference 2nd Round series between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks. The Thunder are down 2-3 and in a must win spot here on Saturday. They are coming off a loss at Oklahoma City in game five, 92-104, as a 4.5 point favorite. Four of the five games in this series have gone UNDER as we've seen the total start at 218.5 and slowly drop to today's lowest total of 209.5. The Thunder averaged 118.5 ppg during the regular season and have dropped to 104.6 ppg in the playoffs. They have also seen their defense go from allowing 111.2 ppg to just 97.4 ppg. Dallas averaged 116.4 ppg during the regular season and 105.5 ppg in the playoffs. They have allowed 114 ppg in the regular season to 102 ppg in the playoffs. This has been a low scoring series and I don't see much to change that outcome here on Saturday. Expect to see defense continue to shine here in game six on Saturday. Play the UNDER. |
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04-06-24 | Alabama v. Connecticut OVER 160.5 | Top | 72-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Game two of the NCAA Final Four has Alabama taking on powerhouse Connecticut. The Alabama Crimson Tide lost in their conference tourney to Florida, 88-102, but have gained momentum in the NCAA tourney with wins over Charleston (109-96), Grand Canyon (72-61), North Carolina (89-87) and last game over Clemson, 89-82. They have gone over in three of their four NCAA tourney games. In addition they have gone over in six of their last seven games and 13 of their last 15 overall games. This team can score in bunches, evidenced by their 90.6 ppg average this year. They are also 7-1 O/U in their eight tourney games this year. The U Conn Huskies are the odds on favorite to win it all and their play has proved they deserve their title. They have run rough shot over the competition. They not only won their conference tourney over Marquette, 73-57, but have won all four tourney games over Stetson (91-52), Northwestern (75-58), San Diego State (82-52) and last game over Illinois, 77-52. In their game vs Illinois they opened the game up in the first half with a 30-0 run! Now they face the best offensive team they have faced in this tourney. No doubt the Huskies will score and score a lot vs a porous Alabama defense. The question is can they keep the Crimson Tide from scoring like they have. I look for this to be an offensive explosion here tonight. I'm taking the OVER. |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs UNDER 43 | Top | 9-32 | Win | 100 | 21 h 55 m | Show |
The Philadelphia Eagles limp into the playoffs. After what looked like a sure thing for them to win the NFC East, they lost it to the Dallas Cowboys because of a 1-5 s/u stretch to finish the season. That culminating in a loss at the NY Giants, 10-27, as a 5-point favorite in the final game. They are also 0-6 ATS to finish the season. The once very good defense allowed at least 20 points in each of those last six games and over 30 in three of those games. QB Jalen Hurts comes into this game banged up with a injured finger on his throwing hand and his top target, AJ Brown is questionable with a knee injury. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay comes into this Wildcard game with momentum. They Bucs have won five of their last six and covered four of the last five. The defense has been very good, allowing just 19.1 ppg on the season. QB Baker Mayfield is also banged-up as he has a bad ankle. That's not good for an offense that ranked just 20th in scoring. They also finished last in rushing so Mayfield needs to be on his game today if they hope to win. Too many question marks on both these offenses today. I'm taking the under in this one. |
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01-14-24 | Packers v. Cowboys OVER 50.5 | Top | 48-32 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
The NFL Super Wildcard playoffs continue here on Sunday as the Dallas Cowboys welcome the Green Bay Packers to town. The Packers are the 7th seed in the NFC with a 9-8 record. The Cowboys finished with the #2 Seed in the NFC and won the NFC East. Jordan Love led the Packers with over 4,000 yards passing and 32 TD's. Love has lots of targets on the offense including a pair of tight ends. The Packers are young and inexperienced though with the youngest roster in the NFL. They are 12th ranked in the NFL in points scored and 9th in rushing offense. Aaron Jones return to the lineup has greatly improved the rushing attack. The Packers also have the top scoring offense in the third quarter of games this year. The defense will have its hands full on Sunday with the high flying Dallas offense. Dallas is 8-0 at home this year with a 21.5 point scoring differential. Dak Prescot leads the offense with over 4,500 passing yards and a league best 36 touchdowns. Ceedee Lamb set a Cowboys team record in receptions and yards. The Cowboys have the top ranked scoring offense in the NFL and at home average 37 points per game. Love should get his shots too and I expect this game to go OVER the total on Sunday. |
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12-21-23 | Jacksonville v. Purdue OVER 147 | Top | 57-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
The Jacksonville Dolphins travel to Purdue in this extra board game for Thursday The Dolphins are 8-4 S/U and 5-5 ATS on the season. They are also 8-2 O/U and average 76.8 ppg while giving up 73.4 ppg. The team is 2-4 S/U and ATS on the road with a 5-1 O/U mark. They average 67.3 ppg but give up 85 ppg away from home. The Dolphins coming off a home win over LA-Monroe, 75-65, covering the 6-point line and going over the 137.5 total. The Purdue Boilermakers off to a great start at 10-1 S/U and 8-2-1 ATS. They are also a very good over team with a 8-3 O/U mark. They average 86.2 ppg and allow 70.5 ppg. They do better at home, averaging 90.8 ppg while allowing 61.6 ppg. Both teams have been great over plays all season. I don't see that changing tonight as Purdue piles up the points at home. Play the OVER. |
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12-14-23 | Thunder v. Kings OVER 244.5 | Top | 123-128 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
Oklahoma City Thunder having a good season thus far at 15-7 S/U and 15-6-1 ATS on the season. They are also 12-9-1 Over/Under. The Thunder have won two straight games, scoring 138 and 134 points in those games. They have gone over in four of their last five games. The Thunder average 120.4 ppg and allow 112.8 ppg on the season. Sacramento is 13-9 S/U and 12-10 ATS on the season. The Kings are coming off a loss at the Clippers, 99-119, as 3.5-point dogs. They have gone over in six of their last eight games. The Kings average 116.3 ppg and allow 116.9 ppg. That goes up at home to 121.6 ppg and allow 120.1 ppg. I like the over here tonight. |
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11-24-23 | Dolphins v. Jets UNDER 40.5 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
The Miami Dolphins are 7-3 S/U and 6-4 ATS as they head to the Meadowlands to play the Jets here on Friday. The Dolphins are in 1st place in the AFC East, 1.5-games ahead of the Bills. They also have a +67 point differential and average 30.5 ppg while allowing 23.8 ppg. The offense averages 38.8 ppg at home but considerably less on the road with a 24.3 ppg average. They are coming off a home win over the Raiders, 20-13, failing to cover the 14-point line. They Dolphins have scored just 20 last game and 14 the week before. They have also gone under in three of their last four games. The Jets are 4-6 and 3-games back of the Dolphins in the division. The Jets average just 15 ppg on the season while allowing 20.4 ppg. The Jets have been a great under play, with their last five going under. They have also lost and failed to cover in each of their last three games. The Jets defense is good enough to keep them in this game, especially the way the Dolphins offense has played the last few weeks. For me, I'm taking the UNDER in this one. |
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11-13-23 | Broncos v. Bills UNDER 47.5 | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
The Denver Broncos and Buffalo Bills conclude week 10 of the NFL tonight here on Monday Night Football. The Broncos horrible start to the season has seen a turnaround the last two weeks with a pair of wins and covers in a row. Denver beat Green Bay three weeks ago, 19-17, then two weeks ago beat Kansas City, 24-9 as a 7-point dog. Holding the KC Chiefs offense to 275 totals yards. Denver had last week off to prepare for tonight's contest. Denver scores 21.5 ppg while allowing 28.2 ppg. The latter coming way down the last few weeks. Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bills have struggled, going 2-3 S/U and 0-5 ATS over the last five games. They are coming off a loss at Cincinnati last week, 18-24. The Bills average 26.7 ppg and allow 17.8 ppg. The Bills have gone under in six of their nine games this year, including four of their last five games. The Broncos have gone under in three straight games. I'm taking the UNDER here tonight. |
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11-09-23 | Panthers v. Bears UNDER 38.5 | Top | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 19 h 18 m | Show |
The Bears look to be without their starting QB in Justin Fields who is expected to miss another game with a thumb injury. That means Tyson Bagent is likely to start for the Bears. This contest starts week 10 as the 1-7 Panthers take on the 2-7 Bears. Not exactly a game likely to garner a lot of attention. Expect for us betting enthusiasts. This game holds some cash for us here tonight. I'm going to be on the UNDER. Tha Panthers offense has been anemic, averaging just 17.5 ppg and 283.4 yards. They are coming off a loss to the Colts, 13-27, going under the 45 point total. The Bears have been without Fields the last two weeks and the offense has just 13 points vs the Chargers and last week lost at New Orleans, 17-24, but did cover the 9-point dog line. This team will continue to rely on the ground game, as they average 135.3 yards per game and had 156 last week at the Saints. The defense has been better then expected, holding the last six teams to under 100 yards rushing. While this won't be the most exciting game, I'll be on the under as I don't expect to see a lot of scoring. Play UNDER. |
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10-23-23 | 49ers v. Vikings UNDER 43 | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
The 49ers look to rebound from that loss last week to the Cleveland Browns. The Niners led most of the way and then missed the game winning field goal late in the loss 17-19 as a 9.5-point favorite. For me I believe the Niners will rebound tonight. However, I have to side with the UNDER in this one as SF will be missing key offensive players. Their star running back Christian McCaffrey is questionable with a oblique injury. They could also miss some key offensive linemen. As for the Vikings, they will be without star WR Justin Jefferson who has a hamstring injury. And when we add that SF has one of the best defenses in the league. They allow just 14.5 ppg and 278 yards per game. For me, I'm just taking the UNDER in this one. |
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10-12-23 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 47 | Top | 8-19 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
AFC West clash here on Thursday night football has the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Denver Broncos. The Chiefs are 4-1 and comfortably in 1st place in the division while Denver is in last place at 1-4. The Chiefs have a +48 point differential while Denver is at -60 points. The Chiefs could be without one of their stars on Thursday, as TE Travis Kelce is questionable with an ankle injury. I'm going to be on the under in this game and mainly because the weather looks to be bad. There's chance of showers, but more important are the 21 mph winds. Winds, in my opinion, influence totals more than anything. And if Kelce doesn't play, then that will even make this a stronger play. Either way, I'll be on the UNDER on Thursday night. |
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09-12-23 | Cardinals v. Orioles OVER 10 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 45 m | Show |
These teams playing the second of their set here on Tuesday after the Orioles took game one on Monday, 11-5. The Cardinals had gone over in six straight before a couple of Unders vs the Reds. The Overs got back on track last night with 16 total runs scored. Adam Wainwright has had a tough year for the Cardinals at 3-11 with a 8.19 ERA. Hard to believe he's been even worse of late, going 0-7 in his last seven starts with a 9.74 ERA. John Means will make his first start for the Orioles after joining the team in Boston over the weekend. Means makes his first MLB start in nearly 17 months here on Tuesday. Means, a one time All-Star, was runner up to rookie of the year in 2019. This will be a big test for the young pitcher to see if he's making it back from his long recovery from surgery. For me, I'll wait and see. But no matter what, Wainwright has been horrible and I'll take the OVER here on Tuesday. |
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09-08-23 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 10 | Top | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Reds have won seven of their last 10 games and still within striking distance of 1st place Milwaukee in the NL Central. The Reds trail by just two games. They are also in the hunt in the NL Wildcard race, just a half game back in those standings. So every game is big for the Reds. They face a Cardinals team that just took two of three games from the Braves and scored 26 runs in the three game set. The Cards have also gone over in five straight games, scoring at least five runs in each of those. The Cardinals start Drew Rom today who is 0-2 in his three starts with a 7.24 ERA. The Reds will start Andrew Abbott who is 8-4 in 17 starts with a 3.22 ERA. Not quite so good lately, going 2-2 in his last seven starts with a 5.67 ERA. I'm sticking with the OVER in these Cardinals games as they continue to hit the ball well with little pitching on the other end. Play OVER. |
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08-29-23 | Astros v. Red Sox OVER 10 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
It's a tight race in the AL West as one game separates the top three teams. One of those are the Houston Astros, who are 1 game back of the Seattle Mariners. The Mariners have surged into first place thanks to a 9-1 run. Meanwhile, Texas has been struggling to 2-8 their last 10 and Houston 5-5. The Red Sox are in 4th in the AL East, 13.5-games back of the Orioles. The Sox still have a shot at a AL Wildcard as they are 4.5-games back with four teams ahead of them. Houston will start J.P. France today. France is 8-5 in his 18 starts with a 3.62 ERA. He's coming off a horrible start, where he allowed 11 hits and 10 runs over just 2 1/3 innings to the Red Sox. Now he has to face them again here today. Boston will start Brayan Bellow who is 10-7 with a 3.56 ERA in 22 starts. He's been slightly higher with the ERA in his last seven starts, having a 4.46 mark. Both these teams can score as they both average five runs per game. The Houston bullpen has been bad of late, posting a 6.37 ERA in his last seven games. Boston has been even worse, allowing a 7.07 ERA over their last seven games. Two struggling pens and two very good scoring teams. I'll take the OVER today. |
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08-27-23 | Rockies v. Orioles OVER 9 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -111 | 2 h 19 m | Show |
Interleague action has the Colorado Rockies playing on the East Coast at Baltimore. The Rockies have lost six games after dropping the first two of this series at the Orioles. The Orioles have taken both the first two games by the same score, 5-4. The Rockies have been a good over team, with a 8-1-1 O/U mark their last 10 games. The Rockies will start Ty Blach here today who is 1-1 in his six starts with a 3.25 ERA. The Orioles continue to lead the AL East by three games over the Rays. Baltimore has won four straight and seven of their last eight games. They are also 6-3-1 O/U in their last 10 games. Jack Flaherty makes his first start since Aug 15th. He is 8-8 in his 23 starts with a 4.73 ERA. He is coming off a bad start on the 15th where he allowed seven runs over three innings to the Padres. I like this one to go over today. Play OVER. |
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08-20-23 | Mets v. Cardinals OVER 10 | Top | 3-7 | Push | 0 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
Two teams that this time of the year are usually figuring in the playoff picture just playing out the rest of the season at this point. The Mets are 58-66 and 23 games back in the AL East. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are in last in the AL Central. The Mets will start Carlos Carrasco today who is 3-6 on the season with a 6.40 ERA. He's been even worse lf late, going 1-3 in his last seven starts with a 7.18 ERA. The Cardinals will start Dakota Hudson who is 3-0 in his four starts with a 4.15 ERA. Not a lot to see on Hudson, though the team has won all four of his starts. I'm taking the OVER in this one on Sunday. |
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08-08-23 | Braves v. Pirates OVER 10 | Top | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
The Braves and Pirates play game two of this set here on Tuesday as the Bucs took Monday's game from the Braves, 7-6. The Braves have a huge cushion in the AL East as they lead by 10-games over the Phillies. The Braves also have the second best run differential in baseball at +162. The Bucs are fourth in the NL Central, nine games back of the Brewers. They are also 7.5-games back in the NL Wild Card race with a lot of teams in front of them. The Braves will start Yonny Chirinos today who is 2-2 in his six starts with a 6.67 ERA. The Bucs will counter with Mitch Keller who is 9-8 in his 23 starts and a 4.35 ERA. He's been worse of late, going 1-5 in his last seven starts and a 6.58 ERA. He's allowed 24 runs over his last four starts 21 2/3 innings. Don't expect either of pitchers to be around long. I'm taking the OVER. |
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07-24-23 | Reds v. Brewers OVER 9 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
NL Central clash here today has the top two teams in the division playing for first place. The Milwaukee Brewers are in 1st place, but only by a half game over the Reds. The Reds have won five straight games to pull within a half game. Still, both teams have run differentials in the negative values. The Reds will start Graham Ashcraft here today. Ashcraft is 5-7 in his 18 starts with a 5.76 ERA. The Brewers start Colin Rea with a 5-4 record in his 16 starts and a 4.57 ERA. Both teams can hit the ball and neither pitcher is all that good. I'll take the OVER here today. |
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07-05-23 | Pirates v. Dodgers OVER 9 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
The Pirates and Dodgers have split the first two games of this series from LA with the Dodgers taking game one and the Pirates game two on Tuesday, 9-7. The Dodgers are back in 2nd place in the NL West, 2.5-games back of the Diamondbacks. Despite going just 5-5, the Dodgers have gained some ground thanks to a 4-6 run by the Diamondbacks. The Pirates have passed the Cubs in the NL Central as they moved into third place, 6.5-games back of the Reds. Osvaldo Bido will get his fifth start of the season here on Wednesday. Bido is 0-1 with a 4.74 ERA. The Dodgers will counter with Bobby Miller who is 4-1 in his seven starts and a 4.23 ERA. That number goes up a bit at home to 5.81. Neither pitcher all that great with the ERA and for me that's an OVER play here on Wednesday. |
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06-28-23 | Reds v. Orioles OVER 9.5 | Top | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Reds took Tuesday's contest from the Baltimore Orioles even with a slight rain delay, 3-1. The Reds continue to hold onto 1st place in the NL Central with a 42-38 record and 1/2 game lead over the Brewers. The Reds are the only 1st place team in baseball with a negative run differential as their sits at -20 runs. The AL East 2nd place Orioles have a +30 run differential as they chase first place Tampa Bay. Good news is they sit atop the Wild Card standings in the AL with a 5.5-game lead over the Yankees and Angels. The Reds will start Luke Weaver here today. Weaver is 1-2 in his 12 starts with a lofty 6.86 ERA. Moreover, he's allowed 10 runs over his last 8 1/3 innings. The O's will counter with Kyle Gibson who is 8-5 in his 16 starts and a 4.30 ERA. Gibson has allowed eight runs over his last nine innings. I look for a lot of runs scored in this matchup. I'll be on the OVER. |
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06-13-23 | Guardians v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
The Cleveland Guardians are in 2nd place in the AL Central with a 31-34 record, 1.5 games back of first place Minnesota. The Guardians beat Houston on Sunday, 5-0, taking two of three games against the Astros. Cleveland will start Tanner Bibee tonight who is 2-1 with a 3.04 ERA. Bibee has allowed more than three runs in just one of his last eight starts this season. The San Diego Padres look to move up the ranks in the NL West as they sit in 4th place right now with a 31-34 record. The Padres start Joe Musgrove tonight. Musgrove is 3-2 in his eight starts with a 4.36 ERA. He's been better at home with a 3.00 ERA in three starts. Musgrove has been especially good of late, allowing just three total runs over his last three starts (17 1/3 innings) with 17 KO's and just four walks. Both pitchers looking very good. For me, I'll take this game UNDER the total. |
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06-12-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 209.5 | Top | 89-94 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
The Denver Nuggets on the verge of winning their first ever NBA Championship here tonight on their home court. After the teams split the first two games in Denver, the Nuggets took the next two in Miami, 109-94 and 108-95. Some good news for the Heat is that guard Tyler Herro will play tonight as he's nursing a hand injury. Denver is the best team offensively in the playoffs and that has showed. But I do believe the coach and management of the Heat are too good to let this team just give up. That's why I'm looking at the over here tonight. Only one game of the four has gone over and that was the Heat win in game two in Denver, 111-108. The Heat shot great from the 3-point line, 48.6% and that's what I believe they have to do again here tonight. They can't go toe-to-toe with this Denver team. They have to outscore them as they did in game two hitting nearly 50% from the 3-point line. They need to do that here again. If they can get near that 50% from 3-point, this game goes over. It's all up to the Heat in this one since I believe Denver will get their points as they have done all series long. Take the OVER tonight in game 5. |
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06-07-23 | Nuggets v. Heat UNDER 214.5 | Top | 109-94 | Win | 100 | 33 h 52 m | Show |
I had the over in game 2, but today I'm taking a look at the UNDER. I fully expected the Heat to come out big in game 2 after that lackluster performance in game 1. They did just that, using a huge fourth quarter to not only cover the 8.5-point dog line, but win straight up. They also just made it over the total. Both teams shot very well in game 2, Miami hitting 48.7% from the field and a blistering 48.6% from 3-point. The Nuggets were 52% from the field and 39.3% from 3-points. Despite all that great shooting, they just got the over. Game one went under, not even getting close to the 219 total. Game 2 going over by just three points. Tonight, I expect these teams to slow back down and even if they don't I don't believe they can make the over. Miami has gone under in five of their last six playoff games. Denver is 3-5 O/U in their last eight playoff games. Take the UNDER in game three tonight. |
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05-30-23 | Royals v. Cardinals UNDER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
No matter what the standings for these teams it's always a rivalry when Kansas City and St Louis matchup. The Royals are in last the AL Central while the Cardinals are in last in the NL Central. The Royals start Zack Greinke who is 1-5 on the season with a 4.55 ERA. He's been much better of late, allowing three earned runs over his last two starts. Miles Mikolas starts for the Cardinals with a 3-1 record and 4.23 ERA. He's allowed five total runs over his last four starts. Both pitchers pitching well and I will take the UNDER here today. |
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05-17-23 | Diamondbacks v. A's OVER 9 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
Arizona continues to hold onto second place in the NL West, three games back of the Dodgers. They have leveled off though, going 5-5 their last 10 games and losing on Tuesday to Oakland, 8-9. The teams have split their first two games of this series with the D'backs winning on Monday, 5-2. The Oakland A's finally got to the double digits in wins with their win on Tuesday. Still, they have the worst record in baseball at 10-34 and worst run differential in baseball at -159 runs. Ryne Nelson will start for the D'backs today with his 1-2 record in eight starts. He also has a 6.20 ERA and 1.549 WHIP. The A's counter with Luis Medina, who is 0-2 with a 8.18 ERA. Neither pitcher is very good and considering how many runs the A's allow, I'll be on the OVER here today. |
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05-12-23 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 101-122 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
It's game six of the NBA Western Semifinals as the Warriors take on the Lakers from LA. The Warriors face elimination again here today. They faced elimination in game five and beat the Lakers at home, 121-106. Now they have to win game six in LA to return home for a game seven. Problem is that they have lost both games in LA by 97-127 and 101-104 scores. Two of the last three games have also gone UNDER. These teams have also gone under in their last four meetings in LA. Lakers forward Anthony Davis has been upgraded to probable for this game with a head injury. I like this game to go under tonight. They seem to play tighter in LA and I look for that again here tonight. Play the UNDER. |
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05-11-23 | Padres v. Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
Both these teams took of Wednesday after playing game on Tuesday with the Padres winning that one, 6-1. The Padres got back above the .500 mark with a 19-18 record, 3.5-games back of the Dodgers in the NL West. The Twins are in 1st place in the AL Central at 20-17 and the only team in the division with a winning record and positive run differential (+22). The Padres will start Yu Darvish who is 2-2 in his six starts with a 3.19 ERA. Darvish has pitched well, allowing one run in three of his last four starts. The Twins counter with Bailey Ober who is 2-0 in three starts with a 0.98 ERA. He's only allowed two total runs in 18 2/3 innings. Two very good pitchers here today. I'll play the UNDER. |
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04-04-23 | Braves v. Cardinals OVER 10 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
The Atlanta Braves off to a 3-1 start after four games. The Braves took two of three from the Nationals to open the season. They opened this set with the Cardinals winning last night, 8-4. Dylan Dodd will toe the rubber for the first time this season. In fact, he makes his major league debut here tonight. Meanwhile the Cardinals are 2-2 to start the season. They took two of three from the Blue Jays to open the season and lost the opener here last night. They have gone over in three of their four games thus far. They have also scored at least four runs in each game. Steven Matz will make his first start this year. Matz was 5-3 with a 5.25 ERA last year. Neither pitcher all that great here today and the way both teams have been hitting, this looks like an over to me. |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 51 | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 26 m | Show |
I look at the defenses to be the superior units in this game, especially the Philly defense which has been great. However, it's offenses which win Super Bowls. I also like Andy Reid who has been here many times and knows how to coach in the Super Bowl. Philly has a young coach and young team making their first appearance in some time. You can make a argument for just about any side or total in this contest. For me, I'm looking at a very good Philly defense to keep the score low. Plus, You have Jalen Hurts with that aching throwing shoulder. He hasn't been called on to make many throws the last two games, both of which dominated by the Philly defense. So we'll have to see if that changes much here on Sunday. I'm taking the UNDER in the Super Bowl and going against the historic trends of overs. I look for defense to be the units that take more over in this contest. So lets take the UNDER in the Super Bowl. |
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01-30-23 | Hawks v. Blazers OVER 236.5 | Top | 125-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
The Atlanta Hawks look to get above the .500 mark as they continue their Western road trip at Portland tonight. The Hawks have dropped to 25-25 with their recent 1-3 slide. They are coming off a loss at home to the Clippers, 113-120, as a 1-point favorite. The Hawks are just 10-24 ATS their last 34 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Portland is 23-26 on the season and is coming off a loss at home to Toronto, 105-123, after wins over Utah and San Antonio. This team can score too, getting 134 vs the Jazz and 147 vs the Spurs. They eclipse 130 quite frequently. The Blazers are 14-9-1 ATS at home and average 119.4 ppg. Five of the last six meetings in this series have gone OVER. The Hawks have also gone over in six of their last seven games. With the points the Blazers can score, this one could be a high scoring affair. Take the OVER. |
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12-31-22 | Iowa v. Kentucky UNDER 31 | Top | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
The Iowa Hawkeyes and Kentucky WildCats will meet here in the Music City Bow, their second straight postseason meeting. The same teams met last year in the Citrus Bowl with Kentucky coming out on top 20-17. Iowa started the season slow, going 3-4 after being pummeled by Ohio State, 54-10. However, after Mark Stoops turned down the Iowa job that seemed to revitalize the team as they went 4-1 the rest of the way with big wins over Purdue, Minnesota and Wisconsin. Kentucky started the season 4-0 and then went 3-5 the rest of the to finish 7-5. Look for a low scoring bowl game here with the impressive Iowa defense on the field. The Iowa offense ranks near the bottom of the nation, scoring just 17.9 points per game. Now add to that the loss of QB Spencer Petras and those numbers likely will be even less here today. QB Alex Padilla would have started, but he entered the transfer portal so the duties fall to third stringer, Joe Labas. No one knows much about Labas so the WildCats can't really prepare for him. Kentucky will also be without their top QB, as Will Levis has opted out of today's game. So has RB Christopher Rodriquez Jr, who led the team in rushing. The Cats also fired OC Rich Scangarello. Hard to play any game under this posted total, but will either team score here today? This will be very low scoring and I'll take a shot under this low posted total. Play UNDER. |
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12-26-22 | Chargers v. Colts UNDER 44.5 | Top | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
The Indianapolis Colts are officially eliminated with their 4-9-1 overall record. They will host the 8-6 Chargers tonight. Chargers trying for one of those Wild Card games and right now it's theirs to lose. The Chargers are coming off a win last week over the Tennessee Titans, 17-14 as a 3-point favorite. That is two wins in a row and three of their last four games. The Chargers offense is 12th overall, but just 31st rushing and 3rd passing. The defense is 21st, 11th vs pass and 28th vs the rush. The Colts are coming off that devastating loss to the Vikings where they blew the biggest lead in NFL History, 33-0, before losing 36-39 in OT. Have to wonder if they have anything left in the tank here tonight. The Colts will start their third different QB here tonight as Matt Ryan takes a seat. In comes Nick Foles, who has started just once in the last two seasons. Foles will lineup behind the worst pass protection line in the NFL. Foles will also be without Jonathon Taylor who is back on the IR. The Colts offense, despite the 36 points last week, has not eclipsed 20 points in nine of their first 13 games. Tonight a new QB and no Taylor? I think I'll stick with the UNDER here tonight as the Colts have problems putting points on the board. Play UNDER. |
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12-17-22 | Ravens v. Browns UNDER 38 | Top | 3-13 | Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
A key AFC North clash on Saturday as the 9-4 Baltimore Ravens take on the 5-8 Cleveland Browns. The Ravens are tied for first place in the division and need a win here on Saturday to assure they stay at least tied for the division lead. The Ravens will once again be without QB Lamar Jackson, who missed last week's game also with a knee injury. QB Tyler Huntley is out of concussion protocol and likely will start here today. Baltimore just got by the Steelers last week, 16-14, passing for just 59 totals yards. They did get 215 rushing yards last week. The Cleveland Browns lost at Cincinnati last week, 10-23, as a 4.5-point dog. They had 71 rushing yards, well below their season average and 273 yards passing. QB Deshaun Watson looking much more comfortable with some time under his belt. Baltimore is just 14th overall on offense and Cleveland is 6th, though 5th rushing. The Ravens defense is 12th while the Browns are 17th. The Ravens are 2-8 Ov/Un their last 10 games and 7-15 Ov/Un their last 22 road games. Weather could be a factor here today with a 30% chance of snow. The winds could be steady 10 to 14 MPHP with gusts to 26. For me, it's that 15 MPH level where I start to see the winds effecting a game. With temperatures around freezing and winds that could be a factor, I look for this game to go UNDER today. |
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12-15-22 | 49ers v. Seahawks UNDER 43.5 | Top | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show |
Every game important at this juncture of the season. Teams also have to deal with lots of injuries. That's the case in the NFC West clash between the 49ers and Seahawks on Thursday. The 49ers lead the NFC West with a 9-4 record, two games ahead of 2nd place Seattle (7-6). These teams met back in week 2 in San Francisco where the 49ers walked away with that game, 27-7, as a 8-point favorite. they held the Seahawks to 30 yards rushing and 216 total yards. Not surprising that all these weeks later the Niners would have the league's top ranked defense and top ranked rushing defense. The Niners will be without QB JImmy Garappolo whi is out with a foot injury. That means Brock Purdy will get the start, though he has been hurting with a oblique and is officially listed as questionable. RB Christian McCaffrey is probable with a knee injury. Seattle has its share of injuries, especially at RB where Rashaad Penni is out with a fibula injury, RB Kenneth Walker III is probably with an ankle injury and RB DeeJay Dallas is questionable with a ankle injury. That doesn't bode well against this top ranked rush defense of the 49ers. This looks to be a very "vanilla" game tonight. The 49ers won't expose Purdy to much pressure and the Seahawks won't get much on the ground. I'm taking this game UNDER. |
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12-08-22 | Raiders v. Rams UNDER 42.5 | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
The Las Vegas Raiders have won three straight games to improve to 5-7 and third place in the AFC West. The LA Rams are in last in the NFC West at 3-9 and have lost six straight games. The Raiders are coming off a win over the Chargers last week at home, 27-20. That marks three straight games they have held their opponent to under 100 yards rushing. The Rams have been decimated by injuries this year and are without QB Matthew Stafford (neck) and WR Cooper Kupp (Ankle), their two best offensive players. The Rams did acquire QB Baker Mayfield who they picked up when the Panther released him earlier in the Week. His status is available for tonight's contest. The Rams are 4-9-1 ATS their last 14 overall games and 2-6 ATS their last eight game at home. The Rams have gone under in seven of their last eight home games against a team with a losing road record. They are also 8-17 O/U in their last 25 home games. Vegas has gone under in seven of their last 10 road games. These teams have gone under in four of their last five meetings. I'll take the UNDER here tonight as the Rams should have issues moving the ball even if Mayfield plays. Take the UNDER. |
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11-21-22 | 49ers v. Cardinals UNDER 43.5 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 52 m | Show |
NFC West clash here on Monday night has the 5-4 San Francisco 49ers taking on the 4-6 Arizona Cardinals. The 49ers are coming off a win last week over the Chargers, 22-16, failing to cover the 8-point favorite line. That makes two wins in row in their division. The Rams held the Chargers to just 238 total yards. The Cardinals coming off a win last week over the Rams, 27-17, as a 3-point dog. That win snapped a two game losing streak for the Cardinals. While Arizona had just 298 total yards they held the Rams to 256 total yards. The 49ers have the NFL's 9th ranked total offense while Arizona comes in at 19th. The big difference is on defense where the 49ers are now the top defense in the NFL and tops against the rush. Arizona falls all the way down to 24th overall and 12th vs the rush. The 49ers are 2-10 Ov/Un their last 12 games on grass and 4-13 O/U their last 17 overall games. The Cardinals are 1-9 O/U their last 10 Monday Night games. These teams have gone under in five of the last six meetings in Arizona and are 1-6-1 O/U in their last eight overall meetings. I'm taking UNDER here tonight. |
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11-10-22 | Falcons v. Panthers UNDER 42.5 | Top | 15-25 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show |
NFC South matchup here on Thursday in what is one of the worst divisions in the NFL. No one is out of this division, even the 2-7 Panthers. Both Tampa Bay and Atlanta are currently in 1st place with 4-5 records. The Falcons are coming off a loss last week at home to the Chargers, 17-20. While the Falcons have the 26th ranked offense, they do have the 4th ranked rushing game. The Falcons have been a good under play here on Thursday, going 0-6 O/U in their last six on that day. Meanwhile, Carolina was blown out last week at Cincinnati, 21-42. Though QB Baker Mayfield came into the game and led the team to 21 points. However, despite PJ Walker being benched at halftime, he's expected to make the start here on Thursday. The offense had just 228 total yards. Carolina traded away Christian McCaffrey to the 49ers a few weeks ago. The Panthers have the 30th ranked offense in the league. The Panthers have gone under in seven of their last 10 games vs the NFC South. This has also been a very good under series with the teams going 5-13-1 Ov/Un their last 19 meetings and 5-15-2 Ov/Un the last 22 meetings at Carolina. I'm going UNDER here on Thursday. |
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10-31-22 | Bengals v. Browns UNDER 45.5 | Top | 13-32 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show |
Bragging rights in Ohio are on the line tonight as the Cincinnati Bengals take on the Cleveland Browns. The Bengals can move into a 1st place tie with Baltimore in the AFC North win a win tonight. Meanwhile, the Browns are 2-5 in the North. The Bengals arecoming off a win at home over Atlanta, 35-17. They have also covered their last five games and have gone under in five of their seven games this season. The defense has been very good, ranked 11th in the NFL, while the Browns are 16th. The Browns rank 6th on offense thanks to their third ranked rushing offense that averages 164 yards per game. The Bengals rank 11th on offense, 4th in passing. Cincinnati has gone under in 10 of their last 12 games and are 0-8 Ov/Un in their last eight vs the AFC. This series has favored the under with a 2-6-1 Ov/Un mark the last nine meetings in Cleveland. I'm sticking with the UNDER here on Monday Night. |
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10-06-22 | Colts v. Broncos UNDER 43.5 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 44 h 13 m | Show |
The Indianapolis Colts dropped to 1-2-1 after losing last week to the Titans, 17-24 as a 4-point home favorite. That coming after that big win over the Chiefs the week before. All four games for the Colts have gone under this year. The Colts offense ranks 19th overall in the NFL, 27th rushing. The defense has been better, ranked 6th in the NFL. Despite losing last week, the Colts won the stat sheet, holding Tennessee to just 243 yards. The issue were the three turnovers the Colts had in the contest. The Denver Broncos dropped to 2-2 after losing at the LV Raiders last week, 23-32. The Broncos defense, which was ranked 3rd over, was torched for 32 points. Actually six of those coming on a turnover returned for a TD. The defense gave up 212 yards on the ground after not allowing 100 yards in the first three games. The teams have meet twice in the last five years with both games going UNDER. The Colts have been a very good under team of late, going under in nine straight games. They are also 0-8 U/U in their last eight vs the AFC. The Broncos are 4-11 O/U in their last 15 games and 2-6 O/U in their last eight home games. Two very good defenses here and I'm looking for an UNDER. |
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10-03-22 | Rams v. 49ers UNDER 42.5 | Top | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 6 m | Show |
NFC West battle here on Monday Night as the Rams make the trip North to face San Francisco. The Rams can move back into first place with a win tonight. The Cardinals and Seahawks are both 2-2 after four weeks and the Rams can go to 3-1 with a win. San Francisco is in last place at 1-2. However, a win by the 49ers and all four division teams will be a 2-2. The Rams opened their season with a loss at home to Buffalo, 10-31. They have rebounded with wins over Atlanta and then last week at Arizona, 20-12. Two of their three games have gone under. Now they face the 2nd best defense in the NFL in San Francisco. The Niners have the leagues best passing defense. The Rams offense hasn't been like last year, as they rank just 25th overall and 30th in rushing. San Francisco isn't much better, coming in at 24th overall and 29th passing. San Francisco lost their QB , Trey Lance, to a season ending injury in week 2. Back at starter is Jimmy Garoppolo. After leading the 49ers to a win in the game Lance went down, they lost last week at Denver, 10-11. All three of their games have gone under thanks to their 2nd ranked defense. The Niners have now gone under in 10 of their last 11 games and four of their last five home games. These teams have gone under in seven of the last nine meetings in San Francisco and four of the last five overall. With the Rams offense not firing on all cylinders, I will be the UNDER. |
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09-29-22 | Dolphins v. Bengals UNDER 48 | Top | 15-27 | Win | 100 | 21 h 19 m | Show |
Miami Dolphins bring a 3-0 record into this Thursday matchup with the Cincinnati Bengals. The Dolphins had little issues with the Patriots (20-7) and then had the huge fourth quarter comeback against the Ravens, 42-38. Last week they just got by the Buffalo Bills, 21-19, covering all three games and going under in two of the three games. The Bengals didn't look like the team of last year to start this season, with back-to-back losses to the Steelers and Cowboys. Then last week they finally broke through with a win over the Jets, 27-12. The defense had four turnovers compared to just one offensive turnover. The Dolphins have been a good under play on Thursday night, going 2-10-1 O/U their lasts 13 Thursday games. They are also 1-5 O/U their last six road games. The Bengals have now gone under in eight straight games. They are also 0-6 O/U in their last six vs the AFC. These two teams have gone under in their last five meetings in Cincinnati and 1-5-1 O/U their last seven overall. I'm taking the UNDER here on Thursday. |
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09-11-22 | Raiders v. Chargers OVER 52 | Top | 19-24 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 30 m | Show |
The Las Vegas Raiders were a perfect 4-0 in the preseason under first year coach Josh McDaniels. The Raiders had the highest points differential in preseason at +41. Right away this Raiders team will be tried by the LA Chargers and Justin Herbert. We can think back to the last game of the regular season when the winner of the Raiders vs Chargers game went on to the playoffs. The game could have easily ended in an OT tie had the Chargers not called that controversial timeout, but instead it allowed the Raiders to setup the winning field goal. Besides McDaniels taking over in Vegas, is the highly anticipated debut of Davante Adams, arguably the best receiver in the NFL. Even though the Chargers are much improved on defense, I expect to see a lot of points in this game with these two offenses. I'm going to take the OVER. |
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09-01-22 | Penn State v. Purdue UNDER 53.5 | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 51 m | Show |
Two Bowl teams from the 2021 season meet here tonight. And, both teams have very high aspirations for this season. Penn State started last year 5-0, but struggled down the stretch finishing at 7-6 overall. Purdue won more games last year then they had since 2003 with their 9-4 record. They beat Tennessee in the Music City Bowl, 48-45. Both teams lost some players to the NFL and it's not an easy site to play at Ross-Ade Stadium. I look for a close game, but in this one I'll be taking the UNDER. |
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08-18-22 | Diamondbacks v. Giants UNDER 7 | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
Arizona took game three of this four game set with the Giants last night, 3-2. The Giants still lead the series two games to one. Tonight, the Diamondbacks will start Zac Gallen who is 8-2 in his 22 starts with a 3.02 ERA. Gallen has been even better of late, posting a 2.08 ERA and 4-0 record in his last seven starts. The pen has been solid also, especially of late with a 2.61 ERA over their last seven games. The Giants look to stay above the .500 mark tonight as they sit 59-58. The Giants need to make up room in the NL Wild Card and quickly. They are 5th right now for one of three wild card slots, 5-games back of the Padres for that third spot. Logan Webb has been excellent for the Giants, posting a 11-5 record in his 24 starts with a 3.00 ERA. He's coming off a eight-inning outing vs the Pirates where he allowed five hits and no runs. These are two very good pitchers and I look for a low scoring game here today. Play the UNDER. |
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08-02-22 | Dodgers v. Giants UNDER 8 | Top | 9-5 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 46 m | Show |
The Dodgers finally won a game this year at Oracle Stadium in San Francisco. They were 0-3 before their win on Monday, 8-2. The Dodgers lead the Padres in the NL West by 12-games. The Giants fell below the .500 mark with their loss. One of the stars of the starting staff starts tonight for the Dodgers in Tyler Anderson. Anderson is 10-1 in his 17 starts with a 2.64 ERA. He's been slightly better of late with a 2.28 ERA his last seven starts. He has also allowed more than one run in just one of his last five starts. The Giants have now lost seven of their 10 games to the Dodgers this year. Onetime Dodger Alex Wood starts tonight for the Giants. Wood is 7-8 in his 20 starts with a 4.11 ERA. HE's been slightly better at home with a 3.78 ERA. Wood has not allowed more than two runs but one time in his last five starts. I look for this to be a low scoring game here tonight. Take the UNDER. |
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07-13-22 | Astros v. Angels UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -125 | 19 h 15 m | Show |
The Houston Astros led 5-1 over the Angels on Tuesday entering the 7th inning, but gave up four runs and had to win it in the top of the 9th, 6-5. That was the team's 12th win in their last 14 games. Cristian Javier will start today for the Astros with a 6-4 record and 3.55 ERA. Javier has allowed two runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Angels losing streak extended to five games with the loss on Tuesday. The Angels are 1-5-1 O/U in their last seven home games. They are also 6-17-3 O/U in their last 26 overall. Shohei Ohtani will get the start today for the Halos. Ohtani is 8-4 in his 14 starts with a 2.44 ERA and slightly better 2.13 home ERA. Ohtani has been great of late, allowing NO runs in each of his last four starts (26 2/3 innings) with 40 KO's and just five walks. Don't see many runs being scored here today. I'll take the UNDER. |
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07-02-22 | Red Sox v. Cubs OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
The Boston Red Sox lost game one of this series with the Cubs on Friday night, 5-6. That dropped them to 43-34 on the season and 13-games back of the Yankees in the AL East. Josh Winckowski will start today for the Sox with a 3-1 record in his four starts and a 3.60 ERA. The Cubs will counter with Alec Mills who will make just his second start of the season. Mills only went 2 2/3 innings in his first start vs St Louis, allowing six hits and five runs. Boston has gone over in their last four Interleague games. The last four of five in this series have gone over and that's what I look for again today. Play the OVER. |
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06-29-22 | Astros v. Mets UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 39 m | Show |
The Astros and Mets play their second game here today from New York. The Astros took Tuesday game, 9-1. Today they get their Ace, Justin Verlander on the mound. Verlander is 9-3 in his 14 starts with a 2.22 ERA. His road ERA has been even better with a 2.04 ERA. Verlander coming off that fine performance over the Yankees where he went seven innings, allowed just four hits and one run. The Mets have lost two straight and four of their last six games. The Mets haven't done well in IL games of late, going 0-5 their last five vs a winning AL team. Taijun Walker will toe the rubber today for the Mets. Walker is 6-2 with a 3.03 ERA in his 12 starts. Two excellent pitchers here today. I look for a low scoring game. Play UNDER |
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06-22-22 | Avalanche v. Lightning UNDER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
Game four of the NHL Finals saw the Tampa Bay Lightning get a win on the board in game three in Tampa. The Lightning lost game one in OT, 3-4 and then got blown out in game two, 0-7 before winning in big fashion in game three, 2-6. All three games have gone over and that's no shock considering the speed and offensive prowess of these Colorado Avalanche. Even though the Avs scored just two goals last game, they had at least four games in nine of their previous 10 games. To show how Colorado has dictated the pace in the finals, the Lighting were a good under play through the early rounds of the playoffs. But since they have faced Colorado all three games are over. Will Colorado rebound tonight? One thing they have going for them is that Tampa Bay Right Wing Nikita Kucherov is nursing an injury, though he is probable tonight. I look for Colorado to get back to their scoring ways tonight, which means that Tampa will have to keep pace. I like the OVER in game four. |
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06-18-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
Reason: The Yankees assault on the AL East continues as they have now won eight straight games, including a sweep over AL contender Tampa Bay and an open win over Toronto on Friday, 12-3. Jameson Taillon will start today for the Yankees. Taillon is 7-1 in his 12 starts with a very solid 2.93 ERA. In his 12 starts, Taillon has allowed over three runs just one time and that was a four run outing. Toronto has lost two straight after their loss on Friday night. The Jays are now 11-games back of the Yankees in the AL East. Alek Manoah will start today for the Jays with a 8-1 record in his 12 starts and a 1.67 ERA. Manoah right now looks to be a key contender for a AL Cy Young the way he's pitching. He's allowed no runs over his last two starts (12 innings) and more than two runs just one time all season (3 runs on June 2). This looks to be a great pitching matchup today and I'll be on the UNDER in what looks to be low scoring. |
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06-17-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | Top | 12-3 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
The NY Yankees continue to roll through the NL East, winning seven games in a row after sweeping the Tampa Bay Rays. The Yankees took the three-game set from the Rays allowing just four total runs in the process. Jordan Montgomery will get the start today for the Yankees. Montgomery is 2-1 in his 12 starts with a 2.70 ERA and 0.975 WHIP. He's been very consistent, allowing two runs or fewer in 10 of his 12 starts and just three runs in the other two starts. The Blue Jays are 37-26 overall, but still trail the Yankees by 10-games in the AL East. Ross Stripling will get the start today. Stripling is 2-1 in his seven starts with a 2.81 ERA. He's also been very good, allowing no runs over his last two starts with just two total hits (11 innings). Both these pitchers should keep this game very low scoring and as such, I'll be on the UNDER today. |
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06-16-22 | Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 210.5 | Top | 103-90 | Win | 100 | 57 h 29 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics went into Game 5 saying that they weren't going to let Steph Curry beat them like he had in previous games. They did just that, keeping Curry under check and keeping Curry from hitting a 3-point shot for the first time in is playoff career. However, Wiggins went off on the Celtics and so did Thompson as other stepped in to lead Golden State to the win and cover in game 5. Tonight, the venue moves back to Boston as the Warriors can win the NBA Championship on the road here tonight. I have hit my last four NBA playoff selections including my last two NBA Totals. Tonight, I see another physical, low scoring game. I won't get involved with the line here tonight. Rather I'll be on the UNDER. |
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06-10-22 | Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 214.5 | Top | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics jumped out to a big lead in game three of the NBA Finals, only to have Golden State rally in the third and take a lead entering the fourth quarter. However, like game one, the Warriors collapsed in the fourth quarter and Boston won going away to also cover the spread, 116-100. Thus far none of the three games have been close, with Boston winning game one by 12, Golden State game two by 19 and the Celtics game three by 16. Today, I'm looking at the under. Just one of the first three games have gone under and that was game two in Golden State, 88-107. First, Stephen Curry hurt his foot in game two and while he's probable today, have to wonder if that will effect his performance here today. 2nd, I'm looking for a much more physical game here in game four. That will mean fewer scoring opportunities. So far it's been over, under and then over. If the bounce comes right, we are looking at another under here in game four. Play the UNDER. |
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06-08-22 | Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 212.5 | Top | 100-116 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 42 m | Show |
Game three of the NBA Finals moves to Boston for tonight's contest. The Warriors returned their game one blowout loss with their own blowout in game two to even the series at 1-1. The Celtics were close in game two but came out the break and shot very badly in the third quarter which led to their demise. The Celtics also missed a lot of wide open shots in game two, something they need to fix tonight if they want to win. Tonight, I'm looking at the UNDER. The Warriors have gone under in 11 of their last 13 vs a team with a winning straight up record. They are also 1-4 O/U in their last five games when the dog. The UNDER has also been quite dominant in this series, with seven of the last 10 meetings in Boston going under and 20 of the last 28 overall meetings going under. I'll take the under here today in game three. |
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06-01-22 | White Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
The Toronto Blue Jays have won six straight games after their opening game win in this series with the White Sox last night, 6-5. The Jays have improved to 28-20 and are just a half game back of the Rays in the AL East for 2nd place and 5.5 back of the Yankees for 1st place. Hyun-Jin Ruy will start today with a 2-0 record and 5.48 ERA. Most of tha ERA came in his first two starts where he allowed 11 runs in 7 1/3 innings. Then he had almost a month off with an injury before returning on May 14th. Since his return, Ryu has three very good starts, allowing just three runs over 15 2/3 innings. The Sox dropped below the .500 mark with their loss last night. They will try to get back there tonight with Michael Kopech on the hill. Kopech is 1-1 in his eight starts with a very good 1.29 ERA. He's been even better in his four road starts with a 0.45 ERA. I like this game UNDER! |
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05-18-22 | Mavs v. Warriors OVER 214.5 | Top | 87-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
Game one of the NBA Western Conference Championships here tonight as the Dallas Mavericks take on the Warrior in Golden State. The Mavs pulled the big upset thus far, beating the regular season best team in the NBA the Phoenix Suns. And they did so by taking games seven in Phoenix in a blowout win, 123-90. Three of the seven games went over the total and three of the four on the road went over for the Mavs. The Mavs have now gone over in eight of their last 11 road games. Golden State beat the Memphis Grizzlies 4-2 in their series. They split the over/unders with three over and three under. The Warriors have been a very good over team when they have rest, evidenced by their 15-5-1 O/U/P record their last 21 with 3 days or more of rest. This has also been a over series with 12 of the last 16 games going over. I'm taking game on OVER here tonight. |
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05-15-22 | Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 206.5 | Top | 81-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
It's Game 7 of this Eastern Conference Clash between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Boston Celtics. The Bucks extended the series with a game 6 win, 108-95 to force this game seven back in Boston. Four of the six games in the series have gone UNDER the total. Milwaukee has had some very poor shooting games in this series, hitting just 41.5% or worse in four of the six games. Their three-point shots have also been bad with half their games having a 26.5% or worse mark. Two of the three games in Boston have gone under and for me, I'm sticking with a lower scoring game here today. Play UNDER. |
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04-27-22 | Bulls v. Bucks UNDER 217.5 | Top | 100-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
Game five of this best of seven series between the Chicago Bulls and the Milwaukee Bucks is an elimination game should the Bulls lose. The Bulls are down 1-3 in this series and facing the end of their season tonight. So far all four games have gone under in this series as the Bulls have had trouble scoring points. The Bulls have 95 or fewer points in three of the four games. I'm not getting involved in this big line today, rather I'll stick with the UNDER as the Bulls exit the playoffs. |
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04-25-22 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 212 | Top | 103-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
The Toronto Raptors staved off elimination in game four with a win over the Sixers, 110-102. That was the clubs first win and cover in the four games thus far. In addition, three of the games have gone UNDER the total. The Raptors will be without a key offensive player tonight in Fred VanVleet, who is out with a hip injury. The 76ers were also dealt a blow when Joel Embiid tore a ligament in his right thumb. That injury will require surgery after the season is over. He has vowed to play through the injury. However, with both teams having key offensive players hurt, I have to wonder how this game makes it over tonight. I'll take this game UNDER. |
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04-24-22 | Suns v. Pelicans UNDER 215.5 | Top | 103-118 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
Game three of this series looked like a dead under until about 1 minute left when the teams went wild hitting threes and making foul shots to send it over. That makes two straight in the series that have gone over. However, The Suns have been a decent under team, having gone under in six straight and eight of the last nine before these last two games. The Suns have taken a 2-1 lead in this series and regained home court after taking game three at New Orleans, 114-111 as a 2-point favorite. This should be another close game and I will take the UNDER one more time. |
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04-17-22 | Yankees v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show |
The Yankees improved to 5-4 on the season with their win a Baltimore on Saturday, 5-2. They teams have split the first two game so this series with the rubber match here today. Both games have gone under the total. In fact, The Yankees lack of hitting and decent pitching has resulted in seven of their nine games this year going UNDER the total. Nestor Cortes starts today. He pitched well in his first start against Toronto, going 4 1/3 innings and allowing three hits and no runs.The Orioles are just 2-6 this season and like the Yanks they have been a dead under team with a 0-7-1 O/U/P record. Only The team has scored two runs or fewer in six of their eight games. Bruce Zimmermann starts for the O's after a excellent opening start. Zim went 4 innings and allowed just three hits and not runs to the Brewers. This one looks like another dead under play today. |
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04-11-22 | Padres v. Giants OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
The San Diego Padres opened the season in fine form by taking three of four games in Arizona. The final on Sunday had them blowout the D'backs, 10-5. The Giants had a much more difficult series with the pesky Miami Marlins. While they took two of three from Miami, all three games where decided by just one run and Friday's game the Giants had to come from behind to win in extra innings. Nick Martinez takes the hill for the Padres today. Martinez returns to the MLB after four seasons in Japan where he starred for the Fukuoka Hawks, posting a 1.62 ERA last season. His last year in the MLB came in 2017 where he went 17-30 with a 4.77 era in four seasons with the Rangers. Alex Wood toes the rubber for the Giants. Wood had a very good season last year in his first with the Giants, posting a 10-4 record and 3.83 ERA. I'm not sold on Martinez back in the US after what wasn't a very good stint in his last try. I'll take the OVER here today. |
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04-08-22 | Thunder v. Lakers OVER 227 | Top | 101-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
Neither of these teams will be going to the playoffs this year. Does this mean that the Lakers will shut down their stars? Russell Westbrook, Lebron James and Anthony Davis are all questionable tonight. I'll be looking at the total here tonight. The Thunder are 16-6-1 O/U in their last 23 games as a dogl. They are also 16-7-1 O/U their last 24 overall games. The Lakers are 8-3 O/U their last 11 games. While we may or may not see the stars play tonight, I like these two teams to put up plenty of points and take this game OVER. They have gone over in seven of their last 10 meetings and that is what I expect tonight. |
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04-02-22 | Villanova v. Kansas UNDER 133 | Top | 65-81 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 48 m | Show |
It took Kansas an entire half, but they finally woke up in the 2nd half against Miami in their Elite 8 matchup. Kansas trailed the Canes at half, 29-35, but came out like gangbusters in the second half. They outscored Miami 47-15 in the 2nd half to win the game, 76-50, as a 5-point closing favorite. There was a lot of money on Miami, as they opened a 9-point dog and close at around 5-points. Now Kansas will get to face Villanova. Villanova didn't have a lot of issues with Houston as they led at the half, 27-20 and held on for the 50-44 win over the Cougars as a 3-point dog. Again the money on Houston as the opened 1.5-points and close at 3-points. Villanova did suffer one loss in the game, that of guard Justin Moore who tore a Achilles tendon in the final minutes of the game. Moore will not play again this year with surgery looming. Moore, a third year starter, was second team All Big East this year. Moore averaged 14.8 ppg and his leadership will be greatly missed. For me, losing Moore is the difference maker in the tone of this game. Both these teams are very good defensively with Kansas ranked 17th and Villanova 18th in the Kenpom adjusted defensive rankings. Now without Moore that will hurt this Nova offense. I'm am taking the UNDER here in this Final four matchup. |
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03-27-22 | 76ers v. Suns OVER 227.5 | Top | 104-114 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
The Best of the East meets the Best of the West today as Philly travels to Phoenix. It's a four way dog fight for the best record in the NBA East, with Philadelphia 76ers percentage points in first. The Sixers have won three straight to improve to 46-27 overall and 35-37-1 vs the spread. They have also gone over in three straight games, scoring 122, 126 and 113 points in those games. The Phoenix Suns have the NBA West best record all theirs with a 8 1/2 game lead over 2nd place Memphis. They also have the NBA's best record by far over the East. The Suns have been a scoring machine of late, posting 125 or more points in each of their last seven games. They have also gone over in seven of their last eight games. The Suns are 13-3 O/U in their last 16 home games vs a winning team. This has been a great over series, with the last six meetings in Phoenix going OVER and 18-7-1 the last 26 overall meetings going OVER. I'm taking OVER here today with these two powerhouse teams. |
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01-17-22 | Cardinals v. Rams UNDER 50 | Top | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
Two NFC West teams that are well acquainted meet here on Wild Card Monday as the Rams host the Cardinals at So-Fi Stadium. The Rams won the NFC West, despite their loss in their last game to the San Francisco 49ers, 24-27. That loss snapped a five game win streak by the Rams and a 4-1 spread win streak. That opened the door for Arizona to win the division but they also lost their last game to Seattle, 30-38. The Cardinals slumped badly down the stretch, going 1-4 S/U and ATS in their last five games. I'm looking at this game under tonight. The Cards don't play all that well on field turf, going 3-13 O/U in their last 16 games. They are also 3-14 O/U in their last 17 road games. The Rams have gone under in four of their last five home games and 5-17 O/U in their last 22 as a home favorite. I am sticking with the UNDER here on Monday Night. |
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12-27-21 | Dolphins v. Saints UNDER 38 | Top | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
The Miami Dolphins have been hot, winning six straight games and covering five of those. They have also gone under in five of their last seven games, thanks in big part to a stingy defense that has allowed more than 17 points just one time in their last six games. The Miami defense has also climbed to 18th overall in the NFL after being near bottom back in November. The New Orleans Saints defense has been solid, ranked 13th overall and 5th vs the run. The Saints have won two straight games including their big shutout win at Tampa Bay last time out, 9-0. They held the high powered Bucs offense to just 302 totals yards and frustrated Tom Brady the entire game. The problem with the Saints is at QB. They will not have Trevor Siemian today and Tayson Hill is doubtful with Covid protocols. That leaves starting duties to Ian Book. Book is the only QB left on the Saints roster and will make his first every NFL start tonight. That with the wild card on the line for the Saints. Book was a fourth-round 2021 draft choice out of Notre Dame. With Book starting and the Miami defense playing great, I'll take this game UNDER tonight. |
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12-23-21 | 49ers v. Titans OVER 44 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
The San Francisco 49ers are in one of the toughest division in football, the NFC West. Even though they have a 8-6 record, they trail the Rams and Cardinals by 2-games. However, they do have the best Wild Card record at this point, so they need to keep winning. The 49ers have won two straight games over Cincinnati, 26-23 and then last week over Atlanta, 31-13. Now they have the short week turnaround as they travel to Tennessee to take on the Titans. The Titans are coming off a loss at Pittsburgh, 13-19 as a 1-point dog. That makes them 1-3 S/U and ATS over their last four games. The 49ers are ranked 12th overall in offense, 7th in rushing. The Titans have dropped to 17th since the loss of Derek Henry. The 49ers are 7-3-1 O/U in their last 11 games as a road favorite. The Titans are 6-2 O/U in their last eight home games. These teams have gone over in their last four meetings and that's what I look for again here today. Play OVER. |
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12-03-21 | Western Kentucky v. UTSA OVER 72.5 | Top | 41-49 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
Conference USA East Champion Western Kentucky brings a 8-4 S/U and 9-3 ATS record into today's conference championship game. The Hilltoppers have been a passing team first, averageing 421.6 yards per game through the air this year and just 103.5 on the ground. They have also average 43.2 ppg and allowed 27 ppg this year. Western Kentucky snuck into the 2nd overall ranking position in the country in offense. The Hilltopers have covered five straight games. Their contest against UTSA resulted in a 46-52 loss and one of their few failures to cover this year. UTSA Roadrunners average 433.5 yards per game and 36.9 ppg while allowing 22.2 ppg. The Roadrunners coming off a loss at North Texas, 23-45 and have failed to cover their last three games. I see a repeat of the first meeting here tonight with lots of points being scored. Play OVER. |
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12-02-21 | Cowboys v. Saints UNDER 47.5 | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
The Dallas Cowboys look to get back on the winning track tonight as they play under the dome in New Orleans. The Cowboys have lost two straight games, including last week's OT home loss to the Raiders, 33-36. Despite the losing streak, Dallas still has the NFL's top overall offense, ranked 7th in rushing and 3rd in passing. They will face a New Orleans team that has had lots of issues on offense since QB Jameis Winston went down with an injury. The Saints are now 28th overall on offense. The good news is that they have a solid defense, that ranks 12th overall and 3rd against the rush. The Saints have lost four straight games, including last week at home to the Bills, 6-31. The offense had just 190 total yards in the loss. Four of the last five in this series at New Orleans has gone UNDER and I don't expect a lot of points out of the Saints tonight. They have very few big offensive weapons and little help with the few they do have. Take UNDER. |
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11-25-21 | Bills v. Saints UNDER 45.5 | Top | 31-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 33 m | Show |
Who would have expected the Indianapolis Colts to return to HC Frank Reich's old stomping grounds and put a hurting on the 1st place Hills? But they did. The Colts behind FIVE Jonathon Taylor TD's manhandled the Bills, 41-15. The Colts have four takeaways and no turnovers in the win. Now the Bills have to hit the road for a game at the Saints. Two of their last three games have not been good, beginning three weeks again in Jacksonville where they lost 6-9. Sure they rebounded an blew out the NY Jets, 45-17, but that's the Jets we are talking about. The Saints also got blown out last week, despite a mad fourth quarter rally against Philadelphia, 29-40. The Saints have the 10th ranked defense in the league, 3rd against the rush and 21st vs the pass. The Bills still have the leagues top defense, despite the blowout last week. The Bills are 8th vs the rush and 2nd vs the pass. I look for this game to go under today with weather not playing any issue as it did last week in Buffalo. Play UNDER |
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11-01-21 | Giants v. Chiefs OVER 52 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
The New York Giants hit the road today for this inter-conference clash at Kansas City. New York coming off it's best overall performance of the year in a 25-3 win over Carolina last week. Kansas City is coming off its worst performance yet in the Patrick Mahomes era, losing to Tennessee, 3-27. The Giants hope their 11-3 record vs the Chiefs will come into play again tonight as they are a double-digit dog in this one. The Giants started the season 1-5 S/U and 2-4 ATS. They have the 18th ranked offense and 20th ranked defense. The Chiefs have the 28th ranked defense and the third ranked offense. Patrick Mahomes was forced from last week's game with a head injury but will be starting tonight. The will be without RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire who is on IR with a knee injury. The Chiefs are 3-4 S/U and 2-5 ATS on the season. Yet, here they are laying 10.5 or even 11.5 points tonight. Yes, they have the ability to blow out the Giants. I'll just take the easy way out tonight and play the OVER. |
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10-27-21 | Braves v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
The Braves took game one of the World Series here on Tuesday night, 6-2. The total was a push for the over/under players. Tonight, the Astros looks to salvage one of the two home games. For me, I'm returning to the total here tonight. The Astros held to their lowest total so far in the playoffs last night. They have been a big scoring team in these playoffs, so this was unusual. Tonight, Max Fried takes the hill for the Braves. He's been very good, but had one of his worst outings last time out in the NLCS vs the Dodgers, going just 4 2/3 innings and allowing eight hits and five runs. Jose Urquidy will counter for the Astros, He also is coming off a poor start vs the Red Sox in the ALCS, going just 1 2/3 innings and allowing five earned runs and five hits. I don't expect the Astros to be held in check every game here and tonight I look for a higher scoring contest. Play the OVER. |
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10-25-21 | Saints v. Seahawks UNDER 42 | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
There will be some key injuries on both sides of the ball here tonight, likely effecting the total as much as the side. The Saints will be without QB Taysom Hill, who will miss this game with a concussion. The Seahawks are once again without QB Russell Wilson who has that broken finger and has been put on IR. The are also without RB Chris Carson (neck), though RB Rashaad Penny looks to return tonight from the IR. The Saints had last week off to prepare for tonight's contest. They are coming off a win at Washington, 33-22. The Saints are now 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. The Seattle offense is now ranked 22nd overall, 16th rushing and 21st passing. The Saints have the 28th ranked offense, 9th in rushing but 31st in passing. Both teams possess poor offenses and with Wilson out and Hill out, I expect less scoring opportunities. Play the UNDER. |
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10-22-21 | Red Sox v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 21 m | Show |
Boston has their backs against the wall here on Friday as they face elimination in the ALCS. They trail the Houston Astros 2-3 as we play games 5 and 6 in Texas. The Astros took the last two games in Boston by a combined 18-3 score, with both game just getting over. The Red Sox will turn their best pitcher of late, Nathan Eovaldi. Eovaldi won the Wild Card game over the Yankees and then had a no decision in his one Tampa Bay start and beat the Astros. He's allowed six runs in his 15 2/3 innings of work in the playoffs. Houston will start Luis Garcia who faced off against Eovaldi in their last game. He only went one inning and allowed two hits and five runs, one of those a grand slam. He's now allowed 10 runs in just 3 2/3 innings of playoff work. I'm going to stick with what's worked and that's the OVER. |
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10-21-21 | Broncos v. Browns UNDER 41 | Top | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 16 m | Show |
This AFC contest could come down to a battle of the backup QB's. Browns QB Mayfield is already ruled out for this game and Case Keenum is the starter. The Broncos QB Teddy Bridgewater has both a quad and foot injury and while he's not listed as out, it could be a tough game for him to play. The Broncos opened the season with three wins, but have now lost three straight after last week's loss to Las Vegas, 24-34. The Browns are also 3-3 on the season after last week's loss at home to Arizona, 14-34. The offense managed just 290 total yards in the loss and had trouble protecting their QB's with five sacks allowed. The Broncos have been a good under team with five of their last seven road games going under. This is thanks to their 4th ranked defense. The Browns also have a very good defense, ranked 3rd overall. And this game looks to be a battle between these top rated units. Turnovers likely also key here today. I'll take the UNDER with QB issues on both sides. |
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10-19-21 | Astros v. Red Sox OVER 10 | Top | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
If you didn't know better you might think that the Boston Red Sox know what pitches the Houston Astros pitchers are throwing. Well, that could very well be the case as some are saying the Astros pitchers are tipping their pitches before throwing them. IT sure looks that way since the Red Sox once again pounded the ball with their their grand slam in just three games with the Astros on Monday night. The Red Sox taking a 2-1 lead in this series with a 12-3 Monday win. That makes 21 runs by the Red Sox in just the last two games. For me, I've been on the OVER in all three games and all three have been winners. Zack Greinke makes his first start for the Astros tonight since September 19th. That could be good or bad and I believe it's the latter and not former. Nick Pivetta toes the rubber for the Sox with a 9-8 record and 4.50 ERA. I'm sticking with what's working. Take the OVER. |
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09-15-21 | Yankees v. Orioles UNDER 10 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
The Yankees have been slumping and it's seen them fall from 2nd to tied for 3rd with the Blue Jays in the AL East. They are in a dog fight for one of those AL Wildcard spots with the Jays and Red Sox. The Yankees start Nestor Cortes today who is 2-2 in his 10 starts with a nifty 2.85 ERA. He's allowed more than three runs just one time in his 10 starts. John Means will toe the rubber for the O's with a 5-7 record and 3.42 ERA. Means has allowed two runs in each of his last three starts and that includes against these Yankees on Sept 3 in a 3-4 no decision. Both pitchers are very good and should keep this score in check. Play the UNDER. |
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09-09-21 | Royals v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-0 | Win | 107 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
The Kansas City Royals look to snap a 2-game losing streak here tonight against the Baltimore Orioles. These teams play the fourth game of their set with the Royals taking game one and then losing the next two. Carlos Hernandez will start tonight for the Royals. Hernandez is 4-1 in his eight starts with a 3.11 ERA. He's been good in his two road starts, going 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA. John Means starts today for the O's with a 5-6 record and 3.47 ERA. Means has not allowed more than three runs in any of his last three starts. I like this game to go under the total tonight. Play UNDER. |
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09-06-21 | Louisville v. Ole Miss UNDER 75.5 | Top | 24-43 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
You couldn't find a more exciting match for the lone game here on this Labor Day Monday as Louisville visits Mercedes-Bens Stadium in Atlanta, GA to take on Ole Miss. Surprisingly, this is the first time these teams have ever met on the football field. Louisville is coming off a poor 4-7 campaign last season, though they do return a solid QB in Malik Cunningham who threw for 2,617 yards and 20 TD's last season. The ground game will miss the return of Javian Hawkins. This team averaged 5.2 yards per run last year. The question with the Cardinals is youth, they have one of the youngest teams in college football this year with 70 freshmen. Ole Miss has QB Matt Corral back this year to a team that broke the SEC record for total offense at 562 yards pr game average. Corral will have lots of experience back around him both in the backfield and at receivers. You would think over with these teams. However, the oddsmaker put up a whopping 75 point over/under and that's just too much in my opinion. Take the UNDER. |
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08-31-21 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
The Dodgers edge ever closer to the Giants for 1st place in the NL West. LA is now 1.5 games back after beating Atlanta on Monday. The Dodgers have won seven of their last 10 games. The Atlanta Braves are still in 1st place in the AL East, 3.5 games ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies. The Braves are the only team in the East with a positive differential number of +90. The Dodgers are a MLB best +211 run differential. Charlie Morton starts today for the Braves with a 12- record and 3.54 ERA. He's been slightly better on the road where he is 7-2 with a 2.94 ERA. The Dodgers will start Walker Buehler who is 13-2 on the season with a nifty 2.02 ERA. He's been great of late, going 3-1 with a 1.13 ERA over his last seven starts. Tough side to call here, so I'll stick with the total. Play UNDER. |
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08-28-21 | Cardinals v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | Top | 13-0 | Loss | -106 | 19 h 7 m | Show |
The Cardinals and Pirates play game three of their set here tonight from Pittsburgh. The Pirates took game one on Thursday, 11-7 and the Cards took last night's game, 4-3. Adam Wainwright starts for the Cardinals tonight. Wainwright is 12-7 with a 3.10 ERA. He's been very good of late, posting a 5-1 record and 1.76 ERA and 0.843 WHIP over his last seven starts. The Bucs will start Steven Brault who is 0-2 in his four starts but has a nice 1.93 ERA. All four of Brault's games have gone UNDER. I like both these pitchers here tonight and I will take the UNDER. |
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08-09-21 | Yankees v. Royals OVER 10 | Top | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
The Yankees trying to get back into the AL East race, now trail 1st place Tampa Bay by 6.5 games. They have won eight of their last 10 games, but so have the Rays. The Royals are 4th in the AL Central, now 17-games back of the White Sox. Jameson Taillon will start tonight for the Yanks. Taillon is 7-4 this season with a 4.04 ERA. He's slightly worse on the road where he is 3-3 with a 5.27 ERA. Carlos Hernandez will start for the Royals. Hernandez is 2-1 in his four starts with a 3.57 ERA. He is 1-1 at home with a 4.26 ERA. These two teams are 6-0-2 O/U in their last eight meetings and 4-0-1 O/U in their last 5 meetings in KC. I'll take the OVER today. |
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07-25-21 | Tigers v. Royals OVER 10 | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -104 | 3 h 36 m | Show |
The Detroit Tigers have lost two straight, including Saturday's game to the Royals. Still, they are 7-3 their last 10 games. The Royals have now won four straight games, still 16-games back in the AL Central. The Tigers will start Tarik Skubal today with a 6-7 record and 4.25 ERA. He's been a bit worse on the road with a 5.45 ERA. Daniel Lynch will go for the Royals. Lynch is 0-2 in his three starts with a 15.73 ERA. Not sure how much longer they will go with this guy the way he's pitching. However, for me, this means a great over play today. Take OVER. |
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07-24-21 | Rays v. Indians OVER 10 | Top | 8-2 | Push | 0 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
The Tampa Bay Rays are knocking on the door of first place Boston, now trailing the Red Sox by just 1-game. The Rays have the best run differential in the division with +87 runs. The Cleveland Indians have lost two straight games and now trail the White Sox in the AL Central by 9-games. The Tribe, soon to be Guardians, have a -26 run differential. The Rays will start Drew Rasmussen. Rasmussen makes his second start of the season and had a 9.00 ERA in his first start, just two innings against Washington allowing two runs. Cleveland will counter with Jean Carlos Mejia. Mejia looking for his first win, sitting 0-5 on the season with a 8.80 ERA. Two bad pitchers here with good hitting teams. Take the OVER. |
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07-13-21 | American League v. National League OVER 10.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 13 m | Show |
All Star game here on Tuesday from Colorado after last year's game was cancelled due to the abbreviated Covid-19 season. There will be missing players from this game. Most notably are Dodgers' Mookie Betts, as he's citing injuries that he's battled as the reason. Also missing, all the Astros players, including Altuve, Correa, Brantley and Pressly. Most of the Astros will opt out likely because of recent cheating allegations against Houston. That will make the Astros the only team in MLB with no players attending the Mid-season classic. Mets pitcher Jacob deGrom will also opt out of the All-Star game. Still, there will be plenty of players and action. Last year's game was a 4-3 AL win. The AL has dominated this series, especially of late as they have won seven straight. They have also been lower scoring games with only the 2018 game getting more than nine runs (8-6 AL win). Despite the lower scoring games in recent years I'm going with the OVER here today. This also has one of the highest totals in recent memory, a 10 1/2 or 11 on this game. Expect to see a higher scoring game on Tuesday. Play the OVER. |
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07-06-21 | Bucks v. Suns OVER 218.5 | Top | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 22 h 30 m | Show |
Game one of the NBA Finals has the Milwaukee Bucks facing off against the Phoenix Suns. The main news for Bucks fans is the health of start player, Giannis Antetokounmpo, who hasn't played since game 4 of the Atlanta Hawks series. Currently, Antetokounmpo, is listed as "doubtful" in the injury report with his knee issues. Even without Antetokounmpo, the Bucks won the final two games of their series with the Hawks. The Suns look to be healthy as guard Chris Paul is probable with a hand injury. Milwaukee makes its first NBA finals appearance since 1974 and the Suns since 1993. I'll be looking at the over here tonight. Even though the Suns are considered a very good defensive team, they are 14-6 O/U in their last 20 games as a favorite. The Bucks are 16-5-1 O/U/P their last 22 games against a team with a winning straight-up record. The last four meetings between these clubs have seen all four go over. And, the last five in Phoenix has seen four of the five go over. Tonight, take the OVER. |
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06-29-21 | Bucks v. Hawks UNDER 219 | Top | 88-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
Game four of the Eastern Conference Championship tonight has the Atlanta Hawks with their backs against the wall after dropping the last two games. The Hawks took game one and then lost games two and three. They can even things tonight but may have to do so without their star player in Trae Young. Young has an ankle injury and is questionable for tonight's contest. The loss of Young could mean 25.3 points per game they have to make up for. The Bucks finally seem to be playing up to their potential the last few games. The Hawks have just 102 and 91 points in their last two games. Milwaukee is 1-5-1 O/U/P in their last seven games as a favorite. The Hawks are 1-6 O/U in their last seven overall. Can't see the Hawks getting many points here tonight if Young doesn't play. I'll take the UNDER. |
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06-28-21 | Clippers v. Suns OVER 212.5 | Top | 116-102 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
Game five here tonight from Phoenix as the Suns can wrap things up with a win as they lead 3-1. Kwahi Leonard will miss again tonight for the Clippers wit his knee injury. The last game was a very poor offensive showing by both teams as the final came in at 84-80 Phoenix. I already see oddsmaker and bettors pushing this total down to now around 212. Considering they have already had 220 totals, this is a big drop. For me, I'm looking for a return to normalcy tonight as both teams get back to some scoring. I'm going against the bettors and the oddsmaker here and taking the OVER. |