Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-16-23 | Temple +9.5 v. VCU | 78-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
Temple Owls. Game 617. 11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST. Temple took last season’s matchup with VCU at home, 83-73. They enter this contest winning their last two games straight up. And winning and covering both road games this season. They've already stepped up in class and beat the likes of Drexel outright, a tough LaSalle foe, while covering but not getting the win against Mississippi with a heartbreaking, one-point loss. Meanwhile, the Rams have already taken outright losses against the McNeese State Cowboys and the Norfolk State Spartans. This certainly raises a red flag for me, my friends. Giving the Owls this many points is a huge mistake. Take Temple. Thank you. |
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12-13-23 | Arkansas State v. Louisville -3.5 | 75-63 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Louisville Cardinals. Game 634. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. Last year was head coach. Kenny Payne's first season at the helm for the Louisville Cardinals. And to say it was a disastrous season would be an understatement. The team went 4-28. Now, I'm not saying this team is going to compete for the conference title. But one more victory and they surpassed last season's win total. This is a very big, very emotional game for this team. Arkansas State is less than a formidable opponent, for sure. They are winless on the road and an overall 3-7. They have played three power conference squads already, and got outscored by a total of 67 points at the hands of Wisconsin, Iowa, and Alabama, all resulting in losses. Although Louisville is not as strong as those teams, they are still a step up in class here. I expect the Red Wolves to fold like a cheap suit. Take the Cardinals. Thank you. |
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12-12-23 | California Baptist v. Oregon -11.5 | 55-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Oregon Ducks. Game 620. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. Following back-to-back straight up losses to USC and Alabama, Oregon is now back on track winning and covering their last few games against Michigan and UTEP. As a matter of fact, the team is 5-3 ATS this season already. At home. They are perfect at 4-0 and what better team to face to continue their win streak than Cal Baptist. With all respect to the Lancers, they don't pose too much of a threat here tonight against the Ducks. This is a team that's already suffered losses at the hands of the Portland State Vikings and the Utah Tech Trailblazers. I know several of the Oregon big 0names have been sidelined. But this team is stacked deeper and higher than the pancakes at your favorite breakfast establishment. Granted, California Baptist possesses a statistically solid defense. But they haven't played any decent opponents yet, let alone the caliber offense that accounts for over 80.8 points per game on 47.8% shooting from the line and 37.6 shooting from beyond the arc. Take the Ducks. Thank you. |
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12-09-23 | Gonzaga -3.5 v. Washington | 73-78 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Gonzaga Bulldogs. Game 743 8:00 PM PST/11:00 PM EST. The No. 7 Bulldogs have dominated the Huskies, winning seven consecutive meetings straight up, going back quite a while. This contest will be the seventh matchup just over the last eight years for the two West Coast squads. Gonzaga, has gotten the bettors paid, covering all but one. Since suffering their lone defeat back on November 20, at the hands of Purdue, the Zags seem to be on a mission, riding a five-game straight up hot streak, taking down such notables as Syracuse, UCLA, and USC. Washington is struggling, with three losses already. It is obvious the Huskies beat the beatable opponents, while get beat up by the solid ones. Granted, losing to Nevada, San Diego State, and Colorado State isn’t something to be ashamed of, but they seem to fold when facing strong competition. And folks, Gonzaga is just about as strong as it gets (LOL). No matter how you look at it, the Bulldogs are far superior here. Take Gonzaga. Thank you. |
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12-02-23 | Memphis v. Ole Miss | 77-80 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
Memphis on the moneyline. Game 619. 11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST. Memphis has some very high expectations this season, led by Coach, Penny Hardaway. The team is already taken down such notables as Missouri, Michigan, and Arkansas. But come off their first loss of the campaign over a week ago at the hands of Villanova. I expect them to rebound here and come back and make a statement against Mississippi. Granted, the Rebels are undefeated at 6-0 straight up. But they are just 1-5 against the spread so far, and they really haven't faced the cream of the crop. This is a big step up in class for them. And I don't see them coming out of it with a victory. The Tigers have height, speed, depth, and some serious rebounders. Take Memphis on the money line. Thank you. |
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12-01-23 | Purdue -5 v. Northwestern | 88-92 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Purdue Boilermakers. Game 875. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. And right now, the No. 1 team in the nation, the Purdue Boilermakers have had this game circled since the schedule came out. If you recall a season ago, the Northwestern Wildcats took them down, 64-58. Last season, Purdue went 15-5 straight up in Big Ten play to win the Conference regular season title. They then followed that up by winning the Big Ten Tournament. But that loss against Northwestern will motivate them here tonight, not just to win, but to win big. They were ranked No. 1 last season when they did take the loss to the Wildcats. The Boilermakers are a monster team, with arguably the best player in the country, owning an explosive offense, and a frustrating defense. They have already taken down such notables as Gonzaga, Tennessee, and Marquette. They have done quite well so far possessing an unblemished 7-0 record straight up, while going 6-1 against the spread. While Northwestern is a formable opponent, they just don't have the personnel to stack up here. They enter this match 5-1 SU, but just 2-4 ATS. And to be honest with you, they haven't faced anyone near the caliber of opponent as they're facing here tonight. The boilermakers get their revenge. Thank you. |
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11-30-23 | Texas State v. Texas -19 | 58-77 | Push | 0 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Texas Longhorns. Game 756. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Following their only loss of the season at the hands of defending National Champion, UConn Huskies, the Texas Longhorns, crushed the Wyoming Cowboys, 86-63 at home. They continue to stay at the Moody Center where they are perfect this season at 4-0 SU. I think that loss at the hands of the Huskies motivated this team to keep their foot on the gas. After this matchup, they have a pushover opponent in Houston Christian before playing a neutral site game against LSU. So, this is their final last few games to get in sync and work out any kinks. What better opponent to face than the Texas State Bobcats. They have taken the last 12 meetings in this series. Just going back, the last 10, they have one by an average margin of 24.9 points per game. They seem to take a lot of enjoyment in beating up on their in-state rival. Lol. Outside of the Sooners, which they were annihilated, 93-54, the Bobcats haven't faced any teams of the caliber as they are facing here tonight. Let's face it, the Longhorns average over 82.0 points per game, while allowing just 67.2 points per game. They hit over 51.4% from the field and 38.1% from beyond the arc, while making over 72.2% of their free throws. They're also monsters on the boards. None of these matchups will benefit the visitor here. Take the home team Texas. Thank you. |
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11-21-23 | Colorado -4.5 v. Florida State | 71-77 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
Colorado Buffaloes. Game 647. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. At 4-0, Colorado is off to their best start since the 2019/2020 season. The team is ranked 18th in the nation right now. Not only are they winning, but they are covering, going 3-1 ATS. This is a team that beat some very good opposition a season ago, including some very solid, non-conference foes. If you recall, last November, they took down Tennessee outright as a 15.0 point ‘dog and Texas A&M outright as a 6.5 point ‘dog. I feel Florida State is not on the same level at all. If you recall last year, they began the campaign off going 1-9 straight up and 3-7 against the spread. They lost to teams they should've beaten; Stetson, Central Florida, Troy, and Siena. As the season progressed, things didn't get too much better for the Seminoles. Offensively, the Buffaloes possess better scorers, both inside and out. As a matter fact, they're hitting just shy of 50% from downtown. They're also a lot stronger from the line And I do believe this game will get physical. Oh, by the way, on the defensive side, they are feisty and own the better rebounders. Take Colorado. Thank you. |
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11-10-23 | UCF +10 v. Miami-FL | 72-88 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
UCF. Game 827. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. This is just way too many points to give a very capable, very feisty, and very underrated, Central Florida squad. The Knights are motivated by the preseason prediction of finishing last in the Conference. They will come out here with something to prove and make a statement. Take UCF. Thank you. |
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11-06-23 | Georgia v. Oregon -5 | 71-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Oregon Ducks. Game 768. 1:30 PM, PST/4:30 PM EST. The Georgia Bulldogs seriously underwhelmed a season ago. They also lost several key players, including their three-top scorers. As a matter of fact, they do not return a single player that averaged double-digits a season ago. On the other hand, the Oregon Ducks are expected to be one of the best teams in the Pac-12. They return their top-scorer. Overall, three of their four top-scorers from last year's roster are back. While the Bulldogs haven't been to Sin City, since Tom Crean was on the sidelines, the Ducks are a fan-favorite here. And are certainly used to the bright lights on the Strip, playing in Las Vegas the last six seasons. They have a lot to prove in the season-opener. This is a team that should've won the Conference Title season ago. And when they went to play in the postseason in the brackets, won and covered against UCI and UCF, but lost a heartbreaker to Wisconsin. They have a lot to prove here and they will. Take Oregon. Thank you. |
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03-26-23 | Miami-FL +4 v. Texas | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
Miami Florida Hurricanes. Tournament Top Rated Play. Game 655. 2:05 PM PST/5:05 PM EST. With all respect to the Longhorns, the Hurricanes match up well with them. They also come in here 100% healthy. Texas will not know until just prior to the game time if their top postseason scorer and rebounder, Dylan Disu (check status) will be playing here. Even if he plays, the forward will not be 100% as he is dealing with a foot injury. As I mentioned earlier, Miami matches a very well here. Offensively, they score a little more per game. They are also more accurate from downtown, the free throw line, and overall, on the floor. Let’s not forget that defensively, the Hurricanes are monsters on the boards. Arguably, one of the best backcourts in college basketball belongs to the Hurricanes with Wong and Miller. Throw into the mix that forward, Omier and guard, Pack have taken their games up a notch, and that spells doom for Texas. The Hurricanes have the speed, the height, the muscle, the intelligence, and the depth to not just contend here this matchup, but to win it. Giving this team four-points (at the time of posting this) is a huge mistake. They have covered six of the last seven games in NCAA Tournament, nine of the last 12 games played versus teams with a winning record, and four of the last five games played following an ATS win. Take the Hurricanes. Thank you. |
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03-24-23 | Xavier v. Texas -4 | Top | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
Texas Longhorns. Tournament Top Rated Play. Game 646. 6:45 PM PST/9:45 PM EST. This is the matchup that being depleted will prove to be fatal for Xavier. The Musketeers are without a couple of key cogs in the wheel. Yes, I know they can score points. But let’s face it, they are going up against a team that scores just about as much as them. And an opponent that defensively can frustrate here immensely. Texas has the size, the speed, and the depth to take this game on their shoulders, control the tempo, and send Xavier home packing. The Longhorns also had better success playing out of their conference this season. They had early season wins over Gonzaga, Stanford and yes, even Creighton. They enter this matchup running red-hot, winning and covering every single postseason game thus far. I think both teams have very strong backcourts. But the difference in this matchup will be the Longhorns having the height and the muscle in the paint to dominate. Take Texas. Thank you. |
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03-24-23 | Miami-FL +7.5 v. Houston | Top | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Miami Hurricanes No Limit Play. Game 643. 4:15 PM, PST/7:15 PM EST. My friends, Houston is a monster team. I’m not looking to take anything away from the Cougars. However, I think we can all agree, this team gets vastly overvalued by oddsmakers. Case in point, they have only covered five of the last 15 outings. This team possesses one of the best backwards in the nation. But for the first time in a long time, they do not have the best backcourt on the floor in a matchup. Wong and Miller are the driving force behind the Miami Hurricanes. Not only can the tandem score, they can rebound, they can steal, and let’s face it, they are amazingly unselfish, earning assists. I know Houston possesses one of the most frustrating defenses in college basketball. But Miami has a very complete offense and as I mentioned earlier, they are very unselfish. It is so hard to key on any one or two players on the floor. They are also vastly superior from the free throw line, which I believe will play a major factor in this game. One more thing folks. On a regular basis, playing in the ACC definitely benefits a team like Miami, which faces tougher opposition from day-to-day than does Houston in the AAC. By the way, the Cougars are just 1-6 ATS the last seven games played following an ATS win and 2-5 ATS the last seven games played versus teams with a winning record. The Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS the last six NCAA Tournament games played and 36-16-1 ATS the last 53 games played versus teams are the winning percentage of 1.600. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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03-23-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Tennessee -5.5 | 62-55 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
Tennessee Volunteers. Slam Dunk Play. Game 636 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. With all respect to the Owls, they just don’t face the same level of competition the Volunteers do on a regular basis. Yes, they have tallied a record of 33-3 this season. However, they just can’t contend with their opponent in this matchup. I understand they score 79.3-points per game. But they are going up against one of the toughest, stingiest, and most frustrating defenses in college basketball. Tennessee allows a mere 57.5-points per game, which ranks fourth in points allowed. They also rank first in the nation in field-goal percentage allowed and three-point percentage allowed. And the advantages don’t stop there either. They are excellent on the defensive boards as well. Not only that, but I offensively they will dominate inside and out in this matchup. They too can score points and rank 14th on the offensive glass. They will get a ton of second-chance opportunities. If you really wonder how good this team is defensively, just look at how they completely shut down the Duke, just five days ago. While both teams here possess solid back court talent. Upfront, there is no doubt that the Vols will dominate in the paint. They are bigger, stronger, and will be more physical here. Take Tennessee. Thank you. |
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03-23-23 | Arkansas v. Connecticut -4 | 65-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
U Conn Huskies. Tournament Top Rated Play. Game 640. 4:15 PM PST/7:15 PM EST. My friends, Arkansas is in way over their head here. With all due respect, this team played their best basketball of the season a few days ago when they took down top-seeded, Kansas. Not only are they going to be in letdown mode. They’re actually going to come back down to Earth, plummeting from the penthouse to the ground floor very quickly. We all know that the Big East conference teams play a very physical game. Well folks, the Razorbacks faced one Big East squad this season, back in November and fell to the Blue Jays. Meanwhile, the Huskies covered both meetings with that same Blue Jays team this season, winning the first match up 69-60 and then falling just a bit short in the second matchup, 56-53. Meanwhile, Connecticut has done extremely well against the South Eastern Conference once again this season. They won their only two meetings against SEC representatives this season, taking down Alabama, which happens to be the SEC‘s No. 1 team, 82-67. They also decimated Florida 75-54. Granted the Razorbacks had no problem with the Gators in their sole matchup. But did lose and failed to cover two meetings with the Crimson Tide. The Huskies possess an overwhelming defense that just smothers you. I mean they play in a very competitive conference, and yet they only allow 54.8-points per game, and also happened to be a top-10 squad on the defensive glass. I mentioned earlier how physical the Big East teams play. Well, that is going to be a big disadvantage for the Razorbacks, which only hit 69% from the free-throw line. If you’re worried about UConn’s scoring ability, don’t be. Since the season began, they’ve been one of the best in the nation in scoring, averaging over 79.0-points per game. Let’s not forget they are also monsters on the offensive glass as well. When it comes to NCAA Tournament matchups, they have been money to anybody who wagers on them, covering 18 of the last 24 in that situation. Take the Huskies. Thank you. |
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03-23-23 | Michigan State v. Kansas State +1.5 | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Kansas State Wildcats. NO Limit Play. Game 638. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. After taking down the Big East champ and No. 2 seed Marquette, 69-60 on Sunday, I feel Michigan State is in a huge let down situation here. We all know Tom Izzo‘s squads fall a little short when it comes to the Big Dance. We don’t have to rehash that issue. I do think the Spartans are very lucky to be here at this point. This is a team that’s just 5-3 straight up the last eight outings, going 4-4 ATS. They really don’t have the most explosive offense. They’re only real asset offensively, is their accuracy from beyond the arc. However, the Wildcats counter with the 13th ranked three-point shooting defense in college basketball. As a matter fact, they’ve played very good defense for most of the season. This is a team that plays in arguably the toughest conference in college basketball today, and yet only allows 68.7-points per game. They’re hotter entering this matchup, winning and covering six of the last eight outings. Kansas State has scorers, height, strength, speed, and depth. They are also 5-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning percentage of .600, 4-1 ATS the last five games played following a straight up win, and 16-5 ATS the last 21 games played versus teams with a winning record. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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03-22-23 | UAB +1.5 v. Vanderbilt | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
UAB Blazers. Slam Dunk Play. Game 625. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Most of the action as of this post is coming in on Vanderbilt. However, the sharp money is by far coming in on UAB. And that is for a good reason, my friends. This entire season the Blazers have played very well. But over the last two months, this team has taken it up a notch. They finished the regular season on a 10-1 straight up run, covering six of those 11 games. So far this postseason, they have won and covered four of five contests. Look for the top-10 ranked hellacious offenses of UAB, which by the way, accounts for over 82.2-points per game to be a little too much for Vanderbilt to compete with. The Blazers will get as many second-chance opportunities as they need with the nations No. 2 offensive rebounding core dominating the 313th ranked defensive rebounding squad of the Commodores. By the way folks, UAB won and covered both meetings against SEC opponents this season. Take the Blazers. Thank you. |
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03-21-23 | Wisconsin v. Oregon -4.5 | 61-58 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
There is NO LIMIT to what you will profit off this big documented tournament winner. Oregon Ducks No Limit Play. Game 616. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Wisconsin has won back-to-back games for the first time in the New Year. But facing opponents like Bradley and Liberty are a far cry from facing Oregon. Let’s not forget the Badgers are point spread poison, only covering six of the last 23 games coming into today’s matchup. To make matters worse, as far as the point spread goes, when traveling, they have only covered two of the last 10 road games played. Meanwhile, the Ducks are running hot, winning six of the last seven games played straight up and three of the last four against the number. You know, Oregon has been dealing with injuries all season long and despite that, they have still played solid basketball. There is a huge mismatch here on the boards, where the Ducks will dominate at both ends of the court. They will have quite a few second-chance opportunities on offense, while taking away that same second-chance opportunities defensively on the Wiscy “O”. By the way, they have also covered four of the last five games played at the Matthew Knight Arena. Take Oregon. Thank you. |
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03-21-23 | North Texas +4.5 v. Oklahoma State | 65-59 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
North Texas Mean Green Slam Dunk Play Game 613. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. North Texas is straining winning 13 of the last 15 outings straight up, and covering 11 of those 15. This is a healthy team which very quietly happens to possess the top ranked defense in college basketball. That’s right, they are ranked No. 1 in points allowed, yielding just 55.4-points per game. Not only that but they also rank 18th in field-goal percentage and 39th in three-point percentage. Oh yeah, they also happen to be the third best team in the nation on the defensive glass. Let’s face it folks, Oklahoma State‘s offense leaves a lot to be desired. This is a team that averages just under 70-points per game as most of their offensive numbers are downright deplorable. I just don’t see the Cowboys “O”, which has really struggled all season, putting up any points here today. I know the Mean Green offense isn’t anything to write home about either. But they run with a four- guard set, which are all averaging double-digits in this postseason and will control the tempo of this game. They’ve also been money to us bettors, covering nine of the last 11 games played following a straight up win and 26 of the last 35 games played on the road. Meanwhile Oklahoma State has only covered one of the last six games played at home and two of the last 10 games played overall. Take North Texas. Thank you. |
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03-19-23 | TCU v. Gonzaga -4 | Top | 81-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
Gonzaga Bulldogs. Second Round GOY. Game 852. 6:40 PM PST/9:40 PM EST With a victory today, it will mark Gonzaga‘s eighth consecutive NCAA Tournament reaching the Sweet 16. The first month of the season was a little shaky for the Bulldogs. They lost games against Texas, Purdue, and Baylor. Then something happened. They got back on track to turn the season around and between December 5 and March 17, only dropped two outings. I am well aware two of their losses came against Big 12 teams. But as I mentioned a moment ago, those took place in November and the first two days of December. They are playing on another level at this moment. They are playing like the Gonzaga team that we are used to seeing at this point. On the other hand, TCU has only won 5 of the last 12 outings straight up. And have only covered three of those 12 contests. Let’s face it, they eked by Arizona State in the last round with a 72-70 victory. It’s one thing to have a decent defense. And the Horned Frogs do have a decent defense. However, facing the number one scoring offense in the nation is a whole different monster. Even if they could slow down the Bulldogs, a bit, I just don’t see them competing offensively on the scoreboard here. They do not possess the personal upfront to even battle in the paint in this matchup. And if the game moves to the outside, well, we all know how good the Bulldogs are from downtown. The Horn Frogs have failed to cover six consecutive games played following a straight up win. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs have covered five consecutive outings following an ATS loss. Take Gonzaga. Thank you. |
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03-19-23 | Miami-FL +2 v. Indiana | 85-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Miami Hurricanes. No Limit Play. Game 839. 5:40 PM PST/8:40 PM EST Indiana played good in the last round against a formidable Kent State opponent. But I think we can all agree. They may come in here a bit overconfident as the Golden Flashes are not on the same level as the hurricanes. Miami is a team that is once again at full strength, 100% healthy. And enters today’s match up striding, winning 10 of the last 12 games straight up. The Hoosiers are banged up and depleted. Even if they were at full strength, I don’t think they have the personnel to run in this matchup. The back court of Wong and Miller are one of the best tandem of guards in the nation. I see them controlling the pace and the tempo in this contest. I honestly believe the Hurricanes current edition is even stronger than last season’s Elite Eight squad. Giving them points. Here is a mistake. They have covered four of the last five NCAA Tournament games and seven of the last 10 games played versus teams with a winning record. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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03-19-23 | St. Mary's v. Connecticut -4 | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
UConn Huskies. Slam Dunk Play. Game 838. 3:10 PM, PST/6:10 PM EST. It is impossible to ignore the statistic the Huskies have accumulated this season of being a perfect, 12-0 outside of conference play. By the way, they’ve covered 11 of those 12 nonconference contests. The Gaels are a good team. But this team lives and dies by their defense. Well folks, they go up against one of the most explosive and potent offenses in the nation. Connecticut averages over 79-points per game and ranks 12th in the nation on the offensive boards. That would be enough for me to put a lean on the Huskies here. However, defensively, they are one of the best in the nation in points allowed, field-goal percentage allowed, three-point percentage allowed and rank sixth in college basketball on the defensive boards. They will take away Saint Mary’s opportunities for any second-chance shots. The Gaels are good up front. However, they are no match for the frontcourt of Sanogo and Karaban. The tandem or forwards will dominate in the paint here and go uncontested. Saint Mary’s has failed to cover five of the last seven games played versus teams with a winning percentage above .600, five of the last six games played following a straight up win, and none of the last five games played following and ATS win. Connecticut has covered five of the last six games played versus teams are winning percentage above .600, 17 of the last 23 NCAA Tournament games, and six of the last seven games played overall. Take the Huskies. Thank you. |
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03-19-23 | Pittsburgh +5.5 v. Xavier | 73-84 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
Pitt Panthers. Early Wake Up Winner. Game 845. 9:10 AM, PST/12:10 PM EST To get this game up early I’m going to give you a condensed version of my analysis. Very simply, Pitt not only matches up well with Xavier here, but they enter today’s contest playing some great basketball. They have won each of the last two outings outright as an underdog against Mississippi State, and Iowa State. Meanwhile, the Musketeers have failed to cover four of the last five, which does include the last two outings. They are in a situation where the team will come in here overconfident following the five-point victory over Kennesaw State in the last round. Mind you, they were 12-point favorite in that matchup. As I mentioned, they will come in overconfident against a Panthers opponent, that scores just about as much as them and possesses a monster defense that will frustrate the Xavier offense. Pitt has covered 23 of the last 30 games played overall. The Musketeers have covered just two of the last seven games played following a straight up win. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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03-18-23 | Auburn v. Houston -5 | 64-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Houston Cougars. No Limit Play. Game 808 4:10 PM, PST/7:10 PM EST. With No. 1 seeds, Alabama and Purdue already ousted from the Big Dance, Houston will take no chances in this matchup. They know obviously, that Auburn is a good adversary. So, they will keep their foot on the gas from the tip-off to the buzzer. Say what you want about the Tigers, but this is a team that dropped nine of the last 14 outings. They possess a lackluster offense, which accounts for just 72.7-points per game on a mere, 43.9% shooting from the floor, and only hit 31.4% from downtown. They must go up against one of the nastiest and most-frustrating defenses in the nation here today. The Cougars rank second in many defensive categories. Especially the ones that count most, points allowed, field-goal percentage, and three-point percentage. But it doesn’t just stop there. They are also a top-10 defensive rebounding squad as well. So, I don’t see Auburn getting too many second-chance opportunities at all. Offensively, the Cougars are a powerhouse. They are loaded with talent. They have speed, height, strength, and savvy. I look for them to light up the scoreboard here with a very talented offense, and a deep bench. Furthermore, they’re not just great on the defensive glass. They are awesome on the office boards as well, ranking 19th in the nation. By the way, the Tigers have only covered seven of the last 28 games played following a straight up win. They have been absolute pointspread poison. I don’t see them competing on the scoreboard at all in this matchup, and I certainly don’t see them covering this game. Take the Cougars. Thank you. |
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03-18-23 | Duke -3.5 v. Tennessee | 52-65 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
Duke Blue Devils. Top Play Game 803. 11:40 AM PST/2:40 PM EST This has been a strange tournament thus far. We have seen several No. 1 seeds go down. With Purdue out-of-the-way, Duke knows they have a very good shot of making it to the Final Four. They will take no chances in this matchup. Tennessee is a formidable opponent. However, this is a team that enters this matchup losing seven of the last 13 outings. Many thought they could be a No. 1 seed come the Tournament. However, as the season progressed, they started to show signs of fatigue and showed signs of cracking. The Blue Devils are surging. They enter today’s contest one of the hottest teams in college basketball, winning 10 consecutive outings straight up, covering seven of those 10, which includes five consecutive ATS covers. Duke, listing zero injuries are a healthy team and are significantly stronger on the boards in this game. They will get as many second-chance shots as they need, offensively. And defensively, they will take away the Volunteers opportunities for a second-chance shots. With a slew of players, 6’7” and taller, which does include four 7’-footers, Duke has too much height and physicality in the paint for Tennessee. The Volunteers have covered just one of the last eight NCAA Tournament games, one of the last six following a straight up win, and one of the last six against teams is a winning percentage above .600. On the other hand, the Blue Devils have covered four of the last five NCAA Tournament games, five consecutive neutral site games, and five consecutive games against teams are winning percentage above .600. Take Duke. Thank you. |
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03-17-23 | Kent State +4.5 v. Indiana | 60-71 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
Kent State Golden Flashes. Blue Chip Play. Game 771. 6:55 PM PST/9:55 PM EST. Kent state is red-hot, winning six consecutive outings, which does include a perfect 3-0 mark in the recent MAC Tournament. This is a team that when asked to step up this season in nonconference play, hung in very tight with Houston, covering a 19-point spread, 49-44, and Gonzaga, covering a 16-point spread, 73-66. They are not easily intimidated. They can score. And they have a monster defense. Two areas in which Indiana falls short. The Hoosiers enter today’s matchup, splitting out the last eight games, straight up, only covering two of those eight outings. One of the best players in college basketball certainly wears an Indiana uniform in Trayce Jackson-Davis. However, one player cannot carry the team. Especially come Tournament time. He faces a very aggressive defense of the Golden flashes. They are big, strong, quick, and they can frustrate opponents. I actually feel the wrong team is favored here. But I will take the points with the underdog, which has covered four consecutive games played on neutral sites, 15 of the last 20 games played versus teams with a winning percentage of .600, and 36 of the last 51 games played overall. Indiana has only covered two of the last eight games played versus teams with a winning record, two of the last seven games played versus teams are winning percentage of a .600, and two of the last eight games played overall. Take Kent state. Thank you. |
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03-17-23 | Arizona State +6 v. TCU | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
Arizona State Sun Devils. NO LIMIT. Game 797. 7:05 PM PST/10:05 PM EST. Personally, I think the wrong team is favored here. This game should be at the very least a pick ‘em. Having said that, we all know Arizona State is known for defense. However, the offense really heated up in the First Four game against Nevada on Wednesday, accounting for 98-points. They have won three of the last four straight up, and five of the last eight against the spread. They face, in my opinion, are very overrated, TCU opponent here. This is a team that faded down the stretch, dropping six of the last 10 straight up, and only covering three of those 10 outings. Please understand the Sun Devils come off recent contests against the Bruins, two against the trojans, and two against the Wildcats. In all sincerity, they are stepping down in class here today. Giving them points is a mistake. The Horned Frogs have covered just three of the last 10 games played versus teams with a winning record. The Sun Devils have covered five of the last seven games played against teams with a winning record. Take Arizona State. Thank you. |
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03-16-23 | Oral Roberts v. Duke -5.5 | Top | 51-74 | Win | 100 | 22 h 25 m | Show |
Duke Blue Devils. Round Of 64 Top Play. Game 782 4:10 PM, PST/7:10 PM With all respect to the Golden Eagles, they do not belong on the same court as the Blue Devils. I know this team had a nice Cinderella story a few years ago in the Tourney. I also know they were 18-0 in the Summit League and are riding a 17-game win streak. But folks, who did they beat? They started off the campaign with an eight-point loss to Saint Mary’s. A week later got devoured by Houston, 83-45. And another week after that, they took a 10-point defeat on the road at Utah State. So, my friends, they stepped up in class three times and got beat all three times this season. Duke is a monster team with a monster roster. They are no strangers to the NCAA Tournament. They have intelligence, height, muscle, speed, and depth. They enter this matchup winning nine consecutive games, straight up against a much higher level of opposition than their counterpart is accustomed to facing. It’s true, Oral Roberts does have a 7‘5“ player on their roster. And he’s a damn good player at that. However, Duke has four players on their roster 7 foot or taller. They also don’t choke. A couple of the big names on the Golden Eagles are known to have choked when it comes to bigger games. Facing the Blue Devils, in the first round of the Big Dance is the biggest game this team will ever see. You can expect Duke to dominated both ends of the court and particularly on both the offensive and defensive glass. Oral Roberts has failed to cover four consecutive games against teams with a winning record, 12 of the last 15 games played versus teams is a winning percentage above .600, and seven of the last nine games played overall. Take the Blue Devils. Thank you. |
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03-16-23 | Howard v. Kansas -21.5 | 68-96 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
Kansas Jayhawks. Wiseguy Move. Game 758. 11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST. My friends, I’m not a big fan of laying big wood in the first round of the Big Dance. But a win is a win is a win. Head coach Kenny Blakeney won a national championship with the last time Howard appeared in the NCAA tournament, 31 years ago. That was 1992 when Kansas hammered Howard in the first round, 100-67. The last time these two teams met was in December, 2011 when the Jayhawks shellacked the Bison, 89-34. Déjà vu all over again my friends. Howard was 11-3 in MEAC play and an overall 22-12 on the campaign. This is a very talented team. However, this is also a team that lost 95-63 in the first game of the season against Kentucky, 85-75 a few days later against George Washington, 95-69 even a few days after that against James Madison, and over the upcoming weeks, got downed by Wyoming 78-71, devoured by Bellarmine 96-73, shredded by Yale, 86-40, beaten by Hampton 74-65, and dismantled by VCU, 70-60. Every time they stepped up even a little bit in class, they were decimated. Kansas doesn’t have a problem, flexing their muscles, especially against lesser teams. Looking at their first few weeks of their nonconference schedule, they beat some opponents by over 30+ points my friends. And coming off an embarrassing loss in the Big 12 Championship against Texas, 76-56, you can expect Bill Self, who, by the way will be back on the sideline here, to have his team, primed, prepped, ready, and make a statement to the rest of the field. The Jayhawks need to get back in sync, following that dismantling at the hands of the Longhorns. They also need to get a big confidence-builder. And furthermore, they need to let the rest of the teams in the tournament. know that they are a team to be reckoned with. Howard had problems as I mentioned earlier coming out of the conference against teams are strong defenses. Not only can Kansas play defense, but they are one of the most complete teams in the nation. They have speed, strength, height, depth, and are well-coached. They are also 6-1 ATS the last seven games played following a double-digit loss played in Lawrence, Kansas. Take the Jayhawks. Thank you. |
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03-14-23 | Mississippi State v. Pittsburgh +2.5 | Top | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
Pitt Panthers. Game 702. 6:10 PM PST/9:10 PM EST. Many out there, including the Pitt Panthers themselves, didn’t think they would be playing in the First Four brackets. However, dropping four of the final seven games is the reason why. This is a very deep and talented squad with a very smart coach. Let’s not forget they play in a very good conference. As a matter fact, they finished tied for second place in conference play at 14-6, and with an overall record of 22-11. The first few weeks of the season were very difficult on the team as they were still trying to find their sea legs. Then they got into a groove and started winning. Moreover, they started taking down some very solid opposition. Please remember they play in one of the most competitive conferences in college basketball. And have they held their own. Offensively, they are a powerhouse. During the regular season, they were led by four double-digit scorers and a slew of solid rebounders. They have strength upfront, and quickness in the back court. Mississippi State is known for defense. They rank in the top-10 in the nation, in both points allowed and field-goal percentage allowed. However, (and there’s always a however), however, offensively, they are absolutely deplorable. There is no aspect of their offense that brings any hope to this team contending on the scoreboard with Pitt today. They have just one double-digit scorer in forward, Tolu Smith. He is only one of two solid, frontcourt, big men for this team. While they were loaded at the guard position, they just don’t have the talent up front to compete in this matchup. By the way, they have failed to cover four straight games. Not only that, but they have failed to cover five straight games played on neutral sites. Meanwhile, the Panthers have been money, covering 11 of the last 15 games played versus teams with a winning record and 21 of the last 28 games played overall. Take Pitt. Thank you. |
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03-14-23 | Villanova +3.5 v. Liberty | 57-62 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Villanova Wildcats. Game 677. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Despite a slew of injuries to major contributors, Villanova won seven of the final 10 games. They enter the NIT pissed off as they felt they earned a spot in the Big Dance. Liberty earned a share of the Atlantic Sun regular season title and enter today’s contest the No. 2 seed. Statistically, the Flames possess better numbers, both offensively and defensively than does the Wildcats. But it really isn’t about your record. It’s about the record you achieved by beating certain teams. Liberty stepped up early in the season and lost to Alabama. A few weeks later, took a beating at the hands of Northwestern. So, you could say when it counted, the team folded like a cheap suit. Villanova certainly was a “Jekyll and Hyde” team this season. At times showed signs of greatness. At times fell flat. However, you cannot dispute the disparity between the talent and depth on these two squads. The Wildcats play in a very physical conference. They have big, strong, physical players. While, the Flames are certainly talented, they just don’t have the height or the muscle to contend in the paint here. They have also covered just one of the last seven games played versus teams with a winning record. Meanwhile, Villanova has covered four in a row following a straight up loss. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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03-14-23 | Toledo +6.5 v. Michigan | 80-90 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Toledo Rockets. Game 685. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. The Michigan Wolverines are certainly a storied college basketball team. But if you really look back as many times as this team has been a top-tier team going into the Big Dance, they’ve only walked away with one national title. I’m not looking to take away anything from the Wolverines, folks. But let’s be honest, this teams falls way short when it comes to the postseason. Let’s fast forward to this campaign and their NIT chances. Michigan, which was ranked No. 22 in the preseason poll, and really had a disappointing campaign, finishing 17-15 overall and a dismal 11-9 in Big Ten play. They have lost three consecutive games, including their last as they were bounced out of the Big Ten tournament in the first game, falling to Rutgers, 62-50. You may think because they’re a Big Ten team, that they will roll over a MAC opponent. However, the Toledo Rockets finished the regular season, winning the MAC championship outright for the third year in a row. They possess a record of 27-7 overall, which includes a 16-2 mark in league play. They had a 17-game win streak going until the last outing, a tough loss to Kent. That defeat got them to where they are here in the NIT. This is a very good team that knows how to win. While they don’t step out of their conference often, when they do, they can compete. I really feel giving this team this many points is a huge mistake made by the odds makers. They have scorers and are loaded with rebounders. That will give them some second-chance opportunities offensively, and take away some of Michigan’s second-chance opportunities defensively. The Rockets have covered four in a row following a straight up loss, seven in a row following an ATS loss, four of the last five on the road versus teams with a winning home record, and six of the last seven overall. Take the Rockets. Thank you. |
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03-12-23 | Texas A&M +4.5 v. Alabama | Top | 63-82 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
Texas A&M Aggies. Game 655. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Say what you want about the 4th ranked Alabama team, but when it comes to Texas A&M, the Aggies have had their number. The Crimson Tide has lost and failed to cover five consecutive meetings with the Aggies. This includes the only matchup this season, a little more than a week ago being defeated, 67-61. Texas A&M, since Christmas has been striding, going 19-3 straight up (this includes this post season). Their defense has stepped it up over recent months, and once again today will frustrate their opponent. They possess one of the only rebounding cores in this conference that could compete up front with Alabama. We can expect another physical matchup, which will certainly benefit Texas A&M, as they are significantly better from the free-throw line. The underdog has covered six of the last seven meetings in this rivalry. The Aggies have covered 20 of the last 27 games played versus teams with a winning percentage of .600, 26 of the last 35 games played following a straight up win, and 38 of the last 56 games played overall. Take Texas A&M. Thank you. |
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03-11-23 | Cornell v. Yale -6 | 60-80 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
Yale Bulldogs Game 602. 8:00 AM PST/11:00 AM EST. Yale shared the top-spot the Ivy league during the regular season at 10-4 in conference play enroute to an overall record of 20-7. They face a Cornell team that went just 7-7 in Ivy League play this regular season. The Big Red kind of stumbled their way into the semifinals. Let’s face it, this team is just 3-6 straight up the last nine outings, in which they have only covered one of those contests. They are absolute point spread poison. And in all sincerity, do not belong on the same court as today’s opponent. The Bulldogs are a monster squad, winning nine of the last 10 straight up, and covering seven of the last eight coming into today’s game. Granted, Cornell scores a bit more, but Yale counters with a frustrating top-25 defense that allows just 62.7-points per game. On the flipside, the Bulldogs can score points as well. And they will light up the scoreboard here against the nations 329th rank defense of the Big Red, which has gotten plowed this season for 75.9-points per game, allowing 47.1% from the floor. Cornell has failed to cover seven consecutive outings against teams with a winning record. Yale has covered 20 of the last 27 games played at neutral sites. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you |
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03-10-23 | Clemson +3.5 v. Virginia | 56-76 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Clemson tigers. Game 851 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM Yeah, yeah, yeah, we all know Virginia has a defense. But their “D” just can’t compensate for the lack of offense, especially against solid opponents. I know they have a great record. But they are overvalued by the oddsmakers. Case in point, they’ve only covered once over the last seven outings. Meanwhile, Clemson, which has the experience and the talent to make this a very competitive contest, enters today’s matchup covering five straight outings. The Tigers have a very big, strong front court. And now that the Cavaliers, are without forward, Vander Plas, I looked for them to fall a little short in the paint. And once these teams go to the line, because this will be a physical matchup, Clemson gets a big edge because they hit nearly 80% from it. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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03-10-23 | Wichita State +2.5 v. Tulane | 76-82 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Wichita State. Game 827. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST Very simply, my friends, the wrong team is favored here. I know Tulane has a bit of a better overall record and a better mark in conference play than does Wichita State. But the Shockers play the Green Wave very tough. In the two meetings this season, the first went into overtime and saw Tulane winning, 95-90. The second was a Wichita win and cover, 83-76. Coming into this match up there is no question the Shockers are hotter, winning five of the last seven straight up and four straight against the spread. Meanwhile, the Green Wave, although have won their last two-games following a three-game slide, has failed to cover five consecutive outings. I know Tulane has an explosive offense. But I do like the way Wichita State counters with a very frustrating, swarming defense. No matter how good they are offensively, the Green Wave cannot compensate for their doormat of a defense, which is allowing over 76.6-points per game. If you look closely, you will see over the last month and a half they have gotten lit up. Take the Shockers. Thank you. |
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03-10-23 | Iowa State v. Kansas -4.5 | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
Kansas Jayhawks Game 854 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Despite splitting out their two meetings, this season, Iowa State has covered both against Kansas. The last matchup, about five weeks ago, the Cyclones embarrassed, the Jayhawks, 68-53 on their home court. One thing Kansas doesn’t take lightly or sits well with, is losing, let alone losing badly. The Jayhawks are playing their best basketball of the season right now. There is also a big motivation factor here for the team as they are playing for their head coach, Bill Self, who is recuperating from a medical procedure. Emotions will run high in this matchup for the squad. I know how good the Iowa State defense can be. But the way the Kansas offense is playing right now and the fact that they’re looking to get a little revenge from that embarrassing loss last month, I just see them annihilating their conference rival here. Remember the Cyclones are just 4-9 ATS the last 13 games played versus teams with a winning record and 4-10 ATS the last 14 games played overall. By the way, the favorite has covered seven of the last nine meetings in the series. Take the Jayhawks. Thank you. |
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03-09-23 | New Mexico v. Utah State -3 | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Utah State. Game 780. 8:30 PM PST/11:30 PM EST If you recall, New Mexico was the last unbeaten team in the nation. But that was in 2022. Since the New Year began, this team has struggled. Since January 3, in regular season play, they went just 7-10. Not only that, but they’ve only covered six games during that span. Granted, they won yesterday’s match up with Wyoming. But in all sincerity, the Cowboys are the worst team in the Mountain West Conference. Tonight, they face one of the best teams in the MWC. The Aggies are a monster squad folks. They own a 24-7 overall record, which does include a 13-5 league mark. They enter today’s matchup red-hot, winning and covering five straight contests. They took the only meeting in this rivalry this season back on February 1, 84-73. That marked the fifth consecutive straight up win for Utah State over New Mexico, covering four of the five meetings. Most of New Mexico’s statistics are skewed because of their success through December. The Aggies were better on the boards and from downtown in the first meeting. Nothing changed since to make us think that this outcome will be any different. They are deeper, stronger, are better on the boards, and are striding. The favorite has covered four of the last five meetings. The Aggies have covered five of the last six games played at neutral states and four of the last five games played versus teams with the winning percentage above .600. Take Utah State. Thank you. |
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03-09-23 | TCU v. Kansas State +2.5 | Top | 80-67 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
Kansas State Wildcats. Game 756 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. Kansas State had the better record in Big 12 play. Kansas State had a better overall record. And Kansas State is higher-ranked. So, for the life of me, why are they an underdog here today? If I have ever seen a trap, this looks like it folks. The Wildcats finished the regular season campaign winning four the last five, both straight up and against the spread. They also took the most recent meeting with the Horned Frogs, approximately one month ago. Granted, both teams are 3-0 neutral sites this season. But TCU should not be favored here today my friends. They are just 3-6 straight up and 2-7 ATS the last nine outings. And I believe they are going to have a tough time today against the frustrating KSU defense. Kansas State is also money in the bank when playing solid opposition, covering eight of the last 11 versus teams with a winning percentage above .600. Meanwhile, Texas Christian has only covered one of the last six games played against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Make no mistake of it my friends, this is the game the Horned Frogs will severely miss the big man in the middle, Lampkin. The Wildcats are very strong upfront, will dominate the glass, and win this game. Take Kansas State. Thank you. |
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03-09-23 | North Carolina +3 v. Virginia | 59-68 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
North Carolina. Game 723. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST What can you say about Virginia? Yes, they won their last two games to salvage a share of the ACC regular season title. Yes, they own a 23-6 overall record. And yes, they rank 13th in the country. But when it comes to ACC tournament action, let’s face it, they fall short. Moreover, they are point spread poison, failing to cover the last six outings. Overall, on the campaign they are just 10-17-2 ATS. There is no question they get overvalued. But this will work to our advantage today. North Carolina enters this matchup striding, winning four of the last five straight up, and three of their last four against the spread. They took the most recent meeting in this conference rivalry a few weeks back at home, 71-63. Many out there also feel that if they didn’t lose Armando Bacot in the first matchup, they would have won that meeting as well. The Tar Heels cannot only put up a ton of points, they can rebound with the best in the nation. They are big and strong upfront. And have a talented back court. They also have a very smart coach who knows how to handle the Cavaliers. To be quite honest, Virginia has their Big Dance invitation locked up. I don’t see them going above and beyond here today. Take North Carolina. Thank you. |
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03-09-23 | Wake Forest v. Miami-FL -6 | 72-74 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
Miami Florida Hurricanes. Game 720. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Sports fans forgive me. I normally write a little more in-depth analysis on my games. Being that there are so many games today and many are going off early, I’m keeping my analysis brief. It was by no accident Miami was atop the ACC this regular season. They were 15-5 in conference play and an overall 24-6 on the campaign. They have had their way with Wake Forest in this rivalry, winning and covering the last three meetings. This includes a 96-87 win and cover in the only matchup this season, just three weeks ago. The Demon Deacons certainly struggled towards the end of the campaign, winning just two of the final five outings straight up, and failing to cover six of the last seven contests. I just don’t see them keeping pace on either end of the court with the superior Hurricanes squad. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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03-09-23 | Rutgers v. Michigan -3 | 62-50 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Michigan Wolverines. Game 36. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Sports fans forgive me. I normally write a little more in-depth analysis on my games. Being that there are so many games today and many are going off early, I’m keeping my analysis brief. There’s a very good possibility whichever team loses today will be out of any possibility for a Big Dance appearance. Having said that, you must go with the more reliable, better coached team. And that is without a doubt, Michigan. Rutgers, which has only covered one of the last eight outings, finished the regular season struggling to win just two of the last eight games. Meanwhile, the Wolverines, in their final 10 outings covered eight of those 10 contests. And following a 6-2 straight up run, I think we could all forgive them for being tired in the last two outings, both road overtime, two-point losses at the hands of Illinois and Indiana. This did follow an overtime win at home against Wisconsin. However, this team did finish the regular season covering five consecutive matchups. They had no problem this season dispatching with Rutgers, taking the only meeting back at the end of February, 58-45 on the road. I know the Scarlet Knights possess a solid defense. But they did get plowed for 140 combined points in the last two games. I do feel coach Juwan Howard will have the Wolverines primed and ready here, as he knows a loss means no Big Dance for the storied Wolverines. By the way, Michigan is also 36-15-2 Ats the last 53 games played on neutral sites. Take the Wolverines. Thank you. |
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03-08-23 | Minnesota v. Nebraska -5.5 | 78-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Nebraska Cornhuskers. Game 682. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. I know it’s not easy for a conference rival to sweep three games against one another. However, if anyone can do it this season, it is Nebraska over Minnesota. The Cornhuskers have taken four consecutive meetings over the Golden Gophers, straight up. And are just a half-point away from covering all four. They enter today’s matchup, one of the hottest teams in the league, winning six of the last eight, both straight up and against the spread. Meanwhile, their opponent today is colder than ice, dropping 13 of the last 14 straight up. They have covered six of those 14 outings. However, most of those were as double-digit underdogs. I feel this line is a little short. It should be a little higher folks. Offensively, Nebraska scores more points. Defensively they allow less points. They’re also healthier. Momentum is a big part of this first round in conference tournaments and the Cornhuskers certainly have momentum. By the way, they have also covered 20 of the last 27 games played versus teams with a winning percentage below .400. Take Nebraska. Thank you. |
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03-06-23 | BYU +7.5 v. St. Mary's | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
BYU Cougars. Game 881. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. This’ll be the Cougars final WCC tournament. As we all know they are moving to the Big 12 next season. The Cougars have certainly left their mark in the conference. However, the top-team in the West Coast Conference this season is Saint Mary’s. Although they are favored here today. I have a funny feeling that coming off their loss on the road to Gonzaga at the end of February, it’s going to be significant here. Along with the Bulldogs, the Gaels are the strongest teams in the WCC. I have a feeling they are going to get caught in look ahead mode, focusing on a conference show down with Gonzaga down the road. This way they can prove for once in all that they are the best team in the league However, don’t sell BYU short folks. This team enters this contest today heating up, winning her last three in a row straight up and covering eight of last 10. It’s true, Saint Mary’s has taken the last three meetings in this conference rivalry, including both regular season meetings this season. However, covering is a whole different story. The Cougars have covered six straight against the Gales. In the last three matchups, the games were settled by five, one, and six-points. BYU knows St. Mary’s very well and plays them extremely tough. The Gaels tend. to get overvalued. They have only covered three of the last nine overall outings coming into todays contest. I believe they’re being overvalued again here. Take BYU. Thank you |
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03-05-23 | Maryland +4 v. Penn State | Top | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
Maryland Terrapins. Best Bet. Game 767. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. I am well aware of the fact the Terrapins are 10-0 at home in conference play but a dismal 1-8 on the road. They also know this stat as too. Coach, Kevin Willard also knows his team is one of seven Big Ten squads all tied for second place in the standings at 11-8. This game is a must win for Maryland. They took the first meeting in this matchup at home and come off a loss. They are an outstanding bounce-back team, not having suffered back-to-back defeats since early-January. They have also covered four of the last five following both, a SU and an ATS loss. For us bettors, they have turned it up recently, covering nine of the last 13 games played overall. Take the Terrapins. Thank you. |
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03-04-23 | Kansas +3.5 v. Texas | 59-75 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Kansas Jayhawks. Game 657. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. You would think that clinching another Big 12 regular season championship would allow Kansas to rest on their laurels here today. But that isn’t the case. If you recall, the Jayhawks began conference play in a mediocre fashion. However, they have won the last seven league contests to claim their 17th Big 12 title in coach Bill Self’s 20th season at the helm. They have won and covered the last two meetings with the Longhorns. This does include the only matchup this season back on February 6, at home, 88-80. Texas is looking fatigued. They have dropped the last two games straight up, and five of the last seven against the spread. Kansas doesn’t want to take any chances going into the conference tournament next week. They want to enter it making a statement and letting the rest of the Big 12 know they are the top-team in the league. In the earlier matchup, the Jayhawks had five players in double-digits and outrebounded the Longhorns, 36-29. Momentum is a big thing this time of year and coach Self wants to go into the tournament finishing the season continuing his teams win streak. Giving this team here points is a mistake. They have covered four of the last five on the road. Meanwhile Texas has only covered seven of the last 26 following an ATS win. Take Kansas. Thank you. |
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03-02-23 | Wichita State +18 v. Houston | 66-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Wichita State Shockers. Game 735. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Without question, the Cougars deserve to be the No. 1 team in the country and all the accolades that go along with it. However, you cannot ignore the fact the Shockers give them a tough time. In the only meeting this season, Houston took down Wichita State, 70-61 is a 13-point favorite. That marked the fifth consecutive no cover in this rivalry for the team. They have the AAC locked up as they are 15-1 in conference play, with this game this evening and a game on the road at Memphis three days from now. As I said they have the conference locked up folks. They are also the No. 1 team in the country right now. Obviously, a loss to Wichita State would hurt them in the national rankings. But they don’t have to go all out here folks, they really don’t. Meanwhile the Shockers can finish the regular season with a decent record. They are currently 15-13 overall, which does include an 8-8 mark in league play. They have this game this evening than the regular season finale at home against South Florida. This is a team playing very good basketball right now, winning five of the last eight, both straight up and against the spread. I think we can all agree the Cougars tend to get over valued by oddsmakers. Especially lately as they have failed to cover five of the last eight. I know how good their defense is. But I just don’t see the team going all out this evening and jeopardizing any of their key players. The underdog has covered five straight meetings in this rivalry. The Shockers are 7-0 ATS the last seven games played versus teams with a winning home record, and 35-14-2 ATS the last 51 overall road games played. Take Wichita State. Thank you. |
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03-01-23 | Missouri -4 v. LSU | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Missouri Tigers. Game 701. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Missouri is certainly looking to win this game tonight. They are trying to better their position for the SEC tournament and maybe even beyond that. They are 21-8 overall on the season, which does include a 9-7 mark in conference play. They finish up the regular season campaign at home against Mississippi on Saturday. They have a chance at earning a double bye, a single bye or no bye at all in the upcoming tournament depending on the next two games and the results of some other conference teams. On the other hand, LSU knows their future. They currently dwell in the SEC cellar at 2-14 in league play. Overall, they are 13-6. Since the New Year began, this team has only won one single game. If you’re keeping score, that’s a 1-15 straight up mark in 2023. They’ve only covered four games since January 1. Missouri took the first meeting exactly one month ago at home, 87-77. I just don’t see LSU and their lackluster offense, which account for a dismal, 67.2-points per game, keeping pace on the scoreboard with the explosive “O“ of Missouri, which posts 80.0-points per game on 47.5% shooting from the field. LSU is just 7-20 ATS the last 27 home games, 1-8 ATS the last nine games versus teams with a winning percentage of .600, and 3-12 ATS the last 15 overall games. Take Missouri. Thank you |
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03-01-23 | Pittsburgh -3.5 v. Notre Dame | 81-88 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh Panthers. Game 673. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Despite Notre Dame most-likely getting back a couple of players this evening, it’s a little too little and a little too late for the “not so” Fighting Irish. They have lost seven in a row and 11 of the last 12 straight up. They have sunk to 2-16 in conference play. They face the league’s top-team and top-25 ranked Pitt here today. A Panthers victory here tonight would clinch at least a share of the ACC regular season championship and a double bye in the upcoming conference tournament. They need a victory here because their next game is against the conferences second place team, the Hurricanes, which is the opponent in the regular season finale on March 4. This is a big game for the Panthers my friends. They come into it winning eight of the last line straight up, covering six of their last eight. This would also be a sweet revenge situation for them, as they have lost the last four meetings against the Fighting Irish going back three years. Pitt has covered 10 of the last 11 on the road and 20 of the last 26 overall. Meanwhile, Notre Dame has coverage just five of the last 20 at home and nine of the last 29 overall. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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03-01-23 | Fordham +3.5 v. George Mason | 58-64 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Fordham Rams. Game 675. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. My friends, I have this line much different than what the oddsmakers have put it out. I have Fordham actually a favorite of several baskets. This is a team sitting in third place in the Atlantic 10 at 11-5. Another victory here this evening would confirm a top-four finish in the conference and all that goes with it in the upcoming league tournament. Overall, the Rams own a very respectable 23-6 record on the campaign. They enter this matchup knowing that they have had their way with the Patriots, winning and covering both meetings a season ago. George Mason started to get a little hot, winning their last four straight up and going 3-1 ATS. However, I just don’t see them competing in this matchup. They have a couple of players that are out. And this will be a factor. That’s not the case for Fordham, which is 100% healthy. A rare benefit this time of the season. They’re also red-hot, winning 10 of the last 12 straight up and nine of those 12 against the spread. Without questions they possess a stronger backcourt that will control the tempo and the pace of this contest. They have also have covered five of the last seven as a visitor. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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02-28-23 | Texas A&M -5 v. Ole Miss | 69-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Texas A&M Aggies. Game 639. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Guys, there is no way this line should be this low. At 13-3 in conference play, Texas A&M sits two-games behind 1st-place, Alabama. They have this contest tonight against Mississippi then finish up their regular season schedule at home against the Crimson Tide. Alabama is 15-1 in SEC play. The Aggies have an opportunity to grab a share of the top-spot in the league. But they must win-out. Following a six-game win streak, both straight up and against the spread, Texas A&M took a tough loss three nights ago on the road at Mississippi State, 69-62. They must get back on the winning track here tonight and get in sync before their season finale against ‘Bama. They enter tonight‘s match up with confidence, as they swept Mississippi a season ago, taking both games straight up and against the spread by an average margin of victory of 13.0-points per game. I look for the Rebels to be in a huge letdown situation here. This is a team that struggled quite a bit this season. They were on a 2-15 SU run since just prior to Christmas, covering just five of those outings. That was before Saturday’s home win and cover over the LSU Tigers. On both sides of the court, Mississippi is outclassed here. They do not possess the personnel to keep pace on the scoreboard with Texas A&M‘s offense. And they are facing one of the better defenses in the conference to boot. The Aggies only allow 65.9-points per game on 40.4% shooting. The superior backcourt of Taylor IV and Radford, who combine for 29.1-points per game, 8.0-rebounds per game, and 6.4-assist per game, will control the pace and the tempo here. The Aggie’s are 7-3 ATS the last 10 road games played versus teams with a losing home record, 12-4 ATS the last 16 overall road games played, 4-0 ATS the last four games played versus teams with a losing straight up record, and 6-1 ATS the last seven games played overall. Take Texas A&M. Thank you. |
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02-28-23 | Clemson +6.5 v. Virginia | Top | 57-64 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
Clemson Tigers. Game 619. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Despite these two teams both tied for 3rd-place in the ACC at 13-5, only Clemson has a shot at least for a share of the conference’s top-spot. A couple of things have to go their way, but it is still mathematically possible. Both teams need this win as neither want to be in a situation falling out of the top-four in the standings for the upcoming ACC tournament. I am fully aware of the fact Virginia is 13-1 straight up at home this season, covering five of their last six as host. I really do feel that they may lose this game outright, let alone cover. This is a team struggling right now, losing their last two straight up and failing to cover the last four in a row. On the other hand, the Tigers have won and covered three of the last four and come off perhaps their best performance of the season. They stomped the Wolfpack on the road, 96-71 has a 5.5- point underdog a few nights ago. They come into this contest tonight with momentum. Granted the Cavaliers defense is very frustrating. But it just can’t compensate for their lack of office anymore. They face a Tigers “O” averaging over 75.7-points per game and just shy of 37% from beyond the arc and almost 80% from the line. Without question Clemson possesses the much stronger front court with Tyson, Hall, and Schieffelin. I look for the big men to dominate on the glass, allowing successful transition. The road team has covered six consecutive meetings in this rivalry. Clemson has covered 10 of the last 14 games played versus teams with the winning percentage above .600. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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02-27-23 | Nevada -5 v. Wyoming | Top | 71-80 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
Nevada Wolfpack. Game 865. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Although a few things have to happen, Nevada still has a chance for a share of the top-spot in the Mountain West Conference. In my opinion, they are also on the right side of the cut line for the Big Dance. However, a loss here to the leagues bottom-dwelling Wyoming squad, might just put some doubts in the minds of the Selection Committee. The Wolfpack seems to have gotten stronger as the season progressed. Just over the last month or so, they have won six of the last seven, both straight up and against the spread. Sorry to say things didn’t go too well for the Cowboys this campaign. And it seems things have gone from bad to worse for this team, dropping and failing to cover the last three. During their current slide, the average margin of defeat is a whopping 9.6- points per game. Offensively, defensively, and on the boards, this team is significantly outclassed in tonight‘s matchup. They just do not Possess the talent to run with Nevada here. Whether it be in the back court where they are thin because guard, Reynolds has been out, Or upfront in the absence of forward, Ike, this team just cannot contend with guards, Lucas, and Blackshear, or big men, Baker and Williams. As I said earlier, they are significantly outclassed. The road team has covered 11 of the last 16 meetings. The Wolfpack are 5-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning percentage below .400, 4-1 ATS the last five games played following a straight up win, and 22-8-2 ATS the last 32 games played overall. Take Nevada. Thank you. |
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02-25-23 | San Francisco +6.5 v. BYU | 61-87 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
San Francisco Dons. Game 783. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. In the final regular season contest for both San Francisco and Brigham Young, the Dons have an opportunity to finish .500 in WCC action. They can also solidify themselves for a nice spot in the upcoming conference tournament. They enter today’s matchup running hot, winning three in a row and six of the last nine, while covering five of those nine. Meanwhile, the Cougars are struggling. It seems as though as the season progressed things got tougher for this team. And currently they are riding a four-game straight up a losing streak. Granted, they played some good opponents. But they are struggling folks. Without question, the Don’s possess a better backcourt, consisting of three phenomenal guards. Just the tandem of Shabazz and Roberts are combining for 33.4-points per game at 8.8-rebounds per game. Upfront, they are talented and deep. They have the personnel to contend with BYU’s two star forwards. The road team has covered 17 of the last 22 meetings in this rivalry. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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02-25-23 | Texas A&M +1.5 v. Mississippi State | 62-69 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Texas A&M Aggies. Game 673. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Sitting in second place in the SEC at 13-2, Texas A&M has a chance to win the conference. They have this game today against Mississippi State. Then over the next week and change, they go on the road at Mississippi and finish the regular season off at home against Alabama. The Crimson Tide is the only team possessing a better record in the Southeastern Conference. As I mentioned, the Aggie‘s have a chance at taking the conference. But it all starts with a big win here. This is a team running red-hot, winning six in a row, both straight up and against the spread. They face a Bulldogs opponent that should come in here a little bit fatigued following an overtime loss on the road at the Missouri Tigers a few nights ago. While Mississippi State themselves have played good basketball recently, and have covered recently, I just think they’re in for a very tough contest here today. They have a lackluster offense, ranking 320th, and scoring an average of 65.8-points per game. This does not bode well as they face the very stingy, very frustrating defense of Texas A&M. Despite this team possessing a top-10 defense, it just can’t compensate for their lack of offense folks. The Aggies come in here with confidence, knowing they have taken three of the last four meetings with the Bulldogs straight up. And for our purposes, have covered three of those last four meetings as well. They are also a whopping 12-3 ATS the last 15 games played on the road, 23-9 ATS the last 32 games played versus teams with a winning percentage above .600, and 21-7 ATS the last 28 games played following and ATS win. FYI, Mississippi State has only covered four of the last 15 games played at home. Take Texas A&M. Thank you. |
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02-23-23 | Michigan +6 v. Rutgers | 58-45 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Michigan Wolverines. Game 795. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST In all honesty, time is running out for Michigan to make a case for the NCAA Tournament at-large bid. There are only a few regular season games left before the conference tournaments begin. They really have to make a good showing and they must start now. What better team to face to get them a step closer to the goal, than Rutgers. The Wolverines own an all-time record of 15-1 against the Scarlet Knights. The two teams did split last season’s matchups, both winning and covering their home contests. Michigan has started to heat up a bit, winning four of the last six, both straight up and against the spread. Meanwhile, Rutgers has started to slide, going just 1-3 straight up the last four, failing to cover all four. The Scarlet Knights claim to fame this season is on the defensive side of the court. However, they are starting to show signs of fatigue and certainly cracking. This does not bode well as they face a Wolverines offense that is very capable of lighting them up. I don’t feel the Rutgers “O“ which is averaging a mere 62.0-points per game over the last five outings, can keep pace offensively in this matchup. This is way too many points to give a hungry Wolverines team that could certainly win this game outright. But I will take the points with them as a ‘dog and take my bookmaker‘s money. Take Michigan. Thank you. |
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02-22-23 | Providence +7.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 69-87 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
Providence Friars. Game 657. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. My friends, I’ve been doing this for over four decades, and I just can’t figure out why the Huskies are this much of a favorite over the Friars. I understand that Connecticut possesses a 13-2 record at home, while Providence owns a 4-5 away mark. However, that’s where the advantages for the home team here end. Providence has won and covered the last two meetings in this rivalry, which includes a 73-61 outright win and cover in the only meeting this season, at the beginning of January at home as a 5.5-point underdog. Since December, not only have the Friars won 15 of 19 contest straight up, they have also covered 15 of those 19 outings. They enter this matchup running hot, winning and covering the last several games. Granted, their overall road record isn’t the most impressive. But they have covered seven of the last nine as a visitor. There isn’t a lot of time left in the regular season, and the Friars, which are sitting in second place in the Big East, three-games behind the Golden Eagles, have a chance at taking the conference. To do so, they must continue to keep their foot on the gas. Since December 31, the Huskies are just 6-7 straight up. Going back a bit further, prior to Christmas, they have crushed bettors, going a mere 5-10 ATS. Granted UConn possesses a very good defense, but they just can’t compensate with their erratic offense. Particularly when facing solid adversaries. Both teams are excellent on the boards. Both team score about the same. But I do see a major advantage for the visitors here getting this many points. I think the odds makers are way off here, sports fans. By the way, Connecticut has covered just two of their last seven against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Take Providence. Thank you. |
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02-21-23 | Miami-FL +2.5 v. Virginia Tech | 76-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Miami Florida Hurricanes. Game 617. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. With the regular season soon coming to an end, Miami sits just a half-game behind Virginia in second place in the ACC. They are the hottest team however in the conference, winning six consecutive outings. Many people out there feel that this year’s edition of the hurricanes are even stronger than last year‘s “Elite 8“ version. They face a conference rival here that is not the team they once were. The Hokies are just 6-10 in league play this season. They do not possess the defense they once did. And their offense just isn’t strong enough to compensate for it. They took a 92-83 road loss at the hands of Miami three weeks ago. Trust me when I tell you the game was not as close as on the scoreboard. They were beat offensively, defensively, and on the boards. They are still thin in the backcourt as Maddox and Rice are both out. They do possess four double-digit scorers. However, they cannot contend with the outstanding backcourt of Wong and Miller, who are combining for 31.4 points per game and 10.3 rebounds per game. I see the tandem controlling the tempo and the pace and leading the team to an outright victory here. The underdog has covered six of the last seven meetings in this rivalry. The Hurricanes have covered 21 of the last 26 on the road. Take Miami. I like them outright. But I will take the points here anyway. Thank you. |
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02-20-23 | Kansas +2.5 v. TCU | 63-58 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Kansas Jayhawks. Game 869. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. As it is projected that Kansas will continue to be ranked a top-five in the nation when the new rankings come out this week, TCU is looking to better their situation and slide down the top-25. The Jayhawks are running hot, winning six of the last seven, both straight up and against the spread, which includes four straight in both. Just looking at the Horned Frogs recent outings, you’ll see that they have dropped four of the last five, straight up and against the number before Saturday’s decisive, 100-75 win and cover at home against Oklahoma State. They did see the return of Mike Miles Jr., who is their leading scorer. He did miss basically five of the six previous contests in which they went 1-5 both SU and ATS. Having him back on the floor is huge for this team. However, they are catching Kansas in full stride. Not only that, but the Jayhawks are pretty darn good in bounce-back mode. If you recall, back towards the end of January the Jayhawks got humiliated at home at the hands of the Horned Frogs, 83-60. As I mentioned, revenge is something that Kansas thrives on. Two of their losses came at the hands of Kansas State and Baylor, which they came back to avenge both of those losses. They had an early season loss against Tennessee, which they won’t see again on the schedule. And just lost to Iowa State at the beginning of the month. But they did meet the Cyclones mid-January and beat them then. So, this is the only team left that has beaten them that they have a shot at redemption. And I believe they’re going to take advantage of it. Understand that they still share at the top-spot in the Big 12 with Texas and need to pull away with only a few weeks left in the regular season. They are 10-4 in conference play, while TCU is just playing .500 ball against league opponents, going 7-7. The underdog has covered four of the last five meetings, while the road team has covered seven of the last nine matchups. I do believe revenge is a dish best served cold. And the Jayhawks will serve up a dish of revenge here tonight. Take Kansas. Thank you. |
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02-18-23 | Duquesne +6 v. St. Louis | 85-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
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02-18-23 | Pittsburgh +5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 72-79 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
Pitt Panthers. Game 707. 2 PM PST/5 PM EST. The Panthers are enjoying their best league campaign since joining the conference a decade ago. They are tied for the top spot with the Cavaliers at 12-3 in league play. They enter today’s contest riding a six-game straight up win streak, covering their last five outings. As a matter fact, they have been a covering machine. Pitt has covered 12 of the last 13 on the road, nine of the last 11 versus teams with a winning record, and 20 of the last 26 overall. They’re starting-five consists of four double-digit scores. Trust me when I tell you they will light up Virginia Tech here. The Hokies have fallen. They no longer possess a defense that puts the fear into opponents offenses. This is a team with a lackluster offense that just isn’t good enough to compensate for their lack of defense. They are also crushing bettors, covering just four of the last 14 overall. The ‘dog has covered nine of the last 12 meetings. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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02-18-23 | South Carolina +7.5 v. LSU | 82-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
South Carolina Gamecocks. Game 625. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Well folks, it is official. LSU is the worst team in the conference at 1-12 in SEC action. Granted, South Carolina is just above them at 2-11 in league play. But they have covered four of the last six and have gotten us paid in this rivalry, covering five of the last seven meetings. They enter this match up quite a bit healthier. It’s true, the Gamecocks statistics aren’t flattering. However, the Tigers are absolutely deplorable and should not be laying this amount of wood. South Carolina has covered seven of their last eight on the road and four of their last five following a straight up loss. Meanwhile LSU has only covered seven of the last 26 at home, and has failed to cover seven straight at home versus teams with a winning percentage on the road of less than .400. Take the Gamecocks. Thank you. |
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02-18-23 | St. Joe's +6 v. Davidson | 75-76 | Win | 100 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
Saint Joseph’s Hawks. Game 617. 9:30 AM PST/12:30 PM EST. Saint Joseph’s has been money, covering eight of the last 10 games coming into today’s matchup. It doesn’t matter if they are at home or on the road, as they have covered four of the last five as a visitor. As a matter of fact, despite Davidson taking the last three meetings in this rivalry straight up, they have failed to cover six of the last eight matchups in this rivalry. The Wildcats are slumping right now, losing and failing to cover their last two outings. They are looking sluggish. And I just don’t see their lackluster offense doing any damage here today. They’ve also failed to cover seven of the last nine at home. Take the Hawks. Thank you. |
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02-18-23 | Rutgers +1.5 v. Wisconsin | 58-57 | Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Game 613. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Wisconsin comes in here off a big emotional win over Michigan on Valentine’s Day. They are going to attempt to do something they haven’t done yet in the New Year. And that is to win back-to-back games. The last time the Badgers won consecutive outings was December 30/January 3. They are facing a Scarlet Knights team that on both sides of the court, outclasses them. Rutgers averages 5.2-points per game more and allows 3.4-points per game less. As a matter of fact, it is their defense here that will earn them a big victory. The Scarlet Knights rank in the top-10 in both points allowed and field-goal percentage allowed (39.0%). I understand they are on a three-game slide, both straight up and against the spread. But this is the perfect opponent to face coming into this matchup in a huge “letdown” situation. Wisconsin is just 1-7 ATS the last eight games played at home 1-8 ATS the last nine games played versus teams with a winning percentage above .600, and 3-12 ATS the last 15 games played overall. Take Rutgers. Thank you. |
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02-16-23 | Ohio State v. Iowa -8 | 75-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
Iowa Hawkeyes. HR play. Game 818. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Boy has Ohio State slipped. The Buckeyes have lost nine of the last 10, both straight up and against the spread, including a six-game cold streak. They face a red-hot Hawkeyes squad, riding a 4-1 straight up win streak. Ohio State has been just awful. Particularly on the road where they own a dismal 1-7 straight up record, failing to cover their last six as a visitor. With less than a month in the regular season, Iowa is currently tied for fourth place in the Big Ten. If they’re going to make a move, they must make a move right now. And what better team to face to achieve their goal than Ohio State. Granted, the Buckeyes own a pretty decent defense, but offensively they are absolutely horrible and cannot keep pace on the scoreboard with a 22nd ranked Hawkeye‘s “O“. The favorite has covered seven of the last 10 meetings in this rivalry. Take Iowa. Thank you. |
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02-16-23 | Purdue v. Maryland +2 | Top | 54-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
Maryland Terrapins. Big Ten Game of the Month. Game 750. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. There is no question Purdue is a very good team. However, they’re starting to show cracks. They have dropped two of their last three, both straight up and against the spread at Indiana and at Northwestern. Now they go on the road and play a Maryland team which is owns a very respectable 13-1 record at home this season. Maryland has been a thorn in the side of Purdue when it comes to ATS. They have covered seven of the last eight meetings for us bettors. And if you look at the past several meetings, they have been decided by three, one, one, and three-points. They play this team very tough. As a matter fact, the Terrapins are playing some pretty good basketball themselves, winning five for the last six straight up and seven of the last 10 against the spread. Both teams are relatively healthy. And both teams match up well with one another. The big difference here is the fact the Boilermakers are starting to struggle and they are not the greatest road team. They’ve only covered one of their last five as a visitor. By the way folks, Maryland has covered 16 of the last 21 at home. And the underdog has covered four straight in this rivalry. Take the Terrapins. Thank you. |
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02-13-23 | Miami-FL +5.5 v. North Carolina | 80-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Now that football is in the rearview, we can focus on basketball. We start off the week with a BIG PAYDAY in my coveted NCAAB HIGH ROLLER release. My HR plays are on an impressive 36-17 run. These are normally reserved for my personal clients that can be the minimum of $10,000 a game. Miami Florida Hurricanes. High Roller play. Game 867. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Don’t look now, but Miami is just a game behind the conferences co-leaders, Virginia and Pittsburgh. That’s right, the Hurricanes are in second place in the ACC at 11-4 in league play en route to an overall mark of 20-5. This team that’s playing very good basketball folks. They have won four in a row straight up, covering three of those four. And they enter tonights matchup with a very dangerous offense, accounting for over 79-points per game. They face a North Carolina squad that is sitting in the middle of the pack in the conference at 8-6, owning an overall record of 16-9. They do have a very impressive 11-1 mark at home. However, this team has been seriously overvalued. They have covered just once over the last five outings. As I mentioned earlier, they are pretty darn good at home straight up. But over the last six games playing host, they went 3-3 ATS. I see a serious mismatch here as their defense is allowing over 72.2-points per game and over 43.6% from the floor. This does not bode well as Miami hits nearly 50% from the floor. The Hurricanes are also 21–6 ATS the last 27 road games. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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02-11-23 | Clemson +7 v. North Carolina | 71-91 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
Clemson Tigers. ACC Game of the Week. Game 647. 11 AM PST/2 PM EST. Tied with Virginia and Pittsburgh for the top-spot in the ACC at 10-3, Clemson travels to the Dean E. Smith Center today to take on North Carolina. The Tigers have had a full week to muster back-to-back losses and prepare for the matchup today with the Tar Heels. With less than a month to play in the regular season, Clemson needs a victory here for sure. They have covered five consecutive meetings with UNC going back to 2018. This is a squad playing at full strength, having no players listed on their injury report. They possess one of the most frustrating defenses in the conference, allowing just 67.1-points per game, allowing only 32.3% from beyond the arc, and a mere 39.7% overall from the floor. I look for this to be a very physical matchup, which will also benefit the Tigers as they own the second-ranked free-throw shooting team in the nation. hitting over 80.3% from the line. North Carolina is struggling badly at the moment. They have lost three in a row straight up, failing to cover their last four. By the way, they’ve only covered three of their last 16 versus teams with the winning percentage above .600. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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02-11-23 | Providence -5 v. St. John's | 68-73 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Providence Friars. Big East Blockbuster. Game 603. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. With less than a month left in the regular season, the Big East has four teams vying for the top-spot. One of those teams, tied for second place, is Providence at 10-3 in league play. Overall, this team has played some outstanding basketball. They enter tonights matchup with momentum and confidence. The Friars have won four of the last, five both straight up and against the spread. And have dominated the Red Storm, taking the last three meetings going back a year. This does include an 83-80 win at home, approximately five weeks ago. Speaking of St. John’s, they are one of the worst teams in the conference at 4-10 in Big East action. Overall, they own a respectable 14-11 record. But this team has really struggled. Since mid-January, they have taken just one of the last six outings straight up, failing to cover all six. This team has become absolute point spread poison. On both sides of the court, they are outclassed. The Friars average over 78.4-points per game and are monsters on the offensive glass. They face a doormat of a defense in SJU. Granted, the Red Storm can score as well. But they’re playing a very tough, very frustrating Providence “D“. The road team has covered 10 of the last 14 meetings in this series. The Friars have covered 16 of the last 21 on the road, six of the last seven road games versus teams with a winning home record, and 13 of the last 16 overall. Meanwhile, St. John’s has only covered one of the last seven games played at the Carnesecca Arena. Take Providence. Thank you. |
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02-10-23 | New Mexico -6 v. Air Force | Top | 77-89 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
New Mexico Lobos. HIGH ROLLER Game of the Month. Game 891. 8:00 PM PST/11:00 PM EST. The Lobos finished 2022 as the last remaining unbeaten team in college basketball. Since the New Year began, they slid a bit splitting out their last 10 games. They are a respectable 19-5 overall, which includes a 6-5 mark in the Mountain West Conference. This team needs to get back on track right now if they’re going to make a run at the Big Dance. And what better opponent to face to do just that than the Falcons. They have taken three consecutive meetings over their conference rival straight up, winning by an average mark of 7.6-points per game. This does include an 81-73 home victory approximately two weeks ago. Air Force is absolutely atrocious. They are just 3-9 in conference action, enroute to an overall, 12-13 record. The last several weeks, things have gone from bad to worse for the team as they are currently riding a six-game straight up a losing streak in which they have failed to cover four of those six outings. New Mexico will light up the scoreboard this evening behind their 16th ranked scoring offense, which averages over 81.8-points per game. By the way folks, a major mismatch here is their 11th ranked field goal shooting squad (which hits 49% from the floor), matching up against the nations 206th ranked field goal percentage defense. Oh, by the way guys, the Falcons average over 15.4-points per game less. And on both sides of the court, they are outclassed on the boards here as well. The road team has covered seven of the last eight meetings in this rivalry. Take the Lobos. Thank you. |
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02-09-23 | Northwestern +5.5 v. Ohio State | 69-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Northwestern Wildcats. High Roller Play. Game 785. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. My friends, the Big 10 is wide open right now. Granted, Purdue sits atop the conference at 11-2 in league play. Then there are three teams tied for second place at 8-5 and then three more tied for third place at 7-5. One of those teams happens to be Northwestern, which have become quite bankable to us sports bettors, covering six of the last 10 overall. So far, this regular season, they’ve covered five of seven games as a true road team as well. They catch a hated rival struggling right now. Ohio State possesses the next to last poorest record in the Big Ten at 3-9 in conference action. Overall, they’re just 11-12, losing four in a row both straight up and against the spread. As a matter fact, since January 5, there are a dismal 1-9 both SU and ATS. The Buckeyes offense is basically nonexistent. And their defense is so overworked trying to compensate, come the second-half, they are getting fatigued. They have a strong frontcourt. However, they are significantly outclassed in the back court in this match up. This is also a huge revenge spot as they took down Northwestern back on New Year’s Day on the road, 73-57. By the way folks, they’ve only covered one of the last six games played versus teams with the winning percentage above .600. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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02-08-23 | Hofstra -6.5 v. Northeastern | 72-53 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Hofstra Pride. High Roller play. Game 659. 3:00 PM PST/6:00 PM EST. Tied for first place in the conference, Hofstra is playing some great basketball. They have won five straight en route to a 10-2 league record, and an overall mark of 17-8. Since the New Year began, this team has been money, covering nine out of 10 contests in 2023. This is a team, that on both sides of the court, that is far superior than their opponent this evening. Offensively, they ranked 26th in the nation, hitting 48% overall from the floor, and 46th in college basketball, hitting 37% from beyond the arc. This does not bode well as they face a Northeastern defense that possesses some of the ugliest defensive numbers in those categories. Not only that, but the Pride also own a very nasty and frustrating defense. While both teams are healthy, Hofstra has three starting guards, each averaging double-digits, and by far the best player on the floor in Aaron Estrada (21.6 PPG/5.5 RPG). The Huskies have failed to cover the last five games played at home and 29 of the last 43 games played overall. Hofstra has covered five of the last six games played on the road and five consecutive outings against teams with a straight up losing record. Take the Pride. Thank you. |
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02-07-23 | San Jose State +3.5 v. Fresno State | 62-70 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
San Jose State Spartans. Las Vegas Strip Move Play. Game 651. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. In all sincerity folks, I feel the wrong team is favored here. The Bulldogs haven’t won back-to-back games since the New Year began. They were also downed by the Spartans approximately one month ago on the road, 74-64. They possess a very lackluster offense that I feel will once again be completely shut down here tonight. In the first matchup, they were out rebounding, 33-22. I doubt very much that will change here this evening. They will not have the opportunity for too many second chance shots. Meanwhile, San Jose State will, owning the far superior boardsmen. To me that would be the major difference in this matchup. The Bulldogs are just 4-12 ATS the last 16 games played at home. Meanwhile, the Spartans are 12-4 ATS the last 16 games played on the road. Take San Jose State. Thank you. |
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02-07-23 | Rutgers +5 v. Indiana | 60-66 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Best Bet play. Game 601. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. Indiana comes in to this matchup tonight following Saturday’s victory over No. 1 Purdue. The Hoosiers are playing good basketball, there’s no question about that. But I feel in this situation they are due for a major letdown coming off the victory over the Boilermakers and also looking ahead to the next game against the Wolverines. The Scarlet Knights enter this matchup playing some great basketball as well. They have won and covered the last two outings with authority over the Golden Gophers and the Spartans. Rutgers took down Indiana in the first meeting, back at the beginning of December at home, 63-48. That gave them their sixth consecutive win and cover over their conference rival. While Indiana is playing some very good basketball, I just don’t feel anything will change in this outcome against one of the most frustrating and nastiest defenses in college basketball, which ranks fifth in points allowed and fourth in field-goal percentage allowed. They have also covered nine of the last 10 versus teams with a winning percentage above .600 and 10 of the last 13 games overall. Take the Scarlet Knights. Thank you. |
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02-05-23 | Fordham +4.5 v. Richmond | 58-68 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
Fordham Rams. Game 829. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Sports fans, the A-10 has some very good teams. And very quietly Fordham has become one of their best teams. The Rams sit in third place in the conference at 6-3, possessing an overall record of 18-4 on the campaign. This team is red-hot, winning five in a row, both straight up and against the spread. They face one of the poorest teams in the Atlantic 10. Richmond is towards the bottom of the barrel at 4-6 in league play, owning an overall 11-12 mark on the campaign. It’s true, they are significantly better at home than they are on the road. However, this team is definitely struggling, dropping fourth straight and six in a row against the number. As a matter fact, they are pointspread poison. They have not covered their last six attempts against teams with a winning percentage above .600. And have also failed to cover their last four games played at home inside the Robins Center. Statistically, on both ends of the court the Rams are just stronger. Quisenberry and Moore are one of the most exciting 1-2 punches in the conference. They are combining for 28.5 points per game, 10.3 rebounds per game, 4.8 assists per game, and 2.5 steals per game. I just don’t see anyone on the Spiders slowing this tandem down. Granted, Richmond does have Tyler Burton, who is a monster player. But they just don’t have the depth, nor the overall talent to compete in this one. The road team has covered nine of the last 11 meetings. Meanwhile Fordham has covered the last four on the road versus teams with the winning home record and four the last overall five games played as a visitor. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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02-04-23 | Pacific +13.5 v. BYU | 66-81 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Pacific Tigers. Late Bailout Play. Game 789. 6:00 PM PST. Guys, we all know that BYU defeated Pacific at the end of December, 69-49. But something changed following that loss. The Tigers started to get hot and started covering. That’s right folks, they have won five of their last eight straight up, and six of those eight against the spread. Meanwhile since the New Year began, the Cougars started to struggle. They have dropped five of eight straight up, and have split out those eight against the spread. Granted BYU possesses a little stronger of a defense. But they do have one major weakness defensively. And that is defending the “3“. And guess what guys? Pacific is one of the best in the nation from downtown, hitting just shy of 39% from beyond the arc. They can keep this game very close from the perimeter folks, that is for sure. The Tigers have covered seven of their last 10 on the road, four of their last five following an ATS win, and four of their last five games played on Saturday. Take Pacific. Thank you. |
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02-04-23 | Murray State +7.5 v. Indiana State | 56-99 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Murray State Racers. MVC Game of the Month. Game 681. 1:00 PM PST. Murray State has already taken down Indiana State a few weeks ago at home, 82-73. This is a team that’s running red-hot, winning four of their last six straight up, and five of those six against the spread. Granted, the Sycamores have won their last two straight up, and their last three ATS, but this team will hit a wall here today. I understand that on paper they possess a little stronger of an offense. But the Racers are deeper overall on both sides of the court. In addition, they possess a much bigger, much stronger, and much more talented front court. And that is where this game will be won. This is way too many points to give this team. I honestly feel that Indiana State should be maybe a one or a two-point favorite, and that is only because they are playing at home. Take the points with Murray State. Thank you. |
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02-04-23 | Texas v. Kansas State +1.5 | 69-66 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Kansas State Wildcats. ESPN TV winner. Game 700. 1:00 PM PST. These are certainly two of the best teams in the Big 12. And today, in this matchup, a share of first place is on the line. The Longhorns sit a top the Conference in first place coming into this game. But the Wildcats are one of four teams just a game back halfway through the Conference season. Kansas State devoured Texas in the first meeting, approximately one month ago on the road, 116-103. Now normally I would look to take the team seeking revenge in the matchup. However, playing Texas on the road against Kansas State at home would be a mistake. The Longhorns are 3-2 straight up away from home, while the Wildcats are a perfect 12-0 at the Bramlage Coliseum. And they certainly can’t be too thrilled about coming into this contest as an underdog in their own house. These two teams statistically match up pretty darn well. As a matter fact, on both sides of the court their numbers are very similar. But I do feel possessing the stronger front court, is going to significantly benefit K State here. The Longhorns are just 2-7 ATS their last nine games played on the road. The Wildcats are 5-0 ATS their last five games played at home. Take Kansas State. Thank you. |
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02-04-23 | Miami-FL +2 v. Clemson | 78-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
Miami-Florida Hurricanes. ACC Annihilator. Game 673. 12:00 PM PST. Guys, I am well aware of the fact Clemson owns the top spot in the Conference. I am also well aware of the fact Miami has alternated wins and losses in the New Year. But something we certainly cannot ignore, is the fact the Tigers are being overvalued, covering just three of their last seven outings. Meanwhile, the Hurricanes enter this matchup on a 7-3 ATS hot streak. They have taken the last two meetings straight up, and the last four against the spread. They certainly have the offensive prowess to dominate Clemson here, both on the boards, and on the scoreboard. This is a very healthy squad, possessing four double-digit scoring starters. By the way, Miami has covered 20 of their last 26 games played on the road. Take the Hurricanes. Thank you. |
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02-04-23 | Auburn +9.5 v. Tennessee | 43-46 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
Auburn Tigers. Shocker play. Game 649. 11:00 AM PST. There are three teams tied for second place in the SEC. And today, two of those teams square off. Auburn and Tennessee both sit at 7-2 and conference play (along with Texas A&M). Both teams are playing very good basketball. However, despite the Volunteers possessing one of the toughest defenses in college basketball, I just don’t see this team being this much of a favorite over a very tough and scrappy Tigers opponent. Auburn has taken six of the last seven meetings both straight up and against the spread. To be quite honest, the last two matchups were each settled by five-points. Tennessee might own a very good defense, but Auburn does too. They allow just 64.6-points per game, 39.4% shooting overall from the field, and a mere 27.8% from downtown. The underdog has covered five of the last seven meetings in this rivalry. The Tigers have covered their last four on the road. Take Auburn. Thank you. |
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02-03-23 | Boise State +6 v. San Diego State | Top | 52-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
Boise State. Best Bet. Game 883. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. My friends, this line is way off here. This should be a Pick ‘em or at most, the Aztecs should just be maybe a one-point favorite only because they are at home. These are the two best teams in the Mountain West Conference, tied for the top-spot in the League at 8-2. Overall, the Broncos own a little bit better of a record at 18-5, while the Aztecs are 17-5. A season ago, Boise State took all three meetings over San Diego State straight up covering two of the three. Interestingly enough, all three meetings were settled by a combined seven-points. These two teams play each other very tough, my friends. Offensively, they are very similar. But defensively the Broncos are much stronger. They rank 12th in the nation yielding just 60.7-points per game. They’re also 24th in field-goal percentage allowed and fourth in three-point percentage allowed. Both teams have had a few days off to rest and prepare. However, BSU certainly comes in here hotter, winning eight of the last nine straight up and six of the last eight against the spread, while SDSU is just 4-2 their last six straight up and have only covered five of their last 10 against the number. The underdog has covered the last four meetings in this rivalry. The Broncos have covered 20 of their last 26 on the road. Meanwhile, the Aztecs have only covered four of the last 14 at home. Take Boise State. Thank you. |
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02-02-23 | Michigan v. Northwestern -3 | 68-51 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Northwestern. LVSM play. Game 772. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. The Wildcats come into tonight’s contest possessing a 15-6 overall record and are tied for third in Big Ten play with a 6-4 mark. They were riding a three-game straight up and against the spread win streak prior to Tuesday night’s loss on the road at the Hawkeyes. They are in bounce ack mode here. I look for them to exact a bit of revenge here tonight as in the first meeting with the Wolverines, back in mid-January, they were downed on the road, 85-78. Now, Michigan has dominated the recent matchups, winning six in a row straight up, covering four of the six. But I think we can all agree these two teams are very different from past squads. The Wolverines are absolutely atrocious at 11-10 and sitting in sixth place in the Conference at 5-5. They’re also burning bettors on the road, failing to cover their last four as an away team. Overall, on the campaign they are just 1-4 straight up as a visitor. Oh, by the way folks, they’ve covered just once since January 4. Their once-feared defense has become a thing of the past, as they are now allowing over 70.4-points per game. The home team has covered seven of the last nine meetings in this rivalry. Take Northwestern. Thank you. |
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01-31-23 | Kansas State +7 v. Kansas | Top | 78-90 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
Kansas State Wildcats. BIG 12 GOM. Game 633. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. The seventh ranked Wildcats will look to take their first regular-season sweep over the eighth ranked Jayhawks in years. They took the first meeting at home in overtime just two weeks ago, 83-82. Granted, Kansas is a pretty darn good home team. But this year‘s Jayhawks squad has started to struggle. They’ve lost three of their last four overall straight up, and five of their last six overall against the spread. As far as us bettors are concerned, K State has been money, covering eight of their last nine contests coming into tonight’s matchup. This is way too many points to give a team that has covered 35 of their last 52 on the road, 10 of their last 11 against teams with a winning record, and their last four straight overall. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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01-30-23 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech | 77-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Sport fans, there is no better opponent to face to turn things around than Texas Tech, as Iowa State has struggled a bit lately. The Cyclones are currently still ranked No.12 in the nation prior to the new rankings coming out. This is a team that has dropped three of their last five games and needs to get back on track. They have also failed to cover their last three contests. They face a League rival in the Red Raiders, which has not won a single game in the Big 12 yet this season, going 0-8 in conference play. As a matter of fact, this they were riding an eight-game SU losing streak before Saturday’s win against LSU. These two met three weeks ago ago as the Cyclones took down the Red Raiders, 84-50. There is no reason to think that this outcome will be any different. ISU possesses a defense that will once again swarm and frustrate TTU defense. They rank 12th in the nation, allowing just 60.5-points per game and are one of the best on the defensive glass in college basketball today. I just don’t see the Red Raiders getting too many second-chance opportunities. Texas Tech has failed to cover the last four games played at home, 13 of their last 16 versus teams with the winning percentage of .600, and seven of the last nine overall. By the way folks, to favorite has covered eight of the last nine meetings in this rivalry. Take Iowa State. Thank you. |
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01-28-23 | Miami-FL +1.5 v. Pittsburgh | 68-71 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
Miami Hurricanes. OM PLAY. Game 693. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. With over 100+ college basketball games on the board Saturday, the oddsmakers overlooked this game and made a huge mistake. There is no way the ‘Canes should have opened up a small ‘dog against the Panthers. They have dominated in this rivalry, winning eight of the last 10 meetings straight up, covering seven of them. For starters, they are money as a visitor, riding a three-game ATS win streak, while Pitt has failed to cover their last three contests at home. The Panthers are without three top players, including their top-recruit, Johnson, and two starting forwards, Hugley and Jeffress. This is the contest, they will sorely miss those sidelined playmakers. Miami has the talent, the depth, and overall, better hustlers, which will result in more, assists, steals, blocks, and rebounds. The road team has covered the last four meetings in this series. The Hurricanes have covered 26 of their last 33 games played on the road. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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01-28-23 | Xavier +5.5 v. Creighton | Top | 67-84 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
Xavier Musketeers. GOM. Game 613. 9:15 AM PST/12:15 PM EST. Guys, the line is way off here as it should be closer to a pick ‘em or even maybe a -1 fav for Xavier. Atop the Big East and the No. 13 team in the nation, the Musketeers are confident, knowing they took down the Blue Jays earlier this month, 90-87, extending their dominance over their Conference rival for the fourth consecutive meeting, and for our purposes, four Ats covers in the last five matchups. Xavier devoured Creighton on the boards, 40-29. This time around, they will once again own the glass, possessing the bigger, stringer front court. Overall, they are healthier and deeper. The Musketeers have covered four of their last five on the road, 13 of their last 16 versus teams with a winning record, and six of their last eight overall. Take Xavier. Thank you. |
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01-26-23 | Arizona -4.5 v. Washington State | 63-58 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
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01-25-23 | Xavier +6.5 v. Connecticut | 82-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Xavier Musketeers. Big East GOW. Game 661. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. My friends, I don’t think Xavier is too happy coming into this matchup as the top team in the Big East at 8-1 in Conference play, being a big underdog against a League rival, which is just 5-5 in Conference action. Both teams tumbled a bit in the rankings following some recent losses. However, without a doubt, the Musketeers have shown they are a lot more consistent than the Huskies. They enter this matchup winning 12 of the last 13 straight up, covering nine of the last 14 outings. On the other hand, UConn is on a 2-5 straight up run and has only covered two of the last nine outings. These two teams met on December 31st as Xavier took down Connecticut at home 83-73. While the Huskies own a very solid defense, offensively I just don’t see them keeping pace with the eighth-ranked scoring unit in the nation. That’s right, Xavier accounts for over 84.1-points per game on 50.1% shooting overall from the floor, which does include just shy of 40% from downtown. This is a team that has also covered five of the last seven on the road. This is way too many points to give the Big East’s No. 1 team. Take Xavier. Thank you. |
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01-23-23 | Kansas +2.5 v. Baylor | 69-75 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Kansas Jayhawks. Game 871. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. At first glance, you’re supposed to play Baylor here. And I mean why not, they have won four in a row straight up, and are just a half-point away from covering all four of those outings. Kansas has failed to cover their last four outings, while dropping their last two straight up. Only once a season ago did the Jayhawks drop back-to-back games, and never did they let it go past that. This is a team steeped in pride, tradition, and talent. As a matter of fact, it is the last loss that truly compels me to side with them today. They took an embarrassing, 83-60 beat down at the hands of the Horned Frogs just two nights ago at home. You know folks they are 6-0 ATS the last six games played following a double-digit loss at home and 10-0 ATS the last 10 games played following a straight up defeat of 20 or more points. They have done pretty well against this conference rival against the number, covering four of the last five meetings. On both sides of the court these two teams match up pretty well. However, I look for KU to take advantage of their superior fire power offensively, against a BU defense that has allowed opponents to hit 33.2% from downtown and an overall 43.7% from the floor. The ‘dog has covered nine of the last 13 meetings in this series, while the road team has covered 25 of the last 36 matchups. Take Kansas. Thank you. |
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01-21-23 | Virginia v. Wake Forest +3.5 | 76-67 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons. Best Bet Play. Game 652. 11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST. Wake Forest has done quite well in this conference rivalry, covering the last three meetings with Virginia and winning the most recent, 63-55 approximately one year ago. They enter this matchup running red-hot, winning six of their last seven both straight up and against the spread. While the Cavaliers are a good team, no denying that, they are seriously overvalued by oddsmakers. They have only covered six of their 17 outings this season thus far. And while overall they sport a very good straight up record, most of their wins have come at home where they are 9-1. When they take to the road, they are just 3-2 straight up and have failed to cover the last two as a true road team. On the other hand, the Demon Deacons are a very good home team winning all 10 of their contests at the LJV Memorial Coliseum, covering the last four as host. While the Cavaliers certainly possess a very good defense, I just don’t think they can compensate for their lack of offense against Demon Deacons “O” that accounts for just shy of 78-points per game. Virginia has covered just three of their last 13 overall. Take Wake Forest. Thank you. |
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01-20-23 | Boise State +2 v. New Mexico | 79-81 | Push | 0 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
Boise State Broncos. Best Bet. Game 895. 8:00 PM PST/11:00 EST. Sports fans, I was talking about the Broncos at the end of December and saying how you should watch out for them pretty soon because come January, they usually start to really stride. Well, since the New Year began, this team is a perfect 5-0 straight up going 4-1 against the spread. I’m not looking to take away anything from New Mexico, which has amassed a 17-2 overall record. However, since League play began, this team has dropped a couple of games and they’ve had a tough time covering. They lost on the road at Fresno State and took a bad beating at home against UNLV, both games in which they were favored. Now since those defeats, they have rattled off three consecutive wins and covers. But I will tell you playing the conferences co-leading Broncos is a whole different monster folks. This is a team that has taken four consecutive meetings straight up and going back a bit, has covered seven of the last eight against the Lobos. While New Mexico possesses the backcourt of Mashburn Jr. and House, Boise State possesses six players either averaging or flirting with double-digit scoring. Not only that, but they’ve got a slew…and I mean a slew of stellar rebounders as well. I just don’t see the home team here competing on the boards at all. This will hurt him in transition. And to be honest with you guys, they already have their hands full trying to score on the 15th ranked scoring defense in the nation. Boise State has covered 19 of the last 26 on the road. Take the points with the Broncos. Thank you. |
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01-18-23 | Providence +7.5 v. Marquette | 75-83 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Providence. SD. Game 711. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Sports fans, sports betting is not about who wins, it is about who covers. I do feel Marquette is a slightly better team than Providence in this situation. Obviously, they’re playing at home and they score a few more points per game. However, the Fryers, on both sides of the court are superior on the boards. They ranked 15th in the nation on the offensive glass and 40th on the defensive glass. Not only that, but they have taken three of the last four meetings in this series straight up, including the last two. I think this is way too many points to give a very game team which has proven to us bettors that they are money, covering nine of the last 10 outings. By the way folks, they have covered the last five overall games played on the road as well. Take Providence. Thank you. |
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01-18-23 | Oklahoma +2.5 v. Oklahoma State | 56-72 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Oklahoma. BIG 12 GOW. Game 713. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. There is no doubt that when it comes to conference matchups, the teams know each other very well. In this case, the Sooners and the Cowboys know each other as well as they dislike one another. However, you cannot deny the fact that Oklahoma comes in here a little hotter, winning two of the last three straight up and four of the last six against the spread, while Oklahoma State has dropped their last three in a row, both straight up and against the number. Both teams are loaded with playmakers and scorers. And both are excellent on the defensive board. The best player on the floor, OU’s Grant Sheffield shines in games like this. The guard averages 17.6-points per game, 2.9-rebounds per game, and 3.5-assists per game. By the way, this team runs primarily with three forwards and two guards or four forwards and one guard. There is going to be a lot of physicality down in the paint. And they have the edge there for sure. The Sooners have covered seven of the last nine on the road, are 5-1 ATS the last six following an ATS loss, and 12-4 ATS the last 16 following a straight up win. Take Oklahoma. Thank you. |
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01-18-23 | Cincinnati -3.5 v. South Florida | 85-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Cincinnati. LVSM. Game 681. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Cincinnati enters this matchup winning 10 of their last 13 outings, both straight up and against the spread. On both sides of the court, they outclass South Florida. Offensively, they’re putting up just shy of 77-points per game. And defensively, they’re allowing just 67-points per game. It is on the defensive side which will give them a big victory here tonight as when the Bulls face solid defense of opposition, they fold like a cheap suit. The Bearcats possess a starting lineup of four double-digit scorers and one player averaging 9.6-points per game. They have an outstanding backcourt that will control the tempo and the pace of this match up. By the way, South Florida has only covered 13 of their last 40 games played at home. Take Cincinnati. Thank you. |
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01-18-23 | Florida v. Texas A&M -3.5 | 52-54 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Texas A&M. SEC GOW. Game 686. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Texas A&M has dominated Florida, winning and covering three consecutive meetings, including a January 4th, 66-63 away victory. As a matter of fact, the Aggies are one of only two undefeated teams in conference play in the SEC. They’re running red-hot right now, winning six in a row straight up and covering their last five. Meanwhile, the Gators have shown signs of life since that early January loss to today’s opponent, winning three in a row straight up and covering the last two. However, folks, they were supposed to win their last three games as they came in as favorites against the Conference rivals, Georgia Bulldogs, LSU Tigers, and Missouri Tigers. Both teams matchup quite well with one another as their statistics are almost mirror images of one another. But Texas A&M certainly has a bit more talent in their starting-five and without question, some of the bigger, stronger muscle down in the paint. They are also money to us sports bettors, covering and 22 of their last 30 games played overall. Meanwhile Florida is just 4-14 ATS the last 18 games played following straight up win, 3-8 ATS the last 11 road games played versus teams with a winning home record, and 6-16 Ats the last 22 game played versus teams with a winning record. Take the Aggies. Thank you. |
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01-18-23 | TCU +3 v. West Virginia | 65-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
It doesn’t happen often. But when it does, WE MUST MAKE THEM PAY! I have uncovered a MISTAKE made by the oddsmakers. So, I have my coveted 21-8 NCAAB ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE PLAY which are 100% in 2022/2023 season. TCU. OM. Game 691. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST My friends, for the life of me I can’t figure out how the 14-3 Horned Frogs, which bounced back after back-to-back losses for the first time this season, are an underdog against the 10-7 Mountaineers team, which has not won a game since before Christmas and has only covered once since early-December. This astounds me folks. I know the home team has covered nine of the last 11 meetings. But I think we can all agree that these teams this season are very different from recent teams. TCU comes into this match up with a very, very good defense. They will frustrate the West Virginia offense and force mistakes, folks. To make matters worse, WVU had second-half leads in three of their last five conference losses. That tells me a lot about how good they are and how good their coaching staff really is. There is no way they could contend with Horned Frogs on the boards in this matchup. Texas Christian has more than a few big men up front and they will dominate the glass here. By the way, they’re also 22-8-1 ATS the last 31 games played on the road. Meanwhile, the Mountaineers are just 0-4 ATS the last four games played at home. Take the Horned Frogs. Thank you. |
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01-17-23 | Georgia +11 v. Kentucky | 71-85 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
Georgia Bulldogs. Slam Dunk Play. Game 655. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Georgia is off to a wonderful start this season, going 13-4 overall, which does include a 3-1 mark in SEC play. They enter this matchup red-hot, winning six of the last seven straight up and seven of their last eight against the spread. They have covered six consecutive outings as an underdog and as of this morning, the line on this game is better than double-digits. They have had their way covering the last three in this conference rivalry. Speaking of double-digits, Kentucky has failed to cover their last six contests this season as a double-digit favorite. As a matter fact, the Wildcats are absolute point spread poison. They were riding a 10-game ATS no cover streak until Saturday’s big win on the road at the Volunteers, themselves as a double-digit underdog. I expect them to be in a big “let down” mode here as they face a very gritty Georgia team. The Bulldogs possess one of the stingiest and most frustrating defenses in the conference, let alone in the nation. They are allowing just 63.9-points per game. They are also a top-10 unit defending the perimeter, allowing a mere, 27.7% from beyond the arc. This is going to be a big problem for Kentucky, which heavily relies upon three-point shots. The Wildcats are 0-7-1 ATS the last eight games played at home, 1-7 ATS the last eight games played versus teams with a winning record, and 7-18-1 ATS the last 26 games played following a straight up win. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you. |
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01-15-23 | Ohio State v. Rutgers -3.5 | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Slam Dunk Play. Game 846. 11:15 AM PST/2:15 PM EST. Sports fans, the last two meetings in this rivalry have been decided by just one and two-points, as Rutgers has covered both (1-1 SU). Ohio State has lost and failed to cover three straight coming into this matchup. Two of those teams they have lost to, Purdue and Maryland, are two teams that Rutgers took wins and covers against this month alone. While the Buckeyes certainly own some better offensive numbers, the Scarlet Knights rank fourth in the nation in both points per game allowed and field goal percentage allowed, and eight in three-point percentage allowed. This is a very good defense that has held some very strong opponents to some low scoring affairs. Meanwhile Ohio State has only cover two of the last seven games played on the road and only one of the last six games played versus teams was a winning percentage above .600. On the other hand, the Scarlet Knights are 4-1 ATS the last five games played at home, 6-0 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning percentage over .600, and 6-1 ATS the last seven games played overall. Take Rutgers. Thank you. |
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01-15-23 | Northwestern +4.5 v. Michigan | 78-85 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
Northwestern Wildcats. Las Vegas Strip Move. Game 829. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Both teams are at 3-2 in conference play. However, Northwestern owns a much better overall record at 12-4 as opposed to Michigan’s, 9-7 mark. Both teams come off losses. But the Wolverines have lost back-to-back games, failing to cover their last two as well. While Michigan certainly puts up slightly better numbers offensively, Northwestern possesses one of the best defenses in the nation, ranking eleventh in points allowed (59.3 PPG) and 10th in field-goal percentage allowed (37.8%). The Wildcats will also get as many second-chance points as they wish facing the 322nd ranked Wolverines defensive rebounding core. Northwestern is 5-1 ATS the last six games played following and ATS loss. Take Northwestern. Thank you. |
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01-15-23 | St. John's +14.5 v. Connecticut | 85-74 | Win | 100 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
St. John’s Red Storm. Oddsmakers Mistake. Game 831. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. My friends, there is no way Connecticut should be laying these many points. As a matter fact, I have them winning, but only by seven or eight-points. The underdog has covered the last four meetings in this rivalry. And by the way, that has been St. Johns. They have covered four in a row and six of the last seven meetings with their conference rival. They enter this matchup covering their last two outings, while the Huskies have failed to cover five of their last six contests. Yes, both teams can score. And yes, UConn’s defense certainly has better numbers. But the SJU offense can put up just shy of 79-points per game, and they rank 10th in the nation on the offensive boards. This means they’re going to get a ton of second-chance shots. Listen, the Red Storm starting-five all either average or are flirting with double-digits. Way too many points to give a team that could put up a ton of points. Take St. Johns. Thank you. |