Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns

9:00 ET. July 17, 2021

4-Unit Best bet on the Milwaukee Bucks plus the points

I like making these types of underdogs a combination wager comprised of 80% of your normal 4-UNIT bet size on the line and 20% more on the money line. Over the course of a season, the money line bet will outperform the spread-only wager.

From my predictive models, the Bucks are expected to shoot better, and have the better assist-to-turnover ratio over the Suns. In past games, in which the Bucks met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to a remarkable 106-1 SU and 94-11-2 ATS for 90% winning bets over the last 3 seasons.

LA Clippers (56 - 33) At Phoenix (62 - 24)

Monday, 6/28/2021 9:00 PM

Western Conference - Conference Finals - Best Of 7 - Game 5

8-UNIT Best Bet on the Phoenix Suns minus the points

Betting on home favorites of 3 to 9 points and are coming off a game in which they held the opponent to 35% or worse shooting in games played over the last five seasons has earned a 31-6 SU record and 29-8 ATS for 78% winning bets. The UNDER is a solid 23-14 record for 62.2% wins. 

The predictive models and machine learning applications predict that Phoenix will score at least 112 points and make at least 85% of their free throws. In past home games, in which the Suns met or exceeded this pair of measures has produced a 22-11 ATS record for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. 

Phoenix vs LA Clippers

Game – 4 of the Western Conference Finals

Saturday, 6/26/2021 9:00 PM EST

5- UNIT Best Bet on the Clippers using the money line.

Bet on home teams that are facing a foe that has covered 8 or more of their last 10 games and is playing only their 4th game in the past 10 games has earned a 26-14 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the last five seasons and a remarkable 10-3 ATS for 77% in the playoffs. 

Phoenix is 4-16 ATS off a loss by 10 or more points to a divisional rival in games played over the last 3 seasons. 

From the predictive side of things, the Clippers are 50-11 ATS for 82% winning bets in home games when scoring 112 or more points and having a better 3-point shooting percentage than their opponent.  

Atlanta vs Milwaukee

8:30 PM EST, 6-25-21

NBA 4-UNIT Best Bet on the Milwaukee Bucks

Atlanta does not fare well against teams, like Milwaukee, who defend the perimeter to contest shots, and not look to clog the passing lanes looking for steals. The Hawks are just 8-21 ATS in road games when facing a team that averages 14 or fewer forced turnovers-per-game in games played over the last two seasons. 

Betting on favorites that are revenging a previous loss installed as a favorite of 7 or more points and is now facing an opponent that is coming off two or more upset wins has earned an outstanding 55-23 ATS mark good for 71% winning bets over the last 20 NBA seasons. When this situation has occurred in the playoffs, the record has been 20-6 SU, 17-9 for 65% ATS, and the UNDER 18-8. 

Bet the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points.

Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers

Game-5 Eastern Conference Playoffs

7:30 PM EST, June 16, 2021

4-unit Best Bet on the 76ers minus the points

Embiid is expected to play tonight and I recommend making this bet about 10-minutes prior to game time. Another option, which is what I will do, is bet 50% of my normal 4% amount at 4:00 ET and then look to add 25% in-game at 76ers +3.5 and then 25% 76ers at pick-em. Another in-game strategy is bet the 76ers line after the Hawks score 10 or more unanswered points. All of the these betting strategies are valid just for the first-half.

Atlanta shot 37% from the field in their 103-100 win in Game-4. Note that road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that shot less than 40% in the previous game which they won are just 10-34 SU and 17-27 ATS for 38% and 27-17 UNDER. Not a recommendation for the UNDER on my part.

Philadelphia will get it done in game-5 no matter how many minutes Embiid plays tonight.

My machine learning models predict that the 76ers will score at least 117 points. The implied final score based on a 224 point total and the 76ers favored by 7 points is a 76ers 116-108 home win. In past home games in which the 76ers scored at least 115 points and had more fast break points than their guest did has earned an incredible 42-3 SU record, 37-8 ATS mark for 82% winning bets and 32-13 to the OVER.

Milwaukee vs Brooklyn         

Saturday, 6/5/2021 7:30 PM

4-UNIT Best Bet on the Brooklyn Nets

Let’s start with a betting angle that has earned a solid 64-33 record for 66% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to be on home teams (Nets) in a matchup of winning record teams and now facing an opponent has covered the spread in their last three games installed as a favorite.

The Nets are 30-14-1 ATS when facing an opponent that is making at least 46% of their shot attempts on the season in this season. They are also 35-16-2 ATS this season when facing a team that is scoring at least 112 PPG (League Average).

The machine learning applications predict that the Nets will score at least 115 points in this game. The Bucks are just 15-33 SU and 7-41 ATS in road games and have allowed at least 115 points spanning games played over the last three seasons.

BROOKLYN (50 - 25) at BOSTON (38 - 38)          

Sunday, 5/30/2021 7:00 PM

NBA 4-UNIT Best Bet on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points

Betting on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points and with that opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points has earned a highly profitable 42-11 SU and 37-14-2 ATS record good for 73% winning bets over the last 20 seasons.

Brookyln is 32-17 ATS (+1370 per $100 bet) when facing teams scoring at or above the NBA League average of 112 or more points-per-game this season. Boston is just 4-18 ATS (-1550 per $100 bet) when facing teams who average 7 or fewer steals-per-game this season. Plus, Boston is just 7-22 ATS in home games facing defensive teams forcing 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game in the second half of each of the last three seasons.

Take the Brooklyn Nets minus the points.

SATURDAY, MAY 29TH, 2021 9:30 PM ET

Game 3: Series tied 1-1

Jazz @ Grizzlies

FedExForum, Memphis, TN

8-UNIT Best Bet on the Utah Jazz minus the points

This series is tied at 1-game a piece, but Utah is clearly the much better team in this matchup with the Grizzlies. What I like most, is that the Jazz have produced a 0.31 free throw to field goal attempt ratio. This means that they are taking 31% of the total field goals attempted over the first two games, and means they are getting to the charity stripe at a high rate. The Jazz will look to get this ratio to an evem higher level, which puts the Grizzlies in potential foul trouble in the first half. The Grizzlies are not nearly as deep as the Jazz and it will be a monumental advantage to the Jazz if they make more free throws than the Grizzlies.

From the predictive side of things, the ML models project that the Jazz will shoot at least 48% from the field and make at least 20 free throws. Over the past three seasons, playoff teams that have met or erxceeded these performance measures have earned a 48-8 SU record and 42-12 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets over the last three playoff seasons.

Bet the Utah Jazz as a 8-UNIT Best Bet minus the points.

SATURDAY, MAY 29TH, 2021 4:00 PM ET

Game 4: DEN leads series 2-1

Nuggets @ Trail Blazers

Moda Center, Portland, OR

4-UNIT Best Bet on the Denver Nuggets plus the points and sproinkle a bit more on the money line.

Denver, despite its injuries, took back home court with a win in Game 3 Thursday night in Portland. The Trail Blazers went ice-cold from beyomd the arc in their 120-115 loss, shooting 14-for-45, and the Nuggets took advantage by having made the defensive adjustments they did for Gasme-3. I do not see Portland being able to offset the adjustments that Denver made in game-3 and they are expected to lose this game at home. With a Game-4 win, Denver then will have a home elimination game for Game-5.

Denver has gotten the usual stellar performance from MVP favorite Nikola Jokic, but it has been the role players who have given the Nuggets an edge in the series. Campazzo nearly had a triple-double in Game 3 (11 points, eight rebounds and eight assists) and took a borderline charge on Nurkic, who fouled out in the fourth quarter. Campazzo is a 30-year-old NBA rookie who has been thrust into a starting role with injuries to Murray, Will Barton and PJ Dozier, and he has responded extremely well.

Denver has excellent ball movement and Portland is just 18-32 ATS in home games when facing teams averaging 23 or more assists-per-game over the last two seasons. Denver is 12-4 ATS in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games this season. Portland is 4-12 ATS in home games after a combined score of 215 points or more over two straight games this season.

From the predictive side of my machine learning apps, Denver is expected to score at least 115 points in this game. In road games installed as an underdog, the Nuggets have earned a 10-7 SU record and 13-4 ATS record good for 77% winning bets over the last three seasons.

Bet the Denver Nuggets as a 4-UNIT best bet plus the points and sprinkle a bit on the money line too.

WASHINGTON (35 - 40) at PHILADELPHIA (50 - 23)    

Wednesday, 5/26/2021 7:00 PM

Game-2 of the First Round

10-UNIT Best Bet on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points.

The 76ers are a solid 22-13-1 ATS in home games and facing a team that is averaging 112 or more PPG in games played over the last two seasons. Wizards are 18-35 ATS in road tilts after having lost two of their last three games spanning the last three seasons. 76ers are a highly profitable 16-6 ATS in home games coming off an ATS loss and with a total of 220 or more points over the last two seasons.

A lot of negative news out about how poorly he played on the offensive end down the stretch. He did have 15 rebounds and 15 assists BUT did go 0-for-6 from the charity stripe. However, the 76ers are 55-38-2 for 59% following a game in which Ben Simmons made no more than one free throw. The 76ers are 25-14 ATS for 64% winning bets coming off a game in which Ben Simmons scored fewer than 10 points and 16-8 ATS in home games coming off a game in which Ben Simmons scored less than 10 points. 76ers are a remarkable 21-4 ATS for 84% winning bets in home games and coming off a home game in which Ben Simmons had 10 or more assists. Including, 14-1 SU and ATS coming a home game getting at least 10 assists and now his team is at home installed as a favorite of 4.5 to 9.5 points.

My models are predicting that the 76ers will score at least 118 points and make at least 33% of their 3-point shot attempts. In past games, when the 76ers met or exceeded these performance measures, they have earned an outstanding 43-4 SU and 33-14 ATS record good for 71% winning bets over the past three seasons.

Take the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points. 

Washington Wizards vs Philadelphia 76ers

1:00 PM EST, May 23, 2021

4-UNIT Best Bet on the Philadelpphia 76ers

This is the first of many Best Bets in NBA, MLB, and the NHL for Sunday. So, please stop back to get the complete card including a top-rated 5-Unit Game of the Month. All bets will be released by Noon ET.

Here are a few of the situational angles that support the 76ers. They are 21-11 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season; 24-11 ATS in home games facing faster-paced teams averaging 88 or more shots-per-game over the last two seasons.

Betting on home favorites of 2.5 to 9.5 points that are hosting a team they previously defeated by double-digits and with that opponent coming off a double-digit home win has earned a 140-91-5 ATS record good for 60% winning bets over the last 25 seasons.

From my predictive models, the 76ers are expected to score at least 120 points and have the better assists-to-turnover ratio in this game. In past home games, when the 76ers have met or exceeded these performance measures, has produced a 35-12 ATS record good for 75% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets
Saturday, 5/22/2021 8:00 PM

Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1

4-UNIT Best Bet on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points

The Celtics lost all three games to the Nets this season and none of the losses had the star trio of Harden, Durant, and Irving on the floor at the same time. They will be playing only the ninth game together and have played just 203 total minutes together in games played this season. The Celtics are without their best player in Jaylen Brown and all signals point to a best double-digit win.

Betting on home teams that have posted three consecutive games with a 2.5 or better assist-to-turnover ratio and facing an opponent that has a season-to-date assist-to-turnover ratio below 2.0 has earned an outstanding 18-9-1 ATS record for 67% winning bets over the last three seasons.

The betting lines ikmply a 119-111 Nets win and the predictive models that I have developed over more than two decades see a high probability that the Nets will score at least 117 points in this game. When scoring 117 or more points in home games, the Nets are 40-10 SU, 34-15-1 ATS for 69% winning bets over the last three seasons. When allowing 117 or more points in road games, the Celtics are a horrid 3-26 SU, 4-24-1 ATS for 14% in games played over the last three seasons.

Memphis vs Golden State
Sunday, 5/16/2021 3:30 PM
4-UNIT Best Bet on the Golden State Warriors

The clubs enter the game with identical 38-33 records, tied for eighth in the West, meaning the winner will earn the No. 8 seed and a road game Wednesday against the seventh-seeded club (either the Los Angeles Lakers or Portland), while the loser will host 10th-place San Antonio as the No. 9 seed.

Warriors are 17-8 ATS wehen facing a team that averages at least 88 shot attempts-per-game this season; 16-7 ATS when facing teams allowing more than the NBA League average of 112 PPG this seasdon.

Betting on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after successfully covering the spread in two oir more consecutive games, and with both teams in the matchup having win percentages between 50 and 60% on the season has earned a 57-28 ATS record good for 68% winning bets over the last five seasons.

Minnesota vs Utah
9:00 PM ET, April 24, 2021

4-Unit Best Bet on the Utah Jazz minus the points.

We are on a double-digit favorite tonight in the NBA action which is rare, but always reinforced by a multitude of facts. I will detail just a few of these facts that support Utah to win this game by at least 18 points.

Minnesota is just 13-26 ATS when facing a strong opponent that is outscoring their opponents by at least three or more points-per-game on the season; 16-27 ATS when facing a team averaging 111 or more PPG (NBA League Average is 111 PPG) this season. Utah is an outstanding 14-3-1 ATS when facing a team with a terrible defensive presence that is allowing opponents to make 48% or more of their shots from the field in games played this season; 21-9 ATS when facing a poor team that has been poutscored by their opponents by at least six PPG on the season.

From the complete analytical research, I am expecting the Jazz to score at least 115 points have the better, and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past home games in which Utah met or exceeded these performance measures has seen them go on to an outstanding 21-3 ATS record for 88% winning bets over the last three seasons.

Bet the Utah Jazz as a 4-UNIT Best Bet minus the points.

Toronto vs New York
1:00 PM EST, April 24, 2021

4-UNIT best Bet on the Toronto Raptors plus the points or the money line.

The betting line is at pick-em for the game at Madison Square Garden, so simply bet either the line or the money line with the lowest vig.  Shop around and you will get a line that is not paying more than -110 vig.

Toronto has suddenly won four consecutive games and are playing at a high level and facing a New York Knicks team that has been white hot, but vulnerable to regression in this matchup.

In this matchup, I think you will see Toronto score at least 110 points and make more 3-pointers than the Knicks. In past road games in which Toronto met or exceeded these measures has seen them go on to earn an outstanding 55-8 SU, and 49-13-1 ATS for 79% winning bets over the past seasons.

Bet the Toronto Raptors as a 4-Unit best Bet

New Orleans ve NY Knicks

1:00 PM EST, April 17, 2021

4-Unit Best Bet on the New Orleans Pelicans plus the points.

Currently, the betting line has the Pelicans installed as a 1-point underdogs and there is positively no value in betting the money line, unless you are getting even-money or as in the case at Pinnacle (+102). So, if unless you are getting +100 or better money, stick with the 1-point spread.

Here is a great NBA Betting system that has earned a 92-56-2 ATS record over the past five seasons. The requirements are to bet on any team that lost the matchup to the current opponent, and is coming off two consecutive upset losses installed as favorites. Filtering only games that are lined within 3.5 points on either side of pick-em returns a 28-16 ATS record for 64% winning bets over the last five seasons.

Philadelphia vs Cleveland
7:00 PM EST, April 1, 2021

4% Best Bet on the 76ers -10 points

The 76ers are tied on top of the Eastern Conference standings with the Brooklyn Nets. They have lost 3 consecutive games on two occasions this season and will avert a third such occurrence tonight. They are ending their 6-game road trip and will look to return home with the possibility of Joel Embiid being able to return to the lineup.

Cleveland is 7-19 ATS when facing a winning record team this season. The 76ers are an excellent rebounding team. Cleveland is just 11-30 ATS when facing a team that is outrebounding their opponents by an average 3 or more per game. 76ers head coach Doc Rivers is 53-27 ATS for 67% winning bets in his career following a game in which his team had been outrebounded by 15 or more boards.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that the 76ers are 66-9 SU and 57-17-1 ATS for 77% winning bets when scoring 111 or more points (league scoring average the last three seasons) and having the better assist-to-turnover ratio than their opponent spanning the last three seasons.

Philadelphia vs Denver
9:00 PM EST, March 30, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Philadelphia 76ers

This is a MONEY LINE Betting System that has posted a losing record of 103-182 for 36% winning money line bets, but has made the $100 bettor a profit of $7,777 over the last 5 seasons.
The system has averaged a +245 underdog wager.

Bet on road underdogs using the money line that is facing a host, who is outscoring their opponents by a minimum of 3 PPG, and are coming off three consecutive games in which 220 or more points were scored.

If the DOG covered the spread, they the game straight-up 54% of the time.

Let me know if you have any questions and TY for putting it together.

So, I recommend betting this game using 80% of your normal 4% bet size on the spread and then the 20% remaining bet on the money line.

76ers are 18-5-1 ATS when facing a solid shooting team making at least 46.5% of their shots in game splayed this season. They are also 19-10-2 ATS when facing teams that are averaging 110 or more PPG this season. Since February 21, the 76ers are 11-1 in this role.

Cleveland vs Utah

9:00 PM EST, March 29, 2021

4% best bet on the Cleveland Cavs +15.5 points

Betting on double-digit underdogs, after game number 41, in a matchup of the tale of two teams, with the favorite having outscored their opponents by 7 or more PPG, and the underdog being outscored by 7 or more PPG, has earned a highly profitable 63-45-2 ATS for 58.3% winning bets over the last 25 seasons and 21-9 ATS for 75% last five seasons. 

Atlanta vs Denver

9:00 PM EST, March 28, 2021

4% Best Bet on the Atlanta Hawks +4.5 points and sprinkle a bit more on the money line. 

I plan to bet this game on the Hawks with 85% of my 4% bet size on the line and then 15% of my 4% bet size on the money line.  

These two teams last played in Atlanta, who defeated Denver 123-115 as 2.5-point home underdogs. Denver is 2-10 ATS revenging a road loss this season. They are also just 3-12 ATS in home games after scoring 100 or more points in back-to-back games spanning the past two seasons. 

From the machine learning applications, we learn that Atlanta is 47-15 and 46-14- 2 ATS for 77% winning bets, in road games, scoring 111 or more points, and had previously defeated the opponent at home.

Portland vs Orlando
8:00 ET, March 26, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Portland Trailblazers

Let’s start with a highly profitable betting system that supports making a bet on Portland. The system has earned a 78-20 SU record and 65-31-2 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are to bet on road favorites of 3.5 or more points that are coming off back-to-back games in which they allowed 100 or more points and are now facing a host that is coming off a win of three or fewer points. Plus, if the host has lost 65% or more of their games, then the record improves to 25-10-1 ATS for 70% winning bets.

The last time Orlando played Portland ended with a 106-97 road and ATS loss on February 9. Orlando is just 10-31 ATS revenging a road loss in games played over the last two seasons.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that Portland is a highly profitable 33-9 SU and 31-9-2 ATS for 78% winning bets when scoring 111 or more points and having the better assists-to-turnover ratio in road games played over the last five seasons.

Dallas vs Minnesota
8:00 PM EST, March 24, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Dallas Mavericks –8 points

Dallas is beginning to look like the playoff-bound team I thought they would be before the season started. Doncic is averaging career-highs scoring 29 PPG and adding 9.2 assists-per-game. However, it has been their improved defense recently that has driven to their 22-19 record.

Minnesota is 35-64 ATS when facing an opponent that is averaging at least 18 or more 3-point shot attempts-per-game over the last two seasons and the same record facing opponents that make at least six 3-point shots-per-game.

Betting on road favorites that are coming off a monster win of 20 or more points and facing an opponent that has scored and allowed 100 or more points in each of their last three games has earned a 46-19-2 ATS record for 71% winning bets over the last five seasons, is 7-3 in the 2020 season, and has gone 4-1 ATS in March.

Philadelphia vs Golden State
10:00 PM EST, March 23, 2021
4% Best bet on the 76ers -4 points

Although Stephen Curry and his brother, Seth, have each missed the passed two games and are considered questionable to play Wednesday, they are on the schedule to go head-to-head Tuesday night for the 14th time in their NBA careers when the Golden State Warriors host the Philadelphia 76ers.

Meanwhile, big men James Wiseman and Joel Embiid will have to wait on their first duel. However, the 76ers have played very well without Embiid in the lineup and is projected to return to action next week.

The 76ers are coming off a 1-point POT road win against the New York Knicks. They are installed as favorites in this matchup. Betting on favorites coming off a road overtime win and now are installed as road favorite have earned a solid 31-15-1 ATS record for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. If the road favorite, which is the 765ers, has won 60% or more of their games, the record soars to 18-7 for 72% winning bets.

Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets
9:00 PM EST, March 17, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Denver Nuggets -6.5 points

An outstanding betting system is on Denver tonight and has earned an 96-43-2 ATS record good for 69.1% winning bets over the last seven seasons. The requirements are to bet on home favorites of 9.5 or fewer points that are coming off an ATS win and in matchup of teams that have won between 51 and 60% of their games on the season. Plus, a subset that filters if the favorite lost to the spread the last time they played the current opponent has earned a 48-14 ATS record for 77% winning bets.

Charlotte is just 10-21 ASTS in games with a total between 220 and 229.5 points in games played over the last two seasons.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that Denver is 18-4 ATS in home games when they have shot 50% from the field and 40% or better from beyond the arc in games played over the last three seasons.

Milwaukee vs Philadelphia
7:00 PM EST, March 17, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Philadelphia 76ers + 6 points.

I also recommend a sprinkle on the money line. I bet these dogs with 85% of normal 4% bet amount using the line (Spread) and then using the remaining 15% on the money line. Over the course of the NBA season, you will definiltey increase the ROI and profits.

Bet on home teams using the money line that are coming off a hard fought home win, but did not cover the spread and are playing their fifth game in the past week has earned an incredible 33-4 SU record for 89% winning bets.

Milwaukee has been a money-burning 7-23 ATS in road game facing good shooting teams that are making at least 46% of their shots in games played over the last two seasons. 76ers are 9-1 ATS in home games and facing an guest that is a dominant team outscoring their opponents by at least 6 points-per-game.

Atlanta vs Houston
8:00 PM EST, March 16, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Houston Rockets + 8.5 points and sprinkle a bit more on the money line.

The Hawks improved to 3-0 under McMillan with their 100-82 victory over the Cleveland Cavaliers on Sunday and will look to extend their season-long winning streak when they visit the Houston Rockets on Tuesday. This game, may see them extend the win streak to 4-games, but do not cover the spread. Morevoer, this is a situation, where a Houston would not surprise me in the least.

Atlanta is 9-20 ATS in road games facing teams that are allowing 110 or more points-per-game.

Betting on underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 12 or more of their last 15 games and facing a team that has covered the spread in three or more of their last four games has earned a 75-29 ATS record good for 72% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. Atlanta is just 3-14 ATS after covering four or five of their last 6 games spanning the last two seasons.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors
10:30 PM EST, March 15, 2021
4% Best bet on Golden State +2 points. Sprinkle the momney line only if the spread reaches 3 or more points.

The Warriors stopped a four-game losing streak with a big-time win over Western Conference leading Jazz, 131-119 as a 7.5 point underdog. Lakers have lost six of their last nine games, and two of their last three.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that the Warriors are 22-3 ATS for 88% winning bets when they have scored 111 or more points and had the better and more efoicient assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the last five seasons.

Milwaukee vs Washington
7:00 PM EST, March 15, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Milwaukee Bucks -8 points

This is the second consecutive metting between these teams. On Saturday, Washington’s Russell Westbrook had a triple-double, and made a 3-pointer to tie the game at 119-119, but Milwaukee scored the finals six points to secure the win. The Wizards will be short-handed again playing with out Beal and Bertans, who is fourth on the team in scoring at 11.3 PPG. Washington has four players scoring in double-digits and will be without two of them and Beal is the NBA scoring leader. Beal may play, but I doubt he will be better than 90% of his usual self.

Betting on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points, who are outscoring their opponents by at least 6 PPG and are coming off a game that they allowed 115 or more points has earned a solid 52-26 ATS record for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that Milwaukee is an outstanding 79-6 SU and 71-14 ATS for 84% winning bets when they have scored at least 111 points, made 48% or more of their field goal attempts, and had at least five more rebounds than their opponents in games played over the last ten seasons. 47-13 ATS for 78.3% in games played over the last three seasons.

Indiana vs Phoenix
10:00 PM EST, March 13, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Phoenix Suns -7 points

Bettinng on home teams that are on a five or more-game win streak and have won 60 to 70% of their games on the seasons and facing an opponent that has won 40 to 49% of their games on the seasons has earned a 25-4 SU record and 19-8-2 ATS for 70.4% winning bets over the last ten seasons. If the home team we are betting on also defeated this opponent in the last matchup, the record soars to an incredible 21-2 SU and 18-4-1 ATS for 82% winning bets.

From the machine learning applications we are informed that Phoenix is 42-19 SU and 46-15 ATS for 75.4% winning bets when scoring 111 or mor epoints and shooting at least 48% from the field in games played over the last three seasons.

Denver vs Memphis
8:00 PM EST, March 12, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Denver Nuggets

Betting on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are coming off a previous ATS win and with both they and their opponent sporting win precentages between 50 and 60% on the season has made 72.3% winners onm an 81-3-2 ATS record.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that Denver is 44-21-2 ATS when scoring at least 111 points in games played over the last three seasons.

Utah Jazz vs Philadelphia 76ers
Well Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA
7:00 PM EST, March 3, 2021
4% NBA Best Bet on the 76ers +3.5 points and sprinkle a bit on the money line.

The best in the West takes the best in the East and is the last game for each team ahead of the All-Star break.  The 76ers lost inexplicably lost to the Cleveland Cavs, but bounced back with their best team performance of the season. The Sixers played a stellar all-around game in a 130-114 win over the visiting Indiana Pacers on Monday. Shake Milton gave Philadelphia a spark off the bench with 26 points versus the Pacers. Joel Embiid added 24 points and 13 rebounds, Furkan Korkmaz contributed 19 points and Ben Simmons had 18 in a balanced effort. The bench posted a season-best 67 points as the Sixers improved their home record to an Eastern Conference-best 15-3.

76ers are 20-4 ATS in home gamesd when facing explosive teams that are scoring 110 or more points-per-game ovcer the last two seasons.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that the 76ers are 30-1 SU and 26-5 ATS for 84% winning bets in home games when they have scored 111 or more points and held their opponent to 35% shooting from beyond the arc in games played over the last three seasons.

Minnesota vs Washington

7:00 PM EST, February 27, 2021

4% NBA Best Bet on Minnesota +4.5 points and add a sprinkle using the money line. 

Betting on underdogs coming off three consecutive road losses and installed as a 3 to 9.5 point underdogs and facing a non-conference host have earned a 40-16-2 ATS record for 71.4% winning bets over the last seven seasons. Plus, if the the road underdog is on the road again, the record improves to an amzing 23-4-2 ATS for 85% winning bets. 

From the machine learning applications and projections for this ganme, we learn that Minneosta is 25-1 SU and 24-2 ATS for 92.3% winning bets when they have scored 111 or more points, had fewer turnovers than their opponent, and held that opponent to 45% or lower shooting in games played over the last five seasons.

Sacramento Kings vs Detroit Pistons

8:00 ET, February 26, 2021

4% Best Bet on the Sacramento Kings -1 point. I do not see any value in making this a money line bet. 

Betting on teams that are playing on back-to-back nights and have lost three consecutive road games straight-up has earned a 24-21 SU record and 35-9-1 ATS record for 79.5% winning bets over the last five seasons. The system tells us to bet Sacramento. 

If the current game is another road game for the ailing road warriors, and they defeated this opponent in the last matchup, the record goes to 16-2 ATS for 89% winning bets over the last five seasons. Sacramento is on the road and did defeat Detroit in their last matchup.

This is the fifth and final road game for the Kings, who have been losers of nine straight games and to the spread. Since 1995, there have been 21 teams, who have gone on a SU and ATS 9 or more-game losing streak. These teams have gone 12-9 ATS for 57% and drilling down to filter only road games, the record is 7-4 ATS for 64% winners. 

From the machine learning applications, we are informed that Sacramento is expected to score at least 111 points. The Kings are 45-20-2 ATS for 69% winners over the past five seasons when scoring 111 or more points in a road game. The Pistons are 16-37 ATS for 30% winning bets in home games in which they allowed 111 or more points. 

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Washington Wizards vs LA Clippers
Staples Center, Los Angeles, CA
10:00 PM EST, Washington Wizards +12 points

Betting on road underdogs that have won 25 to 35% of their games on the season and coming off a road win, now facing a host with a winning record. When the game in question occurs after the 15th game of the regular season, the record soars to 51-15-2 ATS for 77% winning bets. If the game is after game number 25, the record then goes to a money-making 43-10-2 ATS machine for 81.1% winning bets.

I was on the Wizards last night in their road upset win over the Lakers and I see no reason not to back them again tonight. They are playing on back-to-back nights, but with no travel since the Lakers and Clippers both play home games at the Staples Center. The Clippers are playing their eighth game in the past 14 days and will have fatigue issues of their own. More important is their 5-game win and ATS win streak.

From the machine learning applications we are informed that the Wizards are 39-14-1 ATS for 74% winning bets in road games, scoring at least 111 points and having the better assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the last five seasons.

Philadelphia vs Toronto

7:00 PM EST, February 21, 2021

4% Best Bet on the 76ers -3.5 points

The 76ers ended their 3-game losing streak with two solid wins. They defeated Chicago 112-105 and were led by Joel Embiid’s career-best 50-point game and has played eight games scoring 30 or more points and get 10 or more rebounds this season. The 76ers played without Ben Simmons, who was suffering from the stomach flu. He scored a career-best 42 points, including 12 assists, and nine rebounds, in the loss to the Utah Jazz Monday. So, the 76ers are emerging as a powerful force to be reckoned with in the NBA’s Eastern Conference.

Toronto’s defense will not hold up against the 76ers attack. Toronto is 10-24 ATS in home games (even this game is in Tampa)  with a total between 220 and 229.5 spanning the last three seasons. This season, the 76ers are 11-2-1 ATS after having won two of their last three games. Toronto is also 73-118 ATS in home games in which both they and their opponent score 105 or more points. 

From the machine learning applications, we will be expecting the 76ers to score at least 111 points and attempt at least 88 shots. In past games installed as a favorite, the 76ers are 63-7 SU and 50-18-2 ATS for 74% winning bets when they met or exceeded those performance measures. 

Miami vs LA Lakers
8:30 PM EST, February 20, 2021
4% Best Bet on Miami +3.5 points and sprinkle a bit on the money line as long as your spread line is 3.5 or more.

For starters, the Lakers are a money-losing 12-3-3 ATS facing struggling teams that are getting outscored by 3 or more-PPG spanning the last three seasons. Plus, they are a miserable22-46-1 ATS in non-conference games over the last three seasons. Miami is 22-8-1 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in four or more of their last six games spanning the last three seasons.

The betting line of -3.5 and a total of 208 points implies a final score of 106-102 Lakers win. The machine learning applications predict that Miami will score at least 101 points and will make at least 14 3-point shots. When Miami has mewt or exceeded these performance measures, they have earned an outstanding 31-13-1 ATS in road games spanning the last five seasons.

Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse, Cleveland, Ohio

7:00 PM EST, February 19, 2021

10-UNIT Best Bet on Cleveland +8.5 points

Let’s start with an outstanding betting system that supports the predictions from my machine learning applications. Betting on home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a losing record, that are coming off three consecutive road losses, and now facing a non-conference foe has earned an outstanding 36-12-2 ATS record good for 75% winning bets over the last seven seasons. These dogs have also earned a highly profitable 29-21 SU record good for 58% winning money line wagers.

So, I suggest betting this game by placing 80% of your 5% bet amont using the line and 20% of your 5% bet amount using the money line.

Drummond has left the Cleveland team and ends a highly toxic situation in the locker room. That is good news and so is the fact that Five-time All Star Kevin Love returned to practice Thursday, but is not likely to play tonight. Despite a 10-19 record overall, they are 7-7 in home games, and have the seventh-best fast break averaging 13.4 PPG. Two players have stepped up for Cleveland over the last 10 games. Cedi Osman is taking more 3’s and is averaging 11.5 PPG amnd making 34% from beyomd the arc. Jarrett Allen is shooting 61.5% and averaging 13.7 PPG in his last 10 games. He will be a formidable presence in the paint tonight knowing that Cleveland ranks best in the NBA averaging 54.5 PPG in the paint.

The Cleveland defense ranks 3rd averaging 15.7 forced opponent turnovers-per-game and this too will be a huge factor in getting the upset win.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that Cleveland is 11-9 SU and 14-6 ATS for 70% winning bets as a home dog, scoring at least 50 points in the paint, and having scored more points-in-the-paint than their vistor in home games over the last five seasons. In addition, Cleveland is 22-5 SUATS in home games in which they scored 50 or more points-in-the-paint and got a minimum of 50 rebounds in games played over the last five seasons.

Thank you for your purchase! Good Luck to us and May all the Wins be yours!

Miami vs Sacramento

10:00 PM EST, February 18, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Miami Heat

Betting on any team that is on a 3 or more-game ROAD losing streak and playing on back-to-back nights has earned an outstanding 34-9-1 ATS for 79.1% winning bets over the last five seasons. And when the team involved is playing another road game, the record soars to 22-5 ATS for 82% winning bets.

For this research and the predictive analytics, Goran Dragic is listed as out. He has an ankle injurty and very unlikely he will play despite being listed as questionable.

From the predictive applications, we learn that the Heat are an outstanding 14-5 SU and 17-2 ATS in road games installed as a dog, scoring 111 or more points and having the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the last three seasons.

Utah Jazz vs LA Clippers

Staples Center, Los Angeles, CA

10:05 PM EST, February 17, 2021

4% NBA Best Bet on the LA Clippers

This is one of the best matchups of the season so far. Three weeks ago, this game would have been lined with the Clippers dressed as a 7-point home favorite and now, because of the tremendous and historic win streak by the Jazz, the Clippers find themselves installed as a home underdogs of 2 to 3 points. Moreover, the Jazz have covered the spread in 18 of their last 20 games. 

Now, Utah was just 4-4 through January 6 and then something happened to the entire team. They have won 19 of the last 20 games and covered the spread in a miraculous 18 games losing to the spread just twice. So, having worked on Wall Street for 18 years (last position was a Chief Currency Strategist), betting against Utah is akin to catching a falling knife. The saying originated in bear market conditions where many quality stocks get hit hard with immense selling pressure and trying to determine a bottom is like trying to catch a falling knife, like a large butcher knife. And so it is in sportsbetting. 

My intuition has made me want to go against Utah simply because they were playing at such a high level that regression was going to hit them. That was ten games ago. Remember too, in the 2001 MLB season the Oakland A’s, who were truly a couracopia of players, won 20 consecutive games from  Tuesday August 13th through Wednesday, September 4, setting the all-time modern day American League win streak record. So, fading that streak after a 10-game streak would hav been disasterous to any bankroll and shows it is not a smart decision no matter how you look at it. 

My machine learning applications are screaming to bet the Clippers and why this is a 4% Best Bet. 

Betting on home teams sporting a winning record on the season and hosting another team with a winning record that is coming off three consecutive games covering the spread as favorites in each one, has earned a 39-18 record for 68% winning bets using the money line in games played over the last five season. 

Cleveland vs Golden State
Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
10:00 ET, February 15, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Cleveland Cavaliers + 8.5 points and sprinkle a bit on the money line.

Let’s start with one of the best and highly profitable NBA Betting systems IO among m, more than 2000 that I have developed over many years of work. This one has earned a 34-8-1 ATS for 81% winning bets over the last five seasons and instructs us to be on teams playing on back-to-back nights and are coming off three consecutive road losses.

Cleveland played yesterday (Sunday) and lost 128-111 as 9-point road underdogs to the LA Clippers. They have lost 10 consecutive games to the spread and 7 straight in a straight-up fashion. So, this is an example of a contrarian bet based on a market price that has now oversold the value of the Cavaliers. There are times in the NBA, that present an opportunity to get a poor and struggling team at a major discount and I believe this is one of those opportunities.

In case you were wondering, teams that have lost 10 or more games to the spread are 14-7 ATS for 67% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. 8-3 SATS for 67% ATS if playing on the road., and 4-1 ATS if playing on back-to-back nights.

Golden State vs San Antonio

AT&T Center, San Antonio, TX

8:30 PM EST, February 8, 2021

8-UNIT Best Bet on the San Antonio Spurs

Betting a team playing between their fifth and 41st game of the season with a team that has lost to the spread by an average of 12 to 25 points over their last four games and now installed as an underdog has earned a 161-94-6 ATS record for 64% winning bets since 2000.

Betting on favorites off an upset win installed as an underdog and has won 51 to 60% of their games in the current season and facing an opponmen that has a winning record on their season has earned a 40-16-1 ATS mark good for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons.

From the machine learning applications we learn that San Antonio is 74-23 SU and 66-29-2 ATS for 70% winning bets when scoring 111 or more points and committing 12 or fewer turnovers in games played over the last five seasons.

Memphis vs New Orleans

9:00 PM EST, February 6, 2021

4% Best Bet on the Memphis Grillies +1.5 points.

Only sprinkle the money line if the spread hits 3.5-points.

Let’s start with a proven betting system that has earned a 100-55-1 ATS record good for 64.5% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. The system requirements are to be on road teams in a game lined within three points on either side of pick-em and facing a host that is allowing at least 103 PPG and coming off a win by three or fewer points.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that Memphis is 97-47 SU and 103-36-5 ATS in road games in which they scored at least 105 points and shot 47% or better from the field in games played over the last ten seasons.

Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers

8:00 PM EST, February 6, 2021

4% Best Bet on the Philadelphia 76ers

This matchup could be a preview of the Eastern Conference finals later this season. However, the Nets will be without Kevin Durant. In a game last night that the Nets eventually lost 123-117 to the Toronto Raptors, Durant was held out at the start of the game due to coronavirus contact tracing. Someone he was in contact with earlier in the day had an inconclusive COVID-19 test.

Durant entered the game in the first quarter before being pulled in the third for the rest of the game due to health and safety protocols after his colleague's test came back positive.

I am not making this bet because Durant is not playing, and who knows, he still might be cleared to play. It is rumored that he did not travel with the team last night. 

Betting on home teams that are revenging a double-digit road loss and are coming off a dismal game losing by 15 or more points as a favorite has earned a highly profitable 71-41-2 ATS record for 63.4% winning bets over twenty seasons. Plus, 13-6 ATS if the game is a matchup of divisional foes. 

From the machine learning applications we learn that the 76ers are 49-7 SU and 39-16-1 ATS for 71% winning bets in home games, scoring 111 or more points, and committing 14 or fewer turnovers in games played over the last five seasons. 

Golden State vs Dallas

7:35 PM EST, February 4, 2021

4% Best Bet on Dallas -3 points

Golden State starts a COVID-19 road trip that will see them play the next four games on the road and have to visit only two cities. Tonight and Saturday night they will play Dallas and then February 8 and 9, they play on back-to-back nights against the Spurs. Doesn’t sound all that equitable for the Warriors.

Dallas is 8-0 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in three of their last four games in games played over the last three games.

From the machine learning applications we learn that Golden State is 17-207 SU and 37-181-6 ATS for 17% in road games shooting less than 47% from the field and allowing 111 or more points.

LA Clippers vs Cleveland
8:00 PM EST, February 3, 2021
4% Best Bet on the LA Clippers

Betting on road favorites between -5 and -12 pts playing on one day of rest of on back-to-back nights is outscoring their opponents by at least 3 points-per-game (PPG), have scored at least 105 points in three straight games, and is game number eight or more of the season has earned a 130-71-7 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. When the road favorite is playing on B2B nights, they are 31-15-1 ATS for 67.4% winning bets over the last 15 seasons and 14-7 ATS for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that the Clippers are 51-2 SU, and 47-6 ATS for 89% winning bets when scoring a minimum of 111 points and making 40% or more of their 3-point shot attempts. 

Milwaukee vs Indiana
7:00 PM EST, February 3, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Milwaukee Bucks

I had Milwaukee as a 4% Best bet winner in their last game over Portland. The market has discounted the value of the Bucks too much given their recent struggles, but they are entering a stretch of games that they will cover the spread in many of them and starting with this one tonight.

Betting on favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points, are coming off an ATS win, have a win percentage greater than 50%, but less than 60% on the season, and facing an opponent with a win percentage within the same range has earned an outstanding 77-31-2 ATS for 71.3 % winning bets over the last seven seasons.

From the machine learning applications, Milwaukee is a solid 70-6 SU and 64-11-1 ATS, when they have scored at least 111 points, and have the better assist-to-turnover ratio, has earned a highly profitable 85.2% ATS record in games played over the last three seasons. 

Portland vs Milwaukee

8:00 PM EST, Fenruary 1, 2021

4% Best Bet on the Milwaukee Bucks -10 points.

Betting on favorites facing a host off an upset road win and with both the team and opponent sporting win percentages between 51 and 60% on the season has earned a highly profitable 29-18-1 ATS record good for 62% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. 

Portland is on an 0-8 ATS streak coming off a road upset win and then installed as an underdog in the following game. 

From the machine learning applications, the Bucks are 42-3 SU and 32-10-3 ATS for 76.2% winning bets in home games spanning the last three seasons. 

Philadelphia vs Indiana
Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

7:00 PM EST, January 31, 2021

4% Best Bet on the Philadelphia 76ers -1.5 points.

Betting on road favorites that are coming off a 20 or more point win and now facing a host, who scored and allowed 100 or more [points in each of their last three games has earned a 52-24-2 ATS record good for 68% winning bets since 1995 and 40-18-2 ATS for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons.

Joel Embiid is listed as questionable and my research and bet is based on him NOT playing tonight.

From the machine learning applications, the 76ers are 59-8 SU and 50-16-1 ATS in road games, scoring 111 or more points, and having the better, more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio in games played over the last three seasons.

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks
American Airlines Center
Dallas, TX
4% NBA Best Bet on Houston +9 points. 

Betting on road teams that priced as underdogs between 3.5 and 10 points with a losing record on the season and now facing a host that has played six or more games in the past ten days has earned an outstanding 40-14 ATS record good for 73% winning bets spanning the last five seasons. 

From the machine learning applications we learn that Houston is a solid 120-21 SU and 117-19-5 ATS for 86% winning bets when scoring 111 or more points in a road game and also had the better assist-to-turnover ratio. 

Philadelphia vs Detroit

8:00 PM EST, January 23, 2021
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI

4% Best Bet on the Philadelphia 76ers

I have been on the 76ers this season and have not bet against them. In fact, I find them as one of the most under priced NBZA teams of the past five seasons. Now, they take to the road on back-to-back nights to take on the worst team in the NBA, the Detroit Pistons. 

76ers effective filed goal percentage sits at 54.7% ands ranks 11th in the NBA. Detroit ranks 28th in the NBA shooting a dismal 49.7% from the field. They are 30th shooting 2-points at a 47.6% clip and the 76ers vastly better ranking 8th and making 54.8%. 

The 76ers are third-best rebounding team in the league. Detroit is 9-28 ATS when facing elite rebounding teams that out rebound their opponents by an average of three or more boards-per-game in games played over the last three seasons. 

Philadelphia vs Atlanta
7:30 PM EST, January 11, 2021

4% Best Bet on the 76ers + 6.5-points and sprinkle a bit on the money line too. 

Bonus 3% Best Bet OVER 222-points. 

Yes, I do know that Ben Simmons is out for tonight’s game and the 76ers are very short in the guard department. However, Embiid comes back tonight and the 76ers are 24-13 ATS for 65% winning bets in games that Embiid played in and Ben Simmons did not. 

The machine learning applications inform us that even with Simmons, the 76ers in road games are 103-42 SU, and 113-29-3 ATS for 80% winning bets when they have scored 111 or more points. The OVER has gone 127-18 for 88% winning points. 

So, the consider an optional parlay using the 76ers +6.5 points and the OVER 222-points. 

Boston vs Indiana

7:05 PM EST, December 29, 2020

4% Best Bet on the Boston Celtics +1-point.

The NBA schedule maker was not kind to the Celtics having to open with Milwaukee, then Brooklyn, and now back-to-back games against the Pacers. This is the second of two away-away situations, which are aimed to help mitigate the COVID-19. Celtics did lose 108-107 this past Sunday and failed to cover the spread as 3-point road favorites.

Betting on favorites during the first eight games of the regular season using the money line, which is off a home win, closed out the previous season with at least four consecutive losses has earned a highly profitable 69-19 record for 78% winning bets and has made the $100 bettor a profit of more than $3,600. since 2000.

Betting on teams that made a minimum of 76% of their free throws in the previous seasons and are coming off three consecutive games allowing 47% or better opponent shooting has earned a highly profitable 18-8 rcord for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons and has made over $2,000 in profits for the $100 bettor.

The machine learning models show us that Boston playing on the road is an outstanding 39-12 SU for 77% wins, 38-11-2 ATS for 78% winning bets since 2015, when their opponent commits 16 or more turnovers and shoots less than 37.5% from beyond the arc.

Golden State vs Milwaukee

2:30 PM EST, Christmas Day

4% NBA Best Bet on the Colden State Warriors +10 points. 

Both teams lost their opening game to the season. Milwaukee lost 122-121 to the Boston Celtics and the Warriors lost at Brooklynn 125-99. 

From the machine learning model, the Bucks are projected to have at least 20 turnovers and have more turnovers than the Warriors. In past Bucks games in which they committed 20 or more turnovers and had more turnovers than their opponent has earned a terrible 7-14 ATS record for 33% winning bets over the last five seasons.

Miami Heat vs LA Lakers
Game 6 NBA Finals
7:30 PM EST, Sunday, October 11, 2020

The machine learning stools and models are on the Heat again. LeBron has been here before, but not many of the other teammates. LeBron knows the pressure well and it has gone bad more times than not. Butler is playing at an amazing level and the leadership has been immense to the rest of the team this entire playoff season.

 The following results match the projections produced by the models. The Lakers are 6-18 ATS when shooting between 43 and 47% form the field this season; 15-29-2 ATS for 34% when the opponent has shot 35% or better from beyond the arc. Lakers are 9-24-2 ATS when allowing 107 or more points and allowing 35% or better 3-point shooting this season.

Heat are 43-11 SU and 35-17 ATS for 67% when scoring 107 or more points and making 35% or more of their 3-point shots this season; 10-2 SU and 10-1-1 ATS in this year’s playoffs.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat
ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
9:00 PM EST, October 6, 2020.

Game 4 takes place in the NBA Finals and oh how the results of Game 3 have changed the look and feel of this series. The Lakers were out to a 2-0 series lead and Miami was without two of their best players in Games 2 and 3. Yet, the Heat’s strong forward, Jimmy Butler, who is averaging 19.9 points-per-game, 6.7 rebounds-per-game, and 10.2 assist-per-game for the series, found a way to lead his team to a huge Game 3 win Tuesday Night.

I went on record stating on Twitter and linked to the Game 3 NBA article found here on Odds, that there was never a better time to bet aggressively on a team that was down 0-2 to the NBA Finals than right now with the Heat. Currently, the Lakers are favored by 7.5-points at all the major sportsbooks with MGM offering the Heat at +7.5 +105 vig. For the series you can get the Heat at +850 and +1100 for Jimmy Butler to win the MVP at MGM as the screenshot below shows.

That is a great question and the answer consists of two parts. The first part is the fact that there has been three NBA Champions that had three different high scorers in each of the first three playoff rounds. The Miami Heat have become the fourth team and strongly believe they are a real team with a great floor general in Butler and the vastly better coaching in Spoelstra. I was completely sold when near the end of Game 3 Butler was seen saying “They know they are in trouble” repeatedly as he walked off the court toward his teammates during a timeout.

This money line betting system has earned a solid 104-89 betting record good for 55% winning bets and has made the Dime player a profit of $37,200 over the last five seasons. The requirements are to be on any team using the money line in a game involving two teams that are allowing opponents to shoot between 43.5 and 46% from the field, and is a good ball handling team averaging 14.5 or fewer turnovers-per-game and is facing a team that forces an average of 14 to 16 turnovers per game in games played after the 41st one has been completed and including the playoff rounds.

The machine learning models confirm the bet on the Heat tonight and with the win would bring this series to an even two wins apiece and reduce the Finals to a best-of-three match.  The day off until Game 5 give the Heat a chance to get Goran Dragic back into the lineup. He is listed as doubtful for tonight’s game and I do not expect him top play. However, I would not be surprised to see the Heat center Bam Adebayo get some minutes tonight. So, these projections do not include either player in the game tonight just as they did for last night’s game.

The Heat are projected to shoot above 45% form the field, make at least 14 3-point shots, and make more 3-point shots than the Lakers. In past games in which the Heat met or exceeded these projections they went on to earn a 59-16 straight-up record and 56-15-4 against the spread (ATS) record good for 79% winning bets since 1995 and 35-10 SU for 78% wins and 31-10-4 ATS for 77% winning bets over the last three seasons.

The Lakers are a money losing 12-57 SU for 17% wins and 9-59-1 ATS for a miserable 13% winning bets that failed to cover by an average of 11.5 points since 1995 and 8-24 SU for 25% wins and 7-25 ATS for 22% winning bets that failed to cover by an average of 9 points since 2017 when they have allowed an opponent to meet or exceed those performance measures.

All playoff teams that allowed their opponents to meet or exceed those performance measures are 15-64 SU for 19% wins losing by an average of 13 points and 14-63-2 ATS for 18% winning bets that failed to cover the spread by an average of 10 pints.

Take the Miami Heat as a Best Bet NBA in Game 4 of the NBA Finals

Miami Heat vs LA Lakers
Game 3 NBA Finals

8:30 PM EST, October 4, 2020

7-Star Best Bet on the Miami Heat

In the history of the playoffs a team that had a different high-scorer in each of the last three playoff rounds are 3-0 in the Championship Finals. The Heat accomplished that feat and if there was ever a time to roll the dice and get an incredibly great price for futures prop in the NBA Finals it would be right now. I love the Heat on a futures bet to win the Finals. Yes, it is a long shot, but we are getting paid to assume that risk and one that I doi think is quite possible.

The machine learning reveals that the Heat are 134-17 SU and 120-27-4 ATS 82% when they score at least 107 points and shoot at least 45% from the field and will make more 3-point shots than the opponent.

Miami Heat vs LA Lakers
Game 1 NBA Finals

9:00 PM EST, September 30, 2020

7-Star Best Bet on the LA Lakers

This is a great betting system that has earned a 79-20 SU record for 80% wins and a 67-31-1 ATS mark for 68.4% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are to bet on favorites with a winning record on the season and facing an opponent that has won 60 to 75% of their games on the season and is coming off a game in which the combined score went over the posted total by 20 or more points. The record is 15-5 SU for 75% wins and 13-7 ATS for 65% winning bets in playoff games. Plus, a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS in the NBA Finals since 2015.

The machine learning reveals that the Lakers are 21-6 ATS for 78% winning bets when scoring at least 105 points and having 40% of their points scored from made 3-pointers. 8-0 SU and ATS since the start of the 2018 season.

Denver Nuggets vs LA Lakers
9:00 PM EST, September 26, 2020
7-Star NBA Titan on the Denver Nuggets

I also like the first-half bet on Denver plus the points and this betting system supports that opportunity. The system has earned a solid 63-32 ATS record for 67% winning bets and instructs us to bet on 3-seed underdogs using the first-half line when trailing in a playoff series.

The machine learning models project that the Nuggets will make at least 48% of their shot attempts, 33% of their 3-point shot attempts, and score at least 107 points. The Nuggets are 181-33 SU and 169-39-6 ATS for 81% winning bets that have covered the spread by an average of 9 points.

9:00 PM EST, September 24, 2020
NBA 7-Star Best Bet on the Denver Nuggets

Since Game 5 of the Clippers series the Nuggets have not shot worse than 47% from the field spanning 6 consecutive games. Their defense was spotty in Game 3, but superior when it really mattered.If Denver becomes more consistent on the defensive end they will have a great shot at winning this series.

The machine learning tools project that the Nuggets will shot at least 48% from the field, will make at least 35% of their 3-point shots and score at least 105 points. In past games in which the Nuggets met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a solid 107-19 SU record and 104-20-2 ATS for 84% winning bets that covered the number by 9.5 points in games played over the last 7 seasons; 43-8 SU and 38-12-1 ATS for 76% winning bets over the last two seasons; 9-2 SU and 10-1 ATS for 91% winning bets that covered the spread by 8.9 points over the last two playoff seasons.  

8:30 PM EST, September 23, 2020
NBA 7-Star Best Bet on the Miami Heat

This betting system has eanred a solid 36-12 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. The system requires us to bet on all teams in a game lined within 3 points on either side of pick-em and is out scoring their opponents by at least 6 points per game and after allowing 105 or more points in three consecutive games.

The machine learning tools project that the Heat will make at least 78% of their free throw attempts and will shoot at least 44% form the field and have the better ands more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio.  In past games in which the Heat met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a solid 145-13 SU record and 129-27 ATS for 83% winning bets that covered the number by 9.2 points.

9:00 PM EST, September 22, 2020
NBA 7-Star Best Bet on the Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets are not pretenders, and, in the Lakers, view is an extremely dangerous team that cannot overlook for a minute. In the Conference Finals teams that are down 0-2 in the series are 12-8 straight-up (SU) and 13-7 against-the-spread (ATS) in Game 3.

Only Murry played more minutes (44) than Jokic (39) in Game 2 and this duo knows their performance is key to getting a Game 3 win tonight. Over his last four games against the Lakers Jokic has averaged 31 minutes, shot 49% from the field,94% form the charity stripe, and averaging 16.3 points-per-game (PPG). Over his last 10 playoff games, he is averaging 31minutes, 60% field goal percentage, 84% free-throw-percentage, 17.8 PPG and includes 10 boards-per-game, and 6.6 assist-per-game.

The Nuggets are 18-6 SU for 75% wins and 15-8-1 against-the-spread (ATS) for 65% winning bets following a loss in which Jokic scored 26 or more points. In games in which Jokic had more assists than rebounds, his team is 20-10 SU and 18-10-2 ATS for 64% winning bets.

PG Murray is playing at an elevated level and has averaged 34 minutes, shot 48% form the field, averaging 5.8 assists, and scoring 18.5 PPG over his last four games against the Lakers. Now, it is not up to Murray and Dojik to take it upon themselves to win this game. It is the opposite for the Nuggets team. In games when Dojik and Murray scored at least 50 points and then had a total of four more players scoring in double-digits the Nuggets record is 9-3 SU and ATS and when a total of seven Nuggets scored in double-digits they are 4-1 SU and a perfect 5-0 ATS.

Minutes played is a valuable parameter and underscores the need for Murray and Jokic to remain out of foul trouble tonight. The Nuggets are 12-7 ATS for 63% winning bets when Murray logged 40 or more minutes. When both Murray and Dojik have logged 40 or more minutes in the same game the Nuggets are 25-19 SU and 27-17 ATS for 61.4% winning bets.

No argument is needed that AD is the leader by a wide margin for the Western Conference Finals MVP award. He has had more than 30 points scored in each of the first two games of this series and the offensive game plan designed by head coach Vogel is centered on him. In case you wanted to know, the Lakers are 18-7 SU and 12-13 ATS in games played following back-to-back games where AD scored 30 or more points. What is eye-opening is that the ‘UNDER’ in these games has earned am 18-7 ‘UNDER’ record for 72% winning bets.

The ‘UNDER’ is also supported by a combined Lebron James and AD scoring metric. The ‘UNDER’ is 25-14 for 65% winning bets when James and Davis have combined for 50 or more points in Laker games. The Lakers are 29-10 SU and 10-20 ATS in these games.

The machine learning tools confirm a bet on the Nuggets and a lean towards the ‘UNDER’ The projections call for the Nuggets to have the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio, have more points scored in the paint and will have more made 3-point shots than the Lakers have fast break points scored. So, in past games where the Nuggets have met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 101-12 SU record and an 88-23-2 ATS record good for cashing 79% of the bets made and has covered the spread by an average of 9.4 points. When these games have been in the playoffs the Nuggets have earned a 6-3 SU and ATS record good for 67% winning bets.

9:00 PM EST, September 18, 2020
NBA 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Nuggets

The machine learning tools project that the Nuggets will score 111 or more points and will make at least 12 3-point shots. In past games in which the Nuggets were underdogs and met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 33-19 SU record and 41-11 ATS mark good for 79% winning bets since 2000 and 27-9 ATS for 75% winning bets over the last five seasons.

iami Heat vs Boston Celtics

September 17, 2020, 7:00 PM EST
7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Miami Heat

Here is a solid betting system that supports the Heat and has earned a 73-40 SU record using the Money Line over the last five seasons. This system instructs us to be on any team in a game where they and the opponent have won 60 to 75% of their games on the season and with the opponent coming off a game where the total went ‘OVER’ by 18 or more points.

The machine learning models project that the Heat will make 77% or more of their free throw attempts, score at least 105 points, and make at least 10 3-point shots. In past games when installed as a dog and meeting or exceeding these performance measures the Heat have earned a 21-8 ATS record for 72% winning bets and covered the spread by an average of 9 points.

Denver Center and super star Nikola Jokic stated after their come from behind win that “To us, Game 7 is just another game”. That simple statement is completely accurate with the Nuggets having the confidence that they have what it takes to defeat the Clippers. Jokic had 34 pints, 14 boards, and seven assists in their 111-98 win that featured 11 straight defensive stops at one point in the second half. So, I did a simple query of my vast NBA database and learned that the Nuggets are 7-3 straight-up (SU) and 8-2 against-the-spread (ATS) in games following one in which Jokic scored 25 or more points and had at least 10 boards in a win installed as an underdog.

The Clippers were founded in 1970 and played as the Buffalo Braves and then moved to San Diego in 1978. Team owner Irv Levin sold the franchise to real estate developer David Sterling for $12.5 million. Sterling moved the team to Los Angeles in 1984 and then was forced to sell the franchise to former Microsoft founder Steve Balmer, who finally brought winning ways to the franchise for the first time. Still, the Clippers have never advanced to the Western Conference Finals sporting an 0-7 record in previous chances.

The Clippers have strong support in winning Game 7 from the fact that they are 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS for 73% winning bets following a game in which Paul George had 30 or more points; 3-0 ATS in the next game if coming off a loss installed as a favorite. Moreover, Clippers are 6-0 SU and 6-0 ATS following game in which Paul George had a plus-minus rating of -10 or worse. So, you can see how team and player trends can many times work against one another when handicapping a game, but there is far more analysis yet to be seen.

Not too much to sink our teeth into here, but it is an excellent question. Teams that were 3-1 and forced into a game 7 are 0-4 SU and ATS since 2014. The last series in which this occurred was the Nuggets coming back to defeat the Utah Jazz in Round 1. 

No team in NBA history has won back-to-back series are being down in the series 3-1. This NBA betting system has earned a 20-7-1 ATS record for 75% winning bets over the last five seasons and instructs us to play on teams that were losing at the half by 5 or more points in each of their last three games.  In playoffs games, this system has earned a 12-5-1 ATS record for 71% winning bets since 2013.

Denver trailed by 16 points at the half in Game 6 and playoff teams, who then came from behind to win those games are 14-9 ATS for 61% in the next game. Teams that had at least a 16-point lead in a closeout playoff game are 1-4 ATS with the ‘UNDER’ going a perfect 5-0 in the next playoffs game. Now we are getting somewhere with the analysis.

The machine learning tools project that the Nuggets will have a higher shooting percentage from the field than the Clippers, will shoot at least 39% from beyond the arc and make at least 12 shots from long range. Since 1995, the Nuggets  are a remarkable 113-9 SU for 93% wins and 105-14-3 ATS for 88% winning bets when they have met or exceeded these performance measures. The Nuggets also sport a 46-4 SU anmd 40-8-2 ATS for 83% winning bets since 2017. Moreover, teams that have met or exceeded these performance measures in Games 6 or 7 are 9-3 SU for 75% wins and 10-2 ATS for 83% winning bets. Take the Nuggets plus the points and for them to be the first-ever NBA team to win back-to-back payoff series after trailing 3-1 in each of them.

ouston Rockets vs LA Lakers

September 12, 2020, 8:00 PM EST
10-Star Best Bet Titan on the Houston Rockets

The Rockets are a 6.5-point underdog and the projections do show a decent probability that they may win this game. So, as a suggestion, I like splitting this 10-star amount into two parts consisting of a 7-star amount using the line and then a 3-Star amount using the money line. This strategy will provide significant additions to the bottom line over the course of a season. I know this is a bold call, but it is based on the ‘Math’ and the ML models.

The Rockets find themselves in a great spot for this game and a shocking – to the media and public at least – win over the Lakers. They are 11-2 ATS after two consecutive games in which they were outrebounded by 10 or more boards this season.

The machine learning projections also show that playoffs teams that were out rebounded by 8 or more boards in a previous game loss and average at least 115 points on the season are 11-5 ATS for 71% winning bets. The projections also call for the Rockets top score at least 115 points and will make at least 40% from 3-point land. Playoff teams coming off a loss and then scoring 115 or more points and shooting 40% or better from beyond the arc are an amazing 86-9 ATS for 91% winning bets over the last 10 seasons.

9:00 PM EST, September 11, 2020
NBA 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Boston Celtics

Let us start with a solid betting system that has earned a solid 33-12 ATS record over the past five seasons and instructs us to bet on favorites that have a winning record on the season and playoffs and are facing a a team that went over the total in their previous game by more than 30 points and has won 60 to 75% of their games. This system is 12-5 ASTS in the playoffs since 2015.

From the machine learning tools and models the Celtics are projected to have the better assists-to-turnover ratio, will make 79% or more of their free throw attempts, and score at least 105 points. In past playoff games in which the Celtics met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 9-1 SU and ATS record and covering the spread by an average of 9 points.

6:30 PM EST, September 9, 2020
NBA 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Toronto Raptors

Let us start with a solid betting system that has earned a solid 131-81 ATS record good for 63% winning bets over the last 20 seasons and instructs us to be on dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are coming off a trio of games in which the combined total of those 3  game went ‘UNDER’ the total by 24 or more points and are now facing an opponent that covered the spread by at least 18 points. By the way, when the game has been a playoff variety the team (Toronto) is 13-5 ATS for 72% winning bets and has covered the spread by an impressive 9.6 points. The ‘OVER’ has earned a 12-6 mark for 67% winning bets.

The Raptors are also 28-10 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 of their last six games in games played over the last two seasons.

From the machine learning tools the Raptors are projected to score a minimum of 111 points and get 12 to 16 offensive rebounds, and have a TO differential of not more or less than 3 of the opponent. In past games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone to earn a 60-14 straight-up (SU) record and 52-21-1 ASTS mark for 721.2% winning bets and the ‘OVER’ is 64-10 for 87% winning bets.

So, play a 7-Star amount on Toronto plus the points and a 5-Star amount on the ‘OVER’. Then as an optional consideration place a reverse action parlay Toronto with the points and the ‘OVER’ which pays 4:1.

6:30 PM EST, September 8, 2020
NBA 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Miami Heat

Let us start with a solid betting system that has earned a strong 40-16 ATS record for 72% winning bets and instructs us to be against teams in games lined within 3-points on either side of pick-em and has allowed 105 or more points in three consecutive games and is defeating their opponents by at least 6 PPG on the season.

The Bucks are just 6-15 ATS in games facing good shooting teams making >=46% of their shots this season.

From the machine learning tools the Heat are 133-24 ATS for 85% winning bets when scoring 106 or more points, making 78% or more of their free throw attempts and have had the better assists-to-turnover ratio. So, watch for these metrics in tonight’s game.

9:00 PM EST, September 2, 2020
MLB 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Oklahoma City Thunder  

Looking to end a 7-gamje ATS losing streak, which is the worst stretch since January 2011. Oklahoma City beat Houston, 104-100, in Game 6 on Monday, outscoring the Rockets 12-2 in the final four minutes. Chris Paul scored eight of those 12 points as Houston was held to 1-for-6 shooting with three turnovers in that time. The Rockets will play their 12th Game 7 in franchise history as they've gone 6-5 in the first 11. Houston has lost four of their last five Game 7's dating back to 2005, with the lone win a 113-100 victory over the Clippers in the 2018 Western Semifinals. This will be the Thunder's fourth Game 7 since moving to Oklahoma City, but their first since the 2016 Western Conference Finals which they lost to Golden State. Oklahoma City won their first two Game 7's, beating the Grizzlies in 2011 and 2014. James Harden has played two previous Game 7's since joining the Rockets in 2012 (1-1). Harden has averaged 31.5 points per game in his first two Game 7's in Houston but has shot just 4-for-20 (.200) from three-point range over the two games.

Here is a money line betting system that has earned a strong 48-24 record for 67% winning bets and instructs to play on teams using the money line in a playoff game that with a win closes out the series and is a team winning between 60 and 75% of their games on the season.

From the machine learning tools the Thunder are 35-18 ATS for 67% winning bets and 38-15 SU when they have scored 111 or more points and had 13 to 17 turnovers in games played since 2017; perfect 5-0 SU and ATS in playoff games.  Moreover, the Thunder are 33-5 SU and 27-11 ATS for 71% winning bets when shooting between 45 and 48% form the field and have had the better assists-to-turnover ratio.

8:30 PM EST, September 1, 2020
MLB 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Utah Jazz  

Here is a betting system that has earned a solid 135-79 ATS record good for 63% winning bets and instructs us to bet on teams that are 3 points on either side of pick-em and is facing a team that has beat the spread by a combined total of 24 or more points in total spanning their last three games and with both teams in the current matchup sporting a winning record on the season.  When the favorite is seeded lower (greater seeding numerically) and is lined by 2.5 points on either side of pick-em and the opponent covered the spread by at least 24 points in their last 3 games, the record moves to 0-5-1 ATS covering the spread by an average of 11 points.

The Nuggets are just 5-18 ATS after a win by 10 or more points in games played over the last two seasons.

From the machine learning tools the Jazz are projected to make at least 48% of all of their shot attempts and make 15 or more free throws, and score at least 111 points. IN past games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a robust 202-51-11 ATS for 80% winning bets since 2004; 44-13-5 ATS for 78% winning bets over the last three seasons; 9-2 ATS in playoffs games since 2008 and covering the spread by an average of 11 points.  

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

August 31, 2020 6:30 Game 1, Round 2 Eastern Conference
7-Star Titan Best on the Milwaukee Bucks

Here is a betting system that has earned a 37-12-1ATS record for 76% winning over the last 5 seasons. The system instructs us to be on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points facing an opponent that has covered the spread in three or more consecutive games and has a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season. The record is 12-3 ATS for 80% winners when the game is in the playoffs; 15-4 ATS for 79% winning bets in all rounds after the first round since 2011.

From the machine learning tools and projections the Bucks are 39-5-1 ATS when the have scored 111 or more points, made 79% or more of their free throw attempts, and held their opponent to less than 38% 3-point shooting since 2015. Over the last 10 seasons, no. 1 seeds that have met or exceeded these performance measures have earned a 161-42-3 ATS record covering the spread by an average of 9 points for 79% winning bets.

9:00 PM EST, 08-29-20 (Saturday)
NBA 10-star Best Bet on the OKC Thunder  

The Rockets will have Russell Westbrook back in the lineup for this crucial Game-5 showdown. The Rockets won the first two games and then the Thunder came ‘storming’ back to win Games 3 and 4 in this series. With the Rockets launching 3-point shots at a record-breaking level the Thunder will defend the perimeter with zone defenses and over playing the top of the key screens. The Rockets will run pick and rolls, but clearly have used screens to free up 3-point shots. It is better to allow a 3-point shot to the Rockets players then play them too tightly and allow penetration in to the paint where they can then swing the ball to an open 3-point shooter. The more 1-on-1’s the Thunder get, the greater their margin of victory will be.

The Thunder are 8-1 ATS after 2 straight games attempting 10 or more free throws than opponent this season.

The Rockets averaged just a fraction more 3-point shot attempts then 2-point shot attempts this season. Their 2-point to 3-point shot attempt ratio has gone even further into extreme levels in this matchup. They are averaging 90 shot attempts per game, which is right on their regular season average, but are averaging an incredible 54  3-point shot attempts and just 36.8 2-point shot attempts. Since 2018, the Rockets are just 1-7 ATS for 12.5% and losing to the spread by an average of 12.2 points when they have attempted more 3’s than 2’s and the opponent made 8 or more free throws.

6:30 PM EST, 08-25-20 (Tuesday)
NBA 7-star Best Bet on the Utah Jazz + 5-Star Best Bet on the ‘UNDER’ and an optional 3-Best bet using a reverse parlay, which pays 4:1 on the Jazz and the ‘UNDER’.

Here is a fantastic betting system that has earned a 77% ATS win-rate on a 70-19 ATS record over the past 20 seasons and instruicts us to bet on favorites with a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season and is now facing an opponent that also has the same win percentage range and is coming off a cover in which the team lost the game in straight-up fashion. This betting system is 15-5 ATS in the playoffs covering the spread by an average of 9 points per game. These favorites are 17-3 SU in playoff games.

Denver is just 13-25 ATS after scoring 120 points or more over the last two seasons.

From the machine learning tools, the Jazz are 50-9 ATS for 85% winners when scoring 112 or more points and having the better, more efficient ATS ratio in regular season and playoff games since 2017; 4-0 ATS and covering by an average of 20 points in playoff games since 2017.

Take the Utah Jazz as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet, 5-Star bets Bet ‘UNDER’ and 3-star reverse parlay on the Jazz and ‘UNDER’.

4:00 PM EST, 08-24-20 (Monday)
NBA 7-star Best Bet Titan on the Houston Rockets

The Rockets need to address a greater intensity on the boards and limit the Thunder’s second chance scoring opportunities. The Rockets are 10-1 ATS this season after three straight games being outrebounded by 5 or more boards in each game. Moreover, the Rockets are 11-4 SU and 10-5 ATS for 67% coming off a loss installed as a favorite regardless of location.

The Rockets need to and are expected to improve their 3-point shooting. If they do not then this series will be won by the Thunder and this bet may prove to be a losing one. The Rockets in the playoffs are attempting an average of 53 3-point shots per game and making just 18 of them for a 34% rate. The Rockets, though, are making 57% of their 2-point shots, but are attempting an average of 28 shots per game. Narrowing the spread between 3-point and 2-point attempts will go a long way to seeing the Rockets win this game. Combined with the fact that they are taking much better care of the ball sporting a 2.0 assist-to-turnover ratio as compared to the Thunder’s 1.26 ATS will more than offset any anomalies by the Thunder.

From the machine learning tools, the Rockets are 191-45-7 for 81% winners when scoring 114 or more points and having the better, more efficient ATS ratio in regular season and playoff games; 10-1 ATS for 91% and covering by an average of 14 points in playoff games.

Take the Houston Rockets as as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet

6:30 PM EST, 08-23-20
NBA 7-star Best Bet Titan on the Toronto Raptors

Toronto is up 3-0 and looks to complete the series sweep over the Nets. No.2 seeds that have 3 wins in Round 1 are 28-15 ATS for 65% winners in series clinching games; when the opponent has not won a game, the 2-seed is 9-5 ATS for 64% winning tickets.

From the machine learning tools the Raptors are projected to score at least 111 points and have fewer turnovers. In ast games when the Raptors have accomplished or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 152-69 ATS amrk good for 69% ATS winners. In playoffs games the Raptors have earned a near-perfect 9-1 ATS mark and have covered the spread by an average of 12.8 points.

Take the Toronto Raptors as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet

hiladelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics

August 23, 1:00 PM EST
Eastern Conference - First Round – Best-Of-7 - Game 4 - Orlando, Florida
7-Star Titan Best Bet on the Philadelphia 76ers

The NBA database queries reveal several supporting situational betting systems that have all earned high winning percentages. This one has earned a 63-32 ATS mark good for 67% winning bets  over the last five seasons. The betting query instructs us to bet on underdogs that have a winning record on the season and playing an opponent with a higher win percentage, that the opponent has been favored in their last three games and have won all three of these games ATS spanning games played since 2015.

The 76ers have been a resilient team in 2019 and have earned a solid 31-18 ATS mark after habving lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games ATS; 20-7 ATS for 74% while sporting a 3-game or more ATS losing streak spanning games played over the last three seasons.

The 76ers shot 29.5% from the field and were 2-points behind the Celtics with under 1:45 left in the game. The public is all over the Celtics and is a logical choice to bet, but logic many times does not translate to ATS winning bet. Rumors are swirling that the ‘Trust the Process’ is a broken model and this team will be broken up starting with the firing of head coach Brett Brown. I ask you this. Would the team played with the heart and ‘guts’ they did in Game-3 and if they did not like their head coach? Would they have actually shown improvement on both ends of the court (Tatem in Game-3 was minimized) if they hated their head coach? 76ers are 14-6 ATS when coming off a game where they shot 33% or less form the field.

Houston Rockets vs OKC Thunder

6:00 PM EST, August 22, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Oklahoma City Thunder

The conversations surrounding this matchup have centered on several shooting stats from the regular season and specifically how the Rockets shot just 23% from beyond the arc against the Thunder and that Harden and Eroc Gorden combined for a horrid 14% in those games. However, the first two games have had no similarities to the regular season results as Houston shot 39% from 3-point area and Harden and Gorden shot 42% combined. Then in Game-2 the Rockets shot just 33% from distance and Harden/Gorden went 2-21 for 10% makes and the Rockets still found a way to win the game. So, the Rockets have earned their way to a 2-0 series lead and have put the Thunder’s back against the wall.

The Thunder are a stout 22-9 ATS for 71% in games lined between -3 and +3 this season. Thunder are 18-9 ATS for 67% installed as a DOG and having lost 3 or 4 of their last 4 games ATS in games played since 2016; 4-0 ATS when a playoffs game.

The machine learning tools project the Thunder to score at least 114 points and are 7-1 ATS this season when doing so. The Thunder are 16-3 ATS for 84% winning bets when scoring at least 114 points and having the better assist-to-turnover ratio.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Orlando Magic

August 21, 1:30 PM EST
Eastern Conference - First Round – Best-Of-7 - Game 3 - Lake Buena Vista, Florida
7-Star Titan Best Bet on the Orlando Magic

No.1 seeds in the NBA playoffs tied at 1-game each in Round-1 are just 2-6 SU and 2-6 ATS. Magic are coming off their worst shooting game of the 2019 season hitting just 34% from the field and they are projected to bounce back with a great effort this afternoon. The Magic have nothing to lose and are ‘supposed to lose’ and matched the Bucks point-for-point in the second-half of Game-2.

From the machine learning tools the Magic are an amazing 123-14 ATS for 90% winning bets when they have scored at least 112 points and shot at least 49% from the field and at least 39% from beyond the arc; 8-0 ATS in playoff games covering the spread by an average of 17 points!

Portland Trailblazers vs LA Lakers
August 20, 4:00 PM EST
Western Conference - First Round – Best-Of-7 - Game 2 - Lake Buena Vista, Florida
7-Star Titan Best Bet on the Portland Trailblazers

Lakers have lost six straight to the number and in case you were wanting to know, No-1 seeds that have lost at least 6 consecutive games to the spread are a money burning 18-25 ATS for 42%. Most amateur bettors will presume that a team as ‘good as the Lakers’ will bounce back with a monster effort and easy ATS winning ticket. I mentioned in the Game-1 winner on Portland that the Lakers would be in a flux having not played any of the eight bubble games with any starting lineups and a mish mash of personnel. The Trailblazers are an excellent ball handling team and the Lakers are just 2-13 ATS when facing a solid ball handling team averaging no more than 14 TOPG this season.

From the machine learning tools the Trailblazers are an amazing 102-17-6 ATS for 86% winning bets when they have scored at least 111 points and shot at least 49% from the field and at least 39% from beyond the arc; 188-39-4 ATS in playoff games for the No-8 seed!

6:00 PM EST, 08-20-20
NBA 7-star Best Bet Titan on the Milwaukee Bucks

The No.1-seed Bucks were dominated and humiliated by the losing record and 8-seed Orlando Magic and are going to bounce back with a huge effort and blowout win. No-1 seeds that are coming off a loss installed as a favorite and the opponent is the 6-seed or worse are 24-12 ATS for 67% winning bets. Not a big sample size, but when these top seeds have been embarrassed in Game-1 they are 3-0 ATS covering the spread by an average of 10 points. Last year in the NBA playoffs we saw the Warriors hammer the Cliipers 129-110 and easily covering as 10.5-point favorites April 26. In the same series, the Warriors destroyed the Clippers 132-105 and covered the 9.5-point spread. Then the third game occurred back in the 2007 playoffs when the Mavs defeated the Warriors 112-99 and covered as 9.5-point favorites April 25.

Bucks are 52-34 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record since the start of the 2018 season. The Magic are 6-29 SU and 12-23 ATS when playing against a winning record team this season; 6-12 ATS facing a winning record team and coming off a straight-up win.

No-1 seeds coming a game shotting 44% or worse from the field and allowed previous opponent to shoot at least 49% and had at least 16 TO are an impressive 39-20 ATS for 67%.

From the machine learning tools the Bucks are 140-51-3 ATS for 73% wins when they have scored at least 111 points and had 13 to 17 turnovers; No-1 seeds are 101-37 ATS for 73% winners when scoring at least 111 points and having between 13 and 17 TO.

Take the Milwaukee Bucks as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics
Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 2 - Orlando, Florida

6:30 PM EST, August 19, 2020
7-Star Best bet on the 76ers

I will get right to the machine learning projections. The 76ers are 111-37-2 ATS for 75% winners in games in which they made at least 78% of their free-throw attempts and scored at least 111 points; and 3-0 ATS covering by an average of 15 points when it has been a playoff game. The Celtics are just 1-12 SU and ATS for 8% winning bets when their playoff opponent has scored 111 or more points and made at least 78% of their free throw attempts.

Consider splitting the wager into two parts consisting of a 5* amount using the line and a 2* amount using the money line.

Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets
August 19, 4:00 PM EST
Western Conference - First Round – Best-Of-7 - Game 2 - Lake Buena Vista, Florida
7-Star Titan Best Bet on the Denver Nuggets

Here is a betting system that has earned a a solid 66-27-1 ATS record for 71% and 12-3 ATS for 80% wins in playoff games since 2015. Then betting system query instructs us to play on favorites that have a winning record on the season and facing an opponent that played a game in which the combined score was 20 or more points over the posted total line and has a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season.

The Nuggets are projected to score at least 111 points and are 15-4 ATS for 79% in playoff games and 11-2 ATS when installed as a favorite in playoff games.

Portland Trailblazers vs LA Lakers
First Round West Conference

9:00 PM EST, August 18, 2020
7-Star Best bet on the Portland Trailblazers

Let us start with a listing of meaningful team situational trends for this matchup. The Blazers are 16-2 ATS after 3 straight wins by 6 points or less. Lakers are 1-7 ATS in the bubble and have lost four of their last five games. They did rest their stars quite a bit down the stretch, but LeBron had rest since March 10th and playing eight games would not wear down a physical specimen like he is. So, fundamentally, I believe the lack of playing time with the entire roster is going to hurt the Lakers for the first part of this series. This is an unprecedented atmosphere and life-style for these players that certainly negates home court advantage and possibly give an edge to the pseudo road team going into the first round games.

Do not under estimate the loss of Rondo to a fractured thumb and Avery Bradley, who opted out, and was definitley the best defensive player on the team.

Here is time-tested betting system query from the database that has earned a 34-17 ATS record for 67% winning bets and also is 31-19 ‘OVER’ for 62% winners over the last five seasons. When the opponent is coming off a game where 216 or more points were scored the system improves to 24-11 ATS for 69% winners and a 21-14 ‘OVER’ mark for 60%. Finally, when the opponent is coming off a game in which 221 or more points were scored, the record improves significantly to a very impressive 21-6 ATS mark and 78% winning bets. The base query instructs us to play on underdogs of 3 to 9 points and coming of back-to-back wins of seven or fewer points and facig an opponent coming off a game where 206 or more points were scored.

1:30 PM EST, 08-18-20
NBA 7-star Best Bet Titan on the Milwaukee Bucks

Let us start with a look at the assist-to-turnover ratio for these two teams. The Magic do a great job taking care of the ball and have a below average amount of TO per game. They also move the ball well on offense and average 14.7 assists-per-game ranking 14th in the NBA. The result is they have an impressive 1.8672 assist-to-TO ratio (ATR) that is better and more efficient than the Bucks, who have posted a 1.7152 ATR. However, the Bucks play at a much faster pace than the Magic and that does skew these results. The Bucks lead the NBA averaging 118.7 PPG while the Magic rank 24th averaging 107.3 PPG.

In addition, underdogs of 12 or more points that possess a higher ATR by at least 0.15 and in game with a total of 220 or more are a miserable 0-13 SU losing the game by an average of 21 points and 1-12 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average of 7.7 PPG. Also, underdogs of 8 to 9.5 points that score an average of 9 or more points fewer than their opponent are just 5-14 ATS for 27% in the playoffs.  

Brooklyn Nets vs Toronto Raptors
August 17, 4:00 PM EST
7-Star Titan Best Bet on the Raptors + 5-Star Bet on the ‘OVER’

I do not think Raptors head coach Nick Nurse gets the credit he deserves. He won the World Championship with Leonard and now is looking to repeat without the Superstar. Many of the team metrics, especially defensive ones, are even better than last season. Focus has been there (unlike the Lakers, for instance) going 7-1 in the Bubble and fully prepared to go for the back-to-back Championships. Raptors have won three of the four meetings this season against the Nets and all four games occurred before the stoppage.

Teams that have defeated the current playoff opponent in 3 of the last 4 meetings and are installed as 9.5 favorites or more are 70-6 SU for 92%. So, this is not a recommendation to use the money line, but a dominant set of situations showing why the Raptors will come up in dominating form right from the opening tip. Teams that sport a 70% or higher win percentage (Raptors 73%) and facing a team with a losing record have earned a 40-24 ATS mark good for 63% winning bets and when favored by at least 9.5 points have earned a 20-11 ATS mark for 65% winners.

Despite already having the NBA-best overall defense, they are also best averaging 19 fast break points per game. They also rank 11th-best allowing opponents to score an average eof 12.7 fast break points per game.

The machine learning tools project that the Raptors will score at least 111 points and shoot at least 50% from the field. Playoff teams that are favored by at least 9.5 points and have met or exceeded these measures are 35-1 SU and 27-9 ATS for 75% winning bets. In addition, the ‘OVER’ is 14-1 for 93% since 2016.

Take the Raptors for a 7-Star Best Bet Titan, 5-Star Bet ’Over’ the total and no more than a 3-Star reverse parlay using the Raptors and the ‘OVER’.

1:30 PM EST, 08-14-20
NBA 7-star Best Bet Titan on the Denver Nuggets

Here is a fantastic betting system that has earned a 74-37 ATS record good for 68% winning bets spanning the last 20 seasons. The betting system query instructs us to play on all teams in a non-conference matchup and a team that has seen their games go ‘OVER’ the posted total by at least six points in EACH of their last five games.

Coach Malone is 42-25-1 ATS after his Nuggets have lost 3 of their last 4 games.

Machine learning projects that the Nuggets will score 111 or more points and have the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games where the Nuggets have achieved or exceeded these measures they have earned an outstanding 281-61-6 ATS mark good for 82% winning bets since 1995 and 71-17-3 ATS since 2016, and 28-6 ATS for 83% winning bets since 2018.

6:30 PM EST, 08-12-20
NBA 7-star Best Bet Titan on the Philadelphia 76ers

Consider splitting this opportunity into a 4.5* amount using the point spread and a 2.5* amount using the money line. This type of optimization will augment your bottom line over the course of the season – and yes, even if the games are played in a ‘bubble’. This is not a play because Embiid has been cleared to play just to be clear.

Machine learning projects that the 76ers will score more than 111 points, have the better assist-to-turnover ratio, and make at least 38% of their shots from beyond the arc. The 76ers are an outstanding 145-38 ATS when they have achieved or exceeded this trio of performance measures. The Raptors are a miserable 27-145-3 ATS when they have allowed this trio of performance measures.

Denver vs Lakers

9:00 PM EST, 08-10-20
NBA 7-star Best Bet Titan on the Los Angeles Lakers

Here is a betting system that has earned a 33-9 ATS record for 79% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play on favorites that have a winning record on the season and are facing an opponent with a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season and coming off a game that the combined score eclipsed the posted total by at least 30 points.

The Lakers have done well against low-pressure intensity style of defenses and are 22-9 ATS when facing a team like the Nuggets, who force an opponent into less than 14 turnovers per game this season.

Machine learning projects that the Lakers will score 111 or more points and have fewer turnovers than the Nuggets and that the Nuggets will have at least 13 turnovers. In past games matching these measures the Lakers are an outstanding 160-59-4 ATS record good for 73% winning bets and 20-6 ATS just this season.

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz
August 10, 3:00 PM EST
7-Star Titan on the Dallas Mavericks

The machine learning toolshed projects that the Mavs will shoot at least 43% form the field and at least 35% from three-point territory, and score at least 111 points. In past games where the Mavs have met these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 283-62-9 ATS record good for 82% winning bets since 2000; 23-7 ATS in the current season.

Take the Mavs.

9:00 PM EST, 08-09-20
NBA 7-star Best Bet Titan on the Brooklyn Nets

Here is a betting system that has earned a 66-29 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play on underdogs of 10 or more points in a non-conference matchup and is a well-rested team playing six or fewer games in the past 14 days of action.

Machine learning projects that the Nets will score 111 or more points and shoot between 43 and 50% and have a higher shooting percentage than the Clippers. In past games in which the Nets met or exceeded these performance metrics they have earned an outstanding 64-14-3 ATS for 82% winning bets and 37-8-1 ATS for 82% winning bets over the last five seasons and 11-3 ATS this season.

3:30 PM EST, 08-08-20
MLB 7-star Best Bet Titan on the Denver Nuggets

Here is a betting system that has earned a 68-20 ATS record for 77% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play against underdogs off an ATS win installed as an underdog and are now in a game with both teams winning between 60% to 75% of their games on the season.

Machine learning projects that the Nuggets will score 111 or more points and In past games in which the Nuggets met or exceeded these performance metrics they have earned an outstanding 237-56-4 ATS for 81% winning bets.

9:00 PM EST, 08-07-20
MLB 7-star Best Bet Titan on the Toronto Raptors

Here is a betting system that has earned a 33-8 ATS record for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons. The betting query instructs us to play against underdogs after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game and is a solid team winning between 60% to 75% of their games and playing a team with a winning record.

Machine learning projects that the Raptors will score 111 or more points and have at least 14 offensive rebounds. In past games in which the Raptors met or exceeded these performance metrics they have earned an outstanding 61-27 ATS record for 69% winning bets.

Memphis vs New Orleans
Monday August 3, 6:30 PM EST

The machine learning toolshed projects that the Grizzlies will have at least 53 boards and score at least 111 points. In past games, they are 17-5 ATS when achieving this pair of KPIs. The Pelicans are a money-burning 14-33-3 ATS when allowing 111 or more points and allowing 53 or more rebounds and 7-24-2 ATS for 23% spanning games played over the last five seasons.

Here is a nice betting system that underscores the strength of the bet on the Memphis Grizzlies and has earned a 49-20 ATS result good for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons. Play on any team revenging a road loss to the current opponent of at least 10 points and with both teams sporting win percentages between 40 and 49.9% on the season.

Take the Memphis Grizzlies.

8:30 PM EST, 08-02-20
The Arena at ESPN Wide World of Sports - Lake Buena Vista, FL
MLB 7-star Best Bet on the Milwaukee Bucks

Here is a betting system that has earned a 48-14 ATS record good for 76% winning bets over the last five seasons. The query instructs us to play against underdogs that are playing a gme that went over the posted total by 24 or more points and is a team that has earned a win percentage between 60 and 75% and facing a team with a winning record.

The machine learning tool shed projects that Milwaukee’s defense will be feared tonight by the Rockets. Overall, and dating back to 1990 teams that have allowed a 3-point shooting percentage of 33% or lower and a field-goal % lower than 42% are 8,364-2268 ATS for 79% winning bets. The Bucks are 69-18 ATS covering the spread by an average of 8.8 points for 79% winning bets over the last five seasons.

Bucks are projected to score at least 115 points. So, the Rockets are a miserable 1-21-1 ATS when shooting 42% or less and 33% or less from beyond the arc and allowing 115 or more points in games played since 2015.

Sacramento vs Orlando
Sunday August 2, 6:00 PM EST

 The machine learning toolshed projects that the Kings will have fewer turnovers than the Magic and that they will shoot at least 48% form the field. In past games in which the Kings did achieve these performance KPI they are an amazing 234-56-5 ATS for 81% winning bets and 50-10-3 ATS since 2015.

Take the Sacramento Kings.

Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers
Saturday August 1, 7:00 PM EST

I like the 76ers once we get into the playoffs. I like the fact that Ben Simmons has accepted his new role as power forward and you will definitley see more bulk and muscle on this budding superstar. Yet, there are a few things that the 76ers need to figure out before heading into the payoffs and they will.

The Pacers will push the ball tonight and make the game fast at both ends. The 76ers have not had good results in high-paced games. They are just 3-35 SU and 4-34 ATS in games played where they allowed an opponent 50% or better shooting and allowed 90 or more shot attempts. Just 1-16 SU and 3-14 ATS spanning the last five seasons.

Take the Pacers.

The Clippers will take on the Lakers in a 2020 opening season game that many ‘talking heads’ see as a preview to the Western Finals. I do disagree with that prognostication and see the Clippers as the team by the West by a wide margin. That’s a story for another time.

The line opened with the Lakers installed as 1-point favorites weeks ago and the line has steadily risen to its’ current price of Lakers favored by 4.5-points.

Consider making this a combination wager consisting of a 5-star bet getting the points and a 2-star amount using the money line. Purely optional, but this betting design has served to add significantly to bottom line profits spanning an entire season.

Take the Clippers and expect the SU win.

Toronto vs Utah

9:05 PM EST, March 9, 2020

7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Utah Jazz

Let’s get right to it as the Jazz are 32-14 ATS for 70% winning bets when they are coming off back-to-back wins of six or fewer points and 22-10 ATS when favored on these spots. 

This situational query has earned a solid 60-25-2 ATS record for 71% winning bets over the last five seasons and requires us to be on teams that are lined within four points on either side of ‘pick’ and are coming off three consecutive games in which they and their respective opponents each scored 100 or more points om each of the three games and are now facing an elite opponent that is outscoring their opponents by an average of at least six points.  

From the predictive side of things, Utah is projected to score at least 111 points and have the better and more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio. When they have met or exceeded this pairing of performance measures they have earned an outstanding 127-27-5 ATS mark good for 83% winning bets and 26-6-2 ATS for 81% winning bets over the last three seasons.

Houston vs Charlotte

5:05 PM EST, 3-07-2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Houston Rockets

This betting system has earned a terrific 60-22 -1 ATS mark good for 73% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. Play on road favorites of 3 to 9.5 points after allowing 105 or more points in four consecutive games and are facing a struggling host that has been outscored by their opponents by six or more points-per-game. 

From the predictive side of things, the Rockets are 9-1 ATS when they have allowed fewer than 105 points in games played this season; 74-22 ATS for 77% winning bets when they have scored at least 117 points and had the better and more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio in games played since 2015. 

Milwaukee vs Lakers

10:35 PM EST 03-06-20
NCAAM 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Milwaukee Bucks

Let us run through a few situational trends that support the bet on Milwaukee. They are an amazing 15-5 ATS and tops in the NBA when facing a solid opponent that is outscoring their opponents by six or more points-per-game in games played over the last two seasons.

Here is a situational betting system that follows the theme above and has earned a solid 39-13 ATS mark good for 75% winners over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet on all teams in games lined within three points on either side of ‘pick’ and is facing an opponent that is an elite NBA team outscoring their opponents by six or more points-per-game and with the opponent coming off three consecutive games allowing 105 or more points in each game; 33-8 ATS for an amazing 81% winning bets over the last five seasons!

From the predictive side of things, The Bucks are 30-7 ATS for 81% winning bets in game sin which they have attempted at least 88 shots, made at least 33% of their shots from beyond the arc, and had the better, more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio in games played over the last two seasons.