Houston vs Oakland

9:40 PM EST, September 24, 2021

4% (4-UNIT) Best Bet on the OVER

Betting on the OVER with a total of 8 or 8.5-tunsd and coming off a game in which the bullpen was hammered for 5 or more runs and playing the first game of a series has earned an outstanding 62-21 record for 75% winning bets over the last five seasons. 

Kansas City vs Detroit

7:10 PM EST, September 24, 2021

4% (4-UNIT) Best Bet OVER

From the predictive models both teams are expected to have at least 1 multiple-run-inning and the OVER has won 77% of the bests in these games. 

Kansas City took two of three games at Cleveland prior to the postponement. Salvador Perez made history on Monday with his 46th homer this season, breaking Johnny Bench's single season record for most long balls by a primary catcher.

The Tigers are painfully aware how dangerous Perez is at the plate. He's hit three homers off their pitchers this season and 26 in his career, second only to the 28 he's hit against Minnesota. With both teams games getting cancelled Wednesday and had a scheduled day off Thursday, so they are well rested offensively, but the starters are pitching on normal rest. 

Minnesota vs Cleveland

6:10 PM EST, Wednesday, September 8, 2021

4-UNIT Best Bet on the UNDER

Quick Hitters: Twins manager Baldelli is 37-19 UNDER in September played games. Francona is 88-48 when facing a team that averages 0.33 steals-per-game when the game occurs in the second half of the regular season. Cleveland is 50-28 UNDER playing with double revenge in games played over the last three seasons. Minnesota is 19-7 UNDER following three consecutive games throwing at least 4 innings in each one, spanning the last two seasons. 

4-UNIT Best Bet UNDER the total

San Francisco vs NY Mets

7:10 PM EST, Wednesday, August 25, 2021

4-UNIT Best Bet OVER

Giants are 35-17 OVER following a game in which they allowed no more than one run in games played over the last three seasons.

From the predictive side, we learn that the Mets in home games have earned a 13-4 OVER record following a game in which they scored no more than one run and had at least one Multiple-Run-Inning in the current game, over the last three seasons. The Giants are 16-8 on the road following a game in which held their opponent to no more than one run and that opponent had at least one Multiple-Run-Inning in the current game, over the last three seasons.

4-Unit Best Bet OVER

Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia

7:05 PM EST, Wednesday, August 25, 2021

4-UNIT Best Bet on the UNDER

Betting the UNDER in a matchup where the road team has a tremendous bullpen posting a 1.25 or lower season-to-date WHIP and is starting a pitcher that was hammered allowing 5 or more runs in each of his last starts has produced a 30-9 UNDER record good for 77% winning bets over the last five seasons.

Rays skipper Cash is 72-48 UNDER in a road game after allowing 4 runs or less in three consecutive games. Phillies are 15-5 in home games when facing a starting pitcher that is averaging 1.75 or fewer walks-per-start in games played this season.

From the predictive models we learn that the UNDER is 11-3 for 79% winning bets in home Phillies games in which Wheeler pitches into at least the start of the 7th inning.

Toronto vs Washington

7:05 PM EST, Tuesday, August 17, 2021

5-UNIT Best Bet OVER

Here are a few quick hitters supporting this OVER play. Washington is 24-14 OVER when facing a team that averages 7 or more strikeouts-per-game. Toronto is 20-8 OVER as a favorite of -125 to -175 in games played this season.

From the predictive side of things, Toronto is 15-6-1 OVER for 71.4% winning bets this season and 49-8 OVER for 86% winning bets in road games in which they had two or more multiple-run-scoring innings spanning the past three seasons. The Nationals are 49-5 OVER for 91% winners in home games their guest had two or more multiple-run-scoring innings spanning the past three seasons.

San Diego vs Colorado

8:40 PM EST, Monday, August 16, 2021

4-UNIT Best Bet on the Colorado Rockies

San Diego is a money losing 22 units on a 32-30 record when facing a team with a losing record on the season; 12-15 SU this season as a road favorite against a losing record team. Rockies are 30-15 in home games facing a NL club that is batting below 0.250 on the season; 8-2 in home games facing a solid bullpen sporting an ERA of 3.50 or lower for the season.

Bet Colorado for a 4-Unit Best bet

Houston vs Kansas City

8:10 EST, August 16, 2021

4-UNIT play on the Kansas City Royals

Houston is a money-burning 9-20 in road games and facing a host that is averaging 2.75 or fewer extra-base-hits-per-game on the season. Houston is 13-19 in road games played in August over the last three months. Houston SP Jake Odorizzi is just 3-6 with a 5.37 ERA and a 1.387 WHIP in 13 career starts against KC.  

From the predictive models and machine learning applications, when the Royals have been home dogs and their starter completed more innings than the opponent’s starter, has earned a 26-24 record, but by averaging a +141 underdog wager made the $100 bettor $1,200 in profits for a nice 22% ROI in games played over the last three seasons.

LA Angels vs NY Yankees

7:05 PM EST, August 16, 2021

4-UNIT Best Bet on the UNDER

This is a rescheduled game from July 1Angels are 11-2 UNDER in road games when facing an AL team that is batting 0.255 or lower on the seasons; 6-0 UNDER in road games following a game that had a combined score of 4 or fewer runs. Cole, who is coming off COVID-19, is just 3-6 as a home favorite of -145 or higher this season. Yankees are 18-7 UNDER following six or more consecutive road games. Angels are 7-0 in road games after scoring and allowing three or fewer runs in games played this season. Jose Suarez makes his first start against the Yankees of his career and he has a great advantage pitching to batters who have never faced him. On June 30th, Chapman, blew a 4-run lead throwing in the rain as the Angels scored 7 runs in the 9th to get a 11-8 victory.

Bet the UNDER for a 4-UNIT Best Bet

Cincinnati vs Philadelphia

7:05 PM EST, August 13, 2021

4-UNIT best Bet on the OVER

The weather has been scorching hot with humidity in the mid-90% range. The ball will fly out of Citizen’s Bank Park and pitcher’s will be taxed by these difficult conditions. 60% of the betting tickets are on the UNDER, but 63% of the money is on the OVER. Reds are 21-10 OVER when facing a struggling bullpen that converts no more than 38% of their save opportunities this season; 25-12 when facing a starter that averages 5 or more K’s-per-start, this season. 

Bet the OVER as a 4-UNIT Play

Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati

7:10 PM EST, Saturday, August 7, 2021

4-UNIT Best Bet on the OVER

The Reds are 33-15 OVER when playing against a losing record team this season and 10-2 when that opponent has a win percentage below 38%. They are also 13-2 OVER when facing a NL foe that is allowing an average of 5 or more runs-per-game this season.

Bet the OVER as a 4-UNIT Best Bet

LA Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants 

9:45 PM EST, July 28, 2021 

4-UNIT Best Bet on the OVER 

The OVER is a solid 142-77-2 for 65% winning bets spanning the last 25 seasons involving a team that has an above average slugging percentage of 0.425 and higher and is batting 0.225 or lower spanning their last 10 games and facing a team that has a strong bullpen posting a season-to-date WHIP of 1.35 or lower.  

Dodgers manager Roberts is 26-13 OVER when facing a team that is batting 0.245 or worse; 41-20 OVER in road games facing a NL opponent that is batting 0.250 or lower with the game taking place in the second half of the season. 

Dodgers are 13-2 OVER off a loss to a divisional rival this season.  

Colorado vs LA Angels 

9:38PM EST, July 28, 2021 

8-Unit Best Bet UNDER the posted total 

Colorado skipper Black is a solid 53-27 UNDER as a road underdog between +150 and +199; 37-19 when facing an AL West opponent. Rockies are on a 23-9 run UNDER when facing an AL West opponent over the last two seasons. Colorado is 20-9 UNDER when facing a AL team that is batting 0.265 or lower in games played over the last two seasons.  

Team that are playing their last game of the current series, starting a left-handed starter, lost the previous game by at least 5-runs, and are installed as –200 to –225 home favorites are 11-6-1 UNDER for 65% winning bets. 

Bet the UNDER for a 8-UNIT amount. 

Toronto vs Boston 

7:10 ET, July 27, 2021 

8-Unit Best Bet on the UNDER 

Toronto is 20-8 UNDER when facing a host that has a winning record in the second-half of the season. Boston is 11-3 when facing an AL team with a 0.265 batting average or lower in games played in the second half of this season. Boston is 13-5 UNDER when facing a team that is averaging at least 1.25 home runs per game this season.  

Bet the UNDER as a 8-UNIT (4%) best bet.  

Colorado vs LA Dodgers  

9:10 PM EST, July 24, 2021 

4-UNIT Best Bet on the UNDER 

Rockies SP Freeland is 9-1 UNDER when facing teams that are outscoring their opponents by at least one run-per-game and 14-3 UNDER when facing teams that are averaging 1.25 or more home runs-per-game. He is also 18-2 UNDER as a road dog of at least +150 and 13-3 in road games played at night spanning the last three seasons.  

Betting the UNDER in game lined at 7 to 8.5 runs involving a road team that has a solid 2.50 ERA over his last 5 starts and after a game in which their bullpen blew a save has earned a 47-13 UNDER record good for 78% winning bets over the last five seasons.  This angle is already 8-2 this season.  

Washington vs Baltimore 

6:35 PM EST, July 24, 2021 

4-Unit Best bet OVER the posted total.  

Here are a few quick hitting bullet points supporting and reinforcing the OVER bet identified first by my machine learning applications. Baltimore is 33-17 OVER when facing a SP that is allowing an average of 5.5 or fewer-hits-per-game on the season, in games played this season. Washington is 15-5 OVER in games played over the last two seasons in which the total was 9 or 9.5-runs.  

Scherzer is struggling with a 6.48 ERA over his last three starts and allowing 11 ER in his last two starts at home and on the road against the San Diego Padres.  

Bet the OVER for a 4-UNIT amount.  

Texas vs Houston 

4-Units betting the UNDER. 

7:10 PM EST, July 24, 2021 

Keep an eye out for Texas starter Kyle Gibson in the news today. This may be his last start before being traded to a contender and it is possible, he could get moved prior to this start. He must start for this play to be valid. He is 4-2 with a 2.41 ERA and a 1.219 WHIP in 12 career starts against the Astros. He has faced the Astros three times in 2021 and has pitched well in each one. On June 15 he completed six innings and allowed 1 ER on seven hits. May 21, he completed 6 innings, allowing 1 ER on four hits, and on May 16, he completed 7 innings allowing 2 ER on four hits.  

Texas has completely fallen apart as a MLB team having lost 10 consecutive games. Over their last 7 games they have averaged just 1.4 RPG and batted 0.156 with a 0.214 OBP.  

Houston is 19-2 against Texas with the UNDER sporting a 13-8 record spanning the last three seasons. In 2021, the UNDER is 6-2-1 in this matchup. 

Take the UNDER 

Detroit vs Kansas City

5-Unit best bet on the OVER

The Tigers have suddenly won seven consecutive games and are on the verge of being included in the AL Wild Card race as one of the long shot contenders. They are hitting the ball and scoring runs. They are 9-4-1 OVER for 69% in road games and facing a left-handed SP. They are also 16-5 OVER this season when facing opponents that average three or fewer walks-per-game.

Detroit will have Wily Peralta on the hill and in six starts he has posted a 1.71 ERA and 0.947 WHIP and very impressive 0.47 ERA and a 0.842 WHIP spanning this last three starts. He made his first start June 19 and allowed 5 ER in an 8-3 loss to the Angels. Since, he ash allowed 1 ER over his last 5 starts, but he is vulnerable to a significant regression in this matchup based on the machine learning applications.

Kris Bubic will start for Kansas City and he has been hammered to the tune of a 10.38 ERA and a 2.154 WHIP spanning his last three starts. He has allowed 5 ER in each of these starts.

Take the OVER

St. Louis vs Chicago Cubs 

7:15 PM EST, July 10, 2021 
Kwang-Hyun Kim (L) vs Zach Davies (R) 

4-UNIT Best Bet UNDER 

Betting the UNDER with a road team in games where the total is 7 to 8.5 with a starting pitcher posting a season-to-date WHIP is 1.250 to 1.300 and who gave up no earned runs in his last start has earned an outstanding 39-16-5 record good for 71% winning bets over the last five seasons. 

Kim is in great form posting an ERA of 2.76 and WHIP of 1.164 over his last three starts. Davies has posted a strong 2.40 ERA and a 1.067 WHIP spanning his last three starts.  

Cardinals skipper Schildt is 16-4 UNDER following a game in which his team allowed 10 or more runs. 

Pittsburgh Pirates vs NY Mets 

4:10 PM EST, July 10, 2021 

Tyler Anderson (L) vs Marcus Stroman (R) 

4-UNIT Best Bet UNDER 

You may have seen my Tweet earlier this morning that stated the Mets are 6-0 UNDER in games with a posted total of 5.5 or lower-runs this season. DeGrom has accounted for 4 of these games and Stroman, the other two games.  Further, the Mets are 16-5 UNDER making $1,100 for the $100 bet in home games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season this season; 21-9 UNDER making $1,120 per $100 bet as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. Stroman is 7-0 UNDER in home starts this season.  

Pittsburgh will have LH Tyler Anderson on the rubber and he is great form posting a 2.41 ERA and a 0.911 WHIP spanning his last three starts. In 6 day-game starts, he has a 3.06 ERA and 1.076 WHIP. Stroman is not in top form, but he has a strong history of bringing his best starts following a poor stretch. In 14 grass field starts, he has posted a 2/03 ERA and 1.102 WHIP and has allowed only 6 HR.  

Take the UNDER.  

Washington vs Philadelphia

1:05 ET, June 23, 2021

4-UNIT Best Bet on the OVER

Betting the OVER in game with a total between 8.5 and 10-runs, the home team has a paltry 0.300 or lower slugging percentage on the season and is starting average starting pitcher sporting a WHIP between 1.35 and 1.49 for the season and is now facing a team putting out a solid starting pitcher sporting a WHIP of 1.25 or less on the season has earned a 46-15 record for 76% winning bets over the last 25 seasons.

Washington starts Erick Fedde, who has been incredibly good and has not allowed an earned run in his last three starts spanning the past 19 innings of work. However, my predictive models indicate that the scoreless innings streak is going to come to an abrupt end this afternoon. The Phillies have Velasquez on the hill, who has been largely inconsistent and in three days starts has been shelled to the tune of an 8.25 ERA and 1.667 WHIP spanning just 12 innings of work. In nine grass starts he has allowed 10 home runs.

From the predictive side of things, we learn that the Phillies in home games that saw both starting pitchers combine for fewer than 10 innings pitched, the OVER gets the money with 38-15-1 record and 72% winning bets over the last three seasons. Moreover, 12-5 OVER if the game starts before 6:00 ET.

Detrtoit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals

Kauffman Stadium

4:10 PM EDT, May 22, 2021

4-UNIT Best Bet UNDER the posted total

The Tigers starting pitcher Mathew Boyd is pitching well and sports a 2.45 ERA on the seasons. The Royals counter with Brady Singer, who is also in decent form with a 3.96 ERA on the season. In fact, the Tigers starters are allowing a solid 1.625 earned rtuns per game.

The Under is 7-0 in Boyds last seven starts when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. The UNDER is Under is 7-1 in Boyds last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Under is 10-2 in Royals last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Bet the UNDER for 4-UNITS on a 3,4, and 5-UNIT scale.

NY YANKEES (21 - 17) at BALTIMORE (16 - 22)  
DOMINGO GERMAN (R) vs. JORGE LOPEZ (R)

5-UNIT Best Bet on the OVER

This betting angle has produced an 82-37 record for 69% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet OVER  in a game with a total of 9 or 9.5 runs, the road team has a hot starting pitcher in excellent form sporting an ERA of 2.50 or lower spanning his last three starts and is batting just 0.230 or worse over their last 15 games.  

Yankees are a solid 36-15 OVER in road games facing struggling teams outscored by their opponents by 0.5 or more runs-per-game in games played over the last 3 seasons. Yankees are 22-9 OVER in road games after having won four of their last five games over the last three seasons.

The Orioles are 18-8 OVER since 2017, coming off four consecutive games scoring four or fewer runs, and averaging at least 1.1 multiple-run-innings-per-game on the season.

Take the OVER for a 5-UNIT Best Bet

St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres

Game 2 NL Wild Card best of 3
7:08 PM EST, October 1, 2020

7-Star NL Total Best bet Titan ‘OVER’

This betting system has earned a solid 80-40-1 record for 67% winning bets over the last 20 seasons and require us to bet the ‘OVER’ with NL home teams with a minimum slugging-percentage of 0.430 on the season, has been hitting just 0.225 or lower spanning their last 10 games and is facing a team with a goods bullpen posting a WHIP of 1.35 or lower on the season.

Padres are 14-5 OVER facing teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season; 25-11 OVER  in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.

St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres

Game 1 NL Wild Card best of 3
5:08 PM EST, September 30, 2020

7-Star NL Total Best bet Titan ‘OVER’

This betting system has earned a solid 79-39-1 record for 67% winning bets over the last 20 seasons and require us to bet the ‘OVER’ with NL home teams with a minimum slugging-percentage of 0.430 on the season, has been hitting just 0.225 or lower spanning their last 10 games and is facing a team with a goods bullpen posting a WHIP of 1.35 or lower on the season.

Padres are 40-20 ‘OVER’ when facing a starting pitcher who is undefeated after 5 or more starts on the season; 13-5 ‘OVER’ when facing a team averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. Cardinals are 13-4 ‘OVER’ in road games after a game where they stranded three or less runners on base over the last two seasons.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs
August 13, 7:15 PM EST
10-Star Titan on the ‘OVER’ in this matchup

The machine learning toolshed projects that the Brewers and Cubs will combine to score in at least five innings and have two or more multiple run innings. Teams that have met or exceeded these measures and the host has a win percentage above 60% and the guest has a losing record have combined to post a 1960-341-111 record for 85% wins and a 60% ROI since 2004. When the opponent has been the Cubs being the host the ‘over’ has gone 30-8 for 80% winning bets and a 55% ROI.

PARX Casino in Pennsylvania has a total line of 8 runs paying -114 vig and I would highly recommend doing your best to get a line of 8 runs. It always pays to shop for the best line and is not a reflection that I think only nine runs will be scored. There is a 39% probability that one of these teams will score 8 or more runs on their own merit.

Cubs are to a fast start, but their bullpen is certainly not part of it. The relievers are sporting a 6.56 ERA and a 1.521 WHIP on the young season. It is doubtful that Cubs starter Yu Darvish will complete 6 innings so the bullpen will be exposed by the Brewers.

Take the ‘OVER’ for a 10-Star Best Bet Titan

PITTSBURGH VS MINNESOTA
8:10 PM EST, 08-03-20
MLB 7-star Best Bet Titan on the ‘UNDER’

Here is a betting system that has earned a 31-7 record good for 82% winning bets over the last five seasons. The query instructs us to play ‘under’ with all teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 and is a below average NL hitting team batting no higher than 0.255 and with an on base percentage of .285 or worse over their last five games and is now facing a team with a very good bullpen sporting an ERA of 3.33 or lower on the season. 

In a short sprint of 60-games no team can afford a four-game losing streak as the Pirates have suffered. They also are 0-4 in 1-run games so far this season. Tonight they start a 2-game home and home series with the Minnesota Twins, who are 7-2, on a 3-game win streak, and have won 7-of-9 games to start the season. 

The Pirates have struggled at the plate and the Twins pitching has been the best in baseball allowing just nine runs on their last seven games. Twins manager Baldelli is an outstanding 11-1 ‘UNDER’ after a game in which his bullpen threw 6 or more innings. 

Ryan’s MLB 7-Star Best Bet Titan Total