Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-13-22 | Dodgers -190 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
LA Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks 4% 8-Unit best Bet on the Dodgers using the money line Betting on all favorites in a NL matchup with a moneyline between –175 and –250 starting a strong pitcher [posting an ERA of 3.75 or lower for the season and is a team that is batting .255 to .270 for the season and is facing a very good starter posting an ERA of 3.00 or lower for the season has produced a 32-8 record averaging a –194 moneyline bet and producing a 33% ROI since the start of the 2016 season. |
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09-01-22 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks +120 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 120 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Arizona 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Arizona Diamondbacks using the money line Brewers are 8-15 losing 21 units when facing a NL team that is batting .245 or lower in games played in the second half of this season. Diamondbacks are 22-10 making 16 units in home games when facing a NL foe with an OBP of .315 in the second half of each of the past two seasons. Arizona is 9-2 making 8.7 units following a game that had a combined score of 17 runs over the past three seasons. |
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08-31-22 | Red Sox +112 v. Twins | Top | 6-5 | Win | 112 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
Boston vs Minnesota 4% 8-Unit best bet on the Red Sox using the money line. The Red Sox will have Michael Wacha on the hill and he is 10-3 making 7.7 units on the moneyline in games pricing his team between a –125 favorite and +125 underdog. Twins are 20-30 losing 17 units on the moneyline after playing five or more consecutive home games spanning the past two seasons. Twins skipper Baldelli is 14-20 losing 17 units on the moneyline following a five-game stretch in which his bullpen had an ERA of 2.00 or lower. |
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08-31-22 | Dodgers +150 v. Mets | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
LA Dodgers vs NY Mets I am betting the Dodgers on the moneyline s a 4% 8-Unit bets bet Wednesday The Dodgers are 38-9 making 21 units on the moneyline when facing a team that averages seven or more strikeouts per game in the second half of this season. The Dodgers starter Anderson is 10-2 making 11 units on the moneyline when facing a team that has outscored their opponents by .5 or more runs-per-game in starts made over the last two seasons. Anderson is 18-5 making 14 units on the moneyline following a start in which he allowed no more than one earned run in starts made over the past two seasons. |
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08-31-22 | A's -105 v. Nationals | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
Oakland A’s vs Washington Nationals 4% bets bet on the A’s using the money line Betting on AL road teams that are starting a pitcher with a season-to-date ERA between 4.70 and 5.70, that are taking on a host, who is batting no better than .250 for the season and with the game being not the first or last game of the series has earned an outstanding 29-11 record good for 73% winning bets averaging a +120-underdog bet and producing a 62% ROI spanning the last 25 seasons and is a perfect 4-0 over the past three seasons. |
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08-25-22 | Cardinals v. Cubs +102 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
St. Louis vs Chicago 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Chicago Cubs using the moneyline. Betting on teams lined between a –125 favorite and a +125 underdog that are coming off an upset win over a divisional foe by six or more runs has produced a 52-26 record averaging a 110-dog bet producing a 37% ROI over the last five seasons. If the previous win had our team priced as a 135 or greater underdog the record soars to 25-11 averaging a 107 wager and producing a highly profitable 45% ROI over the last five seasons. Bet the Cubs. |
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08-19-22 | Mets v. Phillies -117 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -117 | 2 h 9 m | Show |
New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies These NL East divisional rivals begin a four-game series that potentially determine their playoff fates. Betting on home teams that are outscoring their opponents by at least 0.5 RPG following a game in which they were shutout has earned an outstanding 100-41 record for 71% winning bets and producing a 26.4% ROI over the last five seasons. Aaron Nola has been one of the best pitchers in baseball and if not for the remarkable season that Sandy Alcantara has put in, would be a contender for the Cy Young award. His season-to-date stats are among the best and he has walked the fewest batters per start in the Majors. His strikeout to walk ratio ranks tops in MLB. |
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08-05-22 | Yankees v. Cardinals +137 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 137 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
NY Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals 5% MAX 10-UNIT best bet on the St. Louis Cardinals using the money line Ok, so just a reminder not to extend the amount bet on this 5% MAX Best Bet, especially on the reason that I am 9-0 in MLB last 12 months with these special situations. The Cardinals are off a divisional sweep of the Chicago Cubs and won both ends of the double-header played yesterday. Teams off a three-game divisional sweep and now playing in an inter-league game against an opponent with more wins on the season they have earned has produced a 23-13 record averaging a 117-underdog wager resulting in a highly profitable 38% ROI over the last 18 seasons, 19-10 record for 65.5% wins averaging a 118-money line wager and producing a remarkable 43.3% ROI over the last 10 seasons. Cardinals are 62-41 making 23 units when taking on a foe that averages 7+ strikeouts per game in the second half of each of the last two seasons. The Yankees are 3-10 losing 13 units following four or more consecutive OVER results in games played over the last two seasons. Cardinals are 25-14 when the total has been lined at 8 or 8.5 runs this season. |
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07-21-22 | Giants v. Dodgers -120 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
National League Best Bet Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants The all-star break is completed, and MLB looks to resume their great season Thursday. One of the key matchups features the NL West rivals Giants host the Dodgers, who have the best record in the NL at 60-30 and lead the Giants by 12.5 games in the divisional race. The Giants are only a ½-game out for one of the three Wild Card berths so this series is moumentally important for them to win. The Trends and Angles The following situational trends and angle support a betting opportunity on the Dodgers. The Giants are 0-7 when playing on Thursdays this season. The Giants are 7-12 after winning six or seven of their last eight games. The Dodgers are 46-11 in home games when on a two or more-game win streak over the past two seasons. I am going to the window betting the Dodgers using the moneyline as an 8-Unit Bet offered at -140 at BetMGM. |
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07-03-22 | Padres v. Dodgers -190 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -190 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
San Diego vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4:10 EDT, July 3, 2022 4% best bet on the Dodgers on the money line Kershaw has the ball for the Dodgers, and he was roughed up in his last start allowing six earned runs on nine hits including two home runs. The last time he yielded 6+ earned runs in a start was on June 19 of the 2017 season when he allowed six earned runs to the New York Mets. In his next start against the Rockies, the Dodgers won, with Kershaw completing six innings, allowing zero earned runs, 1 walk, and 8 strikeouts. I expect a similar bounce back from him today. In home games at Dodgers Stadium, Kershaw is 100-40 in 197 starts with an incredible 2.22 ERA and 1,472 strikeouts. Betting on favorites that are a strong offensive team scoring an average of 5.0 or more RPG on the season, has allowed two or fewer runs in back-to-back games, and facing a NL starting pitcher with a 3.70 ERA or better has produced an exceptional 56-26 record for 68% winning bets since 2004. If our favorite is playing at home, the record gets even better with a 38-11 record for 78% winning bets and a highly profitable 25% ROI. |
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07-03-22 | Yankees -165 v. Guardians | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -165 | 4 h 52 m | Show |
New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians 1:40 PM EDT, July 3, 2022 4% best bet on the New York Yankees on the money line The Yankees scored four runs in each of two innings and had a total of four multiple run innings in yesterday’s 13-4 win over the Guardians. Road teams that have outscored their opponents by at least 100 or more runs, had four or more multiple run innings in their previous game and the host is priced as a 100 to 170 underdog has earned a 33-17 record for 66% winners since 2004 and if the game was played in July, the record is a perfect 11-0! The Guardians McKenzie is on the hill, and he has been rocked for 6 and 7 earned runs in his last two starts. Since 2004, teams playing in July that are scoring 4.75 or more RPG and facing a starter that allowed 6 or more earned runs in each of his last two starts are 15-4 for 79% winning bets. |
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07-02-22 | Rangers +120 v. Mets | Top | 7-3 | Win | 120 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
Texas Rangers vs New York Mets 4:10 PM EST, July 2, 2022 4% best bet on the Rangers using the money line and boxed with Perez and Williams starting for the Rangers and Mets respectively. Here is a strong situational betting angle that I really like and has been a largely consistent money maker over many seasons. Bet on road teams when the total is 8.5 or 9 runs, have lost between 1 and 3 of their previous games, had no multiple run innings in their previous loss, and facing a foe that has a win percentage of 60% or higher on the season, and our road team is allowing an average of 1.75 or fewer runs per game by the bullpen (earned and unearned) This set of game parameters has earned a 38-34 record, averaging a +130 underdog bet and producing a 26% ROI. |
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07-02-22 | Angels +141 v. Astros | Top | 1-9 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
LA Angels vs Houston Astros 4:10 EDT, July 2, 2022 4% best bet on the LA Angels using the money line Here is another big money maker that applied to this matchup and supports the bet on the Angels, who lost 8-1 to the Astros Friday. Bet on teams when the total is between 8 and 9 runs in a divisional matchup, coming off a game with no multiple run innings, is on a 1 to 3-game losing streak, playing a foe that has won 60% or more of their games, and our team’s bullpen is allowing 2 or fewer runs per game has earned a 67-50 record averaging a +115 dog wager and a very good 21% ROI over the last five seasons. Angels are 23-13 in road games and having batted .225 or worse over their last five games in games played over the last two seasons. |
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07-01-22 | Rangers +176 v. Mets | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
Rangers vs Mets 7:10 EDT, July 1, 2022 4% Best bet on the Texas Rangers on the money line Both teams had off Thursday to end the month of June. The New York Mets went 13-12 and saw their NL East Division lead of 11 games shrink to just 3 games over the Atlanta Braves entering July. The Braves went 21-6 and only the New York Yankees were better with a 22-6 record in June. The Mets are not playing consistently for weeks now and they cannot overlook a Texas Rangers squad looking to get back to .500 and be a contender for the Al Wild Card berths. The Mets are in good shape, though, knowing that they will be getting Max Scherzer back and then Jacob DeGrom returns most likely in August. They are the two aces of the pitching staff and it only stands to reason that the Mets will win a lot more games with them in the rotation.
· The Rangers are 25-17 when facing a starting pitcher that allows and average of 5.5 or fewer hits per start this season. · The Rangers are 45-25 when facing a NL starting pitcher with a 1.15 or better WHIP spanning the last 25 seasons. · The Rangers are an impressive 16-7 as underdog between +125 and +175 producing an outstanding 48% ROI this season. |
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07-01-22 | Brewers v. Pirates +185 | Top | 19-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh 7:10 EDT, July 1, 2022 4% best bet on the Pittsburgh Pirates on the money line Pirates are 43-37 making 27 units following game in which they hit four or more home runs. Betting on home underdogs that are scoring an average of 3.8 RPG, after back-to-back games allowing at least seven runs in each, and facing an opponent with a solid bullpen sporting an ERA of 3.75 or lower on the season has produced a 23-8 record for 73% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. It has averaged a +135 underdog wager. |
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06-27-22 | Twins v. Guardians +114 | Top | 11-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Cleveland 7:10 EDT, June 27 4% best bet on the Cleveland Guardians using the money line Betting on home teams that are facing a foe that has had two straight games in which they had Zero home runs and is starting a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.00 or lower spanning his last five starts has produced a 68-34 record good for 67% winning bets and making the $100 bettor a $3900 profit over the last five seasons. Bet the Cleveland Guardians as a 4% best bet |
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06-27-22 | A's +253 v. Yankees | Top | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Oakland vs NY Yankees 7:05 EDT, June 27, 2022 4% best bet on the Oakland Athletics using the money line Consider splitting this wager to be a 2.75% amount on the run line and a 1.25% on the money line for a more conservative combination wager. I like the money line and is based on season-long results in betting these massive dogs and knowing they will make us money over the course of a season. Oakland will start Blackburn, who is 6-0 in road games when facing a team that strikeouts an average of 7 or more times per game this season. The Yankees start left-hander Montgomery, who is 6-10 when facing a foe that is being outscored by at least 0.5 RPG in games played over the last two seasons. |
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06-26-22 | A's +151 v. Royals | Top | 5-3 | Win | 151 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
Oakland vs KC 2:10 EDT 4% best bet on the Oakland A’s using the money line A’s are 26-12 making 14 units when facing a struggling bullpen posting an ERA of 4.70 or higher on the season over the last two seasons. Royals are a horrid 15-32 when facing a starting pitcher that has lost 80% or more of their decisions on the season. They are also just 10-21 losing 20 units when priced as a favorite between -125 and -175 over the last two seasons. |
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06-26-22 | Astros +160 v. Yankees | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 0 m | Show |
Houston vs Yankees 1:35 EDT, June 26, 2022 4% Best Bet on the Houston Astros on the money line The Yankees were no hit Saturday and we were on the Astros +150, which was quite nice to see. The Yankees have scored a total of one run over their last two games and if not for the bottom of the ninth heroics in Game-1, they would be in danger of getting swept by the Astros at home. This is all part of my statements made on the Full Count MLB show where I said the Yankees were ripe for regression. They are simply not DUE to score a monster number of runs in this series final because they scored just 1 run in their last two games. They could certainly, and if they do, it is not because they scored just 1 run or were not hit in their last game. Home teams that are 20 games over .500, that scored 1 or zero runs in each of their last two games, playing in the last game of a series are just 13-15 averaging a -160 favorite and producing a -20% ROI. So, the fade is in full force again for this series finale on the Astros. |
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06-25-22 | Mets v. Marlins +132 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
Mets vs Marlins 4:10 EDT 4% best on the Marlins on the money line Betting on home underdogs of +125 to +175 starting a pitcher that averages fewer than 5 innings per start and facing a NL foe that is starting a pitcher with an ERA between 3.70 and 4.20 on the season has earned an outstanding 50-28 record averaging a +141 underdog bet over the last 25 seasons and is 19-9 over the last five seasons. The Mets start Bassitt and he has lost three of his last four starts and has posted a 4.39 ERA and a 1.133 WHIP over his last three starts. He just lost 6-2 to the Marlins June 19 in his last start at Citi Field. The Marlins pen is doing great recently with a 2.45 ERA and a 1.182 WHIP over their last 7 games. |
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06-25-22 | Pirates +158 v. Rays | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay 1:10 EDT, June 25 4% best bet on the Pirates using the money line Betting on NL underdogs of 125 to 175 with a slugging percentage of .400 or lower, starting a pitcher with a solid WHIP between 1.35 and 1.45 on the season and facing an elite AL starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.300 or lower on the season has earned an outstanding 40-25 record averaging a +150 underdog bet over the last 25 seasons. JT Brubaker starts for the Pirates and he is top form posting a 2.45 ERA and a 1.364 WHIP over his last three starts. We are getting paid to assume the risk of this losing record underdog. |
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06-25-22 | Astros +152 v. Yankees | Top | 3-0 | Win | 152 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
Houston vs NY Yankees 1:05 EDT, June 25, 2022 4% best bet on the Astros using the money line This system has earned a 48-31 record good for 61% winning bets averaging a +145 wager over the past five seasons. The requirements are to bet on road underdogs of 125 to 175 facing a foe with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games and with a strong bullpen that has posted a 2.00 or lower ERA over their last five games. Regression does happen even to the best teams in MLB. Baker is 12-2 when facing a foe with a starting pitcher that has won 80% or more of their decisions and 30-12 when facing AL starter with an ERA of 3.40 or lower. |
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06-21-22 | Mariners v. A's +132 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
Seattle vs Oakland 9:40 EDT, June 21, 2022 Oakland is a terrible team, period, but even the worst teams in baseball do not lose every game. Seattle is a struggling team and I do not see why in the world they are favored – even against the A’s – in this matchup. They have lost three straight and nine of their last 13 games. They are batting just .183 and scoring 2.3 RPG over their last seven games. The one thing that Oakland does well is relief pitching as that unit has posted a 2.22 ERA with a 1.233 WHIP over their last seven games. James Kaprielian will start for the A’s and is 0-4 with a 6.32 ERA and a 1.500 WHIP in nine starts this season. He is averaging 4.6 innings per start and note that Seattle is 1-12 losing 14 units when facing a starter that averages less than five innings per start in games played this season. I like the Oakland A’s as a 4% bets bet on the money line. |
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06-21-22 | Giants v. Braves -153 | Top | 12-10 | Loss | -153 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
San Francisco vs Atlanta 7:20 EDT, June 21, 2022 This is a 4% best bet on the Atlanta Braves using the money line. This bet is supported by one of my more than 4,000 betting algorithms and systems that has earned a 42-11 record for 79% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on home teams priced as a favorite that has a solid bullpen posting a season-to-date ERA of 3.50 or lower on the season and is now facing a solid offensive team scoring an average of 4.7 RPG and has batted no better than .220 over their last 10 games. Braves Strider is on the hill and he throws 98 to 100 MPH with heavy and late breaking action generating a ton of ground ball outs, especially against launch angle-happy batters like the Giants lineup. I also like betting OVER 6.5 strikeouts -135 for a 0.5 amount. |
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06-20-22 | Royals v. Angels -183 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -183 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Kansas City vs LA Angels 9:38 EDT, June 20, 2022 4% best bet on the Angels The Angels are the most undervalued teams in the marketplace right now. That does Not mean they will win every game, but it does me that my predictive models are expecting the Angels to win more than lose with a projection of 13 or more wins over their next 20 games. Trout is on fire like he always is June and despite batting 0.255 in June, his OPS is an amazing 1.076. He has hit five home runs in the last five games. The rest of the lineup is doing better as a result his performances of late and the Angels are not dependent on Trout to win the games for them. Syndergaard gets the nod for the Angels and is 2-1 with a 2.50 ERA in three career starts against the Royals. Left-hander Kris Bubic (0-4, 8.36) will make his ninth start of the year for the Royals and has faced the Angels once, getting tagged for the loss in a game last season when he gave up six runs in four innings. I see more of the same in this matchup for Bubic. |
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06-18-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -129 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -129 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
NY Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays 3:07 EDT, June 17, 2022 4% best bet on the Blue Jays Tremendous pitching matchup with Taillon (7-1, 2.93 ERA) on the hill for the Yankees going against the Blue Jays Manoah (8-1, 1.67). Yankees are scorching hot and are 40-10 since April 22 and is the first time they have won 40+ games over a 50-game span since 1998. The last MLB team to win at least 40 of 50 games was the Cleveland Guardians in 2017, who went 42-8. Yankees are just 38-40 losing 25 units in day games over the last three seasons. Manoah is 18-3 (team record) making 15 units in games with a total between 8.5 and 10 runs over the last two seasons. |
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06-18-22 | Braves -160 v. Cubs | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -160 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
Atlanta vs Chicago Cubs 2:20 EDT, June 18, 2022 4% best bet on the Braves on the money line I like a combination wager of betting a 3% best bet on the money line and then a 1% best bet on the run line. Either strategy is valid, and this play will be graded on the money line. Atlanta had its’ 14-game win streak snapped in a 1-0 loss to the Cubs Friday and had the bases loaded with two outs in the top of the ninth inning. A loss is a loss. A strong team remains a strong team even after a shutout loss. Teams that have won 12 of their last 15 games, coming off a shutout loss, and now favored by -175 or more on the money line have gone 15-3 for 79% winners and 11-5 on the run line for 30% ROI and 69% winners going back to the 2004 season. Plus, 8-0 and 6-2 on the Run Line since 2016. |
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06-17-22 | Rangers +105 v. Tigers | Top | 7-0 | Win | 105 | 2 h 34 m | Show |
Texas vs Detroit 7:10 EDT, June 17, 2022 4% bets bet on the Texas Rangers on the money line Rangers are an outstanding 14-9 making 12.5 units when facing an AL SP that has an ERA under 3.00 in games played over the last two seasons. Detroit is a miserable 3-11 in home games taking on a foe that averages 3 or fewer walks per game this season. Betting on AL underdogs starting a pitcher with an ERA of 4.75 to 5.75 and facing a foe that has posted a .310 OBP over his last 20 games and scoring 4.2 or fewer RPG has earned a 36-18 record for 67% winners and has averaged a very descent +135 underdog bet. |
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06-17-22 | Cardinals v. Red Sox -110 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 33 m | Show |
St. Louis vs Boston 7:10 EDT, June 17, 2022 4% best bet on the Boston Red Sox on the money line Bet on teams in a game lined between a -125 favorite and a 125 underdog that is taking on an opponent that is coming off a loss to a divisional rival and was priced as a -150 or greater favorite and is a matchup of winning record teams has produced a 42-26 record good for 62% winners and has produced a 24.3% ROI over the last five seasons. |
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06-09-22 | Diamondbacks +130 v. Reds | Top | 5-4 | Win | 130 | 2 h 58 m | Show |
Arizona vs Cincinnati 12:35 PM EST, June 9, 2022 4% best bet on the money line with the Arizona Diamondbacks The following betting system has earned a highly profitable 25-19 record good for 72% winning bets over the last five seasons for a profit-producing 29.31% ROI spanning the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on road underdogs that have lost five or six of their last seven games, has won 45 to 49.9% of their games on the season (one-game under 0.500) and facing a team with a losing record. This points solidly to backing the Diamondbacks in this early after game Thursday. |
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10-19-21 | Braves v. Dodgers -175 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
Atlanta vs LA Dodgers Game-3 NLCS 5:08 PM EST, October 19, 2021 4% Best Bet on the LA Dodgers 2% Best Bet UNDER 7.5 runs The Dodgers will have Walker Buehler on the hill and he has dominated the Braves sporting a 3-0 record in 6 career starts, 3.06 ERA, and a 0.934 WHIP. In his only previous start against the Braves this season he dominated allowing two earned runs over seven innings pitched including five Ks. Over his last three starts he has posted a 2.87 ERA and a 1.022 WHIP, a 2-1 team record, including 20 Ks over 15.2 innings of work. In day starts, his team and personal record is 5-1 sporting a 2.45 ERA and a 1.242 WHIP including 34 Ks over 33 innings of work. In home starts he is 11-2 and the Dodgers 14-6 (blown saves) with a 2.05 ERA and a 0.966 including 134 Ks spanning 127.3 innings of work. Teams that lose the first two games of a series and now installed as home favorites of -150 or more, the UNDER is 7-3 for 70%. Buehler is 32-16 UNDER in home games pitching against teams that average 7 or more strikeouts per game for his career. From the predictive side of things, my models, predict that the Dodgers will score first. Note that teams starting a pitcher, who has not lost to the opponent in any previous matchup and installed as -170 favorites or greater, are 5-1 SU. If the starter has 3 or more matchup wins and zero matchup losses, that home team, regardless of favorite or underdog, is 5-0. Player prop bets for 0.75 units: Buehler will have more than 5.5 strikeouts getting +100 money at Draft Kings. 1.0 units on Dodgers -0.5 runs -110 first five innings 0.25 that Mookie Betts over 1.5 total bases paying -105 money at DraftKings 0.25 units that one of the teams will not score +400. Obviously, I think that is possible for the Braves not to score. |
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10-06-21 | Cardinals +210 v. Dodgers | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
St. Louis vs LA Dodgers Cardinals are an outstanding 23-13 when playing against a winning record team during the second half of this season. Wainwright is 17-4 when facing a NL team that is batting no better than 0.245 on the season and 11-1 in the second half of this season. Betting against home favorites with a money line between -175 and -250 with a winning record on the season and is on a 6 or more-game win streak has earned a 28-28 record for 50% winning bets over the last five seasons. There is more, of course. The average wager has been a +197 DOG wager and has made the Dime bettor a $24,500 profit betting on these 56 games. Take the St. Louis Cardinals using the money line. |
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09-24-21 | Yankees v. Red Sox +108 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
NY Yankees vs Boston 7:10 PM EST, September 24, 2021 4% (4-Unit) Best bet on the Red Sox using the money line The Yankees playoff aspirations or the lack of them can be pointed to their poor record against the divisional opponents. Yankees are just 30-37 losing 27 units facing an AL East foe this season. Boston is 35-17 after three or more home games this season. Eovaldi has been exceptional in his last three starts against the Yankees allowing no more than two earned runs in each start. Plus, over 12 starts against the Yankees, he has amassed a 2.59 ERA and a 0.973 WHIP. Bet the Red Sox |
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09-23-21 | Astros -157 v. Angels | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -157 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
Houston vs LA Angels 9:38 PM EST Thursday, September 23, 2021 4% Best Bet on the Houston Astros using the money line. The Angels have been a money-burning 9-22 losing 11.2 units-per-unit bet against the money line in home games when facing an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better in games played this season. They are also 22-41 in home games facing a RH starting pitcher this season. Houston skipper Baker is 27-10 when facing a SP sporting a solid ERA of 3.70 or lower in games played this season. Betting on any team with a very good starter with an ERA |
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09-08-21 | White Sox v. A's -154 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
CWS vs Oakland 9:40 PM EST, Wednesday, September 8, 2021 4-Unit Best Bet on Oakland using the money line Betting on home teams with an OBP of not better than 0.300 over their last 15 games, who is facing a SP that is struggling with a 6.50 or worse ERA over his last 10 starts has earned an outstanding 40-18 record good for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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09-08-21 | Tigers +110 v. Pirates | Top | 5-1 | Win | 110 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Detroit vs Pittsburgh 6:35 PM EST, Wednesday, September 8, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on Detroit using the money line Bet on any AL team in an interleague matchup that sports an ugly 0.310 OBP, is starting a pitcher with adequate rest of at least 5 days, and facing a very poor SP that sports a 1.65 or higher WHIP on the season. This set of parameters has earned a 31-7 record for 81% winning bets over the last 15 seasons and is 10-0 over the last five seasons. |
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08-29-21 | Yankees v. A's +132 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 132 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
NY Yankees vs Oakland Athletics 7:30 PM EST, Sunday, August 29, 2021 5-UNIT Best Bet on the Oakland A’s on the money line Betting on home teams that are batting 0.215 or worse over their last 10 games and starting a pitcher, who did not issue a single walk in his last start are 102-60 for 64% winning bets over the last five seasons. This game is on the west coast starting at 4:30 PM Est and the Yankees are 19-28 in day games this season losing 20 units per unit wagered. They are 13-23 in road games having won four of their last five games in games played over the last two seasons. Oakland is a solid and highly profitable 75-36 when facing a left-handed starter over the last three seasons. Paul Blackburn is being evaluated by the marketplace as an average replacement arm, but his underlying metrics (projected FIP of 4.40 to 4.80) are significantly better than the market. Oakland has nine right-handed or switch-hitting bats on the roster, though Matt Olson, who has always crushed same-sided pitching can frustrate any left-handed starter will certainly be in every lineup. So, look for 8 RH bats and Olson tonight. The A’s are a solid104 wRC+ against lefties ranking 6th in MLB in 2021 after ranking fourth in 2019 (116 wRC+) and third in 2018 (107 wRC+). So, there is tremendous value to betting against the public sentiment that is overwhelmingly bullish for the Yankees in every game they now play. |
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08-26-21 | Yankees v. A's +101 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
NY Yankees vs Oakland Athletics 9:40 PM EST, August 26, 2021 5-UNIT Best Bet on the Athletics using the money line The Yankees are on an 11-game win streak and the A’s are treading water. So, this is a bet that will have a contrarian taste to it and we have already seen a mountain of betting on the Yankees. Here are a few quick hitters. A’s are 9-3 after having lost four of their last five games this season. They are also 28-14 after playing three or more consecutive home games, this season. 45-23 after two consecutive games where the bullpen threw 9 or more innings in games played over the last three seasons. A’s starting pitcher James Kaprielan, who defeated the Yankees in the Bronx back on June 18. In that start he went 5 ⅔ innings, allowed 3ER on just 3 hits, allowed one walk, and struck out seven. He is 5-2 in 7 home starts with a terrific 1.47 ERA and a 0.953 WHIP spanning 43 innings of work and striking out 42 batters. The Yankees start James Taillon, who pitches much worse on the road than at Yankee Stadium this season. He has allowed three earned runs on 12 hits spanning 10 1/3 inning in his last two starts. So, fatigue and a weary pitching arm is what I have seen in these starts. Since 2004, road teams that are on an 11 or more-game win streak and facing a non-divisional foe have been a money-burning 5-11 for 31% and a –38% ROI since 2007. |
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08-25-21 | Reds +150 v. Brewers | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
Cincinnati vs Milwaukee 7:07 PM EST, Wednesday, August 25, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on the Reds using the +1.5 Run Line Betting against favorites using the Run Line that are lined between -125 and -175 on the money line, that are coming off a game where their bullpen did not allow a run and now facing an opponent whose bullpen imploded allowing 6 or more runs has earned a 49-22 Run Line record for 69% wining bets over the last five seasons, averaging a terrific +140 underdog bet. |
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08-22-21 | Angels +117 v. Indians | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
LA Angels vs Cleveland 7:10 PM EST, August 22, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on the LA Angels This game is taking place in Williamsport, PA at the Little League World series. Both teams have arrived and hanging out with the teams. So, weather is an issue with the passing of Henri off to the east, but I do believe this game will get played and rain or any weather related stoppages will be zero. Betting on road teams (Angels are the road team in this neutral site game) that are lined between a +125 dog and a -125 favorite and batting less than 0.220 over their last 15 games and are now facing an opponent that has a very good starting pitcher on the hill that has posted an ERA of 3.00 or lower over his last 10 starts has earned a 62-30 record good for 69% winning bets over the last 15 MLB seasons and is a perfect 3-0 this season. Bet on the Angels using the money line. |
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08-22-21 | Giants v. A's -103 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -103 | 3 h 12 m | Show |
San Francisco vs Oakland 4:07 PM EST, August 22, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on Oakland using the money line Oakland is a solid 18-9 this season facing above average teams that hit more than 1.25 HR-per-game. Betting on home teams that are facing an opponent that hit four or more HR in their last games and starting an elite pitcher posting an ERA of 2.50 over his last three starts has earned a 37-17 record for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. Bet Oakland as a 4-UNIT Best Bet using the money line. |
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08-21-21 | Angels +120 v. Indians | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
LA Angels vs Cleveland 4:10 EST, August 21, 2021 4-UNIT play on the Angels From the predictive models and machine learning applications, the Angels are 40-11 for 78% winning bets that earned an outstanding 56% ROI in road games played where they at least two multiple-run-scoring-innings, spanning he last three seasons. Cleveland is 1-9 this season after scoring 9 or more runs in the previous game. Bet the Angels as a 4-UNIT Best Bet using the money line. |
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08-21-21 | Giants v. A's +100 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
San Francisco vs Oakland 4:20 PM EST, August 21, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on Oakland using the money line Oakland is a solid 18-8 this season facing above average teams that hit more than 1.25 HR-per-game. Betting on home teams that are batting 0.265 or lower on the season, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or more home runs last outing, and is now facing against a NL starting pitcher with a 3.70 ERA or lower on the season has earned a 31-12 record for 72% winning bets over the last five seasons. Bet Oakland as a 4-UNIT Best Bet using the money line. |
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08-21-21 | Twins +212 v. Yankees | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 53 m | Show |
Minnesota vs NY Yankees 1:05 PM EST, Saturday, August 21, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on Minnesota using the money line Here are a few quick hitters supporting this bet on the Twins. The NYY are a money-burning 18-26 in day games this season and have lost a whopping 27 units per unit bet. NYY starter Gerrit Cole is a miserable 1-7 in day starts losing 12 units in day games this season. From the predictive side of things, the Twins are 14-9 for 61% winning bets averaging a 150 road underdog line in road games where they scored first. Bet the Twins using the money line |
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08-15-21 | Reds v. Phillies -134 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -134 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
Cincinnati vs Philadelphia 1:05 PM EST, Sunday, August 15, 2021 5-UNIT Best Bet on the Phillies using the money line 3-Unit Best Bet UNDER I recommend not placing a parlay with the Phillies + UNDER. I do recommend playing them as separate bets. For the total, betting 1.5 units pre-flop (before the game starts) and then look to add the remaining 1.5 units at 10.5-runs in-game. Good Luck to Us. The Phillies and Reds will look to win this series after splitting the first two games. The Phillies have what amounts to two aces in Zack Wheeler, who lost Game-1 of this 3-game series and Aaron Nola, who will pitch the finale this afternoon. In his last start, which was against the Dodgers, Nola was in top form striking out seven batters in just four innings of work before storms ended his start. That means 7 of the 12 outs recorded without a batted ball in play. He is the tale of two starters with one being a stud ace in home starts and the other a hard-luck mediocre starter in road games. In 10 home starts this season, he has a 2.97 ERA and 0.956 WHIP and with a very impressive 83 strikeouts in 60 2/3 innings of work. In nine day starts, he is 3-0 with a 2.96 ERSA and 0.896 WHIP fanning 66 batters over 54 2/3 innings of work. The Reds least offensive production has come in day games where they have batted 0.245 and scoring an average of 4.5 RPG over 46 games. Their bullpen has posted a 5.09 ERA in these road games. Phillies skipper Girardi is 25-9 in home day games and 27-12 as a home favorite of -150 or lower as the manager of the Phillies. For his career, Nola’s team record is 18-5 for 78% winning bets as a home favorite and with the game starting before 6:00 PM EST (day starts). The UNDER has gone 15-7-1 for 68% winning bets in these 23 starts. |
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08-13-21 | Indians v. Tigers +106 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 7 m | Show |
Cleveland vs Detroit 7:10 PM EST, August 13, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on the Detroit Tigers Detroit’s Alexander is 6-0 when facing a team with a losing record. Cleveland is 9-21 following a game in which 15 or more runs were scored spanning the last three seasons. Vet on the Tigers for a 4-Unit Best bet |
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08-07-21 | Mets v. Phillies -113 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
NY Mets vs Philadelphia 4:05 PM EST, Saturday, August 7, 2021 4-Unit Best Bet on the Phillies The Phillies won the first game of this 3-game series and will look to win the series this afternoon. Left-hander Ranger Suarez will be on the hill for the Phillies and he has excellent ‘stuff’ that will dominate am extremely weak hitting Ny Mets squad, who is just 12-22 when facing LH SP this season. Plus, the Mets are a money burning 4-10 in road games with double revenge. Bet the Phillies for a 4-UNIT Amount using the money line |
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07-28-21 | Braves v. Mets -124 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
Atlanta Braves vs NY Mets 4-Units betting the Mets using the money line 7:10 PM EST, July 28, 2021 The Mets are still holding on the lead in the NL East, but not because of their 19th-league best 0.237 team batting average or their 18th-league best 3.9 RPG. In fact, they are dead last socinrg an average of 3.5 RPG in home games. However, this is a game they can win and with some above average offensive production according to my machine learning models and applications. In a somewhat rare offensive occurrence, the Braves win over the Mets yesterday, saw them score in 5 innings and each one was a multiple run inning too. Teams that have scored in 5 innings and each one was scoring more than 1 run in their previous game are just 7-16 for 30% when installed as a road dog, in games played over the last five seasons. Braves are just 11-23 in road games having won two of their last three games spanning the last two seasons. Bet the NY Mets using the money line. |
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07-26-21 | Reds +130 v. Cubs | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 52 m | Show |
Cincinnati vs Chicago Cubs 4-Units betting the OVER. 8:05 PM EST, July 26, 2021 The Reds are 26-15 OVER when facing a team with a losing record this season; 14-5 OVER following three or more divisional games; 28-17 when the total has been between 7 and 8.5 this season. Take the OVER for a 4-UNIT Best Bet |
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07-26-21 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox -135 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
Toronto vs Boston 7:10 ET, July 26, 2021 4-Unit Best Bet on the Boston Red Sox using the money line. This season, Toronto has been a money-burning 24-38 when facing a team with a winning record. Boston is a stout 41-22 this season, when facing a solid bullpen unit sporting a WHIP of 1.35 or lower. They are also 59-33 when facing a team whose hitter’s strikeout an average of at least 7 times per game, this season. Bet the Boston Red Sox using the money line. |
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07-18-21 | Padres -104 v. Nationals | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals 1:05 ET, July 18, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on the San Diego Padres using the money line Let us start with a betting system that has earned a highly profitable 48-17 record good for 74% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on a road team that is starting a pitcher working on extra rest (more than 5-days) and the road team has posted a 0.350 or better on-base-percentage spanning their last 20 games. This supports the bet on the Padres. Neither starter for this game came into the All-Star break pitching in good form. However, I do like the fact that Musgrove has produced a 3.18 ERA and aq 0.996 WHIP when starting on grass fields this season. Nationals starter Mad Max has been solid all season, except for his last three starts where he posted a 5.17 ERA and 1.149 WHIP. His last start was against the Padres July 8 and was a horrid one lasting just 3 2/3 innings allowing 7 ER and 2 HR. Yesterday’s game was suspended in the bottom of the sixth inning with the Padres leading 8-4 and my understanding is that this game will be completed prior to the start of this game. From the predictive models, we expect that the Padres will have at least 1 Multiple-Run Inning. When they have had at least one MRI as a road favorite they have produced a 14-7 SU record this season and 33-17 for 67% winning bets over the last three seasons. Very consistent returns in this role. |
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07-18-21 | Mets v. Pirates +125 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
NY Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates 1:05 PM EST, July 18, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on the Pirates using the money line Betting a NL team that is facing a SP with a season-to-date WHUP of 1.15 or lower and has a very poor bullpen posting a WHIP of 1.75 and higher over their last 20 games has earned a 58-30 record good for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. The Pirates and Mets have played 7 consecutive games against one another with a 4-game series prior to the All-Star break and this current 3-game set. The Pirates have done very well against the Mets winning four of the six games played and have a chance to sweep this 3-game set today. The Mets bullpen has been absolutely horrible and the All-Star break has done little to help this struggling unit. They have posted a 9.00 ERA and a 2.077 WHIP over their last seven games and six of these games have been against a bad team in the Pirates. Same result today and the Pirates get a rare sweep. |
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07-10-21 | A's -132 v. Rangers | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
Oakland vs Texas This bet has absolutely nothing to do with last night’s disappointing loss to the Texas Rangers. This bet though does illustrate the absence of any emotional hangover connected to that loss. So many times, I have heard clients and friends alike, state that they would never bet on “Team-X” after they screwed them with a loss the night before. Do not do that to yourself as it does prevent you from objectively looking at the current day’s betting lineup. Also, because we lost with the A’s last night does not guarantee a win today. My career, like all other sports betting professionals in based on a 365-day vision that resets every morning. Betting on AL road teams that are starting an excellent pitcher with a season-to-date ERA of 3.50 or lower and facing a host with a starter that has won fewer than 30% of his starts on the season has earned a 29-5 record good for 85% winning bets over the last five seasons. Over the last three seasons, this betting query has gone undefeated with an 8-0 record. |
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06-23-21 | A's v. Rangers +131 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 131 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
Oakland vs Texas Wednesday, 6/23/2021 8:05 PM James Kaprielian (R) vs. Mike Foltynewicz (R) 4-UNIT Best Bet on the Texas Rangers using the money line. Betting on home underdogs between +125 and +175 using the money line that are batting 0.250 or lower over their last 20 games, and coming off a dismal performance with their bullpen getting hammered for 8 or more runs has earned a highly profitable 25-11 record good for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons. The $100 bettor has made $2,450 by wagering an average +145 underdog bet. For his career, Foltynewicz is 10-1 in home games in the month of June, so expect a much better performance from him tonight in Arlington, TX. |
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06-05-21 | Rays -144 v. Rangers | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
TAMPA BAY (35 - 23) at TEXAS (23 - 35) Saturday, 6/5/2021 4:05 PM Rich Hill (L) vs. Kolby Allard (L) The last time these two teams hooked up for a series it did not go well for the Tampa Bay Rays, who were swept in that 3-game series. Making it even more shocking is that it was a 3-gae sweep by the Rangers on the road. The Rangers won 8-3, 5-1, and 6-4 back on April 13,14, and 15. Making matte3rs worse for the Rays is they lost Game-1 of this series last night to the Rangers making it four straight losses. The good news for the Rays is the following betting angle and system supports them quite well. Betting on teams that are revenging a 4-game losing streak to the current opponent and is a non-divisional matchup. This set of parameters has earned a remarkable 47-22 record good for 68% winning bets. If you like this play a lot, as I do, you can bet the Run Line knowing that this angle has gone 38-20 for 65.5% making the $100 bettor a $2,010 profit. So, alternative bet is to bet 80% of your average bet size on the money line and then add 20% more using the Run Line. This combination wager will optimize the betting opportunity and add more profits to the bottom line over the course of the season. |
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05-30-21 | Giants v. Dodgers -165 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -165 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
SAN FRANCISCO (32 - 20) at LA DODGERS (31 - 21) Sunday, 5/30/2021 4:10 PM KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) The Dodgers Kershaw is a remarkable 133-47 (+$5000-per$100 bet ) when facing teams stranding avg of 6.9 or fewer runners on base-per-game. His team record is 24-13 when starting against San Francisco Giants with an ERA of 1.77 and a WHIP of 0.873. The active players on the Dodgers roster have combined to hit Gausman for a 0.324 batting average. Leading the list is Mookie Betts, who is batting 0.439 with a 0.404 OBP in 47 plate appearances against Gausman. The Giants Buster Posey is batting 0.221 in 120 career plate appearances when facing Kershaw. Take the LA Dodgers using the money line over the San Francisco Giants. |
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05-16-21 | A's v. Twins -111 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -111 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
Oakland vs Minnesota Maeda (2-2, 5.08 ERA), the runner-up for the American League Cy Young Award last season, will pitch better than his current 5.08 ERA would suggest. Home plate umpire John Libka is 6-0 and 5-1 UNDER in favor of the Home Team this season. Betting against road teams that are starting a pitcher that did not walk a batter in his last start and is a team that is batting just 0.230 or worse over their last 20 games has earned a 103-58 record good for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
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05-01-21 | Dodgers -124 v. Brewers | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -124 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
LA Dodgers vs Milwaukee 7:10 PM EST, May 1, 2021 10-Unit Play on the Los Angeles Dodgers using the money line Seems only fitting that Dodgers starting pitcher Dustin ‘Big Red’ May is making a start on May Day. He is pitching well and all signs point to this season being his breakout one. So far, in 2021 season, he is 1-1 in four starts, with a 2.53 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, including 32 strikeouts spanning 21 1/3 innings of work. He is also sporting elite stats with a career-high 13.50 strikeouts-pre-nine-innings, just 2.11 walks-per-9 innings, and a 6.4 strikeout-to-walk ratio. May is prototype power pitcher with a 98 MPH lively fastball that he thrwos 60% of the time. He has an outstanding curve ball that is used 23% and a 92 MPH cutter the remaining 17% of his pitches thrown. His fastball has heavy sinking action and produces far more ground ball outs than the average MLB start pitcher. When batters make contact with the sinker, they are averaging a -4 degree launch angle that reflects the high number of grounders. Hi saverager spin rate on the sinker is an outstanding 2366 RPM, but his curve is his best pitch getting the most strikeouts and a very high and tight spin rate of o er 3,100 RPM. Milwaukee’s Woodruff is an excellent starting pitcher, but has not done well facing the Dodgers. He is 0-1 in two career starts with a 6.96 ERA and 1.451 WHIP. Plus, the Brewers are scoring just 3.5 RPH and batting 0.213 in home games, and over the last seven games are scoring 3.0 RPH and batting 0.224. Dodgers are 20-13 for 61% coming off a loss in which they scored no more than one run and are in gamne-2 or more of the current series over the last five seasons. OIn the loss both Seager and Turner were hitless. The Dodgers are 19-5 coming off a game in which Seager and Turner both went hitless in games played over the last three seasons. Bet the Dodgers boxed with Dustin May for a top-rated 5-UNIT Best Bet. |
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04-25-21 | Rangers v. White Sox -220 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
Texas Rangers vs Chicago Wite Sox Texas will send Kohei Arihara (2-1, 2.21) to the hill while the CWS will counter with Michael Kopech (1-0.1.69) in the last game of this three-game series. The CWS won the first two games of this series and will look for the sweep this afternoon. The CWS won the first game 9-7 installed as -140 home favorites with the final score doubling the total betting line of 8-runs. The CWS, behind brilliant pitching by Dallas Keuchel, won 2-1 as -163 home favorites, and the final score easily staying UNDER the total line of 8-runs. The money line for this final game of the series opened at -210/+175 and has since moved higher to show the CWS favored at -225/+195 at WestGate and Circa. The -1.5 Run Line open with the CWS favored at -106 and has risen modestly to -115. The betting trend will see the CWS become greater favorites, so make the bet at the best available Run Line price you have access to. Optional In-Game Betting Strategy The CWS fall into a very powerful betting angle that has produced a 40-4 SU record for 91% winning bets, making the $100 bettor a $3,225 profit, and 30% ROI over the last ten seasons. Using the Run Line, the record has been 32-12 for 73% winning bets and a highly profitable 37% ROI.
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04-24-21 | Yankees v. Indians +105 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
NY Yankees vs Cleveland Indians As the month of April winds down, both of these teams are in a bit of trouble given their losing records right now. Only 7 teams since 2004, that had losing records through April managed to recover and get into the playoffs. So, this does become a critical for both teams. While the offense has made its presence felt, all eyes likely will be on the mound Saturday when the Yankees send ace Gerrit Cole (2-1, 1.82 ERA) against reigning American League Cy Young Award recipient Shane Bieber (2-1, 2.45). The two All-Star right-handers will meet for first time since Sept. 29, with Cole and New York getting the better of that exchange. Cole struck out 13 batters and the Yankees tattooed Bieber for seven runs on nine hits -- including two homers -- in 4 2/3 innings of a 12-3 win in Game 1 of the AL wild-card series. The Yankees are 10-18 in road games and facing a host that is averaging 1.25 or more home runs-per-game in games played over the last two seasons. Bieber is an incredible 15-1 when facing teams that essentially do not even try to steal bases averaging 0.35 or fewer stolen bases-per-game on the season. Cleveland manager Francona is 44-22 after having lost six or seven of their last eight games as the manager of Cleveland. He is also 32-13 in home games after three or more consecutive losses. Bet Cleveland as a 4-UNIT Best Bet |
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04-24-21 | Angels +132 v. Astros | Top | 2-16 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
LA Angels vs Houston Astros 4:10 PM EST, April 24, 2021 5-UNIT Best Bet on the Angels using the money line. In morning betting action for this matchup, we are seeing 55% of the tickets bet on the Houston Astros, but 62% of the money is being bet on the Angels. That trend will continue as the market heads towards the first pitch and is bullish on the Angels. The Astros won the first two games of this four-game series with the Angels and without their all-star Jose Altuve. He has been cleared by MLB’s health and safety protocols and more than likely will make a start for this game. Still, his appearance in the lineup is not going to offset their starting pitcher Jake Odorizzi, who is 0-2 with a horrid 10.57 ERA on the season. Odorizzi took his second loss in as many appearances on Sunday, allowing four runs on three hits and three walks with seven strikeouts over 4 1/3 innings in a 7-2 setback against the Seattle Mariners. That game marked the longest outing, most pitches (89) and most strikeouts for Odorizzi since Sept. 24, 2019. That start against the Detroit Tigers was his last victory. Batters are getting hard-hit balls 54% of plate appearances that average an exit velocity of 90.4 MPH against Odorizzi. He throws fast ball 59%, then adds a splitter for 19%, slider 11%, and occasionally a cutter and curve ball. He throws 92 MPH with this fastball, but his location has been quite poor and when that or any of his pitches are elevated in the strike zone, the ball gets hit hard. For the Angels, Griffin Canning will b eon the hill and he is a vastly better starting pitcher than Odorizzi. Canning has a line drive percentage of 20% and an excellent whiff percentage of 34%. Odorizzi has a line dirve rate of 37% and a decent whiff percentage of 29%. I think you will see Canning pitch more innings than Odorizzi and that the Angels will have at least one multiple-run ining in this game. Since 2016, when the Angels have met or exceeded these performance measures has earned an outstanding 176-34 moey line record good for 84% winning bets and a fantastic 60% ROI, In games where they were road underdogs and met these measures has produced a 46-12 record for 79% winning bets and a 90% ROI. Bet the Angels as a 5-Unit Best Bet |
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04-18-21 | Braves v. Cubs -129 | Top | 13-4 | Loss | -129 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
Atlanta vs Chicago 5-UNIT MLB Best Bet The 5-Unit Best Bet is the highest graded BET that Ryan bets with his own money, expect for the Double 5-UNIT or 10-UNIT Bet, that is reserved for fewer than 10 times in a calendar year spanning all sports. So, this 5-UNIT is quite strong and does represent a terrifica betting opportunity. Keep in mind, that any of these plays can lose. I have 26 years of experience and wisdom, and the focus needs to be squarely on season-long profits – and not the results of just one day. The Cubs franchise record for consecutive games scoring five or fewer runs is 23 straight set by the anemic 1973 team. The 2021 Cubs had started off with 13 straight games not scoring more than five runs. On Saturday, they tagged the ball in the a big way scoring 13 runs in their win over the Braves. The Cubs are 5-0 when scoring four or more runs in 2021 and just 1-8 when scoring three or fewer runs. Bryce Wilson will be the Braves starter. He is 23 years-old and did nor fair well in his first start against the Braves allowing 6 runs, 4 earned runs (8.31 ERA) and a 1.617 WHIP in just 4 1/3 innings of work. The Cubs will hand the ball to Kyle Hendricks, who has posted a 2.91 ERA and 1.569 WHIp in four career starts against the Braves. From the machine learning applications, Hendricks is projected to throw a quality start today by completing at least 6 innings and allowing 3 or fewer runs, and will complete more innings than Wilson. In past games in which the Cubs matched or exceeded these performance measures has led them to an outstanding 41-10 81% winning record in home games played over the last three seasons. |
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04-18-21 | Cardinals v. Phillies -176 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 52 m | Show |
St. Louis vs Philadelphia 4% Best Bet on the Phillies using the momney line First, the Philadelphia Phillies could be without star outfielder Bryce Harper again Sunday when they face the visiting St. Louis Cardinals in the rubber match of a three-game series. Harper is listed as day-to-day after being held out of Saturday's contest with soreness in his lower back, and manager Joe Girardi said the Phillies are going to be cautious. Harper played through back soreness and struggled at the plate during the final month of last season. However, he was not a huge contributor in the offense so far this season. For now, having him resting and getting healthier is paramount, but it actually will maek the Phillies offense more efficient. Harper is batting .238 with two home runs and six RBIs in 13 games for the Phillies, who have lost six of eight since opening the season with a 5-1 mark. The Phillies ace Aaron Nola will be on the hill for this game, who has pitched well in his first three outings but is still seeking his first victory. The 27-year-old allowed three runs with seven strikeouts over five frames in last Tuesday's 4-0 loss to the New York Mets. The Phillies will have new call-up Mickey Moniak in the lineup Sunday in center field. Moniak is replacing Adam Haseley, who left the team on Wednesday for personal reasons and with Harper out, would make sense for the depth of the roster. The Cardinals are 20-32 after a win by four or more runs in games played over the last three seasons. They are 9-21 after a win of four or more points and having scored 9 or more runs in games played over the last three seasons. |
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04-17-21 | Cardinals v. Phillies -114 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -114 | 3 h 22 m | Show |
St. Louis vs Philadelphia 4-Unit Best Bet on the Phillies using the money line The anemic Phillies offense finally exploded for a 6-run second inning on their way to a dominating 9-2 win over the Cardinals Friday. Jean Segura had three hits while Andrew McCutchen added two hits and three RBIs for the Phillies, who snapped a three-game losing streak. Bryce Harper also drove in two runs. Both teams are 6-6 on the season, but the Phillies will be looing to win their seventh game in eight home games this season. The Phillies will hand the ball to left-hander Matt Moore, who will be making his third start of the season. He signed a one-year, $3 million free-agent deal after pitching last year in Japan. Moore has allowed 13 hits and seven runs in 8 1/3 innings while striking out nine and walking four. He is 2-1 with a 2.77 ERA in three appearances, including two starts, in his career against the Cardinals. St. Louis will turn to left-hander Kwang Hyun Kim for his season debut. He struggled in spring training, compiling a 16.20 ERA in five innings. He has been impacted by back spasms during Spring training and is highly suspect for this game today. The Cardinals are 9-18 in games with a total between 8.5 and 10 runs in games played over the last two seasons. The Phillies bullpen has more effective than expected and have posted a 3.27 ERA and 1.182 WHIP in seven home games spanning 26 innings of work. The bullpen record is a perfect 4-0, which measn the Phillies came from behind tpo win those four games. The unit has a 1.15 ERA and 1.086 WHIP in five day games spanning 17.3 innings of work this season. |
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04-17-21 | Braves -110 v. Cubs | Top | 4-13 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 37 m | Show |
Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs 2:20 PM EST, April 17, 2021 4-unit Best Bet on the Atlanta Braves using the money line. The Braves overcame a 1-0 second-iunning deficit to defeat the Cubs 5-2 at Wrigley Field, Friday. The Braves scored three runs in the fourth inning providing enough run support for reliever Josh Tomlin to earn the win. Tomlin was the fourth reliever of the game in which the Braves used a total of 6 pitchers including starter Kyle Wright. Yesterday’s heavy use of pitching by the Braves places trhem into an excellent situational betting strategy for today’s game. Betting on road favorites, that are coming off a road win that was played in the day-time, has earned a solid 177-98 record for 64.4% winning bets, has made the $100 bettor $3,743 since 2018 for a 10.1% ROI. Plus, if our road favorite had used 6 or more pitchers in that previous game, their record soars to a highly profitable 27-14 SU for 73% winning bets, making the $100 bettor 1,743 in profits since 2018, and a 23.5% ROI. Bet the Atlanta Braves using the money line. Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees 1:05 PM EST, April 17, 2021 4-Unit Best Bet on the Tampa Bay Rays using the money line. The Rays scored two in the top of the first inning and never trailed in their 8-2 drubbing of the Yankees in Friday’s game in the Bronx. Here are a few team angles supporting the Rauys today. The Rays are 10-3 using the ML when facing a team that is allowing 4.4 or more runs-per-game in games played over the last two seasons. The Rays are 10-3 when facing AL teams that covert 75% or more of their savwe opportunities in games played over the last two seasons. The Yankees are 31-32, but have lost 14.5 units-per-unit wagered when facing a team whose bullpen averages at least 3.1 or more innings-per-game in games played over the last two seasons. The Rays are 24-7 in games where the monmey line is between a -125 favorite and a 125 dog in games played over the last two seasons and 15-3 in this sitruation when facing a divisional foe. Take the Rays using the money line. |
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04-04-21 | Cardinals v. Reds +104 | Top | 1-12 | Win | 104 | 1 h 1 m | Show |
St. Louis vs Cincinnati 4% best Bet on the Cincinnati Reds using the money line. It is only two games into the regular season, but this historic rivalry got into the form seen in the hot days of summer. The Reds evened the series with a 9-6 win on Saturday, but not before St. Louis reliever Jake Woodford hit Nick Castellanos with a 92-mph fastball in the fourth inning. After staring at the mound, Castellanos took his base and eventually scored on a wild pitch, staring, and flexing at Woodford after sliding in under his tag. Both dugouts emptied and Castellanos was ejected for the first time in his career, but no punches were thrown, and order was restored after a few minutes of ballroom dancing. The betting flows are throwing up a red flag for backers of the Cardinals. 56% of the tickets and 84% of the money is a certain sign of the betting community betting with irrational exuberance. From the machine learning tools, the Reds are 43-15 for 74% winning bets in home games and having at least two multiple-run-innings in games played over the last three seasons. |
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04-02-21 | Dodgers -242 v. Rockies | Top | 11-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies We lost with the -1.5 Run Line, but the machine learning applications come right back on the Dodgers in this spot tonight. Betting on teams that made the playoffs last season and facing a host that was not in the playoffs last season, and the host sports a win percentage of 65% or higher has earned a 97-47 record using the Run Line and producing a 41% ROI over the last ten seasons. Ironically, Bauer is 0-3 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.347 WHIP, but has not faced them since the 2017 season. The Dodgers lost their opening day road game 8-5 to the Rockies yesterday. Over the past three seasons, the Dodgers are 7-1 SU and on the Run Line coming off a loss in which the opponent scored 8 or more runs, and installed in the current games as a -175 or greater favorite. |
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04-01-21 | Braves v. Phillies -117 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies 4% Best bet on the Philadelphia Phillies Bryce Harper was the only certainty in manager’s Girardi’s opening day lineup when the Grapefruit League started play this season. Catcher J.T. Realmuto and first baseman Rhys Hoskins have hit out of the second hole for the Phillies in Grapefruit League games. Hoskins is the logical choice to bat second with Realmuto batting cleanup primarily because of his discipline at the plate. Despite batting just 0.245 compared to Realmuto’s .266 during the 60-game 2020 sprint season, Hoskins, who led the National League with 119 walks in ’19 season, had a higher on-base percentage last year (.384 to .349) because his walk rate was nearly twice that of Realmuto’s (15.7 to 8.2%). So, with Andrew McCutchen fully recovered from his 2019 ALC injury and looking great in Grapefruit League games, in the lead-off spot, Harper will have far more betters on base when he comes up to the plate and not just in the first inning. CF Adam Haseley has made the roster and will be batting 8th, but has the talent to help turn the lineup over, which again will increase the chances for Harper to drive in runs with men on base. This is a season-long theme, of course, but one that I do think you will see unfold today. The Phillies will send Aaron Nola to the hill for Opening Day. He went 5-5 with a 3.28 ERA and solid 4.17 SO-BB ratio. He had 96 strikeouts in his 10 starts for a 9.6 SO-per-star average, which is quite good. In fact, he led the team with a 12.2 SO-per-nine innings ratio and ranked high in all of MLB. Look for the Phillies to win their home opener. |
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10-27-20 | Rays v. Dodgers -125 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
Tampa Bay vs Los Angeles 7-Star Best bet Titan on the Los Angeles Dodgers To recap, I took the Dodgers to win the series and Kershaw for the MVP. One of those may happen tonight. The ‘MATH”’ likes the Dodgers quite a bit tonight and I also like starter Tony Gonsolin, who did pitch well in his last start allowing 1 ER over 1 1/3 innings of work. He took the loss, but kept the Dodgers in the game eating up that inning and 12.5% of the game. That is the key again tonight for him and the Dodsgers will ride him through two innings if possible. The Rays Snell did not get the win in that matchup and went 4 2/3 innings a llowing two ER and a HR before being lifted. The story of this series is the Dodger power across the lineup with five players averaging 90 or more MPH exit velocity and the Rays having one. Nine different Dodgers have gone yard in this series and thee will be more tonight. The machine learning models project that the Dodgers will have two multiple run innings and the Rays will have 10 ormore strikeouts. In past games in which the the these metrics were met saw the Dodgers go 87-15 SU for 85% wins and a 34% ROI, 78-24 using the Run Line for 77% winning bets and a 53% ROI, and 77-19-7 OVER for 81% wins over the last five seasons. |
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10-23-20 | Dodgers -139 v. Rays | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Dodgers Game 3 of the 2020 World Series takes place tonight at the neutral site Global Life Field in Arlington Texas. Walker Beuhler gets the ball for the Dodgers whle the Rays counter with Charlie Morton. The Rays led the Majors in the dubious offensive strikeout category averaging 10.7 per game. The Dodgers are 156-75 SU for 68% winning bets when facing an opponent that strikes out an average of 7.5 or more times-per-game spanning the last two seasons. Beuhler has nor faced one batter on the Rays roster and this is a huge advantage for him given his arsenal of dominating pitchers. The Dodgers have faced Morton with 83 plate appearances in total batting just 0.208 with a below average 83.3 exit velocity and an 8 degree launch angle. These are poor stats, but the experience of having already faced him and additional video study will give the lineup an edge. Mookie Betts has plenty of scouting info to share having faced with the most with 27 plate appearances batting 0.306 and striking out just once. Buehler throws 96-97 MPH fastballs that above average late and heavy sink action. Batters whiff on 28% of his pitches and he nearly always works ahead in the count. The heavy sink action is the main reason he gets 37% of his outs via groundballs. Only 6.5% of his pitches see a hitter get the sweet spot squared up on the ball. The Dodgers led the Majors scoring an average of 5.9 runs-per-game and have averaged 6.1 runs-per-game against right-handed starting pitchers. The Rays averaged 4.7 RPG on the season and against right-handed starting pitching. The Machine Learning Models predict that Beuhler will pitch a minimum of six innings, the Dodgers offense will have at least one multiple-run inning. In past games in which the Dodgers were favored by no more than -160 and met or exceeded the pair of performance measures has led to a 37-10 SU record for 79% winning bets and a 36% ROI, and 36-11 on the Run Line for 77% winning bets and a whopping 73% ROI. In games played over the last three seasons. |
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10-20-20 | Rays v. Dodgers -156 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Dodgers Ok, so we are getting to a third World Championship series with the NHL and NBA having successfully completed their seasons amid the COVID-19 pandemic. The Dodgers are the pick and will win the series in 6 games. Kershaw to finally rid himself of all of the demons of playoffs past and right in time for the Halloween season. The Dodgers are well-supported by this betting system that has earned a 46-20 record SU and 33-22-1 Run Line record and a 31% ROI since 2004. Bet on favorites of -110 and greater that are starting a pitcher with a season-to-date ERA of 3.70 or lower and is coming off a game where the Bullpen threw 8 or more innings. Kershaw has been excellent this season and postseason posting a 2.44 ERA in 13 starts inlcuding the playoffs. Tyler Glasnow thorws 101 MPH frequently, but the movement on this pitch has declined in his recent starts. The flatness of this fastball despite its speed has led to him posting an unimpressive 5.40 ERA and 1.35 WHIP over his last three starts. Kershaw is 2-0 with a 1.88 ERA and 0.837 WHIP in his career against the Rays. Dodgers are 6-0 in the first game of a series facing the Rays. Kershaw has allowed a 0.76 batting average, 0.108 OBP, ansd 0.120 slugging percentage to the current members of the Rays in their respective careers spanning 60 at bats. He has allowed one double, one home run, and a total of nine hits. The machine learning models project that Kershaw will complete more innings than Glasnow and the Dodgers will have at least 1 multiple run inning (MRI). In past games in which the Dodgers met or exceeded these measures has earned them a 256-34 record for 88% wins and a 35% ROI and 225-65 on the run line for 78% winning bets and a 53% ROI in games played since 2016. When Kershaw has been the starter in these games the Dodgers are 170-22 SU for 89% wins and a 34% ROI, and a 144-48 Run Line mark for 75% wins and a juicy 50% ROI. |
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10-17-20 | Braves v. Dodgers -139 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
Atlanta Braves vs LA Dodgers 10-Star on the Dodgers
Here is a betting system that has earned a 67-37 record good for 65% wins pver the last 20 seasons. Bet on teams in playoff games with a solid bullpen sporting an ERA of 3.50 or lower on the season and is facing an opponent that is a solid scoring team averaging 5.0 or more runs-per-game. The Dodgers are 42-13 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. |
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10-15-20 | Dodgers -215 v. Braves | Top | 2-10 | Loss | -215 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
Braves vs. Dodgers 7-Star play on the Dodgers Here is a reliable betting system that has earned a solid 65-34 record for 65% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet on any team with an above-average bullpen sporting a 3.75 ERA or lower on the season and is facing an opponent that is a strong offensive NL team scoring a minimum of 5.0 runs-per-game on the season. The machine learning models project that the Dodgers starter Kershaw will complete at least six innings of work and that the Dodgers will have at least two multiple-run-inning. In past games in which they met or exceeded, these measures have produced a 176-16 SU record for 94.5% wins and averaged a -168 favorite bet, making the $100 bettor a whopping $26,334 over the last ten seasons and a 75-3 SU record for 96% winners and making the $100 bettor $7,063 over the last three seasons. |
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10-14-20 | Rays -127 v. Astros | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -127 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
Rays vs Astros 7-Star play on the Rays Here are a few team situations that support the Rays and work against the Astros. Rays are 16-4 (+14.0 Units and average a +128 dog) facing a starting pitcher whose strikes out five or more batters per start this season. Rays are a solid 34-10 (+22.9 Units) using the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. The machine learning models project that the Rays starter Glasnow will complete at least 4 innings of work and that the Rays will have at least one multiple-run-inning. In past games in which they met or exceeded these measures has produced a 122-42 SU record for 74% wins and averaged a -137 favorite bet, making the $100 bettor a whopping $7,308 over the last three seasons. |
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10-12-20 | Braves v. Dodgers -135 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -135 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
Atlanta Braves vs LA Dodgers 7-Star on the Dodgers
Here is a betting system that has eanred a 144-55 record good for 71% winning bets over the last 20 seasons and requires us to bet on NL favorites of at least -110 with a starter that has posted an ERA of 3.75 or lower on the season and after a game in which the bullpen threw 8 or more innings. The machine learning tools project that the Dodgers Beuhler will complete 4 or more innings and will post two or more multiple-run-innings. In past games in which the Dodgers met these performance measures they have earned a 158-10 SU mark good for 94% winning bets and a juicy return of 43% ROI. |
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10-11-20 | Astros v. Rays -141 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays 7-Star on the Rays
Snell is the man we are looking to complete a minimum of 5 innings and pitch more innings than the Astros starter, who is McCullers. The models also project that the Rays will have at least 1 multiple run innings. IN past games in which the Rays starter completed more innings of work than the opponent’s starter and the Rays had a t least 1 MRI has seen them go on to a 63-17 SU record for 79% winning bets and produycing a 31% return-on-investment (RI) this season. |
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10-09-20 | Yankees v. Rays +140 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 140 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays 7-Star AL Upset Alert on the Tampa Bay Rays In case you were wondering this is not the first time I have had a 7-star graded Titan on the same team in four straight games. It is rare, of course, but not unusually rare. Let us begin with a supporting betting system that has earned a 77-55 record good for 59% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are to bet on all underdogs between 115 and 165 that is playing with revenge having lost their last game to the current opponent and is facing a starting pitcher who allows 1 or more HR-per-game on the season. So, the machine learning models project that the Rays are going to outhit the Yankees by at least three and will have at least two multiple run innings (same as last night) In games played installed as a dog the Rays are an amazing 135-6 SU for 96% wins and a 127% ROI; they are also 98-1 on the Run Line earning a 68% ROI. Both starters Cole and Glasnow are working on three days of rest. Playoff teams in Game 5 or later in a playoff series and are the dog have earned a 5-5 SU record averaging a +145 dog wager good for an 20% ROI and 6-3 using the Run Line for 67% winning bets anmd a 15% ROI. So, consider splitting your wager into 50% on the money line and 50% on the Run Line backing the Tampa Bay Rays 7-Star Best bet Titan on the Tampa Bay Rays. |
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10-08-20 | Rays +125 v. Yankees | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays 7-Star AL Upset Alert on the Tampa Bay Rays Let us begin with a supporting betting system that has earned a 156-97 record good for 62% wining bets over the last 20 seasons. The requirements for this betting system is to bet on all teams with the money line that is ranging between plus 125 to -125 it is an average offensive team scoring 4.4 to 4.9 runs per game on the season and has been a bit on the cold side batting 250 or lower spanning their last 20 games it is now facing a starter in the American League with an ERA between 4.7 and 5.7 on the season. So, the machine learning models project that the Rays are going to outhit the Yankees by at least three and will have at least two multiple run innings (same as last night) In games played installed as a dog the Rays are an amazing 135-6 SU for 96% wins and a 127% ROI; they are also 98-1 on the Run Line earning a 68% ROI. |
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10-07-20 | Rays +120 v. Yankees | Top | 8-4 | Win | 120 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays 7-Star AL Upset Alert on the Tampa Bay Rays Let us begin with a supporting betting system that has earned a 43-16 record good for 72% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on any team that is lined between -130 and +130 of pick-em and has won 15 of their last 20 games and is now facing an opponent having won three exact games of their last 4 games. Tanaka is vulberable to the Tampa Bay Rays and many have had strong success when facing him. Kevin Kiermaier (12-for-39), Zunino (6-for-22) and Meadows (5-for-19) each have hit two homers against Tanaka. Right-hander Charlie Morton will start for the Rays in his first appearance since Sept. 25. While he has yet to pitch in the playoffs this year, he is no stranger to postseason pressure. He earned the win for the Astros in Game 7 of the 2017 World Series, and he is 4-2 with a 3.70 ERA in nine all-time playoff appearances (eight starts). What I like most about Morton is that only 8% of baters have barreled up one of his offerings and Tananka has had 11% of his pitches barreled up on the good part of the bat. This does not look like a huge difference, but it is as a 1/16 of an inch can be the difference between a caught fly ball and a double in the gap. Tanaka is a carft-type of pitcher throwing FB just 30% of the time and using his slider 37% of the time as his dominant offering. His fdast below is a MLB-average 92 MPH complimented by an 84 MPH slider. Morton averages 94 MPH on the FB and with a lot more sinking and arm-side tailing action. He has an exceptional curve and will pitch to batters on bot sides of the plate in the sma emanner, not adjusting slider for change depending on LH or RH batter. Morton line drive percentage is a solid 24% of all pitches thrown and is vastly better than Tanaka’s 31% line drive rate. So, the machine learning models project that the Rays are going to outhit the Yankees by at least three and will have at least two multiple run innings. In games played installed as a dog the Rays are an amazing 134-6 SU for 96% wins and a 127% ROI; they are also 97-1 on the Run Line earning a 63% ROI. Take the Tampa Bay Rays. |
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10-06-20 | Yankees v. Rays -123 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays 7-Star AL Upset Alert on the Tampa Bay Rays Let us begin with a supporting betting system that has earned a 105-60 record good for 64% winning bets since 2000. The requirements are to bet on any team that is facing a poor fielding team that has averaged 0.75 or more errors-per-game and after scoring 8 runs in three consecutive games. Rays have Tyler Glasnow on the hill and he is in solid form and superior form to his counterpart in Deivi Garcia, who posrts a 7.02 ERA and 1.500 WHIP over his last three starts spanning 16 2/3 innings of work. Glasnow has posted consistent performances over his last three starts with a 2.65 ERA, 1.000 WHIP, 3-0 record including 4 BB and 26 strikeouts spanning 17 innings of work. |
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10-05-20 | Yankees v. Rays +136 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays 7-Star AL Upset Alert on the Tampa Bay Rays Let us begin with a supporting betting system that ahs earned a 69-53 record for 57% winning bets and has made the $100 bettor a profit of $3,385 over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on all underdogs between +110 and +165 that have won eight or more of their past 10 games and is now facing an opponent that has won two fo their last three games. In playoff games the underdogs has earned a 5-4 record making 2.25 units or $225 per $100 wager and a very nice 25% return-on-investment since 2015. Rays have Blake Snell on the hill, who has posted a 5-2 record in 12 starts with a 2.91 ERA, 1.132 WHIP, 20 BB, and 72 Ks on the season. Over his last three starts he has posted a 1-1 record with a sparkling 2.16 ERA, 0.900 WHIP including 6 BB and 22 Ks spanning 16 2/3 innings of work. Bucs have owned the Yankees with an 8-2 record this season. Yankee starter Cole is a stud, no doubt, but is 2-3 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.092 WHIP in nine starts against the Rays I also like the fact that Snell works down in the zone and throws elite off-speed pitches to keep batters constantly off balance. He has averaged a 6.6 launch angle and 88 MPH exit velocity. This style of pitching works well against the power hitting Yankees lineup. Further, Cole’s stats look impressive, but batted balls have averaged a 17 degree launch angle and 91 MPH exit velocity. Moreover, of all batted balls in play off of Cole’s pitches, an alarming 47% have been ‘hard hit’. |
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10-02-20 | Marlins +182 v. Cubs | Top | 2-0 | Win | 182 | 2 h 46 m | Show |
Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs 7-Star MLB Best Bet on the Miami Marlins
Let us start with a proven betting system that has earned a 31-10 record for 74% winners over the past five seasons. Play against home teams with a below average on-base-percentage of 0.310 and has a stud starting pitcher on the hill with a WHIP of 1.100 or lower on the season and facing a solid starting pitcher sporting a 1.250 or lower WHIP. Marlins are loose and free and the Cubs have enormous pressure on them to not just win this game, but the series after last year’s end of season collapse. |
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09-30-20 | Marlins +147 v. Cubs | Top | 5-1 | Win | 147 | 2 h 1 m | Show |
Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs 7-Star Best Bet on the Miami Marlins Here is an awesome betting system that has earned a 28-14 record for 67% winners and has made the $100 bettor a profit of $2,870 since 2016. The requirements are to be on home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with a below average slugging percentage of 0.400 or lower and is now facig an elite NL starting pitcher posting a WHIP |
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09-29-20 | Yankees v. Indians -102 | Top | 12-3 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
NY Yankees vs Cleveland Indians 7:00 PM EST, September 29, 2020 Bieber is going to be the Cy Young Award winners for the 2020 season. He has posted a 1.63 ERA with an 0.856 WHIP for a 8-1 record spanning 12 starts and 77 1/3 innings of work. He has 122 strikeouts for a ridiculous 1.58 Ks per inning ratio. Power pitcher Cole has 94 strikeouts with only 4 1/3 fewer innings pitched. In nine of his 12 starts Bieber allowed two or fewer earned runs. This betting system supports Cleveland and has earned a 112-59 record over the last five seasons and instructs us to bet on home teams with a well-rested starter on 5 or 6 days and a solid bullpen posting a 1.35 or lower WHIP on the season and facing an opponent with a 0.440 or higher slugging percentage. Yankees are just 2-7 SU for 22.2% wins when facing a SP sporting an ERA of 2.3 or lower in road games from September 1 to the end of the season including playoffs. |
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09-29-20 | White Sox v. A's +115 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
CWS vs Oakland A’s 7-Star MLB Best Bet on the Oakland A’s
Let us start with a proven betting system that has earned a 41-15 record good for 73% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The system instructs us to bet on AL teams with a money line between -125 and +125 with a starting pitcher that has posted a 4.20 to 4.70 ERA on the season and has posted a WHIP of 1.000 or less over his last five starts. The $100 bettor has made $2,690 per $100 wager. Oakland has done well for backers with a solid 52-28 ($24560-per-$100 wager) using the money line facing AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs-per-game on the season over the last two seasons. The CWS were having a tremendous ‘sprint’ season until the final stretch losing 7 of their last 8 games and 8 of their last 10 games. The A’s were 5-5 down the stretch over their last 10 games. This is also the first time ever in MLB p[postseason history that these two teams have met. Jesus Luzardo is our starting LH pitcher and he has amazing power and control with all his pitches. He throws his four-seem fastball and sinker at an average between 96 and 98 MPH. The sinker tales an average of 10 inches and you will see it ride on the hands of LH batters making it impossible for them to barrel up that pitch. He throws fastball 55% and mixes in an 86 MPH change, and 83 MPH curve. Batters are hitting 0.155 combined on the four-seem and sinker with a scant 0.075 batting average on batted balls in play (BABIP) this season, The current members of the CWS are batting a combined 0.218 with no walks and 10 K’s spanning 30 at-bats against Luzardo. He made 9 appearances and 7 were starts in which he posted a 3.83 ERA averaging 5.5 innings pitched per start. The machine learning tells us that Luzardo will complete more innings than Giolito and that the As will have at least 1 multiple-run-inning. In past games in which the As met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to a superb 131-22 SU record for 86% winners averaging a -141 wager and making the $100 bettor $10, 830 for a 48% return-on-investment in games played since the start of the 2018 season. In playoff games teams that have met or exceeded these projections have earned an outstanding 35-9 SU record for 80% winning bets. |
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09-24-20 | Astros v. Rangers +115 | Top | 12-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers September 24, 2020, 8:05 PM EST
Here is a solid betting system that supports the Rangers and has earned an 86-56 record for 65% winning bets over the last 25 seasons and instructs us to play on AL home underdogs with a starting pitcher who has posted a 1.10 or better (lower value) WHIP on the season and is facing an opponent whose starting pitcher has a 1.200 WHIP or better on the season. Astros are just 13-20 (-13.3 Units) against the money line after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season. |
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09-22-20 | A's +169 v. Dodgers | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
Oakland A’s vs LA Dodgers September 21, 2020, 6:10 PM EST
Here is a solid betting system that supports the A’s and has earned a 37-31 record for 55% winning bets over the last five seasons and instructs us to play on all underdogs of +1540 and greater that has an exceptional bullpen tht sports a 3.75 or better ERA and is starting a pitcher on more than 7 days rest. |
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09-21-20 | White Sox v. Indians -109 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
CWS vs Cleveland Indians September 21, 2020, 6:10 PM EST
Here is a solid betting system that supports the Indians and has earned an 86-34 record for 72% winning bets over the last 25 seasons and instructs us to bet on home teams that are facing an opponent that is coming off 5 consecutive games stranding 7 or fewer runner sain each game and has an overused bullpen that has thrown 4 or more innings in three consecutive games. The machine learning models project that the Indians starting pitcher Aaron Vivale will complete more innings than the CWS starter Dane Dunning and the Indians will have at least one multiple-run inning ‘crooked number’. IN past games in which the Indians met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 169-42 record for 81% wins and has made the $100 bettor $13,515 since 2004 and a 56% ROI. |
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09-16-20 | Rangers +192 v. Astros | Top | 1-0 | Win | 192 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Texas vs Houston 8:10 PM EST, September 16, 2020
Gibson will be on the hill for the Rangers and expecting a quality start from him. In his starts this season he has thrown more two-seem fastballs than in previous seasons. He has excellent sinking action on this pitch that generates more whiffs and ground ball outs than the MLB average. His slider is used to keep batters honest. He will mix in a change to left-handed batters that averages 85 MPH and is 8 MPH slower than his fastball. His slider has above average depth and glove side movement that causes RH batters to lunge and swing over the top of this pitch. He has above average ‘stuff’. The machine learning tools are projecting that Gibson will complete more innings than McCullers of the Astros. The Rangers are 61-48 making the $100 bettor more than $3,900 when installed as a road dog and their starter completes more innings than the host’s starting pitcher. The Bonus 7-Star DOG bet is on the Washington Nationals with Austin Voth on the hill facing the Tampa Bay Rays and are approx. 160 dogs right now. I recommend a 3-Star parlay using the Rangers and the Nationals that has strong risk-reward potential. |
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09-16-20 | Nationals +162 v. Rays | Top | 4-2 | Win | 162 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Texas vs Houston 8:10 PM EST, September 16, 2020
Gibson will be on the hill for the Rangers and expecting a quality start from him. In his starts this season he has thrown more two-seem fastballs than in previous seasons. He has excellent sinking action on this pitch that generates more whiffs and ground ball outs than the MLB average. His slider is used to keep batters honest. He will mix in a change to left-handed batters that averages 85 MPH and is 8 MPH slower than his fastball. His slider has above average depth and glove side movement that causes RH batters to lunge and swing over the top of this pitch. He has above average ‘stuff’. The machine learning tools are projecting that Gibson will complete more innings than McCullers of the Astros. The Rangers are 61-48 making the $100 bettor more than $3,900 when installed as a road dog and their starter completes more innings than the host’s starting pitcher. The Bonus 7-Star DOG bet is on the Washington Nationals with Austin Voth on the hill facing the Tampa Bay Rays and are approx. 160 dogs right now. I recommend a 3-Star parlay using the Rangers and the Nationals that has strong risk-reward potential. |
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09-14-20 | Dodgers -130 v. Padres | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -130 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
San Diego Padres vs LA Dodgers September 14, 2020, 9:10 PM EST
Here is a solid betting system that supports the Dodgers and veteran ace Clayton Kershaw and has earned a 28-13 SU record good for 68% winning bets and a 27% ROI over the last 10 seasons. The system instructs us to be on NL favorites, whose bullpen threw more than 8 innings in the previous game and has a solid starter on the hill sporting a season to date ERA of 3.70 or lower. Lamet is just 0-12 (-12.2 Units) against the money line facing teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs-per-game on the season. Take the Dodgers boxed with Kershaw. |
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09-11-20 | Angels +123 v. Rockies | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
LA Angels vs Colorado Rockies September 11, 2020, 8:40 PM EST Angels have good success when facing NL teams. In fact, they are 68-34 when facing a NL team that is allowing an average of at least 4.5 runs-per-game. Griffin Canning will be on the mound for the Angels and he is pitching much better than his stats would indicate right now. Rockies start German Marquez, who has not done well at Coors field and sports a 1-3 record with a lofty 7.03 ERA and a 1.644 WHIP in four starts. Rockies bullpen is a mess sporting a 6.87 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in 43 games and an 8.70 ERA and 1.783 WHIP in 21 home games this season. |
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09-09-20 | Rockies +166 v. Padres | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 53 m | Show |
Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres September 9, 2020, 8:10 PM EST Here is a solid proven betting system that has earned a LOSING record 83-106 for 44% winning bets, BUT has made the $1000 bettor a $38,240 profit since the start of the 2004 season and instructs us to bet on home favorites of -150 and greater (more negative) that are coming off a solid win of 6 or more runs and facing an opponent that was involved in a game in which 17 or more runs were scored. Truly, this is a terrific example of the power of the dog and betting dogs, like this one, that make big profits over the course of a season- not one single night or even one single week. The Padres are just 20-54 when facing a NL starting pitcher with solid control sporting a 1.150 WHIP or lower in games played over the last three seasons. Rockies are 18-9 in road games when coming off a game with a combined score of 15 or more runs in games played over the last three seasons. |
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09-07-20 | Astros v. A's -126 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
Houston Astros vs Oakland A’s September 7, 2020, 9:10 PM EST From the machine learning tools the Athletics are an amazing 129-32 for 80% winning bets making the Dime Player $83,320 over the last 16 seasons and $7,975 L2 seasons when their starter has throw as many or more innings than the opponents’ starter and had 1 or 2 multiple run scoring innings as a home favorite and facing a team with a winning record on the season. Here is a solid proven betting system that has earned a solid 58-19 record for 75% winning bets and has made the $100 bettor a $3,363 profit over the last 5 seasons and instructs us to bet on an AL home team that is batting 0.260 or lower on the seasons and is coming off three straight games allowing 7 runs in each of the three games. |
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09-07-20 | Rays +111 v. Nationals | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Tampa Bay Rays vs. Washington Natinals 6:05 PM EST, September 7, 2020
In addition, a look ahead situation favors betting against the home favorite when the road team has a win percentage of 55 or higher on the season. The Rays will have Charlie Morton on the hill and after a slow start to the season he has found his ‘ace’ form. Over his last three starts he has posted a 1.86 ERA and a 1.241 WHIP and the Rays have won all three of these starts. Nations Max Scherzer is not pitching well and has struggled in nearly all of his starts this season. Rays offense is solid top to bottom and they will get to Scherzer early and often in this matchup. From the machine learning tools the Rays are 52-21 for 71% making $4,312 per $100 bet and a nice 59% ROI, 42-10 for 81% using the Run Line and making $2,502 per $100 wagered and a solid 29% ROI when they have been a dog of not higher than 150, their starter completed more innings than the opponent’s starter, had 1 or 2 multiple run innings, and scored in at least three innings. |
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09-06-20 | Rangers v. Mariners -124 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 2 h 8 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners 8:00 PM EST, September 5, 2020
Texas is a horrible 2-14 against the money line in road games facing teams who strand 6.9 or fewer runners on base per game this season. Seattle is a solid 14-1 in home games facing a team that is being outscored by at least 1 run-per-game on the season and in each of the last two seasons. |
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08-31-20 | Braves -185 v. Red Sox | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox
7:30 PM EST, 08-31-20 (Monday)
Boston’s team pitching staff is one of the worst ever in the history of their storied franchise this season sporting a horrific 6.04 ERA that ranks dead last in MLB. The Braves bullpen ranks 13th and has a vastly better team ERA of 4.36 on the season. Here is where the second betting system comes into vogue and has earned a 100-27 record for 79% winning bets over the last 20 seasons and instructs us to bet on road favorites of at least -125 and has an excellent bullpen posting an ERA of 3.33 or lower on the seasons and is facing a struggling AL team batting 0.260 or less and has a terrible bullpen whose ERA is at least 5.00 on the season. The Braves will have arguably the best left-handed starting pitcher on the hill tonight in Max Fried, who is a perfect 5-0 in 7 starts with a 1.35 ERA and 0.95 WHIP, allowing no home runs spanning 40 innings of work. Over his last three starts he has posted a 2-0 record with 1 no-decision and a skimpy 1.04 ERA and 1.096 WHIP spanning 17 1/3 innings of work. The Red Sox will send Colton Brewer to the hill and he has struggled to put it mildly. He is 0-2 in 3 starts with a 5.22 ERA and a 1.838 WHIP in just 10 1/3 innings of work. |
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08-30-20 | Indians v. Cardinals +111 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 111 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
Cleveland Indians vs St. Louis Cardinals
2:15 PM EST, 08-30-20 (Sunday)
Vivale is a bright youg pitcher that has the potential to be a star in the Majors. Over his last three starts he has compiled a 3.43 ERA with a 1.048 WHIP, averaging 7 innings-per-star, and has allowed just 2 walks while striking out 17 batters. The veteran Adam Wainwright has been wrokgin his way back to his dominating form and has posted a 3.32 ERA with a 1.053 WHIP and is coming off B2B starts completing 7 innings in each. Over the last 7 games, the Indians, who are batting an anemic 0.224 with a 0.318 OBP have suddenly batted 0.291 with a 0.368 OBP. Generally, teams that exceed their mean performance measures by this large amount have a high propensity to revert back towards their mean and going up against the veteran Wainwright is the perfect situation for the Cardinals. Cardinals skipper Shildt is a solid 42-24 using the money line when his team has batted 0.225 or worse over their last 5 games. From the Machine learning tools, the Cardinals are 65-16 for 80.2% winning bets, making 4,014 per $100 wager and earning a robust 31% ROI when Wainwright completes 7 or more innings of work and the team is on a 2 or more game losing streak. |
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08-29-20 | Rays v. Marlins -114 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins August 26, 6:10 PM EST Here is a betting system that has earned a 34-9 record good for 79% winners and instructs us to play on home teams with a money line ranging between a 125 dog and -125 favorite facing a good AL offensive opponent scoring an average of 4.9 RPG and are coming off three consecutive wins of 2 runs or less. |
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08-23-20 | Rockies +216 v. Dodgers | Top | 3-11 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
Colorado Rockies vs LA Dodgers 4:10 PM EST, August 23, 2020 Here is one of the best MLB betting systems you will see and has recorded a 25-18 mark averaging a 220 dog bet and making $3,755 in profits per $100 bet. The betting system instructs us to be on road underdogs of +200 and higher that are coming off a one-run loss to a divisional foe and are starting a pitcher that allowed one or no earned runs in this last start. The line is inflated given the white hotness of the Dodgers, who have won 10 of their last 11 games and are facing an ice-cold Rockies team, who have lost 9 of their last 10 games. The Rockies will start Antonio Senzatela, who is 3-0 with a sparkling 2.90 ERA and a 1.032 WHIP spanning 31 innings of work with 5 walks and 24 strikeouts. In his last start against the Astros he completed 8 strong innings allowing 3 hits, zero walks, with 6 strikeouts. I love this ‘unknown’ starter because he knows how to get batters out and getting him at this price is a great opportunity. |