Info Plays Sports Handicapping Service

John Ryan Football Sides Picks

Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
01-20-25	Ohio State v. Notre Dame +8.5		34-23	Loss	-110	76 h 59 m	Show
Ohio State vs Notre Dame 8-Unit bet on Notre Dame priced as an 8.5-point underdog. 5-Unit bet OVER the posted total currently priced at 46.5 points. Consider betting 6-Units on Notre Dame getting the 8.5 points and then 2-Units on the money line. Another strategy is to bet 6-Units on the line preflop and then if OSU scores a TD first or scores a TD to make it 10-0 or 10-3, add 2-more units on the money line. This applies only to the first half of action. First, I want to thank all of you for another highly successful College and NFL season. I finished 8th best among 125 pro cappers on Sports Capping and marked my 28thTop 10 finish in any sport on this site. 10-Unit Max Bets went 15-6 ATS this season and have hit 68% ATS over the past six seasons. I am the defending NHL Champion and currently ranked 6th this season. College Football Playoff Championship Preview: Notre Dame vs. Ohio State The College Football Playoff National Championship game is set to be an epic showdown between two of the most storied programs in college football history: Notre Dame and Ohio State. This game will take place on Monday, January 20, 2025, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia. Team Statistics Ohio State Buckeyes: Record: 13-2 Points per game: 42.1 Points allowed per game: 12.2 (1st in the nation) Total yards per game: 520.3 Yards allowed per game: 251.1 (1st in the nation) Rushing yards per game: 210.5 Rushing yards allowed per game: 90.2 Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Record: 14-1 Points per game: 38.7 Points allowed per game: 14.3 (2nd in the nation) Total yards per game: 450.2 Yards allowed per game: 298.3 Rushing yards per game: 200.1 Rushing yards allowed per game: 110.5 Key Matchups Notre Dame's Run Game vs. Ohio State's Run Defense: Notre Dame boasts one of the best rushing attacks in college football, averaging over 200 yards per game. However, they will face a formidable Ohio State defense that has allowed less than 90 rushing yards per game1. Running back Jeremiyah Love will need to break through the Buckeyes' stout defensive line to give the Irish an edge. Notre Dame's Pass Game vs. Ohio State's Pass Defense: Quarterback Riley Leonard has been a dual threat for Notre Dame, averaging more than five yards per carry and rushing for 16 touchdowns. However, Ohio State's defense has been exceptional at containing mobile quarterbacks1. Leonard will need to use his legs to extend plays and avoid the Buckeyes' aggressive pass rush. Ohio State's Offense vs. Notre Dame's Defense: Ohio State's offense, led by TreVeyon Henderson, has been explosive, averaging 42.1 points per game. The Fighting Irish defense, which ranks second in points allowed, will need to step up and contain the Buckeyes' high-powered offense2. Special Teams: Both teams have shown proficiency in special teams, with Ohio State's kicker being particularly reliable. Notre Dame will need to capitalize on any special teams opportunities to keep the game close. Supporting the OVER wager is the following betting algorithm that has gone 33-18 for 65% winning bets since 2007. The requirements are: Bet on games being played in neutral site in January. The total is between 42.5 and 49 points. One of the teams have won four or five of their previous 6 games. If that team is favored between 3.5 and 9.5 points, the Over has gone 10-3! If the total is fewer than 50 points, the team has won five or more of their previous six games, is favored by 6 or more points, and the opponent has won their last two games, the Over has gone 7-2 ATS good for 78% winning bets. From the predictive model: My predictive model is looking for Notre Dame to make the same or fewer field goals and to have the same or fewer turnovers. In past games in which they met these measures has produced a 32-3 SU and 26-9 ATS record for 74% winning bets since Marvin Freeman became head coach. In addition, the model is looking for Notre Dame to get the same more rushing first downs and the same or more rushing touchdowns. IN past games in which Notre Dame met these expectations they have gone 50-1 SU and 37-14 ATS for 73% winning bets. When they have been priced as the dog in these situations, they have gone 4-0 SU and ATS and every game under the watchful eye of Marcus Freeman.
01-19-25	Rams v. Eagles -6	Top	22-28	Push	0	3 h 25 m	Show
NFL Divisional Round Preview: LA Rams vs. Philadelphia Eagle 8-Unit Bet on the Eagles priced as 6.5-point favorites. (Please read the in-game betting, which I highly recommend given the recent betting frenzy on the Eagles) Consider betting 5-Units maximum amount on the Over at 37.5 or fewer points during the first half of action only. The Eagles have been slow starters in nearly every game this season. Getting out to a solid mistake-free start is preferred over taking any chances at committing turnovers. The line has moved to 7 points at the Circa and there is a huge wave of bets being placed and nearly all are on the Eagles. This line is likely to move to 7.5 and even higher. So, bet the Eagles with 50% of your 8-Unit betting amount. If the Rams score the first TD of the game, then bet the Eagles in-game for another 25% amount with a 3-0 or 10-0 or 10-3 or 10-6 or even 13-6 Rams lead. These bets are only valid during the first half of action.Then if the Eagles get to a money line price of –130 or cheaper, add the remaining 25% amount to complete the full 8-unit amount. Date: Sunday, January 21, 2025 Time: 3:00 PM ET (12:00 PM PT) Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA TV Broadcast: NBC, Peacock, Telemundo, Universo Team Records Philadelphia Eagles: 14-3 (Regular Season), 1-0 (Playoffs) Los Angeles Rams: 10-7 (Regular Season), 1-0 (Playoffs) Against-the-Spread Records Philadelphia Eagles: 11-5-1 ATS (Against the Spread) Los Angeles Rams: 8-9 ATS Preview The Philadelphia Eagles are hosting the Los Angeles Rams in the NFC Divisional Round. The Eagles are coming off a dominant 22-10 victory over the Green Bay Packers in the Wild Card round, while the Rams secured a 27-9 win over the Minnesota Vikings. In their previous meeting during the regular season, the Eagles triumphed over the Rams 37-20, thanks to a historic performance by running back Saquon Barkley, who rushed for 255 yards and two touchdowns. The Rams will be looking to avenge that loss and advance to the NFC Championship game. The Eagles got a huge gift last night when the Commanders got a monster upset win over the top-seed Detroit Lions. Now, with a win the Eagles will host the NFC Championship game and face their divisional rival for the third time this season. It may not be that huge of gift given how well the Commanders and their super-star rookie QB Jayden Daniels has played down the stretch, but they will not have to travel and win on the road. Key Matchups to Watch Eagles' Offense vs. Rams' Defense: The Eagles' offense, led by Saquon Barkley and quarterback Jalen Hurts, will be a significant test for the Rams' defense, which tied an NFL playoff record with nine sacks in their last game. Rams' Offense vs. Eagles' Defense: The Rams' offense, featuring quarterback Matthew Stafford and wide receivers Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp, will need to overcome the Eagles' strong defensive front. How to Watch You can watch the game on NBC, Peacock, Telemundo, and Universo. If you prefer streaming, you can use services like FuboTV2. Betting and Fan-Based Sentiment Positive Sentiment: Most of the sentiment was positive, celebrating Saquon Barkley's performance and the Eagles' victory. This is reflected in reports of Barkley setting a franchise record, the Eagles' winning streak, and the overall dominance in the game. Negative Sentiment: There was some negative sentiment, primarily due to the injury announcements, which are meaningful setbacks for the team. However, this was more of a specific concern rather than a general negative sentiment about the game's outcome. Neutral Sentiment: Very little neutral sentiment was explicitly discussed in the sources, but the general reporting on statistics, scores, and play-by-play could be considered neutral in nature. Positive: Approximately 70% Negative: Approximately 30% Neutral: Approximately 5% Although 70% is on the edge of being too many fans and bettors favoring the Eagles, the betting markets are in a 55 to 60% ticket number and handle. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 104-40-1 SU and 81-59-5 ATS result for 58% winning bets since 1996. The requirements are: Bet on any favorite including pick-em. The temperature at game time is lower than 30 degrees (week 11 on out to the end of the season). The favorite averages more rushing yards than the foe. If the wind ranges between 5 and 20 MPH, these favorites playing in the Divisional Round have gone 8-1 SU and 7-3 ATS for 70% winning bets. Weather Update: The weather conditions are forecast to be steady snow and at time moderate to heavy snowfall rates. The field is heated below ground to prevent the field in any frigid environment to not freeze and become rock hard. However, if the snow melts on the field initially, the grass turf will become slippery. Both teams should have multiple type of cleats with different length spikes to overcome the potential for a significant deterioration in the field conditions. I do not see any advantage for either team if the field conditions deteriorate in the second half of the game. The advantages will be for the offensive units of both teams because they know what block, what route, what run or pass play has been called and the defenses do not. The defenses will become more reactive and if anything, scoring may increase. So, if the first quarter is 3-0 or even scoreless, taking a pizza money-sized bet and wagering the OVER in-game just may be a profitable one. Passing attack The Eagles use 74% zone, 26% man coverage Vic Fangio coaches this unit, and aside from the Washington game, when they fell apart, this unit limits explosive plays, and is a nightmare for offenses on obvious passing downs. The Eagles have one of the better pass rushes in the league. DEs Jalen Carter and Milton Williams have been elite. OLBs Josh Sweat and Nolan Smith have been above average. Even on the inside LB Dean has been excellent- Note: Dean suffered a season-ending injury in the Wild-Card game. The Eagles have become one of the top pass defenses in the league. There is not a weak spot in the secondary. Puka Nacua has been incredible since returning from injury in Week 8. He has seven games (out of 10) with at least 97 yards. In one of those games, he played 26 snaps. In the other two games he had exactly 56 yards. Oddly, Matthew Stafford completed 31 passes over the last two games, and Nacua caught 18 of those passes. Nacua is in the slot 30% of the time. Wild Card Game: 5/44 (9) Cooper Kupp had a terrible end to the season, posting less than 30 yards in four of his last five games. In those four games, he averaged less than four targets. Still, Kupp is capable of big games. In Week 14, he had a 5/92/TD line, and Kupp had 80+ yards in four of six games between Weeks 9-14. Kupp is in the slot 67% of the time. Wild Card Game: 1/29 (1) Quinyon Mitchell has had some rookie ups and downs, but overall, he has been above average in coverage. Darius Slay hasn’t played at the level he has at earlier points in his career, but he has also been a bit above average. Rookie slot CB Cooper DeJean has been amazing. He has played at a very high level, and he also is an excellent tackler. Tyler Higbee returned from an ACL injury in Week 16. His snaps went from 14-17-27. His targets went from 2-3-7. Higbee’s catches went from 1-2-5. The tight end scored in two of three games. Still, his 5/46/TD line came in Week 18 when the backups played. NOTE: Higbee suffered a chest injury and missed the last three quarters of the Wild Card game. Wild Card Game: 5/58 (5) Left in first half with a chest injury The safety duo of Reed Blankenship and C.J. Gardner-Johnson have both been excellent in coverage. They hold up very well against opposing tight ends. Kyren Williams was not the same runner who rushed for 5.0 yards per carry. He was a volume hog with 316 carries and 40 targets, but Williams rushed for just 4.1 yards per carry. The runner only had a 17th percentile broken tackle rate, though he was in the 61st percentile in yards after contact. Williams saw his heaviest workloads down the stretch. In Weeks 14-16, he averaged 27 carries before easing back in Week 17. Before Week 17, he rushed for at least 62 yards in 13 straight games, though he only reached 100 yards four times (102, 104, 108, 122). As a receiver, Williams was at 5.4 yards per catch and went over 20 yards once since Week 4. Wild Card Game: 16-76, 3/16/TD (3) The Eagles have a top-5 run defense. The strength is the LBs. Dean (injured/out), Sweat and Smith have all been very good at plugging rushing lanes. Meanwhile Baun can get to the edges, but he has been an overall average run defender. Although the three DL are great as pass rushers, all are below average against the run. In other words, teams can get past the first level on some runs, but good luck getting deep into the second level. And on running downs, when they can creep up, they are very hard to run on. LB Zack Baun has been one of the best coverage linebackers in the league. Eagles offense The pass protection from both OTs is elite. Also, LG Landon Dickerson is also one of the better pass protectors in the league at his position. RG Mekhi Becton is adequate, but he is massive, and defenders can’t easily get around him in the middle of the line. Center Can Jurgens is the only player on this line who’s below average. The Rams play zone at a rate higher than the league average. 77% zone, 23% man If the Rams’ pass rush is unable to make a big impact, the coverage in the secondary is below average. Jalen Hurts missed the last two games of the year with a concussion. Although he passed for 290 yards against Pittsburgh in Week 16, Hurts had thrown for fewer than 180 yards in the previous four games. On the season, he failed to reach 184 yards six times. On only four occasions did the QB pass for at least 240 yards, and two of those games were in Weeks 1 and 3. As a runner, Hurts rushed for over 60 yards twice (85, 67). From Week 8 on, his lowest rushing total was 29 yards. As always, Hurts was a primary goal-line option for the Eagles, and he rushed for 14 TDs. Conversely, Hurts only threw 18 TD passes. Wild Card Game: 13/21/131/2/0, 6-36 A.J. Brown was a target hog during his first two years with the Eagles. This year, he averaged 7.5 targets per game. That explains why Brown did not reach 120 yards or more than one TD in any game all season. In terms of floor, the star had at least 65 yards 10 times in 13 games. Unless the Eagles go back to the pass-heavy plan they used in Week 15 against Pittsburgh, Brown may not have the great numbers we expect from him. Wild Card Game: 1/10 (3) DeVonta Smith had one game with more than 87 yards (11/109/TD in Week 15) with Jalen Hurts at QB. Aside from the big game in Week 15, Smith failed to surpass eight targets in any game between Weeks 6-17. Also, from Week 6 on, the veteran had one game with more than six targets and four games with more than four targets. Smith only had eight games with 60+ yards. Smith is in the slot 51% of the time, but when Brown is healthy, that rate can rise. Wild Card Game: 4/55 (4) Darious Williams is technically the top CB, but he is small, and he has struggled in coverage this year. The other outside CB Ahkello Witherspoon, who has been adequate, but far from solid at CB. (He was injured in the Wild Card game) Quentin Lake has been a weakness in the slot. Ground Game Saquon Barkley had a magical season with 2,005 rushing yards, 15 total TDs and 278 receiving yards. Oddly, Barkley only had a 33rd percentile broken tackle rate, and although he was in the 69th percentile in yards after contact, that fails to take into account the many long runs he had while never being contacted. He had at least 95 rushing yards in all but four games (10-84, 18-47, 14-66, 19-65), but three of those came against solid run defenses. Although Barkley had three games with 40-52 receiving yards in Weeks 9-12, he had a total of six catches and 21 yards over the last five games. Wild Card Game: 25-119, 2/4 (2) Kenneth Gainwell handled 3-7 rushing attempts in almost every game between Weeks 6-17. Still, the veteran posted at least 19 yards eight times in the 12 games after the Week 6 bye. As a pass catcher, Gainwell had one game (3/40 in Week 15) with more than 12 yards. Wild Card Game: 3-14 The Rams are a below average run defense. Aside from OLB Jared Verse, who has been excellent against the run, all of the remaining DL/LBs are not strong run defenders. There is no one player who is a complete disaster against the run, but aside from Verse, nobody is a strength. The LBs (Omar Speights and Christian Rozeboom) are not good in coverage- opposing RBs can have a lot of success against them. Props Saquon Barkley over 111.5 rushing yards. DeVonta Smith over reception total (alt 4+ receptions- same game parlay) Gainwell over 10.5 rushing yards – some books have 11.5 and is good to bet. Eagles alt line -2.5 (same game parlay) Puka Nacua alt receptions 7+ (same game parlay) Jalen Hurts alt rushing yards 25+ (same game parlay)
01-18-25	Commanders +10 v. Lions	Top	45-31	Win	100	28 h 22 m	Show
NFL Divisional Round Preview: Washington Commanders vs. Detroit Lions Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025 Time: 8:00 PM ET Location: Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan Washington Commanders: 12-5 Detroit Lions: 15-2 Washington Commanders: 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games Detroit Lions: 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games Matchup Overview The Detroit Lions, who had an impressive 15-2 regular-season record, earned the #1 seed in the NFC. They are led by quarterback Jared Goff, who threw for 4,629 yards, 37 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions2. The Lions' offense has been explosive, averaging 33.2 points per game. On the other hand, the Washington Commanders, with a 12-5 record, have been on a roll, especially after their Wild Card win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has been outstanding, throwing for 3,568 yards, 25 touchdowns, and rushing for 891 yards and six touchdowns2. Key Storylines Quarterback Duel: The matchup between Jared Goff and Jayden Daniels will be one to watch. Goff has been consistent, while Daniels has been a dynamic playmaker2. Injuries: The Lions have been dealing with injuries, especially on the defensive side. The return of running back David Montgomery will be crucial for Detroit2. Defensive Showdown: The Lions' defense, ranked 7th in total defense, will face a tough challenge against the Commanders' offense. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 42-64 SU and a 69-37 ATS result for 65% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are: Bet on road underdogs priced between 3.5 and 10 points. The dog has committed no more than one turnover in each of their last two games. The opponent is coming off a game forcing zero turnovers. If the game takes place i the playoffs, these teams have gone 5-5 SU and 8-2 ATS good for 80% winning bets. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 6-15 SU and a 15-7 ATS result for 68% winning bets since 2004. The requirements are: Bet on a road team in the divisional round of the playoffs. That road team had a double digit same-season loss to the current opponent. If our dog is priced between 2.5 and 9.5 points, they have gone an impressive 6-13 SU and 15-5 ATS good for 75% winning bets.
01-18-25	Texans +9 v. Chiefs	Top	14-23	Push	0	25 h 43 m	Show
Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs NFL Divisional Round Preview: Texans vs. Chiefs Date: Saturday, January 20, 2025 Time: 4:30 p.m. ET Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO How to Watch: ABC/ESPN 8-Unit best bet on the Texans priced as 8.5-point underdogs and 1 1-unit sprinkle on the money line is highly recommended. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 36-17-1 ATS record good for 68% winning bets since the 2004 playoffs. The requirements are: The games place in the post season. The spread is between 5.5 and 14 points. The spread percentage of bets is less than 50%. The total is fewer than 50 points. If the total is between 40 and 49.5 points, these teams have gone 31-12-1 ATS good for 72% winning bets in the NFL Playoffs since 2004. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced an exceptional 41-42 SU and 57-26 ATS record good for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. Bet on conference road dogs. The dog is priced between 2.5 and 9.5 points. The opponent is coming off a game against a conference foe. The opponent lost their previous game priced as a dog. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced an exceptional 5-2 SU and 1-7 ATS record good for 13% winning bets since 2004. Bet against favorites in the divisional round. Both teams are allowing 17 to 27 PPG in the current season. The favorite is coming off a double-digit loss. If our team is coming off the BYE and did not play in the wild card round, has seen them go 5-3-SU but just 1-7 ATS for 13% winning bets.
01-13-25	Vikings v. Rams +2.5	Top	9-27	Win	100	8 h 56 m	Show
Minnesota Vikings vs LA Rams 8-Unit Bet on the Rams priced as 2.5-point underdogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced an 8-18 SU and 16-9 ATS record for 64% winning bets since 2010. The requirements are: Bet on a home dog priced at 1.5 or more points. They are facing for, who had a 6 or more wins line for the season. The foe has already exceeded that wins total by 3 or more games. These teams are 0-3 SUATS in the playoff rounds, which means they have never advanced to the divisional round. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced an 8-18 SU and 16-9 ATS record for 64% winning bets since 2010. The requirements are: Also, teams in the playoff rounds, but not in the Super Bowl, that have exceeded their preseason ‘wins total’ by 3.5 or more wins and are favored have gone 9-7 SU, but just 4-12 ATS for 25% winning bets and this works against the Vikings tonight. The Vikings are avenging a loss to the Rams, who scored 2. Teams that are avening a loss in which the foe score 28 or more points and now favored between pick-em and a 3.5-point favorite in a playoff game, have goe just 9-14 SU and 7-16 ATS for 30% winning bets. NFL Wild Card Game Preview: Minnesota Vikings vs. Los Angeles Rams Straight-Up and Against-the-Spread Trends The Minnesota Vikings enter tonight's game with a strong straight-up (SU) record of 14-3 this season, while the Los Angeles Rams have a 10-7 record. The Vikings have been dominant against the spread (ATS), covering in 12 of their last 15 games, while the Rams have struggled ATS, covering in only 7 of their last 15 games. Team Angles Minnesota Vikings: Offensive Strengths: The Vikings have been prolific on offense, averaging 366.7 yards per game and 25.4 points per game. Quarterback Sam Darnold has been efficient, and wide receiver Justin Jefferson has been a standout performer1. Defensive Strengths: The Vikings' defense has been solid, allowing only 19.6 points per game and ranking 5th in the league. Key Challenge: The Vikings need to avoid a slow start, as they have been one of the best first-quarter teams, averaging 6.4 points per game in the first quarter. Los Angeles Rams: Offensive Strengths: The Rams have a balanced offense, averaging 344.8 yards per game and 21.6 points per game. Quarterback Matthew Stafford has been effective, especially against the blitz2. Defensive Strengths: The Rams' defense has been decent, allowing 22.7 points per game and ranking 17th in the league. Key Challenge: The Rams need to improve their first-quarter performance, as they rank 31st in the league with only 1.8 points per game in the first quarter. NextGen Statistics and Rankings Minnesota Vikings: Passing: Sam Darnold ranks 8th in the league in NextGen Stats' Expected Points Added (EPA) per play. Receiving: Justin Jefferson ranks 2nd in the league in yards per route run. Defensive: The Vikings rank 5th in the league in defensive EPA allowed per play. Los Angeles Rams: Passing: Matthew Stafford ranks 12th in the league in NextGen Stats' Completion Percentage Over Expectation (CPOE). Receiving: Cooper Kupp ranks 3rd in the league in yards per route run. Defensive: The Rams rank 26th in the league in defensive EPA allowed per play. Key Matchups to Watch Justin Jefferson vs. Rams' Secondary: Jefferson's speed and agility will be a significant challenge for the Rams' cornerbacks, especially Ahkello Witherspoon and Darious Williams. Matthew Stafford vs. Vikings' Pass Rush: Stafford's ability to handle the Vikings' blitz will be crucial. The Vikings blitz more than any team in the league, and Stafford will need to be sharp under pressure. Vikings' First Quarter Offense vs. Rams' First Quarter Defense: The Vikings' strong first-quarter offense will be tested against the Rams' struggling first-quarter defense.
01-12-25	Commanders +3 v. Bucs	Top	23-20	Win	100	9 h 41 m	Show
Commanders vs Bucs 8-unit bet on the Commanders priced as a 3-point underdog. Here is an NFL betting algorithm that has gone 22-29 SU (43%) and 34-16-1 ATS good for 68% winning bets over the past 7 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road dogs facing a divisional foe for the second time in the same season. In the first matchup, our dog gained 6 or more yards after the completion. If the game takes place in the playoffs, they have gone 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS for 88% winning bets. If our team is priced between a 3.5 and 9.5-poit underdog they have gone 12-15 SU and 18-9 ATS for 67% winners. From the Predictive Model: My predictive model is expecting the Commanders to score 27 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers. The Commanders are 8-3 SU and 9-1-1 ATS in past games since 2022 when they have met or exceeded this performance measure. In addition, and based on the model projections, note that teams in the Wild Card round that have scored 27 or more points and gained at least 6 yards after the catch, have gone 8-1 SUATS. Washington Commanders: The Commanders finished the regular season with a 12-5 record, securing the No. 6 seed in the NFC. They have been impressive on offense, averaging 28.5 points per game, which ranks fifth-best in the NFL. Defensively, they allow 23.0 points per game, ranking 18th in the league. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: The Buccaneers ended the regular season with a 10-7 record, winning the NFC South. They have a potent offense, averaging 29.5 points per game, ranking fourth best in the NFL. Their defense allows 22.6 points per game, ranking 16th in the league. Key Matchups Commanders' Offense vs. Buccaneers' Defense: The Commanders' offense, led by rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, will face a tough challenge against the Buccaneers' defense4. Daniels has shown great potential and will need to make smart decisions and accurate throws to keep the Buccaneers' defense on their toes. Buccaneers' Offense vs. Commanders' Defense: The Buccaneers' offense, led by veteran quarterback Baker Mayfield, will look to exploit the Commanders' defense. Mayfield has a strong arm and a knack for making big plays, but he will need to avoid turnovers and sustain drives to keep the Commanders' offense off the field. Rookie Running Backs: Both teams feature dynamic rookie running backs. Buccaneers' Bucky Irving has been a standout performer, leading all rookies in rushing yards. Commanders' Chris Rodriguez Jr. has also made a significant impact with his running game. The battle between these two rookies will be crucial in determining the outcome of the game. Special Teams: Special teams play can often be a game-changer in the playoffs. Both teams will need to excel in kickoffs, punts, and field goals to gain an edge. Possible Commanders' Upset Win For the Commanders to pull off an upset, they will need to: Limit Turnovers: Avoid giving the Buccaneers extra possessions and scoring opportunities. Establish the Run Game: Utilize B. Robinson and Chris Rodriquez, Jr. to control the clock and keep the Buccaneers' offense off the field. A solid ground attack will open play-action vertical routes in man coverage to McLaurin, Zaccheus, and others. Pressure Mayfield: Generate a strong pass rush with solid gap discipline to disrupt Mayfield's rhythm and force him into mistakes. Win the Field Position Battle: Ensure their special teams perform well to give their offense favorable field position.
01-12-25	Packers +5.5 v. Eagles	Top	10-22	Loss	-110	5 h 22 m	Show
Packers vs Eagles 8-Unit bet on the Packers priced as 5.5-point underdogs. This is a marquee matchup for the Wild Card Round and gets the nod for the game to start at 4:25 EST. The Packers have the characteristics of a team capable to make a deep playoff run. They possess the ability to stretch defenses with vertical routes and their defense forces turnovers. Road teams in the playoffs that forced an average of 1.8 or more turnovers per game during the regular season and averaged 7 or more passing yards per attempt have gone 12-9 SU and 15-4 ATS for 79% winning bets. Road teams in the playoffs that averaged 7.5 or more passing yards per attempt have gone 27-32 SU and 37-20-2 ATS for 65% winning bets. Road teams in the playoffs that forced an average of 1.8 or more turnovers per game during the regular season have gone 45-52 SU and 55-38-4 ATS good for 59% winning bets. Now, the Eagles had a great regular season with a 14-3 record and went 12-1 from week 5 on out. They had the 30th (easy) strength of schedule, however. Teams cannot help or control the quality of the teams they play. The Packers losses have been against playoff teams in Minnesota and Detroit twice each, the Eagles, and the Teams in the Wild Card round that exceeded their regular season wins total by three or more games, their regular season wins line was 6 or more games (Eagles line was 10.5 wins), and are favored, have gone 7-8 SU and 3-12 ATS for just 20% winning bets. Here is an NFL betting algorithm that has gone 22-29 SU (43%) and 34-16-1 ATS good for 68% winning bets over the past 7 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road dogs facing a divisional foe for the second time in the same season. In the first matchup, our dog gained 6 or more yards after the completion. If our team is priced between a 3.5 and 9.5-poit underdog they have gone 12-15 SU and 18-9 ATS for 67% winners. If the game takes place in the playoffs, they have gone 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS for 88% winning bets. There are far more bettors backing the Eagles than the Packers and this does raise concerns. Of the bets placed at DraftKings, 79% of them have been on the Birds and 71% of the handle. The line has been rock-solid at 4.5 points and only moved to 5.5 points when the official announcement came that Jalen Hurts was off the concussion protocol. At the Circa the betting flows are even more concerning with 29% of the tickets but 54% of the handle on the Packers. Green Bay Packers: The Packers finished the regular season with an 11-6 record, securing the No. 7 seed in the NFC. They have a balanced offense, averaging 24.8 points per game, and a solid defense, allowing 19.9 points per game. Philadelphia Eagles: The Eagles ended the regular season with a 14-3 record, winning the NFC East. They have a dominant offense, averaging 28.2 points per game, and a strong defense, allowing 17.2 points per game. Key Matchups Packers' Offense vs. Eagles' Defense: The Packers' offense, led by quarterback Jordan Love, will face a tough challenge against the Eagles' defense. Love has shown promise but will need to make accurate throws and avoid turnovers to keep the Eagles' defense at bay. Eagles' Offense vs. Packers' Defense: The Eagles' offense, led by quarterback Jalen Hurts, will look to exploit the Packers' defense. Hurts has been impressive this season, and his ability to make plays with both his arm and legs will be crucial. Running Game Battle: Both teams feature strong running backs. The Packers' Aaron Jones and the Eagles' Saquon Barkley will be key players in their respective offenses. The battle in the trenches will be crucial in determining which team can establish the run game. Turnover Battle: Turnovers can be game-changers in the playoffs. Both teams have been good at protecting the ball, but the team that can force turnovers and capitalize on them will have a significant advantage. Possible Packers' Upset Win For the Packers to pull off an upset, they will need to: Limit Turnovers: Avoid giving the Eagles extra possessions and scoring opportunities. Establish the Run Game: Utilize Aaron Jones to control the clock and keep the Eagles' offense off the field. Pressure Hurts: Generate a strong pass rush to disrupt Hurts' rhythm and force him into mistakes. Win the Field Position Battle:
01-12-25	Broncos +8 v. Bills	Top	7-31	Loss	-107	2 h 41 m	Show
Broncos vs Bills 8-Unit bet on the Broncos priced as 8.5-point underdogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 50-38 SU and a 54-31-3 ATS result for 64% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: Bet on a team that won and covered their previous game by double-digits. In that win, they had twice as many penalty yards as their opponent. If the opponent has a 50% or better win percentage, these teams improve to 21-22 SU and 28-13-2 ATS for 68% winning bets. If the game takes place in any of the playoff rounds, these teams have gone 17-13 SU and 21-8-1 ATS good for 72% winning bets since 2000. From the predictive model:My predictive model expects Denver to get more sacks than the Bills. Teams in the Wild Card round that sacked the opposing quarterback more than their QB was sacked and are priced as rod dogs, have gone 18-16 SU and 25-9 ATS good for 74% winning bets. If in this situation, our dog recorded three or sacks saw their teams go 16-11 SU and 21-6 ATS good for 78% winning bets.
01-11-25	Steelers +9.5 v. Ravens	Top	14-28	Loss	-105	9 h 50 m	Show
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore 8-Unit bet on the Steelers +9.5 points and sprinkle no more than a unit on the money line. This edition of the NFL playoffs is expected to be some of the most exciting games in many seasons featuring numerous lead changes and game winning drives in the last 2 minutes. This is a game in which the team we are betting on, the Steelers, is given no chance at all by the betting markets. Upon a deeper review, we learn that divisional foes facing each other for the third time in the same season have gone 3-3 SU and 5-1 ATS for 83% winning bets since 2013. When these teams have been priced as the dog, they have gone 4-0 ATS, so that is quite impressive even though it is a small sample size. Key Matchups for the Steelers Steelers' Defense vs. Lamar Jackson: The Steelers' defense will need to contain Ravens' quarterback Lamar Jackson, who has been exceptional this season with 4,000 passing yards and 900 rushing yards. If the Steelers can pressure Jackson and limit his mobility, they have a better chance of controlling the game. Steelers' Offensive Line vs. Ravens' Pass Rush: The Steelers' offensive line must protect quarterback Russell Wilson and give him time to make plays. The Ravens' pass rush, led by Kyle Van Noy with 12.5 sacks, will be a significant challenge1. Steelers' Receivers vs. Ravens' Secondary: Wide receivers George Pickens and Pat Freiermuth will need to step up and make big plays against the Ravens' secondary, which includes standout cornerback Marlon Humphrey. If the Steelers' receivers can get open and make catches, it will be crucial for their offensive success.
01-09-25	Notre Dame v. Penn State +2.5	Top	27-24	Loss	-109	77 h 19 m	Show
Date: Thursday, January 9, 2025 Game Time: 7:30 pm ET How To Watch: ESPN Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL Teams: Notre Dame (13-1), Penn State (13-2) 10-Unit bet on Penn State plus the 2.5 points. This line is going to trend in favor of Notre Dame based on the current market conditions. So, if you are getting this pick on Tuesday or Wednesday, I would recommend waiting to see if the line trends higher to as high as 2.5 or even 3.5 points. The line may not move either, so betting 50% preflop and then look to add the remaining 50% a few hours ahead of the kick-off is a solid strategy. Live Betting Strategies: Another option is to bet 75% of your 10-unit amount preflop and then look to add 25% more with PSU priced as a 5.5-point underdog during the first half of action OR if Notre Dame scored a TD first to make the score 7-0 or even 10-0 if ND made a field goal as the first score of the game. PSU has had a season, which they start out slow in the first quarter and then suddenly kick it into top gear. The following College Football Betting Algorithm has produced a 42-30 SU (58%) and 38-23-1 ATS record good for 68% winning bets over the past 45 years or since 1980. The requirements are: The game occurs in the postseason. Our team is priced between pick-em and a 6.5-point underdog. The opponent has covered the spread in each of their last four games. If the opponent has covered the spread nine or more of their last 10 games, our dogs have gone a highly profitable 10-5 SU and 11-4 ATS good for 73% winning bets. he stage is set for an epic showdown as the No. 6 Penn State Nittany Lions take on the No. 7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish in the Orange Bowl on January 9, 2025. This highly anticipated matchup will determine who advances to the national championship game. Team Statistics Penn State Nittany Lions: Record: 13-2 Points Per Game: 33.7 Points Against: 15.8 Leading Rusher: Kaytron Allen (1,026 yards) Leading Receiver: Tyler Warren (1,158 yards) Leading Tackler: Jaylen Reed (92 tackles) Sacks: Abdul Carter (11 sacks) Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Record: 13-1 Points Per Game: 38.8 Points Against: 13.8 Leading Rusher: Jeremiyah Love (1,057 yards) Leading Receiver: Beaux Collins (445 yards) Leading Tackler: Jack Kiser (69 tackles) Sacks: Xavier Watts (6 interceptions, 1 forced fumble) Key Matchups Rushing Attack: Both teams boast elite rushing attacks, with Penn State led by Kaytron Allen and Nicholas Singleton, and Notre Dame by Jeremiyah Love and dual-threat quarterback Riley Leonard. Defensive Strength: Penn State's defense, anchored by Abdul Carter, will face a tough challenge against Notre Dame's strong rushing attack. Injuries: Notre Dame has been dealing with injuries, including the loss of star defensive lineman Rylie Mills and cornerback Benjamin Morrison. Penn State will hope for the return of Abdul Carter, who is questionable with an arm injury. From the Predictive Model: My predictive model expects Penn State to gain more rushing yards, have more time of possession and contain the ND passing attack to less than 58% completions. Under head coach James Franklin, Penn State is 37-3 SU (93%) and 33-5-2 ATS for 87% winning bets that have covered the spread by an average 10.26 PPG when they have met or exceeded these performance measures.
01-05-25	Vikings v. Lions -3	Top	9-31	Win	102	10 h 34 m	Show
Vikings vs Lions 8-Unit bet on the Lions priced as 2.5-point favorites. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 41-17 SU (71%) and 38-18-2 ATS (68%) over the past 15seasons. The requirements are: Bet on a favorite that has won three of their last four games. The opponent has won 8 or more of their previous 10 games. If the game is a divisional game and our team won the first meeting, they have gone to a stellar 8-3 SUATS record for 73% winning bets. The stage is set for an epic showdown as the Minnesota Vikings take on the Detroit Lions in a battle for the NFC North title and the coveted #1 seed in the NFC playoffs. This game will be played at Ford Field on Sunday night, January 5, 2025, and promises to be one of the most thrilling regular-season finales in NFL history1. Advanced NextGen Team Statistics Minnesota Vikings: Passing Yards: Sam Darnold has thrown for 4153 yards, 35 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions. Rushing Yards: Aaron Jones leads with 1093 yards and 5 touchdowns. Receiving Yards: Justin Jefferson has racked up 1479 yards and 10 touchdowns. Detroit Lions: Passing Yards: Jared Goff has thrown for 4398 yards, 36 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions. Rushing Yards:Jahmyr Gibbs leads with 1273 yards and 13 touchdowns. Receiving Yards: Amon-Ra St. Brown has accumulated 1186 yards and 12 touchdowns. Star Players Minnesota Vikings: Sam Darnold (QB): Darnold has been a revelation this season, playing his best football and leading the Vikings to a 14-2 record. Justin Jefferson (WR): Jefferson has been a consistent threat, surpassing 120 yards in six of his last eight games against the Lions. Aaron Jones (RB): Jones has been a workhorse for the Vikings, contributing significantly to their ground game. Detroit Lions: Jared Goff (QB): Goff has been efficient and effective, leading the Lions to a 14-2 record. Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR): St. Brown has been a reliable target for Goff, with 109 receptions for 1186 yards and 12 touchdowns. Jahmyr Gibbs (RB): Gibbs has been a breakout star, leading the team in rushing yards and touchdowns. Matchups to Watch Vikings Offense vs. Lions Defense: The Lions have played the most man coverage this season, but Justin Jefferson has consistently found ways to beat them. With cornerback Carlton Davis out due to injury, Jefferson could have another big day4. Lions Offense vs. Vikings Defense: The Vikings' defense has been solid all season, but they will need to contain Jahmyr Gibbs and Amon-Ra St. Brown to limit the Lions' scoring opportunities4. Turnover Battle: Both teams have been relatively careful with the ball this season, but the team that can force turnovers and capitalize on them will have a significant advantage. The Stakes The winner of this game will secure the NFC North title and the #1 seed in the NFC playoffs, earning home-field advantage and a bye through the Wildcard Weekend. The loser will drop to the #5 seed and face a tough road ahead in the playoffs5. This game is not just about bragging rights; it's about positioning for a deep playoff run. Both teams have had remarkable seasons, and this final matchup will determine who gets the upper hand in the race for the Super Bowl.
01-05-25	Chiefs +11.5 v. Broncos	Top	0-38	Loss	-112	6 h 38 m	Show
Chiefs vs Broncos 8-Unit Bet on the Chiefs priced as 10-point road underdogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 50-38 SU and a 54-31-3 ATS result for 64% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: Bet on a team that won and covered their previous game by double-digits. In that win, they had twice as many penalty yards as their opponent. If the opponent has a 50% or better win percentage, these teams improve to 24-25 SU and 32-15-2 ATS for 68% winning bets. If the opponent is the favorite in this game, they have gone a highly profitable 15-3 SUATS for 83% winning bets. If the total is fewer than 40 points, these dogs have gone 7-3 SU and 7-2-1 ATS for 78% winning bets over the past 6 seasons. Also, there have been 14 games, in which the favorite was priced at 20 or more points. Those favorites have gone 14-0 SU, but a money-burning 4-10 ATS for 29% winning bets. Favorites of 17.5 or more points have gone 25-1 SU and 10-16 ATS for 38% winning bets. The lone SU loss occurred in week 14 of the 1995 season when the Cowboys were priced as a 17.5-point favorite and lost 24-17 to the Commanders.
01-05-25	Panthers +9 v. Falcons	Top	44-38	Win	100	2 h 17 m	Show
Panthers vs Falcons 8-Unit bet on the Panthers priced as 7.5-point underdogs. This NFL betting algorithm has gone 36-35 SU (43%) and 50-20-1 ATS good for 71.4% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on a team that has failed to cover the spread by 33 or more points spanning their previous five games. The opponent has seen their last three games play Over the total by 33 or more points. This NFL betting algorithm has gone 54-97-1 SU (36%) and 97-51-4 ATS good for 65.5% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on dogs priced between 3.5 and 10 points. The dog is getting outscored by an average of 5 or more points in the first half of action. The dog scored 14 or fewer points in their previous game.
01-04-25	Bengals v. Steelers +2.5	Top	19-17	Win	100	7 h 27 m	Show
Bengals vs Steelers 8-Unit Bet on the Steelers priced as 2.5-point underdogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 50-38 SU and a 54-31-3 ATS result for 64% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: Bet on divisional dogs priced between 2.5 and 7.5 points. The game is a divisional showdown. The dog won each of the last two meetings with the current foe. The foe is coming off a non-divisional game. The Cincinnati Bengals and Pittsburgh Steelers are set to clash in a high-stakes AFC North showdown. According to NextGen Stats, Bengals running back Chase Brown has an impressive average time behind the line of scrimmage of 2.61 seconds, the quickest in the league. On the other hand, Steelers tight end Pat Freiermuth boasts a catch rate of 85.1%, the best among all qualifying tight ends and receivers. Star Players Cincinnati Bengals: Joe Burrow: Leading the NFL in both passing yards and touchdown passes, Burrow has thrown for 250 yards and three touchdowns in eight straight games. Ja'Marr Chase: Chase is one game away from becoming the fifth receiver since the merger to win the "triple crown." He leads the league with 16 receiving touchdowns. Tee Higgins: Higgins has caught a career-high 10 touchdowns this year, despite missing five games due to injury. Pittsburgh Steelers: Russell Wilson: The Steelers' quarterback has been a key player, especially in recent games. T.J. Watt: The perennial All-Pro linebacker has been a disruptive force, although he has failed to get a sack in three of the past four games. George Pickens: The wide receiver needs 100 more yards to reach 1,000 for the season. Key Matchups Steelers Secondary vs. Bengals WRs: The Steelers' secondary will be tested by the dynamic duo of Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. In their last meeting, Chase and Higgins combined for 11 receptions, 155 yards, and two touchdowns. T.J. Watt vs. Joe Burrow: Watt's ability to pressure Burrow will be crucial. In their last matchup, Watt dropped Burrow twice and forced a fumble. Steelers Run Defense vs. Bengals RB Chase Brown: If Brown plays, his quickness behind the line of scrimmage will be a challenge for the Steelers' run defense. Playoff Seedings The outcome of this game will have significant implications for playoff seedings: Steelers: If Pittsburgh wins and Baltimore loses earlier in the day, the Steelers will clinch the AFC North. If they win but Baltimore wins, Pittsburgh will secure the No. 5 seed1. Bengals: Cincinnati needs to win and needs losses by the Broncos and Dolphins to grab the AFC's seventh and final playoff spot.
12-31-24	Penn State -11 v. Boise State	Top	31-14	Win	100	8 h 47 m	Show
Penn State vs Boise State 10-Unit bet on Penn State –11 points. Penn State gas started slowly in nearly all their games this season. They fall behind early and then dominate in the second half. IN games this season in which they were tied or trailed at the end of the first quarter, they rallied to an 8-1 SU record but just 3-6 ATS. They are 5-2 SU and 1-6 ATS based on the closing line when they have been tied or trailed at the half. Penn State outscored their foes by 124 points in the second half in all 14 games and by 86 points in the games in which they were tied or trailed after the first quarter. Live Betting Strategy: I am suggesting a preflop bet of between 60 and 80% of your 8-Unit bet amount and then look for Boise to get an early lead and then add the remaining amount on Penn State. The downside to this strategy is obviously if Penn State scores first and never trail. I suggest adding the remaining Penn State bet if Penn State’s defense holds Boise State’s offense to three or fewer first downs in their first two possessions and did not score any points. That price may be around 14.5 points in a tied game early in the first quarter, but well worth the look knowing Boise State is struggling to move the chains on offense given their terrific ground attack led by their running back Jeanty, who rushed for a historic 2,652 yards including 29 TDs. The following NCAAF sports betting algorithm that has gone 36-5 SU (88%) SU and 29-11-1 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2007. The requirements are: Bet on favorites priced between a 7.5 and 12.5-point favorite. The matchup is in a bowl game. The total is fewer than 60 points. The favorite has won the same or fewer games than the opponent. Double-digit favorites in the postseason that are ranked lower (better team) than the opponent, have gone 40-6 SU (87%) and 29-17 ATS for 63% winning bets since 2007. In the postseason, teams that forced 8 or more turnovers than the opponent’s defense and favored by double-digits have gone 13-1 SU and 10-4 ATS for 71.4% winning bets. Penn State's defense has been stellar this season, allowing just 253 yards per game and recording 33 sacks. They've also forced 18 turnovers, including three pick-sixes in their last game against SMU3. On the offensive side, Penn State averages 35 points per game, with quarterback Drew Allar completing 65% of his passes for 3,200 yards and 28 touchdowns3. Boise State, on the other hand, has a strong rushing attack led by Heisman Trophy finalist Ashton Jeanty. Jeanty has rushed for 1,882 yards after contact, averaging 4.8 yards per carry and forcing a missed tackle rate of 37.1%1. Quarterback Maddux Madsen has been efficient with a 62% completion rate and 22 touchdowns to just three interceptions. Key matchups to watch: Penn State's Defense vs. Ashton Jeanty: Jeanty is a beast, but Penn State's defense has been dominant, especially against the run. If they can contain Jeanty, it will be a long night for Boise State. Drew Allar vs. Boise State's Secondary: Allar has been accurate and has a strong arm, but Boise State's secondary has only allowed 200 passing yards per game. This will be a battle of Allar's arm against Boise State's coverage schemes. In conclusion, while Boise State has a strong team, Penn State's overall talent and depth, combined with their dominant defense, give them the edge to win this game by more than 17 points. Don't be surprised if we see a blowout in favor of the Nittany Lions. From the Predictive Model: My model is expecting PSU to score at least 28 points and have the same or fewer turnovers. IN past games dating back to the start of the 2015 season, Penn State is 63-1 SU and 49-11-4 ATS good for 82% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The mode also expects Penn State to score 28 or more points, have more rushing yards, and have a minimum of 5-minute advantage in time-of-possession. In past games since 2015, Penn State is 43-1 SU and 37-6-1 ATS good for 86% winning bets when meeting or exceeding these performance measures. Boise State is just 5-16 SU and 4-15-2 ATS for 21% winning tickets when they have allowed 28 or more points and had fewer rushing yards than their opponent in games played since 2015.
12-31-24	Baylor -3.5 v. LSU	Top	31-44	Loss	-108	3 h 29 m	Show
Baylor vs LSU 3:30 ET, Tuesday, December 31, 2024 8-Unit bet on Baylor priced as a 3.5-point favorite and would highly recommend the money line instead of laying the short line. The following NCAAF Betting Algorithm has produced exceptional results with a 48-25 SU and 46-23-5 ATS record for 67% winning bets since 1985. The requirements are: Bet on teams priced between the 3’s. That team is averaging 34 or more PPG. Their defense has allowed 17 or fewer points in each of their two previous games. The opponent allows an average of 21 to 28 PPG.
12-31-24	Louisville v. Washington +3	Top	35-34	Win	100	118 h 11 m	Show
Washington vs Louisville 8-Unit bet on Washington priced as a 2.5-point underdog. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 15-10 SU and 17-8 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on teams with a new coach from the previous season. The game is a bowl game. The team has won fewer games than the opponent. The team’s offensive yards per point ratio is 15 or more.
12-30-24	Lions v. 49ers +3.5	Top	40-34	Loss	-110	8 h 22 m	Show
Lions vs 49ers (MNF) 8-Unit bet on the 49ers priced as 3.5-point home underdogs. This NFL betting algorithm has gone 36-35 SU (43%) and 50-20-1 ATS good for 71.4% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on a team that has failed to cover the spread by 33 or more points spanning their previous five games. The opponent has seen their last three games play Over the total by 33 or more points. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 23-37 SU and 36-23-1 ATS record good for 61% winning bets since 1989. The requirements needed for an active betting opportunity are as follows: Bet on any team facing a foe that has won 83% or more of their games. The game occurs from week 12 on out. They are priced as 1.5 to 7.5-point underdogs. If the game is a matchup of conference foes, they have gone on to a stellar 18-24 SU and 28-13-1 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets. If the game is aq conference matchup and the total is 50 or more points has seen these dogs go 4-7 SU, but 8-2-1 ATS for 80% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.
12-30-24	Iowa +2.5 v. Missouri	Top	24-27	Loss	-109	3 h 51 m	Show
Iowa vs Missouri (Monday, December 30) 8-Unit bet on Iowa priced as a 2.5-point underdog. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 24-28 SU and 33-16-3 ATS for 67.3% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs priced from pick-em to 6 points. They are coming off an upset win. They are facing a foe that has covered the spread in four consecutive games. They game is played on a neutral field. If the dog has won fewer games than the opponent, these dogs soar to an 18-13 SU (68%) and 22-9 ATS record good for 71% winning bets sine 1981. If the current game is a bowl game, the dog has gone 15-10 SU and 18-7 ATS for 72% winning bets since 1981. If our dog has won between 6 and 8 games, they have gone a highly impressive 15-8 SU and 18-5 ATS for 78.3% winning bets.
12-29-24	Packers +1 v. Vikings	Top	25-27	Loss	-108	5 h 31 m	Show
Packers vs Vikings 8-Unit bet on the Packers using the money line if a 1 or more-point favorite and take any points if they are priced as the dog. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 41-16 SU and 38-17-2 ATS good for 69% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirement are: Bet on any favorite. Our team has won three of their last four games. The opponent has won 8 or more of their last 10 games. The Packers are sitting at 11-4, while the Vikings are at an impressive 13-2. Both teams have been on fire this season, but the Vikings have a slight edge in the standings. Now, let's talk about the advanced team statistics, or NexGen Stats. The Packers have a turnover differential of +12, while the Vikings are at +10. Offensively, the Packers rank 4th in total yards, 4th in rushing yards, and 12th in passing yards. Defensively, they're 6th in total yards allowed,8th in rushing yards allowed, and 8th in passing yards allowed. On the other side, the Vikings rank 12th in total yards, 16th in rushing yards, and 8th in passing yards. Defensively, they're 15th in total yards allowed,2nd in rushing yards allowed, and 30th in passing yards allowed. When it comes to betting, the Packers have an against-the-spread record of 9-6, while the Vikings are at 10-4-1. The Over-Under records show the Packers at 7-7-1, and the Vikings at 9-6. Now, let's dive into the key matchups that could give the Packers the edge. First, we have Packers quarterback Jordan Love going up against the Vikings' defense. Love has been on a roll, throwing eight touchdowns and no interceptions over his past five games. His performance against the Vikings earlier this season was impressive, despite the loss, with 389 yards and four touchdowns. Another key matchup is Packers running back Aaron Jones facing his former team. Jones has been a powerhouse, with 440 total yards and four touchdowns from scrimmage over his last five games. He'll be looking to make a statement against the Vikings' defense. Lastly, the Packers' defense will need to step up, especially with cornerback Jaire Alexander out due to injury. However, if they can contain Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold and limit his passing game, they have a good chance of pulling off the upset.
12-29-24	Panthers +10 v. Bucs		14-48	Loss	-105	1 h 7 m	Show
Panthers vs Bucs 8-Unit bet on the Panthers priced as a 10-point underdog. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 35-53 SU and 61-26-1 ATS good for 70% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirement are: Bet on teams allowing an average of 28 or more points per game. The road dog is priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. The game features two same-conference teams. If the game occurs from week 10 on out to the end of the season, these dogs have shredded their opponents going 11-12 SU and 19-3-1 ATS good for 86% winning bets since 2015. Mayfield throws the 4th most passes to receivers are behind the line of scrimmage. Carolina allows the second most passing yards on this type of easy to complete passes. However, you will see the Carolia linebackers shadowing every RB in the Bucs backfield to take that play away from the Bucs. The Panthers defense has been playing much better in the second half of the season and they do have reason to try and wreck the plans for the Bucs to win the Division. A prop bet worth considering is receptions by the Bucs running backs (not receiving yards). The game plan will still include Mayfield throwing balls behind the line of scrimmage, but those plays are expected to limited with few yards after the catch. So, betting OVER receptions for Rachaad White and bucky Irving look good for 0.5 to 1.0 units each.
12-29-24	Cowboys +7.5 v. Eagles	Top	7-41	Loss	-110	1 h 5 m	Show
Cowboys vs Eagles 8-Unit bet on the Cowboys priced as an 8.5-point underdog. Here is an NFL betting algorithm that has gone 17-17 SU (50%) and 25-7-2 ATS good for 78% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs from week 11 on out. That dog won their two previous games priced as the underdog. The dog has won 40 to 49% of their games. If the game is a divisional matchup, these dogs have gone 7-6 SU and 10-2-1 ATS good for 83% winning bets. The Cowboys suffered the worst home loss in franchise history to their divisional rival Eagles this year and head coach McCarthy has not lost the locker room as evidenced by their improved plays and wins priced as underdogs. So, to assume that the Eagles are just going to show up and blow these guys out is not a wise or even informed decision. Yes, the Eagles may win the game but to cover thsi spread is going to be a tall task based on the analytics.
12-28-24	Broncos +3.5 v. Bengals	Top	24-30	Loss	-119	6 h 47 m	Show
Broncos vs Bengals 5-Unit bet on the Broncos priced as a 3.5-point road underdog. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 27-29 SU record and a 37-16-3 ATS mark good for 70% winning bets since 1989. The requirements for this rare and highly profitable system are: Bet on any team (Broncos) that has scored in 11 of their last 12 quarters. That team is priced as a 3 to 7.5-point dog. The opponent has gained 800 or more total yards over their last two games. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 52-44 SU record and a 59-34-3 ATS mark good for 63% winning bets since 2010. The requirements are: Bet on road teams priced between a 4.5-point favorite and a 4.5-point underdog. The road team defeated the current opponent in their previous game. The road team lost its game against the current opponent. The home team is coming off a home game. The road team is coming off road game.
12-28-24	Iowa State v. Miami-FL -3.5	Top	42-41	Loss	-109	48 h 43 m	Show
Miami (FLA) vs Iowa State 3:30 PM ET, December 28 8-Unit bet on Miami (FLA) priced as 3.5-point favorites. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 22-9 SU and 22-9 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on favorites priced between 3.5 and 7.5 points. The game is a bowl game. Both teams average 30 or more PPG. The total is priced between 55 and 60 points.
12-28-24	Chargers v. Patriots +6	Top	40-7	Loss	-108	2 h 17 m	Show
Chargers vs Patriots 8-Unit bet on the Patriots priced as 4-point home dogs. The following algorithm that has gone 5-15 SU (33%) SU and 14-6 ATS for 70% winning bets since 1989 or 36 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on home underdogs from week 14 on out. That dog won four or fewer games in the previous season. That dog has won 25% or fewer of their games this season. The opponent has won 55% or more of their games this season. If we delete the the fourth requirements and the opponent’s record does not matter has resulted in a 14-31 SU (31%) and a 30-15 ATS (67%) record since 1989.
12-28-24	Connecticut v. North Carolina -2	Top	27-14	Loss	-109	43 h 12 m	Show
UNC vs Connecticut 11:00 AM ET, December 28 8-Unit Bet on UNC priced as 3-point favorites. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 22-9 SU and 22-9 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on favorites priced between 3.5 and 7.5 points. The game is a bowl game. Both teams average 30 or more PPG. The total is priced between 55 and 60 points.
12-26-24	Arkansas State v. Bowling Green -10	Top	38-31	Loss	-107	5 h 23 m	Show
Bowling Green vs Arkansas State 9 ET, December 26 68 Ventures Bowl, Mobile, Alabama 8-unit bet on Bowling Green priced as a 10-point favorite. The following NCAAF sports betting algorithm that has gone 36-5 SU (88%) SU and 29-11-1 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2007. The requirements are: Bet on favorites priced between a 7.5 and 12.5-point favorite. The matchup is in a bowl game. The total is fewer than 60 points. The favorite has won the same or fewer games than the opponent. Both teams come into this game with identical 7-5 records, but the advanced stats tell a more detailed story. Bowling Green ranks 19th in points per game with 25.5, while Arkansas State sits at 108th with 24.0 points per game. Defensively, Bowling Green is even more impressive, allowing just 20.5 points per game, good for 21st in the nation, compared to Arkansas State's 32.4 points allowed per game. When it comes to advanced metrics, Bowling Green's defense shines even brighter. They rank 16th in the country in third-down defense, allowing conversions on just 33.11% of attempts. Arkansas State, on the other hand, struggles on third downs, converting just 38.41% of the time. Bowling Green's offense revolves around sixth-year senior quarterback Connor Bazelak, who ranks fourth among active quarterbacks in career passing yards. He led the MAC in completion percentage (67.1%) and adjusted yards per attempt (7.73) this season2. Bazelak has a 10:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio over his last seven games, and he'll be facing an Arkansas State defense that ranks 124th in yards per pass attempt allowed.
12-23-24	Saints v. Packers -14	Top	0-34	Win	100	9 h 7 m	Show
Saints vs Packers 10-Unit bet on the Packers priced as 14-point favorites. Consider betting 75% of your 10-UNIT MAX Bet on the Packers preflop and then look to bet them at -11.5-points at any point during the first half of action only. The risk is that the Packers get out to a fast start and never trail by fewer than 13 points after getting a double-digit lead. It also implies we are winning the bet easily ATS. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 40-4 for 91%and 28-14-2ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on double-digit favorites. That favorite has won 60% or more of their games. The opponent has won 40% or fewer of their games. The opponent is on a one or more-game losing streak. The game occurs from week 11 on out. If the two teams play in the same conference our big favorite has gone 28-1 SU and 21-7-1 ATS for 75% winning bets. The loan loss occurred in week 17 of the 2016 season when the Patriots went on the road and lost to the Dolphins 20-10 priced as a 10-point favorite. The Packers are sitting at 10-4, while the Saints are struggling at 5-9. Green Bay is 3-2 against the spread as a home favorite this season, and the Saints are 2-2 ATS as road dogs2. Now, let's talk advanced stats. According to NexGen Stats, the Packers are second in the NFL in Net Yards per Play with a +1.1 differential. They're also one of only three teams in the top eight in both EPA per play and opponent EPA per play2. On the other hand, the Saints have allowed the most yards after catch over expected, with opponents averaging 6.3 yards after the catch. When it comes to key matchups, the Packers' offense is firing on all cylinders. Quarterback Jordan Love has thrown for eight touchdowns and just one interception over his last five games. Receivers like Jayden Reed and Tucker Kraft have been making big plays, and running back Josh Jacobs is averaging a 50.6% rushing success rate. On the defensive side, the Packers are fourth in the NFL in opponent turnover rate and have yielded a score on the eighth-lowest share of opponent drives. The Saints, missing key players like Derek Carr and Alvin Kamara, will have rookie Spencer Rattler starting at quarterback1. Rattler has a 32% passing success rate and has been sacked on over 10% of his dropbacks. In summary, the Packers have the edge in nearly every aspect of the game, from offensive production to defensive efficiency. With the Saints missing key players and struggling on both sides of the ball, it's easy to see why the Packers are favored to win by more than 17 points as projected by the predictive model. The Predictive Model: My predictive model expects the Packers to score 27 or more points in this game and hold the Saints to 14 or fewer points and have the same or fewer turnovers as the Saints. In past games since 2021, the Packers are 92-2 SU and 84-10-2 ATS for 89% winning bets when scoring 27 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers as their opponent. Over the same time span, the Packers are 69-1 SU and 64-4-2 ATS when allowing 15 or fewer points and having the same or fewer turnovers.
12-22-24	Patriots +14 v. Bills	Top	21-24	Win	100	8 h 1 m	Show
Patriots vs Bills 8-Unit best bet on the Patriots priced as 14-point underdogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 20-23 SU (47%) and 31-12 ATS (72%) over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs including pick-em facing a divisional foe. In the last matchup our dog passed for at least 100 yards. Our dog is coming off a non-divisional game. Our dog lost that game by more than 7 points. Our dog had fewer than 20 first downs in that loss.
12-22-24	Vikings v. Seahawks +3	Top	27-24	Push	0	8 h 41 m	Show
Minnesota vs Seattle 8-Unit bet on the Seahawks priced as 3.5-point home dogs. The Vikings have outperformed all expectations this season starting with their regular seasons wins total that was priced at 6.5 wins. They have won 12 games through 15 weeks of this season and challenging Detroit for the NFC North division crown and the top-seed in the NFC playoffs. However, previous teams that surpassed expectations by large margins in a wide range of statistical measures are prone to regression. This is the situation that the Vikings fid themselves in when they travel to Seattle to take on the Seahawks. The Vikings regular season wins total was priced at 6.5 wins. Having earned 12 wins to date they have exceeded this total by 5.5 wins with three games remaining in the regular season.Road favorites of 1.5 or more points that have exceeded their wins total by 3.5 or more games have gone 7-7 SU and 3-11 ATS for just 21.4% winning bets since 2010. If our juggernaut is coming off a divisional fray, they have gone just 2-7 ATS for 22.2%. If the team’s wins price was 6 or more wins, they have fallen to earth sporting a 2-11 ATS record for 15% winning bets. The last time this occurred was in week 17of the 2021 season when the Miami Dolphins traveled to Buffalo to take on their division rival Bills, were priced as 3.5-points, and were humiliated 56-26. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 32-41 SU and 51-22 ATS record good for 70% winning bets since 1989. The requirements needed for an active betting opportunity are as follows: Bet on underdogs. This favorite is coming off a three-game home stand. The game occurs from week 10 on out to the end of the season. If the favorite is on the road and won their last two games, our dogs have produced an outstanding 16-18 SU and 24-10 ATS record good for 71% winning bets. If the favorite, regardless of site location, has won their last 4 games has seen the dog feast to a highly profitable 13-12 SU and 20-5 ATS record good for 80% winning bets.
12-22-24	Browns +9.5 v. Bengals	Top	6-24	Loss	-110	5 h 37 m	Show
Browns vs Bengals 8-Unit bet on the Browns priced as 7-point underdogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 22-30 SU and a 36-15-1 ATS result for 71% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: Bet on road dogs priced between 3 and 9.5 points. That team is coming off a loss and had three or more turnovers. The total is priced between 44.5 and 50 points. Our road dog played UNDER their team total in their last game. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 20-23 SU (47%) and 31-12 ATS (72%) over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs including pick-em facing a divisional foe. In the last matchup our dog passed for at least 100 yards. Our dog is coming off a non-divisional game. Our dog lost that game by more than 7 points. Our dog had fewer than 20 first downs in that loss.
12-22-24	Eagles v. Commanders +4.5	Top	33-36	Win	100	5 h 34 m	Show
Eagles vs Commanders 10-Unit bet on the Commanders priced as 3.5-point home underdogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 21-32 SU and 34-18-1 ATS record good for 65% winning bets since 1989. The requirements needed for an active betting opportunity are as follows: Bet on any team facing a foe that has won 83% or more of their games. The game occurs from week 12 on out. They are priced as 1.5 to 7.5-point underdogs. If the game is a divisional showdown, these teams have produced a highly profitable 8-9 SU and 14-2-1 ATS record good for 88% winning bets. From the Predictive Model: My predictive mode is expecting the Commanders to score 22 or more points, have two or fewer dropped passes. In past games in which the Commanders met or exceeded these performance measures has seen them go 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS since 2020. In road games, the Eagles are 1-9 SUATS when allowing these performance measures in games played since 2020. Key Matchups for Commanders vs. Eagles Marshon Lattimore vs. A.J. Brown: Lattimore, recently acquired by the Commanders, will be tasked with covering Brown, who is coming off his best game in two months. Bobby Wagner vs. Saquon Barkley: Wagner will need to contain Barkley, who had a huge game in their last meeting with 146 yards and two touchdowns. Tyler Biadasz vs. Jalen Carter: Biadasz, the Commanders' center, must limit the impact of Carter, who was dominant in their previous matchup.
12-21-24	Texans +3.5 v. Chiefs	Top	19-27	Loss	-115	4 h 18 m	Show
Texans vs Chiefs 8-unit bet on the Texans priced as 3.5-point underdogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 21-32 SU and 34-18-1 ATS record good for 65% winning bets since 1989. The requirements needed for an active betting opportunity are as follows: Bet on any team facing a foe that has won 83% or more of their games. The game occurs from week 12 on out. They are priced as 1.5 to 7.5-point underdogs. If the game is a matchup of conference foes, they have gone on to a stellar 18-24 SU and 28-13-1 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets.
12-21-24	SMU v. Penn State -8.5	Top	10-38	Win	100	20 h 60 m	Show
SMU vs PSU 8-Unit bet on PSU priced as 7.5-point favorite. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 21-3 SU and 17-7 ATS mark good for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on favorites. That favorite scored 24 or more points in the first half of their last game. They are facing a foe that has scored 31 or more points in five consecutive games. Regardless of the market pricing our team as a favorite or dog, thsi system has gone 51-22-1 ATS for 70% winners over the past 10 seasons. If our team is priced as a favorite and playing in a bowl game or the CFP, they have gone 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS over the past 10 seasons. One of the biggest battles will be between SMU's stout rushing defense and Penn State's dynamic duo of running backs, Kaytron Allen and Nicholas Singleton. SMU allows just 93.4 rushing yards per game, which is the lowest in program history2. Meanwhile, Allen and Singleton have been instrumental for Penn State, with Singleton rushing for 839 yards and Allen adding 822 yards. SMU has not had to face two elite running backs this season. Add in QB Drew Allar and the use of play action to free up TE Tyler Warren and you have a monumentally difficult offense to defend on every down. From the predictive model: My proprietary model expects PSU to score 34 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers as SMU. In past games under Franklin, PSU is 38-1 SU and 38-4-2 ATS for 91% winning bets. SMU is 5-41 SU and 10-36-1 ATS when allowing 34 or more points and having the same or more committed turnovers since 2014 and 0-6 SUATS since 2021.
12-20-24	Indiana +7.5 v. Notre Dame	Top	17-27	Loss	-115	104 h 47 m	Show
Indiana vs Notre Dame 8-Unit bet on Indiana priced as a 7.5-point underdog. I like a sprinkle of no more than 2-Units on the money line preflop. Also, holding that money line sprinkle to see if Notre Dame scores first or retakes the lead during the first half of action is preferred. The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 67-48 record and 68-46-1ATS record good 60% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road teams. The road team scored 60 or more points in their previous game. They allowed 14 or fewer points in their previous game. If our road team scored 45 or more points in their previous game and the game is a bowl game, conference championship, or the college playoffs, they have gone an amazing 6-3 SU and 7-0-1 ATS for 100% winning bets since 2010. From the Predictive Model: My predictive model is expecting Indiana to score 27 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers as Notre Dame. Indiana is 15-2 SU and 13-4 ATS good for 77% wining bets in games i which they scored 27 or more points and had the same or fewer turnovers since 2021.
12-18-24	Western Kentucky +7.5 v. James Madison	Top	17-27	Loss	-115	6 h 58 m	Show
Western Kentucky vs James Madison 8-Unit Bet on WKU priced as a 7-point underdog. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 9-5 SU and 10-4 ATS for 71.4% winning bets over the past 8 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on a team that has lost to the spread by 55 or more points spanning their previous five games. That team is playing in a bowl game. Roca Baton Bowl Preview: Western Kentucky vs. James Madison The Roca Baton Bowl is set to feature an intriguing matchup between the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and the James Madison Dukes on Wednesday, December 18, 2024, at FAU Stadium in Boca Raton, Florida. This will be the first time these two teams have faced each other on the gridiron1. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Western Kentucky enters the bowl game with an 8-5 record after a tough loss in the Conference USA Championship game. The Hilltoppers have been consistent winners under head coach Tyson Helton, winning at least eight games in five of the last six seasons1. However, the team has been hit hard by the transfer portal, with 23 players entering since their last game. Notably, starting quarterback and C-USA Offensive Player of the Year, Caden Veltkamp, has entered the portal. Despite these challenges, Western Kentucky will rely on their strong passing attack led by Veltkamp, who threw for 2,806 yards and 23 touchdowns this season. James Madison Dukes James Madison comes into the bowl game with an 8-4 record under first-year head coach Bob Chesney. The Dukes have had a solid season, including key wins against North Carolina and Coastal Carolina1. However, they will be without their starting quarterback, Alonza Barnett III, who suffered an injury in the regular-season finale. This means James Madison will be starting third-string quarterback Billy Atkins, who has attempted only 46 passes in his career. The Dukes will likely lean heavily on their running game, with George Pettaway and Wayne Knight expected to play key roles. Key Matchups Western Kentucky's Passing Attack vs. James Madison's Pass Defense: Western Kentucky's strong passing attack will be tested against James Madison's top-ranked pass defense. James Madison's Running Game vs. Western Kentucky's Run Defense: With James Madison's quarterback situation uncertain, their running game will be crucial, especially against Western Kentucky's struggling run defense. Weather Conditions The game is expected to have thunderstorms before and during kickoff, with wind gusts over 20 mph, which could impact both teams' passing games. Transfer Portal News Western Kentucky: The Hilltoppers have seen a mass exodus of players to the transfer portal, including key starters like Caden Veltkamp and linebacker Darius Thomas, who has committed to Louisville. James Madison: The Dukes have also been impacted by the transfer portal, losing several players to other programs, but they have managed to maintain a solid roster. Again, the current price showing WKU as a 7-point underdog bas all of this news baked into the market. Just as all the news and rumors are baked into the price of a stock like Nvidia, or a commodity like Crude Oil or Bit Coin.
12-16-24	Bears +7.5 v. Vikings	Top	12-30	Loss	-119	8 h 48 m	Show
Bears vs Vikings 10-Unit bet on the Bears priced as 6.5-point dogs. Live Betting Strategy: Consider betting 70% preflop on the Bears and then look to bet the remaining 30%if the Vikings score first or retake the lead during the first half of action. The reason the live betting is valid only during the first half of action is that betting in the second half is limited by the amount of team available to earn a winning bet. In option trading in the markets there is a Greek letter called Theta that measures time decay or the decrease in price of the option that would occur each dayif the price of the underlying stock remained unchanged. If the Vikings score first, I also like adding 10% on the money line and 20% betting the spread on the Bears. The following betting algorithm has produced a 21-34 SU and 34-18-1 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are: Fade any team that has won 83% of their games in the current season. The game occurs from week 12 on out to the end of the regular season. That team is priced between a –1 and –7-point favorite. This NFL betting algorithm has gone 38-35 SU (52%) and 51-20-2 ATS good for 72% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on a team that has failed to cover the spread by 33 or more points spanning their previous five games. The opponent has seen their last three games play Over the total by 33 or more points. Prop Bets Not more than 1.0 units and ideally 0.5 units is preferred. Bet OVER 21.5 completions by Caleb Williams. Bet OVER 220.5 passing yards (BetMGM) Caleb Williams. Bet UNDER 6.5 receptions Brock Bower –110 (DraftKings)
12-15-24	Colts +4.5 v. Broncos	Top	13-31	Loss	-108	74 h 39 m	Show
Colts vs Broncos 8-unit bet on the Colts priced as 4-point underdogs. Here is an NFL betting algorithm that has gone 25-23 SU (52%) and 32-16 ATS good for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road conference dogs priced between 1.5 and 7.5 points. The game occurs in December. The road dog has lost three of their last four games to the spread. If we drill a bit deeper into the data base, we learn that teams in this situation that are one-game under 0.500 have gone 6-4 SU and 9-1 ATS for 90% winning bets since 1990. Key Matchups: Colts' Offense vs. Broncos' Defense: The Colts' quarterback Anthony Richardson will be tested against the Broncos' defense, which has been one of the best this season. Richardson's ability to make plays both with his arm and legs will be crucial2. Broncos' Offense vs. Colts' Defense: The Broncos' quarterback Bo Nix has been performing well recently, and the Colts' defense will need to step up to contain him. Run Game: Both teams have strong running backs, with Jonathan Taylor for the Colts and the Broncos' backfield duo. Controlling the line of scrimmage will be vital for both teams2. Injury Updates: Colts: Jonathan Taylor: He has been dealing with an ankle injury but is expected to play. Michael Pittman Jr.: He is also expected to play despite dealing with a shoulder injury. Broncos: Bradley Chubb: He is recovering from a foot injury and is listed as questionable. Courtland Sutton: He has been dealing with a hamstring issue but is expected to play
12-15-24	Ravens -15.5 v. Giants	Top	35-14	Win	100	70 h 28 m	Show
Ravens vs Giants 5-Unit bet on the Ravens priced as 15.5-point favorites. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 32-3 SU and 23-10-2 ATS result for 70% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are: Bet on a favorite priced between 6.5 and 16.5 points. They have won 60% or more of their games. The game occurs in the second half of the season. They are coming off a home loss. The total is 40 or more points. The last game that was active in this situational betting algorithm was the Texans, who defeated the Cowboys 34-10 and covered the spread by 17 points as a 7-point favorite. The game prior to that one was in last year’s playoffs when the Ravens destroyed the Texans 34-10 and covered the spread by 14.5 points priced as a 9.5-point favorite. The following betting algorithm has produced a 44-16-5 ATS record for 73% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road teams that have won 60 to 75% of their games. That road team is coming off a home loss. The game occurs from week 10 on out to the end of the season. If our road team is favored by 6.5 or more points, they have gone 13-1 SU and 10-2-2 ATS good for 83% winning bets.
12-12-24	Rams +2.5 v. 49ers	Top	12-6	Win	100	57 h 60 m	Show
Rams vs 49ers 8-Unit bet on the Rams priced as 2.5-point underdogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 30-24 SU and a 39-13-2 ATS result for 75% winning bets since 2018. The requirements are: Bet on divisional dogs priced between 2.5 and 7.5 points. The game is a divisional showdown. The dog won each of the last two meetings with the current foe. The foe is coming off a non-divisional game. If our team is coming off a game in which they scored 31 or more points has seen them go 5-1 ATS for 83% winning bets since 2018 and 20-10 ATS for 67% winning bets since 1989. From the predictive model: My model is expecting the Rams to score 24 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers in this game. In past home games, the 49ers are a horrific 3-16 SU and 1-18 ATS when they have allowed 24 or more points and had the same or more turnovers since 2021. The Rams are 22-2 SU and 19-4-1 ATS since 2021 when they have scored 24 or more points and had the same or fewer turnovers.
12-09-24	Bengals -4.5 v. Cowboys	Top	27-20	Win	100	8 h 44 m	Show
Monday Night Football Preview: Bengals vs. Cowboys Game Details Date: Monday, December 9, 2024 Time: 8:15 PM EST Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX Broadcast: 8-Unit bet on the Bengals priced as a 5-point favorite. Live Betting Strategy: The predictive model expects the Bengals to score first and have an 89% probability of not trailing in the game if they do score first. However, the Bengals have played 22 games in which they trailed at some point in a game and still managed to win the game. The Bengals defense has not played well and are struggling to make stops and get off the field. So, I suggest betting 85% preflop on the Bengals and then add 15% if Dallas scores to tie the game or retake the lead during the first half of action. If Dallas scores first by any means,. Including a safety, then add the remaining 15% bet on the Bengals. The following NFL situational betting algorithm has produced a 55-21 SU record and a 53-22-1 ATS record for 71% winning bets since 1990 (35 seasons). Bet on road favorites between weeks 4 and 15 in the regular season. The road team is coming off an upset loss priced as the favorite. The road team has won 25 to 40% of their games. The host has a losing record. Now, if our road team is priced as a three or greater-point favorite they have gone on to a 33-8 SU (81%) and 33-8 ATS good for 81% winning bets since 2000 with each season producing a profit. This does not mean that this play is going to win tonight for us ATS, however, this algo is part of a group of 112 NFL algorithms that are optimized to balance market risk just like a well-balanced 401-K performs. The following NFL situational betting algorithm has produced a 33-5 SU record and a 26-10-2 ATS record for 72% winning bets since 2015. Bet on road favorites. The total is 38 or more points. They are avenging a previous loss to the current foe. They allowed their previous opponent 10 or more points above the posted team total. If our road team is priced as a 7 or fewer-point favorite, they have gone 26-5 SU and 21-8-2 ATS for 72.4% winning bets. incinnati Bengals: Record: 4-8 Points per game: 24.3 (Ranked 15th) Yards per game: 358.2 (Ranked 7th) Passing yards per game: 270.1 (Ranked 3rd) Rushing yards per game: 88.1 (Ranked 25th) Turnovers: 15 (Ranked 18th) Dallas Cowboys: Record: 5-7 Points per game: 22.1 (Ranked 21st) Yards per game: 340.5 (Ranked 10th) Passing yards per game: 250.3 (Ranked 12th) Rushing yards per game: 90.2 (Ranked 22nd) Turnovers: 12 (Ranked 24th) Betting Odds and Totals Spread: Bengals -5.5 Moneyline: Bengals -230, Cowboys +190 Over/Under: 49.5 points Cincinnati Bengals Out: OT Orlando Brown Jr. (fibula), DT Sheldon Rankins (illness), RB Zack Moss (IR), TE Erick All Jr. (IR) Doubtful: OT Trent Brown (IR) Questionable: WR Charlie Jones (groin) Dallas Cowboys Out: QB Dak Prescott (IR), G Zack Martin (ankle/season-ending surgery), OT Tyler Guyton (ankle/knee), S Malik Hooker (rest), LB Nick Vigil (foot) Doubtful: WR CeeDee Lamb (shoulder) Questionable: CB Trevon Diggs (knee), LB Eric Kendricks (rest/shoulder)
12-08-24	Chargers +4 v. Chiefs	Top	17-19	Win	100	9 h 12 m	Show
Chargers vs Chiefs 8-Unit bet on the Chargers priced as four-point underdogs. Here is an NFL betting algorithm that has gone 22-29 SU (43%) and 34-16-1 ATS good for 68% winning bets over the past 7 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road dogs facing a divisional foe for the second time in the same season. In the first matchup, our dog gained 6 or more yards after the completion. If our team is priced between a 3.5 and 9.5-point underdog they have gone 12-15 SU and 18-9 ATS for 67% winners. Here is an NFL betting algorithm that has gone 26-33 SU (44%) and 38-21 ATS good for 64% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on a winning record team. The opponent has three or more wins than our team does. The game occurs from week 14 on out. Here is an NFL betting algorithm that has gone 28-13 SU (68%) and 28-11-2 ATS good for 72% winning bets over the past 35 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road teams priced as a 4 or fewer point dog. The game is played on a grass field. The dog won two or fewer games against divisional opponents in the previous season. They are coming off a road win. They are facing a divisional opponent.
12-08-24	Panthers v. Eagles -14	Top	16-22	Loss	-105	2 h 53 m	Show
8-Unit bet on the Eagles priced as 13.5-point favorites 8-Unit bet Over the posted total currently at 45.5 points. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 38-2 SU (95%) and a 30-8-2 ATS record good for 79% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on double-digit favorites. They are facing a foe that has won between 25 and 40% of their games. The foe is on a two or more-game losing streak. The game occurs from week 9 on out to the end of the season. Date and Venue Date: Sunday, December 8, 2024 Venue: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA 8-Unit bet on the OVER priced at 45.5 points. The Eagles have won 8 straight games and committed just three turnovers during the streak and only 11 other teams have ever accomplished this rare feat of excellence. In past games, these elite teams have seen the market overprice them as reflected with a 5-7 SU and 4-7-1 ATS record for 36% winning bets since 2010. The OVER, however, has gone 11-1 for 92% winning bets. If this team is playing at home, they have produced a 3-4 SU, 2-5 ATS, and a perfect 7-0 OVER record. Team Overview Carolina Panthers: The Panthers have had a challenging season, currently holding a 3-9 record. They are at the bottom of the NFC South. Rookie quarterback Bryce Young has shown potential but has struggled with consistency, throwing for 1,083 yards, five touchdowns, and six interceptions. Running back Chuba Hubbard has been a bright spot, contributing both on the ground and through the air. Philadelphia Eagles: The Eagles have been impressive this season, boasting a 10-2 record and leading the NFC East. Quarterback Jalen Hurts has been a standout performer with 2,376 passing yards, 13 touchdowns, and five interceptions1. Running back Saquon Barkley has added a dynamic rushing attack, averaging 6.2 yards per carry and scoring 10 touchdowns. Key Matchups Panthers' Offense vs. Eagles' Defense: The Panthers' offense, led by Bryce Young, will need to overcome the Eagles' formidable defense, which ranks highly in both pass and rush defense. The Eagles' defense, despite missing key players like Brandon Graham and Darius Slay Jr., remains a significant challenge. Eagles' Offense vs. Panthers' Defense: The Eagles' offense, led by Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley, will look to exploit the Panthers' struggling defense, which has allowed an average of 226.7 passing yards and 160.5 rushing yards per game. Betting Spreads and Totals Moneyline: Panthers +310, Eagles -375 Point Spread: Panthers +8.5, Eagles -7.5 Total: Over/Under 44.5 Team Rankings Carolina Panthers: Ranked 26th in points per game (17.6), 26th in passing yards per game (177.8), and 22nd in rushing yards per game (107.7). Philadelphia Eagles: Ranked 1st in points per game (30.9), 8th in passing yards per game (195.7), and 1st in rushing yards per game (193.4).
12-08-24	Saints v. Giants +5.5	Top	14-11	Win	100	2 h 52 m	Show
Saints vs Giants 8-Unit bet on the Giants priced as a 5.5-point home dog. Here is an NFL betting algorithm that has gone 25-32 (44%) and 38-18-1 ATS good for 68% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on dogs priced between 3.5 and 7.5 points. The dog ius allowing a poor 64% completion percentage. The defense did hold their previous opponent to 5.5 or fewer yards per pass attempt. The game occurs from Week 4 on out.
12-08-24	Falcons +6 v. Vikings	Top	21-42	Loss	-104	2 h 51 m	Show
Falcons vs Vikings 8-unit bet on the Falcons The following NFL betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 22-30 SU and a 36-15-1 ATS result for 71% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: Bet on road dogs priced between 3 and 9.5 points. That team is coming off a loss and had three or more turnovers. The total is priced between 44.5 and 50 points. Our road dog played UNDER their team total in their last game. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 20-43 SU and a 39-21-3 ATS result for 65% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are: Bet on road dogs of 2.5 or more points. The dog is coming off a loss. The dog committed three or more turnovers in their previous loss. The dog played UNDER their team total. The total is priced between 44.5 and 50 points. If it is a matchup of conference rivals, these dogs improve to a 16-33 SU and 33-14-2 ATS record for 70.2% winning bets. Here is an NFL betting algorithm that has gone 25-23 SU (52%) and 32-16 ATS good for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road conference dogs priced between 1.5 and 7.5 points. The game occurs in December. The roaddog has lost three of their last four games to the spread.
12-07-24	Penn State +3.5 v. Oregon	Top	37-45	Loss	-105	28 h 27 m	Show
3 Penn State vs 1 Oregon 10-Unit Bet (5-10 grading) on PSU priced as a 3.5-point underdog. Betting on underdogs between pick-em and 4.5 points in a matchup o ranked teams in the top 10 and with the dog ranked lower (PSU is ranked 3rd and Oregon ranked 1st) and taking place on a neutral site has produced an exceptional 14-10 SU (58%) and 16-8 ATS record for 67% winning bets since 2006. Undefeated favorites playing in the conference championship game are 6-6 SU and 3-8-1 ATS (27%). When these undefeated teams failed to cover the spread, those losses were by an average of 8.9 points SU and 13.3 points ATS. In the losses by these undefeated juggernauts, they failed to run the ball averaging 113.3 yards per game and were outgained on the ground by a margin of 60.6 rushing yards. The winning teams playing against those undefeated teams averaged 174 rushing yards. Moreover, the losing undefeated teams threw an average of 39 passes completing 22.5 of them for 255.3 passing yards. Their foes outgained them through the air averaging 262.2 passing yards but on just 29.5 attempts and 18 of those completed. In these upset wins against undefeated teams, the team started fast and led at the half by an average of 11.7 points per game and shockingly outscored them in every quarter on average. The undefeated teams that led or were tied at the half went on to an impressive 36-6 SU (86%) and 27-14-1 ATS record (65.9%). So, it is imperative that PSU gets off to a solid start and controls the clock and the pace of play and I do believe they will get that accomplished.
12-07-24	Iowa State +1.5 v. Arizona State	Top	19-45	Loss	-109	20 h 13 m	Show
Arizona State vs Iowa State 8-Unit bet on Iowa State priced as 1.5-point underdogs. The following NCAAF Betting Algorithm has produced exceptional results with a 98-67 SU and 106-58-1 ATS record for 65% winning bets since 1980. The requirements are: Bet on teams priced between the 5’s in the postseason. Between a favorite of 5 points and a dog of 5 points. That team is on a 3 to 10-game consecutive ATS win streak. That team has won 11 or fewer games. The game occurs in the month of December. Team Statistics Arizona State Sun Devils: Total Offense:422.6 yards/game Points per Game: 32.1 Yards Allowed per Game: 336.6 Time of Possession: 32:22 Iowa State Cyclones: Total Offense:419.8 yards/game Points per Game: 31.2 Yards Allowed per Game: 330.6 Time of Possession: 32:32 Key Player Statistics Arizona State: QB Sam Leavitt:291 yards, 3 TDs in last game RB Cam Skattebo: Leading rusher, consistent ground game Iowa State: QB Rocco Becht: 40% completion rate in the Red Zone Secondary: Allowing the 2nd lowest completion rate in the country (52%) Betting Odds and Totals Spread: Arizona State is a 2.5-point favorite Moneyline: Arizona State (-128), Iowa State (+106) Total: 49.5 points (Over/Under -110) Key Matchups Arizona State's Offense vs. Iowa State's Defense: The Sun Devils have a strong passing attack but will be without their star wide receiver Jordyn Tyson due to injury. Iowa State's defense, known for its low completion rate allowed, will be a tough challenge2. Iowa State's Offense vs. Arizona State's Defense: The Cyclones have a potent passing offense, but their quarterback Rocco Becht has struggled in the Red Zone. Arizona State's defense will need to capitalize on this weakness. Time of Possession: Both teams are nearly identical in time of possession, which could make ball control a crucial factor in the game's outcome.
12-07-24	Ohio v. Miami-OH -2.5	Top	38-3	Loss	-109	20 h 13 m	Show
Ohio U vs Miami (Ohio) 8-Unit bet on the Miami (Ohio) priced as a 2.5-point favorite. The following NCAAF Betting Algorithm has produced exceptional results with a 98-67 SU and 106-58-1 ATS record for 65% winning bets since 1980. The requirements are: Bet on teams priced between the 5’s in the postseason. Between a favorite of 5 points and a dog of 5 points. That team is on a 3 to 10-game consecutive ATS win streak. That team has won 11 or fewer games. The game occurs in the month of December.
12-05-24	Packers +3.5 v. Lions	Top	31-34	Win	100	8 h 55 m	Show
Packers vs Lions 8:15 ET, Thursday, December 5 8-Unit bet on the Packers priced as 3.5-point underdogs. Here is an NFL betting algorithm that has gone 54-25 SU (68%) and 52-25-2 ATS good for 68% winning bets over the past 7 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on any team priced between a 6.5-point favorite and a 6.5-point dog. The game is a divisional matchup. The team is coming off a non-divisional game. The team has lost the last two meetings to the current foe. And the team is coming off a loss. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 26-27 SU record and a 36-15-2 ATS mark good for 71% winning bets since 1989. The requirements for this rare and highly profitable system are: Bet on any team (Packers) that has scored in 11 of their last 12 quarters. That team is priced as a 3 to 7.5-point dog. The opponent has gained 800 or more total yards over their last two games. If not in a conference matchup these dogs have gone 8-7 SU and 11-3-1 ATS for 79% winning bets. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 34-41 SU and a 53-22 ATS result for 71% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are: Bet on road underdogs priced between 3.5 and 10 points. The dog has committed no more than one turnover in each of their last two games. The opponent is coming off a game committing zero turnovers.
12-01-24	49ers +6.5 v. Bills		10-35	Loss	-108	9 h 49 m	Show
49ers vs Bill 8:20 ET, Sunday 8-Unit Bet on the 49ers priced as 6-point underdogs. 5-Unit Bet Under the posted total priced at 44.5 points. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 22-30 SU and a 36-15-1 ATS result for 71% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: Bet on road dogs priced between 3 and 9.5 points. That team is coming off a loss and had three or more turnovers. The total is priced between 44.5 and 50 points. Our road dog played UNDER their team total in their last game. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 27-9 UNDER result for 75% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are: Bet the Under in a game priced between 42.5 and 49 points. The road team has failed to cover the spread by 21 or more points over their last three games. The road team has lost their last two games. The game occurs in December.
12-01-24	Eagles +3 v. Ravens	Top	24-19	Win	100	5 h 14 m	Show
Eagles vs Ravens 4:25 ET 10-UNIT bet on the Eagles priced as 3-point road underdogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced an exceptional 27-38 SU and 45-19-1 ATS record good for 70% winning bets over the past 8 seasons. Bet on road dogs priced between 1.5 and 9.5 points. That dog has allowed fewer than 100 rushing yards in each of their last three games. If the total is 50 or more points, these dogs have gone 4-9 SU and 10-3 ATS good for 77% winning bets. From the predictive model: My predictive AI model projects an 81% probability that the Eagles will score 27 or more points, have 150 rushing yards, and two or more passing TD’s. In past games i which they met this performance measures have seen them go 42-1 SU and 40-3 ATS for 93% winning bets since 2000 and 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS for 89% winning bets. Philadelphia Eagles: Overall Offense: 3rd in the NFL (389.1 yards per game) Rushing Offense: 1st in the NFL (202.3 yards per game) Passing Offense: 25th in the NFL (186.8 yards per game) Overall Defense: 1st in the NFL (274.6 yards allowed per game) Rushing Defense: 7th in the NFL (95.2 yards allowed per game) Passing Defense: 3rd in the NFL (179.4 yards allowed per game) Points per Game: 26.9 (7th in the NFL) Points Allowed per Game: 18.1 (6th in the NFL) Baltimore Ravens: Overall Offense: 1st in the NFL (389.1 yards per game) Rushing Offense: 2nd in the NFL (180.2 yards per game) Passing Offense: 3rd in the NFL (208.9 yards per game) Overall Defense: 24th in the NFL (374.2 yards allowed per game) Rushing Defense: 2nd in the NFL (77.9 yards allowed per game) Passing Defense: 31st in the NFL (296.3 yards allowed per game) Points per Game: 30.3 (2nd in the NFL) Points Allowed per Game: 24.5 (23rd in the NFL) Star Player Statistics Philadelphia Eagles: Jalen Hurts: 3,200 passing yards, 24 TDs, 6 INTs, 1,100 rushing yards, 12 rushing TDs Baltimore Ravens: Lamar Jackson: 3,500 passing yards, 28 TDs, 4 INTs, 1,200 rushing yards, 10 rushing TDs Key Matchups Rushing Attack vs. Rushing Defense: Both teams excel in the running game, with the Eagles ranking 1st and the Ravens 2nd in rushing offense. The Ravens' strong rushing defense (2nd in the NFL) will be tested against the Eagles' top-ranked rushing attack. Passing Attack vs. Pass Defense: The Eagles' passing offense (25th in the NFL) will face the Ravens' struggling pass defense (31st in the NFL). This matchup could be crucial for the Eagles to exploit. Red Zone Efficiency: The Ravens have been highly efficient in the red zone, scoring touchdowns on 78.7% of their possessions. The Eagles' red zone defense (5th in the NFL) will need to step up to prevent the Ravens from scoring. The Ravens may appear to be a great defense against the run, but they only rank that high because teams have run 35% rushing plays against them knowing that the Ravens have struggled mightily against the pass. The Eagles have a potent ground attack that is not dependent on the QB, like the Ravens, to gain a high percentage of the total yards. Historically speaking, an offensive line gets better adn better when they know they have an elite, league-leaguing, running back behind them. The Eagles will have a tremendous advantage using play-action pass plays when the Ravens are forced to bring a safety or both toward the line of scrimmage to help defend the run.
12-01-24	Steelers +3 v. Bengals		44-38	Win	100	2 h 34 m	Show
Steelers vs Bengals 1:00 Sunday ET 5-Unit bet on the Steelers priced as a 3-point underdog. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced an exceptional 37-39 SU and 53-23 ATS record good for 70% winning bets over the past five seasons. Bet on conference road dogs. The dog is priced between 2.5 and 9.5 points. The opponent is coming off a game against a conference foe. The opponent lost their previous game priced as a dog. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced an exceptional 26-28 SU and 36-16-2 ATS record good for 69% winning bets over the past five seasons. Bet on any team (Steelers) that has scored in 11 of their last 12 quarters. That team is priced as a 3 to 7.5-point dog. The opponent has gained 800 or more total yards over their last two games. If our team, the Steelers, won the previous meeting against the current foe, they soar to a remarkable 14-8 SU and 17-4-1 ATS for 81% winning bets. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 54-62 SU (47%) and 69-45-3 ATS for 61% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road underdogs priced between 1 and 5.5 points. The dog had no more than one turnover in their previous game. The host is coming off a non-divisional game. The road team has defeated the home team in each of their last two meetings. If the game is a matchup of divisional foes, our road dog improves to 23-25 SU and 30-16-2 ATS for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Tweaking the previous NFL betting algorithm a bit has produced a10-8 SU (56%) and 13-4-1 ATS for 77% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs of not more than 7 points. They are facing a divisional foe. The opponent is coming off a non-divisional loss. Our dog committed at least one turnover in each of their two previous games. Our dog has won the last two meetings against the current foe.
12-01-24	Texans v. Jaguars +3.5	Top	23-20	Win	100	2 h 33 m	Show
Texans vs Jaguars 8-unit bet on the Jaguars priced as 3.5-point underdogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 22-30 SU and a 36-15-1 ATS result for 71% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs taking on a divisional foe. In the previous meeting our team passed for more than 150 yards. The dog is coming off a non-divisional game and lost by 7 or more points. Our dog recorded fewer than 18 first downs in their previous game loss. If our team lost their previous game by 21 or more points, they improve to a 10-15 SU and 18-7 ATS record good for 72% winning bets. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 29-38 SU (43%) and 47-18-2 ATS for 72% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on home underdogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. The dog scored 14 or fewer points in their previous game. The dog is outscored by an average of 5 or more points in the first half. If our dog is outscored by double-digits in the first half of action they have gone 9-14 SU and 17-6 ATS for 74% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.
12-01-24	Cardinals +4 v. Vikings	Top	22-23	Win	100	2 h 33 m	Show
Cardinals vs Vikings 1 ET 8-Unit bet on the Cardinals priced as 3-point road underdogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 22-30 SU and a 36-15-1 ATS result for 71% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: Bet on road dogs between 2.5 and 5.5 points. That dog played Under their previous team total. The dog lost their previous game to a conference opponent priced as a favorite. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 21-24 SU and a 31-14-3 ATS result for 69% winning bets since 2010. The requirements are: Bet on winning record road teams from week 9 on out. The opponent is coming off a road win to a divisional foe. The opponent has won 70% or more of their games.
12-01-24	Chargers v. Falcons	Top	17-13	Win	100	1 h 28 m	Show
Chargers vs Falcons 1 ET 8-UNIT bet on the Chargers using the money line. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 62-44 SU and a 58-43-5 ATS result for 57.4% winning bets since 1999. The requirements are: Bet on any team from the Pacific time zone. They are on the road facing a team from the East Coast. The game starts at 1:00 ET. If our road team from the West Coast is coming off a home loss, they improve to 16-10 SU and 16-9-1 ATS for 64% winning bets. Drilling deeper in the data finds that these teams when playing a non-conference foe have gone 7-3-1 ATS for 70% winning bets and when priced as the favorite including pick-em, have gone 5-1 SUATS The following betting algorithm has produced a 42-20 SU and 43-16-3 ATS result good for 73% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road teams that have won 60 to 75% of their games. That road team is coming off a home loss. The game occurs from week 10 on out to the end of the season.
11-30-24	Texas -4.5 v. Texas A&M	Top	17-7	Win	100	9 h 57 m	Show
Texas vs Texas A&M 7:30 ET, November 30, 2024 10-Unit bet on the Texas Longhorns priced as 4.5-point favorites. Playing on the road and getting a win in the SEC conference has always been a very difficult task having to play in some of the largest stadiums in the world. Texas A&Ms’ Kyle Stadium is the largest in the SEC and any team must play well with few miscues to leave with a win. Texas is ranked #3 and their defense is the most dominating defense in college football this season. One of the keys to a win on the road in the SEC is to score first and get the frenzied crowd to be calmer. Afterall, Kyle Stadium is nicknamed the 12th man and playing against 11 is always better. Playing a road game at night (after 6:00 ET) is the most difficult venue. However, home SEC dogs in November and playing after 6 ET have gone just 15-35 SU (30%) and 19-29-2 ATS (40%) since 2015. If the home dog is priced below 10 points, they have gone 10-21 SU and 10-20-1 ATS for 33% winning bets since 2015. From the Predictive Model: My model projects an 86% probability that Texas will score 28 or more points, allowing 20 or fewer points and have the same or fewer turnovers in this game. In past games in which Texas met these performance measures has seen them go an impressive 33-0 SU and 29-4 ATS for 88% winning bets since 2015.
11-30-24	Maryland v. Penn State -25	Top	7-44	Win	100	5 h 56 m	Show
Maryland vs Penn State 3:30 ET, Saturday 8-Unit bet on Penn State priced as 24.5-point home favorites. Today is Senior Day in Happy Valley and with the CFP on the line, PSU will be in high gear and not take the 4-7 Terrapins lightly. Quarterback Drew Allar has been highly consistent and saved the season with a come from behind drive at USC earlier this year. The offense has opened the vertical routes this season and with his pro-caliber arm, Allar has been able to take a huge step forward this season. Allar has a 171 QBR, which is significantly higher than the 135 he posted last season. The Big Ten features four teams in the latest CFB poll and all four are led by great defensive units. PSU ranks second-best in the conference allowing 14.6 PPG while OSU is the best allowing 10.7 PPG. PSU ranks 4th averaging 32.4 PPG for a scoring differential of 17.8 PPG, which is nearly what Maryland scores on offense. Maryland ranks second to last allowing 29.2 PPG and is scoring only 17 PPG this season and has posted a terrible –4 PPG scoring differential. Key Matchups and Players to Watch Maryland's Offense vs. Penn State's Defense: Maryland's senior wide receiver Tai Felton has been a standout player this season, leading the Big Ten with 92 catches for 1,097 yards and nine touchdowns. He will be a focal point for Penn State's secondary4. Penn State's Running Game: Despite losing starting right tackle Anthony Donkoh to a long-term injury, Penn State's running game remains strong. Running backs Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen, along with tight end Tyler Warren, will be key players to watch4. From the Predictive Model: My model projects an 86% probability that PSU will score 32 or more points in this contest. PSU is 126-2 SU (98%) and 92-33-3 ATS for 74% winners when scoring 32 or more points since 1980. In addition, PSU is 42-0 SU, 29-11-2 ATS (73%) when priced as a double-digit favorite and scoring 32 or more points under James Franklin. PSU is expected to allow 17 or fewer points in this game and accounts for a late score by Maryland after Franklin removes the starters. So, PSU is 50-0 SU and 35-13-2 ATS when priced as a double-digit favorite and allowing 17 or fewer points under James Franklin.
11-30-24	Arizona State v. Arizona +8.5	Top	49-7	Loss	-110	5 h 55 m	Show
Arizona State vs Arizona 3:30 ET, November 30 8-Unit bet on Arizona priced as a 9.5-point underdog. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 24-29 SU and 33-17-3 ATS for 66% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are: Bet on home dogs priced between 4.5 and 10 points. The dog committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game. The opponent is coming off two straight games where they had fewer turnovers than their opponents. If the opponent is ranked, these home pups have gone 9-13 SU and 16-4-2 ATS for 80% winning bets since 2019
11-30-24	Notre Dame v. USC +7.5	Top	49-35	Loss	-115	5 h 54 m	Show
Notre Dame vs USC 3:30 ET 8-Unit bet on USC priced as a 7.5-point underdog. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 29-36 SU and 42-20-3 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: Bet on home underdogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. That dog committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game. The opponent won the turnover battle in each of their last two games. Since 1980, this has been one of the best rivalries in college football. Notre Dame is 24-18-1 SU and 20-22-1 ATS in these games. When Notre Dame has been ranked in the top 10 of the polls, USC has gone 3-3 SU and 5-1 ATS since 1997. From the predictive model: USC is projected to have an 80% probability of gaining 400 or more total yards and outgaining Notre Dame in this game. They also have a 77% probability that they will contain Notre Dame to 350 or fewer yards. USC is 17-0 SU and 15-2 ATS FOR 88% Winning bets when gaining 375 or more yards and allowing 350 or fewer yards since 2018. The records are the same if USC gained 400 or more total yards. USC is 7-3 SUATS against Notre Dame where they had the same or fewer turnovers since 2005. Historical Context This rivalry has seen some incredible moments over the years. One of the most memorable games was in 1974, when USC made a historic comeback against Notre Dame. Trailing 24-0 at halftime, the Trojans scored 55 points in the second half to win 55-24. This game is still talked about as one of the greatest comebacks in college football history. The rivalry also features the Jeweled Shillelagh trophy, awarded to the winner each year. The trophy is adorned with an emerald shamrock for Notre Dame and a ruby Trojan head for USC. Key Matchups Notre Dame's Defense vs. USC's Offense: Notre Dame boasts the No. 4 ranked defense in the country, allowing just 15 points per game. They will be tested by USC quarterback Jayden Maiava, who has been solid in his last two starts. USC's Red Zone Offense: The Trojans struggled in the red zone against UCLA, scoring only nine points on nine plays inside the five-yard line. They will need to improve this aspect to have a chance against Notre Dame's stout defense.
11-29-24	Raiders v. Chiefs -13	Top	17-19	Loss	-106	30 h 40 m	Show
Raiders vs Chiefs 3 ET, Friday 8-Unit bet on the Chiefs priced as 13-point favorites. I’ll start with the fact that based on overall DVOA, the Chiefs are one of the worst and weakest 10-1 teams in the past 50 seasons. Call it smoke and mirrors if you will or perhaps just the lucky Horsehoe effect. However, let’s not forget that they are the two-time reigning Super Bowl Champions and are building toward the goal of winning an unprecedented third Championship. Live Betting Strategy: In 9 of the Chiefs games this season they trailed at some point. So, if the Raiders score first or take the lead during the first half of action would represent a great betting opportunity on the Chiefs. Consider betting 75% preflop on the Chiefs and then add the 25% more based on the scenario mentioned above. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 57-19 SU and 47-27-2 ATS record for 64% winning bets over the past 35 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on favorites priced at 3 or more points. Their last two games played Over the total. The game is a divisional matchup. The current total is lower than the previous game’s total, which was lower than the total for the third-to-last game. If our favorite is priced as a double-digit favorite, they have gone 11-1 SU and 9-3 ATS (75%) with the lone SU loss occurring in week 4 of the 2007 season when the Chargers lost to the Chiefs 30-16 and were priced as 11.5-point home favorites.
11-28-24	Dolphins +3.5 v. Packers	Top	17-30	Loss	-119	29 h 59 m	Show
Dolphins vs Packers 8:20 ET Thanksgiving Night 5-Unit Under the total currently priced at 47 points. 8-Unit bet on the Dolphins priced as 3.5-point dogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 19-8 Under record good for 70% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirement are: Bet the Under with a team that has won 60% or more of their games. The game time is in prime time (after 6 ET). This team will be on the road against a divisional opponent in their next game. Supporting the bet on the Dolphins is the following betting algorithm that has gone 18-21 SU and a remarkable 33-6 ATS for 85% winning bets since 2018. The requirements are: Bet on road dogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. That dog has held their previous three opponents to fewer than 100 rushing yards. Everyone knows the Dolphins record is horrid when playing in temperatures at 40 or fewer degrees at game time and that Tua is 0-4 in those games. However, these types of trends are mature and overextended like an overbought stock like Nvidia or even BitCoin currently in the financial markets. This does NOT mean that the long-term trend will reverse and go say, 17-3 for instance, but at the very least it will consolidate and produce more winners than losers over the next several seasons. The game time temperature is expected to be a balmy 28 degrees. Since 2015, the Fish have gone 2-11 SU and 4-9 ATS in games that had a 40 or fewer-degree game time temperature. They are also 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS when the game tie temp was 35 or fewer degrees. This is an example of contrarian investing and betting and the fact that the Dolphins are not a 6 or more-point dog is the market read pointing to this type of bet. Live betting Strategy: I recommend betting 70% of your 8-Unit and 5-Unit bet preflop and then look for Green Bay to score first, either FG or TD, or retake the lead during the first half of action to add the 30% amount on the Fish. In addition, look for a slower start to the game than expected and add 30% to the Over bet at any price below 42.5 points.
11-24-24	Eagles v. Rams +3	Top	37-20	Loss	-116	13 h 33 m	Show
Eagles vs Rams 8-Unit bet on the Rames priced as 2.5-point home underdogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 23-9 SU and 20-10-1 ATS for 67% winning bets. The requirements are: Bet on a team coming off a non-conference game. The opponent is coming off two consecutive games against divisional rivals. The total is 47.5 or more points. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 21-34 SU and 35-17-3 ATS for 67% winning bets. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs that have allowed 375 or more total yards to each of their last three opponents. The opponent is outgaining their foes by 50 or more total yards per game. If the game occurs from week 10 on out to the end of the season, these teams improve to a 16-6-1 ATS record for 73% winning bets. The Philadelphia Eagles (8-2) are on a six-game winning streak and have taken control of the NFC East. They are well-rested and have a commanding lead in their division2. The Los Angeles Rams (5-5) are coming off a win against the New England Patriots and are looking to keep pace in the competitive NFC West. Team Statistics Philadelphia Eagles: Offense: 26.3 PPG (Points Per Game) Defense: 18.2 PPG allowed Total Yards: 375.1 YPG Rushing Yards: 135.2 YPG Passing Yards: 239.9 YPG Turnovers: 12 (6 INTs, 6 Fumbles) Los Angeles Rams: Offense: 24.1 PPG Defense: 21.5 PPG allowed Total Yards: 360.3 YPG Rushing Yards: 110.2 YPG Passing Yards: 250.1 YPG Turnovers: 15 (8 INTs, 7 Fumbles) Key Players Performance Philadelphia Eagles: Jalen Hurts: 2,197 passing yards, 12 passing TDs, 5 INTs, 417 rushing yards, 11 rushing TDs Saquon Barkley: 1,137 rushing yards, 210 receiving yards, 10 total TDs A.J. Brown: 33 catches, 618 yards, 3 TDs Josh Sweat: 23 tackles, 6 sacks, 7 TFLs, 12 QBHs, 2 PDs Los Angeles Rams: Matthew Stafford: 2,557 passing yards, 13 TDs, 7 INTs Kyren Williams: 750 rushing yards, 136 receiving yards, 10 total TDs Cooper Kupp: 47 catches, 488 yards, 4 TDs Byron Young: 38 tackles, 6 sacks, 10 TFLs, 11 QBHs, 1 PD, 1 FF Injury Reports Philadelphia Eagles: Jalen Hurts: Limited in practice due to an ankle injury but cleared concussion protocol. Dallas Goedert: Questionable with a shoulder injury. Darius Slay: Probable with a hamstring issue. Los Angeles Rams: Puka Nacua: Cleared to play after a scare last week with a knee injury. Kamren Kinchens: Probable with a minor ankle sprain. Ernest Jones IV: Questionable with a knee injury.
11-24-24	Broncos -5.5 v. Raiders	Top	29-19	Win	100	8 h 17 m	Show
Broncos vs Raiders 8-Unit bet on the Broncos priced as 6-point road favorites. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 28-16 SU and 26-13-5 ATS for 67% winning bets. The requirements are: Bet on any team facing a team that has won 25% or fewer of their games. The losing record opponent is coming off two consecutive road losses. The game occurs from week 4 to the end of the season. The total is priced between 37.5 and 42.5 points. Team Overview The Denver Broncos (6-5) are set to face the Las Vegas Raiders (3-8) in Week 12 of the NFL season. The Broncos are coming off a dominant 38-6 victory over the Atlanta Falcons, while the Raiders are reeling from a six-game losing streak. Team Statistics Denver Broncos: Offense: Overall (23), Rush (20), Pass (25), Scoring (20) Defense: Overall (3), Rush (6), Pass (7), Scoring (3) Turnover Differential: Even Las Vegas Raiders: Offense: Overall (30), Rush (32), Pass (17), Scoring (25) Defense: Overall (15), Rush (15), Pass (11), Scoring (29) Turnover Differential: Minus-15 Key Player Performances Denver Broncos: Bo Nix (QB): Nix has been a revelation this season, winning the NFL's Rookie of the Month award in October and the AFC Player of the Week award in November. He threw for 307 yards and four touchdowns in Week 111. Brock Bowers (TE): Bowers has been a consistent target for Nix, with 70 receptions for 706 yards and three touchdowns this season. Courtland Sutton (WR): Sutton has four consecutive games with at least 70 receiving yards, a first for a Broncos receiver since 2019. Las Vegas Raiders: Maxx Crosby (DE): Crosby leads the Raiders with 35 quarterback pressures, despite a recent sack drought. Zamir White (RB): White's status is uncertain due to a quadriceps injury. Nate Hobbs (CB): Hobbs is also questionable with an ankle injury. Injury Reports Denver Broncos: G Ben Powers (shoulder): Powers got hurt last week and is questionable. S Brandon Jones (abdomen): Jones missed the last game and is also questionable. Las Vegas Raiders: RB Alexander Mattison (ankle): Mattison is questionable for the game. RB Zamir White (quadriceps): White is also questionable. CB Nate Hobbs (ankle): Hobbs is questionable. CB Jack Jones (back): Jones is questionable. CB Jakorian Bennett (shoulder): Bennett is questionable.
11-24-24	Chiefs v. Panthers +11		30-27	Win	100	5 h 9 m	Show
Chiefs vs Panthers 8-Unit bet on the Panthers priced as 10.5-point underdogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced an 8-9 SU (47%) and a 16-2 ATS record good for 89% winning bets over the past 35 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on home dog of 6 or more points. The home team has had 10 or more days of rest. The home team has a losing record. The home team scored 14 or more points in their previous game. The home team won 8 or fewer games in the previous season. Kansas City Chiefs (9-1) Record: 9-1 Points per game: 24.3 Yards per game: 365.2 Rushing yards per game: 111.5 Passing yards per game: 253.7 Turnovers: 15 (11 interceptions, 4 fumbles) Sacks allowed: 20 Carolina Panthers (3-7) Record: 3-7 Points per game: 18.2 Yards per game: 315.1 Rushing yards per game: 98.3 Passing yards per game: 216.8 Turnovers: 18 (10 interceptions, 8 fumbles) Sacks allowed: 25 Key Player Performances Kansas City Chiefs Patrick Mahomes: 2,890 passing yards, 23 touchdowns, 11 interceptions Travis Kelce: 65 receptions, 780 yards, 8 touchdowns Isiah Pacheco: 500 rushing yards, 4 touchdowns (injured) Xavier Worthy: 35 receptions, 450 yards, 3 touchdowns Carolina Panthers Bryce Young: 2,100 passing yards, 12 touchdowns, 8 interceptions Chuba Hubbard: 800 rushing yards, 5 touchdowns D.J. Moore: 60 receptions, 800 yards, 5 touchdowns Xavier Legette: 30 receptions, 350 yards, 2 touchdowns Injury Reports Kansas City Chiefs Isiah Pacheco: Ankle injury (questionable) Charles Omenihu: ACL surgery recovery (questionable) Xavier Worthy: Minor hamstring strain (probable) Carolina Panthers D.J. Wonnum: Ankle injury (questionable) Josey Jewell: Knee injury (probable) D.J. Moore: Shoulder injury (probable) Game Prediction The Kansas City Chiefs are coming off their first loss of the season, a 30-21 defeat to the Buffalo Bills. Despite the loss, they remain strong contenders for a third consecutive Super Bowl1. The Panthers, on the other hand, are on a two-game win streak and have shown improvement under quarterback Bryce Young. The Chiefs are favored by 11 points, but the spread might be too large considering Kansas City's tendency to play close games. The Panthers will need to play clean football and win the turnover battle to have a chance at an upset. Panthers will cover is the call.
11-24-24	Patriots +7.5 v. Dolphins	Top	15-34	Loss	-114	5 h 12 m	Show
Patriots vs Dolphins 8-Unit bet on the Patriots priced as a 7.5-point underdog. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 52-61 SU and 70-39-4 ATS for 64.2% winning bets. The requirements are: Bet on road dogs. The opponent is on a three or more-game STS win streak. The opponent has a losing record. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 52-61 SU and 70-39-4 ATS for 64.2% winning bets. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. They have a losing record this season. The opponent has won two of their last three games. The opponent has won more than 40% of their games. Team Overview The New England Patriots (3-8) are set to face the Miami Dolphins (4-6) at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida, on Sunday, November 24, 2024. The Dolphins are looking to extend their winning streak to three games, while the Patriots are hoping to bounce back from a tough loss to the Los Angeles Rams2. Team Statistics New England Patriots: Offensive Stats: 18.2 PPG (Points Per Game), 225.3 YPG (Yards Per Game), 5.1 YPC (Yards Per Carry) Defensive Stats: 24.5 PPG allowed, 275.1 YPG allowed, 4.7 YPC allowed Special Teams: 42.3% FG (Field Goal Percentage), 4.2 Net Yards Per Punt Miami Dolphins: Offensive Stats: 27.8 PPG, 289.2 YPG, 4.6 YPC Defensive Stats: 22.1 PPG allowed, 260.5 YPG allowed, 4.2 YPC allowed Special Teams: 45.6% FG, 5.1 Net Yards Per Punt Key Player Performances New England Patriots: Drake Maye (QB): 282.5 YPG, 2.5 TDs per game, 1.5 INTs per game Rhamondre Stevenson (RB): 89 YPG, 4.2 YPC, 0.5 TDs per game Christian Gonzalez (CB): 2 INTs, 5 PDs (Passes Defended), 60 Tackles Miami Dolphins: Tua Tagovailoa (QB): 288 YPG, 3 TDs per game, 0.8 INTs per game Tyreek Hill (WR): 90 YPG, 15.2 YPC, 1 TD per game Jaylen Waddle (WR): 85 YPG, 14.1 YPC, 0.8 TDs per game Jonnu Smith (TE): 60 YPG, 10.5 YPC, 0.5 TDs per game Injury Reports New England Patriots: Out: WR Jakobi Meyers (Shoulder), DE Josh Uche (Knee) Questionable: OT Isaiah Wynn (Ankle), LB Ja'Whaun Bentley (Concussion) Miami Dolphins: Out: DE Emmanuel Ogbah (Elbow), CB Xavien Howard (Knee) Questionable: OT Terron Armstead (Knee), WR Cedrick Wilson (Hamstring)
11-24-24	Lions v. Colts +7.5	Top	24-6	Loss	-120	5 h 11 m	Show
Lions vs Colts 8-Unit bet on the Colts priced as 7.5-point home underdogs and a sprinkle on the money line too. Here is an NFL betting algorithm that has gone 8-13 (38%) and 15-6 ATS good for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet against favorites priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. The favorite has covered the spread by 60 or more points spanning their previous four games. If our home team is the underdog, they barked loudly to the tune of a 6-5 SU and 9-2 ATS record for 82% winning bets. Here is an NFL betting algorithm that has gone 21-44 SU (32%) and 41-23-1 ATS good for 64% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on home dogs priced between 4 and 9 points. The foe is averaging 14 or more points scored in the first half of their games. The foe allowed 14 or fewer points to their previous foe. Detroit Lions Overview The Detroit Lions have been on a roll this season, boasting a 9-1 record and an 8-2 record against the spread (ATS). They are currently the favorites to win the NFC and are considered one of the best teams in the NFL2. Key Players Jared Goff: Goff has been exceptional this season, completing 73% of his throws and averaging 9.2 yards per pass attempt. He has thrown 20 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. Jahmyr Gibbs: Leading the NFL with an average of 6.0 yards per rush, Gibbs has been a dynamic force in the running game. Amon-Ra St. Brown: St. Brown leads the team in targets with 77, catching 85% of those throws and hauling in 9 touchdowns. Sam LaPorta: LaPorta has been a reliable tight end, contributing significantly to the Lions' offensive success. Team Statistics Offensive Rank: 1st in the NFL Points per Game: 33.0 Yards per Game: 420.5 Turnover Differential: +9 (3rd best in the NFL) Injury Report Aidan Hutchinson: On injured reserve Alex Anzalone: Questionable for the game Indianapolis Colts Overview The Indianapolis Colts are currently 5-6 and have recently settled on Anthony Richardson as their quarterback. They are coming off a win against the New York Jets and are looking to continue their winning ways2. Key Players Anthony Richardson: Richardson has shown promise, leading the Colts to a comeback win against the Jets. Jonathan Taylor: Taylor has been dealing with lingering ankle issues but remains a key player in the Colts' offense. Michael Pittman Jr.: Pittman has been a reliable target for Richardson, contributing significantly to the Colts' passing game. Team Statistics Offensive Rank: 22nd in the NFL Points per Game: 21.5 Yards per Game: 350.2 Turnover Differential: -3 Injury Report Jonathan Taylor: Questionable due to ankle issues No other significant injuries reported
11-24-24	Cowboys v. Commanders -10.5	Top	34-26	Loss	-111	5 h 8 m	Show
Commanders vs Cowboys 10-Unit bet on the Commanders priced as 10.5-point road favorites. From the Predictive Model: The model is projecting that the Commanders will score 28 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers. The Cowboys are 2-14 SUATS when allowing 28 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers since 2021. The Commanders are 7-2 SU and 8-0-1 ATS when scoring 28 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers in games played since 2021. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 53-64 SU (45%) and a 74-43-2 ATS record good for 63% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on any team except the Jets. The game is a divisional matchup. The team did not win a single game against a divisional foe in the previous season. If our team is priced between pick-em, and a four-point dog, they have gone 21-16 and 26-11 ATS good for 70% winning bets since 2010. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 38-2 SU (95%) and a 30-8-2 ATS record good for 79% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on double-digit favorites. They are facing a foe that has won between 25 and 40% of their games. The foe is on a two or more-game losing streak. The gane occurs from week 9 on out to the end of the season, If the game is a divisional matchup, these big favorites have gone 22-2 SU (92%) and 19-4-1 ATS good for 83% winning bets. Dallas Cowboys: Overall Record: 3-7 Points Per Game: 16.2 Total Offense: 5th (365.3 YPG) Passing Offense: 7th (252.1 YPG) Rushing Offense: 22nd (113.2 YPG) Total Defense: 24th (375.4 YPG) Passing Defense: 28th (268.7 YPG) Rushing Defense: 18th (106.7 YPG) Washington Commanders: Overall Record: 7-4 Points Per Game: 28.0 Total Offense: 6th (366.7 YPG) Passing Offense: 15th (218.7 YPG) Rushing Offense: 6th (148.0 YPG) Total Defense: 18th (334.8 YPG) Passing Defense: 20th (252.3 YPG) Rushing Defense: 14th (82.5 YPG) Key Player Performances Dallas Cowboys: QB Cooper Rush: 1,978 passing yards, 11 TDs, 7 INTs RB Rico Dowdle: 402 rushing yards, 2 TDs WR CeeDee Lamb: 774 receiving yards, 4 TDs LB Eric Kendricks: 87 tackles DE DeMarvion Overshown: 4 sacks Washington Commanders: QB Jayden Daniels: 2,338 passing yards, 10 TDs, 7 INTs RB Brian Robinson Jr.: 524 rushing yards, 7 TDs WR Terry McLaurin: 721 receiving yards, 6 TDs LB Bobby Wagner: 91 tackles DE Dante Fowler Jr.: 8.5 sacks Injury Reports Dallas Cowboys: CeeDee Lamb: Questionable (Hamstring) Zack Martin: Out (Ankle) Tyler Smith: Questionable (Knee) Washington Commanders: Brian Robinson Jr.: Probable (Ankle) Austin Ekeler: Questionable (Hamstring) Jeremy McNichols: Out (Concussion)
11-23-24	Colorado State v. Fresno State -3	Top	22-28	Win	100	32 h 41 m	Show
Colorado State vs Fresno State 10:30 ET \| CBSSN 8-Unit bet on Fresno State priced as a 3-point favorite. The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 53-31 SU (63%) and 26-16-1 ATS for 53-29-2 ATS (64.6%) winning bets since 2019. Bet on teams priced between the 3’s. The foe has covered the spread in each of their last four games. If our team is playing at home and the game occurs from week 8 on out to the end of the season, they soar to a highly profitable 21-9 SU (70%) record and a 22-8 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2019. In the ATS wins these teams covered by 14.2 PPG.
11-23-24	Penn State -11.5 v. Minnesota		26-25	Loss	-109	7 h 47 m	Show
Penn State vs Minnesota 8-Unit bet on PSU priced as a 11.5-point favorite. James Franklin is 9-0 ATS following a game in which his team scored 35 or more points, Franklin is 42-18 ATS (70%) coming off a win over a conference foe. 10-2 ATS following B2B games gaining 450 or more total yards. From the predictive model: PSU is 56-1 and 44-9-4 ATS (83%) when they have scored 28 or more points and had the same or fewer turnovers under head coach James Franklin.
11-23-24	BYU v. Arizona State -3	Top	23-28	Win	100	25 h 45 m	Show
BYU vs Arizona State 3:30 ET, Saturday 8-Unit bet on ASU priced as 3-point home favorites. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 26-7 SU and 23-10 ATS for 70% winning bets. The requirements are: Both teams ranked in the top 25. The site is at home or neutral. Games occur in the regular season. The team we are betting on is ranked worse than the foe in the poll. Our team is priced between a 2.5 and 17.5-point favorite. The total is between 45 and 50 points.
11-23-24	Colorado v. Kansas +3	Top	21-37	Win	100	25 h 41 m	Show
16 Colorado vs Kansas 3:30 ET \| FOX 10-UNIT Big-12 Game of the Year betting on Kansas priced as a 2.5-point underdog. From the Predictive Model: The model projects that Kansas will score 28 or more points and/or have the same or fewer turnovers and have more than 170 rushing yards. In past games since 2021, Kansas is 13-5 SU (72%) and 14-3-1 ATS (82.4% when meeting or exceeding these performance measures. Colorado is 1-29 SU and 3-26-1 ATS when allowing 28 or more points, allowing 175 or more rushing yards, and having the same or more turnovers than the foe in games played since 2015. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 39-28 SU and 44-22-1 ATS for 67% winning bets since 1980. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs priced from pick-em to 6 points. They are coming off an upset win. They are facing a foe that has covered the spread in four consecutive games. They game is played on a neutral field If our dog is coming off an upset win, they have produced an incredible 10-3 SU and 12-1 ATS record for 92% winning bets that have covered the spread by an average of 8.5 points per game. Team Overview Kansas Jayhawks: 4-6 (3-4 Big-12) Colorado Buffaloes: 8-2 (6-1 Big-12) Team Statistics Kansas Jayhawks: Points per game: 30.2 Total yards per game: 420.5 Rushing yards per game: 180.3 Passing yards per game: 240.2 Turnovers per game: 1.5 Sacks allowed per game: 2.1 Colorado Buffaloes: Points per game: 35.1 Total yards per game: 450.7 Rushing yards per game: 160.2 Passing yards per game: 290.5 Turnovers per game: 1.3 Sacks allowed per game: 1.8 Key Players Performance Kansas Jayhawks: Quarterback (QB): Jason Bean - 2,800 passing yards, 22 TDs, 8 INTs Running Back (RB): Devin Neal - 1,200 rushing yards, 12 TDs Wide Receiver (WR): Lawrence Arnold - 60 receptions, 800 yards, 6 TDs (questionable for the game) Colorado Buffaloes: Quarterback (QB): Shedeur Sanders - 3,222 passing yards, 27 TDs, 7 INTs Running Back (RB): Dylan Edwards - 1,000 rushing yards, 9 TDs Wide Receiver (WR): Travis Hunter - 74 receptions, 911 yards, 10 TDs Injury Reports Kansas Jayhawks: Lawrence Arnold (WR): Questionable (hamstring) Cobee Bryant (CB): Probable (knee) Devin Neal (RB): Probable (ankle) Colorado Buffaloes: Shedeur Sanders (QB): Probable (shoulder) Travis Hunter (WR): Probable (ankle) Dylan Edwards (RB): Probable (knee)
11-23-24	Indiana +10.5 v. Ohio State		15-38	Loss	-109	3 h 17 m	Show
Indiana vs Ohio State 8-Unit bet on Indiana priced as a 10.5-point underdog. This game based on the model projections has the potential be extremely high scoring and one scenario sees 70 or more points scored, So, if you asre planning on watching this monster game between two top 5 teams, then betting 50% preflop is my recommendation. Scoring volatility si going to be quite high even if the teams do not turn the game into a pinball type of scoring frenzy. There may be as many as four lead changes/ties in this game, which adds to the advantage of betting live –in-game. So, if OSU scores a TD first and takes a 7 or 10-0 lead then add 25% more on Indiana and add the remaining 25% at a price of 17.5 or more points during the first half of action only. If OSU gets out to a 10-0 lead and does score the first TD of the game, the line will be very close to 17.5 points. If Indiana is the one that gets out to a fast start and leads 7-0, 7-3, or 10-7, there will be times to get Indiana at 11.5 or more points in situations where OSU is during a multi-play drive and in Indiana territory. So, adding 11.5 or more points is also a great strategy if Indiana is the team that gets off to the fast start. There has been overwhelming talk focused on whether Indiana will still make the playoffs if they are dominated by OSU today. There has not been one discussion of what happens to both teams if this is a nail biter that is decided late in the game. This is a contrarian bet on Indiana as few people and experts give Indiana even a punchers chance. If OSU loses at home, they will not make the playoffs, and Ryan Day will be on the hottest head coach seat ever.
11-23-24	Ole Miss v. Florida +13	Top	17-24	Win	100	21 h 12 m	Show
9 Mississippi vs Florida Noon ET \|ABC/ESPN+ 8-Unit Bet on the Florida Gators priced as 12.5-point underdogs. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 24-28 SU and 33-16-3 SATS for 67.3% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on home underdogs priced between 4.5 and 10 points. They committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game. They are taking on a foe that won the turnover battle in each of their last three games. If the dog is facing a conference foe they improve to 21-23 SU and 29-12-3 ATS good for 71% winning bets. Mississippi Rebels (8-2, 4-2 SEC, No. 9 CFP) Head Coach: Lane Kiffin Key Players: Jaxson Dart (QB), Tre Harris (WR), Princely Umanmielen (DE) Team Statistics: Offensive Stats: 1st in passing offense, 2nd in total offense (371.3 yards per game), 1st in passing efficiency (188.6 ypg), 1st in yards per attempt (11.4) Defensive Stats: 1st in tackles for loss (103), 2nd in sacks (46), 1st in passing defense2 Florida Gators (5-5, 3-4 SEC) Head Coach: Billy Napier Key Players: DJ Lagway (QB), Elijhah Badger (WR), Shemar James (LB) Team Statistics: Offensive Stats: 93rd in passing offense, 5th in rushing offense, 5th in total offense Defensive Stats: 93rd in passing defense, 5th in rushing defense, 5th in total defense Key Player Performances Mississippi Rebels: Jaxson Dart (QB): Dart has been exceptional this season, leading the FBS in total offense (371.3 yards per game) and passing efficiency (188.6 ypg). He needs 372 yards to tie Eli Manning's school record for passing yards. Tre Harris (WR): Harris, who leads the team with 59 catches and 987 yards receiving, is expected to return after missing the last three games with a lower-body injury. PrincelyUmanmielen (DE):Umanmielen ranks second on the team and third in the SEC with 9.5 sacks. Florida Gators: DJ Lagway (QB):Lagway is recovering from a strained left hamstring but returned last week against LSU. He completed 13 of 26 passes for 226 yards and a touchdown3. Elijhah Badger (WR): Badger leads the team with 131 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 touchdown against LSU. Shemar James (LB): James led the defense with 5 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles against LSU. Injury Reports Mississippi Rebels: Tre Harris (WR): Expected to return after missing the last three games with a lower-body injury. Florida Gators: DJ Lagway (QB): Recovering from a strained left hamstring but has been practicing. Top three cornerbacks (Jason Marshall, Devin Moore, Ja’Keem Jackson): Out for the game. Linebacker Grayson "Pup" Howard: Out for the game.
11-18-24	Texans -7 v. Cowboys	Top	34-10	Win	100	34 h 48 m	Show
Texans vs Cowboys 8:20 ET, Monday \| AT&T Stadium 10-Unit bet on the Texans priced as 7.5-point favorites. The following betting algorithm has produced a 72-37 SU and 69-37-3 ATS result good for 65.1% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on teams that have won 60 or more of their games. That team is coming off a home loss. The game occurs from game number 10 on out to the end of the season. If our team is on the road in this matchup, they have gone 45-29 SU and 48-24-2 ATS for 67% winning bets. If our team is priced as a road favorite, they have gone 29-9 SU and 25-11-2 ATS good for 69.4% winning bets. From the Predictive model we are expecting the Texans to hold Dallas to 18 or fewer points and to have the same or fewer turnovers. In past home games, the Cowboys are 19-60 SU and 14-63-2 ATS for 18% winning bets since 1989 and 0-5 SUATS since 2021. The Cowboys are 1-15 SU and 1-14-1 ATS when scoring 18 or fewer points and have the same or more turnovers in home games spanning the past 10 seasons.
11-17-24	Seahawks +6 v. 49ers	Top	20-17	Win	100	6 h 40 m	Show
Seahawks vs 49ers 4:05 ET 8-Unit bet on the Seahawks priced as 6.5-point underdogs. The following betting algorithm has produced a 21-30 SU and 33-15-3 ATS record good for 69% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road underdogs priced between 3 and 9.5 points. That road team is coming off a loss. In that loss they committed three or more turnovers. They played Under their team total in their previous game. The total is priced between 44.5 and 50 points. If the game is a divisional matchup these dogs have gone 11-11 SU and 16-6 ATS for 73% winning bets. The clincher: If this game is taking place from week 10 on out, they have gone 6-3 SU and 8-1 ATS for 89% winning bets.
11-17-24	Ravens v. Steelers +3	Top	16-18	Win	100	3 h 35 m	Show
Ravens vs Steelers 1 ET Sunday \| 8-Unit Bet on the Steelers priced as 3-point underdogs. The Steelers were my preseason ‘wins’ total bet and with one more win will be a cashed ticket. They are rolling beyond my most positive expectations with a 7-2 SUATS ledger and as always has been the case under head coach Mike Tomlin they are getting zero respect. The Steelers’ defense is one of the best if not the best in the NFL, but their total record in their games is 5-4 to the Over. This reflects that their offense is also performing better with each passing week. Tomlin made a controversial decision to go with the veteran Russell Wilson, who is playing superior football. From the trusted and omnipotent data base we learn that veteran QBs playing in their first season with a different team are 42-70 SU and a stellar 64-43-4 ATS for 60% winning bets since 2006. The Ravens are a different team this season. NFL fans and bettors think of the Ravens under John Harbaugh featuring a tough-minded and very physical defense. However, this season sees the defense struggling and largely inconsistent week-to-week. They rank 25 allowing 25.2 PPG, 23rd in opponent points per play, and a horrid 30th allowing 47% conversions on third down. The Ravens had made up for the defensive struggles sporting the best offense in the NFL that averages 31.8 PPG and averages 440 YPG, and 7.1 yards-per-play. Steelers defense ranks second allowing 16.2 PPG, 2nd posting a 0.275 points per play ratio, and third posting a 44% opponent red zone scoring percentage. In games in which the combined average scoring of each team is greater than the posted total and both teams having wo 70% or more of their games in a divisional matchup, the home dog priced up to 4.5 points has gone 16-14-1 SU and 19-12 ATS for 61.3% winning bets. Under Mike Tomlin, the Steelers are 19-8 SU and 17-10 ATS for 63% winning bets in home games with a total of 47.5 or more points. The clincher is that Tomlin is 17-7 SUATS in home games priced between a 3-point favorite and 3-point dog with a total of 47.5 or more points. Rams vs Patriots 1 ET \| FOX 8-Unit best bet on the Patriots priced as a 4-point home underdog. The Rams may be caught looking ahead to the huge showdown against the Eagles next Sunday. The Patriot's record is not reflecting the advances they have made on both sides of the ball in recent weeks. The following betting algorithm has produced a 25-30 SU and 38-16-1 ATS mark good for 70.4% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on home dogs priced between 3.5 and 7.5 points. The game occurs from week 4 on out to the end of the season. The dog allowed a strong 5.5 or fewer yards per pass attempt in their previous game. The opponent’s defense has struggled allowing 64% or higher pass completion percentage.
11-17-24	Packers -5 v. Bears	Top	20-19	Loss	-108	3 h 35 m	Show
Packers vs Bears 1:00 ET \| Soldier Field 5-Unit Bet Under the posted total currently priced as 40.5 points. 8-Unit bet on the Packers priced as 6-point favorites. The following betting algorithm has produced a 40-21 Under result good for 66% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet the Under in a divisional matchup. The home team is priced as a dog between 2 and 9.5 points. The road team is coming off a home loss. If the total is priced at 42.5 or fewer points the Under has gone 17-5 for 77% winning bets. The following betting algorithm has produced a 33-11 good for 75% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road teams that have won 60 to 75% of their games. That road team is coming off a home loss. The game occurs from week 10 on out to the end of the season. The following betting algorithm has produced a 43-9 SU and 35-13-4 result good for 73% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road favorites. The favorite has been priced as a favorite in 5 or more of their previous 6 games. It is a divisional matchup. The favorite defeated the current opponent in their last meeting.
11-17-24	Jaguars +14 v. Lions	Top	6-52	Loss	-112	3 h 34 m	Show
Jaguars vs Lions 1 ET 8-Unit Bet on the Jaguars priced as 13.5-point underdogs. The following betting algorithm has produced a 19-41 SU and 38-19-3 ATS good for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road dogs of 2.5 or more points. The dog is coming off a loss in which they committed two ro more turnovers. The total is priced between 44.5 and 50 points. The dog played Under their team total by more than 2 points in that loss. If the opponent has won 80% or more of their games, these ugly flea-infested dogs have gone 8-11 SU and 13-4-2 ATS for 77% winning bets.
11-17-24	Raiders +7.5 v. Dolphins	Top	19-34	Loss	-105	3 h 34 m	Show
Raiders vs Dolphins 1 ET 8-Unit bet on the Raiders priced as 7.5-point underdogs. The following betting algorithm has produced a 22-24 SU and 32-11-3 ATS good for 74.4% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road teams coming off a road loss. They are playing on a turf surface. In their previous two games they had the ball for fewer than 29 minutes in each. They are facing a non-divisional foe. If our team is the underdog, they have gone an amazing 16-18 SU and 28-4-2 ATS good for 88% winning bets.
11-16-24	Kansas +2.5 v. BYU	Top	17-13	Win	100	31 h 31 m	Show
Kansas vs 9 BYU 10:15 ET \| ESPN \| LaVell Edwards Stadium 8-Unit bet Under the total currently priced at 56.5 points. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has gone 14-37 straight-up (SU) and 29-22 ATS for 57% and 29-18-4 Under good for 62 winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet the under from week 8 on out to the end of the season. The road team is dog and averages between 28 and 34.5 PPG. The opponent allows between 16 and 21 PPG. The roadDogs are coming off a game in which they scored 24 or more points in the first half. BYU escaped with a one-point win at Utah in a game that it appeared Utah had won. A questionable holding call on fourth down and with the BYU QB nearly sacked in his endzone was whistled. BYU then went down the field and executed well scoring the winning TD to remain undefeated. However, undefeated teams that are coming off a three or fewer point win in game number 8 to the end of the season have gone 126-63 (67%) and 84-101-7 ATS for 45% winners; 4-9-1 ATS when coming off a single-point win.
11-16-24	Wake Forest v. North Carolina -10	Top	24-31	Loss	-109	28 h 21 m	Show
Wake Forest vs North Carolina 8 ET \| 8-Unit bet on UNC priced as –11-point favorites. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has gone 62-21 straight-up (SU) and 53-28-2 ATS for 65.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on home teams from week 8 on out to the end of the season. The home team is averaging between 190 and 230 rushing yards per game. They held their previous foe to less than 100 rushing yards. The opponent averages between 140 and 190 rushing yards per game.
11-16-24	Oregon v. Wisconsin +14	Top	16-13	Win	100	28 h 50 m	Show
1 Oregon vs Wisconsin 7:30 ET \| NBC \| Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI 10-Unit bet on the Wisconsin Badgers priced as 13.5-point home underdogs. I highly recommend a sprinkle of money placed on the money line for this matchup of Big Ten foes. I am seeing +425 money lines currently and make sure your sprinkle is priced at least at +400. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 11-34 SU (26%) but 31-15 ATS good for 67% winning bets since 1980. The requirements are: Bet against an undefeated team playing after their ninth game to the end of the season including the post season. The undefeated team is on the road and priced as a 6 or more-point favorite. They are facing a team with a solid defense allowing fewer than 24 PPG. If the undefeated team is priced as a double-digit favorite and facing a conference foe has seen our home dogs bark loud and mean to the tune of a 4-25 SU mark but a stellar 21-8 ATS mark for 72% winning bets. Last, if the total is 50 or more points, these dogs have roared to a 9-1 ATS record for 90% winning bets. Over the years, week 12 or game number 11 accounting for the BYE weeks have seen many a giant gets knocked down or at least have to fight tooth and nail to just get away with a win to remain undefeated. Oregon finds themselves on the road playing in what will be a hostile environment for the first time. Undefeated teams playing in their 11th game and facing a host that has a winning record have gone 60-29 SU (67%) and 37-51-3 ATS for just 42% winning bets since 1980. If these juggernauts are priced as double-digit road favorites, they have gone 10-3 SU but just 4-9 ATS. Undefeated teams that are playing their 11th game, priced as double-digit favorites, are ranked in the Top 10, and facing a foe with a winning record have gone 18-6 SU but just 6-17-1 ATS for 26% winning bets. From the Predictive Models: The models project that Wisconsin will gain 150 or more rushing yards, have the same or fewer turnovers, and have more rushing attempts than passing attempts. In games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures has produced an exceptional 120-13 SU and 93-37-3 ATS for 72% winning bets. If they were priced as the underdog in these games has produced an incredible 7-8 SU and 12-3 ATS record good for 80% winning bets.
11-16-24	James Madison -2 v. Old Dominion	Top	35-32	Win	100	24 h 16 m	Show
James Madison vs ODU 4 ET \| 8-unit bet on JMU priced as 2.5-point favorites. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has gone 47-25 straight-up (SU) and 45-23-5 ATS for 66.2% winning bets over the past 40 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on any team priced between the 3’s. That team is averaging 34 or more PPG. The opponent allows 21 to 28 PPG. Our team has allowed 17 or fewer points in each of their two previous games.
11-16-24	Penn State -28.5 v. Purdue	Top	49-10	Win	100	24 h 47 m	Show
Penn State vs Purdue 3:30 ET \| CBS \| Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN 8-Unit bet on PSU priced as 28.5-point favorites. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has gone 53-9 straight-up (SU) and 41-21 ATS for 66% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road favorites. That team allowed 225 or fewer total offensive yards in their previous game. The opponent was outgained by 225 or more total yards in their previous game. If our road team is priced as a double-digit favorite, they have gone 40-3 SU and 29-14 ATS for 67.4% winning bets. If they are favored by 24 or more points it has produced a 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS mark for 82% winning bets.
11-15-24	North Texas +2 v. UTSA	Top	27-48	Loss	-109	6 h 44 m	Show
North Texas vs UTSA 8 ET \| ESPN2 \| Friday 8-Unit bet on North Texas priced as 2-point dogs The following NCAAF betting algorithm has earned a 318-77 SU (81%) and 234-156-5 ATS record for 60% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road favorites. The home team’s defense allows an average of 31 or more PPG. The home team is coming off two games in which a total of 60 or more points were scored in each game. If our road warrior is facing a conference foe and has a winning record has produced a 177-27 SU (87%) and 132-68-4 ATS record good for 66% winning bets.
11-15-24	Wyoming v. Colorado State -9	Top	10-24	Win	100	6 h 44 m	Show
Wyoming vs Colorado State 8 ET \| CBSSN 8-Unit bet on CSU priced as 9.5-point favorites. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has earned a 117-22 SU (84%) and 92-46-1 ATS record for 67% winning bets over the past 45 seasons going back to 1980. The requirements are: Bet on home teams coming off a double-digit road win. The opponent is coming off an upset win against a conference foe and were 6 or more-point underdogs. If our team is priced between a 3.5 and 9.5-point favorite, they have then gone 28-2 SU (93%) and 25-5 ATS good for 83% winning bets since 1980. So, it is a rare and highly profitable situation that CSU finds themselves in for tonight’s game.
11-14-24	Commanders +3 v. Eagles	Top	18-26	Loss	-100	78 h 44 m	Show
Commanders vs Eagles 8:15 ET \| Prime Video \| Thursday 8-Unit bet on the Commanders priced as a 3-point road underdog. The first betting algorithm: The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 53-64 SU (45%) and a 74-43-2 ATS record good for 63% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on any team except the Jets (I am serious) The game is a divisional matchup. The team did not win a single game against a divisional foe. If our team is priced between pick-em, and a four-point dog, they have gone 21-16 and 26-11 ATS good for 70% winning bets since 2010. The second betting algorithm: The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 27-29 SU (48%) and a 34-19-3 ATS record good for 64% winning bets over the past 30 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road dogs priced between pick-em and a 6.5-point underdog. That team won five or fewer games in their previous season. The game is played on Thursday or Monday Night prime time stage. The Third Betting Algorithm: The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 26-27 SU (49%) and a 36-15-2 ATS record good for 71% winning bets over the past 30 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs priced between 3 and 7.5 points. The dog has scored in 11 of their previous 12 quarters. The opponent has gained a total of 800 or more yards in their last two games. Team Overview Washington Commanders: 7-3 Philadelphia Eagles: 7-2 Recent Trends Commanders: Coming off a tough 28-27 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers. They have a 7-0-1 ATS run but failed to cover as a 2.5-point favorite1. The Over has hit in 2 straight games. Eagles: Won 4 straight games, including a dominant 34-6 victory over the Dallas Cowboys. They have covered as a favorite in 3 of their last 4 games1. Offensive Statistics Commanders: Points per game: 24.5 (15th in NFL) Total yards per game: 350.2 (18th in NFL) Passing yards per game: 250.1 (14th in NFL) Rushing yards per game: 100.1 (24th in NFL) Eagles: Points per game: 28.3 (7th in NFL) Total yards per game: 375.4 (10th in NFL) Passing yards per game: 260.2 (9th in NFL) Rushing yards per game: 115.2 (16th in NFL) Defensive Statistics Commanders: Points allowed per game: 21.1 (12th in NFL) Total yards allowed per game: 340.3 (13th in NFL) Passing yards allowed per game: 220.5 (10th in NFL) Rushing yards allowed per game: 119.8 (23rd in NFL) Eagles: Points allowed per game: 18.9 (4th in NFL) Total yards allowed per game: 310.2 (6th in NFL) Passing yards allowed per game: 200.1 (3rd in NFL) Rushing yards allowed per game: 110.1 (12th in NFL) Player Injuries and Status Washington Commanders: Brian Robinson Jr. (RB): Hamstring injury, OUT Marshon Lattimore (CB): Hamstring injury, OUT Cornelius Lucas (OT): Ankle injury, OUT Austin Seibert (K): Hip injury, QUESTIONABLE Tyler Biadasz (C): Thumb injury, LIMITED PARTICIPATION Jayden Daniels (QB): Rib injury, LIMITED PARTICIPATION Brandon Coleman (T): Concussion, LIMITED PARTICIPATION Clelin Ferrell (DE): Knee injury, LIMITED PARTICIPATION Frankie Luvu (LB): Shin injury, LIMITED PARTICIPATION Terry McLaurin (WR): Ankle injury, FULL PARTICIPATION Olamide Zaccheaus (WR): Hamstring injury, LIMITED PARTICIPATION Philadelphia Eagles: Jalen Hurts (QB): Knee injury, FULL PARTICIPATION A.J. Brown (WR): Shoulder injury, LIMITED PARTICIPATION Dallas Goedert (TE): Ankle injury, QUESTIONABLE Jordan Davis (DT): Elbow injury, LIMITED PARTICIPATION Darius Slay (CB): Groin injury, FULL PARTICIPATION Key Matchups to Watch Commanders' Rushing Attack vs. Eagles' Run Defense: With Brian Robinson Jr. out, the Commanders will rely on Austin Ekeler and Jeremy McNichols. The Eagles' run defense, allowing 110.1 yards per game, will be tested1. Eagles' Passing Attack vs. Commanders' Pass Defense: The Eagles' passing game, averaging 260.2 yards per game, will face a Commanders' pass defense that allows 220.5 yards per game
11-13-24	Eastern Michigan v. Ohio -8	Top	10-35	Win	100	52 h 25 m	Show
Eastern Michigan vs Ohio 7 ET, Wednesday, Week 12 8-Unit Bet on Ohio University priced as a 9-point favorite. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 61-21 SU (74%) and 52-28-2 ATS (65%) since 2015. The requirements are: Bet on home teams from week 8 on out to the end of the season. The home team is averaging 190 to 230 rushing yards per game. The home team allowed fewer than 100 rushing yards in their previous game. The opponent averages 140 to 190 RYPG. Eastern Michigan Eagles (5-4) Offensive Stats: 29.2 points per game (65th in FBS) Defensive Stats: 26.3 points allowed per game (76th in FBS) Recent Trends: The Eagles are coming off a tough 38-14 loss to Miami (OH). They have shown resilience with a 5-4 record but need to tighten up their defense. Win/Loss Streak: Lost last game but won two of the previous three. Ohio Bobcats (6-3) Offensive Stats: 26.8 points per game (80th in FBS) Defensive Stats: 20.7 points allowed per game (27th in FBS) Recent Trends: The Bobcats are riding high after a dominant 41-0 win over Kent State. They have a solid defense and are looking to continue their winning ways. Win/Loss Streak: Won last game and have won three of the last four. Player Injuries and Status Eastern Michigan Eagles: Cole Snyder (QB): No injuries reported, expected to start. Delbert Mimms III (RB): No injuries reported, expected to start. Terry Lockett Jr. (WR): No injuries reported, expected to start. Oran Singleton (WR): No injuries reported, expected to start. Ohio Bobcats: Parker Navarro (QB): No injuries reported, expected to start. Anthony Tyus III (RB): No injuries reported, expected to start. Coleman Owen (WR): No injuries reported, expected to start. Key Players to Watch Eastern Michigan Eagles: Cole Snyder (QB):2,087 yards, 11 touchdowns, 3 interceptions. Delbert Mimms III (RB):558 yards, 7 touchdowns. Terry Lockett Jr. (WR):526 yards, 3 touchdowns. Ohio Bobcats: Parker Navarro (QB):1,359 yards, 7 touchdowns, 7 interceptions. Anthony Tyus III (RB):694 yards, 6 touchdowns. Coleman Owen (WR):733 yards, 5 touchdowns
11-11-24	Dolphins +2 v. Rams	Top	23-15	Win	100	35 h 34 m	Show
Dolphins vs Rams 8:15 ET Monday Week 10 8-Unit bet on the Dolphins priced as a 1.5-point underdog. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 13-24 SU record and a 28-8-1 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets since 2000. The requirements for this rare and highly profitable system are: Bet on road teams. The road team is coming off a road loss. The game occurs in November and December. The road team has ow fewer than 33% of their games. The host is coming off a win. The game is a non-divisional matchup. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 21-11 SU record and a 24-8 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets since 2000. The requirements for this rare and highly profitable system are: Bet on road teams in November priced between a 3.5-point dog and a 3.5-point favorite. They are coming off a loss and failed to cover the spread. Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Rams: Week 10 Preview Injuries and Player Status Miami Dolphins: Defensive Tackle Zach Sieler (eye) - Out Cornerback Kader Kohou (knee) - Out Safety Jevon Holland (knee) - Out Safety Patrick McMorris (knee) - Questionable Linebacker Bradley Chubb (knee) - Questionable Los Angeles Rams: Offensive Tackle Rob Havenstein (knee) - Out Guard Steve Avila (knee) - Questionable Guard Jonah Jackson (knee) - Questionable Wide Receiver Puka Nacua (knee) - Questionable Offensive Statistics Miami Dolphins: Points per Game: 27.0 Total Yards per Game: 375.2 Passing Yards per Game: 245.1 Rushing Yards per Game: 130.1 Los Angeles Rams: Points per Game: 24.8 Total Yards per Game: 360.5 Passing Yards per Game: 230.3 Rushing Yards per Game: 130.2 Defensive Statistics Miami Dolphins: Points Allowed per Game: 26.5 Total Yards Allowed per Game: 350.3 Passing Yards Allowed per Game: 220.1 Rushing Yards Allowed per Game: 130.2 Los Angeles Rams: Points Allowed per Game: 24.0 Total Yards Allowed per Game: 340.0 Passing Yards Allowed per Game: 210.0 Rushing Yards Allowed per Game: 130.0 Recent Team Trends Miami Dolphins: The Dolphins have shown significant improvement since the return of quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. They have scored on two-thirds of their possessions and produced 3.6 points per drive1. De'Von Achane has been a standout, leading the team in receptions and yards from scrimmage over the last two games. Los Angeles Rams: The Rams have won three straight
11-10-24	Lions v. Texans +4	Top	26-23	Win	100	11 h 40 m	Show
Lions vs Texans 8:20 ET \| 8-Unit bet on the Texans priced as a 3.5-point home dog. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 8-11 SU record and a 14-5 ATS mark good for 74% winning bets since 2020. The requirements for this rare and highly profitable system are: Bet on dogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. The opponent has covered the spread by 60 or more points over their last four games. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 27-40 SU record and a 47-20-2 ATS mark good for 70% winning bets since 2015. The requirements for this highly profitable system are: Bet on dogs of three or more points. The dog was also priced as a dog in their last game. They gained fewer than 400 total yards in their last game. They had three or more thirddown failures than their previous opponent. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 49-25 SU record and a 49-24-2 ATS mark good for 67% winning bets since 2018. The requirements for this highly profitable system are: Bet on any team priced between a 3.5-point dog and 3.5-popint favorite. The opponent allowed 14 or fewer points oi each of their last 2 games. Our team is coming off a game in which they had five dropped passes.
11-10-24	Eagles v. Cowboys +7.5	Top	34-6	Loss	-115	7 h 46 m	Show
Eagles vs Cowboys 4:25 ET 8-Unit bet on the Cowboys priced as 7-point home underdogs. In the NFL any team can appear to be one of the worst and then in the next week appear to be a playoff contender. Conceptually, this is a risky bet but just one bet and it is the contrarian situation that wins far more than it loses. In the Circa Millions Contest I have seen this time and time again when the opening line for these games in the second half of the season is 7 or more points different during game week. I have assembled a database with every pick made by every entry (about 16,000 picks per week since the Circa Millions started) and I am not getting some valuable and profitable betting intelligence from the data. That does not mean the Cowboys will cover and possibly shock the NFL betting community but again, if you bet these plays you have a great opportunity to make a significant profit. The Cowboy's defense has been horrid, especially in their three home games this season. However, teams that have allowed 34 or more poinst in theri previous three home games and currently hosting a game priced between pick-em and a 7.5-point dog and facing a divisional foe have gone 7-11 SU and 12-4-2 ATS for 75% winning bets; if they allowed 35 or more points over their last three games these unsuspecting dogs have gone 5-4 SU and a perfect 9-0 ATS! Regardless of if the current game is home or away, these teams have gone 11-7-1 SU and 16-2-1 ATS for 89% winning bets.
11-10-24	Falcons v. Saints +3.5	Top	17-20	Win	100	3 h 22 m	Show
Falcons vs Saints 1 ET \| 5-Unit bet on the Saints priced as 3.5-point home underdogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 16-14 SU record and a 19-9-2 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets since 1989. The requirements for this rare and highly profitable system are: Bet on home teams priced between a 3.5-point dog and a 3.5-point favorite. They are facing a divisional foe. They are on a 7 or more-game losing streak. If the total is priced at 42.5 or more points these home teams have gone 5-4 SU and 7-2 ATS good for 78% winning bets. The New Orleans Saints (2-7) host their divisional rival, the Atlanta Falcons (6-3), at the Caesars Superdome for Week 10 of the 2024 NFL season on Sunday, November 10th at noon CT. This game marks the debut of Darren Rizzi as the Saints' interim head coach. Player Injuries and Status New Orleans Saints: Chris Olave (WR): Out with a concussion. Alvin Kamara (RB): Expected to start and play a major role. Taysom Hill (TE): Questionable with a minor injury. Atlanta Falcons: Drake London (WR): Questionable with a hamstring issue. Bijan Robinson (RB): Expected to start. Kyle Pitts (TE): Expected to start. Offensive and Defensive Statistics New Orleans Saints: Offensive Stats: The Saints have struggled offensively, averaging 18.2 points per game. Alvin Kamara leads the team with 232 rushing yards and 77.3 yards per game over the last three games. Defensive Stats: The Saints' defense has been relatively solid, allowing 24.5 points per game. Alontae Taylor has been a standout with 14 tackles, 0.5 sacks, and five passes defended in the last three games. Atlanta Falcons: Offensive Stats: The Falcons have been more productive, averaging 27.3 points per game. Bijan Robinson has been impressive with 252 rushing yards and 4.8 yards per carry over the last three games. Defensive Stats: The Falcons' defense has allowed 21.2 points per game. Elliss has contributed with one sack, two TFL, and 34 tackles in the last three games. Recent Team Trends New Orleans Saints: The Saints have had a tough season, losing seven of their first nine games. They recently fired head coach Dennis Allen and appointed Darren Rizzi as the interim head coach2. The team is looking to turn things around and make a statement against their divisional rival. Atlanta Falcons: The Falcons have been on a roll, winning five of their last six games after a slow start to the season. They are coming off a 27-21 victory over the Dallas Cowboys and are looking to solidify their lead in the NFC South.
11-10-24	Steelers +2.5 v. Commanders	Top	28-27	Win	100	3 h 21 m	Show
Steelers vs Commanders 1 ET \| 8-Unit bet on the Steelers priced as 3-point underdogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 26-27 SU record and a 36-15-2 ATS mark good for 71% winning bets since 1989. The requirements for this rare and highly profitable system are: Bet on any team (Steelers) that has scored in 11 of their last 12 quarters. That team is priced as a 3 to 7.5-point dog. The opponent has gained 800 or more total yards over their last two games. If not in a conference matchup these dogs have gone 8-7 SU and 11-3-1 ATS for 79% winning bets.
11-09-24	BYU v. Utah +3		22-21	Win	100	14 h 59 m	Show
BYU vs Utah 10:30 ET \| 8-Unit bet on the Utah Utes priced as 3-point home dogs. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 23-18 SU (56%) and 27-14 ATS good for 66% winning bets since 1994. The requirements are: Bet on road teams ranked in the top 10 in the current poll. The road team is priced between pick-em and a 6-[point favorite. The host has a 50%- or lower-win percentage. If the game occurs from week 10 through the end of the season, these home dogs bark loudly to the tune of a 10-6 SU (38%) and 12-4 ATS record for 75% winners. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 15-20 SU (43%) and 24-10-1ATS good for 71% winning bets since 2017. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. The dog has seen their last two games play Under. Both teams have defenses that allow between 16 and 21 PPG. Head coach Kyle Whitingham is 5-0 SUATS following back-to-back games in which his offense scored 14 or fewer points i each one. BYU Cougars (8-0, 5-0 Big 12) Offensive Stats: Averaging 37.6 points per game against Big 12 opponents. Defensive Stats: Allowing an average of 96.31 pass efficiency rating per game. They have generated 18 takeaways, including 14 interceptions. Star Players: Jake Retzlaff (QB): Recently named to the Davey O'Brien and Maxwell Award midseason watch lists. He has 27 total touchdowns (21 passing, 6 rushing) in his career. LJ Martin (RB): Averaging over 100 yards in his last two games. Isaiah Glasker (S): Leads the team with 2 interceptions. Utah Utes (4-4, 1-4 Big 12) Offensive Stats: Struggling with an average of 12.5 points per game during their four-game losing streak. Defensive Stats: Allowing opponents to convert on 25.4% of third-down attempts, leading the Big 12. Star Players: Brandon Rose (QB): Took over in the third quarter against Houston, completing 7 of 15 passes for 45 yards and an interception. Karene Reid (LB): A key player on defense. Player Injuries BYU Cougars: LJ Martin (RB): Fully healthy and expected to play. Hinckley Ropati (RB): Fully healthy and expected to play. Utah Utes: Money Parks (WR): Out for the season due to a season-ending injury. Isaac Wilson (QB): Suffered several big hits and briefly left the game against Houston, but is expected to play.
11-09-24	Maryland +23.5 v. Oregon	Top	18-39	Win	100	11 h 45 m	Show
Maryland vs No.1 Oregon 7 ET \| BTN \| Autzen Stadium 8-Unit bet on Oregon priced as 23.5-point favorite. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 47-0 SU (76%) but 35-11-1 ATS good for 76% winning bets since 2010. The requirements are: Bet on home favorites priced at –21 or more points. The home team has won each of their last three games by 21 or more points. The visitors lost their last game by 17 or more points to a conference foe. If the game takes place from week 10 on out to the end of the season these big favorites have gotten it done to the tune of a 23-0 SU and 18-5 ATS record good for 78% winning bets since 2010.
11-09-24	Florida +21.5 v. Texas		17-49	Loss	-109	4 h 45 m	Show
Florida vs No. 5 Texas Noon ET \| ABC 8-unit best bet on the Gators priced as 21.5-point road dogs. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 47-0 SU (76%) but 35-11-1 ATS good for 76% winning bets since 2010. The requirements are: Bet on road teams that are averaging 6.1 or more yards per play. That road team is coming off a poor game in which they gained 3.75 or fewer yards-per-play. The game occurs from week 4 to the end of the season. If the game occurs from week 10 to the end of the season, these live dogs have gone 8-11 SU and 13-3-3 ATS for 81% winning bets. Every season, especially in the SEC conference there have been huge upsets by dogs of 17.5 or more points. This season these dogs have only posted one upset when Vanderbilt, priced as a 22.5-point dog defeated Alabama 40-35 in Week 6 action. Overall, these big dogs have gone 1-8 SU and 9-0 ATS this season. Since 2021, these dogs have gone 4-43 SU and 32-15 ATS good for 68% winning bets. So, this is one of those situations and Florida has gone 4-4 this season and led 10-3 over Georgia in the first half but lost 34-20 as Georgia outscored them 28-7. Still, they are 4-2 ATS priced as a dog this season and 6-3 when priced as a road dog since 2021.
11-09-24	Minnesota v. Rutgers +6	Top	19-26	Win	100	4 h 47 m	Show
Minnesota vs Rutgers Noon, Saturday, November 9 8-Unit bet on Rutgers priced as 6-point underdogs. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 26-34 SU and 39-18-3 ATS for 68.4% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: Bet on home underdogs priced between 3.5 to 9.5 points. The home team committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game. The visitor has won the turnover battle in each of their last two games. If our dog has a winning record i the current season, they soar to a 23-9-2 ATS mark good for 72% winning bets.
11-08-24	Iowa v. UCLA +6	Top	17-20	Win	100	31 h 19 m	Show
Iowa vs UCLA 9 ET, Friday, November 8 8-Unit Best Bet on the UCLA Bruins priced as a 5-point underdog. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 18-22 SU and 27-10-3 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are: Bet on home dogs priced between 4.5 and 10 points. The dog committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game. The opponent is coming off two straight games where they had fewer turnovers than their opponents.
11-06-24	Ohio -20 v. Kent State	Top	41-0	Win	100	5 h 15 m	Show
Ohio U vs Kent State Wedneday, November 6 8-Unit bet on the Ohio U Bobcats priced as 19.5-point favorites. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 40-3 SU (93%) and 31-11-1 ATS mark good for 74% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on double-digit road favorites. The home team has lost the turnover battle in each of their last four games.
11-05-24	Miami-OH -11.5 v. Ball State	Top	27-21	Loss	-105	9 h 27 m	Show
Miami (Ohio) vs Ball State 8:00 ET \| 8-Unit bet on Miami (Ohio) priced as –12-point favorites. The following College Football betting algorithm has gone 63-9 SU (88%) and 42-29-1 ATS good for 59.2% winning bets over the past 7 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road conference teams That road team is priced between a 10 and 21.5-point favorite. The favorite has won four of their last five games. The game occurs in the month of November. Preview: Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Ball State Cardinals Tonight, the Miami (OH) RedHawks (4-4, 3-1 MAC) will face off against the Ball State Cardinals (3-5, 2-2 MAC) in a crucial Mid-American Conference (MAC) showdown. The game will take place at Scheumann Stadium in Muncie, Indiana, and is set to kick off at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN. Miami (OH) RedHawks The RedHawks are coming off a dominant 46-7 victory over Central Michigan and are currently on a three-game conference winning streak. Miami (OH) is led by sixth-year senior quarterback Brett Gabbert, who has completed 132 of 224 passes for 1,727 yards, 13 touchdowns, and seven interceptions this season. Gabbert has been particularly impressive over the last three games, throwing eight touchdown passes without an interception. Senior running back Keyon Mozee has been a key contributor to the RedHawks' offense, rushing for 545 yards and two touchdowns on 86 carries. Wide receiver Cade McDonald leads the team with 507 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 38 receptions. Ball State Cardinals The Cardinals are looking to bounce back from a tough start to the season and are coming off a narrow 25-23 victory over Northern Illinois. Ball State is led by redshirt freshman quarterback Kadin Semonza, who has completed 179 of 269 passes for 1,749 yards, 15 touchdowns, and seven interceptions. Semonza also rushed for one touchdown this season. Senior running back Braedon Sloan leads the Cardinals' ground game with 502 yards and four touchdowns on 123 carries. Wide receiver Tanner Koziol has been a standout performer, racking up 580 receiving yards and six touchdowns on 64 receptions. Injuries and Player Statuses As of now, there are no major injuries reported for either team. Both teams are expected to have their key players available for tonight's game a have no significant losses to injuries.. Key Matchup This game is crucial for both teams as they aim to improve their standings in the MAC. Miami (OH) is currently in a strong position with a 3-1 conference record, while Ball State needs a win to stay in contention for a MAC title game appearance.

Featured Handicappers

Premium Picks

Odds