Eastern Washington vs Kansas
NCAA RD-1, Indiana Farmers Coliseum, Indiapolis, IN
4% Best Bet on Eastern Washington +10.5 points.

1:15 PM EST, March 20, 2021

The 70-point level is goping to the key for this game and if EWU is going to pull-off an Oral Roberts-like upset over the 3-seed Kansas Jayhawks. The machine learning applications predict a high probability that EWU is going to score more than 70 points. EWU is 13-3 ATS when scoring 70 or more points this season. They are a losing record when not scoring more than 70 points.

Kansas was 18-0 SU when holding an opponent to fewer than 70 points and just 2-8 when allowing 70 or more points this season.

EWU center Tanner Groves has the opportunity for a huge game. They rank 12th nationally in points scored by the center at 28% of total points. Kansas forward David McCormack has been upgraded to probable for this game due to the COVID Quarantine protocol. Still, he is going to have his hands full trying to contain Groves and no one has any clue how much fatigue will impact McCormack.

The biggest problem for the KU defense will be leaving the perimeter open when Groves gets the ball in the box. EWU guards accounted for a modest portion of the scoring, BUT the team has shot 35% from beyomd the arc. Big Sky Conference preseason Player-of-the-Year Jacob Davison, who doesn’t even start, hit 37% from behind the arc and went 9-18 in his last game. EWU knows how to spread the floor and the defense and take the best shot the defense provides them.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that EWU is 11-2 ATS when making at least 33% of their 3-point shots in games played over the last two seasons. They are projected to make at least 80% of their free throw attempts and when doing so are 20-7 ATS in games played over the last three seasons.

North Texas vs Purdue
NCAA Tournament, First Round, Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
4:00 PM EST, March 19, 2021

4% Best Bet on Purdue -7 points

Let us start with a solid and consistent monmey-making betting system that has earned a 62-23 ATS record good for 72% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. The system requires a bet be made on favorites that are facing an opponent on a four or more-game win streak and is a 13 through 16-seed in the NCAA Tournament.

Purdue is a solid rebounding team that has averaged 37.6 rebounds-per-game and have outrebounded opponents by 6.2 per-game on the season. Note that North Texas is a money-losing 21-44 ATS away from home and facing an opponent that is outrebounding their opponent by an average of 5 or more rebounds-per-game.

Purdue’s head coach is 13-3 ATS in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. He is also 18-6 ATS when facing an opponent that averages a below average 15 free-throws-per-game.

We learning from the machine learning applications, that Purdue is 13-3 ATS when having four or more offensive boards-per-game than their opponents over the last two seasons. The apps are predicting that North Texas will have fewer than 62 points. North Texas is just 35-60 ATS when scoring 62 or fewer points.

Oregon State vs Tennessee
NCAA Tournament - First Round
Bankers Life Fieldhouse - Indianapolis, IN
4:30 PM EST, March 19, 2021
4% Best Bet on Tennessee -8.5 points.

I certainly do not see any traditional upset here with a 12 vs 5 matchup in the first round. To start, OSU head coach Barnes is a terrible 7-22 ATS when playing against a team with a win percentage between 51 and 60% and 8-24 ATS away from home and facing an excellent ball handling team that is committing 12 or fewer turnovers-per-game after the 15th game of the regular season including conference and NCAA, NIT Tournaments.

Based on my opponent-adjusted rankings, UT is the 15th-best and OSU is the 75th-best team in the nation. UT has had a much-better resum based on overall record quality and are a superior team on both ends of the court. UT ranks 25 with a 45.9% opponent effective FG percentage. OSU is just not a good shooting team and is a main reason they play a slower style of game. They do not have the personnel to get involved into a track meet with UT. OSU ranks 230th with a 48.7% offensive effective FG percentage.

From the machine learning applications we know that UT is 151-50-6 ATS for 75% winning bets when scoring 75 or more points in all games played over the last 15 seasons.

Utah State vs Texas Tech
Round 1 of the NCAA Tournament
1:45 PM EST, March 19, 2021

Utah State is the 11-seed going up against a strong Texas Tech 6-seed in this first-round matchup taking place at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall in Bloomington, Indiana. Utah State has the make-up to win this game and send Texas Tech home.

Both teams playing slower than the average D-1 pace of play. UST averages 69.2 possessions-per-40-minutes and TTU averages an even slower pace averaging 66.9 possessions. UST is playing their best games entering the tournament while TTU has been on a minor regression. UST will look to score from the paint and at the rim as often as possible. They are an excellent passing team and will always make the extra pass to get the highest percentage shot. Their excellent ball movement is going to be tough for TTU defense to contain despite ranking in the top-20 of most defensive efficiency measures. UST is also quite good at scoring on second-chance opportunities. So, the more offensive boards they get and the greater the margin of offensive boards compared to TTU, the better their chances of winning this game.

TTU is just 2-11 ATS when facing teams called for fewer than 17 fouls-per-game this season and 10-20 ATS when facing strong defenses that are allowing 42% or lower shooting over the last two seasons. UST is 9-2 ATS following two consecutive games allowing 30 or fewer points in the first half.  TTU head Coach Beard is 14-26 ATS off a loss to a conference foe and 4-15 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite to a conference foe.

Bet 4% on the Utah State Aggies and sprinkle the money line with a bit extra and not greater than a 1% amount. 

UCLA vs Michigan State
First Four NCAA Tournament
9:57 PM EST, March 18, 2021

4% Best bet on UCLA + 2 points.

The sentiment expectaions are highly overvalued and the betting public is betting MSU with irraytional exhuberance. So, this is a contrarian bet, going against the 77% or more of the bets seeing action on MSU. Currently, 77% of the bets made are on MSU, but just 52% of the money.

On my live shows this week, which can found at Predictive Playbook on YouTube, I had suggested that MSU should have been seeded and that Syracuse was the team that should have been slotted into this play-in matchup with UCLA. Upon further review, and having run my machine learning applications, there is no doubt in my mind that the selection committee got it right. Noyte, too that I am stating that UCLA is guaranteed of getting the win. I am saying, that UCLA is the smart bet in this matchup and making smart bets over the course of the Tournament is a solid path toward potential profitability.

MSU is 5-19 ATS in orad/neutral court setting when playing ateam with a winning record over the last two seasons; 4-14 ATS in road/netral court settings and facing an opponent that is outscoring their opponents by at least four or more points-per-game; 0-7 ATS this season away from home and following five consecutive games where their opponent committed 14 or fewer turnovers.

From the machine learning applications, we are enlightened that MSU is 2-11 ATS in games in which they attempted 55 to 65 shots this season; 18-61 ATS in games played and allowing 75 to 81 points over the last 15 seasons.

Oregon State vs Coloroado
PAC-12 Tournament Championship
10:30 PM EST, March 13, 2021
5% Best Bet on Colorado -9 points.

Colorado has significant advantages at both ends of the court. The greatest advantage is at the charity stripe where Colorado gets to the line as much as the average PAC-12 or D-1 team but ranks best in the nation making 83.4% of those shots. Colorado ranks 103rd with a 26.6 free-throw attempt rate and will exceed their season average by as many as ten attempts given that OSU ranks 245th in defensive free-throw attempt rate. 
By my measures and machine learning analytics, Colorado ranks 12th-best in offensive efficiency in the nation. OSU is a distant 82nd in offensive efficiency.  Colorado ranks 53rd in shooting efficiency while OSU is a distant 195th nationally. Colorado ranks 56th in defensive shooting efficiency while OSU is 238th. 
OSU head coach Tinkle is 9-20 ATS away from home after two consecutive wins. Colorado head coach Boyle is a solid 32-16 ATS after three consecutive games where the opponent had 31 or fewer rebounds and 18-5 ATS in four consecutive games where the opponent had 31 or fewer rebounds. 
From the machine learning applications, we learn that Colorado is 17-6 ATS in games in which they scored 75 or more points in games played over the last three seasons. 

Iona vs Fairfield
4:00 PM EST, March 13, 2021
Metro Atlantic Tournament Championship.
4% Best Bet on Fairfield +8.5 points and sprinkle a bit more on the money line.

I recommend playing this bet in two parts consisting of 85% of your 4% bet size on the spread, and 15% on the money line. Depending on your risk appetite a ratio of 90% spread and 10% money line may be more to your liking and is perfectly ok. The point is to not exceed 15% of your 4% amount using the money line. These ratios provide the best total rate of return (ROI) over the course of the season – not just a single day. 

A few quick hitters.
Fairfield is 19-7 ATS when facing solid defensive teams allowing 42% or worse shooting in games played over the last three seasons. They are 10-2 ATS when playing their third game in five days. Iona is an imperfect 0-9 ATS in road/neutral sites after two consecutive wins of six or fewer points. Head Coach Young is 19-5-1 ATS when playing on back-to-back days or with no more than one day of rest between games.

Ohio State vs Michigan
Big Ten Semifinals
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
4% Best Bet on Ohio State +6 poinnts and sprinkle a bit more on the money line.

I recommend playing this bet in two parts consisting of 85% of your 4% bet size on the spread, and 15% on the money line. Depending on your risk appetite a ratio of 90% spread and 10% money line may be more to your liking and is perfectly ok. The point is to not exceed 15% of your 4% amount using the money line. These ratios provide the best total rate of return (ROI) over the course of the season – not just a single day. 

The pace of this matchup is going to be slower than average for these two teams. Michigan and Ohio State rank 9th and 10th averaging 67.8 possessions-per-40-minutes. The machine learning applications predict that both teams will not exceed 68 possessions each in this game. Despite the lower style of game, both teams are incredibly efficient on the offensive end. Michigan is one of four teams in the nation ranking in the top-20 in offensive and defensive effective field goal percentage. Ohio State and Michigan are excellent free-throw shooting teams making 77% of those shots. However, OSU gets to the stripe far more often than Michigan. Plus, Ohio State plays a defense to defend shots and not force turnovers. As a result, a Michigan team that ranks 263rd attempting 16.3 free throws per game will get even fewer against OSU. 

Referees in the Big Ten Tournament have been whistle happens and calling far more fouls than during the regular season and heavily favors OSU if the foul-calling officiating continues. 

From the machine learning applications, we learn that Ohio State is 17-0 SU and 14-3 ATS for 82.4% winning bets when scoring 77 or more points and making 7 or more free throws than the opponent in games played over the last five seasons. 

UMASS-Lowell vs Hartford
American East Tournament Championship
11:00 AM EST, March 13, 2021

4% Best Bet on Hartford -2.5 points

Hartford is the better team at both ends of the court and will control the pace of play. Both teams won their semifinal game last Saturday so they have had seven days of rest and prep time for this Championship game. The pace of play of the entire conference is on eof the slowest in the nation. The AEC averages 68 possessions-per-40-minutes with no team averaging 70 or more.

UMASS-Lowell (UML) plays second-fastest at 69.3 poessessions-per-40-minutes and Hartford eighth of the 10-team conference averaging 66.4 possessions. Hartford has a much better defense than UML based on assist-to-turnover ratio. The machine learning applications predict that UML will have at least five more turnovers than Hartford. Teams in the conference final that scpore more points than their season-to-date average and their opponent commits 4 or more turnovers than they do has led to a 9-3-1 ATS record for 75% winning bets over the last five seasons.

Connecticut vs Creighton
Big East Tournament Semifinals, Madison Square Garden, NY
9:00 PM EST, March 12, 2021

4% Best Bet on Crieghton -1

Play on neutral court favorites or pick-em that are coming off a blowout win of 20 or more points in their last game and now facing an opponent coming off three consecutive double-digit wins has earned a highly profitable 34-14 ATS record for 71% ATS winners.

The machine learning applications predict that Crieghton will have five or fewer tunrovers than UCONN and have the better assists-to-turnover ratio. In games where Creighton has matched or exceeded these measures has produced a 20-3 ATS record over the last five seasons.

UCONN is a miserable 4-17 ATS in road games after four consecutive double-digit wins.

North Carolina vs Virginia Tech
9:00 PM EST, March 11, 2021
ACC Quarterfinals
5% Best Bet on North Carolina -3.5 points
UNC is coming into their traditional form after a shaky first half of the regular season. They throttled Notre Dame 101-59 last night and teams playing with zero rest and scored 100 or more points in their previous game are 69-47-4 ATS and if the team is in the ACC, Big East, B-12, B-10, P-12 or SEC have earned a 31-16-1 ATS re3cord for 67% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. 
Betting on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points, playing their third game in the past 7 days, and is coming off a conference win scoring at least 80 points has earned a 79-40 ATS record for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. If the team scored 90 or more points, the ATS record improves to 77% winning bets. 
UNC is one of the best rebounding teams in the nation ranking second and averaging 43.2 rebounds-per-game. They also rank 31st averaging 15.8 assists-per-game, and V-Tech has averaged just 14.2 assists-per-game ranking 85th. UNC has advantages with their recent form (momentum) ranking 16th nationally, consistency ranking 35th, and 55th in the pace of play, which V-Tech will struggle to keep up with tonight. 
V-Tech must play slow and control the pace of the game. They rank 278th averaging 68 possessions-per-40-minutes. UNC ranks second in second-chance scoring and going gup a V-Tech defense that ranks 135th in defensive second-chance scoring. 
V-Tech is 5-15 ATS when facing a team that is outscoring their opponents by at least 5 PPG in games played over the last three seasons. UNC is a stellar 33-15 ATS in road games following a game in which their defense allowed the opponent 33% or lower shooting.

Mississippi State vs Kentucky
Noon ET, March 11, 2021
SEC First Round

4% Best Bet on Kentucky -4 points

Betting on neutral court teams that are solid on the defensive end allowing 42.5 to 45% opponent shooting and now facing a team that is shooting between 45 and 47.5% and is the better ball handlin team committing no more than 14 turnovers-per-game and their opponent averaging more than 14 turnovers-per-game has earned a 35-13-1 ATS record over the last five seasons for 73% winning bets.

Calipari is a perfect 7-0 ATS after a game in which his team made 13 or more 3-point shots.

Duke vs Louisville

6:30 PM EST, March 9, 2021

4% Best Bet on Louisville plus the points and NO sprinkle on the money line. 

Betting on all teams lined within 3.5 points between on either side of pick,  that is coming off a double-digit loss and facing a foe that they already defeated earlier in the season as an underdog has earned a 55-28-1 ATS mark good for 67% winners over the last five seasons. 

Duke is 0-7 ATS when facing solid rebounding teams that are outrebounding opponents by 5 or more per game. 

Long Beach State vs. CS-Northridge
Big West Tournament First Round, Michelob Ultra Arena, NV
6:00 PM EST, March 9, 2021
4% Best Bet on Long Beach State +2.5 points and if this line reaches 3 or more points then sprinkle a bit more on the money line.

The Big West Conference (BWC) is a weak conference, however, their tournament is going to provide many entertaining and dram-filled games. This matchup is one of them. UC-Santa Barbara is the cream of the conference and will be favored in every game they play. They went 15-3 in conference play and 19-4 overall this season, but they must win this tournament because there will not be any at-large bids given to this conference.

The pace of play will be aboverage based on the conference and national ratings. LBST ranks 13th nationally and fastest in the BWC averaging 84.3 possessions-per-40-minutes. Cal State Northridge (CSN) ranks 99th nationally and 4th in the BWC with an average of 71.3 possessions-per-40-minutes. LBST has advantages over the CSN defense in most offensive efficiency measures including overall efficiwency in points-scored per 100 possessions. Moreover, LBST, has a significantly better defense ranking only 198th nationally in overall defensive efficiencies. CSN ranks 345th allowing 111.5 points-per-100-opponent possessions.

A few quick hitters. CSN head coach Gottfried is just 1-9 ATS in road games facing teams that are getting outrebounded by at least four or more rebounds-per-game from the 16th game on out. LBST head coach Monson is 24-12-1 ATS in road/neutral venues facing a team that is allowing an average of 45 or higher opponent shooting.

St. Mary’s vs Gonzaga
WCC Semifinals
9:00 PM EST, March 8, 2021

4% Best Bet on St. Mary’s +17.5-points

Let’s start with a proven and highly profitable betting system that has earned a 62-26-2 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The system requires us to bet on double-digit underdogs that are coming off two games scoring 55 or fewer points and facing an opponent that has scored 75 or more points in three consecutive games. That is all there is to it.

St. Mary’s is 9-1 ATS after failing to cover the spread in four or more of their last six games pver the last two seasons. Gonzaga is just 11-24 in roiad or neutral sites coming off three or more home games installed as a favorite in each one of them.

Wisconmsin-Milwaukee vs Cleveland State
6:30 PM EST, March 8, 2021
Horizon Tournament Semifinals. Indiana Farmers Coliseum
4% Best Bet on Cleveland State

The line for this game is starting to ‘steam’ with Cleveland State, who has garnered just 33% of the tickets but has accounted for 87% of the money bet at about 2:00 ET. I do think the line will continue to grind higher, so if you can get -3.5 points grab it. You are more likely to get -4 points, but that is ok as well given that the machine learning applications are projecting a Cleveland State win by at least 8-points. 

Betting on home favorites of less than 9.5 points that are revenging a home loss and with that opponent coming off an upset win over a conference foe has earned a solid 72-36-4 ATS for 67% winning bet over the last five seasons. 

Back on January 22 and 23, Cleveland State played a back-to-back home set with Milwaukee and split the games. They won the first and lost the second setting up the revenge. Milwaukee is coming off a monster 94-92 major upset road win over then-conference favorite Wright State as 13-point underdogs. 

Back on January 22 and 23, Cleveland State played a back-to-back home set with Milwaukee and split the games. They won the first and lost the second setting up the revenge. Milwaukee is coming off a monster 94-92 major upset road win over then-conference favorite Wright State as 13-point underdogs.

Texas vs. TCU
7:00 PM EST, March 7, 2021
4% Best Bet on Texas -7.5 points

The regular-season finale for both teams in this B-12 matchup. Texas has struggled with consistent ball-handling all season and ranks 195th with a 0.934 assist-to-turnover ratio. Despite their troubles holding on to the ball, TCU ranks 334th in defensive assists-to-turnover ratio. Texas will look like an elite passing team such as Iowa and others matched up against a very weak TCU defense. 

The Texas defense is the engine of the team. They are aggressive and rank 24th with an outstanding 0.757 defensive assist-to-turnover ratio. TCU is going to struggle against this style of defense and look for at least five more turnovers than their season average of 13.8 turnovers-per-game, based on the machine learning applications. Further, TCU is 14-26 ATS in games in which their opponent committed fewer than 14 turnovers in games played over the last three seasons. 

TCU is 0-6 ATS hosting a guest that is averaging 21 or more three-point shot attempts this season. Texas has averaged 24 3-point shot attempts on the season.  

Michiagn vs Michigan State
4:30 PM EST, March 7, 2021
4% Best Bet on Michigan -7 points

Betting on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have won at least 80% of their games on the season, are coming off a home win against a conference foe, and facing a conference foe winning 51 to 60% of their games has erned a 73-33-3 ATS record for 59% winning records over the past five seasons.

Michigan is 12-1 ATS when facing a team that averages just 6 or fewer steals-per-game this season.

From the machine learning applications, we learnm that there is a high probability that Michigan will score a minimum of 75 points. Michigan is 8-0 ATS when scoring 75 or more points in games played over the last two seasons. MSU is 0-7 ATS when allowing 75 or more points in games played over the last three seasons.

ELON vs. James Madison
CAA Quarterfinals
2:30 ET, march 7, 2021
4% Best Bet on James Madison – 4 points

JMU has won nine of their last 11 games and are the top-seed with Northeastern the second-seed and both teams having identical 8-2 conference records. ELON had a shortened regular season, but amn amazing roller coaster ride losing eight straight games and then starting the current 5-game win streak and covered the spread in all five games. During the losing streak ELON shot 38% or wrose in six of the games. During the five-game win streak they have shot not lower than 45% from the field.

ELON started Buford, Hannah, McIntosh, Ndugba, and Wright to start the 5-game win streak and that has been the starting lineup in each of the five wins. McIntosh is the energy that fuels ELON scoring 15.3 PPG, 2.9 RPG, and 2.4 APG. Elon, however, lost two back-to-back games to James Madison at the Atlantic Union Bank Center, which is hosting the CAA Tournament.

ELON is 0-8 ATS on the road or neutral court setting in a game with a total between 140 and 150 points. JMU is 6-0 ATS after having lost tow of their last three games.

Duke vs North Carolina
6:00 PM EST, March 6, 2021
10-UNIT Best Bet on the UNDER 149-points

Currently, and in my opinion, Duke would get an invite to the NCAA Tournament. And a loss to UNC today, would require them to run the slate in the ACC Tournament . The latter is highly unlikely and for that reason and many others, Duke must play focused defense with excellent defensive rebounding for 40-minutes and not get into a shoot-out with UNC.

Duke does shoot the ball well and ranks 42nd with a 54% effective FG percentage, but they are not good, in fact, horrid ranking 336th with a 0.232 free throws attempts to field goals attempted ratio. UNC does not shoot the ball well, but they are the second best offensive rebounding team in the nation. They get the offensive board on 39.6% of their missed shots.

Duke has been playing much better of late and rank 16th in current momentum attributed to a 9th best ranking in second-chance scoring opportunities. Duke has been playing better on the road than at home too. I expect the pace of play to be much slower than what UNC has averaged on the season.

Krzyzewski is 18-7-1 UNDER when on the road and coming off a road game in which they and their opponent scored at least 75 points. Williams is 19-8-1 UNDER cpoming off a tough loss of no more than three points to a conference foe.

Florida State vs Notre Dame

Noon ET, March 6, 2021

4% Best Bet on FSU – 6.5 points

My opponent-adjusted power ratings illustrate and underscore the major mismatch of this ACC game. FSU is the 8th best team in the nation and Notre Dame is ranked 75th. Further, with a 9-14 SU record, Notre Dame has very little incentive or motivation knowing that they have little or no chance to advance to the NCAA Tournament.

FSU ranks 15th in scoring offense averaging 79.9 PPG and will have little trouble, based on my machine learning applications, exceeding 81 points in this game. FSU is 8-1 ATS when scoring 81 or more points this season and 117-12 SU and 81-25-3 ATS for 76.4% winning bets over the last 15 seasons.

FSU has a defense that at times during games forgets to play defense. However, Notre Dame’s defense ranks among the worst in the nation as evidenced by a 1.67 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio that ranks 345th nationally. This ratio means that Notre Dame’s opponents had 1.67 assists for every turnover they committed and could easily move the ball from side-to-side and find the best percentage shot available.

FSU is coming off a blowout 93-64 win over Boston College and covered the spread as 19-point home favorites. Notre Dame is coming off their fourth straight loss and to the spread with an 80-69 uninspired defeat at the hands of NC State as a 3.5-point favorite.

Betting on road favorites of 3.5 to 10-points that won at home by 10 or more points in their previous game and now facing a host that is off an upset loss as a favorite has earned bettors of this system a profit-making 74-42-1 ATS for 64% winning bets over the last five seasons.

Georgetown vs Connecticut

Noon ET, March 6, 2021

4% Best Bet on Georgetown +9.5 points and sprinkle a bit more on the money line.

Georgetown is heating up and maybe peaking at just the right time under Hall-of-Famer head coach Patrick Ewing. They have won and covered four of their last five games with wins over Butler, Xavier, DePaul, and Seton Hall. The lone loss was against these same Connecticut Huskies and know that Georgetown is 6-0 ATS this season playing with revenge.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that Georgetown is 7-0 ATS this season when scoring 71 or more points and their opponent commits at least 12 turnovers. Over the last 15 seasons, this combination of performance measures has produced a highly profitable 128-19 SU record and 96-35-7 ATS mark good for 73.3% winning bets.

Loyola-Maryland vs Navy

Noon ET, March 6, 2021

4% Best Bet on Loyola-Maryland +4.5 points and sprinkle a little more on the money line.

This is matchup in the quarterfinals of the Patriot League Tournament. Loyola is led by three seniors in Santi Aldama, Luke Johnson, and Isaiah Hart. Navy is the top-seed in this tournament, but make no mistake about it, Loyola is fully capable of getting the upset win. The trio of seniors as accounted for 47.5% of the offensive production for the season. In addition, they have stepped up their games and floor leadership by accounting for 58% of the offensive production in the last. Five games. Aldama is the best player of the trio and is averaging a team-high 21.4 PPG and 10.1 rebounds-per-game.

The COVID-19 protocols have compounded the Navy’s problems with guard Cam Davis listed as questionable for this game. He is averaging a team-high 17.1 PPG including 2.8 assists-per-game, and 2.7 rebounds-per-game, and the Navy bench is not deep enough to offset the loss of his production at both ends of the court.

The pivot for this game centers on 70 based on my machine learning applications that project Navy will not score more than 70 points. Loyola is 0-9 SU when they have allowed more than 70-points and a perfect 4-0 when they have allowed fewer than 70 in games played this season. They are 30-14-2 ATS in road games and scoring 65 or more points over the last 10 seasons.

Middle Tennessee State vs Florida Atlantic
6:00 ET, March 5, 2021

4% Best Bet on the Middle Tennessee State +10 points and sprinkle a bit on the money line too.

Betting on road underdogs of 10 to 20 points that is coming off three consecutive losses to conference foes and facing an opponent coming off a 20 or more-point  win over a conference rival has earned a profit-making 53-24-1 ATS for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons.

FAU is a money-burning 11-36 ATS facing offenses that are averaging 64 or fewer PPG. FAU is 20-48 ATS after having won three of their last four games.

Portland vs Santa Clara
11:59 PM EST, March 4, 2021
4% Best Bet on Portland +14-points

This matchup is in the first round of the West Coast Tournament being held at Orleans Plaza, NV.  Simply stated, my machine learning applications and analytical comparisons between these two teams conclude that Santa Clara should not be favored by this many points and more likely that this game ends in a single-digit margin.

Betting on road teams of 10 to 19.5 points after being beaten by the spread by at least six points in three consecutive games has earned bettors a solid 201-137-3 ATS record for 60% winning bets over the last 15 seasons.

Santa Clara is just 5-15-1 ATS after a game in which they covered the spread over the last two seasons. Santa Clara head coach Sendek is just 5-19 ATS when facing excellent free throw shooting teams making at least 77% of their free-throw attempts.

At the end of the day, this is too many points and on top of it, Santa Clara’s guard Ahmed Ali is questionable with an Achilles injury.

St. Joesphs vs Massachusetts
A-10 Tournament, Secon Round, Robins Center, Richmond, VA

1:00 PM EST, March 4, 2021

4% Best bet on the St. Joes +3 points and sproinkle a bit more on the money line, but omnly if the line is +3 or more.

The St. Joes basketball team must be enjoying the city of Richmond quite a bit having knocked off Richmond University as 14.5 point dogs and are now coming off an upset win over LaSalle. My analytics say they make it three winning upsets in a row.

UMASS and St. Joes play at a fast pace with both rankings in the top-50 nationally. However, the faster pace favors St. Joes given their edge in positive momentum coming into this game. They have played their best basketball as a team right now and rank 35th in consistency ratings.

From the machine learning predictive applications, we learn that St. Joes is 70-35 ATS in road games and scoring between 75 and 81 points over the last two seasons. In addition, 45-24-1 ATS in road games where both they and their opponent exceeded 75 points.

NC State vs Notre Dame
7:00 ET, March 3, 2021
4% Best bet on Notre Dame -2.5 points

Notre Dame has several team angles supporting this play that was produced by my machine learning applications. Notre Dame is 8-1 ATS wjhen playing against a marginal winning team sporting a win percentage not higher than 60% in games played over the last three seasons; head coach Brey is 19-7 ATS when facing opponents with a winning record not exceeding 60%.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that Notre Dame is predicted to shoot at least 48% from the field. In past games when Notre Dame has made 48% or better form the field has earned a 115-52-4 ATS record over the last 15 seasons and when NC State has allowed an opponent 48% or better shooting has been a money-burning 9-21-1 ATS in games played over the last three seasons.

Oregon State vs Utah
7:00 ET, March 3, 2021
4% Best Bet on Utah -3.5 points

Here are some quick hitters supporting Utah.
Utah is 28-11-2 ATS in home games and after the 15th game of the regular season when facing a decent shooting free team that is making at least 72%. They are 46-26 ATS in home games after having lost two of their last three games and 31-15-1 ATS for 67% winning bets when revenging a same season loss.

Oregon State is 15-33 ATS after two consecutive wins to conference foes.

Utah head coach is 31-18 ATS revenging a same -season loss and 36-16 ATS reveging any loss (same season or not) in which his team scored 60 or fewer points.

From the machine learning applications, wqe learn that Utah is 24-3 SU and 20-5-2 ATS for 80% winning bets when making 79% or more of their free throws and committing 13 or fewer turnovers in home games played over the last 10 seasons.

Fort Wayne vs Cleveland State
7:00 PM EST, March 2, 2021
Horizon Conference Quarterfinals
8-UNIT Best bet on Cleveland State -7.5 points

Wright State  and Cleveland State are the giants in the Horizon Conference this season. Both teams sport 16-4 conference records with CSU is the No 1 seed. Make no mistake about it, Wright State is the best team by a large margin.

Fort Wayne is the 10-seed and defeated Wisconsin-Green Bay 89-84 as 5.5-point underdogs. Fort Wayne plays at an average D-1 clip ranking 146th averaging 70.4 possesssions-per-40-minutes. CSU is ranked 228th averaging 69 possessions-per-40-minutes. That ranking is a bit misleading as they only average 1.5 fewer possessionos than Fort Wayne and reflects the team density in this metric.

CSU has a monster advantage on the offensive end. They will take a lot of mid-range shots knowing they rank 17th nationally and will be going against a Fort Wayne defense that ranks 316th defending mid-range shots. This matchup, alone, projects to a double-digit CSU win.

CSU’s junior guard Tre Gomillion is listed as questionable for tonight’s game. He is third-high on the team averaging 9.5 PPG. If he is unable to go tonight, there are several good guards ready to jump off the bench and contribute. Alec Oglesby is one of those players. He is a 6-5 freshman from The Rock School in Gainesville, FL and has the skillset to step up large. I would not be surprised if he ended up being the high-scorer for CSU in this game.

No 3 Baylor vs No 6 West Virginia
5:00 ET, March 2, 2021
8-UNIT Best bet on West Virginia + 4-points and sprinkle a bit more on the money line.

In this mtachup WVU has the majority of advantages at both ends of the court. They have played a tougher schedule ranking 10th as compared to Baylor’s 94th ranking in this category. No doubt West Virginia has a ton of positive momentum coming into this game and are at the top od their game right nowBaylor has been winning of late, but their efficiency measures had been deteriorating ahead of the Kansas loss. WVU is a much more consistent team week in and week out. Most importantly, WVU likes to play faster than Baylor, who will not be able to withstand the WVU offensive assault.

Baylor has played their worst games on the road this season and just because you won a game and covered the spread does not always translate into an ‘A-grading’.

Betting on home teams as a dog in a matchup of two teasm that are solid rebounding teams averaging at least three more rebounds than their opponents and is a solid defensive team allowing 45% or lower opponent shooting and now facing a team that is an excellent shooting team making 48% or more of their shots-per-game has earned a 25-5-1 ATS record good for 83.3% winning bets over the last five seasons.

Under head coach Huggins, WVU is 41-16-2 ATS in hmome games and coming off a rouble-digit win.

I believe WVU will win this game outright.

Michigan State vs Maryland

2:30 ET, February 28, 2021

4% Best Bet on Maryland -2.5-points.

As a bonus pick, I like the OVER in this matchup too, and suggest a 2 or 3% betting amount at any price at 134 or lower. A 2% parlay is also an option betting the OVER and Maryland.

A simplistic betting system does not mean it does not have the ability to be highly profitable. This one has earned a 55-29 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the last five seasons and instructs us to be home teams that are facing a foe, who is on a three or more-game win streak and has a winning record not higher than 60% on the season.  

Adding a filter that the home team has a higher effective FG percentage than the opponent and that the home team sports an effective FG percentage above 50% improves the system to a 29-9 ATS record good for 76% winning bets over the last ten seasons.

Maryland plays one of the slowest-paced styles of basketball ranking 333rd in the enation. However, that is more than priced into the market and my machine learning applications project a high probability that 140 or more points will be scored.  MSU has played significantly worse on the road than in their home games. 

MSU is just 2-13 ATS facing teams, who like to take the ‘three’ and average at least 21 3-points shot-attempts-per-game on the season.

No 11 Florida State vs North Carolina
Dean E. Smith Center, Chapel Hill, NC
4:00 PM EST, February 27, 2021

4% Best Bet UNDER the posted total of 151 points.

FSU is the dominant force in the ACC this season and enter this showdown with UNC on a four-game win streak and went 2-1-1 ATS. They are on an 11-game ‘OVER’ streak and shot over 50% from the field in five of those games. Most notably, they shot an incredible 71% from the field in a 105-73 destruction of NC State back on January 13.

UNC has been largely inconsistent this season as demonstrated in their last two games. They destroyed Louisville 99-54 as a 4.5-point home favorite and then inexplicably lost to Marquette 83-70 installed as a 9.5-point home favorite. They have had games where the defense does disappear of they forget how to score. However, in this matchup, their full attention and focus will on FSU knowing that a win will strengthen their NCAA resume.

This is the highest total this season in FSU games. Over the last five seasons, ranked teams that are playing in a road game with the highest total of the season, has seen the ‘UNDER’ earn a 44-24 UNDER record for 65% winning bets.

FSU plays an average-pace based on D-1 standards, but can really turn up the defensive heat. They rank 27th allowing 40.2% opponent shooting and 6th when adjusted by opponent and SOS. UNC is once again a great renounding team that ranks 2nd averaging 42.5 Rebounds-per-game, and third averaging 13.2 offensive rebounds-per-game. Both teams will look to be strong on their defensive glass and minimize the opponent’s second-chance scoring opportunities. UNC ranks best and FSU second-best in second chance scoring, but both are solid in their defensive second-chance scoring as well. So, bottom line is that second chance scoring for both teams is going to be much lower than their averages.

FSU is 32-14-1 UNDER after four consecutive games committing no more than 14 turnovers under head coach Hamilton.

Purdue vs Penn State

7:00 PM EST, February 26, 2021

3% Best Bet on Penn State (PSU) +1.5-points

Purdue has evolved into a well-respected team in the Big Ten that has the talent to take down one of the giants, like Michigan or Ohio State. Recency bias is a amajor part of the opening line and subsequent line movement. However, this line opened with Purdue as a 1.5 point road favorite and has quickly reversed and now has PSU priced as a 1-point favorite. Line movement this strong is quite bullish and positive for backing PSU. 

My opponent-adjusted power ratings show PSU as a -2-point home favorite and agrees with Haslam Metrics too. Don’t be fooled by PSU and their 5-11 conference record. The Big Ten is one of the strongest conferences I have seen in more than a decade. According to KenPom, PSU would be a pick-em to -1.5 point favorite over North Carolina, Clemson, Arizona, Oklahoma State, and UCLA. 

So, now we have a truly desperate PSU team that is coming off a hard-fought win at Nebraska. PSU had five players scoring in double-figures and team-leader Mayreon Jones had a career-high 29-points. So, PSU comes into this game off their best one of the season.

From the database queries, we learn that PSU is a highly profitable 15-3 ATS when coming off a game in which 155 or more points were scored spanning the last three seasons. They are also 7-0 ATS off a conference road win spanning the last three seasons and I see this angle moving to 8-0 ATS tonight. 

I am on a 12-5 ATS NBA and NCAAM Best Bets run. Over the long-term spanning many seasons, I am 407-309 (57%) over my last 714 basketball picks, which has made the Dime bettor a profit of $72,120 since January 1, 2018. So, take a few minutes and purchase a cost-saving longer-term subscription so that you never miss a play. 

Drake vs Bradley

Carver Arena, Peoria, IL

7:00 PM EST, February 26, 2021

10-UNIT best bet on Bradley +9 points and sprinkle a bit more on the money line. I have had the best success over the course of a season by taking my 5% amount and playing 80% of that amount on the line, and then 20% using the money line. 

Drake is tied with Loyola Chicago at 14-2 on top of the Missouri Valley Conference standings. Many of you, who listen to my live Predictive Playbook that is broadcast on Periscope and YouTube channels, already know I live Loyola-Chicago quite a bit and have bet them at 50-1 long shot to win the NCAAM Championship. I do not believe Drake is even the second-best team in the conference and is vulnerable in this matchup against Bradley. This is the first of back-to-back games against each other and they will play again tomorrow. 

The pace of this game will be slower than the average pace is for the MVC. Bradley ranks 260th and Drake 250th in possessions-per-40-minutes. A key factor in this bet is that Drake has played far worse in road games, than at home. Plus, Drake, despite winning four of their last five games has been playing at an inferior level compared to earlier this season when they were scorching hot. Drake is coming off back-to-back home wins over Evansville, who ranks 234th overall in the Haslem metrics and 240th with my opponent-adjusted PR. Bradley is a much better team than Evansville, and it is not even close. Bradley ranks 180th in PR and Haslem ranks them 182nd. 

Bradley head coach Wardle is 27-11-1 ATS after giving up five or fewer offensive rebounds in their previous game. Bradley plays their best defense in a fundamentally sound fashion and not look to be overly aggressive to get steals and turnovers. So, Wardle is 23-12-1 AYTS in games following back-to-back games where the respective opponent did not commit more than 11 turnovers. Wardle knows how to play against strong defenses as noted by his 15-6 ATS record in home games facing an opponent that has allowed 42% opponent shooting on the season. 

Bradley lost their team-leading scorer and rebounder in senior Elijah Childs, who was suspended from the team on February 17. Bradley has used nine different starting lineups this season and head coach Wardle had been juggling starting lineups and playing minutes even before this suspension. At the D-1 level, bench players cannot wait to get their chance to showcase their talents in live-game situations. I believe that the loss of Childs will be more than offset by players getting that chance to have more minutes of playing time. 

Keep an eye on Ja’Shon Henry tonight. He was averaging around 20-minutes-per-game but has had 28,24, and 30-minutes of playing time in his last three games. He has scored 43 of his season total of 203 points and shot 15-for-24 for 63% in these last three games. 

Take Bradley plus the points as a 10-UNIT Best Bet

NC State vs No 15 Virginia

6:30 PM ERST, February 24, 2021

4% Best Bet on Virginia -11.5 points

UVA enters this matchup off their first two-gamne losing streak of the season. They were blown out by a very good FSU team by 19 points in Tallahassee and most recently lost a tough 1-point game at Duke. Their defense as awful in the losses allowing 50% shooting to FSU and 51% to Duke. Their defense is quite good and you can expect a much better performance against much weaker opponent in NC State. 

Betting on team that are coming off two upset road losses and now facing an opponent that is revenging a home loss to this team has earned an outstanding 68-31-3 ATS for 70% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. If the opponent is the road team and is revenging that loss, where they failed to score more than 60 points, the record soars to 33-9-1 ATS for 78% winning bets. 

NC State lost 64-13 as 7-point home underdogs to UVA on February 3. NC State is 1-9 ATS revenging a home loss versus opponent in games played over the last three seasons. 

My expectations see UVA bouncing back with a big game and gets the ATS win. 

J

Georgia Tech vs Virginia Tech
Blacksburg, VA
7:00 ET, February 23, 2021
4% Best Bet on Georgia Tech +3 points and sprinkle a bit more on the money line.

Georgia Tech is the better ball-handling team ranking 16th nationally with a 1.423 asssist-to-turnover ratio and matched a rather non-aggressive V-Tech defense that ranks 114th with a 0.906 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. G-Tech has the better effective field-goal-percentage, the better free throw shooting percentage, and the better shooting efficiency measures that can win this game outright.

V-Tech is a money-burning 3-13 ATS when facing good bvall-handling teasm that are averaging 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game in games played after the 15th one of the regular season. They are also 7-20-1 SATS in games following a four-game stretch in which they committed 14 or fewer turnovers in each one.

G-Tech Pastner is 6-0 ATS following back-to-back games in which his team made 78% or more of their free throw attempts.

Akron vs Ohio
Convocation Center, Athens, OH
2:00 PM EST, February 23, 2021
4% Best Bet on Ohio Univeristy +1.5 points

To begin with, I like this matchup knowing that Ohio has played their best games at their home venue while Akron had had their poorest outings in road games this season. Akron also ranks a miserable 322nd nationally in overall performance consistency and gives Ohio a big advantage as they are ranked in the middle of the pack of the 357 D-1 programs. 

Akron loves shooting the ‘three’, but Ohio is a solid 12-4 ATS facing teams, who are averaging 21 or more 3-point shot attempts after game number 15 of the regular season and spanning the last two seasons. 

Akron head coach Groce is 3-12 ATS off a road win. 

From the machine learning applications, we are enlightened to the fact that Akron is 25-82-1 ATS in games in which they allowed 81 or more points and Ohio is an amazing 114-24-2 ATS for 83% ATS winning bets when they have scored 81 or more points. 

Texas State vs Arkansas State
7:00 PM ET, February 22, 2021
8-UNIT Best Bet on Texas State -3 points

Here are a few quick hitters that reinforce the projections produced by the machine learning applications. Texas State is 6-0 ATS after the 15th game of the regular season and now facing an opponent that is outscoring their opposition by at least 4 PPG in games played over the last two seasons. 

Texas State is 10-2 ATS in road games after habving won four of their last five games spanning the last five seasons.

Ark State 1-8 ATS after a win of three or fewer points spanning the last three seasons.

Steals will be a significant factor in this matychup and it favors Texas State, who ranks 127th nationally in quick scoring off of steals. Ark State ranks a miserable 297th in the defensive of this metric.

Texas Tech is the vastly better shooting team and going up against one of the worst defenses in NCAA basketball in Ark State.

Syracuse vs Duke
7:00 PM EST, February 21, 2021
4% Best Bet on Duke -5.5 points

Syracuse is coming off a historic win over Notre Dame in a game they trailed by 20 points marking the largest comeback since 2005. Duke is coming off a huge and much-needed win over No. 7 UVA.

Betting on home teams after game number 15 of the regular season, that are shooting at least 45% from the field, and have shot 50% or better in their last three games has earned a solid 145-80-5 ATS record good for 64% winning bets over the last 20 seasons.

Duke is 10-2 ATS when facing excellent ball-handling teams that commit 12 or fewer turnovers-per-game spanning the last two seasons.

Pepperdine vs St. Mary’s

6:00 PM EST, Fenbruary 22, 2021

4% Best Bet on Oregon +5.5 points and a sprinkle on the money line. 

From the machine learning applications, Pepperdine is an outstanding 9-0 ATS when getting at least 37 rebounds and outrebounding their oppoment in games played over the last three seasons. Further, they are 30-15-1 ATS for 67% winning bets in games played over the last five seasons when they have scored 71 or more points and had fewer turnovers than their opponent. 

Wisconsin vs Northwestern

7:00 PM EST, February 21, 2021

4% Best bet on Northwestern +7 points and sprinkle a bit more using the money line. 

Despite the different and opposite season-long records, these two teams are much more equal in performance levels and reflect how good the Big Ten Conference is this season. Wisconsin is the better team on paper, but has played their worst games on the road and is vulnerable to an upset loss. 

Both teams are excellent ball-handling ones. Wisconsin ranks 11th sporting a 1.457 assist-to-turnover ratio and Northwestern ranks 27th with a 1.311 assist-to-turnover ratio. Northwestern has the better and more efficient offense while Wisconsin has an elite and efficient defense. 

The Northwestern defense matches up well against Wisconsin’s offense that ranks about equal to the average D-1 program. Northwestern ranks 50th in defensive field goal percentage. In addition, Wisconsin has not been a threat on their offensive glass and ranks 285th converting second-chance scoring opportunities into points. Northwestern is solid in rebounding on the defensive end and will minimize Wisconsin’s second-chance scoring opportunities. 

Wisconsin has not played their worst games by many measures at home and Northwestern, despite, a losing record, is one of the more consistent teams in the nation. There you have it, Bet Northwestern plus the points. 

Penn State vs Iowa
5:00 PM EST, February 21, 2021
8-UNIT Best Bet on Penn State +11.5 points and sprinkle a bit on the money line.

Let’s start with a betting system that ahs earned a 70-22-3 ATS record for 76% winning bets over the last five season. The requirements are to bet on double-digit underdogs up to an including 19.5 points that has gone UNDER the total by at least 24 points in their last three games and now facing an opponent that has gone UNDER the total by 44 or mor epoints spanning their last seven games.

Betting on double digit underdogs after game number 15 that are averaging 68 to 75 PPG and now facing an opponent coming off three straight UNDER games and averages at least 78 PPG on the season has earned a 77-38-2 ATS record good for 67% winning bets.

PSU has played their bets games away from Happy Valley and Iowa has played by far their worst at home this season.  The advantage that PSU has against the Iowa defense is that they take great care of the ball, despite ranking 13th nationally in field goal attempt rate, and are extremely good ranking 25th in potential quick points off of steals.

PSU is 15-3-1 ATS coming off a game in which 155 or more points were scored spanning the last three seasons.

No 3 Michigan vs No 4 Ohio State
Value City Arena, Columbus, OH
1:00 ET, February 21, 2021
4% Best Bet on Ohio State +1.5 points

This matchup pits two heavyweights in the Big Ten Conference and the winner of this game is almost guaranteed a No 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. Despite being ranked No 3 in the nation, Michigan has been largely inconsistent and have played poorly in road games that they won.

Turnovers will determine the winner of this game and that definitely favors OSU, who rank 11th committing just 10.4 turnovers-per-game on the season. OSU ranks 10th-best posting a 13.3% turnovers-per-play percentage and 15th averaging just 4.8 opponent steals-per-game. Neither team’s defense looks to generate turnovers and instead play fundamentally sound defense. Michigan ranks 338th averaging just 10.8 opponent turnovers-per-game and OSU ranks 328th averaging 10.7 opponent turnovers-per-game.

Free throws will also be an integral part of an OSU win noting they rank 4th making an average of 17.5 free throws-per-game and 22nd in free throw attempts averaging 22.7 per-game. Michigan ranks 172 averaging 13.0 free throws-pergame and a horrid 234th averaging 17 free-throw-attempts-per-game. So, in an even matchup of giants, every possession matters more and the critical scoring opportunity possessions favor OSU.

Illinois vs Minnesota
3:30 ET, February 20, 2021
4% Best Bet UNDER the posted total of 148 points

Betting the UNDER in games after he 15th game of the season and where the road team is a great shooting team making at least 47.4% of their shots and is facing an opponent that is allowing 42 to 45% shooting has earned a crazy 820-600 record for 58% winners over the last 20 seasons.

Minnesota is 8-0 UNDER after the 15th game of the season and facing an elite opponent that is outscoring their opponents by 12 or more points-per-game spanning the last three seasons. They are also 6-0 UNDER following four consecutive games committing 11 or fewer turnovers in games played over the last three seasons.

Pitino is 21-7-1 UNDER as the head coach of Minnesota when facing elite teams that are outscoring their opponents by 12 or more PPG.

Connecticut vs No 10 Villanova

Finneran Pavilion, Villanova, PA

1:00 PM EST, February 20, 2021

4% Best Bet on Villanova -6.5 points and sprinkle a bit more on the Villanova team total at 70.5 points. This team total bet is valid up to and including 75-points. 

The line for this game opened with Villanova installed as a 7.5-point favorite and the [public betting community jumped on UCONN forcing the price down to the current -6.5-point level. The betting behavior is a classic example of recency bias based on the last few games played by both teams. The bias certainly does not reflect the true strength of each team and the result is that we get an exceptionally cheap price to bet Villanova. 

In their last game, Villanova lost on the road to then-No 19 Creighton 86-70. Creighton shot an incredible 59.3% from the field and could have made shots with their eyes closed. Villanova struggled shooting just 37.5% and 31.3% from beyond the arc. However, they had just seven turnovers and shot 12-for-13 from the charity stripe for 92.3%. Villanova is 11-2 ATS after a game in which they made 88% or more of their free throws and 32-16-1 ATS after back-to-back games allowing nine or fewer offensive rebounds. 

No 3 Michigan vs Rutgers

Crisler Center, Ann Arbor, MI

9:00 PM EST, February 18, 2021

4% Best Bet on Rutgers +9 points

Michigan may be the No 3 ranked rteam in the country, but they have been incredibly inconsistent for an elite team. The erractic performances have been masked by outstanding defensive efforts and with that said Rutgers will need to shoot well from the perimeter. Michigan does play aggressively on the defensive end and forces the opponent into a perimeter shot. They rank 325th averaging just 10.8 turnovers-per-game, which will give Rutgers the opportunity to have many open shots.

Rutgers is 9-1 ATS facing solid rebounding teams that are outrebounding their opponents by at least four boards-per-game, and after the 15th game of the season. They are also 21-10 ATS when playing against an opponent that has a strong defense allowing 43% or lower shooting in games played over the last two seasons.

Miami vs Sacramento

10:00 PM EST, February 18, 2021
8-UNIT Best Bet on the Miami Heat

Betting on any team that is on a 3 or more-game ROAD losing streak and playing on back-to-back nights has earned an outstanding 34-9-1 ATS for 79.1% winning bets over the last five seasons. And when the team involved is playing another road game, the record soars to 22-5 ATS for 82% winning bets.

For this research and the predictive analytics, Goran Dragic is listed as out. He has an ankle injurty and very unlikely he will play despite being listed as questionable.

From the predictive applications, we learn that the Heat are an outstanding 14-5 SU and 17-2 ATS in road games installed as a dog, scoring 111 or more points and having the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the last three seasons.

No 4 Ohio State vs Penn State
8:00 PM EST, February 18, 2021
University Park, PA

4% Best Bet on Penn State +4.5 points and sprinkle a bit more on the momey line.

This is a must-win for Penn State and defeating a highly ranked conference foe would really brighten their resume. They have played the toughest schediule in the nation, but with a win tonight, they have an excellent opportunity to win-out.

PSU has a losing record, but do not let that fool you for one second. They are vastly better than record reflects. PSU is a solid 77=36-1 when facing teams that attempt a minimum of 21 3-point shots in gajes played after the 15th game of the regular season. They are 13-4 ATS when facing outstanding ball-handling teams that average 12 or fewer turnovers-per-game  in games played over the last two seasons.

PSU has shot miserably in their last three games and are likely to exceed their season shooting averages tonight according to my machine learning applications. Note that PSU is a perfect 8-0 ATS in home games when scoring at least 75 points in games played over the last two seasons.

Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech
4:00 ET, February 14, 2021

4% Best Bet on Pittsburgh + 4.5 points and sprinkle a bit more on the money line. I take 85% of the amount of my 4% Bet and bet the game using the spread. Then the money line is used to be the remaining 20% amount.

Betting on road teams coming off an ATS win, but lost the game and now playing in a matchup of teams sporting win percentages between 50.1 and 60% on the season has earned a highly profitable 36-9-1 ATS record good for 79% winning bets over the last five seasons.

G-Tech’s head coach Pastner is a money-burning 7-18-1 ATS when playing their third in a game. 
From the machine learning applications, Pitt is expected to shoot 35% or better from beyond the arc, and/or get a minimum of 40 rebounds, and/or outrebound G-Teach by at least five rebounds. So, any combination of these three parameters has seen Pittsburgh be the winning bet in at least 83% of the games played over the last five seasons.

Nebraska vs Penn State

Bryce-Jordan Center, University Park, PA

3:00 PM EST, February 14, 2021

4% Best Bet on Penn State -11 points

Do not be misled by Penn State’s losing overall and conference record. They have played the toughest strength-of-schedule in the nation and now begin a stretch that could see them win out. If they advanced to the Final-4 of the B-10 Tournament, they could earn a spot in the dance. They have the talent and team chemistry is quite good.

Nebraska has played their worst games on the road this season and ranks 342nd when playing away from Lincoln.  Penn State looks to run and score within ten seconds off of missed shots and rank 31st in this category. Nebraska has been terrible defending an opponent’s fast break off of their missed shots ranking 223rd.

PSU averages 25 3-point shot attempts per game and Nebraska averages 24. Nebraska is 6-22-2 ATS when facing a team averaging 21 or more 3-point shot attempts in games played after the 15th game of the season and spanning the last three seasons. PSU is 70-32 ATS when facing teams, who are averaging at least 21 3-points shot attempts, after the 15th game of the seasons spanning the last ten seasons.

From the machine learning applications, PSU is 14-2 ATS for 88% winning bets when scoring 75 to 81 points and making at least 78% of their free-throw attempts in games played over the last two seasons.

No 3. Michigan vs No 21 Wisconsin

Kohl Center, Madison, WI

1:00 PM EST, February 14, 2021

4% Best Bet on Michigan -1 point.

The money line bet may be a solid alternative to the -1 point, but only if it is priced at -114 or lower. Anything above -115 has minimal value and is too expensive and increases the risk amount too.

I was surprised when this line opened with Wisconsin as a -2-point home favorite, but that lasted about 30 minutes as money did come in on Michigan. A few books have Michigan priced as -1.5 point road favorites and this is the level where the market is balanced.

The reason I was surprised by the opening line is that Michigan ranks 1st in overall positive team momentum while Wisconsin has been inconsistent and ranks 290th in momentum. Wisconsin has played their best and most efficient games at home, so that may be a supportive reason for the opening line. Still, Michigan is the better team right now, but this will be a grinding and defensive-minded game.

The big difference between these two teams is that Michigan has a more efficient offense than Wisconsin. Michigan ranks 6th nationally with a 58.1% 2-point shooting percentage and ranks 5th making 50.9% of all shot attempts. Overall, Michigan ranks 5th with a 57.6% effective FG percentage. By comparison, Wisconsin ranks 155th with a 50.5% effective FG percentage, 235th with a 48.1% 2-point FG percentage, and 196th with an overall 43.2% shooting percentage.

Both defenses are among the best in the nation, but Michigan has a modest edge at this end of the court as well. Michigan is 7-0 ATS facing strong defensive teams allowing 42% or lower opponent shooting in games played this season.

No 7 Ohio State vs Maryland

9:00 PM EST, February 8, 2021

Xfinity Center, College Park, MD

4% Best Bet UNDER the posted total of 139-points. 

Ohio State set a program record of four consecutive road victories against Top-15 teams in their win over Iowa last Thursday. Maryland has been struggling and lost 55-50 at a vastly underrated Penn State team last Friday. The loss to PSU marked season-lows in points scored with 50 and assists with just six.

Maryland has played solid defense and rank 46th in overall defensive efficiency. They will be tested by an OSU offense that ranks 5th nationally in overall offensive efficiency. Both teams play at some of the slowest paced games nationally and in the Big Ten conference this season. OSU ranks 274th averaging 67.8 possessions-per-forty-minutes and Maryland ranks 206th averaging 66.7 possessions-per-forty-minutes. So, there certainly will be no rush after rebounding a missed shot by either team.

Betting UNDER the posted total in games lined between 130 and 139.5 points after one of the teams involved is coming off five consecutive games scoring 65 or fewer points and facing an opponent that scored 40 or more points in the first half of their last two games has earned a 46-16-1 ATS record good for 74% winning bets over the last 20 seasons.

OSU is 9-1 UNDER following a game in which they scored 85 or more points in games played over the last three seasons. 

Oklahoma State vs No 23 Kansas

Allen Fieldhouse, Lawrence, KS

9:00 PM EST, February 8, 2021

4% Best Bet on Oklahoma State +4.5-points and sprinkle a bit more using the money line.

Kansas has uncharacteristically struggled against teams with a winning record of 60% and higher sporting a horrible 0-6 ATS record this season. OSU has a major advantage in terms of their positive recent play and the momentum they carry into this game. They have won 3-of-4 and 6-of-8 games and covered the spread at the same clip. In their last game, they shot a terrible 35.3% against then-No 5 Texas and still scored 75 points in their 75-67 win Saturday. They defeated Kansas earlier this year at home 75-70 as a 3.5-point underdog.

OSU has been a far more consistent team ranking 22nd nationally and Kansas’s root problem is consistency in which they rank 322nd. So, OSU is more consistent and is playing some of their best basketball of the season. When I see strong momentum and consistency levels I immediately target that team as a potential betting opportunity.

Kansas has had problems with their bench play and contributions. Their most recent 91-79 loss at West Virginia saw all five starters score in double-digits, but the bench scored just four points. OSU has seven players averaging at least 20 minutes and that depth will serve them well in their attempt to sweep Kansas in the season series. 

Austin Peay at Tennessee-Martinsville

7:00 PM EST, February 8, 2021

4% Best Bet on Tennessee-Martinsville +12.5 points and sprinkle a bit on the money line. 

The machine learning applications predict that this game will be much closer than the 11.5 point betting line indicates. Both of these teams play at the lower-end of the pace-of-play stats with Austin Peay ranking 299th and UT-Martin ranking 285th in possessions-per-forty-minutes. That suggests that Auston Peay will not run away from UT-Martin and the game will remain within single digits. Plus, UT-Martin has played their best games at home this season and this is a huge advantage for them.

Needless to state, UT-Martin shoots horribly poor form the field and rank 351st in overall field goal percentage. However, Austin Peay’s defense can make any struggling offense resemble a Gonzaga unit. Austin Peay ranks 348th in defensive field goal percentage. UT-Martin is capable of shooting better than 45% from the field and if they do just might pull off the big-time upset win. 

Washington vs Oregon

4:00 PM EST, February 6, 2021

4% Best Bet on Washington +13.5 points

Let’s start with a proven betting system that has earned a 47-18-2 ATS record good for 72% winning bets over the last twenty seasons. The system requirements are to bet on road dogs with a win percentage of 20% or lower on the season and facing a host that has won 60 to 80% of their games on the season and has gone OVER the total by 30 or more points spanning theie last five games. 

Oregon is a money-burning 5-18-1 ATS in a home game and coming off two comsecutive home losses. Further, Oregon guard Chris Duarte is downgraded to OUT for this game with an ankle injury. 

Bet Washington as a 4% Best Bet.

No 19 Wisconsin vs No 12 Illinois

2:30 PM EST, February 6, 2021

4% Best Bet on Illinois -4.5 points

No 19 Wisconsin vs No 12 Illinois

2:30 PM EST, February 6, 2021

4% Best Bet on Illinois -4.5 points

The Big-Ten Conference is head and should the best conference in the nation and where the road team has an enormous challenge to get a win. Home team dominance has endured in the Big Ten for the past three seasons and it reflects the remarkable depth of the conference that may send nine and possibly ten teams to the Dance.

Wisconsin has been largely inconsistent on the season and has played their worst games on the road. Illinois has been a far more consistent team and has played their best at home this season. Illinois ranks 12th nationally with a 56.6% effective field goal percentage and 9th making 50.1% of all shot attempts. What is remarkable about Illinois is that they do not take many 3-point shots ranking 275th, but rank 130th in made- 3-pointers, and 9th making 39.7% of their 3-point shots.

Head coach Underwood is 28-12-1 ATS facing an excellent ball-handling team averaging 12 or fewer turnovers-per-game.

From the machine learning applications, Illinois is expected to score between 76 and 81 points in this game, and in past games in which they scored within this range has produced an 80-42 ATS result. Wisconsin is 11-28 ATS for 72% winning bets in games in which they allowed 76 to 81 points.

Miami (Ohio) vs Buffalo

5:00 PM EST, February 6, 2021

4% Best Bet on Buffalo -7.5-points

This Mid-American matchup features two complete opposite and extreme style of basketball. Starting with pace-of-play metrics, Buffalo plays fast and 10th nationally averaging 75.5 possessions-per-game. Miami (Ohio) ranks 313th averaging a plodding 65 possesions-per-game. Buffalo has ranked consistently between 90 and 105 nationally in my power ratings while Miami (Ohio) is further back in the rankings at 170th and has not been below 150 this season. 

Buffalo has a big advantage when they have the ball. They rank 140th in overall offensive efficiency while Miami (Ohio) ranks 259th in overall defensive efficiency. Turnovers are expected to be below average for Buffalo given that Miami )Ohio) ranks 315th in steals-per-game. 

Buffalo is on an 8-1 ATS run when facing a weak defensive team that is allowing 45% or better shooting in games played over the last three seasons. 

From the predicytive side of things, Buffalo is 16-4 ATS in games played in which they got a minimum of 45 rebounds in games played over the last three seasons. 

Iowa State vs Oklahoma

12:00 PM EST, February 6, 2021

4% Best Bet on the Oklahoma Sooners -16-points

Here are some quick hitters. Oklahoma is 19-6-1 ATS when facing a team that is allowing 77 or more points-per-game on the season. ISU is a money-burning 2-11 ATS in road games facing a defensive team averaging 14 or fewer forced turnovers-per-game on the season. ISU is 4-17 ATS when on the road and installed as an underdog for the fifth consecutive game. Oklahoma is 11-2 ATS in home games with a totasl between 140 and 149.5 in games played over the last three seasons. 

From the ,machine learning applications we learn that Oklahoma is 15-3 ATS when they score 80 or more points in games played over the last three seasons. 

No 7 Ohio State vs No 8 Iowa

Carver-Hawkeye Arena, Iowa City, IA

7:00 PM EST, February 4, 2021

10-Unit Best Bet on the Iowa Hawkeyes -5.5 points

Iowa stopped a two-game losing streak with an 84-78 win over Michigan State Tuesday. They have not covered the spread in their last three games, which is a season-high. Prior to this tough 3-game stretch, the betting flows gravitated to Iowa, but now the market has discounted Iowa far too much and today’s game offers a terrific betting opportunity.

Ohio State has caught fire winning six of their last seven games and covered the spread in five of them. Ohio State has largely outperformed expectations and is playing at unsustainable levels. They now take to the road to play the best and most efficient offense in the nation that can overwhelm any opponent at any time.

Iowa ranks no 1 in the nation in ball handling sporting a 2.097 assist-to-turnover ratio and will be facing an Ohio State defense that has posted a below-average 1.135 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio that ranks 269th nationally. Iowa moves the ball well, especially in the half-court set, and will not be met with a pressing style of defense from Ohio State.  When Iowa moves the ball on offense they become even better at finding the best possible shot in each possession. Iowa looks to get the ball to Garza, of course, but the entire team is focused on getting the shot closest to the rim. Ohio State ranks 201st in allowed dunks, layups, and tip-ins.

Betting on home favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points in a matchup involving two teams that are outscoring their opponents by eight or more points-per-game, and with the home team coming off a game in which they scored 45 or more points has earned a 75-40 ATS record good for 65.5% winning bets in games played over the last five seasons.

Iowa is an outstanding 11-2 ATS in home games facing a team, like Ohio State, who is averaging at least 21 3-point shot attempts in games played over the last two seasons. They are also 12-2 ATS  in games following two consecutive games having 14 or fewer turnovers in each game.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that Ohio State is 9-37-2 ATS 80.4% when they have allowed 81 to 87 points and 12-53-2 ATS 81.5% when allowing 81 or more points.

ELON vs James Madison
Atlantic Union Bank Center, Harrisonburg, VA

4:00 PM EST, February 3, 2021

8-Unit Best Bet on James Madison -8.5 points

Betting on home teams that are hosting a foe coming off a loss of six or fewer points, has more starters that returned from the previous season than the opponent, and the game taking place in first 15 games of the regular season has earned an outstanding 65-27-1 ATS record good for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that JMU is 46-24-1 ATS when scoring 75 to 81 points. ELON is a money-burning 30-58-2 ATS when the have failed to score more than 65 points.

No 2 Baylor vs No. 6 Texas
Frank Erwin Center, Auston, TX

7:00 PM EST, February 2, 2021

4% Best Bet on Texas +5.5 points and sprinkle a bit on the money line.

A few quick Hitters:
Texas is 24-7 ATS in home games facing sharp shooting 3-point teams averaging eight or more made 3-point shots. Baylor is averaging 11 made 3-point shots. Texas is 65-36-2 SATS for 68% winning bets when hosting extremely good teams that are shooting 45% or better from the field and holding their opponents to less than 42% shooting. Baylor is averaging 50.2% shooting and allowing 40.7% opponent shooting.

Texas is an amazing 25-2 SU using the momey line in home games, afdter the fifth game of the regular season, and facing an opponent that is making anaverage of eight 3-point shots

Texas is also a solid 24-9 ATS in home games and have covered just one game among their previous five games.

No 24 Oklahoma vs No 10 Texas Tech

United Supermarkets Arena, Lubbock, TX
9:00 PM EST, February 1, 2021

8-Unit Best Bet on Oklahoma +7 points

Oklahoma will be looking to end a six-game losing streak to Texas tech and build more momentum opff their upset win against then-No-11 ranked Alabama this past Saturday.

Oklahoma is the better ball-handling team and shoots more efficiently from the field than Texas Tech. Oklahoma ranks 21st nationally with a 1.392 assist-to-turnover ratio cpompared to a much weaker 1.144 ATR ratio for Texas Tech. Oklahoma has earned a 51% effective-field-goal percentage ranking 127th nationally. TT ranks 198th in effective-FG-percentage at 49.3%.

Oklahoma has also improved significantly and has increased the number of assisted-field-golas made over the last three games. 47% of their scoring shots were by assist. TT ranks 6th forcing an opponent to commit a turnover on 22.1% of their possessions. That measure may look good until you note that TT plays at the slowest pace in the Big-12 and that Oklahoma is a terrific ball-handling team averaging just 10.5 turnovers-per-game.

Oklahoma head coach Kruger is 31-12 ASTS for 72% winning bets in games that had a total between 130 and 139.5 for his coaching career.

From the machine learning applications, Oklahoma is 19-5 SU and 21-2-1 ATS for 90.5% winning bets over the past 15 seasons in road games where they scored 77 or more points and held their opponent to less than 45% shooting.

Rutgers vs Northwestern
Welsh-Ryan Arena
Evanston, ILL

7:30 PM EST, January 31, 2021

4% Best Bet on Rutgers – 4 points

The edge in this matchup is on the improving Rutgers defense of late. Six games ago, Rutgers was allowing a 54.6% effective field goal percentage based on a 5-game moving average and marking the season worse. Entering this conmtest, the 5-game moving average as improved to a solid 48.1% allowed effective FG% and is markedly better than Northwestern.

Northwestern enters this game with a five game average of 58.7% effective FG% allowed and just off their season low of 60.4% made two games ago.

Rutgers has chosen to slow down their pace of play over the last 14 games from a five-game average of 75 possessions per game to the current and season-low 67.2 possessions-per-game. The slower pace has augmented their offensive efficiencies  and will find it easy to move the ball in thehalf-court set against a NW defense than ranks 328th nationally with a horrible 1.327 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio.

Betting on road favorites that are coming off a home win against a conference foe, sporting a win percentage between 50 and 60% on the season and facing a team with a losing record has earned a solid 110-63-3 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the last 15 seasons.

Stanford vs Arizona State
Desert Financial Arena, Tempe, AZ

8:00 PM EST, January 30, 2021

10-Unit Best Bet on Arizona State -1.5 points

The ASU offense has been inconsistent over their first 13 games of the season, but in recent games, they are starting to find their way and playing more efficiently. They are 1-11-1 ATS for the season and the market has steadily discounted them in search of a betting numbers equilibrium. However, now the market has them priced very cheap and is offering us a great contrarian bet.

Despite a losing record, ASU has a solid 1.154 assist-to-turnover ratio that ranks 73rd nationally of the 357 Division-1 basketball programs. Stanford, despite a winning record, is a horrible ball handling team sporting a 0.826 assist-to-turnover ratio that ranks 255th nationally. Moreover, Stanford is a horrible 3-point shooting team ranking 248th making just 31% on the season.

Stanford is 4-14-1 ATS in road games following a streak where they won four or more of their last six games and are 1-10-1 ATS in road games after winning five or more of their last seven games in games played over the last three seasons. Stanford head coach Haase is a money-burning 10-26-1 ATS in road games facing a host that averages at least 21 3-point shot attempts.

Bet Arizona State -1.5 points. I do not expect the line to move much at all from the current price. If anything, the market make move toward pick-em.

Florida vs No 11 West Virginia
WVU Coliseum, Morgantown, WV
2:00 PM EST, January 30, 2021

8-Unit Upset Alert Best Bet on the Florida Gators and sprinkle a bit on the money line.

Florida has won three straight games since losing 72-69 at Mississippi State  where they shot just 41% from the field. During ths 3-game win streak they have shot 49.1%  in a 75-49 win over Tennessee, 56.9% in a 92-84 win at Georgia, and lastly, 51.9% in a 78-71 win overVanderbilt. Moreover, they are averaging an outstandsing 1.15 points-per-possession.

The reason for their improved shooting is that they have taken far more shots at or near the rim than at any other point of the season. With Florida looking to get to the rim on every possession is going to put immense pressure on the West Virginia defense.

Sophomore Scottie Lewis will return to action, who is averaging 10.9 PPG and will add even more points from close range.

WVU head coach Huggins has not done well when facing SEC popponents. He is a money-burning 4-16 SATS when facing an SEC foe as the coach of WVU.

Penn State vs No 13 Ohio State
Valuer City Arena, Columbus, OH
7:00 PM EST, January 27, 2021
10-Unit  Best Bet on Penn State +8 points and sprinkle a bit on the money line

I believe this line could rise in our favor as the day wears on and led by the public seeing a 13th ranked team playing at home and facing a team with two conference wins and a 5-6 overall record. These stats are extremely misleading for many reasons.

Penn State (PSU) has played the toughest schedule to date in the Big Ten Conference and significantly more difficult schedule than Ohio State (OSU). PSU has faced ACC-member Virginia Tech, Michigan, Indiana, Purdue, and Illinois all on the road, Not that home court has near the advantage this season than in previous ones, but that is a tough road schedule no matter the season.

Ohio State’s remaining schedule includes trips to No 5 Iowa, Penn State, and Michigan State. They must then play Iowa, Illinois, Michigan, Indiana, and Michigan State in home tilts. So, Ohio State has had the softer schedule and will begin a gauntlet of road and home tests that would be a success if they play even on-game over 0.500.

OSU ranks 6th in the Big Ten averaging 23.2 three-point-attempts-per-game, but are making only an average of 8.0 made-three-point-shots-per-game. PSU is 16-5-1 ATS in road games facing a host that is averaging a minimum of 21 3-point-attempts-per-game in games played over the last three seasons.

Penn State won their previous game at home 81-78 over Northwestern. PSU is a 15-4 ATS following a game scoring 80 or more points in games played over the last three seasons. They are also 13-2-1 ATS following a game in which 155 or more points were scored in games played over the last three seasons. OSU installed as a home favorite and facing an opponent that scored 80 or more points in their previous game is a money-burning 16-32 ATS in games played over the last ten seasons.

PSU enjoys playing at a faster-then-average pace and is 12-3-1 ATS when they had 63 to 70 shot attempts in games played over the last two seasons. PSU is 14-3-1 ATS when scoring 75 or more points in games played over the last two seasons.

Bet Penn State as a 10-Unit top-rated Best Bet.  To have success in sports betting, always remember to be disciplined, and resist the temptation to ‘go-for-it’. Make no mistake about it, the sports betting process is a marathon. Betting the same amounts for your 3,4, and 5% (6,8,10 Unit) bets, every day, will pave the way to highly profitable bottom lines at the end of the season. Thank you for making this purchase and best of luck to us!

LSU vs Kentucky
Rupp Arena, Lexington, KY
6:00 PM EST, January 23, 2021
4% Best Bet on Kentucky -1.5 points. 

Kentucky is akin to a stock on Wall Street that no one wants to admit that they own, and rightfully so. Kentucky has lost three straight games and lost to the spread in each of them. Prior to the current three-game losing streak, they had won three in a row and many thought they had righted the sip and Calipari was about to make the mid-season winning run. Because the public has disowned Kentucky, the market has more than discounted them, and I find them very cheap to be lined as a 1-point favorite against LSU. 

LSU had won three straight before getting slapped in the face nay SEC-leading Alabama 105-75 as 1-point underdogs. 

The machine learning applications all agree that Kentucky will win this game by at least seven points. 

Wisconsin vs. Michigan State

12:30, PM EST, Christmas Day

4% Best Bet ‘UNDER’ the posted total of 140 points. 

Bettng UNDER the posted total between 140 and 149.5 points after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games and is winning 80% or more of their games on the season has earned an outstanding 48-15-1 UNDER record in games played over the past five seasons. MSU and Wisconsin sport win percentages above 80%. 

MSU is averaging 82 PPG on the season. Wisconsin is 12-2 UNDER in road games facing good offensive teams scoring 77 or more points-per-game over the last three seasons. Wisconsin is 7-0 UNDER coming off three consecutive home wins. Wisconsin head coach Gard is 25-7-1 UNDER when playing only their third game in a week. He is also 30-11-1 UNDER when facing an elite opponent that has outscored their opponents by an average of 8 or more PPG. 

From the machine learning tools, MSU is 14-2 UNDER when scoring 65 to 72 points in games played over the last three seasons. 

Providence vs Butler
6:00 PM EST, December 24, 2020
Hinkle Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

4% Best Bet on Butler

Just four games into the season, Butler finds themselves in an urgent situation to win a game. With a 1-3 record, Butler is off to their worst start since the 1998-99 season, and must play better against a 7-2 Providence and Big East foe toight.

Providence is led by two scorers. Junior and preseason All-Big East First Team selection David Duke and senior and preseason All-Big East Second Team selection Nate Wilson are averageing 19.4 and 19.3 PPG, respectively. The tandem creates a strong inside-outside game, especially with Duke hitting a scorching 47% from beyond the arc.

Both teams play at a relatively slow pace and this increases the need for strong defensive rebounding by Butler to minimize second-chance scoring chances for Providence. Through four games, itler is allowing an outstanding 4.5 offensive rebounds-per-game. Bryce Nze is coming off back-to-back games getting 10 or more rebounds in each game.

Butler is 8-0 ATS in games line within 3-points on either side of pick in games played over the last three seasons. Butler head coach Jordan is 13-4-1 ATS in home games coming off a game allowing five or fewer offensive rebouds and 9-2 ATS in home games facing solid ball-handling teams committing 12 or fewer turnovers-per-game.

Texas State vs Northern Arizona

3:00 PM EST, December 21, 2020

4% Best Bet on Northern Arizona +9 points and sprinkle some on the money line

NAU will be seeking their first win of the season after losing the first four games to start their season. TST is off to a 5-3 record and are coming off a70-68 win at Denver, but failed to cover the spread as 7 point favorites. NAU has lost all four games ATS and have not shot better than 37% from thw field in any of these games. However, they have faced much tougher competition than has Texas State and this ‘seasoning’ is going to pay-off this afternoon. 

TST is 4-12 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record in games played over the last two seasons; 3-12 ATS when facing a team that struggles on the defensive end allowing 45% or high shooting in games played over the last three seasons. 

This is momey line system is one that you definitley want to record and track. It has earned a 39-44 SU record for 47% winning bets since 2000, but has made the $100 bettor a $4,710 profit over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet on any team using the money line that is allowing a terrible 52% shooting from the field and are getting out rebounded by seven or more boards-per-game. 

Wofford vs Texas A&M

1:00 PM EST, December 21, 2020

4% Best Bet on Texas A&M -5.5 points

Here is a great betting system that has earned a 59-29 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on a home team that is favored including pick, after being beaten by 33 or more points to the spread over their last five games and sports a win percentage of at least 80% on the season. 

Wofford is 0-6 ATS after covering the spread in two of their last three games in games played over the last two seasons. Texas A&M head coach Williams is 25-6 ATS after a game where his Aggies had two or fewer steals. 

J

No 9 Villanova vs Georgetown

McDonough Arena

5% Best Bet on Villanova -11.5 points.

The betting line opened with Villanova installed as -10-point road favorites and quickly moved to the current price of -11.5 points. The machine learning summary predicts Villanova will win this game by at least 18 points, so any further increase in the betting line will in no way disqualify this betting opportunity.

The machine learning tools predict that Villanova will score 80 or more points, shoot 40% or better from the beyond the arc, and commit 5 or fewer turnovers than Georgetown. In past games in which Villanova met or exceeded all three of these performance measures has led to an impressive 23-0 SU record and 18-3 ATS record good for 86% winning bets that covered the spread by an average of 11.8 points.

Santa Clara vs Cal Poly
9:00 PM EST, December 9, 2020
Robert A. Mott Athletics Center San Luis Obispo, CA

I always like asking people when Caly Poly comes up in a hoopes discussion (Or machine learning discussion) what the SLO stands for. You may know the answer, but if you do not the answer is San Luis Obispo (SLO). And is one of California’s oldest European founded Communities. Plus, one heck of a technology school too.

I did wait to release this play today having great confidence that the line was going to climb higher as the day wore on. This betting system supports the bet on Cal Poly SLO and has earned a 43-22-2 ATS record good for 71% ATS winning bets over the last five seasons. The system requires us to bet on home teamsa during the first 6 games of the regular seasons after losing 8 or more of their last 10 games of the previous season to earn a poor win percentage of 20 to 40% and now facing a team that had a winning record last season.

Cal Poly SLO has earned a 9-2 ATS record installed as a double-digit underdog in games played over the last two seasons.

North Texas vs. Mississippi State

8:00 PM EST, December 4, 2020

4% Best Bet on North Texas plus 3.5-points. If the line drops to +2.5 or lower, then consider using the money line for this bet.

Miss State is just 7-17-1 ATS following a game in which they allowed a 33% or lower shooting percentage in games played since 2006. North Texas is 55-28 ATS for 67% winning bets in non-home games (road or neutral) installed as a 5.5-point or less underdog in games played since 2006.

Head Coach McCasland has three returning starters from last season and a 1-starter edge of Miss State skipper Howland, who returns two starters. Experience at the beginning of the season is a premium asset. McCasland is a solid 23-9-1 ATS when facing strong defensive teams allowing 42% or lower opponent shooting.

From the machine learning ranks, the model projects that North Texas will hold MSST to 45% or worse shooting, commit 13 or fewer turnovers, and make 80% of their free throws. In past games, in which North Texas, met or exceeded these performance measures has earned their backers a 19-5 SU record good for 79% wins and 17-5-1 ATS for 77% winning bets in games played since 2006.

Nevada Wolf Pack vs Nebraska Cornhuskers
2:00 PM ET, November 26, 2020
4% Best Bet on the Nebraska Cornhuskers

Nebraska had their struggles with a 7-25 SU record in 2019, but will be much better in 2020. They did get off a great starte defeating McNeese State 102-55 yesterday, shooting 50% form the field, 45 total rebounds, and just 10 turnovers.

I have a betting system that supports Nebraska and has earned an incredible 48-17 ATS record over the last five seasons. The system requires us to be on home teams for the first five games of the regular season after losing eight of their last ten games of the previous season and won between 20% and 40% of their games last seasons and facing a team that did have a winning record last season.

From the machine learning model, Bengraska is projected to shoot at least 44% from the field and have fewer than 14 turnovers in this m,atchup. In past games, in which Nebraska met or exceeded these performance measures has seen them earn a profitable 24-12-1 ATS road record good for 67% winning bets and 15-2 ATS for 88% winning bets at neutral sites.

Take the Nebraska Cornhuskers as a 4% Best Bet

Iowa State vs Oklahoma State
7:00 PM EST, March 11, 2020
Big-12 Tournament, Kansas City, MO

7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Iowa State Cyclones

This is an upset in the making based on the projections and situations these teams find themselves in for this matchup. OSU is a money-burning 4-15 ATS after having won four or five of their last six games in games played over the last three seasons; 1-10 ATS after having won four of their last five games in game splayed over the last three seasons. 

ISU has been horrid on the roads this season cover just tow games, but this is not a road game. It is a neutral court site and is being played in the month of March during conference and NCAA Tournament time. ISU is 63-35-1 ATS in all March games spanning the last 20 seasons. 

From the predictive side of things, ISU is a solid 45-18-1 for 71% winners when making at least 80% of their shot attempts and making at least 42% of their FGA. If they make over 45% from the floor and 80%+ of their free throws their record zooms to 36-9 for 80% winners; 8-1 ATS at a neutral site and covering the spread by an average of nine points. 

St. Joes vs George Mason
1:00 PM EST, March 11, 2020
First Round A-10 Conference Tournament
7-Star Best bet Titan on the St. Joes Hawks plus the points.

St. Joes is not a strong 3-point shooting team. However, George Mason is an imperfect 0-7 ATS when facing a team that is making 31% or fewer from beyond the arc in games played after the 15th game in each of the last two seasons. St. Joes may not shoot well, but they do not add to the pain by turning the ball over. George Mason is 14-28 ATS against good handling teams that are committing no more than 14 turnovers-per-game in games played over the last two seasons.

George Mason Head Coach Paulsen is just 3-13 ATS off a road win against a conference foe.

From the predictive side of things, St. Joes is a solid 57-33 -2 ATS when they have made 71 to 77% of their free-throw attempts. GMU is a money-losing 3-15 ATS when they have allowed 67 to 74 points in game splayed over the last two seasons.

10 PM EST, March 11, 2020
ACC Second Round
7-Star Best Bet Titan on Miami plus the points

Clemson has not done well when facing teams that are not all that aggressive on the defensive end. The Tigers are just 4-12 ATS when facing teams that are forcing an average of 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game and 4-14 ATS after the 15th game of th season spanning the last two seasons.

Head Coach Larranaga is 58-38 ATS off a home win as the coach of the Hurricanes and 20-10 ATS after playing two consecutive home games.

From the predictive side fo things, the Hurricanes are 68-36-5 ATS in games that they made at least 79% of their free-throw attempts; 20-9 ATS for 70% in road games when they made at least 79% of their free-throw attempts and scored at least 67 points including 9-3 ATS in neutral site games since 2005.

Elon vs Northeastern

8:30 PM EST, March 9, 2020

Colonial Conference Tournament

7-Star Best bet Titan on the Northeastern Huskies

This game is taking place on a neutral court in Washington DC. Elon is coming off a shocking upset win over 2-seed William & Mary by a 68-62 score, but now find themselves installed as an 8.5 to 9-point underdog. The Huskies re off an upset win based on seeding by defeating Towson State 72-62, but covered the spread installed as a 3.5-point favorite. 

Elon is not in a god situation for this game noting they are just 2-13 ATS after two consecutive ‘UNDERS’ in game splayed over the last three seasons. They are 10-25 ATS coming off one or more wins in games played over the last three seasons. 

From the predictive side of things, ELON is just 9-23 ATS in road games, 0-16 ATS in home games, and 0-3 ATS at neutral sites when they have shot 40 to 45% from the field and their opponent shot greater than 47% from the field. 

Miami (Ohio) vs Buffalo
7:30 PM EST, March 9, 2020
First Round of the Mid-American Conference Tournament
7-Star Titan Best Bet on the Miami (Ohio)

This is a 12-5 pairing of the 12 teams in the MAC Conference Championship with the Miami Redhawks the 12-seed and the Buffalo Bulls the 5-seed. The winner will then face the 4-seed Northern Illinois, who along with top-seed Akron, 3-seed Ball State, and 2-seed Bowling Green have Byes. 

The Bulls are in a tough situation and matchup to cover the spread in this matchup. First, they are a money-burning 7-16 for 35% against-the-spread (ATS) in home games that had a posted total between 150 and 155 since 2010. 

The Bulls are coming off an upset 88-84 win at Bowling Green as two-point underdogs. However, head coach, Whitesell is 9-24 ATS coming off an upset win as an underdog in his career. 

From the predictive side of things, the RedHawks are 13-4 ATS in games they have scored between 67 and 74 points in game splayed over the last two seasons. Further, the RedHawks are 15-5 ATS for 75% winning bets when they have been road dogs and made more 3-pointers than the opponent and had 11 or fewer turnovers. 

No. 19 Ohio State vs No. 16 Michigan State
4:30 PM EST, March 8, 2020
7-Star Big-Ten Titan on Ohio State
7-Star Big Ten Titan on the ‘UNDER’

3-Star Reverse Parlay Bet using OSU and the ‘UNDER’

When playing against Michigan State, everyone on the team has to rebound well. Ohio State freshman forward E.J. Liddell may be first man off the bench. He had a great performance against Illinois on Thursday, where he matched his career high with 17 points on 7-of-9 shooting from the floor, but he also grabbed 11 rebounds, setting a new career standard and earning his first career double-double. Lidell also had 17 points just five games ago against Iowa, grabbing eight rebounds in that contest, as he continues to progress and is getting more minutes in head coach Chris Holtmann's rotation.

From the predictive side of things, Ohio State ius 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS and 13-1-1 ‘UNDER’ when they have played on the road and had 10 or fewer turnovers and held the opponent to 40% or worse shooting.

Connecticut vs Tulane
Sunday, March 8, 2020
4:00 PM EST
7-Star Best Bet Titan on Tulane plus the points

Let’s take a quick look at few supporting team trends for Tulane and ones that work against UCONN. Tulane is 18-6 ATS when playing against a good team posting a win percentage of 60% to 80% over the last two seasons. Tulane is 8-0 ATS following a game in which they made at least 78% of their free throws in game splayed this season.

UCONN is 43-69 ATS after a game with nine or less assists in all games played spanning the last 20 seasons. They are 0-6 after having won six or seven of their last eight games in games played spanning the last three seasons. Huskies are an imperfect 0-9 ATS in road games after scoring 75 or more points in five consecutive games spanning the last 20 seasons.

From the predictive side of things UCONN is 0-9 SU and 2-7 ATS in road games in which the host shot between 30 and 37.5% from beyond the arc.

Tulsa vs Wichita State
4:00 PM EST, Sunday, March 8, 2020

7-Star Best bet Titan on Tulsa

The dominant trend supporting Tulsa is the fact that they are a perfect 7-0 ATS coming off a win against a conference foe and held that foe to 55 or fewer points in game splayed over the last 10 seasons. Tulsa is 54-29 ATS after two consecutive games getting nine or fewer offensive rebounds in games played over the last two seasons.

From the predictive side of things, Tulsa is a solid 14-5 ATS in games that had nine or fewer offensive rebounds in this season and 12-3 ATS for 80% in games in which they had 33 to 40 rebounds.

A win will give Tulsa the AAC regular-season conference championship.

Take Tulsa.

Long Beach State vs Cal State Fullerton

10:30 PM EST, March 3, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Long Beach State 49ers

I am jumping right the meat and potatoes of this betting opportunity only due to time. 

From the predictive side of things, the 49ers are a solid 16-4 ATS for 80% winning bets when scoring between 65 and 75 points in game splayed over the last three seasons; CSF Titans are just 4-16 ATS for 20% in games in which they did not shoot about 46% from the field in game splayed over the last two seasons; 0-7 ATS when they score less than 75 points in games played over the last two seasons. 

Charlotte vs Louisiana Tech

7:00 PM EST 03-07-20
NCAAM 7-Star Best Bet Titan on Purdue plus the Charlotte 49ers

The public is on the L-Tech team and logical since they have won four of their last five games and shot 54% in the last game, which was a 76-73 win over Florida International. However, they failed to cover the spread as nine points home favorite. 

Here is a situational betting system that has earned a solid 69-34 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to bet on road dogs including ‘pick’ that are coming off a poor shooting game making no more than 33% of their shot attempts and is facing a hot shooting team posting three consecutive games making at least 47% in each one. 

2:00 PM EST, 03-07-20
NCAAM 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Texas Tech Red Raiders  

Let us start with a situational vetting system that supports the Red Raiders and has earned a solid 30-7-1 ATS mark good for 81% winning bets. The system requires us to play on home teams in a game lined within three points on either side of ‘pick’ that is solid a defensive team allowing 40 to 43% shooting and is an average rebounding team posting a differential between -3 and +3 and are facing an excellent defensive teams allowing less than 40% shooting on the season and has outrebounded their opponents by six or boards-per-game on the season. 

Texas Tech is 11-3 ATS when facing very good teams outscoring their opponents by 8 or more points-per-game after 15 or more games over the last two seasons.

From the predictive aside of things, TT is 22-3 SU and 19-6 ATS for 76% winning tickets and covering the number by 10.4 points-per-game in games in which they attempted 54 to 60 shots. 

6:00 PM EST, 03-06-20

NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on VMI minus the points.

This is a first-round matchup in the Southern Conference with VMI sporting double revenge from to losses to Samford this season.

Here is a situational power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 47-18 ATS 72% record over the last 15 seasons and has a simple to understand combination of parameters. The system requires us to bet on all teams where the line is within three points on either side of ‘pick’ and revenging a straight up loss to the opponent as a road favorite and is a struggling team that has won 20% to 40% of their games on the season and is now playing a team with a losing record.

Teams that have had same season double revenge and are favored by at least 3 points in the third game of the season are a decent 34-22-2 ATS for 61% winning bets since 2006, but 17-5 ATS for 77% winners over the last three seasons.

From the predictive side of things, the summary projections show that Samford is just 12-28 for 30% when they have shot 40 to 45% from the field and shot under 35% from beyond the arc. VMI is 4-0 ATS covering the spread by an average of 9.4 points when holding an opponent to 40 to 45% shooting and not allowing more than 35% shooting from beyond the arc.

11:30 PM EST, 03-05-20

NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on the Nevada Wolfpack minus the points.

Here is a situational power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 61-29 ATS 68% record over the last five seasons and has a simple to understand combination of parameters. The system requires us to bet on neutral court games betting on the favorite including pick and after two or more consecutive ‘OVERS’ and in a game where both teams are decent defensive ones that allow an average between 65 and 75 points on the season.

From the predictive side of things, the summary projections show that Nevada is an outstanding 19-4 ATS for 83% winning bets when they have scored 75 or more points and gotten at least 45 rebounds. They are also 47-18-2 ATS for 72% when scoring 75 or more points and purebounding their opponent by at least 11 boards over the last 15 seasons; 12-1 ATS for 82% wins over the last three seasons.

Stanford vs Oregon State

9:00 PM EST, March 5, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Stanford Cardinal

This 7-Star bet is reinforced by a terrific betting system that has earned a 26-5 ATS record good for 84% winning bets over the last 20 seasons and instructs us to bet on road teams installed as a dog including ‘pick’ that are coming off two consecutive ATS wins as a favorite and is facing an opponent that is coming three or more consecutive road losses; 16-4 ATS for 80% since 2015.

From the predictive side of things, Stanford is 91-13 SU and 78-19-1 ATS for 81% winners when they have shot at least 48% form the field and at least 50% form beyond the arc in games played since 2006.

Illinois vs Ohio State 7:00 PM EST 03-02-20
NCAAM 7-Star Best Bet Titan on Ohio State minus the points

Here is a situational betting system that has earned a solid 100-66ATS mark good for 62% winners over the last five seasons. The requirements re to bet on home teams lined as favorites of 3 to 9 points and are coming off a double-digit win over a conference foe and with both teams in the game sporting solid win percentages between 60 and 75% on the season including a tightener that soars to 28-10 ATS for 74% winning bets when the team is ranked.

From the predictive side of things, Ohio State ius 65-2 SU aqnd 47-10 ATS for 83% winning bets when they have scored 75 or more points and made at least 42% of their three-point shots in games played since 2006.  

Georgetown vs Creighton

8:00 PM EST, 3-04-2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Creighton Bluejays

From the predictive side, the Bluejays are a solid 94-5 SU winning the games by an average of 19 points and 62-25 ATS for 70% wins when they have shot at least 49% from the field and 39% from beyond the arc. Adding in that the Bluejays had the better assists-to-field-goal-made (A-FGM) and their record soars to a 101-5 SU mark and 71-24 ATS mark good for 75% winning tickets since 2006. 

Texas A&M vs Auburn

7:00 PM EST 3-04-20
NCAAM 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Auburn Tigers

The No. 17 Auburn Tigers have a ton to play for in their last home game of the regular season. At stake is getting the double-bye into the quarterfinals of the SEC Tournament. The Tigers will face Tennessee on the road in their last game of the regular season. Currently the Tigers are tied with LSU with 11-5 conference records, but Auburn has the tie-breaker by virtue of their win over LSU earlier this season. So, there is no way the Tigers will take the Aggies for granted given all that is on the line. 

The Tigers are coming off a 73-66 loss to the Kentucky Wildcats, who are ranked No. 6 and sit at 14-3 in the conference standings. The Tigers shot 36% form the field, but they will shoot much better tonight. The Tigers are 22-12-2 ATS for 65% in home games following a game in which they lost, failed to cover the spread, and shot not better than 37.5% from the field; 6-0 ATS if favored by double digits. 

From the predictive side of things, the Tigers are 46-15 ATS for 75.4% winning bets when they have held an opponent to less than 40% shooting and less than 30% shooting from beyond the arc; 31-9 ATS for 78% winning tickets when the game is at home. 

Purdue vs Iowa

9:00 PM EST 03-02-20
NCAAM 7-Star Best Bet Titan on Purdue plus the points

Purdue is the best near 0.500 team, in the country and are as good as many teams with 18-10 records. They are a dangerous team and they are in desperation mode now knowing that they need to win their final two games and then get to the seminfinals to catch the attention of the selection committee.

It is difficult to bet against Iowa, who has lost just twice at home this season. They are largely inconsistent though, but when they play poorly, they are not Tournament-worth and when they play well, they are Final Four well. This is a great spot for Purdue though and I think they are capable of pulling off the upset.

Consider playing this game as a combination bet comprised of 80% of your normal 7-Star bet size using the line and then place the remaining 20% using the money line. Over the ocurse of a season, these types of bets add significantly to the ROI of the season.

Purdue is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS covering the spread by an average of 9 points after game where they allowed a shooting percentage of 33% or less over the last three seasons. Iowa is a money-burning 23-42 ATS after covering four of their last five against the spread since 2000; 7-15 ATS since 2015.

From the predictive side of things,. Purdue is 34-3 SU for 92% outright wins and 26-8 ATS in games in which they get at least 38 rebounds and have no more than 11 turnovers; 13-3 SU and 12-4 ATS for 75% against a conference foe.

7:00 PM EST, 03-03-20

NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on the Penn State Nittany Lions plus the points.

Coming up with late-season wins in the Big Ten is always a challenge, and Penn State knows it's a matter of executing and giving maximum effort. The Spartans have won three striaght games and will be looking to win their third consecutive game over a ranked opponent. Penn State appears to be sputtering down the stretch, but already defeated the Spartans February 5th in East Lansing 75-70.

The Spartans are in a terrible situation for this matchup. Big-Ten teams playing their third consecutive game against a ranked opponent and won the previous two games and are now playing on the road are an imperfect 0-6 straight-up (SU) and against-the-spread (ATS).

Penn State has a pair of seniors playing in their final home game in this one that lead the way in Lamar Stevens (17.7 points, 6.9 rebounds) and Mike Watkins (9.6 points, 7.6 boards, 2.3 blocks). The Lions did get a significant lift in their last game with the return of guard Myreon Jones (13.7 points, 52 3-pointers) after he missed six games with an illness. This adds depth to the bench as well.

Here is a situational power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding record and has a simple to understand combination of parameters. This system has posted a 29-6-1 ATS record for 83% winners and requires us to bet on home teams that are lined with three points on either side of ‘pick’  and is an average rebounding team posting a rebounding differential of between -3 and +3 per-game and is hosting an opponent that is an excellent defensive team allowing 40% or less shooting and has posted a rebounding differential of 6 or more rebounds-per-game

From the predictive side of things, the summary projections show that PSU is 45-15 SU winning the games by an average of 11 points and 36-13-3 ATS when they have had fewer turnovers than the opponent and made at least nine three-point shots; 10-2 ATS for 83% wins in game splayed over the last three seasons. PSU made nine 3-point shots in their win over MSU previously.

Jacksonville vs North Florida

7:30 PM EST, March 3, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Jacksonville Dolphins

This is a Roud-1 matchup in the Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament. The North Florida Ospreys tied with the Liberty Flames atop  the conference standings with 13-3 records and splitting their season matchups with one win each. This is too many points to be giving a team, like the Dolphins, who know a loss means they turn in their sneakers to the equipment manager tomorrow.

This situational betting query has produced a 167-100 ATS record ATS mark good for 64% winning bets over the last 20 seasons and requires us to bet on road teams as an underdog including pick and is revenging a double-digit road loss to the current opponent and is coming off a close win by three or fewer points to a conference rival. If the team we are identifying is also coming of that small margin win and shot less than 38% the record improves to 21-9 ATS for 69% winning bets.

If you feel confident, a combination wager is a good play here and would be 85% of your normal bet size on the line and 15% using the money line. There is nothing wrong with sticking to the line only bet, which is what my plan will be tonight.

Jacksonville is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS in road games after three straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or fewer turnovers this season.

From the predictive side of things, the Dolphins are 12-4 ATS for 75% wins when they have made 27 or more field goals and made at least 42% of their field goal attempts and had at least three more rebounds than the opponent.

9:00 PM EST, 03-02-20

NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on Texas Tech plus the points.

Let us start with a situational power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding record and has a simple to understand combination of parameters. This system has posted a 48-19-5 ATS record for 72% winners and requires us to bet on road teams as an underdog or pick (Red Raiders in this matchup)revenging a straight up loss to the current opponent as a home favorite and are off two consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals.

The Red Raiders are coming off back-to-back dominating losses. They first lost 65-51 to No.1 Kansas and failed to cover as 1.5-poit favorites. They shot a season-low 33% in that game. In their most recent game they lost at home to the Texas Longhorns 68-58 and failed to cover the spread as 11.5-point favorites. So, this is an exemplary contrarian play to be sure.

Here si the good news. The Red Raiders are a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after the 15th game of the regular season when facing excellent teams that are outscoring their opponents by at least 8 points-per-game in games played over last 2 seasons.

From the predictive side of things, the summary projections show a final score result within a range of Baylor winning by four points to Texas Tech winning by four points. Consider making a combination wager on this dog bet using 80% of your normal 7-Star wager amount and then add the remaining 20% using the money line.

Texas Tech is 53-11 SU for 83% wins and 33-15 ATS for 69% winning bets in home games where they have attempted at least 55 shot attempts, made at least 24 field goals, and had 12 or fewer turnovers in games played since 2006.

Take the Texas Tech Red Raiders and Look for the Upset Win

Michigan vs Ohio State

4:00 PM EST 03-01-20
NCAAM 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points

Let us start with a supporting power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 33-11 ATS record for 75% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after an ATS win as a double-digit favorite and is now facing an opponent off an upset loss installed as a favorite.

The Buckeyes are 6-0 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more this season.

From the predictive side of things, the Buckeyes are 72-1 SU and 44-13-1 ATS for 77% winning bets when they scored 75 or more points and had nine or more offensive rebounds since 2007 and 19-0 SU and 14-3-1 ATS for 82% winning bets if the game was at home facing a conference foe.

Towson vs Northeastern

4:00 PM EST, February 29, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Northeastern Huskies

Northeastern will have themselves prepared for this game as the conclude the regular season and look to begin a strong run in the Colonia Athletic Conference Tournament starting this week.

This situational betting query has produced a 32-11 ATS mark good for 74% winning bets over the last five seasons and requires us to bet on home favorites of 3.5 to 9 points with both them and the opponent sporting win percentages between 50% and 60% on the season and with the opponent coming off a road win against a conference foe.

Towson State is just 2-11 ATS after a game in which they were outrebounded by 20 or boards.

12:00 PM EST, 03-01-20

NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on Creighton minus the points.

Let us start with a situational power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding record and has a simple to understand combination of parameters. This system has posted a 40-15-2 ATS record for 72% winners and requires us to bet on road favorites of 4 to 11 points that have covered at least four consecutive games to the spread and is playing with five or 6 days of rest. This system has earned a 16-5 ATS mark for 76% winning bets since 2010 and 5-1 ATS over the last three seasons.

From the predictive side of things, the Creighton Bluejays are 26-7-1 in road games when they have scored 80 or more points, 20-5 ATS for 80% winners in road conference games and scoring 80 or more points, and 1

3-0 SU winning the games by an average of 18 points and 12-1 ATS covering the spread by an average of 11.1 points when favored on the road against a conference foe and scoring 80 or more points.

Ryan’s Big East  7-Star Best Bet Titan

Ryan went 5-2 ATS for the Saturday card and looks to add on to the winning weekend with this Big east matchup. The research supporting this play is awesome and features a betting syste that has hit 76% ATS over the last 10 seasons and a predictive team metric that has earned a 12-1 ATS record and has covered the spread by an average 11.1 points.

Oklahoma vs West Virginia

4:00 PM EST 2-29-20
NBA 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Oklahoma Sooner plus the points

Let us start with a supporting power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 28-5 ATS record for 86% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs that are coming off an double-digit upset win and is facing an opponent coming off a humiliating double-digit loss as a five or greater favorite. WVU lost 67-57 on he road at Texas and were installed as 6-point favorites. The Sooners ended a 3-game losing skid with an outstanding 65-51 home win as a 1.5-point underdog over Texas Tech.

From the predictive side of things, the Sooners are 34-3 SU and 25-8 ATS for 76% winning bets when shooting 45% or lower, shooting better than the opponent, and making more 3-point shots than the opponent.

Michigan State vs Maryland
8:00 PM EST, February 29, 2020
7-Star Best Bet Titan on the ‘OVER’

Due to the huge card, these reports are shorter than normal. I am sure you understand.

So, from the predictive side Michigan State is 40-22 ‘OVER’ for 65% winning bets in games in which they make at least 77% of their free throw shots and made at least 26 field goals.

Maryland is projected to match these projections and is 47-16-1 ‘OVER’ for 75% winning bets including 6-0 ‘OVER’ when they and the opponent are both ranked.