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John Ryan NCAA-B Top Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
01-18-25 Alabama v. Kentucky OVER 177.5 Top 102-97 Win 100 1 h 31 m Show

Kentucky vs Alabama 
8-Unit bet Under the posted total currently priced at 178.5 points. 

Teams that are ranked and taking on a ranked opponent, total is priced at 170 or more points, and playing with two or more days of rest has seen the the OVER go 20-12for 63% winning bets. If both teams are playing with three or more days of rest, the Over has gone 14-6 for 70% winning bets. 

01-16-25 Gonzaga -9 v. Oregon State Top 89-97 Loss -115 7 h 30 m Show

Gonzaga vs Oregon State 
8-Unit bet on Gonzaga priced as a 9.5-point favorite. 

The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 31-8 SU and 26-12-1 ATS record good for 68% winning bets since 2018. The requirements are: 

Bet on favorites between 3.5and 9.5 points. 

They have scored 75 or more points in five consecutive games. 

They are facing a foe off win by 30 or more points. 

01-15-25 West Virginia v. Houston UNDER 124.5 Top 54-70 Win 100 8 h 46 m Show

West Virginia vs Houston 
8-Unit bet on the Under priced at 123.5 points. 

The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 50-20-3 Under good for 71% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are:  

Bet the Under in a game with a total priced between 120 and 130 points.  

The game is a matchup of teams that have won 80% or more of their games.  

One of the teams is coming off a double digit win over a conference opponent.  

If it is game number 20 or more, the Under has gone 46-17-3 for 73% winning bets. 

01-14-25 Iowa v. USC UNDER 162 Top 89-99 Loss -105 12 h 35 m Show

Iowa vs USC 
8-Unit bet UNDER the total currently priced at 162 points

The following college basketball betting algorithm has produced a 23-11 UNDER record good for 68% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are: 

Bet the Under involving a road dog or not more than three points. 

That dog is coming off a 20 or more-point win over a conference rival. 

Both teams have won between 60 and 80% of their games. 

01-13-25 Coppin State +13.5 v. Howard Top 75-90 Loss -110 7 h 27 m Show

Coppin State vs Howard 
8-Unit bet on Coppin State priced as 13.5-point underdogs. 

The following college basketball betting algorithm has produced an 8-73 SU and 54-27 ATSrecord good for 67% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are: 

Bet on double-digit road dogs. 

The dog has been outscored by 8 or more PPG. 

They are facing a foe that has posted a scoring differential between –3 and +3 PPG. 

The favorite has seen their last two games combine for a total of 155 or more points in each game. 

If the game takes place form game number 15 on out, these big dogs have gone 3-36 SU and 29-10 ATS for 74% winning bets since 2006. 

Coppin State Eagles 

The Coppin State Eagles have had a challenging season, currently holding a record of 2-15 overall and 1-2 in the MEAC Conference. Despite their struggles, the Eagles have a few standout players: 

Toby Nnadozie: Leading the team with an average of 10.2 points and 12.2 rebounds per game. 

Jonathan Dunn: Contributing 8.4 points and 4.6 rebounds per game. 

Peter Oduro: Adding 7.5 points and 3.5 rebounds per game. 

Advanced Team Statistics: 

Assist-Turnover Ratio: 0.7 (Rank: 320th nationally) 

Assist to Field Goal Made Ratio: 0.32 (Rank: 315th nationally) 

Howard University Bison 

The Howard University Bison have been more successful this season, with a record of 6-10 overall and 3-1 in the MEAC Conference. They have several key players who have been instrumental to their performance: 

Jahkiya Williams: Averaging 15.3 points and 4.2 assists per game. 

Jaden Gardner: Contributing 14.1 points and 5.6 rebounds per game. 

Jahvon Blair: Adding 10.8 points and 3.1 assists per game. 

Advanced Team Statistics: 

Assist-Turnover Ratio: 1.2 (Rank: 150th nationally) 

Assist to Field Goal Made Ratio: 0.45 (Rank: 200th nationally) 

01-12-25 Oregon v. Penn State +2 Top 82-81 Win 100 5 h 44 m Show

Oregon vs Penn State 
8-Unit bet on Penn State priced as 2-point underdog. 

The following college basketball betting algorithm has produced a 69-32 ATSand the requirements are: 

Bet on home underdogs including pick-em. 

The game is matchup of conference foes. 

Our dog is fresh off an upset win over a conference foe. 

Our dog has a winning record. 

The road team has won 80% or more of their games. 

01-11-25 Tennessee v. Texas OVER 136.5 Top 74-70 Win 100 7 h 55 m Show

No. 1 Tennessee vs Texas 
8-Unit bet Over the posted total currently priced at 136.5 points. 

We had Florida as a winning bet in their destruction of No. 1-ranked Tennessee on Wednesday night. Ranked team and in particulartop 5 teams are elite teams because they bounce back from horrid performances. The Over is 62-32 for 66% winning bets when a top 5 team is coming off a double-digit loss and facing a conference foe on the road. The Over is 19-6 for 76% winners when coming off a double-digit loss and scored 20 or more points below their season-to-date average and facing a conference opponent on the road. 

This will be a tough game for Tennessee to come away with a win playing in Auston, Texas against the 11-4 Longhorns. Rick Barnes’ Volunteers have struggledduring roadgames and have averaged 67 PPG, but that includes their 43-ppoint scoring drought and loss to Florida. So, they are not a team that is prone to playing badly away from home and the predictive mode projects a high probability that they will score just Under their season average in this game. 

From the predictive model: My predictive models expect both teams to score 70 or more points, which obviously makes the OVER bet a winner. The model projects that Tennessee and Texas will shoot 45% or better from the field and shoot 40% or better from beyond the arc. The Over is 21-8 for 72% winners when Tennessee has shot 45% or better form the field and shot 40% or better form beyond the arc since 2021. The Over is 18-7-1 for 72% winners when they have shot 45% or better and 40% or better form beyond the arc. 

01-11-25 Kansas -110 v. Cincinnati Top 54-40 Win 100 3 h 54 m Show

Kansas vs Cincinnati 
8-Unit bet on Kansas priced as a 1.5-point underdog or the money line if the line moves to pick-em or even a favorite. 

From the Predictive Model: My model expects Cincy to shoot no better than 70% at the charity stripe and not better than 32% from beyond the arc. Cincinnati is 18-22 SU and 11-29 ATS when shooting this poorly in games played over the past five seasons. Kansas is 27-3 SU and 23-7 ATS good for 77% winning bets when their defense has played this well in gamers played over the past five seasons. 

01-09-25 Pacific +15.5 v. Washington State Top 95-94 Win 100 8 h 1 m Show

Pacific vs Washington State 
8-Unit bet on Pacific priced as a 16.5-point underdog. 

The following College Basketball betting system has produced a 6-62 SU record but a highly profitable 41-27 ATS good for 60% winning bets since 2010. The requirements are: 

Bet on double-digit road dogs.  

They are coming off a loss by 15 or more points and were favored. 

They are playing on four or more days of rest. 

If they are playing against a non-conference foe, their record improves to 23-14 ATS for 62% winning bets. If our dog is priced between 13 and 19.5 points, they have gone 13-6 ATS for 68.4% winning bets. 

01-07-25 Tennessee v. Florida -2 Top 43-73 Win 100 4 h 42 m Show

No. 1 Tennessee vs No. 8 Florida 
8-Unit bet on Florida priced as a 1.5-point favorite. 

I like the money line a bit better than laying the points. 

The following College Basketball betting system has produced a 25-9 SU and 22-11-1 ATS record good for 67% winning bets since 2006.  

Bet on a ranked team in the most recent Top 25 poll. 

They are facing a foe ranked in the top five in the most recent poll. 

The top 25 ranked team mentioned in line item 1, is favored by 1.5 to 6 points. 

The game occurs withing the first 15 games of the season. 

If the matchup is two teams from the SEC conference, the road team is 8-0 SU and 7-0-1 ATS for 100% winning bets. 

Unefeated teams with a 14-0 or better mark and find themsleves priced as a dog have gone 11-30 SU and 17-24 ATS for 42% since 2008.  

Key Matchups 

Tennessee's Defense vs. Florida's Offense: The Volunteers have one of the best defenses in the nation, allowing only 55.9 points per game. They will need to contain Florida's high-scoring offense, led by Walter Clayton Jr. (18.3 PPG) and Alijah Martin (15.9 PPG)1. If Tennessee can limit Florida's scoring opportunities, they will have a significant advantage. 

Florida's Rebounding vs. Tennessee's Interior Defense: The Gators have a slight edge in rebounding, averaging 38.7 rebounds per game. They will need to dominate the boards, especially on the offensive end, to create second-chance scoring opportunities. Tennessee's interior defense, anchored by Igor Milicic Jr. (10.9 PPG, 10.2 RPG), will be crucial in preventing Florida from capitalizing on rebounds. 

Three-Point Shooting: Both teams have strong three-point shooting capabilities, but Florida will need to be more efficient from beyond the arc to keep pace with Tennessee's scoring. The Gators shot 48.3% from three-point range in their last game against Kentucky, but they will need to maintain that level of accuracy against the Volunteers' defense. 

01-06-25 Mississippi Valley State +16.5 v. Alabama A&M Top 67-79 Win 100 6 h 37 m Show

Mississippi Valley State bs Alabama A&M 
8-Unit bet on MVST priced as a 16.5-point underdog. 

The following College Basketball betting system has produced a 15-186 SU and 116-83-2ATS record good for 58% winning bets since 2009.  

Bet on a road double-digit underdog. 

That team lost their previous game by 15 or more points and were priced as the favorite. 

If our team is playing on 1 or 2 days of rest, they have gone 55-32 ATS for 63% winning bets. If they are priced as 15 or greater-point underdogs they have gone 25-12 ATS for 68% winning bets. 

01-05-25 Kansas -4.5 v. UCF Top 99-48 Win 100 5 h 19 m Show

Kansas vs Central Florida 
8-Unit bet on Kansas priced as a 5.5-point favorite. 

The following College Basketball betting system has produced a 19-6 SU and 17-7-1 ATS record good for 71% winning bets since 2010. The requirements are: 

Bet on road favorites priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. 

The road favorite is coming off a loss by 5 or fewer points. 

The dog scored and allowed 80 or more points in their previous game. 

The opponent averages 77 or more PPG. 

01-04-25 Michigan -5 v. USC Top 85-74 Win 100 7 h 30 m Show

Michigan vs USC 
8-Unit bet on Michigan priced as a  

The following College Basketball betting system has produced a 26-5 SU and 22-9 ATS record good for 71% winning bets since 2018. The requirements are: 

Bet on favorites priced between 2.5 and 7.5 points. 

The underdog is coming off a blowout win by 30 or more points. 

The favorite has scored 75 or more points in five consecutive games. 

If the total is 155 or fewer points, these favorites have gone 25-6 SU and 22-9 ATS good for 71% winning bets. 

01-04-25 Oklahoma v. Alabama -13 Top 79-107 Win 100 5 h 29 m Show

Oklahoma vs Alabama 
8-Unit bet on Alabama priced as a 13-point favorite.

The following College Basketball betting system has produced a 33-11 ATS record good for 75% winning bets since 2018. The requirements are: 

Bet on double-digit favorites. 

The favorite allows between 40 and 42.5% shooting. 

The opponent has shot 47.5% or better for the season. 

The opponent has shot 47% or better in each of their last four games. 

01-04-25 Vanderbilt -2 v. LSU Top 80-72 Win 100 4 h 10 m Show

Vanderbilt vs LSU 
8-Unit bet on Vanderbilt priced as a 2.5-point favorite. 

The following College Basketball betting system has produced a 26-5 SU and 22-9 ATS record good for 71% winning bets since 2018. The requirements are: 

Bet on favorites priced between 2.5 and 7.5 points. 

The underdog is coming off a blowout win by 30 or more points. 

The favorite has scored 75 or more points in five consecutive games. 

01-02-25 Cal-Irvine v. Cal Poly UNDER 158.5 Top 98-89 Loss -110 6 h 59 m Show

UC Irvine vs Cal Poly Slo 
8-Unit bet UNDER the total currently priced at 158.5 points. 

Betting the Under involving a road favorite of 7.5 or more points that are playing on two or fewer days rest and facing a host that has not played a game in 12 or more days have produced a 17-6 Under record for 74% bets since 2017.  

If the total is priced at 145 or more points, the Under has gone a perfect 11-0 for 100% winning bets.  

01-02-25 Memphis v. Florida Atlantic +3.5 Top 90-62 Loss -110 5 h 60 m Show

Memphis vs Florida Atlantic 
8-Unit bet on FAU pried as a 3.5-point underdog. 

The following NCAA betting algorithm has gone 40-26 SU (61%) and 45-17 ATS (73%) since 2019. The requirements needed for this a betting opportunity to be validated is as follows:  

Bet on teams with 7 or more days of rest.  

That team is coming off a horrid loss by 15 or more points.  

They were priced as the favorite.  

If these dogs have had 10 or more days of rest, they have gone 14-9 SU (61%) and 17-4 ATS for 81% winning bets since 2019. FAU has not played a game over the past 11 days.  

12-31-24 Morehead State v. Southern Indiana Top 70-68 Loss -110 8 h 22 m Show

Southern Indiana Vs Morehead State 
8-unit bet on SIU priced at Pick-em. 

The following NCAA betting algorithm has gone 33-24 SU (58%) and 40-16 ATS (71.4%) since 2019. The requirements needed for this a betting opportunity to be validated is as follows:  

Bet on teams with 7 or more days of rest.  

That team is coming off a horrid loss by 15 or more points.  

They were priced as the favorite.  

If these dogs have had 9 or more days of rest, they have gone 20-15 SU (57%) and 25-8 ATS for 76% winning bets since 2019.  

12-31-24 Brown +25.5 v. Kentucky Top 54-88 Loss -110 2 h 52 m Show

Brown vs Kentucky 
8-unit bet on Brown priced as 24-point underdogs. 

The following NCAA betting algorithm has gone 33-24 SU (58%) and 40-16 ATS (71.4%) since 2019. The requirements needed for this a betting opportunity to be validated is as follows:  

Bet on teams with 7 or more days of rest.  

That team is coming off a horrid loss by 15 or more points.  

They were priced as the favorite.  

12-29-24 Hofstra -119 v. Quinnipiac Top 69-75 Loss -119 1 h 10 m Show

Hofstra vs Quinnipiac 
8-unit bet on Hofstra priced as a 1-point favorite. 

The following College Basketball betting system has produced a 13-8 SU and 17-3 ATS record good for 85% winning bets since 2019. 

Bet on a team that has not played in 10 or more days. 

That team is coming off an upset loss by 15 or more points. 

12-28-24 Pacific +21 v. St. Mary's Top 60-70 Win 100 9 h 21 m Show

Pacific vs St. Mary’s 
8-Unit bet on Pacific priced as a 21-point underdog.  

The following NCAA Basketball betting algorithm has produced a 15-183 SU (8%) record and a 115-82-2 ATS record good for 59% winning bets since 2010. The requirements are: • 

Bet on double-digit road teams. 

That team is going off an upset loss by 15 or more points. 

If the total is between 135 and 145 points, these dogs have gone 38-23-1 ATS for 63% winning bets. If the dog is priced at 17 or more points, they have gone14-7 ATS for 67% winning bets. 

12-21-24 Penn State v. Drexel UNDER 147 Top 75-64 Win 100 1 h 24 m Show

Penn State vs Drexel 
8-Unit bet on the UNDER priced at 147 points. 

The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 66-30-1 for 69% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:  

Bet the Under with a total between 140 and 149.5 points.  

The game is played on a neutral court.  

The opponent is not ranked.  

The team (PSU) is averaging a 20 or more-point lead at the half of their games. 

If our team (PSU) is playing on four or more days of rest, the UNDER has gone 26-9 for 76% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. 

12-19-24 Eastern Illinois v. SE Missouri State -4.5 Top 72-79 Win 100 8 h 4 m Show

Eastern Illinois vs SE Missouri State 
8-Unit bet on SE Missouri State priced as 5.5-point favorites. 

The following NCAAM betting algorithm has produced an exception record going 30-19 SU 32-15-2 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on teams with 7 or more days of rest.  

That team is coming off a horrid loss by 15 or more points.  

They were priced as the favorite.  

If these teams have had 10 or more days of rest, they have gone 12-8 SU (60%) and 16-3 ATS for 84% winning bets since 2019. 

12-18-24 Creighton v. Georgetown +4 Top 57-81 Win 100 7 h 53 m Show

Creighton vs Georgetown 
8-Unit bet on Georgetown priced as a 3-point underdog 

The following NCAA betting algorithm has gone 27-28 SU (58%) and 35-20 ATS (64%) since 2011. The requirements needed for this a betting opportunity to be validated is as follows:  

Bet on a home dog priced between 3 and 7 points. 

The dog is playing three to 7 days of rest. 

The dog was a winning record. 

The opponent is not ranked. 

The dog has covered the spread in four or five of their previous 6 games. 

The teams are members of the Big East, ACC, SEC, Big-12, or Big-Ten. 

12-17-24 Michigan State v. Oakland +16.5 Top 77-58 Loss -107 9 h 31 m Show

Michigan State vs Oakland 
8-Unit bet on Oakland priced as a 16.5-point underdog 

The following NCAA betting algorithm has gone 35-29 SU (58%) and 44-19-1 ATS (70%) since 2019. The requirements needed for this a betting opportunity to be validated is as follows:  

Bet on teams with 7 or more days of rest.  

That team is coming off a horrid loss by 15 or more points.  

They were priced as the favorite.  

If these dogs have had 9 or more days of rest, they have gone 18-14 SU (56%) and 24-7 ATS for 77% winning bets since 2019.If the opponent is ranked (MSU is ranked 20), our dogs have gone 5-6 SU and 9-2 ATS for 82% winning bets.  

12-16-24 Oral Roberts +27.5 v. Texas Tech Top 50-86 Loss -110 8 h 32 m Show

Oral Roberts vs Texas Tech 
8-unit bet on Oral Roberts priced as a 27-point road underdog. 

The following NCAA betting algorithm has gone 33-24 SU (58%) and 40-16 ATS (71.4%) since 2019. The requirements needed for this a betting opportunity to be validated is as follows:  

Bet on teams with 7 or more days of rest.  

That team is coming off a horrid loss by 15 or more points.  

They were priced as the favorite. 

12-10-24 Eastern Washington +13.5 v. Washington Top 69-87 Loss -114 12 h 9 m Show

Eastern Washington vs Washington NCAA Basketball Game Preview 

Game Details 

Date: Tuesday, December 10, 2024 

Time: 11:00 PM ET 

Venue: Alaska Airlines Arena, Seattle, Washington 

Broadcast: Big Ten Network 

5-Unit bet on EWU priced as a 13-point underdog. 

The following NCAA betting algorithm has gone 33-24 SU (58%) and 40-16 ATS (71.4%) since 2019. The requirements needed for this a betting opportunity to be validated is as follows: 

Bet on double-digit road underdogs. 

The dog is coming off a horrid loss of 15 or more points and was priced as the favorite. 

Key Matchups 

Three-Point Shooting: Eastern Washington has a significant edge in three-point shooting, averaging 32.9% compared to Washington's 28.8%. Andrew Cook, who averages 16.8 points per game, will be crucial for the Eagles. 

Rebounding: Washington has a strong rebounding advantage, averaging 38.5 rebounds per game compared to Eastern Washington's 29.7. Great Osobor, averaging 9.3 rebounds per game, will be key for the Huskies. 

Turnover Battle: Eastern Washington has a higher turnover rate, averaging 14.2 turnovers per game compared to Washington's 11.5. Limiting turnovers will be crucial for Eastern Washington to stay competitive and cover the spread. 

12-10-24 Charlotte +9 v. Davidson Top 71-75 Win 100 8 h 9 m Show

Charlotte 49ers vs. Davidson Wildcats  
8-Unit bet on Charlotte priced as a 9.5-point underdog. 

The following NCAA betting algorithm has gone 33-24 SU (58%) and 40-16 ATS (71.4%) since 2019. The requirements needed for this a betting opportunity to be validatedis as follows:  

Bet on teams with 7 or more days of rest.  

That team is coming off a horrid loss by 15 or more points. 

 They were priced as the favorite.  

If these dogs have had 10 or more days of rest, they have gone 12-7 SU (63%) and 15-3 ATS for 83% winning bets since 2019. 

Charlotte 49ers: The 49ers are currently 4-3 and have struggled on the road with a 0-1 record away from home. They average 71.6 points per game on 42.3% shooting and allow 71.4 points per game on 46.2% shooting. 

Davidson Wildcats: The Wildcats are 6-2 and have been dominant at home with a 4-0 record. They average 78.3 points per game on 47% shooting and allow 74 points per game on 45.1% shooting. 

Key Players 

Charlotte 49ers: 

Nik Graves: Averaging 15.6 points, 4 rebounds, and 3.7 assists. 

Giancarlo Rosado: Averaging 12.5 points and 6.5 rebounds. 

Davidson Wildcats: 

Reed Bailey: Averaging 18.4 points and 7.3 rebounds. 

Connor Kochera: Averaging 16.9 points and 3.1 assists. 

Significant Matchups 

Reed Bailey vs. Charlotte's Defense: Bailey has been a standout player for Davidson, and his performance will be crucial. Charlotte's defense will need to step up to contain him. 

Nik Graves vs. Davidson's Defense: Graves is Charlotte's leading scorer, and his ability to penetrate Davidson's defense will be key for the 49ers. 

Three-Point Shooting: Davidson averages 7.5 made 3-pointers per game, while Charlotte gives up 6.1 per game. Controlling the perimeter will be vital for both teams. 

Three-Point Percentage: Davidson shoots 33.3% from beyond the arc, while Charlotte shoots 30.7%. 

Assist-to-Turnover Ratio: Charlotte ranks third in the AAC with 15.3 assists per game led by Giancarlo Rosado averaging 3.8 assists. Davidson averages 16.6 assists per game. 

12-08-24 Kansas -6.5 v. Missouri Top 67-76 Loss -110 2 h 50 m Show

Kansas vs Missouri 
8-unit bet on Kansas priced as a 6.5-point favorite. 
The following NBA betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 94-19 SU (83%) and a 74-38-1 ATS result for 66% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are: 

Bet on favorites [riced between 3 and 9-point favorites. 

They are an excellent defensive team allowing 40 to 42% shooting. 

The underdog has shot 50% or higher in each of their last three games. 

The underdog has shot 47.5% or better on the season. 

Given the 83% SU recvord supporting Kansas, it does make sense to bet 80% preflop and then look to add 20% more at pick-em during the first half of action. The downside is that you may not get the opportunity at pick-em but that that also implies that you are winning your 80% bet on Kansas. 

12-06-24 Illinois v. Northwestern UNDER 143.5 Top 66-70 Win 100 5 h 10 m Show

19 Illinois vs Northwestern 
8-Unit Bet on the UNDER currently priced at 143.5 points. 

The following betting algorithm has produced a 44-23 UNDER mark for 66% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet under with any team where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points. 

That team (Illinois) is an excellent defensive team allowing

12-05-24 Purdue v. Penn State -115 Top 70-81 Win 100 6 h 9 m Show

8 Purdue vs Penn State 
8-Unit bet on PSU priced as a 2-point home favorite. 

The following NCAA basketball betting algorithm has produced a 24-9 SU (73%) and 23-9-1 ATS (72%) winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on a non-ranked team facing a ranked opponent. 

Our team is playing at home and priced at pick-em to a three-point favorite. 

The game is a matchup of conference foes. 

Our team is averaging 82 or more PPG. 

12-04-24 North Dakota +7.5 v. Eastern Washington Top 81-87 Win 100 6 h 55 m Show

North Dakota State vs Eastern Washington 
8-Unit Bet on NDST priced as a 6.5-point underdog. 

The following NCAA betting algorithm has gone 33-24 SU (58%) and 40-16 ATS (71.4%) since 2019. The requirements needed for this a betting opportunity to be validated is as follows: 

Bet on teams with 7 or more days of rest.  

That team is coming off a horrid loss by 15 or more points and was priced as the favorite. 

If these dogs have had 10 or more days of rest, they have gone 12-7 SU (63%) and 15-3 ASTS for 83% winning bets since 2019. 

12-04-24 Alabama v. North Carolina OVER 176 Top 94-79 Loss -110 4 h 9 m Show

Alabama vs UNC 
8-Unit bet OVER the posted total of 176 points. 

The following NCAA betting algorithm has gone 60-44 (58%) Over the total since 2019. The requirements needed for this a betting opportunity to be validated is as follows: 

Bet over with a road team coming off a close loss by 3 or fewer points. 

The host is coming off a game where both teams scored 80 or more points. 

The road team is averaging 80 or more PPG. 

If the road team is ranked within the Top 25, the Over has gone 9-2 for 82% winning bets since 2010. 

12-04-24 Ohio State v. Maryland -5.5 Top 59-83 Win 100 3 h 24 m Show

Ohio State vs Maryland 
8-unit bet on Maryland priced as a 5.5-point favorite. 

The following NCAA betting algorithm has gone 33-24 SU (58%) and 40-16 ATS (71.4%) since 2019. The requirements needed for this a betting opportunity to be validated is as follows: 

Betting on home teams in a conference matchup. 

The road team won each of their two previous games by 20 or more points. 

 The host scored 45 or more points in the first half of their previous game. 

12-03-24 Syracuse v. Tennessee -22 Top 70-96 Win 100 4 h 7 m Show

Syracuse vs 3 Tennessee 
8-Unit bet on Tennessee priced as an 22-point favorite. 

This line may trend a bit lower as the day wears on, so the recommendation is bet 50% preflop now and then look within an hour of game time and bet the remaining 50%.  

The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 40-22 SU (61%) and a 41-21 ATS (67%) winning record since the 2006 season. The requirements are: 

Bet on home teams that are scoring 76 or more PPG. 

The home team is coming off two consecutive wins by 15 or more points. 

The opponent is a terrible defensive team allowing 76 or more PPG 

12-03-24 Cincinnati v. Villanova +3.5 Top 60-68 Win 100 3 h 8 m Show

15 Cincinnati vs Villanova  
8-Unit bet on Villanovapriced as a 3.5-point underdog. 

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 40-22 SU (61%) and a 41-21 ATS (67%) winning record since the 2006 season. The requirements are: 

Bet on home dogs of 4 or more points. 

The game is a non-conference game. 

Our team is coming off a win priced as a favorite that they did not cover. 

Both teams are from the Major Conferences. 

If our team is from the Big East, they have gone 7-7 SU and 9-5 ASTS good for 64% winning bets. 

12-02-24 Jackson State +22 v. St. Louis Top 66-74 Win 100 6 h 60 m Show

Jackson State vs St. Louis 

8-Unit bet on Jackson State priced as a 20-point underdog. 

The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 7-36 SU and 32-10-1 ATS record good for 76% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements needed for an active betting opportunity are as follows: 

Bet on double-digit road underdogs. 

The favorite is coming off a close win by three or fewer points. 

Our dog has scored 65 or fewer points in each of their last three games. 

If our dog is playing five or more days of rest (JS has 7 days of rest), they improve to a highly profitable 7-1 ATS for 88% winning bets.  

11-29-24 Wichita State v. Florida UNDER 155.5 Top 51-88 Win 100 4 h 25 m Show

Wichita State vs Florida 
Friday, 11/29/2024 3:30 PM  
ESPN Events Invitational - State Farm Field House - Orlando, FL 
8-Unit bet on the UNDER priced at 152.5 points. 

The following NCAA Basketball betting algorithm has gone 84-46-2 ATS good for 65% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. 

Bet the UNDER priced between 150 and 159.5 points. 

The game involved two elite teams that are outscoring their opponents by eight or more PPG. 

Both teams have scored 75 or more points in each of their last five games. 

11-29-24 West Virginia v. Arizona UNDER 151.5 Top 83-76 Loss -110 4 h 57 m Show

West Virginia vs Arizona 
3 EST, Friday | Battle 4 Atlantis 
8-Unit bet on the Under priced at 151.5 points. 

The following NCAA Basketball betting algorithm has gone 18-7-1 Under good for 72% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. 

Bet the Under in a neutral court setting. 

The total is priced between 150 and 159.5 points. 

One of the teams has seen their last five games play OVER the total by 42 or more points. 

That team is playing on back-to-back days. 

The game is played on Friday or Saturday.  

11-28-24 Ole Miss +4 v. BYU Top 96-85 Win 100 8 h 8 m Show

Ole Miss vs BYU 
5:30 ET | Rady Children's Invitational - LionTree Arena - La Jolla, CA 
8-Unit Bet on Ole Miss priced as 4.5-point underdogs. 

The following college basketball betting algorithm has produced a 15-12 SU and 19-6-2 ATS record for 76% winning bets since 2006. 

Bet on any team in a neutral court setting. 

The opponent has scored 75 or more points in five consecutive games. 

Our team has a solid defense allowing 40 to 42.5% shooting. 

11-28-24 Oklahoma +6.5 v. Arizona Top 82-77 Win 100 8 h 38 m Show

Oklahoma vs Arizona 
Imperial Arena, Nassau 
5 ET 
8-Unit bet on the Sooners priced as 5.5-point underdogs. 

The following college basketball betting algorithm has produced a 15-12 SU and 19-6-2 ATS record for 76% winning bets since 2006. 

Bet on a neutral court underdog including pick-em that have a winning record. 

The opponent has lost to the spread by 18 or more points in total spanning their last three games. 

The opponent has won 50 to 60% of their games. 

11-28-24 Arkansas v. Illinois -2.5 Top 77-90 Win 100 7 h 39 m Show

19 Arkansas vs Illinois 
T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, MO 
4 ET | CBS 
8-Unit bet on Illinois priced as 2-point favorites and consider the money line as the preferred bet. 

The following college basketball betting algorithm has produced a 21-17 SU and 23-13-2 ATS record for 64% winning bets since 2006. 

Bet on any team with a game total of 150 or more points. 

That team is facing a foe that is coming off a game in which they scored 95 or more points. 

The game features two teams with excellent defenses allowing an average of 63 or fewer PPG. 

Arkansas Razorbacks (5-1) 

Offensive Rating: 108.2 (Rank: 50th) 

Defensive Rating: 88.7 (Rank: 8th) 

Field Goal Percentage: 46.3% 

Three-Point Percentage: 33.1% 

Rebounds per Game: 38.2 

Assists per Game: 14.5 

Turnovers per Game: 11.2 

Illinois Fighting Illini (5-1) 

Offensive Rating: 107.5 (Rank: 55th) 

Defensive Rating: 87.9 (Rank: 7th) 

Field Goal Percentage: 45.8% 

Three-Point Percentage: 34.2% 

Rebounds per Game: 37.8 

Assists per Game: 15.1 

Turnovers per Game: 10.8 

Key Players 

Arkansas Razorbacks 

Boogie Fland: 17.2 PPG, 5.5 APG, 3.2 RPG 

Adou Thiero: 18.0 PPG, 5.8 RPG, 2.1 SPG 

Johnell Davis: 9.3 PPG, 4.7 RPG 

Illinois Fighting Illini 

Will Riley: 17.2 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 1.8 APG 

Tomislav Ivisic: 15.5 PPG, 8.7 RPG, 1.2 BPG 

Kasparas Jakucionis: 12.0 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 6.3 APG 

Game Analysis 

Both teams are known for their strong defensive play, with Arkansas and Illinois ranking in the top 10 for defensive efficiency. This matchup is expected to be a low-scoring affair, with both teams excelling at limiting their opponents' scoring opportunities. 

Arkansas will rely on the scoring prowess of Boogie Fland and Adou Thiero, while Illinois will look to Will Riley and Tomislav Ivisic to lead their offense. The key to the game may lie in the battle on the boards and the ability to force turnovers and that favors Illinois based on the model projections. If Illinois’ Ben Humrichous gets hot from beyond the arc, Arkansas will be forcd to spread their defense and open the lane for Illinois. 

11-25-24 Auburn v. Iowa State UNDER 145 Top 83-81 Loss -110 7 h 40 m Show

5 Iowa State vs 4 Auburn 
9 ET | ESPNU 
8-Unit bet on the Under currently priced at 144.5 points. 

The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 66-30-1 for 69% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: 

Bet the Under with a total between 140 and 149.5 points. 

The game is played on a neutral court. 

The opponent is not ranked. 

The team is averaging a 20 or more-point lead at the half of their games. 

Iowa State vs Auburn: 2024 Maui Invitational Preview 

Tonight, the No. 5 Iowa State Cyclones (3-0) will face off against the No. 4 Auburn Tigers (4-0) in the first round of the 2024 Maui Invitational at Lahaina Civic Center. Tipoff is set for 9:00 PM ET. 

Team Rankings and Records 

Iowa State Cyclones: Ranked No. 5, undefeated with wins by an average margin of 25 points. 

Auburn Tigers: Ranked No. 4, undefeated with notable wins over Kent State, North Alabama, and Houston. 

Key Players and Statistics 

Iowa State Cyclones: 

Curtis Jones: 15.0 PPG 

Tamin Lipsey: 13.7 PPG 

Keshon Gilbert: 12.3 PPG 

Joshua Jefferson: 10.7 PPG, 6.7 RPG 

Auburn Tigers: 

Johni Broome: 20.0 PPG, 11.3 RPG, 2.5 APG, 3.3 BPG 

Denver Jones: 11.3 PPG, 4.0 APG 

Chad Baker-Mazara: 10.5 PPG 

Miles Kelly: 10.2 PPG 

Coaching Trends 

Iowa State (Coach T.J. Otzelberger): Known for a defensive-minded approach, the Cyclones have developed into a tough, rugged team. 

Auburn (Coach Bruce Pearl): Auburn boasts a top five offense and defense, with a focus on effective field goal shooting and two-point shooting. 

Injury Reports 

Iowa State: No significant injuries reported. 

Auburn: No significant injuries reported. 

11-25-24 Maryland-Eastern Shore +35 v. Arkansas Top 35-109 Loss -110 6 h 39 m Show

Maryland Eastern Shore vs Arkansas 
8 ET | ESPN+ 
5-Unit bet on MES priced as a 35.5-point underdog. 

The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 1-56 SU and 35-22-1 ATS mark good for 62% winning bets since 2010. The requirements are: 

Bet on road dogs of 20 or more points. 

The dog is coming off a horrid loss of 15 or more points and was the favorite. 

11-22-24 Florida State v. Temple UNDER 149 Top 78-69 Win 100 2 h 56 m Show

FSU vs Temple 

5 ET 
8-Unit bet on the Under priced at 148.5 points. 

The following NCAAM betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 19-22 SU, 17-23-1 ATS, and highly profitable 25-16 Under result for 61% winning bets since 1995. The requirements are: 

Bet the Under when the total is priced at 140 or more points. 

One of the teams is playing with 5 or more days of rest. 

The venue is on a neutral court. 

One of the teams is coming off an upset loss (Temple) 

The game takes place from November to the end of the season. 

If the game occurs in November, the Under has gone 12-4 for 75% winning bets. 

The Florida State Seminoles and Temple Owls are set to face off in the Basketball Hall of Fame Tip-Off Tournament at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut, on Friday, November 22, 2024. This game will be broadcast on ESPN+ at 5:00 PM EST. 

Returning Starters 

Florida State Seminoles: The Seminoles have two returning starters from last year's team: Jamir Watkins and Taylor Bol Bowen. 

Temple Owls: Temple has one returning starter, Jamal Mashburn Jr., who transferred from New Mexico. 

Key Players 

Florida State Seminoles: 

Jamir Watkins: Leading the team with an average of 18.2 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 2.4 steals per game. 

Taylor Bol Bowen: Contributing 8.8 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 2.0 steals per game. 

Malique Ewin: Adding 8.0 points and 4.6 rebounds per game. 

Daquan Davis: Scoring 7.4 points and 1.8 assists per game. 

Justin Thomas: Providing 7.0 points and 2.2 assists per game. 

Temple Owls: 

Jamal Mashburn Jr.: Leading the team with 23.5 points, 2.3 rebounds, and 2.5 assists per game. He is shooting an impressive 61.9% from three-point range. 

Steve Settle III: Averaging 13.3 points, 8.8 rebounds, and 2.3 assists per game. 

Zion Stanford: Contributing 10.8 points, 2.8 rebounds, and 1 block per game. 

Quante Berry: Adding 4.8 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 1.8 steals per game. 

Babatunde Durodola: Scoring 7.8 points and grabbing 6 rebounds per game. 

Team Statistics 

Florida State Seminoles: 

Points per game: 74.4 (233rd in college basketball) 

Field goal percentage: 45.2% 

Three-point percentage: 26.9% 

Free-throw percentage: 72.3% 

Rebounds per game: 38.2 

Assists per game: 14.1 

Turnovers per game: 12.3 

Defensive efficiency: 46th in the nation 

Temple Owls: 

Points per game: 80.5 (81st in college basketball) 

Field goal percentage: 47.1% 

Three-point percentage: 31.8% 

Free-throw percentage: 75.4% 

Rebounds per game: 36.5 

Assists per game: 13.2 

Turnovers per game: 11.5 

Defensive efficiency: 151st in the nation 

Key Matchup 

The matchup to watch will be between Jamal Mashburn Jr. and Jamir Watkins. Mashburn's three-point shooting prowess against Watkins' defensive skills will be crucial in determining the outcome of the game. 

11-19-24 Bellarmine v. Louisville -28.5 Top 68-100 Win 100 4 h 42 m Show

Bellarmine vs Louisville 
7 ET | ESPN+ | ACC Extra 
8-Unit bet on Louisville priced as 28.5-point favorites. 

This NCAAM betting algorithm has produced an 26-15 SU record and 31-8 ATS record good for 80% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are:  

Bet on teams with 7 or more days of rest.  

That team is coming off a horrid loss by 15 or more points and was priced as the favorite. 

11-17-24 Manhattan v. Fairleigh Dickinson Top 82-85 Loss -115 4 h 32 m Show

Manhattan vs  FarleighDickinson(NCAA Hoops) 
2 EST 
8-Unit bet on Manhattan priced as a 1.5-point favorite or the money line. 

The following NCAA Basketball betting algorithm has produced a 49-8 mark for 85% winners and a 43-156 ATS record good for 74% winning bets. 

Bet on favorites that are coming off a win by three or fewer points. 

The opponent has allowed 85 or more points in each of their last two games. 

If they are favored by 6 or fewer points, they have gone 15-3 SU and 14-4 ATS for 78% winning bets. 

11-16-24 South Carolina v. Indiana -7.5 Top 71-87 Win 100 5 h 42 m Show

South Carolina vs Indiana (NCAA Hoops) 
3 EST 
8-Unit bet on Indiana priced as a 7.5-point favorite. 

Indiana is a much better and far more efficient offensive team. SC averaged 40 points on the first half but on 48% shooting. Indiana averages 39 points in the first half but on 57% shooting. Indiana’s defense allows 6 fewer points than SC so far on the season. Granted, this is a small sample size. 

Indiana heads coach Mike Woodson is 43-11 SU and 32-22 ATS in home games and a very impressive 19-2 SU and 14-7 ATS in home games with a posted total between 140 and 149.5 points. Indiana is coming off a huge win based on margin and Woodson is 16-3 SU and 12-6 ATS in home games following a blowout win by 15 or more points.

11-14-24 Eastern Michigan +3 v. IU Indianapolis Top 74-71 Win 100 5 h 31 m Show

Eastern Michigan vs Indiana-Purdue 
6:30 ET | ESPN+ 
8-Unit bet on EMU priced as a 3-point underdog. 

The following NCAAM betting algorithm has produced a 34-23 SU record and a 41-15 ATS mark good for 73.2% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on teams with 7 or more days of rest.  

That team is coming off a horrid loss by 15 or more points. 

Worse yet they were priced as the favorite in that loss. 

11-13-24 Oakland +24 v. Illinois Top 54-66 Win 100 6 h 3 m Show

Oakland vs Illinois  
9 ET | BTN |  
8-Unit Bet on Oakland priced as a 23.5-point underdog. 
This NCAAM betting algorithm has produced a 1-30 SU (3%) and 20-11 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on road teams priced as 20 or more-point underdog. 

That road team is coming off an embarrassing loss priced as the favorite. 

They lost their previous game by 15 or more points. 

 
 

11-13-24 USC Upstate v. Wake Forest -29.5 Top 80-85 Loss -110 4 h 3 m Show

Wake Forest vs SC Upstate 
7 ET | ESPN+ 
8-Unit bet on the Wake Forest priced as 29.5-point favorites. 

This NCAAM betting algorithm has produced a 47-8 SU (86%) and 42-13 ATS record for 76% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are:  

Bet on favorites that are coming off a three or fewer-point favorite.  

The opponent has allowed 85 or more points in each o their last two games. 

11-13-24 Montana +26 v. Tennessee Top 57-92 Loss -110 4 h 2 m Show

Montana vs Tennessee 
7 ET | ESPN+ / SECN+ 

8-Unit bet on Montana priced as 25.5-point underdogs. 

This NCAAM betting algorithm has produced a 1-30 SU (3%) and 20-11 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on road teams priced as 20 or more-point underdog. 

That road team is coming off an embarrassing loss priced as the favorite. 

They lost their previous game by 15 or more points. 

11-13-24 Wagner +26 v. St. John's Top 45-66 Win 100 4 h 32 m Show

Wagner vs St. Johns 
6:30 ET | FS2 
8-Unit bet on Wagner priced as a 26.5-point underdog. 

This NCAAM betting algorithm has produced a 1-30 SU (3%) and 20-11 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on road teams priced as 20 or more-point underdog. 

That road team is coming off an embarrassing loss priced as the favorite. 

They lost their previous game by 15 or more points. 

11-12-24 Denver +22 v. Colorado State Top 65-74 Win 100 10 h 45 m Show

Denver vs CSU 
9 ET | MWN |  
8-Unit Bet on Denver priced as a 20.5-point underdog. 
This NCAAM betting algorithm has produced a 33-22 SU (60%) and 39-15 ATS record for 73% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on any team playing with 7 or more days of rest. 

They were the favorites in their previous game, which they lost by 15 or more points. 

 

11-12-24 Binghamton v. Fordham -14 Top 63-78 Win 100 8 h 46 m Show

Binghamton vs Fordham 
7 ET | ESPN+ 
8-Unit bet on the Fordham Rams priced as 14-point favorites. 

This NCAAM betting algorithm has produced a 47-8 SU (86%) and 42-13 ATS record for 76% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on favorites that are coming off a three or fewer-point favorite. 

The opponent has allowed 85 or more points in each o their last two games. 

11-12-24 Monmouth v. Northern Illinois +1 Top 66-79 Win 100 8 h 44 m Show

Monmouth vs Northern Illinois 
7 ET | ESPN+ 
8-Unit bet on NIU priced as a 15-point underdog. 

This NCAAM betting algorithm has produced a 33-22 SU (60%) and 39-15 ATS record for 73% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on any team playing with 7 or more days of rest. 

They were the favorites in their previous game, which they lost by 15 or more points. 

11-11-24 Yale v. Purdue UNDER 145.5 Top 84-92 Loss -110 5 h 26 m Show

Yale vs Purdue 
8-Unit bet on the Under priced at 145 points. 

The following NCAAM betting algorithm has gone 43-24 (64%) since 2006. The requirements are: 

Bet the Under involving a double-digit home favorite. 

The game occurs in the first 8 of the regular season. 

The total is priced between 142.5 and 150 points. 

The opponent played in last year’s NCAA Tournament. 

Date: Monday, November 11, 2024Time: 8:00 PM ET Venue: Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, Indiana 

Team Overview 

Purdue Boilermakers (2-0) 

Rank: No. 14 

Coach: Matt Painter 

Key Players: Fletcher Loyer (18.5 PPG, 7-10 3PT), Trey Kaufman-Renn (14.5 PPG, 7 RPG), Braden Smith (11.5 PPG, 11 APG) 

Injuries: Daniel Jacobsen (fractured tibia, out for the season). Will Berg is expected to start in his place1. 

Recent Trends: Purdue started the season strong with wins over Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (90-73) and Northern Kentucky (72-50). The Boilermakers have a 23-game November winning streak and are looking to extend it to 243. 

Yale Bulldogs (1-1) 

Coach: James Jones (24th season) 

Key Players: John Poulakidas (20 PPG), Bez Mbeng (17 PPG) 

Injuries: None reported. 

Recent Trends: Yale opened the season with a win over Quinnipiac (88-62) but lost to Illinois-Chicago (91-79). The Bulldogs have struggled with turnovers, committing 16 in their last game. 

Offensive and Defensive Statistics 

Purdue Boilermakers: 

Offensive Stats: Shooting 48.8% from the field, 40.4% from 3-point range. 

Defensive Stats: Forcing 13 turnovers per game, allowing 43.9% from 2-point range. 

Yale Bulldogs: 

Offensive Stats: Shooting 46.7% from the field, 35.1% from 3-point range. 

Defensive Stats: Allowing 48% from 2-point range, struggling with turnovers (20% turnover rate). 

Recent Team Trends and Win/Loss Streaks 

Purdue Boilermakers: 

Win Streak: 23 straight wins in November. 

Recent Games: Won by an average of 19.5 points in their first two games. 

Yale Bulldogs: 

Win Streak: No current win streak. 

Recent Games: Split their first two games, with a win over Quinnipiac and a loss to Illinois-Chicago 

11-08-24 North Carolina v. Kansas UNDER 160.5 Top 89-92 Loss -109 3 h 59 m Show

9 UNC vs 1 Kansas 
7 ET | ESPN2 
8-Unit Bet on the Under priced at 160.5 points. 

The following NCAAM betting algorithm has produced a 21-13 Under record good for 62% winning bets. The requirements are: 

Bet the Under with a hoe favorite priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. 

The home team is ranked in the top 10. 

The home team is outscoring their foes by 10 or more PPG. 

The home team is ocming off a game in whcih they led by 20 or more points at the half. 

If the foe is also ranked the Under has gone 14-3 for 82% winning bets! 

04-06-24 Alabama +12 v. Connecticut Top 72-86 Loss -110 104 h 14 m Show

Alabama vs UCONN

8:49 ET | State Farm Stadium, Glendale, Arizona

10-Unit bet on Alabama +12 points.

The line for this game is going to climb to at least 12 points and if a UCONN betting frenzy takes place, the line has the potential to move to 13.5 or more points. My experience and intuition tell me to be patient when placing this bet and look for a higher number than I received when loading up this bet.

LIVE Betting Strategy

With the total at 160.5 points, which is the highest in any Final Four or Championship game since at least 2006 and the first to reach 160 points, scoring volatility is going to be extreme. UCONN went on a 30-0 scoring stretch in their region championship win over Illinois. I do not expect anything like that extreme condition to take place in this game, but my expectation is for several scoring runs of 8 to 12 points by both UCONN and Alabama. If that occurs, then take advantage of the opportunities those scoring runs present.

Consider betting 50% preflop and then add 25% more following a UCONN scoring run of 8 or more points using the timeout or a stoppage of play due to a foul called or TV timeout to add 25% more on Alabama during the first half of. action. You may get pricing that is less than the closing line or the line you booked preflop. Do not hesitate booking these two bets if the price is below your preflop number because that implies that Alabama has done quite well even after the 8+ point run by UCONN.

This implies two scoring runs of 8 or more points by UCONN, which is reasonable to expect. If we get into under 10 minutes left in the first half, then look to get 25% placed on Alabama at a price of 17.5 points and 25% more at 19.5 points.

The following NCAA betting algorithm has gone  10-4 SU and 10-3-1 ATS good for 77% winning bets since 2006. The requirements needed to produce the betting opportunity are as follows:

·       Game takes place in the Final Four and Championship game.

·       Any team that has made 76% or more of their free throws for the season.

If the foe has made 75% or fewer of their free throws on the season, has seen the team that has made 76% or more of their free throws produce a 9-3 SU and 9-2-1 ATS record good for 82% winning bets.

04-02-24 Georgia v. Seton Hall OVER 145 Top 67-84 Win 100 33 h 23 m Show

Georgia vs Seton Hall

NIT Semifinals | Hinkle Fieldhouse | Indianapolis

8-Unit bet on the OVER priced at 145 points and is valid to 146.5 points.

These two teamsd are playing at Hinkle Fieldhouse which will provide different site lines for the players on these teams. I have seen many games go under at this venue in the NCAA Tournament over the years. So, to hedge that a bit, consider betting 70% preflop and then look to get the remaining 30% at a price of 141.5 points during the first half of action.

The following NCAAB situational team and head coach trends support this bet on the OVER.

·       Georgia is 14-2 Over in road games and are coming off a game away from home (neutral or away).

·       Georgia is 16-4 Over when coming off a win away from home (neutral or away) by three or fewer points.

·       Georgia is 8-1 OVER after having won four or five of their last six games spanning the past two seasons.

·       Head coach Holloway is 17-4 Over for his career after his teams had won four or five of their last six games.

·       Head coach White is 8-1 Over after winning four or five of his team’s last six games.

·       White is 37-17-2 OVER after covering the spread in two or more of his previous games for his career.

From my predictive model, Georgia is projected to score 74 or more points and make 9 or more 3-pointers. In past games in which Georgia met these measures has seen the Over go 20-5 for 80% winning bets since 2019.

03-31-24 NC State +7.5 v. Duke Top 76-64 Win 100 6 h 11 m Show

“Bet with your head and Never Over it and May all the Wins be Yours!”

NC State vs Duke
5:05 ET |
8-Unit Bet on NC State plus the 7.5 points and is valid to 6.5 points.

Consider betting 75% preflop and then look to add 25% more at 10.5 points during the first half of action.

Seeds of 10 or more in the Regional Final are 3-0 ATS and seeds that five worse (lower) than their foe (11-4=7) are 4-3 SU and 7-0 ATS in the Regional Final.

·       NC State is 8-1 ATS after the 15th game of this season when facing a foe that is outscoring their foes by 4 or more PPG.

·       NC State is 8-1 ATS after the 15th game of this season when facing a foe that is averaging 12 or fewer turnovers per game.

·       NC State is 17-3 ATS on a neutral court since 1997.

From my predictive models we are looking and expecting NC State to score 75 or more points and commit the same or fewer turnovers than Duke. IN past games when NC State met these performance measures has seen them go 14-7 SU and 15-6 ATS for 71% winning bets when priced as the dog and spanning games played since 2017.

03-30-24 Illinois v. Connecticut UNDER 155.5 Top 52-77 Win 100 30 h 49 m Show
Illinois vs Connecticut
6:09 ET | TD Garden
8-Unit Bet Under the total priced at 154.5 points and is valid to 151.5 points.

Consider betting 75% preflop and then look to add 25% more at 159.5 points during the first half of action. This game will take on the same look that the Alabama vs UNC game did where they got off to a meteoric pace, which allowed us to get all four in-game pieces of the total booked with the highest one being at 189.5 points. So, allow the scoring chaos to work in your favor.

The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 58-24 Under record good for 71% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under the total priced between 150 and 159.5 points.

·       The game is played in a neutral court setting.

·       One of the teams (Illinois) is coming off an upset win.

·       That team is priced as a 3.5 or more-point underdog.

Here’s a snapshot of some key metrics for both teams:

Illinois:Adjusted Offensive Efficiency (AdjOE): 127.2Adjusted Defensive Efficiency (AdjDE): 92.6Effective Field Goal Percentage (EFG%): 57.2%Turnover Rate (TOR): 14.7%Offensive Rebound Percentage (ORB): 16.2%Defensive Rebound Percentage (DRB): 36.2%Free Throw Rate (FTR): 26.6%Two-Point Percentage (2P%): 59.2%Three-Point Percentage (3P%): 43.5%Connecticut:Adjusted Offensive Efficiency (AdjOE): 126.8Adjusted Defensive Efficiency (AdjDE): 94.9Barthag: 15.9655Effective Field Goal Percentage (EFG%): 56.2%Turnover Rate (TOR): 16.3%Offensive Rebound Percentage (ORB): 13.8%Defensive Rebound Percentage (DRB): 37.9%Free Throw Rate (FTR): 24.2%Two-Point Percentage (2P%): 42.4%Three-Point Percentage (3P%): 23.0%
03-29-24 Creighton v. Tennessee UNDER 145.5 Top 75-82 Loss -110 10 h 49 m Show
Creighton vs Tennessee10 ET | Little Caesars Arena | TBS/truTV8-Unit Best bet UNDER 144.5 points and is valid to 143.5 points.

Consider betting 70% preflop and then look to add 15% more at 147.5 points and the remaining 15% at 149.5 points during the first half of action.

The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 45-23-1 UNDER record good for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points.

·       One of the teams (Tennessee) has allowed 60 or fewer points in two straight games.

If the team is favored, the Under has gone 24-11-1 good for 69% winning bets.

The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 21-9 Under record good for 70% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under the total priced between 140 and 149.5 points.

·       One of the teams (Tennessee) is coming off a game in which they shot 36% or worse form the field.

03-29-24 Duke +4 v. Houston Top 54-51 Win 100 10 h 38 m Show
Duke vs Houston9:39 ET | CBS | American Airlines Arena
8-Unit Best Bet on Duke +4.5 points and is valid to +3.5 points.

Consider betting 6-Units preflop and then look to get Duke at +1.5 points or even pick-em during the first half of action for the remaining 2-Units.

The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 12-7 SU and 16-2-1 ATS record good for 89% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are:

·       The game occurs in the Sweet 16 and beyond.

·       A team (Duke) has covered the spread by more than 30 points in the first two rounds.

·       They make less than 75% of their free throws.

·       The total is 140 or fewer points.

The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 14-15 SU and 22-7 ATS record good for 76% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are:

·       The game is in a neutral court setting.

·       Our team (Duke) covered the spread by 25 or more points in their previous game.

·       The opponent (Houston) has seen the total play Over by 55 or more points spanning their previous 10 games.

03-29-24 NC State +6.5 v. Marquette Top 67-58 Win 100 30 h 27 m Show

NC State vs Marquette

7:09 ET Friday March 29 | American Airlines Arena

8-Unit bet on NC State +6.5 points and is valid to 4.56 points.

The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 10-25 SU and 11-23-1 ATS record good for 32% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are:

·       Bet against a team in the Sweet-16 Round that is on a two-game win streak exact.

·       The opponent is on a three or more-game win streak.

If the team on the 2-game win streak is the favorite, they fall to 4-6 SU and 1-9 ATS.

Teams from the Sweet-16 on through the Championship game that have achieved 10 straight games with not more than 12 turnovers in any of the games has produced a 13-11 SU record and 11-5-2 ATS record for 65% winning bets. If the dog in these games, they have gone 5-7 SU, but 8-3-1 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2014.

Free throw shooting is an important part of winning basketball games and even more so in the NCAA Tournament. From the Sweet-16 Round to the Championship game, teams that are making 76% or more of their free throws going up against a team that makes less than 76% of their free throws have produced a 26-16 SU record and 29-12-1 ATS good for 71% winning bets since the 2013 season.

NC State Wolfpack Season Record: 24-14,

Season Record: 24-14, 18-20 ATS, 22-16 OVER

Key Players: The Wolfpack’s success has been driven by the strong play of their guards, who will need to continue their form to advance.

Injury Report: No significant injuries reported1.

Offensive and Defensive Rankings: They have shown a balanced approach with an average score margin of +3.7, ranking them 103rd in offense. Defensively, they’ve allowed 72.7 points per game, placing them at 183rd2.

Marquette Golden Eagles

Season Record: 27-9, 22-14 ATS, 21-15 Under

Key Players: Marquette’s offense has been powered by their efficient shooting, particularly from beyond the arc. Their key players’ ability to stretch the floor will be crucial. However, NC State has elite speed and quickness on the perimeter to make it very difficult for Marquette to spread the floor.

Offensive and Defensive Rankings: Marquette boasts a potent offense, ranking 46th with 78.5 points per game. Their defense has been solid, allowing 69.7 points per game, which ranks them 91st. Keep in mind they are among the best in this category when adjusted for pace of play andf both teams like to play up tempo, especially on missed opponent shots in transition.

Matchup to Watch: The perimeter shooting of Marquette against the defensive hustle of NC State’s guards will be a key battle. The ability of NC State to disrupt Marquette’s rhythm from the three-point line without getting out of position will determine the outcome.

Statistical Rankings: Marquette’s effective field goal percentage stands at 55.2%, reflecting their offensive efficiency over the course fo the season. NC State’s defense has the guard play to disrupt the ball movement and three-point shooting of Marquette.

This game will likely come down to NC State containing Marquette’s high-powered offense and if Marquette can defend against the Wolfpack’s dynamic guard play. Obviously, I think both matchups will be won by NC State and their late season winning run continues.

03-28-24 Illinois +1.5 v. Iowa State Top 72-69 Win 100 10 h 31 m Show

Illinois vs Iowa State

10:09 ET | TD Garden Boston

8-Unit best bet on Illinois +1.5 points and is valid to pick-em

My predictive model is expecting that Illinois will score 80 or more points and will out rebound ISU by at least 7 boards in total. Illinois, in this role, has gone 38-2 SU and 28-8 ATS for 78% winning bets over the past 5 seasons.

Teams playing in the Round of 16 and beyond that have had a stretch of 10 games in which they committed no more than 12 turnovers in any of those games and is priced as the dog have gone 14-12 SU and 11-6-2 ATS for 65% winners since 2014.

Illinois is 13-3 ATS when facing a winning record opponent this season; 20-9-1 ATS when facing strong ball handling teams averaging 14 or fewer turnovers per game this season. Illinois is 11-2 ATS after a win by 15 or more points this season; 9-1 ATS after scoring 75 or more points in three consecutive games. Actually Illinois has scored 80 or more points in each of their last four games and teams that have done so while in the NCAA Tournament are 7-2 SU in the Sweet 16.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Season Record: 28-8 | 22-14 ATS (61%) | 26-10 Over (72%).

Key Players: Terrence Shannon Jr., who has been powering Illinois’ offense with an impressive 23.3 points per game, and Coleman Hawkins, contributing across the board.

Injury Report: No significant injuries reported.

Statistical Rankings: Illinois boasts a strong offensive efficiency, ranking 3rd with an adjusted efficiency of 125.3. Their defense is not far behind, with an adjusted efficiency of 101.1, placing them at 97th nationally1.

Iowa State Cyclones

Season Record: 29-7 | 24-11 ATS (69%) | 19-16 Under

Key Players: The Cyclones have a balanced team, but keep an eye on their sophomore guard Tamin Lipsey and senior guard Curtis Jones.

Statistical Rankings: Iowa State’s defensive prowess is notable, with their adjusted defensive efficiency ranking in the top tier. However, specific rankings from Barttorvik.com are not available at the moment.

Matchup Analysis

This game will likely be a classic offense vs. defense showdown, with Illinois’ high-scoring offense trying to break through Iowa State’s robust defense.

The battle in the paint and rebounding efforts are expected to favor Illinois in this matchup and if they win both of those, they certainly have a great opportunity to post a convincing win advancing them to the Elite-8.

03-28-24 Alabama +4.5 v. North Carolina Top 89-87 Win 100 9 h 9 m Show

4-seed Alabama vs 1-seed UNC

9:39 CBS | Crypto Arena, LA

8-Unit bet on Alabama plus the 4.5 points and is valid if they remain the dog.

Since 2016, there have been 17 NCAA Tournament games with a posted total of 160 or more points. In these games, the favorites are 13-4 SU and 6-10-1 ATS and 11-6 Under good for 65% winning wagers. These games occurred in the first four rounds of the NCAA Tournament.

Alabama is coming off an 11-point win over Grand Canyon and shot 36% from the field. Alabama is the top-rated offense in the nation per my predictive models and they have bounced back with solid efforts coming off poor offensive games by their standards. Alabama is 24-14 ATS when coming off a double-digit win spanning the past two seasons.

From my predictive model, UNC is just not in a good situation knowing that Alabama has an 86% probability of scoring 80 or more points. UNC is just 3-15 ATS in games away from Chapel Hill when allowing 80 or more points in games played over the past three seasons.

03-28-24 Alabama v. North Carolina UNDER 173.5 Top 89-87 Loss -110 9 h 9 m Show

4-seed Alabama vs 1-seed UNC

9:39 CBS | Crypto Arena, LA

8-Unit bet UNDER the total of 173.5 points and is valid to 170 points.

Scoring volatility is going to be scorching at times during the first half of action between these teams. So, consider betting 60% preflop and then look to add 10% more of your 8-Unit betting amount at 176.5 points, 10% more at a 179.5 points, 10% more at 181.5 points and the final 10% amount at 184.5 points. I also do not recommend a parlay, as I rarely bet them, because you will make more money if you simply bet these opportunities individually over the course of a season. The exception to that rule is when I get two significant MLB dogs of +150 or more where I will take 2-Units and parlay them using the money lines.  With that said be sure to get on board the MLB full season package, which is on sale now on the web site for 40% off the regular price.

In the NCAA Tournament, totals of 165 and more have gone 12-4 Under since 2014. The crypto arena is an NBA stadium where the Lakers and the Clippers call home. The venue is significantly bigger than where these two teams are accustomed to playing and with that change the player’s site lines change. Many times players do find it hard to find their shooting touches from range and lends itself to seeing the Under win the money.

03-27-24 VCU v. Utah -6 Top 54-74 Win 100 54 h 52 m Show
VCU vs Utah3-27 | 9 ET | NIT quarterfinals8-Unit bet on Utah -6.5 points and is valid to -7.5 points.

The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 70-23 SU and 54-38-1 ATS record good for 60% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are:

·       Bet on home favorites of 2.5 to 9.5 points.

·       The favorite is from the Big Ten, SEC, Big-12, ACC, Big East, or the PAC-12

·       The dog is not from any of those conferences.

·       The favorite averages 12 or fewer turnovers per game

If the game occurs after the 20th game of the season, these favorites improve to an 8-3 ATS mark for 73% winning bets.

03-27-24 UNLV v. Seton Hall -5 Top 68-91 Win 100 9 h 36 m Show
UNLV vs Seton Hall7 ET | NIT Quarterfinals8-Unit bet on Seton Hall -5.5 points and is valid to -7 points.

The following NBA betting algorithm has earned an 80-27 SU and 63-41-3 ATS mark good for 61% winning bets since 1996. The requirements are:

·       Bet on home favorites priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points.

·       The favorite is from a Major 1-A Conference.

·       The dog is a member of a second-tier conference.

·       The total is between 140 and 145 points.

      
03-24-24 Northwestern +14.5 v. Connecticut Top 58-75 Loss -110 8 h 14 m Show
Northwestern vs UCONN
7:45 ET | NCAA Tournament | Second Round | Barclays Center | Brooklyn, NY
8-Unit best bet on Northwestern +14.5 points and is valid if the remain a double-digit underdog, which is a near 100% probability to happen.

The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a solid 105-62-4 ATS good for a highly profitable 64% winners. The requirements are:

·       Bet on underdogs between 10 and 19.5 points.

·       Facing a favorite that has covered the spread in 5 or 6 of their last seven games.

·       The favorite has won 80% or more of their games on the season.

Now, check this one out. If the game occurs in the NCAA Tournament, these underdogs have been ferocious going 15-4 ATS for 79% winning bets since 2013.

From the predictive model, we learn that NW is 25-6 SU and 22-5 ATS for 82% winning bets when they have made 38% or more of their 3-pointers and scored 74 or more points in games played over the past five seasons.  

 
03-24-24 Grand Canyon v. Alabama -5.5 Top 61-72 Win 100 8 h 38 m Show
Grand Canyon vs Alabama
7:10 ET | NCAA Tournament | Second Round | Spokane Veterans Arena
8-Unit best bet on Alabama minus the points and is valid to -7.5 points.

The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 170-105 ATS good for a highly profitable 61% winners making a total of 45 units in profits. The requirements are:

·       Bet on favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points.

·       The favorite makes at least 36% of their three pointers.

·       The favorite is coming off a game in which they shot 60% or better form the field.

·       The underdog allows 32 to 36% three-point shooting.

Alabama is 22-8 ATS when the total has been between 160 and 169.5 points; 16-8 ATS as a favorite this season. Alabama head coach Oats is 21-9 ATS when allowing 85 or more points in the previous game; 15-4 ATS in road games after allowing 90 or more points.

This game presents a classic offense vs. defense showdown, with Alabama’s potent scoring ability clashing with Grand Canyon’s defensive acumen. It’s set to be an exciting matchup with plenty of implications for the Sweet 16. The analytical situations favor Alabama to win this game by double-digits and advance.

Key Players:

Grand Canyon: Look out for Tyon Grant-Foster, who is coming off a 22-point game and is known for his scoring prowess, averaging nearly 20 points per game.

Alabama: Mark Sears is a player to watch, averaging 21 points per game and coming off a 30-point effort against Charleston.

 
03-23-24 Texas v. Tennessee UNDER 146 Top 58-62 Win 100 10 h 12 m Show
Texas vs TennesseeSaturday Round-2 NCAA Tournament8-Unit best bet UNDER the total priced at 146.5 points.

The following NCAA Sports betting algorithm has produced an 86-49-1 Under record good for 64% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

ü  Bet Under in a neutral site game.

ü  The total is between 140 and 149.5 points.

ü  One of the teams led by 20 or more points at the half of their previous game.

If the game occurs in the NCAA Tournament the Under has gone 11-3 for 79% winning bets. If the foe (Texas) is not ranked and the game occurs in the NCAA Tournament, the Under has gone 67-30-1 for 70% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

The Matchup Preview and Things to Watch
Texas Longhorns

 

 

Round of 64 Results: Texas showcased their defensive prowess by defeating Colorado State with a score of 56-44. The Longhorns’ defense was the highlight, with Dylan Disu leading the scoring with 12 points and Tyrese Hunter making a significant impact despite scoring only 8 points.

 

 

Key Players: Keep an eye on Max Abmas, who leads the team with an average of 17.1 points per game. His matchup against Tennessee’s defense, particularly against Zakai Zeigler, will be critical.


Tennessee Volunteers

 

 

Round of 64 Results: Tennessee had a commanding 83-49 victory over Saint Peter’s, asserting their dominance early on and maintaining it throughout the game.

 

 

Key Players: Dalton Knecht, the SEC’s player of the year, and Santiago Vescovi, known for his three-point shooting, are the players to watch. Their performance against Texas’ defense, especially against the likes of Tyrese Hunter, will be pivotal.

 

 

Matchup to Watch: The defensive strategies of both teams will be under the spotlight, with Texas’ Tyrese Hunter and Tennessee’s Zakai Zeigler both being key defensive players for their respective teams.

 
03-23-24 Washington State v. Iowa State UNDER 129 Top 56-67 Win 100 8 h 21 m Show
Washington State vs Iowa StateSaturday Round-2 NCAA Tournament

8-Unit Bet on the Under priced at 128.5 points and is valid to 126.5 points.

Consider betting 70% Under preflop and then look to add 15% more at 131.5 and the remaining 15% at 135.5 points during the first half of action.  

The following NCAA Sports betting algorithm has produced a 15-6-1 Under record good for 71% winning bets in the last 10 NCAA Tournaments. The requirements are:

ü  Bet the Under with a team that won their conference Championship (Iowa Sate).

ü  That Champion is facing a team that did not win their conference championship.

ü  The total is priced between 120 and 137 points.

03-23-24 Michigan State +4 v. North Carolina Top 69-85 Loss -110 8 h 43 m Show
Michigan State vs North Carolina Saturday Round-2 NCAA Tournament8-Unit Bet on Michigan State +4 points and is valid if they remain the dog.

The following NCAA Sports betting algorithm has produced a 71-40-4 ATS record good for 64% winning bets in the last 15 NCAA Tournaments. The requirements are:

ü  Bet on underdogs priced between pick-em and 4.5 points.

ü  The total is at least 135 points.

ü  The dog’s pace of play is a bit slower averaging 72 or fewer possessions per game.

ü  The underdog is seed between 5 and 16.

 
03-22-24 College of Charleston v. Alabama -9.5 Top 96-109 Win 100 28 h 25 m Show

 COLL OF CHARLESTON (27 - 7) vs. ALABAMA (21 - 11) 7:35 EST | TRU TV | Spokane8-Unit bet on Alabama -9.5 points and is valid -11 points.

The following NCAA Sports betting algorithm has produced an 83-20 SU (87%) and a 70-30 ATS record for 70% winning bets since 1996. The requirements are:

ü  Bet on favorites between 3.5 and 10 points.

ü  The game is part of the NCAA Tournament

ü  The dog is seeded 13 through 16.

ü  The dog has won four or more consecutive games.

From the predictive model we learn that Alabama is 11-0 and 10-1 ATS when scoring 84 or more points, committing 12 or fewer turnovers, and making at least 80% of their free throws in games played over the past five seasons.

03-22-24 Yale v. Auburn UNDER 141 Top 78-76 Loss -110 49 h 1 m Show
YALE (22 - 9) vs. AUBURN (27 - 7)
4:15 ET Friday |
8-Unit bet Under the posted total priced at 140.5 points and is valid to 138.5 points.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then look to add 30% more at 144.5 points during the first half of action.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 21-8 Under record good for 72% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points.

·       One of the teams (Morehead) has won 12 of their last 15 games.

·       The game takes place in the NCAA Tournament.

·       The opponent (Illinois) has won 15 or more of their past 20 games.

The following betting algorithm has produced an 89-52 Under record good for 63% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points.

·       One of the teams (Auburn) is coming off a double-digit win over a conference rival.

·       Both teams have won 60 to 80% of their games.

If the team is playing on 4 or fewer days of rest, the Under has gone 73-41-1 for 64%. If both teams are playing on 4 or fewer days of rest, the Under has gone 65-35-1 for 65% winning bets.

Matchup Analysis:

Offense vs. Defense: Auburn’s scoring prowess will clash with Yale’s stingy defense. Can Yale slow down Auburn’s fast-paced attack?Rebounding Battle: Both teams have strong rebounders. The battle on the boards will be crucial.Three-Point Shooting: Auburn loves the long ball, while Yale focuses on inside scoring. 

Keep in mind when playing totals that many of these mid-majors, like Yale will be playing in significantly larger arenas with different site lines than they are accustomed to at their quaint 2 to 5 thousand capacity venues. The Unders have performed very well when college basketball teams of any stature play in the football stadiums like the Luke Oil in Indianapolis, for instance. More on these developments in the rounds ahead.

03-22-24 UAB  v. San Diego State -6.5 Top 65-69 Loss -112 6 h 18 m Show
UAB vs San Diego State1:45 ET | TNT | Spokane8-unit Bet on San Diego State -7 points and is valid to -7.5 points.

ü  UAB is 1-8 ATS away from home following three consecutive games in which they committed 11 or fewer turnovers in each game.

ü  SDST head coach Dutcher is 22-11 ATS off a loss to a conference foe.

ü  Dutcher is 38-17 ATS when facing a team that is averaging 77 or more PPG after the 15th game of the season.

From my predictive model, we are enlightened by the fact that SDST is 46-1 SU and 31-10-1 ATS for 76% winning bets when they have scored at least 77 points and had the same or fewer turnovers over the past five seasons. UAB is just 9-15 SU and 6-16-1 ATS for 27% when allowing 77 or more points and forcing 12 or fewer turnovers spanning the past 5 seasons.

 
03-21-24 Morehead State v. Illinois UNDER 147.5 Top 69-85 Loss -110 24 h 59 m Show

MOREHEAD ST (26 - 8) vs. ILLINOIS (26 - 8)

3:10 EST | TRU TV | CHI Health Center, Omaha

8-Unit bet Under the posted total of 147.5 points and is valid to 145.5 points.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then look to add 30% more at 152.5 points during the first half of action. Both teams have near the best predictive scoring variance in their respective conferences, and both have more consistent first half scoring than second half. So, it stands to reason that these teams will get out to faster than expected start and the total will rise into the 150’s at some point during the first half of action.

 

The following betting algorithm has produced a 23-14-2 Under record good for 63% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points.One of the teams (Illinois) is scoring at least 76 or more PPG.That team is coming two games in which they and the foe each scored 75 or more points.That team won their two previous games.The opponent is allowing an average of 63 or fewer PPG.



The following betting algorithm has produced a 21-8 Under record good for 72% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points.

·       One of the teams (Morehead) has won 12 of their last 15 games.

·       The game takes place in the NCAA Tournament.

·       The opponent (Illinois) has won 15 or more of their past 20 games.

Both teams meet the requirements of this system.

 
03-20-24 VCU v. Villanova -8.5 Top 70-61 Loss -110 6 h 35 m Show

VCU vs Villanova

NIT Tournament
Wednesday, 9 PM EST | Finneran Pavillion | ESPN2 ESPN+

8-Unit best bet on Villanova -6.5 points and is valid to -7.5 points.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 400-251 ATS record good for 62% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are:

•       Bet on -3.5 to -9.5 home favorites.

•       The favorite is from a Major Division 1 conference.

•       The underdog is not a member of a Major Division 1 conference.

From the predictive models, Villanova is 178-14 SU (93%) and 92-40-1 ATS (70% when scoring 75 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers than their foes. When the game has been in Tournament action they have gone 16-0 SU and 14-2 ATS for 88% winning bets.

Radio: Villanova IHeart Radio Network (Play-by-Play: Ryan Fannon; Analyst: Whitey Rigsby)All-Time Series: Villanova leads 1-0, with their only meeting resulting in a 77-53 victory for Villanova back on November 24th, 2013.

Villanova Wildcats:

Record: 18-15 overallKenPom Ranking: #35Key Player: Unfortunately, Villanova will be without the services of Jordan Longino, who suffered a knee injury against DePaul.Offensive Strategy: Villanova should focus on aggressive dribble penetration and off-ball movement to create quality scoring opportunities. They’ll need to overcome VCU’s shot-blocking prowess.Defensive Focus: Guarding the three-point line will be crucial, as VCU shoots 35.7% from beyond the arc.

VCU Rams:

Record: 22-13 overallKenPom Ranking: #80Coach: In their first season under Ryan OdomStrengths: VCU earned quality out-of-conference wins over Samford (home) and Penn State (neutral). They also beat George Mason on the road during Atlantic 10 Conference play.Conference Tournament Performance: VCU defeated Fordham, UMass, and St. Joseph’s in the A10 Conference Tournament before falling to Duquesne in the championship game.Defensive Challenge: VCU effectively challenges shots and limits opponents to one possession. Their ability to contest shots without fouling will be crucial.Turnover Battle: VCU can be turnover-prone, and Villanova will look to capitalize on this.

 

03-20-24 UNLV v. Princeton -3 Top 84-77 Loss -105 33 h 53 m Show

UNLV vs Princeton

NIT Tournament
Wednesday, 8 PM EST | Jadwin Gymnasium | ESPN+

8-Unit best bet OVER the total priced at 138.5 points.

The current marketplace shows a building trend to the Over so I think betting at least 50% of your 8-unit amount now and then look to add closer to preflop. Another option is to bet 70% amount preflop on the Over and then look to get the remaining 30% amount at a price of 134.5 points during the first half of action.

The following betting algorithm has produced a record good for 67% winning bets. The requirements are:

•       Bet the Over.

•       The road team (UNLV) is coming off a close loss of three or fewer points.

•       The host is coming off a game in which they and the foe each scored 80 or more points.

From the predictive models, both teams have an 86% probability of scoring 70 or more points. Moreover, we are expecting Princeton to score 76 or more points and commit less than 10 turnovers and make 86% or more of their free throws. In past games when Princeton has met these projections the Over has gone 7-0. The OVER has gone 14-3 when Princeton has had 10 or fewer turnovers and scored 75 or more points.

Game Preview and Matchups

Princeton Tigers:

Record: 24-4Conference: Ivy LeagueHead Coach: Mitch HendersonKey Players:1. Jaden Dixon (Guard): A dynamic playmaker, Dixon leads the Tigers in scoring and assists. His ability to create shots and distribute the ball will be crucial.2. Ryan Thompson (Forward): Thompson dominates the boards and provides a strong inside presence. His rebounding and defensive skills are vital for Princeton.3. Marcus Harris (Center): Harris anchors the paint on both ends. Look for his shot-blocking and efficient scoring in the low post.

UNLV Rebels:

Record: 19-12Conference: Mountain WestHead Coach: Kevin KrugerKey Players:1. Bryce Hamilton (Guard/Forward): Hamilton is the Rebels’ leading scorer and a versatile offensive threat. His ability to score from beyond the arc and attack the rim will challenge Princeton’s defense.2. Royce Hamm Jr. (Forward): A transfer from Texas, Hamm brings athleticism and shot-blocking prowess. His energy on both ends of the floor impacts the game.3. David Jenkins Jr. (Guard): Jenkins is a sharpshooter who can catch fire from three-point range. Princeton must close out on him to prevent open looks.

Matchup Analysis:

Offense:Princeton relies on ball movement, disciplined sets, and efficient shooting. Their perimeter game, led by Dixon and Thompson, can stretch defenses.UNLV’s offense revolves around Hamilton’s scoring ability. They look to push the pace and capitalize on transition opportunities.Defense:Princeton emphasizes team defense, rotating well and contesting shots. Harris protects the rim effectively.UNLV’s defense is anchored by Hamm’s shot-blocking. They’ll aim to disrupt Princeton’s offensive flow.X-Factors:Princeton: Their ability to control the tempo and limit turnovers.UNLV: Jenkins’ three-point shooting and defensive intensity.
03-17-24 Wisconsin v. Illinois UNDER 148.5 Top 87-93 Loss -110 5 h 47 m Show
Wisconsin vs Illinois3:30 ET | Target Center
8-Unit bet Under the posted total of 149.5 points and is valid to 147.5 points.

Consider betting 75% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then look to add 25% more at 154.5 points during the first half of action.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 74-49-3 Over record good for 60% winning bets. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under in a neutral court setting.

·       The total is priced between 140 and 150 points.

·       A team (Wisconsin) is avenging a same-season loss in which the foe (Illinois) scored 85 or more points.

03-17-24 Florida v. Auburn -5 Top 67-86 Win 100 2 h 20 m Show
Auburn vs Florida

1:00 ET | Bridgestone Arena

8-Unit Bet on Auburn -5.5 points and is valid to 6.5 points.

The Sports Betting Algorithm

The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 25-9 SU and 22-12 ATS record good for 65% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

ü  Bet on a favorite priced between 2.5 and 7.5 points.

ü  The game is part of the Conference Championship.

ü  Both teams are not playing their first game of the tournament (playing on back-to-back days),

ü  The dog is not ranked in the Top-25 poll.

ü  The total is priced between 150 and 160 points

The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 26-22 SU and 26-20 ATS record good for 65% winning bets since 1997. The requirements are:

ü  Bet on a neutral court favorite.

ü  Facing a foe that has allowed 80 or more points in each of their two previous games.

ü  That foe is averaging 84 or more PPG on the season.

If our favorite is priced between 4.5 and 8.5 points they have gone a perfect 6-0 ATS.

 
03-16-24 Iowa State v. Houston OVER 121.5 Top 69-41 Loss -110 6 h 2 m Show

Iowa State vs Houston

6 ET

10-Unit Max Bet Over the posted total currently priced at 122 points and is valid to 123.5 points.

Big 12 Tournament Championship:

The top two teams in the Big 12 conference face off in the championship game: Iowa State Cyclones and Houston Cougars. Both teams have been on fire recently, winning 17 of their last 18 games. Houston boasts the nation’s third-longest active winning streak with 11 consecutive wins. Iowa State and Houston share similarities defensively. They both rank in the top five for near-shot proximity allowed (per Haslametrics).Additionally, they excel in their ball screen coverages on the perimeter, disrupting opponents’ ball handlers. Keep an eye on Iowa State point guard Keshon Gilbert, who ranks 11th in the Big 12 for percentage of possessions and 15th in assist rate.However, facing Houston’s Jamal Shead, who leads the country in Defensive Bayesian Performance Rating, Gilbert may have a tougher time distributing assists. In the regular-season meetings, Gilbert had four-plus assists against Houston, but we’re intrigued by the plus-money value for him to have three or fewer assists in the tournament final. 

The Sports Betting Algorithm

The following betting algorithm has produced a 21-6 Over record good for 78% winning bets since 2016. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Over that is priced between 120 and 129.5 points.

·       One of the teams (ISU) has allowed 65 or fewer points in each of their three previous games.

·       The opponent (Houston) has won each of their last three games by double-digits.

From my predictive models we are expecting both teams to attempt a combined total of 115 or more shots and make at least 75% of their free throws. The Over is 19-2 in Houston games and 11-3 Over in Iowa State games when these measures are met or exceeded.

“Bet with your head and Never Over it and May all the Wins be Yours!”

03-16-24 Texas A&M +3 v. Florida Top 90-95 Loss -110 4 h 41 m Show

Florida vs Texas A&M
3:30 ET | ESPN| Bridgestone Arena
8-Unit bet on Texas A&M +3.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

The following betting algorithm has produced an 11-8 SU (58%) SU record and a 13-5-1 ATS mark for 72% winning bets. The requirements are:

·       Bet on a team facing a foe that is coming off an upset win over a Top-10 ranked team.

·       The game is played in the conference tournament.

·       The total is 150 or more points.

If the total is priced at 147.5 or more points, these teams have gone 18-10 (64%) SU and 20-7-1 ATS for 74% winning bets.

 
03-16-24 St Bonaventure v. Duquesne OVER 133.5 Top 60-70 Loss -115 3 h 15 m Show
St. Bonaventure vs Duquesne
3:30 ET | Barclays Center
8-Unit bet Over the posted total of 134.5 points and is valid to 137 points.

Consider betting 75% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then look to add 25% more at 129.5 points during the first half of action.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 74-49-3 Over record good for 60% winning bets. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Over in a neutral court setting.

·       The Over is priced between 130 and 139.5 points.

·       A team (Duquesne) has seen the total play Under by 54 or more points spanning their previous 10 games.

If the team is favored then the Over improves to a highly profitable17-7-1 ATS for 71% winning bets.

From the predictive model, we are expecting Duquesne to shoot 46 or better from the field, make 78% or more of their free throws, and commit no more than 13 turnovers. The Over is a perfect 10-0 in previous games in which Duquesne met or exceeded these measures. St. Bonaventure is expected to shoot 46% or better form the field. In past games that the Bonnies have played and both they and their opponent shot 46% or better from the field, the Over has gone 16-0. In past games that Duquesne has played and both they and their opponent shot 46% or better from the field, the Over has gone 32-4. In game played involving Duquesne in which both teams shot 46% or better from the field and those teams combined for no more than 25 turnovers has seen the OVER produce an 18-2 record and in game involving the Bonnies the Over has produced a 14-0 record.

03-15-24 Indiana v. Nebraska UNDER 146.5 Top 66-93 Loss -113 7 h 30 m Show
Indiana vs Nebraska
9 ET | BTN| Target Center
8-Unit bet UNDER the total priced at 145.5 points.

Consider betting 70% preflop and then look to add 15% more at a price of 149.5 points and 20% more at 152.5 points during the first half of action. Betting all your 8-Unit amount preflop is always a sound strategy and I provide the live betting strategy as an added extra.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 27-13 SU (68%) SU record and a 24-15-1 ATS mark for 62% and an impressive 28-10-2 Under record good for 74% winning bets. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under in a neutral court setting that is priced between 140 and 149.5 points.

·       After game number 15.

·       One of the teams (Nebraska) is averaging between 74 and 78 PPG.

·       That team scored 45 or more points in the first half of their previous game.

·       That team is facing a foe that is allowing an average of 67 to 74 PPG.

Over the past three seasons this algorithm is 8-2 Under for 80% winning bets.

   
03-15-24 Seattle University v. Grand Canyon -5.5 Top 72-80 Win 100 6 h 28 m Show

Seattle U vs Grand Canyon
9:00 | ESPN+ | Orleans Arena, Las Vegas
8-Unit bet on Grand Canyon -6.5 points and is valid to -7.5 points.

Consider betting 80% preflop and then look to add 20% more at Grand Canyon favored by 3.5 or fewer points during the first half of action.

 

The Sports Betting Algorithm

The following betting algorithm has produced a 79-20 80% SU and 61-36-2 ATS record good for 63% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are:

·       Bet on neutral court favorites.

·       The matchup features both teams with solid defenses allowing between 63 and 67 PPG.

·       The favorite is coming off three consecutive double-digit wins.

If our team has won 22 or more games, they have gone 8-0 SU and ATS for 100% winning bets over the past five seasons.

03-15-24 Pittsburgh v. North Carolina -7.5 Top 65-72 Loss -108 5 h 31 m Show
UNC vs Pittsburgh
7 ET | ESPN| Capital One Arena, Washington DC
8-Unit bet on UNC -7.5 points and is valid to -8.5 points.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 108-73 SU (60%) SU record and a 98-79-4 ATS mark for 55% and an impressive 115-64-2 Under record good for 64% winning bets. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under in a neutral court setting that is priced between 140 and 149.5 points.

·       One of the teams (UNC) is coming off a game in which they scored 45 or more points in the first half.

·       Both teams are playing on consecutive days.

If our team is favored they have gone to an impressive and highly profitable 32-6 SU and 26-11-1 ATS goods for 70% winning bets since 2014. If our team is ranked in the Top-10 they soar to a 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS record for 78% winning bets and if favored by 7 or more points are a perfect 7-0 ATS.

 
03-14-24 Xavier +15.5 v. Connecticut Top 60-87 Loss -105 2 h 6 m Show

Xavier vs UCONN
Noon | FS1 | Madison Square Garden
8-Unit bet on Xavier +15 points and is valid to 13.5 points.

The Sports Betting Algorithm

The following betting algorithm has produced an 11-34 (24%) SU and 32-12-1 ATS for 73% winning bets since 1997. The requirements are:

·       Bet on underdogs that are allowing between 74 and 78 PPG.

·       The favorite is allowing an elite 63 to 67 PPG.

·       The favorite has scored 40 or more points in each of the first halves of their two previous games.

Xavier head coach Miller is 21-8 ATS away from home (neutral or road game) when facing a team that is outscoring their opponents by 12 or more PPG in games played in the second half of the season.

03-13-24 Kansas State v. Texas -4.5 Top 78-74 Loss -110 7 h 52 m Show

Kansas State vs Texas
7 ET | BIG12 ESPN+ | T-Mobile Center

Big-12 Second Round Conference Tournament
8-Unit bet on Texas -4.5 points and is valid to -5.5 points.

The Sports Betting Algorithm

The following betting algorithm has produced a 39-18 SU and 26-16-1 ATS for 62% winning bets since 1997. The requirements are:

·       Bet on neutral court teams that have scored 80 or more points in three consecutive games.

·       That team is outscoring their opponents by 3 to 8 PPG.

·       Facing a foe that has posted a scoring differential between -3.5 and +3.5 PPG.

If the matchup is against a conference foe, these teams have produced a 31-10 (76%) SU and 21-9 ATS for 70% winners in lined games.

 
03-12-24 Denver +10 v. South Dakota State Top 68-76 Win 100 5 h 1 m Show

Denver vs South Dakota State 

9:30 ET | CBSSN |Denny Sanford Premiere Center 
8-Unit Bet on Denver+9.5 points and is valid to +8 points. 

This is the Championship game in the Summit League Tournament with the winner getting a bid to the NCAA Tournament.  

Denver Pioneers (17-16, 8-10 Summit League) vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits (21-12, 14-4 Summit League) 
Location: Sioux Falls, South Dakota 
Date & Time: Tuesday, 9:30 p.m. EDT 

What’s At Stake: The South Dakota State Jackrabbits are set to battle the Denver Pioneers for the Summit League Championship. The Jackrabbits have had a strong season within the league, boasting a 14-4 record against Summit League opponents and a 7-8 record in non-conference play. They’ve shown some weakness in close games, with a 3-4 record in matches decided by 3 or fewer points. 

On the other side, the Denver Pioneers have had a challenging season, with an 8-10 record against Summit League teams. They rank ninth in the league, allowing an average of 80.6 points while holding opponents to 46.6% shooting. Despite this, Denver has an impressive offense, averaging 81.4 points per game, which is 10.5 more points per game than South Dakota State typically allows. 

Top Performers: For the Jackrabbits, Zeke Mayo has been a standout player, averaging 18.9 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 3.5 assists. The team’s recent form is also notable, with a 9-1 record in their last 10 games, averaging 76.7 points and shooting 49.7% from the field. 

The Pioneers, although 4-6 in their last 10 games, have been averaging 73.5 points and have shown their capability to put up a strong defensive presenceaveraging 6.6 steals and 3.1 blocks per game. 

The Sports Betting Algorithm 

The following betting algorithm has produced a 30-51 SU (37%) SU record and a 49-30-2 ATS mark for 62% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: 

Bet on underdogs. 

The dog has lost to the spread by 42 or more points spanning their previous five games. 

The host has seen the total go Under by 55 or more points spanning their previous 5 games. 

If the road team is playing on back-to-back days, they are a perfect 3-0 SUATS since 2014. If the game occurs after game number 25, these dogs have gone 12-15 SU (44%) and 18-9 ATS (67%) since 2014. 

03-12-24 Stony Brook v. College of Charleston -9.5 Top 79-82 Loss -106 3 h 30 m Show

Stony Brook vs College of Charleston 

7:00 ET | CBSSN |Entertainment and Sports Arena, Wash DC 
8-Unit Bet on College of Charleston -10 points and is valid to -11.5 points. 

Consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then look for some scoring volatility that can provide an opportunity to add the remaining 30% amount at 7.5 points during the first half. Another option is to bet the remaining 30% after a Stony Brook scoring run of 10 or more unanswered points. 

The Matchup: The Charleston Cougars, with a record of 26-7 (15-3 CAA), will face off against the Stony Brook Seawolves, who have a record of 20-14 (10-8 CAA). 

What’s at Stake: The winner of this game will secure an automatic berth into the NCAA Tournament bracket. 

Performance Trends: Charleston has been performing strongly, with a 10-0 overall record and going 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games, while Stony Brook has gone 7-3 overall and winning 8-2 ATS record including 7 straight winners ATS in the same span. Regression is highly likely for Stony Brook since they are facing a very strong COC team deep with talent.  

SB is just 2-14 ATS away from home when facing a team that is scoring 77 or more PPG on the season. 

COC is 15-3 ATS after game number 15 and facing a team that draws only 17 or fewer fouls per game spanning the last three seasons. 

SB head coach Ford is a money-burning 4-13 ATS away from home and ridig a four or more game win streak. 

From my predictive model, we are expecting COC to score 80 or more points and have fewer turnovers than SB. In past games in which COC met these performance measures has seen them go 32-1 SU and 22-6 ATS for 79% winning bets over the past three seasons. 

03-11-24 San Francisco v. Gonzaga OVER 150 Top 77-89 Win 100 9 h 14 m Show

San Francisco vs Gonzaga

11:30 ET | ESPN2 | Orleans Arena, Las Vegas

West Coast Conference Semifinals

8-Unit bet Over the posted total of 149.5 points and is valid to 151.5 points.

Consider betting 50% of your 8-Unit Best Bet preflop and then look to add 25% more at 145.5 points, and 25% more at 142.5 points during the first half of action.

Gonzaga is 26-19 Over following a game in which they allowed less than 40% shooting and shot better than 50% from the field. They have seen the Over go 17-10 over the past five seasons following a game in which they shot better than 50% and with the current game less than 150 points.

San Fran is 35-25 Over for 58% in games with a total of less than 150 points and coming off a game in which they allowed 45% or lower shooting since 2019. IN games against Gonzaga with a total less than 150 points, San Fran has seen the Over go 8-4 for 67% since 2014.

Gonzaga head coach Mark Few is 65-50 Over in all March games; 16-5 Over in road and neutral games coming off an upset win as an underdog.

From my predictive models, Gonzaga has an 83% probability of scoring 80 or more points, shoot at least 49% from the field, and make 78% or more of their free throws. In past games over the last five seasons Gonzaga is 23-1 SU, 12-8 ATS, and 16-4 Over when scoring 80 or more points against San Fran. The Over has posted a highly profitable 13-4 Over record good for 77% winning bets when they have allowed 80 or more points and allowed higher than 49% shooting in games played over the past five seasons.

03-10-24 Ohio State v. Rutgers +1.5 Top 73-51 Loss -112 3 h 40 m Show

Ohio State vs Rutgers

2:00 ET | BTN | Jersey Mike’s Arena

8-Unit bet on Rutgers +1.5 points.

The following NCAAB betting algorithm has earned a 20-16 SU and 26-10 ASTS record good for 72% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. The requirements are:

·       Bet on home dogs including pick-em.

·       The home team is playing on fewer days of rest than the visitor.

·       The road team is coming off an ATS win priced as a double-digit favorite.

·       The game is the last game of the regular season.

From my predictive model we learn that Ohio State is just 3-21 SU and 4-19-1 ATS in road games against a conference foe when scoring fewer than 70 points since 2019.

03-09-24 Cal-Riverside v. UC-Santa Barbara -4 Top 81-64 Loss -110 12 h 50 m Show

UC-Riverside vs UC-Santa Barbara

10 ET |

8-Unit bet on UCSB -3.5 points and is valid to -4.5 points

My predictive models are projecting that UNCB will score at least 75 points and shoot at least 50% from the field. In past home games UCSB has posted a 30-2 SU record and 28-3-1 ATS mark for 90% winning bets over the past five seasons when meeting these performance measures. UCR is just 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS for 12% when allowing these performance measures in road games since 2019.

03-09-24 New Mexico +3.5 v. Utah State Top 85-87 Win 100 10 h 20 m Show

New Mexico vs (22) Utah State

8 :30 ET | CBSSN | Dee Glen Smith Spectrum

8-Unit bet on New Mexico 2.5 points and is valid to pick-em.

The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 17-40 SU record and a 39-18 ATS record good for 68.4% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

·      Bet on road underdogs including pick-em.

·      The road team is coming off a game in which they allowed 35 or lower shooting.

·      The home team is coming off three games in which they shot 50% or better from the field in each game.

03-08-24 Boise State +8 v. San Diego State Top 79-77 Win 100 9 h 25 m Show

Boise State vs (21) San Diego State

10 ET | FS1 | Viejas Arena

8-Unit bet on Boise State +7.5 points and is valid to 6.5 points

The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 28-140 SU record and a 107-60-1 ATS record good for 64% winning bets since 2018. The requirements are:

·      Bet on underdogs of six or more points.

·      That dog is coming off a double-digit loss to a conference foe.

·      The favorite is coming off an upset road loss.

If the opponent is ranked, our underdogs have gone 4-30 SU and 22-12 ATS for 65% winning bets. If our underdog is playing on two days of rest they have then gone 12-37 SU and 35-14 ATS for 71.4%

03-08-24 Pepperdine -3.5 v. San Diego Top 52-57 Loss -110 8 h 23 m Show

Pepperdine vs San Diego

West Coast Tournament – Second Round

9 ET | ESPN+ | Orleans Arena, Las Vegas

5-Unit bet on Pepperdine -2.5 points and is valid to -3.5 points.

If the line drops to make Pepperdine a -2 or fewer favorite consider betting the money line.

Teams, like Pepperdine that are coming off a historic win and led at the half of that game by 30 or more points in a conference tournament game have gone to post a 7-1 ATS record. Pepperdine led at the half 56-9 (that is not an error) and went on to win the game 102-43. This is the 8th seed Pepperdine Wave taking on the 5th seeded San Diego. When the team seeded lower (had a lower win percentage in conference games) is favored it is telling that the seeds just might not reflect the current playing levels of the teams.

The following NCAA Basketball betting algorithm has earned an 88-40 SU and 70-41-2 ATS record for 63% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are:

·       Bet on any team priced between the 3’s

·       Both teams are averaging 70 to 74 PPG.

·       The team has led by 20 or more points at the half in each of their last two games.

·       The game takes place after the 15th game.

If our team led by 27 or more points at the half of their previous game, they have gone on to a 19-9 SU and 17-8-3 ATS record for 68% winning bets.

03-07-24 Southern v. Alabama State +1 Top 65-57 Loss -110 5 h 18 m Show
Southern vs Alabama State
8:30 ET |8-Unit Bet on Alabama State using the money line or the spread if that is more attractive at your sportsbook.

The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 87-51 SU and 86-50-2 ATS (63.2%) winning bets since 2019. The requirements are:

«  Bet on home teams that have won 40 to 49% of their games.

«  Game occurs in March.

«  The total is 130 or more points.

If the opponent has a winning re3cord, the results improve to 35-35 SU and 45-23-2 ATS for 66.2% winning bets.

 
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