25* graded play on San Diego as they take on UCLA in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that SDU will lose this game by fewer than 7 points. There is the possibility of an upset win so consider adding a 3* play using the money line. SD has the personnel and floor leadership to compete against UCLA. Guard Christopher Anderson is an elite guard and leads the team in minutes 33.25, assists with 8.4 per game, and steals with 1.4 PG. Johnny Dee is the other guard and he is a great shooter and is able to get to the rim often. He averages a team-high 20.5 PPG. Also, UCLA has been playing the majority of their games using mostly seven players. SDU has a much deeper bench and has solid chemistry with a wide array of personnel. SDU is on a solid  13-4 ATS run after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Take San Diego.

25* graded play on Texas A&M as they take on Arizona State in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Texas A&M will win this game by 10 or more points. The following game situations match my expectations for the outcome of this game.  ASU is just 41-73 ATS (-39.3 Units) when they commit 3 to 7 more turnovers than their opponents since 1997; [email protected] is a solid 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. A&M is led by forward Eric Jacobson, who has a team-high with 34 minutes and 8.3 rebounds. Guard Gerry Blakes augments his play and is a team-high 12.2 PPG. Yet, the team has 7 other players that make significant contributions during the game. This depth is what I see as a massive advantage forA&M an done that I just do not see ASU being able to overcome. Take Texas A&M

25* graded play on SMU as they host Wyoming in NCAAM Hoops action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that SMU will win this game by 9 or more points. Supporting The following game situations match my expectations and projections for the outcome of this game. Wyoming is a money burning 29-52 ATS (-28.2 Units) in road games in slower paced games where they attempt 46 to 53 shots since 1997; 67-103 ATS (-46.3 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game since 1997; 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game since 1997; SMU is a rock solid 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Wyoming has just two players scoring 10+ PPG while SMU has four solid starters averaging at least 11 PPG. I don't see Wyoming having an defensive answer for SMU guard Nic Moore, who si the team leader in minutes with 33.3, 14.43 PPG, 5.57 assists, and 2.29 steals. SMU has better guard play adn a much deeper bench. Take SMU. 

25* graded play on Monmouth as they take to the road to play Marist in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Monmouth will win this game by more than five points. This is a MAAC Conference opener for both teams. Monmouth returns all five starters from last year's squad and this playing experience and developed floor chemistry is a significant advantage. Both teams struggle on the offensive end. However, Monmouth plays a slower than average tempo style of game and focuses on having a strong defensive presence. The vast difference between these two MAAC schools is that Monmouth has a monumentally better defense. Both teams are led by solid guard play, but the edge still goes to Monmouth. They start Justin Robinson is leads the team with 30 minutes per game, 3.17 assists, and 1.9 steals. He is augmented by Deon Jones, who plays 29 minutes and scores a team-high 13.33 PPG. Marist is led by their two guards in Chavaughn Lewis and Khallid Hart, who combine for 44 of the teams' 59 PPG. I strongly believe that the Monmouth defense will be able to contain this pair of scorers and force other struggling Marist shooters to make shots. Marist lost at BC 79-61 and failed to cover installed as 14 1/2 point dogs. Further, Marist is just  2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a road loss over the last 2 seasons. Take Monmouth. 

25* graded play on Dayton as they take on Miami (Ohio) in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Dayton will win this game by 12 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 66-35 ATS mark for 65% winners since 2008.  Play against favorites of 10 or more points (DAYTON) off a home blowout win by 20 points or more and is a solid team winning between 60% to 80% of their games and now playing a struggling team winning between 20% to 40% of their games. The following game situations match my expectations and projections for the outcome of this game. Dayton is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last two seasons. Miami (ohio) has been a money burning 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons; 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games when they score 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997. Further, Dayton is a rock solid 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Flyers are led by guard Jordan Sibert, who is averaging team-highs with 30 minutes and 15.6 PPG. He is 6-4 185 lbs and I don't see Miami with a defensive player that can match up well against him. Dayton plays a slower style of game that is fed by their strong defensive presence. They rank 15th in the nation in scoring defense. Moreover, the Flyers have a monumental rebounding edge at both ends of the court. Take Dayton.

25* graded play on the Ohio State Buckeyes as they take on the Louisville Cardinal in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge set to start at 9:30 PM ET. This game is being played at the YUM! Center in Louisville, Kentucky. The simulator shows a high probability that OSU will lose this game by fewer than 7 points. I also like addig a 2.5* amount using the money line to exploit the possible upset. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 41-13 ATS mark for 76% winners since 2008. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LOUISVILLE) after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game and is now facing an opponent after 2 straight wins by 15 points or more.  Louisville has not had great success against high powered offenses. They have been a money burning 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) when facing explosive offensive teams scoring 84+ points/game since 1997. OSU is led on offense by one of the best guards in the nation. Shannon Scott has been averaging 31 minutes of playing time per game with 10.5 APG and is great on defense too averaging 3.6 steals per game. He feeds scoring forward Sam Thompson and Mark Love, who is averaging 10 PPG each. The real scoring machine is shooting guard D'Angelo Russell, who is averaging 18 PPG. He has hit 34-of-64 shot attempts for 53% shooting and is 14-for-29 for 49% from beyond the arc. He is 6-5 180 lbs. and is lightning fast and quick with a tremendous first step that creates space from a defender. I truly see this game as a even match with a slight edge to OSU, yet we are getting 8 1/2 points to assume the risk fo the would-be inferior team. Take Ohio State.

25* graded play on Fordham as they host Sienna in NCAAB action set to start at 7:05 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Fordham will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I suggest making this a combination wager using a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-14 mark using the Money Line and has made 40 units/unit wagered since 1997 and has averaged a quite impressive +167 DOG play.  Play against any team (SIENA) off a road win, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 8+ spread covers in last 10 games. Fordham Rams are led by forward Ryan Rhoomes, who is averaging 32 minutes, 10 PPG and 11 RPG. Their true scorer is forward Eric Paschall, who is averaging 20 PPG on 30 minutes of playing time. I believe the Rams trio will be able to out duel the Sienna defense and offer strong resistance to their pace of play. Take Fordham. 

25* graded play on Tulane as they take on Tennessee Tech set to start at 2:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that  Tulane will win this game by 11 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 28-7 ATS mark for 80% winners since 1997. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TULANE) and is a team from a major division 1-A conference and now facing a team from a mid-major division 1-A conference, and is off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. The following game situations match my projections for this game. Tulane is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game since 1997; Tech is just  26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game since 1997. Further, Tech is a money burning 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) when facing strong teams outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game since 1997. Take Tulane. 

15* graded play on the Memphis Tigers as they take on the Baylor Bears in NCAA Basketball action set to start at 11:59 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Memphis will win this game. This is a first round game in the Las Vegas Invitational taking place at the Orleans Arena. Memphis is a solid 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) after a game being called for 10+ less fouls than opponent since 1997; 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) after allowing 50 points or less since 1997. Baylor has played four inferior opponents. Both teams have played Prairie View. Memphis won 77-49 while Baylor won by 15 points 60-45. Not the most meaningful opponent for comparison, but the only one. I see Tiger defense and speed something Baylor has not seen yet. It is very difficult to be able to prepare for a step up in competition. Take Memphis.

15* graded play on the Western Kentucky as they take on St. Josephs in NCAA basketball action set to start at 6:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that WKU will win this game by three or more points. This game is a NIT consolation round matchup taking place at the famed Madison Squarer Garden. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 74-38 ATS mark for 66% winners since 1997. Play against neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (ST JOSEPHS) and is a team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference, playing with one or less days rest. Here is a second system that has gone 176-111 ATS for 62% winners since 2008. Play on any team (W KENTUCKY) after scoring 65 points or less three straight games and with two more starters returning from last year than opponent. WKU is a near-perfect 10-1 ATS when facing struggling 3 point shooting teams making

15* graded play on Rhode Island as they take on Kansas in NCAA Basketball action set to start at 2:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that RIU will lose this game by fewer than 8 points. This is a Round One game in the Orlando Classic taking place at the HP Field House in lake Buena Vista, Florida. RIU returns four starters and that playing experience and chemistry will be a significant advantage against Kansas today. RIU has steadily built a very strong basketball program. This is quite evident in their abilities to play very well against the elite competition. RIU is a solid  10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a solid team winning between 60% to 80% of their games over the last two seasons. Take Rhode Island

15* graded play on UC-Riverside as they take on Loyola Marymount in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that UCR will lose this game by fewer than 7 points. UC Riverside returns four starters and is a huge advantage facing a Loyola Marymount squad that returns just one. That experience and floor chemistry will be quite evident tonight. Now, of course there are teams, like Kentucky, that simply reload with McDonald's all-americans, so the learning curve is greatly reduced on those squads. With all due respect LMU is not Kentucky and I see them struggling tonight just to win this game. UC-Riverside is a perfect  6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) in road games when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game since 1997. LMU is just  1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons;  4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take UC-Riverside.

15* graded play on Lehigh as they take on DePaul in NCAA basketball action set to start at 8:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Lehigh will lose this game by fewer than 7 points. The following game situations match the projections I see for this game. Lehigh is a stout 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game since 1997; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game since 1997. Lehigh has lost four straight, but they have have ben against vastly better competition than that faced in DePaul's two games. Lehigh plays strong team defense and it will disrupt the ball movement by DePaul in the half court. Don't be surprised if Lehigh ends up winning this game. 

15* graded play on Richmond as they take on NC State in NCAA basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Richmond will lose this game by fewer than 4 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Supporting this graded play are several game situations and I will mention just a few of them. NC State is just 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) in home games or games where they are designated as the home team on a neutral court when facing teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game since 1997; 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive games as a home favorite since 1997; 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after two straight games attempting 10+ more free throws than opponent since 1997. HC Gottfried is just 14-35 ATS (-24.5 Units) off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1997. NC State barely defeated South Florida 68-65 and failed to cover installed as 15 point favorites. Take Richmond. 

15* graded play on the the Oklahoma Sooners as they take on the UCLA Bruins in College basketball action set to start at 2:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that the Sooners will win this game by five or more points. I will have a three-pack of NCAA Hoops action released in a few hours and all are on the evening card starting at 7:00 PM ET. This matchup is a first round game in the Battle for Atlantis taking place at the Imperial Arena at Atlantis Resort in Nassau. Love the fact that Sooners have four returning starters to just one for the Bruins. This is a huge advantage for the Sooners and for any team playing in the first month of the season. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 24-4 ATS mark for 86% winners since 1997. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA) in a game involving two teams who had good records (60% to 80%) from last season and with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent. Take the Sooners. 

25* graded play on the SMU Mustangs as they take on the Arkansas Razorbacks in College Hoops action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 54-25 ATS mark for 69% winners since 1997. Play against road teams as an underdog or pick (ARKANSAS) that are explosive offensive teams scoring 84+ points/game on the season and after two straight blowout wins by 20 points or more. Based ont he matchups, I see SMU having less than 18 turnovers and hitting between 47 and 53% of their shot attempts. In past games, SMU is a perfect  6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when they commit 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons; 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Moreover, Arkansas has been a money burning 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games when facing strong shooting teams making >=48% of their shots since 1997. Arkansas is off a 999-71 win at Delaware State and there was not line for this game. Not good for Arkansas backers noting they are a near-imperfect 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last three seasons. Take SMU.

25* graded play on Missouri as they take on Arizona in College Basketball action set to start at 5:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Missouri will lose this game by fewer than 8 points. This game is being played in Maui an dis part of the Maui Invitational. Missouri is a team that is in a rebuilding season, but one that I believe will exceed fan expectations. They have  anew coach in Kim Anderson and he does have a group of players that can surprise many teams especially when conference action starts. PF Johnathan Williams III (5.8 PPG, 6.5 RPG and 1.6 BPG) started every game last season as a freshman, and took big step forward throughout the season. With Williams as the top returning scorer, transfers will have to play a big role on this team, as SG Deuce Bello (Baylor) and PG Keith Shamburger (Hawaii) are super athletic and have already put those assets on display this season. The Tigers also have a returning poit guard in Wes Clark is a smart player and soldi distributor of the ball both in fast break and half-court situations. I strongly believe  Missouri will have a significant edge in rebounding adn this will keep the game in single digits throughout. Take Missouri.

25* graded play on Stanford as they host Duke in College Basketball action set to start at 9:30 PM ET. This is a great matchup for Stanford and one that they actually have a chance for a huge upset win. Given this favorable outcome, I suggest playing a combination wager using a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.  This game is taking place at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn and is the final round of the Coaches for Caner Tournament. The simulator shows a high probability that Stanford will lose this game by fewer than 7 points. Stanford is already an excellent rebounding team and they will have a dominant edge against Duke. This serves to minimize second chance scoring opportunities and also provides Stanford with fast break scoring options on missed Duke shots. Duke shot 39% in their 20-point win over Temple. That margin of victory was in large part attributed to Temple offensive woes where they simply did not connect on wide open mid-range jumpers. Stanford will not fail to hit open perimeter shots and have the size to matchup well against the athleticism and length of the Duke starters. Take Stanford. 

15* graded play on the Long Beach State as they take on Kansas State in NCAA Men's Basketball action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that LBS will win this game by 3 or more points. The following game situations match the projections I see for this game. K-State is just 24-70 ATS (-53.0 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. LBS is a solid money making  87-40 ATS (+43.0 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. LBS is a solid shooting team. Although just a few games have been played they are averaging 82 PPG good for 29th best in the nation. Even better is their 18th best ranking with a 55% shooting percentage. How, K-State scores 90 PPG, but this has been against a vastly weaker schedule than that faced by LBS. Again, just two games but the opponents were Southern Utah and Missouri-KC. By comparison, LBS has played three games against BYU, San Francisco State, and Xavier. Further, K-State coach Weber is just 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better in all games he has coached since 1997. I like LBS to win this by three or more points. 

25* graded play on UC-Irvine as they take on Arizona in College basketball action set to start at 9:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that UC-Irvine will lose this game by fewer than 13 points. The beginning of the season sees many teams working thorugh team transitions and growing pains. I always a like a solid free throw shooting team. UC-Irvine is on a nice 7-0 ATS tear when they have hit 73 to 80% of their free throws in games played over the three seasons. Arizona is ranked No.2 in the nation, but I really like how the UC-Irvine defense matches up with them. Further, UC-Irvine returns four starters and 2 key-reserve players from their 23-win season that won the Big West regular season title. They were a team that I felt definitely should have gotten into the NCAA TOurnament. They did lose the Conference Titan and auto-bid to a losing record, BUT very red hot Cal Poly Slo team. Irvine's 7-foot-6 sophomore Mamadou Ndiaye will present a problem for the Wildcats in the post. I also see Irvine having a decided edge in rebounding which directly minimizes the Arizona multi-shot possessions. Take UC-Irvine

15* graded play on Manhattan as they take on UMASS in NCAAM Hoops action set to start at 11:00 AM ET.  I fully expect Manhattan to stay within seven points and possibly win the game. Both teams return 2 starters from last year's editions, so both will have some team chemistry work ahead of them. The Jaspers have a player to watch in this game and one that I believe will dominate the UMASS defense. Junior forward Shane Richards scored 17 in a loss to Florida State. He is 6-5 and 185 pounds and what he lacks in physical size, he more than makes up with speed and elite quickness. He is complimented by a senior leader in 6-6 205 lb forward Emmy Adujar. Manhattan will look to run fast break on every missed UMASS shot given their advantages over UMASS defenders in the open court. Even with the fast break and higher number of possessions I don't see Manhattan having more than 17 turnovers. In past games, Manhattan is a solid 18-5 against the money line (+12.7 Units) when they commit 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last three seasons. Take Manhattan. 

25* graded play on Dartmouth as they take on St. Bonaventure in season opener for both teams set to to tip at 7:00 PM ET.  Dartmouth HC Paul Cormier has FIVE returning starters and this experience and chemistry is a very powerful weapon when facing teams that are essentially rebuilding. St. Bonaventure has just two returning starters and will need a month of games to get into a good team flow at both ends of the court. Cormier was brought in to turn this program around. They took a major step forward last season  by simply finishing out of the Ivy cellar for the first time since 2009. Their team leader starts with Junior Gabas Maidunas, who is a tremendous rebounding machine. Last season he got 27% of all available defensive rebounds, which is a very high percentage for any player to attain. This will limit all opponents multi-shot possessions, which is a dominant factor in pulling off upset wins. Another guard to watch is 5-11 sophomore Alex Mitola, who is extremely quick and has a great shot from the perimeter. He is the 'spark plug' for the offense. I believe the Dartmouth program will take another step forward this season and it will start tonight. The following game situations reflect the levels of performance I see for this game. Dartmouth is 35-13 ATS when they score 67 to 71 points in games played since 1997; 45-20 ATS when they have hit 40 to 46% of their shot attempts in games played since 1997. Take Dartmouth.