25* graded play on the Kansas State as they take on TCU in Big-12 Conference action set to start at 9:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that K-State will win this game by 7 or more points. The following game situations reinforce my expectations for the outcome of this game. K-State is a solid 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; TCU is just 46-73 ATS (-34.3 Units) in slower paced games where they attempt 46 to 53 shots since 1997. K-State is also a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons; 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a top-level team posting a win percentage of > 80% over the last 2 seasons; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games facing good defensive teams posting a shooting percentage defense of

25* graded play on the South Carolina Gamecocks as they take on the Florida Gators in SEC Conference basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that SC will win this game by 7 or more points. The following game situations match my expectations and stat projections for the outcome of this game. Florida is a solid 73-48 ATS (+20.2 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997; 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when they force 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons; South Carolina is just 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games when they score 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997. Further Purdue is a money burning  18-42 ATS (-28.2 Units) at home when the line is +3 to -3 since 1997.  Gators a solid money making 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997. Take the Gators.

25* graded play on the Purdue Boilermakers as they take on the Wisconsin Badgers in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Purdue will lose this game by fewer than 15 points. Purdue has the offensive and favorable matchups to keep this game to single digits. They rank 36th in scoring offense (75 PPG), 19th in assists (16.3), and 18th offensive rebound % (37.1). Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 76-38 ATS mark for 67% winners since 1997. Play against any team (WISCONSIN) that is an average 3PT shooting team making between 32 to 36.5% and is now facing a weak 3PT defense allowing >=36.5% and in a game involving two dominant rebounding teams posting a differential of >=+6 rebounds/game.  Wisconsin is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons. Take Purdue. 

25* graded play on the Duquesne as they take on St. Josephs in A-10 Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Duquesne will win this game by 5 or more points. The following game situations match my expectations for the outcome of this game. STJ is a losing 23-51 ATS (-33.1 Units) when they make 23% to 30% of their three point attempts in a game since 1997. Duquesne is a solid 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997; 41-19 ATS (+20.1 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game since 1997. Duquesne is the vastly better offensive team led by a trio of scoring threats in guard Micah Mason, guard Derick Colter, and a third guard in Jordan Stevens. Yet these three are not pressured into scoring points and winning games as they have a well supporting cast of bench players. Conversely, STJ is led by one single player in Forward DeAndre Bembry, who is the team leader in minutes (38), scoring (16), rebounds (7), assists (3), and steals (2). I strongly believe that Duquesne has the depth to contain Bembry and force other STJ role players to make shots to compete. Take Duquesne. 

25* graded play on Virginia Tech as they take on Florida State in ACC Conference basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that V-Tech will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. I would recommend adding a 1.5* amount using the money line if available. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 54-25 ATS mark for 69% winners since 2009. Play on a road team (VIRGINIA TECH) after 2 or more consecutive losses and in a game involving two marginal winning teams posting win percentages between 51% to 60%. The following game situations match the projections for the outcome of this game. V-Tech has been a long-term solid money making 60-35 ATS (+21.5 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game since 1997; 65-34 ATS (+27.6 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game since 1997;  55-28 ATS (+24.2 Units) when their opponents make 23% to 30% of their 3 pointers in a game since 1997. Further, we see a trend that does favor V-tech noting that FSU has been a money burning  5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games when facing solid teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons;  2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after allowing 65 points or less 4 straight games since 1997. Tech's leading rebounder Forward Joey van Zegeren has been suspended, BUT they have plenty of depth at that position to more than offset that loss in production. The Hokies are led by three solid playing guards in Bibbs (team highs in minutes and PPG0, Smith, and Wilson (team highs in assists and steals. I believe this trio matches up very well against FSU and will be the dominant reason the Hokies can make this a very closely contested game. Take Virginia Tech. 

25* graded play on the Iowa Hawkeyes as they take on Nebraska in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 9:00 PM ET.  Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a remarkable 26-4 ATS record for 87% winners since 2009. Play on home favorites of 10 or more points (IOWA) in a game involving two excellent defensive teams allowing

25* graded play on Air Force as they take on Nevada in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 6:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Air Force will win this game by more than 3 points. Supporting this graded play is a series of game conditions that match the projections for this game. Air Force is a very strong  51-16 ATS (+33.4 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game since 1997;  10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when their opponents make 23% to 30% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons;  10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 3 seasons;  8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in games where both teams score 65 or less points over the last 2 seasons; Nevada is just  2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they make 23% to 30% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when they score 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) when they score 55 to 60 points in a game since 1997. Further, Air Force has demonstrated that do perform well against slow paced defensive oriented teams like Nevada. They are a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) facing very good defensive teams with a shooting percentage defense of

25* graded play on Rider as they take on Marist in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Rider will win this game by 8 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 131-72 ATS mark for 65% winners since 1997. Play on road teams as an favorite or pick (RIDER) after 3 or more consecutive wins, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing record team. The following game situations match my expectations for the outcome of this game. Rider is a very strong 16-1 ATS (+14.9 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 40-8 ATS (+31.2 Units) when they allow 55 to 60 points in a game since 1997;  8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons. Marist is a horrid 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) when they score 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when they commit 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. With all due respect Marist is a terrible team this season. They rank 321st in the nation in scoring offense, 333rd in assists-per-game, and 331st in total rebounds per game. On the defensive end it is not that much better as they rank 215th in scoring defense. 323rd in rebounds allowed, and 297th in assist per game. Now, Rider is not a juggernaut, but they are vastly better on both ends of the court than Marist. Take Rider.

25* graded play on Southern Mississippi as they take on LSU in a matchup set to start at 7:00 PM ET. I had CS-Bakersfield last night as a huge +16 point dog that shocked Cal in a SU win. This is a similar matchup, but like the CS-Bakersfield game, I did NOT call for the upset win. Nor will I for this game. However, I do strongly believe that Mississippi will keep this game to 12 or fewer points.  The simulator confirms this projection as well. SM is a solid  8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last two seasons. SM plays a very slow tempo style of game and their past results clearly show this fact. They are a solid 36-12 ATS (+22.8 Units) after a combined score of 125 points or less 2 straight games since 1997. Further, HC Sadler is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog in all games he has coached since 1997. LSU guard Josh Gray has missed the last two games due to an ankle injury and is listed as probable for tonight. Experience has shown that these types of injuries require lengthy periods of healing and I doubt he will be anywhere close to 100% for tonight's matchup. SM has strong guard play led by Matt Bingaya, who has team-highs in minutes (31.3), points (15.6), boards (6.10) and steals (1.30). He is supported by a nine man rotation. They play without a Center on the roster and will have 4 guards on the floor at times. In the half court set they do have the speed and fundamental team play to score points. They also use the clock to their advantage, whcih serves to work the ball for the best shot possible, and also to shorten the game. Guard Chip Armein will have an above average night and the two of them will be a dominant reason that SM keeps this game to single digits. Take Southern Mississippi. 

25* graded play on Cal State Bakersfield as they take on California in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 10:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that CSB will lose this game by fewer than 11 points. Cal is just  3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) facing good rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons. Cal uses December in preparation for the conference season and it shows in their  3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in December games over the last three seasons. Further, they are a money burning 6-24 ATS (-20.4 Units) in home games after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers since 1997. CSB runs nine deep and are led by strong guard play and ball distribution. Further, they are an oustanding rebounding team averaging 34 boards per game while playing a slower style tempo. Their Center Aly Ahmed will create defensive problems for Cal in the paint. I expect this game to be single digits throughout. Take Cal State Bakersfield. 

25* graded play on Kentucky as they take on Louisville in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. A great marquee matchup, but certainly one that I think Kentucky will use as a statement game.  The simulator shows a high probability that they will win this game by 10 or more points. Louisville plays very good team defense and creates turnovers leading to fast break scoring opportunities. They simply use defense to generate offense to use an often used phrase. However, Kentucky, in my opinion, is the deepest team in the history of the NCAA running at least 9 deep. They will, as has been the case in previous games, use this depth to literally run a defense off the court. We always refer to a OL in football wearing down a defensive unit over the course of a game, which then opens up big time plays down field. The same can be said about Kentucky where there is always a fresh group of five players on the floor at all times. Neither team shoots threes particularly well, but Kentucky ranks 34th in the nation in shooting percentage as compared to Louisville's 118th. Kentucky has incredible length with their players and as good as Louisville's defense is, Kentucky's is vastly better. So, you get a reasonable spread and have the vastly better offensive and defensive team looking to make a statement. Take Kentucky. 

25* graded play 'UNDER' Wisconsin - Milwaukee (WM)/ Arkansas set to start at 9:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that fewer than 140 points will be scored in this matchup. The following game situations match my expectations for the outcome of this game. Arkansas is a solid  22-10 UNDER (+11.0 Units) in home games when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game since 1997;  33-14 UNDER (+17.6 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997. WM is a solid 33-18 UNDER (+13.2 Units) in road games facing solid shooting teams making >=45% of their shots since 1997. WM head coach Jeter is 29-13 UNDER (+14.7 Units) in road games facing solid shooting teams making >=45% of their shots; Arkansas HC Anderson is a solid 21-11 UNDER (+8.9 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Arkansas is off to a strong 8-2 start in large part due to their potent offense. Yet, their defense has been borderline awful in many games. They rank 248th in scoring defense, 215th in shooting percentage allowed, and 279th in FG made allowed. This is an opportunity against a WM team that struggles on the offensive end to tune up the defense. WM ranks a miserable 226th in scoring offense, 214th in assists per game, and 246th in assist-turnover ratio. I expect Arkansas to fully focused on the defensive end, slow the pace of the game knowing they are the superior team. Take the 'UNDER' 

25* graded play on Oklahoma State as they host Maryland in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 2:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that OKS will win this game by 11 or more points. Maryland has not played well against elite shooting teams. They are an imperfect  0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games facing excellent teams shooting >=45% with a defense of

25* graded play on Wake Forest as they take on Florida in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 5:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Wake Forest will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. This is a fantastic opportunity for Wake Forest and the matchup is solidly backed by precedence. Head Coach Manning is a near-perfect 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) facing teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in all games he has coached since 1997; 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) facing solid ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Illinois as they take on Missouri in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 2:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Illinois will win this game by 15 or more points. The following game situations match my expectations for the outcome of this game.  Missouri is an imperfect  0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games in games attempting around the same number of free throws (+-3) as opponents over the last 2 seasons; Illinois is a solid 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 59-24 ATS (+32.6 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997. Missouri has just not played well against elite/superior opponents. They are a miserable 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) facing solid teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season; 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Take Illinois.

25* graded play on Fairfield as they take on Belmont in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 1:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that  Fairfield will win this game. The line is -1 1/2 and as a result the ML offers a strong opportunity. I would play one or the other and not the usual combination wager involving both. The return on investment (ROI) is diminished vastly with the combination wager. Of note for this game is that Belmont guard Craig Bradshaw is listed as questionable with a calf injury. Certainly his minutes will be limited if he even takes the court. He averages 29 minutes and is the leading scorer at 21.3 PPG for Belmont. So, this is a significant development. Fairfield HC Johnson is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread. Take Fairfield. 

25* graded play on the Western Kentucky as they host Louisville in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 12:00 Noon ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that WKU will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. The following game situations support the cover and the possibility of a significant upset. WKU is a solid 6-1 against the money line (+8.1 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons; 75-38 against the money line (+30.8 Units) when they make 64% to 71% of their free throws in a game since 1997. Western Kentucky has played a similar schedule in terms of SOS. This is a step up in competition, but certainly one I strongly believe they will handle very well. When stepping up in competition they have been a solid  9-2 against the money line (+9.4 Units) after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. WKU has excellent guard play led by Harrell, who leads the team in minutes (31.8), scoring (17.00), and rebounds (10.4). The guard play that includes Blackshear, Rozier, and Jones is why I see this being a single digit game. Take Western Kentucky. 

25* graded play on St. Mary's as they take on St. Johns in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that STM will lose this game by fewer than 9 points. I expect a closely contested game possibly coming down a last second shot for either team to win. Given this projection, I like adding a 3* play using the money line to the 25* play using the line. St. Johns is just  2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after a game committing eight or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. St. Mary's is a solid 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) off a home loss by 3 points or less since 1997. Further, STJ's Lavin is just 3-19 ATS (-17.9 Units) after a game committing 8 or less turnovers. The STM guard play led by Naar and Bright matchup extremely well against St. Johns counterparts Harrison, Greene, Pointer, and Jordan. St. Johns has played a ton of guard play this season often times with three or even four of them playing together. However, St. Mary's leading scorer is a forward in Waldow, who is averaging 22 PPG on the season and 10.8 boards. His size and athleticism is going present a very difficult challenge for St. Johns to offset. The majority of the minutes played for St. Johns have been 7 players with six of them Guards and one Center. Their best F is playing just 8 minutes a game (Christian Jones). Take St. Mary's 

25* graded play on Dartmouth as they take on Northern Illinois in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Dartmouth will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I like adding a 3* play using the money to the 25* line play for a total risk of 28*. The following game situations match my expectations for the outcome of this game. NIU is just 50-107 ATS (-67.7 Units) when they score 60 or less points in a game since 1997;  28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) when they score 55 to 60 points in a game since 1997. Dartmouth is a solid money making  35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game since 1997; 58-19 ATS (+37.1 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game since 1997; 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) when they allow 55 to 60 points in a game since 1997. Dartmouht is averaging 13 assists per game in a slow style of pace. That ball passing and ball movement/distribution is what I see as the major factor in leading Dartmouth to the win. By comparison, NI has hardly any ball movement ranking 325th in the nation posting a 0.426 assist/FG made ratio. Further, rank a horrid 345th posting a 0.525 assist/turnover ratio and 336th getting just 8.6 assists per game. Take Dartmouth. 

25* graded play on Middle Tennessee State as they take on Oklahoma State in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that MTS will lose this game by 10 or fewer points. I like the edge I see in total rebounding favoring MTS. Strong defensive rebounding serves to limit the number of multi-shot possessions by a superior opponent. It also lends itslef to an increased probability of a complete upset as well. Based on the pace of play I see for this matchup, I believe MTS will get between 40 and 44 boards. In past games, they have posted a strong 37-10 ATS (+26.0 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game since 1997. OKS is a money burning  7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points since 1997; 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points since 1997. Coach Davis is an excellent Davis is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) after a game with five or less offensive rebounds as the coach of MTS. The Blue Raiders are led by F Reggie Upshaw with team highs in minutes (28.4) and scoring (10.33 PPG). They have five players averaging 7 or PPG and this reflects solid ball distribution within a slow-style paced of game. F Xavier Habersham is their real athletic player and is doing a great job on the boards with 9 per game. I strongly believe the Blue Raiders will put up an excellent effort tonight and keep this game to single digits throughout. 

25* graded play on Dartmouth as they take on Jacksonville State in NCAAB action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Dartmouth will win this game by 7 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 73-31 ATS mark for 70% winners since 1997. Play on road teams as an favorite or pick (DARTMOUTH) and is an excellent defensive team allowing

25* graded play on Princeton as they take on California in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 8:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Princeton will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. Princeton is disciplined team that also shoots very well from beyond the arc. This matchup is a big problem for California in past games. Golden Bears are just  0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Further, they are just 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers since 1997. Princeton is a solid 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points since 1997. Princeton is making 8.5 three-point shots per game that ranks them 28th best in the nation. I expect them to make 10 or more in this matchup. This shooting will also spread the Cal defense and open up paint opportunities later in the game. Take Princeton.

25* graded play on South Dakota as they host UNLV in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 8:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that SD will win this game. Unless the line expands to 3 1/2 points, the combination wager is just not a good wager based on return on investment (ROI). However, if this line does move to 3 1/2 by game time (which is a possibility as I expect the public to plough their dough in on UNLV) then placing a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line is an excellent ROI opportunity. SD is coming off a very impressive loss 91-88 to Creighton and were installed as massive 17 point dogs. That loss actually shows the team just how good they truly are and that confidence will spillover to this game. Further, SD is an excellent 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after allowing 90 points or more since 1997. They are also a strong 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after four straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. UNLV is essentially a one player team with Christian Wood leading the team in three categories. UNLV is also rebuilding from last year's edition knowing they have NO returning starters from that team. SD has much more depth and are led guard Tyler Larson, who has team highs in minutes (35), rebounds (8.10), and assists (3.60). He is well supported by Brandon Bos, who has team high in points (17 PPG) and plays 32 minutes. Off the bench, guard Tre Bennette provides meaningful minutes playing 21 minutes with 8.10 PPG, 5 boards, and a team high 1.30 steals per game. Take South Dakota.

25* graded play on VCU as they host No. 23 Northern Iowa in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that VCU will win this game by 10 or more points. Here are a few game situations supporting the expectations I have for the outcome of this game.  NIU is just  2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when they commit 3 to 7 more turnovers than their opponents over the last 3 seasons; 39-69 ATS (-36.9 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game since 1997; VCU is a solid  82-58 ATS (+18.2 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game since 1997. VCU is coming off losses in two of the last three games and has failed to cover in each of those three games. Note, however, that VCU is a very resilient  30-11 ATS  after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997. In his HC tenure at VCU, Smart is a solid Smart is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers. VCU's talent, especially in bench play will dominate NIU in this matchup. Look for guard Melvin Johnson and Forward Trevor Graham to exceed their season averages. Both combine for 34 PPG and I expect the duo to both put up 20 each. In addition, the supporting cast of PG Briante Weber will also have games above season averages. The biggest advantage will at the defensive end for VCU where they are averaging 9.50 steals-per-game. Their team speed, quickness, and athleticism is vastly superior to NIU. Take VCU. 

25* graded play on Montana as they take on Davidson in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Montana will win this game by four or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 64=30 ATS mark for 68% winners since 2009.  Play against road teams as an favorite or pick (DAVIDSON) in a game involving two average defensive teams scoring between 67 and 74 PPG and after scoring 85 points or more. Davidson is off a scrimmage type win over Stetson 90-59. Yet, they are just  4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after a game outrebounding opponent by 20 or more since 1997. The best matchup I see in my research is the scoring combination of Guard Jordan Gregory and Forward Martin Breunig. Gregory leads Montana with 33 minutes and is scoring 13.7 PPG. Breunig is averaging  team highs in scoring at 15.8 PPG. 6.9 rebounds, and 1.14 blocks. The other guard, Mario Dunn is the dime giver to both of these scorers. I simply do not see Davidson being able to matchup well against this trio. Take Montana. 

25* graded play on BYU as they host NO. 13 Utah in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 9:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that BYU will win this game by seven or more points. The following game situations match my expectations and projections for the outcome of this game. Utah is just 14-42 ATS (-32.2 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997. BYU is a solid 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in home games when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game since 1997; 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home games when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game since 1997. Further, BYU is a solid 43-23 ATS (+17.7 Units) in home games when facing slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game since 1997; 47-17 ATS (+28.3 Units) in home games after having won 4 of their last 5 games since 1997. Take the BYU Cougars.

25* graded play on Rider as they take on Iona in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Rider will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. Rider is led by a solid guard in Teddy Okereafor, who has team-highs in minutes at 32,11.33 PPG, and 2.8 assist per game. Rider's Center is Matt Lopez and at 7-0 and 245 pounds will have a very strong size advantage against Iona tonight. I fully expect that he will have far more points than his 11.0 PPG season average tonight. Iona likes to runt he floor and are averaging 87 PPG. Yet, I see Rider with a sizable rebounding advantage where they will limit Iona's multi-shot possessions. Rider is a solid  45-24 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game since 1997. Further, Iona is just 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. The simple fact is Rider plays a slower tempo style of game and is the ONLY reason they average fewer rebounds than might be expected. Last, Rider is an outstanding 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. Take Rider.

25* graded play on Alcorn State as they take on Iowa in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Alcorn State will lose this game by fewer than 25 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 92-48 ATS for 67% winners since 2008. Play on a road team (ALCORN ST) off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points and is a struggling team winning 20% or less of their games on the season. This si a great example of how lines do get inflated. In this case a weak team in Alcorn State was hammered 72-51 at Troy University and now the books do adjust the line even higher fully expecting public flows to be on Iowa. Sure, this is a mismatch anyway you cut it, but as far as the spread , it is just too many points. Take Alcorn State. 

25* graded play on Illinois as they take on Villanova set to start at 7:00 PM ET and is part of the Jimmy V Classic taking place at Madison Square Garden. The simulator shows a high probability that Illinois will lose this game by fewer than four points and has a chance to extend the first loss to an 8-0 Villanova squad. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 69-35 ATS mark for 67% winners since 1997. Play against neutral court teams (VILLANOVA) and is a solid offensive team scoring between 74 and 78 PPG and is now facing an excellent defensive team allowing

25* graded play on IUPUI as they take on Xavier in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that IUPUI will stay within the generous 25 point spread I am currently seeing. In fact, I think IUPUI will lose this game by fewer than 20 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 72-34 ATS mark for 68% winners since 1997. Play on road underdogs of 20 or more points (IUPUI) that are good free throw shooting teams making >=72% of their free throws and is a struggling defensive team allowing shooting percentage defense of >=45% on the season. Xavier is just  9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games when facing teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season since 1997. IUPUI is led by guard Marcellus Barksdale, who is the team leader in minutes with 34, scoring at 10 PPG, and steals at 2.00 per game. His teammate and fellow guard P.J. Boulte is the 'dime' provider and the two together play excellent defense. They go nine deep with those players averaging a minimum of 16 minutes per game. Xavier really only goes 7 deep and after that playing time is negligible. I do believe in a match like this those 'extra' players will see meaningful minutes tonight. This is game where Xavier can see what they off the bench as they get prepared to enter Conference action in 2015. Take IUPUI. 

25* graded play on Brown University as they take on Providence in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 9:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Brown will lose this game by fewer than 12 points. The following game situations match my expectations for the outcome of this play. Brown is a solid 40-21 ATS (+16.9 Units) in road games facing s slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game since 1997;  8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. Providence HC Cooley is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games after playing a game as a road favorite in all games he has coached since 1997. Friars are off two straight losses where they stepped in the level of competition and got defeated solidly. I don't see them taking Brown all that seriously tonight and are prone to having to compete far harder than what they may expect. Brown is led by Steven Spieth, who has team-highs in minutes at 33.30 and assists with 3.0 per game. He is a complete player and demonstrates a high Basketball IQ during games. Brown is a strong rebounding team as well and are led by Leland King with 8 RPG. He also leads the team in scoring at 15.8 PPG. I see this being a much closer game than the currentl line of 15 1/2 poits. Take Brown. 

25* graded play on San Diego as they take on UCLA in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that SDU will lose this game by fewer than 7 points. There is the possibility of an upset win so consider adding a 3* play using the money line. SD has the personnel and floor leadership to compete against UCLA. Guard Christopher Anderson is an elite guard and leads the team in minutes 33.25, assists with 8.4 per game, and steals with 1.4 PG. Johnny Dee is the other guard and he is a great shooter and is able to get to the rim often. He averages a team-high 20.5 PPG. Also, UCLA has been playing the majority of their games using mostly seven players. SDU has a much deeper bench and has solid chemistry with a wide array of personnel. SDU is on a solid  13-4 ATS run after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Take San Diego.

25* graded play on Texas A&M as they take on Arizona State in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Texas A&M will win this game by 10 or more points. The following game situations match my expectations for the outcome of this game.  ASU is just 41-73 ATS (-39.3 Units) when they commit 3 to 7 more turnovers than their opponents since 1997; [email protected] is a solid 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. A&M is led by forward Eric Jacobson, who has a team-high with 34 minutes and 8.3 rebounds. Guard Gerry Blakes augments his play and is a team-high 12.2 PPG. Yet, the team has 7 other players that make significant contributions during the game. This depth is what I see as a massive advantage forA&M an done that I just do not see ASU being able to overcome. Take Texas A&M

25* graded play on SMU as they host Wyoming in NCAAM Hoops action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that SMU will win this game by 9 or more points. Supporting The following game situations match my expectations and projections for the outcome of this game. Wyoming is a money burning 29-52 ATS (-28.2 Units) in road games in slower paced games where they attempt 46 to 53 shots since 1997; 67-103 ATS (-46.3 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game since 1997; 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game since 1997; SMU is a rock solid 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Wyoming has just two players scoring 10+ PPG while SMU has four solid starters averaging at least 11 PPG. I don't see Wyoming having an defensive answer for SMU guard Nic Moore, who si the team leader in minutes with 33.3, 14.43 PPG, 5.57 assists, and 2.29 steals. SMU has better guard play adn a much deeper bench. Take SMU. 

25* graded play on Monmouth as they take to the road to play Marist in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Monmouth will win this game by more than five points. This is a MAAC Conference opener for both teams. Monmouth returns all five starters from last year's squad and this playing experience and developed floor chemistry is a significant advantage. Both teams struggle on the offensive end. However, Monmouth plays a slower than average tempo style of game and focuses on having a strong defensive presence. The vast difference between these two MAAC schools is that Monmouth has a monumentally better defense. Both teams are led by solid guard play, but the edge still goes to Monmouth. They start Justin Robinson is leads the team with 30 minutes per game, 3.17 assists, and 1.9 steals. He is augmented by Deon Jones, who plays 29 minutes and scores a team-high 13.33 PPG. Marist is led by their two guards in Chavaughn Lewis and Khallid Hart, who combine for 44 of the teams' 59 PPG. I strongly believe that the Monmouth defense will be able to contain this pair of scorers and force other struggling Marist shooters to make shots. Marist lost at BC 79-61 and failed to cover installed as 14 1/2 point dogs. Further, Marist is just  2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a road loss over the last 2 seasons. Take Monmouth. 

25* graded play on Dayton as they take on Miami (Ohio) in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Dayton will win this game by 12 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 66-35 ATS mark for 65% winners since 2008.  Play against favorites of 10 or more points (DAYTON) off a home blowout win by 20 points or more and is a solid team winning between 60% to 80% of their games and now playing a struggling team winning between 20% to 40% of their games. The following game situations match my expectations and projections for the outcome of this game. Dayton is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last two seasons. Miami (ohio) has been a money burning 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons; 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games when they score 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997. Further, Dayton is a rock solid 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Flyers are led by guard Jordan Sibert, who is averaging team-highs with 30 minutes and 15.6 PPG. He is 6-4 185 lbs and I don't see Miami with a defensive player that can match up well against him. Dayton plays a slower style of game that is fed by their strong defensive presence. They rank 15th in the nation in scoring defense. Moreover, the Flyers have a monumental rebounding edge at both ends of the court. Take Dayton.

25* graded play on the Ohio State Buckeyes as they take on the Louisville Cardinal in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge set to start at 9:30 PM ET. This game is being played at the YUM! Center in Louisville, Kentucky. The simulator shows a high probability that OSU will lose this game by fewer than 7 points. I also like addig a 2.5* amount using the money line to exploit the possible upset. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 41-13 ATS mark for 76% winners since 2008. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LOUISVILLE) after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game and is now facing an opponent after 2 straight wins by 15 points or more.  Louisville has not had great success against high powered offenses. They have been a money burning 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) when facing explosive offensive teams scoring 84+ points/game since 1997. OSU is led on offense by one of the best guards in the nation. Shannon Scott has been averaging 31 minutes of playing time per game with 10.5 APG and is great on defense too averaging 3.6 steals per game. He feeds scoring forward Sam Thompson and Mark Love, who is averaging 10 PPG each. The real scoring machine is shooting guard D'Angelo Russell, who is averaging 18 PPG. He has hit 34-of-64 shot attempts for 53% shooting and is 14-for-29 for 49% from beyond the arc. He is 6-5 180 lbs. and is lightning fast and quick with a tremendous first step that creates space from a defender. I truly see this game as a even match with a slight edge to OSU, yet we are getting 8 1/2 points to assume the risk fo the would-be inferior team. Take Ohio State.

25* graded play on Fordham as they host Sienna in NCAAB action set to start at 7:05 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Fordham will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I suggest making this a combination wager using a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-14 mark using the Money Line and has made 40 units/unit wagered since 1997 and has averaged a quite impressive +167 DOG play.  Play against any team (SIENA) off a road win, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 8+ spread covers in last 10 games. Fordham Rams are led by forward Ryan Rhoomes, who is averaging 32 minutes, 10 PPG and 11 RPG. Their true scorer is forward Eric Paschall, who is averaging 20 PPG on 30 minutes of playing time. I believe the Rams trio will be able to out duel the Sienna defense and offer strong resistance to their pace of play. Take Fordham. 

25* graded play on Tulane as they take on Tennessee Tech set to start at 2:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that  Tulane will win this game by 11 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 28-7 ATS mark for 80% winners since 1997. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TULANE) and is a team from a major division 1-A conference and now facing a team from a mid-major division 1-A conference, and is off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. The following game situations match my projections for this game. Tulane is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game since 1997; Tech is just  26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game since 1997. Further, Tech is a money burning 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) when facing strong teams outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game since 1997. Take Tulane. 

15* graded play on the Memphis Tigers as they take on the Baylor Bears in NCAA Basketball action set to start at 11:59 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Memphis will win this game. This is a first round game in the Las Vegas Invitational taking place at the Orleans Arena. Memphis is a solid 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) after a game being called for 10+ less fouls than opponent since 1997; 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) after allowing 50 points or less since 1997. Baylor has played four inferior opponents. Both teams have played Prairie View. Memphis won 77-49 while Baylor won by 15 points 60-45. Not the most meaningful opponent for comparison, but the only one. I see Tiger defense and speed something Baylor has not seen yet. It is very difficult to be able to prepare for a step up in competition. Take Memphis.

15* graded play on the Western Kentucky as they take on St. Josephs in NCAA basketball action set to start at 6:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that WKU will win this game by three or more points. This game is a NIT consolation round matchup taking place at the famed Madison Squarer Garden. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 74-38 ATS mark for 66% winners since 1997. Play against neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (ST JOSEPHS) and is a team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference, playing with one or less days rest. Here is a second system that has gone 176-111 ATS for 62% winners since 2008. Play on any team (W KENTUCKY) after scoring 65 points or less three straight games and with two more starters returning from last year than opponent. WKU is a near-perfect 10-1 ATS when facing struggling 3 point shooting teams making

15* graded play on Rhode Island as they take on Kansas in NCAA Basketball action set to start at 2:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that RIU will lose this game by fewer than 8 points. This is a Round One game in the Orlando Classic taking place at the HP Field House in lake Buena Vista, Florida. RIU returns four starters and that playing experience and chemistry will be a significant advantage against Kansas today. RIU has steadily built a very strong basketball program. This is quite evident in their abilities to play very well against the elite competition. RIU is a solid  10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a solid team winning between 60% to 80% of their games over the last two seasons. Take Rhode Island

15* graded play on UC-Riverside as they take on Loyola Marymount in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that UCR will lose this game by fewer than 7 points. UC Riverside returns four starters and is a huge advantage facing a Loyola Marymount squad that returns just one. That experience and floor chemistry will be quite evident tonight. Now, of course there are teams, like Kentucky, that simply reload with McDonald's all-americans, so the learning curve is greatly reduced on those squads. With all due respect LMU is not Kentucky and I see them struggling tonight just to win this game. UC-Riverside is a perfect  6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) in road games when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game since 1997. LMU is just  1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons;  4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take UC-Riverside.

15* graded play on Lehigh as they take on DePaul in NCAA basketball action set to start at 8:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Lehigh will lose this game by fewer than 7 points. The following game situations match the projections I see for this game. Lehigh is a stout 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game since 1997; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game since 1997. Lehigh has lost four straight, but they have have ben against vastly better competition than that faced in DePaul's two games. Lehigh plays strong team defense and it will disrupt the ball movement by DePaul in the half court. Don't be surprised if Lehigh ends up winning this game. 

15* graded play on Richmond as they take on NC State in NCAA basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Richmond will lose this game by fewer than 4 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Supporting this graded play are several game situations and I will mention just a few of them. NC State is just 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) in home games or games where they are designated as the home team on a neutral court when facing teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game since 1997; 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive games as a home favorite since 1997; 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after two straight games attempting 10+ more free throws than opponent since 1997. HC Gottfried is just 14-35 ATS (-24.5 Units) off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1997. NC State barely defeated South Florida 68-65 and failed to cover installed as 15 point favorites. Take Richmond. 

15* graded play on the the Oklahoma Sooners as they take on the UCLA Bruins in College basketball action set to start at 2:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that the Sooners will win this game by five or more points. I will have a three-pack of NCAA Hoops action released in a few hours and all are on the evening card starting at 7:00 PM ET. This matchup is a first round game in the Battle for Atlantis taking place at the Imperial Arena at Atlantis Resort in Nassau. Love the fact that Sooners have four returning starters to just one for the Bruins. This is a huge advantage for the Sooners and for any team playing in the first month of the season. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 24-4 ATS mark for 86% winners since 1997. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA) in a game involving two teams who had good records (60% to 80%) from last season and with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent. Take the Sooners. 

25* graded play on the SMU Mustangs as they take on the Arkansas Razorbacks in College Hoops action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 54-25 ATS mark for 69% winners since 1997. Play against road teams as an underdog or pick (ARKANSAS) that are explosive offensive teams scoring 84+ points/game on the season and after two straight blowout wins by 20 points or more. Based ont he matchups, I see SMU having less than 18 turnovers and hitting between 47 and 53% of their shot attempts. In past games, SMU is a perfect  6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when they commit 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons; 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Moreover, Arkansas has been a money burning 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games when facing strong shooting teams making >=48% of their shots since 1997. Arkansas is off a 999-71 win at Delaware State and there was not line for this game. Not good for Arkansas backers noting they are a near-imperfect 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last three seasons. Take SMU.

25* graded play on Missouri as they take on Arizona in College Basketball action set to start at 5:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Missouri will lose this game by fewer than 8 points. This game is being played in Maui an dis part of the Maui Invitational. Missouri is a team that is in a rebuilding season, but one that I believe will exceed fan expectations. They have  anew coach in Kim Anderson and he does have a group of players that can surprise many teams especially when conference action starts. PF Johnathan Williams III (5.8 PPG, 6.5 RPG and 1.6 BPG) started every game last season as a freshman, and took big step forward throughout the season. With Williams as the top returning scorer, transfers will have to play a big role on this team, as SG Deuce Bello (Baylor) and PG Keith Shamburger (Hawaii) are super athletic and have already put those assets on display this season. The Tigers also have a returning poit guard in Wes Clark is a smart player and soldi distributor of the ball both in fast break and half-court situations. I strongly believe  Missouri will have a significant edge in rebounding adn this will keep the game in single digits throughout. Take Missouri.

25* graded play on Stanford as they host Duke in College Basketball action set to start at 9:30 PM ET. This is a great matchup for Stanford and one that they actually have a chance for a huge upset win. Given this favorable outcome, I suggest playing a combination wager using a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.  This game is taking place at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn and is the final round of the Coaches for Caner Tournament. The simulator shows a high probability that Stanford will lose this game by fewer than 7 points. Stanford is already an excellent rebounding team and they will have a dominant edge against Duke. This serves to minimize second chance scoring opportunities and also provides Stanford with fast break scoring options on missed Duke shots. Duke shot 39% in their 20-point win over Temple. That margin of victory was in large part attributed to Temple offensive woes where they simply did not connect on wide open mid-range jumpers. Stanford will not fail to hit open perimeter shots and have the size to matchup well against the athleticism and length of the Duke starters. Take Stanford. 

15* graded play on the Long Beach State as they take on Kansas State in NCAA Men's Basketball action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that LBS will win this game by 3 or more points. The following game situations match the projections I see for this game. K-State is just 24-70 ATS (-53.0 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. LBS is a solid money making  87-40 ATS (+43.0 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. LBS is a solid shooting team. Although just a few games have been played they are averaging 82 PPG good for 29th best in the nation. Even better is their 18th best ranking with a 55% shooting percentage. How, K-State scores 90 PPG, but this has been against a vastly weaker schedule than that faced by LBS. Again, just two games but the opponents were Southern Utah and Missouri-KC. By comparison, LBS has played three games against BYU, San Francisco State, and Xavier. Further, K-State coach Weber is just 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better in all games he has coached since 1997. I like LBS to win this by three or more points. 

25* graded play on UC-Irvine as they take on Arizona in College basketball action set to start at 9:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that UC-Irvine will lose this game by fewer than 13 points. The beginning of the season sees many teams working thorugh team transitions and growing pains. I always a like a solid free throw shooting team. UC-Irvine is on a nice 7-0 ATS tear when they have hit 73 to 80% of their free throws in games played over the three seasons. Arizona is ranked No.2 in the nation, but I really like how the UC-Irvine defense matches up with them. Further, UC-Irvine returns four starters and 2 key-reserve players from their 23-win season that won the Big West regular season title. They were a team that I felt definitely should have gotten into the NCAA TOurnament. They did lose the Conference Titan and auto-bid to a losing record, BUT very red hot Cal Poly Slo team. Irvine's 7-foot-6 sophomore Mamadou Ndiaye will present a problem for the Wildcats in the post. I also see Irvine having a decided edge in rebounding which directly minimizes the Arizona multi-shot possessions. Take UC-Irvine

15* graded play on Manhattan as they take on UMASS in NCAAM Hoops action set to start at 11:00 AM ET.  I fully expect Manhattan to stay within seven points and possibly win the game. Both teams return 2 starters from last year's editions, so both will have some team chemistry work ahead of them. The Jaspers have a player to watch in this game and one that I believe will dominate the UMASS defense. Junior forward Shane Richards scored 17 in a loss to Florida State. He is 6-5 and 185 pounds and what he lacks in physical size, he more than makes up with speed and elite quickness. He is complimented by a senior leader in 6-6 205 lb forward Emmy Adujar. Manhattan will look to run fast break on every missed UMASS shot given their advantages over UMASS defenders in the open court. Even with the fast break and higher number of possessions I don't see Manhattan having more than 17 turnovers. In past games, Manhattan is a solid 18-5 against the money line (+12.7 Units) when they commit 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last three seasons. Take Manhattan. 

25* graded play on Dartmouth as they take on St. Bonaventure in season opener for both teams set to to tip at 7:00 PM ET.  Dartmouth HC Paul Cormier has FIVE returning starters and this experience and chemistry is a very powerful weapon when facing teams that are essentially rebuilding. St. Bonaventure has just two returning starters and will need a month of games to get into a good team flow at both ends of the court. Cormier was brought in to turn this program around. They took a major step forward last season  by simply finishing out of the Ivy cellar for the first time since 2009. Their team leader starts with Junior Gabas Maidunas, who is a tremendous rebounding machine. Last season he got 27% of all available defensive rebounds, which is a very high percentage for any player to attain. This will limit all opponents multi-shot possessions, which is a dominant factor in pulling off upset wins. Another guard to watch is 5-11 sophomore Alex Mitola, who is extremely quick and has a great shot from the perimeter. He is the 'spark plug' for the offense. I believe the Dartmouth program will take another step forward this season and it will start tonight. The following game situations reflect the levels of performance I see for this game. Dartmouth is 35-13 ATS when they score 67 to 71 points in games played since 1997; 45-20 ATS when they have hit 40 to 46% of their shot attempts in games played since 1997. Take Dartmouth.