25* graded play on Valparaiso as they take on BYU in the NIT semifinals set to start at 7:00 PM ET at MSG, New York City. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Valpo will win this game by at least 7 points and advance to the NIT Finals.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. BYU has been a money burning 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 29-59 ATS (-35.9 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game; 29-76 ATS (-54.6 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997; Valpo is a stout 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997. Valpo is a perfect 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus excellent teams - shooting more than 45% with a defense of less than 42% over the last 2 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Valpo is great against good teams as evidenced above. They grab more rebounds a game than BYU especially on the offensive end of the floor for more second chances to make up for the slight edge BYU has in effective shooting percentage. Valpo is a stout 13th best in the country in only allowing opponents 63.5 PPG. They are sixth best in the country in allowing opponents effective FG percentage which is more than 4 percentage points lower than BYU. Valpo shoots better from the foul line by a significant amount in this matchup. BYU may rank high in scoring but Valpo is outranks their offense with their defense. Valpo is fifth best only allowing opponents 28 points in the first half of games this season. Valpo's defense and experience will crush BYU in this NIT semifinal. Pick Valparaiso.

25* graded play on Cal Santa Barbara as they take on Northern Illinois in the Vegas 16 Tournament set to start at 5:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCSB will win this game by at least 7 points. Vegas-16 is an inaugural Tournament with oddly just eight teams. Nevertheless, this is a solid money making opportunity just as UNC, for example, was last night. The SIm Algorithm eliminates the human subjectivity factor, which in my 21-years of experience is cornerstone of the strong success we have enjoyed.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCSB is a solid 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season; 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game this season; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they have the around same number of rebounds (+-3) as their opponents in a game this season.

Fundamental Discussion Points Vegas is closer to home for UCSB in this matchup. They produce 2 more assists a game, same number of rebounds, have 2.5% better effective FG percentage, allow opponents 2% less effective FG percentage, and have a better score margin than Northern Illinois. In tournament games go with the team that makes fewer mistakes and is more fundamentally sound which is UCSB. They foul less and turnover the ball less than Northern Illinois. UCSB will dominate this game. Pick Cal Santa Barbara.

50* graded play on Villanova as they take on Kansas in the South Regional Final taking place at the KFC YUM Center in Louisville, KY and set to tip at 8:45 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Villanova will win this game and advance to the Final Four Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 40* play using the line and a 10* play using the money line. However, for the ROI to be validated, we need a minimum of +140 on the money line. Currently, I am seeing +122/125 type levels, So, if the ML does not get to +140 due to increased betting on Kansas, then simply make this a 50* play using the line only.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-9 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 2010. Play on neutral court teams as an underdog (VILLANOVA) after beating the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Villanova is a solid 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game this season; Kansas is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points

25* graded play on North Carolina as they take on Notre Dame in the East Regional Final set to start at 8:45 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UNC will win the game by at least 12 points.

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UNC is a near-perfect 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games in quicker paced games where they attempt 63 to 69 shots over the last 2 seasons; 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Looking at several ‘power’ matchups UNC is in a great setup. They are 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts this season. The situational matchups are NOT at all good for ND. The Irish are an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season; 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season.

Fundamental Discussion Points The metrics point to UNC having a tremendous edge on both sides of the court. UNC ranks 8th in scoring offense, 4th in assists per game, and second in assists-to-turnover ratio. ND defense ranks 123rd in scoring defense, and an absolutely horrid 1.400 quotient for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. This reflects that ND is not good at all against highly skilled passing teams like UNC. Rebounding is a MAJOR UNC matchup advantage. UNC ranks 4th averaging 12.7 offensive boards per game while ND ranks a miserable 257th allowing 9.8 offensive boards per game. Take UNC.

25* graded play ‘OVER’ in the MIDWEST Regional Final set to start at 6:05 PM ET SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 125 points will be scored in this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting 28-7 ‘OVER’ mark good for 80% winners since 1997. 55% of these games went ‘over’ the posted total by seven or more points. Play ‘over’ with neutral court teams against the total (SYRACUSE) after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Syracuse is a perfect 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season; 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game this season. UVA is a perfect 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) in road games after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better this season; 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 6 or more over the last 3 seasons; 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) in road games after 4 straight games outrebounding opponent by 6 or more

Fundamental Discussion Points ND shot horridly from the field in their Sweet 16 win against Gonzaga. However, they are 5-1 ‘OVER’ following a game where they shot under 40% this season. The Syracuse zone will not impact UVA’s offense as it can other teams simply because UVA can shoot well from the perimeter. They rank 10th in the nation making 40.3% of their 3-point shot attempts and this will pull the ‘zone’ out from the paint. In turn, this will open up that paint area for UVA where they rank 30th hitting 52.8% of those shots. UVA does not need to play slow-paced lock down defensive style in this matchup. I fully expect them to come up shooting and putting pressure on the Syracuse defense with every possession. Take the ‘OVER’

50* graded play on Villanova as they take on Kansas in the South Regional Final taking place at the KFC YUM Center in Louisville, KY and set to tip at 8:45 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Villanova will win this game and advance to the Final Four Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 40* play using the line and a 10* play using the money line. However, for the ROI to be validated, we need a minimum of +140 on the money line. Currently, I am seeing +122/125 type levels, So, if the ML does not get to +140 due to increased betting on Kansas, then simply make this a 50* play using the line only.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-9 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 2010. Play on neutral court teams as an underdog (VILLANOVA) after beating the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Villanova is a solid 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game this season; Kansas is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Historically Villanova is 3-1 ATS versus Kansas since 1997. So far in the tournament Nova 3 shooting percentages above 50% being 57.9%, then 59.3%, and smoking Miami with 62.7% shooting. Not only have they got better as the tournament went on, but it was also against much steeper competition. In neutral court tournament games with two excellent teams that are close in most categories the best pick is the more fundamentally sound team. Nova commits a significant 2 less fouls per game and 1% less turnover rate than Kansas. Villanova ranking 3rd best in the country from the foul line can take advantage of Kansas's mistakes in fouls. There's a tremendous amount of belief surrounding Villanova this year and especially after their performance against Miami, so join in the belief. Pick Villanova to make the Final Four.

25* graded play on Indiana as they take on North Carolina in the SWEET 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 9:55 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Indiana will lose this game by less than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game. You may remember that Indiana is one of my picks to win the Tournament and got 32:1 odds. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 62-24 ATS since 1997 good for 72%winners: Play On an underdog (INDIANA) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Indiana is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds this season. Indiana is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons. UNC is a very poor 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more this season. The Hoosiers are great against good teams posting 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons and 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus good shooting teams - making more than 45% of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Since 1997 Indiana is 4-0 against the spread versus N Carolina. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Unlike most teams they face, North Carolina does NOT dominate the statistical categories matching up with Indiana. Indiana does have an edge in PPG, opponents PPG and steals per game. Indiana of course is the BEST in the country at shooting and out classes even UNC by 6.9% better effective FG percentage. They are a whole 10% better in shooting threes. That's a weak spot for UNC as they are ranked 223rd in defending the deep ball. The Tarheels are also a weak 142nd in giving opponents 1st half points per game as Indiana is 3rd best in scoring 1st half points per game. Indiana is ranked a solid 57th in giving opponents 2nd half points per game versus North Carolina's 95th ranking in the same category. Indiana will be shooting their way to the elite 8. Pick Indiana.

25* graded play on Syracuse as they take on Gonzaga in the SWEET 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 9:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Syracuse will lose this game by fewer than 4 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.  

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-9 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 2010. Play on neutral court teams as an underdog (SYRACUSE) after beating the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games. Neutral court is almost always a tournament situation where in the beginning of the season, conference, or NCAA Big Dance Tournament. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Syracuse is a solid 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games facing low pressure defensive teams forcing less than 14 turnovers/game after 15+ games this season. Further, Gonzaga is a horrid situation noting they are just 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games after 2 straight wins by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Only meeting once before since 1997, Syracuse has the edge in these two teams history beating Gonzaga in their last meeting. Against better competition Syracuse has limited their opponents to 2 less PPG than Gonzaga has. Syracuse grabs 2 more offensive rebounds a game than Gonzaga, so they will get more second chances in this game. They also swipe the ball for 3 more steals a game and block the ball by 1 block better too. Gonzaga is great at shooting in general but in this matchup they're against the 11th best three point shooting defense limiting opponents like 'Zaga to just 30% shooting beyond the arc. 'Zaga may be 13th in scoring 1st half points a game, but 'Cuse is 12th best at allowing 1st half PPG. Syracuse commits less fouls a game as well making fewer free throw chances for Gonzaga. Syracuse can win this game on defense early and then completely shut down Gonzaga's 3 point chances to get back in the game. Pick Syracuse.

25* graded play ‘OVER’ Wisconsin-Notre Dame in the SWEET 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 7:25 PM ET, Friday, March 25, 2016. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that More than 140 points will be scored in this game. Truly remarkable that these two teams are playing each other in the Round of 16. Wisconsin and Notre Dame are not elite offenses by any stretch of the imagination or the stats. However, their defenses do not match up well against the offenses, as shown below in the fundamental discussion points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 51-19 ATS over the last 5 seasons good for 73% winners: Play Over neutral court teams against the total (ND and Wisc) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Notre Dame is 8-2 OVER (+5.8 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. Brey is 85-62 OVER (+16.8 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite as the coach of ND. Wisconsin is 17-4 OVER (+12.6 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points ND ranks 122nd in opponent shooting percentage at 43%, 119th in overall opponent shooting efficiency at 1.050, 264th in FGA/game, 206th in FGM/game, 270th allowing 7.8 3-point shots per game. Wisconsin ranks below 200th level in the majority of offensive metrics, however, the SIM shows that they will have an above average night from beyond the arc. ND does shoot the ball well and are quite disciplined in this style of play. Wisconsin has a decent defense, but here again ND ranks 38th with a 1.139 shooting efficiency, and 28th in 2-point shot percentage at 53%. So, Wisconsin will be successful from the perimeter early and then spread the ND defense opening up the paint. Meanwhile, ND will be the opposite, looking to pound the paint early and then look to wide open shots from the perimeter. Take the ‘OVER’

25* graded play ‘UNDER’ the posted total currently at 145 points in the Maryland-Kansas Sweet 16 matchup set to start at 9:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 138 points will be scored in this game.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Maryland is a solid 10-3 UNDER (+6.7 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season; 9-2 UNDER (+6.8 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game this season; 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game this season; 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game this season. This last one begs to show Kansas winning the game comfortably, but the probabilities are too inconsistent to validate an individual play on Kansas. This game projects to be more of an intensive defensive battle, with spurts of offensive brilliance. 

Fundamental Discussion Points As the season ends and the tournament continues on totals are more prone to going UNDER than ever before, but especially in this game with two stout defenses. Players are going to tire as they play more and more games and as the tournament continues they are trying to score over better and more competitive teams. Maryland is 42nd best in the country only allowing opponents 66.4 PPG and Kansas is 61st only giving up 67.7 PPG. Kansas is 15th and Maryland is 31st in opponents effective FG percentage. Maryland turns the heat up as the game goes on ranking 39th in opponents 2nd half points. Also, Maryland is 13th BEST in blocks per game. Pick UNDER the total.

25* graded play on Texas A&M as they take on Oklahoma in the SWEET 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 7:35 PM ET, Thursday, March 24. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Texas A&M will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oklahoma is just 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games when they have around the same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game and 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in road games when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Oklahoma is also a poor 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 14 turnovers/game after 15+ games this season and 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season. The trends do not favor Oklahoma as they are an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in March games this season and a terrible 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Texas A&M is 18-14 against the spread versus Oklahoma since 1997. TAMU grabs more rebounds, steals, assists, and has a higher score margin than Oklahoma. TAMU gets better as the game goes along especially defensively since they rank 18th in opponents 2nd half points. Although OU shoots better, TAMU grabs more offensive second chance rebounds to make up that difference. Texas A&M is the more fundamentally sound team with less turnovers per game. This is Oklahoma's first test in the tournament and as evidenced above they don't do well against good teams. Pick Texas A&M.

25* graded play on Villanova as they take on Miami (Fla) in the Sweet 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start 7:10 PM ET, Thursday, March 24. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Villanova will win this game by at least 8 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 102-59 ATS over the last 5 seasons good for 63.4% winners: PLAY AGAINST any team (MIAMI) - excellent shooting team (more than 47.5%) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 50% of their 3 point shots or better. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Villanova is a strong 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing less than 12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. They are 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons. Miami is an imperfect 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making more than 77% of their shots since 1997. Villanova is 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons compared to Miami who is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Villanova dominates the statistical categories in this matchup as the better team. They score 2 more PPG and allow 3 less PPG to opponents. They outclass Miami in ball movement posting 4 more assists per game and outranking them 20th-211th. Effective FG percentage wise Nova shoots 1.1% better and allows 1.4% less to opponents. Just in two point percentage Nova is ranked 4th best in the country and 26th best in allowing opponents two point percentage. Miami is 25th and 81st in those categories. It's interestingly the same rankings of 4th and 25th when it comes to Villanova and Miami's free throw shooting percentage. Villanova grabs a marginal amount more rebounds per game more and a marginal amount more steals per game than Miami too. There is no edge as they commit the same number of turnovers and fouls per game. So, Villanova will shoot better, pass better, grab more rebounds, steal the ball more, make more free points from the line, allow less scoring, and win this game. Pick Villanova.

25* graded play on Georgia Tech as they take on San Diego State in the NIT quarterfinals set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that G-Tech will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 19* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 75-36 ATS mark good for 68% winners since 2010. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN DIEGO ST) an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. G-Tech is a solid 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season; 60-34 ATS (+22.6 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game since 1997. Further, G-Tech is in a very favorable ‘power’ trend noting a near-perfect 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus good rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Consider the conferences and schedules each time has had this season before drawing any conclusions from rankings and statistics. G-Tech scores 5 more PPG against better teams than SDST. They outrebound SDST per game, especially on the offensive end grabbing more second chances. G-Tech shoots a significant 2.3% effective FG percentage better. Despite playing more games against top teams, Georgia Tech is within one unit of SDST in the categories SDST has the 'advantage'. In tournament play the more fundamentally sound team wins, which in this case both teams make the same number of fouls per game, but G-Tech turns it over a significant 2% less. Georgia Tech will grab more second chances, be more accurate from the foul line and scoring in general, and capitalize on SDST's turnovers. Pick Georgia Tech.

50* graded play on Valparaiso as they take on St. Mary's set to start at 7 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Valpo will win this game by more than 6 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this play is a proven system posting 40-15 ATS over the last 5 seasons good for 73% winners: PLAY ON favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (VALPARAISO) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, on Tuesday nights. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Valpo is a solid 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game since 1997; Further, Valpo is in a perfect matchup situation noting a 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) record when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. more than 80%) over the last 2 seasons; 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus excellent teams as defined by shooting more than 45% and with a defense of less than 42% over the last 2 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Valpo is the better team in most categories besides shooting. They grab a HUGE 4 more offensive rebounds a game and 7.5 more total rebounds per game than St. Mary's. They get one more block a game and swipe 2 more steals a game as well. Valpo's overall defensive play is better than St. Mary's posting 2% less opponents effective FG percentage good for 8th BEST vs 24th best. Valpo shoots way better from the stripe compared to St. Mary's being ranked 65th and 197th respectively. Valpo will grab more than enough second chance rebounds this game to make up for St. Mary's excellent shooting. They won't buckle under the pressure like St. Mary's last loss by 10 points to Gonzaga which is also the last time until tonight St. Mary's was an underdog. Pick Valparaiso.

25* graded play on Monmouth as they take on George Washington in the 2nd round of the set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Monmouth will win this game by at least 7 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 62-28 ATS for 69% winners since 2010. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MONMOUTH) in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 85 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GW is a money burning 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Monmouth is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game this season.

Fundamental Discussion Points Monmouth scores 4.3 more PPG this season than GW. George Washington may have a slight edge in effective FG percentage and turnover percentage, but it's ONLY by less than a quarter of 1%. Monmouth has a huge 4% less opponents effective FG percentage against them. Monmouth is 11th in the country in opponents shooting percentage only allowing 39.2%. They are also a high 18th ranked in 2nd half points per game and a highly ranked 13th in swiping 8.3 steals per game. These are significant advantages for Monmouth in this game they will utilize to prove the better team. Pick Monmouth.

25* graded play on St. Josephs as they take on Oregon in the 2nd Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 9:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that STJ will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. STJ is a solid 15-2 against the money line (+13.9 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game this season; 7-1 against the money line (+7.3 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season; 7-1 against the money line (+6.8 Units) in road games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game this season; 13-1 against the money line (+11.7 Units) when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game this season; 15-1 against the money line (+15.8 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, STJ is 9-2 against the money line (+8.3 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing

25* graded play on Maryland as they take on Hawaii in 2nd Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 7:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Maryland will win this game by at least 10 points.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 52-20 ATS mark good for 72% winners since 1997. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HAWAII) after 4 or more consecutive wins, when seeded 13 through 16 in the NCAA tournament. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Maryland is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Maryland is a stout 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 144.5 since 1997;  11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 2 straight games making 78% of their free throws or better over the last 2 seasons. Turgeon is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5 and 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games facing teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season as the coach of MARYLAND.

25* graded play on Syracuse as they take on Middle Tennessee State in the 2nd Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 6:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Syracuse will win this game by more than 10 points. I also have a 10* graded play ‘UNDER’ in this game. So, wager a 10* on the Total playing ‘UNDER’ and then add a 5* parlay with Syracuse and the ‘under’.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting 52-20 ATS mark good for 72% winners since 1997. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIDDLE TENN ST) after 4 or more consecutive wins, when seeded 13 through 16 in the NCAA tournament. Supportig the ‘UNDER’ is a soplid system sporting a 34-14 mark good for 71% winners since 1997. Play ‘under’ with neutral court teams against the total (MIDDLE TENN ST) after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. MTST is just 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; Syracuse is a solid 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 43-18 ATS (+23.2 Units) in road games when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game since 1997.

25* graded play on Stephen F Austin as they take on Notre Dame in Rd Action set to start at 2:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SFA will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. HOWEVER, you are probably not going to get the minimum money line required of +140 to validate this combination wager. If, it is not at or above +1`40, then simply wager a 25* play using the line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ND is a money losing 36-86 ATS (-58.6 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997; 38-66 ATS (-34.6 Units) when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game since 1997; 26-54 ATS (-33.4 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997. Further, ND head coach Brey is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) after a game where they were called for 10 or less fouls.

Fundamental Discussion Points I’ll be brief, SFA is the better team at both ends of the court and this takes into consideration that SOS each team played this season. SFA is one of the most efficient offenses in the nation and the lack of any disruptive defense ND force, will be highly exploited by SFA.

25* graded play on Villanova as they take on Iowa in the second round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 12:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Villanova will win this game by 9 or more points. I personally believe Villanova was truly hosed as a 2-seed having to play Iowa, who was ranked as high as third in the nation in polls and then with a win face Miami (Fla) and then with a win face possibly No. overall tournament seed Kansas to with the South Region. I can’t recall the last time a regional champ had to face this gauntlet, but if there is a ever a team with the heart, focus, and determination, this Villanova squad is the one.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Iowa is just 20-52 ATS (-37.2 Units) in road games when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997; 10-36 ATS (-29.6 Units) in road games when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997; ‘Nova is a very strong 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points Iowa is coming off a somewhat unimpressive OT win against Temple. In that game they did have an impressive 3 turnovers for the entire game and Jok and Uthoff shot extremely well from beyond the arc. Villanova is much faster, quicker, smarter, and LONGER, than Temple and they will make these perimeter shots much more difficult to make. Arcidiacono. Think he wants this to be his last collegiate game? I agree.

25* graded play on Kansas as they take on UCONN in the second round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 7:45 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Kansas will win this game by at least 10 points.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kansas is a solid 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game this season; 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game this season; 2-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season.

25* graded play on Indiana as they take on Kentucky in NCAA action set to start at 5:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Indiana will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 61-24 ATS mark good for 72% winners since 1997. Play on an underdog (INDIANA) after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Hoosiers are a rock solid 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game this season; 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season; Kentucky is a horrid 4-22 ATS (-20.2 Units) in road games when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game since 1997; 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games when they allow 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points Indiana is a great offensive scoring team and their goal will be to push the tempo knowing the faster they play, the better their chances against Kentucky. Speed in combining ball passing and movement and looking for fast break attacks neutralizes Kentucky’s length and also wears them down physically. Kentucky scores too and dominate pain 2-point scoring. They truly do not have a perimeter 3-point presence and this will allow Indiana to pack in a zone and force the issue. Missed Kentucky shots will almost assuredly lead to fast break attacks by the Hoosiers. As the technical indicate, if Indiana scores 81 or more that alone will go a long way to them defeating the Wildcats.

25* graded play on Furman as they take on Louisiana-Lafayette (LL) in the College Insiders Tournament set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Furman will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. The current line is Furman +2 and we need that to rise to +3 and 3 ½ in order to get a money line of +140 or higher. That +140 line is the MINIMUM required to validate the risk-reward profile of the combination wager.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. LL is just 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game this season. Furman is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons; 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997. 

Fundamental Discussion Points The numbers and statistics are skewed in LL's favor because Furman plays a much slower game pace. Furman is the better shooting team with a significant 2.3% higher effective FG percentage. Furman is 55th in the country in opponents points per 1st half only allowing 30.9 which is 5 points less than LL. Furman also has the edge in committing less fouls per game and shooting better from the stripe. Furman can slow it down and suffocate LL to victory. Pick Furman.

25* graded play on Wichita State as they take on Miami (Fla) in the Second Round of the NCAA Tournament. When I run the algorithm and begin to see the results, nothing truly surprises me. However, this one did and I immediately caught myself thinking how could a ‘play-in’ team be FAVORED over a strong ACC 3-seed in Miami. There are solid reasons why Wichita State has the matchup advantages and will exploit them to get to the Sweet 16 Round. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Wichita State will win this game by 6 or more points.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. WS is a solid 19-3 against the money line (+12.8 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 19-4 against the money line (+13.9 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 27-6 against the money line (+15.7 Units) facing low pressure defensive teams forcing

50* graded play on Texas as they take on UNI in the First Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 9:50 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Texas will win the game by at least 8 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this play is a proven system posting 126-74 ATS good for 63% winners: PLAY ON neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (TEXAS) - after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers against opponent after a game committing 8 or less turnovers. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Texas is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons and they are 75-48 ATS (+22.2 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997. Smart (Texas) is 46-25 ATS (+18.5 Units) after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers in all games he has coached since 1997. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Texas is the better team here on a neutral court site closer to home. They score 4 more PPG, grab 5 more rebounds a game, block shots 2 more times a game, allow 1% less effective FG percentage against, and have less turnovers per play than UNI. The more tested and experienced team against better competition will prevail. Pick Texas.

25* graded play on Weber State as they take on Xavier in the First Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 9:20 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Weber State (WS) will lose this game by fewer than 11 points and has a shot at pulling off the upset of the day. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 22.5* play using the line and a 2.5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Xavier is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons. WS a solid 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. Rahe is 54-31 ATS (+19.9 Units) versus good shooting teams - making more than 45% of their shots after 15+ games as the coach of WS.

Fundamental Discussion Points For a spread so high Weber State is only +4 less than Xavier in score margin for the season. WS shoots 3.5% effective FG percentage better, and allow less than Xavier in opponents effective FG percentage against. They don't make as many mistakes as Xavier does which is vitally important in tournament games, as WS commits 2 less fouls per game. Something must be said about their 16th best ranking in effective FG percentage and 9th best in shooting two point percentage. Xavier doesn't exactly play in BIG-12 or ACC competition wise and faltered in big games down the stretch losing twice to Seton Hall and also at Creighton. Weber State played good ball down the stretch and will carry that into this tournament game. Pick Weber State.

25* graded play on Iowa as they take on Temple in First Round action set to start at as they take on set to start at 3:10 PM ET, Friday Match 18. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Iowa will win this game by more than 10 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Temple is just 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) in road games when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997. McCaffery is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) after 2 straight games where they were called for 15 or less fouls as the coach of Iowa. Dunphy is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in first round tournament games in all games he has coached since 1997. 

Fundamental Discussion Points First off Iowa has a +8 better score margin than Temple against better competition. They have 3 more assists a game, grab 2 more rebounds a game, and shoot 5% effective FG percentage better than Temple. Iowa also blocks 1 more time a game and wipes the ball for 1 more steal a game. Iowa will dominate the boards, shoot way better and create more turnovers to crush Temple. Pick Iowa.

25* graded play on Villanova as they take on UNC-Asheville in the First Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 12:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Villanova will win this game by at least 20 points.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Villanova is a solid 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points Since making it to the Final-4 in 2009, Villanova is just 3-5 in the NCAA Tournament. Last year they exited early in a very tough loss to NC State after getting the No. 1 seed for the first time in school history. Ryan Arcidiacono is the heart and soul of this team and is the only freshman captain under Wright’s tenure. He truly gets what being in the moment means and not allowing any adversity during a game, or from a game last week, or from last year’s loss, to have any impact on the current situation. This leadership will be a major reason why Villanova gets to the Final-4 and a possible National Championship. Take Villanova

25* graded play on USC as they take on Providence in the first round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 9:50 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that USC will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 19* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. Make certain you get at least +140 for the money line portion. If it is not there, then simply wager a 25* play using the line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Providence has been a money burning 24-47 ATS (-27.7 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997. USC is a solid 61-38 ATS (+19.2 Units) in road games when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game since 1997; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game this season; 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. USC is also in a favorable matchup situation noting they are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points After considering both teams different competition this season take note of these statistical categories USC is far ahead of Providence in. USC has a +2 higher score differential this season. They grab 3 more rebounds a game, have 4% better effective FG percentage, and allow 1.5% less opponents effective FG percentage. USC also blocks the ball 2 more times a game than Providence. So a higher score margin against tougher opponents, more rebounds, better shooting, and better defense will help USC win this game. Pick USC.

25* graded play on Stony Brook as they take on Kentucky in the First Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 9:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SB will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a low probability of actually pulling off the upset against the Giant. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 23* play using the line and a 2* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SB is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game; 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after a win by 6 points or less; Head Coach Pikiell is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers.

Fundamental Discussion Points Stony Brook in most statistical categories is only 1 unit away from Kentucky. They are only half of one percent different than Kentucky in effective FG percentage. They grab 1 more defensive rebound a game and vastly outrank Kentucky in defensive rebounding percentage being 20th and 263rd respectively. In the tournament it's vitally important to make less mistakes and Stony Brook commits 4 less fouls per game than Kentucky ranking 16th and 250th respectively. They are also only half a turnover per game more than Kentucky. Interestingly this is a matchup of Kentucky, 25th ranked in PPG, and Stony Brook, 25th ranked in opponents PPG. These teams are much closer and will make a much closer game than predicted. Pick Stony Brook.

25* graded play on Indiana as they take on Tennessee Chattanooga in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Indiana is a dark horse wager to win the Tournament and I would suggest making a 3* wager on them. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Indiana will win this game by 15 or more points.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UT is just 25-59 ATS (-39.9 Units) in road games when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots. Indiana is a solid 60-27 ATS (+30.3 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997.  

Fundamental Discussion Points Tennessee Chattanooga ATS has lost their last 6 games. Indiana scores 8 more points per game than Chattanooga this season. Indiana posts 7% more effective FG percentage and allows less opponents effective FG percentage against than Chattanooga. Indiana grabs a significant 2.4 more rebounds per game as well. Indiana ranks 2nd in the country in effective FG percentage and 3rd in both shooting percentage and 1st half points per game. Chattanooga in defense of opponents in those categories are ranked 170th, 177th, and 57th. Then consider Indiana has faced way better competition than Chattanooga. Indiana can out shoot anyone and will easily do that in this first round game. Pick Indiana.

25* graded play on Purdue as they take on UA-Little Rock (UALR) set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Purdue will win this game by at least 14 points. Purdue is also one of my Cinderella dark horses to win the whole thing. I have seen them at 30:1 odds and I think it is certainly worth a 3* amount.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UALR is just 21-47 ATS (-30.7 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game; 22-55 ATS (-38.5 Units) when they grab 10+ fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game. Purdue is a stout 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game this season; 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season.

Fundamental Discussion Points Purdue is 9th in the country in score margin this season in better competition than UALR has faced. UALR scores only a flat 70 PPG this season which is near the bottom of rankings overall. Purdue shoots 1.5% better effective FG percentage and allows 1% less opponents effective FG percentage. Purdue grabs 7.2 more rebounds per game than UALR. In neutral court games always go with the team that commits the least amount of mistakes where Purdue vastly outranks UALR in committing way less fouls per game. In most categories UALR ranks around the 160s and sometimes in the 220s as compared to Purdue ranking in the 70s up to the 40s in the country in a lot of statistical categories. Also consider these rankings with the type of competition UALR had and Purdue had. Gives Purdue a big chance to blowout this game. Pick Purdue.

25* graded play on Yale as they take on Baylor in the first round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 2:45 PM ET, St. Patrick’s Day. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Yale will win the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Yale is a solid 10-2 against the money line (+13.2 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 7-1 against the money line (+6.8 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; 7-1 against the money line (+6.0 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game this season; 14-3 against the money line (+17.2 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; Baylor is just 4-10 against the money line (-12.4 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game this season; 2-7 against the money line (-9.2 Units) in road games when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons. ATS situations show that Yale is a perfect 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons. Baylor is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points Baylor struggles with its consistency at times this season. They are 6-5 as an away team, though they are deemed a home team in this game, they are much farther from home than Yale. Yale is coming in hot on a 5 game win streak against Baylor losing their last game. Yale is 16th in the country in allowing only 63.5 opponents points per game. They are better at rebounding than Baylor, grabbing 4 more per game and they are 3rd in the country only allowing opponents 29 rebounds a game against them. Yale shoots a significant 1% effective FG percentage better and allows 5% less opponents effective FG percentage against. Yale is 7th in the country grabbing over 12 offensive rebounds good for the second chances they need this game to win. They shoot and rebound way better than Baylor so they can win this game. Pick Yale.

25* graded play on Montana as they take on Nevada in the first round of the CBI Tournament set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Montana will win this game and are currently installed as 4 ½ point dogs. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting an incredible 24-2 ATS mark good for 92.3% ATS winners since 1997. Play on a home team (NEVADA) that is a team from a second tier division 1-A conference and now facing a team from a weak conference, off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Nevada is just 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, Nevada is a money burning 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.

25* graded play on Monmouth as they take on Bucknell in NIT First Round action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Monmouth was certainly snubbed with their 27 wins and their awesome bench celebration displays from the NCAA Tournament. This is a program on the rise in New Jersey and are 3xtremely well coached. I do not believe we will see a drop-off in focus in this game simply cause of a possible hangover from losing the Conference Championship game to Iona and then being snubbed. If anything, it is a motivating coaching opportunity.  

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Monmouth is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game this season; 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game this season; 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game this season. Looking at matchup situations, Monmouth is an outstanding 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) facing good shooting teams making >=45% of their shots this season.

Fundamental Discussion Points Monmouth is the vastly better team in both sides of the court. Monmouth ranks 29th in the nation IN SCORING OFFENSE AVERAGING 79.4 PPG. BUCKNELL FILLS THE HOOP TOO RANKING 46TH SCORING 78 PPG, BUT THERE IS NO TRUE DEFENSIVE PRESENCE. BUCKNELL RANKS JUST 212TH IN SCORING DEFENSE ALLOWING 74 PPG. Monmouth ranks 10th best in free throw percentage while Bucknell is a dismal 106th. So, Monmouth is certainly the right side.

25* graded play on Savanah State as they take on Texas-Arlington in the First Round of the College Insider Tournament set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SS will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a slight probability to win the game.Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 23* play using the line and a 2* play using the money line. If No money line is available then simply wager a 25* amount on the line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. TA is just 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games when they force 14 to 18 turnovers in a game this season. Further, looking at the matchup situations TA is just 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons; 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite this season; 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers this season. TA head coach is an imperfect Cross is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite.

25* graded play on St. Mary’s as they take on New Mexico State in the first round of the NIT set to start at 11:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that STM will win this game by more than 18 points. It is remarkable that STM was overlooked by the selection committee. Add Monmouth to that shocking list as well. STM is 27-5 and 18-1 in home games for the season. Repeat their record to yourself and out loud for reinforcement. Then look up Michigan and repeat the same. Point is that, I truly believe that STM will play the entire tournament with a huge chip on it’s shoulder. Perhaps the biggest chip in the history of the Tournament snubs.  

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. St. Mary's is a solid 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 season and 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. They are also perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games this season. They have a history of doing well as Bennett is 46-16 ATS (+28.4 Units) after a combined score of 155 points or more as the coach of ST Mary's. 

Fundamental Discussion Points St. Mary's dominates most of the statistical categories in this matchup against New Mexico State. They shoot a staggering 9% effective FG percentage better than NM State. In fact they are #1 in the country in shooting % and effective FG percentage. STM also turns it over 4% less, allow opponents 2 less PPG, and allow opponents 2% less effective FG percentage than NM State. They don't make any mistakes for opponents to capitalize on as they are 7th in the country with only 15 fouls per game and 6th in the country only committing 9.5 turnovers a game. St. Mary's will dominate and easily win this game. Pick St. Mary's.

25* graded play on North Florida as they tajke on Florida in the First Round of the NIT set to start at as they take on set to start at  PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. North Florida is a solid shooting team and the projections call for them to rain in threes making 40% of them in the process. This will spread the Florida defense and allow far more room for scoring opportunities in the paint.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Florida is just 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game since 1997; 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game this season. Further, Florida has not been good to backers of road games sporting an unenviable 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.

Fundamental Discussion Points It is a fact that NF plays a less difficult schedule than the SEC schedule faced by Florida. However, you cannot argue that NF is a high powered offense that ranks 4th in the nation scoring 83.4 PPG and ninth in assist-to-turnover ratio (1.509). NF defense stats are skewed given this high pace of play, but Florida will not be able to take advantage of that weakness. Florida ranks just 112th in assist-to-turnover ration (1.144) and 193rd in assist-FG made ratio (0.513), and 284th in shooting efficiency, and 332nd in free throw percentage. Take North Florida.

25* graded play on Farleigh Dickinson as they take on Florida Gulf Coast in the NCAA Tournament ‘First Four’ play-in games set to start at 6:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that FD will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at making it into the First Round of the NCAA Tournament. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 34-29 mark good for 54% winners, BUT has made a whopping 33.5 units/unit wagered since 1997. Play against any team (FLA GULF COAST) good defensive team (40-42.5%) against a poor defensive team (45-47.5%), and is a hot shooting team with 3 straight games making more than 50% of their shots. This system has averaged a +175 DOG play and shows that by identifying DOGS that win SU better than 50% of the time produce huge profits over time. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. FGC head coach Dooley is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival in all games he has coached. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Farleigh Dickinson has a higher PPG mark, a better effective FG percentage, 2 more assists a game, and grab more steals a game than FGC. In the rest of the statistical categories these two teams are pretty close. FD is better than a +6  in this game on a neutral site and will make this very close. Pick Farliegh Dickinson.

25* graded play on Purdue as they take on Michigan State in the Big Ten Conference Tournament set to start at 3:00 PM ET SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Purdue will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. Seeing +170 levels and higher, which is certainly higher than the +140 mandated by the ROI analysis. With a STJ win, the 25* combination wager returns 28.5* profit.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Purdue is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game this season; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season. Further, we see that the previous similar matchups favors Purdue noting they are a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams making >=41% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points > Despite what many media publications and telecasts would tell you, these teams are equals across the large majority of metrics. Playing on a neutral court makes this a pick-em game based on the metrics. Purdue, though will have a significant edge in free throws attempted and made by at least 5 and this is truly what gives the edge to Purdue. Rebounding will be a slight edge to Purdue where they will have more multi-shot possessions than MSU. This in turn, leads to more shot attempts and more chances to score. Take the Boilermakers.

50* graded play ‘UNDER’ the posted total in the Texas A&M-Kentucky SEC Championship game set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 140 points will be scored. In addition, there is a high probability that both teams will not exceed 70 points in scoring.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-9 ‘UNDER’ mark good for 77% winners since 1997. Play ‘under’ with neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (KENTUCKY) in a game involving 2 very good teams outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season, after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. A&M is a solid 11-3 UNDER (+7.7 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game this season; 8-2 UNDER (+5.8 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season; 9-2 UNDER (+6.8 Units) in road games when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points This is game where the A&M defense is being completely overlooked and a defense that can dominate the pace of play in this matchup. Moreover, Kentucky ranks best in the nation allowing 9.1 assists per game and with a 0.398 opponent assist-turnover ratio. A&M offense moves the ball very well, but will find those passing lanes impacted by the ‘length’ of the Kentucky defense. Both teams playing their third game in as many days and fatigue will be a factor leading to many shots that just don’t have the legs behind them. Take the ‘UNDER’

25* graded play on St. Joes as they take on Virginia Commonwealth in the A-10 Championship game set to start at 12:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that St. Joes will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. Seeing +170 levels, which is certainly higher than the +140 mandated by the ROI analysis. With a STJ win, the 25* combination wager returns 28.5*  profit.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. STJ is a solid 13-2 against the money line (+11.1 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game this season; 7-1 against the money line (+7.3 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season; 12-2 against the money line (+10.0 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season; 6-1 against the money line (+5.9 Units) in road games when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game this season; 14-1 against the money line (+14.4 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points STJ is one of the best ball handling teams in the nation. They rank 13th best in the nation with a 1.482 assist-to-turnover ratio. Further, STJ ranks 13th best averaging just 10.1 turnovers per game. This is a critical matchup as VCU loves to bring pressure and create turnovers to generate easy scores in fast break situations. They rank 14th best forcing opponents into 15.5 turnovers per game. STJ will control the tempo and the ball and this will be the key metric why STJ will win the A-10 Championship.

50* graded play on UVA as they take on North Carolina in the ACC Championship Final set to start at 9:00 PM ET.  SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UVA will win this game outright. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 41* play using the line and a 9* play using the money line. Make certain though that you get at least a +140 level on the money line portion to validate the ROI of the combination wager. If not, then simply wager a 50* amount using the line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UNC is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. UVA is a near perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game this season. Virginia is also 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making more than 72% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. North Carolina is a bad 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more this season and only 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games over the last 3 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Virginia has allowed only five opponents to score 70 points this season - only two in the last 18 games. The most recent was North Carolina, however Virginia still won and won ATS. Virginia is 3-1 ATS versus North Carolina over the last 3 seasons. UVA has a significant 2.8% edge over UNC in effective shooting percentage. Virginia allows 10.3 less PPG than N Carolina making them 2nd best in the country. UNC may post high numbers and rank high with their offense, but Virginia ranks higher in those same categories when it comes to allowing opponents stats against. The proof is in these teams last meeting a few weeks ago. Virginia will suffocate out UNC's offense and they will beat the Tarheels. Pick Virginia.

25* graded play on Purdue as they take on Michigan in the Big Ten Tournament semifinals set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Purdue will win this game by at least 7 points.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Michigan upset a very strong Indiana Hoosiers team, but that isn’t all that great of news for this game. Michigan is a miserable 1-5 ATS off a road upset win this season.

Fundamental Discussion Points Purdue is one of those Cinderella ‘madness’ teams that could win the Tournament, but first they must advance to the Big TEN Final to ensure themselves of the highest seed possible in the Big Dance. They blew out Illinois yesterday and with that came significant rest for the team’s core players. Rest is a huge factor in Conference Tournament action as it marks the only time during the season where teams must play on back-to-back days and sometimes have to play three straight games. Purdue has several matchup advantages, but none bigger than in rebounding. Michigan ranks 312th in total rebounds per game (32) while Purdue ranks 10th best (41.2). Purdue is the second best team in the nation defending their glass getting 28 rebounds per game. Michigan is one of the worst offensive rebounding teams getting just 6.8 per game that ranks 328th in the nation. Purdue will limit Michigan to one shot possessions and this will be a big reason Purdue wins this game easily.

25* graded play on Texas A&M as they take on LSU in the SEC Semifinals set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Texas A&M will win this game by at least nine points. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. LSU is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season; 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season; 41-15 ATS (+24.5 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game; 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, the past matchups have not served LSU well noting they are just 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games facing good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. 

Fundamental Discussion Points These teams split during the season with the Aggies posting a victory Jan.19th. Texas A&M moves the ball better ranking 9th with over 17 assists per game. Both teams have almost the exact same effective FG percentage, however A&M allows 3.2% less effective FG percentage against them than LSU does. TAMU blocks better, has less turnovers, less fouls, better shooting from 3, better shooting from the free throw line, and more 1st half points per game than LSU. With so much pressure on Simmons to get LSU to the NCAA tournament, Texas A&M can exploit their better team play and soundly beat LSU. Pick Texas A&M.

25* graded play on North Carolina as they take on Notre Dame in the ACC semifinals set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UNC will win this game by at least 11 points.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. North Carolina is a solid 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games in quicker paced games where they attempt 63 to 69 shots over the last 2 seasons; 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Williams is 185-159 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of N Carolina.

Fundamental Discussion Points North Carolina scores 7 points more per game than Notre Dame. They also grab 5 more rebounds and have 5 more assists each game better than Notre Dame. UNC sinks 31 FGs a game good for 2nd best in the country where ND is ranked a lowly 203rd in allowing opponents FGs made per game. UNC is 6th in the country in scoring 39.8 points in 1st halves this season going against ND's poor 254th ranking in allowing opponents 1st half points. North Carolina is the clear better team and will take advantage of their shooting, rebounding, ball movement, and team play to beat up on Notre Dame on this neutral court. Pick North Carolina.

25* graded play on Florida as they take on Texas A&M in SEC Conference Tournament action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that they will win the game and advance to the Semifinals. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. A&M is just 2-7 against the money line (-8.8 Units) in road games when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. So, the projected pace of play will favor and be controlled by Florida in this game. Further, we see that days off and rest has not served A&M well as they are an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons. Kennedy is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season as the coach of TEXAS A&M.

Fundamental Discussion Points Florida is the better rebounding team at both ends of the court. Most importantly, their ability to defend their glass will limit A&M multi-shot possessions, which is a major key to Florida getting the much-needed win.

25* graded play on Indiana as they take on Michigan in the Quarterfinal Round of the Big Ten Conference Tournament set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Indiana will win this game by 10 or more points.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Michigan is just 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; Indiana is a solid 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game this season. Michigan is a money burning 13-53 ATS (-45.3 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game since 1997. Looking at the matchups, Indiana has played very weel against similar style teams. Hoosiers are a solid 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when facing teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Breaking this done further, we note that Hoosiers are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.  

Fundamental Discussion Points Indiana has not gained much respect at all despite winning the regular season conference tile and being one of the best shooting teams in the nation. Adding to that, is the fact that they have to play three straight days to win the Tournament Title, despite being the top-seed. They are coming into this game with four days rest and based on published reports, the team is squarely focused on playing one game at a time, which has served them quite well this season. Indian ranks 10th in the nation scoring offense at 83 PPG, and BEST with a 1.221 shooting efficiency quotient. Indiana is a complete offensive attack and can score from anywhere on the court. However, Michigan lives and dies essentially by the ‘three’ and Indiana will have enough defense to defend that perimeter well. Take Indiana.

25* graded play on UC-Riverside as they take on Long Beach State in WCC Conference action set to start at 11:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCR will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at advancing in this Tournament. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCR is 9-5 against the money line (+19.6 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. Long Beach State is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing less than 12 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Long Beach is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. Monson is 20-41 ATS (-25.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite as the coach of Long Beach.

Fundamental Discussion Points UC-Riverside is 4-2 against the spread versus Long Beach State over the last 3 seasons. UCR allows a significant 3.5 less opponents PPG than Long Beach. Long Beach allows 3% better effective shooting percentage against them. In fact they are a bad 252nd ranking allowing 51.5% opponents effective FG percentage. UCR can keep pace with Long Beach in this game much like do in most statistical categories. Pick UC-Riverside.

25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Ohio State in Second Round Big Ten Conference action set to start at 6:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. So, if your wagering discipline with my methodology is to wager $10 per * unit, then you would be placing a $200 amount on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

I also have a 10* play ‘OVER’ in this game. So, I would recommend playing the 10* amount on the total and then add NO MORE THAN a 5* amount on a parlay using the ‘OVER” and PSU.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 27-3 ATS mark good for 90% winners since 2010. Play ‘OVER’ with neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (PENN ST) and is a below average shooting team hitting between 40 and 42.5% and is now facing a good defensive team allowing between 40 and 42.5%, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game differential. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OSU is just 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons; 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing

25* graded play on Butler as they take on Providence in BIG EAST action set to start at 2:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Butler will win this game by at least 7 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-5 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 1997. Play on neutral court teams (BUTLER) revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Butler is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in games attempting around the same number of free throws as opponents over the last 2 seasons. Butler is a solid 65-32 ATS (+29.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997. Cooley is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after playing a game as a road favorite as the coach of Providence.

Fundamental Discussion Points Butler and Providence have close numbers in opponents PPG against, but Butler has a 7.1 PPG average better than Providence. This is due to the fact Butler shoots 2.5% effective FG percentage better. Butler doesn't make mistakes as they are ranked 16th in the country only committing 10.3 turnovers a game and rank 8th best only committing 12.5% turnovers per play. Butler has a higher offensive and defensive rebounding percentage than Providence as well. In categories Providence has the advantage over Butler (very few) it's only by a marginal amount. Butler will revenge their earlier loss to Providence. Pick Butler.

25* graded play on Northwestern as they take on Michigan in Second Round Big Ten Conference action set to start at Noon ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Northwestern will win this game and advance. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. However, you must make certain that you get +140 or higher on the money line to validate the ROI risk/reward profile.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. NW is a strong 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons; Michigan has been a wallet hurting 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, we see that NW is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing

25* graded play on UTEP as they take on Florida International in C-USA Tournament Round 2 action set to start at 9:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UTEP will win this game by at least 6 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this play is a proven system posting a 91-43 ATS mark good for 68% winners: PLAY AGAINST neutral court teams as an underdog (FLA INTERNATIONAL) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points against opponent off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UTEP is 86-57 ATS (+23.3 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days since 1997. Floyd is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) versus good shooting teams - making greater than 45% of their shots as the coach of UTEP. 

Fundamental Discussion Points UTEP shoots a solid 47.9% from the field and scores a solid 77.1 PPG versus common opponents with FIU. UTEP scores 5.2 more PPG than FIU. They also outrank FIU making 2 more three pointers a game. With FIU turning the ball over more than UTEP and UTEP grabbing more steals and rebounds, they can take advantage of this to win by more this game. Pick UTEP.

25* graded play on Syracuse as they take on Pittsburgh in ACC Conference action set to start at Noon ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Syracuse will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. You must get at least +140 on the money line to validate this combination wager. If it is not at that level, then just wager a 25* play on the line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Syracuse is a solid 19-7 against the money line (+13.9 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 14-7 against the money line (+9.8 Units) in games attempting around the same number of free throws as opponents over the last 3 seasons; 69-19 against the money line (+37.1 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game since 1997. Syracuse is also a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Pitt has been a money burning 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take Syracuse.

25* graded play on Arkansas Pine Bluff as they take on Alabama A&M in the first round of the SWAC Conference Tournament set to start at 9:30 PM ETSIM algorithm shows a high probability that APB will lose this game by fewer than four points and has a great shot at winning the game and advancing to the second round of play. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ALAM is just 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after allowing 60 points; 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after a combined score of 125 points or less. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Arkansas Pine Bluff is significantly better than Alabama A&M in blocks and steals per game averaging 2 more in both categories. APB also allows 1.5% less opponents effective FG percentage than ALAM.

25* graded play on Florida State as they take on Boston College in the 1st Round of the ACC Tournament. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that FSU will win this game by more than 20 points. You may be able to get some alternative lines meaning that there will two sets of additional lines that are 7 points moved in either direction. In our case, you may se FSU lined at -20 +220. If you get these lines than consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the adjusted line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. BC is just 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when they attempt 13 or less free throws in a game this season; 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games when they grab 8 or less offensive rebounds in a game this season; FSU is a solid 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 68-33 ATS (+31.7 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997.

Fundamental Discussion Points Florida State is 2-0 ATS versus Boston College over the last 3 seasons. FSU dominates ALL statistical categories compared to Boston College. The following stats used are just the tip of the iceberg when it comes to comparing these two teams. FSU shoots the ball way better at 4.5% effective FG percentage more than BC. FSU is 56th in the country with 77.5 PPG as BC is one of the worst teams at 342nd with only 61.1 PPG. Boston is the WORST team in the country in Free Throws attempted, FT made, and personal fouls caused at a very poor 15.6 a game. FSU will stomp on Boston College today easily. Pick Florida State.

25* graded play on Wake Forest as they take on North Carolina State in ACC Round 1 Tournament action set to start at 12:00 NOON. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Wake will lose this game by fewer than 4 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wake is a solid 52-26 ATS (+23.4 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game; NC State is a money burning 27-58 ATS (-36.8 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game . Plus, State is a near imperfect 1-7 against the money line (-7.4 Units) in road games when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Wake Forest moves the ball around better than NC State with 3.4 more assists per game more this season. Wake also shoots more than 1% effective FG percentage better and allow 1% less opponents effective FG percentage. They also significantly block and steal the ball better as well. Wake is ranked a high 49th in the country in causing fouls at 21.1 personal fouls a game committed. Wake Forest can press these advantages to come out on top this game. Pick Wake Forest.

25* graded play on BYU as they take on Gonzaga in the semifinals of the West Coast Conference Tournament set to start at 11:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that BYU will win this game outright. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. BYU is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season. GONZAGA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Rose is 47-25 ATS (+19.5 Units) off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite as the coach of BYU. 

Fundamental Discussion Points These two teams met a little over a week ago with BYU losing by 3, but grabbing 2 more rebounds and turning the ball over less than Gonzaga. In general BYU gets more rebounds, assists, blocks, steals, PPG more and have a lower turnover rate than Gonzaga. Expect BYU to use those advantages this time around. Look for them to beat Gonzaga in the 2nd half especially as they are ranked 8th in 2nd half PPG and Gonzaga is only 111st in allowing opponents 2nd half PPG. Pick BYU.

25* graded play on Indiana as they host Maryland in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Indiana will win this game by more than 8 points. Hoosiers finally getting a little more respect from the betting public, but they are still a vastly under rated team. They have a 14-3 record in a very difficult conference and still feel they have a ton of work ahead of them. I like this playing in the present mantra and looking forward at what still needs to be done.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Maryland is just 15-40 ATS (-29.0 Units) in road games when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997; Indiana is a solid 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game this season; Maryland is 13-44 ATS (-35.4 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game since 1997

Fundamental Discussion Points You can see that the key metric is for Indiana to score more than 81 points. Indiana ranks 10th best in offensive scoring at 82.8 PPG, and an exceptional 5th best in three point shot percentage. They rank 3rd in overall shooting percentage at 50.2% and second best with a 1.220 shooting efficiency rating. Even though Maryland has an excellent defense, I just do not see them holding up against the Hoosiers, who can score from anywhere on the court, especially the three. Take Indiana.

50* graded play on South Carolina as they take on Arkansas in SEC action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SC will lose this game by fewer than four points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SC is a very strong 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) facing good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season; 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) facing good offensive teams scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons; 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) in road games when playing their 2nd game in 3 days since 1997. SC head coach Martin is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) facing good offensive teams scoring 77+ points/game  

Fundamental Discussion Points SC is an excellent rebounding team ranking 13th averaging 41 boards per game. Arkansas defense ranks 236th allowing 37 boards per game and ranks 234th allowing 9.6 offensive boards per game.  SC ranks 9th best getting 12.3 offensive boards per game. So, you can readily see that SC will dominate the glass and get far more multi-shot possessions than Arkansas. This is critical given that Arkansas does have shooters and they can score in bunches. I see SC controlling the flow and winning going away.

25* graded play on Kansas State as they take on Texas Tech in BIG-12 action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that K-State will lose this game by fewer than five points and has a great shot at winning the game.  Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-18 over the last 5 seasons good for 70.5% ATS: PLAY ON road teams as an underdog or pick (KANSAS ST) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent off a road loss by 20 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kansas St is a perfect 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons. KSU is 4-1 straight up against Texas Tech over the last 3 seasons. Weber is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) after a blowout win by 20 points or more as the coach of Kansas St.

Fundamental Discussion Points A unique game with KSU coming in off a blowout win and TTU coming in off a blowout loss. Texas Tech's loss comes off of WVU in which KSU lost by less earlier in the year. Kansas State will have more second chances this game as they grab 2.5 more rebounds a game than Texas Tech. Kansas St ranks an excellent 21st in the country in offensive boards a game. They also swipe 2 more steals a game than TTU. KSU is ranked as high as 35th in the country only allowing 34.3 points per game in 2nd halves this season. Kansas State can grab the opportunities to win this game. Pick Kansas State.

25* graded play on Villanova as they take on Georgetown in BIG EAST action set to start at Noon ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Villanova will win this game by at least 17 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 46-21 ATS over the last 5 seasons good for 68.7% ATS: PLAY ON a home team (VILLANOVA) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Villanova is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 4 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons; 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after having won 18 or more of their last 20 games over the last 2 seasons;13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after having won 18 or more of their last 20 games over the last 2 seasons; a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a game committing 12+ less turnovers than opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Villanova is 2-0 against the spread and SU at home versus Georgetown over the last 3 seasons. Nova has a significant 2.5% higher effective FG percentage than Georgetown which outranks them (29th and 111st respectively). Villanova does beat Georgetown in all statistical categories by significant margin except blocks. Georgetown is a very sloppy team ranking 342nd with 23 fouls a game this season. That alone will give Nova more free points than they need. Villanova will simply outclass Georgetown to blow them out today. Pick Villanova.

25* graded play on Mercer as they take on the Citadel in the first round of the Southern Conference Tournament set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Mercer will win this game by more than 14 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-14 ATS mark good for 75.4% winners since 2010. Play on a favorite (MERCER) after 5 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 6 or more consecutive losses. Here is the second system that has gone 35-14 ATS for 71.4% winners since 1997. Play against underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (THE CITADEL) terrible defensive team allowing 84+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight losses by 15 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Citadel is a horrid 12-34 ATS (-25.4 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game; 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when they grab 10+ fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons; Mercer is a solid 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game; 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game.  

Fundamental Discussion Points Mercer is 4-0 against the spread versus Citadel over the last 3 seasons. Citadel is THE WORST team in the country by a far margin allowing 95.2 opponents points per game. This is because they are THE WORST in allowing opponents two point percentage, opponents FGs and FTs made per game, and more. They almost allow 50 points in the second half in games this season! Mercer grabs a huge 5 more rebounds per game than Citadel. Citadel is also worst, giving up more than 29 free throws a game as Mercer is ranked 34th in sinking it from the line. There is just so many more opportunities for Mercer to destroy Citadel in this game. Pick Mercer.

25* graded play on Southern Illinois as they take on Northern Iowa set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Southern Illinois will lose this game by five or fewer points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. S Illinois is a good 74-48 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1997. Hinson is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) off a home win as the coach of S Illinois. N Iowa is a bad 50-76 ATS (-33.6 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997.

Fundamental Discussion Points Southern Illinois grabs 6 more rebounds a game than N Iowa which will allow them more opportunities in this game. They also swipe 2 more steals a game than N Iowa. Besides those two statistical categories these two teams are fairly close in the other categories. Less than 1 percent difference in their opponents effective FG percentage and less than .5 difference in score margin this season. Southern Illinois can keep this close. Pick Southern Illinois.

25* graded play on California as they take on Arizona in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cal will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 69-36 over the last 5 seasons good for 65.7% ATS: PLAY AGAINST home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ARIZONA) - after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. California is a solid 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Arizona is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games this season. Cal is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival this season; 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.   

Fundamental Discussion Points California is playing really well on their hot streak of 7 looking for their eighth win in a row. They are fourth in the country only allowing 43.5% opponents effective FG percentage. They are SECOND BEST in the country suffocating opponents to only shoot 40% two pointers this season. Cal is comparable offensively with Arizona so they can use their excellent defense to shut down Arizona and come away with a victory. Pick California.

25* graded play on Penn State as they host Northwestern in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at as they take on set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Penn State will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game this season and they are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a road loss by 10 points or more this season. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Penn State is  2-1 ATS and SU against Northwestern over the last 3 seasons. They are also 10-4 straight up at home against Northwestern since 1997. Back in January PSU on the road beat Northwestern and crushed the spread against them. Since then NW has been a poor 3-7. PSU steals more per game and grabs more second chance offensive rebounds than Northwestern. They will use that to their advantage increasing their good record against Northwestern. Pick Penn State.

50* graded play on Quinnipiac as they take on Rider in First Round Metro Atlantic Conference action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Quinnipiac will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-6 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 2010. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (RIDER) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a close win by 3 points or less. This system has gone 15-1 ATS over the past 3 seasons. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rider is a money losing 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game this season; 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after 2 straight games being called for 5+ less fouls than opponent since 1997. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Quinnipiac is BEST in the country grabbing 43.7 rebounds a game which in this matchup is 8.1 more rebounds a game than Rider this season. They also allow a significant 2.7% less effective FG percentage than Rider. Quinnipiac is good at blocking shots being 39th in the nation blocking almost 5 shots a game. Quinnipiac will get way more second chances and block some crucial points in this game. Pick Quinnipiac.

25* graded play on Eastern Illinois (EIU) as they take on Murray State in the first round of the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament set to start at 9:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that EIU will lose this game by fewer than six points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. EIU is a solid 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons. MS is just 20-41 ATS (-25.1 Units) after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers

Fundamental Discussion Points Neither of these teams are all that good ranking in the lower half of the 351 team D-1 basketball database. However, we are looking at this matchup only and not making any comparisons at all to Top-25 teams. In this game, I really like EIU Guard Trea Anderson. Who is averaging a team-high 15.0 PPG on 49% shooting averaging just 24 minutes per game. However, his minutes played has increased steadily over the season and he will go at least 30 minutes tonight. Just last Thursday, EIU defeated MS 85-74 and Anderson had 22 points on 10-16 shooting and was 2-3 from beyond the arc. Take EIU.

25* graded play on UCLA as they take on Oregon in a critical PAC-12 Conference matchup set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCLA will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 81-46 mark over the last 5 seasons good for 63.8% ATS: PLAY ON home teams as an underdog (UCLA) - off a road loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win scoring 85 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCLA is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. UCLA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Alford is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) after 2 consecutive conference games as the coach of UCLA. 

Fundamental Discussion Points In this series UCLA is 21-18 straight up against Oregon since 1997. UCLA rebounds way better than Oregon, ranking 26th in the country grabbing 40.1 rebounds a game. Oregon ranks a lowly 207th with 5 less rebounds a game. Also all 6 of Oregon's losses are on the road this season. UCLA will grab more second chances to outscore Oregon tonight. Pick UCLA.

25* graded play on Miami (FL) as they take on Notre Dame in NCAA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miami (FL) will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. Now, the Money Line needs to be at +140 and higher in order to validate the combination wager based on ROI calculations. I do expect ND public money to come pouring in throughout the morning hours and may be enough to drive the line to +3 and that level just might be enough to get the +140 level attained.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 46-19 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 1997. Play on road teams as an underdog or pick (MIAMI) in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (>=36.5%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 50% of their 3 point shots or better. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game this season; 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points It’s Senior night at Notre Dame and represents the last home game of the season. Still, Miami is the better team and I fully expect them to win this game. There is a mountain of reasons Miami is ranked 7th in the nation and Notre Dame is NOT ranked.

25* graded play on Baylor as they take on Oklahoma in Big-12 Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Baylor will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Baylor is a solid 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Sooners are an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams making >=37% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons; 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite.  

Fundamental Discussion Points Rebounding will be a big factor in this game. Oklahoma loves the ‘three’ and when not made create long rebounds that Baylor must control. However, on the Baylor offensive glass is where I see the biggest matchup advantage. Baylor ranks third in the nation offensive rebounding percentage at 41%. That means nearly half of Baylor’s possessions result in multi-shot possessions. I think Baylor will be very focused at both ends of rebounding and this will give them the chance to gain a huge upset win.

25* graded play on Texas as they take on Kansas in Big-12 Conference action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Texas will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, we need +140 to validate the ML portion of this combination wager based on calculated ROI metrics. If you don’t get +140, then simply wager 25* amount using the line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42=18 ATS mark good for 70% winners since 2010. Play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TEXAS) off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog against opponent off 3 straight wins against conference rivals. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kansas is a money burning 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road games versus excellent ball handling teams committing 80%) after 15 or more games this season; 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Further, revenge is a factor and Texas is a very strong 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

25* graded play on Arizona State as they take on Colorado in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that ASU will lose this game by fewer than four points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ASU is a solid 14-5 against the money line (+10.3 Units) after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons; ASU head coach Hurley is 23-9 against the money line (+13.2 Units) after playing a road game in all games he has coached

Fundamental Discussion Points ASU not a good team, however, they matchup very well against Colorado. ASU defends the perimeter well. Colorado lives and dies by the three. They rank 21st in the nation shooting 38.8% from beyond the arc, but just 328th in 2-point shooting. This is the key matchup that I believe ASU can control and keep them close with a chance to win at the end of the game.

25* graded play on Pittsburgh as they host Duke in ACC action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Pitt will win this game by more than three points. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. However, is not likely at all that we will see a +140 money lie, which is the minimum required to validate the combination wager based on ROI calculations. Simply wager 25* play using the line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Pitt is a very strong 52-18 ATS (+32.2 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game

Fundamental Discussion Points Duke has resurrected their season with some gutty performances, but their defense still remains quite poor. They rank 246th allowing 14.2 assists per game, 256th with a 1.207 opponent assist-to-turnover atio, 197th with a 44.1% opponent shooting percentage. Pitt ranks 12th best with a 1.498 assist-to-turnover ratio, and 8th with 17.5 assist-per-game. That ball movement and a huge edge in rebounding will drive the Panters to this important win today.

25* graded play on Seton Hall as they take on Xavier in Big East Conference action set to start at 12:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Seton Hall will win this game by three or more points. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. However, we will need to see a continued public betting frenzy on Xavier to get to +140 on the Money Line to validate this prescription. If you do not get +140 or higher, then simply wager a 25* amount on the line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 44-16 mark on the money line for a solid 73.3% winners and has made 28. 1units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (SETON HALL) after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SH is a solid 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points Seton Hall has a pesky intense defensive presence that ranks 22nd in the nation allowing just 39% opponent shooting. It will be this defense that will be the dominant reason they win this game. Take Seton hall.

25* graded play on Villanova as they take on Marquette in BIG EAST Conference action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Villanova will win this game by 14 or more points. Additional projections see ‘Nova shooting better than 46% from the field and will go 12-for-27 from beyond the arc. Villanova will have a 5+ board edge in rebounding and will have at least two fewer turnovers. Marquette will shoot less than 44% from the field and will make just 5-for-15 ‘threes’ Villanova will not have to respect the perimeter and can force Marquette to try and compete shooting ‘three’s. Long rebounds and fast break scoring is a ‘Nova forte.  

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 199-133 (60%) ATS PLAY AGAINST Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MARQUETTE) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, with just two starters returning from last season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Marquette is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making greater than 45% of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons and 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. Villanova is a solid 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons. Marquette is a poor 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive conference games over the last 2 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Villanova is 5-1 against the spread versus Marquette and 2-0 against the spread at Marquette over the last 3 seasons. Nova has a much better effective shooting percentage offensively and defensively against opponents than Marquette does. Villanova is ranked 40th and Marquette is ranked a much lower 105th in effective shooting percentage. Nova is also a solid rank 20th in the country only allowing 45.1% opponents effective shooting percentage. Villanova can beat up on Marquette again today. Pick Villanova.

25* graded play on Lehigh as they take on Army set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Lehigh will win this game. Projections call for Lehigh to shoot well at 46.5% from the field and make a nice 9-of- 19 3-point shots. Slight edge to Lehigh in rebounding and ball handling metrics.  

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Pace of the game will be an important factor in Lehigh winning this game. They are a solid 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game since 1997; 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game. Further, we see from the power trend database that Lehigh is a fantastic 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams forcing

25* graded play on Texas Tech as they take on Kansas in BIG-12 action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tech will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and just might pull off the shocking upset. Kansas is rolling and has won eight straight games and covered all. The public is on this horse, but now the price setting is significantly inflated by public enthusiasm. In fact so far 78% of all initial best are small sized wagers on Kansas. Certainly a red flag condition and provides additional confidence playing Tech. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 23* play using the line and a 2* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 83-43 ATS good for 66%. PLAY AGAINST Home teams as a favorite or pick (KANSAS) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a top-level team (greater than 80%) playing a team with a winning record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Texas Tech is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins this season and they are a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Kansas's last loss was to Iowa State, whom Texas Tech beat to start their current 5-0 run. Look for Texas Tech to take advantage of the free points from the line, since they are 25th in the country shooting 74.7% free throws. Tech is also good at getting to the line ranking 37th while Kansas is ranked a low 142nd in committing fouls per game. When two good teams on hot streaks meet, you want the team that makes the least mistakes. In this case it's Tech committing 2 less turnovers a game than Kansas. Pick Texas Tech.

25* graded play on Texas El Paso (TEP) as they take on Old Dominion (ODU) set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that TEP will lose this game by fewer than seven points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this play is a proven system that has produced a 69-28 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 2010. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTEP) after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more and is now facing an opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ODU is a money burning 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) versus good ball handling teams committing

Fundamental Discussion Points Contrasting styles in this matchup with TEP a solid offensive team while ODU is a defensive-minded unit. TEP ranks 79th in scoring offense at 76.9 PPG, 33rd averaging 16 assists-per-game, and 48th with a 0.588 assist-to-FGM ratio. ODU Ranks a distant 289th in scoring offense and 220th with a 0.506 assist-to-FGM ratio. Worse yet is they rank 338th in 3-point shooting percentage. This will allow UTEP to play far more zone and pack the paint forcing ODU to try and make shots from the perimeter. Take Texas El Paso.

25* graded play on Kansas as they take on Baylor in BIG-12 Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Kansas will win this game by more than six points.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kansas is a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 110-43 ATS (+62.7 Units) when they make 46% or more of their three point attempts in a game; 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game this season. Baylor is a near imperfect 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game this season; 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when their opponents make 46% or more of their 3 pointers in a game this season.

Fundamental Discussion Points Kansas is rolling again in the BIG-12 winners of seven straight games and covered all of them. Kansas ranks 19th in scoring offense and 14th in overall shooting efficiency. Baylor ranks 199th allowing 70 PPG and 255th with a 1.098 opponent shooting efficiency. Baylor does have a strong offense that ranks 56th in scoring and 32nd in shooting percentage and 56th in overall shooting efficiency. They move the ball very well as evidenced by their 20th ranking in assist-turnover ratio at 1.471. However, Kansas’ defense is solid ranking 35th with a 46% opponent shooting percentage and 55th posting a 1.012 opponent shooting percentage. So, just by these metrics you can see that Kansas is the better team at both ends of the court, especially on the defensive end. Bears were hammered in the first meeting by Kansas and revenge is not involved in this matchup. Sometimes, when you get hammered by an elite team even playing at home cannot remove that competitive doubt. Take Kansas.

25* graded play on Miami (Fla) as they take on Virginia in ACC Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miami will win this game by four or more points. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. However, we need a +140 or higher ML level to validate the ROI for the combination wager. The line is pick-em now, so it is unlikely even with the public betting heavily on UVA that the ML will get to that level. So, simply wager 25* using the line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 44-18 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 1997. Play against a road team (VIRGINIA) in a game involving two excellent FT shooting teams making >=73% after 15+ games, hot shooting team with 3 straight games making >=47% of their shots. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UVA is an imperfect 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in road games when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; Miami is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points UVA has a very good stifling defense based on most of the popular metrics. However, they rank 96th in opponent shooting percentage and 103rd in allowed 3-point FG. Miami is extremely good shooting team in the paint and rank 32nd in overall shooting percentage  and I believe they will move the ball well getting the best shot. Miami also has a darn good defense in their own right and I expect UVA to struggle to find consistency on the offensive end. Take Miami.

25* graded play on Wichita State as they take on Indiana State in NCAA cation set to start at 4:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Wichita State will win this game by 14 or more points.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-6 ATS mark good for a remarkable 84% winners since 1997. Play on road teams as an favorite or pick (WICHITA ST) in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams (>=20/game), after a game shooting 57% or higher and allowing 43% or lower. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wichita is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game this season; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they force 14 to 18 turnovers in a game this season. Indiana State is a money burning 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) when they score 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. 

25* graded play on Michigan as they take on Maryland set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Michigan will lose this game by fewer than eight points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Michigan is a solid 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) in road games when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game; 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in road games when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game; 74-40 ATS (+30.0 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game;

Fundamental Discussion Points Maryland has lost their last 2 games. The last time the Terps lost 3 straight games as a ranked team was in 2004-05 (4 straight). If they stay in the top 10, the last time they lost 3 straight as a top-10 team was in 2000-01 (4 straight). Now, that is a nice history lesson and certainly the public sentiment if that Maryland will defend their home court and play very well to stop the skid and right the ship. Truth is that this team has almost come off the rails. Most evident is their last loss at lowly Minnesota, so confidence is at a season-low  and now having to face a Michigan squad looking to get completely off the bubble.

50* graded play ‘OVER” Kansas-Oklahoma State in BIG-12 Conference action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 150 points will be scored in this game. I also have a 25* graded play on Oklahoma State so this offers up a very rare wagering opportunity. Always remember, you must be all about discipline and not for one second believing money has been won before it is even wagered at the window. Do not wager more than you have to lose. This should all be about fun, a little excitement, learning, and making a little more cabbage over time. For this play consider making a Reverse Parlay for a 7* amount using Oklahoma State and ‘OVER’ So, 50* amount on the ‘over’, 25* amount Ok State, and optional 7* reverse parlay wager.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 66-31 mark good for 68% winners since 1997. Play ‘over’ with home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (KANSAS) revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season. Supporting the cowboys is a system that has gone 49-17 ATS for 74% winners since 1997. Play against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (KANSAS) after 3 or more consecutive ‘unders’, an explosive offensive team scoring >=76 PPG against an average offensive team scoring 67 to 74 PPG after 15+ games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Ok State is a solid 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 56-30 OVER (+23.0 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game; 26-3 OVER (+22.7 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game; 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Kansas is a solid 14-1 OVER (+12.9 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 13-2 OVER (+10.8 Units) in home games when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points  Kansas is one of the best and most efficient scoring offenses in the nation. They rank 19th scoring 81 PPG, 20th in effective FG percentage, 7th in 3-point shooting, 17th in overall shooting efficiency. As a result, this game will be faster paced and will give Ok State solid chances to score in transition as well. Kansas players know they are the better team and know they simply need to score above their season average and make a push toward 100 points. However, this offensive focus, leads to diminished defensive presence and will allow Ok State to keep it close.

25* graded play on Temple as they host South Florida in A-10 Conference action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Temple will win this game by at least 20 POINTS

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Temple is a stout 107-48 ATS (+54.2 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game; 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons; 70-35 ATS (+31.5 Units) when their opponents make 23% to 30% of their 3 pointers in a game; 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game this season; 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they force 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points Temple ranks 64th in the nation and SFU a distant 254th in my metrics ‘money ball’ type database. SFU ranks 332nd in scoring offense, 343rd in assists-per-game, 344th in both assists/FGM and assists-to-turnover ratio at 0.66. This reflects how challenged SFU is in every game they play. They have far fewer assist than turnovers and the same will occur in this game. Temple plays sound fundamental basketball. They rank 29th in assists-to-turnover ratio and 65th in scoring defense. Take Temple.

25* graded play on Colorado as they host Washington in early PAC-12 action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Colorado will win this game by more than six points.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-10 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 2010. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (COLORADO) revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington is just 48-108 ATS (-70.8 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game; Colorado is a solid 38-17 ATS (+19.3 Units) in home games when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion PointsWashington plays fast and ranks 4th in scoring offense in the nation. Problem for them is the defense suffers ranking 329th allowing 80.5 PPG. Colorado has the offense to stay with the Huskies, but it is their defense that will cause major problems for the Huskies. That defense ranks 4th in the nation posting an impressive 0.407 assist-to-FGM ratio. They also create turnovers and have a solid 0.954 assist-to-turnover ratio. This means they create more turnovers than assists allowed and reflects strong defensive presence. Further, Washington ranks just 240th in shooting % despite scoring 84.5 PPG and reflects a rush to take shots far too soon in a possession and not working the ball for the best shot. Colorado is the play.

25* graded play on LSU as they host Texas A&M in SEC action set to start at 1:00 PM ET.  as they take on SIM algorithm shows a high probability that LSU will win this game by at least four points.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. A&M is a money burning 35-81 ATS (-54.1 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game; 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game; LSU is a rock solid 83-40 ATS (+39.0 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game; 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 45-21 ATS (+21.9 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game. Further, A&M is a horrid 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons.  

Fundamental Discussion Points A&M held LSU star Simmons to a season matching low of 10 points in their 71-54 win back on January 19. That is an ancient memory now that A&M comes into this game losers of three straight and the last one being an emotionally difficult one. In their last game, A&M missed two free throws with just 2.3 seconds on the clock in a 63-62 loss at a weak Alabama team. The hangover will still be stinging this afternoon. Take LSU.

25* graded play on South Carolina as they take on Kentucky in SEC action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SC will win this game Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. Note that the ML must be at +140 or higher. If its not, then simply wager a 25* play using the line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 28-7 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 2010. Play against road teams as an favorite or pick (KENTUCKY) in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams making between 65 and 69%, good ball handling team committing

25* graded play on TCU as they take on Oklahoma State in BIG-12 Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that TCU wins this game by more than four points. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. The line currently shows TCU at +1 and we need this line to rise to reach the ML thresh hold of +140 needed to validate the ROI. So, if you don’t get +140 or higher on the ML, then simply wager a 25* play using the line. If it does reach +140, then make a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

25* graded play on Arizona State as they take on Oregon in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that ASU will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 19* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. However, the money line just be at +140 or higher. If not, then simply wager a 25* amount using the line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 33-9 ATS mark good for 79% winners since 1997. Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OREGON) good shooting team making between 45 and 47.5% and is now facing an average defensive team allowing between 42.5 and 45%, hot shooting team with 4 straight games making >=47% of their shots. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oregon is just 35-55 ATS (-25.5 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game. Take ASU.

25* graded play on Evansville as they take on Wichita State set to start at 4:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Evansville will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wichita State is an imperfect 0-5 against the money line (-8.0 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 less free throws than opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons; Evansville is a solid 22-8 against the money line (+13.2 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 11-2 against the money line (+8.2 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take Evansville. 

25* graded play on Iowa as they take on Northwestern in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Iowa will win this game by 17 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. NWU is just 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) versus excellent teams shooting >=45% with a defense of

50* graded play on Kansas as they take on Kentucky in NCAA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Kansas will win this game by at least 11 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 75-37 ATS mark good for 67% winners since 1997. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (KANSAS)  cold team failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, in a game involving two top-level teams winning >= 80% of their games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Calipari is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less; 23-44 ATS (-25.4 Units) after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game. Kansas HC Self is a solid 46-21 ATS (+22.9 Units) after playing a game as an underdog in all games he has coached; 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games in all games he has coached. Here is a second system that has produced favorable results posting a 174-44 mark good for 80% winners and has made 58 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (KANSAS) after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a good team winning 60% to 80% of their games and is now playing a team with a winning record. Take Kansas.

25* graded play on Austin Peay as they take on SE Missouri State set to tip at 5:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Austin Peay will win this game by 7 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 53-25 ATS mark good for 68% winners since 1997. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SE MISSOURI ST) in a game involving two poor defensive teams allowing 45 to 47.5% shooting and after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SEMST is a money losing 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons; 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after a combined score of 110 points or less. Take Austin Peay.

25* graded play on Tennessee-Martin as they take on Murray State in  NCAA action set to start at 4:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tenn-Martin will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 18* play using the line and a 7* play using the money line. One caveat though is that the money line must be +140 or higher to validate the combination wager. If it is lower than +140, then simply wager a 25* amount on the line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. T-M is a solid 11-6 against the money line (+10.8 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take Tenn-Martin. 

25* graded play on USC as they take on Washington in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that USC will win this game by at least 10 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. USC is a solid 47-18 ATS (+27.2 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game; 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games when they score 81 or more points in a game this season; 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Washington is just 46-107 ATS (-71.7 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game; 12-34 ATS (-25.4 Units) in road games when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game since 1997. Take USC.

25* graded play on Louisville as they take on Virginia in ACC action set to start at 1:00 PM ET.  as they take on SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Louisville will win this game by at least 9 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 75-37 ATS mark good for 67% winners since 1997. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LOUISVILLE) cold team failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, in a game involving two top-level teams (>= 80%). The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UVA is just 41-87 ATS (-54.7 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. Louisville has been a solid 112-50 ATS (+57.0 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. UVA is not in a good situation against Louisville noting they are just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) facing good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Take Louisville. 

25* graded play on Florida as they take on West Virginia in NCAA action set to start at Noon. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Florida will win this game by 5 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. WVU is a money losing 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) in road games off 2 straight wins against conference rivals since 1997. Florida has shot under 40% in just three games this season. They are 3-0 ATS in the next game after a very poor shooting night and I fully expect them to win this game easily tonight. Take Florida.

25* graded play on UCLA as they take on Washington in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCLA will win this game by more than 10 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 73-40 ATS mark good for 73-40 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 1997. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UCLA) after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington is just 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons; UCLA is a solid 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. UCLA also has a favorable matchup noting a 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) record facing good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Take UCLA. 

25* graded play on Arizona as they take on Oregon in PAC-12 action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Arizona will win this game by 10 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arizona has been a solid PAC-12 Investment noting they are 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons; 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 2 seasons. Looking at some strong marchups for Arizona too as they are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Take Arizona.