35* graded play on Middle Tennessee State as they take on UAB in the C-USA Championship game set to start at 3:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Middle Tennessee State will win this game and advance to the NCAA Tournament. Line is stable at +2 and I don't see this line moving enough to vbalidate a combination wager - like we used on Middle Tennessee State the past two games for 25* Titan winners. I need to see +3 for a combination wager to be validated and that would consist of a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UAB is just 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in road games when the rebounding differential is between +3 and -3 in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, Middle Tenn State is a perfect  7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after a game with 9 or less assists this season. MTST is playing very well and over the last four games they have had just 33 turnovers. This excellent ball handling and passing has more than offset 2 games shooting well below 40% form the field. By comparison, UAB has had 55 turnovers over their last four games and had 30 of them over the last two games. Looking at rebounds as a percentage of possessions shows that MTST will have the edge in this part of them game. UAB has been a horrid 260th in the nation allowing an opponent to get an offensive board in 31% of their possessions. MTST ranks 17th in the nation allowing an offensive baord in just 17% of opponent possessions. The ball handling and rebounding strengths is what will lead MTST to the Championship. Take Middle Tennessee State.

25* graded play on Ohio State as they take on Michigan State in quarterfinals action in the Big Ten Conference Tournament. The simulator shows a high probability that Ohio State will win this game.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Ohio State is a solid  82-48 ATS (+29.2 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game since 1997. Izzo is just 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) in road games after playing a road game as the coach of MSU. Matta is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points as the coach of Ohio State. Ohio State has a much better defense and I believe that their defense will force MSU into difficult shots late in the clock and also a higher number of turnovers. Ohio State is 51st in scoring defense and ninth best in scoring differential. They also rank 61st posting a 0.848 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. By comparison MSU ranks 135th posting a 0.939 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. Another key to an Ohio State win is that must keep MSU off the offensive glass and minimize their multi-shot possessions. They will do a great job of that. Take Ohio State. 

25* graded play on Sam Houston State as they take on Texas A&M CC in the semifinal of the Southland Conference Tournament. I've study these teams extensively and I am fully convinced that Sam Houston is at least 10 point better in this matchup. The simulator shows a high probability that Sam Houston State will win this game by 11 or more points. Sam Houston is a vastly better team at both ends of the court. They are a superior rebounding team and that will mitigate multi-shot possessions by TEX A&M CC. Sam Houston ranks 22nd in the nation getting 11.3 offensive boards per game and 10th averaging 25.2 defensive boards. Rebounding stats can be misleading so taking into consideration the rebounds based on a % of total possessions offers a much clearer picture. So, SH ranks 39th getting an offensive board in 34% of all possessions and 33rd getting a defensive board in 75 of opponent possessions. By comparison, TEX A&M CC ranks 222nd in pure offensive boards and 167 in offensive board percentage at 29% of possessions. Further, they rank 289th in pure defensive boards and 245th getting a defensive board in 69% of opponent possessions. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Although TEX A&^M has had limited lined games in their history, their coach Wilson has been a money burning 11-31 ATS (-23.1 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less in all games he has coached since 1997. Take Sam Houston State.

25* graded play on Norfolk State as they take on Hampton in the semifinals of the MEAC Tournament set to start at 8:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that NS will win this game by more than 8 points. Of note is that Hampton guard Dwight Meikle has been downgraded to miss tonight's game with an ankle injury. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Norfolk State is a vastly better team at both ends of the court. Neither team is all that impressive, but when studying this specific matchup, NS has many significant advantages. Hampton ranks 325th in the nation posting a 0.722 assist-to-turnover ratio and 313th posting a 0.463 assist-FG made ratio. Hampton may appear to have a rebounding edge on just pure numbers, but when you factor in the rebounding based on a percentage of possessions it shows otherwise. Hampton ranks 46th getting 10.6 offensive boards per game and 39th averaging 34.3 boards per game. But because they play a higher paced game that involves a 326th ranking in turnovers,  they rank 112th in offensive % and 109th in defensive %. I strongly believe that Norfolk State will do a great job on the defensive end and minimize Hampton's offensive rebounds. Take Norfolk State.

25* graded play on Tennessee as they take on Arkansas in SEC quarterfinals action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. I like simply adding a 3* play using the money line to the 25* play using the line. The simulator shows a high probability that Tennessee will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at winning and advancing to the SEC TOurnament semifinal round of play. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UT is a solid  10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons; 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons. Looking at the matchup trends we see UT is a solid  6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a good team winning between 60% to 80% of their games after 15 or more games this season; 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games when competing against teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season. They have been excellent road warriors too noting they are  9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season. Take Tennessee. 

As an optional wager, you can play these dogs as a RR parlay using the money line. I would recommend not using more than a 3* play for the trio of parlays. 25* graded play on theUAB as they take on Louisiana Tech in the C-USA semifinals set to start at 6:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that UAB will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great opportunity to win this game and advance to the Conference Championship game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UAB has been a remarkable  7-2 against the money line (+5.9 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game this season. UAB is a solid  8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive 'unders' this season. L-Tech is just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season;  0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off 3 straight wins against conference rivals this season. Take UAB. 

25* graded play on Middle Tennessee State as they take on Texas El Paso in the C-USA semifinal The simulator shows a high probability that MTST will win this game and advance to the Championship. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. For all of the same reasons I played this team for a 25* winner Thursday are applicable to this release as well.   this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. MTST is a solid  24-14 against the money line (+19.0 Units) in road games when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game since 1997; 8-2 against the money line (+7.8 Units) when they score 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; UTEP is just 3-6 against the money line (-18.0 Units) in road games when they grab 8 or less offensive rebounds in a game this season. UTEO is also a money burning 8-26 ATS (-20.6 Units) in road games versus poor shooting teams - making

25* graded play on Oklahoma as they take on Oklahoma State in Big 12 quarterfinals action set to start at 9:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Oklahoma will win this game by more than 7 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oklahoma State is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons; 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) in road games when they commit around the same number of turnovers +-3 as opponent over the last 2 seasons; Sooners are a rock solid 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 3 seasons;  12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons;  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, we see that Oklahoma State is a money losing 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) when playing against a good team sporting a win percentage between 60% to 80% after 15 or more games over the last three seasons. Take the Sooners. 

25* graded play 'OVER' Ohio State - Minnesota in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at 9:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that more than 147 points will be scored in this game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Minnesota is a solid 8-2 OVER (+5.8 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game this season;  8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Given the inconsistent Minnesota defense , the only hope they have to upset Ohio State is to try and run them off the court. They rank 38th in scoring offense and 34th in assist-to-turnover ratio and matchup well in a high paced game against Ohio State. Now, Ohio State has a strong defense, but has been exposed in running attacks. They do have a very strong offense of their own that can easily match Gopher scoring runs. I expect this to be an up and down game with lots of action. Take the 'over'. 

25* graded play on Texas as they take on Iowa State in Big 12 Conference tournament action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Texas will win this game by more than four points. Simply, I think on any other day, Iowa State is the better team on paper. However, this is a do or die game for Texas. A win and they certainly get off the Tournament bubble and a loss would be devastating - even to a strong Iowa State team.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Iowa State is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season; Texas is a perfect  6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they commit 3 to 7 more turnovers than their opponents this season. Texas is a solid money making  10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season;  7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games when competing against low pressure defensive teams forcing

25* graded play on Middle Tennessee State as they take on Old Dominion in the quarterfinals of the Conference USA Tournament. The simulator shows a high probability that MTST will lose this game by fewer than five points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. MTST is a solid  56-28 ATS (+25.2 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game since 1997. ODU is just 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) in road games when they have the around same number of rebounds +- 3 as their opponents in a game since 1997. ODU is just 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after 2 straight wins by 15 points or more since 1997; 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) after 6 or more consecutive wins since 1997. Davis is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games after two straight games committing 11 or less turnovers as the coach of MTST.

25* graded play on North Carolina as they take on Louisville in the quarterfinals of the ACC TOurnament. The simulator shows a high probability that UNC will win this game by more than five points.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UNC is a solid money making 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game this season; Louisville is just 34-71 ATS (-44.1 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. Further, we note that Louisville is a weak 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season. Pitino is 26-49 ATS (-27.9 Units) when competing against dominant rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game as the coach of Louisville. UNC is the second best overall rebounding team in the nation averaging 42 rebounds per game and best in ball movement and distribution averaging 18 assists per game. They also rank best ion the nation averaging 29 FG made per game. Take UNC. 

This is the first three-pack of several releases on the very busy Thursday card. I am releasing them in chronological order so make sure you check back every so often to get all of my releases on what promises to be a huge day for us.  25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Iowa in the second round of the Big Ten Conference Tournament set to start at 2:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that PSU will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at pulling off the upset win. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU has been a solid 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in road games when they score 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997; 9-4 against the money line (+6.6 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game this season;  6-9 against the money line (-12.9 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, we see that PSU is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. Take Penn State. 

25* graded play on Pittsburgh as they take on NC State in ACC Round 2 Conference Tournament action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Pittsburgh will win this game. Should the line move to +3 1/2, which I believe it will, a combination wager would be recommended. That wager would be comprised of a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. If the line stats stagnant at 3 or even drops to 2 1/2, then simply make the wager a 25* play using the line only. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 103-57 ATS mark  since 1997. Play on neutral court teams as an underdog (PITTSBURGH) revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points and is a team winning between 51% to 60% of their games and is now playing a winning record team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Pittsburgh is of three straight losses with the most recent loss a 61-52 at FSU. However, Pittsburgh is a resilient 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games off a road loss against a conference rival since 1997. Further, Pitt is a solid 10-3 against the money line (+7.0 Units) in road games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons. Take Pittsburgh. 

25* graded play on Marshall as they take on Western Kentucky in first action of the C-USA Tournament set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Marshall will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot at a shocking upset win. I like simply adding a 2.5* amount using the money line to the 25* play using the line to exploit the upset potential of this play. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 60-30 mark good for 67% winners since 1997. Play against neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (W KENTUCKY) - after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games and now facing an opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. WKU is an imperfect  0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons; 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite since 1997. HC Harper is a horrid  0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) when competing against teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games as the coach of Western Kentucky. Take Marshall.  

25* graded play on USC as they take on Arizona State in the first round of the PAC-12 Conference Tournament set to start at 5:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that USC will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a strong shot at getting a significant upset win. Given this favorable projection I like making this a combination wager comprised of a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. USC is an outstanding 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, USC is a solid 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when competing against teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Take USC.

25* graded play on Penn as they host Princeton in Ivy League action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Penn will lose this game by fewer than 4 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play on the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Penn is a superior rebounding team in this matchup. Penn is a solid  60-28 ATS (+29.2 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997. Princeton is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 since 1997. Take Penn. 

25* graded play on the Wisconsin - Green Bay as they take on Valparaiso in the Horizon League Championship game set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Green Bay will win this game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play on the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Green Bay is a rock solid 10-2 against the money line (+7.8 Units) in road games when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 14-2 against the money line (+11.0 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons; 10-3 against the money line (+8.8 Units) when they make 64% to 71% of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, we see that Green Bay is a near-perfect  7-1 against the money line (+8.0 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season. Take Wisconsin - Green Bay.

25* graded play on St. Francis as they take on Robert Morris in the Northeast Conference Championship game set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that St. Francis will win this game by more than 7 points. St. Francis - NY defeated St. Francis PA by 14 points and that positive momentum will carry them to the Big Dance in what I see as another convincing win waiting to happen. SFNY is the vastly better rebounding team led by Forward Jalen Cannon is the team leader in scoring (16.6 PPG) and rebounds (10.4). Robert Morris' top rebounder is guard Lucky Jones averaging just 6 per game. Take St. Francis - NY.

25* graded play on Manhattan as they take on Iona in the Metro Atlantic Conference Championship game set to start at 9:00 PM ET.   The simulator shows a high probability that Manhattan will win this game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Manhattan is a rock solid  7-2 against the money line (+5.6 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game this season;  12-5 against the money line (+7.8 Units) when competing against good ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Miami (Ohio) as they take on Eastern Michigan in the First Round of the Mid-America Tournament set to start at 7:30 PM ET. I want to note that I am nearly always one of the last handicappers to post my releases.  My methods take many hours fo time to complete, especially the analysis of the betting consensus that is formed from the data of 12 sport books. So, remind yourself of that fact and know you are always getting my very best work regardless of the time they are submitted for sale. The simulator shows a high probability that Miami (Ohio) will lose this game by fewer than seven points and has a great shot at getting a major first round win. In order to capitalize on the upset bid potential, I like making this a combination wagered comprised of a 22* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line for a total of 26* amount of risk. This combination maximizes the total rate of return of this opportunity based on the calculated projections. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. This will be a slow paced grinding type of game with very few fast break scoring opportunities by either team. EMU is just 25-52 ATS (-32.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1997; 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.Under current HC Cooper, Miami (Ohio) has been a very resilient team coming off a loss. In fact, he is a solid Cooper is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival as the coach of Miami (Ohio). 

25* graded play on Northeastern as they take on William and Mary in the Colonial Conference Tournament Championship game set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that NE will win this game. Given the skinny line, there is no opportunity to use a combination wager comprised of line and money line segments. Simply play NE and get the line provided. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. NE is a solid 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games in slower paced games where they attempt 46 to 53 shots over the last 3 seasons; 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season. NE has a much deeper and far superior bench. W&M does their offensive production with four players. After those four starters, who average double digits in scoring, the next best averages just 6 PPG. NE will be the faster and quicker team to the ball down the stretch. Take Northeastern. 

25* graded play on Nebraska as they host Maryland in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 7:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Nebraska will win this game. The current line is +2 Nebraska. I would like to make this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. However, we need the line to move to +3 for that wager to be validated based on total rate of return analysis (ROI). Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-21 mark good for 65% winners and has made 27 units/unit wagered since 2009. The average play has been a +126 Dog Play. Play against a road team using the money line (MARYLAND) and is a good 3PT shooting team making >=36.5% and is now facing a poor 3PT shooting team making

25* graded play on Ohio State as they host Wisconsin in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 4:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Ohio State will win this game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wisconsin has been a money burning 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; Ohio State is 113-60 ATS (+47.0 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997; 73-42 ATS (+26.8 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game since 1997. Ohio State has won three straight games and are off a solid 10-point win at PSU installed as five point favorites. This has been an excellent situation for Ohio State entering their next game. They are a very strong 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) off a road win over the last 3 seasons. OSU is 18-1 at home and have won three of the last four Wisconsin showdown at Value City Arena. In addition, HC Matta will mark his 400 career win and 29th at OSI - most in school history, with a win. Take Ohio State. 

25* graded play on SMU as they host Tulsa in a very key American Conference showdown with the winner getting the regular season Conference title at 3:00 PM ET. SMU has not defeated Tulsa at home in a decade, but obviously I strongly believe that streak will come to a stop. The simulator shows a high probability that SMU will win this game by 10 or more points. They are the better team, especially on the offensive end. The defenses are somewhat equal with slightly more advantages in this department for the Mustangs. SMU ranks 11th in the nation posting a strong 0.638 assist-FG made ratio and 44th with a 1.257 assist-to-turnover ratio. By comparison, Tulsa ranks 269th with a 0.485 assist-to-FG made ratio and 194th with a 0.959 assist-to-turnover ratio. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SMU is a near-perfect  8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season;  13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game this season;  7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they allow 55 to 60 points in a game this season. Take SMU.

35* graded play on North Carolina as they take on Duke in ACC Conference action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. UNC will get their revenge in this game.  The simulator shows a high probability that UNC will win this game by more than five points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-17 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 2009. Play against a road team (DUKE) that is an excellent shooting team making >=47.5% and is now competing against a good shooting team making between 45 and 47.5% after 15+ games and is a hot shooting team with 3 straight games making >=47% of their shots. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UNC a solid money making 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, we see several significant game trends for this matchup. Duke has been a money burning  8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games when facing low pressure defensive teams forcing

25* graded play on Villanova as they take on St. Johns in Big East Conference action set to start at 2:00 PM ET.   The simulator shows a high probability that Villanova will win this game by 15 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Villanova is a solid money making 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game this season; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons; 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game this season; 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game this season; 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season. Take Villanova. 

25* graded play on the Miami Hurricanes as they take on Virginia Tech in ACC Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Miami will win this game by 7 or more points.  Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 35-12 ATS mark good for 75% winners since 2009. Play against any team (VIRGINIA TECH) that is an average shooting team making between 42.5 and 45% and is now facing a good defensive team allowing between 40 and 42.5% after 15+ games and after 4 straight games allowing a shooting percentage of 47% or higher. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is a solid 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Miami is also a solid  12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams making >=37% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Take Miami. 

25* graded play on  Georgetown as they take on Seton Hall in Big East Conference action set to start at Noon ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Georgetown will win this game by at last 15 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Georgetown has been a money making 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season;  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons;  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season. Georgetown is better in all facets of the game, especially on the defensive end. Georgetown ranks 45th in the nation posting an impressive 0.818 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio and 52nd allowing just 10.9 assist per game. Seton Hall will be overmatched by the Georgetown defense. Hoyas will also force the tempo on every opportunity and look to get to the rims for easy scores and/or getting fouled in the process. They are great at generating fouls and they will have an abundance of free throws in this game. Take Georgetown. 

25* graded play on Butler as they take on Providence in Big East Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Butler will win this game. I like making this play a combination wager comprised of a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Butler is a near-perfect  7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when their opponents make 23% to 30% of their 3 pointers in a game this season;  7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons; 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game this season; Providence a money burning  7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take Butler in the upset. 

25* graded play on Michigan State as they take on Indiana in Big Ten Conference action set to start at Noon ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that MSU will win this game by four or more points.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. MSU is a solid 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Indiana is a money burning 32-85 ATS (-61.5 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. Further, we see that MSU is been a strong 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Indiana is off a very poor 77-63 loss home to Iowa and were installed as 3 point favorites. These types of humiliating losses are difficult to get over for many teams. Indian is one of them noting they are just 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite since 1997. Take MSU. 

25* graded play on  UC-Riverside (UCR) as they take on Cal-Davis in Big West action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that UCR will lose this game by fewer than 8 [points and has a reasonable shot at getting a shocking road win. I like making this a combination wager using a 31* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCR is a solid 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons; 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game since 1997;  30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) in road games when they score 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997. Further specific situations shows that UCR is  21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 2 seasons;  11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons. CD win games with their offense and their defense is quite suspect. I note a 254th national ranking with a 1.099 assist-to-turnover ratio allowed by CD this season. This reflects minimal pressure allowing slightly more assist than forcing turnovers to date. Steve Jones remans out as the UCR point guard with a foot injury extending back to February 4. However, the rest of the team has done well and stepped in his absence. Guard Jaylen Bland is the team leader in minutes (36) and is scoring 15.9 PPG second only to Forward Taylor Johns (16.5 PPG). Further, UCR is a vastly better rebounding team led by Johns and Cal-Davis does not always take good care of the ball averaging 13.7 turnovers per game. Bland is an excellent defender and I expect him to have several steels of the his defensive pressure leading to poor passes that end in turnovers. This si a game where Cal-Davis could take for granted and if they do, it could be a very costly loss. Take UC-Riverside. 

25* graded play 'OVER' Tulsa/Cincinnati in C-USA action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that more than 120 points will be scored in this game. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-13 'Over' record good for 76% winners since 1997. Play 'over' with road teams where the total is 119.5 or less (CINCINNATI) off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, with just two starters returning from last season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tulsa is a solid  7-1 OVER (+5.9 Units) in home games when competing against non-pressure defensive teams forcing

25* graded play on St. Louis as they host St. Bonaventure in A-10 Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Saint Louis will win this game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. STL is a solid 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997; Bonnies are just 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more since 1997. St. Louis had a horrid loss last time out losing 78-50 home to George Mason and allowed 60% shooting and made just 37% of their own shots. Teams have a strong tendency to perform much better in their next game and in many cases significantly above their season averages at both ends of the court. I firmly believe St. Louis will put in one of their best efforts of the season. Take St. Louis.  

25* graded play on the South Florida as they host UCF in American Conference action set to start at  7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that SFU will win this game by three ro more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCF has been a money burning 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons;  8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponent over the last 3 seasons. Based on the situations, we note that UCF is a weak 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons; 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when competing against non-pressure defensive teams forcing

25* graded play on Miami (Ohio) as they take on Akron in MAC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Miami will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Akron is a weak  1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. Miami is not a solid ball passing team as evidenced by their low number of assists per game. However, Akron has been miserable against these types of teams noting they are just 2-7 against the money line (-14.2 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging

25* graded play on the Oklahoma Sooners as they take on Iowa State in Big -12 Conference action set to start at 9:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Oklahoma will lose this game by fewer than 4 points and has a great shot at winning the game. This would be a MONSTER win for the Sooners and obviously I think they are catching Iowa State at the right time. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oklahoma is a solid 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 3 seasons;  12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. Iowa State is an elite ball handling team posting extremeley good metrics in these categories. However, the Sooners have been  7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when competing against elite passing teams, averaging >=16 assists/game over the last 2 seasons;  10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when facing teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons; 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. Iowa State has been an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off an upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. Take Oklahoma. 

25* graded play on Ohio State as they host Purdue in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that that Ohio State will win this game by 11 or more points.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Purdue is just 17-41 ATS (-28.1 Units) in road games when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. Ohio State is a solid 113-60 ATS (+47.0 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Purdue has not done well dressed as a road warrior noting they are 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997. Ohio State is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after a conference game this season; 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons; 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Ohio State is just vastly better on both ends of the court. Take Ohio State. 

25* graded play on Oregon State as they take on California in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at Noon ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Oregon State will win this game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 27-8 ATS mark over the last five seasons. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CALIFORNIA) off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite and is now facing an opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oregon State is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons;  33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games in games where both teams score 65 or less points since 1997;  7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season. Oregon has struggled on defense this seaosn, but Cal has a solid history of failing to take advantage of those weaknesses. Cal is just 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when competing against poor offensive teams scoring

25* graded play on UCONN as they take on SMU in American Conference action set to start at 2:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that UCONN will win this game by more than four points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SMU is just 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. SMU is just  3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after 2 straight games where they attempted 50 or less shots over the last 3 seasons. On paper SMU is the better team, but this matchup at this point in the season and with UCONN desperate for a win and playing at home makes it a far different. Take UCONN.

25* graded play on the Duke as they take on Syracuse in ACC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Duke will win this game by at least 14 points. Duke has significant matchup advantages across the board ranging from effective shooting percentage to offensive rebounds allowed. This is a matchup where Duke will not allow themselves to get caught looking ahead, knowing that ANY loss could cause them to lose a top seed in the Tournament. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Syracuse is off a nice win, however they are just 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season. Duke is a solid 30-12 ATS (+16.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 since 1997; 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games after a combined score of 175 points or more since 1997. Take Duke. 

25* graded play on George Washington as they take on Davidson in A-10 Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that GW will lose this game by fewer that 4 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager, comprised of a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-15 ATS mark for 74% winners since 1997. Play on an underdog (GEORGE WASHINGTON) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread and is now facing an opponent That has been a hot team covering 12 or more of their last 15 against the spread. Davidson may have been hot, but this is a game that will catch them off guard with GW inteneity at both ends of the court. GW needs this win badly and it will show with a great effort tonight. Take George Washington.

25* graded play on South Carolina as they host Mississippi State in SEC action set to start at 6:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that SC will win this game by at least 10 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miss State is a money losing 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when they score 60 or less points in a game this season; 18-44 ATS (-30.4 Units) when they score 55 to 60 points in a game since 1997; SC is a solid  13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 51-29 ATS (+19.1 Units) when they allow 55 to 60 points in a game since 1997. Two mostly struggling offensive teams, but the vast difference is the superior SC defense in this matchup. I will use one example focused on a key and meaningful stat opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. SC defense ranks 16th in the nation with a 0.74 assist-to-turnover ratio. MS ranks 174th posting a 0.974 ratio. A number below 1.000 indicates a defense generates more turnovers than allows assists. It is a progressive stat since it is a ratio meaning that there is a monumental difference between these two teams in this defensive category. Take South Carolina.

35* graded play on Florida State as they host Louisville in ACC action set to start at Noon ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that FSU will win this game. Given this favorable projections, I like making this a 29* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. FSU is a near-perfect 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers this season; 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) after 2 straight games being called for 5+ more fouls than opponent since 1997; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 3 consecutive conference games this season; Louisville is a money burning  4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in two straight games this season. Further, we see that HC Pitino is just Pitino is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers as the coach of Louisville. Hamilton is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 straight games being called for 5+ more fouls than opponent as the coach of FSU. This is just not a good spot for Louisville. FSu has been playing increasingly better defense. They don't play aggressively looking for steals, but rather are making smarter decision with very good help defense in the paint. Louisville is just not a good offensive team and wins games with their defense. They rank 223rd in the nation in effective shooting percentage and 306th in 3-point shooting percentage. This lack of a perimeter threat plays right in the defensive strengths of FSU. Seminoles will pack the paint and force Louisville to shoot from the perimeter. Take Florida Stat.

35* graded play on Valparaiso as they take on Cleveland State in Horizon Conference action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Valpo will win this game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Valpo is an outstanding 23-5 against the money line (+17.8 Units) when competing against poor foul drawing teams attempting

25* graded play on Pacific as they take on Santa Clara in West Coast Conference action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Pacific will lose this game by fewer than four points. I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting an 82-43 ATS mark good for 66% winners since 2009. Play on any team (PACIFIC) revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more and is a struggling team winning between 20% to 40% of their games and is now playing a team with a losing record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Pacific is a solid money making 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons; Santa Clara is just  29-53 ATS (-29.3 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997. Further, we see that Pacific is a  perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games competing against poor passing teams averaging

25* graded play on Texas State as they take on Troy University in Sun Belt Conference action set to start at 8:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that TS will win this game by 9 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Troy is a money burning  3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when they score 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons. TS may struggle on offense, but their defense is quite good and not dependent on a slow paced game either. TS ranks 14th in the nation posting a 0.728 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio and 63rd in scoring defense. They defend the perimeter quite well and rank 29th allowing just 30% shooting from beyond the arc. Troy has one of the worst assist-to-turnover ratios in the nation ranking a horrid 337th with a 0.646 ratio. I expect a high number of Troy turnovers and mental mistakes that TS will fully take advantage of tonight. Take Texas State. 

25* graded play on Southern Mississippi as they host Texas- San Antonio in C-USA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that SM will lose this game by fewer than 4 points. I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line.  Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SM is a solid 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons; 93-59 ATS (+28.1 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game since 1997. Further, SM is off a low scoring affair and this is excellent news for this game. They are a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a combined score of 115 points or less over the last 2 seasons;  9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a combined score of 115 points or less 2 straight games since 1997. No doubt SM struggles on the offensive end ranking just 336th in scoring offense. However, they will be going against a very weak T-SA defense that ranks 273rd in the nation allowing 74 PPG. Take Southern Mississippi. 

25* graded play on Western Kentucky as they host Florida Atlantic in C-USA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that WKU will win this game by at least 14 points.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. FAU is just  1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when they attempt 4 to 9 less free throws than opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons; 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season; WKU is a solid 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. WKU is 32-13 ATS (+17.7 Units) after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers since 1997. WKU has huge advantages in scoring offense, assists per game, total rebounding, and defensive rebounding. FAU will have very few multi-shot possessions and that is not good news for a team ranked 268th in shooting percentage at 41%. Take Western Kentucky. 

25* graded play on Vanderbilt as they take on Tennessee in SEC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Vanderbilt will win this game. Given the line showing Vanderbilt as a +2 point dog, there is no valid advantage to making this a combination wager using the line and money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-14 ATS mark good for 75% winners since 2009. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (VANDERBILT) after allowing 60 points or less two straight games and is now facing an opponent after scoring 65 points or less three straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Vanderbilt is a rock solid 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons;  9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they score 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Tennessee is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season;  5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game this season. Take Vanderbilt. 

25* graded play on Baylor as they take on Iowa State in a monster Big-12 Conference matchup set to start at 9:00 PM ET. This game will be televised on ESPNU/WatchESPN. The simulator shows a high probability that Baylor will lose this game by fewer than six points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager comprised of a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Baylor is an outstanding 12-4 against the money line (+7.4 Units) when they grab 14 or more offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Baylor is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons; 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Iowa State is a money losing 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. The matchup to watch Baylor exploit is on the offensive end. Baylor averages an offensive board in 42% of their possessions and reflects their superior athleticism and fundamental skills. Normally, a team this aggressive also gets called for a higher number of fouls. However, we see that Baylor averages a foul committed in 21% of their possessions ranking 78th in the nation and averaging 16.5 fouls per game good for 52nd in the nation. Take Baylor. 

25* graded play on Denver as they take on South Dakota in Summit Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Denver will win this game. Here again, I like the combination wager using a 22* play on the line and a 3* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 87-48 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 1997.  Play on a road team (DENVER) after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games and with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Denver is a solid money making  16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. The matchup advantage for Denver is ball movement and distribution. They rank 22nd in the nation averaging 22 assists per game where SD ranks 240th allowing 13.1 opponent assists per game. On the other side of the game, we note that SD ranks a miserable 259th averaging just 11.e assists per game while Denver ranks 30th allowing an opponent just 10.1 assist per game. Further, Denver ranks 18th posting a 1.370 assist-to-turnover ratio and SD a distant 188th posting a 0.968 ratio. Take Denver. 

25* graded play on Massachusetts as they host St. Josephs in A-10 Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that UMASS will win this game by at least 8 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. STJ is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game this season. SJU is also just 11-30 ATS (-22.0 Units) in road games after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games since 1997. UMASS is off two straight road losses and now return to home comforts. UMASS is a near-perfect s 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. In addition, Kellogg is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games as the coach of UMASS. STJ has a scoring offense ranking 293rd averaging 62 PPG. They really struggle at times during nearly all of their games. Moreover, they are a horrid free throw shooting team ranking 346th in the nation making just 61.6% of those shots. UMASS needs this conference win and I expect them to put a very big effort tonight. Take UMASS. 

25* graded play on Virginia as they take on Wake Forest in ACC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that UVA will win this game by at least 10 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UVA is a solid 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; Wake Forest is  2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 22-50 ATS (-33.0 Units) when they score 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997. Moreover, we see that UVA has done well against solid ball handling teams. They are 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when competing against good ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on the George Washington as they take on St. Bonaventure in A-10 Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that GW will win this game by at least 7 points. S Bonaventure has no perimeter threat ranking 274th in 3-point shooting percentage. GW can play zone and simply pack the paint and protect the rim forcing St. Bonaventure to try and win the game with their greatest weakness. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GW does an excellent job at getting fouled and getting to the charity stripe. This has been a strong theme in the majority of their wins. GW is a solids 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons. Take George Washington. 

25* graded play on North Carolina as they take on NC State in ACC action set to start at 8:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that UNC will win this game by 10 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. NC State is a money losing 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) in road games when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997; UNC is a robust  22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons. Cream seems to always rise to the top in February in NCAAM basketball. UNC is a solid 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons. Not to mention 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season. I really believe the Duke loss where UNC had come back from multiple double point deficits and actually led by 7 points late, will only serve to add more confidence and focus to this team. They showed this in the next game after the Duke loss by destroying Georgia Tech 89-60 and easily covered as 11 point favorites. Take UNC. 

25* graded play on Ohio University as they host Bowling Green in MAC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Ohio U can win this game. Given this favorable projection,. I like making this a combination wager using a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Note that these are based on the money line and support by strong belief that Ohio will win this game. BG is just 1-8 against the money line (-8.7 Units) in road games when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons. Ohio U is a solid 14-6 against the money line (+7.9 Units) in games attempting around the same number of free throws as opponents over the last 3 seasons. Ohio U is  perfect  8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997. Take Ohio University. 

25* graded play on Eastern Michigan as they take on Central Michigan in MAC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that EMU will win this game by three or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-12 ATS mark good for 76% winners since 2009.  Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (C MICHIGAN) after a cover as a double digit favorite and playing only their 3rd game in a week. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. CMU is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons; 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. EMU is not a sharp shooting team. They rank just 275th in effective FG%, 279th hitting 31.2% of their 3-pointers, and 234th hitting 46% of their 2-point shots, and 290th with a 40% overall shooting percentage.  However, CMU is just 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) when competing against struggling shooting teams making

25* graded play on Norfolk State as they take on Delaware in State in MEAC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that NS will win this game by at least nine points. Neither team has been lined this season, but there is ample facts from the metrics of this game to serve for a very strong money making opportunity. NS finds themselves in second place in the MEAC three games behind undefeated North Carolina Central. NS and North Carolina Central are the two best teams in the Conference and I expect them to face each other in the Championship of their Conference Tournament. So, it obviously very important for NS to continue to build, work and improve as a team and not have any letdowns whatsoever. NS leader is guard Jeffry Short, who has team-highs in minutes (34), scoring (19 PPG), and steals (1). DS has a strong rebounder in Center Kendall Gray, who at 6-10 and 240 pounds does provide a paint presence. Yet, I see a quicker NS forward in Rashid Gaston being able to get to the ball quicker and more often. He is 6-9 and 240 pounds and very quick off his feet. He is averaging 9.7 boards per game. The NS defense is vastly better than DS as well. NS ranks just 246th in opponent assist-to-turnover ratio, but DS is a horrid 326th posting a 1.270 ratio. You will also see NS have much better ball movement and distribution on offense. Take Norfolk State. 

25* graded play on Georgia Tech as they host Louisville in ACC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that GT loses this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at winning this game. Given this favorable outcome, I liek making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the money line and a 4* play using the money line. This combination wager maximizes the return on investment (ROI) based on the projections. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GT is a solid  44-17 ATS (+25.3 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game since 1997.Further, we see that GT is a resilient team and has posted a 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Louisville has struggled mightily on offense shooting less than 42% in their last three games. Both teams are excellent rebounding teams, but GT has the advantage. GT ranks 12th posting a 36.4% offensive rebound per possession and 12th posting a 77.4% defensive rebound percentage. This reflects sound fundamentals at both ends of the court and it will be a dominant reason GT may win this game outright. Take Georgia Tech. 

25* graded play on Eastern Kentucky as they take on Austin Peay in Ohio Valley Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that EKU will win this game by at least 17 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Austin Peay is just  2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. EKU is a solid 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game this season; 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997. Looking at the stats EKU has massive advantages in Offensive Efficiency, effective FG% (53 vs 42), scoring offense and scoring differential. On the defensive end EKU enjoys advantages in defensive efficiency, opponent effective FG%, opponent turnovers per play %, and defensive scoring. EKU generates a turnover in 24% of opponents possessions. That's almost 1 turnover for every four possessions. Take Eastern Kentucky. 

25* graded play on Illinois as they host Michigan State in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 1:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Illinois will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 51-24 ATS mark good for 68% winners since 2009. Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MICHIGAN ST) after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games and is now facing an opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Illinois is a solid 19-10 against the money line (+15.3 Units) when they commit 3 to 7 fewer turnovers than their opponents over the last 3 seasons; 6-3 against the money line (+9.5 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Illinois has done well against teams like Michigan State noting they are  7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game this season. Michigan State is just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half over the last 3 seasons. Take Illinois. 

25* graded play on Indiana as they take on Rutgers in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 5:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Indiana will win this game by at least 8 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 120-63 ATS mark good for 66% winners since 2009. Play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (RUTGERS) revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 3 straight losses against conference rivals. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rutgers is a money7 losing 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Rutgers is also a weak  4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing against a good team winning between 60% to 80% of their games in games played over the last three seasons. Further, we see that Indiana is just  1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. Hoosiers have an excellent offense that ranks in the top-20 nationally in several statistical categories. Rutgers defense ranks 256th with a poor 1.082 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. I do not see Rutgers being able to contain the Hoosier offense and literally Indiana will simply run away with a win and easy cover. Take Indiana. 

35* graded play on the Evansville as they take on Wichita State in Missouri Valley Conference action set to start at 4:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Evansville will lose this game by fewer than 12 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Evansville is a solid 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, we see that Evansville is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Meanwhile, this is not a good situation for Wichita noting they have bee a money losing 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games after allowing 65 points or less 4 straight games since 1997. Adding more fuel of support to his play is that Simmons is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread and  33-13 ATS (+18.7 Units) when competing against good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games as the coach of Evansville. I really like the matchup where Evansville's ball movement has a serious advantage against Wichita State. Evansville ranks 4th best in the nation posting a 0.65 assist-to-FG made ratio. They don't shoot many three balls at all and work the ball into the paint to get high percentage shots or to get fouled and shoot free throws. They rank 17th averaging 17 free throws made. Evansville has a prolific 3-point shooter in Balentine, who has averaged 25.3 points and hit 13 of 26 from 3-point range in three games against Wichita last season. The junior guard heads into this meeting scoring an MVC-best 19.4 per game while ranking among the league leaders with 53 3s. He will be matched up against last year's defensive player of the year award (Left Driesell award) in Tekele Cotton. This will be a great matchup to watch unfold and I do strongly belevie that Balentine will get teh best of it today. Take Evansville. 

25* graded play on Ohio State as they take on Michigan in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 1:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that OSU will win this game by at least 9 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-4 ATS mark good for 86% winners since 2009. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OHIO ST) that are solid offensive teams scoring 77+ points/game on the season and after a combined score of 115 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Michigan is a money losing  3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. Ohio State is a solid  17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games after allowing 65 points or less 5 straight games since 1997. Take Ohio State.

25* graded play on Cincinnati as they take on Houston in American Conference action set to start at 9:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Cincy will win this game by at least 9 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 117-61 ATS mark good for 66% winners since 1997. Play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 3 straight losses against conference rivals. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cincy is a solid 32-11 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road games when they allow 55 to 60 points in a game since 1997.; 44-19 ATS (+23.1 Units) in road games when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997. Cincy defense will tighten up and play well against a struggling Houston team. Take Cincinnati.

25* graded play on Kentucky as they take on Auburn in SEC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Kentucky will win this game by 29 or more points. Very rare that I ever get a big-time favorite on board from the SIM, but when they do appear they are for very valid reasons. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kentucky is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons;  6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game this season; 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game this season. Auburn defense ranks 278th in scoring defense, 306th in total rebounding, and 314th in allowed shooting percentage. Kentucky will be unstoppable on offense adn will turn up the heat on the defensive end. This is the time of year that elite programs begin to focus more intensity on the defensive end ahead of the Conference Tournaments and NCAA TOurnament. I don't see Auburn scoring more than 50 points. Take Kentucky.

25* graded play on the Stanford as they host California in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 6:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Stanford will win this game by 15 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Stanford is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when they commit 3 to 7 fewer turnovers than their opponents over the last 3 seasons; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they commit 9 or fewer turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, the Cardinal is a solid money making 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) competing against minimal pressure defensive teams forcing

25* graded play on San Francisco as they take on Pepperdine in Big West Conference action set to start at 4:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that SF will win this game. They are installed as 2 1/2 point dogs currently and should this line move to 3, which I think it may, then a combination wager is validated. With a line of 3 or greater play a 21* amount using the line and a 4A* amount using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 85-46 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 1997. Play on a road team (SAN FRANCISCO) after going under the total by more than six points in three consecutive games and with a winning percentage of between 40 to 49% on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SF is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. Take San Francisco. 

25* graded play on Louisiana Tech as they take on Old Dominion in C-USA action set to start at 3:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that L-Tech will win this game. L-Tech is the better team on both sides of the ball. They rank 34th in scoring offense and 41st posting a 0.796 assist-to-turnover ratio. Further, they are vastly better on defense ranking 12th with a 0.710 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. They are not a solid rebounding team generally, but I do believe they will do a far better rebounding job against ODU. I strongly believe that L-Tech offense will simply wear ODU down with their faster style of game. ODU ranks 211th in scoring offense and 206th in free throw percentage, and 243rd in 3-point shooting percentage. The inability to shoot from beyond the arc will allow L-Tech to pack the paint on the defensive end and allow for for far greater rebounding. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. L-Tech is a rock solid 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons. ODU is just  5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when they grab 14 or more offensive rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Take Louisiana Tech.

25* graded play on Nevada as they take on Boise State in Mountain West action set to start at 3:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Nevada will lose this game by fewer than 11 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 53-23 ATS mark good for 70% winners since 2009.  Play against home teams as a favorite or pick (BOISE ST) off an upset win as a road underdog and is a good team winning between 60% to 80% of their games and is playing a bad team losing between 20% to 40% of their games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Nevada is a solid 33-12 ATS (+19.8 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997; 52-19 ATS (+31.1 Units) after a loss by 6 points or less since 1997. BS is just 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Nevada struggles to score points, but they are a really good rebounding team ranking ninth in the nation averaging 39.3 boards per game. They rank 4th on the offensive glass getting 13.1 per game. better than 40% of all Nevada possessions result in an offensive rebound. BS will not be able to keep them off the boards and somehow Nevada will get their offense rolling. Take Nevada. 

25* graded play on South Carolina as they take on Texas A&M in SEC Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that SC will win this game by three or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Texas A&M is just 1-8 against the money line (-7.8 Units) in road games when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons;  1-9 against the money line (-9.8 Units) in road games when they make 64% to 71% of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons; Further, we have a situational power trend noting that A&M is a miserable 13-26 against the money line (-31.8 Units) after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers since 1997. SC has a dominating defense in this matchup. They rank 14th in the nation in effective FG% allowing opponents just 43.7% shooting, and 13th in true opponent shooting percentage at 38.2%. A&M ranks 100th in effective shooting and 140th in shooting efficiency. SC will use it's suffocating defense to generate fast breaks off of missed shots and A&M turnovers. Take South Carolina. 

25* graded play on Texas Tech as they take on Oklahoma in Big-12 Conference action set to start at Noon PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Tech will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tech is a struggling offensive team that ranks 312th in socring offense (60.4 PPG), bu the Sooners have mysteriously struggled against these types of teams. Sooners are a miserable 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games competing against offensive teams scoring

25* graded play on the Seton Hall as they take on St. Johns in Big east Conference action set to start at Noon ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Seton Hall will lose this game by fewer than 8 points. I would add a 2* money play to the 25* play using the line based on the projections. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 104-60 ATS mark good for 63.4% winners since 2009.  Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SETON HALL) off a road loss by 10 points or more, a marginal team winning between 51% to 60% of their games and now playing a winning record team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Seton Hall is a near-perfect  7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season; 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games when they make 64% to 71% of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, we see that Willard is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals as the coach of Seton Hall and 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread. Take Seton Hall. 

35* graded play on Harvard as they host Penn in Ivy League action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Harvard will win this game by 20 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Penn is an imperfect 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in road games when they score 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons; Harvard is a solid 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons;  18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 36-12 ATS (+22.8 Units) when they allow 55 to 60 points in a game since 1997; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Penn is also an imperfect  0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when competing against good rebounding teams out rebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last two seasons. In every significant statistical category, Harvard has a vast advantage. They are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Harvard truly has an excellent defense that feeds off opponent mistakes. They rank 15th in th enation in scoring defense and 58th in opponent rebound sper game. Penn is just a weak team that mentall knows they are outmatched before the game even starts. They rank 309th in scoring offense and 319th with a 0.721 assist-to-turnover ratio. Harvard will be able to minimize Penn's multi-shot possessions with sound rebounding, force Penn into mistakes, and take advantage of all in getting strong scoring opportunities. Take Harvard.

25* graded play on Iowa as they host Rutgers in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Iowa will win this game by at least 15 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 50-20 ATS mark good for 71.4% winners since 1997.  Play on home favorites of 10 or more points (IOWA) off two or more consecutive losses as a favorite, in February games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rutgers is just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when they score 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Iowa is a solid  18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last three seasons; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) when they allow 55 to 60 points in a game over the last 3 seasons;  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Take Iowa. 

25* graded play on Purdue as they take on Indiana in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Purdue will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like forming a combination wager comprised of a 21* play on the line and a 4* play on the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Purdue is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season;  7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season;  7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season. Hoosiers are a money losing 59-87 ATS (-36.7 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game since 1997. Indiana is a solid ball handling team that ranks 60th  with a 1.176 assist-to-turnover ratio. However, Purdue, like they did in the first meeting of these tow teams, have done very well against strong ball handling teams like Indiana. Purdue is  13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when facing good ball handling teams committing

35* graded play on Northeastern as they host William and Mary in Colonial Athletic Association action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Northeastern will win this game by five or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-12 ATS mark good for 75% winners since 1997.  Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WM & MARY) off a home loss by 3 points or less, a good team winning between 60% to 80% of their games and is now competing against a marginal team winning between 51% to 60% of their games.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Northeastern is a solid  51-22 ATS (+26.8 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. W&M is just 33-74 ATS (-48.4 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. W&M guard Dixon is not likley to play in this game with a significant hamstring injury. There is a sizable drop off regarding the bench players that would fill the minutes. The starters, of course, could take on the extra minutes, but with added fatigue. Marcus Thornton is already playing 36 minutes per game. I really like NE ability to move the ball on offense. They rank 42nd in the nation with a 0.603 assist-FG made ratio and 49th averaging 14.3 assist-per-game. I believe NE starting five will have a significant edge in this game that will lead NE to a easy win and easy cover. 

25* graded play on the James Madison as they host Drexel in Colonial Athletic Association action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that JMU will win this game by at least seven points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 93-50 ATS mark good for 65% winners. Plat against road teams as an underdog or pick (DREXEL) revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite against opponent off an road win scoring 85 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Drexel has been a money burning  5-20 ATS (-17.0 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game this season; 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons. JMU is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game this season; 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons. Take James Madison.

25* graded play on Eastern Michigan as they host Buffalo in MAC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.   The simulator shows a high probability that EMU will win this game by at least three points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 68-34 ATS mark for 67% winners since 1997. Play against any team (BUFFALO) that is a good offensive team scoring between 74 and 78 PPG and is now competing against an excellent defensive team allowing

25* graded play on Tulsa as they host East Carolina in American Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Tulsa will win this game by at least 14 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 37-18 ATS mark good for 67% winners since 2009. Play against road underdogs of 10 or more points (E CAROLINA) and is a struggling offensive team scoring between 63 to 67 PPG and is now facing an excellent defensive team allowing

25* graded play on South Carolina as they take on Georgia in SEC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that SC will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and does have a solid shot at an upset win. I like adding a 2.5* play using the money line to the 25* play using the line for this matchup. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 68-30 ATS mark for 69% winners since 2009. A home team (GEORGIA) revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home loss by 3 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Georgia is just  3-6 against the money line (-9.1 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game this season;  3-6 against the money line (-11.2 Units) when competing against poor shooting teams making

35* graded play on Eastern Tennessee State as they host Tennessee Tech in Ohio Valley Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Eastern Tennessee State will win this game by at least nine points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ETST is a solid 25-8 ATS (+16.2 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite since 1997; 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite since 1997. I really like ETST perimeter offense in this matchup. They rank 8th int he nation making 9.3 three-points per game and rank 14th in the nation attempting 24.5 three-point shot per game. They rank 40th in the nation in 3-point shooting percentage and 92nd in overall effective FG percentage. This prolific offense will be going against a suspect T-Tech defense that ranks 284th allowing a 51.8% effective shooting percentage and 297th in three-point percentage allowed. The Buccaneers have three strong players that I fully expect will exceed their season averages tonight. Guard Rashawn Rembert is the team leader in minutes (33) and averages 15.4 PPG. The other guard, Jalen Riley is the team leader in scoring (19.8 PPG) and steals (1.8). The third player is forward Lester Wilson, who is solid across the board playing 28.5 minutes, scoring 12.7 PPG, and adding 3.8 boards. In addition, the ETST bench is much deeper than TST and the second units will have significant matchup advantages. 

25* graded play on Utah as they host California in PAC-12 action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Utah will win this game by 20 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.  Utah is a very strong 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons; 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons; 13-0 ATS (+13.0 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game this season;  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons;  11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. I don't see a very suspect Cal offensive team getting above 60 points. Utah ranks 10th in scoring defense in the nation allowing 57 PPG. Take Utah.

25* graded play on Arizona as they take on Washington State in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 6:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Arizona will win this game by at least 18 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arizona is a very strong 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons;  13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons; Washington State is a money burning 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Arizona is a perfect  9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Washington State is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds this season. Arizona is one of the best offenses and teams in the nation and they are going up against one of the weakest defenses in the nation. WSU ranks 240th out of 351 D-1 teams in scoring defense, 343rd posting a 1.404 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. Making the matchup even more of a mismatch is that Arizona also sports one of the best defensive teams in the country. Take Arizona. 

25* graded play on Missouri State as they take on Northern Iowa in Missouri Valley Conference action set to start at 4:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Missouri State will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-6 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 2009. Play against a road team (N IOWA) that is an excellent defensive team allowing opponents

25* graded play on Colorado as they host Stanford in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 4:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Colorado will win this game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Stanford has been a money burning 8-11 against the money line (-15.2 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 7-13 against the money line (-18.0 Units) when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons; 1-7 against the money line (-7.7 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 less free throws than opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons; 13-22 against the money line (-19.7 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Colorad is in a very good spot noting they are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Take Colorado. 

25* graded play on Oakland as they host Detroit in Horizon League action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Oakland will win this game by 10 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 93-51 ATS for 65% winners since 1997. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OAKLAND) revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Detroit is a weak s 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons; 13-33 ATS (-23.3 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997;  1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game this season. Oakland is a near-perfect 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season. Oakland is a solid money making 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Cleveland State as they host Illinois - Chicago in Horizon League action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Cleveland State will win this game by at least 15 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Illinois - Chicago is just 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when they score 60 or less points in a game this season. Cleveland State is a solid 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 46-23 ATS (+20.7 Units) when they allow 55 to 60 points in a game since 1997. Take Cleveland State.

25* graded play on Houston as they take on UCF in American Conference action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Houston will win this game. Given the skinny dog line currently, there is no advantage in playing a combination wager using line and money line parts. However, if this line moves to 3 1/2 , then I would recommend a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Houston is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; UCF is just 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. UCF is a money burning 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games facing ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Bradley as they host Loyola-Illinois in Missouri Valley Conference action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Bradley will win this game by at least three points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Bradley is a money making 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Obviously, the 60 point level is critical to this pick. Further, Bradley is a perfect  7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games when playing against a marginal team winning between 51% to 60% of their games after 15 or more games in games played spanning the last 3 seasons. Loyola is an imperfect  0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. Loyola is already an offense that plays extremely slow ranking 345th out of 351 D-1 basketball teams averaging 48 shot attempts per game. They are averaging 61 PPG ranking them 301st. Bradley does have a sound defense that ranks 61st allowing 61 PPG. So, it stands to reason that Loyola will struggle to score more than 60 points in this matchup. Take Bradley. 

25* graded play on TCU as they host Oklahoma State in Big-12 Conference action set to start at 6:00 PM RY. The simulator shows a high probability that TCU will win this game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line.Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 103-58 ATS mark since 2009.  Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TCU) off a road loss by 10 points or more and is a team winning between 51% to 60% of their games and iw no competing against a winning team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Ok State is just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, Ok State is a weak 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. Take TCU. 

25* graded play on Villanova as they take on Butler in Big East Conference action set to start at 6:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Villanova will win this game by five or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Villanova is a solid 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons;  15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons;  19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons;  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game this season; 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, we note that Villanova is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when competing against excellent ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Illinois State as they take on Wichita State in Missouri Valley Conference action set to start at 6:00 PM ET.   The simulator shows a high probability that Illinois State will lose this game by fewer than four points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 103-58 mark since 2009.  Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ILLINOIS ST) off a road loss by 10 points or more, a marginal team winning between 51% to 60% of their games and now playing a winning record team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Illinois State is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. Illinois State is an excellent rebounding team, especially on the offensive end. One key to an upset win is solid rebounding and I believe Illinois State has a decided edge in this category. Take Illinois State. 

25* graded play on the Arkansas - LR as they host Georgia Southern in Sun Belt action set to start at 6:00 PM ET.   The simulator shows a high probability that GS will win this game by at least 3 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ARk - LR is a solid 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, we note that Ark- LR is a very strong 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in home games when competing against solid defensive teams allowing

25* graded play on the Iowa State Cyclones as they take on the West Virginia Mountaineers in Big-12 Conference action set to start at 4:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that ISU will win this game by 9 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 24-7 ATS mark good for 77% winners since 1997. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IOWA ST) after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games and is now facing an opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. WVU is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. ISU is a solid 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. West Virginia forces the most turnovers and steals per game in the nation. West Virginia averages 22.4 points per game off turnovers, most among major conference teams. Yet, the Mountaineers scored 14 points off turnovers in their loss to Iowa State on Jan. 10, tied for their fourth fewest this season and for very good reason. West Virginia presses 38% of the time, the most in the nation. Iowa State scored 19 points on 8-of-12 shooting against the press in its win on Jan. 10. So, you readily see that Iowa State offsets to the greatest strengths of WVU. I think this game will be an even greater domination by ISU. 

25* graded play on the Louisiana - Monroe as they host Appalachian State in Sun Belt Conference action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that LM will win this game by at least 11 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. App-State is just 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) when they score 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons. LM is a solid  7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game this season;  7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game this season; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they allow 55 to 60 points in a game since 1997; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, we note that LM is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a conference game this season. Ball handling edge clearly goes to LM. App State ranks 292nd in the nation averaging 10.5 assists-per-game and 292nd posting a 0.789 assist-to-turnover ratio. LM ranks 150th averaging 12.7 assists-per-game and a very respectable 93rd posting a 1.103 assist-to-turnover ratio. In addition, LM ranks 58th in turnovers committed at 11.5 per game. Take Louisiana- Monroe.

25* graded play on South Florida as they take on Memphis in American Conference action set to start at noon ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that SFU will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at a meaningful upset win. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 22* play using the line and a 3* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Memphis has been a horrid  1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season; 0-6 against the money line (-16.2 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season;  3-7 against the money line (-14.9 Units) after playing a game as favorite this season. I believe the SFU guard play featuring Anthony Collins and Corey Allen, Jr. will be highly effective and will have above average stat games today. Forward Chris Perry at 6-8 and 270 pounds has the body and athleticism to defend the paint and the rim. Take South Florida. 

25* graded play on Georgia State as they take on Texas State in Sun Belt Conference action set to start at Noon ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that GS will win this game by 7 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 47-15 ATS mark good for 76% winners since 2009. Play against home teams as an underdog or pick (TEXAS ST) after 3 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less against opponent after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GS is a near-perfect  7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons. TS is just 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game this season;  2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game this season; 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponent over the last 3 seasons; 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) when they score 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons;  1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when they score 55 to 60 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Take Georgia State.

25* graded play on Pittsburgh as they take on North Carolina in ACC action set to start at Noon ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Pittsburgh will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at upsetting the ranked Carolina. Given this favorable projection I like making a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UNC us just 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when competing against excellent ball handling teams committing