25* graded play on St. Louis as they take on UMASS in A-10 Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that STL will lose this game by fewer than four points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the liner and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 64-27 ATS for 70% winners since 2010. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAINT LOUIS) after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more against opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UMASS is just 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing

25* graded play on Valparaiso as they take on Wright State in Horizon Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that VALPO will win this game by at least 11 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 49-16 ATS mark good for 75.4% winners since 1997. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (VALPARAISO) a good offensive team scoring between 74 and 78 PPG against a poor offensive team scoring between 63 and 67 PPG, after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Valpo is a solid 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Looking at matchups the database spills out the fact that Valpo is a solid 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.; 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite. Take Valparaiso.

25* graded play on St. Peters as they take on Iona in MAAC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET SIM algorithm shows a high probability that St. Peters will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 111-58 ATS mark good for 65.7% winners since 2010. Play on an underdog (ST PETERS) in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (32%-36.5%), after 3 straight games allowing a shooting percentage of 40% or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. STP is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game this season. Iona loves the ‘three’ and this matchup favors STP as they are a solid 30-12 ATS (+16.8 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season. Take St. Peters. 

25* graded play on Rhode Island as they take on George Washington in A-10 Conference action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. Time change from 7:00 to 5:00 to complete game before the Jonas blizzard rolls into the DC area. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Rhode Island will lose this game by fewer than five points and has a great shot at winning this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 19* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GW is a near-imperfect 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons; 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams committing

35* graded play on Gonzaga as they take on St. Mary’s in West Coast Conference action set to start at 11:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Gonzaga will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 29* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Gonzaga is a solid 21-10 against the money line (+20.7 Units) facing excellent 3 point shooting teams making >=41% of their attempts; 12-1 against the money line (+11.0 Units) in road games facing poor pressure defensive teams forcing

35* graded play on Georgia as they take on Missouri in SEC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Georgia will win this game by at least 8 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-11 ATS for 77% winners since 1997. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Georgia is a solid 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; Missouri is just 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons; 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Looking at the matchups we see that Georgia is a rock solid 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) facing poor pressure defensive teams forcing

25* graded play on the Clemson Tigers as they ta k on the Virginia Cavaliers in ACC action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Clemson will lose this game by fewer than 8 points and has a shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* plat using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Clemson is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents this season; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog this season; 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after playing a game as an underdog this season. Clemson has played very well over the last five games. I will admit, in this play we will live and die by the ‘three’. Clemson does well spreading the defense with their solid perimeter shooting during this five game win streak. UVA is certainly a strong team, but a weakness is defending the perimeter where they rank 134th allowing 7.3 3-point shots made per game. Clemson keeps it close late and may pull off the shocking win.

25* graded play on Pittsburg as they take on NC state in ACC conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Pittsburgh will win this game by more than 10 points. NC State is just 14-38 ATS (-27.8 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game; 21-63 ATS (-48.3 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game; Pittsburgh is a solid 4-30 ATS (+51.0 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game; 41-19 ATS (+20.1 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game; 71-26 ATS (+42.4 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game. Pitt is ranked 20th in the nation in scoring offense and will be going up against a suspect NC State defense that ranks just 142nd in scoring defense. More revealing is that Pitt ranks 7th best with a 1.647 assist-to-turnover ratio while NC State ranks 241st with a 1.128 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. Take Pittsburgh. 

25* graded play on Mississippi as they take on South Carolina in SEC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Mississippi will win this game by at least four points. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. However, we need a money line of +145 and higher to validate the combination wager. So, unless we see a flurry of wagers on SC, which could easily happen, simply make this a 25* wager using the line only. If we reach the +145 thresh hold then make a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. South Carolina is just 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Mississippi is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take Mississippi. 

25* graded play on the Oklahoma Sooners as they take on the Iowa State Cyclones in BIG-12 action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oklahoma will win this game by 7 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 22-4 ATS mark good for 85% winners since 1997. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (IOWA ST) revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points against opponent off 2 consecutive close wins by 5 or less over a conference rival. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Sooners are a solid 90-44 ATS (+41.6 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game; Iowa State is just 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game; 29-73 ATS (-51.3 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game. Oklahoma is struggling to win games, but they are winning and learning how to win during difficult games. Most evident is their last game where they defeated West Virginia at home 70-68 and shot just 33% from the field. They failed to cover but won and have failed to cover in 6 of the last 7 games. Many other analysts will say this is a sign of weakness when looking statically at ATS trends. However, this is the exact situation that does create value  and that value is squarely on a much better Oklahoma team.

25* graded play on Army as they take on American University in Patriot Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Army will win this game by 20 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. American is just 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game. Rare that you’d ever see Army as a huge favorite on the hardwood, but given this matchup, it is for sound reasons. American ranks 350th in the NCAA in scoring offense at 53.4 PPGF. Moreover, they rank 323rd with 10.5 assist per game, 350th getting just 27.6 rebounds per game, 339th in assist-to-turnover ratio at 0.700. They play a very slow style of game trying to shorten the game given their vast offensive weakness. So, their defensive stats appear to be better, but are skewed significantly by the slow-style tempo. Army ranks 21st on scoring offense at 82.3 PPG, 11th in assists at 18.1, and 63rd in assist-to turnover ratio. Moreover, they rank 5th in three-point shooting at 10.5 MADE shots. Take Army.

50* graded play on Oklahoma as they host West Virginia in BIG-12 Conference action set to start at 4:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oklahoma will win this game by 10 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 74-26 mark good for 67% winners since 1997. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA) cold team failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, in a game involving two top-level teams winning >= 80% of their games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. WVU is a weak money burning 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; Oklahoma is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when their opponents make 23% to 30% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Looking at team strength trends, WVU is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games versus very good teams outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Here is a supporting situational trend noting that WVU is a weak 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road games off 3 straight wins against conference rivals. Perhaps the strongest supporting trend is that HC Huggins is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals as the coach of West Virginia.

25* graded play on Ohio State as they take on Maryland in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at Noon ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OSU will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a decent shot at the the improbable upset. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 25* play using the line and adding a 3* play to the money line for 28* amount of risk. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OSU is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a game committing 8 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons; Maryland is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Turgeon is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games as the coach of Maryland. Both teams are not offensive power houses. What I really like is how strong OSU defense has become and I think they will be the dominant reason Maryland struggles to even win in this matchup. Take Ohio State.

25* graded play on Illinois State as they host Evansville in NCAA action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Illinois State will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 19* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 67-33 mark good for 67% winners since 2010. Play against road team using the money line (EVANSVILLE) average 3PT shooting team making between 32 and 36.5% against an average 3PT defense allowing between 32 and 36.5% after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. IS is a solid 15-7 against the money line (+9.4 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take Illinois State.

25* graded play on Michigan State as they take on Iowa in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that MSU will win this game by at least 10 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. MSU is a solid 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) when they grab 10+ more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Iowa is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) facing good rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons; 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) facing dominant rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game over the last 3 seasons. Take Michigan State.

25* graded play on San Diego State as they take on Colorado State in NCAAM Hoops action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SDST will win this game by at least 5 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SDST is a rock solid 88-28 ATS (+57.2 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game; Colorado State is just 26-53 ATS (-32.3 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game; 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponent over the last 3 seasons. Further, we note that CST is just 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons; 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 22 or more fouls over the last 3 seasons; 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

25* graded play on the Oklahoma Sooners as they take on the Oklahoma State Cowboys in Big-12 action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oklahoma will win this game by 10 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 33-10 ATS for 77% winners since 1997. Play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA ST) after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oklahoma is a solid 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons; 37-13 ATS (+22.7 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game; Cowboys a money burning 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) versus good shooting teams making >=45% of their shots over the last 3 seasons; 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. Further, we see that Oklahoma is a solid 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. Take the Sooners. 

25* graded play on Houston as they take on the Cincinnati Bearcats in NCAA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Huston will lose this game by fewer than 8 points and has a reasonable opportunity to win the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 28-6 ATS mark good for 82.4% winners since 2010. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) after 2 straight wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 115 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cincinnati is just 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good defensive teams shooting percentage defense of

25* graded play on the as they take on SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 34-10 ATS mark good for 77% winners since 1997. Play on road teams as an underdog or pick (FLA INTERNATIONAL) an average offensive team scoring between 67 and 74 PPG) against a horrible defensive team allowing >=78 PPG, after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. FIU is a solid 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) when their opponents make 23% to 30% of their 3 pointers in a game; Marshall is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take Florida International.

25* graded play on Arizona State as they take on UCLA in PAC-12 action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that ASU will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 19* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCLA is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. ASU is a solid 16-2 against the money line (+15.9 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 5-1 against the money line (+6.7 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season. Take Arizona State.

25* graded play on Georgia Tech as they take on UVA in ACC action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that G-Tech will lose this game by fewer than four points and has a great shot at the win. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* wager using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. G-Tech is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, they are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers. Take Georgia Tech.

25* graded play on Illinois-Chicago (I-C) as they take on Detroit University (DU) in NCA  action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that I-C will lose this game by fewer than 15 points. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 22* play using the line and a 3* play using the money line. This is obviously a huge dog, so you may not have access to a money line wager. If you do, the spread will be wide and I would simply recommend taking whatever line you may get. Better to have the play validated just in case a 16 point dog does get a shocking win. I always a few of these types of underdogs cash the SU side, but I never know which dogs will win. So, playing them all in a disciplined manner is the key. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 60-=23 ATS mark good for 73% winners since 1997. Play on road underdogs of 10 or more points (IL-CHICAGO) after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more 3 straight games. Take Illinois-Chicago.

 25* graded play on Louisville as they take on NC State in ACC Conference basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Louisville will win the game by at least 8 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Louisville is a solid 111-48 ATS (+58.2 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game; 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) in road games when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game; 44-23 ATS (+18.7 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game; NC State is a weak 36-62 ATS (-32.2 Units) when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game; 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in home games when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game. Take Louisville.

25* graded play on Oklahoma as they take on Kansas in a huge BIG-12 Conference matchup set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oklahoma will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Sooners are a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons; 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus good defensive teams allowing

25* graded play on the Western Illinois as they take on Nebraska-Omaha in College Hoops action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that WIU will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a reasonable shot at the upset win. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 19* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. WIU is a solid 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game. N-Omaha is a money losing 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread; 2-10 against the money line (-9.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Take Western Illinois.

25* graded play on the College of Charleston as they take on James Madison in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that COC will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning SU. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making an 18* play using the line and a 7* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 56-24 ATS mark good for 70% winners since 2010. Play on a road team (COLL OF CHARLESTON)  good 3PT shooting team making >=36.5% and is now facing an average 3PT defense allowing between 32-36.5%, after a game shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. JMU is just 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. Take COC and expect the upset.

25* graded play on ‘UNDER’ in the NCAA Hardwood showdown between Louisville and Kentucky set to start at 12:00 PM ET ST.  SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 135 points will be scored in this game. Neither team is projected to get 70 points and there is a 65% probability that both teams score 65 or fewer. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. This play is a ‘total’ so you need access to the ‘adjusted lines’, which have grown in popularity this season. So, if you are able yo get those adjusted lines ALWAYS look to the dog line as it makes no sense from a ROI point to risk greater vig on a higher total line. So, you may see 130/132 for the adjust ‘under’ and a return of +200/+200. Wager a 21* play ‘under’ using the posted total and then add a 4* play using the adjusted total. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Louisville is a very good team and have outscored their opponents by 30 PPG so far this season. However, this is by far the best opponent they have faced to date. Louisville ranks second in the nation in scoring defense. Kentucky is a solid 16-5 UNDER (+10.5 Units) in home games facing elite defensive teams allowing

35* graded play on San Diego State as they host Kansas in NCAA hardwood action set to start at 7:100 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SDST will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at pulling off the upset win. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 30* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 51-21 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 1997. Play on home teams as an underdog or pick (SAN DIEGO ST) in a game involving two excellent defensive teams allowing

25* graded play on Florida as they take on Oklahoma State in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Florida will win this game by more than 10 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-4 ATS mark good for 86% winners since 2010. Play on neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (FLORIDA) and is a poor shooting team making between 40 to 42.5% and is now facing an excellent defensive team allowing

25* graded play on St. Louis as they take on Indiana State in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that St. Louis will win this game by more than 6 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Indiana State is just 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when they score 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Take St. Louis. 

25* graded play on Purdue as they take on Butler in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Purdue will win this game by more than 8 points. Butler is the best scoring offense in the nation averaging 91.7 PPG, but they will struggle big facing a very strong Purdue defense that ranks fifth best in the nation allowing just 57.5 PPG. Purdue ranks third best in total rebounding and this will minimize second chance scoring opportunities for Butler. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Purdue is a solid 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons; 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons; Butler has been a money burning 11-33 ATS (-25.3 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game. Take Purdue.

25* graded play on Southern Illinois as they take on Murray State in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Southern Illinois will win this game. Currently, SIU is a 3 point dog. Given this favorable projection, I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 20* play using the line and a 5* play usig the money line as longs as you get +145 or higher. It is imperative to get at least +145 for these combination wagers to validate the added risk from using the money line portion. If it is not above +145, then simply place a 25* play using the line only. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SIU is a near-perfect 12-1 against the money line (+11.6 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons;  11-5 against the money line (+8.4 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons.

25* graded play on UCLA as they take on Gonzaga in NCAA hoops action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCLA will lose this game by fewer than 4 points and has a great shot at the SU win. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCLA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points. Since being the HC of the Bruins Alford is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread; 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers. Take the UCLA Bruins. 

25* graded play on Dartmouth as they take on Stanford in NCAA hoops action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Dartmouth will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a decent shot at getting a shocking upset win too. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 22* play using the line and a 3* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Stanford has been a money losing 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Dartmouth HC Cormier is a solid 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game; 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers. Take Dartmouth. 

25* graded play on Northeastern as they take on Stony Brook in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 4:00 PM ET SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NE will win this game by at least five points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 34-10 ATS mark good for 77% winners since 1997. Play on a home teams (NORTHEASTERN) off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite, with four starters returning from last season. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. NE is a perfect 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. NE is also a solid 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Take Northeastern.

25* graded play on Wisconsin as they take on Marquette in NCAA action set to start at 1:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Wisconsin will win this game by at least 10 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Badgers are a solid 83-51 ATS (+26.9 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts; 102-68 ATS (+27.2 Units) when they commit 3 to 7 fewer turnovers than their opponents; 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game; 56-17 ATS (+37.3 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game. Take Wisconsin.

25* graded play on the Auburn as they take on Tennessee State in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Auburn will win this game by more than 5 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-8 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 2010. Play against a home team (MIDDLE TENN ST)  an average offensive team scoring between 67-74 PPG and now facing a poor defensive team allowing between 74-78 PPG, after a combined score of 125 points or less 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Auburn is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. MTST is a weak money losing 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take Auburn.

25* graded play on Delaware State as they take on Michigan in NCAA basketball action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Delaware State will lose this game by fewer than 25 points. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play there is zero shot for the upset, so simply play it as a 25* play using the line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 48-16 ATS mark good for 75% winners since 1997. Play against home favorites of 10 or more points (MICHIGAN) off a road loss by 10 points or more, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a struggling team (

25* graded play on Eastern Washington as they take on Pittsburgh in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that EWU will lose this game by fewer than 18 points. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. However, the probability for a SU upset is quite minimal. However, if you do have a money line simply add a 2* wager to the 25* play using the line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. EWU is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when they attempt 4 to 9 less free throws than opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons; Pittsburgh is a money losing 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams forcing

25* graded play on Idaho State as they take on Portland in NCAA hoops action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Idaho State will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 22* play using the line and a 3* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-7 ATS mark good for 81% ATS winners since 1997. Play on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (IDAHO ST) after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or zero starters returning from last season. This system has gone 5-1 ATS over the last five seasons. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Idaho State is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, Idaho State is a solid 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons. Take Idaho State.

25* graded play on Penn as they take on George Mason in NCAA hoops action set to start at 6:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Penn will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot at getting the road win. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 79-38 mark good for 68% winners since 2010. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PENNSYLVANIA) that is an average offensive team scoring between 67 and 74 PPG and is now facing a good defensive team allowing between 63 and 67 PPG, after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Penn is a solid 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games facing poor free throw shooting teams making

25* graded play on Drake as they take on Bowling Green in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 4:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Drake will win the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play we need the line to move to +3 from +2 currently in order to get a validated ROI. The ML portion must be at +145 or higher and if it does reach that level then make a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Drake is a solid 71-28 ATS (+40.2 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game; 61-21 ATS (+37.9 Units) when they make 46% or more of their three point attempts in a game; Bowling Green is just 20-60 ATS (-46.0 Units) when their opponents make 46% or more of their 3 pointers in a game. Take Drake.

25* graded play on Harvard as they take on Kansas in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 3:15 PM ET.  SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Harvard will lose this game by fewer than 20 points. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play, it is very unlikely you will see a ML or even an adjusted line for this game. So, just play it was a straight 25* play. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Harvard HC Amaker is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing only their 3rd game in a week as the coach of Harvard; 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season in all games he has coached, Take Harvard. 

25* graded play on Manhattan as they take on Siena in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Manhattan will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a decent shot at pulling off the upset win. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 22* play using the line and a 3* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-6 ATSA mark good for 81% winners since 1997. Play on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (MANHATTAN) pathetic team shooting =45% on the season and is now facing an opponent hot shooting team with 4 straight games making >=47% of their shots. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Siena is just 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season. Further, we see that HC Masiello is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog as the coach of Manhattan.

25* graded play on Cal-Poly Slo as they take on IUPU – Ft. Wayne in NCAA hoops action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cal Poly will win this game by at least 11 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UIPUFW is a weak 3-11 against the money line (-11.8 Units) versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season; 3-7 against the money line (-12.1 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Cal Poly is coming off a 30-point win to Antelope Valley on November 28th. Antelope Valley is a Community College located in Palmdale, CA and has been offering college accredited classes for 34 years. So, stands to reason there would be no line on that game and that Cal Poly easily won the game. Cal Poly has played two strong programs losing by just 5 points to UCLA and just 2 points against UNLV. By comparison, IUPUIFW last played Navy and were hammered by 22 points and earlier this season lost by 14 to Valpo. Now, they play their toughest opponent yet by far and that step in competition will be far too much for them to overcome. Take Cal Poly Slo

25* graded play on UCLA as they take on Kentucky in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCLA will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at pulling off the upset. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 19* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCLA is a near=perfect 10-1 against the money line (+9.0 Units) in home games when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 against the money line (+7.0 Units) in home games when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 14-3 against the money line (+11.3 Units) in home games facing strong teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Take UCLA.

25* graded play on Western Michigan as they take on James Madison in NCAA hoops action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that WMU will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at winning the game. This game grades almost exactly like the UCLA game, which is rare to have two games graded this high that have similar lines and projections. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 19* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. James Madison is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons; 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games facing good ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Wisconsin as they take on Syracuse in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 7:15 PM ET.  SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Wisconsin will lose this game by fewer than five points and has a great shot at an upset win. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 20* play using the money line and a 5* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 53-22 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 1997. Play on an underdog (WISCONSIN) after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wisconsin is a solid 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game since 1997; 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.

25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Boston College in NCAA action set to start at 7:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win the game. As a bonus consider making a three-team round robin parlay not exceeding more than 1 5* play on each one of the three parlays. If you really want to attack this card, consider using the money line and a 3* amount in a round robin parlay. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 15* play using the line and a 10* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. BC is a weak 2-11 against the money line (-10.3 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 3-14 against the money line (-11.9 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons; 3-19 against the money line (-18.0 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 4-20 against the money line (-15.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons; 0-20 against the money line (-25.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Take Penn State. 

25* graded play on Seton Hall as they take on George Washington in NCAA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Seton Hall will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot at a significant upset win. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 22-3 ATS for 88% winners since 2010. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Seton Hall is a solid 41-19 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road games when they make 64% to 71% of their free throws in a game; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Take Seton Hall.

25* graded play on Portland as they take on Colorado State in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Portland will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a a 29* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Portland is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons; Portland is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, we see that CSU is a money burning 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. Take Portland State.

25* graded play on Arkansas as they take on GA Tech in NCAA hoops action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. Thanksgiving Day. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Arkansas will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 18* play using the line and a 7* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-15 ATS mark good for 73% winners since 1997. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ARKANSAS) good offensive team from last season scored 77 or more points/game, after a win by 15 points or more. Take Arkansas.

25* graded play on Missouri as they take on K-State in NCAA basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Missouri will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 57-23 for 71.2% winners using the money line and has made 37.5 units/unit wagered since 1997. Neutral court teams (KANSAS ST) off 2 or more consecutive home wins, marginal losing team from last season who won 40 to 49% of their games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Missouri is a solid 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5 points. K-State head coach Weber is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games in all games he has coached. Take Missouri and expect the upset. 

25* graded play on Southern Mississippi as they take on Memphis in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SM will lose this game by fewer than 14 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SM is a solid 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 94-59 ATS (+29.1 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game since 1997. SM is returning just one starter from last year's edition, but the new four are as a total better than their predecessors. Not suggesting that SM can win this game, but Memphis is in a rather unfocused mode for this game knowing they are vastly better. This is a situation where the unsuspecting favorite can presume the game is won before it is played and that is nearly always a dangerous combination for any team.  Further, Memphis HC Pastner is 28-45 ATS (-21.5 Units) in non-conference games as the coach of Memphis. Take Southern Mississippi. 

25* graded play on the Kansas Jayhawks as they take on Norther Colorado in NCAA hoops action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Kansas will win this game by 32 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a a 35-11 ATS mark good for 76% ATS winners the last five seasons. Play on favorites of 20 or more points (KANSAS) - with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first ten games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kansas is a rock solid  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons; 60-38 ATS (+18.2 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997. Take Kansas. 

50* graded play on Kentucky as they take on Wisconsin in the Final Four Round of the NCAA Tournament.  The simulator shows a high probability that Kentucky will win this game by at least 9 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kentucky is a solid  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season; Wisconsin is a money losing 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) in road games when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. Calipari is a solid 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers as the coach of Kentucky; 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a win by 6 points or less; 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) after 15 or more games; 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games versus very good teams outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. The difference in this game is the Kentucky defense and their enormous bench depth. Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot just 35% from the field, which is best in the nation by a wide margin. In fact, only the 2000 Stanford Cardinal has allowed a shooting percentage less than 36% in the last 25 years. Wisconsin will have to score form the paint and I see them struggling against the length of Kentucky. One of the stats I really like to use is the opponent assist-to-turnover. Kentucky rank first with a 0.555 ratio while Wisconsin ranks 127th with a 0.937 ratio. This means that Kentucky forces nearly double the opponent turnovers to what the opponents get in assists. I am not suggesting this will be a low scoring game. Just that the Kentucky defense will be the dominating factor. Take Kentucky.

25* graded play on the Miami Hurricanes as they take on the Stanford Cardinal in the Championship game of the NIT Tournament.  If you can get a ML of +125 or higher, then playing the entire amount using the money is a solid alternative wager. The simulator shows a high probability that Miami will win this Championship game. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Stanford is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; Miami is a solid 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in road games when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game this season; 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Miami is also a solid 13-1 against the money line (+13.4 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. Miami guard Rodriquez is doubtful for tonight's game with a wrist injury. This means that team leader Sheldon McClellan will play more minutes and possibly the entire game. He leads Miami in scoring with 14.4 PPG. That is not a bad thing when playing in the last game of the year. Take Miami (Fla). 

25* graded play on Old Dominion as they take on Stanford in the semi-final round of the NIT set to start at 9:25 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that ODU will win this game. The line is at 2 1/2 with a money line of about +125 at most books. Now, if you can get a money line offered to you at +130 or higher I would recommend a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. If the money line stays at +125, then I would suggest just making a 25* play using the the line only. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Stanford is just 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. ODU is a solid  16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 47-19 ATS (+26.1 Units) in road games when they score 67 to 74 points in a game since 1997. ODU is a solid  14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when facing excellent ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Gonzaga as they take on Duke in the Elite 8 set to start at 5:05 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Gonzaga will win this game and advanced to the Final 4. Given the line at +2 and +2 1/2 at majority of sports books, I don't see the opportunity to play a combination wager comprised of a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, if you are able to get a +130 money line, then it would be wise to construct the combination wager. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Gonzaga is a solid 101-33 against the money line (+47.7 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997;  7-1 against the money line (+6.2 Units) in road games when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; 10-1 against the money line (+9.0 Units) in road games when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponent this season; 8-1 against the money line (+7.0 Units) in road games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game this season;  11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games facing top caliber teams outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Gonzaga has shown they are a complete team with great leadership from experienced seniors. I also don't believe that Okafor can hold off Gonzaga's size for an entire 40 minutes essentially by himself. He has shown some very lax defensive skills in recent games and Gonzaga will look to pound the pain often. On eof two things can happen and neither are good for Duke. One is that Okofar plays more aggressive defense and gets into foul trouble, or the Gonzaga will score a t a very high percentage from 2-point range. Take Gonzaga. 

25* graded play onLouisville as they take on Michigan State in the Elite 8 Round of the NCAA Tournament. The simulator shows a high probability that Louisville will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making this a combination wager IF the line gets to 3 points. I do think based on the betting flows there is a chance this may occur. However, you may see the line stay at 2 1/2, but vig rise to -120 area for betting on MSU. If you see that, it will mean the money line has risen to a satisfactory level for the combination wager to be validated. So, if you see the ML at +130 or higher make a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Louisville is a solid 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams forcing

25* graded play on Kentucky as they take on Notre Dame in the Elite 8 Round of the NCAA Tournament. I also like the 'OVER' for a 10* play. I would not wager more than a 5* play using Kentucky and the 'over' for a parlay. Another consideration, would be not to do a parlay and simply add a 5* amount to Kentucky and the "over' making it a 30* and 15* respectively. That essentially provides the return the parlay would with out the added risk of the parlay not hitting. The simulator shows a high probability that Kentucky will win this game by at least 14 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 104-60 ATS for 64% winners since 2009.  Play on favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (KENTUCKY) average 3-point shooting team making between 32 and 36.5% an dis now facing an average 3-point defense allowing between 32 and 36.5% shooting; and with the favorite a dominant rebounding team >=+6 reb/game competing against an average rebounding team +/-3 reb/game. This system underscores two of the matchups I see Kentucky dominating in this matchup. One is rebounding and the second is the opportunity Kentucky will have to knock down 3's. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kentucky is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season. No question, the media is correct in stating that Notre Dame is a very good offensive team with four players making better than 40% from the beyond the arc. BUT, Kentucky is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season. Notre Dame has not dressed well in the role of under dogs in consecutive games and now find themselves a double digit one. ND is just  5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. ND has strong 3-point shooting, but Kentucky has equivalent length of many NBA teams. That length reduces the spreading of the defense to respect the 3. Moreover, that length will allow Kentucky to anticipate the perimeter shot and contest them far more than any other team ND has faced. Contrary to media reports, I expect that Kentucky will come out running instead of 'setting the slower tone' They have a vast advantage in bench depth over ND and can choose to run them off the court. Perimeter shooters need their legs to lauch solid shots and a fast paced game will wear down those shooters. Take Kentucky. 

25* graded play on New Jersey Tech as they take on Canisius in the quarterfinal round of the College Insider Tournament set to start at 7:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that NJ Tech will win this game by at least five points. As you may remember, I played on NJ Tech in their previous two games, both winners and see the same matchup advantages for them in this contest.  Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. In lined games under head coach Engles, NJ Tech is a rock solid 8-1 ATS. This reflects the under valued nature of NJ Tech and the fact that the public has not caught up to just how good this team is playing against similar competition. They are also the last remaining independent D-1 program and essentially auditioning for an opportunity to be a conference member. NJ Tech is the much better shooting team and play better team defense than Canisius. NJ Tech ranks 36th in 3-point shooting percentage and 78th in total shooting percentage. Canisius ranks a horrid 255th in 3-point shooting and 278th in overall shotting percentage. Take NJ Tech. 

25* graded play on Oklahoma as they take on Michigan State in the Sweet 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 10:07 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Oklahoma will win this game and advanced to the Elite Round. With the current line at +2, there is no advantage in placing a combination wager. However, if the line would move to +3 or higher than a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line would be validated. I am confident in my release on Oklahoma to win, but the money line spreads are wide for any event. For example, the ML for MSU is +110 and -130 for MSU and obviously the net difference between the two is pockets by the book. But, with money lines, no all of the action is balanced between 'buyer' and seller' with most money lines seeing much more action and dollar volume on the favorite. So, to offset they make the spreads wider and pay-out less on the dogs that are generally underplayed to offset the favorite players. So, at +110 there si certainly no advantage as compared to a +2 -110 line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oklahoma is a solid  31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, we see that the Sooners are a very strong 9-2 against the money line (+7.2 Units) versus good defensive teams posting a shooting percentage defense of

25* graded play on Louisville as they take on NC State in the Sweet 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 7:35 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Louisville will win this game by five or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Louisville is a solid 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game since 1997; 45-24 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games in games attempting around the same number of free throws (+-3) as opponents since 1997. NC State is a money burning  30-64 ATS (-40.4 Units) when they score 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997.Further, Louisville is a strong  13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games facing excellent ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Gonzaga as they take on UCLA in the Sweet 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 7:15 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Gonzaga will win this game by at least 10 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 118-72 ATS mark good for 62% winners since 1997. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GONZAGA) that are solid 3PT shooting team making >=36.5% and is now facing an average 3PT defense allowing between 32 and 36.5% and after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Gonzaga is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing against a good team winning between 60% to 80% over the last two seasons; 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) competing against good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. UCLA is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season; 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. Gonzaga is playing well and flying under the media radar. I strongly believe they are a team that will make the Final 4. Looking at the scope of both teams fundamentally, Gonzaga is the vastly better team at both ends of the court. Gonzaga has a modest edge on the offensive side, but a vastly superior edge on the defensive end. Gonzaga ranks 46th in scoring defense, 15th in assists allowed, 26th in rebounds allowed, and 7th best posting a 0.436 assist-FG made ratio. By comparison, UCLA ranks 206th in scoring defense, 290th in assists allowed, 163rd in rebounds allowed, and 265th posting a poor 1.12 opponent assists to turnover ratio and 308th posting a 0.585 opponent assist-FG made ratio. Take Gonzaga. 

25* graded play on Arizona as they take on Xavier in the Sweet 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 10:15 P{M ET. The simulator shows a high probability that ARZ will win this game by at least 12 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arizona is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season;  20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons;  24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game this season. Further, we see that ARZ is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games this season; 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) competing against good ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Old Dominion as they take on Murray State in the NIT quarterfinals set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that ODU will win this game and advance to the semifinal round of the NIT. Last night's Game of the Year play in the NIT on Richmond had to be one of the most painful and frustrating losses of my 21-year career. Richmond was cruising up 17 points against what appeared to be a disinterested Miami team. That's why they play 40 minutes and that's why we don't hit 80% ATS winners. It was just one loss though at the end of the day. They key factor from what I have learned over the years is forget these losses - and even the great wins - and get to the present day's card searching for the next opportunity. The best athletes in the world and the best businessmen in the world conduct their lives in the present planning for future success. Golfers and pitchers are excellent at this trait never getting too high or too low and always focused on executing the next task as well as possible. So, that is the course of action for today and we must further recognize that I am on 10-3 ATS NBA run and 16-7 ATS run with the 25* Titan releases. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ODI is a solid  16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, they are an outstanding 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) competing against excellent ball handling teams committing

50* graded play on the Richmond Spiders as they take on the Miami Hurricanes in the NIT quarterfinals set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Richmond will win this game by five or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Richmond is an inferior 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game this season; 28-73 ATS (-52.3 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. Richmond is a solid  82-39 ATS (+39.1 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. Further, Richmond has some very powerful money making matchup trends against Miami tonight. They are a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games  teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last two seasons; 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus good ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Tulsa as they host Murray State in the Second Round of the NIT set to start at 9:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Tulsa will win this game by at least seven points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tulsa is a solid 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) when they commit around the same number of turnovers (+-3) as opponent over the last 3 seasons; 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last three seasons. Further, we note that Tulsa has been a money making  25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons;  22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when competing against good ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Radford as they take on Vermont in the CBI Tournament quarterfinals set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Radford will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot at pulling off the upset win. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Vermont plays a very slow grinding style of game. They rank 325th attempting an average of just 50 shots per game. Further, they do not attempt many shots from beyond the arc. They rank 278th making 5.3 three-point shots per game and 312th attempting 15 three-point shots per game. Radford ranks 85th with a 45% shooting percentage and I strongly believe that They will also be more effective from the perimeter than based on season averages. Another advantage for Radford is their strong offensive rebounding presence. They rank 54th getting 10.4 offensive boards and an even better 39th in offensive rebound percentage getting one every 34% of all possessions. Take Radford. 

25* graded play on NJIT as they host Cleveland State in the CIT second round set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that NJIT will win this game. If the line remains at +3 or higher, than consider making a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland Stat is just 42-63 ATS (-27.3 Units) in road games when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game since 1997; 34-55 ATS (-26.5 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game since 1997; 35-60 ATS (-31.0 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 less free throws than opponents in a game since 1997; 36-60 ATS (-30.0 Units) when they score 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997; 52-76 ATS (-31.6 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game since 1997. Further, we see that 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after one or more consecutive overs this season. NJIT is the last independent college basketball program in the country, so they have had to make games with any opponent willing to play them. They destroyed Hampton 86-67 Feb 2 and have won 7 of the last 8 contests. Damon Lynn is the team leader in minutes (36.5), scoring (17.7 PPG), and steals (1.6). He is complemented by fellow guard Ky Howard, who is the team leader in rebounds (6) and assists (4.2). They have a a very athletic forward in Daquan Holiday, who is 6-8 and just 205 pounds, but can leap out of the building. They are a much better ball movement team than Cleveland State and will work the ball for the best shot possible. They will not wait and drain the shot clock either, often times taking the first open shot in a possession. They also rotate five other guards in and out of the game and this will keep Lynn and Howard quite fresh in the second half. Take NJIT. 

25* graded play on Louisville as they take on Northern Iowa in the Third Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 9:40 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Louisville will win this game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Louisville is a perfect  7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games competing against good free throw shooting teams making >=72% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons; 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. Pitino is an excellent coach and will have his team fully prepared for this matchup. Pitino is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games facing non-pressure defensive teams forcing

25* graded play on Gonzaga as they take on Iowa in Round 3 of the NCAA TOurnament set to start at 7:10 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Gonzaga will win this game by at least seven points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 114-62 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 1997.  Play on neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (GONZAGA) after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers and now facing an opponent after a game committing eight or less turnovers. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Iowa is just 31-93 ATS (-71.3 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997; 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when competing against good rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games spanning the last 2 seasons; 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when competing against dominant rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game over the last 2 seasons. Further, Gonzaga is a solid 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons;  27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons. Gonzaga can score inside or from mid-level jumpers, or from the perimeter. Iowa likes to play fast, but getting into a track meet will be counter productive against Gonzaga. Take Gonzaga.

25* graded play on San Diego State as they take on Duke in Round 3 of the NCAA TOurnament set to start at 2:40 PM ET. Of note:  SDST guard Aqeel Quinn (10.8 points) has nearly recovered from apparent food poisoning. Quinn said he started feeling badly after eating a turkey sandwich Thursday, then started vomiting and needed an IV by that night. He played just 19 minutes and went 1 for 6 from the field in the win against St. John's. He stated Saturday he's "pretty solid now. The simulator shows a high probability that SDST will lose this game by fewer than 8 points and actually has a shot to upset Duke in this matchup. Given this favorable projection, I like simply adding a 3* play using the money line to the 25* play using the line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 143-85 ATS mark good for 63% winners since 2009. Play against any team (DUKE) that is a hot team having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread and is a top-level team winning >= 80% of their games and now playing a good team winning between 60% to 80%. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SDST is a rock solid  20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) competing against good rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons. SDST is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 2 seasons. Further, we see that SDSAT is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons. We also see that Krzyzewski is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers as the coach of Duke. SDST Forward Skylar Spencer is the a junior and has a ton of defensive ability and is fundamentally schooled to defense players like Okafor. He does not have stunning flash stats, but does a ton of things for his team that do not appear in the box score. I strongly believe he will do a great job being extremely physical with Okafor. Duke is at it;'s best when Okafor is scoring down low and then feeding his teammates on the perimeter. Duke is limited in size to Okafor and Plumlee and I do believe that SDST does have the size and depth to minimize Duke's offensive paint presence. Take SDST. 

25* graded play on Virginia as they take on Michigan State in Round 3 of the NCAA TOurnament set to start at 12:10 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that UVA will win this game by at least 6 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UVA is a solid  33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in slower paced games where they attempt 46 to 53 shots over the last 3 seasons; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponent over the last 2 seasons; 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, we see that this matchup favors UVA on many other levels. They are a solid  21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games facing excellent ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Northern Arizona as they take on Sacramento State in the CIT second round action set to start at 10:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Northern Arizona will win this game. Given this favorable projection and the fact they are installed as a 3 1/2 point dog presents an excellent opportunity to make a combination wager. I suggest placing a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. In addition, placing a round robin parlay with these three teams wagering no more than a 3* play on each of the three parlays offers an excellent bonus opportunity. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. NA is a solid  8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when they force 9 or fewer turnovers in a game this season; 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they score 67 to 74 points in a game this season. Take Northern Arziona.

25* graded play on Villanova as they take on NC State in the Third Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 7:10 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Villanova will win this game by at least 11 points. I also like the 'under' in this matchup and suggest a 10* play on the 'under' and then a 5* play using Villanova and the 'under' in a reverse parlay. The 4:1 pay-off with the reverse parlay is quite attractive from a ROI standpoint. Obviously, we are assuming too that these plays won't both lose as that would cost 12* units in loss from the 5* reverse parlay. Please take some time and study the reverse parlay and it's significant risk/rewards before taking on this play. A smart play too, is to just play Villanova as a 25* play. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 118-71 ATS mark since 1997. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (VILLANOVA) good 3-point shooting team making >=36.5% and is now facing an average 3-point defense allowing 32 to 36.5% and after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. NC State is 12-31 ATS (-22.1 Units) in road games when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997. Villanova is an outstanding 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season;  26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game this season.; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons;  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game this season.; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game this season; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Take Villanova.

25* graded play on Tenn-Martin as they take on USC-Upstate in the second round of the CBI tournament set to start at 6:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that TM will win this game. Given this favorable projection and the fact they are installed as a 3 1/2 point dog presents an excellent opportunity to make a combination wager. I suggest placing a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-13 ATS mark good for 75% winners since 1997.  Play on a road or neutral court team (TENN-MARTIN) off an upset win by 15 points or more as an underdog, in March games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. TM is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons;  8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in road games when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game since 1997. TM is off a very strong win defeating Northwestern State 104-79 and shot 56% for the game. They were installed as 2 1/2 point dogs and was by a vast margin their best complete game of the season. Take Tennessee-Martin. 

25* graded play on Sam Houston State as they take on LA-Lafayette in CIT Tournament action set to  start at 3:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that SHS will win this game by more than 8 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 228-147 ATS mark good for 61% winners since 1997. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAM HOUSTON ST) an excellent defensive team allowing

25* graded play on UCLA as they take on UAB in the third round of the NCAA TOurnament set to start at 12:10 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that UCLA will win this game by at least 7 points and I would not be surprised to see this a solid double digit win for UCLA. True, that SMU could easily be in this spot, but they are not and the reasons at this point matter zero. UCLA is in this spot and they are a dangerous team for their next opponent after winning here. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 46-18 ATS mark good for 72% winners since 1997. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UAB) after four or more consecutive wins, when seeded 13 through 16 in the NCAA tournament. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UAB is a money losing 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in road games when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents (+-3) in a game over the last three seasons;  3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games when they score 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; UCLA is a solid 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game since 1997. Further, we see that UCLA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season;  11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when competing against good defensive teams posting a shooting percentage defense of

25* graded play on Providence as they take on Dayton in the second round of the NCAA TOurnament set to start at 9:55 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Providence will win this game by at least 6 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. When Dayton has played a superior rebounding team, the results have been poor. Dayton is just 20-48 ATS (-32.8 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997. Providence has been a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game this season; 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. Even worse for Dayton is the fact that they are an imperfect  0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less this season. I simply see Providence as the vastly better team overall with a sizable edge in rebounding. Take Providence.

35* graded play on Gonzaga as they take on North Dakota State in the second round of the NCAA TOurnament set to start at 9:50 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Gonzaga will win this game by at least 20 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Gonzaga is a solid  104-49 ATS (+50.1 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game since 1997;  18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a good team winning between 60% to 80%) of their games spanning the last 2 seasons;  14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games facing good 3 point shooting teams making >=37% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. Further, we see that head coach Few is a solid Few is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games after a combined score of 165 points or more as the coach of Gonzaga. NDST is a quality team, but they have not faced a team as complete as Gonzaga. NDST ranks 47th in scoring defense allowing 61.6 PPG, but this is somewhat misleading given their slow grinding style of offense. Gonzaga is one of the best offensive teams in the nation and score inside, outside, and mid-level. They work the ball with strong passing and players are always spaced and putting pressure on the defense to essentially defend every possible shot on the court. Gonzaga ranks 2nd in effective shooting percentage, fourth in three-point shooting percentage, second in two-point shooting percentage, and BEST in overall shooting efficiency. Gonzaga ranks just 229th in 3-point attempts, but rank 87th in 3-point shots made. This clearly reflects Gonzaga does not rely on the '3' or paint scoring to win games, which has been the case of Gonzaga Tournament teams past. NDST ranks 273rd allowing 36.4% 3-point shooting and 140th in opponent shooting efficiency percentage. NDST cannot defend all three areas of shot attempts (3-point, paint, and mid-level) against Gonzaga and few teams if  any can. Now, NDST really struggles at times on the offensive end. Any multiple minute period of no FG made by NDST will simply allow Gonzaga to extend their lead. NDST ranks 244th in scoring offense and 204th posting a 0.95 assist-to-turnover ratio. Further, BDST ranks 283rd in 2-point shooting and 211th in shooting percentage. They do shoot the 3-point shot well making 37.8% good for 43rd best, but Gonzaga ranks 71is in opponent 3-point shooting percentage, 7th in 2-point shooting percentage, and 10th in overall opponent shooting efficiency. Take Gonzaga. 

25* graded play on Virginia as they take on Belmont in the second round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 3:10 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that UVA will win this game by at least 20 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 82-44 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 2009. Play on favorites of 10 or more points (VIRGINIA) that are average 3PT shooting team making between 32 to 36.5% and is now facing an average 3PT defense allowing between 32 and 36.5% after 15+ games, and is a dominant rebounding team posting a differential of >=+6 rebounds per game and is facing an average rebounding team posting a +/-3 rebound differential after 15+ games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UVA is a perfect  7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, UVA has some powerful matchup trends in their favor noting they are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a solid team winning 60% to 80% of their games after 15 or more games spanning the last two seasons;  9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. UVA lost in the ACC semifinal to UNC 71-67 and were installed as 4 1/2 point favorites. UVA is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Take Virginia.

25* graded play on Kansas as they take on New Mexico State in the second round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 12:15 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Kansas will win this game by at least 12 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-8 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 2009. Play against neutral court teams as an underdog (NEW MEXICO ST) that are dominant rebounding teams posting a differential of>=+6 rebounds per game and is now facing a good rebounding team posting a differential between+3 to +6 rebounds per game and after 15+ games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kansas is off a 70-66 loss to Iowa State and were installed as 2 1/2 point favorites. Self is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) after a loss by 6 points or less in all games he has coached since 1997. Kansas played the toughest overall schedule in the nation. NMST has not seen one opponent this season that even comes close to the physicality and speed of Kansas. Further, Kansas' physical length will be a factor especially in the rebounding department. Kansas ranks 15th best in the nation in defensive rebounding and 58th in offensive rebounding. A strong focus will be on keeping NMST off of the offensive glass and minimizing their multi-shot possessions. Take Kansas. 

35* graded play on Georgetown as they take on Eastern Washington in round 2 NCAAM Tournament action set to start at 9:55 PM ET  The simulator shows a high probability that Georgetown will win this game by 10 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 45-17 ATS since 73% winners since 1997. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (E WASHINGTON) after four or more consecutive wins, when seeded 13 through 16 in the NCAA tournament. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Georgetown is a solid  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season;  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; EWU is just 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997. Georgetown played a vastly more difficult schedule than EWU. Winners of five straight games and covering the last four, EWU, is over valued by my standards. EWU is led by the offensive powerhouse guard Tyler Harvey, who has team highs in minutes (37) and scoring (23 PPG). I am very confident that Georgetown's defense will contain him and force the rest of the EWU players on the floor to be significant contributors. Georgetown ranks 49th with a 0.835 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio reflecting how well they defend opponents and fill passing lanes. Another huge edge for Georgetown will be in rebounding, especially on the offensive glass. Georgetown ranks 49th in the nation getting an offensive board in 33% of their possessions. EWU ranks 173rd getting a defensive board in 70% of opponent possessions. Take Georgetown. 

25* graded play on LSU as they take on NC State in the second round of the NCAA TOurnament set to start at 9:20 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that LSU will win this game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. LSU is a solid  4-1 against the money line (+9.0 Units) when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game this season;  6-1 against the money line (+6.2 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game this season;  8-1 against the money line (+11.8 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game this season; LSU is a solid long-term  57-33 ATS (+20.7 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game since 1997. The following are matchup power trends that support LSU winning this game. LSU is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) competing against good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season;  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season; 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.  Take LSU.

25* graded play on Texas as they take on Butler in second round NCAA Tournament action set to start at 2:45 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Texas will win this game. Line shows Texas at -1 at the majority of books so there is absolutely no opportunity to use a combination wager on this apparent upset. Despite having several games where coaching was very poor, I do think this Texas team has the potential; to win their first tow games of the Tournament. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Butler has been a money burning 37-70 ATS (-40.0 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game since 1997. Texas is a solid 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road games when competing against good ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Northeastern as they take on Notre Dame in the second round of the NCAA TOurnament set to start at 12:15 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that NE will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. Too low a probability predicting the upset for a combination wager using the line and money line, but it does warrant adding a 2* amount using the money line to the 25* line play. Obviously this play could wreak havoc on a lot of brackets should the upset actually occur. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 139-81 ATS mark good for 63% winners since 2009. Play against any team (NOTRE DAME) that is a hot team having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread and is a top-level team winning >= 80% playing a good team winning between 60% to 80% of their games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Northeastern is a solid 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last three seasons. Further, we note some situational power trend showing that NE is a solid 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Irish have been a money burning 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Take Northeastern

25* graded play on the Sam Houston State as they take on UNC-Wilmington in the First Round of the College Insider Tournament set to start at 7:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Sam Houston will win this game by at least 10 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UNC-Wilmington is just  6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 less free throws than opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons; 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons. Seven of the top-10 players on the Sam Houston State team in minutes played are guards. They are also a much deeper team with nearly double the players making significant contribution sin games. I strongly believe this depth will be a major factor, especially in the second half. Take Sam Houston State.

25* graded play on Arizona State as they take on UCONN in the first round of the NIT set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that ASU will win this game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ASU is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off an upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. UCONN is a money losing 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games after a game with 9 or less assists since 1997; 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season. Further, ASU head coach Sendek is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games off a loss to a conference rival as a favorite of 6 points or more in all games he has coached since 1997. ASU is coming off a tough 67-64 loss to USC installed as 6 1/2 point favorites in the PAC-12 Conference Tournament. Yet, UCONN is off an even tougher loss in the Conference Final losing 62-54 to SMU and failing to cover as 4 point dogs. UCONN offense has gone south shooting 33% against SMU and then 36% in the semifinal win against Tulsa. ASU is a vastly better offensive team and gets to the free throw line far more than UCONN. ASU ranks 110th in scoring differential getting outscored by an average of 3 points per game. UCONN ranks what appears to be a better 87th having outscored their opponents by 4.4 PPG. On the defensive end we note that UCONN ranks 22nd in scoring defense, BUT rank a horrid 170th with a 0.981 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. This clearly means that UCONN's defense is only ranked this high because of their slower paced game and struggles on offense. ASU is the vastly better rebounding team as well. They rank 14th in the nation with a 77% defensive rebound percentage. They will minimize UCONN offensive rebounding and keep them to a majority of one-shot possessions. Take ASU. 

25* graded play on Robert Morris as they take on North Florida in a 'play-in' game for the NCAA Tournament set to start at 6:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Robert Morris will win this game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Robert Morris is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game since 1997;  8-2 against the money line (+8.1 Units) in road games when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game since 1997. Further, Robert Morris is a stout 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive conference games since 1997. Guard Dallas Moore is the offensive star for NF averaging team highs in minutes (32.4) and scoring (16 PPG). Many times Robert Morris will be playing four guards during game. These guards are good players and compliment one another very well. Further, the rotation of these four guards that play nearly equal time between 27.5 minutes and 30 minutes will simply where down Dallas Moore, Nesbitt, and Beech. Robert Morris also has a fifth guard David Appolon, who averages 21 minutes and brings a complete package to the game coming off the bench. Take Robert Morris.

25* graded play on Stanford as they take on Cal-Davis in NIT first round action set to start at 11:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that  Stanford will win this game by more than 9 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Stanford is a solid 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they commit 3 to 7 fewer turnovers than their opponents over the last 2 seasons;  10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Cal-Davis is a money losing 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997. Stanford is the vastly better team at both ends of the court and has had a much more difficult schedule than Cal-Davis this season. Stanford is rested and are a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing only their 3rd game in a week over the last 2 seasons. They are also 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games since 1997. Take Stanford.

25* graded play on Rider in the first round of the CBI Tournament set to start at 3:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Rider will win this game. I like making this a combination wager using a 19* play on the line and a 6* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rider is a solid  14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when they make 56% to 63% of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons; 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 29-10 ATS (+18.0 Units) in road games when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games in games where both teams score 65 or less points this season; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when they score 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, Loyola is just 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams posting a shooting percentage defense of

25* graded play on George Washington as they take on Pittsburgh in NIT action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that GW will win this game. As many of you know, when I get a DOG graded as an 'Upset Alert' Titan, I like to play it is a combination wager. The line needs to be at 3 1/2 however, for this to validated based on ROI analysis. So, at 2 1/2 simply play a 25* amount using the line only. Should the line move to 3 1/2, the a combination wager comprised of a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money is valid. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GW is a solid 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; Pitt has been a money losing 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game this season; 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game this season. Further, we note that GW is a near-perfect  8-1 against the money line (+9.4 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take GW.

25* graded play on Eastern Illinois as they take on Oakland in the first round of the College Insider Tournament set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that EI will lose thi sgame by fewer than seven points and has a reasonable shot at winning the game. Giv en this favorable projection consider making a combination wager using a 22* play on the line and a 3* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-13 ATS mark good for 74% winners since 2009. Play against a favorite (OAKLAND) in a non-conference game between two teams from mid-major division 1-A conferences, playing with 7 or more days rest. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. EI is a solid 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons; 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when they grab 8 or less offensive rebounds in a game this season. Take Eastern Illinois.

35* graded play on the Wisconsin Badgers as they take on the Michigan State Spartans in the Big Ten Conference Championship set to start at 3:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Wisconsin will win this game by more than eight points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wisconsin is a solid 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game this season; 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons;  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 53-16 ATS (+35.4 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997; 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games when they commit 9 or fewer turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Wisconsin is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games competing against solid ball handling teams committing

35* graded play on Arkansas as they take on Kentucky in the SEC Conference Tournament Championship game set to start at 1:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Arkansas will lose this game by fewer than 13 points. I will, if it is available, place a 2* play using the money line on Arkansas. Just in case. This is a highly inflated line and on first take, rightfully so, as Kentucky has steamrolled through it's last 8 games. However, Arkansas is a very good team in their own right and I simply see this game being played out in a single digit manner. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 138-78 ATS for 64% winners since 2009. Play against any team (KENTUCKY) that is a hot team having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, a top-level team winning >= 80% of their games played and now playing a good team winning between 60% to 80% of their games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arkansas is a solid 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons; 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season. Further, Arkansas is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 3 seasons. SEC Player of the Year, Bobby Portis had his worst game of the season against Georgia Saturday. He had just four points on 1-of-14 shooting. However, his teammates more than offset his 'bad' day' and Arkansas cruised to a fairly easy win over a quality opponent. Portis is the Player of the Year for a reason and I strongly believe he will have a monster game against Kentucky. Arkansas actually possess a more efficient offense than Kentucky. They rank 9th in scoring offense and 6th averaging 16.5 assist per game, and 10th posting a very strong 1.406 assist-to-turnover ratio. Kentucky ranks 37th in scoring offense, 36th in assists, and 12th with a 1.395 assist-to-turnover ratio. Another important part of this game is Arkansas' abilities to keep Kentucky off of the offensive glass. Both teams are exceptional getting offensive boards. If Kentucky has no more than 3 board edge in this category, it will go a long way to determining just how close this game is on the scoreboard. Take Arkansas. 

25* graded play on North Carolina as they take on Notre Dame in the ACC Conference Championship game set to start at 8:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that UNC will win this game by 5 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UNC is a solid 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game this season; Notre Dame is just 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game this season. Further, UNC is supported by meaningful power matchup trends. UNC is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when competing against poor pressure defensive teams forcing

25* graded play on Tulsa as they take on UCONN in the semifinal of the American Athletic Conference Tournament. The simulator shows a high probability that Tulsa will win this game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tulsa is a near perfect 15-1 against the money line (+15.3 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons;  9-2 against the money line (+7.2 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season; 8-1 against the money line (+7.0 Units) in games where both teams score 65 or less points this season; 15-4 against the money line (+10.8 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further Tulsa has a very favorable power matchup trend showing that they have produced a 22-7 against the money line (+14.2 Units) versus good ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Yale as they take on Harvard in the playoff game to determine the IVY League regular season winner set to start at 4:00 PM ET. This game is being played on a neutral court and the famed Palestra in Philadelphia.  The simulator shows a high probability that Yale will win this game and advance to the NCAA Tournament. Yale had their chance to seal the bid simply by winning on the road at Dartmouth. They lost by one point and now have to face their bitter rival Harvard. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-8 ATS mark good for 77% winners since 1997. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (YALE) and is an average offensive team scoring between 67 and 74 PPG and is now facing a struggling offensive team scoring between 63 and 67 PPG after 15+ games and after allowing 60 points or less 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Yale is a perfect  6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season;  8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Further, Yale has been a sparkling 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. Take Yale.