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Steve Merril NFL Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
02-02-20 49ers v. Chiefs OVER 53.5 20-31 Loss -103 18 h 58 m Show

-San Francisco has scored 26 points or more in 9 of their last 12 games; more of the same here
-offense averages 6.4 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play

-49ers defense has given up 20 points or more in 9 of their last 11 games; class jump vs. Chiefs

-Kansas City has scored 24 points or more in 15 of their 18 games; 23 points in 2 other games
-offense is averaging 6.5 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play
-Chiefs allowing 5.9 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

10* Play OVER the total.

01-19-20 Packers v. 49ers OVER 46.5 20-37 Win 100 7 h 7 m Show

-Green Bay hits the road after a 28-23 home win over Seattle last week; need to score points
-offense is averaging 23.8 points per game vs. defenses that allow 22.7 points per game
-Packers allowing 6.0 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-San Francisco has scored 22 points or more in 10 of their last 11 games; more of the same here
-offense averages 31.8 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 24 points per game

-49ers defense has given up 20 points or more in 8 of their last 10 games; class jump vs. Rodgers

10* Play OVER the total.

01-19-20 Titans v. Chiefs -7 24-35 Win 100 4 h 32 m Show

-Tennessee will play their 3rd straight road playoff game, and their 4th straight road game overall
-offense hasn’t thrown the ball for more than 100 yards in their last 2 games; can’t do that here
-Titans defense has held their last 3 opponents to 14 points or less; now facing a potent offense

-Kansas City got down 21-0 in the first quarter last week; not happening again; revenge game
-offense is averaging 6.7 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play

-Chiefs defense allows just 19.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 22.1 points per game

9* Play CHIEFS (-).

01-12-20 Seahawks v. Packers -4 23-28 Win 100 14 h 57 m Show

-Seattle is on the road once again after winning in Philadelphia last week; jump in class; bad spot
-offense has scored 21 points or less in 4 of their last 5 games; 17 or less in 3 games; poor form
-Seahawks defense is allowing 6.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-Green Bay comes in rested and ready off their bye week; much healthier team as well; big effort
-offense is averaging 6.4 yards per play at home vs. defenses that allow 5.7 yards per play
-Packers allowing 19.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 22.2 points per game

10* Play PACKERS (-).

01-12-20 Texans v. Chiefs -9.5 31-51 Win 100 10 h 22 m Show

-Houston hits the road after coming back from a 16-0 deficit at home last week; emptied the tank
-offense has been held to just 33 total points in regulation time in their last 2 games; in bad form
-Texans allowing 6.6 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-Kansas City comes into this game with a week off; big scheduling advantage; revenge game too
-offense is averaging 6.6 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play

-Chiefs defense allows just 19.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 22 points per game

9* Play CHIEFS (-).

01-11-20 Titans v. Ravens OVER 47 28-12 Loss -110 8 h 32 m Show

-Tennessee has won 2 straight games while scoring 55 total points; scoring ways continue here
-offense is averaging 6.4 yards per play vs. defenses that give up only 5.8 yards per play
-Titans' defense allows 5.7 yards per play vs. offenses that also average 5.7 yards per play

-Baltimore is rested and ready off a bye week; they’ve scored 20 points or more in all 16 games
-offense is averaging 33.2 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 22.5 points per game
-Ravens' defense allows 5.8 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

Play OVER the total.

01-11-20 Vikings v. 49ers OVER 44 10-27 Loss -110 4 h 56 m Show

-Minnesota is on the road once again after a 26-20 win in New Orleans last week; need to score
-offense averages 26.4 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 22.6 points per game
-Vikings allowing 5.7 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-San Francisco comes into this game rested and ready off a bye; focused on offense; big effort
-offense averages 32.4 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 24.2 points per game
-49ers' defense has given up 20 points or more in 8 of their last 9 games; in poor current form

9* Play OVER the total.

01-05-20 Seahawks v. Eagles UNDER 45 17-9 Win 100 6 h 19 m Show

-Seattle hits the road after losing 2 straight home games; 1-3 their last 4 games; in bad form
-offense scored just 46 total points in their last 3 losses; key injuries have limited this team
-Seahawks allowing just 21.1 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 24.7 ppg

-Philadelphia comes in on a 4-game winning streak; however, the competition was terrible
-offense is averaging just 5.3 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play

-Eagles allow just 16.7 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 21.8 points per game

10* Play UNDER the total.

01-04-20 Titans v. Patriots UNDER 44.5 20-13 Win 100 9 h 34 m Show

-Tennessee is on the road once again after a must-win game in Houston last week; bad road spot
-offense has faced a string of bad opposing defenses over the last half of the season; bad matchup
-Titans defense is allowing 17.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 22.4 ppg

-New England comes in off a costly and an ugly home loss to Miami; something seems missing
-offense is averaging just 5.3 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play

-Patriots defense allows just 14.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 21.4 points per game

9* Play UNDER the total.

01-04-20 Bills +2.5 v. Texans 19-22 Loss -100 5 h 44 m Show

-Buffalo went 1-3 in their last 4 games; ignore Week 17; lost to New England and Baltimore
-offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.6 yards per play
-Bills defense allows just 15.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 21.7 ppg

-Houston went 2-2 in their last 4 games; both losses at home; bad sign since they needed to win
-offense has scored 24 points or less over their last 4 games; now taking a big step-up in class
-Texans defense is allowing 6.3 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

10* Play BILLS (+).

12-29-19 49ers -3 v. Seahawks 26-21 Win 100 10 h 50 m Show

-San Francisco hits the road with the division title on the line; expect a win by the better team
-offense is averaging 30.2 points per game vs. defenses that give up 24.1 points per game
-49ers defense is allowing 4.9 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-Seattle lost an ugly game at home last week to the Cardinals; they also have key injuries
-offense has scored 17 points or less in 3 of their last 5 games; struggling unit missing starters
-Seahawks allows 29 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 24.3 points per game

9* Play 49ERS (-).

12-29-19 Raiders v. Broncos -3.5 15-16 Loss -100 6 h 56 m Show

-Oakland had lost 4 straight games prior to their win last week over a Chargers team that has quit
-offense averages 19.1 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 21.7 points per game

-Raiders defense allows 29.9 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 21.8 ppg

-Denver is 3-1 SU over their last 4 games; the team has been playing terrific football; continues
-offense has scored 23 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games; now facing a softer defense
-Broncos allow 18.3 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 22.4 points per game

9* Play BRONCOS (-).

12-29-19 Chargers v. Chiefs -9.5 21-31 Win 100 3 h 32 m Show

-Los Angeles appears to have quit on the season; lost last 2 games by a combined score of 63-27
-offense is averaging 21.1 points per game vs. defenses that give up 22.5 points per game
-Chargers defense has giving up 23 points or more in 5 of their last 6 games; bad matchup here

-Kansas City comes into this game from the opposite direction; 49-6 score in their last 2 wins
-offense is averaging 6.5 yards per play at home vs. defenses that are giving up 5.7 yards per play
-Chiefs defense allows just 19.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 22.2 points per game

10* Play CHIEFS (-).

12-29-19 Falcons v. Bucs 28-22 Win 100 3 h 31 m Show

-Atlanta has won 3 straight games; playing their best football of the season; divisional revenge
-offense averages 26.4 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 23.8 points per game

-Falcons defense is in terrific current form; they’ve held their last 4 opponents to 80 total points

-Tampa Bay lost 23-20 to Houston last week; the team is besieged with injuries; bad matchup
-offense looked terrible last week without their 2 best wide receivers; expect similar in this game
-Buccaneers allow 30.3 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 23.8 points per game

9* Play FALCONS.

12-23-19 Packers v. Vikings OVER 47 23-10 Loss -110 6 h 46 m Show

-Green Bay comes in off back-to-back bad offensive performances; scored just 41 total points
-offense is averaging 23.6 points per game vs. defenses that allow 22.4 points per game
-Packers allowing 6.4 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-Minnesota has scored 27 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games; expect more of the same here
-offense is averaging 27 points per game vs. defenses that allow 23.3 points per game

-Vikings have given up 17 total points over their last 2 games against bad offenses; class jump

9* Play OVER the total.

12-22-19 Chiefs v. Bears +6.5 26-3 Loss -110 19 h 3 m Show

-Kansas City hits the road on a 4-game winning streak; not winning by margin on the road
-offense has scored 24 points or less in 3 of their last 4 games; facing a strong defense now
-Chiefs defense allows 6.1 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-Chicago returns home off a loss in Green Bay; expect a big bounce back effort at home tonight
-offense has scored 68 total points over their last 3 games; in good current form; nice matchup
-Bears defense allows just 5.0 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

9* Play BEARS (+).

12-22-19 Raiders v. Chargers -7.5 24-17 Loss -105 15 h 48 m Show

-Oakland has lost 4 straight games; blew their final home game last week; terrible spot now
-offense is averaging 18.4 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 22 points per game

-Raiders defense allows 31.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 21.9 ppg

-Los Angeles stays at home off an embarrassing 39-10 loss to Minnesota; big bounce back effort
-offense is averaging a solid 6.2 yards per play vs. defenses that allow 5.8 yards per play
-Chargers defense allows 20.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 21.2 points per game

10* Play CHARGERS (-).

12-22-19 Saints -2.5 v. Titans 38-28 Win 100 12 h 44 m Show

-New Orleans is 4-1 SU over their last 5 games after losing to Atlanta; good form continues
-offense is averaging 6.1 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play
-Saints allow just 20 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 24.4 points per game

-Tennessee comes in off a loss to Houston; their 4-game winning streak was phony; class rise
-offense has faced an easy slate of opposing defenses allowing 23.7 points per game; tough test
-Titans defense has giving up 20 points or more in 7 of their last 8 games; bad matchup here

9* Play SAINTS (-).

12-22-19 Steelers -3 v. Jets 10-16 Loss -115 12 h 44 m Show

-Pittsburgh hits the road off a Sunday night home loss to Buffalo; drop in class; bounce back here
-offense has faced a strong slate of opposing defenses allowing 22.4 points per game; class relief
-Steelers defense allows 18.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 22.6 points per game

-New York is just 1-2 SU over their last 3 games after winning their previous 3 games; poor form

-offense is averaging just 4.9 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play
-Jets defense gives up 24.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 21.6 points per game

9* Play STEELERS (-).

12-21-19 Rams v. 49ers OVER 44 31-34 Win 100 17 h 34 m Show

-Los Angeles comes in off an ugly loss in Dallas; they’ve scored 83 points in their last 3 games
-offense averages 25.9 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 23.2 points per game
-Rams defense has given up 108 total points over their last 4 games; in terrible current form

-San Francisco is back at home after a terrible loss to Atlanta; expect a big bounce back effort
-offense is averaging 32.1 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 24.2 points per game

-49ers defense has given up 95 total points over their last 3 games; not in good current form

9* Play OVER the total.

12-16-19 Colts v. Saints -8.5 7-34 Win 100 7 h 40 m Show

-Indianapolis has lost 3 straight games and 5 of their last 6 games overall; too many injuries
-offense is averaging 5.1 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play
-Colts allowing 24 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 22.4 points per game

-New Orleans is back at home for another game after losing to the 49ers last week; big effort
-offense is averaging 6.6 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play
-Saints defense allows 22.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 24.6 points per game

9* Play SAINTS (-).

12-15-19 Bills +1 v. Steelers 17-10 Win 100 19 h 38 m Show

-Buffalo comes in off a 24-17 home loss to Baltimore; expect a big bounce back effort tonight
-offense is averaging 23 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 23 points per game
-Bills defense allows just 5.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

-Pittsburgh has been fortunate to face a string of bad teams with poor defenses; step-up in class
-offense is averaging just 5.1 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play
-Steelers defense has been good all season; they’ll face a mobile quarterback here; bad matchup

9* Play BILLS (+).

12-15-19 Browns -3 v. Cardinals 24-38 Loss -100 14 h 25 m Show

-Cleveland is 4-1 SU over their last 5 games after losing their previous 4 games; in good form
-offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play
-Browns defense allows 21.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 22.6 ppg

-Arizona has lost 6 straight games by an average of 11.8 points per game; in terrible current form
-offense averages 20 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 23.2 points per game
-Cardinals give up 30 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 24.8 points per game

9* Play BROWNS (-).

12-15-19 Vikings v. Chargers +1 39-10 Loss -100 14 h 24 m Show

-Minnesota is just 3-2 SU over their last 5 games; 1-2 in their last 3 road games; bad favorite
-offense completes 63.7% of their passes on the road vs. defenses that allow 64.3% completions

-Vikings defense allows 23.4 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 21.9 ppg

-Los Angeles returns home off a 45-10 win at Jacksonville; positive momentum will carry over
-offense is averaging a solid 6.3 yards per play vs. defenses that allow 5.8 yards per play
-Chargers defense allows 19.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 21.2 points per game

9* Play CHARGERS (+).

12-15-19 Texans v. Titans OVER 51.5 24-21 Loss -102 11 h 20 m Show

-Houston hits the road off an ugly home loss to Denver; expect a much better performance here
-offense is averaging 6.4 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play

-Texans defense allows 6.6 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-Tennessee has won 4 straight games while scoring 31 points or more in each game; terrific form
-offense is averaging 6.4 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.9 yards per play
-Titans defense allows 5.7 yards per play vs. offenses that also average 5.7 yards per play

10* Play OVER the total.

12-12-19 Jets v. Ravens OVER 45 21-42 Win 100 7 h 52 m Show

-New York is 4-1 over their last 5 games; they’ve scored 22 points or more in 4 of those games
-offense has been more efficient since quarterback Sam Darnold has returned; more of the same
-Jets allowing 25.8 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 20.2 points per game

-Baltimore returns home off a road win in Buffalo; taking a huge step-down in defensive class
-offense is averaging 6.3 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.7 yards per play

-Ravens defense allows 6.2 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

10* Play OVER the total.

12-09-19 Giants +9.5 v. Eagles 17-23 Win 100 7 h 57 m Show

-New York hits the road on an 8-game losing streak; last 3 road losses by 7 points or less
-offense is averaging 5.7 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play
-Giants allow 91.2 rushing yards per game on the road vs. offenses that average 107.7 rypg

-Philadelphia has lost 3 straight games and 5 of their last 7 games overall; laying too many points
-offense is averaging 5.2 yards per play at home vs. defenses that are giving up 5.6 yards per play
-Eagles defense allows 23.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 21.8 points per game

10* Play GIANTS (+).

12-08-19 Seahawks v. Rams OVER 47.5 12-28 Loss -107 23 h 26 m Show

-Seattle has scored 27 points or more in 4 of their 5 games this season; more of the same here
-offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.7 yards per play
-Seahawks defense has given up 30, 24, and 34 points in 3 of their last 4 games; in poor form

-Los Angeles had a terrible offensive performance in their last home game (6 points); big effort
-offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.7 yards per play

-Rams are allowing 27.2 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 23.6 points per game

9* Play OVER the total.

12-08-19 Chiefs v. Patriots -3 23-16 Loss -109 20 h 33 m Show

-Kansas City is just 4-4 SU over their last 8 games; won 40-9 off their bye last week; class jump
-offense is averaging just 94.5 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that give up 110.3 rypg

-Chiefs defense allows 6.3 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

-New England comes into this game off a bad loss in Houston; expect a big bounce back at home
-offense is averaging 27.6 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 22.7 points per game
-Patriots defense allows just 4.7 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

9* Play PATRIOTS (-).

12-08-19 Titans v. Raiders OVER 47.5 42-21 Win 100 20 h 32 m Show

-Tennessee has won 3 straight games after going 3-5 over their previous 8 games; in good form
-offense is averaging 36 points per game over their last 3 games; continues here vs. a bad defense
-Titans defense allows 5.7 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-Oakland returns home off back-to-back blowout road losses; scored just 12 points; bounce back
-offense is averaging 6.1 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play

-Raiders defense allows 27 points per game vs. offenses that average just 22.1 points per game

10* Play OVER the total.

12-08-19 49ers +2.5 v. Saints 48-46 Win 100 16 h 8 m Show

-San Francisco comes in off a loss in Baltimore; did not fly back home; huge conference game
-offense is averaging 29.1 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 24.1 points per game
-49ers defense allows just 4.6 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-New Orleans has played an extremely easy schedule as of late; big step-up in class; tough test
-offense averages 24.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 24.8 points per game
-Saints defense has given up 57 total points in their last 2 home games; expect more of the same

9* Play 49ERS (+).

12-05-19 Cowboys -3 v. Bears 24-31 Loss -103 8 h 32 m Show

-Dallas has lost 2 straight games with their last being an ugly home loss; extra rest; bounce back
-offense is averaging 6.7 yards per play vs. defenses that only allow 5.7 yards per play
-Cowboys allow 19.2 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 21.4 points per game

-Chicago is 3-1 over their last 4 games, but they’ve faced 2 backup quarterbacks in those wins
-offense is averaging just 17.7 points per game vs. defenses that allow 23.2 points per game
-Bears defense has faced a terrible collection of offenses this season (21.6 ppg); step-up in class

10* Play COWBOYS (-).

12-02-19 Vikings v. Seahawks OVER 48.5 30-37 Win 100 7 h 32 m Show

-Minnesota has scored 27 points or more in 5 of their 7 games this season; more of the same
-offense is averaging 6.3 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play
-Vikings defense has given up 23, 24, and 26 points in their last 3 games; in poor current form

-Seattle returns home off a terrible offensive performance; scored just 17 points; big effort here
-offense is averaging 6.3 yards per play at home vs. defenses that are giving up 5.7 yards per play

-Seahawks allow 29.2 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 23.7 points per game

10* Play OVER the total.

12-01-19 Patriots v. Texans OVER 46 22-28 Win 100 17 h 29 m Show

-New England comes into this game off 3 straight bad offensive games; must trade points to win
-offense is averaging 27.3 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 22.7 points per game 
-Patriots defense historically has trouble with mobile quarterbacks; facing a dual threat tonight

-Houston comes in with extra rest after last playing on Thursday; expect an offensive game plan
-offense averages 24.6 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 22.8 points per game

-Texans defense is allowing 6.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

9* Play OVER the total.

12-01-19 Raiders +11 v. Chiefs 9-40 Loss -105 14 h 35 m Show

-Oakland was in a terrible spot last week, and they lost as expected; divisional rematch here
-offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play
-Raiders had held their previous 4 opponents to 27 points or less before last week; bounce back

-Kansas City comes into this game off a bye; alternated wins and losses over their last 6 games
-offense is built on an explosive passing game, but bad weather is expected with 20+ mph winds
-Chiefs allowing 26.4 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 23 points per game

9* Play RAIDERS (+).

12-01-19 Packers -6 v. Giants 31-13 Win 100 10 h 11 m Show

-Green Bay comes in off an embarrassing 37-8 loss in San Francisco; class relief; bounce back
-offense is averaging 23.5 points per game vs. defenses that give up 21.3 points per game
-Packers defense allows 22.0 points per game vs. offenses that average 23.1 points per game

-New York is in free fall; they’ve lost 7 straight games by an average of 11.6 points per game
-offense averages 17.4 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 21.4 points per game

-Giants defense is allowing 6.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

10* Play PACKERS (-).

12-01-19 49ers v. Ravens OVER 44.5 17-20 Loss -109 10 h 11 m Show

-San Francisco has scored 24 points or more in their last 5 games; in excellent current form
-offense averages 30.2 points per game vs. defenses that give up 25.1 points per game

-49ers defense has given up 25 points or more in their last 3 of their last 4 games; in bad form

-Baltimore has scored 23 points or more in all 11 of their games this season; more of the same
-offense is averaging 35.1 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 23.5 points per game 
-Ravens defense allows 6.1 yards per play at home vs offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

9* Play OVER the total.

11-28-19 Saints v. Falcons OVER 48 26-18 Loss -108 9 h 7 m Show

-New Orleans has scored 68 points in their last 2 games since scoring 9 points against Atlanta

-offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play

-Saints defense has given up 25 points or more in 3 of their last 5 games; in poor current form

-Atlanta is 2-1 over their last 3 games; their overall team health has gotten much better recently

-offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play            

-Falcons allow 28.6 points per game at home vs. offenses that average just 24.1 points per game

9* Play OVER as a 3% play.

 

11-28-19 Bills v. Cowboys OVER 47 26-15 Loss -102 5 h 18 m Show

-Buffalo has played at a much faster pace over their last 2 games; expect that to continue here
-offense averages 5.9 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that only allow 5.8 yards per play
-Bills defense allows 65.4% pass completions on the road vs. offenses that complete 61.4%

-Dallas returns home off a terrible performance in New England; weather issues; bounce back
-offense averages 30.2 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 23.3 points per game

-Cowboys allow 5.5 yards per play at home vs. defenses that only average 5.4 yards per play

10* Play OVER the total.

11-25-19 Ravens v. Rams +3.5 45-6 Loss -110 8 h 35 m Show

-Baltimore hits the road on a 6-game winning streak; bad road spot traveling West in primetime
-offense has scored 30 points or more in their last 4 games; major regression coming tonight
-Ravens defense allows 5.8 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

-Los Angeles is 3-1 after going thru a 3-game losing streak; back-to-back home games; big edge
-offense is averaging 24.3 points per game vs. defenses that are giving up 22.9 points per game
-Rams defense allows just 4.8 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

10* Play RAMS (+).

11-24-19 Packers v. 49ers OVER 47.5 8-37 Loss -110 28 h 34 m Show

-Green Bay comes into this game fresh and ready off their bye week; must trade points to win
-offense is averaging 25 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 21.9 points per game 
-Packers defense allows 6.5 yards per play on the road vs offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

-San Francisco has scored 24 points or more in their last 4 games; in excellent current form
-offense averages 33.2 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 25.6 points per game

-49ers defense has given up 25 points or more in their last 3 games; in terrible current form

9* Play OVER the total.

11-24-19 Broncos +4 v. Bills 3-20 Loss -107 20 h 15 m Show

-Denver is 1-2 over their last 3 games, but they’ve played much better; losses by 6 total points
-offense has scored 24 and 23 points in their last 2 games; much improved production continues
-Broncos defense allows just 5.3 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

-Buffalo has alternated wins and losses over their last 5 games; off a big road win; regression
-offense averages 19.8 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 24.5 points per game

-Bills defense allows 4.4 yards per rush at home vs. offenses that only average 3.9 yards per rush

9* Play BRONCOS (+).

11-24-19 Raiders v. Jets +3 3-34 Win 101 20 h 15 m Show

-Oakland has played their last 3 games at home; first road game in a month; terrible spot
-offense has scored just 43 total points in their last 2 games; look to be tailing off; bad form
-Raiders allow 29.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 21.9 points per game

-New York has won their last 2 games; coming into form now that they are healthy; momentum
-offense is in terrific current form with Sam Darnold back at QB; 68 points in their last 2 games
-Jets defense allows just 5.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

10* Play JETS (+).

11-24-19 Seahawks v. Eagles -1 17-9 Loss -100 13 h 51 m Show

-Seattle comes into this game off their bye; won 3 games prior to the time off; lost momentum
-offense has faced some of the worst defensive teams on the road this season; big jump in class
-Seahawks defense allows 6.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-Philadelphia is off an expected home loss to New England; back-to-back home games; big effort
-offense averages 23.8 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 20.8 points per game

-Eagles allow 18.2 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 22.2 points per game

9* Play EAGLES (-).

11-21-19 Colts +3.5 v. Texans 17-20 Win 100 5 h 12 m Show

-Indianapolis hits the road off an easy home win; already beat Houston this season; easy prep
-offense is rushing for 172.2 yards per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 116.2 rypg
-Colts defense allows 20.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 20.8 points per game

-Houston returns home off a blowout loss in Baltimore; dealing with a lot of injuries; bad spot
-offense scored just 7 points last week; QB Deshaun Watson is dealing with an ankle sprain
-Texans defense is allowing 6.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play

10* Play COLTS (+).

11-18-19 Chiefs v. Chargers OVER 52.5 24-17 Loss -102 6 h 35 m Show

-Kansas City has scored 24 points or more in 9 of their 10 games this season; more of the same
-offense is averaging 6.7 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.9 yards per play
-Chiefs allow 6.4 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play

-San Diego has scored 50 total points in their last 2 games; in good current form; continues here
-offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play

-Chargers defense allows 5.8 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 5.5 yards per play

9* Play OVER the total.

11-17-19 Bears v. Rams -6 7-17 Win 100 16 h 24 m Show

-Chicago was fortunate to face Detroit without QB Matthew Stafford last week; bad road spot
-offense is averaging 18 points per game vs. defenses that are giving up 22 points per game
-Bears defense gave up 24 and 36 points to the last 2 passing offenses they faced; bad matchup

-Los Angeles returns home off an ugly road loss in Pittsburgh; expect a big bounce back tonight
-offense is averaging 25.1 points per game vs. defenses that are giving up 24.1 points per game
-Rams defense allows just 5.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

9* Play RAMS (-).

11-17-19 Patriots -4.5 v. Eagles 17-10 Win 101 12 h 29 m Show

-New England comes into this game fresh and ready off their bye; lost their previous game
-offense is averaging 30.0 points per game vs. defenses that allow 24.1 points per game
-Patriots defense allows just 4.6 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.2 yards per play

-Philadelphia also comes into this game off their bye; won 2 games prior; bad timing for time off
-offense is averaging just 5.4 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.6 yards per play

-Eagles defense allows 23.7 points per game vs. offenses that only average 20.9 points per game

9* Play PATRIOTS (-).

11-17-19 Falcons v. Panthers -4 29-3 Loss -110 9 h 5 m Show

-Atlanta comes in off their big upset win in New Orleans; back-to-back road games; terrible spot
-offense is only averaging 21.2 points per game vs. defenses that give up 22.1 points per game
-Falcons allow 30.2 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 24.1 points per game

-Carolina returns home off a road loss in Green Bay; all 5 wins have come by 6 points or more
-offense averages 26.2 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 23.1 points per game
-Panthers defense allows 5.8 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

9* Play PANTHERS (-).

11-17-19 Texans v. Ravens OVER 51 7-41 Loss -109 9 h 5 m Show

-Houston comes into this game fresh and ready off their bye week; must trade points to win here
-offense is averaging 27 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 23.1 points per game 
-Texans defense allows 6.4 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play

-Baltimore has scored 30 points or more in their last 3 games; team is in excellent current form
-offense is averaging 33.3 points per game vs. defenses that give up just 24.3 points per game

-Ravens defense allows 6.5 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

10* Play OVER the total.

11-14-19 Steelers v. Browns UNDER 41.5 7-21 Win 100 5 h 33 m Show

-Pittsburgh hits the road on a short week after an upset home win over the Rams; bad road spot
-offense is averaging 4.9 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play
-Steelers defense is allowing just 20.1 points per game on a strong 5.3 yards per play this season

-Cleveland comes in off a home win over Buffalo for their 3rd win of the season; regression
-offense is averaging just 18.2 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 19.4 ppg

-Browns defense allows just 61% pass completions at home vs. offenses that complete 64.3%

10* Play UNDER the total.

11-11-19 Seahawks v. 49ers OVER 47 27-24 Win 100 6 h 6 m Show

-Seattle has scored 27 points or more in 7 of their last 8 games; expect more of the same here
-offense averages 28.5 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 24.9 points per game 
-Seahawks give up 6.4 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-San Francisco has scored 79 points in their last 2 games; 24, 31, and 51 points scored at home
-offense is averaging 6.3 yards per play at home vs. defenses that are giving up 5.9 yards per play

-49ers defense has faced a bad collection of offenses that average 21.1 ppg; big step-up in class 

10* Play OVER the total.

11-10-19 Vikings v. Cowboys OVER 48 28-24 Win 100 19 h 16 m Show

-Minnesota has scored 23 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games; in excellent current form
-offense is averaging 6.4 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 6.0 yards per play
-Vikings allow 68.2% pass completions vs. offenses that only complete 66% of their passes

-Dallas comes into this game off back-to-back 37-point outbursts; at home; another good game
-offense is averaging 31.7 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 25.4 points per game
-Cowboys defense allows 5.6 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.3 yards per play

9* Play OVER the total.

11-10-19 Panthers v. Packers OVER 47.5 16-24 Loss -110 15 h 22 m Show

-Carolina has scored 30 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games; expect more of the same here
-offense is averaging 26.1 points per game vs. defenses that allow 23.2 points per game 
-Panthers allow 26.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 25.0 points per game

-Green Bay comes in off an ugly loss in Los Angeles; scored just 11 points; big bounce back
-offense is averaging 6.6 yards per play at home vs. defenses that are giving up 5.7 yards per play

-Packers defense allows 6.3 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play

10* Play OVER the total.

11-10-19 Rams -4 v. Steelers 12-17 Loss -109 15 h 22 m Show

-Los Angeles comes into this game fresh and ready off their bye; big scheduling advantage here
-offense averages 28.0 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 24.7 points per game
-Rams defense allows just 5.3 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

-Pittsburgh comes into this game off 3 wins over injury-filled team; major step-up in class now
-offense is averaging just 5.2 yards per play vs. defenses that allow a bad 5.9 yards per play

-Steelers defense allows 67.3% pass completions at home vs. offenses that only complete 64.5%

9* Play RAMS (-).

11-10-19 Cardinals +4.5 v. Bucs 27-30 Win 100 12 h 58 m Show

-Arizona comes in off back-to-back losses; they’ve had extra time to prepare; big bounce back
-offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 6.0 yards per play
-Cardinals defense allows 24.5 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 24.4 ppg

-Tampa Bay returns home off a blown win in overtime in Seattle; terrible hangover spot now
-offense averages 3.8 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that give up 4.4 rushing yards per play
-Buccaneers allow 31.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 24.8 points per game

9* Play CARDINALS (+).

11-07-19 Chargers v. Raiders OVER 48 24-26 Win 100 5 h 59 m Show

-Los Angeles has faced a difficult schedule of defenses lately; big step-down in class tonight
-offense is averaging 6.3 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play
-Chargers allow 5.9 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

-Oakland has scored 24 points or more in their last 5 games; 3 of those games were on the road
-offense is averaging 6.3 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play

-Raiders defense allows 27.0 points per game vs. offenses that average 23.5 points per game

9* Play OVER the total.

11-04-19 Cowboys v. Giants UNDER 49 37-18 Loss -110 4 h 30 m Show

-Dallas comes into this game fresh off a bye; scored 37 points in previous game; bad road spot
-offense is averaging just 21 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 24.9 ppg

-Cowboys defense allows 17.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 18.7 points per game

-New York is one of the worst teams in the NFL; 2-6 SU on the season; don’t expect much here
-offense is averaging just 5.0 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.6 yards per play
-Giants allow 21.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 23.9 points per game

9* Play UNDER the total.

11-03-19 Patriots v. Ravens OVER 44.5 20-37 Win 100 20 h 15 m Show

-New England has scored a total of 128 points over their last 4 games; in excellent current form
-offense is averaging 31.2 points per game vs. defenses that are giving up 25.3 points per game
-Patriots defense has faced terrible offenses that only average 15.6 points per game; big class rise 

-Baltimore comes into this game fresh and ready off their bye; home dogs; need to score points
-offense is averaging 30.6 points per game vs. defenses that are giving up 25.3 points per game
-Ravens defense allows 6.9 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

9* Play OVER the total.

11-03-19 Lions v. Raiders OVER 51 24-31 Win 100 16 h 1 m Show

-Detroit has scored 30 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games; expect more of the same here
-offense is averaging 25.7 points per game vs. defenses that allow 22.7 points per game 
-Lions defense allows 26.6 points per game vs. offenses that only average 24.0 points per game

-Oakland has scored 24 points or more in their last 4 games; 3 of those games were on the road
-offense is averaging 6.3 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.7 yards per play

-Raiders defense allows 27.4 points per game vs. offenses that average 23.5 points per game

10* Play OVER the total.

11-03-19 Bucs +5 v. Seahawks 34-40 Loss -106 16 h 0 m Show

-Tampa Bay thoroughly out-played the Titans in Tennessee last week but lost; strong effort here
-offense averages 29.6 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 21.5 points per game
-Buccaneers defense allows 5.6 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-Seattle comes into this game off an easy win over a decimated Falcons team; tougher test now
-offense is averaging 23.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 24.4 points per game
-Seahawks defense allows 6.4 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

9* Play BUCCANEERS (+).

11-03-19 Titans v. Panthers -3.5 20-30 Win 100 13 h 56 m Show

-Tennessee hits the road off back-to-back home wins; both wins were very fortunate; bad spot
-offense is averaging 5.3 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.7 yards per play
-Titans defense allows 65.8% pass completions on the road vs. offenses that complete 63.4%

-Carolina returns home off an ugly 38-point loss in San Francisco; expect a big bounce back
-offense is averaging 25.6 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 23.8 points per game
-Panthers defense allows just 5.4 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play

9* Play PANTHERS (-).

10-31-19 49ers v. Cardinals +10 28-25 Win 100 6 h 12 m Show

-San Francisco hits the road on a short week off a blowout home win; 3rd road game in 4 weeks
-offense is averaging 5.5 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play
-49ers defenses has faced bad offenses that only average 21.2 points per game; tougher test here

-Arizona returns home off back-to-back road games with last a blowout loss; bounce back effort
-offense is completing 65.1% of their passes at home vs. defenses that allow 63.8% completions
-Cardinals defense isn’t all that great, but the low posted total (43) indicates some success here

10* Play CARDINALS (+).

10-28-19 Dolphins v. Steelers UNDER 43.5 14-27 Win 100 5 h 52 m Show

-Miami is the worst team in the NFL; tanking by trading their best players; don’t expect much
-offense is averaging just 4.6 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play
-Dolphins allow 60.3% completions on the road vs. offenses that complete 65.3% of their passes

-Pittsburgh comes into this game fresh off a bye; Mason Rudolph back at QB; need time to gel
-offense is averaging just 5.2 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play

-Steelers defense allows 4.6 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

10* Play UNDER the total.

10-27-19 Packers v. Chiefs OVER 47.5 31-24 Win 100 18 h 11 m Show

-Green Bay has scored 23 points or more in their last 5 games; expect more of the same here
-offense averages 26.3 points per game vs. defenses that allow just 21.7 points per game 
-Packers defense allows 6.5 yards per play on the road vs offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

-Kansas City will be without QB Patrick Mahomes, but HC Andy Reid’s scheme is QB friendly
-offense is averaging 6.8 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 6.1 yards per play

-Chiefs defense allows 26 points per game at home vs offenses that average 23.3 points per game

9* Play OVER the total.

10-27-19 Panthers +5.5 v. 49ers 13-51 Loss -115 14 h 56 m Show

-Carolina comes into this game fresh and ready off their bye; team is healthier too; big effort
-offense averages 30.3 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 26.2 points per game
-Panthers allow just 4.9 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play 

-San Francisco returns home off back-to-back road wins; last a shutout in Washington; flat spot
-offense has scored 29 total points in their last 2 games; injuries; expect similar production here
-49ers defense certainly has a stout unit, but they’ve played soft opponents with limited offenses 

9* Play PANTHERS (+).

10-27-19 Bucs +2.5 v. Titans 23-27 Loss -104 11 h 53 m Show

-Tampa Bay comes into this game fresh off their bye; back-to-back losses prior; big effort here
-offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.4 yards per play
-Buccaneers defense allows just 68 rushing yards per game vs. offenses that average 124.2 rypg

-Tennessee won last week after Los Angeles fumbled the game-winning touchdown; lucky win
-offense is averaging 5.4 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play
-Titans defense has faced a terrible group of offenses that only average 20.2 ppg; class jump now

10* Play BUCCANEERS (+).

10-27-19 Chargers v. Bears -3.5 17-16 Loss -109 11 h 52 m Show

-Los Angeles remains one of the most injured teams in the league; back-to-back road game
-offense averages 20 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 23.6 points per game
-Chargers defense allows 6.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play  

-Chicago comes into this game off back-to-back losses; last at home; big step down in class here
-offense averages 66.8% pass completions vs. defenses that allow 65.8% completions per game
-Bears defense allows just 17.3 points per game on 4.9 yards per play at home this season 

9* Play BEARS (-).

10-24-19 Redskins +17 v. Vikings 9-19 Win 100 5 h 42 m Show

-Washington has one win over a putrid Miami team; expect a bounce back off a shutout loss
-offense is averaging 5.5 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play
-Redskins allow 5.4 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

-Minnesota has won 3 straight after losing in Chicago; last was an important divisional game
-offense has scored 80 total points in their last 2 games; definitely facing regression tonight
-Vikings defense allows 5.8 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

10* Play REDSKINS (+).

10-21-19 Patriots v. Jets UNDER 43 33-0 Win 100 4 h 27 m Show

-New England is one of two unbeaten teams left; 5-0 on the season; extra rest coming in
-offense is averaging 5.4 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play
-Patriots defense is allowing just 8 points per game on a strong 4.4 yards per play this season

-New York comes in off a home upset win over Dallas for their first win of the season; regression
-offense is averaging just 4.3 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.4 yards per play

-Jets defense is allowing just 5.6 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play

10* Play UNDER the total.

10-20-19 Eagles +3 v. Cowboys 10-37 Loss -119 19 h 0 m Show

-Philadelphia comes in off an ugly road loss in Minnesota; important divisional game here
-offense is averaging 26.8 points per game vs. defenses that are giving up 23.6 points per game
-Eagles defense allows just 72.8 rushing yards per game vs. offenses that average 98.6 rypg

-Dallas has lost 3 games in a row, and there seems to be a lot of tension throughout the team
-offense is averaging 25.5 points per game vs. defenses that are giving up 25.8 points per game
-Cowboys defense allows 5.6 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.2 yards per play

9* Play EAGLES (+).

10-20-19 Ravens v. Seahawks OVER 48 30-16 Loss -110 15 h 6 m Show

-Baltimore has scored 23 points or more in all 5 of their games this season; more of the same
-offense averages 37.7 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 26.7 points per game 
-Ravens defense allows 6.5 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 5.6 yards per play

-Seattle has scored 27 points or more in all 5 of their games this season; more of the same
-offense is averaging 6.3 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 6.0 yards per play

-Seahawks allow 27.3 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 21 points per game

10* Play OVER the total.

10-20-19 Cardinals v. Giants -3 27-21 Loss -119 12 h 42 m Show

-Arizona comes in off a 34-33 home win; now on the East Coast for the 2nd time in 3 weeks
-offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 6.2 yards per play
-Cardinals defense allows 28.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 24.7 points per game

-New York returns home off an ugly loss in New England; extra rest; big step-down in class
-offense is averaging 5.7 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.3 yards per play
-Giants allow just 19.7 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 24 points per game

9* Play GIANTS (-).

10-20-19 Texans v. Colts -1 23-30 Win 100 12 h 42 m Show

-Houston won in Kansas City last week as underdogs; won 53-32 week before at home; flat spot
-offense has scored 84 total points in their last 2 games; don’t expect similar production here
-Texans defense allows 6.8 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 6.1 yards per play

-Indianapolis comes into this game fresh and ready off their bye; team is healthier too; big effort
-offense is averaging 25.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 22.4 points per game
-Colts defense was ravaged by injuries earlier this season; numbers got skewed; better unit now 

9* Play COLTS (-).

10-17-19 Chiefs v. Broncos OVER 49 30-6 Loss -105 6 h 18 m Show

-Kansas City comes in off 2 consecutive bad offensive games; healthier here; bounce back effort
-offense is averaging 28.7 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 23.1 points per game 
-Chiefs defense allows 6.8 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play

-Denver has won their last 2 games after opening the season at 0-3; positive momentum here
-offense hasn’t been good this season, but they’ve faced strong defenses (19.1 ppg); drop in class

-Broncos defense is missing their best cornerback for this game; bad matchup against the Chiefs

9* Play OVER the total.

10-14-19 Lions +3.5 v. Packers 22-23 Win 100 4 h 46 m Show

-Detroit comes in off their first loss of the season; extra time to prepare off a bye; good spot
-offense averages 27 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 24.2 points per game
-Lions defense allows 5.3 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 6.1 yards per play

-Green Bay is 4-1 on the season against a soft schedule; missing their best receiver; tough game
-offense is averaging just 93 rushing yards per game on a weak 3.7 yards per rush; all passing
-Packers defense is allowing 6.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

9* Play LIONS (+).

10-13-19 Steelers v. Chargers -6 24-17 Loss -109 19 h 4 m Show

-Pittsburgh hits the road off an overtime home loss to Baltimore; key injuries; new quarterback
-offense is averaging just 5.3 yards per play vs. defenses that allow 5.8 yards per play
-Steelers allow 6.5 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play

-Los Angeles comes in off an ugly home loss to Denver; team is getting healthier; bounce back
-offense is completing 68.7% of their pass attempts vs. defenses that give up 66.4% completions
-Chargers defense allows 18.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 19.5 points per game

9* Play CHARGERS (-).

10-13-19 Titans +1.5 v. Broncos 0-16 Loss -104 15 h 10 m Show

-Tennessee hits the road off an ugly home loss to Buffalo; stepping way down in defensive class
-offense has played much better on the road; averaging 5.1 points per game more than average
-Titans defense is allowing 5.6 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play

-Denver was in a great spot for their win Los Angeles last week; just the opposite this week
-offense is averaging just 18 points per game vs. defenses that give up 19.9 points per game
-Broncos defense allows 5.7 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

10* Play TITANS (+).

10-13-19 Seahawks v. Browns 32-28 Loss -109 12 h 46 m Show

-Seattle comes in off a fortunate home win over the Rams; now on the road on the East Coast
-offense has 3 key injuries on their offensive line; inability to run and pass protect hurts here
-Seahawks defense is allowing 6.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-Cleveland returns home off an ugly loss in San Francisco; big step-down in offensive class
-offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.7 yards per play
-Browns defense allows just 61.3% pass completions at home vs. offenses that complete 65%

9* Play BROWNS.

10-13-19 Saints v. Jaguars -3 13-6 Loss -104 12 h 46 m Show

-New Orleans has won 3 straight games since Drew Brees went out with injury; streak ends here
-offense is averaging 21 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 24 points per game
-Saints defense allows 6.7 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 6.4 yards per play

-Jacksonville returns home off a road loss in Carolina; just their 3rd home game; big effort
-offense is averaging a strong 6.6 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.6 yards per play
-Jaguars defense is allowing just 59.9% pass completions and only 3.9 yards per rush at home   

9* Play JAGUARS (-).

10-07-19 Browns v. 49ers -4.5 3-31 Win 100 4 h 45 m Show

-Cleveland is 2-2 on the season after alternating wins and losses; off a win in Baltimore; bad spot
-offense is averaging 22.2 points per game vs. defenses that give up 23.0 points per game
-Browns defense is allowing 5.8 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 5.5 yards per play

-San Francisco is a perfect 3-0 on the season; coming in off their bye; good scheduling spot
-offense is averaging 32.0 points per game vs. defenses that give up 26.5 points per game
-49ers defense is allowing 4.9 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

9* Play 49ERS (-).

10-06-19 Colts v. Chiefs -11 19-13 Loss -100 17 h 18 m Show

-Indianapolis hits the road off a home loss to Oakland; still dealing with some key injuries
-offense is averaging just 5.5 yards per play vs. defenses that allow 5.9 yards per play
-Colts defense is allowing 6.5 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.1 yards per play

-Kansas City is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS on the season; another good spot and easy matchup here
-offense is averaging 33.7 points per game on a whopping 7.4 yards per play this season
-Chiefs defense allows just 23.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 24.7 points per game

9* Play CHIEFS (-).

10-06-19 Broncos +5.5 v. Chargers 20-13 Win 100 13 h 4 m Show

-Denver is 0-4 SU on the season, but two of those losses were by just 2 points each; undervalued
-offense is completing 66.2% of their passes vs. defenses that only give up 63% completions
-Broncos allow 87.5 rushing yards per game on the road vs. offenses that average 109.4 rypg

-Los Angeles is one of the most injured teams in the league; overvalued after big win over Miami
-offense is averaging just 22.5 points per game vs. defenses that give up 27.4 points per game
-Chargers defense is allowing 6.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

10* Play BRONCOS (+).

10-06-19 Jaguars +3.5 v. Panthers 27-34 Loss -118 10 h 0 m Show

-Jacksonville is 2-0 SU and ATS with Gardner Minshew at quarterback; still undervalued
-offense is averaging a strong 6.5 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 6.0 yards per play
-Jaguars allow 5.6 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 6.2 yards per play   

-Carolina comes in as one of the most injured teams in the league; bad spot and matchup now
-offense is averaging 20.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 26.1 points per game
-Panthers allow 25.0 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 24.5 points per game

9* Play JAGUARS (+).

10-06-19 Vikings -5.5 v. Giants 28-10 Win 100 10 h 60 m Show

-Minnesota comes in off an ugly loss in Chicago; taking a huge step-down in defensive class
-offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.5 yards per play
-Vikings defense allows just 5.0 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

-New York comes in off back-to-back wins over 2 bad defensive teams; big step-up in class here
-offense is averaging 19 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 22.1 points per game
-Giants defense is allowing 6.5 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.1 yards per play

9* Play VIKINGS (-).

10-03-19 Rams +1.5 v. Seahawks 29-30 Win 100 5 h 9 m Show

-Los Angeles comes in off an embarrassing home loss to Tampa Bay; expect a big bounce back

-offense is averaging 29.2 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 23.8 points per game

-Rams defense allows just 5.3 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

-Seattle is 3-1 on the season, but their record is phony; the numbers below will clearly show that

-offense is only averaging 6.2 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 6.3 yards per play

-Seahawks defense allows 22.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 18.2 points per game

9* Play RAMS (+).

09-30-19 Bengals v. Steelers -3 3-27 Win 100 6 h 29 m Show

-Cincinnati is 0-3 on the season while losing by a combined score of 83-54; bad team all around
-offense is averaging 18 points per game while gaining just 2.4 yards per rush; ugly numbers
-Bengals defense is allowing 6.6 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.1 yards per play

-Pittsburgh is also 0-3 on the season; their opponents own a 10-1 combined record; class relief
-offense scored 26 points on 5.2 yards per play in their lone home game this season; capable unit
-Steelers defense is taking a big step-down here after facing offenses that average 29.4 ppg

10* Play STEELERS (-).

09-29-19 Cowboys -2.5 v. Saints 10-12 Loss -110 11 h 54 m Show

-Dallas is 3-0 SU and ATS on the season; the schedule has been perfect; another good spot here
-offense is averaging 32.3 points per game on a whopping 7.5 yards per play this season
-Cowboys defense allows just 14.7 points per game on 5.5 yards per play; face a limited offense

-New Orleans returns home off a 2 week West Coast trip; off a win in Seattle, this is a flat spot
-offense is simply not the same without QB Drew Brees; Teddy Bridgewater hasn’t looked good
-Saints defense is allowing 7.0 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.1 yards per play

9* Play COWBOYS (-).

09-29-19 Vikings +1 v. Bears 6-16 Loss -109 7 h 60 m Show

-Minnesota is already 0-1 in division play with a loss at Green Bay; this is a big game
-offense is averaging 6.5 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.8 yards per play
-Vikings defense is allowing just 15.7 points per game on 5.3 yards per play this season

-Chicago comes in off a big win in Washington on Monday night; that was a turnover-aided win
-offense is averaging just 4.8 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.9 yards per play
-Bears defense has strong numbers, but they’ve faced 3 struggling offenses; big step-up in class

9* Play VIKINGS (+).

09-29-19 Raiders +6.5 v. Colts 31-24 Win 100 4 h 36 m Show

-Oakland comes in off back-to-back losses after winning their season opener; bounce back here
-offense is averaging is still averaging a solid 5.9 yards per play despite the recent setbacks
-Raiders defense is taking a big step-down in class after just facing the Chiefs and Vikings   

-Indianapolis has an opposite pattern; they’ve won their last 2 games after losing Game 1
-offense is only averaging 23.3 points per game; likely without their best player T.Y. Hilton
-Colts defense is allowing 6.7 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.2 yards per play

10* Play RAIDERS (+).

09-29-19 Patriots v. Bills +7 16-10 Win 100 4 h 35 m Show

-New England is a perfect 3-0 on the season after playing a terrible schedule; tough road game
-offense is averaging 6.1 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 6.6 yards per play; bad numbers
-Patriots defense has been terrific, but keep in mind their opponents; Steelers, Dolphins, and Jets

-Buffalo is also a perfect 3-0 on the season; at home for a 2nd straight week; big divisional game
-offense is averaging 151.3 rushing yards per game on 4.8 yards per rush; ball control game plan
-Bills defense is allowing just 15.7 points per game on 4.9 yards per play this season; strong unit

9* Play BILLS (+).

09-26-19 Eagles v. Packers -4 34-27 Loss -103 4 h 27 m Show

-Philadelphia is the most injured team in the league right now; on the road on a short week
-offense is only averaging 5.3 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play
-Eagles defense allows 26 points per game vs. offenses that only average 21.1 points per game

-Green Bay is playing at home for the third consecutive week; big scheduling advantage tonight
-offense has scored 48 total points in their 2 home games; expect another good performance here
-Packers defense allows 11.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 19.3 points per game

10* Play PACKERS (-).

09-23-19 Bears v. Redskins +5.5 31-15 Loss -110 4 h 42 m Show

-Chicago should actually be 0-2 on the season, but they got a very fortunate win in Denver
-offense is only averaging 4.5 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play
-Bears defense is definitely the strength of their team; now facing a good offense on the road

-Washington had to face Philadelphia and Dallas in their first 2 games; step-down in class here
-offense is averaging 24 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 20.3 points per game
-Redskins defense is going from offenses that average 28.8 points per game to the Bears 9.5 ppg

9* Play REDSKINS (+).

09-22-19 Rams -3.5 v. Browns 20-13 Win 104 19 h 31 m Show

-Los Angeles is 2-0 on the season without playing their ‘A’ game yet; expect their best here
-offense is averaging 28.5 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 26.3 points per game
-Rams defense allows just 5.1 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 5.8 yards per play

-Cleveland comes in off a Monday night win, but this is a terrible scheduling spot with injuries
-offense has been way out of sync so far this season; averaging just 18 points per game
-Browns defense allows 5.6 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 4.8 yards per play

9* Play RAMS (-).

09-22-19 Saints +5 v. Seahawks 33-27 Win 100 15 h 37 m Show

-New Orleans lost in Los Angeles to the Rams last week; team will rally after losing Drew Brees
-offense had a full week to practice with new QB Teddy Bridgewater; expect more efficiency
-Saints defense faced the Texans and Rams; 2 potent passing offenses; step-down in class here

-Seattle is 2-0 on the season, but that record looks a lot better than it really is; smoke and mirrors
-offense is averaging just 5.8 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 6.9 yards per play
-Seahawks defense has allowed 23 points per game vs offenses that average 16.5 points per game

9* Play SAINTS (+).

09-22-19 Giants +6 v. Bucs 32-31 Win 100 14 h 18 m Show

-New York is 0-2 after facing the Cowboys and Bills to open the season; step-down in class here
-offense will be led by QB Daniel Jones; he’s a much better fit for this team than Eli Manning
-Giants defense will play much better in Game 3; facing a less potent offense in this game

-Tampa Bay won in Carolina last Thursday night as 6.5-point underdogs; now laying points
-offense is averaging just 18.5 points per game on a terrible 4.9 yards per play so far this season
-Buccaneers defense gave up 31 points in their one home game this season; limited film on Jones

10* Play GIANTS (+).

09-22-19 Ravens +6 v. Chiefs 28-33 Win 100 11 h 14 m Show

-Baltimore has a new identity this season; offense is much more explosive; underrated team
-offense is averaging 41 points per game on a whopping 7.6 yards per play so far this season
-Ravens defense allowed just 10 points on a minuscule 4.5 yards per play in their lone road game  

-Kansas City will play their home opener here; 2 blowout wins; stepping way up in class; regress
-offense is one dimensional; averaging just 72 rushing yards per game on 3.0 yards per rush
-Chiefs defense is allowing 6.9 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.3 yards per play

9* Play RAVENS (+).

09-19-19 Titans v. Jaguars +2 7-20 Win 100 4 h 12 m Show

-Tennessee looks better than what they actually are; could be 2-0; blew a home win on Sunday
-offense is only averaging 5.6 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 6.0 yards per play
-Titans defense allows 5.9 yards per play; a more telling sign than their skewed 13 ppg allowed

-Jacksonville had to face Kansas City and Houston in their first 2 games; step-down in class here
-offense might be better with Gardner Minshew at QB; he has played well in place of Nick Foles
-Jaguars defense held two potent offenses below their season averages; face a weak offense now

10* Play JAGUARS (+).

09-16-19 Browns v. Jets +7 23-3 Loss -105 6 h 19 m Show

-Cleveland was terrible in their 43-13 home loss to Tennessee last week; laying too many points
-offense suffered with QB Baker Mayfield throwing 3 interceptions; lack of a running game too
-Browns defense gave up a bad 6.5 yards per play; terrible sign for being a favorite on the road

-New York blew a home win late last week; off that loss expect a strong bounce back effort
-offense will be without QB Sam Darnold due to an illness; line inflated because of his absence
-Jets defense held the Bills to just 3 points thru the first 3 quarters; played a terrific game overall

9* Play JETS (+).

09-15-19 Eagles v. Falcons +2 20-24 Win 100 19 h 59 m Show

-Philadelphia will be a playoff team this season, but this is a terrible scheduling spot with injuries
-offense was way out of sync in the first half last week; they’ll need to trade points in this game
-Eagles defense gave up 8.4 yards per pass attempt and 7.0 yards per play last week; bad sign

-Atlanta had a tough season opening loss on the road in Minnesota; expect bounce back at home
-offense has always performed much better at home in their dome; expect an efficient effort here
-Falcons defense allowed a respectable 5.6 yards per play to the Vikings despite the loss

9* Play FALCONS (+).

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