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Steve Merril NCAA-F Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
01-13-20 Clemson v. LSU OVER 66.5 25-42 Win 100 4 h 12 m Show

-Clemson has scored 21 points or more in all 14 games; 38 points or more in 11 of those games

-offense is averaging a whopping 7.5 yards per play vs. defenses that allow 6.0 yards per play

-Tigers defense faced a terrible schedule of opposing offenses this season; gashed by Ohio State

-LSU has scored 23 points or more in all 14 games; 36 points or more in 13 of those games

-offense is averaging 7.9 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up just 5.8 yards per play

-Tigers defense was worse away from home; gave up 7.7 points per game more than overall

9* Play OVER the total.

01-06-20 Miami-OH +14 v. UL-Lafayette 17-27 Win 100 4 h 11 m Show

-Miami Ohio went 6-1 SU over their final 7 games of the season; team started 2-4; in good form
-offense has faced a difficult schedule of opposing defenses (5.6 yards per play); class relief here
-RedHawks defense allows 5.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

-UL Lafayette lost their last game; a win could have possibly got them a bowl in their home state
-offense has faced a terrible collection of opposing defenses all season (33.1 ppg); tougher test
-Ragin’ Cajuns allow 210 rushing yards per game on the road vs. offenses that average 178 rypg

9* Play MIAMI OHIO (+).

01-03-20 Ohio -7.5 v. Nevada 30-21 Win 100 13 h 27 m Show

-Ohio comes into this game off back-to-back wins by a combined score of 118-27; in good form
-offense is averaging 6.8 yards per play on the road vs defenses that allow 5.8 yards per play
-Bobcats allowing 20.2 points per game on the road vs. offenses averaging 25.6 points per game

-Nevada closed the season by going just 4-4 SU over their final 8 games; facing a bad matchup
-offense averages 18 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 26.7 points per game
-Wolfpack allow 34.3 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 25.3 points per game

9* Play OHIO (-).

01-02-20 Boston College +7.5 v. Cincinnati 6-38 Loss -105 14 h 49 m Show

-Boston College went just 6-6 SU on the season, but 5 of their losses came against bowl teams
-offense is averaging 30.9 points per game vs. defenses that give up 28.8 points per game
-Eagles allow 34.8 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 29.8 points per game 

-Cincinnati went just 2-2 SU over their last 4 games; 2 wins came by a total of 5 points; bad form
-offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play vs. defenses that also give up 5.6 yards per play
-Bearcats allowing 6.2 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

9* Play BOSTON COLLEGE (+).

01-01-20 Wisconsin v. Oregon +3 27-28 Win 100 15 h 32 m Show

-Wisconsin went just 4-3 SU over their final 7 games of the season; schedule got much tougher
-offense was much worse away from home this season; 5.4 points per game less than overall
-Badgers defense is allowing 5.8 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-Oregon comes in with an 11-2 record; lost to Auburn and Arizona State by a total of 9 points
-offense is averaging 35.9 points per game vs. defenses that allow 27.2 points per game
-Ducks defense allowing just 4.8 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 points per game

9* Play OREGON (+).

01-01-20 Michigan v. Alabama OVER 58.5 16-35 Loss -109 10 h 23 m Show

-Michigan has scored 27 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games this season; more of the same

-offense is averaging 33 points per game vs. defenses that allow just 22.9 points per game

-Wolverines defense gave up 70 points in their final 2 games; facing another potent offense here

-Alabama has scored 35 points or more in all 12 games of their games this season; continues

-offense is averaging 7.8 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play

-Crimson Tide defense gave up 101 points to the last 3 SEC teams they faced; closed in bad form

10* Play OVER the total.

01-01-20 Minnesota v. Auburn OVER 53 31-24 Win 100 10 h 23 m Show

-Minnesota comes in off a loss to Wisconsin; scored just 17 points; expect a big bounce back

-offense is averaging 34.3 points per game vs. defenses that allow just 26 points per game

-Golden Gophers defense has faced a bad group of opposing offenses (25.9 ppg); big class jump 

-Auburn has scored 48 points or more in 5 of their last 10 games; expect another big output here

-offense is averaging 34 points per game vs. defenses that are giving up 25.8 points per game

-Tigers defense faced a terrible out of conference schedule; skewed their numbers; stiff test now

9* Play OVER the total.

12-31-19 Georgia State v. Wyoming -7 17-38 Win 100 5 h 21 m Show

-Georgia State closed the season on a 1-3 SU slide; injury to their QB really limits this team
-offense averages 25.7 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 29.7 points per game
-Panthers allow 38 points per game, and give up 241.2 rushing yards per game on the road

-Wyoming comes into this game off an ugly 20-6 loss at Air Force; extra prep; big effort here
-offense averages 208.5 rushing yards per play vs. defenses that allow 166 rushing yards per play
-Cowboys allowing just 17.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 24.7 points per game

9* Play WYOMING (-).

12-31-19 Kansas State v. Navy OVER 53 17-20 Loss -109 5 h 42 m Show

-Kansas State has scored 24 points or more in 9 of their 12 games this season; more of the same

-offense is averaging 30.7 points per game vs. defenses that allow 29.4 points per game

-Wildcats allowing 6.3 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play

-Navy has scored 31 points or more in 10 of their 12 games this season; trend continues here

-offense is averaging 6.8 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.9 yards per play

-Midshipmen defense was much worse away from home; gave up 4.3 points per game more

10* Play OVER the total.

12-30-19 Illinois v. California OVER 45.5 20-35 Win 100 4 h 57 m Show

-Illinois comes in off back-to-back losses where they scored just 20 total points; big effort here

-offense is averaging 27.2 points per game vs. defenses that allow 26.7 points per game

-Illini defense is allowing 25.4 points per game vs. offenses that average 24.3 points per game

-California scored 24 points or more in 3 of their last 4 regular season games; continues tonight

-offense faced a difficult schedule of opposing defenses this season; step-down in class here

-Golden Bears defense had success against spread offenses; now facing a Big 10 rushing team

10* Play OVER the total.

12-28-19 Clemson v. Ohio State OVER 62 29-23 Loss -108 11 h 0 m Show

-Clemson scored 38 points in 11 of their 13 games this season; 41 points or more in 10 games

-offense is averaging a whopping 7.5 yards per play vs. defenses that allow 6.1 yards per play

-Tigers defense has faced a bad group of opposing offenses (27.1 ppg); big jump in class here 

-Ohio State has scored 34 points or more in 12 of their 13 games this season; difficult to stop 

-offense is averaging 7.4 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.2 yards per play

-Buckeyes defense also faced a bad group of opposing offenses (28 ppg); huge class rise tonight

10* Play OVER the total.

12-28-19 Memphis v. Penn State -7 39-53 Win 100 3 h 40 m Show

-Memphis went 12-1 SU in the regular season against an extremely easy schedule; big class test
-offense faced a terrible collection of opposing defenses that gave up 30.4 points per game
-Tigers allow 24.5 points per game, and also give up 175 rushing yards per game on the road

-Penn State went just 2-2 over their last 4 games after opening the season at 8-0; big effort here
-offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.3 yards per play
-Nittany Lions allowing just 14.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 26.9 points per game

9* Play PENN STATE (-).

12-27-19 Washington State v. Air Force OVER 68.5 21-31 Loss -107 11 h 30 m Show

-Washington State comes in off an ugly loss where they scored just 13 points; big bounce back

-offense is averaging 39.2 points per game vs. defenses that allow 28.7 points per game

-Cougars allowing 7.0 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

-Air Force also comes in off a bad offensive game where they scored just 20 points; big effort

-offense is averaging 6.9 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.9 yards per play

-Falcons allow 63.2% pass completions on 7.7 yards per pass attempt on the road; bad matchup

9* Play OVER the total.

12-27-19 Oklahoma State v. Texas A&M OVER 53.5 21-24 Loss -105 8 h 0 m Show

-Oklahoma State scored 36 points in their last 2 games; 30 points or more in 8 of their other 10

-offense averages 35.2 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 30.1 points per game

-Cowboys allow 29.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 29.6 points per game

-Texas A&M scored 20 points in their last 2 games; 24 points or more in their previous 6 games 

-offense is averaging 30 points per game vs. defenses that give up 27.3 points per game

-Aggies defense is worse on the road; allow 4.7 ppg and 0.6 yards per play more than average

10* Play OVER the total.

12-26-19 Miami-FL -6.5 v. Louisiana Tech 0-14 Loss -110 4 h 2 m Show

-Miami comes in off back-to-back road losses to end the regular season; extra time; big effort
-offense is averaging 5.8 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.7 yards per play
-Hurricanes allowing just 20.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 25.7 points per game

-Louisiana Tech comes in off a season ending win; they had lost their previous 2 games; bad spot
-offense is averaging 5.3 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 6.2 yards per play
-Bulldogs allow 24 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 22.8 points per game 

10* Play MIAMI FL (-).

12-24-19 BYU -2 v. Hawaii 34-38 Loss -109 6 h 57 m Show

-BYU comes in off an ugly 13-3 loss to San Diego State; 3 full weeks to prepare; big effort
-offense is averaging 6.6 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play
-Cougars allow 22 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 26.2 points per game 

-Hawaii will be playing this game in their home stadium; minimal advantage; bad matchup here
-offense scored 21 points or less in 3 of their final 4 regular season games; another tough defense
-Rainbow Warriors allow 6.6 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

10* Play BYU (-).

12-21-19 Florida International v. Arkansas State OVER 60.5 26-34 Loss -105 14 h 9 m Show

-Florida International scored 30 points or more in 6 games this season; expect a big output here

-offense faced a difficult slate of opposing defenses that gave up 29 points per game; class relief

-Panthers allowing 37.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 26 points per game

-Arkansas State lost their final game of the season; scored 28 points or more in their last 5 games 

-offense averages 34.8 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 30 points per game

-Red Wolves defense allows 40.3 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 30.6 ppg

10* Play OVER the total.

12-21-19 SMU v. Florida Atlantic +9 28-52 Win 100 12 h 14 m Show

-SMU has alternated wins and losses over their last 4 games; off a win; trend continues here
-offense is averaging 3.9 yards per rush on the road vs. defenses that give up 4.5 yards per rush
-Mustangs allow 34.8 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 29.8 points per game 

-Florida Atlantic will be playing this game in their home stadium; 10-1 SU their last 11 games
-offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.5 yards per play
-Owls allowing just 19.1 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 28 points per game

9* Play FLORIDA ATLANTIC (+).

 

12-14-19 Army v. Navy UNDER 41 7-31 Win 100 3 h 3 m Show

-Army/Navy game has gone Under the total in 13 consecutive meetings; expect more of the same
-offense averages 20.8 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 33.3 points per game
-Black Knights allow just 22.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 25.3 points per game 

-Army/Navy both know the triple-option offense well; median score of 36 ppg last 13 meetings
-offense has faced a terrible collection of defenses that allowed 30.3 points per game; class jump

-Midshipmen defense allows 24.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 28.8 points per game 

9* Play UNDER the total.

12-07-19 Georgia +7 v. LSU 10-37 Loss -105 4 h 38 m Show

-Georgia is 11-1 SU on the season; lone loss was by 3 points in overtime; expect a close game
-offense is averaging 34 points per game away from home vs. defenses that give up 26.1 ppg
-Bulldogs defense allows just 10.4 points per game on 4.1 yards per play this season; stout unit

-LSU is a perfect 12-0 on the season; certainly been impressive all season; stiff test here though

-offense has been terrific all season, but against bad defenses that allow 29.1 ppg; class jump
-Tigers defense has allowed 33.4 points per game on a bad 6.6 yards per play away from home

9* Play GEORGIA (+).

12-07-19 Hawaii v. Boise State -14 10-31 Win 100 4 h 32 m Show

-Hawaii has 4 losses on the season; 3 of those losses came by 22 points or more; blowout here
-offense has faced a terrible group of defenses that allow 27.8 points per game; class jump here
-Rainbow Warriors defense allows 6.4 yards per play vs offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-Boise State is a perfect 6-0 at home this season; scored 30 points or more in 9 of their 12 games

-offense is averaging 6.4 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play
-Broncos defense allows just 16.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 26.8 ppg

9* Play BOISE STATE (-).

12-06-19 Oregon v. Utah -6.5 37-15 Loss -108 6 h 15 m Show

-Oregon comes in with just 2 losses, but they’ve played an extremely easy schedule; class jump
-offense averages 5.9 yards per play away from home vs. defenses that allow 6.0 yards per play
-Ducks defense has been much worse on the road where they allow 23.8 ppg vs. 15.7 ppg overall

-Utah has won their last 3 games by a combined score of 129-25; big momentum carries over

-offense is averaging 6.9 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 6.1 yards per play
-Utes defense allows just 11.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 26.1 points per game

9* Play UTAH (-).

11-30-19 Colorado v. Utah -28 15-45 Win 100 15 h 12 m Show

-Colorado comes into this game off back-to-back upset home wins; letdown spot on the road
-offense averages just 22.6 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 27.4 ppg
-Buffaloes allow 35.8 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 30.7 points per game

-Utah has won their last 2 games by a combined score of 84-10; big momentum carries over

-offense averages 7.3 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 6.1 yards per play
-Utes defense allows just 10.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 27.1 points per game

10* Play UTAH (-).

11-30-19 Rutgers v. Penn State -40.5 6-27 Loss -105 11 h 13 m Show

-Rutgers is 2-9 on the season; one of the worst teams in all of college football; blowout loss here
-offense averages just 2.5 points per game away from home vs. defenses that allow 25.6 ppg
-Scarlett Knights allow 6.7 yards per play on the road vs offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-Penn State comes into this game off a blowout loss at Ohio State; huge step-down in class now

-offense is averaging 6.5 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.1 yards per play
-Nittany Lions defense allows 14.2 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 28.0 ppg

9* Play PENN STATE (-).

11-30-19 Wisconsin v. Minnesota +3 38-17 Loss -105 11 h 12 m Show

-Rutgers is 2-9 on the season; one of the worst teams in all of college football; blowout loss here
-offense averages just 2.5 points per game away from home vs. defenses that allow 25.6 ppg
-Scarlett Knights allow 6.7 yards per play on the road vs offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-Penn State comes into this game off a blowout loss at Ohio State; huge step-down in class now

-offense is averaging 6.5 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.1 yards per play
-Nittany Lions defense allows 14.2 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 28.0 ppg

9* Play PENN STATE (-).

11-30-19 Ohio State v. Michigan +9 56-27 Loss -109 8 h 49 m Show

-Ohio State is undefeated on the season; rivalry game, and they are overvalued in the line
-offense has terrific numbers across the board, but they haven’t faced a defense like Michigan’s
-Buckeyes defense also has great numbers, but their opponent is in their best form of the season

-Michigan has won 4 straight games and 7 of their last 8 games overall; positive momentum

-offense averages 35.8 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 23.1 points per game
-Wolverines defense allows just 11.5 points per game on 3.6 yards per play at home this season

9* Play MICHIGAN (+).

11-29-19 Washington State v. Washington -7.5 13-31 Win 100 2 h 28 m Show

-Washington State comes in off back-to-back home wins; 0-4 on the road; big step-up in class
-offense averages 26.6 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 29.1 points per game
-Cougars defense allows 34 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 26.4 ppg

-Washington returns home off a road loss in Colorado; lost their previous home game; big effort
-offense is averaging 6.1 yards per play at home vs. defenses that only give up 5.9 yards per play
-Huskies defense allows just 21.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 28.1 points per game

9* Play WASHINGTON (-).

11-28-19 Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -1 20-21 Push 0 8 h 53 m Show

-Mississippi is just 1-4 over their last 5 games; 4-7 overall on the season; not a good team at all
-offense averages 20.5 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 26.7 points per game
-Rebels defense allows 33 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 30.7 ppg

-Mississippi State is 2-1 over their last 3 games with their lone loss coming against Alabama
-offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.6 yards per play
-Bulldogs defense allows just 23.3 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 31.9 ppg

9* Play MISSISSIPPI STATE (-).

11-26-19 Western Michigan v. Northern Illinois +9 14-17 Win 100 3 h 59 m Show

-Western Michigan has won 3 straight games; last 2 wins by a combined 7 points; overvalued
-offense averages 27.6 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 32.1 points per game
-Broncos defense allows 40.4 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 26.9 ppg

-Northern Illinois comes in off an embarrassing 45-17 home loss; expect a big bounce back here
-offense is much better at home; averaging 4.1 points per game more (27.5-23.4) than overall
-Huskies defense allows just 20.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 25.7 ppg

10* Play NORTHERN ILLINOIS (+).

11-23-19 Boise State v. Utah State +9 56-21 Loss -105 19 h 10 m Show

-Boise State has played their last 2 games at home; split out their last 2 road games; overvalued
-offense has regressed the last 2 times after a big win; off a 42-point game; trend continues
-Broncos allow 28.5 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 26.8 points per game

-Utah State has won their last 2 games after losing their previous 2 games; momentum; big effort

-offense averages 34.4 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 28.9 points per game
-Aggies defense allows just 20.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 27.8 ppg

9* Play UTAH STATE (+).

11-23-19 Houston +3 v. Tulsa 24-14 Win 103 16 h 11 m Show

-Houston hits the road off a home loss to Memphis; finally taking a huge step-down in class

-offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play vs. defenses that only allow 5.6 yards per play
-Cougars defense allows 33.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 35.4 points per game

-Tulsa comes into this game off a bye; big upset win over UCF as 15-point dogs prior; bad spot
-offense is averaging 4.8 yards per play at home vs. defenses that allow 5.3 yards per play
-Golden Hurricane defense allows 6.6 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 6.3 yppl

10* Play HOUSTON (+).

11-23-19 Syracuse +9 v. Louisville 34-56 Loss -110 13 h 42 m Show

-Syracuse snapped their 4-game losing streak with a win at Duke last week; positive momentum

-offense has scored 76 points in their last 2 games; healthier unit now; expect another big output
-Orange defense allows just 24 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 28.2 ppg

-Louisville has alternated wins and losses over their last 5 games; off a win; expect a poor game
-offense completes 54.2% of their passes at home vs. defenses that give up 58.9% completions
-Cardinals defense allows 6.0 yards per play vs offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

9* Play SYRACUSE (+).

11-21-19 NC State v. Georgia Tech +1 26-28 Win 100 5 h 51 m Show

-NC State hits the road on a short week after getting waxed at home in a good spot; poor favorite
-offense averages 18.5 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 29.6 points per game
-Wolfpack defense allows 41 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 28.3 ppg

-Georgia Tech comes in off an embarrassing 45-0 home loss to Virginia Tech; big bounce back
-offense is averaging 4.0 yards per rush at home vs. defenses that give up 3.8 yards per rush
-Yellow Jackets defense allows 28 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 28.9 ppg

9* Play GEORGIA TECH (+).

11-16-19 Louisville v. NC State +4 34-20 Loss -105 15 h 34 m Show

-Louisville is 5-4 on the season; 4 of their wins have come by 7 points or less; overvalued
-offense averages just 4.1 yards per rush away from home vs. defenses that allow 4.3 ypr
-Cardinals allow 6.4 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-NC State returns home off a blowout loss at Clemson; lost their previous home game; big effort

-offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play
-Wolfpack defense allows just 18.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 27.5 ppg

9* Play NC STATE (+).

11-16-19 Oklahoma v. Baylor OVER 68 34-31 Loss -115 14 h 28 m Show

-Oklahoma has scored 34 points or more in all 9 of their games; expect more of the same here
-offense averages 42.0 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 33.9 points per game 
-Sooners allow 27.2 points per game on the road; they’ve allowed 89 points in their last 2 games

-Baylor comes into this game undefeated; offense has been poor in their last 2 games; big effort
-offense is averaging 6.7 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 6.0 yards per play

-Bears defense has faced a bad collection of offenses that average 26.9 ppg; big step-up in class 

9* Play OVER the total.

11-16-19 Georgia v. Auburn +3 21-14 Loss -110 11 h 30 m Show

-Georgia has won 3 straight games after losing to South Carolina; toughest opponent in 2 months
-offense is in poor current form; averaging just 22.3 points per game over their last 4 games
-Bulldogs defense has faced 5 straight offenses that have been terrible this season; big class jump

-Auburn comes into this game fresh and ready off their bye; big scheduling edge; big home effort

-offense is averaging 38.7 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 24.6 points per game
-Tigers allow just 14.7 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 32.4 points per game

10* Play AUBURN (+).

11-16-19 Wake Forest v. Clemson -34 3-52 Win 100 10 h 30 m Show

-Wake Forest is 7-2 on the season; they’ve played an extremely easy schedule; huge class jump
-offense averages just 28.3 points per game away from home vs. defenses that allow 31.5 ppg
-Demon Deacons allow 6.1 yards per play on the road vs offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

-Clemson is a perfect 10-0 on the season; they’ve won their last 5 games by an average of 42 ppg

-offense is averaging 7.7 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 6.3 yards per play
-Tigers defense allows just 11.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 26.8 ppg

9* Play CLEMSON (-).

11-09-19 Liberty v. BYU -17 24-31 Loss -105 16 h 3 m Show

-Liberty comes in off a 63-21 road win at Massachusetts; now on the road again; bad spot here
-offense averages 32.7 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 37.9 points per game
-Flames defense allow 6.1 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

-BYU returns home off a road win at Utah State last week; momentum; stepping down in class

-offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play
-Cougars defense allows 27.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 30.1 points per game

10* Play BYU (-).

11-09-19 Missouri v. Georgia -16.5 0-27 Win 100 16 h 34 m Show

-Missouri is a team in disarray; they’ve lost 2 straight games; QB injuries; bad road spot here
-offense averages just 5.1 yards per play away from home vs. defenses that allow 5.9 yppl
-Tigers allow 29.0 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 21.9 points per game

-Georgia has won their last 2 games by a combined 45-17 after losing their first game of the year

-offense is averaging 6.7 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 6.0 yards per play
-Bulldogs defense allows just 10.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 24.7 ppg

9* Play GEORGIA (-).

11-09-19 Washington State v. California +7.5 20-33 Win 100 16 h 34 m Show

-Washington State is just 1-3 SU over their last 4 games; laying too many points on the road
-offense averages 28.2 points per game on the road vs defenses that give up 29.7 points per game
-Cougars allow 7.0 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

-California has lost 4 straight games, but they played a difficult schedule; undervalued at home

-offense a difficult slate of opposing defenses that only give up 23.7 points per game; class relief
-Bears allow just 18.7 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 29.5 points per game

9* Play CALIFORNIA (+).

11-02-19 Boise State -17 v. San Jose State 52-42 Loss -105 21 h 50 m Show

-Boise State comes in off a loss and off their bye; rested and ready to play their ‘A’ game here
-offense is averaging 35.3 points per game vs. defenses that give up 29.8 points per game
-Broncos defense allows just 20.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 26.9 points per game

-San Jose State returns home off an upset road win at Army; taking a big jump in class now

-offense averages 25.0 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 30.8 points per game
-Spartans defense allows 5.5 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 5.1 yards per play

9* Play BOISE STATE (-).

11-02-19 Oregon v. USC +4 56-24 Loss -105 18 h 20 m Show

-Oregon comes in off 2 straight high scoring, close wins; now laying points on the road; bad spot
-offense is averaging 5.4 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 6.0 yards per play
-Ducks give up 148.3 rushing yards per game on the road vs. offenses that average 127.1 rypg

-USC is 5-3 on the season with 2 of those 3 losses coming by 3 points each; undervalued at home

-offense averages 36.7 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 26.4 points per game
-Trojans allow just 20.0 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 30.4 points per game

10* Play USC (+).

11-02-19 Vanderbilt v. South Carolina -15 7-24 Win 100 18 h 51 m Show

-Vanderbilt won as 21-point underdogs prior to their bye week; now on the road; bad spot here
-offense is averaging 15 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 23.4 points per game
-Commodores allow 8.0 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play

-South Carolina has lost 2 straight games; last was a blowout road loss; expect a big bounce back

-offense is averaging 6.6 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play
-Gamecocks allow 25.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 29.0 points per game

9* Play SOUTH CAROLINA (-).

11-02-19 TCU v. Oklahoma State -2.5 27-34 Win 100 14 h 52 m Show

-TCU comes in off a big home win after losing 3 of their previous 4 games; flat spot on the road
-offense averages just 5.2 yards per play away from home vs. defenses that allow 5.8 yppl
-Horned Frogs are worse on the road; allow 28.7 points per game vs. 25 points per game overall

-Oklahoma State returns home off an upset road win; lost previous home game; momentum spot

-offense is averaging 6.8 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 6.0 yards per play
-Cowboys defense allows just 24 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 30.4 ppg

9* Play OKLAHOMA STATE (-).

10-26-19 Notre Dame v. Michigan 14-45 Win 100 16 h 22 m Show

-Notre Dame is 5-1 against a weak schedule; their lone loss came against Georgia; overvalued
-offense averages 26 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 26.6 points per game
-Irish defense allows 200.5 rushing yards per game on the road on a poor 5.0 yards per rush

-Michigan returns home off a road loss at Penn State; perfect 4-0 at home this season; big effort

-offense averages 31.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 21.4 points per game
-Wolverines defense allows just 4.3 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

10* Play MICHIGAN.

10-26-19 Penn State v. Michigan State +5 28-7 Loss -110 12 h 9 m Show

-Penn State is a perfect 7-0 SU on the season; off back-to-back tough games; bad spot here
-offense has really struggled over their last 2 games (45 points); facing another stout defense
-Nittany Lions defense has terrific seasonal numbers, but their secondary will finally get tested

-Michigan State has lost 2 games in a row; last was a shutout loss; off a bye; expect a big effort

-offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 4.8 yards per play
-Spartans allow 16.2 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 30.5 points per game

9* Play MICHIGAN STATE (+).

10-26-19 Texas v. TCU +1.5 27-37 Win 100 12 h 8 m Show

-Texas has played 3 of their last 4 games at home; 5 of their 7 games were at home; bad spot
-offense is averaging 5.5 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.6 yards per play
-Longhorns defense is giving up 30.7 points per game on 6.4 yards per play this season

-TCU returns home off back-to-back road losses; expect a big bounce back vs. an in-state rival

-offense averages 42.7 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 28.1 points per game
-Horned Frogs allow just 4.1 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

9* Play TCU (+).

10-26-19 Iowa v. Northwestern +8 20-0 Loss -105 9 h 40 m Show

-Iowa is 5-2 on the season, but their wins have come against inferior teams; too many points
-offense averages just 4.0 yards per play away from home vs. defenses that allow 5.0 yppl
-Hawkeyes allow 6.1 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

-Northwestern has lost 4 games in a row; brutal schedule vs. Ohio St, Wisconsin and Michigan St

-offense has poor overall numbers because of the opponents they played; big class drop here
-Wildcats defense allows just 5.3 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

9* Play NORTHWESTERN (+).

10-19-19 Florida State +1 v. Wake Forest 20-22 Loss -106 16 h 58 m Show

-Florida State hits the road off a home loss to Clemson; huge step down in class; bounce back
-offense is averaging 30 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 23 points per game
-Seminoles defense allows 5.5 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.2 yards per play

-Wake Forest is 4-1 SU on the season against an extremely easy schedule; big class jump here

-offense has faced a poor group of defenses that allow 6.1 yards per play; trouble looms 
-Demon Deacons defense allows 6.0 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

10* Play FLORIDA STATE (+).

10-19-19 Kentucky v. Georgia -24.5 0-21 Loss -105 14 h 30 m Show

-Kentucky comes in off a home win after losing their previous 3 games; backup QB; bad spot
-offense is averaging 4.5 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play
-Wildcats allow 6.0 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play

-Georgia comes in off an ugly home loss; offense played terrible; expect a big bounce back here

-offense is averaging 7.3 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 6.3 yards per play
-Bulldogs defense is giving up just 12.3 points per game on 4.4 yards per play this season

9* Play GEORGIA (-).

10-19-19 Arizona State v. Utah -13.5 3-21 Win 100 14 h 29 m Show

-Arizona State is 4-1 SU on the season, but their schedule hasn’t been difficult; class jump here
-offense is averaging 4.7 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.9 yards per play
-Sun Devils defense has played a terrible collection of opposing offenses; system shock coming

-Utah has 2 straight games by a combined score of 90-20; expect another blowout win here

-offense is averaging 7.8 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 6.5 yards per play
-Utes defense is allowing just 13.2 points per game on a strong 4.8 yards per play this season

9* Play UTAH (-).

10-19-19 NC State v. Boston College +3.5 24-45 Win 100 9 h 31 m Show

-NC State has alternated wins and losses this season; off a home win; bad spot as a road favorite
-offense averages just 4.5 yards per play away from home vs. defenses that allow 5.6 yppl
-Wolfpack defense allows 37.5 points per game on the road vs. offenses that only average 22 ppg

-Boston College returns home off a road loss at Louisville; lost previous home game; off a bye

-offense is averaging 6.3 yards per play at home vs. defenses that are giving up 6.2 yards per play
-Eagles defense allows 5.7 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

9* Play BOSTON COLLEGE (+).

10-19-19 Florida v. South Carolina +5.5 38-27 Loss -105 9 h 30 m Show

-Florida comes in off a road loss at LSU as 14-point underdogs; road favorite now; bad spot
-offense averages 27 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 27.3 points per game
-Gators defense allows 6.5 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-South Carolina returns home off a big upset win at Georgia as 20.5-point underdogs; momentum

-offense is averaging 7.1 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 6.1 yards per play
-Gamecocks allow 21.3 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 31.4 points per game

9* Play SOUTH CAROLINA (+).

10-18-19 Pittsburgh v. Syracuse +4 27-20 Loss -105 3 h 6 m Show

-Pittsburgh is now 4-1 on the season after wins against an easy schedule; tough road game
-offense is averaging 4.6 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that allow 5.0 yards per play
-Panthers defense has given up 78 total points in their last 3 games; poor current form

-Syracuse comes into this game off a 16-10 road loss at NC State; big bounce back home effort
-offense is averaging 33 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 24.4 points per game
-Orange defense allows just 49.6% completions at home vs. offenses that complete 56.9%

10* Play SYRACUSE (+).

10-16-19 South Alabama v. Troy -17 13-37 Win 100 4 h 58 m Show

-South Alabama has lost 4 straight games; 2 of those were on the road; another tough road game
-offense is averaging just 4.9 yards per play vs. defenses that allow 5.7 yards per play
-Jaguars defense allows 33.3 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 26.2 ppg 

-Troy returns home off a blowout loss at Missouri; huge step-down in class; big bounce back
-offense is averaging 7.2 yards per play at home vs. defenses that allow 6.2 yards per play
-Trojans defense allows just 88.3 rushing per game on 2.3 yards per rush at home this season

10* Play TROY (-).

10-12-19 Washington v. Arizona +6 51-27 Loss -105 17 h 4 m Show

-Washington lost at Stanford last week; their 3rd road game over the last 4 weeks; bad spot
-offense averages 29 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 29.2 points per game
-Huskies allow 5.9 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average just 5.6 yards per play

-Arizona has won 4 straight games after losing their season opener; QB Tate was back last week

-offense is averaging a strong 7.3 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 7.0 yards per play
-Wildcats defense allows just 24 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 34.1 ppg

9* Play ARIZONA (+).

10-12-19 Navy v. Tulsa +1 45-17 Loss -105 14 h 38 m Show

-Navy comes in off an upset win over Air Force; big letdown spot for the road favorite here
-offense averages 4.7 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that are giving up 5.4 yards per play
-Midshipmen defense gives up 35 points per game on 7.0 yards per play on the road this season

-Tulsa has alternated wins and losses this season; off a road loss at SMU; bounce back effort

-offense is averaging 24.6 points per game vs. defenses that are giving up 24.4 points per game
-Golden Hurricane defense allows 5.3 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.1 yards per play

9* Play TULSA (+).

10-12-19 Nebraska +7.5 v. Minnesota 7-34 Loss -110 14 h 35 m Show

-Nebraska hits the road off a bounce back home win over Northwestern; undervalued here
-offense is averaging 6.8 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play
-Cornhuskers defense allows 5.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

-Minnesota is a perfect 5-0 SU on the season against an extremely easy schedule; class jump

-offense is only averaging 5.7 yards per play vs. defenses that allow 5.6 yards per play
-Golden Gophers defense allows 27.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 25.8 ppg

10* Play NEBRASKA (+).

10-11-19 Virginia v. Miami-FL -2 9-17 Win 100 6 h 21 m Show

-Virginia is now 4-1 after losing their last game at Notre Dame; another tough road game
-offense is averaging 4.7 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that allow 5.2 yards per play
-Cavaliers defense is allowing 3.1 points per game more on the road than their season average

-Miami FL comes into this game off a bad home loss to Virginia Tech; big bounce back effort
-offense is averaging 7.0 yards per play at home vs. defenses that allow 6.0 yards per play
-Hurricanes defense allows just 18 points per game on 3.8 yards per play at home this season

10* Play MIAMI FL (-).

10-10-19 UL-Monroe v. Texas State +3 24-14 Loss -100 6 h 38 m Show

-UL Monroe hits the road on a short week after a high-scoring home loss; bad scheduling spot
-offense is averaging 5.3 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that allow 5.5 yards per play
-Warhawks defense allows 6.9 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.1 yards per play

-Texas State comes in fresh off a bye week; rested and ready for a rare national TV home game
-offense has been much better at home; averaging 5.2 ppg more than their season average
-Bobcats defense allows just 20 points per game on 4.4 yards per play at home this season

9* Play TEXAS STATE (+).

10-09-19 Appalachian State +2.5 v. UL-Lafayette 17-7 Win 100 4 h 17 m Show

-Appalachia State is a perfect 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS this season; 3 wins by 15 points or more
-offense is averaging a robust 6.8 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 6.0 yards per play
-Mountaineers allow 3.6 yards per rush on the road vs. offenses that average 4.6 yards per rush

-UL Lafayette is 4-1 SU, but their 4 wins have come against a terrible schedule; step-up in class
-offense has faced a horrendous group of defenses that allow 5.9 yards per rush; bad matchup
-Ragin’ Cajuns defense has faced offenses that only average 21.5 points per game; big difference

10* Play APPALACHIAN STATE (+).

10-05-19 California v. Oregon -19.5 7-17 Loss -110 14 h 10 m Show

-California suffered their first loss of the season last week; opened 4-0 on the season; bad spot
-offense is averaging just 5.1 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play
-Golden Bears defense has faced a terrible group of offenses so far; huge jump in class tonight

-Oregon returns from their bye week; pair of poor offensive games prior; expect a big effort here

-offense is averaging 7.6 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 6.1 yards per play
-Ducks defense is giving up just 10.5 points per game on a strong 3.9 yards per play this season

10* Play OREGON (-).

10-05-19 Troy v. Missouri -24.5 10-42 Win 100 10 h 11 m Show

-Troy is just 1-2 SU over their last 3 games; gave up 97 points in those losses; big class jump
-offense is averaging 5.1 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 6.7 yards per play
-Trojans defense allows 6.2 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 5.1 yards per play

-Missouri has won 3 straight games by a combined score of 122-21; expect another blowout win

-offense averages 40.7 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 30.1 points per game
-Tigers defense is allowing 14.8 points per game on a minuscule 3.8 yards per play this season

9* Play MISSOURI (-).

10-05-19 Auburn v. Florida +3 13-24 Win 100 10 h 41 m Show

-Auburn is a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS this season; just their 2nd true road game; road favorite here
-Tigers offense averages just 4.9 yards per play away from home vs. defenses that allow 5.2 yppl
-defense has been good overall this season, but they do allow 68.6% completions on the road

-Florida is also 5-0 SU on the season; playing with a backup quarterback has them undervalued

-offense is averaging 6.8 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 6.0 yards per play
-Gators defense is allowing just 4.5 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.1 yards per play

9* Play FLORIDA (+).

10-04-19 Central Florida v. Cincinnati +3.5 24-27 Win 100 4 h 11 m Show

-Central Florida is 4-1 SU against a ridiculously easy schedule; lost at Pittsburgh; tough spot
-offense has faced a group of bad defenses that allow 36.1 points per game; step-up in class here
-Golden Knights allow 24.5 points per game on the road vs. offenses that only average 18.0 ppg

-Cincinnati returns home with a 3-1 SU record; their lone loss came at Ohio State; big effort here
-offense is averaging 29.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 27.5 points per game
-Bearcats defense allows just 4.7 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

9* Play CINCINNATI (+).

09-28-19 Washington State v. Utah -5.5 13-38 Win 100 18 h 14 m Show

-Washington State comes in off an ugly home loss to UCLA; gave up 67 point in that game
-offense is one-dimensional to the pass; facing the best defense they’ve seen this year by a mile
-Cougars defense is allowing 6.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.1 yards per play

-Utah returns home off a road loss at USC last Friday night; expect a big bounce back effort here

-offense is averaging 8.1 yards per play at home versus defenses that give up 6.6 yards per play
-Utes defense is giving up just 14.7 points per game on a strong 5.2 yards per play this season

9* Play UTAH (-).

09-28-19 Ohio State v. Nebraska +17 48-7 Loss -104 16 h 59 m Show

-Ohio State comes in with a 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS record; 3 games at home and all vs. bad teams
-Buckeyes will now face a defense that allows 11.2 points per game less than what they’ve seen
-defense has allowed just 15 total points in their last 3 games; playing a competent offense now 

-Nebraska returns home off a close scoreboard win at Illinois; they dominated the box score
-offense is averaging 38 points per game versus defenses that only give up 29.4 points per game
-Cornhuskers defense is giving up 4.8 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.4 yards per play

9* Play NEBRASKA (+).

09-28-19 Kansas State v. Oklahoma State -4 13-26 Win 100 15 h 20 m Show

-Kansas State is 3-0 on the season and coming off a bye; that’s not a good thing; rhythm breaker
-Wildcats offense is averaging 6.5 yards per play vs. bad defenses that allow 6.6 yards per play
-defense allows 24 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 21.4 points per game

-Oklahoma State returns home off a road loss at Texas; 7-1 ATS in this situation under Gundy

-offense is averaging 9.5 yards per pass attempt and 6.9 yards per play overall this season 
-Cowboys defense is allowing just 5.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

10* Play OKLAHOMA STATE (-).

09-28-19 Rutgers v. Michigan -27.5 0-52 Win 100 8 h 16 m Show

-Rutgers has lost their last 2 games by a combined score of 60-16; bad team and stepping-up
-offense is only averaging 21.3 points per game vs. defenses that give up 29.4 points per game
-defense will get smashed here; no chance to match-up physically against the run or the pass

-Michigan comes in off a blowout road loss at Wisconsin; expect a big bounce back effort here

-offense is averaging 32.9 points per game at home vs. defenses that only give up 18.9 ppg
-Wolverines allow just 4.0 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 6.2 yards per play

9* Play MICHIGAN (-).

09-27-19 San Jose State v. Air Force -19 24-41 Loss -110 6 h 48 m Show

-San Jose State won as 20.5-point underdogs at Arkansas last week; letdown on a short week
-offense is averaging just 27.3 points per game vs. defenses that allow 33.5 points per game
-Spartans allow 5.9 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 4.9 yards per play

-Air Force returns home off a 30-19 loss at Boise State; expect a strong bounce back effort here
-offense is averaging a solid 6.5 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 6.3 yards per play
-Falcons defense allows just 4.6 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.4 yards per play

10* Play AIR FORCE (-).

09-21-19 Old Dominion v. Virginia -27 17-28 Loss -105 15 h 26 m Show

-Old Dominion has played Norfolk State and Virginia Tech; major step-up in class here; no shot
-offense is averaging just 4.5 yards per play versus defenses that give up 5.1 yards per play
-defense gave up 30 points on 6.0 yards per play in their lone road game so far this season

-Virginia was flat in their home win over Florida State last week; expect a big blowout win here

-offense is averaging 6.5 yards per play at home versus defenses that give up 5.9 yards per play
-Cavaliers defense is giving up just 4.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.1 yards per play

10* Play VIRGINIA (-).

09-21-19 Central Michigan v. Miami-FL -29.5 12-17 Loss -110 12 h 27 m Show

-Central Michigan lost 61-0 at Wisconsin in their lone road game this season; out-classed again
-Chippewas offense had success against Akron and Albany; facing a very fast defense now
-defense gave up a whopping 10.3 yards per pass attempt and 7.3 yards per play at Wisconsin

-Miami won 63-0 last week after losing their first 2 games; bye on deck; big blowout win here

-offense is averaging 8.3 yards per pass attempt and 6.5 yards per play overall this season 
-Hurricanes defense is allowing just 17.3 points per game on a strong 5.1 yards per play

9* Play MIAMI FL (-).

09-21-19 Kentucky v. Mississippi State -6 13-28 Win 100 12 h 26 m Show

-Kentucky is 2-1 on the season; 2 wins over bad team; first road game off home loss to Florida
-offense was stymied last week vs. the Gators; now facing another strong defense on the road
-defense has allowed 7.4 yards per pass attempt and 6.0 yards per play overall; bad matchup 

-Mississippi State lost at home to Kansas State last week; expect a big bounce back effort here
-offense is averaging 6.1 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 5.5 yards per play
-Bulldogs defense is giving up just 5.7 yards per play vs. offenses that average 7.3 yards per play

9* Play MISSISSIPPI STATE (-).

09-21-19 UL-Monroe v. Iowa State -17.5 20-72 Win 100 8 h 28 m Show

-UL Monroe has a win over Grambling and a close loss to a troubled Florida State; big step-up
-offense is only averaging 6.3 yards per play versus defenses that give up 6.1 yards per play
-defense will get smashed here; no chance to match-up physically against the run or the pass

-Iowa State comes in off a home loss to Iowa; they dominated that game; big bounce back effort

-offense is averaging 6.3 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 5.3 yards per play
-Cyclones defense is allowing just 22 points per game on a minuscule 4.0 yards per play

9* Play IOWA STATE (-).

09-20-19 Utah v. USC +4 23-30 Win 100 5 h 4 m Show

-Utah is 3-0 with their lone good win against BYU; step-up from Northern Illinois and Idaho St
-offense has faced defenses that give up 29 points per game and 202 rushing yards per game
-Utes defense gave up 5.5 yards per play in their lone road game; bad sign facing a good offense

-USC returns home off a tough overtime loss at BYU; expect a strong bounce back effort here
-offense is averaging 6.4 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.8 yards per play
-Trojans defense has held their 3 opponents to just 27, 23, and 20 points in regulation time

9* Play USC (+).

09-14-19 Kent State v. Auburn -35.5 16-55 Win 100 9 h 35 m Show

-Kent State only beat Kennesaw State 26-23 last week; major step-up in class here; no shot
-Golden Flashes offense has scored just 33 total points in their 2 games; facing SEC speed now
-defense gave up 30 points after allowing 6.5 yards per play in their road game at Arizona State

-Auburn was flat last week after their opening comeback win over Oregon; blowout win here

-offense is taking a huge step-down in class; faced 2 teams that only allow 17.8 points per game 
-Tigers rush defense will make Kent State one-dimensional to the pass; terrific matchup

9* Play AUBURN (-).

09-14-19 Arizona State v. Michigan State -14.5 10-7 Loss -110 6 h 41 m Show

-Arizona State is 2-0 with wins over Kent State and Sacramento State; huge jump in class now
-Sun Devils offense scored just 49 total points against those 2 weak teams; in big trouble here
-defense is going from 2 opponents that average just 11.8 ppg to a team that has scored 79 points

-Michigan State returns 17 starters from last year’s team that lost 16-13 at Arizona State; revenge

-offense is averaging 6.1 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.3 yards per play
-Spartans defense will be one of the best in the country; gave up 24 total points so far this season

10* Play MICHIGAN STATE (-).

09-14-19 Colorado State v. Arkansas -10 34-55 Win 100 6 h 36 m Show

-Colorado State is just 1-1 on the season with their lone win coming against Western Illinois
-offense has faced 2 terrible defensive teams; now they will face a SEC team on the road
-defense gave up 52 points on 7.9 yards per play in their road game; terrible matchup here

-Arkansas blew a 27-9 4th quarter lead at Colorado State last season; big revenge game now
-offense is in their second year under HC Chad Morris; new spread scheme will be improved
-Razorbacks defense has held their first 2 opponents to just 5.2 yards per play; good matchup

9* Play ARKANSAS (-).

09-14-19 New Mexico v. Notre Dame -34.5 14-66 Win 100 4 h 7 m Show

-New Mexico won their season opener against Sam Houston State 39-31; big step-up here
-Lobos offense could only muster 145 rushing yards last week; bad sign coming into this game
-defense will get smashed here; no chance to match-up physically against the run or the pass

-Notre Dame won 35-17 at Louisville in their season opener; home opener with extra rest now

-offense will easily put up big numbers here; 250+ yards on the ground and thru the air expected
-Irish defense allowed just 21.5 points per game in 2017 and 18.2 ppg in 2018; stout unit again

9* Play NOTRE DAME (-).

09-07-19 UTEP v. Texas Tech -34.5 3-38 Win 100 13 h 14 m Show

-UTEP only beat Houston Baptist 36-34 last week; taking a major step-up in class here; no shot
-the Miners offense has been terrible over the last couple of years; averaged just 17 and 11 ppg
-pass defense gave up 300 yards after allowing 8.1 yards per pass attempt on 73% completions

-Texas Tech waxed Montana State 45-10 last week; expect another easy blowout win here

-offense threw for a whopping 436 yards while completing 72.7% on 7.9 yards per pass attempt 
-Red Raiders rush defense will make UTEP one-dimensional to the pass; terrific matchup

10* Play TEXAS TECH (-).

09-07-19 Buffalo v. Penn State -30.5 13-45 Win 100 13 h 45 m Show

-Buffalo went just 10-4 SU last year, but they lost just about everybody; just 8 returning starters
-Bulls offense could only muster 354 yards of total offense against Robert Morris last week
-defense will get smashed here; no chance to match-up physically against the run or the pass

-Penn State went 9-4 last season, but those 3 losses came by 1, 3, and 4 points; very good team

-offense scored 79 points on Idaho in their season opener; expect another big number here
-Nittany Lions defense can be one of the best in the country; 20.5 points per game in 2018

9* Play PENN STATE (-).

09-07-19 San Diego State v. UCLA -7.5 23-14 Loss -105 10 h 30 m Show

-San Diego State returned just 12 starters; opened their season with an ugly game vs. Weber State
-offense scored just 6 points on 238 yards of total offense vs. a FCS team; terrible sign
-defense lost 3 starters from last year’s defensive line that was their best in the last 2 decades  

-UCLA lost 24-14 at Cincinnati in their season opener; extra rest after playing on Thursday
-offense returned 9 starters from last year’s team; off a loss and at home; big bounce back effort
-Bruins defense allowed just 3.6 yards per rush last week; face a run-dominated offense here 

9* Play UCLA (-).

08-31-19 Miami-OH v. Iowa -21.5 14-38 Win 100 14 h 12 m Show

-Miami Ohio has just 10 returning starters; 6-6 SU last year; out-classed by a wide margin
-offense averaged 372 yards of offense per game in 2018; can’t trade points with the Hawkeyes
-defense has no chance in physically stopping the run or the pass in this game; mismatch  

-Iowa quietly went 9-4 SU in 2018 with 3 of their 4 losses coming by 6 points or less
-head coach Kirk Ferentz is one of the best player developers in the country; improving team
-Hawkeyes defense has allowed 20.4 points per game or less in each of the last 4 seasons 

10* Play IOWA (-).

08-31-19 Oregon +4 v. Auburn 21-27 Loss -100 14 h 9 m Show

-Oregon is one of the most experienced teams in the country with 17 returning starters

-offense averaged 34.8 and 36 points per game the last 2 years under senior QB Justin Herbert  
-Ducks defense returns 7 starters from a unit that gave up just 25.4 ppg on 3.7 yards per rush

-Auburn went just 8-5 last year, and head coach Gus Malzahn is under pressure; bad situation
-offense has some question marks with true freshman Bo Nix starting at QB; tough matchup
-Tigers defense will be a stout unit once again in 2019, but face a strong, balanced offense here

9* Play OREGON (+).

08-31-19 Middle Tennessee State v. Michigan -34 21-40 Loss -110 14 h 6 m Show

-Middle Tennessee State has just 11 returning starters; class difference for their season opener
-the Blue Raiders offense will miss 4-year starting QB Brent Stockstill; inexperienced unit
-defense allowed 35, 37, and 49 points in their first 3 games of 2018; similar result coming here

-Michigan lost their season opener in 2018; lost their last game by 23 points; motivated team

-offense returns 8 starters from a unit that improved by 10 points per game last season; 35.2 ppg  
-Wolverines defense has allowed less than 20 points in all 4 seasons under HC Jim Harbaugh

9* Play MICHIGAN (-).

08-31-19 Georgia Southern v. LSU -27 3-55 Win 100 14 h 56 m Show

-Georgia Southern lost 41-7 at Auburn and 44-0 at West Virginia in season openers; out-classed
-the Eagles offense is a one-dimensional running team; terrible matchup against an elite defense
-rush defense will get steamrolled here; gave up 309 rushing yards to Clemson last season

-LSU returns 16 starters from last year’s 10-3 team; one of the best teams in the country

-offense showed major improvement in 2018 while averaging 5.2 points per game more 
-Tigers defense allowed just 21.8 points per game on 339 yards per game last season

9* Play LSU (-).

08-30-19 UMass v. Rutgers -16.5 21-48 Win 100 4 h 6 m Show

-Massachusetts begins with a new head coach after going just 4-8 SU last year; inexperienced
-offense last season was their best in over a decade; just 5 returning starters; big drop off
-defense will once again be terrible; maybe one of the worst in the entire country; bad matchup

-Rutgers went just 1-11 in 2018; with a much more experienced team, expect big improvement
-offense has 8 returning starters back; scored 35 points in their season opener in 2018; repeat
-Scarlet Knights defense will face an expected inept offense in this game; good matchup

10* Play RUTGERS (-).

08-30-19 Tulsa v. Michigan State -23 7-28 Loss -110 4 h 52 m Show

-Tulsa went just 3-9 SU last year; they haven’t beat an out of conference FBS team since 2010
-Golden Hurricane offense regressed by 5.2 points per game in 2018; just 6 returning starters
-defense will get smashed here; gave up 233 rushing yards on 5.0 yards per carry last season

-Michigan State returns 17 starters from last year’s 7-6 team; expect major improvement in 2019

-offense scored 73 total points in their last 2 season openers; expect similar result tonight  
-Spartans defense will be one of the best in the country; gave up 17.2 points per game in 2018

9* Play MICHIGAN STATE (-).

08-29-19 Texas State v. Texas A&M -32.5 7-41 Win 100 5 h 36 m Show

-Texas State begins with a new head coach after going just 3-9 SU last year; out-classed here
-offense has averaged 19.8 points per game or less the last 3 years; can’t trade points with Aggies
-defense has no chance in physically stopping the run or the pass in this game; mismatch  

-Texas A&M will be in their second year under HC Jimbo Fisher; team went 9-4 in 2018
-offense has 7 returning starters back including QB Kellen Mond; averaged 36 ppg last season
-Gamecocks defense improved by 5.2 points per game and by 60 yards per game last season

9* Play TEXAS A&M (-).

08-29-19 Georgia Tech v. Clemson -36.5 14-52 Win 100 4 h 6 m Show

-Georgia Tech has just 9 returning starters, a new head coach, and a new system; out-classed
-the Yellow Jackets offense is switching from the triple-option to a pro style; drastic changes
-rush defense will get steamrolled here; gave up 4.7 rushing yards per carry last season

-Clemson returns 8 offensive starters from last year’s 15-0 team that won the national title

-offense scored 56 and 48 points in their last 2 season openers; expect similar result tonight  
-Tigers defense allowed just 13.1 points per game on 286 yards per game last season

10* Play CLEMSON (-).

01-07-19 Alabama v. Clemson OVER 56.5 16-44 Win 100 5 h 11 m Show

-Clemson scored 30 points or more in 11 of 14 games this season; 27 points in every game

-offense is averaging a whopping 7.3 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play 

-Tigers defense faced 2 SEC teams (Texas A&M and South Carolina); gave up 26 and 35 points  

-Alabama has scored 35 points or more in 12 of their 14 games; expect more of the same here 

-offense is averaging 49.3 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 29.3 ppg

-Crimson Tide has given up 83 total points in their last 3 games; 21 points or more in each game

9* Play OVER the total.

01-01-19 Texas v. Georgia OVER 58 28-21 Loss -108 19 h 27 m Show

-Texas comes in off a season ending loss to Oklahoma; expect a big bounce back effort here

-offense is averaging 31.9 points per game vs. defenses that give up 28.9 points per game 

-Longhorns defense was much worse on the road; allowed 5.4 points per game more 

-Georgia scored 34 points or more in 10 of their 13 games; expect 30+ points easily here 

-offense averages 39.2 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 26.4 points per game

-Bulldogs defense was also much worse on the road; allowed 6.7 points per game more 

9* Play OVER the total.

01-01-19 Washington v. Ohio State OVER 55.5 23-28 Loss -110 16 h 43 m Show

-Washington scored just 10 points in their final game; scored 27 points or more in 9 games

-offense is averaging 6.1 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.6 yards per play 

-Huskies defense faced a weak collection of offenses that averaged 5.6 yppl; big class jump here

-Ohio State scored 30 points or more in 10 of their 13 games; expect more of the same here 

-offense averages 43.5 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 27.5 points per game

-Buckeyes allow 6.6 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average just 5.5 yards per play

10* Play OVER the total.

01-01-19 Iowa +7 v. Mississippi State 27-22 Win 100 11 h 43 m Show

-Iowa has 4 losses on the season; 3 of those losses have come by 6 points or less; sticky team
-offense averages 42.6 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 28.1 points per game
-Hawkeyes defense allows just 4.6 yards per per play vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

-Mississippi State went 5-4 to close the season; 3 of those losses came by 16 points or more

-offense is averaging 5.2 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that allow 5.8 yards per play
-Bulldogs defense faced a weak collection of offenses that averaged 28.9 ppg; class jump here

9* Play IOWA (+).

12-31-18 NC State +7.5 v. Texas A&M 13-52 Loss -115 8 h 31 m Show

-NC State went 9-3 with one of those losses coming to Clemson; 2 losses by 14 points total
-offense is averaging 35.6 points per game vs. defenses that allow just 29.1 points per game 
-Wolfpack defense allows 22.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 27.9 points per game

-Texas A&M won their final 3 games culminating with an epic multi-OT win over LSU

-offense averages 21.5 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 25.3 points per game
-Aggies defense allows 6.8 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 6.2 yards per play

10* Play NC STATE (+).

12-31-18 Missouri v. Oklahoma State +9.5 33-38 Win 100 4 h 47 m Show

-Missouri beat up on the weaklings this season, but lost to the good teams they played

-offense appears much better than they actually are; numbers are skewed after waxing bad team
-Tigers defense allows 6.2 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 6.1 yards per play

-Oklahoma State played a brutal schedule this season; 1-3 SU to end the season; expect big effort
-offense is averaging 6.5 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 6.1 yards per play
-Cowboys defense allows 5.9 yards per play vs. offenses that also average 5.9 yards per play

9* Play OKLAHOMA STATE (+).

12-31-18 Michigan State +1.5 v. Oregon 6-7 Win 100 3 h 3 m Show

-Michigan State went just 1-2 over their last 3 games; 3-point defeat and a loss to Ohio State
-offense faced a strong collection of defenses that give up just 5.5 yards per play; class drop here
-Spartans defense allows just 4.6 yards per per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-Oregon went 3-3 to close the season; those losses all came by 7 points or more; poor form late

-offense is averaging 5.8 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that allow 6.0 yards per play
-Ducks allow 29.8 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 26.5 points per game

9* Play MICHIGAN STATE (+).

12-29-18 Oklahoma v. Alabama OVER 77.5 34-45 Win 100 17 h 28 m Show

-Oklahoma scored 37 points or more in 12 of 13 games this season; 28 points in every game

-offense is averaging a whopping 8.7 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play 

-Sooners defense allows 38.5 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 30.4 peg 

-Alabama scored 35 points or more in 11 of their 13 games; expect an easy 35+ points here 

-offense averages 50 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 28.9 points per game

-Crimson Tide defense does not face this type of offense in the SEC; major shock to their system

10* Play OVER the total.

12-29-18 Florida +6 v. Michigan 41-15 Win 100 9 h 29 m Show

-Florida ended the season with 3 straight wins after losing back-to-back games; confident team
-offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.7 yards per play overall
-Gators' defense allows 5.0 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

-Michigan lost their final game of the season, cost them chance at CFB playoff, no motivation now
-offense is averaging only 5.4 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that allow 5.5 yards per play
-Wolverines' defense was much worse on the road this season; allowed 10.0 ppg and 0.5 yppl more

9* Play FLORIDA (+).

12-29-18 South Carolina -4.5 v. Virginia 0-28 Loss -100 9 h 29 m Show

-South Carolina went just 2-2 over their last 4 games; lost to Florida and Georgia; no shame
-offense is averaging 32.6 points per game vs. defenses that allow just 26.6 points per game
-Gamecocks' defense allows 5.6 yards per per play vs. offenses that average 6.1 yards per play

-Virginia went 1-3 to end the season; one loss came to Georgia Tech who just got waxed in a bowl
-offense is averaging only 28.0 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 30.9 ppg overall
-Cavaliers' defense was much worse on the road this season; allowed 11.1 ppg and 0.4 yppl more

9* Play SOUTH CAROLINA (-).

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