Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-26-18 | Blue Jays v. Astros -1.5 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
-Toronto’s Ryan Borucki projects to allow 3.0 earned runs with a 5.20 ERA and 1.53 WHIP -lefty projects to have a 5.9 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and 1.9 strikeout/walk ratio -Astros offense has been strong vs. left-handed starters this season; averaging 4.7 runs per game -Houston’s Charlie Morton projects to allow 2.1 earned runs with a 3.21 ERA and 1.08 WHIP -righty projects to have a 10.8 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and 3.7 strikeout/walk ratio -Blue Jays lineup has hit just .157 (8-51) with a terrible .448 OPS against Morton in his career 10* Play ASTROS (-1.5 runline). |
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06-19-18 | Rays v. Astros -1.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
-Tampa Bay’s Blake Snell projects to allow 2.7 earned runs with a 4.37 ERA and 1.44 WHIP -lefty has been poor on the road this season; 21 earned runs on 34 hits in 50 innings of work -Astros lineup has hit a solid .391 (18-46) with a 1.233 OPS against Snell in his career -Houston’s Justin Verlander projects to allow 2.0 earned runs with a 2.81 ERA and 0.97 WHIP -righty projects to have a 10.9 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and 5.9 strikeout/walk ratio -Rays lineup has hit just .189 (10-53) with a terrible .445 OPS against Verlander in his career 9* Play ASTROS (-1.5 runline). |
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06-18-18 | White Sox v. Indians -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
-Chicago’s Dylan Covey projects to allow 3.1 earned runs with a 5.58 ERA and 1.64 WHIP -righty gave up 5 runs on 5 hits in 4.1 innings of work in his last start in Cleveland; repeat here -Indians lineup has hit a solid .310 (13-42) with a .703 OPS against Covey in his career -Cleveland’s Trevor Bauer projects to allow 2.2 earned runs with a 3.30 ERA and 1.10 WHIP -righty projects to have a 12.2 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and 5.0 strikeout/walk ratio -White Sox lineup has hit just .196 (22-112) with a terrible .523 OPS against Bauer in his career 9* Play INDIANS (-1.5 runline). |
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06-15-18 | Twins v. Indians -1.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
-Minnesota’s Kyle Gibson projects to allow 3.0 earned runs with a 4.96 ERA and 1.52 WHIP -righty has started 4 of his last 5 games at home; lone road game was against KC; big step-up -Indians lineup has hit .374 (64-171) with a terrific 1.074 OPS against Gibson in his career -Cleveland’s Corey Kluber projects to allow 2.2 earned runs with a 3.17 ERA and 1.04 WHIP -righty projects to have an 11.3 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and 6.1 strikeout/walk ratio -Twins lineup has hit just .148 (19-128) with a terrible .443 OPS against Kluber in his career 10* Play INDIANS (-1.5 runline). |
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06-10-18 | Pirates +1.5 v. Cubs | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 30 m | Show | |
-Pittsburgh's Ivan Nova projects to give up 2.3 earned runs with a 3.62 ERA and 1.23 WHIP today -Chicago's Kyle Hendricks projects to allow 2.8 earned runs with a 3.89 ERA and 1.39 WHIP today
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06-06-18 | Warriors v. Cavs +5 | 110-102 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 4 m | Show | |
-Golden State was primed for a big effort in Game 2; won easily as expected; letdown now -Cleveland was terrible in Game 2, but that was expected off their Game 1 effort; bounce back 10* Play CAVALIERS (+). |
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06-03-18 | Cavs v. Warriors -11 | 103-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
-Cleveland played to their max level in Game 1 and still lost by 10 points; regression now -Golden State went thru the motions in Game 1; overtime wake-up call brings a big effort here 10* Play WARRIORS (-). |
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05-31-18 | Cavs v. Warriors -12.5 | 114-124 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
-Cleveland survived another 7-game series; LeBron played 46 and 48 minutes in last 2 games -Golden State comes in off back-to-back wins where their offense improved; explosion here 10* Play WARRIORS (-). |
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05-30-18 | Angels -1.5 v. Tigers | 1-6 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
-LA’s Shohei Ohtani projects to give up 2.1 earned runs with a 3.28 ERA and 1.15 WHIP -righty projects to have a 10.9 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.6 strikeout/walk ratio -Tigers lineup has never faced Ohtani before; disadvantage; averaging just 4.2 runs per game -Detroit starter Mike Fiers projects to allow 3.0 earned runs with a 5.11 ERA and 1.43 WHIP -righty projects to have a 6.1 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 1.8 strikeout/walk ratio -Angels offense has been terrific on the road where they are averaging 5.7 runs per game 10* Play ANGELS (-1.5 runline). |
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05-28-18 | Warriors v. Rockets +6.5 | 101-92 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
-Golden State exploded in the second half of Game 6 at home 64-25; unlikely on road now -Houston returns home off an ugly road loss; they are 41-9 SU at home; strong bounce back spot |
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05-27-18 | Cavs v. Celtics -2.5 | 87-79 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
-Cleveland scored 336 points in their 3 home wins; scored just 260 points in 3 losses in Boston -Boston was terrible in all 3 games on the road; 10-0 SU at home in the playoffs; bounce back 10* Play CELTICS (-). |
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05-26-18 | Padres v. Dodgers -1.5 | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
-San Diego’s Jordan Lyles projects to allow 2.6 earned runs with a 4.39 ERA and 1.41 WHIP -righty has been terrible on the road this season; 8 runs on 11 hits in 13.1 innings; 5.40 ERA -Dodgers lineup has hit .347 (34-98) with a terrific .986 OPS against Lyles in his career -LA starter Alex Wood projects to allow 1.9 earned runs with a 2.70 ERA and 0.96 WHIP -lefty projects to have an 8.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 5.3 strikeout/walk ratio -Padres offense is in bad form; hitting .211 and scoring 3.4 runs per game over their last 7 games 9* Play DODGERS (-1.5 runline). |
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05-26-18 | Rockets v. Warriors -12.5 | 86-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
-Houston survived an ugly Game 5 and came out with a win; no Chris Paul gives them no chance -Golden State comes in off back-to-back losses where their offense was terrible; explosion here 10* Play WARRIORS (-). |
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05-26-18 | Nationals v. Marlins +1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -119 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
-Washington’s Tanner Roark projects to allow 2.6 earned runs with a 3.80 ERA and 1.37 WHIP -righty has been at his worst in day games; 6 earned runs on 12 hits in 13.1 innings; 4.05 ERA -Marlins lineup has hit a solid .303 (36-119) with a terrific .852 OPS against Roark in his career -Miami’s Wei-Yin Chen projects to allow 2.0 earned runs with a 3.63 ERA and 1.16 WHIP -lefty projects to have a 7.9 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.2 strikeout/walk ratio -Nationals lineup is poor vs. left-handed starters; hitting .218 while averaging 3.6 runs per game 9* Play MARLINS (+1.5 runline). |
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05-24-18 | Warriors +1 v. Rockets | 94-98 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
-Golden State hits the road off an ugly home loss in Game 4; scored just 92 points; bounce back -Houston benefitted from the Warriors inability to score in the 4th quarter; 25-12 was a fluke 10* Play WARRIORS (+). |
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05-23-18 | Cavs v. Celtics +1 | 83-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
-Cleveland won both home games after scoring 227 points; scored just 177 in 2 losses in Boston -Boston was terrible past two games on the road; 9-0 SU at home in the playoffs; bounce back now |
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05-22-18 | Rockets +9 v. Warriors | 95-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
-Houston was awful as expected in their 41-point loss in Game 3; strong bounce-back spot now -Golden State starting unit played perfect in Game 3; scored 93 of their 116 points; unlikely again |
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05-21-18 | Celtics +7 v. Cavs | 102-111 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
-Boston was terrible in Game 3 as expected; lost by 30 points; strong bounce back spot now -Cleveland played their best game for all 48 minutes in Game 3; expect a natural letdown tonight |
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05-20-18 | Rockets v. Warriors -7 | 85-126 | Win | 100 | 79 h 57 m | Show | |
-Houston bounced back strong as expected in Game 2; 5 players scored 16 points or more -Golden State returns home off an ugly 22-point road loss in Game 2; strong bounce back here 10* Play WARRIORS (-). |
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05-19-18 | Celtics v. Cavs -6 | 86-116 | Win | 100 | 54 h 43 m | Show | |
-Boston won Games 1 and 2 on their home court; 1-4 SU on the road in the playoffs; win in OT -Cleveland returns home off back-to-back road losses; 34-13 SU at home; strong bounce back 10* Play CAVALIERS (-). |
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05-16-18 | Warriors v. Rockets -1 | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
-Golden State starting unit played terrific in Game 1; starting 5 scored 99 of their 119 points -Houston comes in off a home loss in Game 1; they are 39-9 SU at home; strong bounce back 10* Play ROCKETS (-). |
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05-15-18 | Cavs +1 v. Celtics | 94-107 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
-Cleveland was terrible in Game 1; they lost by 25 points (108-83); expect a strong bounce back -Boston played their best game for all 48 minutes in Game 1; expect a natural letdown tonight 10* Play CAVALIERS (+). |
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05-11-18 | Nationals -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
-Washington’s Max Scherzer projects to give up 2.0 earned runs with a 2.98 ERA and 1.00 WHIP -righty projects to have a 12.2 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 4.8 strikeout/walk ratio -Diamondbacks lineup has hit just .200 (22-110) with a .594 OPS against Scherzer in his career -Arizona starter Matt Koch projects to allow 2.9 earned runs with a 4.91 ERA and 1.42 WHIP -righty projects to have a 6.1 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 1.8 strikeout/walk ratio -Nationals offense has been terrific on the road where they are averaging 5.3 runs per game 10* Play NATIONALS (-1.5 runline). |
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05-09-18 | 76ers +1.5 v. Celtics | 112-114 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
-Philadelphia won Game 4 as expected; they were road favorites in Games 1 and 2; value now -Boston was fortunate to win Games 2 and 3; have not dominated this series despite 3-1 lead 9* Play 76ERS (+). |
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05-08-18 | Jazz +12 v. Rockets | 102-112 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
-Utah comes in off back-to-back blowout losses at home; expect a strong bounce back effort -Houston is off back-to-back terrific games in which they won by 21 and 13 points; regress now 10* Play JAZZ (+). |
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05-07-18 | Celtics v. 76ers -6 | 92-103 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
-Boston was extremely fortunate to win Game 3 in overtime; line is clearly adjusted too low now -Philadelphia is now 32-12 SU at home; off a blown win, have to expect a big bounce back 9* Play 76ERS (-). |
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05-06-18 | Rockets -5 v. Jazz | 100-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
-Houston bounced back with a strong performance in Game 3 as expected; repeat effort here -Utah still lost Game 3 by 21 points at home despite holding Houston to 30.6% from 3-point land 10* Play ROCKETS (-). |
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05-05-18 | Raptors +5 v. Cavs | 103-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
-Toronto hits the road off back-to-back home losses; expect a strong bounce back as an underdog -Cleveland has won the first two games after coming back from 14 and 9 point margins; letdown 10* Play RAPTORS (+). |
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05-05-18 | Celtics v. 76ers -8.5 | 101-98 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
-Boston is off back-to-back excellent games in which they scored 225 points; regress now -Philadelphia returns home down 2-0 in this series; 32-11 SU at home, so expect big bounce back 9* Play 76ERS (-). |
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05-04-18 | Rockets -3.5 v. Jazz | 113-92 | Win | 100 | 23 h 14 m | Show | |
-Houston was terrible in Game 2 on their home court; expect a strong bounce back effort here -Utah played a perfect Game 2 as expected; 5 players scored 15 points or more; regression 10* Play ROCKETS (-). |
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05-03-18 | Cavs v. Raptors -6.5 | 128-110 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
-Cleveland overcame a bad spot and a 14-point deficit to win Game 1 in overtime; letdown now -Toronto is now 37-8 SU at home; coming off a loss, expect a strong bounce back performance 10* Play RAPTORS (-). |
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05-02-18 | Jazz +11 v. Rockets | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
-Utah comes in off a bad 14-point road loss in Game 1; expect a strong bounce back effort -Houston is off back-to-back excellent games in which they won 18 and 14 points; regress now 9* Play JAZZ (+). |
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05-01-18 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 3-4 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
-LA’s Clayton Kershaw projects to give up 2.2 earned runs with a 3.20 ERA and 1.07 WHIP -lefty projects to have a 10.1 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 5.3 strikeout/walk ratio -Diamondbacks lineup has hit just .187 (34-182) with a .568 OPS against Kershaw in his career -Arizona starter Matt Koch projects to allow 2.8 earned runs with a 4.94 ERA and 1.46 WHIP -righty projects to have a 6.2 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 1.9 strikeout/walk ratio -Dodgers offense is in good current form; they’ve scored 35 total runs over their last six games 9* Play DODGERS (-1.5 runline). |
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05-01-18 | Cavs v. Raptors -6.5 | 113-112 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 27 m | Show | |
-Cleveland just won Game 7 over Indiana at home on Sunday; grueling series; terrible spot here -Toronto returns home off an easy Game 6 win in Washington; 3 days of rest; expect strong effort 10* Play RAPTORS (-). |
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04-28-18 | Bucks v. Celtics -4.5 | 96-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
-Milwaukee played perfect at home in Game 6; got a complete team effort; expect regression -Boston returns home off an ugly road loss; expect a strong bounce back effort tonight in Game 7 10* Play CELTICS (-). |
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04-27-18 | Thunder v. Jazz -6.5 | 91-96 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
-Oklahoma City came back from a 15-point halftime deficit in Game 5; expect regression tonight -Utah returns home off a bad road loss; expect a strong bounce back effort to end the series 10* Play JAZZ (-). |
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04-25-18 | Wizards v. Raptors -7 | 98-108 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
-Washington played perfect in Game 3 and came back from a 14-point deficit in Game 4; regress -Toronto returns home off back-to-back road losses; expect a strong bounce back effort tonight 10* Play RAPTORS (-). |
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04-24-18 | Bucks v. Celtics -3.5 | 87-92 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
-Milwaukee played perfect in Game 3 and Game 4; scored 220 points at home; regression now -Boston returns home off back-to-back road losses; expect a strong bounce back effort tonight 10* Play CELTICS (-). |
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04-23-18 | Rockets -6 v. Wolves | 119-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
-Houston was terrible in Game 3, but that was predictable; expect a strong bounce back effort -Minnesota played a perfect Game 3 as expected; 5 players scored 17 points or more; regression 10* Play ROCKETS (-). |
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04-22-18 | Raptors -2 v. Wizards | 98-106 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
-Wizards were in a strong bounce-back spot in Game 3 after two losses |
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04-22-18 | Celtics +6 v. Bucks | 102-104 | Win | 100 | 1 h 47 m | Show | |
-Milwaukee was in a strong bounce-back spot in Game 3 and won as expected |
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04-21-18 | Rockets v. Wolves +5.5 | 105-121 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
-Houston dominated Game 2 after squeaking by in Game 1; off 20-point win, expect a letdown -Minnesota was a much better home team during the regular season; 30-11 SU; big bounce back 10* Play TIMBERWOLVES (+). |
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04-20-18 | Cavs v. Pacers | 90-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
-Cleveland bounced back as expected in Game 2; still a bad team that is greatly overvalued -Indiana has an excellent matchup; off a road loss and returning home, expect a big effort tonight 9* Play PACERS. |
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04-19-18 | Marlins +1.5 v. Brewers | 3-12 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
-Miami’s Dillon Peters projects to give up 2.3 earned runs with a 3.98 ERA and 1.32 WHIP -lefty projects to have a 7.9 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.9 strikeout/walk ratio -Brewers offense is in poor current form; they’ve scored 2 runs exact in 3 of their last 4 games -Milwaukee’s Chase Anderson projects to allow 2.5 earned runs with a 4.17 ERA and 1.38 WHIP -righty is off back-to-back strong outings; 3 runs on 6 hits in 12.1 innings of work; regress now -Marlins lineup has hit .435 (10-23) with a terrific 1.350 OPS against Anderson in his career 9* Play MARLINS (+1.5 runline).
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04-19-18 | 76ers -1 v. Heat | 128-108 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
-Philadelphia regressed sharply in Game 2 off their perfect Game 1 performance; bounce back -Miami played much better in Game 2 as expected, but don’t anticipate a repeat performance 10* Play 76ERS (-). |
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04-18-18 | Jazz +5 v. Thunder | 102-95 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
-Utah did not play up to their full potential in Game 1; expect a much better effort in Game 2 -Oklahoma City got a complete team effort in Game 1; 5 players scored in double digits; regress 9* Play JAZZ (+). |
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04-17-18 | Wizards v. Raptors -7 | 119-130 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
-Washington was dominated in 3 of 4 quarters in Game 1; expect more of the same in Game 2 -Toronto has a cohesive team this season with the best bench in the league; big matchup edge 10* Play RAPTORS (-). |
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04-16-18 | Spurs +10 v. Warriors | 101-116 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
-San Antonio played terrible in Game 1; scored just 92 points; lowest of their last 12 games -Golden State flipped the switch on in Game 1; came into that game on a 1-3 SU run; regress 10* Play SPURS (+). |
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04-16-18 | Heat +7 v. 76ers | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
-Miami dominated the 1st quarter in Game 1; got crushed the last 36 minutes; bounce back here -Philadelphia played a perfect 3 quarters in Game 1; off that big, emotional win, letdown coming 9* Play HEAT (+). |
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04-15-18 | Pacers +7 v. Cavs | 98-80 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
-Indiana had a sneaky good team during the regular season; excellent matchup here; tough out -Cleveland has had a tumultuous season; bad team chemistry forced an overhaul; overvalued 9* Play PACERS (+). |
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04-14-18 | Pelicans +5.5 v. Blazers | 97-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
-New Orleans won 48 games to Portland’s 49 wins so don't be fooled by the 6th seed vs. 3rd seed -Portland closed the regular season by going 1-4 SU over their last 5 games; bad current form 9* Play PELICANS (+). |
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04-14-18 | Wizards v. Raptors -8 | 106-114 | Push | 0 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
-Washington has a bad matchup edge here; terrible bench vs. the best bench; bad team chemistry -Toronto has a cohesive team this season; haven’t won a Game 1 yet; big effort coming here 10* Play RAPTORS (-). |
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04-11-18 | Wizards -5.5 v. Magic | 92-101 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
-Washington can either finish in 6th, 7th, or 8th place; need to win to avoid the 8th seed -Orlando has incentive to lose to better their draft position; sitting their best players tonight -offense is shooting 34.4% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 36.2% shooting from 3 -Magic defense allows 37.1% shooting from 3 at home vs offenses that shoot 36.3% from 3 10* Play WIZARDS (-). |
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04-10-18 | Hornets +3 v. Pacers | 119-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
-Charlotte lost to Indiana 123-117 on Sunday; quick revenge spot, want to end season with a win -Indiana is locked into #5 seed in playoffs; they are resting their starters as this game means nothing |
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04-09-18 | Pelicans v. Clippers +8.5 | 113-100 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
-New Orleans comes in off 3 straight wins where they scored 122 points or more; letdown spot now -Los Angeles is out of playoffs, so inflated line; likely rest nagging injuries; young guys will play hard |
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04-08-18 | Pistons -5.5 v. Grizzlies | 117-130 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
-Detroit is 8-2 SU over their last 10 games; average win coming by 13.4 points per game -Pistons defense allows 103.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 106.5 points per game -Memphis is just 3-27 SU over their last 30 games; expect another loss here; in tank mode 10* Play PISTONS (-). |
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04-07-18 | Padres v. Astros -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
-San Diego’s Bryan Mitchell projects to give up 3.0 earned runs with a 5.67 ERA and 1.60 WHIP -righty projects to have a 5.7 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 1.5 strikeout/walk ratio -Astros have hit .333 in a limited 12 at-bats with a strong .968 OPS against Mitchell in his career -Houston’s Gerrit Cole is slated to give up 2.4 earned runs with a 3.42 ERA and 1.11 WHIP -righty projects to have a 9.1 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 4.5 strikeout/walk ratio -Padres have hit just .203 (12-59) with a poor .582 OPS against Cole in his career 10* Play ASTROS (-1.5 runline). |
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04-07-18 | Nuggets -2 v. Clippers | 134-115 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
-Denver has won 4 straight games after going just 2-4 over their previous 6 games; good form -Nuggets defense is in good form; they have given up just 200 total points in their last 2 games -Los Angeles is just 1-3 SU over their last 4 games; expect another loss here; in bad current form 9* Play NUGGETS (-). |
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04-06-18 | Mavs v. Pistons -6.5 | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
-Dallas is just 2-9 SU over their last eleven games; team is tanking, so expect another loss here -Detroit lost at home to Philadelphia on Wednesday; 24-15 SU at home, bounce back effort -Pistons defense allows 34.8% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 36.2% from 3 10* Play PISTONS (-). |
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04-05-18 | Warriors v. Pacers +2.5 | 106-126 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
-Golden State won at OKC on Tuesday as 4-point underdogs; bad spot now changing time zones -Indiana returns home off a road loss in Denver; 26-13 SU at home, so expect a strong effort here -Pacers defense allows 34.5% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 36.1% from 3 10* Play PACERS (+). |
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04-04-18 | Heat -8 v. Hawks | 115-86 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
-Miami is 3-1 over their last 4 games; lone loss came in overtime; in good current form -Heat defense allows 44.7% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46% -Atlanta is in bad form; 4-17 SU over their last 21 games; most have been non-competitive losses 10* Play HEAT (-). |
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04-03-18 | Blazers -8.5 v. Mavs | 109-115 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
-Portland comes in off back-to-back double digit wins; day off yesterday; strong effort here -Trail Blazers allow 44.7% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.1% from the field -Dallas is in tank mode; 1-8 SU over their last 9 games; expect more of the same once again 9* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (-). |
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04-03-18 | Orioles v. Astros -1.5 | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
-Baltimore’s Mike Wright projects to give up 3.0 earned runs with a 5.73 ERA and 1.53 WHIP -righty projects to have a 6.7 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 2.0 strikeout/walk ratio -Astros have hit .353 in a limited 17 at-bats with a strong .951 OPS against Wright in his career -Houston’s Justin Verlander is slated to give up 2.3 earned runs with a 3.43 ERA and 1.11 WHIP -righty projects to have a 12.1 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 5.1 strikeout/walk ratio -Orioles have hit just .227 (41-181) with a poor .666 OPS against Verlander in his career 9* Play ASTROS (-1.5 runline). |
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04-02-18 | Michigan +7.5 v. Villanova | 62-79 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
-Michigan is getting too many points here; my power ratings only make them a 6-point underdog -Villanova has steamrolled thru their opponents so far in this tournament; off their best game too 10* Play MICHIGAN (+). |
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04-01-18 | Thunder -1 v. Pelicans | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
-Oklahoma City comes in on a 3-game losing streak; rested and ready; strong bounce back here -Thunder allow 45.8% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.1% from the field -New Orleans has also lost 3 straight games; defense is atrocious; expect struggles once again 10* Play THUNDER (-). |
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03-31-18 | Kansas +5 v. Villanova | 79-95 | Loss | -103 | 17 h 43 m | Show | |
-Kansas has been battle tested in this tournament, and that’s a good thing coming into this game -Villanova has steamrolled thru their opponents so far in this tournament; not a good thing now 10* Play KANSAS (+). |
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03-31-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Michigan -5.5 | 57-69 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
-Loyola Chicago gets a poor matchup here; opponent also likes a slow pace, negating their edge -Michigan isn’t laying enough points here; my power ratings make them a solid 6-point favorite 9* Play MICHIGAN (-). |
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03-30-18 | Clippers v. Blazers -6 | 96-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
-Los Angeles played 7 of 8 games on the road; pit stop home game; 2nd road game since -Portland returns home off an ugly road loss at Memphis; lost last 2 home games; Lillard returns 9* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (-). |
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03-30-18 | Astros -1.5 v. Rangers | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
-Houston’s Dallas Keuchel is slated to give up 2.1 earned runs with a 3.66 ERA and 1.24 WHIP -lefty projects to have a 8.3 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.1 strikeout/walk ratio -Rangers have hit just .227 (68-299) with a poor .612 OPS against Keuchel in his career -Texas starter Doug Fister projects to give up 2.7 earned runs with a 4.86 ERA and 1.44 WHIP -righty projects to have a 6.7 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 2.2 strikeout/walk ratio -Astros have hit a respectable .294 (15-51) while scoring 6 runs against Fister in his career 10* Play ASTROS (-1.5 runline). |
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03-30-18 | Nationals -1.5 v. Reds | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show | |
-Washington’s Max Scherzer projects to give up 2.1 earned runs with a 3.64 ERA and 1.11 WHIP -righty is slated to have a 10.9 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 4.1 strikeout/walk ratio -Reds’ lineup has hit just .220 (11-50) with a weak .728 OPS against Scherzer in his career -Cincinnati’s Homer Bailey projects to give up 2.8 earned runs with a 5.20 ERA and 1.43 WHIP -righty was terrible at home last season; went 1-6 with a 7.90 ERA and 1.73 WHIP in 41 innings -Nationals have hit a terrific .435 (20-46) with an insane 1.144 OPS against Bailey in his career 9* Play NATIONALS (-1.5 runline). |
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03-28-18 | Mavs +8 v. Lakers | 93-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
-Dallas comes in off a win last night; 4 of their previous 5 losses by 8 points or less; still trying -Los Angeles returns home after playing 5 of their last 6 games on the road; bad scheduling spot 9* Play MAVERICKS (+). |
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03-28-18 | Celtics +8.5 v. Jazz | 97-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
-Boston has won 4 straight games after losing 3 of their previous 4 games; on a current upswing -Utah is just 2-2 SU over their last 4 games after winning their previous 9 games; trending down 9* Play CELTICS (+). |
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03-28-18 | Knicks +12.5 v. 76ers | 101-118 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
-New York is 3-3 SU over their last 6 games, but one loss came by 4 points and the other in OT -Philadelphia has won 7 straight games while scoring 118 points or more in 6 games; letdown 10* Play KNICKS (+).
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03-27-18 | Bucks +3.5 v. Clippers | 98-105 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
-Milwaukee has won 2 straight games after losing 3 of their previous 4 games; on an upswing -Los Angeles returns home after playing 7 of their last 8 games on the road; bad scheduling spot 9* Play BUCKS (+). |
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03-27-18 | Mississippi State +2.5 v. Penn State | 60-75 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
-Mississippi State just won at Baylor and at Louisville; impressive wins; line is too high here -Penn State had a much easier path to New York with wins over Notre Dame and Marquette 9* Play MISSISSIPPI STATE (+). |
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03-27-18 | Cavs v. Heat +3 | 79-98 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
-Cleveland has won 4 straight games while scoring 120 points or more in each game; regress -Miami returns home off back-to-back road losses; 22-13 SU at home; strong bounce back here 10* Play HEAT (+). |
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03-25-18 | Duke -3 v. Kansas | 81-85 | Loss | -103 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
-Duke has a terrific matchup edge here; zone defense combined with a solid and efficient offense -Kansas has faced 3 opponents that they dominated in terms of talent; big step-up in class here 10* Play DUKE (-). |
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03-24-18 | Florida State +4.5 v. Michigan | 54-58 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
-Florida State has been very impressive in their 3 tournament games; great speed and athleticism -Michigan played way above their level in their 99-72 win over Texas A&M team; regress here 9* Play FLORIDA STATE (+). |
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03-24-18 | Bulls v. Pistons -12.5 | 95-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
-Chicago is in serious tank mode; they’ve lost their last 3 games by 13 points or more; same here -Detroit returns home from a 6-game road trip where they went just 2-4 SU; big bounce back 9* Play PISTONS (-). |
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03-23-18 | Texas Tech v. Purdue -1.5 | 78-65 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 34 m | Show | |
-Texas Tech is just 4-5 SU and 1-7-1 ATS over their last 9 games; not in good form despite wins -Purdue is without Isaac Haas, but they played without him against Butler; expect a better effort 10* Play PURDUE (-). |
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03-23-18 | Clippers v. Pacers -3.5 | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
-Los Angeles will be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights; 6 of last 7 games on the road; bad spot -Indiana returns home off a road loss; 24-13 SU at home this season; expect a big bounce back 9* Play PACERS (-). |
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03-23-18 | Clemson +5 v. Kansas | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
-Clemson has a nice matchup edge here; slow pace combined with a solid and efficient defense -Kansas is laying too many points here; my power ratings only make them a 3.5-point favorite 9* Play CLEMSON (+). |
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03-22-18 | Kansas State +6.5 v. Kentucky | 61-58 | Win | 100 | 74 h 49 m | Show | |
-Kentucky is laying way too many points here; terrible matchup while stepping way up in class -Kansas State has a big matchup edge here; very slow pace combined with their strong defense 10* Play KANSAS STATE (+). |
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03-22-18 | Texas A&M v. Michigan -2.5 | 72-99 | Win | 100 | 51 h 36 m | Show | |
-Texas A&M comes in off an upset win of North Carolina; slow pace here will be their undoing -Michigan struggling against Houston was expected; get a much better matchup here; big effort 9* Play MICHIGAN (-). |
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03-22-18 | 76ers v. Magic +8 | 118-98 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
-Philadelphia hits the road after 3 straight home wins where they scored 347 points; bad spot -Orlando will play their 4th straight home game; lost last 2 games by single digits; big effort 9* Play MAGIC (+). |
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03-21-18 | Western Kentucky +6 v. Oklahoma State | 92-84 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
-Western Kentucky quietly has 26 wins on the season; line is too high based on my power ratings -Oklahoma State had a negative efficiency margin in conference play this season; bad favorite 10* Play WESTERN KENTUCKY (+). |
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03-20-18 | Thunder v. Celtics +4.5 | 99-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
-Oklahoma City coming off SU road dog win at Toronto; regression spot now as road favorite -Boston returns home off an ugly 19-point road loss at New Orleans; expect a strong effort now |
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03-20-18 | Raptors v. Magic +10.5 | 93-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
-Toronto hits the road after high-profile home loss vs. OKC; letdown spot now as a big favorite -Orlando will play their 3rd straight home game; they’ve had 3 days off; big scheduling edge |
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03-19-18 | Washington v. St. Mary's -10 | 81-85 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
-Washington is just 5-8 SU away from home this season; just won as a home underdog; bad spot -St. Mary’s got snubbed from the NCAA tournament; they are on a NIT mission; big effort here 9* Play ST. MARY’S (-). |
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03-19-18 | Nuggets +2 v. Heat | 141-149 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
-Denver comes in off an ugly loss in Memphis; day off since; expect a big bounce back effort -Miami returns home after playing a 3-game West Coast road trip; bad spot off that travel 10* Play NUGGETS (+). |
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03-18-18 | Marshall v. West Virginia -12.5 | 71-94 | Win | 100 | 18 h 35 m | Show | |
-Marshall pulled a big upset of Wichita State on Friday; don’t expect a repeat performance here -West Virginia beat Murray State easily on Friday; their relentless press will be the difference 10* Play WEST VIRGINIA (-). |
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03-18-18 | Maryland-Baltimore County v. Kansas State -10 | 43-50 | Loss | -113 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
-UMBC shocked the world in their upset win over Virginia; off that win, expect a major letdown -Kansas State handled Creighton without much energy exerted on Friday; expect a strong effort 9* Play KANSAS STATE (-). |
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03-18-18 | Nevada +8.5 v. Cincinnati | 75-73 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
-Nevada now owns 28 wins on the season; very strong perimeter team on both ends of the court -Cincinnati was unimpressive in their win over Georgia State on Friday; step-up in class here 9* Play NEVADA (+). |
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03-17-18 | Houston +3.5 v. Michigan | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 17 h 55 m | Show | |
-Houston is a very dangerous team, and they get a very favorable matchup for tonight’s game -Michigan is a perimeter orientated team on offense, and this is a terrible matchup for them 9* Play HOUSTON (+). |
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03-17-18 | Florida +2 v. Texas Tech | 66-69 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 1 m | Show | |
-Florida is back to playing their best; 4-1 SU over their last 5 games after losing 3 straight games -Texas Tech is just 3-5 SU and 0-7-1 ATS over their last 8 games; team is in poor current form 9* Play FLORIDA (+). |
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03-17-18 | Ohio State +3.5 v. Gonzaga | 84-90 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
-Ohio State was embarrassed by 27-points versus Gonzaga earlier this season; lots of motivation -Gonzaga had more trouble with UNC Greensboro than they should have; step-up in class now 9* Play OHIO STATE (+). |
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03-17-18 | Loyola-Chicago +5.5 v. Tennessee | 63-62 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
-Loyola Chicago now has 29 wins on the season; they have a terrific offense and a strong defense -Tennessee had a very easy draw in the opening round; big step-up in class vs. a half-court team 9* Play LOYOLA CHICAGO (+). |
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03-17-18 | Buffalo v. Kentucky -5.5 | 75-95 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
-Buffalo had a great matchup vs. Arizona and their win wasn’t a shock at all; big step-up here -Kentucky was very impressive in their win over a smart Davidson team; get their preferred style 10* Play KENTUCKY (-). |
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03-16-18 | Florida State v. Missouri +1.5 | 67-54 | Loss | -102 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
-Florida State underperformed greatly over their conference schedule; negative efficiency margin -Missouri will be without suspended Jordan Barnett, but Michael Porter returns from injury 9* Play MISSOURI (+). |
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03-16-18 | New Mexico State +5 v. Clemson | 68-79 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
-New Mexico State quietly went 28-5 this season; they are terrific on both ends of the court -Clemson went just 2-6 SU when held to less than 70 points this season; bad matchup for them 10* Play NEW MEXICO STATE (+). |