Super Bowl Smash

Rating: 5 Units

Consider that Super Bowl favorites of 5 or fewer points (Kansas City) in ‘double rest’ affairs – a week of rest before their first playoff game and a week of rest before the big game – are 5-13 SU and 4-15 ATS and No. 1 seeds in the Super Bowl (Kansas City) are 15-20 SU and 12-21-2 ATS since 1990, including 7-21 SU and 4-13-2 ATS versus non-No.1 seeds. The Eagles hold the highest points per game in the fourth quarter (9.3) this season and rank 13th in the league with first-quarter points per game (5). A slow start could be in order for the Birds. In closing, the Eagles arrived at SB LIX after five consecutive home games – the first time for any Super Bowl squad. Since 1980: Previous Super Bowl teams coming off four successive home games are 5-0 SUATS – all as a dog.

Conference Championship Game of the Month

Rating: 4 Units

Kansas City opened the year with a nice 27-20 home win over the Ravens, but the Chiefs were out-gained by 99 yards. In Week 2, they were out-gained again and needed a walk-off 51-yard field goal against the Bengals. In Week 5, they were in a struggle with the Saints before Derek Carr got knocked out of the game. In Week 16, they were tied with the Texans before Tank Dell's horrific knee injury in the third quarter. Following the Chiefs' Week 11 loss at Buffalo, here's who Kansas City closed the regular season with: Panthers, Raiders, Chargers, Browns, Texans, Steelers and Broncos (when KC benched all of its starters). Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Chiefs played the No. 24 schedule this season (Buffalo's schedule was No. 14). When these teams met in mid-November, Buffalo closed as a 2.5-point home favorite. You certainly have to make an adjustment for homefield advantage, but we'd argue that the Chiefs' power rating should have dropped since then. Depending on what closing number you use in last week's game against the Texans, Kansas City went 3-5-1 against the spread to close the season. Buffalo went 6-3 ATS with wins over the 49ers, Lions, Broncos and Ravens. Why has the Chiefs' rating in the betting market improved? Because they beat the short-handed Texans twice?

Divisional Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

The Lions’ come into this one a massive 14-2 SU and 11-4-1 ATS mark when laying points this campaign. The fact is that any team in the Divisional Round, coming off an upset win as an underdog in the Wild Card Round (Washington), is 0-15 SU and 3-12 ATS as a road dog if they won five or fewer games the previous season.

NFC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

With the Rams having climbed the mountain and now breathing playoff air, and currently 5-10 SU and 4-11 ATS at home against triple-revenging foes, we’re riding the Seahawks as they zero in on a 10-win season, which is what Los Angeles will have if they fall to Seattle today. With that, we’re all over the mad-as-hell triple-avenging division visitor with the better offense and defense. Finally, playing against any .500 or greater NFL team in its final game of the season if they are coming off three consecutive revenge wins is 9-1 ATS.

AFC East Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Most of Miami’s early lack of success is attributable to the loss of QB Tua Tagovailoa in the early portion of the campaign. The Tongan has pled well in division duke-outs with a 13-8 SU and 12-8-1 ATS career mark, including 11-2 SU and 9-4 ATS versus losing division foes. He missed the team’s victory at Cleveland because of a hip injury, and he is questionable this week. This means Tyler “Snoop” Huntley may be making a fifth start for the Dolphins in 2024. The Jets can’t seem to get off the runway in this series, just 2-11 SU and 3-10 ATS since 2018. They are also just 2-10 ATS when coming off double-digit SUATS losses and 2-11 ATS in their last thirteen puppy roles. With the Miami’s 11-2 ATS as a favorite coming off a favorite role in their previous game, it’s time we say goodbye, Mr. Rodgers. Finally, Miami QB Tyler Huntley is 4-1 SUATS in his NFL career against foes coming off consecutive losses, including 3-0 SUATS away

NFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The Bucs hold a 57% chance of breaking through. That improves to 70% with a win here and 85% with a pair of season-ending victories. The good news is they have beat Carolina like a drum of late, winning eight of the last nine meetings while cashing eight of the previous eleven games as a division home favorite of five or more points. In addition, the Panthers are 0-5 SUATS in Game Sixteen of the season in the last five years. Finally, Carolina is 0-9 SU and 2-6-1 ATS versus winning opponents behind QB Bryce Young, including 0-5 SUATS against opponents with an .800 or fewer win percentage.

AFC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Denver can clinch a playoff bid with a win today or next week. It currently holds the 7th and final playoff seed, while Cincinnati holds the No. 9 spot in the AFC playoff chain. Mathematically, Denver enters with a 76% chance of being playoff-bound, while Cincy clings to a scant 4% chance of earning a playoff berth. That improves to 14% with wins today and next week against the Steelers. Don’t tell that to Joe Burrow, though. All he knows is his team is still breathing. We know that Burrow is 9-3-1 ATS in his NFL career against the AFC West, including 5-0 SUATS in the last five games as a host. In addition, the Striped Cats are 3-1-1 ATS on Saturdays, while the Broncos are 1-4 ATS on Saturdays. Finally, the Bengals are 14-4 ATS against .600 or greater non-division opposition with Joe Burrow, including 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS when Cincy enters off a SUATS win.

Inter-Conference Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

According to Seahawks’ head coach Mike MacDonald, all signs are positive for Smith heading into this pivotal matchup with the Vikings. If Seattle wins out, they will be the NFC West champions. Minnesota’s issue starts with the fact that they are 0-5 SUATS in Game Fifteen in the last five years. They are also 1-7 outright in the previous eight games in this series (3-5 outright) and 1-6 ATS after hosting a division game. On the flip side, Seattle counters at 9-2 ATS as a dog off a loss against a foe coming off a win as a favorite. Finally, playing against any NFL road favorite from Game Eleven out when off three straight home games if they are coming off a win and failed to beat the spread by 18 or more points is 35-9 ATS.

NFL Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

We realize that having the Cowboys on deck for Philly isn’t as meaningful today as in years past (0-8-1 ATS before Dallas). But that cloud still rests above the Eagles, as in the three games away from Lincoln Financial Field against winning teams (projected playoff teams) this season, Philadelphia is 0-3 ITS (In The Stats) by an average of -117 net yards. With the Commanders 7-1-1 ATS as small home dogs of fewer than five points when coming off a win, and Game Fifteen division home dogs standing 6-1 ATS against foes coming off a win, you know the right side of this game. Finally, NFL home teams coming off a one-point win-no-cover that was preceded by a Bye week are 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS since 2020 when playing with revenge.

Inter-Conference Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

We know one thing for sure: at 7-6, they are currently +54 in overall point differential. Just ahead of them is 12-1 Kansas City at +56. It sure looks like a massive injustice to us. The Chargers are in the No. 6 slot in the AFC Playoff picture but are currently riding a 4-game ITS (In The Stats) losing skein). That finds them “leaking oil” as a favorite in this contest. We realize Tampa’s recent wins have come against the likes of the Giants, Panthers, and Raiders (7-32 combined this season), but the Bucs are 9-3 SU and 9-2-1 ATS in the second of consecutive AFC confrontations, including 4-0 ATS away. Meanwhile, the Chargers are 2-15-1 ATS after losing to the Chiefs when they sport a .454 or greater win percentage. Finally, Bucs’ QB Baker Mayfield is 16-2 ATS as a dog in his NFL career against opponents coming off a loss, including 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS from Game Nine out.

AFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Miami thawed out in time last week following their visit to Green Bay when they edged the Jets in overtime. They’ll invade Houston knowing they are 7-1 SUATS in post-Jets jousts. They are also 19-5 SU and 15-8-1 ATS, coming off a win behind Tua Tagovailoa when the Dolphins are facing a .615 or fewer opponent, as well as 5-1-1 ATS versus rested foes.  Houston is riding an 0-8-2 ATS ledger from Game Thirteen out when coming off a win of seven or fewer points. Finally, Miami is 14-8 SU and 14-7-1 ATS from Game Thirteen out during the regular season when both teams are coming off a win, including 5-0 SUATS with a .500 or fewer win percentage.

Inter-Conference Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

We love to fade coaches, players, and teams coming off record-setting efforts in their previous games. And one could hardly blame them for casting an eye on the Lions next week. The Bills are 0-5-1 ATS in the first of consecutive road games, while the Rams are 5-0 ATS in Game Thirteen of the season. With the Bills scoring 30-plus points in each of its last six games and the Butt Heads having surrendered 30-plus points in only two games this season, we can’t help but feel the air coming out of the Bills today. Finally, Rams head coach Sean McVay is 33-18 SU and 32-18-1 ATS from Game Twelve out versus .823 or greater opponents, including 9-3 ATS as a dog of six or fewer points.

NFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Arizona is currently 4on the outside looking in from the No. 9 slot. The Achilles heel of the Seahawks is its inability to run the ball, No. 28 in the league, as opposed to the Cardinal sporting the league’s No. 6 rushing attack. Additionally, the Seahawks are 30-61 ATS in division games in which they are outrushed during the regular season and 17-48 ATS as either a favorite or a dog of fewer than five points.

Inter-Conference Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Since entering the NFL in 2020, Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert has 19,627 passing yards and can surpass Jameis Winston (19,737 passing yards) for the second-most passing yards by a player in his first five seasons in NFL history. Only Pro Football Hall of Famer Peyton Manning (20,618 passing yards) has more. Falcons QB Kirk Cousins checks in at 11-4 ATS in his NFL career as a dog when his team is coming off back-to-back losses, including 9-1 ATS in the last ten games. Not only is Atlanta 5-1 ATS when coming off a Bye week, but the Chargers are 1-10 ATS versus foes coming off a Bye week.

AFC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

The Steelers are 5-0 this season against teams that are currently above .500, but just 3-3 against teams that are under .500. Adding salt to the wound, over the past 30 years, NFL teams were 107-1 when holding their opponent to one or fewer first downs and forcing at least three turnovers while also totaling at least 350 yards of offense. The Steelers did all those things on Thursday night and still lost, which means that the NFL teams are now 107-2 in that situation. With the 4-7 Bengals one loss from having the final nail pounded into its coffin by the 8-3 Steelers, we need to consider that Pittsburgh is 0-4 ATS against foes coming off a Bye week while Cincinnati is 3-0 ATS when coming off a Bye week

NFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Frisco is 6-1 ATS after hosting a division foe and 5-0 SUATS in Game Eleven of the season. Green Bay counters at 9-0 ATS in its last eleven games against AFC West opposition and 6-0 ATS after playing on the division road in its previous game. The Niners shine in underdog roles, going 63-26-4 ATS when taking points in games where they rushed for 110 or more yards. Finally, when San Francisco is an underdog and rushes the ball for 150 or more rush yards, they zoom to 36-4-1 ATS. And that’s where we’ll be this today

SNF Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

The Bengals enter with a super-sharp 11-2 ATS mark as a dog after dressing up as a favorite the previous game and 9-2 ATS when coming off a loss and facing a foe coming off a win. They are also 9-0 ATS against AFC West opposition coming off a SUATS win, and 9-2 ATS after surrendering 35 or more points. On the other side of the field, the Bolts are 1-11 ATS as non-division home chalk of four or fewer points, 4-7 outright, and 2-9 ATS in Game Ten of the season, including 1-8 ATS as a favorite. Finally, QB Joe Burrow is 15-6 ATS as a road dog in his NFL career, including 5-0 ATS against foes coming off a SUATS win.

TNF Game of the Month

Rating: 4 Units

The Eagles have struggled lately at home as chalk in division games, just 9-10 SU and 7-12 ATS against greater than .666 foes, including 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS when coming off a double-digit ATS win. They are also 2-11 ATS when coming off a SUATS win and facing a foe coming off a SUATS loss. Conversely, the Commanders bring a 12-2 ATS mark in Game Elevens into the game when playing on the road. They have also been 11-4-2 ATS lately in Philly, including 5-1 ATS with a winning record. Finally, Washington head coach Dan Quinn is 11-6 SU and 12-5 ATS as a dog of fewer than 4 points with an Over/Under total in the game at 54 or fewer points, including 6-1 SUATS when his team owns a .555 or greater win percentage.

AFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The Bills are smoking hot with four straight wins in pursuit of a fifth consecutive AFC East division title. The hiccup today, though, is they are looking dead ahead to a rematch with Kansas City next week from a 27-24 home favorite playoff loss last season. That’s not good news for a team that is 2-11 outright away in games before taking on the Chiefs, including 0-4 SU and 0-3-1 ATS in the last four tries. They are also 1-8 SUATS at AFC sites, including 0-5 SUATS in the previous five. On the opposite side of the field, the Colts are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games against AFC East opposition and 8-1 SUATS in Game Ten of the season, including 8-0 ATS when not favored by double-digits. Buffalo's horrible 4.8 Yards Per Rush defense is no match for the Colts’ 4.6 Yards Per Rush offense. Finally, the Bills are 1-9-1 ATS after scoring 30-plus points in their previous three games, including 3-6 SU and 0-8-1 ATS as a favorite.

Inter-Conference Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Pittsburgh QB Wilson brings a 111.9 QB Rating in his two starts with Pittsburgh, thanks to three TD passes and zero INTs. That adds to the Black-and-Gold’s 5-0 ATS record in its last five games on the NFC road and 4-0 ATS mark when coming off a Bye week. The Commanders in a division sandwich, are 0-6-1 ATS in games before facing Philadelphia, and 1-5-1 ATS after taking on the Giants. Finally, the Steelers QB Russell Wilson is 18-4-1 ATS as a dog against opponents coming off back-to-back wins his NFL career, including 11-0-1 ATS as a dog of four or fewer points.

NFC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Detroit is 6-1 for the first time since 1956. And with it, over their last four games, the Lions are now averaging 43 points per game. While being out-yarded in half of its six wins this season. It smells an awful lot like a regression to the mean, which could be in the offing for the crew from the Motor City. With the Packers 6-2 ATS against .850 or greater opponents, we smell a live dog. Finally, Green Bay is 8-4 SU and 9-3 ATS versus .800 or greater opponents, including 7-0 ATS as a dog when the Packers own a .400 or greater win percentage.

AFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Baltimore currently rank dead last in the league in overall pass defense at 291.4 YPG, yards per pass play at 291.4, and No. 25 in overall team defense at 361.3 yards per game. Toss in that two of their three losses have come at the hands of the Raiders and Browns, 4-12 combined, and you can see the holes. They enter today’s game at just 1-7 ATS as a non-division home favorite of seven or more points. Enter the upstart Broncos, led by fi rst-year QB Bo Nix, who owns more wins than any rookie Denver quarterback in team history. Toss in the Broncos’ ballsy 7-1 ATS ledger as a dog of seven or more points, and we’ve nailed our side in this game. Finally, Denver HC Payton shines as a dog of more than three points, going 24-8-1 ATS in his career, including 7-0 ATS in games with an Over/Under total of 44 or fewer points. 

NFC Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Chicago’s Caleb Williams continues to win games impressively in his own right. His 88.7 QB Rating tops Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes as he is now 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS to start his NFL career. He’ll need to overcome the Bears’ 2-8 ATS record in games following a Bye week. Meanwhile, the Commanders are 6-0-1 ATS in games after playing the Panthers and 6-2 ATS in this series. Washington head coach Dan Quinn is 10-3 ATS coming off a win versus foes coming off consecutive wins, including 6-1-1 ATS when his team sports a greater than .666 win-percentage Finally, NFL teams returning home coming off an outright upset win in London are 2-9 SU and 3-8 ATS, including 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS on the road

AFC Division Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Indianapolis is 6-1 ATS when seeking double revenge and 6-1 ATS as a conference dog of four or more points. Houston is 0-4 ATS at home when coming off back-to-back road games and 1-5 ATS mark of late as division home chalk. Additionally, playing on any NFL home favorite who went from last place to first place in its division the previous season are 47-72-3 ATS since 2004, including 36-69-2 ATS, when dressing up as a favorite of -3 or more points and when they are facing a division foe, they falter to 11-33 ATS. Throw in the fact if they are facing a division foe with the ‘Over / Under’ total in the game set at more than 41 points, they fall to 4-20 ATS.

MNF Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

The Ravens have been ravenous since their 0-2 start, going 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS, and 4-0 ATS in their last four games while chewing up and spitting out anyone in their path. They are also 8-2 SU and 8-1-1 ATS on the Monday Night Road, while the visiting team in this series is 6-0 ATS. The Bucs have held their own at home, winning outright in their last three games as a home dog, but a 2-6 ATS ledger on Monday nights keeps the Bay at bay. Finally, Tampa Bay QB Baker Mayfield is 8-15-1 ATS at home in his NFL career against foes coming off a win, including 1-12-1 ATS versus opponents that were favored by two or more points in their last game.

SNF Prime Time Game of the Week

SNF Prime Time Game of the Week

The Jets travel to the Steel City Sunday Night knowing they are 0-5 ATS in the first of back-back- away games, as well as 7-13 SU and 8-12 ATS in their last twenty Sunday Night games, including 0-11 SU and 2-9 ATS when coming off a loss. Mike Tomlin is opting to start Russell Wilson behind center this evening, knowing he is 37-21-3 ATS as a dog in his NFL career, including 11-6-1 ATS of late (4-0 ATS at home). Finally, the Jets are 0-13-1 ATS in games after facing the Bills

NFL Upset of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Sitting on the home side of the field is a two-loss team that was not only the preseason favorite to win its division but is also 13-3-1 ATS as a home dog in non-division games with an inferior record since 2001. Head coach Mike McCarthy is 103-43-2 SU and 81-62-5 ATS at home in his NFL career, including 31-11-2 ATS against NFC North opponents. The newly minted Lions are just 6-9 outright in their last fifteen games against the NFC East and 6-14-1 ATS as road favorites of seven or fewer points against opponents coming off consecutive wins. Additionally, Detroit is 10-19-1 ATS as a favorite in games before taking on division rival Minnesota. Finally, Dallas is 10-1 ATS as a home dog when coming off a SU underdog win.

Inter-Conference Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

The Black Birds have struggled against the NFC East, just 4-8-1 ATS, including 0-4 SUATS against those coming off a win. In addition, Baltimore brings a weak 12-20 ATS ledger into this contest as a home favorite when coming off three wins. Coming off a nail-biting win over division rival Cincinnati, with a Monday Night game on deck, should find them less focused today. Washington is the first team since the 1970 AFL-NFL merger to average 30 points through five games while starting a rookie quarterback (Jayden Daniels). They are also 10-3 ATS as non-division road dogs. Finally, Washington head coach Dan Quinn is 14-5 SU and 15-4 ATS as a dog when his team is coming off a win, including 5-0 ATS as a dog of six or more points.

AFC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

In the past four seasons, Houston has been 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS against the AFC East. With the Bills chomping at the bit to get back on the winning track and is 17-4-1 ATS away off an away loss, including 11-1 ATS against foes coming off an ATS loss. Finally, Buffalo is 11-2 SUATS away behind QB Josh Allen after allowing 24 or more points in its previous game, including 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS versus non-division foes

NFL International Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

The last time the Vikes started 4-0, that squad managed to finish only 8-8 and missed the playoffs. Furthermore, QB Sam Darnold has struggled in today’s role, going 4-11 SUATS versus AFC East and 4-10 SUATS away against foes coming off a loss. Jets QB Aaron Rodgers has a propensity of bouncing back off the carpet when his team lost its last game outright as a favorite, going 26-14 SUATS throughout his NFL career, including 10-2 ATS as a dog. Note the Vikes have won their previous three games as an underdog, understanding that playing against any NFL non-division favorite that is coming off three outright wins in a row as an underdog if the Over/Under total in the game is 37 or more points is 17-2 ATS.

SNF Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Now that they’ve avoided what the Bengals could not, an 0-3 start, they will be balls-to-the-wall focused on making up for lost time, and what better foe to start with than the scintillating 3-0 Bills? With that, Buffalo brings an 0-3-1 ATS mark in the first of consecutive road games and a 1-4 ATS record in games when coming off a Monday nighter into this game. On the flip side, the Ravens are 3-0-1 ATS as of late in this series, as well as 10-3-1 ATS in their last fourteen slugfests against the AFC North. The bottom line is that we don’t see the Ravens giving last week’s win away. Finally, 3-0 teams in Game Four that were in the playoffs last season, are 1-12 SU and 3-10 ATS as a road dog, including 0-9 SU and 1-8 ATS against foes coming off a win

AFC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Let's start with the fact that 3-0 NFL road teams in Game Four of the season are just 6-13 SU and 5-13-1 ATS if they were a playoff team last season and have won less than half of their previous 32 away games outright. In addition, the Indy is 7-1 ATS at home against the AFC North foes coming off a win, while Pitt is 0-6-1 ATS as a road favorite of fewer than five points at AFC South sites. Finally, .333 NFL home dogs of more than one point in Game Four of the season, coming off a win, are 10-5 SU and 12-2-1 ATS against foes coming off consecutive wins, including 7-0 ATS versus foes coming off a double-digit victory.

MNF Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Cincinnati is 15-3-1 ATS in Game Three of the season, including 4-0-1 ATS under Taylor. They are also 4-1-1 ATS under the Monday Night lights in the last six home games. Conversely, the Commanders saw vast improvement as a passer from rookie QB Jayden Daniels when he completed 23 of 29 passes (79%) for 226 yards and 0 interceptions the previous week. He also ran for 44 yards on ten carries. The problem is the Commanders are just 2-10 ATS after hosting a division foe and 0-5-1 ATS in games after tackling the Giants. Finally, Cincinnati HC is 19-8 SU in Game Three out going 19-8 SU and 21-6 ATS – including a jaw-dropping 18-0 SU and 17-1 ATS in the last eighteen games against foes coming off a SUATS win.

AFC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Harbaugh is now 51-22-1 in all NFL games as an NFL head coach, with a 35-13 SU and 32-13-2 ATS record in non-division contests, including 17-4-2 ATS away and 8-2-1 ATS as a dog. Additionally, the visiting team is 5-0 ATS in this series, and the Bolts bring a 7-1-1 ATS log into this game in the second of back-to-back road games. Conversely, 2-0 Pittsburgh has been living on borrowed time, having been outgained in its two victories. They are also just 4-14 ATS as favorites against the AFC West, including 0-4 ATS versus greater than .700 foes. Finally, Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU and 0-5-1 ATS in its first home game of the season.

AFC Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Cincinnati does not often trip up as dogs under Joe Burrow, going 17-8-2 ATS overall. They are also 5-0-1 ATS against foes coming off a Thursday contest and 13-3 ATS away versus the AFC West. Meanwhile, the Chiefs enter off last Thursday’s physical battle with Baltimore, knowing they are 1-7 ATS as favorites after the Ravens rumbles. Additionally, the defending Super Bowl champions are a lethargic 12-24 ATS mark as favorites in Game Two of the season. Finally, Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow is 14-2 SUATS in his NFL career against foes coming off a SUATS win, including 7-0 SUATS away.

NFL Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

The Darnold era now in full gear in the Twin Cities, it’s good to know that he is 10-7 ATS as a home dog, including 4-2 ATS in games with a total of 45 or more points. In addition, the host in this series is on 6-0 ATS while the Niners enter just 6-9 SU and 5-10 ATS in their last fifteen regular season battles with the NFC North. Finally, playing against the defending Super Bowl loser as a non-division road favorite of more than 3 points with a .700 or greater win percentage versus a .500 or greater foe if the Over/Under total is 45 or less is 10-1 ATS.

4* Inter-Conference Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Chicago is just 2-8 outright in its last ten season-opening games, as well as 3-7 SU and 3-6-1 ATS in its last ten contests against the AFC South. In addition, first overall picks of the draft starting a game as a QB in Week 1 are just 2-21 ATS, including 0-14-1 ATS in their debut game since 2003.

5* NFL Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

These teams have gone 49-81-1 SU and 52-74-5 ATS combined since 1980, including 4-17 ATS as division -favorites. The Colts are a putrid 2-13-1 SU and 1-15 ATS in season openers, but they never squared off against a “TLN” in any of those games. However, Houston is 1-8 SU in its last nine road openers, including 0-6 in the last six games

Divisional Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Interestingly, of the eight teams arriving in this round of the playoffs, four of them rank in the Top 10 in both offense and defense. The Bills and the Chiefs are two of them. It’s our educated guess that two of the four defensively staunch squads will be meeting in Super Bowl LVIII, with the Chiefs looking to repeat. Patrick Mahomes is 2-0 in the postseason against Josh Allen – both wins coming at Arrowhead – but this will mark the first road playoff game in his career. So, how will he and the Chiefs respond against the hottest team in the league? That’s the question. What we know for sure is the Mahomes is also 11-1 ATS in his NFL career as an underdog, winning eight of the games outright. Head coach Andy Reid has a 7-4 ATS career mark as a playoff dog, and a 9-4 SUATS career mark in postseason games between the 3s (+3 to -3). The points are tempting for a team that owns the best ‘In the Stats’ record (13-4) at this stage of the playoffs.

Wild Card Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Ironically, the only career road playoff game for QB Jalen Hurts was two years ago in a loss to Tampa Bay, where the Eagles return to the scene of the crime. In his career playoff starts, Hurts owns a 2-2 record, with 4 passing touchdowns, 2 interceptions, and an 84.7 passer rating. Lately, though, he’s been a similar mess with an 82.9 QB Rating the past four games while tossing 4 TDs and 5 INTS. And that’s critical, considering that the average turnover during the regular season is worth 4.3 points. In the playoffs, it jumps to 4.7 points. On the flip side, Baker Mayfield’s career was on life support in 2022 before his bounce-back season with the Bucs. The former No. 1 pick struggled down the stretch, but he had his best statistical season to help Tampa Bay claim the NFC South title for a third straight year. Given the success of home dogs in the Wild Card round and the fact that playing on any NFL home dog in the Wild Card Round if they are playing with same-season revenge is 9-1 ATS, so we’ll take whatever they offer up

NFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The Rams will be handing the ball to Carson Wentz, who at first glance is just 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS in his last ten starts. But he is also 7-5 SUATS in his career with teams riding a three game win streak, including 3-0 SUATS in division games. The Rams are 9-0 ATS as a division road dog, as well as 5-1 ATS in its last six division road contests. Flipping the script, the Niners enter with nothing to gain as they have the No. 1 seed throughout the NFC playoffs and figure to be resting starters for an extended period of time, with star RB Christian McCaffrey and QB Brock Purdy already nailed to the pines and QB Sam Darnold slated to start. Finally, playing on any NFL .500 or greater division road dog with triple revenge is 48-24-2 ATS since 1981 Better yet, bring them in off a win and they improve to 35-13-2, while going 19-5-1 ATS when coming off consecutive wins, including 12-1 ATS since 1998.

AFC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Baltimore is 6-2 outright against the eight teams seeded No. 1-7 in the current NFL playoff picture, winning the games with a +125-point differential. In fact, their only two losses were by 2 points against Cleveland and 3 points in an overtime loss to Indianapolis. The Steelers can make the playoffs with a win today and a loss by either Buffalo or Jacksonville, along with four other Wild Card possibilities. However, Baltimore’s 16-2 SU and 14-4 ATS ledger at home in games coming off a win of 35-plus points – including 13-1 SU and 12-2 ATS versus sub .600 foes – Finally, Baltimore is 12-3 SU and 13-1-1 ATS as a home dog in this series when the Steelers sport a winning record.

AFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Baltimore is just 7-7 SU and 4-10 ATS laying points in its last 14 games when coming off a win as an underdog – including 1-9 ATS against foes with at least one win on the season and 0-8 ATS as a favorite of three or more points. That fits like a glove for the Dolphins and their 16-4 ATS mark as a non-division road dog of 5 or fewer points. With Miami 8-1 ATS as a dog after dressing up as a favorite, we’ll be on the take today. Finally, Baltimore is 0-3 ATS as a home favorite behind Lamar Jackson when coming off a SU underdog win.

NFC Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Cowboys currently sit one game behind both the Eagles and Lions and are looking to crash the party. They are also riding a 15-0 SU and 12-3 ATS run at Jerry’s World, including a 5-0 ATS log when coming off a loss. Detroit enters 1-5 ATS away when coming off an away game, while the ‘Boys are 5-1 ATS against the NFC North. Better yet, the Cowboys are 12-6 ATS since 1990 at home in Last Home Games against foes coming off a win, including 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS with a .600 or greater win percentage. Finally, Dallas is 10-1 SUATS as a favorite in games when coming off a loss, including 6-0 SUATS against foes coming off a win

Inter-Conference Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

While Miami is currently the No. 2 seed in the AFC Playoff Picture, they can claim the top-seed should it win out - and it would certainly deserve so, having to go up against the likes of the Cowboys here, and the Ravens and Bills to conclude the campaign. Fortunately, they are 9-2 SUATS at home coming off a home game as a favorite after dressing up as a favorite the previous game, including 6-0 ATS when not favored by seven or more points. Meanwhile, Dallas has a -4 point differential on the road in 2023 (14th in the NFL) while leading the league with a +171 point differential at home in 2023 – and that’s with a 40-point road win in its season opener at the Giants. Finally, NFL home favorites coming off a home shutout win are 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS since 2000 against an opponent coming off an away game, including 7-0 SUATS if they sport a sub .750 win percentage

AFC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Both the Texans and Colts have tiebreakers over Pittsburgh, after beating the Steelers earlier this season. This means that the Steelers will have to finish with a better record than both squads – which means winning out is mandatory for Tomlin’s troops. Tomlin can also lean on his 11-7 SU mark in games against .550 or greater foes in which Pittsburgh is riding a 3-game losing streak, including 5-0 SUATS the last five games in the Steel City. Meanwhile, the Bengals lug a 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS mark in Saturday road games into the fray, including 0-5 SUATS against foes coming off back-to-back losses – which ties nicely into the Steelers’ 4-0 SUATS ledger as a host on regular season Saturdays. And finally, Pittsburgh head coach Tomlin is 11-4 SU and 9-5-1 ATS at home in games when the Steelers sport a .500 exact win percentage, including 4-0 SUATS as a dog

Inter-Conference Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

QB Josh Allen is 15-2 SU in his last seventeen regular season games the past two years. The Bills are on a major 33-1 winning run in games in which they win the turnover battle – with the only loss coming in overtime at Philadelphia this season. And you can toss in Dallas’ 0-4 SUATS in its last four games as a road dog. Finally, Buffalo is 5-0-1 ATS against NFC East opponents coming off back-to-back wins.

NFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Niners are off a fifth consecutive win following the Bye with a potential Super Bowl pairing up next week when they host the rugged Ravens. They enter 0-4 ATS as double-digit road chalk since 2012 and 7-12 SUATS of late in this series. Meanwhile, the Niners are also 0-6 ATS as a favorite in this series when Arizona sports a sub .250-win percentage. Finally, Arizona is 8-1 ATS as a home dog of +9 or more points when hosting .750 or greater opponents.

SNF Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Philadelphia isn’t currently scheduled to face another squad with a winning record for the remainder of the regular season. That should be good news considering the fact the Eagles are 9-4 SUATS in this series in games in which they own a .750 or greater win percentage, including 5-0 ATS when Dallas enters off a win. Take the points with the better team coming off an embarrassing loss, and if you’re uncomfortable, consider that the Eagles are 16-6 SU and 14-7-1 ATS versus winning foes during the regular season behind QB Jalen Hurts, including 14-1 SU and 11-3-1 ATS the last fifteen games

NFL Conference Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Seahawks bring artillery of their own into this battle with a jaw-dropping 24-8 SU and 25-6-1 ATS mark in games when coming off consecutive losses as a dog, including 6-2 SU and 7-0-1 ATS against foes coming off a win of 7 or more points. They are also 12-4 SU and 13-3 ATS in this series before Game Fourteen of the season, including 7-0 ATS when the Niners enter off a SUATS win. However, Seattle head coach Pete Carroll is 9-1 SUATS in his career when coming off three losses, including 5-0 SUATS with the Seahawks, as well as 8-0 SUATS against foes coming off a win.

SNF Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Kansas City totes an unacceptably weak rush defense into Lambeau that surrenders 4.6 Yards Per Rush. The Chiefs are also 2-9 ATS when coming off one win, including 1-5 ATS away. In addition, the Packers are 13-4 ATS as a dog of 3-plus points under head coach Matt LaFleur, including 9-2 SU and 10-1 ATS versus .800 or fewer foes. Toss in QB Jordan Love’s 3-0 SUATS career mark at home against non-conference opposition, and finally Kansas City is 0-9 ATS as a favorite when both teams are coming off an ATS win.

Thursday Night Game of the Month

Rating: 4 Units

Dallas looks to close the gap on the Lions, 49ers, and Eagles in the NFC Playoff Picture. For all of their success, though, there is a tax that must be paid, and tonight it comes as an inflated 9-point favorite. It’s more than they laid here to the Jets and 3-points more than what they were favored by here against New England. Topping it off, they have a same-season revenge rematch on tap with the Eagles. Pete Carroll’s crew enters this affair 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in the last four games in this series. Carroll is also 16-2 SU and 15-3 ATS in Game Twelve of the season, including 8-0 ATS as a single-digit dog. With those boxes checked we wrap it up with the fact that Seattle is 14-1 ATS when coming off consecutive losses as an underdog, including 10-0 ATS in the last ten games

Inter-Conference Game of the Week

Rating; 5 Units

If the NFL playoffs were to begin this week, Philly would own the No. 1 seed in the NFC. However, due to its recent funk, Buffalo would be on the outside looking in as the No. 8 seed in the AFC. Remember, though, the Bills are one of only five NFL teams that rank in the Top 10 on both offense and defense this season – the Eagles do not. We top it off with the fact that Buffalo is 5-0 SUATS the last ten years against foes coming off a Monday Night game. Finally, playing against any NFL home team who upset the defending Super Bowl champion in its last game is 6-0 ATS.

AFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Biggest Achilles without Joe Brr is the Bengals’ pitiable ground game which ranks last in Rush Attempts Per Game and No. 30 in overall rushing. Still, the bottom line is Pittsburgh is still 0-10 ‘In the Stats’ this season, and you won’t find us laying points with them any time soon. Not with the Bengals 5-0-2 ATS when coming off two losses, including 4-0 outright in the last four games. While this appears a strange “Best Bet” consider that the Bengals head coach Zac Taylor is 12-3 ATS as a dog against an opponent the Bengals defeated in their most recent meeting, including 12-1 ATS as a dog of more than one-point

NFL Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

The Seahawks have allowed more yards than they’ve gained this season. and the ultra-angry Rams enter off their Bye week riding a 0-3 SUATS losing skein. Underdogs in this role are 27-10-1 ATS since 1995. It doesn’t hurt that L.A. is 9-1 ATS the last ten games in this series, including 5-0 ATS when the Seahawks arrive off a SUATS win. Meanwhile, Seattle enters just 3-8 ATS in its last eleven division roadies, including 0-3 ATS as a favorite. Tie it into the Rams’ 26-16-1 ATS record in division games behind Sean McVay, and McVay’s 4-0 ATS mark in the first of consecutive division games when coming off a loss of 7 or more points, plus McVay’s 3-0 ATS career mark as a division dog with a losing record. Finally, the Rams are 4-0-1 ATS as a dog with a week of rest.

AFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The Steelers have recorded 36 fewer first downs than opponents this season, and they’ve run 75 fewer offensive plays. This game also presents a matchup of the league’s top two sack masters in T.J. Watt, who has the most sacks in NFL history in his first 100 games, against the Browns Defensive MVP leading candidate Myles Garrett, who is tied for the lead league with 11. With the Browns bringing a lethal combo of top rated Rushing Attempts Per Game (34.9) along with the league’s top-ranked defense, look for the “rally around the backup” war chant to carry them to 5-1 SUATS in their last six division home games in the Dawg Pound today. Finally, Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin is 6-11 ATS away in his career against foes coming off a SU underdog win, including 2-10 ATS when the Steelers sport a .500 or greater win percentage.

AFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Denver checks in 0-9 ATS when coming off an underdog win, 0-7 ATS of late in this series, 0-6 ATS away when coming off consecutive home games, and 1-8 ATS when they are coming off a pair upset wins. And we didn’t even mention the Broncos’ 1-5 ATS ledger on the Monday Night road. Buffalo piles on at 7-0 SUATS in its last seven games as a favorite against the AFC West. They are also 15-4 SU and 14-5 ATS against foes coming off a SU underdog win, including 8-1 SUATS at home. If that’s not enough, then check out that Buffalo is 33-12 SUATS coming off three ATS losses, including 14-1 ATS against foes coming off a win (9-0 ATS at home).

Inter-Conference Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Teams off a Bye on a 5-0 SUATS win skein in their last five games are just 3-8 ATS since 2009, including 0-4 ATS against foes coming off back-to-back losses. Then there is Niners head coach Kyle Shanahan’s 6-1 ATS career record in games when coming off three consecutive ATS losses, including 4-0 ATS away. That makes today’s contest a minefield for surging Jacksonville. Making matters worse, the Niners rank 4th in the league in scoring defense and 5th on offense in Rush Attempts Per Game and Rushing Yards Per Game. Finally, .545 or greater NFL teams who have lost each of their last three games SUATS are 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS since 1980 versus foes who are 3-0 SUATS in their last three games.

AFC Game of the Week

Rating; 5 Units

The Chargers rolled past Chicago last Sunday Night when QB Herbert completed 31-of-40 passes for 298 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions to put themselves back in the playoff picture (they currently rank No. 12 in the current playoff seeding, one game back of No. 7 Cleveland for the final spot). The Jets figure to comply behind a horrible 1-7 ATS mark in games when both teams were favored the previous contest. Finally, the New York Jets are 2-9 SUATS in Game eight of the season, including 0-5 SUATS versus foes coming off a win.

NFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Dallas has 11 wins in a row at AT&T Stadium, the league’s longest current run of dominance at home, but they are only 4-6 in their last 10 road games. However, they are also 6-1 SUATS in their last seven division games as a road dog of fewer than 4 points. Mike McCarthy chips in with a 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS mark in division games with a .500 or greater record with Dallas. The Cowboys enter this division duke out at 4-0 ATS in the first of back-to-back division games, while first-place Philly is 5-12 ATS in division home games against avenging opponents, including 1-5 ATS when the Eagles sport a winning record. Finally, Dallas QB Dak Prescott is 27-7 SU and 24-10 ATS in division games, including 7-1 SUATS during the first half of the season.

MNF Game of the Month

Rating: 4 Units

Detroit returns home where they are 13-2-1 ATS as a host since Thanksgiving day in 2021. They are also 7-1 ATS in games when both teams arrive off a SUATS loss. And then there are the Raiders, who rank dead last in the league in rushing, averaging 69 yards on the ground, despite having Josh Jacobs in the backfield, which goes to the abilities of Josh McDaniels as a head coach. Note that home teams on Monday Night Football are a resolute 31-18 ATS since 1980 when coming off a loss of more than 21 points. Finally, Lions’ head coach Campbell is 17-8-1 ATS at home as an NFL head coach, as well as 18-6 ATS in games in which his squad hold foes to 100 or fewer rush yards, including 14-1 ATS the last 15 games.

NFL Conference Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Minnesota QB Kirk Cousins silenced the critics as he was simply terrific with a brilliant performance against the 49ers on Monday Night with a 35 of 45 (77.8 %) effort for 478 yards and two TDs. That’s the same Kirk Cousins who was 2-10 SUATS in his NFL career on Monday Nights. So, with the Packers riding a 1-6 ATS skein in the second of back-to-back games as chalk, and the Vikes 4-1 ATS after Monday Night hosters, and finally Vikings QB Cousins is 11-3 SUATS away from Game Four out versus sub .400 NFL opponents in his NFL career, including 6-0 ATS versus non division foes

NFL Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

When the Bolts hired Kellen Moore from Dallas to be their offensive coordinator after firing Joe Lombardi after last season, Moore was expected to elevate the Chargers’ offense among the best in the league. So far, Moore has done that for the passing offense, but the Chargers’ trouble running the ball has remained. Nonetheless, QB Justin Herbert enters 12-7 ATS in his NFL career in division games, including 5-0 ATS as a dog of more than three points. With the Bolts 10-3 ATS as division road dogs and the Chiefs 1-6 ATS after hosting a Thursday game. Finally, defending Super Bowl champions coming off a SUATS win are 8-18-2 ATS at home in division games the following season against foes coming off a SUATS loss, including 1-9 ATS when the champs sport a greater than .800 win percentage.

NFL Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

LA will need to put a complete game together, with star WR Cooper Kupp back in the lineup, that will happen real soon. Knowing the Rams are 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS when coming off a division home game and facing a .500 or greater foe certainly aids their case. So does the fact that head Steeler Mike Tomlin is 3-10 ATS away off a win with rest in his career versus non-division opponents. Finally, .600 or greater NFL road dogs, coming off a Bye that won their previous game outright as an underdog, are 2-17 SU and 4-15 ATS – including 0-7 SUATS since 2000 if they are facing a sub .600 opponent.

NFL Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Jacksonville is 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS as home favorites behind QB Trevor Lawrence. Game Six of the season has been more like a devilish 6-6-6 to the Jags as they are 1-12 SU in Game Six the last 13 years, including 0-6 ATS at home. That’s chock full of bad numbers, if ever there were any. If you think those bad numbers, consider that Jacksonville is 2-14 SU and 1-15 ATS as a favorite if it was an underdog in its previous game!

NFL Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Titans gained 400 yards two weeks ago facing the Bengals and then another 347 this past weekend. It appears the offense has come alive, but the defense yielded a season-high 429 yards in last week’s loss at Indianapolis. With NFL teams who are dining on tea and crumpets 6-1 ATS as favorites when arriving here off a SU favorite loss, we take added solace in knowing Jackson is 24-11 SU and 22-11-2 ATS away from home with the Ravens, including 4-0-2 ATS when coming off a loss. Finally, Tennessee is 1-13-1 ATS as either a favorite or a dog of 5 or fewer points versus AFC North opponents.

NFL Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The Rams come in with a 6-1 ATS mark in games when both teams are coming off wins as favorites. Philly tends to falter in games against the NFC West, going 9-16 SU and 8-17 ATS in the past 25 contests. When the 2-2 Rams get Cooper Kupp back, it will be a scary tandem alongside rookie Puka Nacua. Nacua had another monster game after totaling 25 catches for 266 yards over the first two weeks, notching nine receptions for 163 yards last Sunday in Los Angeles’ overtime win at Indianapolis. Finally, playing against the defending Super Bowl loser from Game 5 out as an away favorite of fewer than 7 points in a non-division game versus a .333 or greater opponent is 16-1 ATS.

NFL Game of the Week

NFL Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

QB Gardner Minshew’s will last week moved his record to 2-10 SU and 3-9 ATS in his last dozen starts. Complicating matters, the Colts are 5-10 SUATS in non-division games following consecutive underdog wins. Given the fact that Indy is one of 6 NFL teams to have been outgained in each of their games this season, what are the chances for the Colts this week? It is not all that good. The Rams have a top coach and a quality quarterback, which makes them dangerous on any given Sunday. Especially knowing that the Colts are just 2-12-1 ATS when coming off consecutive SUATS wins, including 0-8-1 ATS at home. Finally, HC McVay is 5-0 ATS away in his career, and 5-0 ATS when coming off a loss in his career, against foes coming off a SU underdog win.

NFL Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The Titans surrender just 2.6 defensive yards per rush, which jumps off the page next to Cincinnati’s 5.1 DYPR. That’s a gaping difference. So, while a boatload of trends lines up in the Bengals’ favor, we’ll defer to stats and shade the Titans and Mike Vrabel and his glossy 16-9 ATS dog log against foes coming off a SUATS win. Finally, the Titans are 9-3 ATS at home against foes coming off a Monday night contest, including 4-0 ATS versus sub .400 opponents.

NFL Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Cincinnati is 15-3 SU and 16-2 ATS in its last 18 non-division games, including 6-0 SUATS at home. In addition, they stand 7-1 ATS when coming off consecutive SUATS losses. Los Angeles checks in with a 0-6-2 ATS log against AFC North foes coming off back-to-back losses. Finally, Joe Burrow is 5-0-1 ATS with the Bengals when Cincinnati is coming off a pair of losses.

NFL Play of the Day

Rating; 4 Units

After blowing last week’s 21-14 lead after two quarters, Denver has now lost an NFL record nine straight games where it has had the lead at halftime. Even with first-year NFL coaches just 1-9 this season, the value is all with Denver in this matchup. You can count on one thing in this game: Sean Payton is pissed, and somebody will pay the price. He is also 23-7-2 ATS in his NFL career against foes coming off a win. Finally, NFL Game Three underdogs coming off a pair of SU favorite losses are 16-2-1 ATS since 2003, including 9-0 ATS versus foes with a winning record.

NFL Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

 Seattle is 4-0 SUATS in this series, as well as 21-9 SU and 20-8-1 ATS when coming off a loss and facing an opponent coming off a win. In addition, Seattle’s head coach thrives against teams coming off a win from this division, going 11-3 outright in his career, including 5-0 when the foe is coming off an upset win. Finally, Seattle head coach Pete Carroll is 8-3 ATS as a dog with the Seahawks when facing an opponent coming off a SU underdog win, including 8-1 ATS as a dog of fewer than 7 points.

Conference Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

NFL division teams in Game Two of the season, coming off a division loss in Game One, are 12-1 SU and 10-2-1 ATS since 1990 if they were a playoff team last season, including games against opponents who are coming off a SUATS win. The Ravens are a horrible 2-7 SU and 0-7-1 ATS record of late when coming off a no-division game and taking on an opponent off a division game. The Bengals 8-1 ATS when coming off a road game and facing a foe off a home game. Finally, playing on any NFL home team in Game Two coming off a loss if they were a playoff team last season and they are facing a division opponent coming off a win is a perfect 10-0 ATS since 2010.

NFL Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

The Jets hosts division rival Buffalo sporting a long-term 8-5-1 ATS mark at home on Monday nights in division battles. They also bring a nifty 10-6 SU and 11-5 ATS mark in this series into this contest, including 4-0 SUATS as a competitive dog of 4 or fewer points. Meanwhile Aaron Rodgers enters on a nine-game win skein on Mondays. He is also 6-1-1 ATS as a home dog in his NFL career. Finally, the Jets are 22-10-1 SU and 24-9 ATS of late, including 6-0 ATS in season opening games the past six years

NFL Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The architect of the Cowboys’ offense, Kellen Moore, who has moved on to take over the offensive coordinator duties with the Chargers in Los Angeles this season. Over Moore’s four years as offensive coordinator in Dallas (2019-2022), the Cowboys’ offense totaled the 2nd most yards (391 per game) and 2nd most points (27.7 per game) in the NFL. However, Dallas is 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS away against quadruple avenging opponents, including 0-4 ATS in division games. New York is 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS at home when seeking quadruple revenge, including 4-0 SUATS in division contests

AFC Division Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Pickett pulled another rabbit out of the hat in last week’s thrilling comeback win over the Ravens in Baltimore to keep alive their aforementioned chances outlined above. The trends work in the Burghers favor today, too, as Pittsburgh is 30-8 SU and 24-12-2 ATS at home with a .500 or fewer record when coming off a home game, as well as 7-1 SUATS with revenge in this series, including 6-0 ATS when the Browns sport a losing record. On the other side of the fi eld, Cleveland is 1-11 ATS when coming off a non-division road game and 0-8 ATS in games when both teams are coming off a win. With that, we’ll side with the Black and Gold against Big Brown as they get their revenge today. Finally, consider that Mike Tomlin is 19-5 SU and 18-6 ATS at home in his career in games when both teams are coming off a SUATS win, including 9-0 SUATS from Game 12 out.

NFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Tom Brady is clearly programmed to break every NFL passing record in the book. In his best outing of the year – 432 yards and three TDs passing, one rushing TD – he completed 34 passes Sunday, adding yet another record to his seemingly endless collection. In the process he won his 19th division title, as the Bucs are now back-to-back division champs for the fi rst time in team history. Atlanta enters as a team playing out the string, just 2-6 SUATS and ITS in its last eight games while throwing green QB Desmond Ridder to the wolves. With the Dirty Birds just 2-13 ATS at home coming off a home game and Brady 3-0 ATS in his career as a dog in season finales, and finally NFL .500 dogs are 5-0 ATS in final games of the season when coming off a win

NFC Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

QB Aaron Rodgers is 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS at home when the Packers are riding a three game win streak. He’s also 32-7-1 SU and 28-12 ATS at home in division games in his NFL career (4-0 SUATS this season), including 18-1 SU and 15-4 ATS in games in which the Packers sport a sub .666 win percentage. Toss in his 29-19-1 ATS mark in games when the Packers own a losing record, including 6-2 SU and 6-1-1 ATS versus .750 or greater foes (5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS at home) and the task looks almost insurmountable for the Vikings today. Sure, Minnesota holds down the No. 2 seed in the NFC playoff picture, but the fact remains they rank DEAD LAST in the league in overall defense and – remember this - no team has ever won an NFL playoff game that owned the worst defense in the league. And don’t fall asleep on the fact that the Vikings are 1-15 ATS in their last sixteen conference losses. Speaking of which, QB Aaron Rodgers is 15-1 SU from Game Thirteen out during the regular season.

AFC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

USA TODAY called out the fact that the Jets handed the Jaguars a Christmas gift two years ago when they foolishly rallied to defeat the Los Angeles Rams, 23-20, just before Christmas and granting them access to QB Trevor Lawrence as the No. 1 overall draft pick. Talk about a gift that keeps on giving to Jacksonville, it’s one that may well haunt the Jets for the next 10-15 years. What may also trouble the Big Planes today is their recent 7-16 SU and 5-18 ATS record in games when coming off a SU favorite loss, including 1-10 SUATS versus greater than .400 foes. That fits perfectly into the Seahawks’ 10-0 ATS record in home games when coming off consecutive underdog losses. Then there is head coach Pete Carroll, who is 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS at home in January, including 4-0 SUATS with a losing record and 4-0 SUATS versus sub .600 foes – and our favorite holiday ‘Caroller’ has also never lost four consecutive home games. Finally, consider that playing on any NFL non-division home dog or ‘pick’ if they are 0-3 SU and ATS in their last three games is 112-82-7 ATS since 1980. Better yet, put these non-division hosts up against a sub. 500 foe in this role and the black ink turns a deep shade of green, going 35-19-3 ATS, including 16-1-2 ATS when they sport a win percentage over .100 and were a dog of 6-plus points in their last game.

Inter-Conference Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

For the first time in over two-and-half months the Pack finally have a winning streak. The Cheese Heads are the No. 10 seed in the NFC, currently 1.5 games behind the Commanders for the NFC’s final wild-card spot. Green Bay enters 6-1 ATS as a dog in games when favored last game. Miami returns home off a winless three game road trek knowing they are 0-4 ATS coming off three straight road games, as well as 0-4 ATS when coming off three losses. And that’s not to mention the fact they are 1-5 ATS as a host in this series. With Rodgers suddenly smelling playoff blood, know that he is 9-4-1 ATS as a dog from game 15 out, including 6-0-1 ATS when the Packers own a win percentage of .666 or less.

AFC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Currently the Pats are the No. 8 seed in the AFC playoff picture but they must close out the season against the likes of these 10-4 Bengals, 8-6 Miami, and 11-3 Buffalo. Thus, it starts today against a Cincinnati squad who enters just 7-29 SU and 12-22-2 ATS away against the AFC East, including 1-6 SU and 0-6-1 ATS when coming off a double-digit win. Yes, the Hoodies need to roll up their sleeves and get to work against a Joe Burrow-led Bengals’ bunch on an AFC best 6-game win skein. However, consider that playing against any NFL team that is 6-0 SUATS in its last six games if they are facing a sub .700 non-division opponent is 10-1 ATS since 1980.

NFL Upset of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Bengals are 5-0 SUATS the last fi ve games, and that may sound good to Joe Public, but not to the savvy handicapper as non-rested NFL teams on a 5-0 SUATS win streak have puked as non-division favorites of 5 or fewer points, going just 10-20-1 ATS in this role. On the other side of this hardto-like take are the Bucs, who were totally throttled in last week’s 28-point loss at San Francisco. It doesn’t get much worse than that. In fact, it was the third-worst loss in Brady’s NFL career. And adding more misery, it occurred at the hands of 7th round rookie QB Brock Purdy. By now we all know of Brady’s jaw-dropping 11-1 ATS career mark as a home dog. But don't forget that Tom Brady is 16-3 SU and 18-1 ATS as a pick or dog off a loss in his NFL career, including 10-0 SUATS off a loss of more than 7 points.

NFL Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Jaguars’ QB Trevor Lawrence, has over the course of his last three games sport a 111.7 QB Rating with 0 INTs. Meanwhile, the not-so-big news in the Dallas receiver room is that WR TY Hilton will be joining the Cowboys, not Odell Beckham, Jr. The feeling here is OBJ may still be in play for America’s Team, but not until he’s able to take the field. Yes, the Boys are confident, riding an 8-game ITS (In The Stats) win skein entering today’s game. But we can’t ignore that playing against any sub .800 NFL non-division road favorite coming off three straight home games from Game 11 out is 12-1-1 since 1980.

MNF Game of the Month

Rating: 4 Units

When up against the wall, we’ll back Bilichick with every shot. For openers, he is 13-2 SU and 10-5 ATS in his last 15 contests when coming off two losses, including 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS away. And then there is his 8-1 ATS career record away with a .500 record when coming off a loss. On the flip side, Arizona coach Kliff Kingsbury checks in at 12-18 ATS home with the Redbirds, including 5-15 ATS when not taking more than two points. Kingsbury is also 1-3 SUATS on Mondays, including 0-3 SUATS the last three. With the Pats 8-1 ATS when coming off a home loss, there’s no better time to take the Pats. Finally, Pats head coach Bill Belichick is 22-9 SUATS against NFC West foes in his NFL career, including 13-0 SU and 12-1 SUATS versus those coming off a loss

Mismatch of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

So why is it, that the Seahawks a measly 3.5-point favorite at home against the 4-8 Panthers? Is Vegas telling us something? They may be trying, but we’re not buying. Not with Carolina 0-3 SUATS in NFC West division duke outs this season, and 0-3 SUATS the last three games in this series. And not with the Panthers a pussycat-like 0-4 ATS in games when coming off a Bye week. Turn it around and you’ll find a Seahawks squad 7-3 ATS against foes coming off a Bye week. Better yet, the Seahawks are 25-3 SU and 21-6-1 ATS in games when coming off consecutive ATS losses under head coach Pete Carroll, including 15-0 SU and 14-1 ATS at home.

NFC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Brady  is simply the best as an underdog, going 41-17-1 ATS in his illustrious career, including 19-4-1 ATS when his team is seeking revenge and 17-5 ATS when his team is coming off an ATS loss. He also stands 21-6 SU in his career in games in which his team is .500 on the season. Perhaps even more impressive is Brady’s 45-14 SU and 43-12-4 ATS mark in games against foes with a better record, including 24-6 ATS when taking points. With Monday night’s stirring comeback win over the Saints, the Bucs currently hold down the No. 4 seed in the NFC playoff picture while the Niners lay claim to the No. 2 seed. Frisco is just 1-7 ATS as non-division home chalk of fewer than four points and Tampa Bay is 7-1-2 ATS as a dog after being a favorite the previous game. Finally consider that playing against any .666 or greater single-digit NFL regular season home team coming off consecutive home wins if they are facing an opponent coming off a loss is 14-2-1 since 1983.

AFC Blowout of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Patrick Mahomes is on a path towards an MVP season. Thru 11 games this season he’s completed 66.1% of his passes for 3,585 yards, 29 TDs and 8 INTs. Mahomes is also 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in starts during November and December when not favored by more than 3 points. And he’s 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in all games in which the Chiefs are seeking revenge. The revenge we’re referring to: last season’s AFC championship game loss which denied Kansas City a Super Bowl appearance, instead sending the Bengals to the big game. Meanwhile, Cincinnati is 3-10 SU and 3-8-2 ATS as a home dog against greater than .400 opponents, including 0-4 SU and 0-3-1 ATS as a dog of 3 or fewer points. With the Bengals 3-7 ATS as non-division home dogs of fewer than 6 points.  To cap it all off consider that Kansas City is 40-7 SU in Patrick Mahomes’ NFL starts from November out. He is also 26-0 in his last 26 starts in November and December.

AFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Bolts had failed to score a touchdown in their previous 20 fourth-quarter possessions before finding the end zone twice (TD and 2-point conversion) in the game’s final 15 seconds. Now they head to Sin City sporting a 1-5 ATS record as division road chalk, as well as a 2-8 ATS ledger when coming off a spread loss and facing a foe off a spread win. The Black Patches return home with a lofty 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS mark in division games when coming off consecutive SU underdog wins. They are also 13-6 ATS the last nineteen games in this series when taking points, including 6-1 ATS at home. With the Chargers hobbled by the worst Yards Per Rush defense (5.4) in the league, and the Raiders offense gaining 5.2 Yards Finally consider that the Raiders are 11-4 ATS at home in the last fifteen division home games, including 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS when hosting a foe not off a win of 3 or more points.

Prime Time Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

The ‘return to the norm’ is simply too strong to overcome as ATS losses begin to pile up with each passing week. With it the Eagles enter this week on a 3-game ATS losing skid while having been out yarded in half of their last six games. Granted, the Packers are facing demons of their own, but Aaron Rodgers thrives in these situations, and we expect nothing less today. With it the Pack checks in 7-1 ATS in game versus .750 or greater foes the past two seasons, as well as 8-2 ATS when coming off a Thursday contest. Meanwhile, the Green Birds enter 1-8 ATS versus foes off a SU home favorite loss, and just 3-8 ATS against foes coming off a Thursday game. To cap it off, Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers is 10-1 SUATS as a dog when the Packers are coming off a SU favorite loss, including 7-0 ATS versus .700 or greater foes.

AFC Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

The ground game has really come to the Bengals aid of late as Nate Davis of the USA TODAY notes that the Bengals one-two running back punch of Joe Mixon and Samaje Perine, former teammates at Oklahoma, have eight TDs the past two games. But the hottest team in the league – read: Tennessee – also know they are 6-0 ATS off an away game versus a foe also off an away game. They are also 5-0 ATS off a Thursday game. Finally, Tennessee is 12-0 ATS off an ATS win versus a foe off an ATS win.

Divisional Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

The Bengals are 8-0 ATS when coming off a non-division game when facing a foe that is also coming off a non-division game, as well as 7-0 ATS off a win versus foes coming off a win. And then there is Burrow, who brings a 9-1 SUATS career record into this game when facing an NFL opponent coming off a SUATS win. Meanwhile, the Black-and-Gold are at home following last week’s home win with a 0-4 SUATS ledger at home when coming a home game. Mike Tomlin’s troops are also 1-8 ITS (In The Stats) this season while being outgained an average -85 YPG. Finally the Bengals are 25-1 ATS in their last twenty-six division games they win outright

NFL Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Mike McCarthy, not the sharpest knife in the NFL coaches’ drawer, decided to go for it on fourth-and-3 from Green Bay’s 35-yard line in overtime rather than kicking a field goal to go up by 3 points. The Cowboys failed to convert and the Packers then proceeded to kick the game-winning field goal. Another knock at the door is Dallas’ 3-10 ATS log in this series, including 1-10 ATS without rest. To clinch it all, Dallas is 3-18-1 ATS as a conference favorite versus .666 or greater opponents, including 3-11 SU and 0-13-1 ATS as a favorite of fewer than 4 points.

Upset of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Coming off their Bye week, the Browns look to be as healthy as they’ve been all season with star DB Denzel Ward and OT Wyatt Teller due back after resting lingering injuries. They are also as hungry as they’ve been this season as they now trail AFC North Division-leading Baltimore by 2.5 games and need to up their game in anticipation of the return of QB Deshaun Watson in three weeks. The Browns secondary better sharpen up, though, going against the top 1-2 WR duo in the league in Tyreek Hill and Jalen Waddle. Hill is on pace for a record 2,085 yards and could become the first ever receiver to surpass 2,000. Nonetheless, Miami arrives 3-8 ATS following consecutive NFC contests, while Cleveland is 7-1 ATS in this series, 4-0 ATS in first of back-to-back roadies, and 5-1 ATS following a division home game. Consider that Cleveland HC is 11-6 ATS as a dog with his current team, including 5-0 ATS against opponents he defeated in a most recent meeting.

NFL Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Pete Carroll’s crew enters on a 4-0 SUATS win skein, winning three of the games outright as underdogs. And speaking of dogs, Seattle QB Geno Smith is 12-3 ATS in his last fifteen games when taking points in this league, including 7-0 ATS versus .444 or greater foes. On the other side of the fi eld, it should be noted that Brady is 3-0 SUATS in his NFL career in regular season games on neutral fields, but only 1-2 SU and 0-2-1 ATS versus NFC West foes with the Bucs. In wrapping things up, it should also be noted that NFL teams with the better record are 19-8-1 SU and 16-12 ATS in Euro games. To clinch is, Seattle head coach Pete Carroll is 7-2 ATS as a dog with the Seahawks when riding a three-game-plus win skein, including 7-0 ATS when taking either 2 or 3 points.

Inter-Conference Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Atlanta is 4-12 SU and 3-13 ATS after scoring 30-plus points in their previous game, including 1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS at home. Yes, the Chargers have struggled with QB Justin Herbert’s rib injury but there is nothing like a week off during the season to help mend the healing. The Bolts are 5-0 ATS non-conference road games as well as 5-1 ATS when coming off a SU home favorite loss. In closing consider that the Atlanta Falcons are 2-20-1 ATS at home during the regular season when coming off a home win..

NFL Mismatch of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

NFL road teams coming off a shutout loss – read: the Raiders – are 12-6 SU and 15-3 ATS since 1993 when facing foes coming off consecutive losses. Coupled with the fact that NFL teams returning home without rest after playing in London are 0-3 SUATS when coming off a SU favorite loss makes the red-faced Black and Silver the right side in this contest today, even though the Raiders failed to cross midfield until the 2:00 minute warning in last week’s embarrassing 24-0 loss at New Orleans. In the process, they were blanked for the first time since 2014 when, ironically, rookie QB Derek Carr suffered a 52-0 whitewash loss to the Rams. Carr bounced back the next game with a 24-13 win over the 49ers when he completed 22-of-28 passes for 3 TDs, 0 INTs and a Passer Rating of 140.2 – his best effort of the season. Jacksonville is on a 0-5 SUATS losing slide, and just 1-9 ATS at home versus AFC West opposition. Finally,  the Raiders are 10-1 ATS away during the regular season versus AFC South foes.

NFL Play of the Day

Rating: 5 Units

Las Vegas has cashed in each of the games, winning two of them on the scoreboard. Like Arizona, they are still on the outside looking in at the current NFL playoff picture. Unfortunately, they’ve struggled against foes coming off a Thursday game going just 4-10-1 ATS. And they’ve also wriggled in this series with a 4-6 SU and 3-7 ATS mark the last ten gatherings. The Saints have won the stats in 5 of their seven games this season, including each of their last three games. As a result, they bring the better offense and the better defense into this fray. They are also 11-4 SU at home when playing off a SU previous home loss. Finally, consider that  NFL playoff teams the previous year are 6-22 SU and 7-20-1 ATS away in Game Seven when coming off consecutive ATS wins if not favored by 3 or more points, including 2-15 ATS if the Over/Under total in this game is greater than 40 points.

TNF Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Tom Brady is 10-0 SUATS in his NFL career with a losing record and coming off a loss. On the other side of the field, the Ravens are certainly not hitting on all cylinders either going 0-3-1 ATS in their last four contests. And with it, Baltimore brings a 0-5-1 ATS mark in Thursday road games. ultimately, NFL teams coming off three consecutive losses as a favorite of 7 or more points in each game are 3-1-1 ATS since 1980. In addition, the Bucs are 5-0 SUATS the last five games as an underdog with Tom Brady behind center, while Brady is 6-0 ATS as a dog versus AFC North foes in his NFL career. Lastly, Bucs QB Tom Brady is 41-17-2 ATS as an underdog in his NFL career, including 11-1-1 ATS at home.

Inter-conference Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

After starting 3-0 SUATS this season behind the lefty, the Fish ride a 0-3 SUATS skid entering this contest. The Dolphins have plummeted from being ranked fi rst in points per drive with Tagovailoa, to 29th without him. Tua, though, brings a lofty 16-9 SU and 15-9-1 ATS career mark into this battle, including 10-4 SUATS at home. Nonetheless, concussions take center stage in this contest with new rookie QB Kenny Pickett currently in concussion protocol. Steelers’ backup QB Mitchell Trubisky completed nine of 12 passes for 144 yards and a TD in relief of Pickett who left last week’s game woozy with a concussion. Another side bar issue today will be the return of former Miami head coach and current Pittsburgh defensive assistant Brian Flores, who’s has had run-ins with Fish owner Stephen Ross over reported ‘tanking’ issues. However, .500 or greater NFL teams, 0-3 SUATS in their last three games, are 14-1 SUATS since 2000 when facing a foe coming off a SU underdog win.