|
10-12-20 |
Astros v. Rays -124 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 7 m |
Show
|
The Houston Astros have managed to navigate their way to the ALCS, despite the top of their rotation losing Justin Verlander to injury, and Garrit Cole to free agency. This is not the same team that we have seen in the post-season in recent years. Tampa Bay is a very efficient team, as they have one of the lowest payrolls in MLB, but they draft and develop players better than any organization. This team wins with starting pitching and a dominating bullpen, and sure have had the Astros number over the years having gone 39-24 against them in the last 63 meetings. The Rays are a very under the radar team as they are 135-98 to a line of -140 or less since April 18, 2018, including 23-6 in their last 29. Houston fits into an ugly team trend that is 19-76. Both situations produce a 20% or greater ROI on the Rays. Make the play on Tampa Bay. |
|
09-30-20 |
Cardinals v. Padres -158 |
Top |
7-4 |
Loss |
-158 |
8 h 21 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +10.6% and the play is on San Diego. |
|
09-30-20 |
Blue Jays +130 v. Rays |
Top |
2-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +12.5% and the play is on Toronto. |
|
09-29-20 |
Yankees v. Indians +103 |
Top |
12-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 34 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +17.9% and the play is on Cleveland. |
|
09-29-20 |
White Sox v. A's +115 |
|
4-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 28 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +30.3% and the play is on Oakland. |
|
09-24-20 |
Brewers v. Cardinals +136 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
136 |
11 h 2 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +16.8% and the play is on St. Louis. |
|
09-24-20 |
White Sox v. Indians -120 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +11.4% and the play is on Cleveland. |
|
09-23-20 |
Brewers +154 v. Reds |
Top |
1-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +15.8% and the play is on Milwaukee. |
|
09-23-20 |
White Sox v. Indians -154 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 8 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +11.0% and the play is on Cleveland. |
|
09-22-20 |
A's +153 v. Dodgers |
Top |
2-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 25 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of ++16.1% and the play is on Oakland. |
|
09-22-20 |
Cardinals -107 v. Royals |
Top |
5-0 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 51 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +12.4% and the play is on St. Louis. |
|
09-22-20 |
Rays v. Mets +125 |
Top |
2-5 |
Win
|
125 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of ++25.1% and the play is on the NY Mets. |
|
09-21-20 |
Astros v. Mariners +138 |
Top |
1-6 |
Win
|
138 |
12 h 9 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +11.9% and the play is on Seattle. |
|
09-21-20 |
Cardinals -169 v. Royals |
Top |
1-4 |
Loss |
-169 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +10.3% and the play is on St. Louis. |
|
09-20-20 |
Giants v. A's -150 |
Top |
14-2 |
Loss |
-150 |
7 h 30 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +11.8% and the play is on Oakland. |
|
09-20-20 |
Diamondbacks +185 v. Astros |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 36 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +16.4% and the play is on Arizona. |
|
09-19-20 |
Twins v. Cubs +120 |
Top |
8-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 1 m |
Show
|
This game its a situation that has an ROI of +17.0% and the play is on the Chicago Cubs. |
|
09-19-20 |
Braves v. Mets +132 |
Top |
2-7 |
Win
|
132 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
This game its a situation that has an ROI of +10.1% and the play is on the NY Mets. |
|
09-19-20 |
Blue Jays v. Phillies +126 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
126 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
This game its a situation that has an ROI of +18.5% and the play is on Philadelphia. |
|
09-18-20 |
Dodgers v. Rockies +175 |
Top |
15-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 19 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +41.5% and the play is on Colorado. |
|
09-18-20 |
Pirates +151 v. Cardinals |
Top |
2-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 11 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +26.2% and the play is on Pittsburgh. |
|
09-18-20 |
Blue Jays v. Phillies -110 |
Top |
7-8 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 38 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +10.8% and the play is on Philadelphia. |
|
09-17-20 |
Rangers +216 v. Astros |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 59 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +22.0% and the play is on Texas. |
|
09-17-20 |
Cardinals v. Pirates +152 |
Top |
1-5 |
Win
|
152 |
10 h 55 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +40.2% and the play is on Pittsburgh. |
|
09-16-20 |
Indians -111 v. Cubs |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-111 |
11 h 11 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +12.4% and the play is on Cleveland. |
|
09-16-20 |
Cardinals +132 v. Brewers |
Top |
0-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of 12.4% and the play is on St. Louis. |
|
09-11-20 |
Indians v. Twins +107 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
107 |
12 h 40 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +10.1% and thee play is on Minnesota. |
|
09-10-20 |
Royals +185 v. Indians |
Top |
11-1 |
Win
|
185 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +22.4% and the play is on Kansas City. |
|
09-10-20 |
Angels v. Rangers +165 |
Top |
6-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 7 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +27.9% and the play is on Texas. |
|
09-08-20 |
Orioles +170 v. Mets |
Top |
11-2 |
Win
|
170 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +20.7% and the play is on Baltimore. |
|
09-08-20 |
White Sox v. Pirates +135 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
135 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +27.2% and the play is on Pittsburgh. |
|
09-07-20 |
Diamondbacks v. Giants -115 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 7 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +12.0% and the play is on San Francisco. |
|
09-07-20 |
Rays v. Nationals -142 |
Top |
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 9 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +26.3% and the play is on Washington. |
|
09-06-20 |
Rockies +232 v. Dodgers |
Top |
7-6 |
Win
|
232 |
14 h 58 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +13.1% and the play is on Colorado. |
|
09-06-20 |
Rangers +125 v. Mariners |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 60 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +10.1% and the play is on Texas. |
|
09-06-20 |
Blue Jays v. Red Sox +140 |
Top |
10-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +28.0% and the play is on Boston. |
|
09-06-20 |
Marlins +204 v. Rays |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 2 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +13.1% and the play is on Miami. |
|
09-06-20 |
Yankees v. Orioles +185 |
Top |
1-5 |
Win
|
185 |
5 h 59 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +13.1% and the play is on Baltimore. |
|
09-05-20 |
Reds v. Pirates +121 |
Top |
6-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 51 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +27.3% and the play is on Pittsburgh. |
|
09-05-20 |
Padres v. A's -105 |
Top |
4-8 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 60 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +13.3% and the play is on Oakland. |
|
09-03-20 |
Diamondbacks +260 v. Dodgers |
Top |
1-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 24 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +27.0% and the play is on Arizona. |
|
09-03-20 |
Rangers +150 v. Astros |
Top |
4-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 53 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +35.2% and the play is on Texas. |
|
09-02-20 |
Rangers +180 v. Astros |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 54 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +21.2% and the play is on Texas. |
|
09-02-20 |
Braves -125 v. Red Sox |
Top |
7-5 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +11.4% and the play is on Atlanta. |
|
09-01-20 |
Indians v. Royals +175 |
Top |
10-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of 25.6%, and the play is on Kansas City. |
|
09-01-20 |
Nationals +138 v. Phillies |
Top |
0-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 5 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +10.8%, and the play is on Washington. |
|
09-01-20 |
Cardinals +152 v. Reds |
Top |
16-2 |
Win
|
152 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +12.0%, and the play is on St. Louis. |
|
08-31-20 |
Cardinals +106 v. Reds |
Top |
7-5 |
Win
|
106 |
9 h 23 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +45.4% and the play is on St. Louis. |
|
08-29-20 |
Nationals -105 v. Red Sox |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 27 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +14.8% and the play is on Washington. |
|
08-29-20 |
Rays -133 v. Marlins |
Top |
4-0 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +45.4% and the play is on Tampa Bay. |
|
08-29-20 |
Indians +119 v. Cardinals |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
119 |
4 h 8 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +45.4% and the play is on Cleveland. |
|
08-28-20 |
Giants +165 v. Diamondbacks |
Top |
4-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 58 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +45.4% and the play is on San Francisco. |
|
08-25-20 |
Rockies v. Diamondbacks +104 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
14 h 38 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +17.1% and the play is on Arizona. |
|
08-25-20 |
Pirates +214 v. White Sox |
Top |
0-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 58 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +45.4% and the play is on Minnesota. |
|
08-25-20 |
Twins +166 v. Indians |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 59 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +45.4% and the play is on Minnesota. |
|
08-23-20 |
Angels v. A's -125 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +11.6% and the play is on Oakland. |
|
08-23-20 |
Diamondbacks -120 v. Giants |
Top |
1-6 |
Loss |
-120 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +10.5% and the play is on Arizona. |
|
08-23-20 |
Brewers v. Pirates +157 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
157 |
5 h 6 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +27.4% and the play is on Pittsburgh. |
|
08-23-20 |
Tigers +226 v. Indians |
Top |
7-4 |
Win
|
226 |
5 h 44 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +32.8% and the play is on Detroit. |
|
08-22-20 |
White Sox +157 v. Cubs |
Top |
7-4 |
Win
|
157 |
11 h 8 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +45.2% and the play is on the Chicago White Sox. |
|
08-22-20 |
Red Sox -114 v. Orioles |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-114 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +12.1% and the play is on Boston. |
|
08-22-20 |
Twins v. Royals +152 |
Top |
7-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 60 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +21.0% and the play is on Kansas City. |
|
08-22-20 |
Angels v. A's -133 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-133 |
7 h 7 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +12.2% and the play is on Oakland. |
|
08-22-20 |
Brewers v. Pirates +152 |
Top |
5-12 |
Win
|
152 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +26.5% and the play is on Pittsburgh. |
|
08-21-20 |
Phillies -103 v. Braves |
Top |
2-11 |
Loss |
-103 |
10 h 48 m |
Show
|
This game its a situation that has an ROI of +12.2% and the play is on Philadelphia. |
|
08-19-20 |
Dodgers v. Mariners +215 |
Top |
4-6 |
Win
|
215 |
13 h 24 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +14.2%, and the play is on Seattle. |
|
08-19-20 |
Blue Jays v. Orioles +110 |
Top |
5-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 51 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +14.2%, and the play is on the over. |
|
08-18-20 |
Blue Jays -130 v. Orioles |
Top |
8-7 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +45.2% and the play is on Toronto. |
|
08-18-20 |
Phillies -115 v. Red Sox |
Top |
13-6 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +12.7% and the play is on Philadelphia. |
|
08-18-20 |
Mariners +227 v. Dodgers |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +53.0% and the play is on Seattle. |
|
08-18-20 |
Nationals +115 v. Braves |
Top |
8-5 |
Win
|
115 |
10 h 51 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +16.2% and the play is on Washington. |
|
08-17-20 |
Padres v. Rangers +125 |
Top |
14-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 10 m |
Show
|
This game fits a totals situation that has an ROI of +26.3% and the play is on Texas. |
|
08-16-20 |
Mariners +215 v. Astros |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 6 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +28.7%, and the play is on Seattle. |
|
08-15-20 |
Dodgers -150 v. Angels |
Top |
6-5 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 22 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +12.3%, and the play is on the LA Dodgers. |
|
08-15-20 |
Rangers +153 v. Rockies |
Top |
6-4 |
Win
|
153 |
11 h 54 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +10.6%, and the play is on Texas. |
|
08-15-20 |
Indians v. Tigers +169 |
Top |
3-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 60 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +10.0%, and the play is on Detroit. |
|
08-14-20 |
Indians -171 v. Tigers |
Top |
10-5 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +13.8% and the play is on Cleveland. |
|
08-14-20 |
Braves -105 v. Marlins |
Top |
2-8 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 51 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of 45.2% and the play is on Atlanta. |
|
08-13-20 |
Rays -146 v. Red Sox |
Top |
17-8 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 20 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +12.1%, and the play is on Tampa Bay. |
|
08-13-20 |
Nationals +116 v. Mets |
Top |
2-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 57 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of +10.6%, and the play is on Washington. |
|
08-11-20 |
Cubs v. Indians -145 |
Top |
7-1 |
Loss |
-145 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that is 334-139 with an ROI of +12.0%. Make the play on Cleveland. |
|
08-11-20 |
Orioles v. Phillies -173 |
Top |
10-9 |
Loss |
-173 |
10 h 45 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that is 334-139 with an ROI of +12.0%. Make the play on Philadelphia. |
|
08-08-20 |
Rockies +109 v. Mariners |
Top |
5-0 |
Win
|
109 |
12 h 56 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has a historic ROI of +10.8%. The play is on Colorado. |
|
08-08-20 |
Twins v. Royals +144 |
Top |
6-9 |
Win
|
144 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has a historic ROI of +24.1%. The play is on the KC Royals. |
|
08-08-20 |
Angels v. Rangers +129 |
Top |
0-2 |
Win
|
129 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has a historic ROI of +124.1. The play is on Texas. |
|
08-08-20 |
Indians v. White Sox +105 |
Top |
7-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 60 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has a historic ROI of +19.7%. The play is on the Chicago White Sox. |
|
08-07-20 |
Indians v. White Sox +105 |
Top |
0-2 |
Win
|
105 |
11 h 35 m |
Show
|
This game is in a situation that has historically held an ROI of +19.1%. The play is on the Chicago White Sox. |
|
08-07-20 |
Reds v. Brewers +108 |
Top |
8-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 32 m |
Show
|
This game is in a situation that has historically held an ROI of +18.5%. The play is on the Milwaukee Brewers. |
|
08-07-20 |
Orioles +166 v. Nationals |
Top |
11-0 |
Win
|
166 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
This game is in a situation that has historically held an ROI of +10.2%. The play is on Baltimore. |
|
08-03-20 |
A's -180 v. Mariners |
Top |
11-1 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 58 m |
Show
|
HOME DOG OFF A HOME DOG LOSS NOT PRETTY IN THIS SITUATION:
Looking for a team to rally back after losing as a home dog, and posted as a home dog again? This is certainly proven to get ugly over the years. So here is what we are looking at:
1) Conference is AL
2) Home dog
3) Off a home dog loss
4) Opponent off a road favorite win
5) Team also lost as a home dog 2 games back
6) Opponent won as a favorite 2 games back
7) Line is +165 or higher
These teams have bled out over the years as they own a 13-78 record since 2012:
conference=AL and HD and p:HLD and op:AWF and pp:LD and opp:WF and season>2011 and line>=165SU:13-78 (-3.71, 14.3%) avg line: 204.7 / -228.9 on / against: -$5,204 / +$4,935 ROI: -57.2% / +23.6%
This plays against the Seattle Mariners today, so the play is on Oakland.
Best of Luck,
East
|
|
08-02-20 |
Indians +105 v. Twins |
Top |
1-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 56 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that is 66-56 with an ROI of 24.0%. The play is on Cleveland. |
|
08-02-20 |
Rays v. Orioles +172 |
Top |
1-5 |
Win
|
172 |
5 h 53 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that is 74-71 with an ROI of 16.1%. The play is on Baltimore. |
|
08-01-20 |
Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +136 |
Top |
11-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 58 m |
Show
|
Sometimes all it takes for a bad team to get back on track and regain confidence is a big home dog win. When it is against a division opponent, and they are a home dog again, they very often rise to the occasion. Today in the newsletter we will take a look at one such team, and make application playing on them today. Let's take a look:
1) Home Dog
2) Line is +125 to +175
3) Won last game as a dog
4) That last game was a division game
5) They have a winning percentage of less than .380.
HD and line>=125 and line |
|
07-31-20 |
Rangers -120 v. Giants |
Top |
2-9 |
Loss |
-120 |
11 h 18 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that is 282-133, and has an ROI of +12.3%. make the play on Texas. |
|
07-31-20 |
Reds -158 v. Tigers |
Top |
2-7 |
Loss |
-158 |
9 h 21 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that is 184-73 and has an ROI of +14.2%. Make the play on Cincinnati. |
|
07-31-20 |
Mets +124 v. Braves |
Top |
10-11 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 19 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that is 177-167 and has an ROI of +10.9%. make the play on the NY Mets. |
|
07-30-20 |
Yankees -218 v. Orioles |
Top |
8-6 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 51 m |
Show
|
The NY Yankees may have the best team in baseball with the addition of Gerit Cole. The Orioles franchise has been heading south for a long time and they are in a brutal situation for this one. The Orioles are 19-67 in their last 86 games as a +135 or more dog vs a team with a better record, if they are off a game as a home dog. Large away favorites of -200 or more are 321-91 in their last 412 games for a +12.1% ROI. This one goes to the Yankees. |
|
07-26-20 |
Mariners +255 v. Astros |
Top |
7-6 |
Win
|
255 |
6 h 43 m |
Show
|
Think the circumstances are right here, and the line is heavily juiced. A road dog in series game 3 that lost the first 2 games of the series as a +180 or more dog and is also a +180 or more dog in game 3 wins 39% of the time, and has an ROI of +27.7%. Make the play on Seattle. |
|
07-25-20 |
Blue Jays +136 v. Rays |
Top |
1-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 44 m |
Show
|
Today many teams will take the field in game 2. If you go back to yesterday, the game 1 home favorites were tremendous in MLB the last 15 years. Game 2 is completely the opposite. Is it that all the emotions of the home opener and sarting a new season leaves these teams flat? Let's take a look:
p:game number = 1 and HF and line < -126 and line >= -175
SU: 39-44 (-0.37, 47.0%) avg line: -147.3 / 137.3 on / against: -$2,622 / +$2,182 ROI: -21.4% / +26.3%
That simply says to play against a game 2 home favorite from -127 to -175. They have been posted as an average favorite of -147.3 and have a losing overall record. Playing the dogs in this situation, has held a significant ROI of +26.3%.
Make the play on Toronto.
|
|
07-25-20 |
Brewers +140 v. Cubs |
Top |
8-3 |
Win
|
140 |
3 h 40 m |
Show
|
Today many teams will take the field in game 2. If you go back to yesterday, the game 1 home favorites were tremendous in MLB the last 15 years. Game 2 is completely the opposite. Is it that all the emotions of the home opener and sarting a new season leaves these teams flat? Let's take a look:
p:game number = 1 and HF and line < -126 and line >= -175
SU: 39-44 (-0.37, 47.0%) avg line: -147.3 / 137.3 on / against: -$2,622 / +$2,182 ROI: -21.4% / +26.3%
That simply says to play against a game 2 home favorite from -127 to -175. They have been posted as an average favorite of -147.3 and have a losing overall record. Playing the dogs in this situation, has held a significant ROI of +26.3%.
I like this one the best. Make the play on Milwaukee. |
