I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and updates to keep current. With that said the play is on the under

I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and updates to keep current. With that said the play is on the under

The Boston Celtics were looking old in the early part of the season, but regrouped after a sluggish 15-17 start, to finsih 24-10 over their last 34 games. So why did Boston suddenly start playing better? Looking at the numbers it is easy to see why. The defense when they were 15-17 was strong allowing 88.5ppg, but the offense was a huge liability scoring just 89.4ppg. One big change was when Avery Bradley started getting major miniutes 19 games priro to the end of the season. He gave Boston a much needed scoring option, and he delivered over 15ppg in those last 19. What it did was boost Boston's offense to 94.2ppg in the final 34, while the defense barely suffered allowing 90ppg. Boston went from a team that was outscoring their opponents by less than 1 point a game, and playing to a total points average of 177.9 a game, to a team outscoring their opponents by 4.2 points a game, with the total game points rising to 184.2 pergame, or +6.3 higher in going 24-10. Atlanta wasvery offensive in a strong finish. While playing 31 games and scoring more than 100 in just 5 of them without the benefit of overtime, the Hawks in finishing 16-7 scored 100+ in 15 of the 23 games, and averaged 102ppg. It is clear the numbers fit the total here looking at everything,m but if you look at what these teams have evolved to, the total is much to low. The Atlanta offense led them to an 11-1 over mark in April. Boston is 7-1 to the over in their last 8 as a playoff dog of 4.5 or less, while the Hawks are 11-1 to the over in their last 12 as a home favorite. Finally game 1 totals of 184 or less are 16-4 to the over in round 1. Play this one over the total.

These teams have played a lot of poor shooting games when they have met and it is because each has done a great job nuetralizing the big scorers. The Mavs have done an excellent job containing Westbrook and Durant, while the Thunder have made things difficult for Nowitski. The Mavs have held the Thunder's dynamic du to 64-153 shooting at 41.8% in the 4 regular season games this year. When you consider that is over half the total shots taken by the Thunder at less than 42% the points aren't going to come easy. The Thunder has held Nowitski to 43% of his average 18 shots per game. It is with good reasoning then that the last 18 played in Oklahoma City have seen the under prevail to a 13-4-1 mark. Thunder at their defensive best with 2 days rest with a 9-2 under mark in their last 11. Mavs now 8-3-1 to the under in their last 12 playoff quarterfinal matchups. Play the under.

The Indiana Pacers have finally put together some talent, and their old Golden St., Phoenix type offense has become more conventional as this team can defend. The Pacers became a top 10 team in terms of fewest points allowed, and the Magic enter this game at #7, and without Dwight Howard, they are overmatched and need to slow this game down to a crawl or risk getting blown out. They have succeeded to do so as they are 8-3 to the under in their last 11 as a dog of 5-10.5 points. Pacers come in at 6-1 to the under in their last 7 as a playoff favorite. Home favorites in the first round are 53-39 to the under as well, and these teams have played to an 11-4 mark to the under in their last 15 in Indiana.Play the under.

These teams ranked #1 and #2 on defense in terms of fewest points allowed per game. Those numbers on the Philadelphia side are very misleading. The Sixers were a great defensive team at home, and also did a good job on the road vs bad teams, but when they took the court against better than .500 teams on the road, as they did 14 times this season they were not good defensively at all. The Sixers allowed just shy of 100 points per game against winning teams on the road. Round 1 series openers with a total of less than 185 have seen the over go 22-7 ATS. Play this one on the over.

This game fits a totals situation which is 166-118 ATS, and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation which is 298-213 ATS and the play is on the over

This game fits a totals situation which is 652-515 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 166-118 ATS and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation which is 264-197 ATS and the play is on the over.

This game fits a totals situation which is 651-515 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 166-117 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game applies to a total situation which is 298-212 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a totals situation that is 56-24 ATS and the play is on the over.

This game fits a totals situation that is 298-211 ATS and the play is on the over

This game fits totals situations which is 165-115 ATS, and the play is on the under

This game fits totals situations that are 165-115 and 650-514 and the play is on the under.

: This game fits totals situations which is 165-115 ATS, and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation that is 165-114 ATS and the play is on the under

This game fits multiple total situations that are 93-6,284-214, and 64-34 and the play is on the under

This game fits multiple total situations that are 650-513, and 61-33 and the play is on the under

This game fits a total situation that is 649-513 and the play is on the under.

This game fits multiple total situations and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation that is 68-512 and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation that is 68-512 and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation that is 96-47 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a pair of total situations which are 648-511 and 60-32 and the play on is the UNDER

This game fits a situation that is 264-196 and the play is on the over

This game fits a totals situation that is 50-19-2 ATS, and the play is on the OVER

This game fits a situation that is 283-214 and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation that is 283-214 and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation that is 645-511 and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation that is 298-211 and the play is on the over.

This game fits a pair of totals situations that are 264-195, as well as another that is 50-18 in a strike shortened season, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation that is 644-510, and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation that is 644-510 and the play is on the under

This game fits a strike shortened total situation that is 64-33 and the play is on the under.

This game fits totals situations that are 644-509 and 60-31 (strike shortened season situation) and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation that has a long winning track record of over 1000 games and 20 years, and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation that has a long winning track record of over 1000 games and 20 years, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation that has a long winning track record of over 1000 games and 20 years, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation that is 95-47 and 100-64 and the play is on the under

This game fits a pair of total situations that are 100-64 and 95-47 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 647-506 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation that is 203-128 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation that is 641-508 ATS since 1990 and the play is on the under.

: This game fits a totals situation that is 297-210 and the play is on the over.

This game fits a 60% toals situation, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a totals situation that has produced a bit under 60% winners with ver 500 games in the database, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a totals situation that is 641-506 and the play is on the under.

Analysis: This game fits a totals situation that is 295-209 and the play is on the over

This game fits a totals situation that is 640-505 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation that is 640-505 and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation that is 185-120 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation that is close to 60% winners in over 500 previous games in this situation, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a totals situation that has over 1000 plays in the database and the play is on the under

This game faces a totals situation which is 639-504 and the play is on the under.

This game apllies to a pair of strike shortened season total situations which are 72-40 and 56-24 and the play is on the over

This game fits a totals situation that is 294-207 and the play is on the over.

This game fits a totals situation that is 293-207 and the play is on the over

: Both these teams are missing their top scorers, and the offenses have really bogged down. The last game saw just a total of 83 shots attempted by both teams, which will make this a huge number to take down. Just 97 shots taken in the opener as well. Look for this one to play under the total.

This game fits a totals situation that is 292-206, and the play is on the over

This game fits a totals situation that is 292-206, and the play is on the over

These teams played pretty close on the season in terms of numbers. The Stanford Cardinal shot 44.4% while Minnesota shot 46.5% and the difference on defense was even tighter with Minnesota holding opponents to 41.2%, the cardinal held opponents to 41.5%. I think this game figures to be a lot higher scoring than the total posted. Stanford played 4 conference games with offenses similar to Minnesota. Wash St.,Oregon,Oregon St., and California. These teams shot between 46.7-47.5% from the floor, and demolished the Stanford defense for 78.25 points per game. It would be resonable to think Minnesota gets into the mid-sixties here, and certainly one would think they will match similar opponents in the high 70s. Stanford against defenses similar to Minnesota had 2 conference games vs Colorado who allowed 41.1% and they scored 74 and 84 points. It certainly is reasonable they will get into the mid sixties here as well, if not significantly more. The favt that this is a pick-em game stands to reason that this could be close down the stretch with a team fouling in the last 2 minutes to extend the game, scoring more points. Play this one over the total.

This game fits a totals situation that is 292-205 ATS and the play is on the over

This game fits a 121-77 totals situation and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation that is 108-71 and the play is on the under.

This game fits multiple bg situations that are 397-294 as well as 202-127 and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation that is 185-115 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation that is 185-115 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is based on a strike shortened season that is 59-30, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation that is well tested at 637-502, with a subset based on team rest of 396-294. The play is on the under.

Utah St. is in Logan Utah where the altitude is 4600 feet above sea level. Often teams come in here and run out of gas in the second half. Along with good teams, it has helped Utah St amass a 139-9 home record here in their last 148 played. They have played 54 games here the last 3 years and the highest amount of points scored in any game from both teams is 152. None of their 20 home games got over the 150 mark this season. Play the under.

Elite 8 round totals of 145 or less are now 28-8 ATS including 4-0 last year and 2-0 so far this year, play the over

Elite 8 games with a toal posted at less than 145 are 26-8 tyo the over the last 34 occursances, play this one over the total

: Elite 8 games with a toal posted at less than 145 are 26-8 tyo the over the last 34 occursances, play this one over the total

This game fits a 636-501 total situation, and the play is on the under, there is also an 800 game subset at 58%.

These are a pair of very aggressive defensive teams each with some offensive shortcomings, and I expect a defensive war in this one that never gets out of the 50s. Totals in this round posted at 128 or less are 13-2-1 to the under, and I`m making this play on the under.

This is another defensive war setting up, and totals of 128 or less in this round are 13-2-1 to the under. I`m playing this one on the under.

This game fits a totals situation that is 201-127 and the play is on the under

This game fits a total situation that is 634-500 and the play is on the under

This is like beating a dead horse, but you simply can`t speed up South Florida. They don`t exactly run the old princeton pinwheel offense, but they accomplish the same thing. They go deep into the shot clock and utilize their 4th most efficient defense in NCAAB to keep them in games. They missed 19 straight shots in their last game, but won going away. Their last 12 opponents have averaged 49ppg against them. Their last 7 opponents that are in the NCAA Tournament scored -20.6ppg off their seasdon averages, and 3 of those 7 averaged more points than Ohio,U. This total should be set at about 106.5 so there is plenty of wiggle room here, play on the under.

This game puts a number 9 seed vs a number 1 seed. The last 24 occurances has seen this game play over the total to a 17-6-1 mark. There have been 2 totals in the 120s and both went over, while totals in the 130s or less are 8-2. Play this one over the total.

I went on the under in the playin game vs California, as South Florida simply will not play a tempo that allows for a lot of points to be scored. The Bulls shot 60% for most of the Cal game, but despite of that they finished with a 119 total points scored. That game took some very crazy things to happen to ush it over the total by 3 points. I don't expect them to shoot 57+% against Temple. They have faced some better offensive teams than temple, but in the Bulls last 12 games not a single one of them has topped the 120 point mark, and this one won't either. The Owls have scored 70+ points for 15 straight games, but that streak comes to an end tonight. Bulls have played 22-7 to the under in their last 29 games, and you can't speed this team up period. Play the under my NCAA Tournament Game of the month

This game fits a situation that is 201-127 including 10-4 this year and the play is on the under.

The Ivy league has not represented themselves in the NCAA Tournament for quite some time. This Harvard team may be a different story as Tommy Amaker has assembled a talented experienced team that can go toe-to-toe with the big boys. They faced 3 teams from power conferences, 2 of which are in the tournament, Uconn and Florida St., and held the 3 teams to 51.3ppg. They are the only team in the country that did not allow a single opponent to top the 70 point mark. Vanderbilt is off a huge win as they knocked off kentucky to win the SEC Conerence Championship. They did it with defense allowing the 3 opponents to score less than 53ppg. This game will be hard pressed for the winner to get to 60. Play the under in this one.

The NCAA Tournament playin game puts the South Florida Bulls against the Cal Bears. South Florida is an impossible team to speed up, asd they play the shot clock down to the end, and get after it on the defensive end. Their last 10 games has seen the average total points scored at 102.7ppg.(not including OT) The most points scored in any of the 10 games has been 116. The old Princeton teams as a reference, saw both teams averaging 100.5 shots per game, when Princeton ran their halfcourt weave. The totals would be set under 100 or slightly over 100 in these games, regardless of the opponent. South Florida averages 96.8 combined shots per game in the last 10, wellunder the princeton number, with a total set about 15 points higher. The oddsmakers can't mske totals low enough for South Florida as they are 22-6 to the under in their last 28 games. Cal has also been 9-1 to the under in their last 10 games at a neutral site. Throw in a new background here for shooters to get used to, and the pressures of the moment, and this game plays under the total.

This game is an anticipated track meet, but I`m not sure it is going to materialize on the level needed to top the total here. BYU is a very solid defensive team allowing less than 42% shooting for the season, and just 4 teams have struck them for more than 80 points this season. Secondly this game is taking place in an arena in Dayton Ohio that neither are familiar with the backgrounds, and it may take time adjusting. Iona has had back-to-back shooting nights of greater than 50% which puts them in a totals situation here that is decidedly under at 36-6, and the Gaels are also 8-1 to the under after suffering a 10 point home loss. BYU can defend, and has played 5 straight under the total, and is 6-2 to the under in their last 8 this season facing a total of 150. Play the under.

This game fits a total situation that is 94-47 and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation that is 42-10 and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation that is 90-58 and the play here is on the over

This game applies to a totals situation that is 162-122 ATS that has a subset that is 40-17 ATS and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation that is 263-193 and the play is on the over

This game applies to a totals situation that is 162-122 ATS that has a subset that is 40-17 ATS and the play is on the under

This game fits a total situation that is 162-119 and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation that is 116-57 and the play is on the under

This game fits several totals situations that are all better than 60% and cover conference tournament games and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation that is 201-125 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation that is 261-193 and the play is on the over