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Mr. East ALL Sports Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
11-30-12 Utah Jazz v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 203 Top 94-106 Win 100 8 h 50 m Show
This game applies to a totals situation which is 97-49 and the play is on the under.
11-29-12 Louisville v. Rutgers UNDER 44 Top 20-17 Win 100 11 h 10 m Show
The Rutgers Scarlett Knights will host the Louisville Cardinals to determine the Big East Champion, with the prize awaiting the winner including a likely trip to the Orange Bowl. Rutgers has been one of the top defensive teams all season as they have held 8 of their 11 opponents to 15 points or less. The problem they have faced is their achillies heel offense that has produced all of 16 points in their last 2 games. This will by far be the best defense that Louisville has faced all season, and we saw how a good defense can halt this Cardinal attack last week when Louisville lost at home to Connecticut getting shutout for 3 quarters before scoring 10 in the 4th. This game is going to be intense, and physical, which usually translates to low scoring.It also fits a huge totals system that has been 87-42 to the under. make the play in this one on the under.
11-28-12 Houston Rockets v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 209.5 Top 98-120 Loss -105 8 h 40 m Show
When a pair of NBA teams lock horns with both teams off very big wins the game is typically played low scoring. The result since 1996 in this particulr situation has been 212-132 to the under. the selection in this game is on the under.
11-24-12 Florida v. Florida State UNDER 44 Top 37-26 Loss -110 23 h 13 m Show
The Florida St. Seminoles may want to reconsider their schedule in the future. They are 10-1 but barely on the bCS radar as their schedule has been a joke. They have faced South Florida,savannah St., and Murray S. outside the ACC, and the ACC isn`t exactly a powerhuse, filled with teams that get top billing, so despite the 1 loss, there is virtually no way for them to make it to the Championship game. the sot schedule has fed their results, and what looks like an over=powering offense, is good but not as good as it looks. Their 9 games vs FBS teams has seen them play 7 games in which the defenses they faced, in terms of yards per game rank from 76-115, or have an average rank of 91.42. That is the 74th percentile in terms of worst defenses in the country, so the offense has basically had its way. add in the pair of non-FBS teams, and 9 of their 11 games were against teams that couldn`t stop much of anything. The top 2 defenses they have faced are Maryland, and Virginia Tech, neither even close to the caliber of the Florida defense. maryland allowed the Noles 397 total yards, but down to a converted linebacker at QB, the defense has worn down, and allowed more points in eaach of their last 3 games, than any games before it, so no surprise here, and they still did a good job. Virginia Tech held Florida St. to 311 yards and that includes negative yards rushing. I would expect that Florida, by far the best defense they have faced all season, will hold them to less than 300 yards. Florida St. has a top level defense, and the gators offense is horrid, and may be even worse if QB jeff Driskel isn`t 100%. This game is going to be a low scoring game, play on the under.
11-19-12 Los Angeles Clippers v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 198.5 Top 92-87 Win 100 12 h 14 m Show
The LA Clippers have been a hot team as they have won each of their last 5 contests. Along that trail they exacted revenge on the Spurs for last year's playoff loss, and held them to 84 points. Defense has been their clling card holding the Chicago Bulls to 80 in their last game.The Spurs let LA run at will last meeting this season, and I would expect them to be in a better defensive mind frame tonight. This game fits a totals situation that is 103-66-2 to the under. Play this one on the under.
11-18-12 Green Bay Packers v. Detroit Lions OVER 52 Top 24-20 Loss -110 17 h 31 m Show
These teams are a mess defensively, in large part due to multiple key injuries. The Lions secondary is completel depleted. Their best defender safety Louis delmas will be out. Amari Spievey, their other safety is also out. Chris Houston suffered an ankle sprain against the Vikings, and he may play by necessity, but certainly not at 100%.The Lions other corner Bill Bentley is already out for the year, so the entire secondary, which was pedestrian to begin with is now replaced for this game, and the depth is going to be extremely challenging. meanwhle Aaron Rodgers gets back Jordie nelson and John Kuhn, to add to the already potent attack. The Packers failed to score more than 23 points in any if their first 3 games, but have not scored less than 24 since, and have averaged over 30 in their last 6 contests. The Packers have more defensive problems than the Lions. They have 6 linebackers that won`t play this game. DJ Smith who led them in tackles and had 2 sacks is on IR. Nick Perry ,Frank Zombo,Terrell Manning, and Desmond Bishop join him on the sidelines. That quintet of linebackers represents a whole lot of tackles, and 5.5 sacks. Then for good measure add in Clay Matthews and his 9.0 sacks, and just his presence is worth more than that. That is 14.5 sacks missing from the Packer defense. They are also missing Charles Woodson, and Sam Shields, so the entire back of the Packer defense is going to be challenged. Both these teams like to throw the ball, and with the back side of the defenses depleted and lacking depth, I can see the gameplan attacking all game to wear the defenses out. This game is going to be a track meet, play the over.
11-17-12 Texas San Antonio v. Idaho UNDER 57 Top 34-27 Loss -105 32 h 57 m Show
This is a blind total situation which has gone 85-40 over the last 7 years, and the play is on the under
11-17-12 Purdue v. Illinois UNDER 50 Top 20-17 Win 100 30 h 28 m Show
This is a blind total situation which has gone 85-40 over the last 7 years, and the play is on the under
11-16-12 Orlando Magic v. Detroit Pistons OVER 184.5 Top 110-106 Win 100 7 h 28 m Show
This game features a pair of my strongest total indicators, which are 71-34, and 65-27 ATS. The play is on the over.
11-10-12 San Antonio Spurs v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 197.5 Top 112-109 Loss -110 13 h 1 m Show
: This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game
11-09-12 Golden State Warriors v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 195 Top 77-101 Win 100 9 h 47 m Show
This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game
11-09-12 Charlotte Bobcats v. New Orleans Hornets UNDER 181.5 Top 99-107 Loss -102 6 h 17 m Show
This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game
11-09-12 Pittsburgh v. Connecticut UNDER 44 Top 17-24 Win 100 7 h 35 m Show
The Pittsburgh Panthers are off a spirited effort in South Bend where they had a 14 point lead late, let it slip away, and then missed a hip-shot FG in OT to bow to the unbeaten Irish. They certainly could be flat in this one, but it may not matter. The Huskies offense is pathetic, and they have not scored a single TD in the 2nd half of any of their 4 Big East games. let's take a look at the Huskies season:

UMASS: They scored 37 but that was the 3rd fewest points the winless Minutemen have allowed all season
NC STATE: Scored 7, the lowest output of any team against NC State this season
MARYLAND: Scored 24 but 7 came on a punt return, so the offense got 17, 3rd lowest allowed by MD all season
W. MICH: Scored 24 which was 3rd lowest allowed by WMU all season, who got more? Umass, and E. Illinois!
BUFFALO: scored 24, which was the 3rd fewest allowed by Buffalo this season.
RUTGERS: scored 3 fewest allowed by Rutgers all season to FBS teams
TEMPLE: scored 14, fewest allowed by temple all year
SYRACUSE: Scored 10 fewest allowed by Syracuse all season.
S. FLA: Scored 6 fewest allowed by S. Fla all year

All 4 Big east games have seen them score fewer points than the 4 teams have allowed all season. Every team has over-achieved their season results dfensively against Uconn!

They also rank in the top 15 on defense, so only one way to go here

Play this game under the total.
11-09-12 Philadelphia 76ers v. Boston Celtics UNDER 179 Top 106-100 Loss -115 6 h 48 m Show
This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game
11-07-12 Los Angeles Lakers v. Utah Jazz UNDER 196.5 Top 86-95 Win 100 5 h 23 m Show
This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game
11-07-12 Philadelphia 76ers v. New Orleans Hornets UNDER 180 Top 77-62 Win 100 4 h 23 m Show
This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game
11-07-12 Washington Wizards v. Boston Celtics UNDER 187 Top 94-100 Loss -108 4 h 54 m Show
This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game
11-07-12 Phoenix Suns v. Charlotte Bobcats UNDER 194 Top 117-110 Loss -110 3 h 24 m Show
This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game
11-06-12 Detroit Pistons v. Denver Nuggets OVER 198 Top 97-109 Win 100 5 h 22 m Show
This game fits a 266-197 ATS situation that has won in 7 of the last 8 NBA seasons, and has its first play tonight. Play this game over the total.
11-05-12 New York Knicks v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 185 Top 110-88 Loss -110 7 h 24 m Show
This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game
11-04-12 Carolina Panthers v. Washington Redskins UNDER 48 Top 21-13 Win 100 28 h 21 m Show
The Washington redskins have been an over-hyped team all season, mainly because RG3 gets a lot of ink, and has had a pretty good rookie season. This becomes an inbteresting matchup because the Panthers have last year's rookie QB sensation, Cam Newton. The points have not come as easily in the last few games for Washington, and at the same time they have played a lot tougher on defense. Their first 4 games were vs teams that are now a combined 11-18, while their last 4 have come against teams that are 22-8, and the last 4 games shows them allowing less yards, and points than they did against the bad teams. Carolina won't be the type of team to challenge the Redskins defense, as they have struggled offensively, scoring 14 points or less in 4 games. The panthers defense was horrible, but they moved Kuechley to middle linebacker, and in the last 3 games he has made 37 tackles, and the Carolina run stop unit has gotten much better. This game fits a situation that is 110-68-2 to the under, which is the call here. Play on the under.
11-04-12 Philadelphia 76ers v. New York Knicks UNDER 187 Top 84-100 Win 100 3 h 17 m Show
This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game
11-03-12 Charlotte Bobcats v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 187 Top 99-126 Loss -105 13 h 42 m Show
This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game
11-03-12 New Orleans Hornets v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 184.5 Top 89-82 Win 100 12 h 13 m Show
This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game
11-03-12 Boston Celtics v. Washington Wizards UNDER 191.5 Top 89-86 Win 100 11 h 13 m Show
This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game
11-02-12 Los Angeles Clippers v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 191 Top 105-95 Loss -102 9 h 6 m Show
: This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game
11-02-12 Utah Jazz v. New Orleans Hornets UNDER 189 Top 86-88 Win 100 7 h 36 m Show
This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game
11-02-12 Milwaukee Bucks v. Boston Celtics UNDER 195 Top 99-88 Win 100 6 h 6 m Show
: This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game
11-02-12 Indiana Pacers v. Charlotte Bobcats UNDER 184.5 Top 89-90 Win 100 6 h 37 m Show
: This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game
10-31-12 San Antonio Spurs v. New Orleans Hornets UNDER 186.5 Top 99-95 Loss -105 7 h 36 m Show
This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game
10-31-12 Denver Nuggets v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 198 Top 75-84 Win 100 6 h 36 m Show
This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game
10-30-12 Dallas Mavericks v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 185.5 Top 99-91 Loss -105 7 h 33 m Show
This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game's 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game.
10-30-12 Boston Celtics v. Miami Heat UNDER 186 Top 107-120 Loss -110 4 h 4 m Show
This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game's 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game.
10-28-12 Seattle Seahawks v. Detroit Lions UNDER 43 Top 24-28 Loss -108 47 h 10 m Show
I think there is a ton of value in this one, as detroit has the perception of being a big offensive team, as well as a poor defensive team, but both of those have changed in the opposite directon this season, and all is not as it appears. Last season the Lions went for 24 or more points in each of their last 5 games, and all together hit the 24 mark on 12 occasions. This year that number hasds been reached just twice without the benefit of overtime. They also allowed 8 of their last 9 opponents to score 27 or more a year ago, and this season just twice, although the 44 tallied vs Tennessee saw 3 of the points scored in OT and 21 points on non-offensive TD`s, so the reality is the defense allowed 20 over 60 minutes. The Lions rank as the NFL`s #8 ranked defense in yards allowed but their 25ppg allowed is tainted by 42 non-offensive points allowed, 28 allowed on special teams, and 14 defensive points against them. The Lions subsequently allow 25ppg, but the reality is the defense has allowed 19ppg, and that ranks #7 in the league. They have fixed their special teams issues, and althugh the problem can`t be ignored, there is an over-compensation here based on total points and 42 points allowed in 7 games is 6ppg, and that is unsustainable going forward. Seattle is a much different team that they werre in their first 8 games last season where they allowed 23.3ppg. Going back further, they allowed 27.3ppg fron 2010-11 season`s last 7 games to the first 8 in 2011-12. Since then, not a single team has reached or topped either average, the 23.3 or the 27.3. The Seahawks are allowing 15.8ppg over their last 15 games, and wre have seen the Detroit offense score 7 vs Chicago, 19 vs San Francisco, and 13 vs Minnesota. In the same order these teams rank 6,12, and 1 in the league defensively, and Seattle is 5th. The Seattle offense has struggled all seasson long, and this game is going to struggle to get into the 40s. I also have an under indicator which is 129-87 since 1989, and it is 5-3 this year. Play this one under the total.
10-24-12 Detroit Tigers v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 7 Top 3-8 Loss -134 5 h 45 m Show
This is a good spot to play low here, as you have a strong righthander in Justin verlander that can finish the game himself, against a team that finished the regular season just 4 games over .500 vs righthanders. The same time you have a redhot lefthander in barry Zito who has seen SF win all of his last 13 starts, and a 2.20 ERA in his last 6. Tigers attack diminished by LHP, Fielder .328 24 62 vs RHP, just .289 6 46 vs LHP (363 at bats vs RHP, and 218 vs LHP). Cabrera is night and day. he pounded RHP at .335 40 122 while LHP held him to .314 4 17 in 159 at bats. Austin jackson can't steal a base vs LHP (0 on the season thrown out 4 times), so he is reduced as well. Play this one under the total.
10-22-12 Detroit Lions v. Chicago Bears OVER 46.5 Top 7-13 Loss -110 13 h 41 m Show
The NFL has many close games, and Sunday closed with just a pair of late games, and both of them ended in overtime, and finished as 3 point games. So what happens to teams that win their last game by 3 points or less and have to take to the road, in respect to the total?

340-328-10 to the over

There is obviously nothing there and most would move on at this point, but wait a minute!

What happens if they are faciing a team that won by 10 points or more in their last game?

83-67-2 to the over or 55.3% as we start to see something interesting develop

So what if we went one more step, and made their opponent have to have won 2 straight by 10 or more points?

31-12 to the over, and suddenly we have a situation returning 72.1% on the over

We can then go and handicap the total in the game and if it is set at less than 48 it is all systems go as our system is 29-8 to the over cashing in 78.4% of the time.

We can go for the perfecto and if our team was also on the road in their last game the situation is a picture perfect:

11-0 to the over since 2001!

Play on the over
10-20-12 Kansas State v. West Virginia UNDER 73.5 Top 55-14 Win 100 48 h 17 m Show
There are a lot of people that fell off the West Virginia bandwagon last week, when they were destroyed by a solid Texas Tech team. They face a similar team in Kansas St for this one. West Virginia was rambling along scoring points faster than you could keep track of. They then ran into a pair of big defenses and those huge numbers the last 2 weeks were reduced to 22.5ppg. kansas St. is equipped to run the ball right up the gut of the weak West Virginia defense, on long drives that eat up a lot of clock time to limit the opportunities for Geno Smith who has thrown 25 TD passes to 0 INT`s on the season. This game has a total set well into the 70s and I just don`t see the type of wide open game, or a West Virginia team that has proven to be lethal against bad or mediocre defenses, but somewhat average against good ones. No team this season has topped the 21 point mark against the Wildcats and that includes going to Norman Oklahoma and holding a powerful Sooner attack to 19. While I think West Virginia tops that number here, I think it is going to take a lot more than that to get this one close to an inflated number because of the west Virginia mystique. Play on the under.
10-20-12 Army v. Eastern Michigan OVER 61.5 Top 38-48 Win 100 5 h 5 m Show
There is going to be a tremendous opportunity for points to be scored in this game. Army is the #1 team in the country in rushing yards per game with an amazing 385.2 per contest, churning out 5.5 yards per carry. The Black Knights run the option, and who better to run it against than Eastern Michigan a team that allows more rushing yards against them, than any team in the nation, and allow 6,2 yards per tote on top of it, and just about 40ppg. As bad as that sounds Army is allowing 6.3 yards per carry against them and just over 36ppg. When the offense is on the field for either team, they will far and away be the best units on the field. The number here on the total just doesn`t add up to the potential points to be scored here. I think this game should easily get into the 70s, unless it turns into a turnover fest, which isn`t likely since neither team defends very well. Army has allowed 31 points or more to every FBS team they have faced this season. Army`s last 10 games vs MAC teams have seen 9 of them top the total, while the Eagles have played 8 of their last 10 vs a losing team over the total. Play this one on the over.
10-14-12 Green Bay Packers v. Houston Texans UNDER 46.5 Top 42-24 Loss -103 7 h 53 m Show
The expectation here is for a high scoring game, but I'm not in that camp. The public still views this Green Bay team as being a high octane offense, but thhis is not last year. teams have figured out how to stop them y playing a 2 deep, putting pressure on Rodgers, and taking advantage of the Green Bay offensive line, that can't pass protect. The packers lack of running game, and lack of pass protection has forced Rodgers to be dumping off underneath coverage for small gains. That has lowered his yards per attempt from 9.2 a year ago, to 6.9 this season. At the same time if the opponent doesn't stop the Packers they stop themselves already commiting 40 penalties for 390 yards in 5 games. Houston has a big defense that has 16 sacks, and allows a QB rating of 62.80, so this will not be the place for the Packer offense to shine, especially without WR Greg Jennings. The Houston offense ranks just 14th, but that is part because they have gotten big leads and played keep away, but the Packers defense resembles the 2010-11 version, not last year's and they have been tough. All in all this game is supposed to be high scoring, but when these teams have the ball, in each case, the defense will be the best unit on the field. Play under the total.
10-06-12 Cincinnati Reds v. San Francisco Giants OVER 6.5 Top 5-2 Win 106 12 h 50 m Show
Taking a look at this matchup, both teams have their aces going, and what looks like a decided pitcher's duel, is going to be called into wuestion, as I have dug up the truth about these pitcher's lack of success vs good teams. Comined these pitchers have made 65 starts, and you know how many have come against NL teams that are in the playoffs? A grand total of 9! Johny Cueto has made 4 of those pitching to an ERA of 4.50 when doing so, while Matt Cain has made 5 of them, pitching to a 5.75 ERA allowing 8 HR's in 31.2 innings of work. While they have dominated average to poor teams they have each had serious problems against the NL eams that have made the playoffs this season, with combined numbers that look like this:

IP 53.1 HITS 66 EARNED RUNS 31 SO 39 BB 20 ERA 5.23

Those certainly aren't numbers that make this total look like a high hurdle, play on the OVER
10-06-12 Rice v. Memphis UNDER 62 Top 10-14 Win 100 32 h 18 m Show
There is a consensus of opinion for this game to play over the total, yet the total has dropped a few points from the opener. there are some strong indicators that I like and will point to, that has me riding with the line move in this one. First off, Rice QB Taylor Mchargue missed last game with a shoulder injury, and he prfacticed this week, and although he is listed as questionable, he will play against Memphis. I can't help but think they will alter the game plan to involve more running here. last year he was limited to 170 yards vs Memphis in a low scoring 28-6 win. That game was played to a similar total of 58, and went way under. then there is Rice QB Jacom Karam who considered Rice when he transferred from Texas Tech who considered Rice because his 4a Texas Championship team top reciever Andre Gautreaux was there. They bring a lot of info about each other, which could inhibit a pair of key players on each offensive side. Then there is Rice CB Phillip Gaines who is the top shutdown corner in NCAAF this year with 12 pass breakups. memphis has a pair of recievers who have caught 41 of the 65 receptions the team has on the season, so shutting down one, certainly inhibits the passing game. i also have a very favorable totals situation for this one which has connected on the under over 60% of the time. Under gets the call in this one.
09-26-12 Kansas City Royals v. Detroit Tigers UNDER 8.5 Top 4-5 Loss -108 11 h 56 m Show
All of today`s selections are based on situations that have produced an ROI of from 8.6-15.5% the last 9 years.The play in this game is on the under
09-23-12 Houston Texans v. Denver Broncos UNDER 46.5 Top 31-25 Loss -110 56 h 35 m Show
The Denver Broncos are excited to ave Peyton Manning at QB, but it is clear he is not the same. Last week he threw for 3 INT`s and while his accuracy is good, he is throwing a lot of check-offs, and his yard per attempt vs Atlanta was just 5.89. It is quite noticeable when he has to make the tough passes, he has to try and muscle the football, and he is throwing a lot of flutter balls, so the defenses are starting to jump the routes against him. Houston will present even bigger problems as they will be the best overall defense the Broncos have faced this season. The Txans have the #1 ranked defense in the NFL through 2 weeks. they have not had a difficult challenge yet, but remember last year they finished ranked #2, so this defense is legit. The Houston offense has scored 57 points, but a bit misleading as their ground game has been halted to 3.6 yards per carry. They are scoring because their defense facing weak offenses, has gotten many 3 and outs, and they have averaged 39 minutes of possession to 21 for their opponents through 2 weeks, and that simply is unsustainable. This game fits several positive situations as well on the under, one that is 19-2 and a perfect subset of 14-0 to the under. I also have another that has been more reliable that shows 125-86 to the under, and one that is also 58-21 to the under. Play this one on the under.
09-23-12 Texas Rangers v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 Top 3-2 Win 100 9 h 32 m Show
All of today`s selections are based on 9 year situations which have produced an ROI from 7.8-21.2%. The play in this game is on the under.
09-22-12 Vanderbilt v. Georgia UNDER 51 Top 3-48 Push 0 35 h 53 m Show
The Georgia Bulldogs cme into their game with Vanderbilt at 3-0 and have a chance to make some noise in the SEC. Vandy got their first win 56-0 over lowly Presbyterian in their last game, after failing offensively vs orthwestern and South Carolina, combining to score just 26 points in the losses. The Commodores have the 11th ranked defense in NCAAF, and that side of the ball has been terrific as they have not allowed a single opponent to score over 34 points in any of their last 15 games. The problem is an offense that over their last 12 SEC road games has produced an average of 12.1ppg. Two years ago they cae to play Georgia between the Hedges, and failed to score at all. The top and bottom for this Vandy team shows max allowed 34, and average scored 12, for 46 total points, and that is high end, so the value here is on the under. georgia has played well defensively, and will only get better, and Vandy has enough on defense to hold the Bulldogs down in this one. This game also applies to an under situation that has one 84-47 the last 6 years and is live on this game. Play this one under the total.
09-20-12 Toronto Blue Jays v. New York Yankees UNDER 9.5 Top 7-10 Loss -104 10 h 20 m Show
All of today's selections are from situations that oer the last 9 years have a ROI from +7.6-40.4%. The play on team in this game is on the under.
09-20-12 Colorado Rockies v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7.5 Top 2-9 Win 100 7 h 2 m Show
All of today's selections are from situations that oer the last 9 years have a ROI from +7.6-40.4%. The play on team in this game is on the over.
09-15-12 Connecticut v. Maryland UNDER 40.5 Top 24-21 Loss -110 15 h 18 m Show
10 Top Total Play
09-14-12 Tampa Bay Rays v. New York Yankees UNDER 8 Top 6-4 Loss -114 11 h 36 m Show
All of today`s selection`s are based on 9 year situations that carryan ROI from 9.3-23.6% ROI. The play on team in this game is on the under.
09-09-12 St Louis Rams v. Detroit Lions UNDER 46 Top 23-27 Loss -110 98 h 2 m Show
The long awaited NFL regular season is here. The Detroit Lions will open their season at home with great anticipation, as they play host to the St. Louis Rams. The Lions are loved by the public as they back them to play over almost every game they play, despite the fact that 5 of their last 7 at home have played under the total. Thiis is not a good defensive team but they are better at home, especially against meager offenses. last year they played 4 teams ranked in the top 10 in offense at home and allowed 23.8ppg. They also played 3 ranked in the bottom 10 and allowed 13.7ppg. The rams have had little offense for years, and nothing they did in the off-season will change that. The bad offense gets even worse on the road where they have scored 84 points total in their last 10 road games for a woeful 8.4ppg. The defense over that same period has not allowed any team to top the 34 point mark. last year when the Lions played the most comparable poor offense at home in kansas City (13.2ppg vs St. Louis 12.2ppg)THE Lions kept the Chiefs out of the end-zone the entire game, allowing just a FG. oddsmakers have come out with high totals because the public saw last year hat week 1 totals went 12-3-1 and they cashed in big! That was a strike shortened pre-season which inhibits the physical condition of teams, and that effects defense more than offense. The previous 8 years have seen the under go 77-50 in week one, and the 127 games have averaged over 3 points a game lower than the posted totals. There is a lot of reasons here, including the fact that 67% of the public is on the over in this one, more than any other game. That being said, the total has dropped 1.5 points from the opener of 45.5! Guess where the smart money is? play this one under the total.
09-08-12 USC v. Syracuse OVER 64.5 Top 42-29 Win 100 44 h 27 m Show
The USC trojans have one result that will be acceptable for them this season, and that is winning a national championship. Anything short of that will be a disappointment. They got underway in that quest last week with an easy win over Hawaii 49-10. The Trojans built a 35-0 halftime lead and then just coasted through the 2nd half. This week they travel to East Rutherford, NJ to take on Syracuse at a neutral site. QB Matt Barkley shunned the NFL draft to return to win a championship, and maybe a Heisman for good measure. he threw 4 TD passes last week, and this game will be played on his 22nd birthday, and you know he and his teammates are going to want to make it memorable. Last year USC beat Syracuse 38-17 when the entire schedule was meaningless because of probation, being in eyesight of NY City is going to have the Trojans ready to make a huge offensive statement here, against a Cuse team that scored 41 last week, and lost to Northwestern. Syracuse will be putting the ball in the air on almost every play, as they did last week, throwing 65 times, for 470 yards, so they are going to get some points here. nassib completed 25-37 last year against USC. This game is a showcase for Barkley & Co. and they will at least be in the 50s here, and the Cuse is goiing to get their share. Play the over on this one.
09-03-12 Boston Red Sox v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7.5 Top 1-4 Win 100 8 h 53 m Show
All of today`s picks feature situations which range from 8.5 to 19.2% ROI over the last 9 years. This pick is on the under.
09-03-12 Chicago (N): Samardzija v. Washington: R Detwiler OVER 7.5 Top 1-2 Loss -103 5 h 38 m Show
All of today`s picks feature situations which range from 8.5 to 19.2% ROI over the last 9 years. This pick is on the over
09-01-12 Tampa Bay: J Niemann v. Toronto: H Alvarez UNDER 9 Top 5-4 Push 0 4 h 24 m Show
All of today`s picks are based on situations that have produced an ROI of7.9-17.7% the last 9 years, the play is on the under.
08-31-12 Tampa Bay: Hellickson v. Toronto: B Morrow UNDER 8 Top 1-2 Win 105 11 h 53 m Show
All games today fit situations that have returned from 8.6 to 17.9% ROI the last 9 years, this play is on the under.
08-30-12 Detroit Tigers v. KAN ROYALS UNDER 9 Top 1-2 Win 100 11 h 16 m Show
This game fits a totals situation which is 360-268 and the play is on the under
08-29-12 Tampa Bay: A Cobb v. Texas: M Harrison UNDER 9 Top 8-4 Loss -108 6 h 19 m Show
All plays today are from situations that range from +8.1 to +19.2% ROI, this play is on the under.
08-29-12 Los Angeles Dodgers v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 11 Top 10-8 Loss -125 3 h 36 m Show
All plays today are from situations that range from +8.1 to +19.2% ROI, this play is on the under.
08-28-12 Seattle Mariners v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8 Top 5-2 Win 100 12 h 24 m Show
This game fits a totals situation which is 359-266 and the play is on the under.
08-26-12 Minnesota: C Devries v. Texas: S Feldman OVER 10.5 Top 6-5 Win 100 6 h 13 m Show
All of today's games are part of situations which have shown an ROI of between 8.7-26.9%, this one plays on the over.
08-25-12 Miami: J Johnson v. Los Angeles: C Kershaw OVER 6 Top 2-8 Win 100 13 h 10 m Show
This game fits a totals situation which is 88-60, and the play is on the over
08-25-12 LA Anaheim: D Haren v. Detroit: D Smyly UNDER 10 Top 3-5 Win 100 11 h 3 m Show
This game fits a totals situation which is 358-266, the play is on the under.
08-24-12 New York (A): C Sabathia v. Cleveland: C Kluber UNDER 9 Top 3-1 Win 100 10 h 13 m Show
This game fits a totals situation that is 357-266 and the play is on the under.
08-22-12 Chicago Cubs v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8 Top 2-3 Loss -105 6 h 34 m Show
This game fits a totals situation which is 96-59 and the play is on the over
08-22-12 Kansas City Royals v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 7.5 Top 3-5 Loss -125 5 h 32 m Show
This game fits a totals situation which is 357-264 and the play is on the under.
08-19-12 Philadelphia Phillies v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 9 Top 8-0 Win 102 5 h 26 m Show
Lots of games today and they are all from siuations that have an 8.6% to a 19.4% ROI over the last 9 years. This play is on the under.
08-19-12 Texas: M Harrison v. Toronto: H Alvarez UNDER 9 Top 11-2 Loss -110 4 h 6 m Show
Lots of games today and they are all from siuations that have an 8.6% to a 19.4% ROI over the last 9 years. This play is on the under.
08-18-12 CUBS GM1 v. CIN GM1 OVER 7.5 Top 3-5 Win 100 5 h 26 m Show
This game fits a totals situation which is 95-59 the last 9 years and the play is on the over.
08-17-12 Minnesota: Blackburn v. Seattle: H Iwakuma UNDER 7.5 Top 3-5 Loss -103 14 h 59 m Show
: This game fits a totals situation which is 357-263 and the play is on the under.
08-13-12 Cleveland: J Mastersn v. LA Anaheim: C Wilson UNDER 7.5 Top 6-2 Loss -100 14 h 34 m Show
This game fits a situation that has gone 357-263 and the play is on the under
08-12-12 Seattle Mariners v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 7.5 Top 4-1 Win 100 4 h 39 m Show
Jered Weaver has pitched well, but inside the division he is a perfect 13-0 to the under vs a below .500 team and pitching as a home favorite with average runs scored at 5.3. Play the under
08-12-12 Detroit: R Porcello v. Texas: Y Darvish UNDER 10.5 Top 3-8 Loss -100 6 h 20 m Show
I have a lot of plays today as Sunday tends to be a big home favorite day in the right situation, and today a lot are coming toether. All picks are based on ROI`s of 8.8-17.6%. This game the play is on the under
08-09-12 Miami Marlins v. New York Mets OVER 6.5 Top 1-6 Win 100 4 h 43 m Show
This game fits a high end 17.4% ROI situation on the total, and the play is on the over.
08-06-12 Texas Rangers v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 10.5 Top 2-9 Loss -115 10 h 2 m Show
This game features a totals angle which is 356-263 and the play is on the under.
08-06-12 Seattle: J Vargas v. Baltimore: C Tillman UNDER 8.5 Top 1-3 Win 100 10 h 49 m Show
This game features a totals angle which is 356-263 and the play is on the under.
08-05-12 ARIZONA v. NEW ORLEANS UNDER 37.5 Top 10-17 Win 100 33 h 37 m Show
The history of this game has seen 48 games to date, with last year, and one other the onl exceptions. A pair of games were suspended due to lightning, but overall this is what the history shows. The first 8 games were still in what I call the "novelty" period. teams came out firing and those first 8 games saw 337 points scored or 42.13ppg. The 40 subsequent games in 5 year blocks, have not see an average oer 35ppg except 1 time since. The fact is the last 25 games have averaged just 31.48ppg. Those 25 games have seen just 6 top the 37 point mark, or 24%, so there certainly is historical evidence that this gasme is poised to plasy under the total. The betting public has raised this total to 37 to 37.5 now from an opener of 34.5 to 35. Over 5% of the public has cast its vote on the over, but I'll be riding low here, play on the under
08-05-12 Seattle: H Iwakuma v. New York (A): F Garcia UNDER 10 Top 2-6 Win 100 5 h 34 m Show
This game fits a totals situation which has connected on 58.7% winners on over 600 games. Under is the play.
08-04-12 Baltimore Orioles v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 7.5 Top 4-0 Win 100 12 h 43 m Show
: This game applies to a totals situation which is 63% winners since 2004 and the play is on the under.
08-03-12 Miami: J Johnson v. Washington: G Gonzalez OVER 7 Top 5-2 Push 0 12 h 45 m Show
This game features a totals situation that is 94-59-8 the last 9 years and the play is on the over
08-01-12 St.Louis Cardinals v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 10.5 Top 9-6 Loss -100 10 h 15 m Show
I have 2 strong total situations here that both are over 60% winners, and the play is on the under.
07-27-12 Cincinnati Reds v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 10.5 Top 3-0 Win 100 13 h 22 m Show
I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and updates to keep current. With that said the play is on the under
07-25-12 Boston: J Beckett v. Texas: D Holland UNDER 10 Top 3-5 Win 100 13 h 34 m Show
I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and updates to keep current. With that said the play is on the under
07-24-12 San Diego: E Volquez v. San Francisco: Bumgarner OVER 6 Top 2-3 Loss -120 15 h 39 m Show
I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and updates to keep current. With that said the play is on the over
07-24-12 Chicago (N): P Maholm v. Pittsburgh: J Mcdonald OVER 7.5 Top 5-1 Loss -101 11 h 29 m Show
I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and updates to keep current. With that said the play is on the over
07-24-12 Tampa Bay: Hellickson v. Baltimore: W Chen UNDER 8.5 Top 3-1 Win 111 11 h 28 m Show
I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and updates to keep current. With that said the play is on the under
07-22-12 New York (A): C Sabathia v. Oakland: B Colon UNDER 7.5 Top 4-5 Loss -102 8 h 56 m Show
I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and updates to keep current. With that said the play is on the under
07-22-12 Seattle Mariners v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 8 Top 2-1 Win 103 6 h 51 m Show
I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and updates to keep current. With that said the play is on the under
07-21-12 Minnesota Twins v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 9.5 Top 3-7 Loss -100 11 h 32 m Show
: I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and updates to keep current. With that said the play is on the under
07-19-12 Baltimore Orioles v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 9 Top 4-3 Win 100 5 h 14 m Show
I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and updates to keep current. With that said the play is on the under
07-17-12 Miami: A Sanchez v. Chicago (N): T Wood OVER 9.5 Top 9-5 Win 100 5 h 53 m Show
This game fits a huge totals system and the play is on the over
07-16-12 Seattle Mariners v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 9 Top 9-4 Loss -100 12 h 18 m Show
I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and updates to keep current. With that said the play is on the under
07-14-12 Philadelphia Phillies v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 10.5 Top 8-5 Loss -100 13 h 7 m Show
: I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and updates to keep current. With that said the play is on the under
07-14-12 Cleveland: U Jimenez v. Toronto: A Laffey UNDER 10 Top 9-11 Loss -118 6 h 55 m Show
I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and updates to keep current. With that said the play is on the under
07-08-12 Minnesota: C Devries v. Texas: R Oswalt UNDER 11 Top 3-4 Win 100 8 h 55 m Show
Looking at them (Toronto) in their last 2 games scoring 2 or less, I'd say their offense is in slow motion right now. White Sox have now played 4 straight games where neither team managed to score more than 5 runs. So another glimpse of slow motion.



So when we take the slow motion stats and compile it vs history we find that road teams scoring 2 or less runs in 2 consecutive games vs a team that did not allow or score 6 runs in any of their last 4 games we get:



86-52-6 to the under at a nifty 17.5% return



If we handicap the total, and make sure we have some runs to work with here, and add in that the total must be greater than 6.5 we end up with:



82-46-6 to the under for a 20.3% return



if we also handicap the line and make sure that our road team is also an underdog we get:



60-29-3 to the under



Finally if we further handicap the line and make our road dog no higher than +120 we get:



27-8-2 to the under for a carzy 41.9% return

Play on the under
07-08-12 Miami Marlins v. St.Louis Cardinals OVER 9 Top 4-5 Push 0 6 h 2 m Show
Joe Kelly and Anibel Sanchez do not have much of a track record this season, with just 37 combined innings of work between them. That means the bullpens here will likely decide this contest. They have 25 blown saves between them, and the pens haven`t exactly been the strength of either team. Opponents are hitting .297 vs Kelly so the Marlins should get a lot of opportunities here. marlins have also played just 4 unders in their last 21 to a total of 9-10.5. Cards now 20-8 to the oer as a favorite of -110 to -150. Play this one over the total.
07-08-12 Toronto Blue Jays v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 11 Top 11-9 Loss -120 6 h 56 m Show
The Toronto Blue Jays and the Chicago White Sox have stalled each others offenses in this series, with the first 2 games totaling just 8 combined runs. They will be facing a total of 11 here in this one which is simply to high. The White Sox staff has held opponents to 4 runs or less in 14 of their last 17 games. When you consider Texas,Toronto, and the Yankees comprise over half of those games, they are getting great pitching. The Jays offense has been in a slump producing just 21 runs over their last 6 games at 3.5 a contest. Last 4 in Chicago all to the under as well. Play this one under the total.
07-07-12 Miami Marlins v. St.Louis Cardinals OVER 9 Top 2-3 Loss -116 8 h 24 m Show
The Miami marlins thought they might have a steal when they acquired mal-content Carlos Zambrano in the off season. It hasn`t panned out as his 4.82 ERA with the Cubs last year stands at just 4.03 this season, and lately he has pitched poorly. Zambrano`s last 5 starts have amounted to just 22 innings where he has allowed 21 runs. One thing the Cards have been doing is swinging the bats scoring 82 runs over their last 14 games jusy shy of 6 per contest. The Malins have also found their offense as they have plated 5 or more runs in 12 of their last 17 games. Marlins have seen just 4 of their last 22 games with a total set from 9-10.5 stay under the total, while the cards weigh in at 20-7 to the over in their last 27 as a favorite of -110 to -150. Home plate umpire Gerry Davis has been hitter friendly with the over scoring 7-3-1 in his last 11 donning the mask. Play on the over.
07-03-12 Texas Rangers v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 9 Top 2-19 Loss -120 13 h 47 m Show
I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and updates to keep current. With that said the play is on the under
07-03-12 Houston: L Harrell v. Pittsburgh: A Burnett OVER 7.5 Top 7-8 Win 100 12 h 34 m Show
I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and updates to keep current. With that said the play is on the over
07-02-12 Baltimore Orioles v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 Top 3-6 Loss -105 14 h 25 m Show
I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and updates to keep current. With that said the play is on the under
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