All of today`s selections are based on handicapping line value, as well as situations that over the past 10 seasons have produced an ROI from 9.9% to 33.6%. The play in this game is on the over

All of today`s selections are from games that have handicapping line value, as well as 10 year situations that have returned 9.1% to 15.1% ROI. The play in this game is on the under.

: All of today`s selections are from handicapping line value and situations that over the past 10 years have produced an ROI from 8.8% to 16.4%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today`s selections are from games which have handicapping line value as well as situations that have a 10 year history producing an ROI from 6.6% to 14.8%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on handicapping line value, as well as situations which have produced an ROI from 8.6% to 13.1%. The play in this game is on the over.

All of today`s selections are based on handicapping line value as well as situations that have over the last 10 years held an ROI from 8.8% to 16.6%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on handicapping line value, combined with historic game situations, that have produced an ROI from 8.4% to 17.1%. The play in this game is on the over

All of today`s selections are based on handicapping line value, combined with historic game situations, that have produced an ROI from 8.4% to 17.1%. The play in this game is on the under.

Thursday June 20th, 2013

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NBA 10 Top Total Play

All of today`s selections are from games that have handicapping line value, as well as situations which over the past 10 years has produced an ROI from 8.4% to 22.1%. The play in this game is on the over

All of today`s selections are based on handicapping line value, as well as situations that have over the last 10 years held an ROI from 7.6% to 17.2%. The play in this game is on the under.

This game fits a situation that has produced a 17.3% ROI and the play is on the over

All of today`s games are based on line value, and situations which have produced a 10 year ROI from 7.6% to 22.3%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today`s games are based on line value, and situations which have produced a 10 year ROI from 7.6% to 22.3%. The play in this game is on the under

They say every dog has his day, and over the course of a 162 game season, even the bad teams get a bone once in awhile. Houston went 7-1 over an 88 game stretch, which has quickly turned into 1-6 in their last 7 giving it all back. They have managed just 13 runs over their last 7 games. They have been much better on the mound as the staff has allowed just 55 runs in their last 17 games, or 3.27 a contest. The White Sox have gotten good pitching, and little out of the offense, and have played to the over the fewest times of any MLB team this season. Chris Sale almost always delivers a quality start, but with little support from the offense, and the White Sox are 10-1 to the under in his last 11 road starts. I also have a team situational trend on the White Sox that is 18-0 to the under. Play this one under the total.

All of today`s selections are based on handicapping line value and 10 year situations that have produced an ROI from 7.0% to 22.5%. The play in this game is on the under

All of today`s selections are based on positive line value and situations that have had a 10 year ROI of 8.4% to 15.0%. The play in this game is on the under.

This game fits a situation that has produced an ROI of 8.4% the last 10 yrs and the play is on the under

All of today's selections are based on line value, and 10yr situations that have had an ROI range from +6.8% to +19.6%. The play in this game is on the over.

All of today`s selections are based on positive line value, as well as positive situations established over the last 10 yrs. All selections have a 10 yr track record of producing an ROI of from 6.5% to 16.9%. The play in this game is on the under

All of today`s picks have line value and situations that over the last 10 yrs has produced an ROI from 6,7% to 15.7%. The play in this game is on the under

All of today`s picks have line value and situations that over the last 10 yrs has produced an ROI from 6,7% to 15.7%. The play in this game is on the under

All of today`s picks have line value and situations that over the last 10 yrs has produced an ROI from 6,7% to 15.7%. The play in this game is on the under

All of today`s selections are based on positive line value, and 10yrs worth of positive situations which have an ROI from 6.6% to 16.2%. The play in this game is on the over

All of today`s selections are based on positive line value, and 10yrs worth of positive situations which have an ROI from 6.6% to 16.2%. The play in this game is on the over

All of today`s selections are from situations, that have produced from a 7.1% to a 14.5% ROI, and line value, the play in this game is on the under

All of today`s selections are based on 10 year historic situations that have had an ROI from 7.3% to 15.8%. Most think I am just a computer handicapper which is far from the truth, it is just one element, I often pass situations that do not handicap out well. These plays also have handicapping line value. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today's plays are from 10yr situations that have achieved an ROI from 8.6% to 21.9%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today`s games feature situations that have produced longterm ROI`s from 7.7% to 22.2%. The play in this game is on the over

All of today`s games feature situations that have produced longterm ROI`s from 7.7% to 22.2%. The play in this game is on the over

All of today`s games feature situations that have produced longterm ROI`s from 7.7% to 22.2%. The play in this game is on the under

All of today`s games feature situations that have produced longterm ROI`s from 7.7% to 22.2%. The play in this game is on the under.

The Miami Heat scored 114 points last game on the road in Indiana. This is a team that excels at both ends of the floor. The heat, like most NBA #1 seeds, thrive on good offensive games, and usually come right back eith another one, espeially if it was unexpected. Number 1 seeds that score more than 108 points in their last game, when the total for that last game was under 190, meaning it was unexpected, they come back in the next game to paly 11-1 to the over. There has been no instances of less than 187 points being scored in the follow up game. Play on the over

The Memphis Grizzlies are the first team with a #5 seed or worse to get to the conference finals in a decade, and they are playing like they don't belong, down 3-0 in their series with the San Antonio Spurs. Since the 1986-87 NBA Playoffs there have been 11 teams facing a 3-0 deficit in a conference final, and 8 of the 11 have lost the game outright. More importantly in looking at the toals in these games, in the last 14 series showing a team with a 3-0 deficit in the conference finals, 11 of the 14 game 4's were either the highest scoring game, or 2nd highest scoring game of the series through the 4 games. That is represented by the fact that 6 were the highest scoring, and 5 were the 2nd highest scoring of the series, regardless of how the irst 3 played out, game 4 becomes an entirely different flow and pace, yielded by desperation. Subsequently, of the last 11 game 4's, with a team trailing 3-0, have seen 9 of the 11 play over the total. The winning team has averaged 106ppg over the last 14, despite the fact that the last 8 have played to totals of 190 or less in 6 of them. These games have show a long term tendency to play over the total, and I will follow that, and play this one over the total.

With a couple of points of line value and a 20-3 situation live for this game, play under the total.

This game fits a situation which has an ROI of 14.6% and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which has produced an 11.8% ROI and the play is on the under.

The San Antonio Spurs put on an offensive clinic in game 1, and beatmemphis badly. Was it a fluke, or is the Spurs offense that good? The answer is, it depends, and it depends on Ginobli,Parker, and Duncan all playing. The Spurs have had that trio in tact for 27 home games this season, since December 23rd. They scored at least 91 points in all of them, and failed to reach the century mark just 3 times! They averaged 107.3ppg in the 7 games, which would have been tops in the league. The Grizzlies have been a strong defensive team over the last 3 years, but that hasn't slowed down the Spurs at home where they have averaged over 101ppg against them here in 10 games the last 3 years, and higher than the average this year. The fact is if the Spurs get to 100, which odds say they do, this one has a very strong chance of playing over. I also have a situation in this game that is 25-7 to the over as well. Play on the over.

All of today`s plays fit into situations that have a return of 7.9% to 17.4%, the play in this game is on the under.

All of today`s plays fit into situations that have a return of 7.9% to 17.4%, the play in this game is on the under

All of today`s plays fit into situations that have a return of 7.9% to 17.4%, the play in this game is on the under.

All of today`s plays fit into situations that have a return of 7.9% to 17.4%, the play in this game is on the over.

these teams have under-achieved offensiely, and the situation is ripe for a more explosive offensive game. Playoff teams playing as a road dog for the 2nd straight time, that scored ess than 80 in the last one, and are playing to a total from 177-190 are 25-7 to the over. Play this one over the total.

All of today`s picks are based on situations that have resulted in an ROI from 7.8% to 17.7%, the play in this game is on the under

All of today`s picks are based on situations that have resulted in an ROI from 7.8% to 17.7%, the play in this game is on the under.

The New York Knicks used a 30-2 run to blowout Indiana in game 2. The Pacers were limited to 13 points in the 4th quarter, and looked listless against the Knicks, but it was the trunovers 921 total), that killed the Pacers, and at ne time they tuned the ball over in 5 consecutive possessions leading to 11 NY points. The Pacers are a different team at home, especially since the all-star break. They used to be content to work in the half-court, but have shifted gears since the break. The Pacers, known to be defensive, averaged 101ppg at home sine the all-star break, and while they threw up some stinkers on the road vs Atlannta, and NY in the playoffs, they are 3-0 at home where the have averaged nearly 107ppg. This has led them to a 12-1 over mark since the break when they are playing at home to a total of 190 or less. The Knicks have defended well in the playoffs, but the Celtics offense was so diminished by injuries, it wasn`t unexpected, and the Pacers remember got 102 on them at the Garden, despite Hill and George combining to shoot 10-31 and 4-15 from deep. Everyone remembers the 79, because it was the last game. Blowouts tend to play fast and foul free, and that was exactly the case as these eams combined to go to the line just 28 times vs 49 in the first contest. the pace of the game in game 2, because of the lopsided nature saw less shots attempted, less free throws attempted, and more 3`s (13), which is indicitive of a blowout game, not a game 2 vs game 1 adjustment. Indiana has been much more aggressive on offense at home in the 2nd half, look for more of the same here. The Knicks defense has acquitted itself well in the playoffs, getting compliments frequently, but Boston`s offense was dead on arival, and the Pacer offense is not the same on the road as it is at home, by a long shot. Knicks on the road vs better than .600 teams this season allowed 107.4ppg, and played 6-1 to the over. i think the total here is reflective of recent events, oand not events as described above, and will play this one over the total

Due to the fact that it is late I won`t offer a writeup, but I do have a 17-2 totals situation on this game, and some ine value, play the under

This game fits a situation which has an ROI of 23.4% and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation which has an ROI of 8.1% and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which has an ROI of 12.4% and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which has returned 11.1% and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which has returned 19.0% ROI and the play is on the over

The Chicago Bulls pulled one of the all-time shockers in the NBA playoffs scoring with a huge game 1 win in the opener. the one constant on this team is they can defend very well, and when the game becomes a halfcourt contest, which it oes in the playoffs points are hard to come by. Miami will step up the defense in this one, and I would expect this game is going to be uglier than game one that saw 179 points scored, despite 59 in the 4th quarter. This one fits a playoff situation which is 67-32 to the under, and I agree with it. Play the under.

This game fits a situation which has produced an ROI of 8.2% and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation which has held a 8.1% ROI the last 9 years, the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that has produced a 22.6% ROI, and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation which is 101-63, and the play is on the over.

Taking a look at this game, I see some value on the total here. Over their last 30 games Miami is 28-2 and has allowed 91.1ppg. If you look at their first 2 rounds of the playoffs the last 2 years, and the 3 games this year, they are allowing 86.6ppg. I also looked at a potential letup situation with the fact they are upo in the series 3-0. They have been up 3-0 twice in the last 3 years (including this one). They allowed 86, and 89 points. They were up 3-1 another time and allowed 87. No let up. They have also scored 100 in less than 1/3 f 47 playoff games in the time frame. I also looked at the last 12 times they scored 100 this season. They averaged shooting 52% in those games, and 45 from 3. despite those big numbers, they never scored more than 110 in any of them. The difference in the playoffs is they do not shoot as many 3`s. Those last 12 games where they scored 100 they averaged 24.3 attempts from deep, and have yet to even shoot that many in any of the first 3 here. I like my chances here on a team that had to average 52% from the floor, and 45% from 3 to score 103-110 points the last 12 times they even got to 100. I also like the fact that Milwaukee shot 50% in one of these games and scored 86 points. I have a 65-32 stuation on the under, and a couple others with higher percentages, but less games. I see a team that hasn`t scored over 110 points in 30 games, and also one that has averaged allowing 91.1ppg in that same time span, and this is playoff basketball. It also took monumental shooting for the heat to score over the century mark so the max points here, vs the max points for Milwaukee, are enough to barely push this one over the top. I see a lot of value here, and will make the play on the under.

I have a lot of indicators that say to go against the grain in this one on the total. I have a situation that has been 32-14 ATS, another that is 22-11 ATS, and another that is 7-0 ATS. All three point in one direction, and that is a play on the over.

This game fits a totals situation which has returned 8%,and the play is on the under.

This game fits an unbeaten playoff total situation that is 16-0 beating the total by an average of 16.62 points per game. The play is on the under.

This game fits a strong playoff totals situation that is 22-7. It plays against road teams that average more than 97 points a game, that lost their last game also as a road dog, to a total of less than 188. The play is on the over

This game applies to a totals situation which is 17-3 ATS, the play is on the over

The Boston Celtics never trailed the Knicks in game 1 by more than 7 points the entire game. This despite scoring just a total of 78 points. they commited 21 turnovers, got 0 FG`s and 0 assists from their bench, and somehow managed to hang in the game. I would expect Boston to get a lot more from both their starters and bench in this one, as well as the Knicks, as both teams shot the ball poorly. What that has done is knock the total down from a game closing 189.5 in game 1 to 185 points for game 2, a full 4.5 point difference, from what was a fair total in game 1. These teams met 4 times in the regular season that saw an average posted total of 193, and we are now down to 185. The 2 games played in NY saw 197, and 198 points scored. We had an anomolous playoff game where Boston and NY combined for 163 points. teams that scored less than 80 points in a playoff game as a road dog, and are a road dog again are 22-6 to the over to a total of 177.5-190.5. They are also 6-1 to the over in this scenerio vs a division opponennt in the playoffs. Play this one on the over.

All of today`s plays are based on line value and generated situations that have produced an ROI from 7.7 to 32.1%, the play in this game is on the under

All of today`s plays are based on line value and generated situations that have produced an ROI from 7.7 to 32.1%, the play in this game is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation for game one in the first round which is 22-5 and the play is on the over

There are a lot of injured players either not playing, or at various degrees of healing in this game. The Knicks are a much better defensive team than they have been in years, and over their last 18 games allowed 93ppg. I see some problems here as well. Anthony averaged 25 points per game vs Boston, but he was held in check as it took him 103 shots to score tham at a paltry 35.9%.new York has been in the playoffs the last 2 years, and has averaged 87.4ppg. Boston played in 20 playoff games a year ago, and averaged just 89.9ppg not counting overtime minutes.These numbers were put up while the 4 Knick/Celtic games a year ago averaged 211ppg. The bottomline the playoffs are a completely different animal, and the total here is out of line, play on the under.

This game features a great totals system which has produced an 18-0-1 mark, the play is on the over

David price has great career numbers vs the O`s, and their offense is really struggling. Play the under

This game fits a otals situation which is 708-566and the play is on the under.

This game fits a longterm, very active situation which is 172-127 and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation which is 99-62 and the play is on the over.

This game fits multiple situations all with an ROI of over 10%, play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 369-257 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 14-0 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a longterm totals situation which has produced a 708-563 record, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 117-75 and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation which is 707-563 and the play is on the under

The NCAA Championship game comes down to the Michigan offense vs the Louisville defense, and defensive pressure. Looking back over the season, Michigan has averaged over 80ppg, but when they have faced good defensive teams, they have struggled to come close to those numbers. They had just 61 vs Syracuse, 59 vs Wisconsin, 58 vs Michigan St. and 52 vs Michigan St, and 62 vs Wisconsin in OT. Those numbers are far from 80. What they don't get credit for is being good on the defensive end where they have held 4 of 5 teams in this tournament to less than 60. Louisville has held 20 straight opponents in regulation minutes to less than 70 points, and 13 of those did not even make it to 60. Michigan shots 48.3% on the season, but vs teams that allow less than 65 points per game, they shoot 42.1%. They also go from a very good 38.3% shooting team from 3, to one that is pedestrian at 33%. Louisville since 1997 has played under to a 41-21 mark vs teams that shot 48% or better, and are 19-9 to the under the last 2 years vs teams that allow 64ppg or less. I just don't see this one getting there, play on the under.

This game applies to an early season total situation which is 17-0-1 and the play is on the over.

This game fits a totals siuation which is 63-28 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals siuation which is 63-28 and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation which is 170-122, and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation which is 100-51 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 107-69 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 76-30, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 76-30 and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation which is 84-39 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 61-21 and the play is on the over.

This game fits a longterm situation which is 701-560 and the play is on the under.

This ame fits a toitals situation which is 55-21 and the play is on the over.

This game features a totals situation which is 17-3 in the sweet 16 round, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 45-12, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 146-73 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 146-73 and the play is on the under.

This game apllies to an NCAA Tournament situation which is 17-2 and the play is on the under

This game apllies to an NCAA Tournament situation which is 17-2 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 54-21, including 4-1 this year, and the play is on the over.

When two good teams do battle in the NBA, the results are often geared to the motivation generated by the situation at hand. That is magnified by the fact the Grizzlies, and Nuggets are both off big double-digit wins and are both on long winning streaks. Whenever a air of NBA teams get to gether, and one team won at home by 20 or more, and the other won on the road by 10 or more, the under is 99-50 ATS with a subset of this situation at 66-26, and that subset applies to tonight's game. Play on the under, my NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH.