The scoring in the NBA has sky rocketed. The issue has been at the top of this increased line pressure by the books that have now priced games way too high. When an NBA team is at home to a posted total of 235 or higher the under has been 50-29-1 ATS this year. Make the play under the total.

This game fits a total situation that is 71-31-6 ATS and the play is under the total.

A team that has been well rested and has played just 4 games in their last 10 days to a high total of 230 or more tend to be fresh and play defense. These teams are 111-49 ATS to the under, and applies to the Bucks tonight. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a total situation that is 40-9 ATS and the play is on the over.

This game fits a total situation that is 55-29 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a total situation that is 54-29 ATS. The play is under the total.

This game fits a situation that is 51-15 ATS and the play is on over the total.

This game fits a situation that is 73-28 ATS and the play is on over the total.

Since the scoring explosion hit the NBA, it has generated a new situation for game totals. This has been 91-46-4 ATS and the play in this game is over the total.

The 49ers played one team this season that has the offensive weapons that Dallas does, and that was against Kansas City. They proceeded to allow 44 points in that game. The Niners have averaged over 30ppg since Brock Purdy became the QB. I can see this game getting into the 50s. A team playing to a total of 42 to 49.5 and off of 2 consecutive games played under the total, and both teams have a season to date scoring margin of 7 points or more in the playoffs are 11-0 ATS to the over since 2007! Make the play on the over.

Since the start of the 2019 season the Chiefs have played 7 home playoff games, where they have averaged 36ppg. These games have averaged 62ppg by both teams. The 2 games they were favored by more than 8 points they averaged 46.5ppg. More importantly, the Chiefs fit a strong situation that has been 22-2 ATS in the playoffs. The play is over the total.

This game fits a total situation that is 150-85-13 ATS, and the play is over the total.

This game fits a total situation that is 150-85-13 ATS, and the play is over the total.

The Baltimore Ravens will once again give it a go without Lamar Jackson. The decision on QB for Baltimore is still a mystery. Tyler Huntley is said to be a game time decision, and he hasn't exactly moved the offense even when he was healthy. If he can't go then Anthony Brown will make his second straight start. Baltimore is averaging 12.5ppg in their last 5 games. The Ravens do have their defensive swagger on. Through 8 weeks the Ravens were allowing 22.9ppg but since then have allowed 14.7ppg from week 9 out. They have held the Bengal offense to 22ppg in the 2 meetings. The Ravens only true chance of winning this game is going to play their best defensive game of the season because the offense is just horrible without Jackson. Make the play under the total.

This game fits a very strong total situation that is 150-84-13 ATS. Make the play on over the total.

This game fits a very strong total situation that is 73-28-2 ATS. Make the play over the total.

It has been raining all week in the Bay Area. The field has likely been covered, but heavy rain is forecast during the game. Additionally a sustained wind of 20MPH with gusts over 30 are going to make passing and kicking a challenge. I like the under in this one.

This is a blind situation play that is backed by a 72-28-2 ATS situation that is active tonight. Make the play on the over.

This is a blind situation play that is backed by a 53-25 ATS situation that is active tonight. Make the play on the under.

Somewhere along the way the Milwaukee Bucks have stopped playing defense. The Bucks head to Atlanta at 26-14, but jut 7-7 in their last 14 games where they have allowed 118ppg. They have become an over the total team with 6 of their last 8 to a total of 227.5 or more have eclipsed the total. The Hawks like to play fast and their last 15 games have seen them top the total in 10 of them. They are allowing 116.5ppg. (5-1 ATS to the over when the total is 229.5 or more). This game also fits a very strong over situation that is 174-101-6 ATS. Make the play over the total.

This game fits a situation that has 2 long-term winning probabilities. One is 109-57-4 ATS and the other is 126-70-4 ATS. Make the play over the total.

This game fits a last game of the season total situation which is 78-31 ATS. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a last game of the season total situation which is 78-31 ATS. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a last game of the season total situation which is 78-31 ATS. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a total situation which is 57-26 ATS and the play is on the over

This game fits a total situation which is 57-26 ATS and the play is on the over

Purdue has taken a lot of opt-out hits. They will be without their QB, TE, and a WR, as well as a couple more starters. This game is more about a strong January Bowl total situation that is 17-2 ATS. Make the play under the total.

Both of these teams were better defensively than they are offensively, and the balance of the opt outs seem to enhance that. The bigger reason is a bowl total situation that is 56-19 ATS. Make the play under the total.

The Raiders have given up on Derek Carr, and apparently will replace a lot of starters in this game and looking ahead to 2023-24. Can't see them moving the ball much here, and these teams fit into a strong 166-108 ATS situation. Make the play under the total.

This game fits a Bowl situation that plays under on certain teams that are averaging over 40 points per game, and it is 26-5 ATS. Make the play under the total.

My top Bowl total situation which is 36-7 ATS is active for this game, and the play is under the total.

These teams both have significant opt outs on offense, and when you combine that with a Bowl total situation that is a rather potent 47-16 ATS, my play in this one is on the under.

Maryland is down a lot of offensive players in this game, and have 3 significant WR's out, as well as their TE. These players have combined for 118 catches and over 1,400 yards, with 9 TDs. NC State is down to a 4th string QB, mising a WR, their starting center, and offensive coordinator. NC Sate has top defenders in tack, as does Maryland. This game will likely feature a lot of running. This game also fits a bowl total situation that is 74-49 ATS. Make the play under the total.

December favorites with a total of 66.5 points or higher and not favored by 12 or more points are 33-16 ATS to the over. Make the play over the total.

This game fits a situation that is 217-164-16 ATS including a 20-5 ATS run in the last 25 occurrences. Make the play over the total.

Oklahoma St. has averaged 13.6ppg in their last 5 games, while Wisconsin is averaging 16ppg in their last 4. Both teams have backup QB's starting, and this game fits a bowl situation that is 66-43 ATS to the under. Mke the play on the under.

This game fits a pair of very strong total situations. One is 129-64- ATS, and the other is 269-180-21 ATS. Make the play on the over.

When an NBA team is off of 2 straight wins by 15 or more points and facing a team off a 10 or more point loss the over is 55-26 ATS (19-3 ATS lately). Make the play over the total.

This game fits my strongest total situation which is 113-48 ATS. Make the play on the under.

This game will be determined in large part on the weather. The game time temperature will be around 5 degrees, with a forecast high of 10. The wins will be gusting upward to 35 MPH, and the wind chill will be -20 or lower at times. This will likely be a top 10 worst weather game in NFL history in terms of wind and cold that both alter scoring negatively. Make the play on the under.

Air Force will take on Baylor in the Armed Forces Bowl, played in Fort Worth, TX. This isn't a typical day in Fort Worth as the temperatures will start out in the 40s, but are projected to fall to 18 by 4PM. Winds will be gusting up to 40 MPH, with wind chills at or below zero. The Air Force run defense has allowed fewer than 200 rushing yards combined in their last 4 games. This game is going under the total.

This game fits a total situation that is 36-13 to the under in Bowl games. Make the play under the total.

The Atlanta Falcons are taking a look at rookie QB Desmond Ridder. Ridder will get the start, and I would expect the Atlanta offense to struggle, throw safe passes, and do a lot of running. New Orleans is getting completely healthy on defense, and I expect them to play more up to expectations. The NFC South has a long-term history of low scoring division games as 54.7% of them have played under. Make the play under the total.

This game fits a situation that is 77-46 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits in a rather strong 106-61 ATS situation, and the play is under the total.

This game is from my best total situation and the play is on the under.

This game is from my strongest college football total system and the play is on the under.

The Egg Bowl has historically been a lower scoring game than anticipated as these teams have played 11-3-2 ATS to the under in the last 16, as well as 7-1-1 ATS to the under in the last 9 meetings. This game also applies to a long term under situation, that is based on part on a team coming off an extraordinary rushing game. That situation is 541-360-28 to the under. Make the play under the total.

Dallas is active in a situation that is 38-7 ATS to the over. Make the play over the total.

This game has the lowest posted total so far of this season. It is rare to see a college football game with a total this low. The games always look like they will be 13-10, or 17-13, etc. The fact is when a college football game has a posted total of fewer than 35 points, the games have played over the total to a 19-3 ATS mark, in favor of over the total. I'll play this one over the total.

This game fits my top long-term total situation which is 616-367-20 ATS to the under. Make the play under the total.

The Indianapolis Colts fired head coach Frank Reich after the Colts generated just 121 total yards on 51 plays. It was the lowest yards per play generated by any team in the NFL this year. The Colts offense has generated just 9.7ppg in the last 3. New Head Coach Jeff Saturday who will become the first NFL head coach ever that has never coached at the pro or college level. Worse than that he hasn't been with the Colts all season. The Colts are left with a staff where no coach has ever called plays, so a bad offense may be worse. Defensively the Colts allowed New England 26 points, but the Pat's scored a defensive TD, and also scored after a blocked punt game New England a short field TD. New England generated just 203 total yards, so the 26 points was very misleading. Vegas is averaging 10ppg in their last 2 games on an average of 252 total yards per game, and has struggled offensively themselves. Derek Carr has numbers well short of last season, and the Colts can defend very well. I don't see a lot of points being scored in this game, and the Raiders are going to have to score big to get this over, and I don't see it in this match up. Make the play under the total.

This game fits my top total situation which is 613-361-19 ATS. Make the play under the total.

This is an interesting match up. I think there is considerable value here. It starts with the fact that the defensive line coach for Troy is Eric McDaniel. He was a defensive coach at Army prior to coming to Troy, and went up against the triple-option every day, and certainly knows how to stop it. Shiel Wood is the defensive coordinator at Troy. He was the defensive coordinator at Army prior to coming to Troy, and coached at Georgia Tech, and Wofford as well (both option offenses). The Troy defensive coaches have a lot of experience coaching against the triple-option. Troy is a very good defense, and allows just 3.3 yards per carry against them, but the offense is lacking a running game, which is the Army's weakness, as they are better against the pass. Army generated just 7 points and ran 35 times last week vs Air Force for just 78 yards, a team that also runs the option and can defend it. Troy has scored just 16.6ppg in their last 3, and I think both teams are going to be limited in this game. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 137-91 ATS and the play is on the over.

The Seattle Seahawks after trading Russell Wilson, were supposed to be in a steep rebuild. That was until Geno Smith took charge of the offense, and has made this Seattle team a bonafide playoff contender. Seattle is 5-3 on the season and Smith has been spectacular. He enters this game with 19 TD passes to just 4 INTs with a passer rating of 103.2. Seattle is averaging 26.2ppg. Arizona is a disappointing 3-5. The Cardinal's defense is allowing 6 yards per play so the Seattle offense should be putting up a lot of points. The Seattle defense is allowing almost 6 yards per play, and Arizona should have no trouble moving the chains. The last 5 seasons has seen a team that is playing to a total of 49.5 or higher and is off a home win of 10 points or more that wins 60-75% of its games has played over the total to a 26-7 ATS mark. Make the play over the total.

This game fits my 2nd strongest total situation that has been 238-157 ATS. Make the play on the over.

This game fits a total situation that is 84-38 ATS and the play is over the total.

The New England Patriots seem to get into a mud sling every week, with sloppy play on both sides. Through 8 games the Patriot's games have seen 32 turnovers, 16 by each side. Indianapolis came into this season thinking they could hand off to Johnathon Taylor and solve their offensive issues. Taylor through 8 games has not topped 80 yards in any of them. Indianapolis has played 7 of their 8 games under the total, with no team in those games topping 24. The Colts have scored more thn 20 points just 1 time all season. This game fits a situatiaon that is 139-94 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game will be played in horrible conditions with a cold rain and winds gusting up to 60 MPH. Illinois is allowing 8.9ppg as it is, and can just stack the box against the run all game. Make the play on the UNDER

This game is a weather play with high winds and rain, and a New Mexico offense that is already severely handicapped. Make the play on the under.

This game fits my best NCAAF total situations which is 601-354-16 ATS. Make the play on the under.

This game fits my best NCAAF total situations which is 601-354-16 ATS. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a very strong 121-67-4 ATS situation The play is on the over.

My NBA totals have been as good as anyone over the last 15 years. This game fits a situation that is 121-67-4 ATS. The play is on the over.

This game fits a toatl situation that is 106-67 ATS. The play is on the over.

Atlanta is a surprising 3-3 on the season, while Cincinnati is a disappointing 3-3. This is a good match up for both offenses. The Falcons are limiting the number of passes that Marcus Mariota throws as he has not thrown more than 20 times in any game this season. The Falcons are running the ball as well as any team with 150+ yards in 5 of their 6 contests. The Bengals have become vulnerable to the running game when D.J. Reader went down with an injury (5.6 yards a carry). Burrow led Cincinnati to 30 points last week vs New Orleans and the Falcons are dead last in the league getting pressure. This game also fits a situation that is 87-41 ATS to the over. Make the play over the total.

The Detroit Lions games have been exciting to watch. Their games have averaged 62ppg. Dak Prescott will make his return at QB for Dallas and he obviously has a favorable match up. The Cowboy's throw the ball a lot with Prescott so things will certainly open up against the soft Detroit pass defense. If for some reason Prescott isn't completely healthy and clicking, the Lions run defense is the worst in the league. Dallas is one of the top teams in getting pressure, but Goff has been protected by a strong offensive line that ranks 3rd in allowing the least pressure. The game sets up as another high scoring affair for the Lions, who also fit in a situation that is 54-18 ATS to the over. Make the play over the total.

This game fits one of my strongest total situations that is 226-118 ATS. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 38-9 ATS and the play is on the under.

This is strictly a weather play. The weather today in Palo Alto, CA calls for showers, but more importantly sustained winds of 25 MPH with gusts in the 30s. Both teams rely on the passing game which will be slowed by the windy conditions. Make the play on the under.

Both of these teams average over 40 points per game, so that certainly looks like the over is a good take. However, I think the fact that both these teams are coming off their bye, and 13 days to prepare that changes things, as the defenses have had a lot of time to prepare. Games with both teams coming off a bye with a total of 63 or more points with the home team favored are 3-13-1 O/U. They have failed to go over the total by an average of 11.88ppg. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 69-23-5 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 69-23-5 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 69-23-5 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 107-56 ATS. The play is under the total.

This game fits a total situation hat is 77-36 ATS and the play is on the under.

This total caps out at 60.5 and a situation that is 77-41 ATS. The play is on the under.

This game fits my strongest situation in any sport which is 501-260-16 ATS. Make the play on the under.

This is a weather play with winds enough to limit the passing game. The play is on the under.

Kent St. heads to Miami for a conference game with both teams off to a 2-3 start. Kent St. has played a strong schedule facing Washington, Georgia, and Oklahoma. Kent St. scored 20 on Washington and 22 on Georgia. The offense scored just 31 points last game, but that is very misleading as the Golden Flashes put up 737 yards of offense. Miami, O. is going to score in this game as the Kent St. defense is not that good. This game fits a situation that is 81-48 ATS to the over. Make the play over the total.

This game is from my all-time best situation for totals and is now 496-254-16 ATS. Make the play on the under.

I'm not sure what has happened in Colorado in terms of football. Colorado St. and Colorado are a combined 0-9 and both have been out-scored by over 30ppg. Colorado St. has seen the top 2 receivers leave the team, and now QB Clay Millen is likely out as well. The Colorado St. offensive line is surrendering 6 sacks per game, and now have an inexperienced QB for this one. Nevada has an even worse offense at 4.1 yards per play on the season, which is almost 2 yards worse than the average of the defenses they have faced. Colorado St. despite allowing 41 points per game has actually been even at the line of scrimmage. I don't see a lot of points in this one and will make the play on the under.

The New England Patriots took a blow when Mac Jones went down with a shoulder injury. I think back to last year when Bill Belichick took his team to Buffalo and played the game in high winds. His game plan was to run the ball on every down, and the Pats ended up throwing 3 passes in the game for an upset win in Buffalo. Maybe the strategy won't be as extreme here, but he knows he is facing a future HOF QB in Aaron Rodgers, and he is likely going to take the air out of the ball and run often. Green Bay is considered an offensive power with Rodgers but with no true go to guy the Packers offense has struggled to 16ppg. I see a defensive struggle in this one and will make the play under the total.

This game fits one of my strongest NFL total situations. This game applies to a total situation that is 68-16 ATS to the over. Make the play over the total.

Georgia Tech is 1-3 and has of yet beaten an FBS team where they are 0-3. The offense in their 3 games vs FBS opponents is scoring an average of 6.7ppg. It is unlikely they find answers against this Pitt teams that averages out better defensively than the 3 opponents Georgia Tech has played. That would mean Pitt would have to do some heavy lifting on offense, but Tech is an above average defense that should keep Pitt from rolling up a big score. Throw in a situation that is 77-45 ATS to the under and this is a rather strong play. Make the play on the under.

This game comes from my strongest totals situation. Make the play on the under.

Both Denver and San Francisco have played 2 games under the total. They have both showed some strong defense and at the same time neither offense has looked very impressive. Their games have combined to average about 40 total points. This game features Denver at home and early in the season. Looking at all Denver home games through week3 the over covers 61.1% of all games. I think a good part of that is defenses are in full game shape early in the season and the high altitude makes that worse. I expect a lot more offense in this one. Make the play over the total.

This game fits a situation that is 172-117 ATS to the under, and I like the fact that both teams have their season on the line which usually means intense battles at the line of scrimmage. Make the play under the total.

This game fits a total situation that is 52-13 ATS and the play is on the over.

My ultimate total situation in NCAAF I bet blindly, because it is that strong. It is 580-318-19 ATS in all games, but even stronger when there is not an FCS team involved. It moves to 506-241-2 ATS! Make the play on the UNDER.

The Minnesota Vikings shocked the Green Bay Packers last week holding them to 7 points. They generated 23 points in that game, but generated close to 400 yards of offensive, indicative of more points. Philadelphia was in a shootout with the Lions where they survived 38-35. I think we are heading for another shootout here. The Vikings faced a team down 3 offensive linemen, and their 3 top receivers from a year ago. It won`t be so easy this week. Especially with a Monday Night week 2 situation that is 37-9 ATS to the over. Make the play on the over in this one.

Last week the Detroit Lions put up 35 points on the Philadelphia Eagles. It wasn't enough to win as they allowed 38, and the game saw 850 total yards. Washington also over-achieved their expected offense, and under-performed on defense. We have a pair of teams here that are heading for another 50+ point combined score. Bigger than all that is a huge 113-53 ATS total situation that has gone decisively to the over. Make the play over the total.

I think these teams both have weapons but the Dolphins defense is going to be one of the top in the league. They were impressive last week allowing New England just 271 total yards, 7 points, and 3 turnovers. Baltimore allowed just 9 points to the Jets. Many will look at the 295 yards passing and say the Ravens are in trouble, but those yards took 59 pass attempts to create, or just 5 ypa, which is well below average. The Jets managed just 9 points. This game is setting up to be a lot more defensive than the total is suggesting, and it is supported by a 138-71 ATS situation to the under. Make the play under the total.

It has been a mixed bag so far for San Diego St. and Utah. They will each take the field at 1-1 so this becomes a crucial game for both teams. San Diego St. has won 10 or more games in 5 of the last 7 years. This has been a defense first team since the start of the 2014 season as the Aztecs are 63-37-3 ATS to the under in their last 113 games.They have allowed fewer than 20ppg over the period. They have faced 12 Pac-12 opponents holding them to a combined 25ppg. Based on the fact that Utah is a 3 TD favorite the under has my interest here. San Diego St. has been a double-digit dog 3 times vs Pac-12 teams and all the games went under the total. They are also in a great historic spot for a low scoring game, as several situations point that way including a 32-3-6 ATS situation on the under.Make the play on the under in this one.

UL Lafayette has opened the season at 2-0. They have faced some soft competition thus far. One thing they have done is not turn the ball over. The Ragin Cajuns own a 5-0 turnover advantage in their first 2 games. Rice was destroyed as expected by USC and then destroyed McNeese St. as expected. That doesn't offer much in the way this game will be played. History has a lot more to say as multiple situations favor a low scoring game led by a 32-3-6 ATS situation playing on the under. Make the play on the under.

There are not a lot of NCAAF totals that get posted at 40 or fewer points. This game is one of them, and rightfully so, and I think it is still significantly high. Iowa has an offense that is significantly below average, while New Mexico has defended quite well. Iowa has a defense that could very well shutout the Lobos, while the Iowa offense is extremely bad. I could easily see the total points here coming in the high 20s, to low 30s. There is historical support as well as this game fits an under situation that is 77-48 ATS. Make the play on the under.

Georgia Southern has run the triple option for many years, but coach Clay Helton has changed that. The Eagles have completely changed the offense from the slow methodical and almost exclusive running game, to a wide open spread the field fast paced passing attack. They are snapping the ball over 80 times a game and has averaged 51 passing attempts per contest. They used that offense to spring a huge upset at Nebraska 45-42. The Eagles put up 666 total yards vs the P5 Nebraska team. UAB is a solid defensive team, but Georgia Southern is going to score some points here as a double-digit dog, and UAB will be moving the ball against a very pedestrian defense. I don't think the public or the odds makers have caught up to this extreme change yet. Make the play on the over.

Tulane and Kansas St. come into this game at 2-0, so the winner will emerge 3-0 and feeling pretty good. Both these teams have faced offenses that are not very challenging, and through 2 games each, in total 4 games they have combined to allow just 22 total points. Both offenses are led by the run as they have combined for 171 runs vs just 92 passes. I think the clock will be moving as each tries to take control with the running game. This game fits a lot of situations that are strong indicators of a low scoring game, one of which is 32-3-6 ATS to the under. I favor a low scoring game here and will make the play on the under.