This game fits a situation which is 62-25 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 41-14 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 170-111 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation that is 91-49 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 233-147 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 233-147 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 77-42 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 79-41 ATS and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 867-729 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 867-729 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 130-91 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 79-40 ATS and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 867-728 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 38-12 ATS and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 169-111 ATS, and the play is on the over

This game fits a situation which is 248-175 ATS, and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation which is 53-26 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 77-27 ATS, and the play is on the under.

 This game fits a situation which is 232-144 ATS, and the play is on the under

 This game fits a situation which is 865-728 ATS, and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation which is 268-148 ATS, and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation which is 495-388 ATS, and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation which is 77-27 ATS, and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation which is 110-55 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 134-67 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 62-24 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 78-40 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 122-51 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 68-24 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 56-17 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 103-38 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 55-18 ATS, the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 865-726 ATS, the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 865-726 ATS, the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 73-25 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 30-6 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 41-10 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 32-8 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 119-59 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 33-8 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 63-26 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 40-10 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 40-10 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 84-40 ATS and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 43-14 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 862-726 ATS, and the play is on the under.

The Bradley Bears are having a nightmare season as they are off to a 4-21 start. they may feel some comfort playing at home tonight against the Loyola, Chicago Ramblers who are just 11-13 on the season. Home court is an equalizer as Loyola is just 3-8 on the road, while Bradley is 3-9 at home. I'm interested in the total here, as these teams combine to average 127.5 total points per game, and Loyola comes in a very hot shooting team having scored 247 points in their last 3 games, the highest 3 game stretch for them of the season at 82.3ppg. The Ramblers have shot over 50% in each of their last 3. Bradley has also been a hot offensive team putting up 204 points in their last 3, at 68ppg, and have had their top 2 highest shooting percentage games in back to back games on the season. Both these teams should feel they can run on the other, and both shooting with confidence right now. The low total set here is the lowest of the season by 6 points for any game, and with the shot clock lowered for the 2015 season, all games with a total of less than 130 have connected on 72% to the over. covering by an average margin of 8.88ppg. This also fits a situation that has seen the over go 77-21 ATS. My NCAA basketball total of the year is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 862-726 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 37-10 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 861-725 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 17-2 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 58-19 ATS and the play is on the over

This game fits a situation which is 861-725 ATS, and the play is on the under.

The Orlando Magic is in a free fall, losers of 17 of their last 20 games. It is clear to see why as this team has been brutally bad offensively, generating 87.7ppg in their last 20 games. Atlanta, just less than 3 weeks ago, held the Magic to an ugly 34.5% shooting, and just 6-22 from deep. The hawks are allowing less than 100 points a game, and have already shutdown this Orlando offense in dramatic fashion, and this certainly doesn't look like the coming out party spot for the struggling Orlando offense, that has shot 42% or less in half their most recent 18 games. This game fits a 269-166 situation on the low side of the total. Make the play on the under.

The Philadelphia 76ers are a long way from becoming a competitive team, and playing with 0 rest certainly does not enhance their chances. They may be able to compete here vs a Brooklyn team that looked to be on the rise a year ago, making the playoffs, but this year`s team is not nearly up to the same standard. The nets will also be playing this game with no rest, and that sets the stage for a lot of points here, as both teams are not committed to the defensive end, and both will be playing on no rest here. History shows us from game 20 on in the NBA season, when 2 teams square off that are both under .350 on the season, and both are on 0 rest, we end up with much higher scoring games, than what the averages say and often soar over the total, in this case 59-25-2 to the over, beating the total by 6.61 points per contest, a significant edge. Make the play on the over.

The Citadel Bulldogs are a fun tem to watch as they shuttle plsyers in and out, go 11 deep, and run the floor for 40 minutes. They have averaged 89.4ppg on the season, but the caveat is they allow over 93ppg on the season. mercer will be one of the best defensive teams they have faced this season, as the bears allow just 39.1% shooting against them, and have been even tougher at home where they allow a very stingy 36.4%. The Bears held Citadel to 39.1% shooting in the first meeting this season on the road, and should better those numbers at home. The Bears allowing just 59.5ppg on their home court this season, will have this one hard pressed to get into the 170s, and this game also fits a situation that is 96-29 to the under. Make the play on the under in this one.

This game fits a situation which is 860-723 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 168-111 ATS and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 90-48 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 306-217 ATS and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 89-48 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 859-721 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 77-39 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 229-143 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 229-143 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 124-75 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation that is 64-22 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 859-720 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 859-718 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 859-718 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 55-18 ATS and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 172-74 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 172-74 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 172-74 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 859-717 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 172-74 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 65-19 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 858-716 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 858-716 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 55-16 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 857-716 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 39-13 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 79-38 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 57-18 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 856-714 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 167-111 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 75-19 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 171-73 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 171-73 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 171-73 ATS, and the play is on the under.

Division games in just about every sport are the ones highly contested, simply because the games mean a bit more, and the familiarity with the opponent comes into play, and sometimes these games can get outright testy. The added intensity often fuels the fire of each team, and when games get testy there is usually an added degree of intensity. That can be shown by looking at the 6000 or so division games played in the NBA with an under mark of 51.1%, while the 19000 or so other games play to a 49.8% mark to the under. That may not seem like much, just 1.3%, but when you consider that every half point on the line is worth 1.1% in winning percentage. Today in the newsletter we will use that base premise of high intensity equals defensive interest, and put it together in our Wednesday situation:

1)  Division game

2)  Team is off a road win in a division game

How much more simplistic can you get, but powerful as well, as these teams are:

109-174 O/U since 2004.

That produces a win rate on the under of 61.5%

Tonight that will be put to test on the Sacramento vs LA Lakers, where the under is the selection.

This game fits a situation which is 856-709 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 856-709 ATS and the play is on the under.

The Miami Heat lead the league with 27 games that have finished with a total score of less than 195 at 27 (2nd is Memphis at 23). They have played 30 games vs teams that have a winning percentage of .400 or better, resulting in a 7-23 O/U ark on the season. Last 6 meetings between these clubs has seen at least 1 team finish in the 80s in 5 of the last 6 meetings. This game also fits an under indicator that is 236-144 to the under over the last 20 years. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 46-17 ATS and the play is on under.

This game fits a situation which is 89-47 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 46-17 ATS and the play is on under.

This game fits a situation which is 46-17 ATS and the play is on under.

This game fits a situation which is 46-17 ATS and the play is on under.

This game fits a situation which is 227-143 ATS and the play is on the under.