I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. Caps are 2-0. Pens are 0-2. No-brainer on the Caps, right? Not in my opinion. Crosby and co. are going to be desperate to avoid falling to 0-3. We can absolutely expect their best effort. While the Caps may have held the Sabres to a single goal last time out, they're just 1-8 the past nine times that they allowed two goals or less in their previous game. The Crosby/Ovechkin games are usually good ones. Pittsburgh has taken three of the past five meetings. In this case, playing at home and highly motivated to avoid the 0-3 start, I expect the Pens to have the advantage. 

I'm playing on CALGARY. I played against the Canucks in each of their first two games, going 1-1. I don't have anything against the team, I just feel that they're a little bit over-rated, out of the gate. Tonight, I believe that they're at the wrong place, at the wrong time. After dropping their first game, the Flames are going to be very hungry for their first win. Extra motivation stems from the fact that this is the Flames' home opener and that their starting goalie (Markstrom) wil be facing his former team for the first time. Markstrom noted: "I've never faced 'em … except for practice every day for the last five years. It's going to be special. I know most of those guys ...  I'm hopeful and I believe in our group, and I think it's going to be a great matchup." Expect a big game from Markstrom and co. as the Flames bounce back and pick up their first "W." 

I'm playing on COLORADO. I lost with the Avalanche when these teams faced each other on opening night. However, that won't prevent me from taking them again tonight. Here's an excerpt from Wednesday's writeup, as its still applicable: "Considering that the Avs are favored to win the Stanley Cup, this line could easily be considerably higher. In fact, we're unlikely to often get Colorado, at home, for this reasonable a price. While the Blues aren't that far removed from winning a Cup, a lot of the key pieces from that team won't be on the ice. On offense, Tarasenko is hurt while Steen retired. Two of the Blues' top four defenders from the Cup team are gone. Bowmeester collapsed in a game last season while Pietrangelo is now with Vegas. With a lot of new faces, the Blues could have benefitted from some preseason games. They didn't get any though and had an abbreviated training camp. Unfortunately for them, their first game comes against arguably the most complete team in the league..." Obviously, the Blues deserve credit for their win. However, now they're getting a revenge-minded Colorado team which is going to be doing everything it can to avoid falling to 0-2. Payback time. 

I'm playing on MINNESOTA. This game was already going to be a tough one for the Kings. However, its made a lot tougher by the fact that they're short-handed, as they'll be without a few fairly important players, due to Covid-protocol. The Wild have a chip on their shoulder after getting bounced in the first round last year. Still, that allowed them to play more recently than the Kings, who haven't played a game in more than 10 months. As LA coach Todd McLellan noted. " ... we haven't played for 10 1/2 months, it's not going to be easy ... " The Wild will be facing the Kings a lot to start the season. I say they take advantage of the Covid-situation and draw first blood tonight. 

I'm playing on EDMONTON. I lost with the Oilers last night but I'm coming right back with them again tonight. Edmonton has underachieved in recent seasons and is absolutely determined to get off to a strong start. Getting swept, at home, in two games by the Canucks is NOT what they had in mind. We may only be one game in but they're going to be a highly motivated team tonight. While the visiting team won last night, the home team has still had the advantage in this series in recent season. Even without fans, its going to be important to win at home. The Canucks did some good things last night and fans in Vancouver are already loading up the bandwagon. Its only one game though. Yes, the Canucks have some talented young players. They've also still got some issues though. Expect the revenge-minded Oilers to remind everyone of that tonight. 

I'm playing on COLORADO. Considering that the Avs are favored to win the Stanley Cup, this line could easily be considerably higher. In fact, we're unlikely to often get Colorado, at home, for this reasonable a price. While the Blues aren't that far removed from winning a Cup, a lot of the key pieces from that team won't be on the ice. On offense, Tarasenko is hurt while Steen retired. Two of the Blues' top four defenders from the Cup team are gone. Bowmeester collapsed in a game last season while Pietrangelo is now with Vegas. With a lot of new faces, the Blues could have benefitted from some preseason games. They didn't get any though and had an abbreviated training camp. Unfortunately for them, their first game comes against arguably the most complete team in the league. Avs roll. 

I'm playing on EDMONTON. The season is only just getting started but the Canucks already had Sunday's practice cancelled "out of an abundance of caution," due to a potential Covid-19 exposure. Though they did return to practice, its a less than ideal way to enter the season. Don't expect the Oilers to show them any sympathy. The Oilers have underachieved in recent seasons and they're absolutely hungry to get the current campaign off to a winning start. The Canucks lost a lot to free agency (all of their unresticted free agents left) and are likely to regress this season, in my opinion. The Oilers have taken four of the past six meetings, two of the last three when listed as the home team. McDavid remains one of the best players in the game. Look for him to lead his team to an opening night victory. 

I'm playing on TORONTO. Its always a big game when these Original Six rivals get together, particularly on the first night of the season. The fact that it is the first game of the season is allowing us to get the Leafs at a more reasonable price than we otherwise likely would have. I feel thats providing us with excellent value. Consider that the Leafs were -150, -180, -240, -230 and -210 the last five times they were listed as the home against the Habs. They won four of those. Also, consider that the Leafs are about +900 to win the Cup compared to the Canadiens' +2600. The Leafs are +136 to win the division compared to Montreal's +462. I like the veterans that the Leafs added to complement Tavares and co. Anxious to immediately get rid of the bad taste from last year, look for the Leafs to get their season off to a winning start. 

I'm playing on TAMPA. The Stars staved off elimination on Saturday. Don't expect them to do so again. The Lightning are still the superior team in this series, in my opinion. The Lightning have been money when coming off a loss. Since the return to play in early August, including Saturday's OT defeat, the Lightning have only lost seven times. In each of the previous six instances, they immediately responded by winning their very next game. Yes, a perfect 6-for-6. That included a win in Game 2 in this series, after the Stars had defeated them in Game 1. Get the Cup out, the Lightning are your new champs. 

I'm playing on TB. I've backed the Lightning a number of times throughout these playoffs and am coming back with them this evening. I've mentioned that I feel Tampa is the stronger team in this series and I believe that we've seen that. Since a bad opening period of the series, Tampa has taken over. Off a 5-2 win last time out, note that the Lightning are an outstanding 73-35 (+14.8) the past couple of seasons, when off a win by two or more goals. The Stars have been resilient and have obviously done a great job to get this far. They'll fight hard tonight but ultimately I believe that they'll again be overmatched. 

I'm playing on TAMPA. I didn't get involved in the opener as I wanted to see how it played out, before potentially getting involved in Game 2. I knew that I liked Tampa as a team, but thought that the extra rest could benefit Dallas. With the Lightning down a game and both teams now working on equal rest, I'm now jumping in to back them.   The Lightning have been here before, they're now 0-3 in the opening game of the Stanley Cup Finals. There will be no panic. The Lightning have only lost two other games in recent weeks. They responded to both by winning their very next game. They were stronger than the Stars this season and they dominated play (22 shots!) in the third period in Game 1. I'm not ready to count them out yet. Expect the series to be tied 1-1. 

I'm playing on TB. The Isles clearly have a lot of heart and are a well-coached team. I still believe that Tampa is superior though and I expect that to prove to be the case this evening. The Isles havent won two in a row since August. The Lightning, meanwhile, are 9-1 (+7) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. They're 26-10 in that situation the past 2+ seasons. Both teams allow 2.7 goals per game but the Lightning score 3.4 compared to NY's 2.9. Bring on Dallas.

I'm playing on TAMPA. I believe that this series is over. While the Isles have shown a lot of heart and grit, the Lightning have shown to be the superior team. They've matched the Isles in terms of desire and toughness allowing their edge in talent to prove the difference. The Lightning are 21-7 off a win by two or more goals. Going back further finds them at a dominant 73-34 (+16.4) in that situation. While the Isles are actually just 13-18 their last 31 against teams with a winning record, the Bolts are 21-7 against winning teams, during the same stretch. Bring on Dallas. 

I'm playing on VEGAS. Obviously, the Knights have dug themselves a deep hole. However, I'm not quite writing them off yet. They've had the edge in play for much of this series and could easily be tied, or even ahead. As Coach DeBoer noted: "We've been here before. We were in the same exact situation with Vancouver, with a goalie and a team playing like this. We stuck with it. This is a long way from over and we're going to be a tough out." DeBoer went on to say: "All we need is to finish. The effort's there. We're creating a lot of really good looks. Their best player, Joe Pavelski, takes a backhander, it rolls up the shaft of the stick and over our goalie's shoulder. We haven't gotten any of those and we gotta stick with it until we do." Look for the Knights experience in this situation to prove key, as they keep digging and grinding and "stick with it" until they find a way to extend the series. 

I'm playing on VEGAS. The Knights had the edge in play last game, more shots, more chances, more time of possession. Indeed, they were the better team from the time that the puck dropped. More often than not, that results in victory. It just didn't on Thursday. While that can be frustrating, I expect them to bounce back this evening. As Alex Tuch noted: "Obviously, it's frustrating, but we're not going to throw ourselves a pity party. We're not going to blame it on anyone. ... No matter how much we felt like we should have won that game, we didn't. And now we've got to move on." Backs to the wall, look for Tuch and co. to do exactly that, digging deep and evening up the series.

I'm playing on VEGAS. After dropping Game 1 by a score of 1-0, the Knights bounced back with a 3-0 win in Game 2. I won with the 'under'  in the opener and the Knights in Game 2. I believe that they're the deeper, stronger team and in coming right back with them for Game 3. Dallas did very well in knocking off Colorado. However, the Knights are a different kind of team. It took Vegas a bit to get going, as Dallas is a stingier team than either of the Knights' first two opponents. They found a way to create offense though while also shutting down Dallas. A look at the stats for the season show why Vegas is the favorite and higher seed. Entering Game 2, the Knights were outshooting opposing teams by an average of 34.9 to 28.5 while Dallas gets outshout by an average of 31.7 to 31. Dallas gives up just 2.7 goals per game but also scores only 2.7. Vegas, on the other hand, outscores teams by a 3.2 to 2.8 average margin. Note that the Stars' 2.7 goal per game average puts them near the bottom of the NHL, below any of the other playoff teams. In a pivotal game, I expect the superior team to emerge victorious.  

I'm playing on VEGAS. I played on the 'under' in Game 1 of this series. It didn't look good early, as the Stars scored right out of the gate. However, that proved to be the only goal of the entire game. Naturally, the O/U line has now dropped. That being the case, I now believe that the value lies with the Knights, who are going to be desperate to get back in the series. The Stars have only recorded two other shutouts all season. In both cases, they lost their next game. Coincidentally, one of those losses came against Vegas. The Knights are 9-4 after scoring one goal or less. Going back further finds them at 30-14 (+11.6) in that situation. Expect them to bounce back and even up the series. 

I'm playing on TAMPA. By now, the Islanders have done more than enough to show that they're to be taken seriously. That said, I feel that they're going to be in over their heads here. While the Lightning won't have Stamkos, they've still got arguably more talent than the Isles. With the Isles playing Game 7 against Philly on Saturday, the Lightning are coming in as the more rested team. Islanders coach Barry Trotz ackwnowledged: "The Lightning have been off for a little bit, they're fresh, they've been waiting for our series to end. They went to Edmonton yesterday, they probably practiced. The time change that we're going to have, all that, that's what we're going to deal with today. They probably had meetings today on us, if not, maybe they had it yesterday, I don't know. But they're a little bit ahead of us because they've been watching and scouting..." Expect TB to draw first blood. 

I'm playing on VEGAS. I believe that the Knights are big favorites for good reason and I expect them to close out the series here. The Canucks were fortunate to even be in the game last time out as they were getting badly outshot. Vegas is 8-3 after scoring one goal or less. Going back further finds that the Knights are a dominant 29-13 (+13) in that situation. Indeed, they rarely get held down twice in a row. Even factoring in the last result, the Knights are 67-36 against divisional opponents the past 2+ seasons, while the Canucks are 33-50. The Canucks have clearly taken a big step and can hold their heads high. However, their season ends here. 

I'm playing on COLORADO. Its been a strange series. I still believe that the Avs are the better team though. As I mentioned before last game, I'm definitely not writing them off. Speaking of last game, off that big win, they're now 8-5 (+5.1) the past few seasons, when trailing in a playoff series. This team will not quit and absolutely still believes. Both teams allow an average of 2.7 goals overall. However, the Stars score 2.7 themselves while the Avs score 3.5. Indeed, Colorado has been the stronger team all season. Expect that to be the case again tonight.

I'm backing VEGAS on Tuesday. The Knights are deeper and I believe they've proven to be better. They won with defense on Saturday and won with the offense the following day. The Canucks squandered a golden opportunity in that Sunday game. Indeed, Vancouver took a lead into the third period and easily could have tied the series. It was not to be though as they suffered a deflating loss. I expect them to have a very difficult time recovering from it. Of course, the Canucks can hold their heads high. Even with a loss here, they can return home proud of their efforts. Look for the Canucks to do just that as the Knights punch their ticket to the next round. 

I'm playing on COLORADO. The Avs found themselves in too big of an early hole yesterday and were unable to dig themselves out. They're now also in a pretty deep hole in the series. I'm not writing them off quite yet though and fully expect to see their very best effort today. Even after falling behind 3-0 yesterday, the Avs still almost found a way back. This is a very strong team, on both sides of the puck. There was a gap in between games before yesterday and that may have contributed to the slow first period. No excuses for the Avs today though and the extra rest prior to yesterday should help with the b2b situation. Speaking of b2b spots, the last time (8/14 vs. Calgary) that the Stars played two games in two days, they lost 2-0. Don't be surprised to see them have trouble scoring against a determined Colorado team again here. 

I'm playing on VEGAS. The Canucks have already exceeded expectations. I expect them to come back to earth this evening. The Knights are 13-6 (+4.4) off a loss by two or more goals. They're also 20-11, after allowing four or more goals. While the Knights outshot opposing teams by an average of 34.7 to 28.9 this season, the Canucks were outshot 33.7 to 30.7. The Knights are coming off just their second loss in weeks. They immediately bounced back from the previous one and I expect them to do the same tonight. Lay it. 

I'm playing on COLORADO. The Avs are in a must-win spot. I expect their very best effort and am not writing them off in this series yet. Colorado pummeled Arizona and may have come in a little cocky. There will be none of that here though. Rather, the Avs will be 100% focused on the task at hand, all business. Look for them to bounce back and move to 16-7 after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. 

I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. Down a game, I believe the pick'em price tag provides excellent value with what will be a desperate Flyer team. Flyers are 10-5 after scoring one goal or less and 16-8 (+9.2) after allowing four or more. Game 1 notwithstanding, they've been stronger than the Isles this season. They responded to each loss in the Montreal series by bouncing back with a victory. Look for them to do exactly that again this afternoon. 

I'm playing on COLORADO. The Stars scored the upset in Game 1, a 5-3 win. That will ensure we get the best effort from the Avs here. They're 15-6 (+8.3) after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. While the Stars showed that they won't be a pushover, the Avs have been the superior team all season. Both teams allow an average of only 2.6 goals. However, while the Stars average 2.7 themselves, the Avs average 3.4 goals per game. Indeed, this team is very strong on both offense and defense. Off their last two losses, the Avs responded by winning 3-0 and 7-1. Expect more of the same here. 

I'm playing on VEGAS. The Canucks deserve a lot of credit for making it this far. However, the Knights are playing at another level and I believe that they represent a big step up in class from the teams that Vancouver has faced. Now 7-1 in the playoffs, Vegas is outscoring teams by an average of 3.7 to 2.6. Vegas has taken eight of 10 meetings with the Canucks. Look for the extra rest to benefit the Knights as they continue their surge and take Game 1. 

I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. Facing elimination, I expect the very best from the defending champs in this one. Whether or not its Binnington or Allan between the pipes, I expect an entire team effort. This is brand new territory for the Canucks; learning how to win isn't always easy. The Blues, on the other hand, are battle tested in the playoffs. Look for that experience to prove key as the champs dig deep and force a Game 7. 

I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. There's getting to be some bad blood in this one. The Habs have lost Gallagher to a broken jaw after a cross-check to the face, one of numerous incidents both ways. Flyer fans are fuming after Suzuki tapped their goalie on the head after a Montreal goal. All the ill will aside, I expect the superior team to ultimately finish on top. While they found a way to get this far, the Canadiens were the lowest ranked team to make the postseason, 24th in the league at the pause. While losing Gallagher may fire up the Canadiens a bit, he'll be missed on the ice, as he was just finally getting going and was a player who had scored 22 times in the reg. season, one who brings a lot to Montreal. Expect him to be missed as the Flyers take care of business. 

I'm playing on TAMPA. As many of you know, I've been riding the Lightning the last few games. While the games have been close, I feel that they've shown and established themselves to be the superior team. Columbus is a gritty team that doesn't quit. However, the long hard series against Toronto, the 5-OT game and now a superior opponent have all caught up to the Jackets. This series ends today. 

I'm playing on TAMPA. Here's what I said prior to the last game: "The price on the Lightning has come down a bit from its opener and I now believe that the superior team, in my opinion, is providing us with value. The Lightning took their foot off the gas a little in Game 2 and paid for it. Series tied, I expect them to be all business the entire way. I still feel that the 5-OT game combined with the 5-game series against the Leafs will eventually take a toll on Columbus. Lets not forget that Columbus was outscored 187-180 this season while TB outscored opposing teams by a 245-195 margin. That +50 goal differential was second to only Boston (+53) in the entire NHL. Tampa rolls." While the score showed a close game, Tampa was in control of Game 3 the entire way. I do believe that the Lightning are superior and that the Toronto series is indeed catching up to Columbus. Tampa wins, again. 

I'm playing on ST LOUIS. Down 2-0, this is obviously a must win spot for the Blues. They cannot afford to go down 3-0. Normally, we have to pay a premium for a team in a must win spot. Yet, we're getting the Blues at a fairly reasonable price, particularly when considering that they're the defending champs. Even after the tough Game 2 loss, the Blues are still 5-1 the past six times that they were trailing in a playoff series. Expect their playoff experience to be evident here, as they elevate their game and get back into the series. 

I'm playing on WASHINGTON. Down 2-0, this is obviously a must win spot for the Capitals. They cannot afford to go down 3-0. Normally, we have to pay a premium for a team in a must win spot. Yet, we're getting the Caps at a pick-em price. I expect their very best effort and believe that we're getting excellent value. Keep in mind that the Caps had a +25 goal differential (240-215) while the Isles were outscored by a goal, 193-192. While this is obviously a new season and situation, I believe that the Caps were the superior team over the course of a season for a reason. Don't count them out quite yet. 

I'm playing on TAMPA. The price on the Lightning has come down a bit from its opener and I now believe that the superior team, in my opinion, is providing us with value. The Lightning took their foot off the gas a little in Game 2 and paid for it. Series tied, I expect them to be all business the entire way. I still feel that the 5-OT game combined with the 5-game series against the Leafs will eventually take a toll on Columbus. Lets not forget that Columbus was outscored 187-180 this season while TB outscored opposing teams by a 245-195 margin. That +50 goal differential was second to only Boston (+53) in the entire NHL. Tampa rolls. 

I'm playing on Washington. After squandering Game 1, the Caps are going to be all business here. They've been here before. The Caps are 5-1 (+3.5) the last six times that they trailed in a playoff series. During that span, they're 64-44 when playing with 'revenge' and 50-31 after having allowed four or more goals in their previous game. The Caps outscored teams by a 3.3 to 3.0 margin on the road this season while the Isles were outscored by a 2.7 to 2.5 average margin, when playing away from home. Caps bounce back. 10*

I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. After dropping Game 1, the Blues are going to be all business here. This is a playoff battle-tested team, one which isn't going to roll over. The Canucks, on the other hand, are in unfamiliar territory. The Canucks have a big top line but not so much after that. However, the Blues showed an ability to slow it down, when playing 5-on-5. Expect the champs to slow down that top-line at even strength, while using a disciplined approach to limit their time in the penalty box, en route to a highly important victory. 

I'm playing on TAMPA. As you probably know, the opening game was a marathon. The Lightning won in the fifth Overtime. Those are the type of losses that can really be tough to bounce back from. Keep in mind that the Jackets were already off an emotional and physical hard-fought series against the Leafs. They'd barely had a chance to recover and then left it all on the ice in Game 1. To do that and ultimately come up short is going to take a toll on them today. Expect the Lightning, who still haven't forgotten last year, to take advantage of the situation and for them to take a commanding lead in the series. 

I'm playing on WASHINGTON. The Caps started slowly in the round robin but got better as it progressed. I believe that they're peaking at the right time, entering their series with the Islanders. The Isles are well-coached as former Trotz led the Capitals to the Cup a couple of years ago. The Caps are the more complete and talented team though, in my opinion. While the Isles were taking on the Panthers, the Caps were getting warmed up against top Eastern teams like Tampa, Boston and Philadelphia. The Caps can beat you with offense or with defense. They can beat you by being more physical or they can out-finesse you. That said, I feel this price is more than reasonable. Expect the Caps to draw first blood. 

I'm playing on TAMPA. The Lightning got the matchup they wanted. This is the team which upset them last year and now its time for payback. The Lightning catch the Jackets coming off a very hard fought and emotional series against the Leafs and I expect them to jump all over them. Tampa coach Jon Cooper noted: "What happened last year happened last year. That's in the history books forever. Now it's time to write your own history, and that's what we intend to do with this team..." Expect a highly determined effort and the Lightning to draw first blood. 

I'm playing on TORONTO. You probably saw that the Leafs pulled off a truly remarkable comeback in Friday's game. The stars came out when they were needed most. That's going to give Toronto a lot of momentum and a feeling of invincibility. On the other hand, the Jackets are going to be feeling deflated. Outside of the momentum and confident factor, the Leafs simply have far more offensive firepower. Now feeling a like a "team of destiny," look for them to close the deal. 

I'm playing on EDMONTON. I lost with the Oilers in Game 3. Despite that tough loss, I still feel very much the same way. Here's what I said, prior to Wednesday's game: "I won with the Hawks in Game 1 and the Oilers in Game 2. So, I've had a good handle on it, thus far. I believe that the Oilers are the superior team though. By the end of Game 2, they'd broken the Hawks' spirit. They were facing a lot of pressure coming in but now they've got that first victory out of the way, I expect them to carry the momentum into this evening's game. The Hawks are just 54-78 (-13.7) in the revenge role the past few seasons. So, if they can't beat a team once, it doesn't necessarily mean they're going to bounce back in the next meeting. In fact, during that span, Chicago is only 45-78 (-22.7) against teams with a winning record. Look for McDavid and co. to win this critical affair." The Oilers did indeed come very close to winning Game 3, as they were up 3-2 late in the third. This time, look for them to find a way to even the series. 

I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. Down 1-0, we saw the best from the Penguins in Game 2. Down 2-1 and facing elimination, I expect another determined effort from Crosby and co. in Game 4. Yes, Game 3 was a tough loss, as they appeared to be in control. However, this team still has the talent and the experience to overcome it. As Montreal coach Julien noted: "...we're playing a team that knows exactly what to do to get back into a series..." Remember, the Pens had a +28 goal differential in the season while the Habs were -9. I say this one's going the distance. 

I'm playing on EDMONTON. I won with the Hawks in Game 1 and the Oilers in Game 2. So, I've had a good handle on it, thus far. I believe that the Oilers are the superior team though. By the end of Game 2, they'd broken the Hawks' spirit. They were facing a lot of pressure coming in but now they've got that first victory out of the way, I expect them to carry the momentum into this evening's game. The Hawks are just 54-78 (-13.7) in the revenge role the past few seasons. So, if they can't beat a team once, it doesn't necessarily mean they're going to bounce back in the next meeting. In fact, during that span, Chicago is only 45-78 (-22.7) against teams with a winning record. Look for McDavid and co. to win this critical affair. 

I'm playing on TORONTO. After getting blanked 2-0 in the opening game, the Leafs are going to be a hungry and desperate team. Coach Sheldon Keefe had this to say: “That's what their system is designed to do, is to frustrate you. We've talked a lot about that. But the good news is in just talking to our guys and the type of practice that we had, our guys are not frustrated. Our guys are hungry to get back at it and recognize where we can get better and know that we have more to give so we'll be ready to play tomorrow." I absolutely expect that to be the case. The Leafs had plenty of chances. This is a team with some serious offensive weapons. They hadn't been blanked in a playoff game since back in 2002 and it won't happen twice in a row. Leafs bounce back. 

I'm playing on EDMONTON. I won with the Hawks in the opener. So, I wasn't surprised that they gave the Oilers a tough game. I commented on Toews' playoff experience and leadership and the Chicago captain absolutely led by example. That said, I expect a desperate Oiler team to respond this evening. McDavid is considered by many to be the top player in the game these days. Great players lead their teams to victory in these type of situations. I expect the Oilers' star to do exactly that. While the Hawks do have a few key veterans who have been through the wars, outside of them, this is a relatively inexperienced team - not the same Hawks that were so strong in years past. McDavid and co. respond. 

I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. After dropping the series opener, you know that the Pens are going to be all business here. The Habs are still an ugly 43-74 against winning teams the past few seasons. Over the years, they're also a poor 12-19 when leading in a playoff series. The Pens had a 41-35 edge in shots in the opener, so they were getting their chances. Expect a desperate Pittsburgh team, back against the wall, to bounce back and even things up. 

I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. This line came down a bit from its opener; I feel thats providing value with the superior team. While anything can happen in one game, particularly in the first game back from the pandemic, the Pens are favored for a reason. The Pens average 3.2 goals per game while allowing 2.8 gpg. The Habs, meanwhile, allow 3.1 gpg while scoring 3.0. The Pens won both previous 2020 meetings. Expect them to draw first blood here. 

I'm playing on LA. The Kings are rolling right now, playing their best hockey of the season. They've quietly been solid at home all season long. The Sens, on the other hand, have been terrible on the road all season long. While the Kings had yesterday off, the Sens were busy losing at Anaheim. They're 14-33 the past 2+ seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. Schedule and venue in their favor, look for the suddenly surging Kings to avenge an earlier loss at Ottawa. 

I'm playing on COLORADO. The Rangers are at the wrong place, at the wrong time. Having dropped three of four and looking to avenge an earlier loss at MSG, the Avs are angry. While the Rangers are 13-13 against teams from the West, the Avs are 20-10 against teams from the East. The last time that the Rangers played two games in two days, as they are here, they won the first by a score of 5-2 but lost the second by a score of 5-2. Last night, they won 4-2, while the Avs rested. The Rangers also won when these teams met at MSG last season. However, in the rematch here at Colorado, the Avs won by a score of 6-1. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect the Avs to get some payback tonight. 

I'm playing on EDMONTON. As of this writing, McDavid is a game-time decision. While I suspect that he will give it a go, I like the Oilers, with or without their superstar. The home team has already won both meetings so far this season. The Jets may be rolling but they're also 14-24 (-16.9) their last 38, when on a 3-game winning streak. That includes an 0-5 mark their last five in that situation. Look for the Oilers to cool them off here.

I'm playing on DALLAS. Both these teams are off divisional losses and both could really use a win. That said, the Stars arguably need it more. I expect them to be extremely hungry and playing on home ice, I expect them to have the advantage. The Rangers, who lost 6-4 last time out, are an ugly 29-46 (-13.9) the past 75 times that they were off a loss of two or more goals. During that span, the Rangers were also 28-47 (-14.9) when off a division game. Meanwhile, over the same period, the Stars were 52-35 (+11.3) when off a division game. With the Stars also a healthy 13-4 (+7.4) on the season, when playing with two day's rest in between games, look for the home fans to leave happy. 

I'm playing on VANCOUVER. The Jackets are a banged-up team right now. Thats going to make playing their second game in two days that much more difficult. Off last night's loss, the Jackets are now just 9-18 against teams from the West. One of those victories was against these same Canucks, just one week ago. That was at Columbus though. The Canucks were mired in a losing streak, at the end of a trip and playing the second of b2b games, while off a loss at Toronto the night before. (Some will recall that I successfully played against Vancouver in both those games.) The Canucks are a much better team at home and now they're coming off a win where they scored six goals. This time, they're the rested home team against a road weary visitor playing its second game in two days. Shoe on the other foot, its payback time.

I'm playing on SJ. Home ice has been significant when these teams have faced each other and I expect that to be the case again here. The Sharks may only be 17-17 (17-16-1) at home but thats much better than Ottawa's 6-25 (6-19-6) record on the road. The Sens won the earlier meeting, at Ottawa. The Sens have now beaten the Sharks three straight times and five of six, when the teams play in Canada. However, when they face each other in California, the Sharks are 2-0 the last two seasons, winning by a combined score of 9-1. While the Sens have scored 71 goals on the road, the Sharks have scored 100 here at home. Ottawa, off a 4-3 win, is just 6-14 after scoring four or more. While they've struggled against elite teams, the Sharks are 15-7 (+7.5) against losing teams. Expect them to take care of business. 

I'm playing on DALLAS. The Stars are going to be a desperate team this afternoon. Not only have they dropped four straight but these same Predators just blanked them, at Nashville. Back on home ice and playing with immediate revenge, I expect a huge effort. Prior to Thursday, the Stars had enjoyed success against the Preds. In fact, they'd won the previous five meetings. This season's earlier game here at Dallas saw the Stars win 4-2. Including that result, the Preds are 16-16 on the road, the Stars are 19-13 at home. While the Stars are 17-12 in the revenge role, the Preds are just 11-14 (-7.4) their last 25, when off a shutout win. Stars stop the bleeding. 

I'm playing on TORONTO. Off a 1-0 shootout loss last night and in danger of going winless on the road trip, the Leafs are going to be all business tonight. True, they haven't fared well in b2b situations this season. However, those have primarily involved one home game and one away game and therefore required travel. In this case, there's obviously very little distance to be covered. So, I don't expect fatigue to be a factor the way that it normally might be. This is an Anaheim team which the Leafs have dominated. They've won the last five games in the series, outscoring the Ducks by a combined 23-11 mark. With the Ducks just 6-12, after scoring four or more goals in their previous game, look for a determined Leafs team to continue that series dominance tonight. 

I'm playing on TAMPA. The Canadiens are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Lightning are going to be in an angry mood. Knowing that they've got a road trip on deck, starting with a big game at Boston, they know that they absolutely need to close out the homestand with a win. Montreal is a team which they have handled in all three of this season's meetings. Sure, the Habs would like to avenge those losses. However, they're just 50-79 (-33.7) in the revenge role, the past few seasons. During that span, the Lightning are 22-10 (+6.9) after having scored one goal or less in their previous game. Expect a determined effort as the Lightning improve on those stats this evening. 

I'm playing on WASHINGTON. The Flyers are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Having recently lost 7-2 to these same Flyers, right here at home, the Caps are going to be in an extremely angry mood. Note that they've gone 10-4 (+5.5) when attempting to avenge a home loss. Both teams had the past two days off. While the Caps have had a winning record in that situation, the Flyers are actually an ugly 19-30 (-16.6) the past 2+ seasons, when playing with two day's rest in between games. The Caps are a dominant 23-8 (+14.7) in March the past couple of years. Expect payback. 

I'm playing on TAMPA. Big showdown between the top two teams in the East. While the Lightning won't have Stamkos, a player who helped them win the first two games of the season series, I believe that they've still got enough to take care of business on home ice here. These teams will meet again at Boston in a few days. Knowing this, the Lightning will be going all out to "hold serve" here. I like that they won their last game, snapping a 4-game skid and providing some positive momentum. The Lightning have beaten the Bruins five straight times here, scoring three or more goals in all five of those games. Expect them to build off the Calgary win and keep that home ice streak in tact. 

I'm playing on COLUMBUS. Both teams could really use a win. However, with the venue and schedule in their favor, I expect the Jackets to have the advantage. While Columbus had yesterday off, the Canucks are off a hard-fought loss against Toronto. A Saturday night game against the Leafs is always a big deal; fatigue may well be a factor. Vancouver is 11-18 the past couple of seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. Both teams are much better on home ice. The Jackets are 19-12-4 (19-16) at home but 12-9-10 (12-19) on the road. The Canucks are 20-7-4 (20-11) at home but 14-17-2 (14-19) on the road. Knowing that they'll have to face these same Canucks at Vancouver in a week, expect the Jackets to take advantage of the favorable schedule and for them to "hold serve" on home ice. 

I'm playing on EDMONTON. The Jets check in off a 3-0 win over Washington. Thats pretty impressive, as the Caps are tough to beat. That said, lets not forget that the Jets had lost their previous three games. All three losses came on the road, while the win over the Caps came at home. Also, imporantly, they're 0-4 when off a shutout win. While the Jets are off the 3-0 win, the Oilers are off a 3-0 loss. They're an outstanding 14-5 (+9.8) when off a loss of two or more goals though. Knowing their next three games all come on the road, look for a big effort from the Oilers as they bounce back with a much-needed win. 

I'm playing on TORONTO. The Leafs have turned the corner of late. They've won back-to-back games and three of four. The Canucks aren't nearly as tough on the road, as they are at Vancouver - and the Leafs already beat them there. While the line may seem steep, consider that the Leafs were laying -275 the last time that they hosted the Canucks. They are indeed the more talented team. The Canucks are 21-36 (-6.5) the past couple of seasons when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or more, going an ugly 13-27 (-13.2) in February during that span. Leafs close out the month with an important win. 

I'm playing on FLORIDA. The Hawks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off a 5-3 loss and having dropped three of their past four, the Panthers are going to be in an angry mood. They're 20-11 (+8.8) after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. While the Hawks might want to avenge an earlier loss at Chicago, they're only 51-77 (-16.1) in the revenge role the past couple of seasons, 21-38 when attempting to avenge a home loss. The Panthers are 31-12 (+13.2) the past two years, when facing a team with a losing record in the second half of the season. Expect them to take care of business on home ice. 

I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. This is the front end of a home-and-home series between these teams. Knowing they'll face these same Rangers, at MSG, on 3/1, the Flyers will absolutely be determined to take care of business on home ice here. Not only do they have the venue in their favor but the Flyers also have the schedule working for them. While they had Thursday off, the Rangers were involved in a hard fought "Original Six" matchup at Montreal. The last time that these teams met and the only time so far this season was a game here at Philadelphia, on Dec 23. The Rangers were also playing their second game in two days for that one. It didn't work out too well as the Flyers won 5-1. Including that result, the Flyers have taken seven of the last eight meetings. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to continue that series dominance for at least another day. 

I'm playing on COLUMBUS. The Jackets are badly in need of a victory and I expect their very best effort tonight. While the game wasn't exactly taxing, as they blew out the Red Wings, the Wild did play Thursday. That's noteworthy, as they're only 13-24 (-11.8) the past 2+ seasons, when playing their second game in two days. Prior to that, these teams had just faced each other, at Minnesota. The Wild eked out a 5-4 win in that one. The Wild also won a close one (2-1) in last season's game at Minnesota. However, in the game here at Columbus, the Jackets prevailed by a 4-2 score. This season, Columbus is 19-15 at home compared to Minnesota's 13-17 mark on the road. The Wild have allowed 106 goals on the road while the Jackets have allowed just 75 at home. The Jackets are 33-22 the past 2+ seasons, when playing with two day's rest in between games. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to improve on those stats here. 

I'm playing on MONTREAL. The reality is that the Canadiens won't be making the playoffs. However, they're still mathematically alive and I still expect their very best effort, as a result. Their captain, Weber had this to say: "We're not done yet,” Weber said. “We still got a long ways to go, but we got to take it one game at a time. Obviously, we got one point last night. We need to work on getting points tomorrow and then going forward. Just one game at a time. We can't look further than New York right now and they’re actually playing well. So we got to be ready for them and make sure it’s our best effort to date." Weber's right that the Rangers have been playing well, as they've won four straight. However, they've got a big divisional game on deck against the Flyers tomorrow and they're also an ugly 103-117 (-50.1) the past 200+ times that they were off three or more consec. wins. Look for the Habs to cool them off tonight. 

I'm playing on the NY ISLANDERS. These teams met three times in January. The Rangers took two of those three meetings, including the lone one here. That loss notwithstanding, the Islanders have been excellent on home ice. I expect home ice to provide them with the advantage in this one. While the Rangers are a solid 16-11-2 on the road, the Isles are an outstanding 20-7-4 at home. Currently, the Isles have won five straight here. They scored four or more goals in all five of those wins, too. The trade deadline having come and gone, expect them to keep that streak in tact for another day. 

I'm playing on CAROLINA. Somewhat surprisingly, the Rangers have had their way with the Hurricanes so far this season. That changes tonight. While the Rangers are a respectable 15-13 away from MSG, the Canes are a much better 19-11 here at Raleigh. The Rangers have outscored teams by a single goal (89-88) on the road this season. The Canes have outscored visiting teams by a dominant 104-77 margin. The Rangers are 9-11 off a win by two or more goals. The Canes are 11-6 (+3.9) when playing with two day's rest in between games. Its payback time tonight. 

I'm playing on TORONTO. The Pens have dominated the Leafs in a pair of meetings this season. Once back in November and once two days ago. Those were both at Pittsburgh though. Now, they get a chance to host the Pens. I expect the change of venue to work in their favor. I also expect an extremely motivated effort. Note that the Leafs are 61-43 in the revenge role the past 2+ seasons. During that span, the Pens are just 16-19 (-11) after having won their three previous games. Payback time for Toronto. 

I'm playing on VANCOUVER. I feel that this line could easily be higher. These teams have split a pair of meetings so far this season. Both those were at Minnesota though. Now playing at home, where they are typically much stronger, I expect the Canucks to have the advantage. While the Canucks are 19-10 (19-7-3) at home, the Wild are 10-17 (10-15-2) on the road. The Canucks, 16-8 when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater, are 8-5 (+2.9) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. The Wild are just 5-11 when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or greater. Expect home ice to prove significant as the Canucks bounce back with a big win. 

I'm playing on CHICAGO. The home team took both meetings last season. The Rangers won 4-3 at MSG but the Hawks won 4-1 here at Chicago. I expect home ice to again prove significant. Both teams had the past couple of days off. That figures to favor Chicago. While the Rangers are just 3-4 when playing with two day's rest in between games, the Hawks are an excellent 8-3 (+8.5) when doing so. Having dropped six of their last seven, the Hawks are going to be highly motivated. Look for them to "dig deep" as they stop the bleeding with a much-needed victory. 

I'm playing on CALGARY. The Flames just dominated (6-0) the Ducks, at Anaheim. Now, they face them at Calgary and the Flames have the schedule in their favor. While they had yesterday off, the Ducks are off a win at Vancouver. This is the Ducks' seventh road game in their past eight. Last time in a b2b situation, they lost 5-4. After giving up eight goals last time out, the Flames are going to be hungry. They're 43-31 the past couple of seasons, after allowing four or more goals. That includes a 13-8 (+2.8) mark in that situation this season. Yesterday's win notwithstanding, the Ducks are terrible on the road and they're still a money-burning 35-45 (-16.4) in divisional games the past couple of seasons. As for as wanting payback for the 6-0 loss, the Ducks are also just 19-30 (-10) the past couple of seasons, when attempting to avenge a home loss, 5-9 this season. Flames roll. 

I'm playing on VANCOUVER. The Canucks have been a streaky team all season. After recently having lost four straight, they've now won b2b games. Markstrom is off a 49-save shutout (3-0 win) last game and is expected to back between the pipes for Vancouver. Gibson is expected to go for the Ducks today and he only lasted a period last game, a 6-0 Ducks loss. The Canucks are 15-6 when off a win by two or more goals. They're also a perfect 5-0 when playing with three or more day's rest. They lost at Anaheim earlier but they're a far better team at home. Expect them to keep on rolling for another day. 

I'm playing on FLORIDA. Both teams will want this one but I expect the Panthers to be a little hungrier. This is a team which has dropped three straight on home ice and which absolutely needs to stop the bleeding here. Keep in mind that the Panthers are still a healthy 16-11-2 at home, so the recent skid isn't an indication of how they typically play here. On the season, the Panthers average 3.5 goals per game compared to Edmonton's 3.2. The Panthers already beat the Oilers at Edmonton. Knowing that their next five come on the road, expect them to go all out here and come away with a much-needed victory. 

I'm playing on COLUMBUS. Both teams played yesterday. The Rangers won at Minnesota. The Jackets lost at Buffalo. That makes it three straight wins for NY and three straight losses for Columbus. No-brainer on the Rangers then, right? Not in my opinion. The Jackets are favored for a reason. The Rangers have been outscored 84-80 on the road this season. The Jackets have outscored opposing teams by a 81-65 margin here at home. The three straight wins could give the Rangers some complacency while the three losses will provide the Jackets with a sense or urgency. The Rangers are 5-8 the past couple of seasons after three or more consec. victories. While both teams are playing a b2b, the Rangers are also playing their third game in four days, which is not the case for Columbus. Jackets roll. 

I'm playing on NASHVILLE. The Isles are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off b2b losses, the Preds are going to be in an extremely angry mood. The last time that they lost two in a row, the Preds immediately snapped the skid with a 2-1 win over the Sabres. While the Isles have scored five goals in b2b games, they're still just 10-11 (-4.2) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. The Preds, 8-4 when playing with two day's rest in between games, have dominated the Isles in recent meetings. In fact, they're 4-0 the last four times that the teams faced each other, scoring 22 goals in the process. Expect "more of the same" on Thursday. 

I'm playing on TORONTO. The Leafs won at Dallas earlier this season. Playing at Toronto, I expect them to have the advantage again this evening. Note that Dallas is just 10-18 (-8.5) the past 2+ seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or greater. During that span, the Stars are also only 42-45 in non-conf. games. The Leafs, on the other hand, are 52-32 (+5) when playing a non-conf. opponent. Look for home ice to prove the difference in this one. 

I'm playing on FLORIDA. These teams met a few days ago, at Philadelphia. Playing on home ice, the Flyers won 4-1. Tonight's game is at Florida though. Playing on home ice and with "recent revenge," I now expect the Panthers to have the advantage. When these teams played here in November, the Panthers won 5-2. Going back further finds that Florida is 4-0 the last four times it hosted the Flyers, 7-1 the past eight meetings here. Look for the Panthers to improve to 50-33 the past 2+ seasons, when playhing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. 

I'm playing on EDMONTON. Both teams are going to want this one. The Hawks have dropped three straight while the Oilers have lost two of three. Playing at home, I expect Edmonton to have the advantage. The Hawks won when these teams met at Chicago. Edmonton is 18-13 (+6.9) when playing with revenge. As for the Hawks, they're just 15-24 (-8) the past 2+ seasons, after having lost their previous three or more games. While the Oilers have tomorrow off, the Hawks have a game at Vancouver. Knowing their next three are on the road, look for the revenge-minded Oilers to take care of business on home ice here. 

I'm playing on BUFFALO. The Wings may have scored an upset against Boston last time out. However, that was at home and they were catching the Bruins playing the second of b2b games. Here, they're facing a motivated Buffalo team which is rested and playing on its own ice. I expect the Sabres to have a significant advantage. The fact that the Wings won here less than a week ago will add some extra urgency to the Sabres this evening. Even with last week's win here, the Wings are still 7-19 against sub-500 teams. Look for the revenge-minded Sabres to take care of business tonight. 

I'm playing on WASHINGTON. The visiting team has had some success in this season's series but I expect that to change this evening. Note that the Isles have scored 63 goals on the road this season as compared to Washington's 96 at home. Also, note that the Isles are just 1-5 their last six against teams with a winning record. This is the Capitals' final home game before hitting the road for a bit. They just got embarrassed (7-2) by the Flyers last game and are just 1-2 through the first three games here. They're going to be highly motivated to bounce back and close out the homestand with a victory. Given the fact that they're 15-3 (+10.4) after allowing four or more goals in their previous game, I like their chances of doing so. Washington rolls. 

I'm playing on BUFFALO. The Ducks beat the Sabres back in the fall. Playing on home ice, I expect the Sabres to have the advantage in this afternoon's rematch. Note that the Sabres won 3-0 the last meeting here. The Ducks are 10-20 on the road, giving up 28 more goals than they've scored. Off a 5-4 loss, note that the Ducks are 3-10 after scoring four or more goals. Off a win at MSG and with the Red Wings on deck, the Sabres know this is a stretch where they can build some points. Look for them to do so today. 

I'm playing on WINNIPEG.The Jets went through a tough stretch recently, losing five straight and seven of eight. However, they've since responded by winning two of their last three. Having turned the corner, the last thing they want to do is stumble against the struggling Senators. Rather, this is an opportunity for them to build some momentum. Note that Ottawa has been outscored by a 97-61 mark on the road this season. The Jets also haven't forgotten that the Sens upset them here last February. With Ottawa just 26-56 after a loss by two or more goals, its time for the Jets to "make things right." Winnipeg rolls. 

I'm playing on DALLAS. Venue and schedule in their favor, I expect the Stars to take care of the former "North Stars" tonight. These teams have met three times. The first was here at Dallas, the Stars won 6-3. The next two were both at Minnesota. The Wild won the first 3-2 and the most recent (1/18) by a dominating 7-0 margin. Needless to say, Dallas hasn't forgotten that embarrassment. Yes, I won with the Wild last night. However, that was at home and they're just 12-24 (-13.4) their last 36, when playing the second of b2b games. During that span, the Wild are also an ugly 9-21 (-15.1) after playing their previous three at home. The Stars are 11-2 (+8.9) when playing with two day's rest. This won't end well for the Wild. 

I'm playing on EDMONTON. The Sharks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off a 3-0 loss, the Oilers are going to be in an angry mood. Note that they're 11-4 (+8.2) when off a loss by two or more goals. The Oilers are also a respectable 11-7 here at home, when the O/U line was six or more. Thats a whole lot better than the Sharks' 6-14 (-7.3) mark when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or more. These teams have split a pair of meetings so far, but both those were at SJ. Catching the Sharks "out of their tank," expect the Oilers to take care of business on home ice. 

I'm playing on MINNESOTA. The Wild are off a much needed momentum-building win last time out. The Canucks, on the other hand, have dropped two straight. Playing the final leg of a road trip, they're already thinking about getting home to Vancouver. The Wild play with revenge from a loss here a few weeks ago. Note that Minnesota was laying -160 for that one. That result notwithstanding, the Wild have been better at home than the Canucks have been on the road. The Canucks are now 20-35 (-6) the past 55 times that they played a road game with an O/U line of six or more. I say the revenge-minded Wild finish on top. 

I'm playing on TORONTO. With this game being played at MSG instead of in Toronto, we're able to get a superior Leafs team at a relatively reasonable price. Consider that the Leafs were laying -245 for the last meeting. That was on 12/28, at Toronto, and the Rangers won. So, the Leafs are going to have payback on their minds. In fact, the road team has won the last three in this series, including a 6-3 win by the Leafs in their last trip here. Both teams lost 5-3 on Monday. However, while the Rangers are 26-44 (-15.4) the past couple of seasons, off a loss by two or more goals, the Leafs are 37-26. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening. 

I'm playing on MINNESOTA. The Wild have had a couple of days off to recover from a 6-1 beating at the hands of the Bruins. They get tomorrow off and they're going to be fully focused on bouncing back while also avenging an earlier loss at Chicago. The Hawks host the Bruins tomorrow, an Original-6 matchup they could easily get caught looking ahead to. While the Hawks have been respectable on the road, the Wild have been a little better here at home. Playing on home ice, expect the highly motivated Wild to have the edge. 

I'm playing on BOSTON. Home ice means a great deal to both of these teams. The Bruins are 17-2-9 at home but 14-8-3 on the road. The Canucks are 17-5-3 at home but 13-13-2 on the road. Knowing that they'll face these same Canucks, at Vancouver, in a couple of weeks, the Bruins will go all out to "hold serve" at home. The Bruins haven't forgotten that the Canucks swept them last season, nor have they forgotten that the Canucs dropped eight goals on them in the game here at Boston, a game the Bruins were laying -265 for. The Canucks did have Monday off but this is still their third road game in the past four days, the first two both going past regulation. The well-rested Bruins, who have won three straight, are a dominant 34-14 the past couple of seasons, when playing with two day's rest in between games. Expect them to take care of business tonight. 

I'm playing on NYI. In addition to playing at home, the Isles have the schedule in their favor for this one. They had the last two days off while the Stars are off a win at MSG last night. Note that NY is 6-2 (+3.8) when playing with two day's rest. While the Isles have a +11 goal differential at home, the Stars sit at -5 on the road. Off b2b wins, the Stars could be a little complacent. The Isles, on the other hand, are going to be hungry, having lost four of their last five. Expect them to bounce back with an important two points. 

I'm playing on CAROLINA. While the Canucks are off a hard-fought OT win yesterday afternoon against the Islanders, the Canes had the day off. Having lost themsleves the previous day, the Canes are going to be angry and determined this afternoon. Added motivation stems from the fact that the Canucks beat Carolina 1-0 back in December, in Vancouver. That result notwithstanding, the Canes have done a great job against teams from the West as they are 14-6 in non-conference action. They're also 14-6 (+7.7) against teams with a winning record. Even with some recent road wins, the Canucks are still below 500 on the road while the Canes are still dominant here at Raleigh. They won, as -200 favorites, as a host in this series last season. Schedule and setup in their favor, I expect them to take care of business once again. 

I'm playing on WASHINGTON. Its always a good show when Crosby and Ovechkin go head-to-head. Playing at home, I expect the Caps to have the advantage in the latest battle between the two superstars. Washington is the top team in the leauge, in terms of points. However, the Caps know that the Pens have beaten them twice in a row, both last season. They're going to be extremely determined to avoid having it become three in a row. Indeed, this is the first of four meetings over the next seven weeks and the Caps are absolutely going to want to "hold serve" on home ice. Both teams are playing well. The Caps are off a 5-3 win, the Pens are off a 4-3 win. While the Pens are 12-11 (-2.6) after scoring four or more goals, the Caps are 19-8 (+6.5) when doing so. Washington rolls.

I'm playing on ARIZONA. The Hawks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. They haven't played since way back on 1/21. Rust could easily be a factor. They're 8-13 (-4.2) the past 21 times that they played with three or more day's rest. The Coyotes, on the other hand, have a couple of games under their belts since the break. That should help them here. The fact that they lost them (and the two before the break) figures to also help. They're going to be extremely motivated to avoid another loss. While I did successfully play against them in their last game, the Coyotes have handled the Hawks this season and I say they do so again this evening. 

I'm playing on NASHVILLE. While the trip was broken up by the All Star Break, the Knights have been on the road for a long time. Indeed, this is their sixth straight road game, of an 8-game trip. Even with yesterday's hard-fought win, the Knights are still 1-5 after playing their previous three on the road. The Preds, who had yesterday off, have won three of four including back-to-back wins. They wont have forgotten that the Knights beat them here in November. They're 28-18 (+5.6) the past 2+ seasons, when attempting to avenge a home loss. Schedule and venue in their favor, its payback time. 

I'm playing on the NY ISLANDERS. While the Canucks have been hot, I expect the Isles to have the advantage in this early start in the Eastern Time Zone. In addition to being a West Coast based team playing an early game in the East, the Canucks have a game at Raleigh tomorrow, while the Isles have tomorrow off. These teams will see each other again on 3/10, at Vancouver. The Canucks may have the advantage in that one, as they're currently 17-8 (17-5-3) at home. They're only 12-14 (12-13-1) on the road though. The Isles swept the Canucks last season and have won six of the past seven meetings, including each of the past three at home. They won those games by scores of 5-2, 5-2 and 4-2. Expect home ice to prove significant, the Isles continuing their series dominance for at least one more game. 

I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Knights had been struggling before the break and they'll be hungry to get a win. The problem with that is that this is NOT the venue for a struggling team to get healthy.  Knowing that they'll face these same Knights in Vegas, next week, the Canes absolutely understand that they need to "hold serve" on home ice here. After all, they're just 12-12 (12-10-2) away from Raleigh but a much better 17-9 (17-8-1) here on home ice. While both teams have had a long layoff, I like the fact that the Canes have tomorrow off, while the Knights play at Nashville. Home ice was the difference in last season's games between these teams. The Knights won 3-0 at Vegas. Then, almost exactly one year ago to today, the Canes answered with a 5-2 win. Look for home ice to again prove significant here. 

I'm playing on TAMPA. The fact that the Lightning already played (and lost) a game since the Break should serve them well here. The last thing they want to do is come out of the break and drop two in a row. The Kings have had a long layoff and may not quite be as sharp because of it. Of course, the Lightning are the much better team, regardless of the situation. They were laying -280 when they beat the Kings, at Tampa, two weeks ago. However, because this one is at LA, the price is far more reasonable. The Lightning have had no problem winning here though as they've beaten the Kings seven straight times overall, including each of their last three. They won those three games here by a combined score of 13-5. I say Tampa gets it done again. 

I'm playing on NY. Both teams are playing well right now. The Jackets have won four straight and six of seven. The Rangers aren't far off that pace. They've won back-to-back games and four or their past five. Schedule and venue in their favor, I expect it be the Rangers who "stay hot" this evening. While the Jackets played yesterday, the Rangers have had the past couple of days off. Columbus is 3-4 in b2b situations, 18-22 the past 2+ seasons. The Rangers, already 1-0 against Columbus, have thrived against divisional opponents. They're 10-3 (+10.6) Metropolitan teams. Even still, they're still looking up at Columbus in the standings. That makes this game very important for the Rangers and I expect them to make the most of it. 

I'm playing on WINNIPEG. Home ice hasn't meant much in this series, this season. The road team has won both meetings. The Jets won 3-2 here early in the season while the Hawks won 4-1 at Winnipeg, in December. Overall, however, the Jets have dominated the Hawks, regardless of venue the past couple of seasons. They're 6-1 the past seven meetings, 3-0 their last three here at Chicago. Off a game yesterday, their fourth straight win, the Hawks could be a little complacent. That absolutely shouldn't be the case for the Jets, as they've dropped three of four and got embarrassed by a 7-1 score in their last game. They're 28-15 (+12.1) the past couple of seasons, after scoring one goal or less in their previous game, a dominant 8-1 their last nine in that situation. Expect them to be the hungrier team, bouncing back with an important win. 

I'm playing on CAROLINA. While the Isles are going to want this one, they're in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Carolina is 3-1 (+1.3) when off three or more consecutive losses. Though the Isles, who lost at Washington Sat. afternoon, have had some success, when playing the second of b2b games, I'd still prefer to have had a day's worth of rest in between games. Unlike its guest, Carolina didn't play yesterday. The Canes have thrived at home and they're 12-6 when facing a team with a winning record. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to bounce back with an important two points.

I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. I won with the Bruins when these teams faced each other on Thursday. However, that was at Boston. With this afternoon's rematch being played at Pittsburgh, I expect the revenge-minded Penguins to have the advantage. The Bruins are 5-6 when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or more. The Pens, on the other hand, are 12-7 at home with an O/U line of six or more. Going back further finds Pitt. at 56-36 in that situation the past 2+ seasons while Boston is 23-28 (-10.8) in road games with an O/U line of six or greater. The Pens are 15-8 (+6) in the revenge role. I say, its payback time.