7 Unit Play. Take #136 Arizona Cardinals -2.5 over Seattle Seahawks (4:05p.m., Sunday, Sunday, 8 CBS) The Cardinals need this game if they have visions of making the playoffs. Nobody in the NFC West has been able to separate all season long and thus I do not see Seattle winning this game and pulling away from the field. Seattle still cannot run the football, and they will struggle to do that against this strong Arizona rush defense. QB Smith had an emotional game last week against New York (former team) and playing their second straight road game will doom them in for this game.

10 Unit Play. Take #270 Green Bay Packers over San Francisco 49ers (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 24 FOX) The 49ers are leaking oil this entire season and they are not the same team that they have been the last couple of years. The are really banged up on both sides of the football and their players that have returned (CMC) have yet to produce much this season. Now QB Purdy is on the injury report and Nick Bosa left the game last week and their defense fell apart without him. Green Bay is coming off an emotional win last week against Chicago and look for them to carry that momentum into this game (they should have lost to the Bears). The Packers have already lost two home games this season and a neutral site game and they do not want to suffer all of 3 loses at Lambeau Field this season.

10 Unit Play. Take #286 Kansas City Chiefs over Cincinnati Bengals (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 15 CBS) Don’t want to overreact to Week 1 of the regular season and Cincinnati has been known to lay eggs under Zac Taylor in the opening game. The Chiefs are the two-time defending champions and are coming off extra rest and I feel they will win this game by double digits. The Bengals have a lot of issues with their wide receivers and Joe Burrow played a terrible game last week. Cincinnati has been Kansas City’s nemesis for years and thus I feel the Chiefs will make to avenge those losses. Look for the Chiefs to get a lead in this game and use their fourth quarter pass rush to put away the Bengals.

10 Unit Play. Take #102 Kansas City Chiefs over San Francisco 49ers (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 11 CBS) You can make a case for either team in this game, but we will side with the team that has the better defense along with the best quarterback in the league. Kyle Shannon has a tendency to freeze up in big games and I am just not sure Brody Purdy can carry him over the finish line. The Chiefs have had a great defense all season long with Chris Jones able to make plays and get to the quarterback. The 49ers will have their moments, but in the end the Chiefs will prevail and win their third Super Bowl in the last 5 years.

10 Unit Play. Take #319 Kansas City Chiefs over Baltimore Ravens (3p.m., Sunday, January 28 CBS) The Ravens have the better all-around team, but the Chiefs have the best player on the field, and we will gladly back Mahomes and the points in this game. The Kansas City offense played their best game of the season last time out against Buffalo and I look for that to continue in this game as well. Baltimore has all the pressure on them, as QB Jackson will win his second straight MVP and need a Super Bowl to validate his outstanding career. The Chiefs have a strong defense that can cause issues for QB Jackson with their blitz schemes, and I look for them to take this one down to the wire. KC seems to have a knack for winning close games and Sunday should be no different.

10 Unit Play. Take #316 Detroit Lions over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3p.m., Sunday, January 21 NBC) NFL Playoff Game of the Year. The Buccaneers are a team that nobody wants to advance except for those in Florida and I see their season coming to an end on Sunday. Tampa Bay played well against Philadelphia last time out, but the two games prior they struggled against teams that did not even make the playoffs. Detroit will be rocking again for this game, as the Lions look to reach the conference championship round for the first time in over 30 years. The Lions have the more balanced offense this season and can beat you on the ground or through the air. Tampa Bay is reliant on the passing game and torching Philadelphia is one thing, but Detroit has a much better defense. These teams already met earlier this season with Detroit winning by a score of 20-6 at Raymond James Stadium. Detroit has been a story all season long in the NFL and that will continue with a double-digit victory at home. The Lions knocked off a hot team last week and will knock off another hot team on Sunday. This is the toughest ticket in the divisional round and the 12th man will also be a factor, as will the experience of Jared Goff (super bowl quarterback).

10 Unit Play. Take #144 Kansas City Chiefs over Miami Dolphins (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 13 Peacock) The Dolphins lost the division on Sunday Night Football and now must travel to play a night game against the Chiefs in chilly conditions. The temperature for this game will be around zero degrees and that will give the Chiefs a great advantage for this game. Miami is also banged up on defense with numerous injuries and I just do not see them coming away with a victory. These two teams met earlier this season with the Chiefs winning in London to make to 4 straight against the Dolphins. Kansas City has won 3 of their last 4 games and Miami just does not beat very many top tier teams. The Chiefs have their problems on offense, but they have a strong defense and a great home field advantage. Lay the points, as the Chiefs will win this game by double-digits.

10 Unit Play. Take #124 Los Angeles Chargers over Denver Broncos (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 10 CBS) The Broncos came back to reality last week and Russell Wilson could not rally them late despite having a first and goal to win this game. He threw 3 interceptions in that game and now must face a more talented Charger team in their second straight road game. Los Angeles has covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 divisional home games. The last time Denver visited Sofi Stadium they lost 51-14 and the Chargers always seem to rally late in the season to get back into playoff contention.

10 Unit Play. Take #251 Jacksonville Jaguars over Houston Texans (1p.m., Sunday, November 26 CBS) TOP FOOTBALL PLAY OF THE WEEKEND Houston should have lost last week to Arizona, as CJ Stroud played his worst game as a professional. Now they face the divisional leader Jaguars, a team that just destroyed the Titans last time out. Just feel the Texans will hit a wall in the later portion of the season. The Jaguars have won 8 straight games playing outside of Jacksonville (8-0 ATS as well). Houston is not ready for primetime, and Trevor Lawrence and company will lock up the division with a victory today.

10 Unit Play. Take #476 Kansas City Chiefs over Philadelphia Eagles (8:15p.m., Monday, November 20 ABC) This is a rematch of Super Bowl 57 and I look for the Chiefs to win this game again. Philadelphia has been winning ugly much of the season and it will catch up to them in this game. Andy Reid is 27-4 in his career following a bye week. Kansas City is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against NFC teams. Coach Reid will enjoy beating his former team for the second time in less than a year.

10 Unit Play. Take #269 New York Giants over Las Vegas Raiders (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 5 FOX) NFL GAME OF THE YEAR The Raiders are a mess, and we liked this play even before they fired their coach, offensive coordinator, and General Manager. Throw in they are starting a rookie at quarterback in Aiden O’Connell, and I see them really struggling on offense this entire game. Las Vegas is coming off back-to-back double-digit losses, and one of those was against the Bears. Finally, the Raiders have no home field advantage playing in Las Vegas, and expect a lot of Giants fans in attendance for this game.

The Giants did everything they could to lose a game that had over a 95% chance of winning last week. They could not muster any passing game, yet their defense played the best game of the year. The Jets offense is a lot like the Raiders offense, and I see another strong game from the Giants on Sunday. Danny Dimes is back, and that gives the Giants a much better chance to move the football via the air. He can run or pass, and he will need to utilize both in this game. The Giants are 17-8 in their last 25 games as a road underdog, including 9-0 during this streak when facing losing teams. They are 6-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games against AFC teams. New York is also 4-1 ATS when facing foes coming off a Monday Night Football game. The Giants win this game, and we collect in the process as well.

10 Unit Play. Take #472 Philadelphia Eagles over Miami Dolphins (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 17 NBC) The Eagles suffered their first loss of the season on Sunday against the Jets. Expect them to bounce back in a big way tonight at home against the Dolphins, a team that has been beating up on bad team this season. Miami laid an egg against the only tough team they played this season in Buffalo, losing by 28 points on the road. The Eagles will be the best defense that they have faced in 2023 and look for them to go on another long winning streak similar to what they did in 2022. After the Eagles lost their first game of the season to the Commanders last October, they went onto win their next 5 games. The weather will be cold and not pristine conditions like Miami likes. Philadelphia is 10-1 in their last 11 games against AFC teams that won in their previous week. The Eagles get back on track, take care of the football and win this game by double-digits.

10 Unit Play. Take #101 Kansas City Chiefs over Philadelphia Eagles (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 12 FOX) All the talk is about the Eagles dominate run to reach the Super Bowl, but the odds makers are having no part of that. They have kept this game as a pick’em and I believe that the books wants Philadelphia money in this game. I believe that the difference in this game will come down to experience, something Kansas City has a major edge in at the quarterback and head coaching positions. Jalen Hurts did not throw the ball well in the conference championship and if the Chiefs can contain the rushing attack and make him beat them they should be in a good shape. Philadelphia has had a cake walk to reach the Super Bowl and just are not as battle tested as Kansas City is. Philadelphia is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Andy Reid earns his second Super Bowl victory, and this is one bittersweet coming against his former team. 

10 Unit Play. Take #323 Cincinnati Bengals over Kansas City Chiefs (6:40p.m., Sunday, January 29 CBS) Everyone is on the Bengals, which is sometimes a scary proposition, but as the games dwindle down, the public usually gets the big games correct. The Chiefs opened up as a favorite, but the wise guys and public were having no part of that. Cincinnati is now favored and the line during the week keeps going up. Joe Burrow has beaten Kansas City all three times in his career including earlier this season. The Chiefs are 1-8 (ATS) 1 push in their last 10 home games. The Bengals have won 10 straight games and will earn another trip to the Super Bowl on Sunday. Cincinnati has offensive line issues, but that was not a factor last week in Buffalo. Kansas City has quarterback issues with Patrick Mahomes suffering a high ankle sprain against Jacksonville last time out. He will play but I expect the injury to be worse this week compared to last week. Cincinnati is 13-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. Kansas City is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Joe Cool advances as we ride the public and the hot hand.

10 Unit Play. Take #318 San Francisco 49ers over Dallas Cowboys (6:30p.m., Sunday, January 22 FOX) The Cowboys played great last week against the Buccaneers, but I just do not believe they can follow that up with a second straight road victory. San Francisco has won 11 games in a row and have two extra days to prepare for this game. They have also covered the spread in 12 of their last 14 home games. Brock Purdy has been up to the challenge thus far and feel he will be playing with a lead most of this game. QB Prescott just had not been very consistent this season and playing his fourth straight road game will be too much to overcome. Dallas is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games played in January. San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 divisional playoff games.

10 Unit Play. Take #152 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Dallas Cowboys (8:15p.m., Monday, January 16 ABC) Do not trust either coach in this game, but I do trust the greatest quarterback of all time. Dallas has not played well on offense of later, struggling to run the football and turning over the ball at an alarming clip. Tom Brady is 7-0 in his career against Dallas. Tampa Bay won the first meeting this season by a score of 19-3 and that was in Dallas. The Cowboys do not play well on grass and it showed last week in Washington and will show this week in Tampa.

10 Unit Play. Take #470 Denver Broncos over Los Angeles Chargers (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 8 CBS) Denver has gotten clarity on their coaching situation and they played better last week. The Chargers do not have much to play for in this game and would not be surprised if they rest a few of their starters. Denver has won 4 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams and all 4 of those victories came as an underdog. The Broncos are 3-0 straight-up (3-0 ATS) as well in the last 3 games against the Chargers played in Denver. QB Wilson wants to finish the season on a high note and look for that to occur on Sunday.

10 Unit Play. Take #128 Green Bay over Minnesota (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 1 CBS) The Packers continue to win games of late. We expect them to run the table and make the playoffs. Minnesota has already clinched the division and they luck in one score games continues to be impressive. When they lose, they seem to lose big and that is what we are looking for on Sunday afternoon. Minnesota is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a losing record. The home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings between Minnesota and Green Bay.

10 Unit Play. Take #473 Las Vegas Raiders over Pittsburgh Steelers (8:15p.m., Saturday, December 24 NFLN) The Mike Tomlin consecutive winning seasons will come to an end in 2022. The Raiders are the much more talented team on offense, and they will win this game straight-up. Just do not believe the Steelers have the weapons to exploit this suspect Raiders defense. The Raiders went into Pittsburgh last season and won by 9 points and expect a similar performance in this game. Las Vegas is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against Pittsburgh. The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings between the Raiders and Steelers.

10 Unit Play. Take #328 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Cincinnati Bengals (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 18 CBS) Hard to take Tampa Bay after their showing last week in San Francisco, but this team is desperate and needs to win their remaining home games. The Bengals have been a covering machine this season, but now they are the hunted and giving points on the road is never easy. I still like the Tampa Bay defense better than the Cincinnati defense. The Bengals struggle to handle prosperity and the law of averages will bite them in this game. Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games against Cincinnati. The Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games between the Bengals and Bucs.

10 Unit Play. Take #101 Las Vegas Raiders over Los Angeles Rams (8:15p.m., Thursday, December 8 Amazon Prime) These two teams are heading in opposite directions, and I see a double digit victory for the visitor. The Raiders have won 3 straight games and played well last week against the Chargers, a game which was not as close as the final score would indicate. The Raiders have the much better offense with Derek Carr, Davonte Adams, and Josh Jacobs playing outstanding of late. The Rams are 3-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games as a home underdog. The Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win in their previous game.

10 Unit Play. Take #465 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, December 4 FOX) NFL GAME OF THE YEAR The Packers are in freefall now having lost 7 of their last 8 games. But Aaron Rodgers and company own the Bears having beaten them in 12 of the last 13 meetings (10-3 ATS). Green Bay played their best game of the season against Chicago earlier this season. The Packers are 24-5 against the Bears in games Aaron Rodgers has started. The Bears are in worse shape injury wise compared to the Packers and I just do not believe Justin Fields can win this game by himself. The favorite is 20-8 ATS in the last 29 games between Green Bay and Chicago. That includes Green Bay going 23-7 ATS in the last 30 meetings and 18-5 ATS in the last 23 games at Soldier Field.

10 Unit Play. Take #266 Seattle Seahawks over Las Vegas Raiders (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 27 CBS) Just have no confidence in the Raiders to win back-to-back road games. Seattle is coming off a bye after playing in London last time out against Tampa Bay. Look for them to come back strong on Sunday, as they are 3-1 at home this season. Seattle has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 home games and are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against AFC teams. The home team has covered the spread in 7 of the last 9 meetings between Las Vegas and Seattle.

10 Unit Play. Take #255 Las Vegas Raiders over New Orleans Saints (1p.m., Sunday, October 30 CBS) The Raiders are a better team than their 2-4 record would indicate and now they get to play a team with major issues at quarterback. Las Vegas has won 2 straight games against New Orleans. Not a fan of hiring Dennis Allen and he needs to right the ship, as the Saints have lost 5 of their last 6 games. I do not look for it to happen in this game, as the roster of the Raiders is just better on both sides of the football. The Saints are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. The Raiders are 11-4 ATS over the last 15 games during Week 8 of the regular season.

10 Unit Play. Take #466 Denver Broncos over New York Jets (4:05p.m., Sunday, October 23 CBS) The Jets are winning games with smoke and mirrors I do not see them winning this game unless Denver helps them. Playing back-to-back road games is always tough in the NFL and Denver is desperate for a victory today. Denver has won 5 of their last 6 games against New York including a 26-0 victory last season. The Jets were just 1 for 11 on third down last week and had just 278 total yards. Denver is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. New York is 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games against teams with a losing record. This is a must win game for Denver and they get it by close to double-digits.

10 Unit Play. Take #256 Indianapolis Colts over Jacksonville Jaguars (1p.m., Sunday, October 16 CBS) It end’s today. The Colts have not had much success against Jacksonville in recent games, but they are just a better team not to beat them at home. Indianapolis has extra rest for this game, and they are 2-2-1 on the season despite not playing very well. That will change and QB Ryan will start to move the football through the air in this game. Jacksonville is coming off a bad loss to Houston last time out and they have not looked the same since a hot first quarter against Philadelphia two games ago. The home team is 7-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 10 games between Jacksonville and Indianapolis. The Jaguars are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games played during the month of October.

10 Unit Play. Take #466 New York Jets over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, October 9 CBS) The Dolphins are in turmoil after the handling of QB Tua the last two weeks and now just travel on the road to take on the Jets. New York is riding high coming back from Pittsburgh last Sunday to 2-2 on the season. The Jets have yet to win a home game this season, but I look for that to end on Sunday. Miami is 0-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games played during the month of October. Look for this game to go down to the wire and the Jets to pull in out.

10 Unit Play. Take 274 Las Vegas Raiders over Denver Broncos (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 2 CBS) It ends tonight! The Raiders will notch their first victory of the season and move to 1-3 and 1-1 in the division. The Raiders have been competitive in all 3 of their games this season and they just seem more buttoned up then the Broncos are at the moment. Las Vegas has won 4 straight games against Denver and the Broncos have only covered the spread in 2 of their last 7 games. Denver has been bad on offense most of the season, especially in the red zone. Denver is 9-19 ATS in their last 28 games against AFC West teams. The home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 games in this series.

10 Unit Play. Take #291 Minnesota Vikings over Philadelphia Eagles (8:30pm., Monday, September 19 ABC) The Vikings looked impressive in their season opening game dominating Green Bay for the majority of that 60 minute game. Now they travel on the road to face a team that many believe will be the NFC East winner come January. Always tough to trust the Vikings on a consistent basis, but that have a new coach and just are the more talented team in this game. That includes the quarterback position. Minnesota needs to stop the run in this game and make Jalen Hurts beat them through the air. Philadelphia is 3-13 in their last 16 games played during Week 2 of the regular season. Getting rid of the negative Mike Zimmer energy will help the Vikings immensely.

10 Unit Play. Take #482 Seattle Seahawks over Denver Broncos (8:15p.m., Monday, September 12 ESPN) The Hawks are not expected to contend this season as they traded away their quarterback to Denver. But the fan base will be excited for this game, and it is one of the toughest tickets in town. Look for Seattle to rise to the occasion and take this game down to the wire. Denver gave up a ton of capital to get Russell Wilson and they were not a very good team last year. Seattle is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against AFC teams. The Hawks are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games when they are an underdog. Seattle has won 9 of their last 10 home games. Too much emotion for Russell Wilson to blow out Seattle and expect this game to go down to the wire and we will come out on top either way.

10 Unit Play. Take #102 Cincinnati Bengals over Los Angeles Rams (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 13 NBC) The Bengals have a knack for hanging around in games and I expect them to take this game down to the wire as well. The Rams have all the pressure on them for this game, as they are playing at home and have a team full of stars. The Bengals have the better quarterback and if given time to throw the football he will pick apart this Rams secondary. The 49ers had the Rams on the rope and should have won that game if they could have made a play on either side of the football in the fourth quarter (dropped interception and two 3 and outs). The Rams were just 10-9 ATS (1 push) this season, whereas the Bengals are 12-6 (2 pushes) on the season. Take the points as this game like most of the NFL Playoffs games this season should go down to the wire.

10 Unit Play. Take #322 Kansas City Chiefs over Cincinnati Bengals (3:05 p.m., Sunday, January 30 CBS) The Chiefs got a break with Tennessee losing last week, and Patrick Mahomes and company get to play at home yet again in the AFC Playoffs. Cincinnati won the earlier meeting this season, but that was in the Queen City and this game will be at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs have been unstoppable during the postseason, putting up 84 points in two games. They also have a pass rush that should lead to issues for QB Joe Burrow, as he was sacked 9 times last week on the road. Despite covering their last two games, the Bengals are just 2-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 playoff games. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games between Cincinnati and Kansas City. The Chiefs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.

10 Unit Play. Take #317 Buffalo Bills over Kansas City Chiefs (6:30p.m., Sunday, January 23 CBS) All the experts in sports handicapping like Buffalo in this game and getting points is too good to pass up. Buffalo has a strong offense that already won in Kansas City this season by 18 points. The Kansas City defense is improved but they have not faced many explosive offenses like they will see on Sunday night with Buffalo. Buffalo did not punt once in their game last week against New England and scored a touchdown on every possession that did not kneel. Buffalo is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games played at Arrowhead Stadium. Kansas City is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

10 Unit Play. Take #148 Dallas Cowboys over San Francisco 49ers (4:30p.m., Sunday, January 16 CBS) The 49ers have the Rams number but that is not the case with the Cowboys. Dallas is the No. 1 scoring offense averaging close to 30 points per game. Dallas has beaten San Francisco 5 of the last 7 postseason meetings. San Francisco went 4-5 straight-up against teams with a winning record. The 49ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff road games. Dallas is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games. Both teams come in hot, but the different in this game will be the Cowboys offensive firepower.

10 Unit Play. Take #481 Los Angeles Chargers over Las Vegas Raiders (8:20p.m., Sunday, January 9 NBC) The Raiders have played better of late to stay in the hunt for a wild card berth, but this franchise has not won many games like this during the 21st century. Los Angeles dominated the first meeting of the season winning by 14 points. Las Vegas is just 4-4 at home with losses to Chicago and Washington part of those 4 losses. Los Angeles has better playmakers on both sides of the football, and they will march onto the playoffs next weekend. The road team is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings between the Chargers and the Raiders. Las Vegas is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.

10 Unit Play. Take #125 Detroit Lions over Seattle Seahawks (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 2 FOX) Seattle is coming off a bad loss to the Bears and the reality of a bad season is starting to set in with them. They have make major changes in the offseason and they do not even have their first round draft pick in 2022. Detroit has been more competitive of late winning against Arizona and should have won against Atlanta last Sunday. Detroit is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games. Seattle is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played during the month of January. Seattle has too many issues on both sides of the football to be this big of a favorite.

10 Unit Play. Take #257 Tennessee Volunteers over Purdue Boilermakers (3p.m., Thursday, December 30 ESPN) MUSIC CITY BOWL Just believe Purdue underachieved this season and now will be without David Bell and George Karlaftis for this game. Throw in the face this game is played in Nashville giving the Volunteers a big home field advantage and I expect Tennessee to win this game by double-digits. Purdue was in this same bowl in 2018 and got run over by a so-so SEC team and that same situation presents itself on Thursday. Tennessee held their own in the SEC West and has a first year head coach that wants to finish off the season the right way. They have won 3 of their last 4 games (only loss to Georgia) and should be able to outscore Purdue in this game. Purdue struggles to score points and they need their defense to create situations for their offense. Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Big 10 teams. Purdue is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 bowl games.

10 Unit Play. Take #308 Buffalo Bills over Carolina Panthers (1p.m., Sunday, December 19 FOX) The Bills have been struggling of late but Carolina should allow them to get back on track. When Buffalo wins games this season it tends to come via blowouts and today should be no different. Buffalo is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against NFC teams. Carolina has lost 3 straight games and 8 of their last 10 overall. All of Buffalo’s 7 wins this season have come by at least 15 points, over today’s posted number.

10 Unit Play. Take #101 Pittsburg Steelers over Minnesota Vikings (8:20p.m., Thursday, December 9 AMAZON) The Vikings are coming off a bad loss to the Lions that greatly damaged their playoff chances for this season. They also have injuries for this short week game and I do not see them blowing out the Steelers on Thursday night football. Coach Tomlin has never had a losing record and I do not see that occurring in 2021 either. Minnesota is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games when the are favored. Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games played on Thursday. Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played in December.

10 Unit Play. Take #475 New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (8:15p.m., Monday, December 6 ESPN) First place in the AFC East is on the line in this game as New England travels to Buffalo to take on the Bills. New England will enter having won 6 straight games and if they can keep it close they will likely win it straight up. All of Buffalo’s 7 wins this season have come via blowouts. That means if New England can keep it close early, Buffalo will likely find a way to lose it. The road team is 22-8 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 32 meetings between New England and Buffalo.

10 Unit Play. Take #475 Pittsburgh Steelers over Los Angeles Chargers (8:20p.m., Sunday, November 21 NBC) Just do not trust the Chargers as this big of a favorite over a traditional powerhouse team like Pittsburgh. The Steelers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog. Big Ben should be back for this game and thus we can look past their tie against the Lions last season. Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games at the Chargers. Los Angeles is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games played during Week 11 of the regular season. They are also 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games played during the month of November.

10 Unit Play. Take #262 Denver Broncos over Philadelphia Eagles (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 14 CBS) Both teams are limited on offense, but I just feel Denver is the better all-around team. Philadelphia could not stop Justin Herbert whatsoever last week (Chargers never punted) and I see Teddy Bridgewater putting up big number in this game as well. Denver is coming off one of the most impressive and shocking results of the season, beating Dallas in Arlington. That game was never competitive and look for them to follow that up with another strong performance in this game. Philadelphia was lucky to hang around against the Chargers last week and if the Broncos can stop the run they will win this game by double digits. The Eagles are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Broncos are 4-1 ATS int their last 5 games against teams with a losing record.

10 Unit Play. Take #467 Los Angeles Chargers over Philadelphia Eagles (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 7 CBS) Philadelphia got back on track last week but that was against Detroit, a winless team in 2021. Los Angeles is coming off a disappointing loss to New England last Sunday but look for them to bounce back. They have a major edge in talent on the offensive side of the football. Philadelphia is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against AFC teams. The Chargers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. Los Angeles needs this game more and they get it by double digits behind a strong performance from QB Herbert and company.

10 Unit Play. Take #254 Atlanta Falcons over Carolina Panthers (1p.m., Sunday, October 31 FOX) NFL Game of the Year The Panthers are in freefall now having lost 4 straight games. They are backing their turnaround on Christian McCaffrey coming back later in the season, but I do not see things getting any better until then. Atlanta has won 3 of their last 4 games and played well last week against Miami leading for most of that game before turnovers got the Dolphins a late lead. They will clean that up on Sunday and win this game by close to double digits. Carolina has had turnover issues and I do not expect that to be cleaned up in this game either. QB Donald is not a top tier player and Carolina did much of their damage at the start of the season against bad teams. Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Carolina. The Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games. Atlanta is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a losing record.

10 Unit Play. Take #272 New England Patriots over Dallas Cowboys (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 17 CBS) Just feel Dallas is due for a regression having covered the spread in every game that they have played in 2021. Dallas has not won a game in Foxboro since the 1980s and they have also lost 6 straight games to New England. Also do not believe the Patriots will lose 4 straight home games. This game will go down to the wire and we will cover the spread with whoever comes out on top. Dallas is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. New England is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog.

10 Unit Play. Take #457 New Orleans Saints over Washington Football Team (1p.m., Sunday, October 10 FOX) Just do not believe in Washington especially on the offensive side of the football. New Orleans plays better on the road going 16-7 ATS in their last 16 road games when they are the favorite. They still have more playmakers compared to Washington and that will be the difference today. The Saints are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. Washington is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. Jameis takes care of the football and the Saints take advantage of a couple of key injuries on offense for the Football team.

10 Unit Play. Take #280 Los Angeles Chargers over Las Vegas Raiders (8:15p.m., Monday, October 3 ESPN) Just do not feel the Raiders will be able to handle prosperity. They enter this game at 3-0, but needed to survive last week at home against the Dolphins, a team that was playing a backup quarterback. The Chargers are coming off an impressive victory at Kansas City last Sunday and have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games (1 push). Las Vegas is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games played during the month of October. Los Angeles is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 divisional games. 

10 Unit Play. Take #496 San Francisco 49ers over Green Bay Packers (8:20p.m., Sunday, September 26 NBC) Green Bay pulling away late on Monday Night Football gave us the value we like for this game. The favorite has dominated this match in recent years covering the spread at an 80% clip. Just am not sold on this Green Bay defense, as new coordinator Joe Barry seems lost as the leader of the defense. Just do not believe the Packers will be able stop the rushing attack of the 49ers and thus I do not expect Jimmy G to have to win this game with his arm. Green Bay must travel on short rest should allow the 49ers to win this game by around double-digits.

10 Unit Play. Take #291 Tennessee Titans over Seattle Seahawks (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 19 CBS) Tennessee getting blown out was one of the most shocking results in week 1 of the 2021 Regular Season. The Titans have beaten the Seahawks in 2 of the last 3 meetings and they are 6-2 ATS over the last 8 years in their road opening game. Seattle is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a victory in their previous game. Just think pride sets in for Tennessee and they take this game down to the wire.

10 Unit Play. Take #102 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Kansas City Chiefs (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 7 CBS) SUPER BOWL 55. Just feel Tampa Bay is the better all-around team and Tom Brady seems to be the destined winner of this game. Tampa Bay has won three straight road games to get to this point or being the first team ever to host the Super Bowl in their own stadium. Kansas City is loaded on offense, but they have offensive line injuries, and the Buccaneers have a pass rush capable of putting pressure on QB Mahomes for the entire 60-minute game. Kansas City has been winning games of late, but they have not been covering the spread and I just do not see them being able to move the football at will against this Tampa Bay defense.

These two teams met earlier this season and Kansas City jumped out big before Tampa Bay rallied, and had they gotten a stop might have been able to win that game. Tampa Bay has gotten revenge on two teams in the playoffs and I expect them to get revenge on Kansas City as well. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between Tampa Bay and Kansas City. The Chiefs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games. The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Tampa wins this game straight-up and gives Brady his 7th Super Bowl.

10 Unit Play. Take #312 Green Bay Packers over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3:05p.m., Sunday, January 24 FOX) This line has been creeping down since it opened Sunday night and I now like the Packers even more. QB Brady has played in cold weather for most of his career but he just is not playing at the same level as QB Rodgers is now. Tampa Bay benefited greatly from 4 New Orleans turnovers last week and I just do not believe Green Bay will do the same thing. The Packers have not only been winning games of late, they also have been covering the spread in those games as well. Now we get them at home (with fans) and a low number. Green Bay is 8-1 straight-up at home this year (6-3 ATS) and I see them jumping out early and winning this game by double-digits. Tampa Bay is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played during the month of January. Green Bay is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played during January. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 matchups between the Buccaneers and Packers.

10 Unit Play. Take #302 Green Bay Packers over Los Angeles Rams (4:35p.m., Saturday, January 16 FOX) NFL PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR We used the 49ers has our top play last year right out of the gate in the Divisional Round and will follow that formula again in 2021. The Rams are banged up and the game time temperature for this game should be around 30 degrees. The Packers are rested and QB Rodgers knows the importance of having the No. 1 seed in the NFC (only had it 1 other time in his career). Green Bay is 13-1 in their last 14 home games. QB Rodgers has a 23-2 touchdown to interception ratio at home this year. Green Bay led the league in points this year and I just do not believe Los Angeles will be able to match them score for score in this game. The Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against the Packers. The favorite is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings as well. Green Bay is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record.

10 Unit Play. Take #150 New Orleans Saints over Chicago Bears (4:40p.m., Sunday, January 10 CBS) The Bears backed into the playoffs this season with a soft schedule down the stretch before getting pounded at home last week against the Packers. The Saints are simply better on both sides of the football and they will win this game by double-digits. New Orleans lost last year in the wildcard round and thus they will not take this game lightly. QB Trubisky has played better of late, but neither the coaching staff or fans have much confidence that he will perform well in this game. He is not the quarterback of the future and this may be the end of the road for him in Chicago as the starter. New Orleans is 5-1 ATS (1 push) in the last 7 games against Chicago. The Saints are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

10 Unit Play. Take #105 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 3 FOX) The Packers will need to win this game to clinch the No. 1 seed and earn the only bye in the NFC. Green Bay has won 8 of the last 9 games against Chicago and crushed them in the first meeting in November at Lambeau Field. The favorite is 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings between Green Bay and Chicago. The Bears are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. QB Rodgers cements his legacy as the 2020 MVP with another outstanding performance and a double-digit Packers victory.

10 Unit Play. Take #480 Green Bay Packers over Tennessee Titans (8:20p.m., Sunday, December 27 NBC) Green Bay has the No. 1 seed in sight if they win this game tonight and I see no reason not to lay this small number with the best team in the NFC. QB Tannehill has played outstanding this season but he is not in the same league as Aaron Rogers, the likely MVP of the league. Green Bay has been jumping out early on teams of late and I see them doing the same as well in this game. They will need to stop the run-on defense, but their defense last been playing better of late as well. The Titans are 3-13 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 games played during Week 16 of the regular season. Green Bay is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. The Packers win this game by 7-10 points and lay claim to the No. 1 seed in the NFC.

10 Unit Play. Take #158 New York Giants over Arizona Cardinals (1p.m., Sunday, December 13 CBS) Just believe these two teams are heading in opposite directions. Arizona is a fluke play away from losing 5 straight games and they may need to win 3 of their last 4 to make the playoffs. The Giants have won 4 straight and have control of the NFC East since they own the tiebreaker with Washington. They are coming off their best performance of the year beating Seattle in the Emerald City last time out. It goes not matter who the Giants start at quarterback, they are going to win this game. Arizona has been easy to run on of late and Wayne Gallman should put up big numbers. Arizona is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. The Giants are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.

10 Unit Play. Take #477 Buffalo Bills over San Francisco 49ers (8:15p.m., Monday, December 7 ESPN) Buffalo has already won in Arizona this season and now they get a huge advantage with the 49ers having to play on the road as well. Just not sold on the 49ers, especially on offense. QB Mullins has limitations and if Buffalo does not turn over the football, the 49ers will struggle to score points. Buffalo has gone 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against NFC teams. They have already beaten the Rams and Seahawks, and had the Cardinals beat before giving up a Hail Mary pass with just seconds remaining. They will make it 3 of 4 on Monday night against the NFC West with a double-digit victory.

10 Unit Play. Take #123 Washington Football Team over Dallas Cowboys (4:30p.m., Thursday, November 26 FOX) Nobody can handle prosperity in the NFC East and I look for this game to go down to the wire. Dallas had a medical emergency on Tuesday and thus they were not able to practice for a team already on a short week. Washington won the first meeting by 22 points and having a stable quarterback in Alex Smith should allow this team to win some games down the stretch. The underdog is 28-13 ATS in the last 41 meetings between Washington and Dallas.

10 Unit Play. Take #260 Cleveland Browns over Las Vegas Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, November 1 CBS) Just feel the line is light and we will side with the home team looking for their sixth victory on the season. OBJ is out, but Cleveland still has a ton of weapons and QB Mayfield should be able to pick apart this suspect Raiders defense. Las Vegas has a ton of issues on both sides of the football and Cleveland usually does well when not playing Pittsburgh or Baltimore. The Raiders have allowed 30+ points in 5 of their last 6 games including 12 rushing touchdowns during this span. Cleveland is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against Las Vegas. The Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 AFC games.

10 Unit Play. Take #472 Denver Broncos over Kansas City Chiefs (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 25 CBS) Denver is coming off a big victory at Foxborough last Sunday, a team the Chiefs struggled to beat. Now Kansas City must play in the Mile-High air on short rest against a team that is desperate to remain in the playoff race. Kansas City has dominated Denver in recent years but getting Drew Lock back should stabilize the Broncos offense. The Broncos are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games played during the month of October.

10 Unit Play. Take #252 Carolina Panthers over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, October 18 FOX) The Bears are a fraud at 4-1 and I think there is a good chance they do not even make the playoffs come January. 3 of their 4 wins have come against the Lions, Giants, and Falcons. Carolina has won 3 straight games and Chicago is 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games. Carolina is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of October. The Panthers have something going with a new coach and quarterback and we will ride them again on Sunday looking for their fourth straight wins.

10 Unit Play. Take #276 Las Vegas Raiders over Buffalo Bills (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 4 CBS) Karma will bite the Buffalo Bills in this game. They were very fortunate to win last week against the Rams with the help of a questionable pass interference call kept their game winning driver alive. The Raiders got worn down last week against the Patriots but expect them to bounce back in a big way at home today against the Bills. The Raiders played well against the Saints and expect them to find their form from that game. Buffalo is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Oakland. Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played during the month of October. Oakland is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

10 Unit Play. Take #484 Arizona Cardinals over Detroit Lions (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 27 FOX) Just do not understand these lines the last two weeks with the Lions. They jumped up on Green Bay 14-3 last week and still got killed. Now they are on the road for a second straight week and most believe they have a lame duck coach and the team is going nowhere fast. Arizona is getting more confident each week and Kyler Murray looks like he was worth taking as the No. 1 overall pick. The Lions have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 games. Detroit is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in the desert. The Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record.

10 Unit Play. Take Green Bay Packers over Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, September 20 FOX) Green Bay just continues to be undervalued again in 2020. This team won 13 games in 2019 and started off 2020 with a dominating road win at Minnesota. Now they return home to face the Lions, a team that has had very little success in Green Bay over the years. Detroit is coming off an unthinkable loss to Chicago last week in a game they led by 17 points in the fourth quarter. Green Bay has won 7 straight games against divisional teams. The favorite is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings between Detroit and Green Bay. The Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of September.

10 Unit Play. Take #102 Kansas City Chiefs over San Francisco 49ers (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 2 FOX) The line on this game is low and you can make a case for both sides. In the end I just feel it is the Chiefs time especially for their Coach Andy Reid, a sentimental favorite of most people to finally win a Super Bowl. Coach Reid is outstanding coming off a bye and he also has the better quarterback behind center in this game. Two straight weeks the Chiefs have gotten behind early only to have the lead by halftime and control the game in the second half. The 49ers have not faced any adversity in the playoffs this season and I am not sure how they will react if the Chiefs can force them to throw the football in obvious passing situations. Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against San Francisco. The 49ers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a win of more than 14 points in their previous game. Kansas City is 7-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games.

10 Unit Play. Take #313 Tennessee Titans over Kansas City Chiefs (3:05p.m., Sunday, January 19 CBS) Everyone just assumes the Kansas City will cruise to the Super Bowl after having their scare early in the divisional round against Houston. But one must remember Andy Reid has really struggled in this round winning just 1 time in 6 tires. Tennessee appears destined to run the gauntlet of New England, Baltimore, and now Kansas City. The Titans are much better coached than are the Texans and if they get a lead in this game, they may not give it up. Tennessee is 7-3 straight-up in their 10 road games this season (7-3 ATS). The road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings between Tennessee and Kansas City. The Chiefs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 playoff games. The Titans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games.

10 Unit Play. Take #302 San Francisco 49ers over Minnesota Vikings (4:35p.m., Saturday, January 11 CBS) The Vikings are coming off an impressive victory, but this team has not handled prosperity well and now must travel to the west coast to face the best team in the conference. San Francisco is 4-1 straight-up against Minnesota in the playoffs. San Francisco has a great play caller in Kyle Shanahan, and they are better than Minnesota on both sides of the football. Minnesota is 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games against teams with a winning record. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games between the Vikings and 49ers. Minnesota cannot backup their performance from last week and thus San Francisco wins this game by double digits.

10 Unit Play. Take #148 Philadelphia Eagles over Seattle Seahawks (4:40p.m., Sunday, January 5 NBC) The Seahawks are reeling at the moment having lost two straight home games and injuries have taken its toll on this team. Philadelphia is heading in the right direction and I do not believe they will lose twice to Seattle in the city of Brotherly Love. Seattle defense is not close to what it once was and all the pressure of QB Wilson having to do everything is finally catching up with this team. Seattle is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff games. Philadelphia is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of January.

10 Unit Play. Take #476 Seattle Seahawks over Minnesota Vikings (8:15p.m., Monday, December 2 ESPN) The Seahawks have not played at home since November 3 and they have been outstanding of late winning 4 straight games. Minnesota is a quiet 8-3 but I still do not trust QB Cousins to win big primetime games in December. These two teams met in Seattle on Monday Night Football last year and the Seahawks dominated that game winning by 14 points. The Seahawks have won 6 straight games against NFC teams. Minnesota is 2-10 ATS in their last 12 Monday Night games. Seattle is 10-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 15 Monday Night games.

10 Unit Play. Take #476 Los Angeles Chargers over Kansas City Chiefs (8:15p.m., Monday, November 18 ESPN) The NFL is back in Mexico City and this game should go off as planned unlike the 2018 version. Kansas City has been exposed of late with a suspect defense and thus QB Mahomes and company are going to have to score points in order to win this game. We will grab the points and expect QB Rivers and company to win this game straight-up. The Chargers have the better defense and should be able to get pressure on QB Mahomes. The Chiefs have just not been the same team of late, having lost 4 of their last 6 games. The Chargers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played during the month of November. Kansas City is 2-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games played during the month of November.

10 Unit Play. Take #269 Carolina Panthers over San Francisco 49ers (1p.m., Sunday, October 27 FOX) Carolina has made the wise decision to continue to ride QB Kyle Allen, as he is 4-0 in starts this season (4-0 ATS). Carolina has beaten San Francisco 6 straight games (6-0 ATS) and they need this game more in order to keep pace with the New Orleans Saints in their division. Still not sold on the 49ers offense and if Carolina does not beat themselves, they should be able to take this game down to the wire. The Panthers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games in San Francisco and 14-3 in the last 17 meetings. These trends just cannot be ignored especially when they are getting this many points.

10 Unit Play. Take Tennessee Titans over Los Angeles Chargers (4:05p.m., Sunday, October 20 CBS) We went against both of these teams last week and easily won both games. That being said the Chargers have no offensive line and were destroyed by a free agent quarterback last week in Devlin Hodges. Having no home field advantage is starting to take its toll on this team. It does not matter who starts for Tennessee at quarterback in this game, the Titans defense should dominate and win this game. Los Angeles is 1-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games overall. The favorite is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 9 games between the Chargers and Titans.

10 Unit Play. Take #276 Green Bay Packers over Detroit Lions (8:15p.m., Monday, October 14 ESPN) This line is short, and we will ride the Packers at home playing a team that they hardly lose against. Detroit has won 4 straight games in this series, but Green Bay has still won 28 of the last 38 meetings. Detroit has played well this season, but I just believe Green Bay is better on both sides of the football. Detroit is 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games against teams with a winning record. The favorite is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings between the Lions and Packers.

10 Unit Play. Take #473 Green Bay Packers over Dallas Cowboys (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 6 FOX) Green Bay has dominated this series in recent years covering the spread in 6 of the last 8 games against Dallas. The Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. QB Aaron Rodgers put up big numbers last week against Philadelphia but had trouble inside the 5 yard line and that bite them late in that game. Expect them to correct that this week and be able to take this game down to the wire. Dallas played an easy schedule to open the season and did not look well last week against New Orleans. Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. The Packers win this game straight-up giving us another victory with an underdog.

10 Unit Play. Take #269 Seattle Seahawks over Arizona Cardinals (4:05p.m., Sunday, September 29 FOX) The Seahawks came out flat last time out against a desperate Saints team. Now they face a much less talented Cardinals team that has an unproven coach and quarterback. Arizona got torched last week against Carolina and a back-up quarterback and now must face a pro bowler in Russell Wilson. Seattle is 4-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games in Arizona. The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Seattle is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Kliff Kingsbury appears to be in over his head, as he could not win consistently in college and will struggle to survive as a head coach in the NFL.

10 Unit Play. Take Detroit Lions over Philadelphia Eagles (1 p.m., Sunday, September 21 FOX) The Eagles are reeling now with a ton of injuries and did not have enough healthy bodies to practice on Wednesday. The Eagles have yet to look impressive this year, and now they face another solid quarterback that should be able to move the football on them. Detroit is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Philadelphia. The Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games. Take the points in this game as it will go down to the wire and be decided by a field goal.

10 Unit Play. Take #306 New England Patriots over Los Angeles Chargers (1:05p.m., Sunday, January 13 CBS) The Chargers have been on a roll but playing their third straight road games against a rested team will doom them in. The Patriots are a much better team at home and they are the only team that did not lose a home game this season. Los Angeles still seems to be banged up at the skill positions and I am not sure that their wide receivers can stretch the field against New England. QB Rivers is 1-5 in his career against New England and is 0-2 in the playoffs. New England is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 playoff games. Los Angeles is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against New England. Everyone is doubting the Patriots at this moment, but they still are the Patriots with the best coach/quarterback combo of all time. New England dominates for 60 minutes and wins this game by double digits.

10 Unit Play. Take #327 New England Patriots over Pittsburgh Steelers (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 16 CBS) Both teams need to turn the page quickly after bad losses last Sunday. The Patriots seldom lose two games in a row and they are playing a team in disarray at the moment. Pittsburgh has not beaten New England since 2011 and the Patriots are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games following a loss in their previous game. Over this winning streak, the Patriots average margin of victory is 11 points against the Steelers. Pittsburgh is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played during the month of December. New England is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games played in December.

10 Unit Play. Take #129 Philadelphia Eagles over Dallas Cowboys (1:25p.m., Sunday, December 9 FOX) Everyone has just given the Cowboys the NFC East and disregarded the defending Super Bowl Champions. We will gladly take the points in this game and look for Philadelphia to come out strong in this must win game for them. The Eagles are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road divisional games when they are an underdog. The Cowboys are 9-18 ATS in their last 27 home divisional games when they are a favorite. The road team has covered the spread in 11 of the last 14 match-ups. 

10 Unit Play. Take #376 New England Patriots over Minnesota Vikings (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 2 FOX) These back to back road games on the docket for Minnesota will likely doom them in. Going to New England this week and Seattle the next week is as tough to travel as there is in the league. Minnesota just does not have the same defense that they had last year. New England will be able to score in the thirties in this game and I just do not believe Minnesota will be able to keep pace. The Patriots are starting to get healthy and they are always tough to beat in December (8-1 ATS last 9 December games). Minnesota is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. The Patriots have just been going through the motions of late, but this is a game that they will get up for and win it by double-digits.

10 Unit Play. Take #468 Seattle Seahawks over Los Angeles Chargers (1:05p.m., Sunday, November 4 CBS) The Seahawks have been playing outstanding football of late and will enter this game having won 4 of their last 5 games. It could be 5-0 if not for a 2-point loss to the Rams. QB Wilson is getting the job done with a bunch of unheralded playmakers around him. They were dominate for three quarters last week against the Lions and look for more of the same this Sunday at home against the Chargers. LA is still banged up on both sides of the football and might be without some key playmakers for this game. LA is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye. Seattle still has a lot of home games remaining this season and I look for them to win all of them and make the playoffs as a wild card. The Chargers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Seattle has covered the spread 4 of their last 5 games.

10 Unit Play. Take #271 Green Bay Packers over Los Angeles Rams (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 28 FOX) TOP NFL PLAY OF THE WEEK. This is one of the largest spreads you will ever see against the Packers with Aaron Rodgers has quarterback. I believe it is too big considering the Packers are coming off a bye and should be able to get some key players back for this game. The Rams have been struggling to cover big numbers despite last week’s romp against an inferior opponent (San Francisco). Expect a shootout int his game that goes down to the wire. Green Bay will have a ton of fans in Los Angeles for this game and the Rams struggled to win home games last year. 56% of the early money is coming in on the Packers and that seldom happens with an underdog with this big of a number. Green Bay has covered the spread 5 straight times against the LA Rams.

10 Unit Play. Take #270 Oakland Raiders over Cleveland Browns (4:05p.m., Sunday, September 20 CBS) The Raiders have had chances in all three of their games but sit at 0-3. This is a very important game for the Raiders and a must win if they have any chance of making the playoffs this season. QB Baker Mayfield will get the start after a nice performance at home against the Jets. Playing in the Black Hole is a much harder task. Cleveland is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a losing record. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between Cleveland and Oakland.

10 Unit Play. Take #287 New York Giants over Dallas Cowboys (8:20p.m., Sunday, September 16 NBC) Both teams are coming off losses in Week 1 but I just see more hope with the Giants compared to the Cowboys. Dallas used to have a strong offensive line but that is not the case anymore. They still have RB Elliott but defenses can stack the line against them since they do not have much deep threat wide receivers. Dallas is just 7-18 ATS in their last 25 home games against a divisional team. New York will win this game straight-up because they have many more weapons on offense compared to Dallas. New York has covered the spread in 5 of the last 7 meetings with Dallas.

10 Unit Play. Take #462 New York Giants over Jacksonville Jaguars (1p.m., Sunday September 9 FOX) Jacksonville is going to start the year in an unfamiliar role, as a road favorite. I see them taking a step back this season and things have to be better for the Giants in 2018. Jacksonville is just 2-6 ATS in road openers in recent years. QB Manning has numerous weapons this season, something he sorely lacked as the 2017 season progressed. Jacksonville’s defense feasted on bad quarterback play in their own division and I expect them to give up points and yards against effective quarterbacks. Jacksonville is 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games played during the month of December. 

10 Unit Play. Take #102 New England Patriots over Philadelphia Eagles (6:30p.m., Sunday February 4 NBC) I feel this is a pretty solid line, but I just cannot see New England losing this game straight-up. All of the Tom Brady Super Bowl games have been close and New England is just due for a convincing win to cap off a great career of Brady and Belichick. Nick Foles still cannot be trusted and I do not expect him to be able to put up big numbers on a neutral field against this New England defense. Philadelphia is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. New England is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning record.

10 Unit Play. Take #308 Minnesota Vikings over New Orleans (4:40p.m., Sunday January 14 FOX) The Vikings will complete the season sweep of the Saints on Sunday. The Vikings have won 10 of their last 11 games and already beat the Saints by double digits. Despite the Saints being much improved on defense they are still at a major disadvantage in this game with an advantage of all three components of the defense (line, linebackers, and secondary). QB Brees will have to play outstanding for New Orleans to be competitive in this game and I do not see that happening. His receivers made remarkable catches last week against Carolina and I just do not believe that they can do that for a second consecutive week. New Orleans has not been playing that well of late going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. Minnesota is 34-16 ATS (1 push) in their last 41 home games.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports 

10 Unit Play. Take #302 Philadelphia Eagles over Atlanta Falcons (4:35p.m., Saturday January 13 NBC) Everyone is on the Atlanta Falcons bandwagon and off the Philadelphia Eagles. A No. 1 seed has never been an underdog in the divisional round but that is the case on Saturday. The Eagles still have a ton of talent around the quarterback position and they will be able to play the no respect card in a big way on Saturday. Atlanta had the benefit of playing in a warm weather city last week but that will not be the case in Philadelphia this Saturday. QB Ryan has not played up to his MVP standards of a year ago and I still have no confidence in their offensive coordinator. The Eagles have a top ranked defense against the run and that should make Atlanta one-dimensional. The Falcons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 playoff games. Philadelphia is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. 

10 Unit Play. #110 Take Dallas Cowboys over Los Angeles Chargers (Sunday 4:30 pm CBS) The Cowboys face a must win situation when they host their annual Thanksgiving Day game. The Chargers are coming off their best performance of the season but most of that success had to be with Buffalo QB Nathan Peterman throwing five interceptions. The Chargers are playing on Thanksgiving for the first time since the merger and playing Thursday games on the road is always a tough task. Dallas is getting a step down in class compared to their last two games (Philadelphia & Atlanta) and should be getting back some of their players for this game. The Chargers never seem to handle prosperity well evident by their loss at Jacksonville two weeks ago and you just cannot count on them to win games consistently. Los Angeles is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a victory in their previous game. Dallas is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. 

10 Unit Play. #452 Take Chicago Bears over Detroit Lions (Sunday 1 pm FOX) The Bears are coming off a terrible performance against Green Bay last Sunday. They played terrible and coached terrible at different times in that game and still have a decent chance to win it. Now they take on the Lions, a team that has won two straight games, but they did not look impressive last week against Cleveland. The Bears beat the Lions last year in Chicago and Detroit is just 2-6 ATS (1 push) as a road favorite in a divisional game. Chicago is 8-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 home games when they are an underdog. Chicago has already beaten Pittsburgh and Carolina at home this season and Detroit never seems to handle prosperity very well. 

10 Unit Play. #454 Take New York Giants over Los Angeles Rams (Sunday 1 pm FOX) Both teams are coming off a bye week and I just do not see the Giants getting blown out in this game. New York has owned this match-up beating Los Angeles 7 straight times (7-0 ATS) with a 13-point average margin of victory. The Rams are a nondivisional road favorite for just the third time in 10 years. I believe the Rams are playing a little over their heads now and this will be their second cross country flight in three weeks (London Game two weeks ago). The Rams are 2-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 games against NFC teams. The Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning road record. 

10 Unit Play. #254 Take New Orleans Saints over Chicago Bears (Sunday 1 pm FOX) The Bears victory last week was fool’s gold and they are not a good team. Furthermore, their offense is terrible, and they will not be able to keep pace this week against New Orleans. The Saints did not even play well last week on the road and still won by 9 points against a team that already pounded the Bears. New Orleans defense is for real and when you pair that with QB Brees this is a team that can make some noise in the playoffs. The Saints have won four straight games via blowout and should have no problem winning this game against a rookie quarterback by double digits. QB Mitchell Trubisky has not done anything to make we believe he can win games on his own, as he is just completing 50% of his passes. If the Saints do not beat themselves, they will win this game going away. 

10 Unit Play. #466 Take Green Bay Packers over New Orleans Saints (Sunday 1 pm FOX) QB Rodgers will not be playing in this game but I feel that the spread has been over adjusted. Green Bay would have been around this much of a favorite if they had their No. 1 quarterback. Having a week to prepare Brett Hundley and playing at home will benefit this team and I see this as a field goal game. I believe New Orleans is playing a bit over their heads especially on defense and I expect them to revert back to the norm in this game. Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. 

10 Unit Play. #268 Take Arizona Cardinals over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Sunday 4:05 pm FOX) We have been very successful all season long picking teams that looked bad the previous week and we will again use that format. Arizona did not come to play last week at Philadelphia but they still have some talent on both sides of the football. Arizona blasted Tampa Bay last season by a score of 40-7 and this is a game they need in the worst way to keep their slim chances of a playoff spot alive. Arizona has yet to cover a spread this season but I feel the odds makers have over adjusted the spread in this game. Arizona should be favored since and homefield will give them a big edge in this game. 

10 Unit Play. #469 Take Baltimore Ravens over Oakland Raiders (Sunday 4:05 pm CBS) The Raiders have never been a team that seems to handle prosperity well and become a consistent playoff team. They have looked terrible on offense the last two weeks and now must play a game without their QB Derek Carr. Baltimore looked terrible last week as well against Pittsburgh but should be able to move the football better against this Oakland defense. The Raiders are never a good play as a home favorite going 11-25 in their last 36 occurrences. This was a one-point game last year with Oakland winning and I just cannot see Oakland blowing them out with E.J. Manuel behind center. Baltimore cannot play as bad on offense as they did last week, can they? 

10 Unit Play. #276 Take Denver Broncos over Oakland Raiders (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS) Oakland was exposed last week and I do not believe they will challenge to be the top team in the AFC. Now they are playing on the road for a second straight week against a divisional rival. Denver has won 8 of the last 10 games against Oakland. Denver has a bye on deck and the favorite has covered 8 of the last 9 games. Denver has a much better defense than does Oakland and playing in the Mile-High air should give QB Siemian some confidence. Denver is always a tough team to beat early in the season, especially at home and they get the job done against on Sunday afternoon. 

10 Unit Play. #468 Take New York Jets over Miami Dolphins (Sunday 1 pm CBS) Jay Cutler is not David Carr and I just do not believe he will be able to pick apart the Jets like the Raiders did last week. Miami was lucky to get a win last week in San Diego needing a missed field goal as time was expiring. I usually believe that teams bounce back after getting embarrassed the week before in the NFL and expect that to be the case here. This is a tough travel situation for Miami, coming back from San Diego and they have to go to London next week. Miami is 1-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games played during Week 3. 

10 Unit Play. #284 Take Denver Broncos over Dallas Cowboys (Sunday 4:24 pm FOX) Both teams are coming off home wins but we will ride the Broncos again to a hot start this year like what they did last year. New York looked lost without OBJ last week and Dallas will have a much tougher time containing the Broncos this week. Denver is 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog. Denver is 7-0 in their past 7 home games during the first two weeks of the season. Denver has the better defense and we saw last week home far ahead the defenses are compared to the offenses in most cases. Dallas is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

10 Unit Play. #474 Take Green Bay Packers over Seattle Seahawks (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS) These teams seem to meet every year with the home team dominating this series (5-0 ATS last five games). The Hawks lost in Green Bay by 28 points last season and by 10 points in 2015. Green Bay is 8-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 home openers. The Packers have the better offense and QB Rodgers has enough weapons to attack this strong Hawks defense in a variety of ways. Seattle is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of September. 

10 Unit Play. #101 Take New England Patriots over Atlanta Falcons (Super Bowl 51, Sunday, 6:30 pm FOX) Just cannot bet my hard-earned money against Brady and Belichick. The Patriots are the more complete team on both sides of the football and will have two weeks before kickoff to devise a plan to slow down this high-powered Atlanta offense. If New England can jump on to a lead early I see them winning this game by double digits as Atlanta has not faced that much over the last couple of months. The Falcons still have a very shaky defense and if New England is balanced that will not allow their front four to just tee off on the quarterback. The current Patriots have won four of their six Super Bowls and Belichick and Brady have won 24 playoff games together. The Patriots have the No. 1 ranked defense and the defense has the advantage when playing the No. 1 offense in the Super Bowl winning five of the last six meetings. Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 playoff games (0-6 ATS prior to this year). New England has covered the spread in five straight games against teams with a winning record.