10 Unit Play. Take #405 Tennessee Volunteers over South Carolina Gamecocks (7:30p.m., Saturday, September 26 SECN) Tennessee got off to a horrible start last year but beating South Carolina by 21 points was the turning point. That was the first game of a six-game winning streak to close out the 2019 season. Tennessee is more experienced and that is a good thing since practices have been hard to come by during this Covid summer. The visitor is 18-5 ATS in the last 23 games between Tennessee and USC. Carolina was terrible on offense last year and I just do not have confidence that Will Muschamp is the guy to turn this program around. South Carolina is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 SEC games.

4 Unit Play. Take #402 Pittsburgh Panthers over Louisville Cardinals (12p.m., Saturday, September 26 ACCN) WKU losing straight-up despite being a big favorite to Liberty last Saturday was an indicator that this Louisville team is not all that good. The Cardinals lost at home to Miami later that evening and I do not see things getting better for them on the road at Pittsburgh. The Panthers were not very impressive either against Syracuse but remember that the Orange hung around against North Carolina for three quarters before collapsing in the fourth quarter. Pittsburgh has won 5 of the last 6 games against Louisville and has covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 meetings. The Panthers dominated more than the score indicated last week but missed three field goals. They clean that up today and win this one by double digits.  

10 Unit Play. Take Green Bay Packers over Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, September 20 FOX) Green Bay just continues to be undervalued again in 2020. This team won 13 games in 2019 and started off 2020 with a dominating road win at Minnesota. Now they return home to face the Lions, a team that has had very little success in Green Bay over the years. Detroit is coming off an unthinkable loss to Chicago last week in a game they led by 17 points in the fourth quarter. Green Bay has won 7 straight games against divisional teams. The favorite is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings between Detroit and Green Bay. The Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of September.

4 Unit Play. Take #277 New York Giants over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, September 20 FOX) The Giants were in position on Monday to take the game with the Steelers down to the wire, but a turnover inside the red zone did them in. Now they face a team in Chicago that was extremely lucky to get a victory last week at Detroit. The Bears should not be favored by this many points against any team in the league. RB Barkley will have an easier time running the football in this game, and QB Jones will only get better as the season progresses. The Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games played in Chicago against the Bears. Chicago is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.

4 Unit Play. Take #270 New York Jets over San Francisco 49ers (1p.m., Sunday, September 20 FOX) The 49ers have a Super Bowl hangover, and now injuries are starting to pile up. The Jets are terrible as well, but I just believe they will bounce back at home after getting pounded last week at Buffalo. New York went 3-1 against the NFC in 2019 (straight-up and ATS). The underdog has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings. San Francisco is 7-19 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 games as a favorite. The Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

10 Unit Play. #108 NC State Wolfpack over Wake Forest Demon Deacons (8p.m., Saturday, September 19 ACCN) Wake Forest has the advantage of having played last week but the home team has dominated this series. The home team has won 19 of the last 23 meetings and is also 18-5 ATS. NC State is coming off a rare down year in 2019 winning just 4 games but the track record of Dave Doeren suggests they will bounce back and have a winning record this year. Wake Forest has allowed 36.3 points per game in their last 6 games. Wake Forest is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win in their previous game.

4 Unit Play. Take #124 WKU Hilltoppers over Liberty Flames (12p.m., Saturday, September 19 ESPNU) Western Kentucky did not play that well on offense last week but should have a much easier time moving the football against Liberty this week. The Toppers defense played decent against Louisville but got beat deep on a couple of fluke plays. They did block two punts in that game and I just believe they are better in all three phases than is Liberty. The Flames lack experience on both sides of the football, and this is their first game of the season. WKU is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games. Liberty is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 nonconference games.

4 Unit Play. #102 Cleveland Browns over Cincinnati Bengals (8:20p.m., Thursday, September 17 NFLN) The Browns need this game after laying an egg in the first game against Baltimore. The Bengals outperformed some expectations in Week 1, but I just do not believe they are a good enough team to be competitive on the road. The line has dropped under a touchdown, and now I believe the value lies with the Browns. The favorite is 8-2 ATS in the last two meetings in this Battle of Ohio. Cincinnati is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games played on Thursday.

10 Unit Play. Take #479 Pittsburgh Steelers over New York Giants (7:15p.m., Monday, September 14 ESPN) This is a popular pick with all the newsletters and handicappers, and we will side with them early in the season. Pittsburgh needs to make the playoffs this year after missing out the last two years. Pressure is on Tomlin and Roethlisberger and expect them to respond in a positive way to challenge Baltimore in the AFC North. QB Jones played well at times last season, but now does not have an offensive coach. The Giants have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 games as a home underdog. New York is also 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Week 1 games. Pittsburgh is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played on Monday Night Football.

4 Unit Play. Take #453 Miami Dolphins over New England Patriots (1p.m., Sunday, September 13 CBS) The Patriots are still the Patriots, but I just feel this is too many points to be giving against a divisional foe. Miami won at Foxboro in their last game of the 2019 season and should only be better this year under year 2 of Brian Flores. Miami is 6-1 ATS in their season opener over the last 7 years. The Patriots are 0-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 home games. Miami is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against AFC teams.

4 Unit Play. Take #462 Atlanta Falcons over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, September 13 FOX) Just do not believe the Seahawks have all that great of talent besides Russell Wilson. Seattle has failed to cover 5 straight season openers. Expect a lot of offense in this game but I believe the Falcons need this one more in order to get off to a good start in 2020. Atlanta won 6 of their last 8 games in 2019 to save the job on Dan Quinn. Matt Ryan will be able to hold his own in this game especially with the better offensive weapons that they have. Seattle is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

4 Unit Play. Take #469 Green Bay Packers over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, September 13 FOX) Many people are expecting Green Bay to fall back this year after going 13-3 in 2019. But we will gladly grab the points in this game, as the Packers have covered the spread in 4 straight games against the Vikings. QB Cousins is no match for QB Rodgers, as he is just 7-31 in his last 38 games against teams that finish the season with a winning record. Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Week 1 games.

10 Unit Play. Take #406 Louisville Cardinals over WKU Hilltoppers (8p.m., Saturday, September 12 ACCN) Just liked how Louisville played in year one under Scott Satterfield winning 8 games including the Music City Bowl last time they took the field. They return a ton of playmakers on both sides of the football including Micale Cunningham, who threw for 22 touchdowns last year. They teams met last year at a neutral site and they game was over early with Louisville up 24 points at halftime before a minor comeback by WKU to only lose by 17 points. Louisville is expected to have some fans in the stands and that will only make this much more of a homefield edge. The Cardinals are 19-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 games against Conference USA teams.

4 Unit Play. Take #395 Syracuse Orange over North Carolina Tar Heels (12p.m., Saturday, September 12 ACCN) Just feel this spread has risen too high considering this is a conference game with no fans in attendance. The Orange played better down the stretch winning two of their last three games, both times they were underdogs. They return some talent on offense and should be able to score some points to keep up with North Carolina. The Tar Heels are loaded on offense as well, but Mack Brown teams have never been known to be offensive juggernauts. Expect the Orange to stay within this number, which has now gone over three touchdowns. Syracuse is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played during the month of September.

10 Unit Play. Take #243 BY Cougars over Navy Midshipman (8p.m., Monday, September 7 ESPN) The line movement tells me a lot for this game. Navy opened as a small home favorite of 2.5 but now BYU is favored at release time for this play. I always like extra time to prepare for the triple option and that is what BYU has for this game. QB Zach Wilson is back behind center for the Cougars and played better down the stretch last year winning 5 of his last 6 regular season games. Most year’s Navy has to rebuild and that is again the case this year losing their quarterback from last season. They were not as good as their record indicated last year and are just a middle of the pack team in the AAC this year. Navy is 1-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games against Independent teams.

3 Unit Play. Take #242 Army Black Knights over Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1:30p.m., Saturday, September 5 CBSSN) This game was added in August and thus the Blue Raiders do not have as much time as normal to prepare for the triple option. The Black Nights took a step back in 2019 but look to turn things around in 2020 and this is important game for them in hopes of having a winning season. MTSU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played during the month of September. Army is 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games played during the month of September. 82% of the money is coming in on Army and that is usually a key indicator early in the season.

2 Unit Play. Take #235 South Alabama Jaguars +13 over Southern Miss Golden Eagles (9p.m., Thursday, September 3 CBSSN) This line opened at 16 but has come down under two touchdown and we will side with the line movement. The Golden Eagles did not perform well down the stretch losing three straight games by double digits to close out the 2019 season. USA is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Southern Miss is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played on Thursday.

10 Unit Play. Take #102 Kansas City Chiefs over San Francisco 49ers (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 2 FOX) The line on this game is low and you can make a case for both sides. In the end I just feel it is the Chiefs time especially for their Coach Andy Reid, a sentimental favorite of most people to finally win a Super Bowl. Coach Reid is outstanding coming off a bye and he also has the better quarterback behind center in this game. Two straight weeks the Chiefs have gotten behind early only to have the lead by halftime and control the game in the second half. The 49ers have not faced any adversity in the playoffs this season and I am not sure how they will react if the Chiefs can force them to throw the football in obvious passing situations. Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against San Francisco. The 49ers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a win of more than 14 points in their previous game. Kansas City is 7-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #312 San Francisco 49ers over Green Bay Packers (6:40p.m., Sunday, January 19 FOX) The 49ers dominated the regular season meeting. This game will be closer, but I just believe San Francisco is better in all 3 phases plus have a better coaching staff to boot. San Francisco has covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games against Green Bay. San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. This has a feel of the NFC Championship from 3 years ago when Green Bay went to Atlanta and just could not compete losing 44-21.

10 Unit Play. Take #313 Tennessee Titans over Kansas City Chiefs (3:05p.m., Sunday, January 19 CBS) Everyone just assumes the Kansas City will cruise to the Super Bowl after having their scare early in the divisional round against Houston. But one must remember Andy Reid has really struggled in this round winning just 1 time in 6 tires. Tennessee appears destined to run the gauntlet of New England, Baltimore, and now Kansas City. The Titans are much better coached than are the Texans and if they get a lead in this game, they may not give it up. Tennessee is 7-3 straight-up in their 10 road games this season (7-3 ATS). The road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings between Tennessee and Kansas City. The Chiefs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 playoff games. The Titans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games.

3 Unit Play. Take #284 LSU Tigers over Clemson Tigers (8:10p.m., Monday, January 13 ESPN) LSU has been more dominating for the start of the season to the finish and playing in New Orleans will push them over the top to win a National Championship. Clemson had a very physical game against Ohio State in the semifinals and I just do not know how much left they have in the tank for this game. Clemson had trouble containing Ohio State and benefited by a strong red zone defense. LSU will move the football and finish drives in the red zone with a touchdown. LSU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games when they are favored. Clemson’s winning streak ends tonight as the LSU Tigers prove once again, they are the best team in the country.

4 Unit Play. Take #308 Green Bay Packers over Seattle Seahawks (6:40p.m., Sunday, January 12 FOX) Green Bay still gets no respect for being 13-3 and many believe Seattle will just walk into Lambeau Field and win this game. Green Bay was 7-1 this season at home and has dominated Seattle in Wisconsin going 5-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 meetings. The Packers are a much healthier team than are the Seahawks and I just do not believe QB Wilson has enough weapons around him to win this game. Seattle is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 divisional round games. Green Bay is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. Packers use their home field advantage to rise to the occasion and win this game by close to 10 points.

10 Unit Play. Take #302 San Francisco 49ers over Minnesota Vikings (4:35p.m., Saturday, January 11 CBS) The Vikings are coming off an impressive victory, but this team has not handled prosperity well and now must travel to the west coast to face the best team in the conference. San Francisco is 4-1 straight-up against Minnesota in the playoffs. San Francisco has a great play caller in Kyle Shanahan, and they are better than Minnesota on both sides of the football. Minnesota is 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games against teams with a winning record. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games between the Vikings and 49ers. Minnesota cannot backup their performance from last week and thus San Francisco wins this game by double digits.

10 Unit Play. Take #148 Philadelphia Eagles over Seattle Seahawks (4:40p.m., Sunday, January 5 NBC) The Seahawks are reeling at the moment having lost two straight home games and injuries have taken its toll on this team. Philadelphia is heading in the right direction and I do not believe they will lose twice to Seattle in the city of Brotherly Love. Seattle defense is not close to what it once was and all the pressure of QB Wilson having to do everything is finally catching up with this team. Seattle is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff games. Philadelphia is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of January.

4 Unit Play. Take #144 New England Patriots over Tennessee Titans (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 4 CBS) Everyone is ready to bury the Patriots, but I am not one of them. Tennessee has not been playing great down the stretch either losing two of their last three games before Houston laid down last week letting them cruise to a victory. New England beat Tennessee is the playoffs two years ago by 21 points. I see them winning this game by 7-10 points. QB Tannehill has looked good but I just do not trust him, especially with so much on the line in the playoffs. Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between Tennessee and New England. Tennessee is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played on Saturday. New England is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of January. Just believe the Patriots have too much pride to go out in the Wild Card round and they will find a way to get it down on Saturday.

3 Unit Play. Take #276 Nevada Wolf Pack over Ohio Bobcats (Idaho Potato Bowl, 3:30p.m., Friday, January 3 ESPN) This line really jumped after Nevada got in a brawl last game against UNLV and will be missing some key people in this game. But we will grab the points, as the Pack have had over a month to get new players acquainted. Nevada has better wins on the season and should have a better crowd since Boise is much closer to Reno compared to Athens. This is not one of Ohio’s better teams under Frank Solich and they pretty much just beat the dreads of the MAC to get to 6 wins. Ohio is 2-7 in their last 9 games as a favorite. Nevada is 3-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 bowl games.

10 Unit Play. Take #293 Tennessee Volunteers over Indiana Hoosiers (Gator Bowl, 7p.m., Thursday, January 2 ESPN) Tennessee has had a remarkable turnaround winning 5 straight games to close out the regular season and get the fan base back on board. Both teams have a lot of experience, but I believe the best unit on the field will be the Tennessee defense. Tennessee is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against Big 10 teams. Their last 3 bowl appearances have come against Big 10 teams and they have won those games by 17, 39, and 14 points. Indiana did not finish the season well, losing 2 of their last 3 games with only a 3 point victory against Purdue during this span.

4 Unit Play. Take #267 Wisconsin Badgers over Oregon Ducks (Rose Bowl, 5p.m., Wednesday, January 1 ESPN) The Badgers being favored in this game tells me we are on the right side. Just not a fan of Mario Cristobal as a game coach. He is a great recruiter but never seems to get over the hump and have a truly great season. QB Just Herbert is in a similar boat, as he looks the part but never seems to put it together for 60 minutes. Wisconsin has been playing the way Oregon wants to play for the last 30 years. RB Jonathan Taylor is the best player on the field, and he wants to go out with a bang! Wisconsin is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. Oregon is 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games following an ATS win in their previous game.

4 Unit Play. Take #292 Virginia Tech Hokies over Kentucky Wildcats (Belk Bowl, 12p.m., Tuesday, December 31 ESPN) Mark Stoops was getting some publicity for the Florida State job but that would have been an uninspiring hire. Kentucky is not any good this year and they had one of the worst passing offenses in the country. They were floundering for most of the season before getting better down the stretch winning 3 straight game. 2 of those wins came against terrible teams, but they did beat Louisville in their regular season finale. They have quarterback that struggles to throw the football and you can bet Bud Foster will make the Wildcats beat them through the air.

Virginia Tech had an up and down season, but they did win 8 games and are a much more balanced team. They lost last time out to Virginia and that prevented them from playing in the ACC Championship. But it also keep them fresh and healthy by avoiding Clemson and they will be ready to make a big statement in this game. This will be the last game for Bud Foster, and he has just as much respect as most head coaches in the country. The players and coaches want to send him out with a victory. Virginia Tech is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. Kentucky is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Lay the points and play Virginia Tech.

4 Unit Play. Take #249 Illinois Fighting Illini over California Golden Bears (Redbox Bowl, 4p.m., Monday, December 30 FOX) Lovie Smith was close to being fired but turned it around in 2019 to qualify for a bowl game. Cal had a hot start to the season but faded during conference play losing 5 of their last 8 games down the stretch. This game is being played in Santa Clara but the Bears to not travel well and Illinois is excited to be here. Cal is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Illinois is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

3 Unit Play. Take #102 Houston Texans over Tennessee Titans (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 29 CBS) Nothing seems predictable in the AFC South. This game obviously means more to the Titans, as a victory will guarantee them a spot in the playoffs. Houston just beat this team earlier in the season and feel they can keep this game close at home despite resting some key personal. Tennessee is 4-12 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 games against Houston.

3 Unit Play. Take #131 Oakland Raiders over Denver Broncos (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 29 CBS) We will grab the points in this game, as the Raiders still have an outside chance to make the playoffs. Raiders played one of their best games of the season last week against the Chargers, a better team than they will face on Sunday. Oakland won the first meeting by 8 points and I do not see them getting blown out in this game. Denver had trouble putting away the Lions last week and just should not be favored by this many points against anyone in the league. Oakland has covered the spread 4 straight games against Denver. The Broncos are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games against AFC West teams.

3 Unit Play. Take #126 Kansas City Chiefs over Los Angeles Chargers (1p.m., Sunday, December 29 CBS) The Phillip Rivers era as the starting quarterback of the Chargers will likely come to an end on Sunday. The Chargers have been one of the most disappointing teams in the league this season and will finish out the season losing 6 of their last 7 games. Kansas City has dominated this series winning 10 of the last 11 games against Los Angeles (8-3 ATS). The Chiefs still have a chance to earn a first round bye and thus their will be no let-up in this game from start to finish.

4 Unit Play. Take #243 Clemson Tigers over Ohio State Buckeyes (Fiesta Bowl, 8p.m., Saturday, December 28 ESPN) Not much you can find to not like about either of these teams. Just feel Clemson is favored for a reason and they have been in a competitive game this season, something that cannot be said for Ohio State. Clemson has the more experienced coaching staff and they have covered the spread in 18 of their last 21 games. Clemson is the defending National Champion and they can play the no respect card since they were awarded the No. 3 seed despite winning 27 straight games. Clemson is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games. Ohio State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against ACC teams.

4 Unit Play. Take #233 USC Trojans over Iowa Hawkeyes (Holiday Bowl, 8p.m., Friday, December 27 FS1) Clay Helton lives to coach another year and the Trojans had a pretty good season despite injuries and a brutal schedule. Just not a fan of Iowa this season on the offensive side of the football. QB Nate Stanley is just not a big-time player and Iowa did not perform well against the top teams on their schedule. USC had a nice finish to the season winning 3 straight games (2 road games) and this team wants Clay Helton as their coach despite the fan base and media. USC is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. Iowa is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.

4 Unit Play. Take #230 Wake Forest Demon Deacons over Michigan State Spartans (Pinstripe Bowl, 3:20p.m., Friday, December 27 ESPN) Michigan State has fallen back to a middle of the pack Big 10 teams and they do not warrant to be favored by anyone that qualifies for a bowl game. Wake Forest returns a ton of talent and I just do not believe their defense will be picked apart by Michigan State. The Spartans got to play to terrible teams to close out the regular season but prior to that they lost 5 straight games and they were only competitive in one of those 5 losses. Wake Forest finished poorly down the stretch, but they have the edge in offense and special teams and will win this game straight-up. Michigan State is 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games. Wake Forest is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games.

2 Unit Play. Take #224 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs over Miami Hurricanes (Independence Bowl, Thursday, December 26 ESPN) Miami just is not what they once were and nobody can figure out how to get this program back to glory. They finished the season with two straight losses including a 10-point setback to Duke, a team that did not even quality for a bowl. Manny Diaz thought he had all the answers resigning from Temple after not even coaching a game. He has been humbled and already lost the fan base and former players. The Bulldogs had a good year and were in great shape before stumbling down the stretch losing 2 of their final 3 games. But they did rebound beating UTSA last time out and will be more excited to be in this game than Miami is. The Hurricanes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 bowl games. The Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 bowl games.

3 Unit Play. Take #481 Green Bay Packers over Minnesota Vikings (8:15p.m., Monday, December 23 ESPN) The final Monday Night Football game of the season is an NFC North rivalry. This game actually means more to Green Bay, as they have visions of the No. 2 seed and a bye. Even if Minnesota wins this game, they still will likely be a wildcard and thus I do not see them blowing out the Packers in this contest. Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Minnesota is 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. Expect a field goal game and we will collect with whoever comes out on top.

3 Unit Play. Take #475 Dallas Cowboys over Philadelphia Eagles (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 22 FOX) This is likely a winner take all game! If Dallas wins, they clinch the NFC East and will host a home game on wild card weekend. The Eagles have won two straight games, but they struggle to put away the Giants and Redskins. The Cowboys played their best game of the season last time out and they just have much more talent on offense than the Eagles do. Dallas blew out Philadelphia by 27 points earlier this season. The favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 matchups. Philadelphia is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games.

3 Unit Play. Take #465 New York Giants over Washington Redskins (1p.m., Sunday, December 22 FOX) Both teams played well last week with the Giants winning their game and the Redskins nearly knocking off Philadelphia. New York played their best game of the season against Washington back in September and I expect them to win this game as well straight-up regardless of who plays for them under center. New York is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against Washington. The Redskins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.

3 Unit Play. Take #472 Indianapolis Colts over Carolina Panthers (1p.m., Sunday, December 22 FOX) Carolina backdoor covered last week against Seattle and despite that late rally they have decided to bench their quarterback in Kyle Allen. The Colts will not be the playoffs either, but they have not quit like the Panthers have and expect them to go all out with a chance of finishing the season at 8-8. Indianapolis is 12-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 18 games against NFC teams. Carolina is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record.

3 Unit Play. Take #216 Boise State Broncos over Washington Huskies (Las Vegas Bowl, 7:30p.m., Saturday, December 21 ABC) Chris Petersen has been a fixature at both schools and we will resign as head coach of the Washington Huskies after this game. Boise State just wins bowl games and they have won 3 of their last 4 bowl games including a victory in the Las Vegas Bowl two years ago. Washington did not have a good year finishing just 7-5 and did not beat any top teams in the country this season besides USC. Boise State is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Washington is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.

3 Unit Play. Take #454 New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (4:30p.m., Saturday, December 21 NFLN) This game appears big on paper but in reality that is not the case for the Bills. Even if Buffalo wins this game, New England still controls its own destiny to win the NFC East and would just have to beat the Dolphins in Week 17 at Foxboro. But the Patriots need a bye if they have any plans of doing damage in the playoffs this year. New England has beaten Buffalo 15 of the last 17 games at Gillette Stadium. The Patriots got well last week against the Bengals and will win this game by close to 10 points. New England is 42-19 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 63 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #322 Pittsburgh Steelers over Buffalo Bills (8:25p.m., Sunday, December 15 NBC) Just not sold on the Buffalo Bills and feel their record is mostly a byproduct of their schedule. Buffalo has struggled against the AFC North this season losing to the Browns and Ravens and only beating the Bengals by 4 points. This is the final home game for the Steelers, and it is a must win if they have visions of making the playoffs this season. Buffalo does not get many primetime games and I do not believe they will be up for the challenge in this game. Buffalo is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #329 Los Angeles Rams over Dallas Cowboys (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 15 FOX) This line opened at -3.5 (Dallas) and has been bet down all week long and still is not where it should be. Dallas is terrible and is only being talked about because they play in the NFC East. This game does not mean much for the Cowboys and it will likely come down to them beating the Eagles on 12/22 to determine their playoff fate. We used the Rams are our top play last week and won easily against the Seahawks and now they face a much more dysfunctional team. The Rams are 8-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. Dallas is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record.

4 Unit Play. Take #310 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, December 15 FOX) The Packers are not getting much respect of late and thus we will take them on Sunday against a team they have already beaten once this season. Just do not trust QB Trubisky to win games on a consistent basis. Green Bay knows they need this game in order to win the division and they will get it by 7-10 points. Chicago is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. The Bears are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games against the Packers.

4 Unit Play. Take #158 Los Angeles Rams over the Seattle Seahawks (8:20p.m., Sunday, December 8 NBC) The Rams appeared to get it last week and they must win games to keep their chances of a wild card berth alive. Seattle can afford to drop this game, since their chances of winning the division lie with their December 21st game against the 49ers. The Rams played the Seahawks tough earlier this season in Seattle and should be able to emerge victorious with this game being played at the Coliseum. Seattle is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played in Los Angeles. The Rams are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against NFC teams.  

4 Unit Play. Take #152 New England Patriots over Kansas City Chiefs (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 8 CBS) Everyone is ready to put the nail in the coffin for Patriots, but I am not one of them. The Patriots have not lost at home this season and they should be able to get their offense back on track against this suspect Chiefs defense. This is strength vs strength, as the Chiefs offense is their best unit and they will have to go against the Patriots defense, which is their best unit. New England is 42-18 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 62 home games. Kansas City is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played during Week 14 of the regular season. It may not be pretty, but the Patriots will pull out this game by 7-10 points.

4 Unit Play. Take #138 New Orleans Saints over San Francisco 49ers (1p.m., Sunday, December 8 FOX) This is a bad situational game for the 49ers, as they are playing their second straight 1 p.m. road game (10 am local). The 49ers gave the Ravens all that they can handle last week and now must face a team with an even greater home field advantage. QB Garoppolo continues to turnover the football each game and thus may be the best defense he will face this season. I believe the 49ers are deflated knowing they could end up as the No. 5 seed in the NFC and thus I would expect them to drop at least 2 of their remaining 4 games. San Francisco is 6-13 ATS (1 push) in their last 20 games against NFC teams. New Orleans is 51-25 ATS (1 push) in their last 77 games against teams with a winning record.

10 Unit Play. Take #119 Wisconsin Badgers over Ohio State Buckeyes (Big 10 Championship Game, 8p.m., Saturday, December 7 FOX) Sooner or later Ohio State is going to have a competitive game. They clobbered Michigan last week, but Wisconsin did the same thing to the Wolverines as well this season. The line opened at -18 but has bet down a little since 12/1/19 and I still think Wisconsin gives them a game and easily covers this spread. Penn State and Wisconsin both had to play in Columbus and getting to face them in Indianapolis will be a much different atmosphere. The underdog has covered the spread in 5 of the last 8 meetings (1 push). Wisconsin is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record.  

4 Unit Play. Take #103 Oregon Ducks over Utah Utes (Pac-12 Championship Game, 8p.m., Friday, December 6 ABC) Utah has the better coach but I just believe Oregon has the better team. The Ducks are catching a lot of points and I think they will thrive under the spoiler role in this situation. Oregon is 2-0 in this game and they have not played many complete games this year, but this would be a great time for that to occur. Oregon is 22-9 ATS in their last 31 games being played on grass. Expect this game to go down to the wire and we will come out on top with whoever wins this game by a field goal.

10 Unit Play. Take #476 Seattle Seahawks over Minnesota Vikings (8:15p.m., Monday, December 2 ESPN) The Seahawks have not played at home since November 3 and they have been outstanding of late winning 4 straight games. Minnesota is a quiet 8-3 but I still do not trust QB Cousins to win big primetime games in December. These two teams met in Seattle on Monday Night Football last year and the Seahawks dominated that game winning by 14 points. The Seahawks have won 6 straight games against NFC teams. Minnesota is 2-10 ATS in their last 12 Monday Night games. Seattle is 10-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 15 Monday Night games.

4 Unit Play. Take #470 Denver Broncos over Los Angeles Chargers (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 1 CBS) Neither one of these teams is going anywhere and I just do not believe QB Rivers has much left in the tank. Both teams have shown some signs of life at certain points of the season and Denver is always a tough team to beat in the Mile-High City. Los Angeles is 3-7 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 12 games. Denver is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played on Week 13 of the NFL season.

4 Unit Play. Take #451 Green Bay Packers over New York Giants (1p.m., Sunday, December 1 FOX) This is a get-well game for the Packers, as they struggled for a second time this season in the state of California. Danny Dimes is struggling like any rookie quarterback would with a lack of talent around him. Green Bay is better on both sides of the football and will be able to win this game by double digits. The favorite in this match-up has covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 games (1 push). Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. New York is 5-15 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #472 Pittsburgh Steelers over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, December 1 CBS) Pittsburgh wants this game badly. They have the better coach and should not be the underdog in this game. Pittsburgh got back on track last week against Cincinnati and they have dominated this series since the Browns were allowed back into the league. Pittsburgh is 12-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 home games when they are an underdog. Cleveland is 6-21 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 29 games against with winning records. The home team is 4-1 ATS (1 push) in the last 6 match-ups between Cleveland and Pittsburgh.

10 Unit Play. Take #419 Arizona Wildcats over Arizona State Sun Devils (10p.m., Saturday, November 30 ESPN) Arizona State is coming off a huge win against Oregon last Saturday, but now we have an inflated line in a rivalry game. The Wildcats are playing their final game of the season Saturday night and expect them to be competitive for 60 minutes. Arizona State has lost 4 of their last 5 games and they have home losses to USC and Colorado. Arizona State has only beaten 1 team all season (Kent State) by over tonight’s posted number. The Territorial Cup will remain with the Sun Devils but they win by just 7-10 points. The underdog is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games between Arizona and Arizona State.

4 Unit Play. Take #363 Navy Midshipmen over Houston Cougars (7p.m., Saturday, November 30 ESPN2) Just do not think Houston is very good this season and they have a coach that is completely full of himself. The Cougars ended a three-game losing streak last week winning at Tulsa, but did not dominate that game whatsoever. Navy does not have a bad loss on the season and should be able to reach 10 wins by winning their last two games against teams they will be favored against. Houston is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Houston got destroyed last year against a triple option team in Army and will lose this game by double digits.

4 Unit Play. Take #421 UAB Blazers over North Texas Mean Green (4p.m., Saturday, November 30 Stadium) The Blazers are not the same team away from Birmingham, but they have a lot of play for in this game. IF UAB win they play next week in the Conference USA Championship Game and should get Tyler Johnston III back for this game. The Mean Green are coming off a bad loss to Rice last time out and I do not see things getting better for them on Senior Day. They have yet to beat a quality team this year. UAB is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against North Texas.

4 Unit Play. Take #397 Alabama Crimson Tide over Auburn Tigers (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 30 CBS) With Oregon going down last week, the Tide still have a lot of play for in this game and I expect them to make a statement in their last regular season game of the 2019 season. Auburn has not been able to hold up against the top teams in the SEC and this game should be no different. They still have a true freshman quarterback and that does not bode well against a Nick Saban defense. Rarely do you see a line this low in an Alabama game and that is basically because of their quarterback Tua Tagovailoa not playing in this game. Alabama still has the better roster and expect Coach Saban to thrive in a situation like this similar to what Coach Meyer did with QB Cardale Jones.

4 Unit Play. Take #371 Wisconsin Badgers over Minnesota Golden Gophers (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 30 ABC) A lot is on the line in this game as the winner gets to play Ohio State next week in the Big 10 Championship Game. The road team has been the play of late, as they have covered the spread 4 times in the last 5 years (1 push). Wisconsin has shocked last year and that is one of the worst losses under Coach Paul Chryst at Wisconsin. The Badgers will be far and away the best defense the Gophers have faced this season. Wisconsin is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record. Just do not believe Minnesota is ready to win a game like this. They are improved but their schedule has been soft all season long and this is the game where that will show up in a big way. Wisconsin pulls away late to win this game by 10 points.

4 Unit Play. Take #328 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Iowa Hawkeyes (2:30p.m., Friday, November 29 BTN) This is a game Nebraska needs more for a variety of reasons. A win by the Cornhuskers will get them bowl eligible and that extra month of practice would be vital in year 2 under Scott Frost. Iowa is just in all aspects, but they are not explosive and thus I do not like to lay points with them when the spread is over a field goal. Nebraska got back on against Maryland last week and should be able to take this game down to the wire. Nebraska is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played in the month of November.

4 Unit Play. Take #315 Virginia Tech Hokies over Virginia Cavaliers (12p.m., Friday, November 29 ABC) Virginia Tech has dominated this series winning 15 straight games against Virginia. Both teams have a lot on the line as the winner gets the Coastal Championship and a date with Clemson next Saturday. The Hokies have at a quiet 8-3 record and nobody is talking about them whatsoever. Virginia is banged up on defense, especially in the secondary and expect Virginia Tech to move the football at will through the air. Virginia is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on Friday. Virginia Tech has covered the spread in 5 straight games.

4 Unit Play. Take #308 Dallas Cowboys over Buffalo Bills (4:30p.m., Thursday, November 28 CBS) People are overacting to the Cowboys losing a game in Foxboro to New England. The Cowboys are still in good shape to win their division and make the playoffs. Buffalo has been the beneficiary of a soft schedule to amass their 8-3 record and they are not anywhere near that good. Dallas is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games played during the month of November. Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on Thursday. Dallas pull away late to win this much needed game by more than a touchdown.

4 Unit Play. Take #270 New England Patriots over Dallas Cowboys (1:25p.m, Sunday, November 24 FOX) Anytime you can get the Patriots at home laying less than a touchdown it is a play. The Patriots have not been that impressive on offense of late, but they still have one of the best defenses in the NFL. Dallas had trouble stopping Jeff Driskel last week and I am not sure if QB Prescott can win this game with New England taking away his best option. Dallas is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. New England is 47-20 ATS in their last 67 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #260 New York Jets over Oakland Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, November 24 CBS) Just not sold on the Raiders, especially when they must give points on the road. The Jets have been playing better of late winning 2 straight games against bad teams to gain some much-needed confidence. 1 p.m. games are always tough for west coast teams and Oakland has not handled prosperity well in recent years. The Raiders have won just 2 road games in the second Jon Gruden Era. Oakland is 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a victory in their previous game.

4 Unit Play. Take #274 Philadelphia Eagles over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, November 24 FOX) The Eagles must win this game to keep their slim chances of a playoff berth alive. This game was flexed out of Sunday Night Football and now the Seahawks must play a 1 p.m. eastern time game. The Hawks defense had not been great, as QB Winston picked them apart and most of the Hawks success falls on QB Wilson. Seattle is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Philadelphia is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a winning road record. Both trends hold true, as the Eagles get the victory and also easily cover the spread.

4 Unit Play. Take #163 Nevada Wolf Pack over Fresno State (10:30p.m., Saturday, November 23 ESPN2) Nevada is starting to play more ball control and that should keep the score low and thus be able to cover this big number. Fresno State is not very good this season and have lost 3 of their last 4 games including to San Diego State, a team Nevada beat last time out. The Bulldogs are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Nevada is 12-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 18 games played in November. Fresno State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played in November.

4 Unit Play. Take #191 Syracuse Orange over Louisville Cardinals (4p.m., Saturday, November 23 ACCN) Syracuse needs to win out to become bowl eligible and firing their defensive coordinator gave this team some life last week. Syracuse clobbered Duke by a score of 49-6 last Saturday. Syracuse beat Louisville last year, 54-23 and many of the players that played in that game will play in this game. Louisville has overachieved a little this season and playing as a favorite if much different than sneaking up on teams. Louisville is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a losing record.

4 Unit Play. Take #180 Tulane Green Wave over UCF Golden Knights (12p.m., Saturday, November 23 CBSSN) UCF is coming back to reality and I am not sold on Josh Heupel as a head coach. He piggy backed off of Scott Frost’s players last year and they are nowhere near as good in 2019. Throw in the fact everyone wants to beat them this year for how cocky they have been the last two years and I could see them suffering 5 losses this season. Tulane has been losing of late as well, but they made a nice comeback to fall short last week against Temple when they were down big early in that game. Tulane is undefeated at home this season and they should be able to take this game down to the wire. UCF is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. Tulane is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.

10 Unit Play. Take #476 Los Angeles Chargers over Kansas City Chiefs (8:15p.m., Monday, November 18 ESPN) The NFL is back in Mexico City and this game should go off as planned unlike the 2018 version. Kansas City has been exposed of late with a suspect defense and thus QB Mahomes and company are going to have to score points in order to win this game. We will grab the points and expect QB Rivers and company to win this game straight-up. The Chargers have the better defense and should be able to get pressure on QB Mahomes. The Chiefs have just not been the same team of late, having lost 4 of their last 6 games. The Chargers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played during the month of November. Kansas City is 2-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games played during the month of November.

4 Unit Play. Take #467 Arizona Cardinals over San Francisco 49ers (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 17 FOX) The line has creeped down after San Francisco suffered their first loss of the season on Monday Night Football against Seattle. Now they face another divisional rival and we will grab the double-digit points in this match-up. Jimmy G seems prone to mistakes and if the Cardinals can capitalize on a couple of them, they should be able to keep this a one score game. Arizona has had good success in San Francisco going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 trips to Santa Clara. The 49ers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. Arizona is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.

4 Unit Play. Take #451 Dallas Cowboys over Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, November 17 FOX) We went against the Lions last week and got a gift when QB Stafford was scratched Sunday morning. Hard to know if he will play in this game but either way, we will take the Cowboys. Dallas laid an egg against Minnesota last week and they must start better on Sunday at Ford Field. The Lions have fallen out of playoff consideration by losing 5 of their last 6 games. They just find ways to lose and today will be no different. The road team has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games between Dallas and Detroit.

4 Unit Play. Take #466 Baltimore Ravens over Houston Texans (1p.m., Sunday, November 17 CBS) This is an intriguing match-up between two young superstar quarterbacks in Deshaun Watson and Lamar Jackson. QB Watson may be the better thrower of the football but I just believe the Ravens have a better supporting cast than do the Texans. Houston is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a winning home record. This will not be a blowout, but I see the magical run of the Ravens continuing wit a 7-10 point victory.

10 Unit Play. Take #361 Southern Cal Trojans over California Golden Bears (11p.m., Saturday, November 16 FS1) The Golden Bears have not been the same team as they were at the start of the season. They did beat Washington State last time out, but I do not see them winning another game when they are an underdog. USC has played a brutal schedule in 2019 and they have a chance for 8 wins should they win out. Clay Helton still has the respect of his players and expect them to go all out for him in the remaining two games. USC has covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 games in Berkeley. Cal is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #348 Boise State Broncos over New Mexico Lobos (10:15p.m., Saturday, November 16 ESPN2) Boise has been shaky covering of late but no bet against New Mexico is a bad bet. The Lobos have a terrible defense, and this should allow the Broncos to score points as will in this game. The Broncos still have a chance for a New Year’s Six Bowl and must earn some style points along with winning all their remaining games. New Mexico is 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games. Boise State is 6-1 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 9 games against teams with a losing record.

4 Unit Play. Take #327 Cincinnati Bearcats over USF Bulls (7p.m., Saturday, November 16 CBSSN) The Bulls are a fraud and Charlie Strong does not have this team heading in the right direction whatsoever. They lost by double-digits at home last time out and they will lose this game by 20+ points. The Bearcats have won 7 straight games and they have a chance to earn a New Year’s Six Bowl should they win out. USF was outplayed last year in this match-up, but the cold weather and some fluke plays allowed them to cover despite losing by 12 points. USF is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games. Cincinnati is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. Lay the wood in this game.

4 Unit Play. Take #335 Minnesota Golden Gophers over Iowa Hawkeyes (4p.m., Saturday, November 16 FOX) Minnesota is just a better all-around team than Iowa is. We used them last week as a top play and that cover was never in doubt for the entire 60 minutes against Penn State. Iowa is coming off a poor offensive performance against Wisconsin where it took them 3 quarters to finally get some yards in that game. The visitor has covered 5 of the last 6 games between the Gophers and Hawkeyes. Minnesota has covered the spread in 7 straight conference games. Iowa is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss in their previous game.

10 Unit Play. Take #272 Dallas Cowboys over Minnesota Vikings (8:20p.m., Sunday, November 10 NBC) The Vikings are coming off a bad loss to the Chiefs last week and now head to a primetime game against the Cowboys. QB Cousins does not usually shine during primetime games and expect that to be the case once again on Sunday Night Football. Dallas turned it on in the second half last time out against the Giants and they should be healthier this week on defense. Minnesota is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning record. Dallas has covered the spread 5 straight times during games played in November. The favorite is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings between Minnesota and Dallas.

4 Unit Play. Take #264 Green Bay Packers over Carolina Panthers (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 10 FOX) This game got flexed to the late afternoon and it features two teams with winning records. The Packers came out flat last week in Los Angeles but expect them to play much better this week at home against Carolina. Because of that performance, we now have a line under 7 points and Green Bay should be able to attack this inexperienced quarterback in Kyle Allen. Green Bay has a bye on deck and needs to keep winning with a trip to Minnesota looming down the road. The home team has covered the spread in 4 straight meetings between Carolina and Green Bay.

4 Unit Play. Take #253 Buffalo Bills over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, November 10 CBS) People are not getting off the Browns bandwagon and it only took them going 2-6 to open the 2019 season. Buffalo has feasted on bad teams this season to produce a 6-2 record and win No. 7 will come this week against Cleveland. The Browns are 0-3 this season at home and they are in dysfunction with a head coach that appears to be in over his head and a quarterback that appears to be overrated. Getting points is just icing on the cake in this game. Cleveland is 5-21 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 games against teams with a winning record. Buffalo is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.

4 Unit Play. #266 Take Chicago Bears over Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, November 10 FOX) Both teams are on life support but I just do not see the Chicago Bears losing 4 home games this season in their first 5 home games. Chicago usually plays well as a home favorite covering the spread in 8 of the 11 games in this situation. Detroit will be one dimensional in this game and expect QB Stafford to post yards in this game but not enough points to keep pace. Chicago is 8-1 ATS in their lasts 9 games against NFC North teams. The favorite is 3-0 ATS in the last 4 games between Detroit and Chicago. The Lions are 13-27 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 42 road games against teams with a losing home record.

10 Unit Play. Take #179 Tennessee Volunteers over Kentucky Wildcats (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 9 SECN) This is an important game for both team as the winner will likely reach bowl eligibility and the loser will struggle to win 6 games. Tennessee is 20-2 in their last 22 games against Kentucky (17-5 ATS). Tennessee will enter having won 2 straight games and covered the spread in 4 straight games. Kentucky is terrible on offense and I do not believe they can be one-dimensional in this game and beat Tennessee. The Volunteers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Lexington. Kentucky is 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games played during the month of November.

4 Unit Play. Take #140 South Carolina Gamecocks over Appalachian State Mountaineers (7p.m., Saturday, November 9 ESPN2) The Mountaineers were riding high before they suffered a setback last week to Georgia Southern and basically saw their chances for a New Year’s Six Bowl Game vanish. Now they are on the road in a pay game against a team that is desperate for a victory to keep their slim chances of making a bowl game alive. This line is below a touchdown and we will use the team with better athletes. Will Muschamp is a so-so coach, but he did beat Georgia in Athens this season. South Carolina is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against Sun Belt teams.

4 Unit Play. Take #142 Minnesota Golden Gophers over Penn State Nittany Lions (12p.m., Saturday, November 9 ABC) I just believe that most people are overvaluing this Penn State team and undervaluing this Minnesota team. Both teams are undefeated, and Penn State will be playing their second straight road game. Minnesota will be the best offense Penn State has faced all season long and this is the biggest home game in decades for Gophers. Just do not see them getting blown out in a 11 am local time start. Penn State struggled against Iowa and Michigan this year and I see this won going down to the wire and we will take the points. The home team is 3-1 ATS (2 pushes) in the last 6 meetings between Penn State and Minnesota. The Golden Gophers are 33-16 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 51 games played during the month of November.

4 Unit Play. Take #145 Purdue Boilermakers over Northwestern Wildcats (12p.m., Saturday, November 9 BTN) This play basically comes down to Northwestern, and no bet against the Wildcats is a bad bet. Surprised Northwestern opened as the favorite, as they may be the worst offensive team in the country this season. We have had success with Purdue this year, using them as our Big 10 Top Play against Iowa and feel they will win this game by double-digits. Northwestern will never quit under Coach Fitzgerald, but reality has set in and they will be lucky to win 2 more games this season. The Wildcats have scored 6 total points in their last 3 games. Enough said!

4 Unit Play. Take #473 New England Patriots over Baltimore Ravens (8:20p.m., Sunday, November 3 NBC) An undefeated season seems like the only thing left for QB Brady and Coach Belickick to accomplish in their illustrious careers. The Patriots have a 189-point differential this season and should be able to cover this number tonight. QB Jackson will face the best defense he has ever seen in his young career and I do not believe the Patriots will allow him to beat them with his legs. New England is 46-19 ATS in their last 65 games. The road team is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in the 8 meetings between New England and Baltimore. Baltimore is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #471 Green Bay Packers over Los Angeles Chargers (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 3 CBS) This is a home game in name only for the Chargers, as the Packers will occupy most of the stands. LA is 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games when they are a home underdog. Still do not believe the Chargers can run the football against this Packer defense to open up the passing game for QB Rivers. Green Bay is 14-0 ATS in their last 14 games when playing their second straight road game against a non-divisional opponent under .500. QB Rodgers are getting better and that is scary for the Chargers and the rest of the league.

4 Unit Play. Take #467 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Seattle Seahawks (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 3 FOX) Despite poor play from QB Jameis Winston the Buccaneers seem to play competitive games and we will grab the points in this game. Seattle has already lost 2 home games this season and they seem to play better on the road (undefeated). Seattle likes to run the football and that should play into the strength of the Buccaneers defense. Tampa Bay has covered the spread 4 straight times against Seattle. The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #460 Kansas City Chiefs over Minnesota Vikings (1 p.m., Sunday, November 3 FOX) Just do not trust Kirk Cousins to consistently win big games as a starting quarterback. The Chiefs are desperate to win this game, having lost 3 home games already this season. The Vikings are 0-12 (1 push) outdoors against an opponent with a winning record. Minnesota is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. The home team is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in the last 5 meetings between Minnesota and Kansas City.

4 Unit Play. Take #326 Take Indiana Hoosiers over Northwestern Wildcats (7p.m., Saturday, November 2 FS1) The Wildcats are having a miserable season and they just cannot move the football and score points on offense whatsoever. Indiana is quietly 6-2 on the season and they have a chance to win 8 games on the season. Northwestern has only been competitive in 1 game of late and if Indiana can score in the 30s they should be able to cover this spread as well. The home team has covered the spread in this series 5 of the last 7 meetings. Indiana has done well against bad teams going 5-1 in their last 6 home games against teams with a losing road record.

10 Unit Play. Take #372 Florida Gators over Georgia Bulldogs (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 2 CBS) Florida always has a big location advantage in this game since Jacksonville in much closer to Gainesville than is Athens. Georgia has not been playing well on offense of late and this is the best defense they will face to this point of the season. Florida has played well in all of their games this season and I do not see them getting blown out in this game. The Gators are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a bye week. Florida is also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win in their previous game.

4 Unit Play. Take #355 Marshall Thundering Herd over Rice Owls (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 2 Stadium) I though Rice was improving and, on their way, to recording a couple of wins this season but they just cannot get over the hump. Marshall controls their own destiny to winning the CUSA East and cannot afford a letup in this game. Rice is terrible on offense averaging 4.2 yards per play (125th in FBS). Marshall has won three straight games and generally beats the bottom feeder teams in the league. Rice is 5-11 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #385 Arkansas State Red Wolves over ULM Warhawks (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 2 ESPNU) The Red Wolves have dominated this match-up winning 9 straight games against the Warhawks (9-0 ATS). Both teams have been giving up yards on defense and expect Arkansas State to be able to move the football at will through the air. ULM is 7-19 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 home games. Arkansas State is 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games played during the month of November.

4 Unit Play. Take #323 Michigan Wolverines over Indiana Hoosiers (12p.m., Saturday, November 2 ABC) Many teams in the Big 10 have thrown in the towel on the 2019 season and Maryland is one of those teams. They have just a win against Rutgers in their last 6 games and when they lose they tend to lose big. Michigan has beaten Maryland 4 straight times (4-0 ATS) winning the games by an average of 33 points. Michigan can relax now and should be able to run the table in their 3 games before they face Ohio State. Maryland is 7-17 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning record. This line opened at -17 and continues to rise but it is not enough.

10 Unit Play. Take #269 Carolina Panthers over San Francisco 49ers (1p.m., Sunday, October 27 FOX) Carolina has made the wise decision to continue to ride QB Kyle Allen, as he is 4-0 in starts this season (4-0 ATS). Carolina has beaten San Francisco 6 straight games (6-0 ATS) and they need this game more in order to keep pace with the New Orleans Saints in their division. Still not sold on the 49ers offense and if Carolina does not beat themselves, they should be able to take this game down to the wire. The Panthers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games in San Francisco and 14-3 in the last 17 meetings. These trends just cannot be ignored especially when they are getting this many points.

4 Unit Play. Take #254 Tennessee Titans over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1p.m., Sunday, October 27 FOX) Both of these teams are hard to predict, but we won with Tennessee last week in miraculous fashion and will ride them again on Sunday for a second straight week. The Titans played well behind QB Tannehill and they have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games against NFC teams. QB Winston was terrible last time out with 6 turnovers. He will play better on Sunday, but Tennessee has some mojo at the moment. Tampa Bay is 1-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played in the month of October. Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Tampa Bay.

4 Unit Play. Take #261 Philadelphia Eagles over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday, October 27 FOX) The stats do not point toward Philadelphia in this game, but I believe they will play well in an effort to save their season. Buffalo did not play well against the worst team in the league last Sunday and now they face a much more talented team. The Eagles are 14-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games against the AFC. If the Eagles can stabilize the game early, they should be able to win it straight-up. Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Buffalo has played an easy schedule thus far and Philadelphia is desperate for a victory in upstate New York.

4 Unit Play. Take #272 Indianapolis Colts over Denver Broncos (1p.m., Sunday, October 27 CBS) No bet against Denver is a bad bet. Denver played terrible at home last time out against a back-up quarterback. QB Joe Flacco is washed up and the Denver defense is not what is once was. Indianapolis has covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games. Denver has covered the spread in just 2 of their last 11 games. The Colts will jump on the Broncos early and expect Denver to then just throw in the towel if things to not go their way early. Denver is 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS loss in their previous games. Indianapolis is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games against AFC teams.

4 Unit Play. Take #145 Utah State Aggies over Air Force Falcons (10:15p.m., Saturday, October 26 ESPN2) Utah State has better talent than Air Force on both sides of the football. If QB Jordan Love could have play to his potential, this is a team that can do damage and possible win the MWC. The Aggies are 4-2 on the season with both of their losses coming against Power 5 teams in the deep south. Air Force is not as strong as their record would indicate, as their schedule has yet to really test them. They should not be favored in this game against a defensive minded coach that will be able to stop the triple option. Air Force is 7-19 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 MWC games. Utah State is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games.

10 Unit Play. Take #207 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Michigan Wolverines (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 26 ABC) Still cannot believe that Michigan opened as the favorite in this game. The Wolverines do not win games against top 10 teams and they are not great on either side of the football. Notre Dame still has a chance to make the College Football Playoff if they can win out and they should be able to win in Ann Arbor against a team that lacks confidence. The fan base will turn on Michigan if things do not go well early. If just seems that Coach Harbaugh cannot win these type of games. Notre Dame 7-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Michigan is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games. The underdog is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 games between the Fighting Irish and the Wolverines.