|
02-18-26 |
Cleveland State +10.5 v. Youngstown State |
|
82-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 22 m |
Show
|
3 Unit Play. Take #669 Cleveland State +10.5 over Youngstown State (3:30p.m., Wednesday, February 18 ESPN+) Just feel this is too many points for teams with a similar record in a one bid league. Cleveland State beat Youngstown State earlier this season and the Vikings have won 6 of the last 10 meetings. The two teams are a combined 1-5 in their last 6 games and I see this one going down to the wire.
|
|
02-17-26 |
Wisconsin -1.5 v. Ohio State |
|
69-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
7 Unit Play. Take #633 Wisconsin over Ohio State (8:30p.m., Tuesday, February 17 FS1) Ohio State has played the top teams in the conference close this season but does not have a Quad 1 victory. Now they are without John Mobley Jr, as he did not play in this last game against Virginia. Wisconsin has been rolling of late winning 8 of their last 10 games. They have beaten Ohio State 7 of the last 10 meetings. The Buckeyes have not beaten the Badgers since March 8 of 2023. Sooner or later, Wisconsin will get hot from the arc and pull away in this game.
|
|
02-15-26 |
Green Bay v. Wisc-Milwaukee -1.5 |
|
72-75 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 32 m |
Show
|
2 Unit Play. Take #840 Milwaukee over Green Bay (3p.m., Sunday, February 15 ESPN+) Lot of praise is being given to Green Bay after their turnaround this season. They are 10-6 in Horizon League play yet have not had success against their in-state rival. The Panthers have beaten the Phoenix 4 of the last 5 meetings and their only loss was a 3-point affair on 1/5/26 last month. They will get revenge today and we will collect in the process.
|
|
02-14-26 |
Purdue v. Iowa OVER 141.5 |
Top |
78-57 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 37 m |
Show
|
7 Unit Play. Take #701 Over 142.5 in Purdue @ Iowa (5p.m., Saturday, February 14 FOX) Purdue is not the lock down defense team that they have been during the Zach Edey tenure. 151 points were scored when these teams met a month ago and that is how I see this game going as well. These two teams have played over the posted number today in 5 straight games. Obviously, things are different now with Iowa under a new coach and they do not play quite as up-tempo as they did with Fran McCaffrey. Iowa has scored at least 70 points in 5 straight games. Purdue has scored at least 80 points in 2 of their last 3 games and I feel both teams will get hot from the arc at some point in this game. This is a close spread and thus should be close with a bunch of points coming in the final two minutes of this game.
|
|
02-13-26 |
Michigan State v. Wisconsin +2.5 |
|
71-92 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
2 Unit Play. Take #882 Wisconsin over Michigan State (8p.m., Friday, February 12 FOX) Just feel the wrong team is favored with the opening line. We will back the Badgers, something we have done a bunch of late and hit the last 3 games that they have played. Wisconsin has had success against Michigan State winning 6 of the last 10 meetings including 3 of the last 4. Michigan State plays hard but lacks top end talent this year. At some point Wisconsin will get hot from the arc and put this game on ice.
|
|
02-11-26 |
Creighton +1.5 v. DePaul |
|
71-72 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 17 m |
Show
|
4 Unit Play. Take #717 Creighton over DePaul (9p.m., Wednesday, February 11 Peacock) Just do not believe DePaul is good enough to be favored against this Creighton team. The Blue Demons are better this season and Creighton is down, but DePaul is still 12-12 on the season and 4-9 in Big East play. Creighton is 10-0 straight-up in their last 10 games against the DePaul.
|
|
02-11-26 |
Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Nottingham Forest -140 |
Top |
0-0 |
Loss |
-140 |
3 h 36 m |
Show
|
8-Unit Play English Premier League Take Nottingham Forest -145 over Wolverhampton Wanderers (2:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday February 11) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time - if game ends in a DRAW we have a LOSER) This is a classic mismatch between two struggling sides, but the gap is massive: Nottingham Forest enter as heavy favorites against a Wolverhampton Wanderers side that's not just bad, it's historically disastrous. Wolves have scraped together only 8 points from 25 matches in the 2025-26 Premier League season (1 win, 5 draws, 19 losses), conceding 48 goals while scoring just 16. This is the lowest points tally after 25 games in Premier League history, surpassing even Derby County's infamous 2007-08 campaign pace. Their away form is catastrophic: 0 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses in 12 road games, with a mere 5 goals scored and 20 conceded. Motivation is virtually nonexistent -- relegation is all but certain, and they've shown little fight in recent outings. Nottingham Forest, by contrast, sit 17th with 26 points (7 wins, 5 draws, 13 losses), a full 18 points clear of Wolves. They're just above the relegation zone and desperately need points to create breathing room, especially with teams like West Ham closing in. This home fixture against the league's bottom side represents their clearest opportunity for three points in a long stretch--arguably the most important match of their season so far. Forest's recent form offers encouragement. They entered this match on the back of a disappointing 3-1 away loss to Leeds United, but prior to that, they were unbeaten in four straight Premier League games (including a credible home draw against a top side like Arsenal). Over their last five league matches, they've ranked in the top 10 for current form league-wide, showing resilience despite inconsistency. Head-to-head favors Forest strongly: They've won the last two meetings (both away at Molineux), with a combined +4 goal differential. This Wolves squad is markedly worse than those previous versions--far more porous defensively and toothless in attack. At home, Forest have a solid chance to dominate against a side that's conceded heavily on the road and lacks any real incentive. Numbers like this--short odds for a home win against the league's worst team--are rare and exploitable. Bottom line: Nottingham Forest have every incentive, superior recent form, historical edge, and home advantage. Wolves have nothing left to play for and nowhere near the quality to compete. This screams three points for the hosts?max units on Forest to win. Confidence level: Very high. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports
|
|
02-10-26 |
Clippers +8 v. Rockets |
|
95-102 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
Even though the Clippers gave up on the season with the trades for Zubac and Harden, this team still has some good players and we think they have a nice mix to compete and cover some spreads as big underdogs the rest of the season. Houston is five games under .500 ATS this season and they have covered only three of their last ten games. This team frankly stinks offensively, so they often can’t score enough to cover the inflated lines they face. They have won six of their last nine outright yet covered in only three of those games. The Clippers have won consecutive games, including a blowout win at Minnesota last time out. They should be confident they can compete tonight.
|
|
02-10-26 |
Wisconsin +10.5 v. Illinois |
|
92-90 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 33 m |
Show
|
2 Unit Play. Take #623 Wisconsin +10.5 over Illinois (8p.m., Tuesday, February 10 Peacock) Both teams are coming off a loss in a game they lead late. We will grab the points in this game and feel Wisconsin can keep it close for 40 minutes. The Badgers won the last meeting with the Fightin Illini by 19 points. Both teams score in the mid eighties and Wisconsin is due for a good shooting game from the arc.
|
|
02-08-26 |
Clippers +9.5 v. Wolves |
|
115-96 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 44 m |
Show
|
The Clippers have given up on any hopes of a championship this season by sending away two of their best players for draft capital and younger players, and we don’t think this is a very good team. However, the players left here have a lot of pride and we think they will be competitive down the stretch. And they always have that guy Kawhi Leonard, who is a pretty good player when healthy. But the biggest reason we like LA here is that the Timberwolves are one of the worst teams ATS this season. They always play down to their level of competition and squeak out close games when laying big numbers. After a string of covering four straight they have now failed to cover in three straight and this line looks inflated here for Super Bowl Sunday. Minnesota has won five straight but the lines have been inflated and LA has covered in two straight and three of four, so they usually play it close. We expect that to be the case again here.
|
|
02-07-26 |
Mavs v. Spurs -9.5 |
Top |
125-138 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 42 m |
Show
|
The Spurs have won and covered against Dallas in three straight meetings, including their meeting in Dallas on Thursday, a 135-123 win. In the past, these home-and-home, back-to-back meetings were rarer, and the losing team often covered the second game. But these types of games have become a lot more common and the better team has now often won and covered in both meetings. San Antonio knows they need every win they can get in their quest for the postseason as this team has a real chance for a championship this season as they have beaten the Thunder several times already. They won’t look past or take for granted their struggling in state rival. San Antonio has won three straight and four of five, so they are playing well. They have a couple key players who are gametime decisions, but we feel they will win big no matter who suits up as this team is stacked with talent.
|
|
02-07-26 |
Wisconsin +4 v. Indiana |
Top |
77-78 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 34 m |
Show
|
7 Unit Play. Take #601 Wisconsin over Indiana (12p.m., Saturday, February 7 FOX) Wisconsin has had great success against Indiana in recent years going winning 7 of the last 9 matchups. Much of that was due to coaching but Indiana has a better coach now than in those past games. The Hoosiers are coming off a west coast trip and I see a letdown from them playing this early game in Bloomington. Indiana had a 4 games Big 10 losing streak in January losing to comparable teams as Wisconsin. The Badgers are 8-2 in their last 10 games and won 3 straight road games including beating Michigan 28 days ago. This game features great guard play, but Wisconsin should not be getting this many points in place they have had success at. The Badgers have two guards to can score points and I feel at least one of them will get it going in this game. Take the points.
|
|
02-06-26 |
Clippers v. Kings +3.5 |
|
114-111 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
|
The Clippers thew up the white flag on the season at the trade deadline, sending two of their three best players packing. Team morale can’t be too high right now. The new additions won’t be joining the Clippers on the court tonight, and the Kings have to think of this one as a winnable game. Sacramento has been one of the worst ATS teams this season, but we have to plug our nose and go with them tonight as we see value in the odds here.
|
|
02-06-26 |
Connecticut -2 v. St. John's |
|
72-81 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 60 m |
Show
|
3 Unit Play. Take #885 Connecticut -2 over St. Johns (8p.m., Friday, February 6 FOX) The Huskies have been the more consistent team this season. St. Johns is playing better of late but they struggled during the nonconference portion of the season and I do not believe the Big East is any good besides 3 teams. UCONN has lost the last 2 games to St. Johns and they will have a great crowd tonight at MSG. The Huskies have not lost a game since
|
|
02-05-26 |
Nets +9.5 v. Magic |
Top |
98-118 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
The Magic are one of the worst ATS teams in the league, and they are especially bad when laying big points. They are 1-6 ATS this season when laying 7.5 or more points, and their lone ATS win as a big favorite came all the way back on November 1. One of those ATS losses as a big favorite came against this same Brooklyn team, also back in November. In the first meeting this season between these teams, the Nets were up most of the game before a 26-16 fourth quarter that resulted in a 7-point Magic win when they were laying 14. Then, just last month, these teams met in Brooklyn, and the Nets took it to overtime before losing by a single point. Brooklyn had covered three straight but they were blown out in their last two against the Lakers and Pistons. This team has been good at bouncing back after a poor performance and we think they will play well tonight and keep this one close. Orlando has covered only two of their last eight games, and this team is underperforming and constantly overvalued by the oddsmakers.
|
|
02-05-26 |
Penguins +108 v. Sabres |
|
5-2 |
Win
|
108 |
5 h 24 m |
Show
|
Both teams have been playing well recently, but the Penguins have been a bit better, and they have been excellent on the road all season. Pittsburgh has also won three of the last four meetings. The Penguins have actually won four of their last five on the road, and the lone loss was last time out at NY Islanders in overtime. We think this will be a tight game but the Penguins will pull away late and take this one heading into the Olympic Break.
|
|
02-05-26 |
Penn State v. Michigan OVER 161.5 |
|
69-110 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 4 m |
Show
|
2 Unit Play. Take #769 Over 161.5 in Penn State @ Michigan (6:30p.m., Thursday, February FS1) I truly feel that Michigan will come close to reaching 100 points in this game. Penn State is terrible on defense and Michigan should be able to name their score. We will not worry if they can cover this huge number and instead just focus on the over.
|
|
02-04-26 |
South Alabama v. Appalachian State UNDER 130.5 |
|
57-65 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 14 m |
Show
|
2 Unit Play. Take #670 Under 129.5 in South Alabama @ Appalachian State (6:30p.m., Wednesday, February 4 ESPN+) You hardily ever see a total this low in college basketball and thus we feel it is for good reason. Both teams play in the mid 300s in pace in all of college basketball and the Mountaineers have give up 63 points or less in 4 straight games.
|
|
02-03-26 |
Suns v. Blazers OVER 218.5 |
|
130-125 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 36 m |
Show
|
We are going to take a crack at this super low total. Portland is coming off a high scoring game against the Cavs, and Phoenix has gone over in consecutive games. The Blazers defense has allowed 115 or more in three straight games. Three straight meetings have gone over the posted total, and the winning team scored in the 120s in each of those games (one went to OT). We see a close game here, and OT is not out of the question. We don’t think we will need it, however, as we think both teams grab their share of the total tonight.
|
|
02-03-26 |
Seattle Kraken +120 v. Ducks |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
We love the Kraken in this spot. Not only have they been playing better, but they have owned the Ducks at Anaheim as they have win four straight here. Seattle is playing as well as any team in the NHL right now. They have won four straight and five of six, with the only loss coming at home to Anaheim. We don’t think the Ducks are a good enough team to beat the Kraken twice in a short period of time. Seattle is well rested as they have enjoyed a rare two days off. During their current winning streak they have beaten some heavy hitters: Vegas, Toronto, Washington and New Jersey, so it’s not like they padded their standing on cupcakes. The Ducks have been incredibly inconsistent the last couple months. They are recently coming off a long winning streak but have now lost two of their last three.
|
|
02-02-26 |
Sharks v. Blackhawks -102 |
|
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
|
You can tell this road trip is wearing on the Sharks as they have now lost two straight. This team has been playing well overall but we think this will be a tough matchup tonight. The Blackhawks have to think this is a winnable matchup. They have lost five straight but have had a very challenging schedule. These two teams have been the worst teams in the NHL the last couple years, and it has to piss the Hawks off that the Sharks are well ahead of them in their rebuild. We think they will come out focused tonight, and they have won three straight against the Sharks at home.
|
|
02-02-26 |
Pelicans v. Hornets UNDER 231.5 |
Top |
95-102 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 14 m |
Show
|
This is the highest total these teams have faced in six meetings, five of which went under the posted total. The Hornets are one of the best under teams in the league this season at 30-20 to the under after 50 games. They are less than a point per game defensively out of the Top 10 for points allowed this season. They are a very underrated defensive team, and that is one of the big reasons that they have gone under so many times this season. We think they will notch another in the under column today. They have won six straight entering this Monday matinee, and that has been mostly on the strength of their defense, as four of their opponents scored 106 or fewer points, and three of them finished under the century mark. In fact, five of the Hornets last eight opponents have finished under 100 points, and that is some very strong defense in today’s NBA. The Pelicans are in the Bottom 10 for points scored this season, and if they want to be competitive in this game, they will have to step it up on the defensive end. They have been one of the worst defenses this season, but they have been better recently. They held the Grizzlies to 106, the Thunder to 104, the Spurs to 95, and the Pistons to 112 in their last six games. They have gone under in five of their last seven games overall. We don’t see the Pelicans breaking out for a good offensive game. If they want to keep this one close with a chance to win, it will have to come on the defensive end.
|
|
02-01-26 |
Cavs -3 v. Blazers |
|
130-111 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 40 m |
Show
|
We like a good team off a bad loss, and Cleveland fits the bill today. They got spanked in Phoenix by 13 and the game wasn’t that close as the Cavs were down big all game. This team has been one of the worst ATS all season with a slow start combined with inflated lines. The odds have become more realistic, and the Cavs have been playing much better and overall have looked like the championship contender we have expected. The Blazers have lost four straight and covered only one of those games, and only by the hook. We think the cream will rise to the top today and Cleveland will get a comfortable win.
|
|
02-01-26 |
Kings v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-114 |
3 h 37 m |
Show
|
These teams have gone over this total nine straight meetings, which goes back to 2021 since they don’t play too often. We think we should see some goals here. The Kings have been very competitive despite not racking up too many wins lately. They have gone to extra time six times in their last 10 games, including yesterday at Philly. Carolina has a Top 5 offense, a luxury that is great when trying to beat a 5.5 total. They have gone over in consecutive games and three of their last four.
|
|
02-01-26 |
Minnesota v. Penn State OVER 142.5 |
|
75-77 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 5 m |
Show
|
2 Unit Play. Take #837 Over 142.5 in Minnesota @ Penn State (2p.m., Sunday, February 1 Peacock) Penn State is the worst team in the Big 10 and they tend to give up a ton of points in their games. The Nittany Lions have gone over the posted total 4 straight games. This is their best chance for a win and thus I see this game being close and the over hitting late in this game.
|
|
01-31-26 |
Hawks v. Pacers UNDER 233.5 |
|
124-129 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
The Pacers have one of the worst offenses in the league, and that is a big reason the under is 30-18 for the team this season. They often get blown out and don’t contribute their share of the total, or they step up on defense for a low scoring game. One of the rare overs was on Monday when these teams played in Atlanta. The Hawks had their way with the Pacers, in a high-scoring blowout. But the Pacers will make defensive adjustments since these teams played so recently. And they will likely play better defense at home. It’s telling that the total has dropped from the number on Monday. The Hawks have some players on the injury report that contributed a lot to the win on Monday. We think this will be a lower scoring game.
|
|
01-31-26 |
Ohio State v. Wisconsin -4.5 |
|
82-92 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 20 m |
Show
|
7 Unit Play. Take #656 Wisconsin -4.5 over Ohio State (2p.m., Saturday, January 31 FOX) Wisconsin is due for a beatdown at the Kohl Center. They have beaten Ohio State in 5 of the last 6 meetings. 4 of those 5 wins have come by over today’s posted number. Ohio State is not the same team on the road, and I see them struggling to keep this game in single digits. The Badgers are coming off back-to-back hard fought home games, and I see them pulling away late to win this game by 10 points. The Buckeyes have covered the last two games against the Badgers, but they lost that game straight-up. If that happens today Wisconsin will cover.
|
|
01-30-26 |
Cavs -3.5 v. Suns |
Top |
113-126 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
Cleveland is suddenly playing the way we all expected them to this season. They have won eight of ten and covered in seven of those games. This team was one of the worst ATS all season as they were figuring things out. Now that they have, they are a legit championship contender. We would say they have the most upside of any team in the East. Phoenix was the best ATS team all season but they are no longer getting the favorable lines that they once were. They have covered in only one of their last four games.
|
|
01-29-26 |
Nets v. Nuggets -6.5 |
|
103-107 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 29 m |
Show
|
Brooklyn is in a pattern of playing well every other game. They have literally alternated covers and non covers for eight straight games. The losses haven’t even been close. This pattern looks like it could continue with a double-digit loss tonight then the Nets play a back-to-back tomorrow at Utah and that is a more winnable game. Denver is starting to play well without Jokic and they have covered three straight. Both teams have some injuries, but Denver has a much better team for what both squads will trot out on the floor tonight. We see the Nuggets getting a comfortable win at home tonight.
|
|
01-29-26 |
Sharks v. Oilers OVER 6.5 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
The Sharks are playing very well lately and they have 13 goals in their last four games, and there was one game there where they only had a single goal, at Tampa Bay on a back-to-back. Edmonton has played in consecutive high scoring games where 22 total goals were scored. We see a shootout here, and the Sharks are definitely a live dog. These teams have played a lot of under games in the past, but this is a new Sharks team and they like to be aggressive and they have playmakers who can score. We see both teams getting their share of the total tonight.
|
|
01-29-26 |
Appalachian State v. Southern Miss +2 |
|
70-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
2 Unit Play. Take #794 Southern Miss -1.5 over Appalachian State (8p.m., Thursday, January 29 ESPN+) The Golden Eagles just finished playing 4 straight road games and lost all of them. They are still 5-5 in conference play and need to get back on track tonight with a win at Reed Green Coliseum. Homecourt means everything in the Sun Belt Conference, and this is a desperate home team that needs a win badly to right the ship.
|
|
01-28-26 |
Houston -7.5 v. TCU |
|
79-70 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 25 m |
Show
|
2 Unit Play. Take #735 Houston -7.5 over TCU (9p.m., Wednesday, January 28 ESPN2) TCU has not been the same team during Big 12 play and I see them losing this game to Houston by double digits in Fort Worth. The Cougars are coming off a tough loss to the Red Raiders over the weekend and they do not want to lose two games in a row. Houston has beaten TCU two straight times by an average of 18 points in those victories.
|
|
01-28-26 |
South Dakota State v. Nebraska-Omaha +1.5 |
|
71-80 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 24 m |
Show
|
3 Unit Play. Take #708 Omaha +1.5 over South Dakota State (8p.m., Wednesday, January 28) Both teams are use to being at the top of the standing in the Summit and a loss tonight will knock them out of that. Both teams have been alternating wins and losses of late but I look for Tony Osborn to come up big tonight for the home team.
|
|
01-28-26 |
Lakers v. Cavs -3 |
Top |
99-129 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 26 m |
Show
|
Cleveland has won and covered the last two meetings and four of the last six. We really love what we have seen from the Cavs lately as they are rounding into midseason form. They have been one of the worst bets in the NBA as they had too high of expectations from the oddsmakers combined with a slow start and lack of chemistry. But they have won four straight and six of seven, and they have been covering on a more regular basis. The Lakers have been winning, too, but they have had a very easy schedule lately. They got handled by the Clippers in their most recent difficult matchup. Cleveland has shown they can score lately and they can match the Lakers on offense, but LA isn't a strong team defensively, and Cleveland is. They held the Lakers to 110 points the last two meetings, and both were double-digit blowouts. And the crowd should be really into this one tonight with their former franchise player coming back to town. It's always one of the biggest home games of the year for any team when the Lakers come to town. And we expect the Cavs to respond with a comfortable win tonight.
|
|
01-28-26 |
Rangers v. Islanders UNDER 6.5 |
|
2-5 |
Loss |
-109 |
6 h 23 m |
Show
|
Three of the last four meetings have gone under. The Rangers have had defensive problems lately but we have been impressed with their defense the last two games, and they even slowed down the Bruins last time out, snapping their long losing streak. You can remember they allowed Boston to 10 goals a couple weeks ago, so they are focusing a lot on defense and their goaltending has been better with their starter still out. The Islanders are one of the top under teams. Sorokin is a Top 5 goaltender, and the team is tied for third for goals allowed league wide. Both offenses are in the bottom 8 for scoring. This is also a big rivalry, so we expect both clubs to step up the defense.
|
|
01-27-26 |
Sharks -116 v. Canucks |
Top |
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
The Sharks will take any chance they can get to accumulate points in their hunt for the postseason and they will not hesitate to lay down a beating on a struggling Vancouver squad who is playing as bad as any team in the NHL lately. Vancouver has had their number the last couple years and now it is payback time. San Jose has won the last two meetings and looks to make it three in a row today.
|
|
01-27-26 |
Nets +9 v. Suns |
|
102-106 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
We were on the Nets last time after their 50+ point loss to the Knicks when they faced the Celtics the next game, and they played much better and almost won outright. Then the Nets went out the next game and lost big to the Clippers. The Nets seem to play hard every other game, and they have alternated covers and non covers for seven games now. We feel they will play hard here tonight off the embarrassing loss to LA. The Suns have been one of the best ATS teams in the league this season but the word is out and now they aren’t getting the value in the lines anymore. They have covered just one of their last four. One of those games was a nine-point loss at Brooklyn. The Nets have actually covered in four of the last six meetings and won outright in their last two trips to Phoenix.
|
|
01-27-26 |
Alabama A&M v. Prairie View A&M OVER 151.5 |
|
80-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 2 m |
Show
|
3 Unit Play. Take #306657 Over in Alabama A&M @ Prairie View A&M (2p.m., Tuesday, January 27) The over has hit in the last two meetings and 6 of the last 10 meetings overall. Both teams went over the posted total in their last game scoring 175 points and 163 points (both in defeat).
|
|
01-26-26 |
Magic v. Cavs -6 |
Top |
98-114 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 31 m |
Show
|
The Cavaliers seem to be rounding into mid-season form, while the Magic are floundering. These teams are playing a back-to-back, home-and-home, as Cleveland won easy, 119-105 in Orlando on Saturday. Normally we would go for the losing team in these situations, but there have been a lot of sweeps this year in these situations, and we just like what we have seen from the Cavs lately. They have won five of six, with their only loss coming against the defending champs. With the loss on Saturday, Orlando has lost five of eight, with their wins coming against Brooklyn, New Orleans and Memphis. With Saturday’s win, Cleveland has won and covered in four of five meetings with the Magic. Cleveland has played four back-to-back sets like this already this season, and they won and covered the second game in three of four tries. Orlando has lost SU and ATS in the second game of both similar sets they have played this season.
|
|
01-26-26 |
Bruins v. Rangers +106 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
106 |
5 h 27 m |
Show
|
We think Revenge is an overrated handicapping factor in professional sports, but it does come into play at times, and we think tonight is one of those situations. Boston is a main rival for the Rangers and the Bruins absolutely thumped New York in Boston, 10-2, around two weeks ago. No doubt the Rangers remember this one. We expect a much better effort here. New York has won six of eight meetings despite the loss in Boston. They have been playing badly but have had an extended break to regroup, and we expect them to play a strong game here and win this one.
|
|
01-25-26 |
Raptors +11.5 v. Thunder |
|
103-101 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
OKC is just 4-6 ATS in their last ten games and they are just not playing as hard every game like they did last season. But they are still being lined like last season, so we can pick spots for value by going against them. That certainly looks good tonight. The Raptors are on their last game of a five-game road trip and it has gone very well so far as they have won and covered in three straight. We think they will want to finish strong here against the defending champs, which is always a game circled on the opposing team’s schedule each season. OKC has lost two of four outright, including last time out vs. the Pacers, and they aren’t in top form right now. Toronto is a very strong road team and we think they can keep this one within double digits.
|
|
01-25-26 |
Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 46 |
|
27-31 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 57 m |
Show
|
3 Unit Play. Take #104 Under 46 in Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks (6:30p.m., Sunday, January 25 FOX) Sooner or later the Seahawks defense will show up against the Rams and I see this being a lower scoring game than what the posted total is at. QB Sam Donald struggled early against the Rams in their last meetings and I expect him to focus on not turning over the football in this game. Everything went right for Seattle last week against San Francisco, but I see this game being played more like the Los Angeles – Chicago game.
|
|
01-25-26 |
USC v. Wisconsin -8 |
|
73-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 16 m |
Show
|
2 Unit Play. Take #854 Wisconsin -8 over USC (4p.m., Sunday, January 25 Peacock) Wisconsin is on a roll at the moment and will enter this game having won 5 straight Big 10 games. The Badgers beat the Trojans by 15 points last season in Los Angeles and that is how I see this game going as well at the Kohl Center. USC is coming off 2 straight home losses and they are coming apart again this season.
|
|
01-25-26 |
Patriots -3.5 v. Broncos |
|
10-7 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 17 m |
Show
|
2 Unit Play. Take #101 New England Patriots -3.5 over Denver Broncos (3p.m., Sunday, January 25 CBS) This is has come down this morning and now I feel the value lies with the Patriots. Denver is playing a backup quarterback and New England is very familiar with him, as he played for the Patriots in past years. Denver’s defense got picked apart last week by Buffalo and I see New England having similar success in this game. The Patriots are 8-0 straight-up and 7-1 ATS on the road this season.
|
|
01-25-26 |
Avalanche v. Maple Leafs +150 |
|
4-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 34 m |
Show
|
Both teams are slumping but we see some value in the Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena today. We knew Colorado couldn’t keep up the torrid pace they were on, and they have lost four of five. The first loss to start this down streak was at home vs. these same Maple Leafs, a 4-3 OT loss. After that game, Toronto has lost five of six. Two of those were in OT, however. The Leafs have won three of the last four meetings, and at this number we think they are a bit undervalued.
|
|
01-24-26 |
North Carolina +6.5 v. Virginia |
|
85-80 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 31 m |
Show
|
7 Unit Play. Take #635 North Carolina over Virginia (12p.m., Saturday, January 24 ESPN2) Just do not see Virginia blowing out North Carolina in the noon timeslot. This game got shifted due to the winter storm and I am not sure how that benefits Virginia laying this many points. North Carolina would have been a favorite in this game before the season starts and they got back on track against Notre Dame last time out. The Tar Heels have beaten the Cavaliers in back-to-back games by a combined 25 points. This is a game where both teams may come in flat and we will grab the points in this early tilt. Virginia is rolling, but they have losses to Butler and Virginia Tech. Carolina laid an egg last week in the Bay Area, but this is a more traditional ACC road game.
|
|
01-23-26 |
Rangers v. Sharks OVER 6.5 |
Top |
1-3 |
Loss |
-125 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
The Rangers have been a strong over team since Shesterkin has been sidelined. They face a San Jose team that can score some goals at home and that will allow some as well. These teams played in October to a 6-5 San Jose OT win. The over is 9-0-1 in the Sharks last 10 home games, and they so often play high scoring games here. We think that will be the case tonight with the Sharks returning from a four-game road trip. It’s sometimes tough for a team on their first game back home after a road trip and they may not be fully focused defensively.
|
|
01-23-26 |
Celtics v. Nets +8.5 |
Top |
130-126 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
Brooklyn won outright the last meeting in November, and they have covered in three of the last four meetings. We like to take a team off a bad loss, and they don't get any worse than what the Nets experienced last time out as they lost by more than 50 to the Knicks. We were on New York in that game but didn't expect it to be that easy. They will no doubt be more focused here and probably be hustling a lot for lose balls and rebounds. We are probably getting a couple extra points on the line here because of that performance, and the Celtics have been playing well. Boston has a back-to-back at the Bulls coming on Saturday, so it's likely they won't go 100% in this one, while we expect the Nets to do just that.
|
|
01-22-26 |
Lakers +1.5 v. Clippers |
|
104-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 47 m |
Show
|
We don’t yet know if Kawhi Leonard will suit up for the Clippers and the odds will change based on his availability, but we like the Lakers to take this one Kawhi or not. The Clippers used to always cover against the Lakers and this was one of their biggest matchups every season, but with the Clips getting their own arena, it kind of removed the chip on their collective shoulders, and the Lakers have won and covered in five of the last seven meetings. We think revenge is an overrated handicapping factor, but we are sure the Lakers remember the last meeting, which was a Clippers blowout where the Lakers scored only 88 points. We forsee a much better effort tonight.
|
|
01-22-26 |
Blackhawks v. Hurricanes UNDER 6.5 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-135 |
7 h 44 m |
Show
|
We do not see the Blackhawks doing anything on offense here. They will have to step up on defense to keep this one competitive or the Hurricanes will run away with it, and both scenarios bode well for the under. The Blackhawks are really struggling offensively right now and have averaged less than two goals per game in their last six. They have averaged less than two goals per meeting with the Hurricanes in the last six matchups, and they were shut out twice in that span. They will have trouble scoring tonight. Bussi is a Top 5 goaltender this season and he is in the zone right now. The Hurricanes overall have a Top 8 defense. Chicago is actually underrated on defense and they are in the middle of the pack defensively for goals allowed. They can put up a stand here and make this one a low scoring affair. They have two shutouts in their last five games, including last time out vs. Winnipeg. We think there is a great chance they can hold Carolina to three or fewer goals. They are 29-20 this season to the under, and they have the ability to clamp down on defense when the offense isn’t producing.
|
|
01-22-26 |
Wisconsin -5.5 v. Penn State |
|
98-71 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
4 Unit Play. Take #777 Wisconsin -5.5 over Penn State (7p.m., Thursday, January 22 FS1) Penn State has actually won 2 straight games against Wisconsin, but they are young and rebuilding this season. Wisconsin has won 7 of the last 10 games when you stretch this out and is hitting Penn State at the right time. The Nittany Lions have lost 8 of their last 9 games only beating NCCU during this span. NCCU is North Carolina Central, I just looked it up. Penn State has played a brutal conference schedule, and it is starting to take its toll of them. They will lose tonight by double digits.
|
|
01-21-26 |
Notre Dame v. North Carolina -12.5 |
|
69-91 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
|
4 Unit Play. Take #694 North Carolina -12 over Notre Dame (7p.m., Wednesday, January 21 ESPN2) The Irish have lost 5 straight games to the Tar Heels and only two of those games were losses under single digits. Notre Dame has not been the same since their lost to Cal under questionable officiating, losing their next 3 games all but double digits. Carolina had a bad road trip to the Bay Area and needs to get back on track and Notre Dame should provide them an opportunity for a blowout double-digit victory.
|
|
01-20-26 |
Kansas -4.5 v. Colorado |
|
75-69 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 29 m |
Show
|
2 Unit Play. Take #665 Kansas -4.5 over Colorado (11p.m., Tuesday, January 20 ESPN) The Jayhawks are coming off back-to-back dominating home wins against Iowa State and Baylor. Both of those teams are better than what they will see tonight from Colorado. The Buffaloes are on a 2-5 skid, and it will not matter if Bill Self is coaching, Kansas will win this game by close to double digits.
|
|
01-20-26 |
Spurs +4 v. Rockets |
|
106-111 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 33 m |
Show
|
The Spurs barely broke a sweat in beating the Jazz by double digits last night for their third straight win, and we don’t see the B2B affecting this young team much. They will be up for facing their in state rival tonight. The Rockets have had all kinds of trouble offensively lately and even though they have picked up some wins, they are not covering games as they are just 1-8 ATS in their last nine games. We think the Spurs have a great chance for the outright win, and they won by double digits in their only meeting this season.
|
|
01-20-26 |
Sharks v. Lightning -1.5 |
|
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
San Jose is coming in on a back-to-back. This team is much improved from last season and their recent era altogether, but they are not an incredibly deep team and a B2B at this point of the season hurts. And it doesn’t help that they are going up against a team that just smacked them up a couple weeks ago. These teams met January 3 in San Jose and the Lightning won 7-3 in a score that was flattering to the Sharks. Tampa Bay has won eight of the last ten meetings, with six of those wins coming by multiple goals (usually a bunch of goals), including the last four wins. Tampa Bay is playing as well as any team in the league right now and we expect another beatdown tonight.
|
|
01-19-26 |
Miami-FL +8.5 v. Indiana |
|
21-27 |
Win
|
100 |
32 h 20 m |
Show
|
2 Unit Play. Take #287 Miami Hurricanes +8.5 over Indiana Hoosiers (7:50p.m., Sunday, January 18 ESPN) Just do not feel Indiana will cruise through the 3 game playoff without a challenge. Miami is playing a home game and they have a defense that can slow down Indiana. The Hoosiers had some tough battles during the regular season and I expect this game to do down to the wire.
|
|
01-19-26 |
Providence v. Marquette +1.5 |
|
104-105 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 37 m |
Show
|
2 Unit Play. Take #878 Marquette (pk) over Providence (6p.m., Monday, January 19 FS1) Both of these teams are bad, but I do not believe Marquette will continue to lose most of their home games. The Golden Eagles have won 4 straight games against the Friars. 3 of the victories have come by at least 22 points and all 4 victories have been by double digits.
|
|
01-19-26 |
Thunder v. Cavs +6 |
|
136-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 28 m |
Show
|
The Cavs won the last meeting outright and they have won three of the last four meetings at home. OKC is clearly the best team in the league again this season, but they just aren’t running away with games like they did last season. They were far and away the best betting team last year but now are lower middle of the pack in ATS ratings. They aren’t playing as hard on a nightly basis and also they have inflated lines by the oddsmakers. This line certainly seems inflated. The Cavs have won and covered three of four, and this team looks all the sudden like one that can cover some lines after a poor ATS performance most of the season. This is one of the biggest home games of the season in Cleveland, and we expect them to show up and challenge for the outright win.
|
|
01-19-26 |
Sabres v. Hurricanes OVER 6.5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-101 |
1 h 24 m |
Show
|
Buffalo has been playing really well lately and they will give the Hurricanes a challenge here in the MLK Day matinee. They have scored at least four goals in eight of their last ten games, and they rung up five goals in five of those games. Their offense is humming like a well oiled machine, and we don’t see them letting up today. Carolina is one of the hottest teams in the league and they have 13 goals in their last two games, so there is a chance they could top this total as a team. They are the No. 3 offense for scoring in the league, and Buffalo is in the bottom half of the league defensively. We see the Hurricanes doing some scoring today, and Buffalo has the chops to keep up and get their share of the total.
|
|
01-18-26 |
Texans v. Patriots -3 |
|
16-28 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 33 m |
Show
|
2 Unit Play. Take #388 New England Patriots -3 over Houston Texans (3p.m., Sunday, January 18 ESPN) The Patriots or Texans have a great chance to reach the Super Bowl by winning this game with the Broncos being without Bo Nix next week. Houston is 0-6 in the divisional round. The No. 2 seed is 8-4 in this round against the No. 5 seed. QB Maye has had an MVP type of season, and I see him continuing that in this game. He can beat you with his arm or legs and the Patriots will be able to shut down this Texans offense. I see Houston making mistakes on offense and look for New England to take advantage of them and win this game by double digits.
|
|
01-18-26 |
Oakland -2.5 v. Green Bay |
|
88-63 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 33 m |
Show
|
2 Unit Play. Take #829 Oakland -2.5 over Cleveland State (2p.m., Sunday, January 18 ESPN+) The Phoenix have turned it around after last season, but I am not ready to trust them over their head coach. Oakland has won 7 of the last 8 meetings with Green Bay including a 24 point victory the last time these two teams met.
|
|
01-17-26 |
Kings v. Ducks OVER 6 |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-129 |
9 h 21 m |
Show
|
These teams played last night in LA, a 3-2 shootout win by Anaheim on away ice. This is a quick revenge spot and the Kings are the better team. They have been better on the road than at home this season. These teams have alternated wins and losses for six straight games, and now it’s the Kings turn. The defense shouldn’t be as good here with the fatigue factor as defense takes a lot of energy. The Ducks have played good defense the last two games but we don’t think they can hold that up, and they have allowed five or more goals in seven of their last 10 games.
|
|
01-17-26 |
49ers +7.5 v. Seahawks |
|
6-41 |
Loss |
-115 |
54 h 23 m |
Show
|
2 Unit Play. Take #389 San Francisco 49ers over Seattle Seahawks (8p.m., Saturday, January 18 FOX) Just feel this is too many points to be laying for a third matchup between these two teams. Seattle is rested and healthier, but I see San Francisco being able to take this game down to the wire. The 49ers defense has played well the last two games, and I feel they can frustrate QB Sam Donald in this game at some point. San Francisco has won 7 of their last 8 games (7-1 ATS). I just do not trust Sam Donald and feel he will allow the 49ers a chance to make a game changing play or at least take this game down to the wire.
|
|
01-17-26 |
Celtics v. Hawks +3.5 |
|
132-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 54 m |
Show
|
Atlanta has played seven of their last eight on the road, and they have been playing better basketball overall despite the results maybe not being evident because of this long road stretch. But we feel this is a good spot for them to compete for a win. The whole Trae Young saga is in the rearview mirror, and this team he left behind is solid. Boston has covered only four of their last five games, and they have been overrated by the oddsmakers. The Hawks have won and covered in four of the last five meetings, so they usually raise their level of play against the Celtics. After consecutive losses, we think the Hawks bring their A Game tonight.
|
|
01-17-26 |
Bills v. Broncos -1 |
|
30-33 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 35 m |
Show
|
4 Unit Play. Take #392 Denver Broncos over Buffalo Bills (4:30p.m., Saturday, January 18 CBS) Buffalo opened as a favorite, but Denver is now favored at release time. The Broncos are 6-2 lifetime in the divisional round as the No. 1 seed. Denver has the much better defense and a balanced offense that can attack the Buffalo defense on the ground or through the air. Playing in back-to-back road games will catch up to Buffalo in this game, as Denver moves onto the AFC Championship Game.
|
|
01-16-26 |
Ducks v. Kings -1.5 |
|
3-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
Anaheim was in the playoff discussion but then they fell off the cliff and this team has been playing horribly. The main culprit is a defense that has been giving up a lack of goals on a nightly basis. We expect the Kings to put up a big point total here. They have won the last two meetings at home, both 6-1, and we think we could see the same type of game from them tonight.
|
|
01-16-26 |
Colorado State v. Boise State -5 |
|
73-79 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 9 m |
Show
|
1 Unit Play. Take #894 Boise State -5.5 over Colorado State (10:30p.m., Friday, January 16 FS1) I have not given up on Coach Rice and feel this Boise State will make a run at some point this season in the MWC. They are struggling at the moment but still have talent and are facing a similar team on Friday Night. The line being this big tells despite Boise State being 1-5 tells me this is the correct play.
|
|
01-16-26 |
Marquette v. DePaul -3.5 |
|
75-80 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 9 m |
Show
|
3 Unit Play. Take #888 DePaul -3.5 over Marquette (8:30p.m., Friday, January 16 FS1) For DePaul to be favored against Marquette that tells you have down the Golden Eagles are this season. The Blue Demons are just 2-4 in Big East play, but they have played a brutal schedule with losses to UCONN (2), St. Johns, and Villanova. They have beaten the teams they should beat, and Marquette falls into that category. The Golden Eagles sit in last place in the Big East and not taking transfers has finally caught up to this program.
|
|
01-16-26 |
Cavs v. 76ers -2.5 |
Top |
117-115 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 19 m |
Show
|
We always say that revenge is an overrated handicapping factor in NBA betting. When a team loses to another one the previous month, they have had so many intense games between then that they likely don’t remember the loss too much or they have more recent games that the players focus on. Honestly, many of the players in the NBA probably don’t even think much about past games unless there was a massive blowout or a skirmish that stays in their head. But when revenge does come into play is when teams play in consecutive games like we are seeing tonight with the Cavs and Sixers. This is when revenge comes into play as the game is still fresh on the losing team’s minds, and we love to take the losing team in a true revenge spot like this. This one ticks several boxes for us. Philly gets both games at home, instead of a home-and-away. They were blown out and embarrassed, so they should make adjustments and play with more focus. And Philly has been a superior ATS team (23-15-1) compared to Cleveland (13-19), one of the worst betting teams this season. The Sixers should have all their key players for this one, and Garland is out for the Cavs and he had a huge game on Wednesday with 20 points and 7 assists.
|
|
01-15-26 |
Seattle Kraken v. Bruins UNDER 6 |
|
2-4 |
Push |
0 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
The last four meetings in Boston have gone under the posted total. The Kraken have a Top 10 defense and a Bottom 10 offense. That’s why they play in so many low scoring games. Boston has been getting the job done defensively during their current four-game winning streak, as they have allowed only three goals in four games. Seattle will have to ramp up the defense if they want to have a chance here because we think goals will be hard to come by for them. We could see the Bruins taking this game but not scoring too much but stifling the Kraken offense completely.
|
|
01-15-26 |
Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 222 |
Top |
111-91 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
Houston has been on a strong under run, with six of their last seven games going under the posted number. They have been playing solid on defense, but they have scored 105 or less in all those games that went under. We don’t see a breakout game on offense against the Thunder here. This one should have a playoff atmosphere and these teams could definitely meet in the postseason. When these teams met in October, the game reached only 208 at the start of overtime. These teams are both Top 3 defenses for points scored this season, and we think we will see a lot of strong defense here tonight.
|
|
01-15-26 |
Maine v. Vermont -12.5 |
|
62-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 36 m |
Show
|
3 Unit Play. Take #306534 Vermont -12.5 over Maine (7p.m., Thursday, January 15 ESPN+) Maine is coming off a rare win this season last time out, but expect a return to the norm on Thursday. The Catamounts have beaten the Black Bears 9 of the last 10 meetings, but that lone last came last time out. Revenge will be served on the court tonight in a blowout at Patrick Gymnasium.
|
|
01-14-26 |
Golden Knights -113 v. Kings |
|
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
These teams have gone over in five straight meetings. When we see a 5.5, we always want to see if we can beat it, because even a low scoring game can go over 5.5 if there is an empty net at the end. We don’t think we will need the empty net here, however. Vegas has won four straight and has scored 19 goals in the process. They will be confident they can find the net here on the road. We think the Kings will get their share of the total here in a losing effort. They haven’t beat LA in four meetings, and for this regional rivalry they will be on their A Game to reverse that trend. They are in better form right now.
|
|
01-14-26 |
Cavs v. 76ers -110 |
|
133-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 60 m |
Show
|
Cleveland has been one of the worst bets in the NBA all season, and Philly one of the best. We are happy to play the moneyline here and expect Philly to take care of business at home. The Sixers are looking like a championship contender again now that Embiid is back, and it looks like he will play tonight even though he is listed on the injury report. They are likely to have pretty much their full squad, and this is an important game. Cleveland just lost by double digits to Utah, and they have lost three of five overall. They are not playing well right now. Philly has won six of eight, and we trust them to take care of business on their home court.
|
|
01-14-26 |
Iowa v. Purdue -10 |
|
72-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
2 Unit Play. Take #680 Purdue -10 over Iowa (6:30p.m., Wednesday, January 14 BTN) Purdue playing at home is never a bad bet. Iowa State ran them out of the building for their only loss on the season, but I do not expect Iowa to do the same thing. The Hawkeyes are off to an impressive start, but they are still rebuilding under a new coach and they are not ready for this environment. Purdue has beaten Iowa 8 of the last 10 meetings, and this game should be a double digit victory for them on Wednesday.
|
|
01-13-26 |
Stars v. Ducks OVER 6.5 |
Top |
1-3 |
Loss |
-125 |
10 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 31-14 to the over, Anaheim is one of the best over teams on the total this season, and we don’t mind paying a little juice for the over here tonight. The Ducks defense has been atrocious, and it has allowed at least five goals in seven of the last eight games. There is a good chance that Dallas will capture most of the goals for this total. Dallas has the third best offense in the NHL for goals scored per game, so it’s not inconceivable for them to surpass this total as a team. But we have a very sneaky feeling that the Ducks will make a game of this. The Stars are on a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights. Their defense might not have the energy, and Anaheim will be attacking for sure on offense. The Ducks have had two nights off, and that is ample time to regroup after nine straight losses, and we could see the Ducks come out strong on offense. We certainly think they will get their share of the total. The Ducks have gone over in eight straight. Dallas has gone over in four if six. Three straight meetings have gone over the posted number.
|
|
01-13-26 |
Spurs +9 v. Thunder |
|
98-119 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 54 m |
Show
|
These teams played three times in December, and the Spurs won all three as underdogs and of course covered all three spreads. We said before those games that the Spurs are a potential threat to the OKC dynasty. They match up well against them, the Thunder have no answer for Webanyama (no team does), and they have great depth after stockpiling young talent in the draft for years. They always seem to raise their level of play against OKC. The Thunder do not have that killer instinct to just destroy teams like they have in the past. After being by far the best ATS team last season, they are 19-21 ATS this year. They are still being overvalued by the oddsmakers and have failed to cover in five straight. They just aren’t playing their best right now and still being overvalued on the lines.
|
|
01-13-26 |
Wisconsin -1 v. Minnesota |
|
78-75 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
5 Unit Play. Take Wisconsin over Minnesota (7p.m., Tuesday, January 13 BTN) Wisconsin is coming off an impressive victory at Michigan on Saturday. I do not see a letdown in this game since they are still outside the bubble and need to accumulate wins. This is a rivalry game that has been dominated by Wisconsin, as they have beaten Minnesota 9 straight games. Minnesota has some good wins this season, but they lost at home to USC last time out and I see them losing two games in a row at the Barn.
|
|
01-12-26 |
Maple Leafs v. Avalanche -1.5 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 24 m |
Show
|
Colorado is by far the best team in the NHL and they are virtually unbeatable at home. They have brutalized their opponents in their last four home games. They scored 23 goals in those four games and won all with a goal differential of +18. Toronto has not been a good road team this season and this matchup doesn’t suit them. They have been hot but have played a variety of struggling teams. They face a big step up in competition vs what they have faced recently. The last time the Maple Leafs visited, they lost 7-4. We could see that type of game happening here again tonight.
|
|
01-12-26 |
Texans v. Steelers +3 |
|
30-6 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
3 Unit Play. Take #386 Pittsburgh Steelers +3 over Houston Texans (8:15p.m., Monday, January 11 ESPN) Mike Tomlin is undefeated at home on Monday Night Football and they have won 23 straight home games on Monday Night Football dating back to 1991. Coach Tomlin is 22-4 on Monday Night Football in all of his games.
|
|
01-12-26 |
Jazz v. Cavs UNDER 250.5 |
|
123-112 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 27 m |
Show
|
This game should be a blowout, so that would bode well for the under. We have been handicapping the NBA since the early 2000s and back then it would be crazy to see a total in the 250s, but here we are. Utah is the worst defensive team in the league, and Cleveland one of the best offenses, so the Cavs will get their points. But will Utah get their share? They scored only 95 points last time out vs. Charlotte. This team has been an over machine all season, but the bookies have started to adjust their totals too high, and they have now gone under in five of the last eight. This is only their second total in the 250s this season, and the last one, against Golden State earlier this month, went under by almost 15. Cleveland has also gone under in five of their last eight games. They are coming off a high scoring game against Minnesota. But they face a big step down in competition here.
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01-11-26 |
Heat +14.5 v. Thunder |
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112-124 |
Win
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100 |
7 h 44 m |
Show
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The Thunder have failed to cover in four straight games, and this team is doing enough to get the job done but they aren’t winning big lately. The Heat have been an excellent ATS team this season and we think they will play hard here. When you face off against the defending champs, that is always one of the biggest games of the season. Will OKC have the same enthusiasm for this game? Probably not. They know they can give 75% and still win this one, and they are smartly learning to tone it down in the regular season as you have to save energy and health for the postseason.
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01-11-26 |
North Texas v. Wichita State -7 |
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67-78 |
Win
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100 |
4 h 42 m |
Show
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2 Unit Play. Take #856 Wichita State -7.5 over North Texas (3p.m., Sunday, January 11 ESPNU) Both teams sit at the bottom of the standings in the American Athletic Conference. Wichita State has never beaten North Texas yet they are a big favorite at home in this game. That tells me the correct side is the lay the points.
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01-11-26 |
Devils v. Jets -116 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 40 m |
Show
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We were on the Jets last time out as they broke their 11-game losing streak to the LA Kings here at home. And we mentioned in our writeup that they might have been the best team on an 11-game winning streak in history, as they lost 10 of those by one goal and played a lot of good teams. We think after their big win that they may want to start another streak in the other direction. They have beaten the Devils in two straight with a +9 goal differential in those games. They have won the last four at home and all were blowouts. The Devils are in a tailspin right now and have lost seven of their last nine games. Many of these haven’t been close.
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01-11-26 |
Bills v. Jaguars -1 |
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27-24 |
Loss |
-120 |
2 h 43 m |
Show
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7 Unit Play. Take #380 Jacksonville Jaguars +1.5 over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday, January 11 CBS) We will follow the Saturday night line movement and back the team at home on Sunday. Many believe this is QB Josh Allen's year since he does not have to face Mahomes, Lamor, or Burrow. I don't see him running the table on the road and feel he and the Bills will be knocked out on Sunday. The Bills have a major problem defending the run and Jacksonville should have a field day running up and down the field. Jacksonville was 7-1 ATS at home this season and have won 8 straight games. They have the belief in this head coach, and I see them knocking the Bills out of the playoffs. Buffalo has lost 8 straight road playoff games.
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01-10-26 |
Packers v. Bears +1.5 |
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27-31 |
Win
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100 |
78 h 42 m |
Show
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2 Unit Play. Take #378 Chicago Bears over Green Bay Packers (8p.m., Saturday, January 10 Prime) I actually believe the fact that Green Bay should have won both regular season games helps Chicago in this spot. The Bears are due to play a good game against Green Bay and control the game from start to finish. A lot had to go Chicago’s way late in the second meeting for the Bears to win that game in overtime. Green Bay has not won a game since December 7th and there are issues about if their coach and general manager will return or be in a lame duck year. QB Williams and Coach Johnson have been in sync and Caleb put up a ton of passing yards this season. The Bears are the healthier team and playing at home in the playoffs is never a bad thing. Green Bay got bounce last season in the first round as a No. 7 seed and I see that happening again on Saturday night in a windy game in the Windy City.
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01-10-26 |
Clippers v. Pistons -4 |
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98-92 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 2 m |
Show
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This is a revenge spot since the Pistons lost in LA right before the new year. The Pistons had an off night and they couldn’t hit anything from deep. But now they have won four of five since that loss and they catch the Clippers on a back-to-back and they have had two nights rest. Kawhi Leonard doesn’t always play in back-to-backs and he has nagging injuries so his status is in question tonight. Hopefully Cunningham suits up tonight for the Pistons after a couple days of rest. The Pistons are incredible at home, while the Clippers have won only five games on the road after beating Brooklyn on Friday.
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01-10-26 |
Stars -1.5 v. Sharks |
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4-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 30 m |
Show
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We went against the Kings last night for our 7-Unit winner as they were in a letdown spot after their loss against San Jose, and we think the Sharks might be in a similar situation tonight. Even though they have had an extra night off, they still expended a lot of energy and emotion in beating their biggest rival in an upset on Wednesday. That was the Sharks fifth win in their last six. We have been on them a lot this season and we were way ahead of the curve with this team from the get go. But they have been playing a bit above their heads lately. We think we might see a game here like we saw against Tampa, where the Sharks got overwhelmed quickly then just let the Lightning score at will. Dallas is coming off a long losing streak where they didn’t embarrass themselves but they weren’t playing well, but they beat the Capitals on the road last time 4-1, and we feel they match up well against the Sharks. They have won eight straight meetings, four straight by multiple goals, as well as five of the last six.
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01-10-26 |
St. John's v. Creighton -1 |
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90-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 11 m |
Show
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7 Unit Play. Take #640 Creighton -1.5 over St. Johns (2p.m., Saturday, January 10 FS1) St. Johns is just not very good this season especially when playing other good teams. Creighton got off to a slow start this season but they have turned it on winning 5 of their last 6 games and they are always a tough team to beat in Omaha. They are coming off a solid road victory against Villanova last time out. St. Johns does not have any quality wins this season and their Big East wins have come against Georgetown, DePaul, and Butler. The Red Storm do not have a point guard and that has bite this all season long. Creighton has won 7 of the last 10 meetings with St. Johns and will get revenge at home after losing to them twice last season.
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01-09-26 |
UNLV v. Colorado State OVER 147 |
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62-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 23 m |
Show
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2 Unit Play. Take #893 Over 147 in UNLV @ Colorado State (10p.m., Friday, January 9 CBS Sports Network) This line has been coming down all morning and now I believe the value lies with the over. The over has hit 60% of the time over the last 10 meetings between the Rebels and Rams. Colorado State’s last game featured 150 points and that is how I expect this game to go as well.
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01-09-26 |
Kings v. Jets +113 |
Top |
1-5 |
Win
|
113 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
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The Jets have lost 11 straight. But this is legit probably the best performance we have ever seen from a team on an 11-game losing streak. Four of those losses were in OT and ten were by a single goal. The one that wasn’t was a two-goal loss to the Senators where Ottawa scored late. There defense and goaltending has been sufficient during this bad stretch. They have played a very tough schedule and they really should have won a few of those games. This has involved some bad luck. But the value on this team is at an all time high for a team of this caliber. They are relatively healthy compared to the Kings and they are very good at home. They are desperate to end their franchise biggest losing streak in history. This could be a bad spot for the Kings who are coming off a game with their biggest rival where they gave it their all and still came up short.
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01-09-26 |
Oregon v. Indiana -3.5 |
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22-56 |
Win
|
100 |
53 h 28 m |
Show
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3 Unit Play. Take #276 Indiana Hoosiers over Oregon Ducks (Peach Bowl, 7:30p.m., Friday, January 9 ESPN) The Hoosiers seem to be the team of destiny this season, and we will back them on Friday night in Atlanta. Indiana is the only team that received a bye in the last two years to win their quarterfinal game. They have already have beaten the Ducks in Eugene and I am just not sold on the Oregon offense being explosive like their past years. Indiana will be able to move the football and put up points on this Oregon defense. Coach Cignetti has not let Indiana get complacent and I see them pulling away at some point in this game and winning it comfortably. Beating Ohio State and Alabama has prepared them to beat Oregon in a neutral site (Indiana will have more fans).
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01-09-26 |
Clippers v. Nets +4.5 |
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121-105 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 28 m |
Show
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The Clippers have resorted back to a mediocre team after their six-game winning streak and they have lost two of three, with both losses coming in blowout fashion. We think the Nets have a great chance to win here. Kawhi is hurt again, and that is probably the most predictable thing we could expect with this team this season. He is listed as questionable as of this writing, but we think this will be a close game with or without Leonard. The Nets have covered in five of their last eight games and this is a team we targeted for ATS value at the start of the season. They did not play well to start but have been a much better team lately, and we expect them to compete hard tonight.
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01-08-26 |
Senators v. Avalanche -1.5 |
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2-8 |
Win
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100 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
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Colorado has won three of four and five of six meetings by multiple goals. They have a +10 goal differential in the last three meetings at home. This is the best team in the league and they are impossible to beat at home. They are coming off consecutive losses (they didn’t embarrass themselves in either game) on the road, so this homecoming against an average Senators club will be a welcomed matchup since it has been so one-sided in recent years. Colorado has a winning ATS record, while the Senators have a losing one. They often lose, especially on the road, by multiple goals. They have lost five of their last seven overall, and four of those losses were by multiple goals, including their last two games. And none of those matchups, of course, were against the best team in the league.
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01-08-26 |
Miami-FL -3 v. Ole Miss |
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31-27 |
Win
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100 |
29 h 29 m |
Show
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3 Unit Play. Take #273 Miami Hurricanes over Ole Miss Rebels (Fiesta Bowl, 7:30p.m., Thursday, January 8 ESPN) Just believe Miami is the more physical team with the better defense. Ole Miss got up playing Georgia last week, but their coaching drama will catch up to them in this game. Miami is continuing to get better and I feel they will pull away in this game and win it by double digits. They will not blow a lead like Georgia did last week in the Sugar Bowl. Miami has been dominant on defense against Ohio State and Texas A&M, especially on the defensive line. They will make Ole Miss one dimensional and allow their line to tee off on Trinidad Chambliss. Both of Miami’s games have been low scoring and I expect them to dictate the flow of this game as well allowing the under to cash.
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01-08-26 |
Miami-FL v. Ole Miss UNDER 52.5 |
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31-27 |
Loss |
-108 |
29 h 29 m |
Show
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2 Unit Play. Take #274 Under in Miami Hurricanes vs Ole Miss Rebels (Feista Bowl, 7:30p.m., Thursday, January 8 ESPN) Just believe Miami is the more physical team with the better defense. Ole Miss got up playing Georgia last week, but their coaching drama will catch up to them in this game. Miami is continuing to get better and I feel they will pull away in this game and win it by double digits. They will not blow a lead like Georgia did last week in the Sugar Bowl. Miami has been dominant on defense against Ohio State and Texas A&M, especially on the defensive line. They will make Ole Miss one dimensional and allow their line to tee off on Trinidad Chambliss. Both of Miami’s games have been low scoring and I expect them to dictate the flow of this game as well allowing the under to cash.
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01-08-26 |
Pacers v. Hornets -4 |
Top |
114-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 23 m |
Show
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The Pacers are the worst team in the league and come into this one having lost 13 straight. The Hornets aren’t a good team, but they have won two of three, including their blowout vs. the Thunder, and they should have no problem with a comfortable win here. They have covered in five straight and eight of nine. They have also covered in four of five meetings with Indiana. This is a great spot to fade the Pacers without laying too many points, as they will be getting a ton of points down the stretch of the season.
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01-08-26 |
St Francis PA +7.5 v. Wagner |
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71-69 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
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2 Unit Play. Take #306547 St. Francis over Wagner (7p.m., Thursday, January 8) The NEC is bunched up through two games this season with all but two teams 1-1. Two of the last four meetings have gone into overtime and St. Francis did win the last game these two teams played last March. All 3 games played last year were deiced by three or less points and I see this game going down to the wire as well.
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01-07-26 |
Sharks +1.5 v. Kings |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 6 m |
Show
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The Sharks laid a beating on Columbus last night (we were on San Jose), and we think they saved some energy for this back-to-back against their biggest rival. That was a pretty easy win for them, to be honest. The Sharks have actually won three of the last five meetings. LA has beaten San Jose only once in the last eight meetings by multiple goals. San Jose is one of the best ATS teams in the league, and LA is one of the worst. LA won consecutive games against the Wild, but they have only four wins in their last ten games, so they are not in top form in our opinion.
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01-07-26 |
Jazz v. Thunder -17.5 |
Top |
125-129 |
Loss |
-112 |
8 h 39 m |
Show
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OKC is coming off consecutive losses, rare for this team, including a very embarrassing blowout here vs. Charlotte last time out. This team doesn’t care about the regular season as much as last year, but we don’t think they want a three-game losing streak and we think we see their A Game tonight. They have certainly displayed that A Game in recent meetings with Utah, a team they match up very well against. They have won three straight against the Jazz – all in Utah – by 30 or more points, and they have won five of the last six meetings by 20 or more. This is a team that can dominate if they want to, and we think that urgency will be on display tonight. Utah lost by 20 at Portland last time out, and they are facing a big step up in competition here.
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