7 Unit Play. Take #136 Arizona Cardinals -2.5 over Seattle Seahawks (4:05p.m., Sunday, Sunday, 8 CBS) The Cardinals need this game if they have visions of making the playoffs. Nobody in the NFC West has been able to separate all season long and thus I do not see Seattle winning this game and pulling away from the field. Seattle still cannot run the football, and they will struggle to do that against this strong Arizona rush defense. QB Smith had an emotional game last week against New York (former team) and playing their second straight road game will doom them in for this game.

4 Unit Play. Take #134 Maimi Dolphins over New York Jets (1p.m., Sunday, December 8 CBS) The Jets are just playing out the string for the rest of the season and QB Rodgers is likely down in New York should he want to play next season. Miami has held 3 of their last 4 opponents under 20 points and if they do that today they should win this game big. Miami has won 5 of their last 6 home games against New York. The Jets will have some moments in this game, they will just find a way to lose, something they have done most of this season.

2 Unit Play. Take #751 Richmond over Auburn (12p.m., Sunday, December 8 SECN) This is an 11 a.m. local tipoff and I just feel Richmond can stay within this gigantic number. The Spiders are well coached and run a slower style of offense and should benefit us to cover this number.

10 Unit Play. Take #120 Oregon Ducks over Penn State Nittany Lions (8p.m., Saturday, December CBS) BIG 10 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME Penn State must be shocked that they made it to Indianapolis, but I see them losing this game by double-digits. Both teams are likely in the playoffs and are playing for a top seed and bye. Coach Franklin has struggled in games against top teams and Oregon is the No. 1 team in the country. Oregon has scored 30 points in 23 of their last 24 games and I just do not believe Penn State can keep up with them. Oregon got over a big hurdle last week beating Washington and I see them winning the Big Ten in their first season.

The Grizzlies are playing as well as any team in the NBA right now and have won seven of their last eight games. We think they are in a good spot here for Saturday against the Celtics, who come in on a back-to-back after a tough game vs. Milwaukee, and this is their third game in four days, while the Grizzlies are rested. The Celtics have covered only two of their last 10 games, and it’s obvious their lines are being shaded at this time.

7 Unit Play. Take #308928 Montana State -17 over UT Martin (3p.m., Saturday, December 7 ESPN+) UT-Martin is coming off of perhaps the most dominating performance, defeating New Hampshire 41-10 last week in the opening round. Their reward, however, isn't much of a prize as they now must travel to Bozeman, Montana, to take on the number one seed, Montana State. The Skyhawks from UT-Martin have been impressive offensively, scoring 32.5 ppg (23rd in the country) and almost the same on the road, with 32.3 ppg. Their defense, however, is a different story, surrendering 22.3 ppg overall and 23 ppg as visitors. Perhaps an even more glaring statistic is their 2-4 SU record against teams above a .500 winning percentage, a stat Montana State (12-0) must be salivating at. The Bobcats have the highest-scoring offense in FCS, putting up 40.7 ppg and tied with Dayton for 6th at 17.0 ppg. Bobcat Stadium has been even more difficult for opposing teams to score in, as MSU's home points allowed per game is a stingy 13.2 ppg. UT-Martin has had difficulty all season against elite defenses, putting up a mere 9 points against Tennessee Tech and 6 against Kansas State. The Bobcats are somewhere in the middle of those respective teams. Another key factor to consider is travel and altitude. The Skyhawks have certainly earned their wings, traveling 1,266 miles last week to Durham, New Hampshire, and an even further 1,600 miles to Bozeman, Montana this week. Bobcat Stadium isn't quite a mile high, at an elevation of 4,940 feet, but the altitude is significant enough that visiting teams often struggle in the second half against MSU. We expect the weary travelers from UT-Martin to hang around in the first 30 minutes and melt under the blistering pressure of Montana State in the second half. Take MONTANA STATE GOOD LUCK!

6 Unit Play. Take #621 Wisconsin over Marquette (1:30p.m., Saturday, December 6 FOX) This is just too many points to be giving for this in-state battle that has been dominated by the Badgers in recent years. Both teams are coming off losses during the week and I expect this game to go right down to the wire. Chase Ross went out in that game with an ankle injury for the Golden Eagles and did not return. Wisconsin struggled with size from Michigan, but Marquette does not have that to threaten them in this game. The Badgers have beaten the Golden Eagles three times in the last three years.

5 Unit Play. Take #111 Ohio Bobcats +2 over Miami Ohio Redhawks (12p.m., Saturday, December 5 ESPN) The stats favor Ohio in this game and getting them as an underdog is too good to pass up. The underdog is 16-6 ATS (3 pushes) in the last 25 MAC Championship Games. These two teams met earlier this season and I just do not believe the Redhawks are good enough to beat the Bobcats twice in one season. The MAC is always full of upsets and revenge will be served on the field.

4 Unit Play. Take #108 Boise State Broncos over UNLV Rebels (8p.m., Friday, December 6 FOX) MOUNTAIN WEST CHAMPIONSHIP GAME UNLV may be the better all-around team, but Boise State is playing at home with the best player on the field. The winner of this game will likely reach the playoffs, and I just cannot envision UNLV being that team. Boise State is a brand name, and the conference and playoff committee want them to win this game. UNLV lost to Boise State, 44-20 at home last year in the Mountain West Championship and that is how is see this game going as well.

These teams played on Friday in Charlotte and the Hornets gave the Knicks quite a scare, with New York winning only by a single point. That prevents any surprises here, in our opinion, and gives the Knicks the opportunity to play a well-rounded game and not overlook this banged-up Hornets team. Charlotte is without Ball and Miles Bridges tonight and this team that will take the court isn’t much more talented than a G-League squad. The Knicks, in our opinion, are one of the four best teams in the league. They are getting healthy, too, and might get Achiuwa back tonight. Before that close game on Friday the Knicks had won the previous four meetings by 14 or more points, covering in all four.

Just think this line is too big. We have been burned by going against Boston a couple times recently but they just shot the lights out in those games but we think this one will be closer and the hot shooting can’t last forever. Boston generally hasn’t been good ATS this season and we think the Pistons can keep this one within double digits.

7 Unit Play. Take #646 Wisconsin over Michigan (9p.m., Tuesday, December 3 Peacock) Michigan is an improved team once they replaced Juwan Howard, but this is still in a rebuild and they already lost at Wake Forest. Wisconsin is 8-0 on the season and they tend to play to the level of their competition especially early in the game. They will be up for this game and I expect a strong 40 minute effort for them, as they need to protect their homecourt during conference play. Michigan has been beating some second tear teams, but this will be their toughest test of the season. I just do not believe they are ready to win at Wisconsin.

The Celtics are definitely not in playoff form right now as they have covered only one of their last seven games. We think this is an inflated line also. Brown and White missed yesterday’s game against the Cavs, and Boston faded down the stretch in that game and they looked fatigued. That was a big game for Boston, and this is a letdown spot. Miami has revenge for their playoff series loss last season, and this is their first crack at Boston, so we think they will want to play their best. Yesterday’s game was definitely bigger for Boston than this matchup with the Heat, and Boston might be missing a couple key players. Miami have been their typical regular season selves and have been pretty average, but we think this is a matchup where they will bring their A Game, and this spread is simply too large.

Chicago is on a back-to-back and frankly they already looked tired yesterday as they were blown out at Columbus. Now they face a big step up in talent in their third match in four days, and we don’t see this one going well for them. Toronto is 15-8 ATS, so when they win, they often win big. It’s rare to see a public team like this have such a solid ATS mark, and we feel like we can trust Toronto again tonight.

The Clippers already beat Denver in October, in Colorado no less, and they have actually won three straight meetings. Jokic is a beast as always, but Denver hasn’t been getting the contribution from his running partners that would produce a championship level squad. The Clippers are playing great team basketball right now and they are incredible defensively. We think they have a great chance to win this one outright.

Boston is an automatic fade ATS this season as they are 5-20 against the puckline. This is a very average team this year but they are being lined like the team we have been used to for the last several years. They have won only three of their last eight, and when they do win they haven’t been dominant. Montreal has covered the puckline in three straight games, and we think they will keep this one close as well.

4 Unit Play. Take #414 Texas A&M Aggies over Texas Longhorns (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 30 ABC) Texas A&M is coming off a bad loss to Auburn last week but they still control their own destiny to reach the SEC Championship Game and the College Football Playoffs. Texas has not been a world beater this season, they just have played a very easy schedule, and I do not see them blowing out the Aggies at College Station. These two teams have not met in quite some time and the 12th man will be alive and well for this game.

The Hornets are banged up but we think this is a major letdown spot for the Hawks after back-to-back blowout wins over the Cavs. The truth is that the Hawks are 8-12 ATS and this team has been overrated by the oddsmakers. Those wins followed a three-game losing streak and the Hawks haven’t been much better than the Hornets overall. Charlotte has covered six of the last seven meetings and we think they will challenge for the win today.

4 Unit Play. Take #390 Arizona Wildcats over Arizona State Sun Devils (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 30 FOX) The Sun Devils have a lot to play for in the Territorial Cup, but I see this game going down to the wire as rivalry games often do. Arizona State is coming off a big win over BYU and they now control their own destiny to reach the Big 12 Championship Game. ASU got sloppy in the second half against BYU including bad coaching decisions and I feel that might carryover into this game. Arizona is not making a bowl game and thus this will be their last game of the season. Look for them to go all out to win this game on Senior Day and spoil the magical season of ASU.

3 Unit Play. Take #306649 Northwestern State over LSU (8p.m., Friday, November 29 ESPN+) LSU is back on the court after a third-place finish from the Greenbriar Classic and I see this game being played within 20 points. The Demons have played a tough schedule and they stayed within this posted number against most of their schedule. Look for that to happen again on Friday.

4 Unit Play. Take #322 Wisconsin Badgers over Minnesota Golden Gophers (12p.m., Friday, November 29 CBS) The Badgers face a must win game to become bowl eligible and keep their winning record streak alive. This is the battle for the axe, and I see Wisconsin winning this game for a second straight season. Minnesota is coming off a tough loss to Penn State and I think that will take its toll on this game. Sometimes it is easier to come back from a blowout and look for Wisconsin to show some pride and win this game at Camp Randall.

2 Unit Play. Take #812 Under in New Mexico vs Arizona State (11:30p.m., Friday, November 28 TruTV) This is a lot of points for a game that will see teams sitting around all day waiting to play in a make-shift basketball arena. This total has come down and I see the under cashing a ticket for us in this game. Arizona State has overachieved this season but I do not see a great offensive team under Coach Hurly.

2 Unit Play. Take #306551 VMI over Loyola Maryland (7p.m., Tuesday, November 26 ESPN+) We will follow the massive line movement overnight and side with the Keydets tonight in Baltimore, MD. VMI has played some decent teams this season and the Greyhounds already have a home loss to Columbia.

The Clippers have won four of the last six meetings outright and they have covered in four of the last five. This looks like a very public line tonight. The Celtics have been winning but they haven’t been covering these inflated lines. They have covered just two of their last eight games. Both teams are on a B2B, so no advantage either way, and the Clippers have nice depth. LA is a team that is 11-6-1 ATS this season. They can be a nice moneymaker all season as they play some of the best defense in the league and don’t have any household names on the current roster except James Harden, who the public sees as washed up. But they play hard every night, and this team is a playoff quality squad right now and that is without Kawhi Leonard in the lineup. They have won five straight, and their last four opponents were all likely playoff teams. They rolled over Philly yesterday without breaking a sweat, so they should have nice energy here. Boston had a much tougher matchup as they needed a lot of energy down the stretch in a tight win over the Timberwolves.

2 Unit Play. Take #858 South Dakota Sate over Boise State (1:30p.m., Monday, November 25) We will grab the points in game, as I feel South Dakota State is not getting enough respect against another mid-major team. Boise State is good this season, but I feel this game will be played in single digits, as SDSU is 5-1 on the season with wins over McNeese.

6 Unit Play. Take #722 Wisconsin over Pittsburgh (5:30p.m., Sunday, November 24 CBSSN) Not sure why Pittsburgh is favored in this game, but we will grab the points with Wisconsin and use them again in the Championship Game of the Greenbrier Tip-Off Mountain Division. Wisconsin has been scoring points at will early in the season and playing a second game in this building should help him from the arc. The Badgers have size down low and I see them pulling away late and winning this game by close to double-digits.

10 Unit Play. Take #270 Green Bay Packers over San Francisco 49ers (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 24 FOX) The 49ers are leaking oil this entire season and they are not the same team that they have been the last couple of years. The are really banged up on both sides of the football and their players that have returned (CMC) have yet to produce much this season. Now QB Purdy is on the injury report and Nick Bosa left the game last week and their defense fell apart without him. Green Bay is coming off an emotional win last week against Chicago and look for them to carry that momentum into this game (they should have lost to the Bears). The Packers have already lost two home games this season and a neutral site game and they do not want to suffer all of 3 loses at Lambeau Field this season.

Minnesota has got off to a slow start and haven’t been good ATS but this is a game they will be up for and this is a legit NBA Finals preview. Minnesota will get things straightened out and this is a very good team. They have covered three straight vs. Boston and this is a Get Right game for them and we think they challenge for the win. Boston has only covered two of their last eight games and they are overrated by the oddsmakers right now. Just can’t pass up this juicy line today.

The Knicks have been playing well and should dominate this matchup. The Jazz routinely suffer blowouts, and they have a losing ATS record despite always getting very generous lines from the oddsmakers. The Knicks have won and covered in three of four meetings. Utah is coming off a grueling road trip where they lost all four, and the first game back at home can be tricky for the home squad in most cases.

Brooklyn has been one of the best ATS teams in the league and Philly one of the worst. We don’t think the home team cares much about this NBA Cup as they have bigger issues right now with a ton of injuries to start the season and lousy chemistry. Brooklyn has won and covered two of the last three and we think they are more motivated in this tournament matchup.

7 Unit Play. Take #881 Wisconsin over Central Florida (5p.m., Friday, November 22 CBSSN) Wisconsin has been strong with a new cast of characters and should move to 6-0 on the season and up the rankings. UCF has also been good this season, but I do not see them doing much this season in a loaded Big 12 Conference. Wisconsin always seems to start the season off well under Greg Gard and they will have the best player on the floor in John Tonje. The will also have the crowd advantage in West Virginia and that will allow them to win this game by double-digits in this makeshift arena at the Greenbriar.

The Lakers have LeBron and AD questionable, but we expect one or both to go tonight. The Lakers have been prefect at home and they are playing extremely well right now. They catch the Magic in a bad spot on a back-to-back after a grueling game against the Clippers, which they lost. That dropped them to 2-7 on the road. We think the Lakers pull away in the fourth quarter as the fatigue really starts to set in for Orlando.

3 Unit Play.  Take #748 Nevada -2.5 over Vanderbilt (7:30p.m., Thursday, November 21 ESPNU) Both teams have opened with 4 home games against inferior competition. Just feel Nevada is farther along than Vanderbilt with a new coach at this stage of the season. Coach Alford has a knack for performing well in this MTE lightweight tournaments and it should be no different Thursday.

2 Unit Play. Take #689 Long Beach State over Gonzaga (9p.m., Wednesday, November 20 ESPN+) The Beach always play a brutal nonconference schedule and this is a buy game where they go to Gonzaga to collect a check. I believe they can keep it under 30 points and thus we will grab the gigantic number tonight at the Kennel. The Bulldogs are heading to the Battle 4 Atlantis next and thus might not be all that focused tonight looking ahead to that tournament.

Carolina is one of the best teams in the league and this is no knock against the Hurricanes, but Philly has been playing solid hockey and they have won three of their last four. They have also covered the plus goals puckline four straight games as an underdog. The last one they didn’t cover as an underdog? Their Nov. 5 matchup at Carolina. But they did deserve the cover on that one as the Hurricanes got an empty netter after Kolosov was pulled in net. The Hurricanes haven’t been as good on the road as they have at home, and we expect a close match here.

Awesome start for Cleveland. You can’t really take anything away from them. But they haven’t played the toughest schedule. And Boston is still the better team. We feel like the sportsbooks are begging the public to load up on Cleveland here with this line. Don’t fall for the trap! Boston has also been incredible and they are 11-3 on the season and have played a road heavy schedule. That is impressive considering many champion teams take awhile to get into the groove of the season with a smaller offseason than most clubs. This will be a playoff type atmosphere and no doubt a game the Celtics will want to win, so we think they will bring their A Game here, and there aren’t many teams that can beat Boston when playing their best.

2 Unit Play. Take #603 Cleveland State over Minnesota (7p.m., Tuesday, November 19 BTN) Minnesota is always at a coaching disadvantage and expect them to struggle to blow out Cleveland State at Williams Arena tonight. Cleveland State has already played five games this season and only against Michigan were they noncompetitive. The Gophers are 3-1 with a home loss to North Texas and they are struggling to score points in the early part of the season.

2 Unit Play. Take #872 Michigan over Miami OH (6p.m., Monday, November 18 BTN) The Wolverines have played a difficult schedule thus far with two power 5 opponents from their first three games. They get to take a major step back tonight facing Miami OH and should be able to win this game by at least 25 points. They already beat Cleveland State this season by 48 points.

2 Unit Play. Take #306577 Campbell +6 over Navy (1p.m., Sunday, November 17 ESPN+) Just do not feel Navy should be this big of a favorite against anyone in the country. They Midshipmen give up a lot of points and that should allow Campbell to take this game down to the wire.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

4 Unit Play. Take #331 James Madison Dukes over Old Dominion Monarchs (4p.m., Saturday, November 16 ESPNU) The Dukes lost their coach who has gone on to have great early success at Indiana, but this is still a solid team. This is a game that they need to win to keep their slim hopes of winning the Sun Belt East alive. ODU has had similar results in the Sun Belt, but the difference in this game will come down to JMU having the better quarterback. Alonza Barnett is have a great season with 21 touchdowns compared to just 2 interceptions. He will come up big for his again on Saturday.

4 Unit Play. Take #398 Illinois Fighting Illini over Michigan State Spartans (2:30p.m., Saturday, November 16 FS1) I have not given up on Illinois this season. They are still 6-3 on the season and 3-3 in Big 10 Play. Both teams are off of a bye and a just do not see Illinois losing two straight home games against middle of the pack teams in the conference. Michigan State started off hot against Indiana on 11/2 leading 10-0, but lost 47-10. They have played a very difficult conference schedule, but I think they are worn down, not battle tested. The Illini beat Michigan at home by 14 points, a team that beat Michigan State. Lay the small change with the better all-around team playing at home.

7 Unit Play. Take #878 Wisconsin over Arizona (9p.m., Friday, November 15 Peacock) The line has come down a lot from one it was posted yesterday afternoon and the value clearly lies with the home team. Arizona is not the same team that they were last year and Wisconsin has gotten better by subtraction. Wisconsin also have revenge on their minds after getting pounded by a much better Arizona team last year. The new look Badgers led by John Tonje should be able to take this game down to the wire and that will give us the cash with whoever comes out on top.

2 Unit Play. Take #738 Arizona State over Grand Canyon (9p.m., Thursday, November 14 ESPN2) I am not ready to take little brother against big brother in this neutral site game in Phoenix. The Sun Devils have been sneaky good this season, currently 2-1 on the season with their only loss coming at Gonzaga. The Lopes are 2-0, but did not play great in either of their home wins and I do not see them blowing out Arizona State on Thursday. Take the points and expect this game to go down to the wire.

The Sharks have covered the puckline in 8 of the last 10 meetings, and they have won two of the last four outright. They always play the Rangers tough and New York normally underestimates San Jose. The Sharks have won five of their last eight games and they have been playing better than expected and certainly ahead of oddsmakers and bettors expectations. They have covered the puckline in six of their last seven games. They are 10-7 ATS against the puckline this season, while the Rangers are a mediocre 7-7. New York has lost two of their last three, including home blowout losses to Winnipeg and Buffalo. So they aren’t in the same stellar form they started the season with. They are probably in a letdown spot over their last match vs. the Jets as they played hard all game but it wasn’t enough. The Sharks made some solid moves in the offseason and they have their excellent rookie back in the lineup, and we like the value here with the plus-money puckline with their impressive recent performance and their strong history in this series.  

4 Unit Play. Take #282 Arizona Cardinals over New York Jets (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 10 CBS) The Cardinals have been sneaky good this season and currently sit atop the standing in the NFL West. We have had a great feel for the Jets this season and feel that they cannot handle prosperity and will suffer a defeat after beating the Texans last week on Thursday Night Football. QB Rodgers is the main issue, as he cannot move around anymore and just dumps of the ball quickly to avoid being sacked. QB Murray is very streaky but has a good coach and will enter this game having won 3 straight games, with two of those teams having better records than the Jets. This play comes down to everyone overvaluing the Jets and we will take the home team in this close to pick’em game. The Jets are not going anywhere this season, and this loss will be more of the same for them in 2024.  

2 Unit Play. Take #778 Wake Forest -1 over Michigan (1p.m., Sunday, November 10 ESPN2) The Wolverines have a new coach and system. We will follow the line movement in this game, as Michigan opened up a 3-point favorite, now they are an underdog.

3 Unit Play. Take #664 Nevada -6.5 over Washington (10p.m., Saturday, November 9 NSN) The Huskies are in a complete rebuild and will struggle most of this season under new coach Danny Sprinkle. They lost all their starters and will have issues early in the season. Nevada just rebuilds and have a great rotation and should be able to win this game by double-digits.

4 Unit Play. Take #160 Missouri Tigers over Oklahoma Sooners (7:45p.m., Saturday, November 9 SEC Network) Just not a fan of Oklahoma anymore and feel Coach Venables is in over his head. They have lost 3 straight SEC games by 31, 26, and 12 points. Missouri is a solid 6-2 this season but their two losses have been clunkers, getting blown out by Alabama and Texas A&M. Oklahoma is not in either class of those two teams and thus I expect Missou to take care of business at home.

The Rangers own this series and they are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. Two of those matches came this season, as the Rangers won both by multiple goals with a +6 goal differential. Detroit is not a very good team. They have won a couple games lately, so they are Fat and Happy as they say. They probably won’t give the maximum effort to be competitive here on a back-to-back (the Rangers are rested and healthy). Those wins came against the Blackhawks and Sabres, so the Wings will take a big step up in competition here. The Rangers have enjoyed a very strong start to the season. They haven’t lost much and they have been excellent on the road. One of their losses came last time out, also to Buffalo, and that was an embarrassing result. They can clearly put that one in the rearview mirror with a solid performance here. 

8 Unit Play. Take 221 Toronto Argonauts +2 over Montreal Alouettes (3p.m., Saturday, November 9 CFL+) CFL Playoff Game of the Year This game marks the third consecutive season that these two teams have met in the Eastern Divisional Finals. Montreal reminds me a little bit of the Philadelphia Eagles last season. The Alouettes jumped out to a 5-0 record and eventually ran that up to a sterling 10-1 mark. However, it seems that the offense left after Labor Day, and the team limped home the last 6 weeks with a 2-4-1 record. It's not often you see a football team with the best record in their league with the lowest total yards in offense, but that is exactly where Montreal's offense (335.8 ypg) resides. The Als' QB, Cody Fajardo, season has taken a similar path as the team he leads. In the last six games of the regular season, Fajardo threw for 1,133 yards with 6 TDs and 2 INTs. Toronto comes into the Division Championship game on the opposite side of the spectrum, as they are 4-1 over their last 5 games, including last week's 58-38 drubbing of Ottawa in the opening rounds of the playoffs. They are led by the reigning CFL Player of the Year, QB Chad Kelly. The only quarterback hotter than Kelly since Labor Day was Bo Levi Mitchell. The Args' gunslinger racked up 2,165 yards with 13 TDs and 6 INTs in his last six games, including Toronto's playoff win. What will make Kelly's passing so much more effective is Toronto's ability to run against Montreal. The Alouettes have the 3rd-worst rush defense in the league, giving up 115.9 ypg on the ground. Montreal's rush defense allowed 173.3 ypg to the Args ground game in the three meetings this season between these division rivals. If Toronto can establish a powerful ground game, Kelly's play-action passes become more effective and lethal. Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games against the Alouettes and 4-1 SU in the last 5 visits to Montreal. Kelly had a horrific game last year in the playoffs, where he threw 4 picks en route to a 38-17 loss to Montreal. He exorcised one demon last week with his performance and will complete his personal redemption tour on Saturday with a Toronto victory. 

The Wild are on a back-to-back against a rested Ducks squad but we don’t see this is a problem. Minnesota barely broke a sweat last night in a romp over a Sharks team that had been hot. They have a very strong history in Anaheim with three straight wins by multiple goals and a +10 goal differential in those games. 

The Thunder have been great both SU and ATS, but the word is out now and we think their numbers will start to become inflated. We think this one definitely is. We had this one handicapped on the other side of the key NBA betting number of 7 (the point where the losing team stops fouling at the end of the game). The Rockets won their last visit here in OT and have covered in three of the last five meetings. Houston has a very good team this year but they are a bit under the radar compared to OKC. So they still hold line value. They have won four of their last five, including double-digit wins over the Spurs and Knicks in their last two. They have been solid on the road this season. We expect a close game here and we think Houston will get the easy cover.

7 Unit Play. Take 308901 Dartmouth Big Green -6 over Princeton Tigers (Fri., Nov 8th 6:00 p.m. EST ESPNU) Another edition of the Friday Night Lights, Ivy League style when the 6-1 Dartmouth Big Green travel to New Jersey to take on the 2-5 Princeton Tigers. The Big Green suffered their first loss of the season last week, dropping a heartbreaker to Harvard 31-27. Dartmouth is an all-around solid team, ranking 42nd in scoring offense with 28.0 ppg and 37th in defensive total yards at 341 ypg. The Big Green are powered by a strong ground game  which averages 4.6 ypc and 177.6 ypg. The most impressive Dartmouth stat is their offense is 2nd in the FCS in turnovers lost, with just 4 through seven games. Princeton has struggled this season, averaging just 21.6 while surrendering 32.4 ppg. Their offense produces 272.6 ypg and their defense gives up 401.1. The two teams have two common opponents: Columbia and Harvard. Princeton lost to both, 34-17 to Columbia and 45-13 to Harvard. Dartmouth defeated Columbia, on the road, 24-21 and as mentioned before, lost last week to Harvard 31-27. Our model loves Dartmouth in this spot.

Portland is well rested while the Spurs are on a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights. They haven’t looked good at all. They got out to a big lead against the Clippers and ended up losing that one badly. Then last night they barely put up a fight in a blowout at in-state rival Houston. Portland is 5-2-1 ATS so they have been better than their perception and they have covered five of their last seven with one push.

Montreal have been competitive against other bad teams but against good teams they have usually been getting blown out. And we think that will be the case here tonight. The Habs have lost four straight, and three of those were by multiple goals. Last time, at home, they surrendered the lead late and lost to a bad Calgary team in OT. Now they are on the road and take a big step up in class. We don’t see it going well for them.

5 Unit Play. Take #108 Western Michigan Broncos +2 over Norther Illinois Huskies (7p.m., Wednesday, November 6 ESPN2) Oddsmakers cannot forgot that Northern Illinois beat Notre Dame earlier this season and thus are giving them too much respect. This is not the same team, as they are just 1-3 in the MAC. Western Michigan is at home, and they are 4-0 in the MAC and on their way to playing in Detroit for the MAC Championship. The Broncos have a solid QB & RB combination and the trends for Northern Illinois say to fade them. The Huskies are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games against teams that won their previous game.

Brooklyn has been one of the best bets in the league at 5-1 ATS, while Detroit is getting off to another slow start to the season as the individual pieces on this team have yet to gel. They are 1-5 on the season although they have covered some lines as a big underdog. The Nets have won consecutive games in strong fashion and they have to be confident they can make it a three-game winning streak here. They have won four of the last five meetings.

Miami has covered only one of the last six meetings (one push). We think the Wizards will be a scrappy team this season that will cash some big spreads as an underdog. Miami doesn’t deserve to be this big of a favorite. This team is known for the playoffs and not the regular season, where they are a slightly above average team that will once again likely be competing in the play in tourney. They have covered only one game so far this season. The Wizards have some injuries here, but they will still fight hard with the roster they have on the floor, and they should be confident after consecutive wins over the Hawks.

10 Unit Play. Take #378 Washington Huskies over Southern Cal Trojans (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 2 BTN) BIG 10 GAME OF THE YEAR Not sure Doc ever envisioned his Big 10 Game of the Year featuring Washington and USC, but conference realignment has made the Big 10 a coast-to-coast conference. Both teams play much better at home. And if this game is close, I just feel USC will find a way to lose it. That is something they have done a lot of lately, and this is a game that the folks in Seattle want in a big way. The host team has covered the spread in all 8 games for USC this season. USC is playing on the road for the second time in three weeks. Washington has a strong rush defense and played much better than the final score indicated last week at Indiana. But this game basically comes down to Coach Lincoln Reily and how soft his teams have been, especially at USC. Coach Riely is 8-20 ATS in his last 28 road games when he is favored (lost all 3 in 2024). He is 2-8 as a road favorite in his last 10 conference games. Washington beat Michigan this season in Seattle, and they have not lost at Husky Stadium in 2024. USC is allowing a ton of yards over their last 3 games, and Will Rogers is capable of putting up big numbers in this game (needs to convert in the redzone). Washington has had success against USC, winning 5 of the last 8 meetings, and they will win this one by close to double digits. USC has been stuck in neutral for most of this season and will go another week without a road victory. The Husky’s need this game to become bowl eligible later in the season and they will get it.

4 Unit Play. Take #350 Michigan State Spartans over Indiana Hoosiers (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 3 Peacock) The Hoosiers are not going to run the table with 11 straight covers during the regular season. They have had a remarkable season, and I am a big fan of their Coach Curt Cignetti, but they have played an incredibly weak schedule this season. They also have quarterback issues, and I will not speculate whether or not Kurtis Rourke will play in this game. Their 14-point victory last week against Washington was misleading, as they got a pick six to open the game and Washington outplayed them for much of those 60 minutes. Michigan State is improving under Jonathan Smith and this still have a great chance to earn 6 wins and reach a bowl game. They have a competent quarterback in Aidan Chiles and should be able to take this game down to the wire. This is also a lookahead spot for Indiana, with Michigan and Ohio State on deck. The law of averages will come into play, as the ATS run that Indiana is on will end.

Brooklyn is a better team than the oddsmakers expect coming into the season, and as long as they stay relatively healthy they should cover a lot of lines this season, especially ones like this in the double digit variety. This team has started off 1-3 but they are 3-1 ATS, and this team has some very nice young talent. The Grizzlies have covered just one of their first four matchups and this team hasn’t shown us anything that should put them into the double-digit favorite category yet. This team might be good later in the season, but they aren’t there yet.

Both teams are on a back-to-back and we think that zeros out any advantage for Utah. Usually the road team has it rougher, but the Kings had the short flight from Sacramento last night while Utah came in from Dallas. Both teams got in around the same time to Salt Lake. And the Kings are an athletic team and it’s very early in the season, so we think the back-to-back is a non issue for them. And they pulled their starters early in their first win of the season last night vs Portland in a blowout. The Kings have owned this series. They have won six of the last seven meetings. They have covered three straight and scored a blowout in their last visit to Utah. They have had a real tough schedule to open up the season, but this team should be racking up wins all season long and should be one of the top seeds in a strong Western Conference.

4 Unit Play. Take #291 New York Giants over Pittsburgh Steelers (8:15p.m., Monday, October 28 ABC) Was shocked Pittsburgh was a home underdog last week against New York, now they face the other New York team and are close to a touchdown favorite. That seems too big of a swing in line movement off of the results of last week and expect Pittsburgh to be in a hard fought battle that goes down to the wire. The Giants looked terrible last week, but expect a bounce back this week as is often the case in professional sports. Can George Pickens catch all those well-covered moon balls this week from Russell Wilson? I am betting against that happening.

4 Unit Play. Take #906 New York (-1.5 RL) +135 over Los Angeles (8:08p.m., Monday, October 28 FOX) Its safe to say this is a must win game for the Yankees and I expect them to get it Monday night at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx. The Yankees could have won either of the first two games, now they get to play in front of their home fans and expect them to hit Walker Buehler hard in this game. He has been hit hard most of the season and this is the best offensive lineup he has seen in quite some time.

We were on the Clippers last night as they got the win in Denver as a big underdog. This is a tough B2B but we feel as if the Clippers are being punished too much by the oddsmakers on this line. LA is a younger team this year and they have some nice depth. And this early in the season we don’t think that fatigue will be too much of an issue here. With Kawhi and PG B2Bs were always an issue, but Clippers coach Tyronn Lue will have plenty of roster options here. Golden State has earned a pair of blowout wins to start the season, but this team isn’t the same Golden State team we have known in past seasons and they will have a tough test tonight. The Clippers have won three straight meetings.

Montreal normally plays well against Philly and hasn’t lost by more than one goal in six meetings. This is a very winnable game for them and they have won six of the last nine meetings. We expect a close game here and will lay the juice on the plus-goals puckline. Philly is just not a good team and there is value going against them on the puckline as a favorite as they will rarely win big, or win at all for that matter.

4 Unit Play. Take #148 Kentucky Wildcats over Auburn Tigers (7:45p.m., Saturday, October 26 SEC Network) This is a straight fade against Auburn, as this team has been terrible this season. They are turnover prone on offense and do not have an established quarterback. They will enter this game having lost 4 straight SEC games and just find ways to lose, as they could have beaten Arkansas, Oklahoma, and Missouri. If they hit any adversity in this game they will fold. Kentucky has struggled this season as well, but they still have an identity and did beat Ole Miss this season. Mark Stoops is on safer ground compared to Hugh Freeze and I just feel Kentucky will find a way to win this game by 7-10 points.

Detroit is being lined here like they are still one of the dregs of the league, but this team has a lot of potential and we see them competing for a play-in spot this season. Boston has looked great in opening the season but this team will get their best shot from their opponent on a nightly basis and we don’t think this team will be an automatic cover this year when laying double digits. Detroit didn’t play well at Cleveland last night, but they probably had their eyes on this matchup.

Detroit has been stockpiling talent for years, and we think this is the year it starts to pay off and this team should at least make the play in. They barely missed the cover in their first game but this team should be covering a lot early in the season especially. Last season they suffered a lot of injuries and this young team threw in the towel and didn’t play hard for long stretches. But with a new year and hopefully a healthy roster this team will be pulling some upsets and covering big lines like this.

The Devils are 3-1 on the road, and they have won their road games when victorious by multiple goals. You can also count the both Europe matches as road games, both of which they won by multiple goals over Buffalo. The Devils are a true contender this season and they have their best team in years. We don’t think the oddsmakers have quite caught up yet. They are coming off a pair of hard-fought losses so they will be primed for an A+ performance against a very beatable opponent. They have won two of three meetings in Detroit, and both came by multiple goals.

Tonight begins a new era for the Clippers, as they play their first game in the Intuit Dome. They have played second fiddle to the Lakers for years at Staples/Crypto.com, so it’s about time they have their own arena. As we all know, Kawhi Leonard is out indefinitely and we might not see him for months, if at all. We think the team will forge ahead with the thought process that he won’t be back to lead the team any time soon. But the Clippers made some great moves in the offseason and this team is highly underrated right now. This looks like a team that will play excellent defense and compete hard on a nightly basis. Phoenix is running it back with a similar team as last year that was one of the worst ATS squads in the league and it looks as if they are once again starting the season overrated. The energy should be amazing tonight and we think the home team will feed off of that.

Usually when teams play a back-to-back, home and home on consecutive nights, we would take the team that lost the previous night. But Philadelphia has looked really bad to start the season and they barely put up a fight last night when they had the home ice advantage. The Caps started the game with two shorthanded goals, which is real embarrassing for the Flyers. We are thinking this one will be a replay of last night, but we think the Flyers might make some defensive adjustments and play better on that end.

Boston has a really great team that will try to Run it Back, but New York is underrated and they will be a main competitor for Eastern Conference supremacy this season. They made some excellent moves in the offseason and the only reason they flamed out of the playoffs last year was because of injuries. They have a much better team this season and also better depth. They should have the hunger for a championship and we will have to see how hungry Boston remains after winning their chip last season. But this pick tonight basically boils down to a public line, as we had this one handicapped at 3.5, so a couple extra points of value here.

2 Unit Play. Take #475 Baltimore Ravens over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8:15p.m., Monday, October 21 ABC) Just play QB Lamar Jackson blind against NFC teams. He is 22-3 straight-up in his career when facing NFC teams. Tampa is benefiting from a weak division and I do not believe they are the same caliber team that Baltimore is.

4 Unit Play. Take #474 Pittsburgh Steelers over New York Jets (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 20 NBC) The Jets made a big trade this week, but I do not see them beating a well-coached Pittsburgh team at Acrisure Stadium. The Jets are 2-4 on the season and the Steelers are 4-2. Pittsburgh has made a living beating bad teams during the Mike Tomlin tenure and tonight should be no different. I do think it matters who Pittsburgh starts at quarterback, the defense, running game, and special teams will be enough for the home team to win this game by close to double digits.

4 Unit Play. Take #414 Oregon State Beavers over UNLV Rebels (10p.m., Saturday, October 19 CW Network) Just not sold on UNLV being this big of a favorite on the road in a tough environment. UNLV has wins over power 4 teams, but Kansas and Houston are not any good this season. They also have a home loss to Syracuse. Oregon State will be able to move the football in this game and should be able to take it down to the wire. The Beavers have some injuries, but they are playing at home at night with a strong fan base.

10 Unit Play. Take 309002 North Dakota State Bison +1.5 over South Dakota State Jackrabbits (8p.m., Saturday, October 19 ESPN2) FCS GAME OF THE YEAR The FCS's version of Alabama-Georgia goes off tonight when the S. Dakota State Jackrabbits travel to the FargoDome to take on the N. Dakota State Bison. S. Dakota St. is #1 in the country and the hosting N. Dakota St. is #2. The Jackrabbits are 6th in the FCS averaging 39.0 ppg off of 439.8 yards per game of total offense. They lead the FCS in yards per carry with an impressive 7.3 average and 15 TDs. N. Dakota State is 5th in the FCS with 3,109 total yards of offense and 13th in scoring offense with 35.3 ppg and 9th in scoring defense, allowing 17.6 ppg. They are lead by the 4-year starter Cam Miller, who is poised to become the NDSU all-time leader in passing yards as he currently has 7,974 and trails the leader Easton Stick by 719 yards. Miller's impending achievement becomes even more impressive when you realize that caliber of talent the Bison have produced at QB (Carson Wentz and Trey Lance most recently). Miller has the accuracy of a sniper, completing 121-158 76.6% for 1,504 yards, with 12 TDs and 0 INTs through 7 games. SDSU has won the Dakota Marker (the annual trophy) for the last four regular season meetings, as well as in the 2022 FCS Championship game. This game feels like Miller gets to exorcise his Jackrabbit demons. While SDSU's defense is still quite good, they're giving up 200.7 ypg through the air, 32 more yards than last season, while their passing output has decreased from 222 to 194.7 ypg in 2024. NDSU's offense is more potent than Incarnate Word, who put up 351 passing yards and 419 total yards, along with 24 points. The Bison have been a scoring machine when they get into the redzone, converting 72.9% of those trips into touchdowns. Cam Miller has a dangerous go-to man in WR Bryce Lance, who has hauled in 35 catches for 418 yards and 5 TDs. That connection is part of the reason that the Bison have a 58% conversion rate on 3rd-down, 2nd-best in the FCS and when they need to, 8-12 (75%) on 4th-down conversions as well. While they don't do this often, NDSU averages 47.4 per punt. With the emotions of this massive rivalry game running rampant, I like taking a seasoned veteran leader like the Bison's QB Cam Miller who will be able to keep their cool. Take the home dog North Dakota State and good luck!

3 Unit Play. Take 774 Toronto -3.5 over Ottawa (Sat., Oct. 19th, 3:00 p.m. CFL+) After having an off-game last week going against Winnipeg's leading pass and scoring defense (and leading his team to a 14-11 victory), Argonauts QB Chad Kelly looks to light up a Redblacks defense he's already torched for 463 yards and 3 TDs (with 4 INTs) in a 41-27 defeat on Sept. 7th. Since that setback, Toronto is 3-1 SU/3-1ATS. Ottawa is in the midst of a 1-5 SU/ATS stretch and welcome back QB Dru Brown who missed the last two weeks with an ankle injury, along with his main aerial target, WR Justin Hardy. This is an important game for the Args as a win will clinch the East Division and home field for the opening round of the CFL playoffs. After scraping of the rust in the game against Ottawa in which he threw 3 picks and was sacked 6 times, Kelly has settled down. He's completed 65.4% of his passes over his last 4 games, throwing for 1,013 yards and 3 TDs to only 2 INTs (after throwing 6 interceptions in his first 3 games back from suspension). Kelly also has 189 yards on 38 carries (5.0 ypc) and 4 rushing TDs. In the loss to the Redblacks, however, not only was he sacked 6 times but he only scrambled twice for 6 yards. With Ottawa's ferocious pass rush (2nd in the CFL with 37 sacks, right behind the league-leading Argonauts with 44), Kelly needs to make use of his mobility to threaten Ottawa's flanks. Ottawa's weak run game (86.4 ypc) will make it easier for Toronto to use that rentless pass rush to disrupt the Redblack's passing attack. In the last 6 games played between these two division rivals, Toronto has gone 5-1SU/ATS. In addition, when the Args are favored and playing the Redblacks in Toronto, the Argonauts are 13-1 SU and 10-4 ATS. Chad Kelly continues his redemption tour and slowly starts to wipe away the first half of the season that he missed.

4 Unit Play. Take #356 Cincinnati Bearcats over Arizona State Sun Devils (12p.m., Saturday, October 19 ESPN+) Arizona State has had a remarkable turnaround under second year Coach Kenny Dillingham, but I still believe that they are playing over their heads. Some of their wins against Mississippi State, Kansas, and Utah appear like great wins at the start of the season, but those teams have fallen off a cliff. The Bearcats have regrouped after a rough 2023 season and are just a few plays away from being undefeated this season at 6-0 (4-2 record). The Bearcats have a strong passing game with close to 300 yards per game and they should be able to light up the scoreboard in this game through the air. We will lay the points with the home team.

4 Unit Play. Take #279 Pittsburgh Steelers over Las Vegas Raiders (4:05p.m., Sunday, October 13 CBS) For a second straight week, this is a straight fade against the Raiders. We easily collected last week and now they have quarterback issues for a third straight year. Pittsburgh got letdown by their defense last Sunday Night, but Dak is not playing in this game. Coach Tomlin has a knack for winning these type of games and I fully expect a bounce back from his team on Sunday. The Raiders are at a disadvantage all over the field and on the sideline. We faded them laying around a field goal last week and we will do the same again in what will feel like a Pittsburgh home game.

8 Unit Play. Take #188 LSU Tigers +3.5 over Ole Miss Rebels (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 13 ABC) COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR Ole Miss won this game last year in a shootout (55-49), but I just do not believe they are that much better than a 4-1 LSU team. Playing a night game in Baton Rouge is always a challenge for the visiting team and we will take the points on Saturday night. LSU is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games when they have single SEC revenge (lost to this team in the previous game). The loser of this game will likely not be able to make the SEC Championship Game and since this game is at home it is more important to LSU. The stats may favor Ole Miss on defense, but keep it mind LSU has played a much more difficult schedule and does not have a bad home loss to Kentucky on their schedule. Both teams will have their moments on offense, but I just trust Brian Kelly more as a head coach, especially when adversity hits. The home team has won 10 of the last 12 games in this matchup, including the last 4. Finally, LSU has won 6 straight home conference openers.  

4 Unit Play. Take #178 BYU Cougars over Arizona Wildcats (4p.m., Saturday, October 12 FOX) BYU is not a darling of the odds makers or total rankings, but they have a great home field advantage and should be able to take care of a rebuilding Arizona team at home. BYU is 5-0 on the season and they have been more impressive of late, pounding Kansas State and winning last time at in Waco. Arizona has a great win on their resume at Utah, but they also got blown out by Kansas State and lost at home last week to Texas Tech. The Cats returned a ton of talent from last season, but they just do not have the same magic under Coach Brennan that they did under Coach Fisch. Arizona has lost 7 of the last 10 games against BYU. The Cougars just find ways to win games, and we will lay the points with them today, as they have the better total defense.

4 Unit Play. Take #168 Illinois Fighting Illini over Purdue Boilermakers (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 12 FS1) Not much is needed to justify this play, Purdue is terrible and is having players and coaches leave the team. They got pounded by Wisconsin and I see them struggling to score any points at all in this game. Illinois is coming off a bye and a truly believe Coach Bielema should be able to name the score of this game. The only is negative is that Purdue has former Bielema coaches on staff (head coach) and surprisingly Purdue has won 6 straight games in Champaign. I still see Illinois winning this game by 20+ points, as Purdue has given up on the season.

Vegas looked in mid season form in their season opening win here on home ice against Colorado, one of the best teams in the NHL. Now they go down a tier and play a Blues team that has had a heavy schedule to start the season. This is already their third game. And not only are they on a back-to-back, but they played in overtime at San Jose last night as they needed a furious comeback that expended a lot of energy. St. Louis let San Jose see the back of the net early and often last night, so we think this Knights team will so some damage tonight and should have no problem putting up a big scoreline.

The Wild are a solid team. They are going to finish with a much higher point total than Columbus will. We do think the Blue Jackets will be a solid bet this season, especially early in the season and especially on the puckline. This team played hard in losses quite a bit last season and was a solid ATS team. The Blue Jackets will be playing for something more than a hot start to the season. They lost their best player, Johnny Gaudreau, who passed away after a car accident in the offseason. We think this will give them extra motivation in these early games. Always the chance that the Wild underestimate their opponent as many teams did last season, allowing Columbus to cover many pucklines. These teams always seem to play close games. Five of six meetings have gone past regulation to OT or SO, and Columbus covered the puckline in five straight visits to Minnesota. Columbus does have some nice young talent and we think they will be able to score some goals on offense here.

4 Unit Play. Take #474 Pittsburgh Steelers over Dallas Cowboys (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 6 NBC) Pittsburgh being favored against a public team in Dallas tells me just how far the talent level has fallen with the visitor. Dallas is dealing with injuries on the defensive side of the football and Pittsburgh should be able to bounce back at home. The Steelers want to run the football, and the Cowboys have been bad at stopping the run this season. Coach Tomlin always seems to win these games and I look for the Steelers to take care of business on Sunday Night Football.

4 Unit Play. Take #353 Indiana Hoosiers over Northwestern Wildcats (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 5 BTN) At this point you can pretty much play Indiana blind, as the oddsmakers have not caught up with how good they are on either side of the ball. The Wildcats struggle to score points and Indiana has been scoring them at will this season. Until proven otherwise, just take Indians with whatever the number is.

4 Unit Play. Take #364 Stanford Cardinal over Virginia Tech Hokies (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 5 ACC Network) This is a long trip to Palo Alto (Stanford, CA) for the Hokies after a devastating loss to Miami last time out. Just not sure why Virginia Tech is this big of a favorite since they are 2-3 on the season with losses to Vanderbilt and Rutgers. Stanford returned a bunch of experience and they have been competitive most of the season. Their score against Clemson last week is a little misleading, as the Tigers pulled away late in that game. Just feel Virginia Tech is due for a letdown and they will just go through the motions and this one should go down to the wire. We will grab the points, as Virginia Tech is traveling +2,200 miles.

4 Unit Play. Take #402 Wisconsin Badgers over Purdue Boilermakers (12p.m., Saturday, October 5 BTN) Wisconsin has yet to cover a spread this season, yet are around a two touchdown favorite? Purdue is an historically bad team through 4 games this season and they have not been competitive in any of their 3 FBS games this season. They have lost by 59 points, 17 points and 18 points and Wisconsin should be able to get right in this game. The Badgers have a ton of bad vibes but have dominated Purdue in the past and should be able to win this game by 20+ points.

8 Unit Play. Take #642 Las Vegas Aces over New York Liberty (9:30p.m., Friday, October 4 ESPN2) WNBA PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR The Aces face a must win game tonight in Sin City with game 3 of the 2024 WNBA Semifinals. Las Vegas could have won game 2 and I just feel they have too much pride not to win at least one game in this series. Las Vegas has yet to beat New York this season, but that will change on Friday. The Aces have the best player on the Floor in Aja Wilson and their starters and bench will play much better at home. New York knows they have a few games to play with and thus I do not expect them to go all out in this game, especially if they get down early. The Aces played well down the stretch winning 8 of their last 9 regular season games and will enter having won 10 of their last 13 games overall. Finally, the league wants some drama in this series and it would not surprise me if the Aces get a few more calls to draw out the series and make it much more interesting and profitable. Money talk and the Aces win this game by close to double digits.

2 Unit Play. Take #636 New York over Las Vegas (7:30p.m., Tuesday, October 1 ESPN2) Just believe the Liberty are the better team in 2024! The Aces are the two-time defending champions and they are still getting respect from the oddsmakers. New York has beaten Las Vegas four times this season by an average of 8.5 points per game. Las Vegas is so dependent on Aja Wilson and New York has the much more balanced team.

5 Unit Play. Take #288 Baltimore Ravens -2 over Buffalo Bills (8:20p.m., Sunday, September 29 NBC) This is a battle of two of the top teams in the AFC. When good teams play, I always like to side with the team that needs it more. Baltimore would be that team, as they are currently 1-2 on the season. Baltimore is 3-0 ATS in their last 4 games against Buffalo (1 push). Josh Allen has feasted on bad teams thus far, but he will be in for a rude awakening on Sunday Night Football.

4 Unit Play. Take #632 New York Liberty over Las Vegas Aces (3p.m., Sunday, September 29 ABC) This is a rematch of the 2023 WNBA Finals, and I feel the tide will turn in 2024. Vegas did not have a good season, and they are really dependent on Aja Wilson. New York is the much more balanced team, and they know the importance of winning Game 1 in this best of 5 series. The Liberty beat the Aces all three games this season by an average of 8 points per game. That is how we see this game going as well in front of a big crowd supporting the home team.  

2 Unit Play. Take #265 Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5 over Indianapolis Colts (1p.m., Sunday, September 25 CBS) Pittsburgh has had an easy schedule thus far, and playing Indianapolis will not change their strength of schedule much. The Steelers have beaten the Colts 8 of the last 9 games, and I just do not believe Anthony Richardson can pick apart this defense. Justin Field is playing well and not beating himself. And with that defense, that is all he has to do. Pittsburgh has won 5 straight road games (5-0 ATS as well).

4 Unit Play. Take #180 Auburn Tigers over Oklahoma Sooners (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 29 ABC) Just do not think Oklahoma is that good this season and now they are making a change at quarterback. Coach Venables appears to be in over his head as a head coach and their home loss to Tennessee was not as close as the final score would indicate (Tennessee called off the dogs in the second half). Auburn has talent on both sides of the football, they have just been done in by turnovers. The Tigers had five of them last week against the Razorbacks and if they can take care of the football in this game, they should come out victorious. Turnovers are sometimes fluky, and I just do not feel they can play as badly as they did last Saturday. Auburn will preach about hanging onto the football all week during practice and will reap the benefits of that on Saturday.

4 Unit Play. Take #197 Wisconsin Badgers over USC Trojans (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 28 CBS) Just do not see Wisconsin getting run out of the Coliseum. The Badgers will have a ton of fans in attendance and USC is not explosive on either side of the football. Wisconsin will be playing their backups quarterback, Braedyn Locke does have experience playing some last year. USC had Michigan on the ropes but could not stop the running attack and they eventually wore down on the final drive of the game. If Wisconsin cannot run in this game, they never will be able to and their long tradition is all but out the window. USC is the better team, but if Wisconsin can take care of the football, they will be able to keep this game around 10 points.

4 Unit Play. Take #196 Michigan Wolverines over Minnesota Golden Gophers (12p.m., Saturday, September 28 FOX) Minnesota is a poor man’s version of Michigan and the PJ Fleck style has run its course. This will be the first true road game for Minnesota this season and I do not see them staying within double digits in this game. Michigan is coming off a big win against USC last Saturday and I just feel they will be able to overpower Minnesota in this game. The Gophers are just 2-14 and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against Michigan.

2 Unit Play. Take #979 Kansas City (+1.5 RL) over Atlanta (7:20p.m., Friday, September 27 MLB.tv) We will grab the run line and fade the Braves, a team decimated by injuries and having not played a game since Tuesday. The Royals still need to win one more game to clinch a playoff berth and I see them playing this game to win.

2 Unit Play. Take #927 Kansas City (-1.5 RL) over Washington (6:45p.m., Tuesday, September 24 MLB.tv) It end’s tonight! The Royals have lost 7 straight games but have the right person on the mound to end this losing streak. Cole Ragans has been solid this season and his team needs him in a big way on Tuesday night. He has better stats across the board compared to Mitchell Parker and the Nationals are not a strong offensive team. We will lay the run line with the road team on Tuesday.

7 Unit Play. Take #606 Minnesota over Phoenix (5p.m., Sunday, September 22 ESPN) We will back the No. 2 seed in the league as the 2024 WNBA Playoffs open up on Sunday for all 8 teams. Phoenix limped into the playoffs going 3-7 down the stretch giving up over 86 points per game during this stretch. Minnesota is 16-4 at home this season and went 8-2 over their last 10 games. They have been the surprise team of the league and I see them starting off the playoffs strong at home.