Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-27-18 | Angels v. Red Sox -142 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The Red Sox took the opener of this series last night as they jumped out to a 5-0 lead after two innings and never looked back. They remain a half game behind the Yankees in the American League East and going back, the Red Sox are 24-8 in their last 32 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. The Angels have lost four straight games, three of those where they scored one run or less, and after a great start to the season, they are just two games over .500 and sit 11.5 games behind Houston in the American League West. Rick Porcello won the CY Young in 2016 but regressed considerable last season and while he does not have 2016 numbers this season, he has rebounded nicely. He has a 3.44 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 16 starts and has tossed three straight quality outings at home. The Angels are 1-9 in their last 10 games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15. Andrew Heaney has solid numbers overall, but all of his success is at home where he has a 2.12 ERA in seven starts and on the road, he possesses a 5.13 ERA in six outings with the Angels having dropped the last five. 9* (916) Boston Red Sox |
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06-27-18 | Yankees v. Phillies +123 | 0-3 | Win | 123 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. We lost with the Phillies last night as Luis Severino was dominant again while Jake Arietta scuffled although three of the six runs allowed were unearned. They come in as underdogs again despite having the pitching matchup on their side and look to continue their solid play at home despite losses in the first two games of this series. They are 6-1 in their last seven games after losing the first two games of a series. New York continues to lead the American League East over Boston by a half-game and there is a big possibility that it gets caught looking ahead to its weekend series with the Red Sox. The Yankees are just 3-4 in their last five road games and hand the ball to Luis Cessa who is making his first start of the season. Sidelined for much of the season due to an oblique strain, Cessa has made four relief appearances and will be capped to 70-80 pitches tonight. He posted a 5.81 ERA in five starts last season. Zach Eflin has been solid as he has allowed two runs or less in seven of nine starts. The Phillies are 6-0 in his last six starts against teams with a winning record. 9* (924) Philadelphia Phillies |
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06-27-18 | Reds v. Braves -136 | 6-5 | Loss | -136 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Wednesday Afternoon Dominator. We won with the Braves on Monday, but Atlanta fell to Cincinnati last night to drop to 2-3 on this current homestand despite it coming against two of the worst teams in baseball. While it may not seem to vital, this is a big game for the Braves which hit the road after this for a 10-game roadtrip against the Cardinals, Yankees and Brewers, all of which are currently holding down playoff spots. Sean Newcomb is having a strong season with a 2.59 ERA and 1.16 WHIP through 15 starts, 10 of which have been quality. Additionally, he has tossed five straight quality outings at home while the Reds are 15-36 in their last 51 road games against left-handed starters. Luis Castillo had a good run going to open May with five straight starts where he allowed two runs or less. However, he has tailed off with a 6.49 ERA over his last five starts. Here, we play against National League road underdogs that are hitting .255 or worse and with a bullpen that converts 75 percent or more of save opportunities going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA of 2.70 or better. This situation is 67-18 (78.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (902) Atlanta Braves |
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06-26-18 | Cubs +147 v. Dodgers | 9-4 | Win | 147 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Dodgers have been the hottest team in baseball since mid-May and they have now won four straight games following the series opening win last night. Kenta Maeda was dominant as he allowed just three hits over seven innings and the starting pitching has been leading the way despite numerous injuries. Chicago has lost five straight games, all on the road, and it has dropped its last six games on the highway. The Cubs are 2.5 games behind Milwaukee in the National League Central and they are loaded with value tonight behind Jon Lester. He has been outstanding this season with a 2.10 ERA, which is third best in the National League, and he has allowed two runs or less in none of his last 10 starts. While the Cubs have struggled on the road, they are 4-0 in his last four road starts. Ross Stripling has been even better with a 1.99 ERA in his 10 starts since entering the rotation but he is overpriced in this spot against a high quality team. The Cubs are 5-1 in their last six games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15 while the Dodgers are 1-6 in Striplings last seven starts after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. 9* (957) Chicago Cubs |
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06-26-18 | Twins v. White Sox +109 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 109 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Twins closed their homestand with a 2-0 win over Texas on Sunday and they hit the road as a favorite despite a 14-20 record on the highway. They are hitting just .234 on the road which is tied for ninth worst in baseball and going back, they are 3-7 in their last 10 games following an off day. The White Sox have been in rebuilding mode all season, but they have held their own at home, going 10-9 over their last 19 home games. After scoring two runs in the first game of their four-game series against Oakland, the offense unleashed for 22 runs over the final three games and overall, they are hitting .250 at home against right-handed pitching. Lance Lynn has turned his season completely around as he posted a 7.47 ERA through his first eight starts but has put up a 1.73 ERA over his last six outings. However, this includes a 0.76 ERA at home and a 3.55 ERA in two road starts over that stretch. Chicago counters with Reynaldo Lopez who is having a solid season, but the schedule has hurt him as nine of his 15 starts have come on the road where he has a 4.72 ERA and 1.51 WHIP. In contrast, he has a 2.25 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in his six home starts, four of which have been quality outings. 10* (970) Chicago White Sox |
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06-26-18 | Yankees v. Phillies +210 | 6-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Phillies lost the opener of this series last night as they were held to three hits by Jonathan Loaisiga and the bullpen and while they do have a tougher test tonight, the linesmakers are aware of this and have overadjusted this line. Philadelphia is 24-14 at home, which is a game better than the Yankees record on the road and it is 9-4 in its last 13 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Additionally, it is 22-12 this season following a loss. Luis Severino is having a Cy Young contending season as he has a 2.24 ERA and 0.96 WHIP overall but like most pitchers, his numbers are better at home where he has yet to lose, going 7-0 with a 1.83 ERA. His road numbers are still solid, but he has been beatable on the highway and the Phillies are 4-1 in their last five games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15 while going 9-3 in their last 12 games against right-handed starters. Jake Arietta falls into the same situation with his home/road splits, although his are much more extreme. He has a 5.06 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in seven road starts while posting a 2.08 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in seven home starts. Five of those seven home games have been quality outings including five of the last six. 9* (974) Philadelphia Phillies |
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06-25-18 | Reds v. Braves -147 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Game of the Month. The Braves lost two of three against the Orioles over the weekend, but they still maintain a 2.5-game lead in the National League East. They are 22-15 at home and have won seven of their last 10 games here despite the two losses to open the homestand. Cincinnati is tied with Cleveland for the hottest team in baseball right now as it has won seven straight games including a four-game sweep at home against the Cubs. The run includes six wins at home and the Reds hit the road where they are seven games under .500 and going back, they are 9-20 in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Atlanta hands the ball to Mike Foltynewicz who is having a fantastic season that not many even know about. He has a 2.16 ERA which is fourth best in the National League. While his numbers are slightly worse at home than on the road, that is due to just one poor starts against the Giants in early May and he has not allowed a run at home in his last three starts over 19 innings. Overall, he has allowed two runs or less in 12 of his 13 outings. Tyler Mahle counters for the Reds and he has been solid of late, but he has struggled on the road with only two quality outings in eight starts. The Braves are 10-2 in their last 12 home games against right-handed starters and they fall into a great situation where we play against road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last three games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA less than 2.50 over his last five starts. This situation is 54-9 (85.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (906) Atlanta Braves |
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06-23-18 | Orioles v. Braves -115 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. Baltimore erupted for six runs in the ninth inning and eventually won in extra innings last night to avoid its 30th loss on the road but it still possesses the worst road record in baseball at 11-29. The Orioles have won consecutive games only twice in the last five weeks and going back, they are 7-23 in their last 30 games following a win. Atlanta has now lost two straight games which is just the second time this month the Braves have dropped consecutive games. Their lead in the National League East is down to 2.5 games over the Phillies and we expect a bounce back here at a short price as the Braves are 24-8 in their last 32 games following a loss. Dylan Bundy is having a fine season, but he remains inconsistent on the road with just three quality outings in six starts. The Orioles are 0-5 in his last five road starts against teams with a winning record while the Braves are 9-1 in their last 10 home games against right-handed starters. Julio Teheran gets the ball for Atlanta and while he has been better on the road than at home, he has been much better of late. In his last five home starts, four have been quality outings and overall, the Braves are 6-1 in his seven home starts on the season while the Orioles are 12-39 in their last 51 games against right-handed starters. 10* (930) Atlanta Braves |
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06-22-18 | Rangers v. Twins -107 | Top | 8-1 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. The Twins are coming off two impressive series wins over Cleveland and Boston and despite being six games under .500, they are just six games behind the Indians in the American League Central. Minnesota took two of three over the Red Sox to open the week as it is now a game over .500 at home and going back, it has won five of its last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. Texas has suddenly caught fire as it has won five straight games including a three-game sweep in Kansas City against the hapless Royals. The starting pitching has led the way with a 3.13 ERA over this stretch, but things should change in a big way tonight. The Rangers are 4-11 in their last 15 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game while also going 4-11 in their last 15 games when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game. The reason for the starting pitching demise is that Mike Minor takes the hill for Texas and while he has been decent at home, he has been atrocious on the road with an 8.14 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in five starts, none of which have ben quality outings. The Twins are 14-5 in their last 19 home games against left-handed starters. Minnesota counters with Fernando Romero who has quietly put together a start to the season. He has one bad start against the Royals and take that away, his ERA is 2.89 in his other eight starts, all of which he has allowed three runs or less. 10* (976) Minnesota Twins |
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06-21-18 | Red Sox -120 v. Twins | Top | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Thursday Afternoon Dominator. We lost with the Red Sox last night as David Price pitched a good game but was done in by two home runs that accounted for his three runs allowed. Boston has now dropped four of its last five games on this roadtrip and going back, the Red Sox are 12-2 in their last 14 games after losing the first two games of a series. Minnesota has been just the opposite as it has won four of its last five games in what has been a very disappointing season. The Twins are now two games over .500 at home following the first two wins in this series but they have gone 2-6 in their last eight games in Game three of a series. Rick Porcello takes the hill for the Red Sox and he is coming off an outing where he allowed four runs against Seattle which snapped a string of three straight quality outings. 10 of his 15 starts have been quality outings and in two starts at Target Field in the last two years, he has allowed two runs over 14 innings. Kyle Gibson has finally showed the potential of what he was expected of as he has posted a 3.27 ERA and 1.17 WHIP this season, but his success has been limited to being on the road. He has a 4.78 ERA and 1.49 WHIP at hone where he has just two quality starts and going back, the Twins are 3-7 in his last 10 home starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (913) Boston Red Sox |
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06-20-18 | Red Sox -136 v. Twins | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -136 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. Minnesota was able to pull off the upset last night as they beat Chris Sale but in reality, it beat the Boston bullpen while getting another great performance from Jose Berrios. The pitching has been solid of late across the board, but this has the making of a breakout game from the Boston offense. The Red Sox fell to 5-3 on this current roadtrip and they still possess the second best road record in baseball behind the Astros. They are 16-8 this season following a loss and turn to David Price who has been on a great run. Since getting roughed up in Texas to open the month of May, he has posted a 2.64 ERA with five of those games being quality outings and six where he allowed two runs or less. Minnesota has not given him much resistance as he has a 2.52 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 17 games against the Twins which have lost six of their seven games against left-handed starters. Minnesota counters with Lance Lynn who looked like a bust early in the season, but he has turned things around. He had a 7.47 ERA and 2.04 WHIP through his first eight games, but he has put up five straight quality starts, while posting a 2.01 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in those outings. He now faces a Boston team hitting .268 against righties, which is the best in baseball and going back, the Red Sox are 41-14 in their last 55 games against right-handed starters. Despite the recent surge from Lynn, the Twins are 2-6 in his last eight starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (967) Boston Red Sox |
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06-20-18 | Braves v. Blue Jays -140 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS for our MLB Wednesday Afternoon Dominator. Atlanta took the opener of this series as their turnaround season continues as it maintained its 3.5-game lead in the National League East. Toronto had its three-game winning streak snapped with the loss and it also had a seven-game home winning streak stopped but we expect a bounce back this afternoon. J.A. Happ gets the ball for Toronto and he is having another great season with the Blue Jays. In three seasons, he has a 3.28 ERA over 71 starts covering 433 innings. His ERA is this season is a tough above that at 3.48 but his peripheral numbers are the best of his 11-year career. He has a 1.06 WHIP and opponents are hitting just .207 against him. His road numbers are better but while his ERA is a run and a half higher at home, his WHIP and BAA are relatively the same with everything affected by just one poor start against Seattle. The Braves are 2-5 in their last seven games against left-handed starters while the Blue Jays are 19-7 in Happ's last 26 home starts against teams with a winning record.. Anibal Sanchez is having a career resurgence and it is difficult to explain why. He started in Miami which was very successful as were his first two and a half years in Detroit but from 2015-2017, he was horrible with a 5.67 ERA in 63 games. Now in six starts in Atlanta, he has a 1.93 ERA and 0.93 WHIP, but he cannot keep this up. He heads to a place he hates as in four career starts at Rogers Center, he has a 9.31 ERA and 2.28 WHIP and three of those have come within the last four years. 9* (974) Toronto Blue Jays |
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06-19-18 | Rangers v. Royals +126 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Tuesday Underdog Triple Play. Texas took the opener of this series last night with a 6-3 victory to make it three straight wins following a seven-game losing streak. The Rangers are all but done in the American League West as they are 19 games out of first place and are favored again on the road in what is perceived as a significant pitching edge which is not the case. Texas is 8-25 in their last 33 American League road games that are averaging 3.9 or less rpg. Kansas City has been much worse as it is just 22-50 following its seventh straight loss. We are going with the contrarian side and backing Jason Hammel who has turned his season around. He had a 6.28 ERA through his first nine starts even though five of those were solid outings and in his last five games, he has put up a 2.56 ERA. He allowed no run on four hits in 5.1 innings in his first start against Texas this season. The Rangers turn to Cole Hamels who has put up decent numbers, but he has just three wins and the Rangers are 4-10 in his 14 starts. Going back, the Rangers are 1-7 in his last eight starts when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game. Here, we play on American League home teams with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season while hitting .225 or worse over their last 10 games. This situation is 277-209 (57 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (920) Kansas City Royals |
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06-19-18 | Tigers +114 v. Reds | Top | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Tuesday Underdog Triple Play. The Tigers are riding a five-game winning streak heading into this two-game set in Cincinnati and they are just three games behind Cleveland in the American League Central. They have not been great on the road, but they have won four straight games on the highway and going back, the Tigers are 6-1 in their last seven games following an off day. The Reds salvaged a game against Pittsburgh to close out a 3-2 roadtrip but they possess just 11 wins at home and while they are not favored by a huge amount, it is the third highest moneyline they have been favored by at home this season. They split the first two with the only win coming against Jason Vargas and his 7.39 ERA. Matthew Boyd is having a solid season with a 3.23 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 13 starts and while his numbers dip slightly on the road, four of six starts have come against teams .500 or better. He gets a good matchup here as Cincinnati is 17-40 in its last 57 games against left-handed starters. Sal Romano is coming off a rare quality start which came after a putrid five-game run where he posted a 10.72 ERA. He has not put up consecutive quality starts this season and in his other three games after a quality outing, he allowed 12 runs over 12 innings. The Tigers are 6-1 in their last seven games against starters with a WHIP greater than 1.30. 10* (925) Detroit Tigers |
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06-19-18 | Mariners +165 v. Yankees | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS as part of our MLB Tuesday Underdog Triple Play. If not for the surging Houston Astros, Seattle would still be in first place in the American League West as it has been on its own roll, winning 22 of its last 29 games. While they are getting done at home, the Mariners are also doing it on the road with a 21-12 record and they are 10-4 as a road underdog of +100 to +150. Additionally, they are 18-6 after a loss this season. New York is back home following a game and a half yesterday in Washington and despite being just 2.5 games better than Seattle, it is significantly overpriced here. The Mariners send Marco Gonzales to the hill and he has pitched really well after a slow start. He posted an 8.25 ERA in his first three starts but since then, he has a 2.55 ERA in his last 11 outings, allowing three runs or less nine times. The Yankees counter with Domingo German who opened his career with a six-inning, no-hit outing but he has struggled since then with a 5.89 ERA in his last six starts. The Mariners are 13-3 in their last 16 road games against right-handed starters. Here, we play against American League home teams with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less home runs per start. This situation is 31-12 (72.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (911) Seattle Mariners |
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06-18-18 | Mets -116 v. Rockies | Top | 12-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Mets took the final two games of their series against Arizona to split the four-game set and gain some momentum heading to Colorado. They came into Saturday on a 1-12 run where they scored a total of 21 runs and hit close to half of that over the last two games. Colorado closed its roadtrip with a pair of losses at Texas to drop to 23-18 on the road which is certainly a good record, but the Rockies have been surprisingly bad at home with an 11-19 record. They have struggled with the lightweight offense as they are 6-15 at home against National League teams with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. Jacob deGrom has had a ton of bad luck this season as he has a 1.55 ERA and 1.01 WHIP but has just four wins to show for it. He opened the season with a 3.24 ERA through four starts but has dominated since with a 0.87 ERA over his last 11 outings. Tyler Anderson has been dependable for the Rockies all season with a 4.48 ERA in 14 starts and while he is coming off a pair of quality outings, both of those were on the road and at home, he has 5.14 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in five starts with the Rockies going 1-4 in those games. Going back, the Rockies are 4-13 in his last 17 starts following a quality outing in his last start. 10* (957) New York Mets |
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06-17-18 | Cubs v. Cardinals +112 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 112 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple play. We lost with the Cardinals last night as they allowed three runs in the eighth and ninth innings to drop their fourth straight game. The Cubs have scored 19 runs over the last two games after consecutive shutouts and they come in as favorites yet again despite a starting pitching disadvantage. Jose Quintana has been good, but far from the dominating pitcher many expected as he has a 4.09 ERA and 1.34 WHIP through 13 starts. While he has been better on the road, he has struggled during the day with a 5.79 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in seven games. Jack Flaherty has taken advantage of landing in the rotation because of the Alex Reyes injury as he has posted a 2.96 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in eight starts. He has allowed three runs or less in seven of those and he is part of a successful situation where we play on National League teams when the moneyline is +125 to -125 that are hitting .250 or worse with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is between 3.70 and 4.20. This situation is 91-45 (66.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (908) St. Louis Cardinals |
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06-17-18 | Tigers v. White Sox -105 | 3-1 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Sunday Triple play. Detroit came into the season with slim chances of competing for a divisional crown and nearly halfway through the schedule, the Tigers are just 2.5 games out of first place following their fourth straight win coupled by the Indians having dropped two straight games against the Twins. Detroit is still two games under .500 so it has been a matter of a mediocre division rather than playing like a contender. The White Sox are 2-4 on this current homestand and their 12 wins at home matches the number of road wins for the Tigers yet they are close to a pickem at home. James Shields is having a very good season despite only two wins and a 4.63 ERA. His WHIP of 1.23 tells a different story as he has been consistently good of late with the exception of two bad starts against Houston and Minnesota. The Tigers turn to Blaine Hardy who is off to a successful rookie season with a 3.55 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in seven starts. The problem is that his ERA is more than two runs higher on the road than it is at home and the White Sox have the advantage of facing him for a second time. 9* (918) Chicago White Sox |
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06-17-18 | Marlins v. Orioles -169 | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Sunday Triple play. Baltimore remains the worst team in baseball as it is 19-50 following its ninth straight loss on Saturday which also put the record at 2-16 over its last 18 games. We played on the Orioles Friday in a game where they were favored by a significant amount despite the struggles and today, the number is higher for good reason. The Marlins are 5-1 over their last six games but they are going nowhere either and going back, they are 5-17 in their last 22games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. The Orioles offense has been in a major funk as they have now been held to four or fewer in 18 of the past 19 games but have a chance to break out of that today against Trevor Richards who has tossed two straight quality outings at home but has yet to record one in five road starts where he has a 5.71 ERA and 1.79 WHIP over 17.1 innings. Dylan Bundy had a three game stretch over a month ago where he allowed 19 runs in nine innings over three starts but he has recovered well as he has posted a 2.09 ERA over his last six starts and on the season, he has allowed three runs or less in 10 of 14 outings. 8* (926) Baltimore Orioles |
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06-16-18 | Cubs v. Cardinals +113 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. After getting shut out in Milwaukee in back-to-back games on Tuesday and Wednesday, the Cubs took their frustrations out on Michael Wacha who had his worst and shortest outing of the season. Chicago has turned its season around after a slow start and it will remain a public team to back, hence being favored on the road once again. St. Louis is now five games behind Milwaukee in the National League Central following its third consecutive loss. The Cardinals are three games over .500 at home still and despite the loss last night, they are 10-4 in their last 14 home games against teams with a winning record. Carlos Martinez gets the ball tonight and he is having another strong season with a 2.50 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 10 starts. He is coming off a poor outing but that was on the road and he has been dealing at home with a 1.83 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in six starts. The Cardinals are 4-0 in his last four home starts against teams with a winning record. The Cubs counter with Kyle Hendricks who is off to a solid start and his home/road splits are similar which pouts him in a tough spot. He has a 4.50 ERA and 1.46 WHIP on the road with Chicago going 1-4 in his five road starts. On the season, St. Louis is 8-0 against National League starting pitchers whose WHIP is 1.15 or better. 10* (958) St. Louis Cardinals |
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06-15-18 | Tigers v. White Sox -123 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -123 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. We played against Chicago yesterday as it had won two straight against Cleveland and was bound for a loss in what has been a predictably bad season. The White Sox remain home where they have only 12 wins but that is due to a horrible start as they have gone 9-6 over their last 15 home games and they are playing .500 baseball overall for the past month. Going back, the White Sox are 6-0 in their last six games following a loss. Detroit won the final two games at home against Minnesota to complete a 3-3 homestand. The Tigers have been somewhat of a surprise this season as they are just 4.5 games behind Cleveland in the American League Central but a lot of that is due to the averageness of the way Cleveland has been. Detroit is ties for the second most home wins in the American League however, its 10 road wins are the second fewest behind Baltimore. Chicago hands the ball to Reynaldo Lopez who has been really solid this season but has not gotten the respect because he is on a bad team. He has a 3.26 ERA and 1.22 WHIP through 13 starts but he has only two wins to show for it because his offense has backed him up with only 2.85 rpg. The schedule has not aided him much as eight of his 13 starts have been on the road and he has been dominant at home with a 1.85 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in five starts. Chicago is 4-1 in his last five home starts against teams with a losing record while the Tigers are 19-44 in their last 63 road games against right-handed starters. Mike Fiers has been up and down this season and while he is coming off a quality start, he has an 8.59 ERA is his other three starts following a quality outing last game. 10* (918) Chicago White Sox |
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06-15-18 | Reds v. Pirates -138 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Pittsburgh is coming off a poor roadtrip where it went 2-4 to drop two games under .500 for the season but a return home against the worst team in the National League should help matters. The Pirates are three games over .500 at home and it has been nearly a month since the last time they have hosted a team with a losing record. Cincinnati has won three straight games, but we cannot take too much out of that as the last two wins came against the dreadful Royals and prior to this, the Reds were on an 8-16 run. going back, they are 8-18 in their last 26 road games against teams with a winning home record. The Reds are hoping Matt Harvey can get back to the form when they first acquired him but that is unlikely as he is trending badly the wrong way. After opening his tenure in Cincinnati with a 2.57 ERA in his first three starts, Harvey has posted a 7.16 ERA over his last three outings with the Reds going 0-3 in those games. He was in command those first three games where he allowed only two home runs and gave up just two walks, but he has surrendered five home runs and six walks over the last three games. Chad Kuhl is hardly a household name, but he has been pitching very well. He started slow by allowing 10 runs over 15.2 innings in his first three starts but he has posted a 3.45 ERA over his last 10 starts, seven of which have been quality outings. The Pirates are 6-1 in his last seven home starts against teams with a losing record. While it has been a rough month for Pittsburgh, this is the start of a 10-game homestand where a move can be made. 9* (902) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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06-15-18 | Marlins v. Orioles -155 | 2-0 | Loss | -155 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Baltimore has been the worst team in baseball to start the season as it is the only team yet to have reached 20 victories. So, the fact the Orioles are significant favorites here is a surprise to some, but the line actually tells us they are the right side based on contrarian angles and where the public is going with this. Baltimore has lost seven straight games, the first four coming on the road and the last three coming against Boston. The Orioles are just 10-21 at home no thanks to a nine-game home losing streak against four teams that are a combined 63 games over .500. Miami is coming off a respectable 4-3 homestand but now hits the road where it is just 12-22 on the season. After taking two of three in Cincinnati in early May, the Marlins have dropped 13 of their last 20 road games. Kevin Gausman takes the hill for the Orioles and he has been hit or miss all season with the majority actually being on the former. He has allowed five runs or more four times but in his other nine starts, he has given up three runs or less, posting a spectacular 2.25 ERA in those nine games. For a pitcher that gets a bad rap, the fact he has a 38:5 K:BB ratio over his last six starts is impressive. The Marlins are 3-11 in their last 14 games against right-handed starters. Jose Urena counters for Miami and while he has not been atrocious, the Marlins 1-13 in his starts and bad luck sometimes counters everything. Here, we play on favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 that are hitting .200 or worse over their last five games, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 7.00 or worse over his last three starts. This situation is 75-24 (75.8 percent) since 1997. 8* (926) Baltimore Orioles |
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06-14-18 | Red Sox v. Mariners +124 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. Both Boston and Seattle are coming off three-game sweeps to open the week, but it is the Mariners that have a significant advantage. The Red Sox finished off the Orioles on the east coast and while it was a day game, it was a later than usual afternoon start, and the travel can take its toll heading to the west coast. Boston has been a great road team this season but the home/road splits with Seattle are very similar which makes the Red Sox overpriced at this number. The Mariners maintained their lead in the American League West and after underachieving for the last couple years, they are finally showing their potential. A big reason the Red Sox are road favorites is that David Price has been spot on of late, allowing three runs or less in six straight starts. However, five of those were against teams with a losing record and in 13 starts overall, only four have come against teams .500 or better and he has a 5.49 ERA. The Mariners are tied for fourth with Cleveland with a .269 average against left-handed pitching. Felix Hernandez counters for the Mariners and he has been average this season to say the least. Pitching at home has been a strength though as he has a 4.04 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in seven home starts compared to a 7.71 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in seven road starts. Here, we play on American League home underdogs that average between 4.4 and 4.9 rpg and with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.30 to 1.40 going up against a starter with an ERA of 4.20 or better. This situation is 36-16 (69.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (968) Seattle Mariners |
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06-14-18 | Indians -131 v. White Sox | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS for our MLB Thursday Afternoon Dominator. The White Sox came through for us last night, but it was not easy as they got out of numerous jams, were outhit 14-4 and benefitted from Cleveland leaving 24 runners on base. The Indians will be out to avoid series loss and go for the split this afternoon as the inconsistent season continues but they are in a great position in a good pitching matchup. Chicago has won two straight games following a 1-7 stretch following a victory and on the season, it has won three games in a row only once, posting a 1-5 record after consecutive wins. Going back, the White Sox are 3-13 in their last 16 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Carlos Rodon will be making his second start of the season after shoulder surgery and a long rehab stint. His first start was a bit uneven as he allowed four runs, two earned, on six hits in five innings against the Red Sox. He allowed two home runs, an issue that has plagued him throughout his career. The Indians are fourth in baseball with a .269 average against left-handed pitching and they are 11-4 in their last 15 road games against left-handed starters. Mike Clevinger has been steady all season with a 3.31 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 13 starts, eight of which have been quality. The Indians are 10-4 in his last 14 starts against teams with a losing record while the White Sox are 0-11 against starting pitchers who allow 0.5 or fewer home runs per game this season. 9* (961) Cleveland Indians |
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06-13-18 | Rangers +164 v. Dodgers | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TEXAS RANGERS as part of our MLB Wednesday Underdog Triple Play. The Dodgers have gotten out of their slump to start the season as they have gone 18-6 over their last 24 games to make up a lot of ground in the National League West. They trail the Diamondbacks by three games but most of the success has come on the road as Los Angeles is just 6-4 in its last 10 home games and despite the win last night, the Dodgers are 2-8 in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. It has been a long start to the season for the Rangers as they are in last place in the American League West, trailing the Mariners by 17 games. They have dropped five straight games but have been solid in this spot as they have gone 7-1 in their last eight games in Game Two of a series. Cole Hamels has pitched very well this season with a 3.86 ERA and 1.24 WHIP over 13 starts and he has been better on the road, posting a 2.55 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. The Rangers have won his last two road starts against the Astros and Angels. Kenta Maeda completed a bullpen session Sunday without incident, so he will rejoin the rotation after missing about two weeks with the strained right hip. His numbers are very similar to Hamels and going back, the Dodgers are 1-4 in his last five starts against teams with a losing record. 9* (929) Texas Rangers |
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06-13-18 | Indians v. White Sox +170 | 2-3 | Win | 170 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Wednesday Underdog Triple Play. Chicago pulled off the upset last night and are in good shape to do it again at an even bigger price. After a very tough May, the White Sox are a respectable 7-5 in June with all seven of those wins coming as underdogs of at least +130. Cleveland was a game under .500 with six games remaining in May before it pulled off a six-game winning streak to close the month, but it has gone just 5-5 in June as the struggles continue with a below average offense and the worst bullpen in baseball. The Indians are just 15-19 on the road and hand the ball to Trevor Bauer who is having a very solid season. He has a 2.62 ERA and 1.15 WHIP, and those numbers are better on the road, but Cleveland is just 3-4 in his seven road starts and going back, it is 7-15 in his last 22 road starts against teams with a losing record. Dylan Covey allowed the Red Sox three hits and no runs in six innings Friday and outdueled Chris Sale and now has a 2.22 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in five starts this season. He seemed to be clinging to a tenuous spot on the 40-man roster after going 0-7 with a 7.71 ERA last season but has bounced back in a major way, also pitching well in Triple A this season by going 3-1 with a 2.33 ERA in seven starts. 9* (922) Chicago White Sox |
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06-13-18 | Twins v. Tigers +145 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 145 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Wednesday Underdog Triple Play. Minnesota won the opener of this series last night to leapfrog Detroit in the American League Central to take over sole possession of second place. The fact the Twins are just a half-game better than the Tigers and that they have only 12 road wins makes this line overinflated as it seems to be based on names of starting pitching and not necessarily results. The loss of Miguel Cabrera is not as big as it seems with his three home runs and 22 RBIs on the season. Jose Berrios gets the ball for Minnesota and he is the reason behind this line and while he has been solid, he has not been overly dominating, especially on the road where he has a 4.55 and has just two quality outings in five starts. The Twins are 3-13 in his last 16 road starts. Matthew Boyd has been quietly superb this season as he has a 3.20 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 12 starts including a 2.48 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in six home starts. He has won all five games as a home underdog and he falls into a successful situation where we play on American League home underdogs with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.10 or better on the season- going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.20 or better on the season. This situation is 70-43 (61.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (920) Detroit Tigers |
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06-12-18 | Cubs v. Brewers -105 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Chicago took the opener of this series last night to make it seven straight wins over the Brewers and in doing so, it leapfrogged Milwaukee to take over first place in the National League Central. The Cubs are playing their best baseball of the season so picking the right spots to go against them is key and this looks to be one of those with the pitching matchup. Milwaukee has lost two straight and five of its last seven games, but it has gone 10-2 in its last 12 games after scoring two runs or less in its previous game while going 11-3 in its last 14 games following a loss. Tyler Chatwood takes the hill for the Cubs and while his 3.86 ERA looks good, his 1.78 WHIP is a better indicator. Part of that is his horrible control as he has a 53:56 K:BB ration and has issued 34 walked in his last seven starts. Meanwhile, Chase Anderson has a 4.57 ERA, but his WHIP is at 1.25 which shows he has been the opposite of Chatwood. Here, we play against National League road teams when the moneyline is +125 to -125 that are averaging 4.7 or more rpg with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA 4.20 to 5.20. This situation is 46-17 (73 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (958) Milwaukee Brewers |
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06-12-18 | Giants -118 v. Marlins | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -118 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Miami won the battle of left-handers last night as it was able to solve Madison Bumgarner but now in a righty vs. righty matchup, the Giants have the advantage. San Francisco dropped back to .500 on the season and while it has struggled on the road, it has had only one road series against a losing team prior to this one. Miami has had a rough time of it as expected and despite the win last night, it is just 3-8 in its last 11 games following a win. Chris Stratton has been dependable for the Giants as a couple bad starts has inflated his numbers. He has allowed three runs or less in four straight games with the Giants winning all of those. San Francisco is 10-3 in his 13 starts and going back it is 11-4 against the moneyline against National League teams team with an on base percentage .325 or worse. Meanwhile, the Marlins are 2-10 in their last 12 games against right-handed starter. Trevor Richards counters for Miami with a 5.02 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in six starts. He looked good in his last stat after being recalled but he now faces a Giants team that is 8-0 in its last 8 games against right-handed starters. 10* (953) San Francisco Giants |
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06-12-18 | Rockies v. Phillies -145 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Phillies remain home following a disappointing start to this roadtrip where it lost two of three against the Brewers, allowing 12 runs in each of those losses. Two of their best starters got lit up and another top tiered starter takes the hill tonight in what is a sizeable edge. The Rockies have lost four straight games and while they have been solid on the road, the have struggled of late and over half of their 21 road wins have come against teams with a losing record. Aaron Nola has been dominant all season with a 2.35 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 13 starts and he has a sub-2.00 ERA at home where the Phillies have gone 6-0 in his six starts with all of those being quality outings. Jon Gray gets the ball for the Rockies and he has been all over the place. He has been especially poor over the last month as he has posted an 8.49 ERA over his last five starts. Here, we play on National League home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season, after a one run win. This situation is 97-38 (71.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (952) Philadelphia Phillies |
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06-11-18 | Pirates v. Diamondbacks -143 | Top | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. Arizona is coming off a three-game sweep in Colorado to maintain its 2.5-game lead in the National League West. The Diamondbacks are also riding a three-game home winning streak where they are 19-13 on the season. Going back, they are 5-0 in their last five home games following a road trip of seven or more days. The Pirates have opened 1-2 on this current six-game roadtrip and it has been a real struggle going back further as Pittsburgh is 6-16 over its last 22 games. During this stretch, the Pirates have failed to win consecutive games. They send Joe Musgrove to the hill and he has been a pleasant addition to the rotation as he has a 1.89 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in his first three starts, allowing three runs or less in all three of those including a pair of quality outings. However, all of those were at home and this is his first road start since July of last season. Arizona sends Patrick Corbin to the hill and he is off to a spectacular start. He has a 2.87 ERA and 0.94 WHIP through 13 starts while his home/road splits are relatively equal. The big thing at home is his 62:8 K:BB ratio which is outstanding and has to a 0.78 WHIP at home. Going back, the Pirates are 5-16 in their last 21 road games against left-handed starters. 10* (908) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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06-08-18 | Padres v. Marlins -134 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Marlins are coming off a dismal roadtrip where they went 3-7 although they did come off a series win against the Cardinals to conclude it. While it has been a struggle for Miami, it has done well against lesser opposition at home as going back, it is 21-8 in its last 29 home games against teams with a winning percentage between .380 and .460. The Padres are on a bit of a surge as they have gone 7-2 over their last nine games and concluded a homestand where they won all three series. San Diego is 7-23 in its last 30 games after having won five or six of its last seven games. Caleb Smith has been a bright spot in the Marlins rotation and while his 4.03 ERA is average, his 1.19 WHIP above average. He allowed five runs in his last games which was the third time he has allowed four or more ruins and in the first two instances, he bounced back with quality outings. Eric Lauer counters for San Diego and he has gotten off to a rocky start in his MLB career as he has posted a 6.82 ERA and 1.98 WHIP in eight starts. The Padres are 0-4 in his four road starts. 9* (960) Miami Marlins |
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06-08-18 | Indians -156 v. Tigers | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Cleveland maintained its four-game lead in the American League Central with a two-game sweep over Milwaukee and while it has not played well on the road, this is a big series to widen the gap. The Indians are just 12-17 on the road but have played most of those against winning tams and going back, they are 44-13 in their last 57 games against teams with a losing record. Detroit is hanging around in a season it was not expected to but there are a lot of flaws on this team. They send Michael Fulmer to the hill and he has been up and down with a 4.72 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. The Indians have his number as he has a 7.31 ERA and 1.91 WHIP in six starts and going back, the Tigers are 1-10 in his last 11 starts against teams with a winning record. Trevor Bauer is coming off a pair of non-quality outings but posted a 24:5 K:BB ratio and on the season, his 2.77 ERA and 1.17 is outstanding. Here, we play against American League home underdogs that average 0.9 or fewer home runs per game and starting a pitcher with a WHIP between 1.30 and 1.40 going up against a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or fewer home runs per start. This situation is 80-30 (72.7 percent) since 1997. 8* (969) Cleveland Indians |
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06-08-18 | Yankees v. Mets +103 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Mets are in an offensive funk as they have scored seven runs total during their current six-game losing streak including a mere two runs over their last four games. Three of those games came against lefties where they totaled just two runs so facing a struggling right-hander is just what they need. The Yankees are percentage points ahead of the Red Sox in the American League East thanks to a 5-1 start to this current roadtrip and the public is all over them tonight at this short price. Masahiro Tanaka has had a rough stretch, posting a 5.40 ERA over his last five starts but the Yankees won four of those thanks to the offense that bailed him out. That will be tough to repeat tonight against Jacob deGrom who has been nasty all season with a 1.49 ERA, which leads the National League. Over his last eight starts, he has a ridiculous 0.57 ERA and the Mets are 20-7 in his last 27 starts after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. The Mets fall into a great contrarian situation as we play against road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 after allowing three runs or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring one run or less three straight games. This situation is 33-12 (73.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (980) New York Mets |
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06-07-18 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -144 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. Toronto looks to bounce back from a two-game sweep at the hands of the Yankees as the offense managed only two total runs. May was horrible for the Blue Jays and June has not started any better as they are 1-4 in June and now sit a whopping 16.5 games behind the Red Sox in the American League East. Baltimore took two games from the Mets as it won those games thanks to solid pitching, 2-1 and 1-0. That has not typically been the case this season as the Orioles have the fifth worst ERA in baseball. Baltimore is the only team in baseball that has yet to register double-digit wins on the road while its 23 losses are the most in MLB. Jaime Garcia has had a rough time of it in his first year in Toronto and it could easily be his last at this point. He has struggled on the road for the most part as his 3.43 ERA at home is solid where Toronto has won three of his four starts. David Hess has been pitching well since entering the rotation as three of four starts have been quality outings, but he is still unproven. Toronto has a great contrarian situation on its side as we play on American League home favorites with a moneyline of -110 or higher that have an OBP of .320 or worse and starting a pitcher with a 7.50 ERA or worse over his last three starts going up against a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or better. This situation is 53-15 (77.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (912) Toronto Blue Jays |
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06-06-18 | Phillies +121 v. Cubs | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The Phillies came through for us last night as they got to Kyle Hendricks for five runs to snap a three-game losing streak where they managed just one run total. Additionally, the six runs scored were more than their previous five games combined so they have some of that momentum back. The Cubs had a four-game winning streak snapped with the loss and many will be backing them to bounce back tonight but they are overpriced at home once again. Jose Quintana has been inconsistent this season as he has been really good or really bad. Since coming over from the White Sox, Wrigley Field has not been a fun place to pitch as he has a 5.43 ERA over 69.2 innings which includes a 6.66 ERA in five starts this season. He has benefitted from 7.8 rpg of support which is a reason Chicago has won three of those games but do not expect that type of output tonight. The Phillies are 20-8 in their last 28 games against left-handed starters. Aaron Nola counters for Philadelphia and he has been awesome, allowing three runs or less in 11 of his 12 starts. Philadelphia falls into a contrarian situation where we play on road teams when the moneyline is +125 to -125 that are batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games going up against an opponent starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing. This situation is 73-41 (64 percent) since 1997. 9* (959) Philadelphia Phillies |
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06-06-18 | A's -113 v. Rangers | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND A'S as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. We were on Oakland last night and it blew a 4-2 lead as it allowed five ruins in the seventh and eighth innings with the bullpen ruining a solid outing from Sean Manaea. That was just the fourth loss in its last 17 games against teams with a losing record, but the A's get back on track tonight in a big pitching mismatch in their favor. They are 7-0 in their last seven games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Texas opened its homestand with a rare win as it is just 12-19 at home which is the sixth worst home record in baseball. Winning streak have been few and far between as the Rangers are 7-20 in their last 27 games following a win. Daniel Mengden gets the ball for the A's and he has been great this season with a 2.91 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 12 starts. He has tossed five straight quality outings, posting a 1.47 ERA over that stretch. He was recalled late last season and he has a 2.47 ERA in 17 starts. The A's are 7-1 in his last seven starts after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Bartolo Colon got off to a great start with a 1.45 ERA through his first four games, but he has been very inconsistent since then, posting a 5.29 ERA over his last eight starts. He has allowed six runs in two of his last three starts and Oakland is 7-1 in its last eight road games against right-handed starters. 10* (967) Oakland A's |
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06-06-18 | Dodgers v. Pirates +105 | 9-11 | Win | 105 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The Dodgers shut out the Pirates last night to make it four straight wins to open this six-game roadtrip. Additionally, they have won 14 of 18 to climb back to .500 for the first time since April 24th despite a rash of injuries that have decimated the roster. While they may be hot, they are also overpriced tonight. Pittsburgh meanwhile has lost three straight and 13 of 17 games to fall to .500 for the first time the entire season. The Pirates have been shut out the last two games, but they have a shot to bounce back tonight as they avoid Clayton Kershaw and catch a rookie. Caleb Ferguson is making his Major League debut tonight and he is getting thrown right into the fire. A 21-year-old left-handed pitcher, Ferguson has thrown only 47 innings above class-A baseball and made only two starts for AAA Oklahoma City. He did not pitch in big league camp this spring and has only had scant experience facing major league hitters. Trevor Williams posted a 2.72 ERA through his first nine starts but he has struggled over his last three games. A lot of this is bad luck though as he allowed a batting average on balls in play (BABIP) of .222 in April and that rose to .304 in May. Basically, that is the opponents finding the holes that were not being found before and the better news is that his strikeouts went up and walks went down. 9* (956) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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06-05-18 | Braves -123 v. Padres | Top | 14-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. San Diego took the opener of this series last night to make it three straight wins for the second time in a week. The Padres have been on a decent run since a horrible start but are still six games under .500 and they are 5-16 as a home underdog this season. Despite the loss, Atlanta is still in first place in the National League East, one game ahead of Washington. The Braves are 19-13 on the road and have won seven of their last nine road games against losing teams. Sean Newcomb has quietly put together a great season with a 2.73 ERA through 11 starts and that ERA is ninth best in the National League. Meanwhile, his road ERA of 2.06 is ranked seventh among qualified starters. Jordan Lyles has been inconsistent through five starts since entering the rotation in May but to his credit, he has been great at home with three quality starts but that actually helps put Atlanta into a strong situation as we play on National League favorites of -110 or higher that are hitting between .255 and .269) and starting a pitcher with an ERA of 3.00 or better going up against a pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or better. This situation is 94-31 (75.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (909) Atlanta Braves |
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06-05-18 | Phillies +200 v. Cubs | 6-1 | Win | 200 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Phillies are coming off getting swept in San Francisco over the weekend as the offense managed just one run and they have gone five straight games by scoring two runs or less. That type of slump is easy to get out of and the line is loaded with value because of the struggles. The Cubs have won four straight games as they continue to chase Milwaukee in the National League Central, but they have struggled at home of late, losing five of their last seven games. Zach Eflin was called up in early May and got off to a strong start with a 1.57 ERA through his first three outings and while he has allowed five runs in each of his last two starts, we expect a rebound here. Kyle Hendricks has been very consistent, but Chicago is just 4-7 in his 11 starts including going just 1-7 following a win. Additionally, we play on road underdogs starting a pitcher who allowed five or more runs in his last two outings, with a bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.25 the last 15 games. This situation is 42-25 (62.7 percent) over the last five seasons. Great value in this number that is being driven by name and not actual numbers. 9* (905) Philadelphia Phillies |
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06-05-18 | A's -122 v. Rangers | 4-7 | Loss | -122 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OAKLAND A'S as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Oakland took two of three in Kansas City to open this brief five-game roadtrip to improve to 31-29. It has dominated the teams it is supposed to dominate, going 13-3 in its last 16 games against teams with a losing record. Texas continues to have a dismal season as it is coming off a 3-4 roadtrip to fall 12 games under .500. The Rangers have lost 18 of their last 25 home games against teams with a winning record. Matt Moore is having an awful season with a 7.85 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in 10 starts with only one of those being a quality outing. Those are about the same numbers in five home starts and Oakland is 8-0 in its last eight games against American League starting pitchers whose ERA is 6.40 or worse. Sean Manaea has struggled of late, but we expect him to get back to his dominating ways. Here, we play against American League home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more that are hitting .265or worse and starting a pitcher whose ERA is 7.50 or worse over his last three starts going up against a team with a bullpen ERA of 3.75 or better. This situation is 45-9 (83.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (917) Oakland A's |
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06-03-18 | Phillies -117 v. Giants | 1-6 | Loss | -117 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. The Phillies remain two games behind the Braves in the National League East as they dropped their second straight game last night against the Giants and both have been shutouts. They have been great following a loss this season and they are 5-0 in their last five games following losses in the first two games of a series. The Giants have won three straight following a 3-9 skid and hand the ball to Dereck Rodriguez who will be making his first Major League start after a solid debut out of the bullpen. Jake Arrieta counters for the Phillies and he has been sensational in his first year in Philadelphia. He had one bad start in Miami but in his other nine starts, he has allowed two runs or less in each, posting a 1.32 ERA in those games. 9* (909) Philadelphia Phillies |
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06-03-18 | Indians -110 v. Twins | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. Cleveland had a six-game winning streak snapped on Friday and lost its second straight game yesterday and leads the Tigers by just two games in the American League Central. Minnesota was on a 1-7 run prior to Friday and it is in a tough spot today. Mike Clevinger bounced back from a poor start against Houston and he hits the road where he has been sensational this season with a 1.61 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in four starts, three of which have been quality outings. Kyle Gibson is showing flashes from his 2015 season as he has regressed badly the last two seasons. What ha not changed are his struggles at home where he has a 5.76 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in five starts and now he catches Cleveland at the wrong time. 10* (919) Cleveland Indians |
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06-02-18 | Brewers -137 v. White Sox | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for out Saturday Afternoon Dominator. The Brewers came up small for us last night as they blew a 3-0 lead and lost 8-3 and their lead in the National League Central was cut to three games. This is still one of the best road team in baseball and despite the loss, the Brewers are 8-3 in their last 11 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. Chicago picked up a rare win and winning consecutive games has been an issue as it is 2-7 in its last nine games following a win. Additionally, the White Sox are 1-9 in their last 10 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. James Shields has been fairly decent for Chicago but still shows signs of inconsistency. He is on a three-game quality start streak and while his last three home starts have been quality outings, the three games have come against some anemic offenses as Minnesota, Texas and Baltimore are ranked No. 21, No. 26 and No. 27 in hitting respectively. Meanwhile, Jhoulys Chacin has been a big part of the starting rotation as he has a 3.69 ERA through 12 starts and while he is coming off a poor outing against the Mets, the other two times he allowed four or more runs, he bounced back with strong efforts. The Brewers have won his last four starts against losing teams. 9* (979) Milwaukee Brewers |
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06-01-18 | Marlins v. Diamondbacks -130 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Diamondbacks endured a 2-15 run to go from a commanding lead in the National League West to falling into second place. The offense was a mess but a visit from Cincinnati helped as they took two of three while averaging 7.0 rpg and now they get another bottom-feeder with Miami coming to town. The Marlins lost three of four games in San Diego to open their roadtrip and are now 10-18 on the road this season. Clay Buchholz will be making his third start of the season and the first two were surprisingly excellent as he allowed two runs over 11 innings and is now making his first start at home. His dominance will not last forever, but he catches a break with the opponent as Miami has dropped five straight games against right-handed starters and its .232 average against righties is seventh worst in baseball. Elieser Hernandez counters for the Marlins and he has been good through three starts but heads to a hitters park in what looks to be his biggest test of the season. Arizona falls into a situation where we play on favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing, batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games. This situation is 47-11 (81 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (910) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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06-01-18 | Indians v. Twins +110 | 4-7 | Win | 110 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Minnesota lost a tough one last night as it rallied from a 5-0 deficit to tie the game but lost on a Francisco Lindor home run in the eighth inning, breaking an 8-8 tie. The Twins have lost three straight and seven of their last eight games but are in a prime bounce back spot tonight. Cleveland is starting to take control of the American League Central as it has won six straight games and has a 4.5-game lead over Detroit. The Indians offense has caught fire after a slow start as they have scored seven runs or more in all of their games during their winning streak, averaging 8.7 rpg so a stopper is needed, and Jose Berrios is just that. He has been up and down this season as he has either been lights out or struggled to find any sort of command. He is back to good form after a poor four-game stretch as he has a 1.99 ERA and 0.95 WHIP over his last three starts with a 27:4 K:BB ratio. On top of that, he has faced the Indians twice since last season and has allowed one run over 14.2 innings. Here, we play on American League home underdogs with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.10 or better on the season going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.20 or better on the season. This situation is 67-43 (60.9 percent) since 1997. 9* (922) Minnesota Twins |
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06-01-18 | Brewers -129 v. White Sox | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -129 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Milwaukee won on Wednesday against the Cardinals to win the three-game series and close out an 8-2 homestand. The Brewers possess the best record in the National League with much of that having to do with their 18-10 record on the road and they have dominate the poor teams, going 13-3 in their last 16 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. Chicago ended a 1-5 roadtrip by getting swept in Cleveland and a return home is not necessarily a good thing as the White Sox are 8-18 at home which is the worst record in MLB. Additionally, they are 0-9 in their last nine home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Chase Anderson looks to keep the run going and he has been average of late which is not a bad thing as it is keeping this line lower than it should be. He has allowed four runs or more in three of his last four starts but two of those were at home and he has been great on the road with a 2.19 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in four starts, three of which were quality outings. Hector Santiago gets the ball for Chicago and he has struggled with a 4.87 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in five starts and 10 relief appearances. This has been ongoing as over the last three years, he has a 5.42 ERA over 41 games. 10* (929) Milwaukee Brewers |
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05-31-18 | Pirates v. Cardinals -144 | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. We won with the Pirates last night as they snapped a four-game losing streak, but we are going against them here as they are in a bad spot. Pittsburgh is 12-13 on the road which is not horrible, but it has dropped 11 of its last 16 on the highway. St. Louis is coming off a 3-3 roadtrip and will be out to snap a two-game slide at home where it is 15-11 overall and has won seven of its last nine against teams with a winning record. Jack Flaherty has been outstanding for the Cardinals as he has a 2.15 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in five starts with his last two being the best including his only home start where he allowed one run on two hits while striking out 13. Trevor Williams started great, but he has struggled of late, allowing four runs in three of his last four starts. St. Louis falls into a spectacular situation where we play on National League home favorites with a money line of -150 or more that are averaging 4.0 to 4.5 rpg with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season going up against a starter with an ERA of 3.70 or better. This situation is 54-12 (81.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (954) St. Louis Cardinals |
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05-31-18 | Rays v. A's -139 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OAKLAND A'S for our MLB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. Tampa Bay has taken the first three games of this series as it goes for the sweep today, but we do not see it happening based on the pitching matchup. The Rays are over .500 for the first time since opening day as the starting pitching has been spot on, but there is a regression here. Oakland is back to .500 as the offense has been able to do nothing during its 3-6 run. The Rays have used three starters in the first three games of this series but turn to a reliever today as Ryne Stanek gets the ball for his second start of the season. He made seven relief appearances prior to that and went just 1.2 innings in his first starting assignment, so we can expect a similar log on Thursday. Daniel Mengden gets the ball for the A's and he has been great this season with a 2.85 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 11 starts. He has tossed four straight quality outings with the last two resulting in 16 innings of shutout baseball. The A's are 6-1 in his last seven starts after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. 9* (964) Oakland A's |
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05-30-18 | Twins -139 v. Royals | 8-11 | Loss | -139 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. Minnesota lost last night in 14 innings on a walk-off home run by Alcides Escobar and wasted another strong effort from Kyle Gibson. The Twins are now 22-28 as they cannot get anything started with an offense that has been extremely inconsistent, but they are in a good spot tonight. Kansas City has been even worse and despite the win last night, it is only 8-19 at home which is the worst home record in all of baseball. Minnesota starting pitching has kept it afloat and one of the reasons is Fernando Romero. He has been dominant through five starts, with a 1.88 ERA that ranks third among all American League pitchers with 20+ IP. He is also averaging more than a strikeout per inning, one of five A.L. starters to hit that. Kansas City counters with Brad Keller who has been solid out of the bullpen but will be making his first career start tonight. He will likely be on a pitch count and the Royals bullpen has been awful with a 5.55 ERA taking the Keller numbers out. 9* (923) Minnesota Twins |
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05-30-18 | Cubs v. Pirates +117 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 117 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The Cubs have won the first two games of this series as they go for the three-game sweep tonight as road favorites for the second straight night. Chicago is playing better after a slow start to the season but are not in a good position tonight. The Pirates have been going the other way as they have lost four straight games and nine of their last 11 to fall six games behind the Brewers in the National League Central. Joe Musgrove will be making his second start of the season after a spectacular opening start where he allowed no runs on five hits and no walks in seven innings against the Cardinals. The Cubs hand the ball to Kyle Hendricks who is also coming off a solid effort last time out at home against the Giants. He has struggled on the road with a 4.71 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in four starts with Chicago losing three of those. The Cubs are 1-5 in his last six starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (906) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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05-30-18 | Astros +170 v. Yankees | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. Houston lost a heartbreaker last night as it blew a 5-3 ninth inning lead and eventually lost on a walk-off single in the tenth inning. The Astros should be motivated to get that back tonight and they not only come in as a rare underdog, they are the biggest underdog they have been all season and by a lot. New York still trails Boston by two games in the American League East and it has been an inconsistent ending to the month as the Yankees are just 8-7 over their last 15 games. They are huge favorites over a team with the third best record in the league because of Luis Severino who has been sensational. New York has lost only one of his starts as he has a 2.28 ERA and 1.00 WHIP but there is clear value on the other side with Dallas Keuchel. He has been consistent with seven quality outings in his 11 starts including five of six on the road and he has thrived at Yankee Stadium with a 1.61 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in four career starts. 9* (919) Houston Astros |
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05-29-18 | Cardinals +103 v. Brewers | Top | 6-1 | Win | 103 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. Milwaukee took the opener of this series yesterday to make it four straight wins, but we expect the Cardinals to bounce back tonight and even up the series. The Brewers remain 4.5 games ahead of the Cubs in the National League Central and increased their lead to five games over the Cardinals. St. Louis is now 2-2 on this current roadtrip and it is still a game over .500 on the road for the season. The starting pitching has been leading the way and while the offense has surprisingly struggled, the Cardinals are in a good spot tonight to break out. Zach Davies gets the ball for Milwaukee and he has been very average. He has a 4.74 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in seven starts and while his numbers are slightly better at home, the Brewers are just 1-3 in his four home games as they are giving him only 2.0 rpg of support. He has faced St. Louis four times since last season and has posted a 6.86 ERA. The Cardinals counter with Michael Wacha and since allowing four runs in 4.2 innings in his season opening start, he has allowed three runs or less in his last nine starts. He has posted three straight quality starts and since that opener, he has a 2.44 ERA in those nine games. St. Louis has won his last four starts against winning teams and it is 14-3 in his last 17 starts during the second game of the series. 10* (955) St. Louis Cardinals |
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05-27-18 | Angels v. Yankees -150 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK YANKEES for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. Typically, we avoid public plays like this and the Yankees are going to be a very public play today, but the situation and setup are ideal while we are getting a very reasonable moneyline price to back it up. The Yankees got crushed yesterday 11-4 to make it three losses in their last four games and they now trail the Red Sox by two games in the American League East. They have been dominant at home this season and going back they are 39-12 in their last 51 home games. The Angels have cooled off after a hot start as they are now 4.5 games behind the Astros in the American League West. They will face Masahiro Tanaka who has pitched better than what his 4.95 ERA indicates as he has a 1.10 WHIP through 10 starts. The Angels are 0-5 in their last five games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15 while the Yankees are 7-0 in his last seven starts after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Additionally, Tanaka has a 1.60 ERA in five career starts against the Angels, all quality outings. Garrett Richards is having a solid season as well, but he squares off against a nemesis as he is 0-4 with an 8.10 ERA in six games against the Yankees. New York falls into a great value situation where we play on American League favorites with a moneyline of -125 to -175 that are averaging 5.1 or more rpg and with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.50 or better. This situation is 36-9 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (964) New York Yankees |
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05-26-18 | Mets v. Brewers -141 | Top | 6-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. Milwaukee is playing some of the best baseball in the league as it has won 16 of its last 23 games including a win last night over Noah Syndergaard. The Brewers kept their three-game lead over the Pirates in the National League Central intact with the victory while improving their record to 4-1 on the current homestand. Going back, the Brewers have won 11 of their last 15 home games. The Mets have dropped three of their last four games but remain just three games behind the Braves in the National League East. It has been a struggle since their 11-1 start and those struggles have mostly been on offense as the starting pitching remains strong. That is not the case today however as New York trots out Jason Vargas for his fifth start of the season. He is coming off his best outing of the season where he allowed no runs on two hits in five innings against the Marlins. It was bad prior to that however as he posted a 13.86 ERA in his first three starts so he is lucky to even still have a job. Chase Anderson counters for the Brewers who has been solid this season with a 3.86 ERA and 1.13 WHIP through nine starts. He is coming off a quality outing in his last starts and going back, the Brewers are 6-0 in his last six starts following a quality performance in his last start. Meanwhile, the Mets are 10-24 in their last 34 games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15. 9* (904) Milwaukee Brewers |
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05-25-18 | Cardinals v. Pirates -121 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. The Pirates head back home following a 1-2 series in Cincinnati and they remain three games behind Milwaukee in the National League Central. The road has been a struggle for Pittsburgh as it is a game under .500 but the Pirates have won 10 of their last 14 home games. St. Louis also lost two of three in its most recent series at home against the Royals and it is also three games out of first place in the division. The Cardinals have been decent on the road, but they are 1-5 in their last six road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The Pirates will get their first look at the five-man rotation they envisioned entering Spring Training. Though Joe Musgrove spent most of last season in the Astros bullpen, Pittsburgh viewed him as a starter from the moment he joined the organization. He landed on the disabled list with a right shoulder strain and in four rehab starts, he showed why he is a former top-100 prospect. He allowed just 17 hits, a home run, walked a pair, and struck out 17 in 17.2 innings. He will be on no pitch count restriction. The Cardinals turn to John Gant who has made two starts and both have been average. He started the season in the bullpen and in three relief appearances, he posted a 2.35 ERA but in the two starts, he has a 6.52 ERA and both of those were at home, so this marks his first road start of the season. 10* (954) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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05-24-18 | Astros v. Indians +121 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. This is the first game of a four-game series between Cleveland and Houston that features four incredible pitching matchups. The Astros took two of three at home against the Indians last weekend and followed that up with a two-game sweep of the Giants to start this week. Houston is 32-18, has a two-game lead over Seattle in the American League West and comes in as a road favorite which is fair considering its solid road record. Cleveland is also coming off a two-game sweep over the Cubs and is now back over .500 for the season. The Indians have struggled on the road despite the two wins in Chicago but are 13-9 at home and this has been a great situation going back as the Indians are 10-4 in their last 14 home games following a road trip of seven or more days. This is a rematch of the series opener last weekend as Mike Clevinger tossed a quality start but was outdueled by Charlie Morton. Clevinger has a 2.87 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in nine starts with six of those being quality outings including four in a row. He has allowed more than three runs only twice and going back, the Indians are 11-2 in his last 13 starts after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Morton has been even better as his career resurgence continues and he too is a reason the Astros are the road chalk here. He has made only two starts on the road with the last coming in Arizona which has scored two runs or less in 11 of its last 13 games. 10* (912) Cleveland Indians |
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05-23-18 | Braves v. Phillies -116 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The National League East is shaping up to be a great race and two teams involved square off for the series finale tonight. The Braves won last night to regain their 1.5-game lead over Philadelphia and they have taken seven of the first 11 meetings this season. Atlanta improved to 18-9 on the road which is the best road record in the National League but going against that is doable as it keeps the price down. We won with the Phillies in this series opener behind a solid pitching performance from Nick Pivetta and we are expecting another similar outcome tonight. Philadelphia is 6-2 in its last eight home games and it is 17-7 on the season and that .708 winning percentage is second best in all of baseball behind the Yankees. The Phillies are 8-2 in their last 10 games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Jake Arietta gets the ball for Philadelphia and he has been great in his first season with the Phillies as he has a 2.82 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in eight starts. He has allowed two runs or less in seven of those games and while the lone poor outing was against the Marlins, it was on the road. His home 1.07 ERA and home 0.83 WHIP are two of the best numbers in baseball. Atlanta counters with Luiz Gohara who is making his first start of the season after logging seven innings in the bullpen. He made five starts last September and was average with a 4.91 ERA and while he did have a quality outing against the Phillies, he got the loss and the Phillies are now 14-3 in their last 17 home games against left-handed starters. 10* (956) Philadelphia Phillies |
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05-22-18 | Tigers +145 v. Twins | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Twins took the opener of this series last night which made it two straight wins following a 1-4 start to their homestand and a 1-5 run overall. It has not been the start to the season Minnesota envisioned as it sits three games under .500 but it is just a game behind Cleveland in the American League Central as the Indians have been unable to get anything going. The Twins are 3-7 in their last 10 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Detroit has lost four straight games but because of the lackluster division, it is only three games behind Cleveland so there is plenty of motivation to get things turned around. The Tigers have struggled on the road but have a significant pitching advantage here, yet the price is falsely showing that to favor the Twins. Matthew Boyd gets the ball for the Tigers and he has quietly put together a solid season. He leads the team in ERA and WHIP at 3.19 and 1.06 respectively though eight starts and he has actually pitched better than those numbers reflect as six of his eight starts have been quality outings including four where he has allowed just one earned run. Minnesota has been one of his favorite targets as in his career where he has made more than three starts against a team, his best numbers are against the Twins where he has a 3.98 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 11 outings. Minnesota turns to Lance Lynn who was brought in to help stabilize an inconsistent rotation and he has made it worse. In eight starts, he has tossed only one quality outing and that was against the White Sox, the worst team in baseball. Overall, he has a 7.47 ERA and 2.04 WHIP, and the Twins are winless in his three home starts. 9* (921) Detroit Tigers |
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05-22-18 | Red Sox v. Rays +211 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Boston took the final two games against the Orioles over the weekend to remain a half-game behind the Yankees in the American League East. The Red Sox have been one of the best road teams in baseball but with that comes a price and they are just 1-4 in their last five series openers. Tampa Bay has been plying much better of late as after a 4-13 start to the season, it has gone 18-10 over its last 28 games. The Rays did lose their series finale against the Angels but closed their roadtrip on a 6-1 run and going bac, they are 8-3 in their last 11 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Jake Faria has the biggest home/road split differential in baseball in terms of ERA and WHIP as he possesses n 8.14 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in five road starts but he has a 1.74 ERA and 1.02 in four home starts. Those road numbers have ballooned his numbers, but he has not been consistently poor on the road as two starts have been the difference and in his other seven outings, he has a 2.65 ERA. One of those bad games came at Boston where he allowed eight runs on just 1.2 innings but that is not a concern here as he shut down the Red Sox in two career home starts. Chris Sale is the story here and why this price is so big, but he is overpriced. He has solid numbers as usual as he has not allowed more than three runs in any of his 10 starts but he has only four wins and has been the least profitable pitcher in the rotation. The Red Sox are just 3-3 in his six road starts and the Rays have won four of their last five games against left-handed starters. 9* (916) Tampa Bay Rays |
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05-22-18 | Angels v. Blue Jays -101 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. After a scorching start to the season, it has been a rough month for the Blue Jays as they are 4-12 over their last 16 games. They just got swept in four games against Oakland at home where they have fallen four games under .500 as they continue to rely on their strong bullpen. The Angels are in a funk as well, albeit not as lengthy, as they have lost five of their last six games and they are coming off a disappointing 4-7 homestand. Los Angeles trails the Astros by 3.5 games in the American League West after leading throughout most of the early season. The Angels are 8-21 in their last 29 games following an off day. J.A. Happ gets the ball for Toronto and he is coming off his best start of the season as he allowed just two hits and no runs in seven innings while striking out 10 and walking none against the Mets. He has had only one bad start and taking that game against the Mariners out of the equation, he has a 3.14 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in his other eight starts with Toronto going 6-2 in those games. The Angels counter with Garrett Richards who is having a solid season as well with a 3.47 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in nine starts. However, only three of those starts have been quality outings including one of four on the road. The Angels are 0-7 in his last seven starts when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams that are hitting .190 or worse over their last five games going up against an opponent that is hitting .225 or worse over its last 15 games. This situation is 42-17 (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (914) Toronto Blue Jays |
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05-21-18 | Braves v. Phillies -114 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Phillies closed their roadtrip with a 5-1 loss in St. Louis but finished 3-2 overall and look to gain ground on the Braves in the National League East where they are 1.5 games out of first place. Rhys Hoskins hit a home run yesterday, one of just two hits for Philadelphia and that puts it into a great situation explained later. Additionally, the Phillies are 7-2 in their last nine games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Atlanta took two of three against the Marlins to conclude a 3-2 homestand including a 10-9 win yesterday where they rallied from an 8-2 deficit and scored six runs in the bottom of the ninth inning. That certainly is a momentum-builder for the Braves, but it can also be considered a letdown opportunity going into today. While the Braves are 17-8 on the road, the Phillies are 16-6 at home including wins in five of their last six. Nick Pivetta gets the ball for the Phillies and with the exception of one poor outing against the Nationals, he has been great. He has a 3.72 ERA and 1.13 WHIP through nine starts and those numbers are better at home where he possesses a 2.48 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in five starts. Atlanta counters with Mike Foltynewicz who has a 2.87 ERA but his WHIP of 1.34 is a concern as his control is very spotty. His 24 walks are twice as much as Pivetta in the same amount of innings. The Braves are 3-13 in Foltynewicz' last 16 starts while the Phillies are 13-3 in Pivetta's last 16 starts. Here, we play on home teams after a game where they had two or less hits, starting a pitcher who walked one or fewer hitters each of his last two outings. This situation is 33-10 (76.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (954) Philadelphia Phillies |