On Thursday the afternoon Bowl play in the Military bowl is on Bowling Green. Game 217 at 3;00 eastern The Falcons have a solid defense which allows less than 300 yards per game. They qualify in both subsets of our rushing dog system and project to at the very least cover in the computer Simulations. MAC Bowlers off a win vs teams who win 60% or more of their games on the season have covered 10 of the last 13. There is also a solid system that plays against San Jose St here that pertains to favorites off 2 or more wins and cover with the last win a revenge win. San Jose is 5-21 off a bye and 0-3 ats most recently in that role. Neutral Site WAC Favorites have historically been bad investments. Now for a super system to top it off. We want to play against favorites from -1.5 to -8.5 from 12-22 on with less than 43 days rest that are off 3+ wins and not off a spread loss of 8 or more, vs an opponent that is not off a shutout win. Look for Bowling Green To keep this one close. Take the 7.5 points.

On Wednesday the Little Caesars Bowl selection is on the Western Kentucky Hiltoppers. Game 216 at 7:30 eastern. WKU is making their first bowl appearance and has a huge defensive edge by over 100 yards, which qualifies then in a dog system we use. They are also the spread choice when applies to the Bowl Simulation which has cashed 15 of the last 18 bowls. WKU Has the rushing edge too both on offense and defense. Central Michigan has been here for Little Caesars bowls before losing a couple of close ones. However they are 2-13 ats as a dog the last 2 years and 0-5 vs fellow Bowl teams this season. When playing a winning team that have lost 12 straight with just 2 spread wins. Teams that are 6-6 and off a spread win of 10 or more have failed to cover 11 of the last 15 times. MAC Teams that are marginal winng teams have lost 7 of the 8 to the spread in bowl games. WKU is 6-0 ats in non home games and should get the win and cover tonight.



On Wednesday the NBA Power System Play is on the Indiana Pacers. Game 704 at 7:05 eastern. The Pacers fit a solid system here tonight that plays on home favorites with 3 days of rest that scored 90 or less as a road favorite in their last game, vs an opponent that was a home favorite and the total is higher than 165 in the game. These short home favorites have won and covered every time since 1995. The Bulls just flat out didn't show up on Christmas getting shelled at home by the Rockets. That loss sets them up in this system. The Bulls are not good when they have revenge either losing 6 of 7 in that role. They lost earlier this season 80-72 vs the Pacers. Indiana does not disappoint as a favorite as they are 14-3 straight up with 13 spread wins. They are also 5-1 after scoring 85 or less points and have won both times when the total is 170 to 180. Look for the Pacers to take down the Bulls.

On Monday Christmas Eve in the Hawaii bowl system Play is to play over the total. Rotation numbers 213/214 at 8:00 eastern. This game fits a solid totals system that is 29-7 to the over and has a solid 18-2 subset. We want to play the over if the posted total is 56.5 to 63 and both teams average between 21-28 points after scoring 31 or more in 3 straight games. SMU has played over the last 2 times vs Mountan West Conference teams and 3 of 4 off a win. Fresno has played over 5 straight with rest, 9 of 13 in Bowl games and 7 of 9 off 2+ wins. Both teams should move the ball well in this one, especially Fresno St. Look for this one to go over. Fresno has covered in their last 12 wins and SMU is 0-15 ats when they lose. I cant see SMU winning this one so Fresno should get the wind and cover as they also project to cover in the computer simulations.

On Sunday the NFC West Sunday night Power Side is on San Francisco. Game 129 at 8:30 eastern. Seattle is the first team since 1950 to score 50 or more back to back. Now they have to face the Vaunted Niners defense which allowed over 30 points in a win in New England. Teams teams with the line being 3 points to pick either way that scored 50 or more last week have covered just once long term. San Francisco has covered 7 straight when they and their opponent are both off back to back wins and covers. Coach Carrol is 0-8 ats if favored vs winning teams off a win by 2 or more touchdowns, and 1-7 vs an opponent off 2 or more wins and covers. The Niners are 5-0 as dogs off a non conference dog win. So this tell me there is no bounce off the Patriots win. The 49ers are 14-0 ATS when they are off a Sunday road game in which they allowed more than 21 points. The Seahawks are 1-20 ATS when they are off a game as a favorite of more than four points in which they benefited from a positive takeaway margin. Look for San Francisco to win this one.

On Sunday the Late afternoon system Play is on Baltimore. Game 122 at 4:25 eastern Road teams like the Giants at +3 to -3 are winless up and to the spread since 1989 if they scored 9 or less on the road, vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a home dog. Baltimore getting points at home looks solid as they will play much better than they did last week vs Denver when they were hurt badly by a late first half turnover td that made the score 17-0 as opposed to 10-3 or 10-7. They may have Ray Lewis back too. Computer simulations have them winning outright. Look for Baltimore +3 to bounce back and get the cash here today.

On Sunday the road warrior is on San Diego. Game 131 at 1:00 eastern. Many feel the Chargers have quit after they bounced last week at home vs Carolina, prior to a huge 7 point dog win in Pittsburgh. Their offense should bounce back here and the Jets have not been nearly as good on defense vs Seasoned quarterbacks as they have been against the Jx, Az, and Tennessees of the world. We also want to play on road dogs of 6 or less off a home favored loss and prior road dog win, if they lost to the spread by 15 or more last out. That's because the road warriors are a solid 22-3 ats since 1980, and 6-0 the last 9 years. The Jets are a mess, even with Mcelroy over Sanchez they may struggle. The Chargers are coming early into the eastern time zone where west coast teams have historically struggle. However this is the 3rd time for the Chargers and is much easier to handle the more seasonal occurrences. The Chargers are 15-1 ATS after week 13 when they allowed more than 20 points in their previous game.Take San Diego.

On Sunday the NFL Multi System Super side is on Dallas. Game 116 at 1:00 eastern. We get one of the hottest teams in the league at under a field goal here and they apply to Multiple systems here today. Here we go. Most of these play against the Saints. Play against game 15 road teams that are home next week and played home last week, vs an opponent that won by 10 or less and is playing their last home. Play against non division road dogs of less than 5 off a home favored shutout covers as they are 0-11 straight up and 1-10 ats since 1980. The Saints actually fit a variety of systems that play against shutout winners in their last game. Their defense should not play nearly as well this week. The Saints are 0-13 ATS (when they are off a game in which they held their opponent to at least ten points fewer than their season average and had fewer than three sacks and allowed an average of ten yards per completion or less. Dallas wins and covers today.




On Sunday the Wonder dog system play is on Oakland. Game 105 at 1:00 eastern. The Raiders finally put together a nice win and played well on defense getting a shutout. There is a great 32-4 system they apply to here. We want to play on visitors getting 8 or more points off win if both teams are under.500. These teams are a solid 21-15 straight up as well as covering 32 of 36. Carolina may bounce after spring the upset dog win last week in San Diego. The Raiders are 15-0 ATS after a regulation game in which they had 34-plus minutes of possession time and least three sacks, as long as they did not rush for 250-plus yards. Carolina is 1-8 ats off a dog win vs non conference teams Oakland plus 8.5 here.




On Sunday the road warrior is on San Diego. Game 131 at 1:00 eastern. Many feel the Chargers have quit after they bounced last week at home vs Carolina, prior to a huge 7 point dog win in Pittsburgh. Their offense should bounce back here and the Jets have not been nearly as good on defense vs Seasoned quarterbacks as they have been against the Jx, Az, and Tennessees of the world. We also want to play on road dogs of 6 or less off a home favored loss and prior road dog win, if they lost to the spread by 15 or more last out. That's because the road warriors are a solid 22-3 ats since 1980, and 6-0 the last 9 years. The Jets are a mess, even with Mcelroy over Sanchez they may struggle. The Chargers are coming early into the eastern time zone where west coast teams have historically struggle. However this is the 3rd time for the Chargers and is much easier to handle the more seasonal occurrences. The Chargers are 15-1 ATS after week 13 when they allowed more than 20 points in their previous game.Take San Diego.

On Sunday the NFL Multi System Super side is on Dallas. Game 116 at 1:00 eastern. We get one of the hottest teams in the league at under a field goal here and they apply to Multiple systems here today. Here we go. Most of these play against the Saints. Play against game 15 road teams that are home next week and played home last week, vs an opponent that won by 10 or less and is playing their last home. Play against non division road dogs of less than 5 off a home favored shutout covers as they are 0-11 straight up and 1-10 ats since 1980. The Saints actually fit a variety of systems that play against shutout winners in their last game. Their defense should not play nearly as well this week. The Saints are 0-13 ATS (when they are off a game in which they held their opponent to at least ten points fewer than their season average and had fewer than three sacks and allowed an average of ten yards per completion or less. Dallas wins and covers today.




On Sunday the Wonder dog system play is on Oakland. Game 105 at 1:00 eastern. The Raiders finally put together a nice win and played well on defense getting a shutout. There is a great 32-4 system they apply to here. We want to play on visitors getting 8 or more points off win if both teams are under.500. These teams are a solid 21-15 straight up as well as covering 32 of 36. Carolina may bounce after spring the upset dog win last week in San Diego. The Raiders are 15-0 ATS after a regulation game in which they had 34-plus minutes of possession time and least three sacks, as long as they did not rush for 250-plus yards. Carolina is 1-8 ats off a dog win vs non conference teams Oakland plus 8.5 here.




On Sunday the road warrior is on San Diego. Game 131 at 1:00 eastern. Many feel the Chargers have quit after they bounced last week at home vs Carolina, prior to a huge 7 point dog win in Pittsburgh. Their offense should bounce back here and the Jets have not been nearly as good on defense vs Seasoned quarterbacks as they have been against the Jx, Az, and Tennessees of the world. We also want to play on road dogs of 6 or less off a home favored loss and prior road dog win, if they lost to the spread by 15 or more last out. That's because the road warriors are a solid 22-3 ats since 1980, and 6-0 the last 9 years. The Jets are a mess, even with Mcelroy over Sanchez they may struggle. The Chargers are coming early into the eastern time zone where west coast teams have historically struggle. However this is the 3rd time for the Chargers and is much easier to handle the more seasonal occurrences. The Chargers are 15-1 ATS after week 13 when they allowed more than 20 points in their previous game.Take San Diego.

On Sunday the 3 game Power Teaser for 10 points is Denver to -2. Game 125 at 4:05 eastern. Green Bay. Game 104 at 1:00 eastern to -2.5 and Baltimore. Game 122 at 1:00 eastern.


For Denver. The Broncos are 13-2 ATS vs a team with fewer wins on the season when they won last week. They fit a solid system that plays on home favorites of 10.5 to 15 that are off back to back road favorite wins and covers. These teams are 23-0 and 17-5-1 since 1980.The Browns are 0-12 ATS when they are off a 16-plus point ATS loss vs a non-divisional opponent.


For Green Bay. The Packers fit a last home game system vs teams in their last road game. Add in the fact that teams in their final regular season home game off 3+ wins and covered vs a Team under .699 and also off a win and cover are 15-3 ats. The Packers at -2.5 in teaser, that just wrong, they may win by 20.




For Baltimore. Road teams like the Giants at +3 to -3 are 0-5 straight up and to the spread since 1989 if they scored 9 or less on the road, vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a home dog. Baltimore getting over 12 at home looks solid as they will play much better than they did last week vs Denver when they were hurt badly by a late first half turnover td that made the score 17-0 as opposed to 10-3 or 10-7. They may have Ray Lewis back too. Computer simulations have them winning outright.

On Saturday the NFL Triple system Super Side is on Detroit. Game 102 at 8:30 eastern. The Lions have several solid indicators going for them tonight. Here we go. We want to play on Saturday dogs that are off a straight up loss as a favorite, vs an opponent that comes in off an ats win by more than a touchdown. The last 33 years these teams have covered 92% of the time. Atlanta was "Salty", the phrase M.Ryan used to describe the teams attitude last week vs the Giants, and we had them big as they bounced back from a bad loss to Carolina and shutout the Giants 34-0. That win sets them up in a negative system that pertains to late season non divisional road teams off a shutout win. These road teams have failed 94% of the time when their opponent had less than 100 yards rushing. Detroit has lost their last 3 home games, all in a row and all by 4 or less points. The Lions are 11-0 ATS vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a game in which they suffered an ATS loss of more than 21 points and they scored ten points or less..The Falcons are 1-15 ATS when they are off a game in which the total was at least 44 points and they scored at least 8.5 points more than their season average. The Falcons are also 0-7 ats on Saturday off a win and the Lions have covered 8 of the last 9 as dogs with revenge in December if their opponent won by 10 or more in their last game. The Lions lost here last season and should be motivated for this one as game 15 home dogs off back to back losses are 14-2 ats if they played their final road game last week. Take the 4-5 points with Detroit. 6* NFC WEST GAME OF THE YEAR GOES SUNDAY

On Saturday the Las Vegas Bowl Power System Play is on Washington. Game 211 at 3:50 eastern. Washington fits one of My favorite Bowl system here that dates to 1981 and plays on certain bowl dogs off a straight up favored loss vs an opponent with at least one loss, Like Boise, On the season if that opponent is off 2 or more wins and won their last game by 6 or more, which Boise did 27-21 over Nevada. A secondary system plays against favorites in this range from December 22nd on with less than 43 days rest, if they are off 3 wins and not an ats loss of 8 or more, vs an opponent like Washington that is NOT off a shutout win. PAC 12 Dogs off a loss in Bowl have been a tremendous long term money maker. The Cougars are 5-1 ats off a bye week and have a better Sagarin number at 36 than Boise does at 41. They have played the 19 toughest schedule in the country and have split in games vs top 10 teams. Boise has a 101st ranked Schedule and has not faced anyone in the top 40. We will back Washington with the points in this one based on the systems and angles.

On Saturday at high noon we have a Double Bowl Power Pack. The Total is on the Over in the ULLAF-East Carolina game. Rotation numbers 209/210 at 12 noon eastern. This game fits a solid Bowl system I use that pertains to teams that both average over 400 yards on offense and allow over 400 yards on defense. ECU has flown over in 7 of 10 vs winning teams and 11 of 15 off a conference win. The Cajuns have flown over in 7 of 10 with rest and 7 of 10 vs wining teams. In Non conference games they have played over in 9 of 11. Our side in this one is on East Carolina plus the points as they fit 2 different Computer Simulation systems. Sun Belt favorites are 0-5 vs teams that are .667 or better. Conference USA Dogs have covered 5 of 6 vs Sun Belters. Bowl favorites of 8 or less playing in the same bowl are a disinterested 11-22 ats, including 5-16 ats off a win of 10 or more if they are over .500 and allow more than 15 points per game. Look for East Carolina to Cover in a high scoring game. Take East Carolina and the Over.

On Friday the Beef O-Brady Bowl winner is on UCF. Game 208 at 7:35 eastern. UCF qualifies in a Computer Simulation Indicator that we use that has cashed 13 straight neutral field bowl games. going back to last season. We note that UCF is 7-0 at night and also fits another indicator that pertains to teams in bowl game that own the better defense, which UCF does by nearly 80 yards. We also note that playing against bowl favorites or dogs of less than 14 have cashed over 80% the last 5 years if they allow 30 or more points per game, which Ball. St does this season. MAC Conference bowl dogs have struggled and Toledo followed suit on Saturday. UCF has won 14 of 18 vs MAC Teams and Ball. St has lost the last 3 vs Conference USA Teams. The Cardinals have allowed 400+ yards in nine of 12 games. Ball St has lost the last 5 bowl games, Conference USA has been solid when their teams are bowl favorites and if you can pick the winner of these games, chances are the spread will cash too. UCF has put up over 30 points in 9 of 13 this seasons, and may win this one easier than expected. Favorites have covered three of previous four O'Brady games Take Central Florida. BUY the half point if you get 7.5

On Thursday the Poinsettia Bowl Selection is on the San Diego St Aztecs. Game 206 at 8:00 eastern. Were thrilled to see the line moving up in this one. Normally we would use Our Neutral sets in our system library. However since this is a home game for San Diego St we will use our home Bowler systems and The Aztecs fit 3 different variations here tonight. Bowl home dogs off a win vs been solid investment and Home Teams in Bowl game that are not dogs of 6 or more have been solid Money makers as well. Independent teams like BYU have failed to cover 90% of the time vs an opponent off a double digit win. BYU is 0-3 ats as a favorite from -3.5 to -10 and has lost 3 of 4 vs winning teams. The Aztecs have won 3 of 4 vs winning teams, 18 of 22 off a conference game including 7 straight wins. The Aztecs rank 28th in the nation in scoring at 35.1 points per game. Most of their damage has come on the ground and they rank 16th with 229.2 rushing yards per game. BYU Has a defensive edge here and the offenses are even. However San Diego St has won 6 of 7 here and BYU has lost 4 of 6 on the road. The Aztecs went on the road on the Blue Turf and won in Boise St as a 16 point dog. BYU lost there 7-6. Dogs have covered 4 of the last 5 in this bowl. Mountain West Conference Home dogs are 3-0 ats this season. BYU is 0-6 ats off a win. We will back the dog on a 7 game win streak here in this one and take the Points with San Diego St. See adddtional trends below.


Aztecs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Aztecs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Aztecs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Aztecs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Aztecs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Aztecs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. INDEP.


Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Cougars are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Cougars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

On Monday the NFL Power System Play is on the Tennessee Titans. Game 332 at 8:40 eastern This game fits a 100% system that plays against the Jet and any road dog of 3 or less on Monday Night football that comes in off a road favored win. This one has cashed all 10 times Long term. Eve better the home team is winning by an average 28-11 score in games where the line is a basic Pick. Much Like Our Atlanta Winner on Sunday we simply cannot use all the spread trends that apply in a game with low of a line. The Jets have controlled the series of late. However can we really back a team that has thrown for a measly 216 yards the past 2 weeks. A team that has a Qb in Sanchez that has regressed to the point where they must run the ball and not ask him to make tough throws to avoid all the turnovers he commits. How bad has Sanchez become. Just look at what the Washington rookie Qb Cousins was able to do against a solid defense on the road in Cleveland on Sunday. Sanchez may not even be one of the top backups in this league at this point. The Jets defense has kept them hanging around at 6-7. The Jets have trailed two terrible teams 3-0 at the half the last 2 weeks before luckily coming back to win. The Titans have had more yardage than their opponents the last 4 weeks and have been playing much tougher teams all season, should they get the lead the could be off to the races as the Jets will commit turnovers trying to catch up. The Titans have won the last 3 on Monday night the Jets have lost 6 of 7 as a dog. The Titans are 5-1 straight up at home when the total is 38.5 to 42. The Jets have a decent defense that cant be expected to shut down teams every week and the Titans have a much better offense than Arizona and Jacksonville. Look for the Titans to win this one here tonight.

On Sunday night the NFL Totals Play is on the Under in the San Francisco at New England Game . Rotation numbers 329/330 at 8:30 eastern. This game fits a totals system that has played to the under every time the last 10 years and goes like this. Play the under for home teams with a total of 50 or less if they are off a home favored win and scored 42 or more points, vs an opponent like the Niners that scored 21 or more at home in their last game. The Niners have stayed under in 4 of 5 vs winning teams and 2 of 3 here in the series. When they are non conference Dogs of 4 or more they have played under in 8 straight. They have played under in 7 of 8 before games vs Seattle. The Patriots have have a tougher time scoring vs this Vaunted San Francisco Defense. Take the Under in this one.

On Sunday the Dog with Bite is on Buffalo. Game 322 at 4:05 eastern. Seattle destroyed Arizona 58-0 on Sunday and set up a Rare system that has cashed 80% of the time the last 33 years by simply playing against teams off wins of more than 53 points. Seattle in general is a miserable 1-17 to the spread off an ats win of 21 or more. Also of note is that non divisional teams that have a win percentage of .875 or less off a home shutout win of 13 or more have failed to cover 9 of 10 times vs an opponent that lost as a straight up favorite in their last game. The Bills blew it late at home vs the Rams and now travel to Canada for this one. Rookie quarterbacks like Seattles Russell Wilson have fared much better as a dog than a favorite this season. The Seahawks are 0-20 ats when they are off a game as a favorite of more than four points in which they benefited from a positive takeaway margin. Seattle has a bit of a better defense by around 40+ yards but on offense these two are even. Take the points with Buffalo.




On Sunday the Non conference Power Play is on Dallas. Game 326 at 4:25 eastern. This game applies to a solid system that plays on home dogs of 7 or less with a winning record off a road dog win vs an opponent that was at home in their last game. This system has cashed 32 of 36 times long term. Dallas stole one last week in Cincy and has Momentum in this one. The Steelers were burnt at home vs San Diego due to special teams and a basic bounce in focus off the big road dog win in Baltimore 2 weeks ago. We also note that another fine variation of the home dog of a road dog win scenario is to simply use home dogs that plays on turf. The Cowboys were an early 1 point favorite and are now taking points in this one. Look for Dallas to cover their first home game this season as they are getting hot at the right time.




On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Under in the Carolina at San Diego game. Rotation numbers 319/320 at 4;05 eastern.. We want to play the under for home teams that scored 28 or more as a road dog, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home dog and passed for 250+ yards. These games have flown under 15 of 17 times the past 23 years. The Panthers have gone under every time as a road dog of 3 or less and the Chargers 22 of 31 times as a home favorite of 3 or less. Look for a lower than expected score in this one. Take the under,

On Sunday the Dog with Bite is on Buffalo. Game 322 at 4:05 eastern. Seattle destroyed Arizona 58-0 on Sunday and set up a Rare system that has cashed 80% of the time the last 33 years by simply playing against teams off wins of more than 53 points. Seattle in general is a miserable 1-17 to the spread off an ats win of 21 or more. Also of note is that non divisional teams that have a win percentage of .875 or less off a home shutout win of 13 or more have failed to cover 9 of 10 times vs an opponent that lost as a straight up favorite in their last game. The Bills blew it late at home vs the Rams and now travel to Canada for this one. Rookie quarterbacks like Seattles Russell Wilson have fared much better as a dog than a favorite this season. The Seahawks are 0-20 ats when they are off a game as a favorite of more than four points in which they benefited from a positive takeaway margin. Seattle has a bit of a better defense by around 40+ yards but on offense these two are even. Take the points with Buffalo.




On Sunday the Non conference Power Play is on Dallas. Game 326 at 4:25 eastern. This game applies to a solid system that plays on home dogs of 7 or less with a winning record off a road dog win vs an opponent that was at home in their last game. This system has cashed 32 of 36 times long term. Dallas stole one last week in Cincy and has Momentum in this one. The Steelers were burnt at home vs San Diego due to special teams and a basic bounce in focus off the big road dog win in Baltimore 2 weeks ago. We also note that another fine variation of the home dog of a road dog win scenario is to simply use home dogs that plays on turf. The Cowboys were an early 1 point favorite and are now taking points in this one. Look for Dallas to cover their first home game this season as they are getting hot at the right time.




On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Under in the Carolina at San Diego game. Rotation numbers 319/320 at 4;05 eastern.. We want to play the under for home teams that scored 28 or more as a road dog, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home dog and passed for 250+ yards. These games have flown under 15 of 17 times the past 23 years. The Panthers have gone under every time as a road dog of 3 or less and the Chargers 22 of 31 times as a home favorite of 3 or less. Look for a lower than expected score in this one. Take the under,

On Sunday the Dog with Bite is on Buffalo. Game 322 at 4:05 eastern. Seattle destroyed Arizona 58-0 on Sunday and set up a Rare system that has cashed 80% of the time the last 33 years by simply playing against teams off wins of more than 53 points. Seattle in general is a miserable 1-17 to the spread off an ats win of 21 or more. Also of note is that non divisional teams that have a win percentage of .875 or less off a home shutout win of 13 or more have failed to cover 9 of 10 times vs an opponent that lost as a straight up favorite in their last game. The Bills blew it late at home vs the Rams and now travel to Canada for this one. Rookie quarterbacks like Seattles Russell Wilson have fared much better as a dog than a favorite this season. The Seahawks are 0-20 ats when they are off a game as a favorite of more than four points in which they benefited from a positive takeaway margin. Seattle has a bit of a better defense by around 40+ yards but on offense these two are even. Take the points with Buffalo.




On Sunday the Non conference Power Play is on Dallas. Game 326 at 4:25 eastern. This game applies to a solid system that plays on home dogs of 7 or less with a winning record off a road dog win vs an opponent that was at home in their last game. This system has cashed 32 of 36 times long term. Dallas stole one last week in Cincy and has Momentum in this one. The Steelers were burnt at home vs San Diego due to special teams and a basic bounce in focus off the big road dog win in Baltimore 2 weeks ago. We also note that another fine variation of the home dog of a road dog win scenario is to simply use home dogs that plays on turf. The Cowboys were an early 1 point favorite and are now taking points in this one. Look for Dallas to cover their first home game this season as they are getting hot at the right time.




On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Under in the Carolina at San Diego game. Rotation numbers 319/320 at 4;05 eastern.. We want to play the under for home teams that scored 28 or more as a road dog, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home dog and passed for 250+ yards. These games have flown under 15 of 17 times the past 23 years. The Panthers have gone under every time as a road dog of 3 or less and the Chargers 22 of 31 times as a home favorite of 3 or less. Look for a lower than expected score in this one. Take the under,

On Sunday the NFL Play is on Baltimore. Game 316 at 1:00 eastern. The Ravens should come out with a Huge motivation here as they received a Big kick in the ass from coach Harbaugh with the firing of ling time friend and Offensive coordinator Cam Cameron. I look for Qb Flacco to have a big game here in this one against Denver. Here is why. There are Several Cutting edge Power systems in application for this game. First we want to plays against road favorites Like Denver that are off a 4+ game win streak if they lost on the road prior to the steak. Secondly we want to plays against second half road teams at +3 to -3 that are off a road win of 10 or more, another high end system. For Baltimore we want to play on home teams that scored 28 or more as a road dog in their last game, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a road favorite of 7 or more. These home teams have Never failed to cover the spread. The Ravens are 7-0 straight up and to the spread vs AFC West teams and 9-1 ats at home off an ats loss in the final 4 games of the season. The Broncos are 1-8 ats off back to back wins and covers. Peyton Manning for all his accolades has failed to cover 8 of 9 times vs winning teams in December. Denver is 0-5 straight up and to spread here in Baltimore. The Ravens are 16-1 ats when they are off a game as a dog vs an NFC opponent. Baltimore is also 10-2 ats when they are off a game in which they allowed 24-plus points and the game went over the total by double-digits. Look for Baltimore to at the very least Cover in this one in what looks like an outright win.

On Sunday the NFL Play is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 306 at 1:05 eastern. Atlanta plays this one with Revenge from last seasons 24-2 loss here in what was a shutout for their offense. They have this game circled and was perhaps the reason they were beat last week in Carolina. There are several solid indicators for this game as well. We note that the Falcons are 11-2 at home with a total of more than 40 if they had less than 50 yards rushing as a road favorite. They are 5-0 off a loss and 3-0 vs NFC East teams most recently. In tight games where the line is +3 to -3 they have won 7 of 9. They get no respect this year due to their close wins this season. However they may very well be sitting on a large performance here. The Giants are 0-4 on the road when the total is 42 or higher and they scored 42 or more in their last game, losing by an average 14 points per game in that role. In fact all road teams in this league long term are winless when the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 42 or more vs an opponent that rushed for less than 50 yards. Home teams like the Falcons here have Never lost when the total is higher than 42 and they scored 21 or less on the road with less than 50 yards rushing and 300 or more yards passing. The Falcons have been a cash machine the past few season in December vs Non division teams, cashing 8 of the last 9. The Best part of the aforementioned is that they are not based on the spread, but on straight up situations, which is what you use in game where the line is a basic pick. The DIRTY BIRDS Today.

SUNDAY 3 TEAM 10 POINT TEASER JACKSONVILLE +17.5, BUFFALO +15.5 AND KC +13


On Sunday the 3 team teaser is on Jacksonville to +17.5. Game 313 at 1:00 eastern. The Jags fit a tight system here that plays on road dogs from 7-10 in non division games if both teams enter off non division losses. Miami is off a loss to the Niners and Jacksonville to the Jets. The above system has cashed 38 of the last 44 times and many of times for us the past few seasons. The Jags are 4-1 ats on the road of late . Miami is 0-8 ats as a home favorite of 7 or more and 0-3 vs AFC South teams.The Dolphins are 1-12 ATS at home when they scored fewer points than their season average in each of their last two games. Finally the Jaguars are 9-0 ats on the road of a loss. Take the points in this interstate matchup with Jacksonville.



Buffalo +15.5. Game 322 at 4:05 eastern. Seattle destroyed Arizona 58-0 on Sunday and set up a Rare system that has cashed 80% of the time the last 33 years by simply playing against teams off wins of more than 53 points. Seattle in general is a miserable 1-17 to the spread off an ats win of 21 or more



Kansas City Chiefs +13. Game 327 at 4:25 eastern. The Chiefs have covered 15 of the last 17 times off a non division loss of 10 or more points and 11 of the last 13 on the road off a road loss. The Raiders have failed to cover 13 of the last 14 as a favorite off 2 or more losses and cant seem to get out of their own way this season.

On Saturday the Triple system Bowl side is on Toledo. Game 203 at 4:00 eastern. This game fits some nice system here today. First we want to plays against certain Bowl favorites of 8.5 or more in pre New Years day bowl games, Another solid system, we want to play on bowl dogs with rest in neutral field games that are off a home favored win, vs an opponent off a home favored win and spread loss Like Utah St. MAC Bowlers like Toledo are 11-1 straight up off a win if their win percentage is .667 or higher. Look for Toledo to keep this one close today.


On Saturday the Double Perfect NCAAB play is on Alabama. Game 547 at 4:00 eastern. VCU has lost 14 straight vs SEC Teams and things don't figure to get better here in this one as we note that the Visitor in their SEC Games has covered the last 11 times and they themselves have failed to cover the last 5 times vs this Power Conference. The Crimson have covered 8 of the last 10 times when playing off back to back losses and taking points. They are also 5-1 ats on the road when the total is 130 to 135 and have covered 3 of the last 4 vs winning trams. VCU has failed to the spread 4 of the last 5 when the total is 130 to 139.5. Look For Alabama to cash this one.

On Saturday the 5* Bowl totals System is on the Over in the Nevada at Arizona Game. Rotation numbers 201/202 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits a Solid Bowl totals system I use that pertains to teams with Offenses that average 500+ yards per game and defenses that allow 400+ yards per game. There is a subset or two that heighten this system to perfect at times and will remain for my eyes only at this juncture of the bowl season. The system takes flight particularly in games where the posted total is 70 or higher. Nevada has flown over in 3 of the last 4 vs PAC 12 Teams and should score here on a mediocre Arizona defense. The Wildcats should also light up the scoreboard against a Nevada defense that is not nearly as strong as years past. Arizona has posted overs in 8 of 9 on grass, 19 of 27 on Saturday, 4 of 5 when favored and all 4 times off a conference loss. Look for this one to go over the total.

On Thursday the NFL Super system Play is on Philadelphia and over the total. Game 302 AT 8:25 Eastern. This game fits another solid short rest system we use which has been Kicking tail again this season. We want to play on home teams on short rest that scored 21 or more as a road dog and had 250 or more yards passing with a total that was more than 40. These home teams are 12-1 ats and winning by an average 31-21 score, as these games have also played to the over at a high percentage as well. So we will back the Eagles and the over in this one. We also note that road teams with a total of 42.5 to 49 off a straight up favored loss like the Bengals have played to the over 31 of 38 times if they are .500 or better.. The Bengals are a terrible 0-6 straight up in road games when the posted total is 42.5 to 45 and 0-4 ats as favorites vs an opponent off a dog win. The Eagles are 8-0 ats as home dogs in certain situations vs an opponent that lost as a favorite. With the line moving up for Philly and the Bengals having short rest off a devastating late blown loss to Dallas we will take The Eagles and the points and the over in this one. This Sunday will be the release of the 7* NFL Game of the year + a 5* Bowl total on Saturday.

On Monday night the NFL Power System Play is on the New England Patriots. Game 134 at 8;40 eastern. This game fits an exclusive Road system that has won all 16 times since 1980. We want to play against any team in their third straight road game, Like the Texans here tonight off a win, provided they have a win percentage of .666 to .921 and they are not a favorite of 3 or more. We also note that .400 or better Monday night teams as a non division home dog or favorite of 5 or less off a win with 12+ wins last year have covered 17 of the last 22 on Monday night Football. The Patriots are 20-0 in the 2nd half since 2010 and have a +51 turnover differential in that time span. They are 6-1 ats in the first of back to back home games vs Non divisional teams and Brady is 12-2 ats on Monday night vs opponents with at least one loss. The Patriots have won and covered the last 4 Monday nighters overall and are 15-1 straight up off a division game. Both teams have won 6 straight. However this is Houston's third straight road game with no bye in between and they are 0-4 straight up and ats on the road when the total is 49 or higher and 0-4 with just 1 spread win as a road dog from +3.5 to +7. They have lost to the spread in 4 of the last 5 on Turf and will likely have their one weakness in pass defense exposed in this one. The Patriots have a way of playing up or down to the competition and will very likely play one of their best games here tonight according to computer Simulations of this game. Look for the Patriots to win and cover.

On Sunday night were Packer Backers. Game 132 at 8;30 eastern. Home favorites in this range with a total of more than 40 cashed big if they scored 21 or more as a home favorite in their last game and had 250 or more yards passing, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more at home in their last game and also had 250 or more yards passing. The average win score for these homers is 35-15, if we insist that the home team alos rushed for over 150 yards the system goes perfect and wins by over 25 points per game. Green Bay is 21-0 and 14-5-2 ats at home vs the Lions. The Packers are 3-0 ats vs division teams and have covered 3 of 4 as a home favorite in this range. Detroit blew a late lead last week to the Colts and we have to wonder where their heads are after a loss like that which was their 3rd straight home. Coach Schwarts may be out as his team has too much talent to be this far under .500. The Defense has been the main culprit as they have allowed 24 or more in their last 4 games. The Lions are 0-4 and 1-3 to the spread with revenge and 3-10 ats in the second half vs winning teams. In road games where the total is 49 or higher Detroit is 0-5 straight up and ats. Detroit may be ready to throw in the towel as they have virtually no chance at he playoffs. For those still alive in survivor pools. How do you go against a team that has lost 21 straight times at a particular venue. Last season I thought this streak could end as the Lions were a 6 point favorite here in the last game of the season and the Packers rested everyone. Rogers didn't play and they still lost. Packer backers here today no way around it.

On Sunday the Late Afternoon Dog is on Arizona. Game 129 at 4:25 eastern. This line is way out of whack here today. Arizona has lost 8 straight after starting 4-0. They would have won last week against a Pathetic Jets attack. However Coach Whisenhunt insisted on leaving rookie Qb and his deer in the head lights look on the field, costing them the game. Now he will have Skelton back and starting. Had Skelton been in last week the Cardinals may have been better than 0 for 15 on 3rd down. This game should be much closer here today. Seattle is off a big win at Chicago last out and should not be expected to now cover a double digit spread. In fact we want to play against favorites from -3.5 to -10 that have won 57 to 60% of their games in the second half the the past few seasons as they have failed to cover 40 of the last 51 times. Take Arizona to keep this one close.

On Sunday the Early 5* Power system Play is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 106 at 1:00 eastern. The Ravens are 16-0 ATS since 2002 on the road when they are off a game in which the converted less than one-third of their third-downs and punted at least three times as a favorite.They are also 10-0 ATS the week after a loss at home in which they were winning at the half.. Baltimore has been money off a favored loss and are 9-0 ats as non division dogs off an ats loss of 10 or more. Coach Harbaugh is 5-0 ats on the road off a favored loss. For technical purposes we note that road teams are PERFECT since 1989 from +3 to -3 if they scored 21 or less as a home favorite of 7 or more, vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a home dog. Need more? Washington is 1-3 ats in the series and have lost to the spread the last 7 times after facing the NY. Giants. They are also 0-7 ats at home vs an opponent off a straight up favored loss. Finally, teams off back to back dog wins have not covered the last 32+ years vs an opponent that is at least 60% of their games on the season. Take Baltimore Today.


On Sunday the Power play is on the Bengals. Game 124 at 1:00 eastern. The Bengals fit a nice system that plays on teams from +3 to -3 if they allowed 17 or less and have a solid Point differential. The system has cashed 24 of 27 times. The Bengals are 9-1 ats vs opponent that allow 61% or more pass completions. Dallas is 1-12 ats off 1 or more wins. and 1-7 off a division homer. The Bengals have covered the last 4 at home in the series and are a hot team right now. Take the Bengals

On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Chicago at Minnesota game. Rotation numbers 115/116 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits the same Short turn around system we used last week to cash 3 of 4. We want to reverse the totals result between two teams that played within a 2-3 week period. These two played under 2 Weeks ago and now their on the turf here in Minnesota. The Vikings have played over in 12 of 13 off 3 straight division games, 11 of 13 at home with division revenge, 5 of 7 as a home dog of 3 or less and 5 of 7 in the 2nd meeting vs the Bears. Chicago has gone over 5 of 5 times as a division road favorite vs an opponent with revenge, 6 of 7 after Seattle, 4 of 5 after a loss and 4 of 5 before playing the Packers. You had me at short turnaround- Take the Over in what looks like a high scoring affair.



Bonus 3 Team 10 Point Teaser. Baltimore to +12.5, San Francisco to even, SD Chargers +19

The Ravens are 10-0 ATS the week after a loss at home in which they were winning at the half.

The 49ers are 13-0 ATS since 2008 at home when they played on the road last week and they have a road game next week.

Play against teams like the Steelers as a non division favorite off a+7 or higher road dog win vs a divison rival, Chargers keep this close against a rusty Rothlisberger. Chargers 6-0 game 13

On Saturday the Military side is on Navy. Game 104 at 3:00 eastern. Navy will once again win this game. So to sit around and take the 7 points hoping Army can Cover irritates me. Navy is the better team and has covered over 75% of the time when having the better record in this one. While many will speak of the Army offense and how they are the best ranked rushing team in the country, we will say simply, they were ranked highest before the Temple game too. We saw how that one ended up. Army rushed for over 400 yards and still lost by nearly 30 points. In that game Temple rushed for over 500 yards, which brings us to an Army defense that cant stop any one and allows over 430 yards per game. Army is 9-29 ats with rest and 2-10 with just 3 spread wins vs winning teams. Navy is 6-0 with 5 spread wins in Neutral games when the total is 52 to 56.5. Army wont be able to stop Navy and they were lucky to get a cover last year losing by 6 as a 7 point dog. Back the better team here today. Take Navy

On Thursday the NFL power System play is on Oakland. Game 102 at 8:25 eastern. The Broncos are 0-17 ATS 2006 in the last 4 games of the season they are off a non-divisional opponent. Home Dogs of more than 8 have cashed 24 of the last 26 times and the Raiders have Blowout loss revenge for a 38-6 drubbing earlier in the season in Denver. The worst loss for them vs Denver in several years. The Broncos are 0-10 ats in the second half vs teams that have been outscored by 10 or more points and have failed to cover 11 of the last 13 as a division favorite of 6 or more. Oakland is 9-0 ats as a division dog off a loss. The General thinking ids that Carson Palmer and the Raiders offense will keep this one close enough to cover the spread. Take Oakland.

On Monday night the NFL Selection is on the Washington Redskins. Game 368 at 8:40 eastern. There are 3 Very strong systems that apply to this one. This is the 2nd meeting between these two this season. The first one was won by the Giants in a game where they hit a Long late 70+ yard Manning to V. Cruz touchdown pass. The Giants have struggled with Washington of late and are laying 3 points in this one. We note that That Washington is 10-0 ats vs teams that allow 6+ yards per play in the second half of the season. They have covered 2 of 3 vs winning teams this season and are 9-0 ats when playing off 2 or more wins vs an opponent off a win. They have covered in 4 of the last 5 in this series and al 3 times in divisional games this season. The Giants have ailed to cover in 11 of the last 13 when playing an opponent off a dog win. Home teams on Monday night have done well off a road win when taking on an opponent that won and covered at home in their last game covering 26 of the last 33 times. Since 1979 home dogs of more than 1 on Monday night off a road dog win are 19-1 ats vs an opponent who played at home in their last game in divisional affairs. The Skins fit just about every subset and variation of the home dog off the road dog win system, so there's no need to specify all of them. The Giants blew the doors off Green Bay last week as they simply have figured out how to stop Rogers and the Packers and took advantage of a Packers team that was without Clay Mathews and had several key injuries. Tonight it will be much tougher to stop RG3. The Crowd will be loud and I look for Washington to get the win in this one. Take the Points.

On Sunday night the Totals Play is on the Under in the Philly at Dallas game. Rotation numbers 365/366 at 8:30 eastern. This game fits a short turnaround system that reverses the results of the total when two team are playing a second time within 2-3 weeks. These two met 3 weeks ago in a wild 38-23 shoot out chocked with turnovers. This one should stay under as I expect both defenses which allowed 30 or more in their last game to play much better. Dallas has played under in 10 of 11 vs an opponent off back to back straight up and ats losses. Look for this one to stay under.

On Sunday the Afternoon totals Play is on the Over in the Steelers at Ravens game. Rotation numbers 359/360 at 4:25 eastern. This game fits a short turn around system we use that reverses the total from the last time two teams met in a 2-3 week period. These two played a Sunday night game 2 weeks ago without Big Ben and 23 points were scored. This one should get over the total here. Baltimore is averaging well over 30 points at home this season. The Steelers defense has allowed 20 or more on the road in all but one road game this season. The Ravens have gone over 6 straight times as a home favorite of 3 or more off back to back unders. Look for this one to go over the total today.

On Sunday the NFL Power System Play is on the Chargers. Game 364 at 4:25 eastern. San Diego has won 5 of the last 6 here vs the Bengals. The Chargers blew the game on Sunday losing in overtime to a Baltimore team that was awarded a 4th and 29 first down after the replays showed they didn't get the first down yardage, but since the markers were moved after the play and they could not be put to the exact spot they were on 4th down, the Ravens were given the first down, and were in field goal range tied the scored and won in overtime in a game that was really Botched by the League. Today the Chargers should bounce back as they are 5-0 ats as a conference home dog. The Bengals have played much better of late after losing 4 straight. However this is a tough game and they are not the type of team that is good enough to win back to back road games. Road teams +3 to -3 have been poor investments long term if coming off a home game where they scored 28 or more vs an opponent off a home game that scored 14 or less. Look for the Chargers to get the win.

On Sunday the Afternoon totals Play is on the Over in the Steelers at Ravens game. Rotation numbers 359/360 at 4:25 eastern. This game fits a short turn around system we use that reverses the total from the last time two teams met in a 2-3 week period. These two played a Sunday night game 2 weeks ago without Big Ben and 23 points were scored. This one should get over the total here. Baltimore is averaging well over 30 points at home this season. The Steelers defense has allowed 20 or more on the road in all but one road game this season. The Ravens have gone over 6 straight times as a home favorite of 3 or more off back to back unders. Look for this one to go over the total today.

NFL TOTALS PLAY UNDER RAMS-NINERS

3 Team 10 Point Teaser. Miami to +19 Jets to +4, Dallas even



The Dolphins. Game 354 at 1:00 eastern are 8-0 ATS (+10.2 ppg) since 1993 as a dog the week after a win in which they were losing at the end of the third quarter.




The Jets. Game 346 at 1:00 eastern are 11-0 ATS at home when they played at home last week.The Cardinals are 1-16 ATS as a road dog after a home game in which they had at least four red zone attempts and failed on at least two of them.




Dallas: Game 366 at 8:30 Eastern Home favorites of 10 or more with 6 or more days rest that scored 21 or more at home vs an opponent off a home game are 15-1 straight up.

On Saturday the BIG 12 Dog with Bite is on Texas. Game 315 at 8;00 eastern. We want to play against Kansas St here as they fit all of the Week 6 or later teams off their first loss systems. One of the better ones are playing against teams like Kansas St that are off their first loss as a favorite and lost to the spread by 10 or more if they scored 16 or more points and have rest vs a team with a .250 or better win percentage. There is a 100% Subset to the aforementioned system tonight. Texas has come up short of late in this series and will have 17-13 home loss revenge, here and come off a tough loss to TCU at home on Thanksgiving night. Texas should have starting Qb Ash for this one and looks to be getting enough points here to cover. This game fits many of the same sets that the Louisville-U.Conn game fit last week and we remember what happened in that one. U.Conn cashed outright. Take Texas +11.5 in this prime time affair.




On Saturday the ACC Play is on GA. Tech. Game 336 at 8:00 eastern. This appears to be too many points for a neutral field game for these two. Florida St is off a big blown loss allowing a ton of points in the 4th Quarter vs Florida and may still be suffering the after effects of coach Fisher questioning why they are ranked so low with one loss. Now we know why. Tech could control this game with their vaunted running attack that has led them to 3 straight ACC Wins. Dogs like Tech have covered 92% of the time if they were getting 3 or more points in their last game. Look for Tech to keep this one close. Take GA. Tech.

On Saturday afternoon the Last home game super system play is on Nevada. Game 320 at 3:30 eastern. Nevada fits a bevy of last home game power systems all with basically the same premise. We want to play on rested home dogs with revenge off a win, vs an opponent off a win of 7 or more points provided our team is .750 or less. There are several variations of this that can be added or changed that get this one perfect and close to it since 1980. Nevada has won 14 straight last home games. Look for a close back and forth type of game with Nevada getting the cover.









On Saturday the SEC Championship system side is on Georgia. Game 334 at 4:00 eastern. We want to play against teams that threw a shutout prior to the Championship. Alabama is off a pair of shutout wins. These teams have failed to cover 6 of the last 7 times in this scenario. There is als another scoring system in this one that pertains to playing against championship favorites that have won over 75% of their games the last 2 seasons if they are laying more than a field goal. These teams have been a solid play against going 2-14 ats. Defending champs have not done well in game before they go bowling losing ats 90% of the time. Georgia has covered 4 of 5 vs winning teams, while Alabama has failed to cover 3 of 4 vs winning teams. The Tide has a solid defensive edge. However the Georgia offense could give them trouble here. If Georgia plays good defense they could win the whole game. More likely though is a classic win and no cover here for the favorite. Take Georgia.

On Saturday the BIG 12 System Play is on Baylor. Game 318 at 12 noon eastern. Baylor has been beaten up pretty good this season. However they are the now team knocking off undefeated Kansas St, then coming back from 21 to take Down Texas Tech in overtime. Now they get an Ok. St team off a deflating overtime loss to rival Oklahoma. How Deflating?. Teams that are favorite of more than 3 to -10 that are off a road loss by 3 or less points are 4-24 ats the last 20+ years vs a winning team if they are playing .600 to .800 ball on the season. Baylor is a live dog here as they are 4-0 straight up long term at home when the total is 70 or more. Baylor has covered 5 of 7 this year vs winning teams. Ok. St has played just 3 true road games this season and has not been that great squeaking by a terrible Kansas team, getting blown out by an Average Arizona team and losing by 14 to Kansas St. Look for Baylor to get the cash.





On Saturday at high noon the College Football Power System Play is on TCU, game 314. TCU has won 9 of the last 10 times in their final home game and catch Oklahoma off a big overtime win vs Ok. St. TCU will look to break a 3 game home losing streak and have a solid system that plays against Oklahoma on their side. The system pertain to playing against teams that are a road favorite and allowed 28 or more at home in a win while scoring 60 or less vs a conference Opponent. There is also another fine system in this one that plays against road teams in high scoring overtime wins, provided their opponent today didn't lose to the spread in their last game. The Sooners have failed to cover in 5 of 6 after facing Ok. St and are 0-7 ats as a road favorite off back to back wins. Look for TCU to get the cover in this one.






On Saturday the Conference USA Championship System winner is on Central Florida. Game 331 at 12 noon eastern. This is a near right back revenge game for UCF after losing 23-21 here two Weeks ago. These rematch games tend to play closer for the losing teams in the next go around. UCF is a solid 7-1 ats as a road dog of 21 or less off a win. Tulsa is off a lethargic road loss to an average SMU Team. With UCF 5-1 straight up in revenge games we will look their way in early action. Take UCF

On Saturday the BIG 12 System Play is on Baylor. Game 318 at 12 noon eastern. Baylor has been beaten up pretty good this season. However they are the now team knocking off undefeated Kansas St, then coming back from 21 to take Down Texas Tech in overtime. Now they get an Ok. St team off a deflating overtime loss to rival Oklahoma. How Deflating?. Teams that are favorite of more than 3 to -10 that are off a road loss by 3 or less points are 4-24 ats the last 20+ years vs a winning team if they are playing .600 to .800 ball on the season. Baylor is a live dog here as they are 4-0 straight up long term at home when the total is 70 or more. Baylor has covered 5 of 7 this year vs winning teams. Ok. St has played just 3 true road games this season and has not been that great squeaking by a terrible Kansas team, getting blown out by an Average Arizona team and losing by 14 to Kansas St. Look for Baylor to get the cash.





On Saturday at high noon the College Football Power System Play is on TCU, game 314. TCU has won 9 of the last 10 times in their final home game and catch Oklahoma off a big overtime win vs Ok. St. TCU will look to break a 3 game home losing streak and have a solid system that plays against Oklahoma on their side. The system pertain to playing against teams that are a road favorite and allowed 28 or more at home in a win while scoring 60 or less vs a conference Opponent. There is also another fine system in this one that plays against road teams in high scoring overtime wins, provided their opponent today didn't lose to the spread in their last game. The Sooners have failed to cover in 5 of 6 after facing Ok. St and are 0-7 ats as a road favorite off back to back wins. Look for TCU to get the cover in this one.






On Saturday the Conference USA Championship System winner is on Central Florida. Game 331 at 12 noon eastern. This is a near right back revenge game for UCF after losing 23-21 here two Weeks ago. These rematch games tend to play closer for the losing teams in the next go around. UCF is a solid 7-1 ats as a road dog of 21 or less off a win. Tulsa is off a lethargic road loss to an average SMU Team. With UCF 5-1 straight up in revenge games we will look their way in early action. Take UCF

On Saturday the BIG 12 System Play is on Baylor. Game 318 at 12 noon eastern. Baylor has been beaten up pretty good this season. However they are the now team knocking off undefeated Kansas St, then coming back from 21 to take Down Texas Tech in overtime. Now they get an Ok. St team off a deflating overtime loss to rival Oklahoma. How Deflating?. Teams that are favorite of more than 3 to -10 that are off a road loss by 3 or less points are 4-24 ats the last 20+ years vs a winning team if they are playing .600 to .800 ball on the season. Baylor is a live dog here as they are 4-0 straight up long term at home when the total is 70 or more. Baylor has covered 5 of 7 this year vs winning teams. Ok. St has played just 3 true road games this season and has not been that great squeaking by a terrible Kansas team, getting blown out by an Average Arizona team and losing by 14 to Kansas St. Look for Baylor to get the cash.





On Saturday at high noon the College Football Power System Play is on TCU, game 314. TCU has won 9 of the last 10 times in their final home game and catch Oklahoma off a big overtime win vs Ok. St. TCU will look to break a 3 game home losing streak and have a solid system that plays against Oklahoma on their side. The system pertain to playing against teams that are a road favorite and allowed 28 or more at home in a win while scoring 60 or less vs a conference Opponent. There is also another fine system in this one that plays against road teams in high scoring overtime wins, provided their opponent today didn't lose to the spread in their last game. The Sooners have failed to cover in 5 of 6 after facing Ok. St and are 0-7 ats as a road favorite off back to back wins. Look for TCU to get the cover in this one.






On Saturday the Conference USA Championship System winner is on Central Florida. Game 331 at 12 noon eastern. This is a near right back revenge game for UCF after losing 23-21 here two Weeks ago. These rematch games tend to play closer for the losing teams in the next go around. UCF is a solid 7-1 ats as a road dog of 21 or less off a win. Tulsa is off a lethargic road loss to an average SMU Team. With UCF 5-1 straight up in revenge games we will look their way in early action. Take UCF

On Friday the GUARANTEED MAC Conference Championship Side is on Kent. St. Game 306 at 7:00 eastern.We note that in this conference Championship games dogs that enter off back to back or more wins have covered 8 of the last 9. In a Battler of 2 teams that are 11-1 Kent is a live dog here. They are 10-1 ats on Turf, 5-1 as a conference dog of 7 or less, 5-1 in week days games and have played the tougher non conference schedule. While NIU has better numbers on both sides of the ball, their non conference schedule was weak and they lost to a 4-8 Iowa team, barely beat a Mediocre Kansas team and the same with Army escaping with a 41-40 win vs the Cadets. Kent was very impressive in taking down a then undefeated Rutgers team on the road as a 12 point dog, that appears to be a tougher spot than this one. NIU is just 17-ats vs teams that have won 80% or more of their games from November on out. Kent St will want this one badly after getting crushed 40-10 last season in a game where they had 7 yards rushing and 63 yards passing. Should NIU fall behind by nearly 3 touchdowns like they did in last years Championship game, there will be no massive comeback. Take the 7.5 points with Kent St.




On Friday the BONUS PAC 12 Championship game side is Stanford. Game 308 at 8:05 eastern. While many will take UCLA With constrain thoughts and ignore Stanford as too obvious a choice here we will do the exact opposite. If its not broken don't fix it. I'm not a believer that UCLA Laid down last week. They tried and realized late they could not win or Stop Stanford. That wont change in 6 days. The Adjustments were made and didn't work for UCLA. Stanford is at home here and should they get an early lead they will put UCLA early with the realization that once again they don't have what it takes to win. Stanford has covered 11 of the last 16 vs an opponent with revenge and is 6-0 here at home. They are 20-4 ats off back to back wins and 25-3 straight up with 21 spread wins on 6 or less days rest. They have won and covered 4 of 5 long term at home when the total is 42.5 to 45 at home. UCLA is 2-12 ats on the road when the total is 42.5 to 45. Look for Stanford to win and cover

On Thursday night the NFC Super system Side is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 302 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits a Perfect system that wins by an average 23 points per game. We want to plays on home favorites with a total of 44.5 or more that scored 21 or more points as a road favorite, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home dog while Rushing for less than 100 yards. The Falcons offense is just a few yards off that of the Saints. However the defense is a big advantage for the Falcons by over 90 yards. The Saints are 1-3 on the road when the total is 49.5 or higher. The Falcons are 6-1 ats on Thursday and 18-1 straight up vs teams under .500 at the point they play them. Atlanta has quadruple revenge and should be propelled by a nice win at Tampa,escaping with a 24-23 win. The Saints may be deflated off a 31-21 loss to the Niners and it will be tough coming back from that on short rest. Look for Atlanta to win and cover here tonight.

On Thursday the Big East play is on Louisville. Game 303 at 7:05 eastern. The Cardinal fit one of my favorite bounce back system that plays on road dogs in conference play at +12 or less that lost as a home favorite at -7 or higher, vs an opponent with at least one loss. Louisville is off a pair of losses their first two of the season and appear poised to bounce back and take Hold of this conference tonight. They are a perfect 7-0 ats on the road when the total is 42.5 to 49 and 6-1 straight up with 6 or less days of rest. Rutgers struggled big time on offense against an average Pittsburgh team and are also sitting here at 9-2. The Scarlet Knights are just 2-6 ats vs a Conference team off a loss and have a 28 yard edge on offense but average 90 yards less than Louisville on offense. Backed with the Big system we will take Louisville in this one.





On Thursday the NBA Power totals system is on the Under in the Spurs at Miami game. Rotation numbers 501/502 at 8:05 eastern. This game fits 2 Perfect totals system. I will share the better of the two with you. We want to plays the under for un rested road dogs like the Spurs that scored 110 or more as a road favorite of 5 or more last night, vs an opponent that scored 90 or more at home in their last game. Look for Miami to play solid defense against what can be a tough spot for the Spurs playing another road game and taking on a Heat team that has had 4 days rest. In the series 23 of the last 28 between these two have stayed under and 13 of 15 here in Miami. Miami has been allowing alot of points here at home and may be ready for a nice defensive effort here one that will match what the Spurs put forth. Take the Under

On Monday the NFL Totals System is on the Carolina at Philadelphia game. Rotation numbers 245/246 at 8:40 eastern. This game fits a solid 90% totals system that plays to the over home dogs with a total of 40 or higher that scored under 10 points on the road in their last game, vs an opponent that was a home dog in their last game. These games average 56 points per game. While I don't believe we will get that high tonight, I do think this will be higher scoring than usual. The Eagles are 16-0 since December 2005 after scoring fewer than 23 points as a dog in their last game. Carolina has flown over 8 of the last 9 in weeks 10-13 and all 4 times on the road when the total is 38.5 to 42. Look for Philly to move the bal better than expected as they now play a 3rd straight game without Vick. Take the Over in this one.

On Sunday night the Totals System Play is on the Under in the Packers at Giants game. Rotation numbers 243/244 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits a multitude of systems and angles. First we note that home favorites off a bye week that are off a road loss of 10 or more have flown under in 24 of the last 31. The Packers are 0-9 OU the week after a game in which they benefited from at least four turnovers. They have also played under in 10 of 14 when the line is +3 to -3. The Giants have stayed under in 17 of 25 long term with rest and 7 of 10 this season. Finally we note that home favorites off a game where they scored 14 or less as a road favorite have gone under 11 of 12 times vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a road favorite in their last game, going back to 1989. The Giants will be without running back Bradshaw again and this will hurt their running game. Manning has thrown 2 touch down passes the last 5 weeks. Look for this game to stay under the total here tonight.

On Sunday the NFC Power Play is on the San Francisco 49ers. Game 239 at 4:25 eastern. The Niners for one of my favorite short rest systems that plays on teams that scored 30 or more on Monday night football, while allowing less than 10. These teams are 28-4 straight up in their next game. The Saints have rebounded nicely to win 3 straight. However We cant ignore a nearly 200 yards per game edge the Niners have on defense. The Saints have the better offense but the disparity is alot less than one would think at only around 30+ yards per game. The Niners have allowed a total of 3 points combined in their last 2 road games. They should have Alex Smith back for this one as well. Look for San Francisco to win this one.


3 Team 10 point teaser Teaser SD. Chargers +11 , St. Louis Rams +11, Green Bay +13

On Sunday the NFL Offshore Steam Play on the SD. Chargers. Game 238 at 4:05 eastern. This game was hit offshore by sharp money, Public backing Baltimore

On Sunday the Early NFL Power System Play is on the Titans. Game 229 at 1;00 eastern. Tennessee fits 26-4 road favorite off the bye system, similar to the one that Green Bay covered in last week against Detroit. The Jaguars will likely be spent in this one after blowing a late 14 lead on the road in Houston, only to lose late in over time. We also want to play against home teams in this spread range that lost 8 of their last 10 games as they are 3-26 ats since 1983. The Jags are 1-5 straight up and ats at home when the line is 42.5 to to 45. They are 0-5 at home losing by an average 30-8 score. Remember the Titans here today. Take Tennessee.

On Saturday the SEC Super Play is on Miss. St. Game 177 at 7:00 eastern. The Tigers are 10-0 straight up vs Losing teams. Ole Miss is 1-15 straight up vs winning teams and this game is basically a Pick, because Ole Miss needs the game to become bowl eligible. In reality though even if they finish 5-7 they may still have a shot since there are 70 bowl spots and only 61 teams qualifying. This may be a year where there are a few 5-7 teams that get an appearance. Ole Miss has also lost 10 of the last 11 November games and may be deflated after blowing a lead and losing late at LSU last week. Miss. St is 7-2 as a road pick or dog of 3 or less and 8-1 vs a conference opponent if off a win. Miss. St has won the last 3 in the series and we will back the better team here tonight.

On Saturday the last home game dog with bit is on UCLA. Game 180 at 6:30 eastern. Both teams are off big upset wins. However Teams like Stanford that won as a road dog in game with an Opening line of 20 or more are just 6-46 straight up. Beating Oregon also sets up Stanford in a negative system that pertains to taking down undefeated teams in week 6 or later. To have to go on the road the week after is a tough spot for the Cardinal. UCLA is 8-2 straight up as a home dog of 3 or less and has won all 3 times as a dog this season. Though UCLA is locked into their spot and may appear not to need this game, many will take Stanford based on that premise alone, and we all know what happens when the public loads up on a team that they feel doesnt need the game. Look for UCLA To get the cash here tonight. Take the 3 points.

On Saturday the Blowout Play is on Texas Tech. Game 173 at 2:30 eastern. Texas Tech is sitting on a Big game here today. They have beaten Baylor 17 of the last 20 times, but do have embarrassing 66-42 revenge from last season. Tech is over 160 yards better on defense and has an offense that will score on a Baylor team off a huge upset of Kansas St, which sets them up in a negative system that plays against teams in week 6 or later that took down an undefeated team in their last game. Baylor is still just 1-5 vs winning teams and has lost 4 of 5 away from home. Texas Tech has won 3 of 5 away from home and should do well in this neutral field game. Take Tech today plus the points.





On Saturday the Last home game super system play is on New Mexico St. Game 182 at 3:30 eastern. New Mexico St is not a good team. However, they have the week of rest and will look to keep it close in their last home game of the season. Game 11 home dogs with rest and revenge vs an opponent playing in game 12 are 14-1 ats since 1980. BYU is 1-4 on the road this season and 2-6 ats as a favorite. When they play WAC Teams they are 0-3 ats. Look for New Mexico St to cover the 29 point spread.

On Saturday the Blowout Play is on Texas Tech. Game 173 at 2:30 eastern. Texas Tech is sitting on a Big game here today. They have beaten Baylor 17 of the last 20 times, but do have embarrassing 66-42 revenge from last season. Tech is over 160 yards better on defense and has an offense that will score on a Baylor team off a huge upset of Kansas St, which sets them up in a negative system that plays against teams in week 6 or later that took down an undefeated team in their last game. Baylor is still just 1-5 vs winning teams and has lost 4 of 5 away from home. Texas Tech has won 3 of 5 away from home and should do well in this neutral field game. Take Tech today plus the points.





On Saturday the Last home game super system play is on New Mexico St. Game 182 at 3:30 eastern. New Mexico St is not a good team. However, they have the week of rest and will look to keep it close in their last home game of the season. Game 11 home dogs with rest and revenge vs an opponent playing in game 12 are 14-1 ats since 1980. BYU is 1-4 on the road this season and 2-6 ats as a favorite. When they play WAC Teams they are 0-3 ats. Look for New Mexico St to cover the 29 point spread.

On Saturday at high noon the BIG 10 Play is on Michigan. Game 139 at high noon. This perhaps the biggest rivalry in College Football. Ohio. St comes in with a perfect season on the line and in an most other years would be playing for the right to win a Championship. However this season there will be no post season for the Buckeyes, who have escaped some tough spots to remain undefeated. There are 2 Big systems in this game for the better of the two We want to play against teams that are 8-0 or better vs a conference opponent with a win percentage of .666 to .875 that is not off back to back ats wins. These teams are 7-31 ats and even worse if we insist this the last game of the season. Ohio St has failed to cover 6 of the last 7 after Playing Wisconsin. Michigan has a better rated defense and has won 3 straight. Look for a close game with Michigan covering at the very least.

On Friday our Blowout play is on Northern Illinois here today. Game 121 at 1:00 eastern. NIU has Huge edges on both sides of the ball and they handle their business vs losing teams winning 15 of 16 with 13 spread wins. Eastern Michigan is 1-5 ats off a win. For our solid system we want to play on any road team from +3 to -25 vs an opponent off a road dog win at +10 or more. Some how Eastern Michigan was able to come away with a road dog win in a rivalry game with Western Michigan. That result will hurt them here as they are in a 85-35 play against system. They have lost and failed to cover 6 of the last 7 here vs Northern Illinois and are every bit inept as the Team that lost here 71-3 vs NIU 2 Years ago. Lay it today with Northern Illinois.

On Friday the Early 5* Power System Play is on Temple. Game 120 at 11:00 eastern. This will be Temples Bowl game in effect. So I look for a Spirited effort here in this one. The Owls have the benefit of Knowing the host has covered the last times in this series. Syracuse became bowl eligible last week coming from 14 down to take down Missouri. This game is of little significance to them. For Technical purposes we note that Road favorites playing in their last game of the season off back to back dogs wins have failed an amazing 96% of the time the last 33+ years, The Orange have failed to cover every time as a road favorite if both teams are off wins. Even worse they are winless since 1992 on the road when the posted total is 56.5 to 63 and they are 1-5 ats off back to back wins. Take Temple today.

On Thanksgiving night the Power System Play is on the Patriots. Game 107 at 8;20 eastern. No Gronkowski no problem. The Pats will just recall someone from their practice squad and he will turn into their next superstar. Actually they have tight end Hernandez back for this one. We note that favorites off back to back wins or more on Turkey Day are 17-2 with 16 spread wins the last 24 years. For a short rest system we note that road favorites on short rest at -7 or more that scored 42 or more points at home have Covered Every time the last 24 years winning by an average 39-12 score. The Patriots are a veteran team and wont have any problems adding a few wrinkles into their offense on a short week. They were tooth and nail at home as a 10 point favorite to beat the Jets earlier in the season winning by 3 in overtime. That game started a 3 game descent for the Jets, who just got back on track with a win in St. Louis. This will be a tough spot for the Jets as the Patriots are doing much better in divisional road games of late winning by a larger margin vs these teams on the road than at home. Home dogs of 7 or more on short rest like the Jets that scored 21 or more as a road dog have lost every time the last 24 years. They lost by an average 16 points. Ouch. With the Patriots having covered 11 of the last 13 here in New York we will back the Patriots here tonight.

On Turkey Day the NFL Power System Play is on Dallas. Game 106 at 4:25 eastern. Line has been dropping all week in this game and is now down to -3 for Dallas. Here are the facts about this game. Dallas qualifies in numerous solid situations. Certain Turkey day favorites off back to back wins are 17-2 with 16 spread covers. Next we want to play on home favorites in short rest games that are -3 or more with a total of 42 or higher that scored 21 or more as a home favorite of 7 or more in their last game, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home favorite in their last game. These home teams PERFECT since 1989 winning by an average 39-12 score. Tony Romo is just about unbeatable in November home games. Washington has lost 17 of the last 20 here in Dallas and could have a tough time with the short 3 day turnover in this game. Dallas is 10-1 ats on Thanksgiving day vs losing teams. Were Doing Dallas today.

On Thursday the Early Power Play is on the Detroit Lions. Game 104 at 12:30 eastern. The Texans are 9-1 this season and have not lost on the road. However this will be tough today coming into a noisy dome against a team that Must win this game in the Lions to keep their fading playoff hopes alive. Houston is 1-16 straight up in domes and 0-4 straight up and ats when the posted total is 49.5 or higher. They are Also winless losing both most recent Thursday games.The Texans are 0-8 ATS in franchise history on the road after a home game in which their defense stopped at least ten third down attempts. The Lions are off a tough loss to the Packers,blowing the lead late. The good thing for them is they are home with a chance to get the sour taste out of their mouths right away. The yardage stats are nearly even with the Lions having a slithg offensive edge and the Texans a defensive edge. Houston may have been looking past the Jags on Sunday needing a spirited Over time effort to get the win. This game is not nearly as crucial to them as it is the Lions. Take the Points and watch the Lions may pull the upset here.

On Tuesday the NBA Power System Play is on the Philadelphia Seventy Sixers. Game 702 at 7:05 eastern. The Sixers fit a blowout system here tonight that Wins by an average 10-4-84 score. We want to play on home favorites of -5 or higher with 1 day of rest, that scored 90 or less and shot 45% or less from the field in a game where the total was 180 or higher, vs an opponent like Toronto that was a home favorite of -4 or less and shot 45% or higher. This system has cashed all 10 times it has been active since 1995. Philly is 7-2 ats at home off a home game where they scored 90 or less and have won and covered 3 of 4 vs losing teams this season. The Raptors are 2-18 off a win of 10 or more points and 0-3 straight up and ats vs Division teams already this season. The Sixers already have a double digit win over the Raptors this season and should get the win and cover. Play Philadelphia.





On Tuesday the MAC play is on Toledo tonight. Game 102 at 7:00 eastern. This game fits a nice system that plays against Akron. We want to play against any road dog of 10 or more that is off a home favored loss at -14 or higher. Akron was ambushed by U.Mass at home in their last game. In their road games this season they are 0-5 losing by 22 points per game. Toledo has won 7 of the 8 meetings and is winning by an a average 34-13 score here at home. The Rockets are 6-0 ats as week day favorites vs Losing teams. Look for Toledo to coast in this one.

On Monday the NBA Totals System is on the Under in the Indiana at Washington game. Rotation numbers 501/502 at 7:05 eastern. This game fits a solid system that has stayed under all nine times since 1995. We want to take the under for all home teams that scored 80 or less as a home dog of 4 or less, vs an opponent that scored 80 or less on the road and shot 45% or less. This system is averaging a shade over 163 points, so its no wonder qualifying teams go under the total. The Pacers have gone under in 17 of the last 22 November games, including 6 of the last 7. Washington has gone under in 4 of 5 off 3+ losses and 6 of 8 this season and all 3 vs Central division teams. These two played a low scoring game just over a a week ago with Both teams failing to score 90. Look for this game to stay under the total.





On Monday the NFL Totals system play is on the Under in the Chicago at San Francisco game. Rotation numbers 435/436 at 8:40 eastern. The Niners have played under in all 4 games vs winning teams and 3 of the last 4 Monday nighters. The Beard have played under in 15 of the last 16 as a road dog of 3.5 or more if playing off a loss. Chicago has never had much success here and will have a hard time scoring against what will be a swarming Niners defense, especially without Starting Qb Cutler. Their defense will have to rise to the occasion and keep them in this one and they are very capable of slowing down a San Francisco offense that will have starting Qb Alex Smith back. How healthy Smith is remains to be seen until he starts getting banged around. Look for low scoring and boring. Take the Under.

On Sunday night the Selection is on the Under in Baltimore at Pittsburgh game. Rotation numbers 433/434 at 8:30 eastern. This game fits the favorite flips system when a team goes from favorite to dog.
Overall when a

On Sunday the Late afternoon Teaser is 3 teams 10 points. Take the Patriots. Game 425 at 4:25 eastern to +1, the Broncos. Game 432 at 4:25 eastern to +2 and the Raiders. Game 430 at 4:05 eastern. to +15 ALL 3 MUST COVER THE TEASED LINES





The Broncos are 8-0 ATS since 2009 vs a team with fewer wins on the season when they won last week. The Broncos are the Chargers heads knowing they came back from a 24 point deficit on the road in San Diego on Monday night a few weeks back. Philip Rivers is a walking time bomb on any given play he could force a throw and provide a pick six. Denver may coast in this one if they get up early


The Patriots are 11-0 straight up at home since 1992 in games where the total is 49.5 or higher. The Colts have been solid of late but this will be a tough spot to win. Denver came and was smoked by 17 and the Pats were not happy about allowing over 30 here last week. Look for a much improved effort.




The Raiders are 9-0 ATS 2009 as a dog when they are off a loss in which they suffered a turnover margin of at least plus-two. Non Division Road favorites like the Saints Have failed to cover 12 of the last 14 times off certain home dog wins. This will be a tough sot against a Raiders team that can score right along with them

AFC Play on Cincy

On Sunday the NFC North Play is on the Lions. Game 414 at 1:00 eastern. The Lions fit 3 solid systems here this week. We want to play on division home dogs off a road favored loss, secondly we want to play on division home dogs that scored 20 or more in back to back games, vs an opponent off a win, and finally a play against system that applies to the Packers and all road favorites that are on a 4+ game win streak that lost their prior road game. Detroit needs this game and cant afford to fall any further back in the standings. The Yardage numbers are very close in this one and the situations favor the Lions. Take Detroit and the 4 points.

On Sunday the road warrior power play is on the Bengals. Game 427 at 1;00 eastern. The Bengals are the beneficiaries of a solid system that plays against the Chiefs and all teams that are at home off 3 or less point loss as a double digit road dog, as this system has cashed 29 of the last 35 applications. All teams at home in non division games that are favored or a dog of less than a touch down are 1-13 ats after facing the Steelers of late. With the Chiefs having one less day to prepare and coming off the tough overtime loss they may be deflated in this one. The Bengals will look to carry the momentum from their biggest win of the season over the Giants into this one. Take the Bengals.




On Sunday the Divisional Super System play is on Carolina. Game 418 at 1:00 eastern. The Panthers fit a 23-3 system here that plays on teams that are +3 to-3 and have revenge for a favored loss the last time these teams met, provided our team has a .250 or less win percentage. These teams get up for these revenges cashing 23 of 26 since 1983. The Panthers will look to rebound from blowout loss to Denver and should have an easier time against a Tampa Bay Team that has over achieved on offense the past few weeks and will not be able to sustain another 30 point effort. This is a potential flat spot for a Tampa Team that was blasted here 48-16 last year, before winning at home as a dog vs Carolina. The Bucs are 5-13 as road favorites of 3 or less and the Panthers have covered the last with revenge. Look for Carolina to Cash.

OFF SHORE STEAM ON THE NY. Jets at 1:00 eastern.

College Football OFF SHORE STEAM PLAY On San Jose St. Game 382 at 10:30 eastern. Added Play on Oregon as we play on home teams not favored by 24 or more that socred 150 or more in their last 3 games combined cashing over 80% the last 32 years.

NCAAF play on WKU

On Saturday the college Football System Play is on Missouri. Game 390 at 7:00 eastern. The Tigers are off a dramatic overtime win vs Tennessee in an overtime affair as they are looking to make a Bowl appearance this season. They need one more win and for them this is the one to get as they only have a Texas [email protected] left. The Tigers will out forth their best effort tonight and catch Syracuse at the perfect time. Syracuse fits a perfect subset to a system that plays against team who beat an undefeated team in their last game. provided the game was played in week 6 or later. This high yielding system has been a big money maker though the years as teams playing off the high of such a huge performance often fall flat, particularly on the road. Another fine system in this game is to play against road dogs off a home dog win by 7 or more points that scored 35 or more and allowed 17 or more. Syracuse whipped previously undefeated Louisville and scored 45 points in the process. The Orange are 0-4 ats on the road vs an opponent that comes in off a dog win. They are 1-6 ats on the road when the posted total is 49 to 56.5 and 3-11 straight up and ats as a road dog from 3.5 to 11. When losing as a road dog they have failed to cover 9 of 10 times under coach Marrone. Missouri is 10-2 vs non conference teams and have won their last home game the last 7 years. Syracuse has lost 8 of the last in their last road game. Look for Missouri to get the win and cover.

On Saturday the TRIPLE Power Super system Dominator Pack is on Rice. Game 372 at 3:30 eastern. Rice fits one of my favorite all time systems that plays on rested home dogs with revenge off a win. Rice also fits ALL the subsets. Both teams have a win percentage of .750 or less and the opponent is off a win of 7 or more points. Rice is 22-2 ats as a conference home dog if they have at least one win and 10-0 ats as a conference home dog off a win. Rice is 7-1 ats with revenge if they are off 2 or more wins. SMU is 2-11 ats off a win vs an opponent that is under .500 and has failed to cover the last 8 games at this venue. In games before Tulsa they are 0-8 to the spread. SMU is going to get Boiled Like Uncle Bens today. Take Rice.

On Saturday the WAC Attack play is on LA. Tech. Game 394 at 4:00 eastern. Tech has scored 50 or more in every home game and nearly pulled off a big upset of Texas [email protected] Climbing back in that one from a huge deficit. Tech fits a solid scoring system here today that plays on home teams at -24 or less if they scored 150 or more combined over their last 3 games. They are 10-1 ats as a dog and 7-1 ats as a home dog. They will take on Utah St today and State has been a spread machine this season. However they are just 2-8 ats as a road favorite vs an opponent that has at least one win. Look for LA. Tech to stop that nice Utah St ats streak today. TAKE TECH.

On Saturday the Revenger is on UCLA. Game 356 at 3;00 eastern. UCLA should not be a dog in this one. The Numbers are very close and the Simulations are calling for a UCLA Win in this one, so the points are the way to go. USC has lost to some tough ones and could not win at Arizona a few weeks back. This will be much tougher. UCLA has 50 point blowout loss revenge and have not forgot that beating they took. They will look to return the favor knowing that they are 9-0 ats with conference revenge at home and have covered the last 4 times in game 11 here at home. USC has failed to cover 4 of the last 5 times on the road vs an opponent with revenge. Look for UCLA To serve it up today.

College Play on Rice

On Saturday the BIG 10 Banger is on Wisconsin. Game 396 at 3:30 eastern. The Badgers fit a nice system here that plays against teams like Ohio. St that are 8-0 or better that play in conference vs an opponent with a win percentage of .666 to .875 that is not off back to back ats wins. This system has cashed 31 of the last 37 times. There is also a secondary system that has cashed 80% that pertains to road teams off a bye week that are undefeated vs an opponent with revenge. Ohio. St has failed to cover 4 of the last 5 on the road with rest and 9 of the last 12 before Michigan. The Badgers are 5-1 ats with conference revenge and will likely deal the Buckeyes their first loss here today. Urban Meyer has done a solid job and would be ranked 3 or 4 if they were eligible this season. However the Buckeyes escaped a few close ones this season and this will be their toughest test thus far. With he line under 3 the Badgers are a solid take here today. Ill have a Double. Make it your finest WISKY.


On Saturday the pac 12 is on UCLA. Game 356 at 3;00 eastern. UCLA should not be a dog in this one. The Numbers are very close and the Simulations are calling for a UCLA Win in this one, so the points are the way to go. USC has lost to some tough ones and could not win at Arizona a few weeks back. This will be much tougher. UCLA has 50 point blowout loss revenge and have not forgot that beating they took. They will look to return the favor knowing that they are 9-0 ats with conference revenge at home and have covered the last 4 times in game 11 here at home. USC has failed to cover 4 of the last 5 times on the road vs an opponent with revenge. Look for UCLA To serve it up today.

On Saturday the TRIPLE Power Super system Dominator Pack is on Rice. Game 372 at 3:30 eastern. Rice fits one of my favorite all time systems that plays on rested home dogs with revenge off a win. Rice also fits ALL the subsets. Both teams have a win percentage of .750 or less and the opponent is off a win of 7 or more points. Rice is 22-2 ats as a conference home dog if they have at least one win and 10-0 ats as a conference home dog off a win. Rice is 7-1 ats with revenge if they are off 2 or more wins. SMU is 2-11 ats off a win vs an opponent that is under .500 and has failed to cover the last 8 games at this venue. In games before Tulsa they are 0-8 to the spread. SMU is going to get Boiled Like Uncle Bens today. Take Rice.

On Saturday the WAC Attack play is on LA. Tech. Game 394 at 4:00 eastern. Tech has scored 50 or more in every home game and nearly pulled off a big upset of Texas [email protected] Climbing back in that one from a huge deficit. Tech fits a solid scoring system here today that plays on home teams at -24 or less if they scored 150 or more combined over their last 3 games. They are 10-1 ats as a dog and 7-1 ats as a home dog. They will take on Utah St today and State has been a spread machine this season. However they are just 2-8 ats as a road favorite vs an opponent that has at least one win. Look for LA. Tech to stop that nice Utah St ats streak today. TAKE TECH.

On Saturday the Revenger is on UCLA. Game 356 at 3;00 eastern. UCLA should not be a dog in this one. The Numbers are very close and the Simulations are calling for a UCLA Win in this one, so the points are the way to go. USC has lost to some tough ones and could not win at Arizona a few weeks back. This will be much tougher. UCLA has 50 point blowout loss revenge and have not forgot that beating they took. They will look to return the favor knowing that they are 9-0 ats with conference revenge at home and have covered the last 4 times in game 11 here at home. USC has failed to cover 4 of the last 5 times on the road vs an opponent with revenge. Look for UCLA To serve it up today.

On Friday the Sun Belt Slammer is on Florida International. Game 311 at 8:00 eastern. This game has had a 3 point line swing as FIU is not getting 2 after opening as a small favorite. Florida Atlantic has been a covering machine of late. However, their 16 point upset road dog win sets them up in a plethora of systems here tonight that plays on losing teams off a road dog win. We bring both teams in with a losing record and our opponent off a win and we start to get a Big system that goes high up into the 90+% range. FIU has won 8 of 9 in November and is 10-4 vs losing teams. In contrast FAU is 6-18 straight up on short rest of 6 days or less and just 4-11 straight up vs losing teams. The Numbers are real close in this one and FIU Brings back most of the team that shellacked FAU Last year. Look for FIU To be a dog with Bite, that Wins outright tonight.



On Friday the NBA Power System Play is on the LA. Lakers. Game 718 at 10:35 eastern. The Lakers fit a nice system, direct from the database that plays on any home team with a total that is 190 or higher that scored 90 or less as a home dog of 4 or less, vs an opponent that scored 100 or more as a home dog in their last game. These home teams are 14-1 straight up and ats. The Lakers are off a tough close loss to the Spurs with Denny Green Nailing a late three pointer with Kobe in his face. The Suns are off a hard fought overtime loss to the Bulls. The Lakers have won the last 2 here easily both by 12 or more vs the Suns. Phoenix is 0-3 ats vs Losing teams and after scoring 105 or more points. Look for the Lakers to have plenty of motivation tonight as they welcome in coach Dantoni. Were Laker Takers tonight.

On Thursday the NFL Power system play is on the Buffalo Bills. Game 306 at 8:35 eastern. The Bills have the benefit of being home on short rest which is advantageous to them here more than the Dolphins who will have less time to prepare off the shellacking they took at home with Tennessee. We note that home favorites with 6 or less days of rest are 8-0 straight up and ats winning by an average 32-13 score if the home team had 250 or more passing yards and scored 21 or more points, vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as home favorite and rushed for less than 100 yards. Additionally road teams on short rest have lost and failed to cover 4 of the last 5 times off a home favored loss and scored 9 or less points. This is a tough spot for Miami even though they have some road trends in their favored, those are all on normal rest and this is a Thursday game so we put more stock into the Systems that pertain to the rest and preparation factors. The Bills have home loss revenge from late last season and they are 10-1 ats as a home favorite of 6 or less vs losing teams. The Bills are 17-0 ATS when they are off a game as an away dog in which they stopped their opponent on at least one goal-to-goal and did not allow 500+ yards of offense.Take Buffalo -2.5 in this one.

On Wednesday get on the Giving End of Hump day as our selection is on Northern Illinois. Game 304 at 9:00 eastern. The Huskies fit several of my high end systems here tonight. The best of which plays on home favorites from -2 to -33 that scored 40 or more in a home shutout win, vs an opponent off a loss. These teams are 56-10 long term. The Huskies also fit another huge system that plays on home favorites off a win of 60 or more vs an opponent off a loss, which stems from there 63-0 win over U.Mass prior to their bye. When coming off a bye week they are 4-0 ats. They have a big defensive edge in this one and they are 3-0 ats as a home favorite from 10.5 to -15 and defeated Toledo here 65-30 in 2010. They are winning by an average 45-11 here at home and even though Toledo is 8-2, they are 1-5 ats away off a favored loss. Northern Illinois is 11-1 vs winning teams and should get the job done here tonight.

On Monday the NFL Power System Play is on the Steelers. Game 240 at 8:40 eastern. The Steelers fit all the subsets of one of my finest Monday night Systems. What we want to do is play on certain Monday night home favorites in a non division game, if they are off a win, vs an opponent off a 10 or more point loss and spread loss of 3 or more and the posted total is higher than 39. Home favorites of -4 or more that are coming in off a road dog win also with a total of 40 or higher have been solid through they years and Monday night non division favorites of 10 or more are 18-0 with 15 spread wins vs a .400 or less opponent. The Chiefs are winless to the spread in their last 3 trips here and have allowed 240 or more in every road game this season. The Steelers are 10-1 ats when scoring 24 or more. The Culprit of the Chiefs struggle this season has been Turnovers. They kill themselves on a weekly basis and do not force turnovers from their opponents. Look for the Steelers to build momentum from knocking off the Giants last week in New York in what should be a much easier spot for them. Lay it with Pittsburgh. Bonus total on the Under

On Sunday night the NFL Power Play is on Houston. Game 237 at 8:25 eastern. The Texans are 7-0 ats in non conference games off back to back wins, 4-0 ats vs teams off a win of 30 or more and 9-0 ats if they allowed 90 or less yards rushing in back to back games. In closely lined game at +3 to -3 the Texans are 7-0 ats. The Bears are 0-6 ats after scoring 40 or more with Coach Smith and may not have the benefit of turnovers vs a sound and poised Houston team. The Bears are 0-7 ats f they allowed 3 or more sacks in back to back games, Houston is a live dog with edges on both sides of the ball here tonight. Take the Texans.



On Sunday the NBA Power System Play is on the LA. Lakers. Game 510 at 9:35 eastern. The Lakers may be ready to roll now. They have fired coach Brown and promptly responded with a 24 point home blowout win. That win sets them up in a solid Power System that is 14-0 straight up and 13-0-1 and applies to home favorites of 5 or more with rest that scored 100 or more as a home favorite and shot 45% or less, vs an opponent off a home dog loss and scored 90 or less while shooting 40% or less. The Lakers have not lost to the spread since at least 1995 if playing at home after playing as a home favorite and scoring 100 or more on 45% or higher shooting. The Kings are 0-6 straight up and to the spread on the road after scoring 90 or less as a home dog, vs an opponent who scored 100 or more, losing by an a average 13 points. Look for the Lakers to crown the Kings tonight. Were Laker Takers tonight.

On Sunday the NFL Dog with Bite is on the NY. Jets. Game 231 at 4:05 eastern. The Jets know if they lose this one they are done as far as playoffs go. So you will see a spirited effort, similar to what we sat at New England in a game they nearly won before losing in Overtime as an 11 point dog. There solid Solid angles involved in this one, here we go. The Jets are 10-0 ATS Since 1997 when they are off a double-digit ATS loss in a game that had a total of less than 40. Seattle is 0-13 at if they allowed 21 or less in a game that went over the total by 10 or more points. The Seahawks are a lousy 0-17 ats if the total is less than 50 in a Sunday game and they scored 28 or more in an 8 or more point win in their last game. The Jets are 7-0 ats as a dog off a bye week. The Jets also fit a nice system here that has cashed 36 of 42 times and pertains to their home loss and the Seattle Win last week. Look for the Jets to get the cover at the very least in this one.

Sunday 3 Teams 10 POINT teaser. San Diego. Game 219 at 1:00 eastern. New England. Game 216 at 1;00 eastern. Dallas. Game 233 at 4:25 eastern. Chargers to +13, Patriots to -2 and Dallas to +8




The Chargers are 9-0 ATS as a dog when they swept a team last week. The Chargers are 7-0 ATS

as a dog the week after a straight up win at home as a favorite in which they attempted at least ten fewer passes than their season-to-date average. The Bucs are 0-7-1 ATS at home the week after in which they committed 100+ yards of penalties.




Cowboys at Eagles - The Cowboys are 10-0-1 ATS


the week after a game in which they allowed at least 300 yards passing. The Eagles are 0-8 ATS at home vs a divisional opponent when they faced non-divisional opponents in each of the previous two weeks.




The Patriots already defeated the Bills 52-28 in Buffalo and now get them here at home. With the 10 point tease taking this to -2 we should coast in this one. Angles and trends aside the Bills will be lucky to stay within 10 here today.

On Sunday the early AFC Play is on Tennessee. Game 223 at 1:00 eastern. The Titans apply to a solid system that plays on certain non division teams if both teams come in having lost to non divisional teams last out. Miami is an Amazing 0-18 ats as a favorite of -4.5 or more on Sunday over the last 9 years, 0-8 ats after losing to the Colts and 0-8 ats at home off a road game vs an opponent that has less wins then they do. This game is very even statistically with Miami having ever so slight edges. The Titans have covered 17 of the last 23 as a dog after playing as a dog in their last game. Look for Tennessee to Cover.

Late Night Snack on Nevada game 206 at 10:35 eastern. Nevada fits a nice system here that pertains to home dogs getting less than 5 off a road favored loss vs an opponent off a home favored win. Look for them to cover the 3.5 point line tonight.

On Saturday the 3 game evening Triple Pack is on Vandy. Game 131 at 7;00 eastern. SMU. Game 176 at 7;00 eastern and TCU. Game 166 at 7:00 eastern. Vandy fits one of my favorite long term road warrior systems that plays on road dogs off a road shut out win. These road warriors are 25-4 to the spread. Vandy is playing good ball right now and has allowed 7 points combined in their last 2 games. They have played solid defense all season. They have covered in 6 of the last 7 trips here at Ole Miss. They are also 11-2 ats in the 2nd of back to back road games. The Rebels took an early lead last week in Georgia then fell apart on both sides of the ball yet again in the 2nd half last week. The Rebels are 1-8 in November and 1-13 straight up vs winning teams. That's enough for me. Take Vandy. Game 2 we have SMU. The Mustangs are in a solid game 10 system here that plays against teams like SO. Miss that went to a bowl game last season and are off a favored loss vs an opponent off a loss as well. SO. Miss had a real shot to get their first win and they were totally demoralized after getting blast ed in the 4th quarter in a loss to UAB. SMU was beat pretty good vs UCF But they have revenge here vs an opponent that is losing by over 20 points on the road. Look for SMU To get the win and cover. In Game 3 I'm playing against Kansas St here and on TCU. While I would love to see a team like K-State get a crack at a Possible championship. I must be realistic and fade them here tonight. Kansas St has slight edges on both sides of the ball 13 yards on offense and 25 on defense. Not enough of an edge to give a TCU team 7 points on a home field where they are solid. TCU is 5-1 ats as a home dog through the years and has won 27 of 31 Saturday games and are 7-0 in November games of late. Klein is expected to play for the Wildcats and they will need him as they didn't do much on offense when he went out of the game last week. One has to wonder how effective he will be. Finally there is a big game 10 system that plays against Kansas State here that has cashed 92% of the time. Take The points with TCU.


Take Vandy, SMU and TCU.

On Saturday the 3 game evening Triple Pack is on Vandy. Game 131 at 7;00 eastern. SMU. Game 176 at 7;00 eastern and TCU. Game 166 at 7:00 eastern. Vandy fits one of my favorite long term road warrior systems that plays on road dogs off a road shut out win. These road warriors are 25-4 to the spread. Vandy is playing good ball right now and has allowed 7 points combined in their last 2 games. They have played solid defense all season. They have covered in 6 of the last 7 trips here at Ole Miss. They are also 11-2 ats in the 2nd of back to back road games. The Rebels took an early lead last week in Georgia then fell apart on both sides of the ball yet again in the 2nd half last week. The Rebels are 1-8 in November and 1-13 straight up vs winning teams. That's enough for me. Take Vandy. Game 2 we have SMU. The Mustangs are in a solid game 10 system here that plays against teams like SO. Miss that went to a bowl game last season and are off a favored loss vs an opponent off a loss as well. SO. Miss had a real shot to get their first win and they were totally demoralized after getting blast ed in the 4th quarter in a loss to UAB. SMU was beat pretty good vs UCF But they have revenge here vs an opponent that is losing by over 20 points on the road. Look for SMU To get the win and cover. In Game 3 I'm playing against Kansas St here and on TCU. While I would love to see a team like K-State get a crack at a Possible championship. I must be realistic and fade them here tonight. Kansas St has slight edges on both sides of the ball 13 yards on offense and 25 on defense. Not enough of an edge to give a TCU team 7 points on a home field where they are solid. TCU is 5-1 ats as a home dog through the years and has won 27 of 31 Saturday games and are 7-0 in November games of late. Klein is expected to play for the Wildcats and they will need him as they didn't do much on offense when he went out of the game last week. One has to wonder how effective he will be. Finally there is a big game 10 system that plays against Kansas State here that has cashed 92% of the time. Take The points with TCU.


Take Vandy, SMU and TCU.

On Saturday the 3 game evening Triple Pack is on Vandy. Game 131 at 7;00 eastern. SMU. Game 176 at 7;00 eastern and TCU. Game 166 at 7:00 eastern. Vandy fits one of my favorite long term road warrior systems that plays on road dogs off a road shut out win. These road warriors are 25-4 to the spread. Vandy is playing good ball right now and has allowed 7 points combined in their last 2 games. They have played solid defense all season. They have covered in 6 of the last 7 trips here at Ole Miss. They are also 11-2 ats in the 2nd of back to back road games. The Rebels took an early lead last week in Georgia then fell apart on both sides of the ball yet again in the 2nd half last week. The Rebels are 1-8 in November and 1-13 straight up vs winning teams. That's enough for me. Take Vandy. Game 2 we have SMU. The Mustangs are in a solid game 10 system here that plays against teams like SO. Miss that went to a bowl game last season and are off a favored loss vs an opponent off a loss as well. SO. Miss had a real shot to get their first win and they were totally demoralized after getting blast ed in the 4th quarter in a loss to UAB. SMU was beat pretty good vs UCF But they have revenge here vs an opponent that is losing by over 20 points on the road. Look for SMU To get the win and cover. In Game 3 I'm playing against Kansas St here and on TCU. While I would love to see a team like K-State get a crack at a Possible championship. I must be realistic and fade them here tonight. Kansas St has slight edges on both sides of the ball 13 yards on offense and 25 on defense. Not enough of an edge to give a TCU team 7 points on a home field where they are solid. TCU is 5-1 ats as a home dog through the years and has won 27 of 31 Saturday games and are 7-0 in November games of late. Klein is expected to play for the Wildcats and they will need him as they didn't do much on offense when he went out of the game last week. One has to wonder how effective he will be. Finally there is a big game 10 system that plays against Kansas State here that has cashed 92% of the time. Take The points with TCU.


Take Vandy, SMU and TCU.

On Saturday the College Football totals system Play is on the Over in the UAB at Marshall game. Rotation numbers 177/178 at 4:30 eastern. This game fits a great totals system I use that pertains to both teams averaging and allowing over 400 yards both on offense and defense. Both these teams can score and cant stop anyone. The total may seem High. However this game could get to 90 points as these two march up and down the field. Marshall scored 47 and allows 48 on the road this season and has flown over in 7 of 8 on Saturday, 6 of 7 with 6 or less days rest and 6 of 7 on Turf. Over the last 3 years 4 of their 5 games lined +3 to -3 have gone over the total. UAB comes in off a comeback win v SO. Miss and should be motivated for this one. They average 37 points here while allowing 33. Look for these two to fly over the total here today. Take Marshall and UAB To play over.

On Saturday the Mountain West Conference Power Play is on New Mexico. Game 158 at 3:30 eastern. New Mexico is a slight dog here and a live one at that. They have a Huge statistical advantage from the point of attack. The Lobos are equipped with a tremendous ground game that averages over 300 yards. The Cowboys have trouble stopping the run and allow over 200 yards per game on the ground. New Mexico has won 10 of the last 13 in the series and 6 of the last 7 here at home. The defenses are virtually even. However Wyoming applies to a very solid play against system that road teams that allow 30 or more points and have trouble stopping the running game. There is a Perfect subset to the system that has cashed 18 straight times. Add in the Wyoming 6-17 ats road favored record including 0-3 of late and we have a solid play here. Look for New Mexico to snap their 3 game losing streak here Today. Take New Mexico.

SEC Play on Florida

acc power play on Miami

EARLY PLAY IOWA ST

On Friday night the Big East Power System Play is on U.Conn. Game 112 at 8:00 eastern. The Panthers are off a Crushing overtime loss to Notre Dame in a game they basically gave away. That loss should have them reeling in this one and it will be hard to get get off the Mat for this one. They also fit a negative first time released system that plays against road favorites of any line if both teams arrive off a road dog loss and covered the spread. U.Conn has revenge in this one and has cashed 5 of the last 6 in November and 20 of 28 at home when the total is 42.5 to 49. The Panthers have lost 3 of the last 4 here and have also lost 5 of the last 7 November games. So we will back the better defensive team and take the 3.5 points with U.Conn Tonight.

On Friday the NBA Power System Side is on the Orlando Magic. Game 504 at 7:05 eastern. The Magic fit a nifty little system that is 7-2 straight up and 9-0 ats for home dogs with 1 day of rest that scored 90 or less on the road, vs an opponent like the Nets that also scored 90 or more as a road dog of 5 or more. Orlando has won the last 7 in this series and is 14-5 in November games and 54-16 vs losing teams. The Nets are 8-20 ats after scoring 85 or less and 2-12 on the road when the total is 195 to 199.5. In games off a loss of 10 or more the Nets are 15-45 straight up. The Magic are a live dog here tonight. Take Orlando.

On Thursday the NFL Power system play is on the Jaguars. Game 106 at 8:25 eastern.The Jaguars are 10-0 ATS since November 2003 vs a divisional opponent when they face another divisional opponent next week. We also want to play against certain road favorites off a home dog win if that road favorite is on a 2+ game win streak. The Colts are a miserable 1-15 to the spread vs team that are .400 or less and have failed 6 of the last 7 in game 9 of the season. The Jags have covered 10 of the last 11 in November games off a double digit ats loss. The Jaguars will look to get their first win against a Colts team they beat earlier in the season on the road. Look for the Jags to stay in this game throughout and I would not be surprised to see them pull off the mild upset. Take the points.

On Thursday the Sun Belt Super Play is on LA. Monroe. Game 109 at 7:00 eastern. LA, Monroe has some impressive road efforts this season in Winning at Arkansas and losing in overtime vs Auburn. They have covered 6 of the last 7 on the road with revenge if they allowed 35 or more in their last game. Arkansas St is just 2-11 ats vs .600 or better conference opponents. Now for a top tier technical system we note that certain conference road dogs are 84-23 ats off a straight up conference home favored loss at -7 or higher, if they lost by 4 or more. The line has gone up over a touchdown with Monroes Qb situation. However the line more than compensates. Statistically this game is even as it gets with Monroe having a slight 4 yard defensive edge and State with a 2 yard offensive edge. However we simply cant trust laying points with an Arkansas St team that is 5-32 vs winning teams. LA. Monroe has home loss revenge in this one as well. Take the points here.

On Wednesday the MAC Power Angle Play is on Ohio U. Game 104 at 8:00 eastern. Ohio Is a solid 8-1 this season and is averaging over 42 points at home this season, compared to Bowling Green who is averaging 15 points on the road. Ohio U has covered 5 of 6 vs winning teams. BGU is 1-9 straight up vs Winning teams and 1-7 since 1992 on the road when the total is 45.5 to 49. In games that are lined +3 to -3 they are 1-4. With Ohio U 6-0 the last 3 years in home games when the total is 45.5 to 49 we will look their way tonight. Take Ohio U tonight

On Tuesday the MAC Power play is on the Over in the Ball. St at Toledo. Rotation numbers 101/102 at 8:00 eastern. This game fits a high flying totals system I Use in games within this totals range when we have 2 teams both averaging and allowing over 450 yards on both sides of the ball. These two should really light it up here tonight. Ball. St has flown over in 5 of 6 in November games, 4 of 5 off 2+ wins and 8 of 12 vs winning teams. Toledo has flown over in 13 of 17 vs a conference opponent if they are off a win and 9 of 11 vs fellow winning teams Toledo averages 36 points per game at home and Ball. St scores and allows over 36 points on the road this season. Look for this one to Fly over the total.

On Monday night the NFC Power House Play is on the Eagles. Game 439 at 8:40 eastern. The Eagles have a tremendous edge on defense here over 130 yards. On Offense the edge for the Saints is minimal, less than 30 yards. The Eagles have far superior angles backing them here tonight as well. Philly has cashed 5 of the last 6 here and is 7-0 ats as a road dog vs a sub .500 opponent off a loss. The Eagles are 10-2 ats on the Monday night road vs an opponent off a loss. The Saints have failed to cover 12 of the last 13 times as a home favorite of eight or less off a loss of 10 or more. On Monday night the Saints have done well. However they are not the same Saints team and are 0-3 ats at home on Monday off a double digit ats loss and have failed to cover 4 of the last 5 at home on Monday night vs an opponent off a straight up and ats loss. The Saints will get their points. However the Eagles will have a much easier time matriculating up and down the field here tonight. Look for a complete effort on offense for an Eagles team that should feast on a Saints team that allows over 20 points just about every week. Take the Points with Philly.

On Sunday night our Selection is on Dallas. Game 437 ay 8;30 eastern.The Falcons are 0-15 ATS since 1989 when they are off a game in which the total was at least 44 points and they scored at least 8.5 points more than their average. Dallas is 9-0 ats vs the NFC South as long as they are not giving 7 or more and will want this one badly after coming back from 23 down only to lose on 2 late field goals to the Giants. The Falcons fit a system here that plays against teams off a win and a bye that have not lost yet this season. The Falcons will get a desperate Dallas team and they will fall to 0-10 ats off back to back teams vs teams under .500. Take Dallas tonight.