The NFC Power house play is on Atlanta. Game 260 at 1:00 eastern. The Falcons fit the exact same system that we cashed with on Philly last week and now moves to 26-0. Play on home dogs of less than 7 that are winning teams off a road  dog win vs an opponent off a home game. The Falcons actually fit a bevy of home dog system variable that pertain to their road dog win. and they are 7-1 ats off a Monday night game. Carolina has revenge and come in off a loss but this will be a tough game for them to win as Atlanta has played better on both sides of the ball. Take the points with Atlanta.

BONUS Teaser Jets, Baltimore, Indy

The 3 team 10 point power teaser. 1. Jets 25-0 on teaser line as a dog on turn off a loss. 2- Baltimore. 28-0 Hone on teaser line after scoring 10 or less points than season to date average. 3- Indy 19-0 on teaser line vs divisional that converted 4 or less 3rd downs.

NFL Members only at 1:00 eastern on Buffalo.

The PAC 12 play is on USC. Game 196 at 8:30 eastern. Arizona St should be wearing Trojans tonight because they will be getting screwed with that defense allowing over 500 yards. Teams that are 4-0 and are installed as road dogs vs teams with a 1-3 records have never covered. Line tells us everything here as USC Rolls in this one.

The College Power system play in the Cincy Bearcats. Game 132 at 7:00 eastern. We are playing against a deflated South Florida team here that came into their game with Florida St undefeated and were blasted by 20. That loss sets them up in a play against system that is 25-3 with a 21-0 subset. USF is 2-4 as a road favorite and 1-5 in the series. Cincy was looking ahead to this game as they have 38 point loss revenge. Play on Cincy plus the points in this game

NCAAF off shore steam move on Middle Tennessee St. Game 137 at 7:05 eastern

SEC Power system play is on Tennessee. Analysis to follow

The Blowout super system Play is on NC. State. Game  109 at 3:30 eastern. From a technical stand point the Wolfpack look solid. They fit one of our favorite blowout systems that pertains to home favorites from -3 to -17 off a 10+ point win vs a team off a +5 or more dog win like Wake Forest. This system has a Perfect subset too. Wake Forest is 0-4 ATS and taking double digits and was all out to upset Indiana last week.  They are 1-12 vs winning teams and 2013 ats 2nd of back to back road. NC. St is rested and ready as they are 18-2 ats in conference with rest. Play on NC. St.

The BIG 12 Banger is on Texas. Game 185 at 12 noon eastern. Texas is 4-1 ats with rest off a loss and 10-1 ats as a big 12 road dog of less than 9. The visitor in this series has covered 7 straight. Ok. St is off a demoralizing loss to Baylor and is 0-5 ats home vs a rested opponent. The system in this game plays on teams off their first loss if they have rest and are off a spread loss of 8 or more and are not laying double digits. The Cowboys are 1-6 off a conference loss and have lost 8 of 9 here in the series. Make it Texas today.

BONUS: The early dog system Play is on Virginia. Game 127 at 12:30 eastern. Duke will likely bounce after a huge upset as a 21 point dog at Notre Dame. In fact teams off a dog win at +20 or more are 7-51 straight up. Also of note is that favorites of 6 or less off a dog win over Notre Dame have failed to cover 8 of 9 times. Virginia has covered 16 of 19 as a dog, 8 of 9 in this line range. Duke is 0-5 ats as a home favor from -3.5 to -10 and has lost 16 of 24 in this series. Take the Points with Virginia.

The Early ACC Power system play is on Miami. Game 157 at high noon. The Hurricanes have covered 6 of 7 in the series and have a huge edge on both sides of the ball. Their defense is allowing only 217 yards per game. GA. Tech is in a nasty 59-10 system that plays against certain teams off their first loss and they are 0-4 ats in their 3rd straight home. Make it Miami.

On Friday the PAC 12 Power system Play is on Stanford. Game 109 at 9:00 eastern on ESPN. Stanford has played a much tougher schedule in their 3 wins than Washington has. Game 4 road teams that are undefeated have won and covered 7 of 8 vs an opponent like Washington that is 4-0 on the year, including 100% perfect as a dog. The Cardinal have won 7 of the last 8 in this series and have covered in 8 of 9 in the 2nd of back to back road games. Washington was able to hold off Arizona in OT last week but his will be much tougher as they are 1-6 with conference revenge. With the Cardinal 5-0 on weekdays and a coach with a 5-0 mark v team who are undefeated. We will back Stanford in this one

The NFL Thursday night Power system play is on the Miami Dolphins. Game 101 at 8:25 eastern. The Dolphins win on Sunday puts them in a big week 4 momentum system that plays on dogs of +1.5 or more that are 1-2 and off a win. These teams are 49-17 to the spread long term. Miami also fits a solid Thursday night system that plays on Thursday night road dogs off a home favored win at -3 or more and ats loss. These teams are covering 80% since 1989. The Dog in Miami games vs AFC North teams is 9-0 ats. The Bengals are 3-22 ats as a favorite with an NFC Game on deck and 1-4 ats on Thursdays off a non division game. tHE dolphins have won 5 of 6 here in Cincy and are taking nearly 8 points in a battle of two teams under .500 Take the points.

Thursday night football power system Play at 8:00 eastern. We are playing on conference home favorites from -10- to -30 off a 40+ points win allowing 10 or less points vs an opponent off a loss. Houston is playing with only loss revenge from last season. and has covered 6 of the last 7. U.Conn is 2-10 ats in September games, and has lost and failed to cover 6 of 7 on Turf. Look for the Cougars to pounce on the Huskies tonight. Play on Houston.

The Monday night Power system Play is on the Atlanta. Falcons. Game 489 at 8:30 eastern. We must side with the better overall team here tonight. Atlanta has covered 9 of 12 as a dog and is 3-1 as a dog of 3 or less. The Saints are 1-8 straight up in September and 0-7 ats vs a division team off a road game where they had no turnovers.. The Saints have failed to cover 9 of 11 as a home favorite. Monday night home teams are winless straight up and ats off a road loss vs an opponent off a road dog win. Favorites in week 3 at -5 or less that scored 30 or less and are not off  a spread loss of 10 or more are 2-10 ats. Play on the Falcons 

The Sunday night NFL Totals play is on the over in the Chicago at Dallas game at 8:30 eastern. This game fits a powerful totals system that is cashing over 95% to the over since 1989 and plays over for road dogs like the Bears with a total of 44 or more off a home loss scoring 21 or less, vs an opponent off a divisional road dog win. These game have averages over 54 points per game. Chicago has played over 10 straight after amassing 300 or less yards as a favorite last out. Dallas has played over 3 straight at home if the total is 42.5 to 45 and 10 of 12 vs NFC North teams. In the series the last 5 have played over. Look for this game to go over.

The NFL Totals system play is on the under in the NY/ Jets at KC Game. Rotation numbers 483/484 at 4:25 eastern. Look for a defensive battle here as both teams have a solid defense. Home favorites like KC at -9.5 or less have played under 17 straight times off a road game where they had 3 or more fumbles with no picks, 3+ punts and did not lose by more than 23 points. The Chiefs are 11-0 under after a game with 28 or less minutes of time of possesion and 10-0 under at home vs a non division team that forces 1.25 or more turnovers per game. Play this one under today

Members only play on the Chargers at 4:25 eastern

The Non Conference power plays is on the Philadelphia Eagles,Game 481 at 4:25 eastern.  The Eagles will be flying high today off their big Monday night win. Today they fit a 25-0 subset of one our favorite times tested systems. We want to play on week 2-4 home dogs of more than 1 point off  anon division road win, vs an opponent off a home win. The Steelers are 0-3 ats here. These two played in the preseason and watching the tape the Eagles starters dominated the Steelers on the road in that game and now they are underdogs. Pittsburgh is 0-16 ats as a favorite off a home win vs a team forcing 1.25 or more turnovers per game. Home dogs off back to back wins the last as a road dog are 10-1 ats. The Steelers are 0-6 ats as a road favorite on grass off a win. The Eagles are 11-0 ats as a dog of +3.5 or more off if they scored between 24 and 42 points last out.  Take the points with Philly

The Early totals play is on the under in the Cleveland at Miami game. Rotation numbers 469/470 at 1:00 eastern Several big under indicators apply to this game. Week 3 winless non division road dogs are 21 of 24 under if the total is 39.5 or higher. AFC non division home favorites are 100% under if both teams arrive off a division loss. Home favorites of 9 or more off back to back road losses are 100% to the over. Miami is 4/5 under after allowing 31 or more. The offensively inept Browns are 7 of 7 under at +7.5 or higher. In the series the last 3 have stayed under. Look for Miami to play much better on defense and look for both teams to have trouble scoring. Play the under.

The Early Power system play is on  the Washington Redskins game 471 at 1:00 eastern. Washington is 6-0 ats as a dog off a straight up and ats loss and will give their best here trying not to fall to 0-3. The Giants have been winning close and should not be laying this many here. Week 1- 3 division dogs vs a team with revenge have been big spread winners long term. These 0-2 dogs in week 3 are 12-2 ats vs teams that are undefeated if they are off 2 spread losses. Take the points with Washington.

BONUS TEASER

The 3 team 10 point teaser of the week- Miami as we play on home favorites of 7 or more that are 0-2- 100% situation on teaser line.  NY Jets- 19-0 on teaser line on grass off a come from behind win. Green bay- The Lions are 0-21 on the teaser line as a dog of 7 or more after out gaining their last opponent.

The Pac 12 power system play is on Arizona St. Game 402 at 10:00 eastern on ESPN 2 California is 0-7 ats as a road dog of 6 or less vs an opponent with a win percentage of .600 or higher. They have failed to cover 7 of the last 10 here against Arizona st. The Sun Devils started slow and did enough late win at Texas San Antonio. They are 8-1 ats as a home favorite of 13 or less with revenge off back to back wins. To tie in one of our power systems we are playing on conference dogs or favorites of 6 or less off a win vs an opponent off a win of 7 or more as a home dog and scored 35 or more and allowed 17 or more. Cal will bounce off the big home dog win over Texas. Play on Arizona St.

Big 12 banger is on Oklahoma St. Game 349 at 7:30 eastern. The Cowboys bounced back nicely last week with a win over a solid PITT Team after getting shafted at home to Central Michigan. They return 16 starters from a 10 win team and have covered 8 of 10 in the series with Baylor. They also have 10 point home loss revenge, they are 4-0 ats on the road with conference revenge and have covered 7 of 8 before taking on Texas. Baylor has failed to cover 3 of 4 as a conference home favorite of 10 or less and 7 of 9 after taking on Rice. Finally game 4 road teams are 10-1 ats since 1980 in their first road game with revenge vs an undefeated conference opponent that did not cover by 10 or more last out. Baylor has played a much softer schedule. The points are the play with Oklahoma St.

NCAAF Off shore steam sharp money jumbo buy order on Troy. Game 356 at 7:00 eastern. This game was nailed hard and also has a 27-3 angle that applies. Major move on Troy tonight.

The Afternoon dog is on Texas San Antonio. Game 379 at 3:30 eastern.  We are playing against Old Dominion here tonight as they fit 2 play against system that pertain to short home favorites off 2+ losses allowing 40+ points vs teams off a win that scored 35 or more. Old Dom is 0-7 ats off a loss. UTSA has pled tougher teams and nearly knocked of Arizona St last week. They have home loss revenge here and look like a dog with bite that win win outright. Take UTSA

The Early College Blowout side is on Minnesota. Game 334 at high noon. The Gophers are rested and ready going 5-0 ats off  a bye week. They are 8-0 with 7 spread win vs Mountain West teams and qualify in a powerful system that plays on game 3 non conference teams that are 2-0 with rest vs an opponent with at least 1 win like Colorado St. The Rams were blown out by the one decent team they face in Colorado.  With Minnesota in a big system and having won all 3 in this series, it looks like a Long day for Colorado St. Make it Minnesota.

The Big 10 Power play is on Wisconsin. Game 361 at 12 non eastern. The Badgers overlooked last weeks game and nearly were beat by Georgia St. Now they have their heads on straight for this big one with a Michigan St team fresh off a big upset win at Notre Dame. They are 6-0 ats in the 1st of back to back road games if getting 3 or more. The Spartans are 1-4 in games threes and 0-5 ats as a conference home favorite off a Notre Dame. Teams off a win vs the Irish are 1-7 ats if they were dogs and are now favorites of 6 or less. Play on Wisconsin.

The Friday night under the lights college football power angle play is on Wyoming. Game307 at 7:30 eastern. Wyoming has major revenge for a 48-29 home loss to Eastern Michigan last year and they are a better team this season. They have played a tougher schedule and have a solid win over Northern Illinois. The Cowboys are 5-1 as a road favorite of 3 or less. Eastern Michigan is off a road win at Charlotte but are 0-9 vs winning teams and 3-16 with 6 or less days of rest. Even worse is their 1-14 spread mark off a non conference win. Lay the small numbers with Wyoming tonight.

The BONUS CFL Totals system play is on the Under in the Toronto at Ottawa game at 7:)0 eastern. This game fits a powerful totals system we use in CFL Action that has won63 of 83 times long term and pertains to road teams and turnovers ratios. Play this game under.

The NFL power system play is on the Houston Texans. Game 301 at 8:25 eastern. The Public will flock to Houston tonight and they may be on the right side here. Sharp money coming down on The Patriots from those who may be out smarting themselves thinking The Patriots can win regardless of who is at QB. Houston has a 130+ yards defensive edge and that is the story of this game. The Texans defense will be tough on whoever is playing for the Patriots. In fact Thursday night home dogs are 0-7 off a home win since 1989 and Thursday home teams with a line of -3 to +3 are 1-9 straight up and ats on Thursdays if they scored 28 or more at home last out. Houston is 13-2 as a favorite and have 21 point home loss revenge from last year. The Patriots are 0-9 ATS when they are off a home game and they had at least 32 minutes of possession time in each of their last two games. Play on Houston.

The Thursday night College Football Play is on the Clemson Tigers. Game 303 at 7:30 eastern. Clemson has played the tougher schedule and has won 21 straight on grass fields. That does not bode well for a GA.Tech team that is 1-9 to the spread in their last 9 losses. The Yellow Jackets offense is predicated on running the ball. This will be tough against a Clemson team that is excellent vs the run allowing just 2.6 yards per carry. The Tigers are better on both sides of the ball and they will be tough to stop on offense for a Tech team that has seen 3 of the weakest offensive teams in the country. Look for Clemson to get out early and put Tech into a situation where they have to play catch up. Something they don't do well. Play on Clemson.

The Monday night Power system Play is on the Philadelphia Eagles. Game 289 at 8:30 eastern, The Bears are 0-12 ATS at home after a game in which they had a rushing touchdown and did not win by 24 plus points and 1-9 ats before taking on Dallas. The Eagles are 8-0 ats on grass on Monday nights and have covered 11 of 13 on Monday nights off a 10+ ats win last out. For the perfect system we play AGAINST Monday night home teams in the first 4 weeks of the season off a road loss where they scored 14 or less vs an opponent off a home favored win. These home teams are winless since 1989. While we are aware of the negative trend that coaches have in the NFL in games 2/S off a large spread win, The Eagles have the more talented team and appear to be better on both sides of the ball. Take the points.

The sunday night power system play si on the Minnesota Vikings. Game 288 at 8:35 eastern. Minnesota fits a divisional system we use in early season play that plays on dogs vs an opponent with revenge..The Vikings are 13-0 ats as a dog off a road game where they allowed 22+ first downs They have covered 14 of 19 as a dog. Green Bay is 1-4 in Domes. The Packers are 0-10 ATS when they are from pick to a four-point favorite and they are off a game in which they allowed 300-plus yards passing.The Vikings are 20-0 ATS after any game in which Rhett Ellison did not have a reception over 10 yards.. Make it Minnesota plus the points.

                 The AFC Later afternoon side is on the Colts. Game 281 at 4:25 eastern. The Broncos are 0-19 to the spread as a home favorite if they are averaging 4.235 or yards per carry. Since 1980 home favorites of 7 or more off a home dog spread win by less than 24 points vs a team that is less than .500 are 1-13 to the spread since 1980. The Colts are 7-1 ats on the road off a loss and 9-0 ats in the series. Play the Colts plus the points

NFL Members only on Atlanta plus the points

The Divisional late afternoon banger system side is on the LA. Rams. Game 280 at 4:05 eastern. Expect a much better game from the Rams here today after the 28-0 Monday night road loss. They beat Seattle at home in each of the last 2 years and they qualify in a early season divisional dog system. Seattle is 0-9 ats on the road off a home win if they had more punts then 3rd down conversions. The Rams are 11-0 ats at home vs a team getting 68% or more of their first downs through the air. Seattle scored late with a still hobbling QB in Wilson giving all those in survivor pools a heart attack. Rams get a little more on offense and hang around for the Cover.

The NFL Power dog is on the Tennessee Titans. Game 261 at 1:00 eastern. The Titans have won 5 of 6 in the series and all 3 here in Detroit. They should play better here against a Lions team that fits a fall flat system that plays against game 2 teams off a dog win that scored 35 or more. These teams are 3-15 ats and 0-6 ats if the opponent is off a home loss scoring 21 or less. The Lions are 1-10 straight up vs AFC South teams and the Titans are 3-9 in their first game as a road dog. Take Tennessee

BONUS Teaser

NFL 3 TEAM 10 POINT TEASER OF THE WEEK- Carolina 17-0 teaser line home off  a road gameKC 17-0 Teaser line off a win where they were out gained. Arizona 13-0 home on teaser line off a home loss

The AFC North totals system play is on the over in the Cincy at Pitt game. Rotation numbers 269/270 at 1:00 eastern. One of the better week 2 totals systems is in effect here today and it plays over conference teams in game 2 off a double digit road win like the Steelers vs a conference opponent if the total is 35 or more. The Steelers are off a big road favored win on Monday night cashing big for us. Both teams moved the ball well last week. The Steelers are 6 of 7 over as a home favorite from -3.5 to -7. They are 12-0 over home off an 8+ point win vs an opponent off a road win. Play this one over the total

The Late night system snacker is on California.Game 206 at 10:30 eastern. The Golden Bears have put up 90+ points the last 2 weeks and now they have their home opener vs Texas, a team they beat by 1 on the road last year. Texas has a big home loss revenger with OK. St up next and they are 0-3 straight up and ats on the road when the total is 70 or more. California is 3-0 ats as a home dog from 7.5 to +10. They have put up over 600+ yards the past 2 weeks. Finally road favorites like the Long horns are 0-7 ats off a win of 29+ points if they are 2-0 on the year. Play on California.

The NCAAF off shore steam jumbo move is on Oklahoma. Game 192 at 7:30 eastern. This game was hit with a big buy order. From the system library we also note that,college football road favorites in Game Three of the season who have won and covered in the first 2 games of the year are 0-8 ATS since 1976 when facing a team off a game 2 win of more than 29 points.

Bonus MLB Game 974 at 8.05 eastern. The Rangers are 31-0 SU as a favorite of more than 175 when opponents starter has a strike-per-ball ratio less than 1.595 on the season. Oakland is Texas toast tonight.

The blowout system is on SO. Miss. The Golden Eagles fit a powerful system here tonight that plays on home favorites from -2 to -33 that scored 40+ points in a home shutout win vs a team off a loss. They are 2-0 and Troy will bounce off a close loss to Clemson. Play on SO. Miss

The non conference power system play is on Michigan. St. Game 186 at 7:30 eastern on NBC. The Spartans are 8-0 ats with revenge off a win and 10-2 ats off a home win in a game  that was unlined. The Irish are 0-5 ats at home off a bye and have failed to cover 12 of 14 times as a favorite of 6 or more vs a Big 10 school. The Irish return just 10 starters. Michigan St is 7-0 to the spread on the road vs a team off back to back wins and covers. Finally game 2 non conference teams that won 10+ games last year have covered all but one time since 1980 vs a team that allowed 14+ points and covered the spread. Play on Michigan St tonight

The NCAAF Road warrior is on Western Michigan. Game 114 at 4:00 eastern. MAC Conference road favorites are 4-0 straight up and ats vs BIG 10 teams. The Broncos already beat a tougher Northwestern squad on the road in their opener and are 8-1 ats in september games and 7-0 ats on the road after scoring 35 or more. They have covered 15 of 20 on Saturday and are 4-0 ats on the road with a 52 to to 56 point total. Illinois has failed to cover 7 of 10 vs MAC Teams. Play the points with Western Michigan.

The Early Blowout side is on Marshall. Game 166 at 12 noon eastern. Marshall should maul Akron here today. They won their opener by 62 setting them up in a huge system that plays on home teams from -2 to to -33 that scored 40+ points in a home shutout win vs a team off a loss. The Herd also fit a solid blowout system that cashed big for us last week on Miami that pertains to home favorites off a win of 60 or more vs a team off a loss. Marshall is an excellent home team and has covered the last 6 home wins. Akron was whipped by Wisconsin and may be one of the worst team in the nation with just 7 returning starters. They are 1-7 ats as a road dog in this range and 0-3 ats vs Conference USA teams. Marshal is 3-0 ats vs MAC Teams and has won and covered every meeting here vs Akron. Make it Marshall today

The College football totals play is on the over in the Arkansas St at Utah St game. Rotation numbers 109/110 at 9:00 eastern. Both teams were blown out last week and are back here on short rest. Arky St allowed 700+ yards on the road last week and they have played over in 18 of the last 22 and 16 of 22 on turf. On the road if the total is 49.5 to 56 they are a perfect 4-0 to the over. They return 6 offensive starter from last year. Utah St put up over 520+ yards in their first home game and has 10 returning starters on offense and should move the ball in this one. The Aggies have flown over in 10 of 11 at home and 11 of 14 when on short rest. Look for this game to play over the total.

The Thursday night double system side is on Buffalo. Game 102 at 8:25 eastern. The Bills with the line move as an underdog fit a system we use for the first 3 weeks of the season that pertains to certain dogs vs an opponent with revenge. The Bills also fit s aThursday night specific system that plays on home teams on Thursday off a road dog loss vs an opponent off a home dog loss. These teams are 6-0 straight up and ats since 1989. The Bills are 5-0 in the series, 7-1 after scoring 10 or less, 5-1 first of back to back home and 9-2 ats in game 2 at home. They are a fabulous 12-0 ats on turf off a loss if they made first downs on 25% or less of their offensive plays. The Jets are off  a heart breaking loss and now must get ready just 4 days later for a tough divisional road game. The Jets are 3-7 on Thursdays. Play on the Bills.

 The Thursday night NCAAF Power Play is on Cincinatti. Game 104 at 7:30 eastern. The Bear Cats are 5-0 at home in this series and 4-1 ats as a home dog of +7.5 to +10. They have covered 5 of 2 off 7+ wins and 11 of 15 in Conference play. In game 3 at home they have covered 6 of 7. Houston is a solid team and brings back 8 defensive starters, the same as Cincy. The line is a bit over inflated here with The Houston win over Oklahoma in week 1. They scrimmaged against Lamar last week and now will face a big road test. They are going into revenge. The Cougars may get the win, but this game should be a close down to the wire affair. Take the Points with Cincy

The Late night snacker system is on the SF. 49ers Game 482 at 10:20 eastern. SF is 10-0 ats vs division teams on grass on Monday nights. The Rams are 0-9 ats as a favorite in the first games and 1-6 ats in the first division road game. The Niners are 5-1 ats as a home dog and have covered 8 of 9 at home on Mondays Now for a solid system that dates to 1970. Play on Home dogs in week 1 Monday night games if they are getting less than 5 points. This system is 13-41 to the spread. Play on SF Tonight.

The Monday night football Totals play is on the under in the Pittsburgh at Washington game 479/480 ay 7:10 eastern. This game fits a solid totals system that  plays under for Non division week 1 road favorites  with a total that is 44 or more are 15-1 under. The Steelers are  6 of under as road favorites, 8 of 9 under on the road with a total of 48 or more and 7 of 8 under vs NFC East teams. Washington is 4 of 4 under as a non division home dog of 3 or more and 6 of 7 under on Monday nights. In the series all 5 games have stayed under. Look for this one to go under tonight.

The Monday night banger system play is on Pittsburgh. Game 479 at 7:10 eastern.  a big banger system takes center stage in this game and plays against week 1 dogs that lost in the first round of the playoffs last year with a total of 37.5 or higher. These dogs have been down right dismal. Washington is in that role tonight. These dogs are 0-22 ats. The Skins are 1-8 ats at home on Monday nights. The Steelers are 5-0 in this series. Play on Pittsburgh tonight.

The Divisional totals system play is on the under in the SD at KC Game. Rotation numbers 463/464 at 1:00 eastern. This game has several totals indicators pointing to the under. In week1 games teams who were 11-5 or better taking on teams who won 5 or less games have stayed under 91% long term. In division games where a home favorite is laying 6 or more and the total is 42.5 or higher the games have stayed under 96% of the time. In the series the last 4 have stayed under with an average 30 points scored. KC is 8 of 8 under as a home favorite with a 42+ point total and 5 of 5 before Houston. They are 7-0 under at -7 or more vs a team with the same record. SD is 8 of 9 under with a total of less than 49 and 6-0 under before playing Jacksonville. Play this one under.

The non conference power total is on the under in the Green Bay at Jacksonville game. Rotation numbers 469/470 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits a never lost non conference opening week totals system that plays under for road favorites like the Packers in games where the total is 44 or more. There is also a secondary system that plays under for week 1 matchups between teams who won 5 or less taking on teams who went 11-5 or better. This system is clicking long term around 91%. The Packers are 4 of 5 under in 1st of back to back road and 6 of 7 at -4 or more. The Jags are 6 of 7 under as a dog of 3-7. Play this one under the total.

BONUS: The NFL Teaser of the week 3- teams 10 points
Seattle to pick- Seahawks are 17-0 on a teaser line at home vs non division teams with the same record.
NYG to +10 Giants are 29-0 as a pick or dog on a 10 point teaser line vs division teams  who had less wins last year than they did
Baltimore to +7. The Ravens are 33-0 at home on a 10 point teaser with 2 road games up next

The road warrior system side is on GA. Southern.Game 375 at 7:00 eastern. GA, Southern has covered 5 of 7 as a road favorite, 8 of 10 in September and 14 of 17 with 6 or less days rest. South Alabama is off a massive win as a 28 point dog at Miss St. Yet is getting a ton of points here. Thats because home dogs or favorites of 6 or less have been big money burners off a +14 or more road dog win vs an opponent  with a win percentage of .800 or higher. South Alabama was in this system just last year with a big win at SD. St then failed miserably at home in their next game. They have lost both meetings in this series by at 22+ points and are likely to bounce once again. Play on Georgia Southern

The evening blowout is on Miami Florida. Game 366 at 6:00 eastern. The Canes are clicking on all cylinders under new coach Richt and fit a powerful system here tonight  that plays on game 2 home teams off a home win of 60+ points. These teams are 14-2 ats if they are laying 21 or more points at home. Miami put up over 500 yards last week while Florida Atlantic allowed over 500. Miami wins big.

The Afternoon dominator is on Indiana Game 324 at 4:00 eastern. The Hoosiers fit one of our best blowout systems that plays on home teams to -18 that are off a 10+ point win and are taking on an opponent off a dog win at +5 or more. These teams are 66-14 long term. Additionally teams like Ball St with new coaches in game 2 are 0-37 and 9-28 ats if they were a dog in game 1. Indiana has covered in 15 of their last 16 straight up wins. Tough spot here for Ball. St off their big road dog win over G. State, now they go into a big 10 venue and will likely get smoked. Play on Indiana

The afternoon dog is on Akron. Game 329 at 3:30 eastern. Coach Bowden has covered 6 of 8 vs teams who win 87% or more of their games is his team is a road dog. Wisconsin is off a massive upset win over LSU which saw them take a tremendous jump into the polls, the biggest in recent years. Now comes the flat spot as Non conference game 2 favorites off a +10 or more dog win have failed to cover 80% over the last 36 seasons. In the series Wisky has won both but failed to beat the spread. The Badgers win this one but Akron stays within the inflated number.

SEC Power system play on Florida at 3:30 eastern

The Early dog is on Rice. Game 309 at 12 noon eastern.  Rice has covered 5 of the last 6 off their initial loss and 4-0 straight up in the series vs Army. The Cadets are a lousy 5-19 ats as favorites of -7.5 or more and have lost 18 straight when playing off a win. They are 0-3 vs Conference USA teams. Non conference game 2 favorites off a dog win at +10 or more are an 80% play against the last 36+ years. Army sprung a massive upset over Temple. Today they are in a tough spot any laying too many points to a Rice team that will rebound off their loss to Western Kentucky. Play on Rice

The Early blowout play is on Michigan. Game 314 at 12 noon eastern. Harbaugh has his team tuned up for a big year and game 2 home teams off a home win where they scored more than 59 points are 14-2 ats long term if they won more than 9 games last year. UCF is overmatched and will struggle to move the ball against this vaunted Michigan defense. Make it Michigan wire to wire.

The early totals play is on the under in the Penn. St at Pittsburgh game on ESPN. Rotation numbers 319/320 at 12 noon eastern. This game fits a powerful totals system we used last week going 3-1 and is now 27-2 overall for playing games under in this totals range in the first two weeks of the season when we have 2 teams that lost their last 2 games to end last season, The lions are 6 of 7 under as a road dog from +3.5 to +7. Both teams were solid on defense last week and struggled moving the ball. Look for a lower scoring game that plays under the total.

The Opening night NFL System Play is on the Denver Broncos. Game 452 at 8:30 eastern. The Defending champs are dogs here at home after winning the super bowl. However all of the statistical data is in their favor tonight. The Broncos are 7-1 on Thursdays and 5-0 ats as a dog. They are 3-0 straight up as a home dog of 3 or less since 1992. Super Bowl losers like Carolina are 1-8 ats s a road favorite in game 1 the last 30+ years. The Panhers are 1-4 in the series and Super bowl champs are 13-2 in week 1 and 15-0 when playing on Thursday night.  Look for the Broncos to get the cover.

The Monday night Power system play is on Florida St. Game 212 at 8:00 eastern on ESPN.These two meets for the first time since 1961. The Seminoles are loaded with 16 returning starters and 57 lettermen. OLE. Miss was ravaged by the draft and return just 8 starters. The Rebels retunr the SEC Top Qb in Kelly, however They will be at a big disadvantage on the offensive line as they break in an entire new unit. The Seminoles have won and covered both times playing on a Monday and are 6-1 ats as road favorites of 16 or less. Thus is a neutral site game but the is being pled in Florida. Teams like the Seminoles have won and covered every time the last 30+ years if they lost a bowl game while laying a touchdown or more provided they are not heavy favorites laying more than 9.5 in this game. With the Noles 10-0 ats as a non conference favorite of 6 or less. Look for Florida St to get the win and cover

The Sunday night College Football selection is on Notre Dame at 7:30 eastern on ABC. Notre Dame was a 10 win team last season and has won and covered 5 straight as a favorite from -3.5 to -10. They have covered 4 of 5 as a favorite vs BIG 12 teams like Texas and 3 of the last 4 in their initial game of the season. They smashed Texas last year by 30+ points. Texas may have revenge but they do not possess the same fire power as Notre Dame and are 0-8 with just 2 spread wins as a home dog from +3.5 to +7 and are 0-3 in home games if the total is 56.5 to 63. Notre Dame has won all 3 meetings in this series. Look for the Irish to win and cover the spread tonight.

The late night system snacker is on Wyoming. Game 208 at 10:30 eastern. Wyoming has won 13 of the last 14 in their initial home game of the season and is loaded with returning starters this year. Expect improvements on both sides of the ball. Home dogs in game 1 of the season that have more than 16 returning starters have covered over 90% vs non conference opponents that were winning teams. Northern Illinois has failed to cover 4 of 5 vs Mountain West Conference teams and have lost 19 of 19 times in their opening road game of the season. Look for a tight game tonight. Play on Wyoming plus the points.

NCAAF Play on SMU. Game 169 at 7:00 eastern Smu returns 16 starters and will be improved this season. They take on a young North Texas teams that has failed to cover 4 of 5 at home if the total is 63 to 70 and 6 of 7 in this range. SMU has covered 3 of 4 as a road favorite from -7.5 to -10. North Texas is in a negative system that plays against certain home team with a first year coach that won 5 or less games last season Play on SMU tonight.

The NCAAF Dog with bite that can win outright is on UCLA. Game  185 at 3;30 eastern on CBS. The Bruins fit a solid first game system that has covered 35 of 42 times and plays on road dogs of more than 3 up to 10 that were winning teams last year and went to a bowl game. UCLA is 7-0 vs SEC Teams and has won 7 of the last 10 initial games. The Aggies of Texas A@M have failed to cover 6 of 8 as a non conference favorite in this line range. Play on UCLA

The College totals play is on the under in the Kent at Penn St game. Rotation numbers 163/164 at 3:30 eastern. This game fits one of our finest totals system that plays to the under for games in this totals range and both team losing their final 2 games of last season. Penn St breaks in a new Qb as Hackenbust is now with the Jets. The Lions are 14 of 18 under vs MAC Teams and 6 of 8 in September. Kent has gone under in 7 of 10 as a road dog from 14 to 22. In the series both games have played under and that what we will recommend today.

The BONUS NCAAF Dog with bite that can win outright is on UCLA. Game  185 at 3;30 eastern on CBS. The Bruins fit a solid first game system that has covered 35 of 42 times and plays on road dogs of more than 3 up to 10 that were winning teams last year and went to a bowl game. UCLA is 7-0 vs SEC Teams and has won 7 of the last 10 initial games. The Aggies of Texas A@M have failed to cover 6 of 8 as a non conference favorite in this line range. Play on UCLA

The Early Blowout super system play is on West Virginia. Game 166 at 12 noon eastern. The Mounties are off a big bowl win and bring back 9 offensive starters to a team that will put up big numbers again this season. They have covered 5 straight lined openers. Missouri is a shell of what they have been in years past and have lost 21 of 29 to Big 12 teams. For our system we are playing against losing teams from last year with a new coach in first road games. We can add a subset or two to really makes this one pop. Look for West Virginia to get the cover.

The College Football totals system play is on the Under in the Army at Temple game. Rotation numbers147/148 at 7:00 eastern. This game fits a solid early season totals system that pertains to games where both teams lost their last 2 games last year and open up this year in this totals range in the 40/s. Army has gone under in 4 of 5 on the road as a a dog from +14.5 to +17, 4 of the last 5 on grass and the last 3 on the road with a total from 42-49. Temple has played under on 7 of the last 8 non conference games and 4 of the last 5 in September. Army could struggle to score against a solid Temple run defense and uses a run game that burns a lot of game clock. Army should play better on defense against what is considered to be an average Temple offense.

The NCAAF Dominator system is on Western Kentucky. Game 140 at 8;00 eastern. The Hilltoppers are off a solid season and open up with Rice a team they smashed on the road last year by 39 points. WKU has been a covering machine in early conference games and has covered 6 of 8 on Thursday, 9 of 12 at home and 4 straight as a favorite from -10.5 to -21. Rice has failed to cover 9 of 11 as a road dog from +14.5 to +17 and 5 of 7 on Thursday. WKU also fits a powerful opening month system that plays on teams who had a triple digit yardage improvement on defense and won at least 3 games last seasons. If we add in a subset or two this ones gets close to perfect. Play on Western Kentucky

The BONUS  MLB Totals system play is on the under in the Chicago at Minnesota game. Rotation numbers 957/958 at 8:10 eastern. This game fits a never lost totals system that plays under for home dogs with a total of 8 or less that scored less thna 5 runs and lost as a +200 or higher road dog vs an opponent like Chicago that lost on the road and scored 2 or less runs. Quintana for the Sox has pitched under in 20 of 25 starts and has a solid 2.82 road Era. Santana for The Twins and has a respectable 3.86 home Era. Look for this one to stay under the total

The NCAAF Totals system Play is on The under in the Tulane at Wake Forest game. Rotation numbers 137/138 at 7:00 eastern. Expect a low scoring bore in this one between what looks to be two anemic offensive squads has just 4 returning starters on offense and Wake Forest has a solid defense. This game also fits a 24-1 totals system that pertains to both teams off multiple losses to end last season in this totals range. Play this one under the total.

The Bonus Pro Bowl play is on the Under in the Team Irvin vs Team Rice game. In years past the NFL Pro Bowl game was a high flying game with plenty of scoring. However with the addition of the new Rules changes these games have started to play to a lower scoring game. We will back the under.

The NFL Totals play is on the Over in the Arizona at Carolina game. Rotation numbers  313/314 at 6:45 eastern. This game fits a Powerful Championship totals system that pertains to games with totals that are 45 or more with 2 teams that average over 30+ points per game. Which is what we have in this game. Simulation models show this one in the mod 50/s tonight. Carolina has gone over every time vs winning teams, 10 of 13 vs Conference opponents and 6 of 8 at home. Arizona has played over all 3 times if the line is +3 to -3, 7 of 10 on the road where they average 32 per game and all 3times on the road if the total is 45.5 to 49. These two played last year and scored 43 total points and that was with Arizona playing with a 4th string Qb. Carson Palmer should play much better in this one and this should be a very entertaining game. Take the Over.

The AFC Championship play is on the Denver Broncos. Game 312 at 3:05 eastern. The Broncos are an upset alert on the simulation model which has cashed 90% to the spread the last 5 years. Denver knows they are getting no respect here as a 1 seed taking points at home over a team they already beat this season. The Broncos have covered 6 of 7 vs the Patriots if they won their last game. The Patriots have lost 6 of 7 to the Broncos if they won and covered last out. Super Bowl Champs that are away from home and scored 25 or more points are 0-5 straight up and ats. Patriots have revenge but have lost and failed to cover the last 3 times in that role in post season play. The Broncos are 5-1 at home as a dog if they won at least their last two. They fit a championship round system that plays on teams wit the better statistical defense and allowed fewer points. The Patriots have lost 7 of their last 10 road post season games. New England was beat bad in the first game as Denver ran all over them. They will likely try and take the run game away and for Peyton Manning to throw to beat them. Denver may come out and use the pass to set up the run in this game. Denver was average at best last week in Mannings first full game back and appeared to be hurt with the bye week more than helped. They should drop less ball here and be much more efficient this week. The Patriots took full advantage of the bye wee and were ready and took down a Tired looking Kansas City team that had won 11 straight. Things get more difficult in this one. Take the points with Denver.

On Saturday the bonus College Football showcase game is on Team National at 6:00 eastern. The American vs National game was Founded in 2012, this annual game gives prospective NFL players the best opportunity to showcase their talents to NFL Teams and fans. In 2015, scouts from every NFL club and other professional football leagues attended the NFLPA Collegiate Bowl’s practices and game. This 2016 game pits Team Martz vs Team Holmgren for a 2nd straight year. In this game we will side with Team national who has the deeper overall roster, chocked with several solid players

The NFL Totals play is on the Under in the Steelers at Broncos Game. Rotation numbers  307/308 at 4:40 eastern. This game fits a short turn around totals system which reversed the totals result of the first game between 2 teams that met in a 4 week or less span. These two hooked up a few weeks ago and went over the total. Today we can expect a much lower scoring game as the Steelers know they have to play great defense to stay in this one. Manning will get his first full start in weeks and could be a tad off. Denver has stayed under in 4 of 5 with rest, 4 of 4 as home favorite and 6 of 8 off 2+ wins. The Steelers have gone under in 9 of 13 conference games, 7 of 9 as a dog and 7 of 9 on the road. Both teams allow less than 95 yards per game. Look for this game to stay under today.

The NFC Divisional power system play is on Denver.Game 308 at 4:40 eastern. The Broncos have revenge for a 7 point loss in Pittsburgh in a game where they played without their top 2 corner backs. The Steelers are off a tough road divisional win to get here and teams playing a 4th straight road game are winless straight up and to the spread losing by an average 25-11 score. Denver is 5-0 straight up and ats vs the Steelers with revenge. Any home team with revenge in their first game is 26-2 and is 22-4-1 to the spread if they lost as a favorite in the playoffs last year. We also have a 3rd system that plays on teams off back to back spread losses. The Steelers have a banged up Ben who could be one hit away from getting removed from the game and will not have Antonio Brown. Peyton is back and should be ready to go. Take Denver.

The Sunday NFC Divisional power play is on Carolina. Game 306 at 1:00 eastern. The line on this game is dropping everywhere since Marshawn Lynch is probable.. However, Carolina has the better overall team and will most likely play better, Cam Newton will match Russell Wilson and Carolina at home should be better on defense. The Panthers won by 4 at Seattle and Cam Newton is 5-0 vs opponents with a .750 or higher win percentage. Seattle has lost both times as a road dog of 3 or less. They are here, due to a missed 27 yard field goal by the Vikings. This Carolina team on the road will be their toughest challenge all season. Carolina is 6-1 straight up and to the spread as a home favorite of 3 or less. Carolina is 8-0 at home and averages 33 points per game here. The simulation model has them winning. Play on Carolina.

The Evening NFL Divisional play is on the Green Bay Packers. Game 303 at 8:15 eastern. The Packers qualify in the massive 19-0 banger system below that is week 19 specific and dates to 2004. We are playing on dogs of less than 9 in week 19 that allowed less than 20 points last week. won 10 or more games on the season and their opponent scored 34 or less points and the total is 46 or higher or 42.5 or less. These dogs are 10-9 straight up with 19 covers. The Packers were smoked here by 30 just a few weeks ago. After the game Packer Qb Rogers was still adamant that the Packers could beat the Cardinals. Now he gets to put his money where his mouth is. The Good news is that the Pack have covered both games with revenge. Arizona has failed to cover 4 of 5 vs winning teams. The Cardinals may win but this, but this one will be much closer than the first game here. Go with Green Bay.

SU:
10-9-0

ATS:
19-0-0
Final

Team 22.1

Opp 20.6
 
Jan 10, 2004   Saturday  19  2003  Titans  Patriots  away  7-7  0-7  7-0  0-3  14-17  6.0  37.0  -3  3.0  -6.0  -1.5  -4.5  L  W  U  0 
Jan 11, 2004   Sunday  19  2003  Colts  Chiefs  away  14-3  7-7  10-14  7-7  38-31  3.5  49.5  7  10.5  19.5  15.0  4.5  W  W  O  0 
Jan 15, 2005   Saturday  19  2004  Jets  Steelers  away  0-10  10-0  7-0  0-7  17-20  8.5  35.0  -3  5.5  2.0  3.8  -1.8  L  W  O  1 
Jan 15, 2006   Sunday  19  2005  Panthers  Bears  away  7-0  9-7  7-7  6-7  29-21  3.0  31.5  8  11.0  18.5  14.8  3.8  W  W  O  0 
Jan 13, 2007   Saturday  19  2006  Colts  Ravens  away  6-0  3-3  3-0  3-3  15-6  4.0  40.5  9  13.0  -19.5  -3.2  -16.2  W  W  U  0 
Jan 13, 2007   Saturday  19  2006  Eagles  Saints  away  0-3  14-10  7-14  3-0  24-27  5.5  48.0  -3  2.5  3.0  2.8  0.2  L  W  O  0 
Jan 14, 2007   Sunday  19  2006  Seahawks  Bears  away  0-7  14-14  10-0  0-3  24-27  8.5  37.0  -3  5.5  14.0  9.8  4.2  L  W  O  1 
Jan 14, 2007   Sunday  19  2006  Patriots  Chargers  away  3-0  7-14  3-0  11-7  24-21  4.5  46.5  3  7.5  -1.5  3.0  -4.5  W  W  U  0 
Jan 13, 2008   Sunday  19  2007  Chargers  Colts  away  0-7  7-3  14-7  7-7  28-24  8.0  48.5  4  12.0  3.5  7.8  -4.2  W  W  O  0 
Jan 13, 2008   Sunday  19  2007  Giants  Cowboys  away  7-0  7-14  0-3  7-0  21-17  7.0  47.0  4  11.0  -9.0  1.0  -10.0  W  W  U  0 
Jan 10, 2009   Saturday  19  2008  Ravens  Titans  away  7-7  0-0  0-0  6-3  13-10  3.0  34.0  3  6.0  -11.0  -2.5  -8.5  W  W  U  0 
Jan 11, 2009   Sunday  19  2008  Eagles  Giants  away  7-3  3-5  3-3  10-0  23-11  4.0  39.0  12  16.0  -5.0  5.5  -10.5  W  W  U  0 
Jan 17, 2010   Sunday  19  2009  Jets  Chargers  away  0-0  0-7  3-0  14-7  17-14  8.0  42.5  3  11.0  -11.5  -0.2  -11.2  W  W  U  0 
Jan 15, 2012   Sunday  19  2011  Texans  Ravens  away  3-17  10-0  0-0  0-3  13-20  7.5  36.0  -7  0.5  -3.0  -1.2  -1.8  L  W  U  0 
Jan 13, 2013   Sunday  19  2012  Seahawks  Falcons  away  0-10  0-10  7-7  21-3  28-30  2.5  46.5  -2  0.5  11.5  6.0  5.5  L  W  O  0 
Jan 12, 2014   Sunday  19  2013  Fortyniners  Panthers  away  6-0  7-10  7-0  3-0  23-10  -1.5  41.5  13  11.5  -8.5  1.5  -10.0  W  W  U  0  Jan 12, 2014   Sunday  19  2013  Chargers  Broncos  away  0-7  0-7  0-3  17-7  17-24  8.5  54.5  -7  1.5  -13.5  -6.0  -7.5  L  W  U  0 
Jan 10, 2015  view  Saturday  19  2014  Ravens  Patriots  away  14-7  7-7  7-14  3-7  31-35  7.0  48.0  -4  3.0  18.0  10.5  7.5  L  W  O  0  Jan 11, 2015  view  Sunday  19  2014  Cowboys  Packers  away  7-7  7-3  7-10  0-6  21-26  5.5  52.0  -5  0.5  -5  -2.2  -2.8  L  W  U  0 
        
Jan 16, 2016   Saturday  19  2015  Packers  Cardinals  away       7.0  50.0 

The Early NFL Play on Saturday is on the New England Patriots. Game 302 at 4:35 eastern. As seen below. Since 2003 the Patriots are a perfect 20-0 straight up and to the spread off a favored loss at -7 or more vs an opponent with a win percentage of .570 or higher like the Chiefs, winning by over 16 points on average. The Patriots are 100% to the spread in the Belichick Era off back to back losses. The last time these two met the Chiefs pounded the Patriots putting up over 40 points on Monday night Football. The Patriots remember that game well. Today they will look to avenge that loss and they have covered over 85% with revenge off an upset loss and have won the last 5 in the series here at home. Over the past 26 years, home playoff teams have never lost to the spread in their opening playoff game off 2 or more losses. Last week the Chiefs returned the opening kick off for a touchdown and never looked back en route to a 30-0 win in Houston. After starting 1-5 KC has promptly won 11 straight. The streak snaps here. Teams off a shutout win by 28+ points are 1-6 straight up and to the spread since 1978. The Defending champs are getting healthy and have Wide out Julian Edelman back for this game. With the patriots averaging over 31 points at home. We will look their way today.
SU: 20-0-0 ATS: 20-0-0  FinalTeam 34.4Opp 18.4
Oct 05, 2003 Sunday 5 2003 Patriots Titans home 7-6 0-7 14-3 17-14 38-30 0.0 40.0 8 8.0 28.0 18.0 10.0 W W O 0Nov 07, 2004 Sunday 9 2004 Patriots Rams away 6-0 13-14 14-0 7-8 40-22 0.0 49.0 18 18.0 13.0 15.5 -2.5 W W O 0Dec 26, 2004 Sunday 16 2004 Patriots Jets away 0-0 13-0 3-0 7-7 23-7 -2.0 43.0 16 14.0 -13.0 0.5 -13.5 W W U 0Sep 25, 2005 Sunday 3 2005 Patriots Steelers away 7-10 0-0 3-3 13-7 23-20 3.0 42.0 3 6.0 1.0 3.5 -2.5 W W O 0Oct 09, 2005 Sunday 5 2005 Patriots Falcons away 14-0 0-13 14-0 3-15 31-28 -1.5 41.5 3 1.5 17.5 9.5 8.0 W W O 0Oct 01, 2006 Sunday 4 2006 Patriots Bengals away 0-6 14-0 7-7 17-0 38-13 5.5 45.0 25 30.5 6.0 18.2 -12.2 W W O 0Oct 20, 2008 Monday 7 2008 Patriots Broncos home 6-0 14-0 14-0 7-7 41-7 -3.0 48.0 34 31.0 0.0 15.5 -15.5 W W P 0Nov 09, 2008 Sunday 10 2008 Patriots Bills home 7-0 3-3 3-0 7-7 20-10 -3.5 41.5 10 6.5 -11.5 -2.5 -9.0 W W U 0Nov 23, 2008 Sunday 12 2008 Patriots Dolphins away 3-7 14-7 14-7 17-7 48-28 -1.5 42.5 20 18.5 33.5 26.0 7.5 W W O 0Sep 27, 2009 Sunday 3 2009 Patriots Falcons home 3-3 10-7 3-0 10-0 26-10 -4.5 46.0 16 11.5 -10.0 0.8 -10.8 W W U 0Nov 14, 2010 Sunday 10 2010 Patriots Steelers away 10-0 0-3 13-0 16-23 39-26 5.0 45.0 13 18.0 20.0 19.0 1.0 W W O 0Oct 02, 2011 Sunday 4 2011 Patriots Raiders away 7-3 10-7 7-3 7-6 31-19 -6.5 54.0 12 5.5 -4.0 0.8 -4.8 W W U 0Nov 13, 2011 Sunday 10 2011 Patriots Jets away 6-0 7-9 10-0 14-7 37-16 2.0 47.5 21 23.0 5.5 14.2 -8.8 W W O 0Sep 30, 2012 Sunday 4 2012 Patriots Bills away 7-0 0-14 14-7 31-7 52-28 -4.0 48.0 24 20.0 32.0 26.0 6.0 W W O 0Oct 13, 2013 Sunday 6 2013 Patriots Saints home 3-7 14-0 3-10 10-10 30-27 -2.0 50.0 3 1.0 7.0 4.0 3.0 W W O 0Nov 24, 2013 Sunday 12 2013 Patriots Broncos home 0-17 0-7 21-0 10-7 34-31 1.0 54.0 3 4 11.0 7.5 3.5 W W O 1Dec 22, 2013 Sunday 16 2013 Patriots Ravens away 14-0 3-0 3-0 21-7 41-7 -0.0 45.5 34 34.0 2.5 18.2 -15.8 W W O 0Sep 14, 2014 view Sunday 2 2014 Patriots Vikings away 10-7 14-0 3-0 3-0 30-7 -3.5 49.0 23 19.5 -12.0 3.8 -15.8 W W U 0Oct 05, 2014 view Sunday 5 2014 Patriots Bengals home 14-0 6-3 14-14 9-0 43-17 2.5 45.5 26 28.5 14.5 21.5 -7.0 W W O 0Dec 07, 2014 view Sunday 14 2014 Patriots Chargers away 3-0 10-14 0-0 10-0 23-14 -3.5 52.5 9 5.5 -15.5 -5.0 -10.5 W W U 0Jan 16, 2016 Saturday 19 2015 Patriots Chiefs home -5.0 42.0

The 2016 College Football National Championship play is on Clemson plus the points at 8:30 eastern on ESPN.

Clemson sold 20,000 tickets through its ticket office for the National Championship Game on Monday against No. 2 Alabama. There are tons of stories where flights are full of Clemson fans headed west. It’s estimated there could be between 30 and 40,000 Clemson fans. This could be a big advantage for the Tigers in this game.

Sophomore quarterback, Deshaun Watson, was held to only 187 passing yards, but he did most of his damage on the ground. He rushed for 145 yards and one touchdown on 24 carries. It was a career-high for rushing yards and tied a career-high in carries for Watson. In the Simulation Model Clemson came out on top by 1 point, winning straight up over 54% of the time. That result is no surprise as Clemson has put up over 500 yards in 10 straight games. The Tigers have covered 30 of 44 times as a dog of 3.5 to 14 and have won 4 straight neutral field games. Alabama has the defensive edge and Clemson the offensive edge. Both are +150+ yards in games vs fellow bowlers. The Dog in Clemson post season games is 8-1 ats. Coach Saban has failed to cover the last 3 times in post season play vs a team off a dog win. Clemson can stay with Alabama and this game has a close feel to it. We will take the points with Clemson

In game 2 of the NFC Wild card round we are back in the Green Bay Packers. Game 107 at 4:40 eastern. Packers have plenty of playoff experience and wild card teams off a straight up home loss are 15-2 straight up and ats vs non division teams. Washington is off 4 straight up dog wins and the last one was vs a division team and we note that Wild card teams who are off a dog win and covered by at least 10 points have lost and failed to cover over 90% vs an opponent who scored 17 or less last out. The Packers have won 5 of 6 in the series and teams like Washington that come in after losing 12 or more games last year are 1-16 to the spread. With Washington win less vs winning teams this year and Green Bay off back to back losses. We will look for A bounce back from the Pack. Go Green Bay.

The Early NFC Wild card play is on Minnesota. Game 104 at 1:05 eastern. The Vikings have 31 point blowout home loss revenge here and will play here at home in what is expected to be the coldest game on record for a playoff game. The Vikings stunned Green Bay last week on the road and are a solid 4-0 off a division win and have covered 3 of 4 as a home dog of 3.5 to 7. Home dogs in the first 2 rounds of the playoffs are 19-7 ats since 1977 and those who have the better record cash at an even better percentage. Seattle is no stranger to the playoffs and lost last years big game. Teams who lost the Super bowl have Lost straight up 90% of the time vs a team off 2 or more wins. Dogs like the Vikings who have allowed 17 or less in back to back games are 29-9 ats vs a team who scored 30 or more in their last game. Vikings may not win, but we will take the points here.

The Evening Wild card power system play is on the Cincy Bengals. Game 106 at 8:15 eastern. The Bengals fit an opening round system we use the cashes big and dates to 1977. They split the series this season with the Steelers taking the first game on the road then losing here in the rematch. The Bengals are 4-0 ats as a dog this year and 3-0 as a home dog the last 3 years. They have covered 4 of 5 vs winning teams. Home dogs with a better record have covered over 75% and dogs with a better record in general have been solid. The Steelers are playing a 3rd straight road game in division play and road teams who have to win on the road to get in have not done well opening on the road. The Steelers pass defense has been among the worst this season and could hinder them here. Take the Bengals.

The AFC Wild card play is on the Houston Texans. Game 102 at 4:40 eastern. The Texans are 4-1 off a division game and have revenge for an early loss here at home to KC. The Chiefs have failed to cover 10 straight in the Wild Card Round and Coach Reid is 0-5 to the spread when favored vs a team off 2+ wins in playoff games. We have a Powerful opening round system that plays on certain home teams that dates to 1977. KC has won 10 straight after opening up 1-5. But we will grab the points here.

The NFC North play on Minnesota. Game 325 at 8:35 eastern. The Vikings have 17 point blowout loss revenge here and apply to a perfect divisional system that plays road dogs of 2 or more off a home favored win and cover scoring 42+ points vs an opponent off road dog loss and spread loss scoring 14 or less. These division dogs are 100% straight up and ats since 1989. The Vikings have covered 6 of 7 on the road , 28 of the last 37 overall, 8 of 12 with revenge and 9 of 11 in the final 4 weeks. The Packers are 1-3 vs winning teams. The Packers may be off a loss and have been good off a loss, but this team has had problems in the locker room and had not responded or bounced back from in a game adversity like they have in years past. No surprise if the Vikings walk away with the division here tonight.

NFL off shore steam play is on the under in the SF at STL Game. Rotation numbers 329/330 at 4:25 eastern. This one was just hit with an under buy order as the line went up with public over money. These off shore releases are 80-53 long term in all sports. Take the under.

The Late afternoon super system play is on Seattle. Game 331 at 4:25 eastern. The Seahawks are 6-0 ats with revenge. Arizona is 0-10 ats as favorites vs a team with revenge off a straight up favored loss. The Cardinals have failed to cover 3 of 4 vs winning teams. Seattle has covered 7 of 9 in the last road game vs division teams and are 9-2 ats in the last 4 weeks of the season and 3-0 on the road if the total is 45.5 to 49. Arizona is 0-14 ats if they had 4+ sacks, 1 or more fumble recoveries and their opponent punted 3+ times. For our system we are on dogs of more than 2 off a straight up favored loss at -7 or more if they allowed less than 27 points. These teams are 51-17 ats long term. Look for Seattle to get he cover.

The NFL Road warrior is on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Game 313 at 1:00 eastern. The Steelers dropped the ball last week losing as a 10 point favorite in Baltimore. This week they are in Cleveland and are once again double digit favorites which sets up this neat scenario. Division road favorites off a road loss scoring 21 or less are 100% straight up and ats winning by over 21 points long term if their opponent also scored 21 or less points. The Steelers have covered 6 of the last in the final week. Cleveland has failed to cover 8 of 9 in last home games off a non divisional game and are 1-6 ats vs winning teams and 1-3 ats with revenge. Steelers get the win and cover .

The Cactus bowl totals plays is on the over in the West Virginia vs Arizona St. Game at 10:15 eastern. This one fits a powerful totals system that pertains to both teams having offenses that average 450+ yards and at least once defense over 450 yards.  WVU allows 35 points per game to bowl teams with over 435 yards allowed. ASU allows 35 points per game and over 455 yards vs fellow bowl teams. This game is 11 miles from the ASU Campus which makes it as close to a home game as possible. We look for a high scoring game tonight. Take the over.

The Alamo Bowl play is on TCU. Game 277 at 6:45 eastern. Big 7 point line swing here with the suspension of starting TCU Qb Boykin who will not play after getting collared early Thursday morning in a fight outside a night club. TC has been without him before and lost by 1 as a 17 point dog to Oklahoma with a similar line swing.  TCU will be ok in this game and especially against an Oregon defense that allows 480 yards per game.  TCU has a huge edge in yardage gained vs bowl teams in comparison to Oregon. They are 7-0 with rest, 5-1 vs BIG 12 Teams and 9-1 in non conference games. Oregon falls into a solid system that plays against favorites off a win that allows 35+ points. TCU Coach Patterson is still upset over getting passed up for the playoff last year and may have had the best team. He is 5-0 ats as a dog vs teams with a .665 or better win percentage. They can stay with Oregon here and would be no surprise if they won. take the points with TCU

On Saturday. Give us Liberty, and give us the cash with Arkansas in the Liberty Bowl. Game 276 at 3:30 eastern. The Razorback are hefty favorites here but have solid edges on both sides of the ball. Kansas St is getting out yarded by 190 yards vs fellow bowl teams and BIG 12 Bowlers are 2-11 straight up and to the spread vs the SEC. K-Stare is 1-8 at in bowl games. Arkansas is 6-1 straight up and ats vs BIG 12 Teams. For our big tech system we are playing against dogs from +10.5 to +21 off a conference win of 3 or less with a win percentage of .450 to .550. These teams are 4-28 to the spread. Look for Arkansas to pull away late in this game

The Taxslayer Bowl play is on the Penn St Nittany Lions. Game 273 at 12 noon eastern. The Lions and Big 10 bowl dogs are 11-1 ats off back to back straight up and ats losses. Bowl dogs who come into a bowl game off 3+ straight up and ats losses like Penn St have covered over 90% if they are taking less than 11 points. Georgia comes in with a Temporary coach and teams in this scenario lose over 85% of the time in non conference games. The Bull dogs also fit a solid play against system that we have had great success with through the years playing against favorites off back to back wins the last of which was a revenge win. Georgia  is 1-4 with 0 Spread wins vs Fellow bowl teams. Play on Penn St + the points

The Sugar bowl play is on Ole miss at 8:30 eastern. Ole Miss has won and covered both meetings in this series and was + yards in their bowl games this year. OK. St was negative yards vs Bowl teams and will have a tough time on defense in this game. The Cowboys have a habit of falling behind early and should that happen here will make for a long day against a Rebels team that has better numbers on both sides of the ball in the rushing department. OK. St has failed to cover 6 of 7 as a bowl dog and big 12 teams are 2-11 straight up and ats vs SEC Teams. OLE Miss is 12=3 ats in Bowl games and coach Freeze is 9-0 ats vs non conference teams off a loss. In the end Ole Miss could win this one going away. Make Ole Miss today.

The Rose Bowl play is on Stanford. Game 270 at 5:00 eastern. The line has dipped below 7 in this one which eliminates a system on Iowa. The Hawkeyes are in a major let down mode here as they blew a chance to stay undefeated and make it into the College playoff with that close loss to Michigan St. Now they have to take on the vaunted Stanford offense that is off wins over USC and Notre Dame. The Cardinal are 7-1 vs winning teams, while Iowa managed to take advantage of a Bib 10 schedule that excluded Ohio. St and Michigan. Big 10 bowlers  off a win have failed to cover 16 of 22 vs PAC 12 Teams. Iowa has failed to cover 8 of 11 vs PAC 12 Teams and don't have the bowl experience that Stanford has. Rose Bowl favorites have covered 3 of the last 4. Look for Stanford to emerge with a win and cover.

The Citrus Bowl play is on Florida. Game 265 at 1:00 eastern. This should be one of the lowest scoring games of the bowl season as both teams have top defenses.  SEC Dogs off a loss are 14-5 ats off a loss vs an opponent off a loss. BIG 10 Favorites off a loss of 10 or more are 2-8 to the spread. Favorites that allowed 35+ points like Michigan are 0-11 ats vs teams who allow less than 22 points per game and are off a spread loss. New Years day Favorites that allowed 5+ touchdowns last out have failed to cover 16 of 22 times. Bowl dogs like the Gators off a conference championship loss win over 85% straight up vs a team off a loss of more than 7 points. Finally Bowl teams with a new coach are winless straight up and ats off a loss of more than 24 points.. With a close game anticipated. The Points are the play.

The Outback bowl play is on Northwestern. Game 264 at 12 noon eastern. Northwestern is 6-2 vs fellow bowlers this year and Tennessee is 2-4. This is too many points to give here today to a NW team that has the better defense. Outback favorites are 1-5 ats the last 6 years  749 or less bowl favorites laying more than 7.5 points are and 80% play against vs an opponent over .500 that scored more than 21 points. Bowl dogs taking more than 3.5 points have covered 92% vs a team with at least one loss and 100% if that team is off back to back wins. Northwestern Coach Fitzgerald has covered all 5 times vs a non conference team if his teams are dogs. The Vols have failed to cover  7 of 8 in bowl games when playing off a win. Take the points with Northwestern

In the  Cotton bowl we are taking the points with Michigan St. Game 259 at 8:00 eastern. The Spartans are off a conference championship win over an undefeated Iowa team and showed big game poise winning at Ohio St. They are 10-0 ats as a dog of 10 or less and have a QB that is a proven leader and rarely loses. Alabama has the Heisman Winner and favorites of more than 8 in this role are 0-7 ats to the spread.. The Tide has slightly better numbers on both sides of the ball but not enough to warrant a double digit spread. The Spartans have won their last 4 bowls. The Tide is 3-10 ats vs BIG 10 Teams that have won at least their last 2 games. Take the points in what looks like a close game.

 The Orange bowl play is on Clemson. Game 262 at 4:00 eastern. The Tigers are taking over 3 points here, despite being the #1 ranked team. Oklahoma was smoked by them in a bowl game last year 40-6. Revenge right? Wrong. This Clemson team is better than last year and has the better overall defense. The Sooners beat up on some lousy BIG 12 Defensive units and today they will have to deal with the speed of Clemson who is better than anyone in the BIG 12 on both sides of the ball. Orange Bowl favorites have failed to cover 3 of 4 and BIG 12 Favorites are 2-16 at after scoring 35+ points, Now for some systems. We re playing against bowl teams that are laying 3 or more that are off 3 or more straight revenge wins like the Sooners as they have failed to cover every time. The Dog in Bowl games is 8-1 ats. The Sooners are 1-11 ats in bowl games where they allow 21+ points, something which is very likely to happen here in this game. Bowl teams like  Clemson that won their conference championship and also covered are cashing over 90% long term if they have no more than 1 loss on the season. Bowl teams as a dog off a win where the allowed 30 or more points is another strong system from our Bowl system library. This game should be much closer than last year. So we will take the points with Clemson

The Holiday bowl play is on USC at 10:30 eastern. USC won this game last year 45-42 over Nebraska. Now they face a solid defense in Wisconsin. They do have Qb Kessler back and USC is 13-0 vs Big 10 teams and 11-0 straight up and ats as a favorite off a loss winning by an average 20 points per game. Bowl favorites that have a worse record have been solid over the years and Wisconsin is 1-4 straight up and ats on a neutral field. USC is 5-1 off a bye week and should get it done here tonight.

 The Birmingham bowl play is on Auburn. Game 250 at 12 noon eastern. Teams like Auburn that are favored with a worse record have done well year after year in the right situations. This one of the today. Auburn has much to prove and does not want to finish under .500. They will look to remove the taste of a home loss to Alabama out of their mouths. Today they have an upstart Memphis team that is off a 63-0 pasting of SMU at home. Memphis is playing with a temporary coach and that spells danger in bowl games for teams that scored more than 43 points as these teams have failed to cover 12 of the last 15 times. Memphis gets outclassed when playing SEC Teams going 1-7 straight up and to the spread. The Dog is 0-6 ats in their bowl games and Auburn has won and covered 5 of the last 7 bowls. In a battle of Tigers we will back the Alpha Male Auburn Tigers.

The Texas bowl play is on LSU. Game 248 at 9:00 eastern on ESPN. LSU has won  4of 5 vs BIG 12 teams and has a much better defense and run game. Fournett will keep Texas Tech off the field. Tech is allowing 43 points and teams who allow 35 or more last out but won have historically been terrible agains the spread. LSU has won and covered 3 straight vs BIG 12 teams. Tech is 2-11 straight up and ats vs SEC Teams and the Location wont help them here as LSU travels well. Tech fits another system that plays against teams that allow 30+  points. Look for LSU to get the win and cover.

The Russell Athletic bowl system play is on Baylor. Game 243 at 5:30 eastern. This should be a high scoring game. The Bears are now taking over 3 points in this one as the line is over adjusted for the injuries. They do however have the better overall teams and played in an ultra competitive  big 12 conference. Baylor has a big rushing edge on both sides of the ball and has more speed than Carolina can handle. They have also performed better statistically vs fellow bowl teams. Bowl favorites or dogs of 3 or less have been big money burners off a loss where they allowed 25 or more points and one has to winder where UNC heads will be after blowing their chance in the ACC Championship game to Clemson.  UNC is 2-5 ats in Bowls. Bowl dogs or favorites of less than 8 like Baylor are undefeated the last 36 years off  a loss at -20 or more. The ACC is 3-6 vs the BIG 12 and Baylor coach Briles has covered 3 of 4 vs ACC Teams. Take the points with Baylor in what looks to be a high scoring game