15* SHARP PLAY on Memphis -13 -110

Memphis (-13) is worth a look laying less than two touchdowns at home against the Owls. Most are going to see this as a letdown spot for the Tigers, as they are fresh off that crazy 50-49 win over ranked UCF. I don't think that will be the case at all. As for Temple, they have not looked good against a couple of bad teams in Navy and USF. They lost outright as a favorite against the Midshipmen and only beat USF 39-37 (had no business winning) as a 13.5-point favorite. Play Memphis -13! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Memphis +3½ -112

Memphis (+3.5) is worth a look as a home dog against the Knights. The Knights just lost 26-34 at home to Tulsa last week and I see them losing again here on the road against the Tigers. No question Memphis had this game circled. It's the first time they get a shot at UCF since they lost two twice in the 2018 season. Once in the regular season and again in the AAC title game. Love the spot here and the points with the Tigers. Play Memphis +3.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Liberty -18½ -110

The Flames (-18.5) are worth a look in Saturday's college football action. Flames come in at 2-0, which includes an outright win as a 15.5-point dog against WKU. ULM has been awful. Warhawks are 0-4 and 1-3 ATS. Their defense has been awful, as they are allowing 35.3 ppg and 436 ypg. They got no shot here at keeping this Flames offense in check. Play Liberty -18.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Houston -6½ -110

The Cougars (-6.5) are worth a look in Thursday's College Football action against Tulane. Houston has been itching to get their 2020 season started, as they have had 5 different games get canceled. I'm really excited what year two could bring for the Cougars under head coach Dana Holgorsen. I think the fact that Houston hasn't played is giving us some value here. Tulane is 2-1, but those two wins are against Southern Miss and South Alabama. The other was a bad loss to a horrible Navy team. Play Houston -6.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on BYU -24 -105

No. 22 BYU (-24) is worth a look in Friday's only college football play on the board. The Cougars have looked sensational to start the season. They absolutely destroyed Navy 55-3 in their opener. They then trounced Troy 48-7. Add it up and BYU has outscored their first two opponents 103 to 10. Louisiana Tech is also 2-0, but one of those wins is against Houston Baptist and the other a 31-30 win at Southern Miss. Note that Southern Miss is 0-3 and in their other two games lost by 10 at home to South Alabama and by 42 to North Texas (66-24). Play BYU -24! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Missouri +28 -104

I'll take my chances with Missouri (+28) as a massive dog against Alabama in the opener for both teams. I know the Crimson Tide have been great in season openers, but none of those were against a conference opponent. Mac Jones was great in place of Tua last year, but a lot of that had to do with the talent at wide receiver. Sure the Tide are still loaded at the position, but they are not as strong losing both Henry Ruggs and Jerry Jeudy. Both of which were selected in the 1st round of the NFL draft. It won't be pretty, but the Tigers find a way to keep it within 4 touchdowns. Play Missouri +28! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Middle Tennessee State +7 -110

The Blue Raiders (+7) are worth a look here against the Roadrunners in Friday's college football action. No one wants anything to do with Middle Tennessee after watching them get annihilated 42-0 by Army in their opener and then lose 47-14 at home against Troy this past Saturday. The books know this and I think we are getting a good price on the Blue Raiders because of it. UTSA barely beat a Texas State team that's picked to finish in the bottom of the Sun Belt and only beat FCS opponent Stephen F Austin by a score of 24-10. Play Middle Tennessee +7! 

20* SHARP PLAY on UAB +14½ -110

UAB (+14.5) is worth a look as more than a two touchdown dog against Miami. I know the Hurricanes added in a nice talent at QB in King, but this isn't exactly a great year for transfers with the lack of spring practice and offseason workouts. UAB isn't flashy, but they just keep covering under head coach Bill Clark. They were 8-5-1 ATS last year and are 26-13-2 over the last 3 years. I like them to give Miami a scare. Play the Blazers +14.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on South Alabama +15 -110

The Jaguars (+15) are worth a look here. I think we are getting a good price on South Alabama coming off a 2-10 campaign in 2019. Jaguars are now in year 3 under head coach Steve Campbell. USA has 15 returning starters are really excited about sophomore quarterback Desmond Trotter. He took over the offense the final 4 games and them scoring over 10 points more per game! Southern Miss has a number of key guys sitting out and are running new schemes on both sides of the ball. Play South Alabama +15! 

20* MINNESOTA/AUBURN CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Minnesota +7½ -110

My money is on the Gophers to cash in a cover here as a 7.5-point dog against the Tigers. I just think Auburn is getting way too much respect in this spot. Bowl games are all about motivation and I just have to wonder how motivated the Tigers are for this game, as they won their biggest game of the season in their finale against Alabama. Minnesota will be 100% locked in for this one and I really wouldn't be shocked at all if they won this game outright. BET THE GOPHERS +7.5! 

20* PITT/E MICHIGAN CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Pittsburgh -11 -110

My money is on the Panthers to cash in a win and cover against Eastern Michigan in Thursday's Quick Lane Bowl. A lot of people are leaning to the Eagles because of the fact that Pitt hasn't won a game all season by more than 10 points. I just think that's a mistake. The Panthers are hands down the better team and Eastern Michigan is lucky to even be in a bowl. The Eagles went just 3-5 in a awful MAC conference this year, which was tied for the 3rd worst record in the league. I just don't think they have any hope of keeping this close. BET THE PANTHERS -11! 

20* BYU/HAWAII CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Hawaii +2 -108

My money is on the Rainbow Warriors to cash in a win and cover at home against BYU. This has been quite a season for Hawaii, who just got done playing the MWC Championship Game. I think the Warriors are going to be really excited here to cap off this season with a win at home, which would give them double-digit wins on the season. They also want their revenge on BYU from last year's blowout loss in Provo. I don't know that the same motivation will be there for the Cougars in this one. BET HAWAII +2! 

20* UAB/FAU CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on UAB +9 -108

My money is on UAB to cash in a cover here against FAU. I liked the Blazers at this price even before the news that Owls head coach Lane Kiffin was leaving to take over at Ole Miss. I just think that's a gut punch to the FAU kids and takes away from this game. At the same time, no one wants to give this UAB team any love and I think they come out with a serious chip on their shoulder and could easily see them winning outright. BET THE BLAZERS +9! 

20* TOLEDO/C MICHIGAN CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Central Michigan -10 -110

My money is on the Chippewas to cash in an easy win and cover as a double-digit home favorite against the Rockets. This script for this game turned upside down when Western Michigan was upset at Northern Illinois on Tuesday. Had the Broncos won they would have clinched a spot in the MAC title game. The loss however, opened the door for Central Michigan and if they win they are now the team that plays Miami (OH) next week. Not a lot for Toledo to play for and they just haven't been that great of late. BET THE CHIPPEWAS -10! 

15* LA TECH/UAB (ATS) CFB SHARP WINNER on Louisiana Tech +7 -115

My money is on the Bulldogs to cash in a cover as a 7-point dog at UAB in Saturday's C-USA matchup. LA Tech lost 31-10 at Marshall after having their starting QB and top wide out suspended right before the game. That's tough to overcome on short notice, especially on the road against a team as talented as Marshall. UAB is no where near as good as their 7-3 record and should not be laying this many points in this one. BET LOUISIANA TECH +7! 

20* LIBERTY/VIRGINIA CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Liberty +17 -109

My money is on the Flames to cash in a cover as a big road dog against the Cavaliers on Saturday. There's no denying that Virginia is the better team, but that's not the issue here. It's motivation. This game means nothing for the Panthers, whose primary focus right now is on winning the ACC Coastal. Next week's game against Va Tech will decide whether they do just that. I expect Virginia to go through the motions and if they aren't careful they might lose. BET LIBERTY +17! 

20* E MICHIGAN/N ILLINOIS CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Northern Illinois -4 -107

My money is on Northern Illinois to cash in a win and cover at home against the Eagles. Northern Illinois is a better team than their 4-6 record would lead you to believe. Huskies have simply been dealt a brutal schedule with 7 of their first 10 games on the road, three against Power 5 opponents in non-conference play. Last time out they won 31-28 at Toledo and really should have no problem putting away an Eagles team that is down this year. Always a good idea to take the Huskies off a big upset win in MAC play, as they are 15-2 ATS last 17 off an upset win over a conference rival. BET NORTHERN ILLINOIS -4! 

20* BALL STATE/W MICHIGAN CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Ball State +7 -110

My money is on Ball State to cash in a cover as a 7-point dog against the Broncos. This is the best Ball State team in years and I just don't think they are getting the respect they deserve in this one. Western Michigan isn't anything special and I wouldn't be shocked at all if they lost this game outright. BET BALL STATE +7! 

15* MARSHALL/RICE CFB SHARP WINNER on Marshall -10½ -110

My money is on the Thundering Herd to cash in a win and cover at home against Rice. The Owls aren't as bad as their 0-8 record, but they also aren't deserving of being less than a two touchdown dog against this Marshall team. The Herd are rolling right now with 3 straight wins and got plenty of motivation to make sure they go into their bye on a 4-game run. Rice just doesn't have the offensive fire-power to keep this close. BET MARSHALL -10.5! 

15* IOWA/NORTHWESTERN CFB SHARP WINNER on Northwestern +10 -110

My money is on the Wildcats to cash in a cover as a double-digit home dog against Iowa. I think we are getting value here with Northwestern sitting at 1-5 and the Hawkeyes ranked in the Top 25. Iowa has not looked good the last few weeks. They can't run the ball on offense and are having a horrible time finishing drives with touchdowns. They got some key guys out as well. Northwestern has won 3 straight in the series and wouldn't be shocked at all if they won outright on Saturday. BET NORTHWESTERN +10! 

20* SMU/HOUSTON CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Houston +15 -115

My money is on the Cougars to cash in as big home dogs tonight. SMU comes in ranked in the Top 25 and without a loss. Houston has gotten zero love after losing their star quarterback (King) to a redshirt. I'm not saying they win the game, but we are going to get their best effort and winning on the road in these weekday games is just not as easy as people think. I'm confident the Cougars can keep it within two touchdowns. BET HOUSTON +15! 

20* LAFAYETTE/ARKANSAS ST CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on UL-Lafayette -6 -110

My money is on the Ragin' Cajuns to bounce back from a disappointing loss at home to App State with a convincing road win over Arkansas State. I really like this Lafayette team and I think a lot of people are scared to back them because they had them last week and lost. Arkansas State just lost at Georgia State by 14 and have allowed 40+ points in each of their last 3 games vs a FBS opponent. BET THE RAGIN' CAJUNS -6! 

20* S ALABAMA/TROY CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Troy -14½ -110

My money is on the Trojans to make easy work of South Alabama and cover th 14.5-point spread at home Wednesday night. The narrative with Troy right now is that they are way down from what they had been in previous years. The Trojans are also just 1-4 ATS and just lost 42-10 at Missouri, which followed a upset loss at home to Ark State. I think it has troy laying a much shorter number than they should be against a bad Jaguars team that has not scored more than 21 points in a single game against a FBS opponent. BET THE TROJANS -14.5! 

20* VIRGINIA/MIAMI CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Miami-FL -2 -110

My money is on the Hurricanes. Not a lot to think about here. I know all the numbers say Virginia, but when you got a ranked team getting points against an unranked team that comes in with a losing record, you take the unranked team. Books don't make mistakes. They clearly think Miami wins this game and so do I. BET THE HURRICANES -2! 

15* S CAROLINA/MISSOURI CFB SHARP WINNER on South Carolina +9½ -110

My money is on the Gamecocks to cash in a cover here at Missouri. I don't think South Carolina is getting near the respect they deserve for how well they played last week against Alabama. The backup QB looked like he might have deserved to be starting all along. It wasn't like the Crimson Tide got up early and let South Carolina hang around. They were competitive early, which says a lot. Gamecocks also really need this game if they want a legit shot at a bowl. Bet South Carolina +9.5! 

15* MIAMI (OH)/OHIO STATE CFB SHARP WINNER on Miami-OH +39½ -110

My money is on the RedHawks to cash in a cover here as a massive road dog against Ohio State. Miami (OH) has a ton of kids who dreamed of going to play for the Buckeyes and didn't make the cut. They are going to come out with a chip on their shoulder and I think they are getting Ohio State at the perfect time. Buckeyes are due for a letdown after getting up for their first 3 against FAU, Cincinnati and Indiana. Plus they got a massive game on deck at Nebraska next week. Much like they did against the Owls in Week 1, Ohio State will get up comfortably early and call off the dogs to allow the cover. Bet the RedHawks +39.5! 

15* SMU/TCU CFB SHARP WINNER on SMU +9½ -109

My money is on SMU to cash in a cover here against the Horned Frogs. TCU is getting a lot of love for going on the road and beating Purdue without their starting QB. I'm still not sold on the Horned Frogs and I really like what I have seen out of SMU. Texas transfer QB Shane Buechele has been lighting it up and the defense is better than expected. I think they hang around against one of their many in-state rivals. Bet the Mustangs +9.5! 

20* S MISS/ALABAMA CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Southern Miss +39½ -110

My money is on Southern Miss to cash in a cover on the road against Alabama. Books have really inflated the numbers on the Crimson Tide this year in these non-conference games. They failed to cover as a 55.5-point favorite at home against New Mexico State and couldn't get the job done last week as a 26-point favorite against South Carolina in their SEC opener. With big games against Ole Miss and Texas A&M on deck, look for Saban and the Tide to just go through the motions on Saturday and call off the dogs in the 2nd half Bet Southern Miss +39.5! 

15* BOSTON COLLEGE/RUTGERS CFB SHARP WINNER on Rutgers +8½ -109

My money is on the Scarlet Knights to cash in a cover on the road against the Eagles. No way should Boston College being laying more than a touchdown here against Rutgers after that performance they gave in a prime time game at home against Kansas. Scarlet Knights are better than the 30-0 beating they took at Iowa and BC definitely doesn't have the talent that the Hawkeyes have on the defensive side of the ball. Plus, Rutgers has a big edge here coming off a bye week. Bet the Scarlet Knights +8.5! 

20* FIU/LA TECH CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Florida International +7½ -110

My money is on the Panthers to cash in a cover here getting 7.5 on the road against the Bulldogs. I just haven't seen enough out of LA Tech for them to be laying this kind of number. They beat Bowling Green 35-7, but that was a much closer game late than expected. The previous week they only beat Grambling 20-14 as a massive 30-point favorite. FIU has not looked great, but have played some tough competition. I'm willing to bet Butch Davis has the troops ready to go in this one. Bet the Panthers +7.5! 

20* HOUSTON/TULANE CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Houston +5½ -110

My money is on the Cougars to cash in a cover and maybe even win the game outright at Tulane on Thursday night. I just think this is the perfect time to buy low on Houston after their 1-2 start. Cougars two losses are two ranked Power 5 teams in Oklahoma and Washington State. Tulane is program on the rise, but I think they are getting a little too much love here for a hard fought 24-6 loss at Auburn. Last year Houston won 48-17 against the Green Wave and I just don't think Tulane should be laying this kind of number here. Bet Houston +5.5! 

15* WKU/LOUISVILLE CFB SHARP WINNER on Louisville -10 -109

My money is on Louisville to cash in a win and cover against the Hilltoppers. This nothing close to the horrible Cardinals team we saw close out last year. I was really impressed with how well Louisville played in their opener against Notre Dame and loved how they bounced back with a dominant showing in a 42-0 win against Eastern Kentucky. I see them having no problem here blowing out WKU. Bet Louisville -10! 

15* STANFORD/UCF CFB SHARP WINNER on Central Florida -8 -110

My money is on the Knights to cash in a cover here at home against the Cardinal. It speaks volumes to where this UCF program has gone that they are laying over a touchdown against a Power 5 team like Stanford. It's or good reason. The Knights are going to score at will against a Stanford defense that was just torched by USC new freshman QB. UCF wins here by double-digits easy. Bet the Knights -8! 

15* USC/BYU CFB SHARP WINNER on BYU +4½ -105

My money is on the Cougars to cash in a win at home against USC. I really like BYU to win this game outright. I think we are seeing the Trojans overvalued off their big win against Stanford. BYU just beat Tennessee, but because of how bad the Vols looked in their loss to Georgia State in the opener they are getting no love for that win. If anything people are thinking less because of how they struggled. BYU has the goods to hang with the Trojans. Bet the Cougars +4.5! 

15* MARYLAND/TEMPLE CFB SHARP WINNER on Temple +7½ -115

My money is on the Owls to cash in a cover at home against the Terps. Every year there are teams that get way too much respect early for beating a team that people thought would be good but really isn't. People are all over Maryland after they destroyed a ranked Syracuse team last week, but the Orange should have never been ranked to start with. Temple won 35-14 at Maryland as a 16-point dog last year and I wouldn't be surprised at all if they won the game today. Bet the Owls +7.5! 

20* NC STATE/W VIRGINIA CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on West Virginia +7 -115

My money is on the Mountaineers to cash in a cover at home against the Wolfpack. NC State has looked like world beaters their first two games, but those were against East Carolina and Western Carolina. Both on their home turf. That combined with how bad WVU looked last week at Missouri has this line way too high. I give the Mountaineers a legit shot here to win this game outright. Bet West Virginia +7! 

20* WASH ST/HOUSTON CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Washington State -9 -109

My money is on Washington State to go on the road and lay a beating on Houston. I think Houston is way overvalued coming into this season. Sure they got a good QB in King and added Dana Holgorsen as their head coach, but the defense is awful. Mike Leach and his new signal caller Anthony Gordon are lighting up teams and I think they could put 50 on the board here. I also think Wash State has an underrated defense that will be able to get off the field and create the separation needed to cover. Bet Washington State -9! 

15* NORTH TEXAS/SMU CFB SHARP WINNER on North Texas +3½ -110

My money is on North Texas to cash in a cover at SMU. I really like Mean Green quarterback Mason Fine. He just might be the best non-Power 5 quarterback in the country. He was outstanding in Week 1 and torned this SMU team a season ago. Mustangs will score enough to make interesting, but the Mean Green should win this contest. Bet North Texas +3.5! 

15* SD STATE/UCLA CFB SHARP WINNER on San Diego State +9 -110

My money is on the Aztecs to cash in a cover against the Bruins. I think the thought process for most is they are giving UCLA a pass for a tough loss at Cincinnati and want nothing to do with a San Diego State team that just won 6-0 at home against Weber State, totaling just 238 total yards against a FCS foe. I expected more of UCLA in year two under Kelly than what we saw against the Bearcats. San Diego State still has an elite defense and the offense simply can't be as bad as they played in Week 1. Bet the Aztecs +9! 

15* CHARLOTTE/APP STATE CFB SHARP WINNER on Appalachian State -21½ -110

My money is on the Mountaineers to cash in a win at home against Charlotte. Appalachian State may no longer have Scott Satterfield, but they do have the players he developed. With 16 starters back, I think this is going to be a very dangerous App State team. Charlotte simply does not pose a threat, especially on the road. Not that playing at home would really matter. These two played in Charlotte last year and the Mountaineers won 45-9 with a 230+ edge in total yards. Bet Appalachian State -21.5! 

20* UAB/AKRON CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Akron +9½ -110

My money is on Akron to cash in a cover at UAB on Saturday. The Zips got annihilated 42-3 in Week 1 at Illinois. I think it has them undervalued here against a UAB team that has no business laying this kind of points on the road after barely squeaking by Alabama State 24-19 in their opener. Bet Akron +9.5! 

15* VANDERBILT/PURDUE CFB SHARP WINNER on Purdue -6½ -109

My money is on the Boilermakers to cash in an easy win and cover at home against the Commodores. Purdue has to be one pissed off bunch after they let a 31-13 2nd half lead turn into a 34-31 loss. That was on the road and this a different team at home. Vandy just hosted Georgia and have a home game against LSU on deck. Really tough for them to stay focused on the task at hand. Bet the Boilermakers -6.5! 

20* WAKE FOREST/RICE CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Wake Forest -19 -104

My money is on Wake Forest to cash in a win at Rice on Friday. I think Army was the ideal opponent for the Owls to be competitive against. All they had to do was focus on stopping the run and because the game was close throughout, they didn't have to force anything offensensively. THe problem with Rice is they only scored 7 points on 243 yards of offense. Their only points came on a 54-yard run. They also were 7 of 14 for 62 yards passing. Wake Forest can score and I think things could spiral out of control for the Owls offense when they are forced to throw the football playing from behind. Bet the Demon Deacons -19! 

20* NOTRE DAME/LOUISVILLE CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Louisville +18½ -110

My money is on the Cardinals to cash in a cover against the Fighting Irish. I think we have Louisville way undervalued coming into 2019 after last year's disastrous 2-10 campaign. Notre Dame on the other hand is always overvalued and even more so off a big season. Last year the Irish went 12-0 and made the playoffs. Things really got bad under Petrino last year and I think the effort just wasn't there. That's why I think new head coach Scott Satterfield is in a position for some success out of the gate. Bet the Cardinals +18.5! 

20* HOUSTON/OKLAHOMA CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Houston +23½ -110

My money is on the Cougars to cash in a cover as a massive road dog against the Sooners. Oklahoma is going to be good, but this is way too many points for them to be laying against a Houston team that is going to be better under Dana Holgorsen and has one of the best quarterbacks in the country in D'Eriq King. Guy accounted for 50 touchdowns last year (36 passing, 14 rushing). Bet the Cougars +23.5! 

15* OLE MISS/MEMPHIS CFB SHARP WINNER on Memphis -4½ -105

My money is on Memphis to cash in a win at home over the Rebels. A lot of people are taking a shot here on Ole Miss as a small road dog. They just can't help but take the points with a SEC program against a non-Power 5 opponent. The thing is the Rebels are still in a rebuilding phase. Memphis has been one of the best Group of 5 teams out there and they got an absolute stud at quarterback in Brady White. Tigers take this one by at least a touchdown. Bet Memphis -4.5! 

15* TOLEDO/KENTUCKY CFB SHARP WINNER on Toledo +12 -110

My money is on Toledo to cash in a cover at Kentucky. The Wildcats struck lightning in a bottle in 2018 and went 10-3, flirting with a SEC East title. Unlike some of their other SEC counterparts, Kentucky doesn't reload with 5* talent. That's why I think the losses of running back Benny Snell and all those studs on defense will be too much to overcome. Kentucky will be good, but not as good as we think. Toledo is the best team in the MAC and will be ready for this one. Bet the Rockets +12! 

20* AKRON/ILLINOIS CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Akron +19 -110

My money is on the Zipz to cash in a cover at Illinois. I get Akron is nothing special out of the MAC, but i like the quarterback they got in junior Kato Nelson. Illinois was a similar 16-point home favorite to open last year against a MAC team in Kent State. They would go on to win 31-24 in a game that was very evenly matched. That Kent State would go on to win 2-games. Illinois will be better, but should not be laying close to 3 touchdowns. Bet the Zips +19! 

15* SOUTH ALABAMA/NEBRASKA CFB SHARP WINNER on South Alabama +36 -109

My money is on South Alabama to go into Lincoln and cash in a cover as a massive underdog. Nebraska is going to be greatly improved in year two under head coach Scott Frost, but I think there's so much hype around the Cornhuskers it has them way overvalued to start the season. The Jaguars are in year two under Steve Campbell and they too are expected to make massive improvements. Bet South Alabama +36! 

20* RICE/ARMY CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Rice +22 -110

My money is on the Owls to cash in an easy cover here as a 3+ touchdown dog at Army. I got nothing but respect for Jeff Monken and what he's doing with that program, but this line is whack. I get Rice hasn't been good, but this is too many points for a triple-option team that likes to run the clock and has only 4 starters back on defense to be laying. Keep in mind Army was a double-digit favorite once all of last year. Last time they were asked to lay more than 20 against a FBS team was in 2017 as a 23 point home favorite against UTEP. They won the game outright, but only by 14 points (35-21). I see a similar outcome coming tonight. Bet Rice +22! 

20* KENT ST/ARIZONA ST CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Kent State +25 -110

My money is on the Golden Flashes to cover the 25-point spread at Arizona State tonight. This is without a doubt my strongest play for Thursday's CFB card. The Sun Devils were better than expected in year one under Herm Edwards and I believe it has ASU overvalued coming into 2019. I also really like the direction the Flashes are going under new head coach Sean Lewis. He's an offensive minded guy and I think offensive coaches are the way to go right now and result in the quickest turnarounds/improvement. Last year Lewis' offense improved by 11.1 ppg and 109 ypg. They got 9 starters back and will be even stronger. I could see them keeping it close early or coming through the back door with a couple of late scores. Bet Kent State +25! 

15* GEORGIA TECH/CLEMSON CFB SHARP WINNER on Clemson -37 +100

My money is on the defending champs to open up the 2019 season with an absolute ass whooping of Georgia Tech and cover the 37. Anyone that does a little bit of research on the Yellow Jackets, knows that this year could be really bad. GA Tech is going away from the triple-option to a pro-style attack. The problem is they got the same guys that were brought to the program to run the option playing in the new scheme. Clemson's offense could put up historic numbers with the talent they got coming back. This team seems to want to be viewed on Alabama's level and that means know hangover after winning it all. They come out fired up at home and could have this thing covered by the half. Bet Clemson -37! 

20* FLORIDA/MIAMI CFB WISEGUY TOP PLAY on Miami-FL +7½ -115

My money is on the Hurricanes to cash in an easy cover against in-state rival Florida on Saturday. Gators are coming off a double-digit win season and ranked inside the Top 10, while Miami is transitioning from Mark Richt to Manny Diaz and there's a lot of uncertainty at quarterback. I really like Diaz and I think he gets the most out of the talent at hand. Look for the defense to help out the offense, as the Canes elite Front 7 should dominate the Gators inexperienced offensive line that returns only 1 starter. Bet the Hurricanes +7.5! 

20* NORTH/SOUTH SENIOR BOWL SHARP PLAY on North -2½ -110

20* ALABAMA/CLEMSON CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WINNER on Clemson +6 -115

My money is Clemson to cash in the easy cover here against Alabama in the College Football Championship Game. The Crimson Tide are simply getting too much respect here. The Tigers are every bit as talented as Alabama at quarterback, head coach, defense, special teams. This line should be closer to a pick'em. Bet Clemson! 

15* E WASHINGTON/N DAKOTA ST CFB SHARP PLAY on North Dakota State -14½ -110

20* WASHINGTON/OHIO STATE CFB SHARP TOP PLAY on Washington +7 -110

My money is on the Huskies to cash in an easy cover here as a 7-point dog against the Buckeyes. It's not that I don't think Ohio State isn't the more talented team, I just think bowl games are all about motivation. The Buckeyes got passed up by the playoff committee, despite going 12-1 and winning the Big Ten title. I think after watching how bad Notre Dame played against Clemson that Ohio State was more deserving. It's just not the same playing in a bowl of less magnitude and then you got the distraction with Urban Meyer stepping down. I think Washington and Chris Petersen really need this game and will be 100% locked in. Bet the Huskies +7! 

20* HYUNDAI SUN BOWL SHARP TOP PLAY on Pittsburgh +5½ -109

My money is on the Panthers to cash in a winning ticket as a near touchdown dog against the Cardinal. A lot of people want to write-off what Pitt has been able to accomplish this year. You can't blame them for taking advantage of a weak Coastal. Stanford plays in the Pac-12 for cyring out loud, which is easily the worst of the Power 5 conferences. Not to mention the Cardinal weren't anything close to what we have seen in previous years and I think they will be lucky to win this thing. Bet Pittsburgh +5.5! 

20* PEACH BOWL CFB SHARP TOP PLAY on Michigan -6½ -106

My money is on the Wolverines to cash in an easy win and cover here against the Gators. No one expecting Michigan to show up here after how they ended the season with that ugly loss to Ohio State, which kept them out of the Big Ten title and likely the college football playoff. I'm not buying that. I expect the Wolverines to come to play and that should be more than enough for them to beat a pretty average Florida team by at least a touchdown. Bet Michigan -6.5! 

20* ALAMO BOWL CFB SHARP TOP PLAY on Iowa State +3 -109

My money is on the Cyclones to cash in an easy win and cover here against the Cougars in the 2018 Alamo Bowl. Washington State was one of the best stories in the country this year, as a lot of people thought they wouldn't even make a bowl and they nearly won the Pac-12. The thing is they were a win over their rivals away from playing for a conference title and a spot in the Rose Bowl. I just question if they are really happy about playing this game and at the same time, I don't trust them the slightest. Mike Leach's Cougars have been a favorite in each of the last 4 bowls they have gone to and only walked out with 1 win. Iowa State is arguably the better team and really has all the edges you look for when handicapping a bowl game. Bet the Cyclones +3! 

20* INDEPENDENCE BOWL CFB SHARP TOP PLAY on Temple -3 -110

My money is on Temple to cash in an easy win and cover as a 3-point favorite against the Blue Devils in the 2018 Independence Bowl. The simple fact that the Owls are favored over a Power 5 opponent after their head coach left to take over at Georgia Tech really says it all. I just think people are really underestimating how much talent is on this Temple roster and I got major concerns for Duke's offense. The Blue Devils scored a mere 13 points in their final two games of the regular season and had 7 turnovers in their last 3 games. The Owls scored 40 or more in 3 of their last 4. Duke won't be able to keep up. Bet Temple -3! 

15* ARMED FORCES BOWL CFB SHARP PLAY on Army -4½ -106

My money is on the Black Knights to easily cover the spread here against the Cougars. Not only does Army have the motivational edge, I think they are the more talented team. All the talk is about how fast Houston plays and how much Army slows the game down. With Ed Oliver not playing and all the injuries that have piled up for the Cougars defensive line, I'm confident the Black Knights will be able to run the ball and control the clock. I think that's going to really frustrate this Houston offense, which keep in mind is without their best player in quarterback D'Eriq King. Bet Army -4.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Toledo -5½ -110

My money is on the Rockets to cash in an easy cover here against FIU in the Bahamas Bowl. It's been a great year for the Panthers, but they are going into this one shorthanded and simply won't be able to keep it close. Starting quarterback and 2018 C-USA Newcomer of the Year, James Morgan is not going to play. They also had running back Sawndarrius Phillips arrested and he too won't be available. Toledo comes in averaging 41.1 ppg and 448 yards/game. FIU isn't going to be able to keep pace offensively without Morgan. Bet the Rockets -5.5! 

15* GASPARILLA BOWL CFB SHARP PLAY on Marshall -3 -109

My money is on the Thundering Herd to cash in an easy win and cover here against the Bulls. All the talk about USF is they started out 7-0 and then lost 5 straight because the schedule got a lot tougher. They lost 5 straight because they aren't a very good team and played a bunch of cupcakes early on and won some games they shouldn't have. Marshall was a top player in C-USA and has the defense to slow down USF and the Bulls play no defense. Thundering Herd head coach Doc Holliday is also a perfect 5-0 in bowl games. Bet Marshall -3! 

20* DXL FRISCO BOWL CFB SHARP TOP PLAY on San Diego State +2½ +106

My money is on the Aztecs to cash in as a small dog against the Bobcats in the DXL Frisco Bowl. I just don't think the MAC is that good and Ohio is getting way too much love as a favorite here. I think San Diego State is the far superior team and will not only win this game outright, but win this thing in a blowout. Bet the Aztecs +2.5! 

20* BOCA RATON BOWL CFB SHARP TOP PLAY on Northern Illinois +3 -115

My money is on Northern Illinois to cash in an easy cover as an underdog against UAB. I just think the books have completely missed the mark here, as I think the Huskies are the better team. UAB is a great story, but I don't think C-USA is all that it's made out to be. The Huskies are better than people think, as they played an absolutely brutal non-conference schedule against the likes of Iowa, Utah, FSU and BYU. They started out 6-0 in MAC play and had the division title wrapped up before losing their final two conference games. They then upset a really good Buffalo team in the MAC title game. Bet Northern Illinois +3! 

20* ALCORN ST/NC A&T CFB SHARP TOP PLAY on Alcorn State +8 -109

15* N DAKOTA ST/S DAKOTA ST CFB SHARP PLAY on South Dakota State +11½ -109

15* ARMY/NAVY CFB SHARP PLAY on Army -7 -110

My money is on the Black Knights to make it 3 straight against rival Navy and cover the 7-point spread in the process. I think a lot of people just assume this will be close, but I think there's a pretty big gap in talent this time around. The biggest thing for me is how poorly Navy played earlier in the year against Air Force, losing 35-7. Army's only two losses this season are true road games against Duke and Oklahoma and they took the Sooners to overtime in Norman. Bet Army -7! 

20* BOISE ST/FRESNO ST CFB SHARP TOP PLAY on Fresno State +2½ -110

15* STANFORD/UCLA CFB SHARP PLAY on UCLA +7 -105

My money is on the Bruins to cash in an easy cover here as a touchdown dog at home against the Cardinal. While UCLA comes into this game sitting at just 3-8, they have continued to show signs of improvement as the season progresses and are fresh off a 34-27 win at home against USC. There's got to be a ton of excitement going into year two under Chip Kelly and I expect the Bruins to play their hearts out here in the finale home game of 2018. I just don't see a ton of motivation here for the Cardinal and this is not your typical Stanford team in terms of talent. I just think this is too big a price for the Cardinal to be laying away from home. Bet UCLA +7! 

20* IN-STATE RIVALRY CFB PLAY OF THE MONTH on NC State -7½ +106

My money is on the Wolfpack to add to what's been a miserable 2018 season for the Tar Heels. North Carolina is just 2-8 and one of those two wins came against a FCS foe in Western Carolina. NC State has had their ups and downs this year, but they are fresh off a 52-10 win at Louisville as a mere 16-point favorite and I see no reason not to expect them to win here by at least double-digits. Bet NC State -7.5! 

20* WASHINGTON ST/WASHINGTON CFB SHARP TOP PLAY on Washington +3 -109

My money is on Washington to cash in an easy cover here against their in-state rivals. As tempting as it might be to think this will be the year that the Cougars break through against the Huskies, I'm betting we will see more of the same. In the last 5 meetings (starting with the most recent) Washington has won 41-14, 45-17, 45-10, 31-13 and 27-17. Pretty amazing that not once has Washington State scored at least 20 points. This Huskies defense is one of the best in the country and I just don't think Minshew and that Cougars offense will be able to score enough to win this game. Bet Washington +3! 

15* COLORADO ST/AIR FORCE CFB SHARP PLAY on Air Force -14½ -105

My money is on Air Force to win and cover at home against the Rams. This will be the last game of the season for both of these teams, as neither will be bowl eligible. That's where I think you have to give a big edge here to the Falcons. Air Force is one of the last teams that is going to throw in the towel. They are going to compete no matter what. The same can't be said for Colorado State, who has lost 4 straight and off a crushing loss at home to Utah State, which I think to them was their Super Bowl. Look for Air Force to rack up the points and win here by at least 3 scores. Bet the Falcons -14.5! 

20* N ILLINOIS/W MICHIGAN CFB SHARP TOP PLAY on Northern Illinois -5½ -110

My money is on the Huskies to cash in a win and cover against the Broncos in Tuesday's MAC action. I get Northern Illinois has no real incentive here with the MAC West title locked up. Sure they could just decide to not show up and focus everything on the MAC Championship Game next week. I just don't think you want to go into the biggest game of the year off back-to-back losses. I think they could out in the 1st half and try to put this game away and with how good they are defensively and how bad Western Michigan is defensively, they could be up 20+ by halftime. Bet Northern Illinois -5.5! 

15* UAB/TEXAS A&M CFB SHARP PLAY on Texas A&M -16 -110

My money is on the Aggies to easily cover this spread at home against UAB. With this being the first year under Jimbo Fisher, I think there's still a lot of motivation to keep playing hard and we saw they are still motivated with last week's 38-24 win against Ole Miss. I think people see UAB at 9-1 and think this team can at least hang around and keep it close. I just don't think that will be the case. It reminds me a lot of late last year when they were a mere 10-point dog at Florida in the second to last week and lost 36-7. I think the Aggies are simply too talented and there's been enough talk about the potential for an upset that they will show up. That should be all it takes for them to win here by at least 20 points. Bet Texas A&M -16! 

20* IOWA/ILLINOIS BIG TEN GAME OF THE YEAR on Iowa -14 -107

My money is on the Hawkeyes to easily cover here as a two touchdown favorite against the Fighting Illini. Iowa comes into this game having lost 3 straight to fall to 6-4 and completely out of the Big Ten race after that 6-1 start. The most recent game was a ugly 14-10 loss at home to Northwestern as a 11.5-point favorite. After that game no-one wants anything to do with Hawkeyes, but this is the ideal bounce back spot for this team, as there's a big difference from 8-4 and 6-6 or 7-5 when bowl selection comes. Keep in mind Iowa could easily be undefeated right now, as all their losses have come in the finale minutes of the 4th quarter. Illinois is making progress, but they just don't have the offensive fire-power against a defense like this to keep this game close. Illini have allowed 30+ in 5 straight, giving up 45 or more in 4 of those. Bet Iowa -14! 

20* BOISE ST/N MEXICO MWC PLAY OF THE MONTH on New Mexico +21 -109

My money is on the Loboes to keep this thing close enough to cover. I fully expect Boise State to win the game, as they need a victory to keep their hopes alive of playing in the MWC Championship Game. However, coming off that big win over Fresno State and basically a playoff game against Utah State on deck (assuming they win), this is the definition of a trap game. Bet New Mexico +21! 

20* BUFFALO/OHIO CFB SHARP TOP PLAY on Ohio +1½ -106

20* ULM/S ALABAMA SUN BELT PLAY OF THE MONTH on South Alabama +5½ +110

My money is on the Jaguars as a slim 5.5-point home dog to ULM. South Alabama has had about as tough a start as you could draw up to conference play in the Sun Belt. After winning their conference opener against Texas State they have had to play Appalachian State, Georgia Southern, Troy and Arkansas State. They are just 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS in their last 6, which is why we are getting value here with them. Look for South Alabama to win this one outright. Bet the Jaguars +5.5! 

15* TCU/W VIRGINIA CFB SHARP PLAY on TCU +12½ -110

My money is on the Horned Frogs to keep it closer than expected on the road against the Mountaineers. The pressure is mounting on West Virginia and that makes this a really dangerous game for the Mountaineers. TCU hasn't been playing well and it will be easy for West Virginia to look past them with what looks like much tougher opponents on deck with Oklahoma State and Oklahoma. As bad the Horned Frogs have looked, I got a lot of confidence in Gary Patterson getting everything he has out of his players and if the TCU defense shows up, they might pull of the upset. This will be the best defense that the Mountaineers have faced since Iowa State and that Cyclones defense basically shut them down. Either way, this should be low-scoring and that makes the points that much more valuable. Bet TCU +12.5! 

15* MARYLAND/INDIANS CFB SHARP PLAY on Maryland +1 -110

My money is on the Terps to cash in a win on the road against Indiana and turn a lot of turmoil into a positive with their 6 win to get to bowl eligibility. Not to mention the books are begging you to take the Hoosiers at less than a field goal favorite at home. Maryland doesn't have much of a passing attack and have really struggled against top tier defenses like they did last week with Michigan State. I just don't think Indiana is on that level, as the Hoosiers have allowed 30+ in each of their last 4 games including 38 last time out against a pretty average at best Minnesota offense. Bet Maryland +1! 

20* LOUISVILLE/SYRACUSE ACC PLAY OF THE MONTH on Syracuse -20 -109

My money is on the Orange to cash in an easy win and cover at home against Louisville. Syracuse comes in to this game averaging 43.3 ppg (46.8 ppg at home) and will be facing a Cardinals defense that just allowed 77 to Clemson in their last game and 56 the week before to Wake Forest. They also gave up 66 not that long ago at home to Georgia Tech. They lost all 3 of those by at least 21 points and I could see them losing by a lot more than that, as I think Syracuse is going to be out to get some revenge from the lopsided losses Lamar Jackson handed this Orange team the last two years. Bet Syracuse -20! 

15* WAKE FOREST/NC STATE CFB SHARP PLAY on NC State -18 -105

My money is on NC State to easily cash in a cover as a big home favorite against Wake Forest. Demons Deacons might have the worst defense in the ACC and that's not a good thing for them. The Wolfpack come in having scored 40+ in back-to-back games and you have to believe that senior quarterback Ryan Finley is going to want to put on a show in his final home game. Wake Forest lost starting QB Sam Hartman and are going with a redshirt sophomore who has next to no experience and will be forced to throw with how good the Wolfpack are against the run. Bet NC State -18

15* TOLEDO/N ILLINOIS CFB SHARP PLAY on Toledo +3 +100

My money is on the Rockets to cover the 3-point spread against the Huskies. I just think this like begging you take Northern Illinois, as they are at home and have the better resume to this point. Defense can carry teams to a certain point, but good offenses can score against any defense. Toledo is averaging 41.2 ppg and nearly 6.3 yards/play. Northern Illinois is averaging 19.2 ppg and 4.2 yards/play. So much has to go right for the Huskies to win this game. Bet Toledo +3! 

20* KENT ST/BUFFALO CFB SHARP TOP PLAY on Kent State +22½ -109

My money is on the Golden Eagles to cash in as a massive 22.5-point underdog against the Bulls. Buffalo is simply way overvalued right now, as they are not only 8-1 SU on the season, but they have gone 7-2 ATS, covering each of their last 4. Kent State is not a team the public will be looking to back, but they have covered 3 of 4 and I believe are catching Buffalo in a great spot. The only thing in the way of the Bulls securing the MAC East title is a win next week at Ohio. Even a loss here and a win over the Bobcats and they are division champs. I'm not saying Buffalo will lose, I just think a less than 100% focused Bulls team will struggle to create the kind of separation needed to cover this big number. Bet Kent State +22.5! 

15* UTAH ST/HAWAII CFB SHARP PLAY on Hawaii +19 -110

My money is on Hawaii to cash in an easy cover as a 19-point home dog to Utah State. The Aggies have surprised a lot of people by going 7-1 to start the year and a good chunk of the betting public has been riding this team week after week, as they are also 7-1 ATS. It's to that point in the season where you want to start thinking about jumping off the teams that have been cover machines. I think that spot is right now for Utah State. I'm not saying they don't win, but Hawaii has the offense to make a game of it and a lot of teams struggle to play up to their potential when they have to travel to Hawaii (time difference). Bet the Rainbow Warriors +19! 

20* PENN ST/MICHIGAN CFB SHARP TOP PLAY on Michigan -10 -110

My money is on Michigan -10 at home against Penn State. The Nittany Lions are off a lucky win over Iowa and a hard fought win at Indiana. This team is fortunate to have not lost 4 straight and I think the number here wouldn't seem so far off if they had. Penn State just doesn't have a ton left to play for, as they came into this season with some lofty expectations. Michigan has the Big Ten title and playoff spot staring them in the face. Wolverines are off a bye and will be 100% ready to in this one. They have got revenge in their last two against Wisconsin and Michigan State in blowout fashion and will do the same here. Bet Michigan -10! 

15* TULANE/S FLORIDA CFB SHARP PLAY on Tulane +7½ -115

My money is on the Green Wave as a 7.5-point dog in Saturday's AAC action that has them visiting South Florida. I wasn't surprised to see USF lose the way they did to Houston last week. This team's 7-0 start was a joke. They hadn't played anybody and were very fortunate against bad teams. I don't think they are just going to bounce back from the loss to the Cougars. I think if anything they struggle to get up after that poor showing as they have to come to grips with the fact that they aren't as good as they thought. Bet Tulane +7.5! 

15* LIBERTY/UMASS CFB SHARP PLAY on Liberty +3 -120

My money is on Liberty to cash in a winning ticket as a 3-point dog to UMass. the Flames have been a can't miss story in college football and I think they keep the magical first season as a FBS-member going with another upset win. This time taking down the Minutemen. UMass snuck out a 5-point win over UConn, which tells you how bad they are, because the Huskies are atrocious. Bet Liberty! 

20* OHIO/W MICH MAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Ohio +2½ -110

My money is on the Bobcats to cash in a win on the road over Western Michigan. The Broncos are coming off a 51-24 loss at home to Toledo and in the process lost their starting quarterback. I just don't see them being able to compete without Wassink. Ohio has won 4 of their last 5 with the only loss by 3-points at N. Illinois. They have rushed for over 800 yards in their last 2 games and Western Michigan is giving up 4.7 yards/carry. Bet the Bobcats +2.5! 

20* BALL ST/TOLEDO CFB SHARP TOP PLAY on Ball State +18½ -105

My money is on the Cardinals to keep it close enough to cover the big spread on the road against the Rockets. I just think we are getting a great price here on Ball State, as the books have completely over-adjusted this line with the Cardinals losing starting quarterback Riley Neal. I look for Ball State to come out with a chip on their shoulder and catch Toledo potentially looking past this game off the big win against Western Michigan and an even bigger game on deck at Northern Illinois. Cardinals have covered 13 of their last 17 road games after failing to cover 3 of their previous 4. Bet Ball State +18.5! 

15* WISCONSIN/NORTHWESTERN CFB SHARP PLAY on Wisconsin -6½ -110

My money is on the Badgers to win by at least a touchdown on the road against Northwestern. I just feel like the Wildcats are the trending underdog pick here and that's not typically when the upsets happen. Wisconsin is one of the best teams in the country and I liked how they responded from their ugly loss to Michigan with a blowout win over Illinois. That defense is going to be too much for a very limited Northwestern offense to overcome and we have seen the Wildcats defense give up more than 200 yards on the ground twice already this season. Bet the Badgers -6.5! 

20* WYOMING/COLO ST MWC GAME OF THE MONTH on Wyoming +2½ -110

My money is on Wyoming to cash in the win and cover on the road against the Rams. Wyoming has had a tough time adjusting to life without Josh Allen at quarterback, as they are just 2-6 to start the year. The offense has really been the problem, as the defense has played way better than you would expect for a team with just 2 wins at this point in the season. I think Colorado State is a team they can move the ball against, as they are giving up 37.7 ppg and 448 ypg. At the same time, I think the Cowboys defense can keep the Rams offense in check. Bet Wyoming +2.5! 

20* GA TECH/VA TECH CFB SHARP TOP PLAY on Virginia Tech -3 -115

My money is on the Hokies as a small 3-point home favorite agains the Yellow Jackets. I love the price here with Virginia Tech at home off a bye and needing to play well after not looking great in their last two. They should have lost at UNC last time out, but stole the game late, which I think could do wonders for this team and getting back their confidence after that ugly loss to Notre Dame. Getting extra time to prepare for the triple-option is huge and no question the Hokies want this one after losing the last two in the series. Bet Virginia Tech -3! 

20* TROY/S ALABAMA SUN BELT PLAY OF THE MONTH on Troy -12½ -109

My money is on the Trojans to cash in a win and cover on the road against the Jaguars. Troy is coming off an ugly loss at Liberty as a 10.5-point favorite and are in a prime bounce back spot against a bad South Alabama team. The Jaguars are just 2-5 and are not a great offensive team (25.7 ppg) and have really struggled on the defensive side of the ball (39.3 ppg). South Alabama is giving up 5 yards/carry against the run and 8.7 yards/completion against the pass. Look for Troy to do whatever they want offensively and cruise to an easy road victory. Bet the Trojans -12.5! 

25* MISS ST/LSU SEC GAME OF THE YEAR on Mississippi State +6½ -105

 My money is on Mississippi State to cover and maybe pull off a massive upset on the road against LSU. Everyone is buying into the Tigers after they laid it on Georgia 36-16 at home. No denying Orgeron knows how to get this team to play hard, but I have to wonder if they won't be running on empty after laying it all on the line the last two weeks against Florida and Georgia. Making matters worse, they will be up against a fresh Mississippi State team that is coming off a bye. The Bulldogs defense is legit and they have the defensive line to completely disrupt this LSU offense. I think Nick Fitzgerald and his mobility will be enough for Mississippi State to pull off the upset. Bet the Bulldogs +6.5

15* OREGON ST/CAL NCAAF SHARP PLAY on Oregon State +6½ -105

My money is on Oregon State to cover as a home dog against a struggling Cal team. I just don't like where this Cal team is headed and how they have responded to things not going their way. After losing at home to Oregon, they lost to a bad Arizona team on the road and followed that up by getting annihilated on their home field 37-7 by a UCLA team that hadn't won a game. Now they go on the road to face an Oregon State team that has lost 4 straight and a massive game on deck against Washington. I think we see Cal continue to play as poorly as they have and I think we get the best Oregon State has to offer at home in one of the few games they believe they can win. Bet the Beavers +6.5!