Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-14-11 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Phoenix Suns OVER 195.5 | Top | 111-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy ESPN Friday Night TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Suns/Blazers OVER 195.5
The OVER in the Blazers/Suns game tonight is showing excellent value. Rarely will you find a Phoenix home game with a total set of less than 200 points. In fact, there has not been one Phoenix home game that has been set at less than 200 points this season, and only one Suns game all year was set at less than 200. That came at Charlotte on 11/20 where 228 combined points were scored despite a total of just 198.5. Odds makers are making a huge mistake tonight by setting this total so low. The Suns are scoring 106.0 points/game this season and allowing a league-worst 108.9 points/game. Given those averages, you can see why we're on the OVER tonight. The OVER is 9-2 in Suns last 11 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5. The OVER is 10-4 in Suns last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Phoenix is 15-7 to the OVER in their last 22 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The OVER is 7-3 in Trail Blazers last 10 games as a road favorite of 0.5-4.5. Phoenix is 21-9 OVER (+11.1 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. Phoenix and their opponents are combining to score 214.9 points/game this season, therefore we are essentially getting nearly 20 points of value tonight. Take the OVER 195.5 points here. |
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12-17-10 | Phoenix Suns v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 210.5 | Top | 91-106 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Suns/Mavs ESPN Friday Night "BAILOUT" on OVER 210.5
Phoenix is the worst defensive team in the league this season, and this is a reasonably low total for a Suns game tonight. Phoenix is scoring 109.0 points/game while allowing 110.0 points/game for an averaged combined score of 219.0 points/game. Dallas has had no problem scoring on the Suns over the last few years, which should come as no surprise. The Mavs have scored 100 or more points in 8 straight meetings with Phoenix, while the Suns have scored 101 or more in 5 of the last 6 meetings in this series. There have been some bad defensive teams in Phoenix history, but this year's version has to be the worst. The OVER is 6-0 in Mavs last 6 games overall, and Dallas has scored 100 or more points in 10 of their last 12 games overall. Dallas is hitting on all cylinders offensively right now and that's another big reason why the OVER should be money in the bank tonight. The OVER is 11-1 in Suns last 12 games playing on 1 days rest. Take the OVER 210.5 points here. |
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12-10-10 | Miami Heat v. Golden State Warriors OVER 204 | Top | 106-84 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Heat/Warriors OVER 204
This is a very low total for a Warriors home game, and the clear value tonight is with the OVER as the Miami Heat come to town. The Warriors are scoring 105.4 points/game and allowing 106.6 points/game at home this year for an average combined score of 212 points. The OVER is 6-1 in Heat last 7 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The OVER is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings and the OVER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Golden State. Take the OVER 204 points here. |
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10-29-10 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Phoenix Suns OVER 208 | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Lakers/Suns ESPN Friday Night "BAILOUT" on OVER 208
Just looking at how these teams have played in recent meetings, it's clear that this total has been set way too low tonight. You also have to factor in that the Lakers are without Andrew Bynum, which means Lamar Odom is taking his spot. With Odom, the Lakers are much more explosive offensively and they can get out and run more because Odom can handle the ball like a point guard. The Suns haven't changed what they do, which is run and gun and penetrate and kick out. They shoot a lot of 3-pointers, but that's because they have so many great perimeter shooters. Long rebounds on miss 3-pointers lead to fast breaks for their opposition, and the Lakers will get plenty of opportunities to run tonight. 5 of the last 6 meetings have seen 214 or more combined points, and these teams are averaging 222.8 points/game over those 6 games. So as you can see, these teams tend to play in shootouts when they get together. Plus, the Suns are 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) in home games off an road win scoring 110 or more points over the last 3 seasons. we're seeing an average of 227.2 points/game in this spot. Take the OVER 208 points here. |
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06-15-10 | Boston Celtics v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 189 | Top | 67-89 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy 2010 NBA Finals TOTAL OF THE YEAR on UNDER 189
The UNDER has cashed in 3 straight games with 185 points or less scored and you can chalk up a 4th straight UNDER tonight. Both the Lakers and Celtics know how to stop one another at this point, but each team is struggling to find easy buckets. That's why this series has turned into a defensive battle, and with the pressure of a Game 6, another low-scoring contest is in store. Neither team has scored more than 96 points in any of the last 3 games. Boston did shoot 56% from the field in Game 5, but only managed 92 points. The Lakers are relying on Kobe Bryant, and as a result he is taking a lot of shots at the end of the shotclock which is why they are not performing up to par offensively. Assists have been few and far between, and the Lakers are 16-4 UNDER (+11.6 Units) after a game with 15 or less assists over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 6-1-1 in Celtics last 8 games following a win, and the UNDER is a perfect 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games following an ATS loss. The UNDER is also 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. The UNDER is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings. Take the UNDER 189 points in Game 6. |
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06-10-10 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Boston Celtics UNDER 190 | Top | 89-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Finals PARLAY OF THE YEAR on Lakers +4/UNDER 190
We expect the Lakers to go in for the kill in Game 4 now that they have Boston on their heels, and another excellent defensive effort tonight similar to how Game 3 played out. The familiarity between these teams makes it difficult for either squad to flourish offensively, and that's why we see another low-scoring game in this one. The Lakers are a superb 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. The Lakers are 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) after allowing 85 points or less this season. The Celtics are 12-4 UNDER (+7.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season. The Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog, and the UNDER is 14-6-1 in Lakers last 21 games as a road underdog. The UNDER is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 playoff games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5. Take the Lakers and the UNDER as our NBA Finals PARLAY OF THE YEAR! |
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05-28-10 | Orlando Magic v. Boston Celtics OVER 189 | Top | 84-96 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA on ESPN TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Magic/Celtics OVER 189
This series has shifted to a high-scoring one ever since three straight unders in the first three games. Orlando has changed the way that they have approached the Celtics, which is to push the tempo because getting out in transition gives them the best chance to win. Falling into a half-court game with Boston has not worked, so we expect the Magic to force the action in Game 6. Games 4 and 5 each were much higher-scoring, and as a result each went OVER the posted number. With what's at stake in this game, neither team is going to give up in the end no matter how far they are behind. But we definitely see a close game, and fouls in the end will also help push the final score OVER the number. A system backing this play tells us to take the OVER on home teams where the total is in the 180 to 189.5 range after allowing 110 points or more against opponent after scoring 110 points or more. This trend has gone 32-7 (82%) to the OVER since 1996 and it's 10-1 (91%) to the OVER through the last 3 seasons. The OVER is 35-16 in the Celtics' last 51 games following a loss. Take the OVER 189 points here. |
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05-27-10 | Phoenix Suns v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 218 | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Suns/Lakers NBA on TNT Total on UNDER 218
The first 4 games of this series have all gone OVER the final posted number. But these games have become lower-scoring as this series has progressed. We saw 235 points in Game 1, 236 in Game 2, 227 in Game 3 and 221 in Game 4. Game 3 and Game 4 only went over the total due to fouls in the end by the Lakers as each contest was well on pace to go under. We are certain Game 5 will see the fewest combined points of this series, and thus we'll select the UNDER. The Lakers really struggled to defend in Phoenix, and returning home tonight their focus is squarely on the defensive end. Kobe Bryant has informed his teammates that this will be the foucs. "My message is offensively, we're going to score enough points," Bryant said. "Defensively, we've got to do a much better job. That's my message. We've got to grind, do a better job staying in front of them." Phoenix is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season, with the UNDER coming through 92% of the time. We're seeing an average score of Phoenix 101.5 and their opponents 98.6 in this spot. We expect the Lakers to win this game somewhere in the 110 to 100 range with 210 or less combined points with what's at stake. Take the UNDER 218 points here. |
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05-25-10 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Phoenix Suns UNDER 221.5 | Top | 106-115 | Win | 100 | 19 h 17 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Lakers/Suns #1 TOTAL OF THE SERIES on UNDER 221.5
The total started out at 210 points in Game 1, but after three straight OVERS in this series the odds makers have set the number at 221.5 for Game 4. No question we are seeing awesome value on the UNDER Tuesday in what we see as being a much lower-scoring game than the first three contests of this series. The UNDER is 11-0 in Lakers last 11 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5 and 6-0 in Lakers last 6 games as a road favorite in this same range, making for a PERFECT 17-0 UNDER Angle. Take the value and take the UNDER in Game 4. |
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05-19-10 | Phoenix Suns v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 215.5 | Top | 112-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Suns/Lakers NBA on TNT Game 2 Total on OVER 215.5
The Suns and Lakers are prone to shootouts when they get together, especially of late. In the last 8 meetings, 6 have resulted in combined scores of 221 or more points. In those 8 meetings, they have combined to average 220.6 points/game. The Suns are 40-20 OVER (+18.0 Units) when playing 3 or less games in 10 days since 1996. Phoenix is 27-14 OVER (+11.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The Suns are 42-26 OVER (+13.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. They are averaging 222.7 points/game in this spot. The OVER is 8-2 in Suns last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The OVER is 5-0-1 in Lakers last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. This makes for a 13-2 (87%) Angle in favor of the OVER tonight in Game 2. Take the OVER 215.5 points here. |
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05-17-10 | Phoenix Suns v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 211 | Top | 107-128 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy 2010 NBA Playoffs TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Lakers/Suns UNDER 211
After both the Lakers and Suns swept their second-round series in 4 games, each will come into Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals a little rusty. The defensive execution will be there, but offensively both teams will be out of sync for Game 1. The UNDER is 7-1-1 (88%) in the Suns last 9 road games, with a highest combined score of 208 points. The Lakers will be able to control the tempo at home tonight and slow this game down. Phoenix is a much better defensive team this season, especially of late where they have allowed 102 or less points in 9 straight playoff games. The Lakers have allowed 103 or less in 8 of their 10 playoff games. The Lakers are 14-3 UNDER (+10.7 Units) after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season. Phoenix is 11-2 UNDER (+8.8 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. The Lakers are 31-16 UNDER (+13.4 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 11-3 in Lakers last 14 playoff games as a favorite and the UNDER is 9-2 in Lakers last 11 conference finals games. Take the UNDER 211 points as our NBA Playoffs T.O.T.Y.! |
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05-16-10 | Boston Celtics v. Orlando Magic UNDER 189.5 | Top | 92-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Celtics/Magic Game 1 "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 189.5
Two of the best defensive teams in the league hit the hardwood in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals Sunday. The Boston Celtics allow 94.3 points/game on the road this season while the Orlando Magic allow 92.9 points/game at home. That's why it is no surprise that these are the last two teams standing in the East. It also shouldn't come as a surprise that when these teams meet, then tend to play in low-scoring games. The UNDER is 7-1 in the the last 8 meetings, with the highest combined score of 190 points. So over their last 8 meetings, they have only topped this 189.5-point total one time and it came by a mere half-point! We have seen 185, 190, 163, 161, 183, 158, 180 and 189 points in the last 8 meetings, respectively, and an average of 176.1 points/game. The Magic will be a bit rusty after a long break, but their defensive effort will still be there. The Celtics are likely to come out a bit flat as well after their series upset of the Cavaliers. The Magic are 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. This is going to be an ugly, defensive struggle in Game 1. Take the UNDER 189.5 points here. |
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05-11-10 | Boston Celtics v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 194.5 | Top | 120-88 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy 2010 NBA Playoffs TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Celtics/Cavs UNDER 194.5
This game won't come close to 194 points tonight with how important Game 5 is to both teams. We saw 184 combined points in Game 4 and we expect to see an even lower-scoring game tonight. Both teams know what they need to do to stop their opposition. The Cavs have to keep Rajon Rondo out of the paint, and there's a very good chance Lebron James guards him tonight to help accomplish that. The Celtics have to keep Lebron James out of the lane, and they have been doing a good job of it with the exception of Game 3 where they just didn't show up. These are two teams that know how to defend one another now and they have the tools to do so, which will make points hard to come by in Game 5. Boston is 38-20 UNDER (+16.0 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Boston is 17-6 UNDER (+10.4 Units) in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons, with an average combined score of 182.0 points/game. The UNDER is 8-3 in Celtics last 11 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. The UNDER is 4-1 in the Cavs' last 5 games playing on 1 days' rest. The UNDER is 19-7 in Cavs last 26 Conference Semifinals games. Take the UNDER 194.5 points as our 2010 NBA Playoffs Total of the Year! |
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05-10-10 | Orlando Magic v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 193 | Top | 98-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA 2nd Round TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Magic/Hawks UNDER 193
This Game 4 tonight between the Hawks and Magic represents our strongest Total release in the 2nd round of the 2010 playoffs. This one is an absolute no-brainer tonight with the way these games in Atlanta have been played between these teams. The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta, and we've seen combined scores of 169, 170, 170 and 180. They haven't even come close to scoring 190-plus points and we don't expect it to happen tonight, either. When Atlanta plays at home, they control the tempo which is a slower pace than Orlando likes to play when they are at home. The Hawks will play with some pride tonight on the defensive end, while the Magic will be getting after it defensively to try to close out this series. Atlanta is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons, and we're seeing 182.6 points/game in this spot. They always tend to play in lower-scoring games after a bad defensive effort. That also holds true with the following trend. The Hawks are 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 2 seasons, and we're seeing 175.0 points/game in this situation. Take the UDNER 193 points here. |
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05-08-10 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Utah Jazz UNDER 202.5 | Top | 111-110 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 44 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Jazz/Lakers TOTAL OF THE SERIES on UNDER 202.5
Plays on the UNDER on any team after 5 or more consecutive overs, good team outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game are 125-69 (64%) to the UNDER since 1996. Just this year this trend is 12-4 (75%) to the UNDER. The Jazz have gone over the number in 5 straight games and as a result, the odds makers have moved this total up from 198.5 points in Games 1 and 2 to 202.5 points in Game 3. That gives us 4 points of value on the UNDER Saturday. Games between the Lakers and Jazz in Utah have been much lower scoring on average. The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Utah, with combined scores of 177, 196, 202 and 174 points, respectively. With what's at stake in Game 3 for the Jazz, look for them to get after it defensively and hold the Lakers below 100 points for the first time in this series. The Lakers are 21-7 UNDER (+13.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season. The Lakers are 12-4 UNDER (+7.6 Units) as a road underdog this season. The UNDER is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The 3 days' rest both teams have also favors a low-scoring game Saturday, because extra preparation gives both teams the opportunity to practice how they want to defend their opposition. The Lakers will work on their pick and roll defense, while the Jazz will work on when to double team down low. Look for each team to be sharp defensively in this one as a result. Take the UNDER 202.5 points. |
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05-05-10 | San Antonio Spurs v. Phoenix Suns OVER 205.5 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Spurs/Suns TNT TOTAL OF THE MONTH on OVER 205.5
Once again, the odds makers have failed to set this total in Game 2 as high as it should be set. The Total closed at 204.5 and 205 in most places for Game 1, and after 213 combined points were scored they have only adjusted it 0.5-1.0 points. All these teams have been doing when they face one another is play in shootouts this season. The OVER is 4-0 in all 4 meetings this year, with combined scores of 220, 223, 213 and 213 points. Also, the last four meetings in Phoenix have gone OVER the posted total with the lowest combined score at 213 points. Phoenix is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents this season, with an average combined score of 223.6 points/game. The Spurs are 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making >=39% of their attempts this season, with an average combined score fo 218.5 points/game. Over the last 5 years, in Game 2 in the second round of a playoffs series, the OVER has gone 36-8 (82%). Take the OVER 205.5 points here. |
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05-03-10 | San Antonio Spurs v. Phoenix Suns OVER 203.5 | Top | 102-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Spurs/Suns GUARANTEED Game 1 PARLAY on Suns -3.5/OVER 203.5
We look at how these teams have fared this season against one another, and we're certain the Suns cover and this game finishes well OVER the number in Game 1. The home team is 3-0 this season, with Phoenix winning 112-101 in early April and 116-104 in December. The combined scores in these three meetings this year have been as follows: 220, 223 and 213. The reason this total has been set so low is due to the fact that both the Spurs and Suns played in defensive battles in their first series. The Suns have gone UNDER the number in 5 straight and the Spurs have gone UNDER the total in 4 straight. But with the way these teams have played each other this season, there's no question that the right play is on the home team and the OVER in Game 1. Phoenix is 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents this season, with an average combined score of 224.7 points/game. Phoenix is 14-4 ATS against Southwest division opponents this season. The Spurs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as an underdog. The Suns are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5. Take the Suns and the OVER in Game 1. |
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05-01-10 | Boston Celtics v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 191.5 | Top | 93-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Celtics/Cavs Game 1 "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 191.5
The Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers have played in many fierce battles over the past three seasons. As a result, both teams are very familiar with one another. That makes it easy for each team to take away the strengths of their opposition. Boston will be double-teaming Lebron James all game, forcing other players to beat them and as a result the Cavs won't put up a big number on the scoreboard. Cleveland's main focus is stopping Paul Pierce, Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett and they have the personnel to defend these three players, which makes it tough for Boston to put up a big number as well. The UNDER is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 Conference Semifinals games. The UNDER is 7-2 in the Celtics last 9 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The UNDER is 17-5 in Cavaliers last 22 Conference Semifinals games. Take the UNDER 191.5 points here. |
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04-30-10 | Atlanta Hawks v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 189.5 | Top | 83-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA on ESPN TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Hawks/Bucks UNDER 189.5
In a pressure-packed Game 6 we'll side with this contest finishing UNDER the number tonight. Game 5 resulted in 178 combined points being scored with a 91-87 victory for the Bucks. As these series' ware on, teams become more familiar with what each other likes to do offensively, and it makes it easier to stop defensively. As a result, there tends to be lower-scoring games at the end of every series. Atlanta is 30-16 UNDER (+12.4 Units) when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons. Take the UNDER 189.5 points here. |
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04-28-10 | Utah Jazz v. Denver Nuggets OVER 215 | Top | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Jazz/Nuggets NBA TOTAL OF THE SERIES on OVER 215
This is a no-brainer tonight with the nature of the way these teams have played when up against one another, especially in Denver. 3 of the first 4 games in this series have gone OVER, with combined scores of at least 223 points in the three OVERS. The OVER is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Denver with an average combined score of 226 points. The fewest points scored were 214 in the last 8 meetings, so as you can see these teams have no problem putting up plenty of points when they meet in Denver. Utah is 16-4 OVER (+11.6 Units) vs. division opponents this season. The Jazz are 31-14 OVER (+15.6 Units) in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival since 1996. The OVER is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 games playing on 2 days rest and the OVER is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. Take the OVER 215 points. |
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04-26-10 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Phoenix Suns OVER 202 | Top | 88-107 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 38 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Suns/Blazers NBA Western Conference PARLAY OF THE YEAR on Suns -6/OVER 202
The Suns' players have stated that they cannot get in a half court game with Portland, and both of their losses to the Blazers in this series were a direct result of letting Portland control the tempo. Both of their wins have been a result of Phoenix forcing the issue. The Suns scored 119 points in Game 2 and 108 points in Game 3, both victories. With Phoenix returning home tonight, they will control the tempo and they will win this game with room to spare as they put up a big number which will also help get the OVER. The Suns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss. The Suns are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. The OVER is 6-1 in Suns last 7 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. The OVER is 8-2 in Trail Blazers last 10 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. Take the Suns and the OVER as our Western Conference Parlay of the Year, guaranteed to go 2-0 or you play for free Tuesday! |
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04-25-10 | Dallas Mavericks v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 194.5 | Top | 89-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA 1st Round TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Mavs/Spurs UNDER 194.5
The UNDER is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in this series. Once again, the odds makers have failed to lower this total when it should be in the 180-range. The Spurs are 22-7 UNDER (+14.3 Units) in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons. Take the UNDER 194.5 points here. |
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04-20-10 | Miami Heat v. Boston Celtics OVER 179 | Top | 77-106 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Heat/Celtics NBA on TNT PARLAY on Boston -1/OVER 179
Kevin Garnett is out for the Celtics, and Boston will miss his defensive presence, but Garnett is not the same offensive player he once was. The Celtics can now go small and they will score more points because of it which really favors a high-scoring affair. Boston still has home-court advantage with with Paul Pierce, Ray Allen and Rajon Rondo leading the way, the Celtics have plenty of talent to win this game in a shootout. Boston is 27-9 OVER (+17.1 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Miami is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 80 points over the last 2 seasons. The Heat are 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games revenging 4 or more losses vs opponent in last 2 years since 1996. Boston is 11-1 SU against Maimi over the last 3 seasons, including a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 home meetings. Take the Celtics and the OVER as our NBA on TNT PARLAY Tuesday! |
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04-19-10 | Utah Jazz v. Denver Nuggets OVER 212 | Top | 114-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA on TNT 1st Round TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Jazz/Nuggets OVER 212
We'll side with the OVER on the Jazz/Nuggets with another total that has been set too low in this series. These teams combined for 239 points in a 126-113 Denver victory in Game 1, and that high-scoring affair should not be a surprise. The OVER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings with a combined score of 218 or more points in five of those six contests. Now Mehmet Okur is out for the Jazz, which doesn't hurt their offense but it certainly hurts their ability to defend the Nuggets. Utah will have to go small tonight with a heavy dose of Carlos Boozer and Paul Millsap inside. The Jazz are in trouble defensively, but this should allow them to push the tempo offensively and try to get more easy buckets in transition with their big men. Utah is 14-3 OVER (+10.7 Units) vs. division opponents this season. The OVER is 31-15-1 in Jazz last 47 games as a road underdog. The OVER is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. The OVER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Denver. Take the OVER 212 points here. |
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04-18-10 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 197 | Top | 79-87 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA 1st Round PARLAY OF THE YEAR on Lakers -7.5/UNDER 197
The Lakers dominate Sunday behind great defense and efficient half-court offense. L.A. welcomes back Andrew Bynum which makes them automatically a better defensive team with his presence inside. Having three tall bodies in Bynum, Odom and Gasol in the paint will give the Thunder fits. The Lakers certainly have saved their best for the playoffs because even though they won the #1 seed in the West, there's no question they didn't play up to their potential this season. Injuries had a lot to do with that, but the Lakers are getting healthy at the right time. L.A. still went 34-7 at home this season while winning by an average of 8.5 points/game. The Lakers have won 10 of 11 meetings with the Thunder over the last 3 years, including a 5-0 home mark. L.A. has gone 14-4 UNDER against Northwest division opponents this season. The Lakers are 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Defense gets more intense in the playoffs, and you will see the Lakers really getting after it in Game 1 to erase all doubts about how this team isn't as good as last year's group. Take the Lakers and the UNDER. |
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03-30-10 | Sacramento Kings v. Indiana Pacers OVER 206 | Top | 95-102 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy 2010 NBA #1 TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Kings/Pacers OVER 206
You don't have to look far to find that when the Kings and Pacers get together, a high-scoring affair usually ensues. The last 5 meetings in this series have all seen 215 or more combined poines. With a total set at just 206 Tuesday, this is our best over/under release for the entire 2010 season. The Kings and Pacers don't have much to play for at this point, so they aren't putting much effort into the defensive end. Tyreke Evans returns tonight for the Kings, which will certainly give them a boost offensively as he has missed the last 5 games with a concussion. The Pacers are 27-13 OVER (+12.7 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons. The OVER is 12-5 in Pacers last 17 vs. Western Conference. Take the OVER 206 points here. |
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03-15-10 | New York Knicks v. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 210 | Top | 94-84 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Knicks/76ers OVER 210
The Knicks have allowed 110 or more points in 12 of their last 18 ball games. They have scored 240 points combined in their last 2 games for an average of 120 points/game. Philly has given up 100 or more in each of their last 5 games, and 10 of their last 12 games overall. With the way these teams are playing right now, and considering 3 of the past 4 meetings have seen 211 or more combined points, this is a pretty easy choice going with the OVER tonight. The OVER is 9-2 in Knicks last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The OVER is 7-2 in Knicks last 9 road games. Take the OVER 210 points here. |
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02-18-10 | Denver Nuggets v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 206 | Top | 118-116 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy 2010 NBA on TNT TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Nuggets/Cavs U 206
The last two meetings in this series have both gone UNDER the number with combined scores of 193 and 196 points. Cleveland is a tremendous defensive team at home, giving up just 93.4 points/game. We don't see either team scoring over 100 points tonight in what will be a defensive battle between two of the top squads in the league. Denver is 21-7 UNDER (+13.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland is 34-15 UNDER (+17.5 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Nuggets are 16-5 UNDER (+10.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 24-9 in Nuggets last 33 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Take the UNDER 206 points here. |
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02-11-10 | San Antonio Spurs v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 206 | Top | 111-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA on TNT TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Spurs/Nuggets UNDER 206
Both teams really want a win in their last game before the All-Star break. Look for both teams to amp up their defense because of it, more than any normal game. The UNDER is 39-20 in the last 59 meetings in this series. The last 5 meetings in this series have all seen 205 or less combined points. San Antonio has scored 98 or less points in 3 straight games, all on the road, and have allowed 101 or less in all three of those contests as well. The Spurs are a superb 75-38 UNDER (+33.2 Units) revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite since 1996. They always step up their defense following a home loss to an opponent last meeting. The Spurs are 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) in road games after playing a road game this season. They have gone UNDER the number in 3 straight road games. Denver is 49-33 UNDER (+12.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Take the UNDER 206 points. |
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02-05-10 | Milwaukee Bucks v. New York Knicks OVER 200.5 | Top | 114-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Bucks/Knicks OVER 200.5
This is a very low total for a Knicks' home game. The Bucks are 24-10 OVER (+13.0 Units) after 4 or more consecutive unders since 1996. The Knicks are 20-7 OVER (+12.3 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons. New York is 7-2 OVER in their last 9 Friday games. Take the OVER. |
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12-15-09 | New Jersey Nets v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 196.5 | Top | 89-99 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Tuesday "Total" Money Maker on Nets/Cavs UNDER 196.5
The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between the Nets and Cavs, with a combined score of 188 points or less in each contest. The UNDER is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings overall. This has been a very low-scoring series, and that should continue here tonight. We especially like this UNDER considering the betting public has pushed it up to 196.5 from 193, clearly placing the value with the UNDER. The Nets score just 89.2 points/game this season while the Cavs average 99.7 points/game, so neither team is blowing teams away with their offense. Cleveland is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season, cashing 89% of the time with an average combined score of 188 points/game in this sport. Take the UNDER 196.5 points. |
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10-27-09 | Boston Celtics v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 185 | Top | 95-89 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Celtics/Cavs TNT "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 185
This is a no-brainer here tonight folks as both Cleveland and Boston will be rusty to start the season offensively as they try and find their rhythm. But there's no question each will pick up right where they left off last year defensively. Boston gave up 94.0 points/game on the road and Cleveland allowed 88.2 points/game on their home floor. The UNDER is a perfect 4-0 in the last 4 games between these teams played in Cleveland. They combined to score 183, 181, 143, and 165 points in those 4 meetings, respectively. Cleveland is 76-47 UNDER (+24.3 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996. Take the UNDER 185 points here. |
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06-09-09 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Orlando Magic UNDER 198.5 | Top | 104-108 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy
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06-04-09 | Orlando Magic v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 206 | Top | 75-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Lakers/Magic Game 1
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05-30-09 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Orlando Magic OVER 192.5 | Top | 90-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Cavs/Magic Game 6
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05-29-09 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Denver Nuggets OVER 208.5 | Top | 119-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Nuggets/Lakers
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05-27-09 | Denver Nuggets v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 209 | Top | 94-103 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy 2009 Western Conference Playoffs T.O.T.Y. on Nuggets/Lakers O 209
Game 4 saw 221 combined points and Game 5 tonight will follow suit. Both teams are looking to run a lot more, and the fouls are starting to get called with this series getting more chippy as it progresses. There were several technical fouls and a flagrant called in Game 4, so the Refs will be quick with the whistle in Game 5 and more free throws equals more points. The Lakers are 30-15 OVER (+13.5 Units) in home games versus good foul drawing teams - attempting >=27 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. L.A. is 30-13 OVER (+15.7 Units) in home games after a game where they were called for 30 or more fouls since 1996. Take the OVER 209 points here. |
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05-25-09 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 209 | Top | 101-120 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Lakers/Nuggets Game 4 Total w/ 36-0 O/U Angle on U 209
The UNDER is 3-0 in this series, and the UNDER is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Denver. Better yet, the UNDER is 9-1 (90%) in the last 10 meetings overall. As this series wares on, look for these games to become even more low-scoring with what |
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05-23-09 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Denver Nuggets OVER 211 | Top | 103-97 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 4 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Western Conference Finals TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Nuggets/Lakers O 211
The Nuggets score a lot more points at home than they do on the road. Denver is averaging 108.5 points per game at home this season, and their defense isn |
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05-21-09 | Denver Nuggets v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 211 | Top | 106-103 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Nuggets/Lakers Game 2
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05-20-09 | Orlando Magic v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 185 | Top | 107-106 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Magic/Cavs Game 1
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05-19-09 | Denver Nuggets v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 215 | Top | 103-105 | Win | 100 | 17 h 14 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Western Conference Playoffs TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Nuggets/Lakers U 215
The Lakers have been an UNDER machine in the playoffs, going 8-2 UNDER in their last 10 postseason games. This Total has been set far too high Tuesday to not take advantage. That |
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05-17-09 | Houston Rockets v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 195 | Top | 70-89 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA 2nd Round TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Rockets/Lakers U 195
The Rockets/Lakers Game 7 will go well UNDER the Total Sunday afternoon in this pressure-cooker. Don |
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05-12-09 | Houston Rockets v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 199 | Top | 78-118 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Rockets/Lakers TOTAL OF THE YEAR on U 199
The Lakers really, really get after it defensively after a poor performance in Game 4 which saw the Rockets come out on top 99-87. Houston no longer has the offensive-firepower to hang with L.A. in Game 5 on the road, now missing Yao Ming and Tracy McGrady. Houston got 34 points from Aaron Brooks in Game 4, and a plethora of 3-pointers from Shane Battier. Think either of these guys will have anywhere near the performance they had in Game 4? Think again. The Lakers hold the Rockets to 80 points or less as this one goes well UNDER the number. Houston has been able to hold the Lakers to less than 100 points per game in this series, and we expect that to be the case again tonight s the Lakers are held to less than 100 here. The UNDER is 6-2 in the Rockets |
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05-11-09 | Denver Nuggets v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 210 | Top | 117-119 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Total of the Week on Nuggets/Mavs U 210
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05-09-09 | Denver Nuggets v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 210 | Top | 106-105 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 30 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Nuggets/Mavs Game 3
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05-08-09 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Houston Rockets UNDER 193.5 | Top | 108-94 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Rockets/Lakers
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05-04-09 | Orlando Magic v. Boston Celtics UNDER 188.5 | Top | 95-90 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Magic/Celtics Game 1 PARLAY on Orlando +2/U 188.5
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05-03-09 | Miami Heat v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 181 | Top | 78-91 | Win | 100 | 1 h 3 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Heat/Hawks Game 7
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04-28-09 | Chicago Bulls v. Boston Celtics OVER 198 | Top | 104-106 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Bulls/Celtics O 198
The Bulls/Celtics Game 5 tonight will exceed 200 combined points with ease. 3 out of the first 4 games have seen more than 200 combined points, including 208 and 233-point efforts in Game 1 and Game 2 in Boston, respectively. The OVER is now 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Boston. Boston is 29-14 OVER in home games this season and a perfect 7-0 OVER in home games in the month of April. The OVER is 8-0 in the Celtics |
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04-25-09 | San Antonio Spurs v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 188 | Top | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Spurs/Mavs NBA
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04-21-09 | Detroit Pistons v. Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 177.5 | Top | 82-94 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 60 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Eastern Conf. Opening Round TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Cavs/Pistons O 177.5
The Cavs and Pistons combined to score 186 points in Game 1 and we feel Game 2 will follow suit. The OVER is 3-0 in the Cavs |
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04-09-09 | Denver Nuggets v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 209 | Top | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Nuggets/Lakers NBA on TNT
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04-08-09 | Washington Wizards v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 200 | Top | 86-98 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA
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04-05-09 | Denver Nuggets v. Minnesota Timberwolves OVER 207 | Top | 110-87 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA
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03-23-09 | Orlando Magic v. New York Knicks OVER 216 | Top | 106-102 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy 2009 NBA TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Magic/Knicks O 216
The Magic/Knicks game tonight will see at least 220 combined points. These teams just met on Saturday with a 110-103 Magic home win. But games played in Madison Square Garden have been much more high-scoring this year. In fact, the last time these teams met in New York the game saw 223 combined points with a 114-109 Magic victory. The Knicks score 107.5 points and allow 108.5 points per game at home this season. The Knicks are 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) as a home underdog of 6 points or less this season. New York is 12-3 OVER (+8.7 Units) in home games after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games this season. Orlando is 13-4 OVER (+8.6 Units) in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread this season. The Knicks are 14-4 OVER (+9.6 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Magic are 13-2 OVER (+10.8 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season. The OVER is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. The OVER is 5-0 in the Knicks |
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03-18-09 | Miami Heat v. Boston Celtics OVER 191 | Top | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA OVER Lover
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03-17-09 | Boston Celtics v. Chicago Bulls OVER 195 | Top | 121-127 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy Eastern Conference
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03-16-09 | Houston Rockets v. New Orleans Hornets UNDER 182.5 | Top | 95-84 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Rockets/Hornets U 182.5
The Rockets/Hornets game tonight won |
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03-04-09 | Indiana Pacers v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 208 | Top | 105-107 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Wednesday
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03-02-09 | New Orleans Hornets v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 189.5 | Top | 98-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA East vs. West TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Hornets/76ers U 189.5
The Hornets just played a very tight ball game in New Jersey last night with a 99-96 victory, and Philly has only had 1 days |
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02-24-09 | Detroit Pistons v. Miami Heat OVER 182 | Top | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Pistons/Heat O 182
The Pistons have been playing in more high-scoring games on the road than they have at home recently. Detroit has managed to score 98, 126 and 102 points in 3 of their last 4 road games. They should be able to top or come close to the 100-point mark again tonight against a Miami Heat team that gave up 122 points in their last game against Orlando. The Heat have given up 91 points or more in 11 straight games now, which is the number that these teams have to average to tie this 182-point total Tuesday. Miami is allowing 103.2 points per game over their last 5 contests. Miami is 14-3 OVER (+10.7 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season. The average score in these games are Miami 98.1 and their opponents 101.2 where they are going OVER the Total 82% of the time. Take the OVER 182 points here. |
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02-23-09 | Boston v. Denver UNDER 201 | Top | 114-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA STEAL of the Week on Celtics/Nuggets U 201
After Boston played a very high-scoring game in Phoenix last night, look for the Celtics to shore up their defense and not quite hit as many shots against a much better Denver Nuggets defense tonight. Boston has actually played their best defense away from home, allowing a mere 91.1 points per contest on the road. But their offensive production is well down on the road as the Celtics average only 97.6 points per game away from home. With Boston still without Kevin Garnett, the Celtics will struggle to find points in their offense tonight. In the first meeting of the season, the Nuggets topped the Celtics 94-85 for 179 combined points. We expect to see a similar point total tonight with each team playing on 0 days |