7* Broncos/Seahawks MNF *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 44.5

6* Giants/Titans Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on New York +6

7* Packers/Vikings NFC North *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota +2

6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on Detroit Lions +4

7* Bills/Rams TNF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 52

7* Rams/Bengals Super Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Cincinnati +4.5

7* 49ers/Rams NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on San Francisco +3.5

6* Bengals/Chiefs AFC *CA$H COW* on Cincinnati +7.5

7* Bills/Chiefs AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Buffalo +2.5

6* Rams/Bucs NFC *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles +3

7* Bengals/Titans AFC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 47

6* Cardinals/Rams NFC West *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles -3.5

7* 49ers/Cowboys NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on San Francisco +3

6* Eagles/Bucs NFC *CA$H COW* on Philadelphia +8.5

7* Raiders/Bengals AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Cincinnati -5

6* Chargers/Raiders AFC West *BAILOUT* Las Vegas +3

6* Seahawks/Cardinals NFC West *CA$H COW* on Seattle +6.5

6* Patriots/Dolphins AFC East *CA$H COW* on Miami +7

6* Steelers/Ravens AFC North *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh +5

7* NFC North Game of the Year on Chicago Bears +5.5

7* Chiefs/Broncos AFC West *HEAVY HITTER* on OVER 45

7* Browns/Steelers MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Pittsburgh +3.5

6* Vikings/Packers SNF *BAILOUT* on Minnesota +13

6* Panthers/Saints NFC South *CA$H COW* on New Orleans -6.5

7* NFC Game of the Month on Philadelphia Eagles -4.5

7* Dolphins/Saints MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami -2.5

6* Washington/Dallas NFC East *CA$H COW* on UNDER 47

7* NFC Game of the Year on Chicago Bears +7

6* Bills/Patriots AFC East *CA$H COW* on Buffalo +2

6* Browns/Packers NFL *CA$H COW* on Green Bay -7

6* 49ers/Titans Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on OVER 44

6* Washington/Philadelphia NFC East *CA$H COW* on Philadelphia -6.5

7* Vikings/Bears MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota -5.5

7* Saints/Bucs SNF Game of the Year on New Orleans +11.5

6* Falcons/49ers NFC *CA$H COW* on Atlanta +10

6* Jets/Dolphins AFC East *CA$H COW* on Miami -10

7* Patriots/Colts AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Indianapolis -2

7* Chiefs/Chargers TNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles +3.5

7* Rams/Cardinals MNF *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 52

6* 49ers/Bengals Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on San Francisco -1.5

6* Ravens/Browns AFC North *CA$H COW* on Cleveland -2.5

6* Sunday NFL *Total* Annihilator on Cowboys/Washington UNDER 48

6* Cowboys/Washington NFC East *CA$H COW* on Washington +4.5

7* AFC West Game of the Year on Las Vegas Raiders +10.5

6* Steelers/Vikings TNF *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 44

7* Patriots/Bills MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Buffalo -2.5

6* Ravens/Steelers AFC North *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh +4.5

6* Colts/Texans AFC South *CA$H COW* on Houston +10

7* NFL Total of the Year on Bucs/Falcons OVER 50

7* Cowboys/Saints TNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas -5

7* Seahawks/Washington MNF *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 47

The Key: The Seahawks are playing great defense in yielding 23 points or fewer in 5 straight games.  But they cannot get anything going offensively, scoring 20 points or fewer in 5 of their last 6 games.  They have scored a combined 13 points in 2 games since Russell Wilson returned.  Washington has put together 4 straight dominant defensive performances.  They gave up 24 points and 304 yards to the Packers, 17 points and 273 yards to the Broncos, 19 points and 273 yards to the Bucs and 21 points and 297 yards to the Panthers.  Their offense has been held to 13 points or fewer in 3 of their last 5 contests.  The UNDER is 12-2 in Seahawks last 14 NFC games.  The UNDER is 9-0 in Seahawks last 9 games after yielding more than 250 passing yards in thier previous game.  The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 matchups.  Take the UNDER.

6* Rams/Packers NFC *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles -1

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

7* AFC West Game of the Year on Denver Broncos +3

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

6* Eagles/Giants NFC East *CA$H COW* on New York +4

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

6* Bills/Saints Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Buffalo -6

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

6* Bears/Lions NFC North *CA$H COW* on Detroit +3

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

7* Giants/Bucs MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on OVER 49.5

The Key: This looks like an OVER game to me.  The Bucs are missing 3 starters in the secondary and now Vita Vea up front on the defensive line.  The Giants will put forth one of their best offensive efforts of the season.  Washington scored 29 points on the Bucs last week after the Saints put up 36 points on them with Trevor Siemian the game prior.  The Giants are getting healthier on offense coming off their bye week.  The Bucs have one fo the best offenses in the NFL and will get their points against this New York defense as well.  The Giants will be forced to try and keep up in a shootout.  Tampa Bay is 7-0 OVER in its last 7 games off 2 or more consecutive ATS losses.  The OVER is 6-0 in the last 6 matchups.  Take the OVER.

6* NFL Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Houston Texans +10.5

The Key: The Houston Texans are coming off their bye week and 8 straight losses.  The Tennessee Titans are coming off 6 straight wins with the last 5 coming against playoff teams from last year.  This is a letdown situation for the Titans.  It's a get right situation for the Texans, who will be hungry to beat their division rivals.  I like their chances of hanging close with Tyrod Taylor making his 2nd start back from injury.  All Taylor does is cover everywhere he has gone, and I like the idea of getting double-digits with him and the Texans off their bye.  Take Houston.

6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on New Orleans Saints +3

The Key: I like the matchup for the New Orleans Saints.  The Philadelphia Eagles have been running wild on teams of late in their last 4 games.  But those 4 games have come against 4 teams that rank an average of 25th against the run in DVOA.  Now they will be up against the top-ranked run D in the NFL according to DVOA in the Saints.  The Saints yield just 73 RYPG and 3.1 YPC.  They are going to force Jalen Hurts to try and beat them through the air, and he hasn't proven he can this year.  The Eagles are 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS at home this year and still in search of their first home victory.  They won't be getting it here Sunday because of the bad matchup.  Take New Orleans.

7* NFL Game of the Year on Miami Dolphins -3

The Key: The Miami Dolphins just beat the Baltimore Ravens 22-10 in a dominant effort last Thursday.  They outgained the Ravens by 46 yards and had Lamar Jackson flustered the whole game.  The Dolphins have one of the best secondaries in the NFL and were able to play man to man coverage and blitz the entire time.  It came a week after holding the Texans to 9 points and forcing 4 turnovers with another blitz-happy scheme.  And now they will definitely be blitz-happy again against the Jets this week and trust in their secondary to stop the immobile Joe Flacco.  Flacco is their 4th string QB this week and will be getting the start to try and avoid any QB controversy surrounding rookie Zach Wilson moving forward.  Mike White and Josh Johnson are both better than Flacco.  The Jets are essentially packing it in.  Their defense has yielded 43.4 PPG in their last 4 games and is the worst defense in the league.  Tua looked great in the 2nd half against Baltimore in place of an injured Jacoby Brissett and should be good to go again this week.  The Dolphins are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 matchups with the Jets, winning both matchups last year by 24 and 17 points.  Take Miami.

7* Patriots/Falcons TNF Game of the Year on Atlanta +7

The Key: The Atlanta Falcons just lost by 40 to the Dallas Cowboys.  The New England Patriots just beat the Browns by 38.  Now the price is right to back the Falcons Thursday night.  Atlanta was only a 4-point underdog in this game going into last week.  Now after those results, the Falcons are 7-point dogs.  This is the same Atlanta team that upset the Saints on the road the previous week.  They just came in fat and happy against the Cowboys, while the Cowboys were pissed off after getting upset by the Broncos the previous week.  It was a predictable result.  The Patriots cannot be going on the road and laying 7 points against almost anyone.  They just aren't that good this season, and it will show Thursday night.  Take Atlanta.

7* Rams/49ers MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on San Francisco +3.5

The Key: Kyle Shanahan has had the Rams' number over the last couple seasons.  The 49ers are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in the last 4 matchups.  They won outright as underdogs the 3 times they were in this role.  I like the price we are getting on the 49ers after their upset loss to the Cardinals last week.  The Rams continue to get respect despite losing outright by 12 as 7-point favorites to the Titans last week.  This game should be lined much closer to a PK as these are closer to even teams than their records would suggest when you take a deeper look into the stats.  Take San Francisco.

7* NFC Game of the Year on Carolina Panthers +10

The Key: The Panthers will go with a run-heavy approach with deal-threat QB PJ Walker and RB Christian McCaffrey this week.  It will work against an Arizona defense that ranks 31st in allowing 4.8 YPC.  It will also help shorten the game and keep them in this game for 4 quarters.  I like Carolina's defense which ranks 2nd in the NFL in both YPG (293.1) and YPP (5.0) allowed.  It sounds like the Cardinals are likely to be without Kyler Murray again, and they will be without Chase Edmunds and De'Andre Hopkins as well as all 3 our doubtful or out.  WR Rondale Moore is in concussion protocol as well.  It's asking a lot of Colt McCoy to repeat the performance he had last week.  The Cardinals go from being 5.5-point dogs to the 49ers to 10-point favorites against the Panthers, which is too big of an adjustment.  Arizona is 1-16 ATS in its last 17 games as a favorite of 7.5 to 14 points.  The Panthers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games.  Take Carolina.

6* Sunday NFL *BLOWOUT* on Indianapolis Colts -10

The Key: The Colts are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.  Their only losses came to Baltimore in OT after blowing a 19-point lead and to Tennessee in OT after also blowing a lead and being in control most the game.  The 4 wins all came by 10 points or more.  I think you can chalk up another double-digit victory here against the Jaguars.  This is a letdown spot for Jacksonville off their shocking 9-6 upset win over the Bills last week.  The Bills gave that game away with 3 turnovers as they held the Jaguars to just 216 total yards.  Jacksvonille has been held to 23 or fewer points in all 8 games this year and an average of just 16.5 PPG.  They won't be able to keep up with the Colts on offense.  The Colts have scored 25 or more in 6 straight and 31 or more in 4 straight.  Take Indianapolis.

6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on New Orleans Saints +3

The Key: The Titans are coming off 4 straight outright wins as underdogs.  Now they find themselves in the favorite role after managing just 194 total yards against the Rams last week.  The Rams simply gave that game away.  It was a poor offensive showing in Tennessee's first game without Derrick Henry.  They won't be able to run the ball on this stout New Orleans front 7.  And it's going to be hard to see them having much success through the air without Julio Jones as well.  Ryan Tannehill will be under duress all game and will make some mistakes.  The Saints just have to take care of the football and they win this game, and Trevor Siemian has done a good job of that with just one turnover in their last two games.  The Saints are 8-1 ATS as underdogs over the last 2 years.  New Orleans is 36-16 ATS in its last 52 road games.  The Saints are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games as road dogs.  The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups.  Take New Orleans.

6* Ravens/Dolphins AFC *CA$H COW* on Baltimore -7.5

The Key: The Baltimore Ravens are outgaining opponents by 52 YPG this year while the Miami Dolphins are getting outgained by 95 YPG.  The Dolphins have been even worse with Jacoby Brissett at QB and he is likely to start in place of an injured Tua again tonight.  They stand zero chance of keeping this game closer with Brissett at QB.  The Ravens are 8-1 SU & 9-0 ATS in the last 9 matchups with Miami with 7 wins by at least 14 points.  Take Baltimore.

7* Bears/Steelers MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Pittsburgh -6.5

The Key: The Pittsburgh Steelers have won 3 in a row behind one of the best defenses in the NFL that has held their last 3 opponents to an average of just 16.3 PPG.  I don't see the Chicago Bears topping that number Monday, which will allow Big Ben and the offense to make just enough plays to cover this 6.5-point spread and win by a TD or more.  The Bears have the worst offense in the NFL, ranking last at 4.4 YPP this year.  They have been even worse with Justin Fields at QB.  They average just 264 YPG in their last 6 games with him as their starter.  Chicago's defense is a huge concern too with all the injuries.  They gave up 38 points to the Bucs followed by 33 points, 467 yards and 8.6 YPPG last week to the 49ers in their last 2 games.  Pittsburgh will get to 24, and that will be enough to win by 7 or more.  The Bears are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games off a loss.  Chicago is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games against a team with a winning record.  Take Pittsburgh.

6* Cardinals/49ers NFC West *CA$H COW* on San Francisco +2.5

The Key: The 49ers want to avenge their 17-10 road loss at Arizona earlier this year.  They had Trey Lance at QB for that game and he was awful, yet the 49ers still outgained the Cardinals by 34 yards.  Their defense played well in limiting the Cardinals to just 304 yards.  And there's reason to believe Arizona will be even worse off offensively in this one, plus they won't have JJ Watt on defense this time around.  Kyler Murray is banged up with an ankle injury and isn't himself, which showed in their upset loss to the Packers Thursday.  AJ Green is on the COVID list, and DeAndrew Hopkins is questionable.  The 49ers got their offense going against the Bears last week with 467 yards and 8.6 YPP while scoring 33 points despite settling for a lot of field goals.  Jimmy G is back and playing well and this will be a formidable team moving forward.  Take San Francisco.

7* Chargers/Eagles NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles -1

The Key: The Chargers had 3 straight impressive wins over the Chiefs, Raiders and Browns before being flat the last 2 weeks against the Ravens and Patriots.  All 5 of those teams are better than the Eagles, whose 3 wins this year have come against the Lions, Panthers and Falcons.  The Chargers will make easy work of the Eagles this week and get back on track.  Los Angeles is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 road games against NFC teams.  Philadelphia is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games after covering the spread in its previous game.  Take Los Angeles.

6* Falcons/Saints NFC South *CA$H COW* on Atlanta +6

The Key: This is a big letdown situation for the New Orleans Saints off their upset win over the defending Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Bucs last week.  They now take on a Falcons team that they won't get up for.  The Falcons are 3-2 SU in their last 5 games overall with their 2 losses both coming by 6 points or fewer.  So I like the price we are getting on the Falcons this week to keep it close.  The Saints just lost Jameis Winston to a season-ending injury, Taysom Hill is questionable, so they could be down to 3rd-stringer Trevor Siemian.  This Saints offense isn't good already, and it is even worse without Winston.  The Saints average just 305.9 YPG on offense this year.  They get outgained by nearly 40 YPG.  Atlanta is only getting outgained by 24 YPG.  Bets against favorites who are off an upset win over a division opponent as a home underdog who also have a winning record on the season are 44-16 ATS since 1983.  Take Atlanta.

7* Jets/Colts AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +10.5

The Key: The New York Jets come into Thursday with confidence with Mike White under center.  They just had 34 points and 511 yards against a good Cincinnati defense last week behind 405 passing yards and three touchdowns from White.  The Indianapolis Colts are coming off a disappointing OT loss to the Titans and are on a short week.  They may bounce back with a win, but asking them to win by 11 points or more tonight is asking a lot.  Carson Wentz continues to make bonehead plays week after week.  And he'll be without TY Hilton, plus the defense will now be without DT Tyquon Lewis.  Indianapolis is just 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games as a home favorite.  Take New York.

7* Giants/Chiefs MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Kansas City -9.5

The Key: The price is right to back the Kansas City Chiefs Monday Night.  They were 13-point favorites when this line opened and are now single-digit favorites.  They got crushed by the Titans last week, while the Giants crushed the Panthers.  Those recent results from last week are playing too much of a factor into this line this week.  Consider the Chiefs' 2 best performances this year came against NFC East teams when they went on the road to beat both the Eagles by 12 and Washington by 18.  They will also beat the banged-up Giants by double-digits this week.   New York is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games after yielding 15 points or fewer last game.  Take Kansas City.

6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on Carolina Panthers +3

The Key: The Carolina Panthers have gone 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games.  They lost 3 close games then were shocking blown out by the Giants.  Now we are getting the Panthers as dogs against a Falcons team that they are better than.  The price is right to pull the trigger on the Panthers.  The Falcons are 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall, so they are getting pricey.  The road team is 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups.  Atlanta is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games as a home favorite of 3 points or less.  Take Carolina.

6* Dolphins/Bills AFC East *CA$H COW* on Miami +14

The Key: The price is right to back the Miami Dolphins in this game Sunday.  Consider they were only 3.5-point dogs in their first matchup with the Bills and are now 14-point dogs in the 2nd matchup, which is a 10.5-point adjustment.  And the Dolphins have a healthy Tua back at QB and are getting healthier by the week, especially in the secondary.  They will have the goods to keep this game closer than 2 touchdowns against the Bills this weekend.  Bets on road dogs or PK who failed to cover the spread in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against a team that covered the spread in 3 of their last 4 games are 23-4 ATS over the last 5 years.  Take Miami.

7* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month on Houston Texans +14.5

The Key: Tyrod Taylor makes his return to the Texans looking to pick up where he left off in the first 2 games this year and provide this offense the same spark that he had before.  Taylor accounted for 471 yards and 4 touchdowns without a turnover in 6 quarters against the Jaguars and Browns to open the season.  He has been a covering machine as a starting QB in this league.  The Rams won't be hungry enough to put away the Texans by more than 2 touchdowns.  And it's an early start time for a West Coast team here, which is always a tough situation.  Take Houston.

7* Packers/Cardinals NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Green Bay +6.5

The Key: The Green Bay Packers have won and covered 6 straight since that ugly opening loss to the Saints.  They are missing some players tonight, but so are the Cardinals, most notably JJ Watt.  As long as the Packers have Aaron Rodgers under center they have a chance.  And it's worth noting the Packers are 6-0 in 6 games without Devante Adams over the last 3 years and scoring over 32 PPG.  Take Green Bay.

7* Saints/Seahawks MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on OVER 41

The Key: The New Orleans Saints and Seattle Seahawks will combine to go OVER the number tonight.  The Saints are scoring 25.4 PPG and the Seahawks 23.3 PPG.  They should have no problem both getting to 20 in this game.  The Seahawks yield 24.8 PPG.  The Saints have a good defense, but I don't think Geno Smith is as big of a downgrade over Russell Wilson that everyone makes him out to be.  Take the OVER.

6* Texans/Cardinals NFL *Total* Annihilator on OVER 47

The Key: The Arizona Cardinals are putting up 32.3 PPG and will get their points against the Houston Texans this week.  But I think the Texans can hang around with an offense that has shown life at least from a moving the football perspective the last 2 weeks.  The Texans had 360 yards against the Patriots and 353 yards against the Colts.  They just haven't been able to turn that yardage into points.  They should do a better job of that against the Cardinals this week.  Arizona is 6-0 OVER in its last 6 home games after a non-conference game.  Take the OVER.

7* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month on Houston Texans +18

The Key: We have the perceived best team in the NFL in the 6-0 Arizona Cardinals against the perceived worst team in the NFL in the 1-5 Houston Texans here.  That fact has this number artificially inflated.  The Cardinals are primed for a letdown.  They just beat the Rams, 49ers and Browns and have the Packers on deck Thursday, so this is a sandwich spot.  This is more of a bet against the Cardinals due to the spot than it is a bet on the Texans.  But it's worth noting the Texans did outgain the Patriots by 8 yards 2 weeks ago and were only outgained by 35 yards by the Colts last week.  Take Houston.

6* Eagles/Raiders NFL *Total* Annihilator on OVER 48.5

The Key: There should be plenty of points to get this total OVER the number between the Eagles and Raiders.  It will be perfect conditions in the dome in Las Vegas for a shootout.  The Raiders have been an OVER team the last couple years with a great offense and bad defense.  The Eagles will get right offensively this week against this bad defense.  They have been up against some good defenses of late in the Panthers and Bucs.  But they scored 30 points against the Chiefs 3 weeks ago and should come close to reaching 30 today.  Both offenses average 6.1 YPP which is impressive in the NFL.  The Raiders are 6-0 OVER in their last 6 home games after gaining 400 yards or more last game.  The Raiders are 6-0 OVER in their last 6 home games against good offensive teams that average at least 5.65 YPP.  Take the OVER.

6* Broncos/Browns AFC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 40

The Key: There's a lot of injuries on both sides of the ball for both teams.  But I think the OVER 40 is the play here based on how bad these defenses have been of late.  The Broncos have yielded 27 and 34 points in their last 2 games.  The Browns have yielded 37 and 47 points in their last 2 games.  Take the OVER.

7* Bills/Titans NFL Total of the Week on OVER 53.5

The Key: The Bills and Titans have 2 of the better offenses in the NFL again this season.  The Bills are averaging 34.4 PPG while the Titans are putting up 26.4 PPG.  They combine to average nearly 61 PPG.  So I think the price is right to back the OVER in this game Monday night.  The Bills can name their score against a Titans defense that gives up 26.0 PPG and 6.5 YPP.  The Bills do have a good defense, but they have benefited from forcing 15 turnovers the last 4 weeks.  And they have faced an easy schedule of opposing offenses with 4 of their games coming against the Steelers, Dolphins, Texans and Washington.  The Titans hung 42 points on them last year in a 42-16 victory.  The Titans aren't holding the Bills to 16 points again.  Buffalo is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 games off 3 straight wins by 10 points or more.  Tennessee is 8-0 OVER against good passing teams that average 235 PYPG or more over the last 2 years.  The OVER is 25-9-1 in Titans last 35 games overall.  Take the OVER.

6* Chiefs/Washington Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Washington +7

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Washington Football Team.  Fading the Kansas City Chiefs has been a big money maker because they can't stop anyone.  The Chiefs are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall with almost all their victories coming by one score.  Washington has the offense that can keep them in this game for 4 quarters and match the Chiefs score for score.  They have scored at least 21 points in 4 straight games, and Taylor Heineke is proving not to be much of a downgrade from Ryan Fitzpatrick at all.  The Chiefs give up 32.6 PPG, 437.4 YPG and 7.2 YPP.  They yield 141 YPG and 5.2 YPC on the ground.  Bets on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points that yielded 17 points or more in the first half of 2 straight games against an opponent that is off a loss by 10 points or more are 40-14 ATS since 1983.  Bets against favorites with a poor turnover defense that forces 1 or fewer turnovers per game after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse are 23-4 ATS over the last 5 years.  Take Washington.

6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on Detroit Lions +3.5

The Key: The Detroit Lions deserve to be better than 0-5.  They have showed tremendous resilience to keep fighting and will continue to do so behind head coach Dan Campbell.  They have lost on last-second field goals to the Ravens and Vikings in 2 of their last 3 games.  The other was a 14-24 loss to Chicago in which they had 4 trips into the red zone result in zero points.  They deserved to win all 3 games.  Now they will get that elusive first victory Sunday against the Cincinnati Bengals.  It's a tough situation for the Bengals and a hangover spot.  They had their chances to beat the Packers, but lost 25-22 in OT after both kickers combined to miss 5 straight field goals at the end.  Cincinnati is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games against a team that wins 25% of its games or fewer.  Bets on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division opponent, a bad team winning 25% or less of its games when playing a team with a winning record are 32-9 ATS since 1983.  The Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.  Take Detroit.

7* AFC South Game of the Year on Houston Texans +10

The Key: This is a tough situation for the Indianapolis Colts.  They are coming off an overtime loss to the Ravens on Monday Night Football in which they put everything on the line and probably deserved to win.  But they came up short after blowing a 19-point lead.  Now they are on a short week and in a hangover spot.  They face a Texans team coming off one of their best games of the season in a 25-22 loss to the Patriots.  They missed a FG and an extra point and probably should have won that game.  Davis Mills threw for 312 yards and 3 touchdowns and is improving.  He should be good enough to hang with the Colts.  This has been an extremely closely-contested rivalry through the years.  14 of the last 15 matchups were decided by 9 points or fewer.  Take Houston.

6* Bucs/Eagles NFC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 52

The Key: These are 2 of the better offenses in the NFL, especially the Tampa Bay Bucs.  The Bucs are averaging 33.4 PPG and 431.2 YPG.  They have struggled defensively this year due to all the injuries in the secondary and at linebacker.  Jalen Hurts and the Eagles should be able to take advantage with the their speed at QB and at WR.  Tampa Bay is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 games after a win by 14 points or more.  The Bucs are 10-1 OVER in their last 11 games following a game where 60 or more combined points were scored.  The OVER is 21-7 in Bucs last 28 against a team with a losing record.  The OVER is 5-1 in the last 6 matchups.  Take the OVER.

7* Colts/Ravens MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Baltimore -7

The Key: The Baltimore Ravens always feast on bad teams like the 1-3 Indianapolis Colts.  The Ravens are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a losing record.  They face a Colts team that lost by 12 to the Seahawks and by 9 to the Titans.  Their only win came against the Miami Dolphins with backup QB Jacoby Brissett last week.  I think that win has them getting too much respect from the books here.  The Ravens beat the Broncos 23-7 last week and their offense humming right now, while their defense is as healthy as it has been all season and was a force against the Broncos last week.  Take Baltimore.

6* Giants/Cowboys NFC East *CA$H COW* on New York +7

The Key: Betting the New York Giants when they are on the road has been free money over the years.  The Giants are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games as road underdogs.  They are also 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games against NFC foes.  The Cowboys are getting too much respect from the books after opening 4-0 ATS, the last unbeaten team in the NFL against the spread.  These teams stack up pretty well on a yards per play basis.  The Giants average 6.2 YPP and allow 5.9 YPP, while the Cowboys average 6.4 YPP and give up 6.4 YPP.  The Cowboys have simply benefited from forcing 10 turnovers already, which is unsustainable.  The Giants had 485 yards against the Saints last week to flash their offensive potential.  Take New York.

6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on Cincinnati Bengals +3

The Key: The Cincinnati Bengals are 3-1 and come into this game with the Packers with extra rest and time to prepare after beating the Jaguars last Thursday.  They'll be up against a depleted Packers team that will be without 3 starters and possibly 5 more, who are all questionable.  The biggest concerns for the Packers are at linebacker and in the secondary, which is going to make it difficult for them to cover all these weapons that Joe Burrow has at his disposal.  This is an improved Cincinnati defense that is yielding 18.8 PPG and should hold the Packers in check.  The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups.  Take Cincinnati.

6* Dolphins/Bucs Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Miami +10

The Key: This is almost strictly a situation play.  The Tampa Bay Bucs and Tom Brady are in line for a letdown after their huge win in New England on Sunday Night Football last week.  Brady's return to New England was the talk of the week.  Now they have to try and get up to play a Dolphins team that is coming off 2 straight losses and looked bad last week against the Colts.  The Dolphins will be all in here facing the defending champs.  I trust Brian Flores and this defense to keep them in the game, while Jacoby Brissett makes enough plays in the passing game to keep them in this game for 4 quarters.  He'll be up against a depleted Bucs secondary that could be missing as many as 3 starters.  That's why they signed Richard Sherman.  Miami is 8-0 ATS in Weeks 5 thru 9 over the last 3 years.  Tampa Bay is 0-10 ATS in its last 10 games after yielding 275 or more passing yards in 3 straight games.  Take Miami.

7* Jets/Falcons NFL London *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +3.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the New York Jets in this neutral site game in London.  This line should be closer to a PK as there's not much difference between these 2 teams.  Zach Wilson had his best game yet last week in a 27-24 upset of Tennessee.  They have played a tough schedule and now it lightens up a little here against Atlanta.  The Falcons are 1-3 with their only win coming 17-14 over the Giants.  They lost by 26 to the Eagles, by 23 to the Bucs and by 4 to Washington.  Matt Ryan is broken, and their defense is the worse unit here yielding 32.0 PPG and 383.3 YPG.  The Jets only give up 23.5 PPG and 353.8 YPG and have been respectable on that side.  Wilson is only going to get better with each start, and should have his best game yet against this Falcons defense.  Atlanta is 2-14 ATS in its last 16 against teams that force 0.75 turnovers per game or fewer.  Take New York.

7* Rams/Seahawks NFC West *HEAVY HITTER* on Seattle +2.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Seattle Seahawks tonight as home underdogs to the Los Angeles Rams.  Russell Wilson thrives in prime time, and he and the Seahawks will be out for revenge after getting knocked out of the playoffs by the Rams last season.  The Rams have taken a big step back defensively this year in yielding 24.8 PPG and 396.8 YPG.  The Rams are 3-16 ATS in their last 19 games after yielding 400 or more total yards in 2 straight games.  Bets against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a terrible defense that yields 360 YPG or more, after gaining 400 or more yards in 2 straight games are 26-5 ATS over the last 5 years.  Take Seattle.

7* Raiders/Chargers AFC West *Total* Annihilator on OVER 51.5

The Key: The Las Vegas Raiders are 3-0 this year behind an offense that is hitting on all cylinders.  The Raiders are scoring 30 PPG and averaging 471 YPG this year.  They still have a pretty weak defense this season.  The Chargers are averaging 394.7 YPG as their offense is humming as well behind Justin Herbert.  They beat the Chiefs 30-24 last week in a shootout.  And their defense hasn't been great either.  These teams played in 2 shootouts last year with the Chargers winning 30-27 on the road and the Raiders winning 31-26 on the road.  The OVER is 7-1 in Raiders last 8 games overall.  Take the OVER.

6* Panthers/Cowboys NFC *CA$H COW* on Carolina +4.5

The Key: The Carolina Panthers are 3-0 this year and continue to not get any respect from the books.  Now they have extra time to prepare for the Dallas Cowboys after beating the Houston Texans on Thursday last week.  The Cowboys are coming off a big divisional win over the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday Night Football.  This is a short week for them, adding to the great situation for the Panthers.  It is also a letdown spot off that division win on national TV.  The Panthers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games.  Carolina is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games as an underdog.  Take Carolina.

6* Giants/Saints NFC *CA$H COW* on New York +7.5

The Key: The New Orleans Saints have been on the road for over a month.  They are a tired team right now.  They are getting too much respect from the books against the New York Giants this week.  They beat the Patriots 28-13 on the road last week, but it was misleading as they only had 252 total yards and were +3 in turnovers.  The Saints are only averaging 234 YPG on offense this year.  The Giants are hungry for their first win after coming close the last 2 weeks with a 1-point loss to Washington and a 3-point loss to Atlanta.  The Giants are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 road games.  New York is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 road games against NFC teams.  Take New York.

7* NFC Game of the Month on Washington ML -113

The Key: The Washington Football Team is better than the Atlanta Falcons and that will show on the field Sunday.  I like getting a hungry Washington team here coming off a blowout loss to the Buffalo Bills.  The Atlanta Falcons will take a breather after picking up their first win of the season last week against the injury-ravaged New York Giants.  Ron Rivera has gone 26-9 ATS off a road loss as a head coach in his career.  Take Washington.

7* Jaguars/Bengals AFC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 45.5

The Key: The Jaguars and Bengals have 2 of the worst defenses in the NFL.  That has especially been the case for the Jaguars, who are yielding 30.3 PPG and 418 YPG this year.  Joe Burrow and Trevor Lawrence are going to want to put on a show in this battle of youngsters on the prime time stage.  I think they will do just that, and there should be some turnovers that lead to easy scores as well.  Take the OVER.

7* Eagles/Cowboys MNF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 51.5

The Key: The Dallas Cowboys are rotten defensively yet again this season.  They rank 27th in total defense giving up 419.5 YPG and 28th in giving up 6.7 YPP.  But the Cowboys are loaded on offense at 4th at 435 YPG while averaging 6.4 YPP.  The Eagles have faced 2 poor offenses which has helped their defensive numbers.  But injuries will catch up to them this week as they just lost one of their best defensive players in DE Brandon Graham to a season-ending injury last week against the 49ers.  The Cowboys have injuries of their own on defense missing DE Demarcus Lawrence and having several other defenders questionable, mostly along the defensive line.  I think we should see another shootout similar to last year's matchup in Dallas in which the Cowboys won 37-17 in one of the first games played by Hurts.  Dak Prescott didn't even play in that game and the Cowboys still had 513 total yards.  The Eagles had 477 total yards themselves but 3 turnovers was the reason for just 17 points.  With Dak back and showing he is elite, the Cowboys should hang another big number on the Eagles.  Philadelphia will be able to keep pace with Hurts and this improved offense.  The OVER is 32-15 in Eagles last 47 road games.  The OVER is 8-2 in Cowboys last 10 home games.  Take the OVER.

6* Seahawks/Vikings NFC *CA$H COW* on Minnesota +2

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Minnesota Vikings in Week 3.  They will be hungry for their first victory.  And they wouldn't be home underdogs in this game if they were 2-0 instead of 0-2, which they easily could be.  Dalvin Cook fumbled when the Vikings were in FG range in OT against the Bengals and would have won had they simply kicked the FG.  Then last week kicker Joseph missed an XP and the potential game-winning 37-yard field goal at the buzzer in a 33-34 loss at Arizona.  So you could argue that they should be 2-0.  This team will not quit on the season and will dig deep here.  The Vikings have been so much better at home than on the road under Zimmer and keep in mind that both of those losses were on the road.  The Seahawks blew a 30-16 lead against the Titans last week and lost 30-33 in OT.  They gave up 212 rushing yards to the Titans and 542 yards total.  Cook should have another monster game after the Vikings rushed for 177 yards on the Cardinals last week.  The Vikings will also be revenge-minded after blowing a late lead in a 26-27 road loss to Seattle last year.  They gave up the game-winning TD with 15 seconds left.  The Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.  The Vikings are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as home underdogs.  Minnesota is 39-17 ATS in its last 56 games off a loss.  Take Minnesota.

6* Bengals/Steelers AFC North *CA$H COW* on Cincinnati +3.5

The Key: The Pittsburgh Steelers were fortunate to beat the Bills in Week 1 due to big players from their defense.  But the injuries caught up to them last week as they were upset at home 17-26 by the Raiders.  And it's not getting any better this week against the Bengals.  The Steelers lost their best player in TJ Watt to a groin injury after he had one sack and four tackles in the 1st quarter against the Raiders, and that's when the game turned.  They were already without LB Devin Bush and CB Joe Haden.  WR Diontae Johnson got hurt late in that game, and QB Ben Roethlisberger suffered a pec injury.  They were already without DE Stephon Tuitt as well.  No team has been hit harder by injuries than the Steelers.  The Bengals upset the Vikings in Week 1 and nearly upset the Bears last week in a 20-17 road loss.  Joe Burrow just keeps them in games, and their defense is vastly improved this year.  The Bengals actually rank 4th in the NFL in giving up just 4.5 YPP on defense through 2 games.  Cincinnati is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 Week 3 games.  Pittsburgh is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games as a favorite.  Take Cincinnati.