6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Heat/Bulls Over 186

The Key: The Heat have finished under the total in 10 straight games, and we are getting a good number here as a result. Miami is 22-11 "over" the last two seasons when the total is 180-189.5. The Bulls are 21-8 "over" in their last 29 home games, including 10-1 this season when they check in with two wins in a three-game span. When the total is 180-189.5 for a Sunday game, playing the "over" on road teams that average six three-point makes per game or more has produced a 46-17 mark the last five seasons. It is also worth noting that the Bulls are 15-6 "over" this season in home games versus teams that average six made three-pointers per game or more. We have seen an average of 206.4 total points scored in these 21 contests.

6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Knicks/Hornets Under 185.5

The Key: Each of the season's first three meetings between these teams have gone over the number with at least 189 scored in each.  The Knicks combined with Orlando for 219 points last night, and the Hornets combined with the Cavs for 219 as well. And we're getting a line of just 185.5? Clearly, the books want the money on the over, but we won't oblige them. Prior to last night, the Hornets had held 10 straight foes to 45% shooting or worse with 8 of them making just 39.8% of their shots or fewer. Now that's some serious defense, and I expect a strong defensive effort tonight against a New York team that has really struggled offensively this season. The Knicks were kicked at home by the Hornets Jan. 10 so they'll be looking for revenge here. They know the best way to get it is too shore things up defensively, which is what they had done before last night. They got the win, but allowing the Magic to shoot over 50% serves as a reminder of their last game against Charlotte when they allowed the Hornets to shoot 50% and lost by 28. The Hornets aren't a good offensive team and are in poor offensive form, shooting just 37.6% from the field over their last five games. I expect the struggles to continue as the Knicks turn up the heat. Charlotte is 19-8 under in home games the last 3 seasons after playing a game with a combined score of 205 points or more.

6* Big Ten Blowout on Minnesota -5

The Key: Minnesota has lost six of its first seven in Big Ten play but four of the losses have come on the road. It's been extremely competitive in each of its three conference home games and is 10-2 at home on the season. I the like the Golden Gophers to take care of business here against an Illinois squad that is just 1-4 in true road games. The Fighting Illini are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games going back to last season and 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a cover. They're also 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games versus teams with a winning home record. Lay the points.

7* Big East Game of the Week on Xavier -11.5

The Key: Xavier is 8-1 ATS in January home games the last three seasons, and I expect its home dominance to continue in this extremely motivated spot. The Musketeers lost at DePaul earlier this month but are 12-3 ATS the last three seasons when seeking revenge for a road loss. In addition, you want to back favorites that have failed to cover the spread in four or more consecutive games when they are up against an opponent that has successfully covered the spread in four or more consecutive games. Doing so has produced a 4-0 ATS mark this season, a 20-3 ATS mark the last three seasons and a 76-35 ATS mark since 1997. Lay the points.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on East Carolina +8.5

The Key: Tulsa is off a big win over Memphis and has had just two days to prepare for this contest. It has a bigger game at Tulane on deck Tuesday so it will have a tough time focusing on the task at hand, especially on the road where it is 1-5 ATS in its last six games versus teams with a home winning percentage greater than .600. East Carolina has had a week to prepare and has been a nice play at home where it is 4-1 ATS in last five. The offense has struggled
in its last two games so the extra prep time should serve the Pirates well. Besides, they are 6-0 ATS the last three seasons in home games after being held to 30 points or less in the first half in two straight games. They have exploded to win by an average score of 74.4 to 60.9 in this situation.

7* NBA Total of the Year on Raptors/76ers Over 194

The Key: The Raptors have finished under the total in each of their last five games with just 178 total points scored in their last game at Memphis. The 76ers have come in under the number in nine of their last 10 with just 189 total points scored in their last game against the Knicks. Plus, we saw only 184 total points scored when these two teams met in Toronto last week. Given these recent outcomes, odds makers are clearly begging for action on the under. We won't give in. The last meeting between these teams was an aberration. Prior to it, these two had combined for at least 199 points in six straight meetings. When the total is 190.0-199.5, you want to play the over on teams like Toronto that have gone under the total by 42 points or more in their last five games when they are matched up against an opponent that has gone under the total by 42 points or more in their last seven games. Doing so has produced a 39-17 (70%) mark the last five seasons. The average line for these games is 194.0, but we have seen an average of 198.7 total points scored. Take the over.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Niagara +11

The Key: This is a tough scheduling spot for Monmouth. The Hawks just played at Penn Wednesday, and they travel to Manhattan Sunday. They were swept by Manhattan last season so the tendency will be to peek ahead to that game. They defeated Niagara by 16 earlier this month so I don't think they'll be giving the Purple Eagles their full attention. Monmouth is 0-6 ATS 15 games or more into the schedule versus weak offensive teams that average 64.0 ppg or less under coach Rice. It is also 0-7 ATS under Rice in home games when playing a third game in a week's span. In addition, you want to back road teams with a win percentage of 20% or worse that are seeking revenge for a home loss to an opponent as doing so has produced a 113-64 ATS mark the last five seasons. Take the points.

6* NBA National TV *CA$H COW* on Bulls +6

The Key: The Spurs are being overvalued on the road against a Chicago team that I believe will be playing with a sense of desperation tonight. The Bulls have lost six of eight, a stretch that caused Derrick Rose to call out the team. I expect them to respond knowing that anything less than an all-out effort won't be good enough tonight. Chicago's biggest issues of late have been on the defensive side of the court, and that's something that can be corrected with better effort. We are now over the halfway point of the season, which bodes well for us tonight as the Bulls are 15-4 ATS in the second half of the season against teams with a win percentage of 60-70% under coach Thibodea. They have won these contests by an average score of 95.8 to 91.5. Take the points.

7* NCAAB Under the Radar Game of the Week on Western Carolina +2

The Key: Mercer has played its last three at home and won all three, pounding Samford by 24 last time out. But now it hits the road. The Bears are 3-8 in road/neutral court games this season and 2-5-2 ATS in their last nine games following a win of more than 20 points. Western Carolina has lost its last two and will be hungry as a result. It is a better team than its 8-11 record might lead you to believe because it has played just seven home games. It is 5-2 in those games. Mercer has outscored its opponents by an average of 5.1 points, but the Catamounts are 14-4 ATS in home games versus teams that outscore the opposition by 4.0 ppg or more under coach Hunter, and they have won these games by an average score of 72.9 to 69.1. The wrong team is favored here. Take Western Carolina.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Missouri State +13.5

The Key: Any time the Bears are off a loss in conference play, it's a good time to back them. Missouri State is 17-6 ATS the last three seasons following a conference defeat, including 8-1 ATS during this span when they are off two straight losses in conference play. The Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games versus a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600. The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Take the points as the Bears bounce back strong and keep this one within the number.

7* NBA Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Pacers +11.5

The Key: Atlanta is being overvalued here because it has won 13 straight while covering the spread in the last 12. The fact the Pacers have lost five straight and have failed to cover the spread in their last seven is adding to the value. Consider that road underdogs of 10 points or more that have lost four or five of their last six games and are matched up against a team that has won eight or more of their last 10 games are 79-43 (65%) ATS the last five seasons. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, and the Pacers are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Atlanta. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Nuggets +8.5

The Key: Denver was completely embarrassed at Golden State last night and will come out focused and hungry as a result. The Nuggets have been a strong play at home even against good road teams and are 31-11 ATS in their last 42 home games versus a team with a winning road record. It is also worth noting that the Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games versus teams with a winning home record. San Antonio is off a convincing win over Utah but is just 1-5 ATS in its last six games following a win of more than 10 points. Take the points.

7* SEC Game of the Year on South Carolina -5

The Key: As if a 1-3 start in conference play isn't enough motivation, South Carolina has dropped 14 straight to Tennessee. The skid ends tonight! The Gamecocks have been good at home where they are 7-2. This is significant because the Volunteers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games versus teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Tennessee has been expected to win during the majority of its winning streak in the series. In fact, it has been favored in each of the last nine. So it is worth noting that the Gamecocks are now installed as the favorite, and the favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. In addition, in a matchup of teams with win percentages of .600 to .800, you want to fade road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have gone under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games. Doing so has produced a 61-26 ATS mark since 1997. Lay the points.

7* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Youngstown State +10

The Key: This is a look-ahead spot for Valpo, which has a big showdown at Wisconsin-Green Bay Friday. With that contest on deck, it will be difficult for the Crusaders to give a Youngstown State team they defeated by 15 points earlier this month their complete focus. Prior to that loss, Youngstown State had won or lost by fewer than 10 points in five straight meetings so there is plenty of value in the Penguins catching double digits. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. Take the points.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Florida State +4.5

The Key: This isn't a good situation for Clemson. The Tigers are off an upset win at home over Syracuse, but they are 2-12 ATS since 1997 following an upset win at home over a conference opponent, losing these contests by an average score of 75.9 to 58.8. The Seminoles have lost their last three, but they are 24-10 ATS since 1997 following three straight losses in conference play. Florida State has had Clemson's number in recent years. It is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings with the lone loss coming by just four points. It is also worth noting that the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Take the points.

6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Raptors/Bucks Over 198.5

The Key: The over is showing value in tonight's Raptors/Bucks battle. The Bucks have finished under the total in 11 straight games, and odds makers have been forced to over adjust the line as a result of all the action coming in on the under for Milwaukee games. Toronto is off a bad upset loss at home to New Orleans, but that is to our benefit. The Raptors are 8-0 "over" the last two seasons in road games following an upset loss at home, and we've seen an average of 218.2 total points scored in these games. The "over" is 5-0 in Toronto's last five versus Central division foes and 4-0 in its last four versus Milwaukee. We have seen 210, 200, 210 and 207 total points scored in those four. Take the over.

6* NBA Total of the Week on Magic/Thunder Under 211.0

The Key: The under is showing some nice value in Sunday's Thunder vs. Magic matchup. You want to play the "under" on January road teams that went over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game if the posted total is 210.0 or greater. Doing so has produced an impressive 31-9 (78%) mark since 1996. The Thunder combined with Golden State for 242 points last game, but they won't get the same kind of help from an Orlando team that averages only 94.9 ppg. Oklahoma City's over/under results have directly correlated with its level of competition. It is 13-3 "under" when playing against teams with a losing record this season, and we have seen just 190.1 total points scored on average in these games. Take the under.

7* Big West Bailout on UC Riverside -110

The Key: This is a tough spot for Hawaii, which is playing its first true road game of the season. The Warriors are 18 games into the schedule and have yet to set foot on true foreign soil. Riverside is 7-2 at home and will be hungry as it looks to end a five-game skid in the series. The Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games versus teams with a winning home record. The Warriors are still expected to be without guard Garrett Nevels, who is the team's second leading scorer. Take Riverside.

6* SEC Annihilator on Missouri -110

The Key: Missouri will be the more motivated team here. It was clobbered 86-37 at Kentucky last time out. And in case that isn't enough motivation, it was kicked 72-45 the last time in faced Tennessee. The Tigers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four home games and 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a loss of more than 20 points. Tennessee is just 3-11 ATS in lined games this season, including 0-6 ATS when playing its second game in a week. Take Mizzou.

7* Southern Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on VMI +1.5

The Key: VMI has lost six of seven but was on the road for six of those. Now it's home, and I expect it to take care of business. The Keydets will be the more motivated side as they seek revenge for a loss at East Tennessee State earlier this month. They should also be the fresher side as they've had the last two days off while East Tennessee State is playing its second road game in three days. The Keydets are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600 while the Buccaneers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games versus teams with a losing record. The Keydets are also 4-1 ATS in their last five home games following three or more consecutive road games and 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss. The Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win and 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a S.U. win. Take VMI.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Thunder +2.5

The Key: This is one of the most motivated spots of the season for the Thunder, who have lost three of four. They were hit hard in the first quarter by Houston last night and played catch up the rest of the way. They will come out a lot more focused and energized from the tip tonight as a result. Fatigue shouldn't be an issue as they had five days off prior to last night's game. Adding to the motivation is the fact that Golden State has won each of the season's first three meetings. The Thunder were embarrassed at Golden State earlier this month and will be out for some serious revenge. The Warriors haven't been quite the same team on the road where they have lost three of their last four. They've also had a rough go in Oklahoma City where they are 1-10 in their last 11. The Thunder are 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Take the Thunder.

6* NBA Vegas Line Mistake on Nets +10

The Key: Washington is being overvalued following back-to-back impressive wins over the Spurs and Bulls. It knew it had to be on top of its game to get those two, but now it takes a step down in competition and the tendency will be to lose focus. The Wizards are a weak 19-31 ATS as a home favorite since the start of last season and 5-15 ATS during this span in home games after a stretch of covers in four or five or their last six games. Brooklyn will be highly motivated tonight as it looks to end a seven-game skid. Despite the losing streak, it has been pretty competitive as the losses have come by an average of just 7.4 points. The Nets are a better team than they've shown lately, and I expect a strong effort here. Brooklyn is 11-2 ATS after two straight double-digit losses over the last three seasons. It is 9-1 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in six or seven of their last eight games going back to the beginning of last season. The Nets are also 21-5 ATS the last three seasons in road games after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games. Take the points.

7* Pac-12 Game of the Month on Arizona State +5.5

The Key: Utah has been blowing its competition out of the water, but it has been doing so at home. The Utes haven't played a true road game since Dec. 10. Plus, their momentum has been slowed by having not played for a week. ASU is 0-3 in league play but all three losses were on the road. Now it's home, where it is 8-1 on the season, and will be hungry to pick up its first conference win. You want to back home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are off a cover in a game they lost straight up when they are matched up against an opponent that's off a home win of 20 points or more. Doing so has produced a 38-14 ATS mark the last five seasons. Take the points.

6* Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Washington -6.5

The Key: Washington has lost its last four but catches the perfect opponent to end its skid. Oregon State is riding high off a big upset win over Arizona and is primed for a letdown as a result. The Huskies are 11-3 ATS off three straight losses in conference play under coach Romar. The Beavers are 0-6 ATS the last two seasons in road games after successfully covering the spread in two or more consecutive games. They have lost these six by 12.5 points on average. Washington is 11-0 in its last 11 home games versus the Beavers with these wins coming by an average of 14.4 points. Lay the number.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Thunder +1.5

The Key: The Thunder have the edge tonight against a Houston team that is playing its second game in as many nights, its third in four days and 9th in 14 days. The Thunder haven't played since last Friday and will undoubtedly be the fresher and more prepared side. OKC lost the season's first meeting but didn't have Durant or Westbrook for that one. When the line is +3 to -3, you want to back road teams that are seeking revenge for a home loss to an opponent if they are playing for just the third time or less in a 10-day span. Doing so has produced a 39-13 ATS mark since 1996. Take the Thunder.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Southern Miss +5.5

The Key: Middle Tennessee State is off a huge 82-58 win over Florida Atlantic, and that win sets up an extremely favorable situation for going against the Blue Raiders. MTSU is 0-6 ATS the last two seasons in road games following a win of 20 points or more, and it has lost these six by an average of 3.6 points. The Blue Raiders are 0-6 ATS the last three seasons in road games off a blowout win of 20 points or more over a conference foe. They've won these on average but only by 3.8 points. MTSU plays at a rather slow tempo, which is significant because So. Miss is 6-0 ATS 15 games or more into the season versus teams that average 53.0 shots per game or less the last two seasons. The Golden Eagles are also 6-0 ATS the last two seasons after a game with a combined score of 115 points or less. Take the points.

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Bulls -5.5

The Key: This is a tough spot for Washington, which is off a big win over the defending champion Spurs last night. It's asking too much of the Wizards to keep this one close against a more rested and hungry Chicago squad. Not only will the Bulls be fueled by an upset loss to lowly Orlando but also by an embarrassing loss in Washington last week. In a matchup of teams with win percentages of 60% to 75%, you want to back a team off an upset loss in a game in which it was favored by 10 points or more. Doing so has produced a 34-11 (76%) ATS mark since 1996. You also want to back favorites that are seeking revenge for a loss to an opponent when they check in off an upset loss as a double-digit favorite. Doing so has produced a 60-30 (67%) ATS mark since 1996. The Bulls are 13-4 ATS the last two seasons when seeking revenge for a road loss of 10 points or more and have won by an average of 8.5 points in this situation. Lay the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Ohio +4

The Key: Ohio has been money at home in this spread range, going 8-0 ATS since 1997 as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6.0 points. It has won these games outright on average by an average of 3.9 points. The Bobcats were kicked by 15 at Bowling Green last game, but I fully expect them to bounce back strong. Teams headed up by coach Saul Phillips are 7-0 ATS following a loss of 15 points or more and have won these games by an average of 16.9 points. It is also worth noting that the Rockets are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a losing record and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a cover. Take Ohio.

6* SEC *CA$H COW* on South Carolina -4

The Key: The Tide have rattled off six consecutive wins, which means now is the perfect time to fade them. Consider that Alabama is a dismal 2-21 ATS following six straight wins or more since 1997. The Gamecocks have dropped their last two but are 6-0 ATS at home the last two seasons after two or more consecutive losses and have won these games by an average score of 76.0 to 67.7. Lay the points.

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Wizards -1.5

The Key: This is a great spot to back the Wizards. They will be extremely hungry following an embarrassing loss in Atlanta last game. They'll also be motivated by a recent loss to the Spurs in San Antonio. Home court has been good to the Wizards as they are 16-4 at home on the season. They are also an outstanding 25-11 ATS the last two seasons when seeking revenge for a loss where they gave up 100 points or more. Lay the points.

6* Big Ten Annihilator on Ohio State -9.5

The Key: I'll lay the points with Ohio State at home in what is a highly motivated spot. Not only are the Buckeyes off a loss at Indiana, but they lost both meetings with Michigan last season, including a 10-point loss on their home floor. They'll be out for some serious payback tonight. Michigan has won its last two but is a weak 18-31 ATS in road games off a win over a conference foe under coach Beilein. Ohio State is a rock solid 93-70 ATS as a home favorite or pickem under coach Matta. It is also worth noting, since this line opened at -10.5, that the Buckeyes are even 65-46 ATS when laying 10 or more at home under Matta. Lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Celtics +5

The Key: New Orleans has struggled on the road where it is 6-13 on the season, including 0-4 in its last four. It is also 0-6 on the season in road games against the East. The Pelicans are off a big 11-point win over Southwest division co-leader Memphis, but they are on a 3-20 ATS slide in road following a win of 10 points or more over a division opponent. It is also worth noting that the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. Take the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Monmouth +4.5

The Key: Rider has been a terrible investment at home in this spread range. In fact, it is 15-44 ATS as a home favorite of 6.0 points or less or pickem since 1997, including 7-30 ATS during this span when laying 3.5 to 6.0. It is also worth noting that the Broncs are 0-6 ATS the last two seasons in home games against teams that have a losing record. Monmouth will be hungry after losing all three of last season's meetings. Take the points with the more motivated side.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Heat +10

The Key: The Heat have had two days to rest up and prepare for this contest after taking it on the chin in Portland, and they will be lacking no motivation as they try to avenge a November 17-point home loss to the Clippers. LA is off a dominant performance against Dallas yesterday, but fatigue should be an issue as the regulars logged considerable playing time. The Clippers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when playing without a day of rest and 0-5 ATS in their last five games when their starting five players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. You want to fade favorite of 10 points or more that have won three of their last four games if they carry win percentage of 60-75% and are playing a team with a win percentage of 40-49%. Doing so has produced a 78-42 ATS mark since 1996. It is also worth noting that Miami is 10-1 ATS the last two seasons after a stretch where it fails to cover the spread six or seven times in an eight-game span. Take the points.

6* Big East *CA$H COW* on Butler -2

The Key: Butler will be the more motivated side this afternoon. As if a home loss to Providence isn't enough of a motivator, the Bulldogs were dealt a pair of double-digit losses by Xavier last season. It's payback time! The Musketeers are off a big win an cover over Seton Hall (our Big East Game of the Year), but they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a cover. They haven't been the same team on the road where they are 1-5 ATS in their last six and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 versus teams with a home winning percentage greater than .600. Take Butler.

7* MVC Game of the Year on Southern Illinois -3.5

The Key: Southern Illinois will be the hungrier and more focused team this afternoon as it is still looking for its first conference victory. It will also be fueled by losses in each of its last two meetings with Indiana State. This is a tough scheduling spot for Indiana State as it is playing its third game in seven days. The Sycamores are 0-6 ATS the last two seasons when playing a third game in a week and have lost these by an average score of 72.0 to 63.2. Southern Illinois is excellent on the defensive end where it has held opponents to just 41.9% from the field. This bodes well for us as Indiana State is 1-10 ATS the last two seasons versus teams that hold opponents to 42% shooting or worse. The Salukis are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last three home meetings with Indiana State and 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings overall. Lay the points.

6* Pac-12 *POWERHOUSE* on Washington -10.5

The Key: Washington has lost three straight since starting 11-0 but is in good position to bounce back big here. The Huskies have had six days to gear up for this battle against a team it defeated by 23 points at home last season. Teams headed up by Lorenzo Romar are 23-5 ATS since 1997 in home games when checking in off a road loss in conference play. The Cougars have been a poor investment on the road where they are 6-20-4 ATS in their last 30. Lay the points.

7* NBA Situational Slam Dunk of the Week on Spurs -5

The Key: This is a great spot for the Spurs who have had the last two days off. In fact, they've had two days off after each of their last three games so they should be fresh here. The Suns, on the other hand, are playing their third road game in four days. Not only will San Antonio be fresher, it will be hungrier following a home loss to Detroit in which it blew an 18 point lead. Adding fuel to the fire is a five-point loss at Phoenix in the season's first meeting. The Spurs don't like losing at home and are 18-6 ATS off a home loss the last three seasons and have won by an average of 9.9 points in this situation. They are also 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games versus teams with a winning road record. Lay the points.

6* Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Nebraska -9.5

The Key: Look for Nebraska to respond following back-to-back losses to start conference play. The Cornhuskers are 9-1 ATS off two straight losses in conference action under coach Tim Miles. Nebraska is a terrific defensive team and should be able to hold Rutgers to a low number tonight. The Scarlet Knights are averaging just 56.5 points in games played away from home on the season and come in ice cold. They've shot 30.2% and 30% in their last two games and are on a 1-9 ATS slide after two straight games of making 33% of their shots or less. Lay the points.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Nebraska-Omaha -3

The Key: This is a bad spot for North Dakota State, which hasn't played a true road game since Dec. 7. It's played just five true road games this season and has lost four of them SU and ATS. Going back to last season, the Bison are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 on the road. They are 3-11 ATS as a road dog or pickem over the last three seasons. Nebraska-Omaha is 5-0 at home and will be lacking no motivation after getting kicked in both of last season's meetings with NDSU. The Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Also, the favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. Lay the points.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Raptors -12

The Key: Charlotte is playing its best basketball of the season, but it runs into a buzz saw tonight. This will be the second game in as many nights for the Hornets, their third in four days and fifth in seven days. They won't have enough left in the tank to content with a Toronto team that has had the last three days off. The Hornets are 23-48 ATS in their last 71 games when playing without a day of rest while the Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games playing on three days of rest or more. The Raptors will also be highly motivated because they have lost their last three with the last two losses being ugly. They are on a 13-3 ATS run at home following two straight losses of 15 points or more. Charlotte is 15-29 ATS the last three seasons as an underdog of 10 points or more. Lay the points.

7* Atlantic 10 Game of the Month on Richmond -5.5

The Key: Motivated by three consecutive defeats, and further fueled by a nine-point loss at George Mason last season, Richmond will take care of business tonight. You want to back favorites that have failed to cover the spread in four or more consecutive games when that are up against an opponent that has successfully covered the spread in four or more consecutive games. Doing so has produced a 2-0 ATS mark this season, an 18-3 ATS mark the last three seasons and a 74-35 ATS mark since 1997. George Mason is off a big win over LaSalle but is a dismal 19-40 ATS in its last 59 games following a win. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. Lay the points.

6* Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Illinois +3

The Key: Illinois has lost its last two but both came on the road. Look for the Fighting Illini to bounce back strong at home where they are 7-0 on the season. Teams headed up by John Groce are 19-7 ATS all-time after playing two consecutive road games, including 11-2 ATS if they were an underdog in both games. Maryland is just 5-13 ATS under coach Mark Turgeon in road games following a win against a conference opponent. Take the points.

6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Bucks/76ers Over 194.5

The Key: Milwaukee has been an unders machine, finishing under the number in each of its last seven, and we are getting a favorable number as a result. It is also to our benefit that Milwaukee is playing the second game of a back-to-back and an eighth game in 13 days as defense is the first thing to suffer for fatigued teams. The Bucks are 21-9 "over" the last two seasons when playing at least eight games in a 14-day span, and we have seen an average of 204.3 total points scored in this situation. It is also worth noting that the 76ers are on a 36-17 run the last three seasons in home games following an under, and we have seen an average of 202.3 total points scored in this situation. Take the over.

7* Big East GAME OF THE YEAR on Xavier -6

The Key: Motivated by an upset loss at DePaul and further fueled by losses in both of last season's meetings with Seton Hall, Xavier will take care of business in a big way tonight. The Musketeers have been outstanding at home where they are 8-0 on the season. In terms of the spread, they are an impressive 27-11 ATS in their last 38 home games and have gone a perfect 7-0 ATS in January home games the past two seasons. They are also 10-1 ATS the last three seasons in home games versus excellent teams like Seton Hall that shoot 45% or better from the field and hold opponents to 42% or worse. They have won these games by an average score of 74.1 to 64.5. It is also worth noting that the Musketeers are 6-0 ATS in their last six Wednesday games. Lay the points.

7* Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota -2.5

The Key: Minnesota has dropped its last two but both were on the road. Now the Golden Gophers are home where they are 9-0 on the season. 15 games or more into the schedule, Minnesota is 6-0 ATS in home games versus teams that outscore the opposition by 4.0 ppg or more under coach Pitino. It has won these contests by an average score of 74.5 to 66.3. Ohio State is 0-5-1 ATS in its last six road games and 0-6 ATS the last two seasons in road games following a stretch of five or six wins in a seven-game span. When the line is +3 to -3, you want to fade road teams that have beaten the spread by 18 total points or more over their last three games when they are matched up against an opponent that has gone under the total by 18 total points or more in their last three games. Doing so has produced a 20-1 ATS record over the last three seasons. Lay the number.

6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Nuggets/Timberwolves Over 209

The Key: We saw 208 total points scored when these teams played the day after Christmas, and we saw this amount despite very poor shooting from both teams. In fact, they combined to shoot barely 40% overall and just 17.6% from 3-point range. The pace of the game was very fast, which has been the norm when these teams get together. That's why we've seen an average of 226.4 total points scored in the last five meetings. The "over" is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Minnesota. With a fast pace and both teams shooting the ball just a little bit better, this one should find its way over the total.

7* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on VMI +1.5

The Key: This is a bad spot for Mercer, which is playing its second road game in three days. VMI has had the last two days off so it should be the fresher side. It should also be the hungrier side as it looks to stop a three-game skid and get revenge for a Dec. 6 loss at Mercer. The Bears haven't been the same team on the road where they are 1-5 this season. They did notch their first road win of the season (by 21 points) at UNC Greensboro last time out but are 1-4-2 ATS in their last seven games following a win of more than 20 points. The Keydets will be happy to be home after three straight on the road versus tough competition. They are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games following three or more consecutive road games. The Keydets are also 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss. Take VMI.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Towson -2.5

The Key: Elon is playing its second road games in three days, and that's been a tough situation for the Phoenix under coach Matheny. In fact, they are 5-14 ATS under their current coach when playing a second road games in three days. The Phoenix are also 2-10 ATS in their last 12 versus Colonial Athletic Association foes. Lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Kings +4

The Key: The Kings are showing value catching points against a Detroit team that is 0-8 ATS as a home favorite this season. The Kings were a terrible investment in December but are now showing great value here as odds makers have overadjusted their lines. You want to take underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 12 or more of their last 15 games when they are taking on an opponent that has covered the spread in four or five of their last six games. Doing so has produced a 77-37 ATS mark since 1996. Take the points.

6* Pac-12 *POWERHOUSE* on Washington State +9.5

The Key: While the line is currently 9.5, it opened at 10.0 so the following system still applies. You want to fade favorites of 10.0 to 19.5 points that are off a win of six points or less when they are matched up against an opponent that is off a loss of 15 points or more as doing so has produced a 125-74 ATS mark the last five seasons. Cal is off a big win over Washington so it will have a hard time getting refocused to face a Washington State team it swept last season. The Golden Bears are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 0-3-1 ATS in their last four home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. The Cougars are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games versus a team with a winning record. Take the points.

7* NCAAB Situational Slam Dunk of the Week on San Francisco +5

The Key: This is a very difficult spot for BYU, playing a second road game in three days and riding high off a blowout win over Santa Clara. The Cougars have been a terrible investment following a cover at 20-41-1 ATS in their last 62 games following an ATS win. They are also 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games following a win of more than 20 points and 0-6 ATS the last two seasons following a stretch of eight wins or more in a 10-game span. The Dons will be highly motivated after dropping their last two league games, and they will also be fueled by losing each of last season's three meetings with the Cougars. The Dons are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games following an ATS loss and 41-15 ATS in their last 56 versus West Coast Conference foes. San Francisco is also 14-5 ATS all-time under coach Rex Walters following a home loss to a conference opponent. Take the points.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Loyola Marymount +9.5

The Key: This is a bad spot for St. Mary's as it plays a second road game in three days. Consider that the Gaels are 2-10 ATS the last three seasons in road games when playing a second game in three days and have lost these contests by an average score of 65.6 to 64.5. We are getting some additional line value here because the Gaels have covered their last three games and Loyola Marymount has failed to cover its last two. St. Mary's is 0-6 ATS the last three seasons after successfully covering the spread in three or more consecutive games. Take the points.

6* NCAAB Under the Radar Line Mistake on UNC Wilmington +4.5

The Key: UNC Wilmington is better than its 5-6 record might lead you to believe. Eight of its games have been true road contests, including each of its last three. The Seahawks are 3-0 at home this season and will be excited to finally get back in front of the home fans. They will also be extremely hungry after losing all three of last season's meetings with Hofstra. The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. They are on a 10-2 ATS run at home after a game where they were called for at least 10 fouls more than their opponent.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Mississippi State +2.5

The Key: Now's the time to fade Florida State, which has won its last four and is coming off a big upset win over in-state rival Florida. The Seminoles are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games and on a 12-26 ATS slide following four or more consecutive victories. Mississippi State is on a 29-15 ATS run after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. It is also on a 22-10 ATS run at home when the line is +3 to -3. Lastly, the Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in home games versus teams that are called for 3.0 or more fouls per game than their opponents under coach Ray. Take the points.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Magic +1.5

The Key: Brooklyn is primed for a letdown as it has won five of six and is coming off a big win over Chicago. It also has a revenge game against Miami on deck so it will likely be looking ahead to that matchup rather than focusing on a team it defeated by eight points earlier this season. The home team has had a significant edge in this series as it is 6-0 in the last six meetings with an average winning margin of 12.2 points. Take Orlando.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Purdue +2

The Key: This is a bad spot for the Golden Gophers, who will be on the road for the first time since Dec. 2. They will also have a tendency to look ahead to Saturday's showdown at Maryland. Purdue has lost its last three, falling to Gardner-Webb in its most recent contest, so it will highly motivated here. Purdue is 7-0 in its last seven home games versus Minnesota and 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings overall. It is also 8-0 ATS on Wednesday the last two seasons. The Golden Gophers are on a 0-7 ATS slide after two consecutive games where both it and its opponent scored 75 points or more. Take Purdue.

6* NCAAB Under the Radar *CA$H COW* on South Alabama +3

The Key: I like South Alabama catching points at home in a game in which it should be highly motivated. The Jaguars have lost four straight to Arkansas State, including an ugly 24-point loss on this floor in the most recent matchup, and they will be out for some serious revenge. Arkansas State has been a poor play in Sun Belt action at 0-7 ATS in its last seven versus conference foes. It is also worth noting that the Red Wolves are 2-9 ATS in road games after playing a game as a road favorite under coach Brady and have lost in this spot by an average score of 74.5 to 66.5. Lastly, you want take any team that has been held to 65 points or less in three straight games that returns two more starters than their opponent. Doing so has produced a 190-119 ATS mark the last five seasons. Take the points.

7* NBA Total of the Month on Spurs/Grizzlies Under 194.5

The Key: Odds makers are well off the mark here. The total was set at 191.0 the last time these teams met. They tallied 233 total points in that game but needed triple-OT to do so. They combined for just 184 points at the end of regulation so this number should have went the other way if anything. The Spurs are 8-1 "under" this season in road games after playing a home game, and we have seen just 187.0 total points scored on average in these contests. Take the under.

6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Kings/Nets Under 204.5

The Key: You want to play the "under" on teams like Brooklyn that are off two or more consecutive overs when they are matched up against an opponent that is off five or more consecutive overs. Doing so has produced a 60-25 mark the last five seasons. The under is 9-1 in the Nets' last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, 6-0 in their last six versus the Western Conference and 4-0 in their last four games following an ATS loss. Take the under.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on James Madison +3.5

The Key: As if back-to-back losses to High Point and Norfolk aren't enough motivation, James Madison was clobbered 81-49 at Valpo last season. Look for the Dukes to have their revenge tonight. You want to fade favorites that have had seven or more days off in a non-conference matchup between mid-majors as doing so has produced a 35-12 ATS mark the last five seasons. Valpo has been able to take it to its opponents on the boards, but I expect James Madison to be up to the challenge here. The Dukes are on a 13-3 ATS run versus teams that outrebound the opposition by 7.0 boards per game or more. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Spurs +1

The Key: Even if Tony Parker and Kawhi Leonard doubtful, I like the Spurs at home in what should be a highly motivated spot. The Spurs have lost their last two and were routed in the season's first meeting with Houston so they will be out for payback. The Spurs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games versus a team with a winning road record. When the line is +3 to -3, you want to fade road teams that went over the total by 18 points or more in their previous game if they have a win percentage of .600 to .750 and are playing a team with a winning record. Doing so has produced a 31-7 ATS mark the last five seasons.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Monmouth -2.5

The Key: Monmouth had been playing well with three wins in a four-game stretch until it was sent into its Christmas break with an ugly 71-46 loss to St. Francis-NY. That loss assures us the Hawks will come out of break with plenty of motivation. The Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a loss. Rutgers went into its break with a blowout win over Sacred Heart so it won't have nearly the same level of focus here. Plus, it begins Big Ten play Tuesday so this is a prime look-ahead spot for Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights are 8-24 ATS in their last 32 games following a ATS win. Lay the points.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New Mexico State +3

The Key: This is a good situation to back New Mexico State. When the line is +3 to -3, you want to back home teams that are off a win of 15 points or more when they are matched up with a team that has scored 75 points or more in three straight games. Doing so has produced a 14-1 ATS mark the last three seasons and a 24-4 ATS mark the last five seasons. In addition, New Mexico State is 7-0 ATS the last three seasons following a game where they led by 15 points or more at halftime. The Rams are 15-33-3 ATS in their last 51 games overall, 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a win, 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games and 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a win of more than 20 points. Take the points.

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Pistons +2.5

The Key: The Pacers have been a terrible investment when coming off a win as they are on a 12-26-1 ATS slide following victory. Indiana is coming off a nice upset win at home over New Orleans but is a pathetic 2-12 ATS following an upset win at home under coach Vogel. It has lost by an average score of 96.0 to 87.6 in this situation. The Pistons have had the last four days off and spent that time focusing on defense. I expect a strong defensive effort here. I also expect the offense to be much more efficient after getting rid of Josh Smith, who led the team in field-goal attempts despite shooting just 39.1 percent. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Heat +5.5

The Key: The Cavs are being overvalued here on the road where they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games versus teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. Cleveland has been inconsistent defensively this season and is 0-5 ATS in its last five games after allowing 100 points or more in its previous game. The Cavaliers are also 0-4 ATS in their last four games versus Eastern Conference opponents. The Heat got caught looking ahead to this matchup and lost to lowly Philadelphia as a result. They'll be even more focused and motivated here because of that defeat. The Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a SU loss and 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss. Miami will be looking to send a message to LeBron James that he made the wrong decision. Take the points.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Bucks -5.5

The Key: This is a bad spot for the Hornets, who are playing their second game in as many nights and fourth in five days. Milwaukee will be the much fresher side as it has had the last two days off. The Hornets are 21-47 ATS in their last 68 games when playing without a day of rest. The Bucks should also be the hungrier side as they have lost six straight to Charlotte, including a two-point loss in their season opener. The Bucks are 15-6 ATS this season when seeking revenge for a loss to an opponent. Milwaukee has taken care of business against weaker competition as it is 11-2 ATS versus teams with losing records this season. It has also bounced back nicely at 11-2 ATS following a loss on the season. You want to fade underdogs that beat the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game if that have a win percentage of just .250 to .400 on the season. Doing so has produced a 26-4 ATS mark the last five seasons.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Niagara +2

The Key: Niagara will be the hungrier team tonight. Not only will it be out to bring a six-game losing streak to an end, but it will also be out for revenge for last season's 25-point loss at Arkansas State. This is not the same Arkansas State team that we saw last season as it didn't return a single starter. Plus, Niagara isn't as bad as its record looks. It has played just two home games thus far. The Red Wolves have been a bad investment at 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. They are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a win and 1-5 ATS in their last six games versus a team with a losing record. The Purple Eagles are on a 13-4 ATS run at home after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in two straight games. Take Niagara.

7* NBA Situational Slam Dunk on Rockets -3.5

The Key: This is a bad spot for Portland. The Trail Blazers are playing their third road game in three days, and this stretch started with a triple-overtime contest. Houston, which has been at home and has had a day of rest in between each of its last two games, will be the fresher side. It will also be the hungrier side. Not only will the Rockets be out to end a two-game skid, they'll be out for revenge for last season's playoff loss to Portland. The Rockets are 20-8 ATS at against teams with winning percentages above 70% under McHale. The Trail Blazers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. Lay the points.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Florida Atlantic +5

The Key: This is a letdown situation for Eastern Kentucky following a huge 72-44 upset blowout win over Miami. Fading road favorites or pickems off a road win of 10 points or more has produced a 25-7 ATS mark the last five seasons if they carry a win percentage of .600 to .800 and are playing a team with a win percentage of .510 to .600. The Colonels are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a win of more than 20 points. FAU is 9-2 ATS the last two seasons versus teams win a win percentage of .600 to .800. Take the points.

6* NBA Annihilator on Kings -7

The Key: Motivated by five consecutive defeats and out for revenge for a three-point setback in L.A. Dec. 9, the Kings will be hungry. Recent history suggests this is great spot to back the Kings as well as a great spot to fade the Lakers. Consider that Sacramento is 10-1 ATS the last three seasons following five or more consecutive defeats. In addition, the Lakers are 3-12 ATS the last two seasons after covering the number in three of their last four games. Lay the points.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Quinnipiac -1.5

The Key: This is a terrible spot for Oregon State. The Beavers just annihilated DePaul, and they have a lengthy eight-day break following this game so complete focus won't be there. To make matters worse, Oregon State has played only three games away from its home floor this season (just one true road game) and hasn't been further east than Las Vegas. Now, it's being asked to make the long cross-country trip with just two days of prep time. Oregon State won by eights points when it hosted Quinnipiac last December, which is all the more reason it will be overlooking the Bobcats, who will be jacked for this rematch. The Bobcats are 4-1 ATS in their last five non-conference games. Oregon State is on a 19-35 ATS slide following a stretch of five or six covers in a seven-game span.

6* NBA Total of the Week on Bucks/Clippers Under 211.5

The Key: Milwaukee combined with Sacramento for 215 points in its last game. The Clippers combined with Denver for 215 points in their last game. And, the Bucks and Clippers combined for 217 points when they met Dec. 13. With a number set well below these point totals, it appears odds makers are begging for action on the under. We won't bite. The LA's defense wasn't very good last night. It allowed Denver to shoot 47.5% for the game and make 11 three-point attempts. That poor defensive effort will remind the Clippers of an even worse defensive performance they had recently against the Bucks. They lost in Milwaukee while allowing the Bucks to shoot 56.6% from the field and 63.6% from three-point range. I expect a much better defensive effort tonight in a bounce-back, revenge spot. When the total is 200 or higher, you want to play the "under" on teams like Milwaukee that have covered the spread in four or five of their last six games and are playing a fourth road game in seven days. Doing so has produced a 55-25 (69%) mark the last five seasons. The Bucks are also on a 28-13 "unders" run in road games when the total is 210 or higher. Take the under.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on SIU-Edwardsville +1

The Key: This is a bad spot for Wisconsin-Milwaukee. The Panthers have a big showdown at Arkansas Monday and will have a tough time focusing on the task at hand as a result. Wisconsin-Milwaukee is 1-4 in games played away from home this season, including 0-3 in true road games. SIU-Edwardsville will be hungry as it tries to snap a seven game losing streak. It will also be excited to step back on its home floor, where it has performed just once in its last six games. The Cougars return four starters from a squad that went 9-5 at home last season. The Cougars are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games versus a team with a losing road record. The Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a win. Take SIU-Edwardsville.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on UTEP +6

The Key: This is a tough spot for Arizona, which is playing its third game in seven days and its first true road game of the season. The Wildcats are on a 1-8 ATS slide in road games when playing a third game in a week. UTEP has never lost as a home underdog or pickem under coach Tim Floyd, going a perfect 7-0 ATS in the role while winning by an average score of 72.4 to 67.6. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pistons +8

The Key: The Pistons hold major motivational edges in this game. They will be highly motivated tonight as they try to snap an ugly 11-game losing streak at home. They'll also be fueled by a three-game losing streak to the Raptors. Toronto will have a tough time getting up for the lowly Pistons on the road. We saw this in its most recent road game when it defeated the Knicks by only five points. Toronto is off a 105-89 win over Brooklyn but is 1-4 ATS in its last five games following a win of more than 10 points. In addition, fading Friday night favorites off a home win over a division rival has resulted in a 52-20 ATS mark the last five seasons. Take the points.

7* NCAAB Game of the Week on Western Carolina +2.5

The Key: Western Carolina is a much better team than its 3-7 record might lead you to believe. The Catamounts have suffered from playing just one home game so far so they'll be extremely excited to get back on their home floor tonight. This team has performed exceptionally at home where they went 11-2 last season. They are also the more battle tested team because of their challenging early season schedule, and I believe they'll perform better down the stretch as a result. Wright State is 3-2 in true road games, but the Catamounts are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games versus teams with a winning road record. It is also worth noting that Wright State is 1-9 ATS the last two seasons in road games that follow two consecutive non-conference contests. The Raiders have lost by an average score of 72.1 to 68.8 in this spot. Take the points for insurance, but I like Western Carolina outright tonight.

7* NBA Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Nuggets +1.5

The Key: Motivated by back-to-back defeats, including a 108-96 loss in Houston Dec. 13, the Nuggets will bounce back strong at home where they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven. The Nuggets are 45-22-1 ATS in their last 68 home games versus teams with a winning road record and 15-5 ATS in their last 20 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Home court has been huge in this series as the home team is 6-0 in the last six meetings with an average winning margin of 10.2 points. The Rockets are 0-4 SU and ATS in their last four visits to the Mile High City. Take Denver.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on NC State -4.5

The Key: This is a bad spot for Tennessee as it plays its first true road game of the season against a highly motivated NC State squad and just two days removed from a big win over Butler. I expect maximum effort and focus from the Wolfpack following a bad loss to Wofford. NC State returns three starters from a team that won by seven at Tennessee last season. The Vols bring back just one starter from that team. The Wolfpack are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss, 10-0-1 ATS in their last 11 Wednesday games and 6-0 ATS in their last six games after forcing eight turnovers or less in their previous game. The Volunteers are 1-5-1 ATS this season. Lay the points.

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Kings +7.5

The Key: The Thunder have been rolling since the return of Durant and Westbrook, but this is a tough situation for them. They are playing their fourth game in six and have a big one at Golden State on deck. The Kings have had the last two days off so they will be the fresher side. I also expect maximum effort in the wake of Michael Malone's firing. Fading favorites off two straight double digits wins in a matchup of teams with +/- 3.0 ppg differentials has resulted in a 37-11 ATS mark the last five seasons. Take the points.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Tennessee State +15

The Key: Tennessee State is in a good spot. The Tigers have had nine days to prepare for a team they've already seen this season. They lost the first meeting by 17 points but are on a 27-10 ATS run in road games when seeking revenge for a same-season loss. Southern Illinois just played Sunday and will have a strong tendency to look right past the Tigers because it handled them in the first go-around. Tennessee State is 12-4 ATS in all lined road games the last two seasons, including 6-0 ATS during this span following three consecutive games as an underdog. The Tigers are 6-0 ATS the last three seasons in road games after three or more consecutive losses. Take the points.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Pacers -6

The Key: This is a tough situation for the Lakers, who are playing their second road game in as many days and third in four days. Indiana has been at home and had Sunday off so it should be the fresher side. The Pacers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on one days' rest. The Pacers should also be the hungrier side as they try to snap an eight-game slide. The Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games versus a team with a losing record and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 Monday games. The Pacers are 5-0 in the last five meetings, winning them by an average of 8.4 points. Lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Suns +6.5

The Key: OKC is being overvalued at home following a five-game win streak that has coincided with the return of its two stars. The Suns have given the Thunder problems, winning the last two meetings. The Suns are in the midst of a four-game slide but none of the losses have come by more than six points. Phoenix is on a 24-11 ATS run as a road underdog and is 9-1 ATS in road games following a loss of six points or less the last two seasons. Take the points.

6* NCAAB National TV Annihilator (ESPNU) on Tennessee +1

The Key: Tennessee has been an awesome investment at home in games odds makers expect to be close, going 27-13 ATS in home games when the line is +3 to -3 since 1997. The Volunteers are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 home games while the Bulldogs are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Tennessee was able to get the "W" at home versus K-State last time out but did not cover. That sets up a strong trend this afternoon as teams headed up by coach Tyndall are 15-3 ATS off a home win in a game they didn't cover.

7* NCAAB Game of the Week on Nebraska -4.5

The Key: This is a difficult spot for Cincinnati. The Bearcats are playing their first true road game of the season and it comes after a long 10-day layoff. Cincy is 0-6 ATS when playing on seven days of rest or more under coach Cronin. Nebraska let in-state rival Creighton beat it twice as it did not show up following its disappointing loss to the Blue Jays and went down on its home floor to Incarnate Word. As if that ugly loss isn't enough motivation, the Cornhuskers will also be fueled by last season's 74-59 loss at Cincinnati. Cincy has done a poor job of forcing turnovers this season and is 0-6 ATS the last two seasons after four straight games of forcing  14 or less turnovers. Nebraska is 7-0 ATS as a home favorite of six points or less or pickem over the last two seasons, winning these games by an average score of 72.0 to 59.9. Lay the points.

7* NBA Total of the Week on Pistons/Suns Over 203

The Key: When these teams met in Detroit last month, we saw just 174 total points scored, but they combined for only 33 points from beyond the arc and only 23 points from the free throw line. Keep in mind these teams average 54 points combined per game on three-pointers and 33 points on free throws. In other words, they are averaging 31 more points per game in these areas than we saw in the first meeting. Add those 31 points to the total score of the first meeting, and we get 205. So we are getting a good number here. Plus, we can also take into consideration that neither team is defending well. The Pistons have allowed 103.6 points over their last eight games, and the Suns are allowing 106.7 points over their last nine games. Phoenix is 8-1 over this season versus teams that give up 99.0 ppg or more, and we have seen an average of 219.9 total points scored in these contests. The Suns are 9-1 over the last two season when playing against teams with a win percentage of 25% or worse, and we have seen 213.2 total points scored in these games. Take the over.

6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Rockets/Kings Over 196

The Key: We saw just 191 total points scored when these teams met in Houston last month. The Kings went to DeMarcus Cousins in the post a lot in that game, but they'll be looking to run more without him in the lineup. The Rockets just played last night, and the Kings are playing for the third time in four days. Neither team has fresh legs, and defense is the first thing to go when that's the case. Houston is 18-4 over off a road loss over the last two seasons, and we have seen an average of 212.7 total points scored in these contests. Also, the over is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings in Sacramento.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Western Illinois -112

The Key: Western Illinois is 2-5 but has played just three home games and has been competitive in all three, winning two. The Leathernecks are home following back-to-back losses on the road and will be highly motivated to get back in the win column. They'll draw added motivated from last season's 67-63 loss at Idaho. Western Illinois was the better team in that matchup but it shot just 2 of 11 from three-point range and 17 of 28 from the foul line. I expect much better shooting from the Leathernecks here as they are averaging seven three-point makes per game on the season. The Vandals have won their last two with their last win coming at home over Cal Davis, but they are 17-28 ATS off a home win under coach Don Verlin. Recently, they are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a cover. Take Western Illinois.

6* NBA Vegas Line Mistake on Pacers +7

The Key: The Pacers are extremely disappointed with how they performed last game. They returned home following an 0-4 road trip looking to get back on track but were hit in the mouth by Atlanta instead. I expect an inspired performance in the wake of that loss. The Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a double-digit loss at home, 5-0-1 ATS in their last six Wednesday games and 4-0 ATS in their last four games when playing on one day of rest. The Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last four versus Central division opponents. Take the points.

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Hornets -2.5

The Key: This is a superior spot for Charlotte, which has had the last four days off to get healthy and to get prepared for this matchup. Boston is playing its third game in four days with the last one going to double overtime. The Hornets will have the fresher legs. Boston has been playing uptempo basketball, trying to outscore its opponents, but Charlotte has done an excellent job controlling the tempo against such teams and is on a 27-14 ATS run versus up-tempo teams that average 83 shots per game or more. Lay the points.

6* NCAAB National TV Annihilator (FOXS1) on Georgetown -2.5

The Key: Georgetown will be out for revenge for last season's 22-point loss at Kansas. The Hoyas are a different team at home, and that's why we see them favored over the 10th-ranked team in the country. The Hoyas are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games while the Jayhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. The Hoyas are 6-1 ATS in their last seven versus the Big 12 while the Jayhawks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 versus the Big East. Kansas checks in off a nice win over Florida but is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games following a win. The Hoyas are off a blowout of Towson State and are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a win of more than 20 points. Lay the points.

6* NBA Bailout on Lakers -2.5

The Key: Motivated by three consecutive blowout losses, the Lakers should take care of business against a Sacramento team that hasn't been the same since the loss of DeMarcus Cousins. The Lakers should also benefit from fresher legs. Sacramento played last night while L.A. had the night off. The Lakers have had plenty of success against the Kings and are 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings overall and 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings at home. Lay the points.

6* NCAAB Situational Slam Dunk on South Dakota +16.5

The Key: This is a letdown spot for Creighton following Sunday's big win over in-state rival Nebraska. Plus, it has had just one day to prepare for this contest while South Dakota has had three. You want to fade home favorites or pickems off an upset win on the road if they have a win percentage of .600 to .800 and are playing a team with a win percentage of .200 to .400. Doing so has produced a 45-18 ATS mark the last five seasons. It is also worth noting that the Coyotes are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. Take the points.

7* NBA Situational Slam Dunk on Heat +5

The Key: This is a bad spot for Phoenix, which will be playing a second game in as many nights and a fourth in five days. To make matters worse, last night's game with the Clippers went to overtime so I don't see the Suns having enough left in the tank to cover this number. The Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last five games when playing without a day of rest and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games when their starting five players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Heat are 18-6 ATS in the last 24 meetings, including 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings in Phoenix. Take the points.

6* NBA Vegas Line Mistake on Suns +7.5

The Key: This line is inflated due to LA's run of five consecutive covers. Consider that the Clippers are just 22-43 ATS since 1996 after covering the spread in four or more consecutive games. The Clippers are also 0-5 ATS in their last five home games versus teams with a winning road record. The Suns are coming off a loss in Houston but are an impressive 29-11-1 ATS in their last 41 games following an ATS loss. That game, however, was Phoenix's second in as many days. While playing three games in four days is no picnic, the Suns have thrived in such spots under Hornacek, going 22-10 ATS and winning by an average score of 105.7 to 101.9. They are also 44-20-1 ATS in their last 65 games when playing on one day of rest. The Suns are 31-16 ATS as a dog under Hornacek and 23-11 ATS as a road underdog under their current coach. You want to take road teams that average 103.0 ppg or more that trailed by 15 points or more at halftime of the previous game. Doing so has produced an 81-36 ATS mark since 1996. Take the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Nevada +6

The Key: This is Nevada's first home game since Nov. 17, and it will be jacked up as a result. Not only will it be out to end a five-game losing streak, but it will also be out for revenge for last season's eight-point loss at Cal. You want to fade favorites like Cal that have covered the spread in five or six of their last seven games if they have a win percentage of 80% or higher and are playing a team with a win percentage of 20% to 40%. Doing so has produced a 44-17 (72%) ATS mark the last five seasons. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Nuggets +5.5

The Key: Atlanta is 12-6 but wouldn't be if it played in the much stronger Western Conference. The Hawks are just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 versus the West and 0-6 ATS in their last six versus the NBA Northwest division. The Nuggets are off a bad loss at Washington where they couldn't throw it in the ocean, but the performance was an outlier because they had been played exceptional in their previous nine games. The Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss and 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games when playing on one day of rest. You want to back road teams that average 103.0 ppg or more that trailed in their previous game by 15 points or more at the half. Doing so has produced an 81-35 ATS mark since 1996. It is also worth noting that Atlanta is just 11-23 ATS the last three seasons versus teams that average 103.0 ppg or more.

6* NBA Situational Slam Dunk on Pistons -9

The Key: The Pistons have been a major disappointment thus far, but this is a fantastic spot for them. Not only will Detroit be motivated by a 10-game slide, but it will also be fueled by an embarrassing 25-point loss the last time it faced the 76ers. The Pistons have had two days to regroup and are 5-1 ATS in their last six games when playing on two days' rest. The 76ers have covered the spread in six of their last seven and are starting to lose value as a result. This is the second game of a back-to-back for them, a spot that hasn't treated the well. They are 18-38 ATS in their last 56 games when playing without a day of rest. They are also 17-32 ATS the last two seasons as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Lay the number.

7* NCAAB Game of the Week on Wisconsin Green Bay +10.5

The Key: Miami is 8-0 and high on the horse following a big win over Illinois and is susceptible here as a result. I expect the Hurricanes to get caught looking right past a Wisconsin Green Bay squad that was kicked by Georgia State Thursday. That was just one of those rare games where the Phoenix couldn't throw it in the ocean. They shot just 28.8% from the field after shooting 50% or better in three of their previous four games. The Phoenix are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss of more than 20 points and 4-0 ATS in their last four games after being held to less than 50 points in their previous game. Brian Wardle is one of the best coaches you don't know much about. Playing a second game in three days might seem like a tough situation, but Wardle's ability to prepare and motivate has allowed the Phoenix to thrive in such situations. In fact, his Wis-GB teams are 27-7 ATS all-time when playing a second game in three days and have won these games by an average score of 69.4 to 65.7. Take the points.

7* NBA Game of the Week on Timberwolves +7

The Key: Off a big win over Memphis and with a matchup against Phoenix tomorrow night, Houston won't give Minnesota its full attention. The Rockets have a 12-point win over Minnesota this season in Mexico City so it will be easy for them to look right past the Timberwolves here. I expect the T-Wolves to be extremely motivated after losing to the then 0-17 76ers. That's the type of embarrassing loss that gets a teams attention. The Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last four games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. Also, you want to fade Friday night favorites that are off a home win against a division rival as doing so has produced a 50-20 (71%) ATS mark the last five seasons. Take the points.