7* ACC Game of the Month on Boston College +10.5 

The Key: The Boston College Eagles have gone 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.  They have won 3 straight home games, including an upset win over Louisville.  And they haven’t lost any of their last 6 home games by more than 6 points.  Now they’re catching 10.5 points at home against a UNC team that is primed for a letdown.  They will be looking ahead to their huge showdown against Duke this weekend.  Boston College is 7-0 ATS off a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.  The Eagles are 6-0 ATS off a close loss by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.  The Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.  Take Boston College. 

7* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month on Brooklyn Nets -4.5 

The Key: The Brooklyn Nets are in a critical stretch right now if they want to make the playoffs.  They have home games against the Mavs, Cavs, and Pistons as well as a road game at Atlanta in their next four games.  Then they’ll be going on a brutal 7-game road trip.  They need to win all 4 of these games, especially after losing 3 straight coming in.  It starts tonight against the Mavs, who are just 6-24 on the road this season.  The Mavs are also 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games coming in.  They’ve rarely even been competitive as all 6 losses came by 9 points or more.  Take Brooklyn. 

7* Northwestern/Illinois Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Illinois -5 

The Key: Brad Underwood has done a tremendous job of keeping his team focused and playing hard here down the stretch trying to improve as a young squad.  The Fighting Illini had a lot of breaks not go their way in the first half of the season, but they’ve stuck with it and have now gone 5-4 SU & 5-4 ATS in their last nine games overall in Big Ten play.  That includes wins over NCAA Tournament teams in Maryland, Michigan State and Ohio State with two of those three on the road even.  Now they want to avenge their 66-68 loss at Northwestern in their first meeting this season.  They should be able to against a Wildcats team that is just ready for the season to be over.  They are 0-9 SU & 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.  They are coming off a 12-point home loss to Minnesota on Thursday.  The Wildcats are 0-7 ATS off 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.  Northwestern is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games off a double-digit home loss.  The Fighting Illini are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.  Take Illinois. 

6* Pelicans/Nuggets NBA *BAILOUT* on New Orleans +13.5 

The Key: The Pelicans are now 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall after winning 130-116 in Phoenix last night.  That blowout allowed them to not play their starters too heavy of minutes, and they should still be fresh in Denver tonight.  Fresh enough to cover this huge 13.5-point spread as the Pelicans continue to lack the respect they deserve from oddsmakers.  New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games against a team with a winning record.  Denver is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 against NBA Southwest teams.  The Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Nuggets, not once losing by more than 6 points.  Take New Orleans. 

6* UNC/Clemson ACC *CA$H COW* on Clemson +4.5 

The Key: The Clemson Tigers are squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament sitting at 17-11 this season.  They could really use a signature win at home here against No. 5 North Carolina.  Clemson is 12-3 SU at home this season and has played UNC very tough in recent meetings.  They pulled the 82-78 upset at home last year, only lost by 8 on the road, and lost by 3 at home in OT in their last 3 meetings with the Tar Heels.  Clemson is 11-2 ATS in home games off a win over the last 2 seasons.  The Tigers are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 home games against a team with a winning road record.  Take Clemson. 

7* LSU/Alabama SEC *HEAVY HITTER* on Alabama +2 

The Key: Alabama is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament at 17-11 on the season.  They picked up a big road win at South Carolina last time out, and now they could really use an upset victory over No. 13 LSU to really cement their place in the big dance.  That’s why I know we’re going to get a big effort from the Crimson Tide at home Saturday.  And they have been great at home this year, going 10-3 SU in their 13 home games.  Alabama is also 17-3 SU in its last 20 home meetings with LSU.  The Tigers are 1-9 ATS off a win by 10 points or more against a conference opponent over the last 3 seasons.  The Crimson Tide are 6-0 ATS when revenging a loss this season.  The Crimson Tide are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings with LSU.  Take Alabama. 

7* Clippers/Kings NBA *BAILOUT* on Sacramento -3.5 

The Key: The Kings are now 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games overall.  They have recently losses by 1 to Milwaukee, by 2 at Golden State and by 2 at Denver, as well as an upset win at Oklahoma City.  They have been through the gauntlet.  Now they face a lesser team in the Clippers who they are actually trailing in the playoff hunt, making this a must-win game for them at home tonight.  Expect them to give a big effort that should be good enough to cover this 3.5-point spread.  The Kings are 8-1 ATS as home favorites this season. Sacramento is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games following a loss.  The Kings are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 home games.  Take Sacramento. 

7* Pac-12 Game of the Week on Oregon State -4 

The Key: The Oregon State Beavers have an outside shot to make the tournament at 17-9 on the season and 9-5 in Pac-12 play.  The Arizona Wildcats are playing for nothing but pride.  Arizona has gone just 2-7 SU & 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games overall with its two wins both coming at home against lowly Cal and Stanford.  Oregon State is 10-3 at home this season.  The Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.  The Beavers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games against a team with a losing road record.  The home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.  Arizona is 1-8 ATS as an underdog this season.  Take Oregon State. 

7* Big East Game of the Year on Villanova -5 

The Key: Villanova has won 10 straight home games all by 5 points or more.  The Wildcats have won 6 straight home games against Marquette with 5 of those by 10 points or more.  I think the Wildcats get their revenge from a 1-point road loss at Marquette earlier this season.  Take Villanova. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Miami Heat +9.5 

The Key: The Miami Heat will be hungry for their first victory coming out of the All-Star Break tonight.  And they’ll be hungry to avenge a tough 118-120 road loss at Golden State on February 10th earlier this month as 13.5-point dogs.  Now they are 9.5-point home dogs in the rematch, and I love the price on them tonight.  The Warriors are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall and were fortunate to cover at Charlotte last time out getting a late 3-pointer by Steph Curry which proved to be the difference between covering and not covering.  The Warriors continue to get too much respect from the books tonight.  Golden State is 6-18 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.  Take Miami. 

6* Maryland/Penn State Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Penn State +2 

The Key: Penn State is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games overall.  The Nittany Lions beat Nebraska by 24 at home, upset Illinois on the road, upset Michigan at home, and upset Northwestern on the road.  The home team is 5-0 SU in the last 5 meetings between Maryland and Penn State.  Take Penn State. 

7* SEC Game of the Year on Texas A&M +12 

The Key: LSU is coming off a massive 82-80 upset victory over Tennessee on Saturday.  It’s now a letdown spot for them, and they could be without starting PG Tremont Waters again.  Texas A&M has been far from an easy out.  The Aggies are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.  They only lost by 4 at Ole Miss and by 7 at South Carolina.  They upset Missouri on the road, Arkansas on the road, Alabama at home and also beat Georgia by 17 at home.  They are playing well enough to stay within this 12-point spread, especially given the letdown spot for the Tigers.  They Aggies also want to avenge a 15-point home loss to LSU back when they weren’t playing well on January 30th.  LSU is 0-6 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons.  Texas A&M is 8-2 ATS in road games against a team with a winning record this season.  The Aggies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.  Take Texas A&M. 

6* Celtics/Raptors Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Toronto -3.5 

The Key: This one is as easy as it gets tonight.  The home team is 10–0 SU & 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings between the Celtics and Raptors.  The Raptors are 7-0 SU & 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home meetings with Boston.  Take Toronto. 

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Atlanta Hawks +12.5 

The Key: The Houston Rockets are in a big letdown spot tonight.  They are coming off an upset win over the Golden State Warriors even without James Harden.  Now they have to host the Atlanta Hawks and won’t be nearly as hungry to face them as they were the Warriors.  And Harden is still questionable to return.  It’s a Hawks team that has covered 3 of their last 4 and is trying to win games.  Atlanta is 9-1 ATS in road games off a home game this season.  Houston is 6-17 ATS after scoring 115 points or more this season.  The Rockets are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a win.  Houston is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 games off an ATS win.  Take Atlanta. 

7* Stanford/Arizona Pac-12 *BAILOUT* on Arizona -5 

The Key: The price is right to back the Arizona Wildcats tonight after losing 7 of their last 8 both straight up and against the spread.  Now they’re laying a short number at home against a Stanford team they already beat 75-70 on the road.  They should be able to win by more than 5 at home in the rematch.  Stanford’s last two road games have been very ugly as they lost by 18 at Arizona State and by 23 at Oregon.  The Cardinal are 2-10 ATS in road games when revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points over the last 3 seasons.  The Wildcats are 18-0 SU in their last 18 meetings with Stanford.  Take Arizona. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Miami Heat -3.5 

The Key: The situation favors the Miami Heat tonight.  They had yesterday off following a tough 4-point loss at Philadelphia on Thursday.  Detroit is playing the second of a back-to-back after winning a 125-122 shootout at Atlanta last night.  The Pistons are 2-11 ATS against teams that average 3 or more rebounds per game than their opponents this season.  The home team is 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS in the last 6 meetings.  The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home meetings with the Pistons.  Take Miami. 

7* Big Ten Game of the Month on Purdue -6 

The Key: The Nebraska Cornhuskers have been broken since losing their most important player in Isaac Copeland to injury.  They already had no bench, so it puts even more pressure on the starters.  The Huskers are just 2-8 SU & 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  Their only wins came at home against Minnesota by 1 and Northwestern by 9.  They were just blown out by 24 at Penn State, which 5 of their last 6 losses have now come by double-digits.  Purdue is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games overall and should blow Nebraska out of the building tonight.  They already beat Nebraska by 19 at home this season, so asking them to cover this short number on the road isn’t asking too much.  The Huskers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home gams.  The Huskers are 1-10-1 ATS in this last 12 games following a loss.  Take Purdue. 

6* Missouri Valley Game of the Day on Missouri State -6.5 

The Key: Missouri State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games overall.  Its only two losses both came to Northern Iowa. They have beaten the best the MVC has to offer during this stretch with road wins over Loyola and Valparaiso, as well as home wins over Illinois State and Southern Illinois.  They already beat Indiana State by 15 on the road this season and now are only laying 6.5 points at home.  Indiana State has recent road losses to Illinois State by 14, Southern Illinois by 15 and Bradley by 29.  The Sycamores are 0-6 ATS in road games off a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.  Indiana State is 3-10 ATS when revenging a loss this season.  The Sycamores are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a win.  The Bears are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games off a double-digit home loss.  Take Missouri State. 

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Chicago Bulls +8 

The Key: After going 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their final 5 games before the break, the betting public is quick to jump on the Orlando Magic coming out of the break.  But we see this all the time.  A team with momentum has a long break and then comes out flat.  They don’t want the break when they are playing well.  I think that will be the case for the Magic tonight.  They are now laying 8 points when they haven’t been favored by more than 6 points in any other game this season.  Simply put, it’s getting pricey to back the Magic now.  The Bulls have shown some fight in winning 3 of their last 8 games straight up.  They beat the Grizzlies by 12 at home, upset the Nets by 19 on the road and upset the Heat by 16 on the road.  They have actually been playing better on the road than at home.  The underdog is 22-10 ATS in the last 32 meetings.  Take Chicago. 

6* Oregon State/UCLA NCAAB *BAILOUT* on Oregon State +2 

The Key: The Oregon State Beavers are 16-8 now with a chance to make the NCAA Tournament.  They have won 4 of their last 5 games coming in.  The UCLA Bruins are 13-13 on the season with not much to play for.  And that showed as they lost by 24 in their last game to Stanford and are just 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  Their only win in cover came in overtime at California, the worst team in the Pac-12.  Oregon State is 6-0 ATS off 2 consecutive home games this season.  UCLA is 0-7 ATS after playing a road game this season.  The Beavers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.  Take Oregon State. 

6* Kings/Warriors NBA *BAILOUT* on Sacramento +12.5 

The Key: The Sacramento Kings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and have been one of the best covering teams in the NBA this season.  And now they’re catching 12.5 points against a Warriors team that they have played tough in recent meetings.  The Kings are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings with an outright win and losses by 4, 5 and 1 point against the Warriors.  Sacramento is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games playing on 3 or more days rest.  Golden State is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 Thursday games.  The Warriors are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 home games.  Take Sacramento. 

7* UCF/Cincinnati ESPN 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on UCF +8 

The Key: Cincinnati’s 21-4 record has it laying way too many points too often.  That’s why the Bearcats are just 4-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.  And they are laying too many points to UCF tonight.  This is a UCF team on the bubble and looking for another signature win tonight.  The Knights are playing well having gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall.  The Bearcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.  Cincinnati is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games against a team with a winning record.  Take UCF. 

7* Louisville/Syracuse ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Syracuse -2 

The Key: The Syracuse Orange are coming off a bad loss at NC State.  They’ve had a full week to correct their mistakes having last played on February 13th.  They’ll be fresh and ready to go tonight as they host the Louisville Cardinals, who last played on February 16th in a narrow 1-point home win over Clemson.  The Orange are 12-4 at home this season and holding foes to just 59.4 PPG and 38.4% shooting.  Syracuse is 11-2 ATS off a loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons.  The Orange are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss.  The Orange are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  Take Syracuse. 

7* Kentucky/Missouri ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Missouri +12 

The Key: The Kentucky Wildcats are coming off their biggest win of the season over No. 1 Tennessee over the weekend.  Now that sets them up for a big letdown spot tonight at Missouri.  The Tigers have gone a respectable 9-5 at home this season.  They have only lost once in 14 home games by more than 10 points.  The Wildcats played LSU before Tennessee and now have Auburn on deck, so this is clearly a sandwich game for them.  The home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.  Take Missouri. 

7* AAC Game of the Week on Tulane +18.5 

The Key: This is a big potential flat spot for the Houston Cougars.  They are coming off a brutal stretch of 5 straight tough games in the AAC.  They won at Tulsa, UCF and UConn, while also beating Temple and Cincinnati at home.  They have basically wrapped up the AAC title already thanks to those wins.  And now they must face the team in last place in the conference in Tulane.  They probably feel like they can just show up and win.  And while that may be the case, just showing up won’t allow them to cover this ridiculous 18.5-point spread.  Tulane has been playing much more competitively of late with 3 covers in their last 5 games.  And they are looking at this game as their championship game with Houston coming to town. Last year, Tulane upset Houston 81-72 as 7-point home dogs.  The Green Wave are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games off a double-digit home loss.  Take Tulane. 

7* Gonzaga/San Diego WCC *BAILOUT* on San Diego +16.5 

The Key: The San Diego Toreros only lost by 16 at Gonzaga as 23-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  Now they are getting 16.5 points here at home in their 2nd meeting.  I believe it’s too much.  San Diego has played Gonzaga as tough as anyone in the conference here of late.  The Toreros only lost by 5 as 11.5-point home dogs last year and by 10 as 19.5-point road dogs.  So they have a track record of playing the Zags tough.  Gonzaga is 1-9 ATS after a game where it forced 8 or fewer turnovers over the last 2 seasons.  Take San Diego. 

6* Pac-12 Game of the Day on Stanford PK 

The Key: Stanford wants to avenge its ugly 70-92 road loss at UCLA.  The Cardinal have been playing well since that defeat.  They have won 4 of their last 5 games and have home wins over ASU, Colorado and USC since that defeat, as well as road wins at Oregon State, Cal and Washington State.  The Bruins are just 3-6 SU & 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games overall.  The Cardinal are simply the better team right now as they’ve managed to improve throughout the season, while the Bruins have back tracked.  UCLA is 0-6 ATS after playing a road game this season.  Stanford is 6-0 ATS off a close win by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.  Take Stanford. 

6* Big 12 Game of the Day on Baylor +7.5 

The Key: I think the price is right to back the Baylor Bears today.  They are getting no respect after losing 2 of their last 3, while Texas Tech is getting a lot of respect after winning and covering each of their last 3.  Baylor beat Texas Tech by 11 at home in their first meeting this year.  And Baylor’s recent struggles can be attributed to an injury to Makai Mason more than anything.  But now the Bears are back to being healthy and one of the best teams in the Big 12.  Baylor is 6-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.  The Bears are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 road games against good defensive teams that allow 57 or fewer points per game.  The Bears are 8-1 ATS against good shooting teams that make 45% or more of their shots this season.  Take Baylor. 

7* Ivy League Game of the Year on Princeton -1.5 

The Key: Princeton has been on the road all month.  The Tigers have played their last 4 games on the road, losing their last two.  They come into this game hungry for a victory as they will be playing just their 7th home game of the season, which makes their 12-7 record that much more impressive.  Now they host a rival in Harvard that they have owned at home.  Princeton has won 18 of its last 21 home meetings with Harvard.  Harvard is 5-20 ATS in its last 25 games as a road dog of 3 points or less or PK.  The Crimson are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.  Harvard has played 5 straight home games and will now be on the road for the first time since January 21st.  Take Princeton. 

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Atlanta Hawks -8 

The Key: It’s a great situation to fade the New York Knicks tonight.  They have lost 18 straight games and now they are running on fumes.  They’ll be playing for a 2nd consecutive day and their 5th game in 7 days.  They are just ready to get to the All-Star Break.  The Hawks have pulled off outright upsets in 3 of their last 6 games coming in and continue to play hard.  I like the fact that they play at the fasted pace in the NBA, which should help them tire the Knicks out early and allow them to pull away in the 2nd half.  The Knicks are just 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games against a team with a losing record.  Take Atlanta. 

6* Houston/UConn AAC *CA$H COW* on Connecticut +9 

The Key: It’s a great situation to fade the Houston Cougars tonight.  They are coming off their biggest win of the season with a 65-58 home victory over Cincinnati that gives them the inside track to winning the AAC.  The Huskies have been playing a lot of teams tough here of late, which is why they are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.  They only lost by 2 at Cincinnati, by 6 at Tulsa, by 6 at UCF and by 7 at Memphis.  At home, they beat ECU by 24, Tulane by 16, Wichita State by 20 and SMU by 12 in their last 4 home games, going 4-0 ATS.  Don’t be surprised to see them pull off the upset Thursday night in a clear letdown spot for Houston.  The Huskies are 12-2 SU & 10-4 ATS at home this season.  Take UConn. 

6* ASU/Colorado Pac-12 *BAILOUT* on Colorado -1 

The Key: The Colorado Buffalos are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall.  They beat Oregon by 22 at home, and then upset both UCLA by 11 and USC by 4 on the road.  They are playing well right now and catch Arizona State in a tough spot.  The Sun Devils are coming off a big win over first-place Washington and are primed for a letdown now.  They have lost 2 of their last 3 road games, including a 14-point loss at Stanford.  And Colorado is 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in its last 5 home meetings with Arizona State.  The Buffaloes want to avenge their road loss at ASU in their first meeting this season as well.  Colorado is 6-0 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.  The Sun Devils are 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 road games.  The home team is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.  Take Colorado. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Dallas Mavericks -2.5 

The Key: The Miami Heat are a tired, beaten up team right now.  They will be playing their 5th straight road game and their 4th road game in 6 days tonight.  Now they have to go up against a Dallas Mavericks team that has been tremendous at home this season.  The Mavericks are 20-8 SU & 19-8-1 ATS at home this season.  The Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games off a loss by more than 10 points.  The Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss.  Dallas is 46-22-1 ATS in its last 69 games off a loss by more than 10 points.  Take Dallas. 

7* ACC Game of the Month on Wake Forest +18 

The Key: Florida State is in a big letdown spot tonight after their overtime victory over Louisville over the weekend.  The Seminoles are laying too many points because they are a hot team right now have won 5 straight and covered 4 of those.  Wake Forest is good enough to stay within 18 points today.  And the Demon Deacons have a big hidden edge here as they have had a full week off since their last game on February 5th.  They will be hungry to hit the floor against the Seminoles tonight.  FSU is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 Wednesday games.  The Seminoles are 0-6 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.  Take Wake Forest. 

7* NBA Total of the Month on Spurs/Grizzlies UNDER 210 

The Key: The Spurs and Grizzlies are notorious for playing in low-scoring games.  In fact, each of their last 8 meetings have seen 207 or fewer combined points and an average of just 193.5 PPG.  That’s about 17 points less than this 210-point total.  The Grizzlies play at the slowest pace in the entire NBA and will control the tempo at home today, just as they did in their 96-86 home win over the Spurs in their last meeting.  Take the UNDER. 

6* NCAAB Game of the Day on St. Joe’s -1 

The Key: St. Joe’s wants to avenge its worse loss of the season in a 47-73 loss at St. Bonaventure on January 9th.  But the Hawks have been playing their best basketball of the season of late, especially at home.  They are coming off a 30-point home win over Saint Louis and are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games while also beating Davidson, which may be the best team in the Atlantic 10.  St. Bonaventure is coming off a 30-point home loss to VCU.  The Bonnies are 1-9 ATS off a game with 9 or less assists over the last 2 seasons.  The Bonnies are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 road games and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 road games against at team with a winning home record.  The Hawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games off a win by more than 20 points.  Take St. Joe’s. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Denver Nuggets -10 

The Key: The Denver Nuggets are back home in their comfort zone hungry for a win after dropping 3 straight road games.  They are also on 2 days’ rest, so they will be fresh unlike the Miami Heat.  The Heat now have to play in elevation a night after laying it all on the line in a 118-120 road loss at Golden State.  They don’t stand much of a chance given this terrible spot for them.  The Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games after a road trip of 7 days or more.  The Nuggets are 23-4 SU & 19-8 ATS at home this season.  Take Denver. 

7* Virginia/UNC ACC *HEAVY HITTER* on North Carolina +1 

The Key: Virginia lost at Duke and needed OT to beat NC State in its two toughest road games thus far this season.  And the Cavaliers will now face another stiff road test here at UNC.  The Tar Heels are 11-1 SU & 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.  And I think they aren’t getting the respect they deserve as home dogs here to Virginia.  It’s partly because they needed OT to beat Miami last game, but they were clearly looking ahead to this game against Virginia.  The Tar Heels are 6-0 ATS in home games when playing with one or less days’ rest over the last 3 seasons.  The Cavaliers are 11-26 ATS in their last 37 road games with a total set of 140 to 149.5.  The Cavaliers couldn’t keep up with Duke’s firepower on Saturday, and now they have to deal with a potent UNC offense that averages 91.6 PPG at home this season.  The Tar Heels are 9-0 ATS in home games against a team that wins more than 80% of its games on the season over the last 3 years.  Take North Carolina. 

7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Week on Orlando Magic -1.5 

The Key: The Orlando Magic are coming on strong as they try and move closer to the 8th and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference.  They are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall with wins over the Pacers, Nets, Timberwolves and Bucks, three playoff teams.  Their only loss came to the Oklahoma City Thunder after blowing a fourth quarter lead.  And now they face an Atlanta Hawks team that is coming off back-to-back home losses to Toronto by 18 and Charlotte by 9.  The Hawks are just 8-15 SU & 7-16 ATS at home this year and giving up 118.1 PPG on their home floor.  The Magic beat the Hawks 122-103 on the road in their lone meeting this season on January 21st.  The Hawks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest.  Take Orlando. 

6* Cincinnati/Houston ESPN *CA$H COW* on Houston -3.5 

The Key: The Houston Cougars are a remarkable 31-0 SU in their last 31 home games.  They put the nation’s longest home winning streak on the line today against Cincinnati.  The AAC title is also up for grabs as both teams come in at 9-1 in conference play.  Houston is 16-0 at home this season with an average margin of victory of 17.5 PPG.  The Cougars are 8-0 ATS against teams that outscore teams by 8 or more points per game this season.  They are beating these teams by 9.5 PPG.  Take Houston. 

7* Big Ten Game of the Month on Purdue -12 

The Key: The Purdue Boilermakers are 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.  They should make easy work of Nebraska, which is 0-6 SU & 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.  The Huskers lost their second-best player in Isaac Copeland Jr. and their best big man to a season-ending knee injury and haven’t recovered.  Take Purdue. 

6* Missouri Valley Game of the Day on Southern Illinois -7.5 

The Key: Evansville is just 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games overall.  All 5 losses have come by 7 points or more as they’ve rarely even been competitive.  And they won’t be competitive against Southern Illinois, which is hungry for a win off a tough loss at Missouri State.  Evansville is 1-10 SU in all road games this season while losing by 10.8 PPG.  Take Southern Illinois. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Utah Jazz -6.5 

The Key: The San Antonio Spurs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.  They failed to cover in narrow home wins over Phoenix by 2, Brooklyn by 3 and New Orleans by 5.  And the start of their 8-game rodeo road trip has been a disaster.  They lost by 15 at Sacramento to start the trip, and followed that up with a 39-point loss at Golden State and a 9-point loss at Portland.  I think this is a good price to back the Jazz as only 6.5-point home favorites tonight.  The Jazz will be playing just their 2nd game in 7 days.  The home team is 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.  The Jazz beat the Spurs by 34 in their lone home meeting this season.  Take Utah. 

7* Heat/Kings NBA *BAILOUT* on Sacramento -3 

The Key: I think we are getting the Kings cheap because they lost by 26 at home to the Rockets the other night, while the Heat upset the Blazers as 7.5-point road underdogs in their last game.  But the Kings found out they traded away Iman Shumpert and Justin Jackson for Harrison Barnes before the game, and they weren’t mentally into that Rockets game.  They’ll be locked back in tonight and get back to playing great at home.  They are 7-2 SU & 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.  The Kings are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 meetings with the Heat, including their 123-113 road win in their first meeting this season.  Sacramento is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 against at team with a losing record.  The Kings are 26-9 ATS in their last 35 against Eastern Conference teams.  Take Sacramento. 

6* Pacific/St. Mary’s WCC *CA$H COW* on Pacific +15 

The Key: St. Mary’s has Gonzaga on deck Saturday and will be looking ahead to that huge WCC showdown.  The Gaels won’t be giving Pacific their full attention, which will make it extremely difficult for them to cover this 15-point spread.  Pacific is 9-2 ATS off a conference win over the last 2 seasons.  The Tigers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Gaels.  The Tigers are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 Thursday games.  Take Pacific. 

7* Spurs/Blazers TNT *BAILOUT* on Portland -6 

The Key: The San Antonio Spurs will be playing for a second consecutive day.  They will also be playing their 3rd road game in 4 days and their 7th game in 12 days overall.  They were worked by 15 at Sacramento and by 39 at Golden State their last two road games, and I expect them to get blown out of the building by the Blazers tonight.  The Blazers come in hungry off a rare upset home loss to Miami.  The Blazers are 22-8 SU & 19-11 ATS at home this season, while the Spurs are 10-17 SU on the road.  The home team has won both meetings this season by 13 points apiece.  Portland is 10-1 ATS revenging a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.  The Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  The Blazers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games playing on one days’ rest.  The Blazers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss.  Take Portland. 

6* Conference USA Game of the Day on Marshall +6 

The Key: The Marshall Thundering Herd have gone 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall and are just 7-16 ATS on the season.  Expectations were high for this team that returned 4 starters, but they have failed to meet them.  That’s why there could be a lot of value with them moving forward since they’ve underachieved, and I think that’s the case tonight.  North Texas hasn’t been much better of late, only covering the spread in 2 of their last 9 games overall.  They’ve only won one game by more than 7 points in their last 9 games.  North Texas is 0-6 ATS in home games off a conference win over the last 2 seasons.  The Mean Green are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games.  North Texas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against a team with a winning record.  The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.  Take Marshall. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Chicago Bulls -1.5 

The Key: The situation is a good one for the Chicago Bulls tonight.  They come in on 3 days’ rest and face a short-handed Pelicans team that is without 5 of its 6 best players.  The Pelicans will be playing their 8th game in 15 days which is even more difficult when they are missing so many players.  The Bulls have been very competitive of late as each of their last 4 losses have come by 7 points or fewer, and they even went into Miami and won by 16 as 10.5-point dogs.  The Pelicans are just 8-21 SU on the road this season.  The Bulls are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games when playing on 3 or more days’ rest.  The Bulls are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.  Take Chicago. 

7* SEC Game of the Month on Ole Miss -9 

The Key: The Ole Miss Rebels are hungry for a victory to save their season.  They have lost 4 straight and 5 of 6 to likely 5 tournament teams in LSU, Alabama, Iowa State, Florida and Mississippi State.  Now they sit at 14-7 and in jeopardy of missing the big dance themselves.  But they have a get right game here against Texas A&M, which is arguably the worst team in the SEC.  The Aggies are 1-7 in SEC play this season and getting outscoring by 11.9 PPG.  Ole Miss is 8-3 SU & 8-3 ATS at home this year and winning by 11.3 PPG.  The Rebels are 9-1 ATS after playing a home game this season.  The Rebels are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games overall.  The Aggies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit home loss.  The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.  Take Ole Miss. 

6* UConn/Temple AAC *CA$H COW* on Temple -3.5 

The Key: The Temple Owls will be hungry for a win after losing 3 of their last 5 coming in.  The Owls are 16-6 this season and a bubble NCAA Tournament team.  All 6 losses came by 10 points or fewer so they have been in every game they’ve played.  The Owls are 8-2 at home this season, while the Huskies are 1-7 in all road games, including 0-4 SU in true road games.  The Huskies are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games.  The Owls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss.  Connecticut is 0-8 ATS in road games when playing its 3rd game in a week over the last 2 seasons.  It is losing by 16.2 PPG in this spot.  Take Temple. 

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Orlando Magic +10 

The Key: The Orlando Magic will be hungry to avenge their 117-126 home loss to the Thunder on January 29th a week ago.  They blew a 4th quarter lead in that game.  The Magic have picked up two impressive wins since with a 7-point home win over the Pacers and a 13-point home win over the Nets.  They will be playing only their 2nd game in 5 days and come in on 2 days’ rest.  Orlando is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games against a team with a winning record.  The Magic are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 meetings with the Thunder, including a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 visits to Oklahoma City.  Take Orlando. 

6* NC State/UNC ACC *CA$H COW* on NC State +10.5 

The Key: The NC State Wolfpack are coming off their worst game of the season.  They scored 24 points, shot 16.7% from the field and 2-for-28 (7.1%) from 3-point range.  It was a tough spot for them.  They were coming off an overtime loss to Virginia and had this game against UNC on deck, making it a sandwich game.  I think because their performance was so bad, we’re getting a few extra points here as the Wolfpack are now double-digit underdogs.  They were 1.5-point favorites at home over UNC the first time the met, so this is a 12-point adjustment from that line and it’s too much.  The Wolfpack want revenge on their rivals here.  Bets on road dogs of 10 or more points who are off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite when playing on Tuesday nights are 24-4 ATS since 1997.  Take NC State. 

7* Spurs/Kings NBA TV *BAILOUT* on Sacramento +2 

The Key: The Spurs are on pins and needles right now.  They have won 4 straight, but all 4 were at home, and they barely beat the Suns by 2 as 13.5-point favorites, the Nets by 3 as 8-point favorites and the Pelicans by 5 as 10.5-point favorites.  Now they have to hit the road, where they are 10-15 SU this season.  And they’re facing a Sacramento Kings team that is 6-1 SU & 7-0 ATS in its last 7 home games with its only loss coming to the Warriors by 4 points as 8-point dogs.  The Kings beat the Spurs 104-99 at home in their lone meeting this season.  The Kings are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games on one days’ rest.  Take Sacramento. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Toronto Raptors -10.5 

The Key: The Raptors have a very favorable situation today over the Clippers.  Toronto comes in on 2 days’ rest and will be playing just its 2nd game in 7 days.  Los Angeles will be playing for a second consecutive day and its 8th game in 13 days.  The Clippers won’t be able to match the energy level of the Raptors today.  Toronto is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 meetings with Los Angeles and 7-2 ATS in its last 9 home meetings.  Take Toronto. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Phoenix Suns -2.5 

The Key: The Phoenix Suns have a big situational advantage over the Atlanta Hawks today.  The Suns come in on 3 days’ rest, while the Hawks will be playing or the 2nd consecutive day and their 3rd game in 4 days after losing in Utah last night.  And that means they played in altitude, and this will now be their 6th straight road game.  That’s a lot of travel, and there’s no doubt the Hawks are worn out.  The Suns should be getting DeAndre Ayton back from injury which is a huge boost.  The home team is 7-0 SU in the last 7 meetings, and the Suns basically just have to win this game to cover.  The Hawks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games playing on no rest.  The Suns are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against at team with a losing record.  The Hawks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 visits to Phoenix.  Take Phoenix. 

6* Big 12 Game of the Day on Kansas State -3.5 

The Key: Kansas State had won 5 straight prior to its loss at Texas A&M.  And two of those wins came on the road at Iowa State and Oklahoma.  This team is so much better than Oklahoma State it’s not really even close.  This is a Cowboys team that is just 5-9 SU & 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  They are probably the worst team in the Big 12 if it’s not WVU.  The Wildcats are 6-0 ATS in road games after scoring 55 points or less over the last 3 seasons.  The Cowboys are 2-11 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.  Oklahoma State is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 home games.  The Cowboys are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against a team with a winning record.  The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.  Take Kansas State. 

6* AAC Game of the Day on Tulane +10.5 

The Key: Tulane has covered two straight games with a 10-point loss as 14.5-point dogs at SMU and a 1-point loss as 5-point dogs at ECU.  This team is playing better of late, and now they are getting 10.5 points at home against Temple.  This is a deflated Owls team that will suffer a hangover from back-to-back close losses to Cincinnati and Houston, their two biggest contenders for the AAC title.  They’ve only had one day to recover from their loss at Houston on Thursday.  Take Tulane. 

7* UNC/Louisville ACC *HEAVY HITTER* on Louisville +2 

The Key: Louisville is playing as well as anyone in the country.  The Cardinals are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall with their only non-cover coming in a 10-point win over Boston College as 11-point favorites.  All 6 wins have come by 7 points or more and 5 of them by double-digits.  That includes their 21-point win at UNC as 11-point dogs.  And now they are dogs again here against UNC.  Louisville is 12-1 at home this season with its only loss to Kentucky.  Take Louisville. 

6* Atlantic 10 Game of the Day on Duquesne +9.5 

The Key: Duquesne is 15-6 on the season.  The Dukes are 6-2 in Atlantic 10 play with their two losses coming in narrow fashion by 6 to VCU and by 4 at Davidson.  And now they are catching too many points here as 9.5-point dogs to Dayton.  This is a Dayton team with some lackluster home wins and even home losses.  They won by 4 over Georgia Southern, by 5 over UMass and actually lost outright to George Mason in recent home games.  Duquesne is 9-1 ATS in road games off 2 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.  Dayton is 0-9 ATS off a conference home win over the last 2 years.  The Flyers are 3-17 ATS off a home win over the last 2 years.  Take Duquesne. 

7* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Week on Miami Heat +4.5 

The Key: The Miami Heat come in hungry off their embarrassing 16-point home loss to the Bulls last time out. They’ll be more focused tonight with the Thunder, who have won 6 straight and are getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers, coming to town.  The Thunder have to deal with all the distractions that come with playing in Miami because they didn’t fly home after their game against Orlando the other night.  The Heat are 19-6 ATS off an upset loss as home favorite over the last 3 seasons.  The Thunder are 3-16 ATS in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 ATS over the last 3 years.  Bets on home dogs who are off an upset loss as a home favorite in the 2nd half of the season are 43-16 ATS over the last 5 years.  Take Miami. 

6* Oregon/Utah Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Utah -2 

The Key: The Utah Utes are playing too well to only be 2-point home favorites over the Oregon Ducks tonight.  I like the price with the Utes, who are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in in their last 4 games overall with their 4 wins coming by 12.3 PPG.  Oregon is just 3-4 SU & 3-4 ATS in its last 7 games overall and hasn’t been able to overcome the loss of it’s best player in Bol Bol.  Utah is 8-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or PK over the last 3 seasons.  Larry Krystkowiak is 9-1 ATS off a game where they made 13 or more 3-point shots as the coach of the Utes.  The Ducks are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 road games.  The Utes are 45-19-3 ATS in their last 67 home games against a team with a losing road record.  Take Utah. 

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs -7.5 

The Key: Greg Popovich called out his players on their lack of respect for the game when they needed a buzzer-beater to beat the Suns 126-124 at home last time out.  Look for his players to respond.  It also helps that the Spurs will get back DeMar DeRozan from a one-game absence and are back at full strength tonight.  They are taking on a Nets team that is starting to get too much respect from oddsmakers for beating up on a weak schedule of late.  And the Nets will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days here.  The Nets are not healthy, missing Spencer Dinwiddie, Jared Dudley, Caris LeVert and Allen Crabbe.  Bets on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (San Antonio) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 ATS, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 29-6 ATS over the last 5 seasons.  The Spurs are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games overall.  The Spurs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 against Eastern Conference teams.  The Spurs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home meetings with the Nets.  The Spurs are 25-7-1 ATS in the last 33 meetings.  Take San Antonio. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Miami Heat -10 

The Key: The Chicago Bulls are just 1-14 SU & 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall.  Now they’ll be playing for a second consecutive day after losing 117-122 to the Nets last night.  The Heat come in on two days’ rest, making this a tremendous situational advantage for them.  The Heat are 3-0 in their last 3 meetings with he Bulls winning by 7, 11 and 14 points.  Take Miami. 

7* WVU/Iowa State Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* on West Virginia +13 

The Key: With the temperatures in the Midwest tonight, the Iowa State Cyclones won’t have their normal home-court advantage.  Fans will be staying home instead of going to this game tonight.  And I think the Cyclones are primed for a letdown following their road win at ranked Ole Miss over the weekend.  The WVU Mountaineers beat Kansas recently and hung tough on the road at No. 1 Tennessee before falling apart late.  And they should be able to hang with the Cyclones for 40 minutes in this one.  Bets on dogs of 10 or more points who score 74-78 PPG against a team that gives up 63-67 PPG after 15-plus games, off a loss by 15 points or more are 39-15 ATS since 1997.  Take West Virginia. 

6* Pitt/Clemson ACC *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh +9.5 

The Key: Clemson would have to win by double-digits to cover against Pitt tonight.  It’s too many points, especially for a disappointing Clemson team that has been overrated all season.  The Tigers are just 11-8 SU & 6-13 ATS this season.  They are 1-5 SU & 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games overall, which have been all ACC games.  Pitt is coming off a brutal stretch where they faced UNC, Louisville twice, Duke, Syracuse, FSU and NC State.  Clemson is worse than all 6 of those teams and Pitt is more than capable of hanging around.  The Panthers are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Tigers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games.  Take Pittsburgh. 

6* Virginia/NC State ACC *CA$H COW* on NC State +7.5 

The Key: The Virginia Cavaliers have now covered an incredible 10 consecutive games.  They are getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers now as they keep having to set their spreads higher and higher.  And now they are 7.5-point road favorites against a quality NC State team that is more than capable of beating them.  The Wolfpack are 12-1 at home this season and winning by 22.9 PPG.  Take NC State. 

7* Tennessee/South Carolina SEC *HEAVY HITTER* on South Carolina +9 

The Key: The South Carolina Gamecocks have been one of the most underrated teams in the SEC over the past few seasons.  The Gamecocks are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 SEC games.  That includes upset wins over Florida, Mississippi State, Vanderbilt and Auburn already this season in SEC play.  And now they are getting 9 points at home to Tennessee.  The Gamecocks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Vols, not once losing by more than 7 points in those 5 games.  Take South Carolina. 

7* Warriors/Pacers NBA TV *HEAVY HITTER* on Golden State -8.5 

The Key: The Warriors are rolling right now having won 10 straight.  And they look pretty unstoppable with DeMarcus Cousins in the fold now.  The Pacers were moving along nicely in the East, but then suffered a huge blow when Victor Oladipo suffered a season-ending knee injury a few games back.  They proceeded to lose to Memphis in their first game without him, and Memphis hasn’t been beating anyone.  The Warriors are 10-1 ATS in road games after allowing 110 points or more in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.  Take Golden State. 

7* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Week on Dallas Mavericks +5 

The Key: The Dallas Mavericks have been one of the best home teams in the NBA this season.  They are 18-6 SU & 17-7 ATS at home this year.  The Mavs are 9-1 ATS in home games off a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.  Dallas is 8-1 ATS as a home underdog this season.  The Raptors are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games.  Take Dallas. 

6* Houston/Tulsa AAC *CA$H COW* on Tulsa +7.5 

The Key: It’s like night and day the way Tulsa plays home and away.  On the road they have been terrible, going just 2-7 SU in all road games.  But they are 10-1 at home with their only loss coming to Cincinnati in overtime.  And I think they can hang with Houston here.  The Golden Hurricane want revenge from their 18-point loss at Houston in their first meeting this season earlier this month.  Tulsa is 7-0 ATS in home games when revenging a loss over the last 2 seasons.  The Golden Hurricane are 6-0 ATS as a home underdog or PK over the last 2 seasons.  Take Tulsa. 

7* Pac-12 Game of the Week on Utah -5.5 

The Key: Fading the Cal Bears is the gift that keeps on giving.  They are far and away the worst team in the Pac-12.  The Bears are 5-14 SU on the season and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  They have lost 8 straight coming in with all 8 losses coming by 9 points or more.  That includes home losses to Seattle by 9, ASU by 14, Arizona by 22 and Colorado by 9.  They also lost on the road to USC by 9, UCLA by 15, Washington State by 23 and Washington by 19.  Utah has won 3 straight coming in with a win by 18 at home of Washington State, by 9 at home over Colorado and by 4 at Stanford.  They should easily cover this 5.5-point spread today.  The Utes are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 Pac-12 games.  The Bears are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games.  Take Utah. 

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Portland Trail Blazers -8 

The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers are 8-0 in their last 8 meetings with the Suns while outscoring them by 13.9 PPG.  And while the Blazers are fully healthy coming into this game, the Suns are expected to be without two of their best players in DeAndre Ayton and TJ Warren.  They are already short on talent, which is why they are the worst team in the West.  And they stand little chance of keeping this game competitive now without Ayton and Warren.  The Suns have lost 12 of their last 14 coming in.  The Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.  Take Portland. 

6* NC State/Louisville ACC *CA$H COW* on Louisville -4 

The Key: The Louisville Cardinals have been playing some of the best basketball in the ACC here of late.  They are 4-1 in their last 5 games overall.  They beat Miami by 17 at home, UNC by 21 on the road as 11-point dogs, Boston College by 10 at home and Georgia Tech by 28 on the road in their 4 wins.  NC State has benefited from a home-heavy schedule this year, playing just 4 true road games.  They lost at Wisconsin and Wake Forest, and only beat Notre Dame and Miami by a combined 9 points.  Miami is terrible, and Notre Dame is short-handed and rebuilding.  Louisville will be the best team they’ve played on the road yet.  The Cardinals are 10-1 at home this season.  The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.  Take Louisville. 

6* MVC Game of the Day on Loyola-Chicago -2 

The Key: Loyola is starting to play much more like the team that went to the Final Four last year than the one that opened this season struggling.  The Ramblers have gone 7-2 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.  Five of those seven wins came by double-digits.  Missouri State, which is just 2-4 in conference play, won’t offer much resistance tonight.  Missouri State is 0-8 ATS in home games off a road loss to a conference team over the last 3 seasons.  The Ramblers are 12-4 ATS in there last 16 games against a team with a losing record.  The Ramblers are 42-16-1 ATS in their last 59 road games against a team with a winning home record.  The Bears are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against a team that wins at least 60% of their games.  Take Loyola-Chicago. 

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Miami Heat -5 

The Key: Good spot for Miami, bad spot for Los Angeles tonight.  The Heat had yesterday off while the Clippers played in Dallas last night.  Now the Clippers have to travel to Miami overnight and play for a second consecutive day and their 3rd game in 4 days.  The Clippers are clearly a tired team as they haven’t had two consecutive days off since January 2-3.  It’s starting to show as the Clippers are 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.  Miami is 10-1 ATS against good foul drawing teams who attempt 27 or more free throws per game over the last 3 seasons.  The Heat are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 against a team with a winning record.  Take Miami. 

6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on New York Knicks +8 

The Key: The Rockets are wearing down.  They are 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall which included a pair of overtime games at home against the Nets and Lakers.  They laid an egg last time out in a 93-121 loss at Philadelphia on Monday night.  And they still won’t have much left for the Knicks tonight.  The Knicks have been a lot more competitive of late as they are 5-3 ATS in their last 8 games overall.  The Rockets are still without Chris Paul and Clint Capela, while the Knicks are as healthy as they’ve been all season.  Houston is 1-9 ATS in road games off a road game this season.  The Knicks are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games after trailing in their previous game by 15 points or more at halftime.  The Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team that wins less than 40% of their home games.  Take New York. 

7* NCAAB Situational Game of the Month on Clemson +6.5 

The Key: It’s rare that you’ll see one team with such a big rest advantage over another team in the middle of conference play.  But that’s the case here with Clemson having a big edge in rest coming in over Florida State.  Clemson last played on January 16th and has had five full days off to get ready for the Seminoles.  Florida State just played on Sunday, January 20th, so they only have one day to get ready for Clemson.  And the Seminoles are not playing well, going 1-4 SU in their last 5 games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games.  The Seminoles are 0-6 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams who make 72% or more of their attempts this season.  The Seminoles are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 ACC games.  Take Clemson. 

6* Monday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Georgetown -1.5 

The Key: The Georgetown Hoyas are 9-3 at home this season with their 3 losses coming by 3, 3 and 8 points.  The Creighton Bluejays are 1-4 in true road games this year with their 4 losses coming by 19, 13, 15 and 15 points.  This is a pretty easy choice tonight as the Hoyas basically just have to win at home to cover this short number.  Creighton is 2-11 ATS as a road underdog or PK over the last 2 seasons.  The Bluejays are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games overall.  Take Georgetown. 

7* Rockets/76ers TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia -3.5 

The Key: The Rockets have to be running on fumes by now playing back-to-back overtime games against the Nets and Lakers, both at home.  They were substantial favorites in both games.  And now they’re getting too much respect from oddsmakers here as only 3.5-point dogs at Philadelphia.  The Rockets are without both Chris Paul and Clint Capela.  The 76ers are 19-5 at home this year.  Houston is 0-7 ATS after a combined score of 245 points or more this season.  The 76ers are 8-0 ATS in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.  Take Philadelphia. 

7* NBA Situational Game of the Month on Atlanta Hawks +8.5 

The Key: The Hawks have pulled some monster upsets, and come close to pulling some others here of late.  They beat Miami by 24 as 6.5-point home dogs, won at Philadelphia as 10.5-point road dogs, and beat the Thunder by 16 as 10.5-point home dogs.  They also only lost by 3 as 13.5-point dogs at Toronto.  All four efforts have come within their last 6 games.  Now they are rested coming in on 3 days’ rest, while the Celtics will be playing for a second consecutive day and their 7th game in 11 days.  The situation really favors the Hawks tonight.  Boston is 1-8 ATS when playing its 3rd game in 4 days this season.  The Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.  Take Atlanta. 

6* SEC Game of the Day on South Carolina +9 

The Key: The South Carolina Gamecocks are 5-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  They have upset both Florida and Vanderbilt on the road, while also upsetting Mississippi State at home, and beating Missouri by 10 as 4.5-point home favorites.  The Gamecocks are better than they are getting credit for with this 9-point spread.  LSU is not going to beat them by double-digits.  It’s a letdown spot for the Tigers off their upset road win over Top 25 Ole Miss last time out, and Ole Miss team that was also in letdown mode off an upset road win at Mississippi State in its previous game.  LSU is 0-6 ATS off a win an SEC win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.  It is coming back to lose by 13.0 PPG in this situation.  The Gamecocks are 10-1-1 ATS In their last 12 SEC games.  Take South Carolina. 

6* Big East Game of the Day on St. John’s +4.5 

The Key: Chris Mullin has far and away his best team at St. John’s this season.  The Red Storm are 15-3 this year with all 3 losses by single-digits, losing by 2 at Seton Hall and by 5 at Villanova among them.  They have beaten Marquette by 20 at home, Georgetown on the road, and Creighton by 15 at home.  They are the better team in this matchup with Butler, which is down in the midst of an 11-7 rebuilding year.  The wrong team is favored here.  Butler is 0-7 ATS off a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better this season.  St. John’s is 6-0 ATS after having lost 2 of its last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.  The Red Storm are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games against a team with a winning record.  Take St. John’s. 

7* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month on Memphis Grizzlies +11 

The Key: The Grizzlies have failed to cover 15 of their last 17 games overall.  That’s why they are catching 11 points tonight, and the price is too good to pass up.  The Celtics are coming off a huge win over the Raptors and won’t be nearly as hungry to face the Grizzlies.  Memphis also wants revenge from a home loss to Boston earlier this season.  The Grizzlies relish these opportunities to face some of the league’s best teams as they’ve already won outright as big dogs over the Bucks and Jazz this year.  Take Memphis. 

7* WCC Game of the Month on Santa Clara +16.5 

The Key: Santa Clara has gone 7-2 in its last 9 games overall while going 8-1 ATS in the process.  They have upset the likes of USC, Washington State and San Diego, and their only losses were on the road to Gonzaga and BYU.  This St. Mary’s team is in rebuilding mode and not as strong as most season with just an 11-7 record on the season.  The Gaels are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games when coming off a road win by at least 10 points.  The Broncos are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 road games.  Take Santa Clara. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Phoenix Suns +8 

The Key: Toronto is coming off a tough game at Boston last night.  That has prompted them to rest Kawhi Leonard and Kyle Lowry tonight, their two best players.  They are also playing without Jonas Valanciunas and OG Anunoby.  C.J. Miles is questionable to return as well.  The Suns are actually the better team tonight with all the players the Raptors are missing, and they should not be catching 8 points here to the Raptors.  It will only be the 3rd game in 9 days for the Suns here.  The Suns are 39-18 ATS in their last 57 against NBA Atlantic Division teams.  The Suns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.  The Suns are 20-6-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Toronto.  Take Phoenix. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons -4 

The Key: The Pistons are happy to be back home after a tough 4-game road trip out on the West Coast.  They concluded the trip playing well with an upset win at the Clippers as 7.5-point dogs and a cover as 7.5-point dogs at the Jazz.  The Magic are in a letdown spot here off back-to-back upset home wins over Boston and Houston.  The Magic are just 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games with all 6 losses coming by 10 points or more.  The Pistons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday games.  The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.  Take Detroit. 

7* AAC Game of the Week on East Carolina +8.5 

The Key: ECU is playing too well to be catching 8.5 points at home to Temple tonight.  The Pirates are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall.  They upset Cincinnati outright as 17.5-point home dogs, and if they can beat Cincinnati, they can certainly beat Temple.  They also only lost by 6 as 15.5-point dogs at Memphis and by 11 as 16.5-point dogs at UCF.  They have covered against 3 of the best teams in the conference.  Temple is feeling a little too good about itself following a 73-69 home win over Houston, handing the Cougars their first loss of the season.  They promptly laid an egg and needed OT to beat South Florida at home as 9-point favorites.  And they will have to fight tooth and nail to win this game against ECU, let alone cover an 8.5-point spread.  The Pirates are 8-2 SU & 8-2 ATS at home this year.  The Pirates are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games overall.  The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.  Take East Carolina. 

6* ACC Game of the Day on Boston College +11 

The Key: This is more of a situational play than anything.  I’m fading Louisville in a letdown spot off their blowout win at North Carolina over the weekend.  They won’t be playing with the same passion as they did against UNC when Boston College, losers of 4 straight, comes to town Wednesday night.  This is a pesky BC team that only has one loss by more than 11 points this season, and that was against arguably the best team in the country in Virginia.  Jim Christian is 22-6 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of his last 6 games as the Eagles’ head coach.  Take Boston College. 

7* SEC Game of the Week on Florida +5 

The Key: I think Mississippi State is a fraud this season.  Florida is the better team in the Kenpom rankings, and I agree with it.  A lot of it has to do with Florida playing a much tougher schedule as they’ve played the 19th-most difficult while Mississippi State is 68th.  The Gators are 8-0 SU in their last 8 meetings with the Bulldogs and should not be 5-point underdogs in this matchup, let alone dogs at all.  Take Florida. 

6* AAC Game of the Day on South Florida +13 

The Key: The South Florida Bulls have been flying under the radar all season.  They are 12-4 SU & 12-4 ATS and now they are getting 13 points from Cincinnati.  The Bulls are 5-0 ATS in road games this season, which includes only a 3-point loss at the buzzer at Tulsa as 5.5-point dogs and a 2-point loss at Temple in overtime as 9-point dogs.  Cincinnati’s last three games show that they should not be favored by 13 here.  They lost outright as 17.5-point favorites at ECU, needed OT to beat Tulsa as 6.5-point favorites, and only beat UConn by 2 as 11.5-point home favorites.  The Bulls are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games against a team that wins better than 60% of their games.  The Bulls are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games.  The Bulls are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games against a team with a winning record.  The Bulls are 15-5-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings, and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings in Cincinnati.  Take South Florida. 

6* Wisconsin/Maryland Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Maryland -3.5 

The Key: The Maryland Terrapins are 8-2 SU & 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They are not being priced right in the market as they are better than they get credit for.  The Badgers have had some really precarious results here of late.  They lost at Western Kentucky, and they also lost at home to Minnesota and Purdue, going 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games.  They just don’t have much talent outside Ethan Happ. The Badgers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Terrapins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss.  The Terrapins are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Monday games.  Take Maryland. 

7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Memphis Grizzlies +5 

The Key: The Grizzlies want revenge from two losses to the Rockets in the last month.  They catch the Rockets at the right time because they are without 3 of their 4 best players in Paul, Capela and Gordon.  And the Rockets are playing on a back-to-back after losing in Orlando on Sunday.  Take Memphis.

6* Sunday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on East Carolina +17 

The Key: Just look at their last two games and it’s easy to see that East Carolina should not be getting 17 points against UCF today.  The Pirates pulled the 73-71 upset over Cincinnati as 17.5-point underdogs.  They also only lost 72-78 at Memphis as 15.5-point underdogs.  And now they are catching too many points here again Sunday against a UCF team that is likely rusty after having over a week off prior to this game.  Bets against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points who have made 55% or more of their shots in 2 straight games against an opponent that is coming off a game where they made 20% of their 3-point shots or worse are 24-6 ATS since 1997.  Take East Carolina. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New Orleans Pelicans +2 

The Key: The situation couldn’t be better for the Pelicans tonight.  They come in on 2 days’ rest while the Timberwolves will be playing for a second consecutive day.  And the Pelicans are fully healthy for the first time all season.  It has helped them to a 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS run in their last 3 games while outscoring the opposition by a whopping 23.3 PPG.  Given the situation, they shouldn’t be dogs to the Timberwolves tonight.  The Pelicans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on 2 days’ rest.  Take New Orleans. 

6* Missouri Valley Game of the Day on Southern Illinois -6 

The Key: Valparaiso will be without leading scorer Ryan Fazekas (12.7 PPG, 44% 3-pointers) for the first time this season after he suffered an ankle injury last game.  After opening 3-0 in MVC play with wins over 3 of the worst teams in the conference, I think the Crusaders suffer their first loss here.  They’ll be facing a Southern Illinois team that returned all 5 starters from last year.  Leading scorer Armon Fletcher (12.8 PPG, 50% 3-pointers) has missed 8 games this season due to suspension, but he recently returned and will make the Salukis a formidable opponent moving forward.  The Salukis are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss.  Take Southern Illinois. 

6* Big Ten Game of the Day on Minnesota -10.5 

The Key: Rutgers leading scorer and rebounder Eugene Omoruyi (14.6 PPG, 7.5 RPG) has been ruled out for this game and will miss his first game this season.  That makes the job a lot easier for Minnesota, which comes in with a chip on its shoulder from an upset home loss to Maryland last time out.  Rutgers is in a huge letdown spot after beating ranked Ohio State at home on Wednesday.  Minnesota is 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS in its last 3 home meetings with Rutgers, winning those 3 games by 17.7 PPG.  Expect another blowout victory in favor of the Gophers with Omoruyi out for Rutgers.  Take Minnesota. 

7* Bulls/Warriors NBA *BAILOUT* on Chicago +15.5 

The Key: The Bulls have been playing well on the road in recent games.  They are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 road games.  They won outright at San Antonio by 5, won at Cleveland by 20 and won outright at Washington by 9 all as underdogs.  They only lost by 6 at Toronto as 10.5-point dogs.  And they were in the game the entire way against the Blazers on the road last time out before eventually losing by 12.  They can stay within 15.5 of the Warriors tonight as this price is too steep.  The Bulls are 5-1 ATSin their last 6 games playing on one day of rest.  The Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams that win better than 60% of their games.  The Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.  The Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team with a losing road record.  Take Chicago. 

6* Thursday NCAAB *BAILOUT* on Santa Clara -1.5 

The Key: Santa Clara has really been impressive of late and should be a bigger favorite over Pepperdine here.  They are 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They upset USC 102-92 as 8.5-point dogs, upset Washington State 79-71 as 8-point dogs and upset San Diego 68-56 as 6-point dogs.  Pepperdine is 0-5 in true road games this year with losses to likes of Northern Colorado, UC-Riverside, Southern Utah and Long Beach State.  Santa Clara is way better than all 4 of those teams.  Pepperdine is 2-14 ATS in its last 16 road games off 3 consecutive home games.  The Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.  The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Waves.  The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home meetings with the Waves.  Take Santa Clara. 

7* Celtics/Heat TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami +3 

The Key: The Celtics will be playing for a second consecutive night and their 3rd game in 4 days.  It’s a bad spot for them, and they’re up against a Miami Heat team that is playing very well right now.  The Heat are 12-7 SU & 12-6-1 ATS in their last 19 games overall.  They had yesterday off and will be playing only their 5th game in 11 days.  The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Celtics and match up very well with them.  The Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 rest.  The Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against a team that wins more than 60% of their games.  Miami is 8-2 ATS in its lsat 10 games against a team with a winning record.  Take Miami.