5* Wiseguy *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on St. Mary's +6
Bottom Line: Neutral court dogs that have won 3 in a row against conference foes and are out for revenge for a defeat of 10 points or more to an opponent are 28-8 ATS the last 3 seasons. Also, Gonzaga is just 1-8 ATS the last 3 seasons in games played away from home following 2 straight victories of 15 points or more.

4* Major on Northern Illinois +8.5
Bottom Line: Playing on underdogs that are off a home loss of 10 points or more and are out for revenge for 2 consecutive losses to an opponent that held them to fewer than 60 points has produced a 50-20 ATS record since 1997.

4* Major on Maryland Eastern Shore +11.5
Bottom Line: Playing on neutral floor teams that are coming off a road loss where they were held to fewer than 60 points and are looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent that held them to fewer than 60 points are 28-14 ATS the last 5 seasons.

4* Major System Play of the Week on UMKC +18
Bottom Line: UMKC has been held to just 44 and 34 points, respectively, in the first two meetings but underdogs that are out for revenge for 2 straight losses to an opponent that held them below the 60-point mark, as long as that opponent checks in off a blowout win of 20 points or more over a conference foe, are 41-15 ATS the last 5 seasons. Plus, North Dakota State is on a 4-16 ATS slide following a win of 10 points or more over a conference rival.

5* Wiseguy Summit League Game of the Year on Oakland -3
Bottom Line: This is a huge revenge spot for Oakland, which has lost the season's first two meetings after winning the previous 10 by 10.0 points on average. The Golden Grizzlies are a rock solid 10-2 ATS the last 3 seasons in games when the line is +3 to -3. They are on a 10-1 ATS run as a neutral court favorite or pick and a 9-1 ATS run in conference tournament contests. Pound Oakland.

4* Major Big Ten BEST BET on Michigan pk
Bottom Line: Out for revenge for a loss at Indiana and out for a share of the Big Ten title, I fully expect Michigan to take care of business at home where it is a perfect 17-0 this season. The Hoosiers have been strong on the road, but the Wolverines are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage greater than .600.

4* Major on Baylor +3.5
Bottom Line: Baylor is a better team than it has shown lately, and I expect it to respond here. A win gets the Bears back in the Big Dance conversation so they will be hungry to say the least. The road has been rough for Kansas which hasn't won any of its last four road games in regulation.

4* Major on Air Force +3.5
Bottom Line: I like Air Force catching points at home as it is 7-0 ATS in home games against conference opponents this season. New Mexico's Alex Kirk and Kendall Williams are expected to get reduced minutes so that also swings things in our favor.

4* Major on East Carolina -6.5
Bottom Line: Huge letdown spot for Marshall following a big win over So. Miss. Marshall is an awful 2-9 ATS in road games this season. It is also 0-10 ATS off a home win this season and 0-12 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins this season.

4* Major on TCU +13
Bottom Line: TCU is offensively challenged but Oklahoma is on a 0-9 ATS slide in road games that occur 15+ games into the season versus poor offensive teams that average 64 points or less per game. The Sooners don't force many turnovers, which also is to our benefit. They are 0-10 ATS in road games the last 3 seasons after 3 straight games of forcing 14 turnovers or fewer.

5* Wiseguy Big 12 Game of the Month on Texas Tech +6.5
Bottom Line: Texas is a lousy 1-9 on the road this season, which tells me it is being severely overvalued here. The Longhorns have been consistently overvalued in this series and are just 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings as a result. Texas Tech lost by only 4 points in last season's home meeting, and I expect it to take the Horns right down to the wire again on senior day.

4* Major on Cincinnati -12.5
Bottom Line: USF has won its last two but those were at home. It has lost its last 8 on the road by an average of 16 points.

4* Major on George Washington +1
Bottom Line: The home team gets the call here as it has won each of the past five matchups by an average of 12.0 points. The home side has also won 12 of the last 14. GW has won 8 of its last 11 at home versus the Flyers.

4* Major on DePaul +12
Bottom Line: DePaul hasn't forgotten about the 93-55 beating it received at Pitt. That loss is all the motivation the Blue Demons need here. DePaul beat Pitt by 3 at home last season, and it is on a 9-2 ATS run at home when up against good teams that carry a winning percentage of 60% to 80%.

4* Major on Oklahoma State -5.5
Bottom Line: Based on the line oddsmakers are begging for action on K-State, but I won't bite. The Cowboys have won 7 of their last 8 at home in the series, and they are on an impressive 30-17 ATS run as a home favorite or pick. They have won these games by 11.7 points on average.

4* Major on West Virginia +3.5
Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for Iowa State following a big win over Oklahoma State on senior night. It's a bounce-back spot for West Virginia, which will be out to end a 5-game skid. The Mountaineers were handled at Oklahoma this week, but teams headed by Huggins are on a 31-15 ATS run in games following a loss of 10 points or more.

5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Month on Kentucky +6.5
Bottom Line: Winning at Kentucky won't be easy for Florida. The Wildcats have won 7 straight on their home floor overall and 5 in a row at home in the series. The Gators are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games versus teams that have a winning record. Plus, Kentucky is on a 37-19 ATS run when out for revenge for a road defeat to a foe.

5* Wiseguy MVC Tourney *PUNISHER* on Indiana State +2.5
Bottom Line: Indiana State saw its 4-game win streak in the series come to an end with an embarrassing 16-point loss at Evansville last game. That loss is all the motivated the Sycamores will need here. They are an awesome 8-1 ATS the last 2 seasons when out for revenge for a double-digit loss to an opponent. They have won these games by an average of 2.7 points.

5* Wiseguy WCC Tourney GAME OF THE YEAR on Pepperdine +3
Bottom Line: Pepperdine lost at San Diego by 7 points in its last game but is on an impressive 19-8 ATS run in games following a road loss. I expect this trend to continue as the Waves have been the better team in road/neutral court battles this season. They are 6-10 in road/neutral court games while the Toreros are just 4-11. The Waves are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played away from home while San Diego is 0-2 ATS in its last 2 and 2-4 ATS in its last 6 played away from home. Pound Pepperdine.

4* Major WAC *BLOOD BATH* on New Mexico State -2
Bottom Line: New Mexico State lost at Denver last time out but covered the number in that contest. That sets up a favorable scenario for us here as the Aggies are 6-0 ATS under coach Menzies following a cover in a game they lost. They have won by an average of 11.4 points in this spot.

4* Major Big Sky Blowout on Northern Colorado -8.5
Bottom Line: This is a huge letdown spot for Southern Utah, which left it all out on the floor against Montana but had its heart broken in OT. It will be tough to bounce back from that one, especially against a team that will be out for revenge for a 1-point loss in the first meeting. Northern Colorado is 7-0 ATS under coach Hill 15+ games into the schedule when matched up against poor defensive teams that force 12 turnovers or less per game. It has won by an average of 10.0 points in this spot.

4* Major ACC *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN2) on Florida State +4.5
Bottom Line: FSU has taken beatdowns seriously since Hamilton took over as head man. They are 11-3 ATS under his watch when out for revenge for a blowout loss of 20 points or more to an opponent. They have lost by only .4 points on average in this situation so they are showing nice value here.

5* Wiseguy MWC Game of the Month on Nevada +9
Bottom Line: New Mexico has nothing left to play for as it has already clinched the league title. Nevada, meanwhile, will treat a date with the MWC champ as their national title game. The Wolf Pack are on a 15-5 ATS run in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses. They are also on a 38-18 ATS run when looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent that scored 75 points or more on them. Pound Nevada.

4* Major Pac-12 Best Bet on Washington State +3.5
Bottom Line: The books are begging for the public to lay the points with UCLA, but the numbers suggest we should do otherwise. UCLA is only 8-15 ATS as a favorite this season, including 2-7 ATS in its last 9 in the role. I'm not getting caught in this bookmaker trap. Take the Cougars.

4* Major Big 10 Best Bet on Nebraska +7.5
Bottom Line: Look for Minnesota's struggles on the road to continue here. The Gophers are 0-6 in their last 6 on the road, losing these by an average of 12.2 points.

4* Major Big 12 Best Bet on Iowa State -3
Bottom Line: Iowa State is 15-1 at home and should be 16-0 had officials not blew a charge call down the stretch against Kansas. The Cyclones are tough as nails at Hilton, where the magic has returned under Hoiberg. The Cowboys are a dismal 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600.

4* Major Big East Best Bet on Villanova -1
Bottom Line: Nova has defeated Marquette, Syracuse and Louisville at home so I have no doubt it can get the Hoyas too. The Wildcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600.

4* Major Underdog Shocker on UTEP +3
Bottom Line: UTEP is 6-0 ATS all-time under coach Floyd when it checks in off 5 straight games of committing 14 turnovers or less. It is also 7-0 ATS under Floyd at home and 15+ games into the schedule versus good rebounding teams that outrebound opponents by 4.0 or more per game. UTEP is 8-0 ATS the last 2 seasons versus teams top-level teams that have won 80% or more of their games. It has defeated these teams by an average of .8 points. Look for the Miners to pull off the shocker.

4* Major Horizon League Tourney BEST BET on Wisconsin-Milwaukee +14
Bottom Line: Wisconsin-Milwaukee is a perfect 8-0 ATS the last 2 seasons when out for revenge for a double-digit road loss to an opponent. It has actually won by an average of 1.9 points in this situation.

5* Wiseguy Conference USA Game of the Year on Marshall +6.5
Bottom Line: I know So. Miss rolled in the first meeting but that was at home. The Golden Eagles aren't nearly the same team on the road where they are on a 0-5-1 ATS slide and haven't won by more than 4 points during this stretch. The Golden Eagles are also 1-6-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in the series and have lost 4 of their last 5 at Marshall. Pound the Thundering Herd.

4* Major ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Clemson -4.5
Bottom Line: The Tigers are 5-0 in their 5 home games in the series and have won these by 15.2 points on average. Look for this trend to continue.

4* Major on Southern Utah +2.5
Bottom Line: The Thunderbirds are showing some nice value in the home underdog role considering they are 9-4 at home this season. They are 5-2 in their last 7 home games with both of the losses coming by a single point. In terms of the line, they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 at home. I smell an upset on senior night.

4* Major on Texas +1.5
Bottom Line: The Longhorns lost the first meeting but home underdogs of pickems that are out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent, if that opponent checks in off a home loss of 3 points or less, are 42-15 ATS the last 3 seasons. Take Texas.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *PUNISHER* on Boston College +5
Bottom Line: Boston College has been extremely competitive at home where it has won 2 in a row and is 10-6 on the season. It is just 3-4 at home in ACC play but 3 of those losses came by 5 points or less and 2 came by a single point to Duke and Miami. In other words, BC has proven it can hang with anyone at home. Virginia, on the other hand, is just 2-5 on the road in conference play and the 5 losses have come by 8 points on average. The Cavs won the first matchup 65-51, but the Eagles are 8-1 ATS at home the last 2 seasons when looking for revenge against a team that held them to fewer than 60 points. BC has won these games straight up by .1 points on average.

4* Major on Marist +4.5
Bottom Line: Marist has won its last two games, and it's not about to let its foot off the pas pedal with a visit from Fairfield on senior day. MAAC followers recall that Fairfield won the first meeting 71-37. That's the kind of loss you just don't forget about. I believe Marist has an excellent shot at revenge here given its recent history at home in revenge spots. The Red Foxes are 14-5 ATS in home games when out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent over the last 3 seasons. They are also 16-6 ATS when out for revenge for a road loss of 10 points or more to an opponent over the last 3 seasons. On average, they didn't win these 22 games straight up. However, they lost them by only 1.9 points on average. It also looks good for us that Fairfield enters off a loss at Manhattan. That's because the Stags are 0-7 ATS the last 2 seasons when checking into a game off a road loss to a conference foe. They have lost by an average of 2.7 points in these contests.

4* Major on Fresno State -1
Bottom Line: The Bulldogs are coming off a loss at Colorado State but are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss and 10-2 ATS off a road loss to a conference foe over the last 2 seasons. Plus, Air Force can't be trusted on the road where it has lost 3 in a row and 6 of 7.

4* Major on Auburn +2
Bottom Line: I like Auburn in the home dog role here considering it is on a 10-2 ATS run when checking into a game off 5 or more consecutive losses. It has won by an average of 2.6 points in these contests. The Tigers are also on a 9-1 ATS run following 2 straight losses of 15 points or more. Vandy is way down this season and doesn't deserve to be laying points on the road even if it has won a few lately.

5* Wiseguy OVC Game of the Year on Tennessee State pk
Bottom Line: Tennessee State has lost its last 2 at home by 3 points combined, which should only fuel a team (on senior night) that was 10-0 at home prior to those losses. The Tigers kicked first-place Belmont by 11 at home, which tells me they have what it takes to put a beating on EKU. Plus, the home team has completely dominated this series, winning 5 in a row and 8 of the last 9. Tennessee State shines tonight.

4* Major on Baylor -2.5
Bottom Line: Baylor was smacked at K-State, but I really like its chances at home. There's a lot of talk that the Bears need another quality win to get off the bubble so they'll go after this one like there's no tomorrow. Baylor is a solid 63-49 ATS when looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent under coach Drew. Also, the Wildcats are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record.

4* Major on Duke -6.5
Bottom Line: Duke was crushed by 27 at Miami in a game where it shot 29.7%. The Blue Devils have had issues on the road but none whatsoever at home where they are 14-0 with a 20-point average winning margin. You know what they say about paybacks. Duke has its revenge.

3* Surefire on Buffalo +7
Bottom Line: Letdown spot for Akron following a big OT win at Ohio. Buffalo lost by just 4 points in the first meeting so it will going into this one believing it can win. The Bulls are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600.

4* Major on Mississippi State +12.5
Bottom Line: Mississippi State can't wait for the season to be over. However, it won't roll over for rival Ole Miss, which has lost its last 4 on the road. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Rebels are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings at Mississippi State.

4* Major on Nebraska-Omaha +14
Bottom Line: UNO was humiliated 95-51 at North Dakota State clear back in November, but that was before the Mavs started played some ball. They have quietly won 3 of 4 and 6 of 9 and will be chomping at the bit for another shot at the Bison, which are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.

4* Major on Arkansas -3
Bottom Line: Arkansas is one tough cookie at home where it is 16-1 this season with a double-digit win over Florida. The Razorbacks have lost their last two but both of those were on the road. They're 11-2 ATS in home games following a road loss over the last 3 seasons, winning these by an average of 9.6 points.

4* Major on Nevada +5.5
Bottom Line: UNLV rolled at Wyoming last time out, but it is only 4-18 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons, including 2-12 ATS as a road favorite or pick during this span. The Rebs are also 0-7 ATS after a win by 15 points or more this season and 0-6 ATS in road games after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

5* Wiseguy A-10 Game of the Month on George Washington +6.5
Bottom Line: Love the home team in this matchup. The home side has won each of the last 8 meetings with 4 of those wins coming by double digits and the other 4 coming by at least 4 points. The Billikens are 0-3 ATS in the last 3 meetings at George Washington, losing those by 6, 5 and 29.

4* Major on Miami Ohio +3.5
Bottom Line: The Redhawks lost by 17 in the first meeting and are catching just 3.5 here? Books are clearly looking to trap the public as they expect a big effort from Miami Ohio on senior day. The Redhawks are 4-0 in their last 4 at home in the series.

3* Surefire on Rice +9.5
Bottom Line: UTEP is getting too much respect on the road. It's just 2-10 in games played away from home this season, including 0-4 in its last 4.

5* Wiseguy CBB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Princeton -5.5
Bottom Line: Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are looking for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%), are 116-72 ATS the last 5 seasons and 62-36 ATS the last 3 seasons.

4* Major on Columbia -4.5
Bottom Line: Plays on favorites that have been held to 65 points or less in 3 straight games, with all five starters returning from last season, are 70-39 ATS the last 5 seasons.

4* Major on Cornell -5.5
Bottom Line: Cornell is 8-0 ATS after a loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

4* Major CBB Bailout on Cal Santa Barbara +9
Bottom Line: Hawaii can't be trusted laying this many points. It has won only 2 of its 7 conference home games by more than 9 points. The Warriors won the first meeting 78-73 but UCSB is 16-6 ATS all-time under Bob Williams in road games when out for revenge for a loss where it gave up 75 points or more. His teams have lost by just 1.0 point on average in these contests. Also, the Gauchos are a strong 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning record.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Troy +13.5
Bottom Line: Middle Tennessee won the first meeting 93-41 but that was at home. The Blue Raiders haven't been nearly as dominant on the road where they have lost of won by fewer than 10 points in 8 of their last 9 road games. Middle Tennessee is 0-6 ATS this season when it hits the road following a double-digit win in conference play. It is also 0-6 ATS this season in road games after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games. It's 0-7 ATS in road games after playing a game as a home favorite this season. Pound Troy.

4* Major on Clemson +3
Bottom Line: Clemson suffered a letdown at Maryland after playing Miami to a 2-point game, but the beating it took at the hands of the Terps places it in a solid wagering situation here. The Tigers are an impressive 28-13 ATS in home games following a loss of 10 points or more to a conference opponent since 1997.

4* Major on USC +7
Bottom Line: The Wildcats are a dismal 2-10 ATS off a home win against a conference foe over the last 2 seasons. They have actually lost by .3 points on average in this spot.

4* Major on UTEP -9.5
Bottom Line: UTEP was upset 79-61 in the season's first meeting but is a perfect 6-0 ATS the last two seasons when out to avenge a loss of 10 points or more to an opponent.

4* Major on Texas +2.5
Bottom Line: The Sooners are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings overall and 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Texas. The Longhorns are 8-2 ATS this season after a game where they failed to cover the number.

4* Major on Mississippi State +19
Bottom Line: The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Also, the Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings at Kentucky. The Wildcats are being overvalued here just as they have been all season. Mississippi State is coming off an ugly loss and will be that much more motivated as a result.

5* Wiseguy MVC Game of the Week on Illinois State -11.5
Bottom Line: You want to play home favorites or picks that check in off two or more upset losses on the road. That's because they are 70-35 ATS since 1997. This system tightens up to 25-5 ATS during this span if the team you're playing on returned 4 starters from last season. That's the case here. Pound the Redbirds.

4* Major on Georgia Tech pk
Bottom Line: Maryland is 2-10 ATS under Mark Turgeon following a win against a conference rival. The Terrapins are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 road games versus a team with a winning home record.

5* Wiseguy MAC Game of the Year on Ohio -3.5
Bottom Line: Ohio lost at Akron by 14 in the first meeting, but I love it at home in this revenge spot with a chance to tie the Zips for first place in the MAC standings. The Bobcats are on a terrific 44-24 ATS run at home as a favorite of 6 points or less or pick. They are also on a 42-25 ATS run when looking for revenge for a double-digit defeat to a foe. They are on a 42-22 ATS run when out for revenge for a same season loss to a foe. Pound Ohio.

4* Major on TCU +15.5
Bottom Line: This is a lot of points for an Oklahoma State to be laying on the road. We're talking about a team that's 18-30 ATS in road games under Ford.

5* Wiseguy ACC Game of the Year on Florida State -5
Bottom Line: After back-to-back double-digit defeats on the road, and with a 71-46 loss at Wake adding fuel to the fire, expect Florida State to roll at home here. FSU is 29-15 ATS all-time when out for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent under coach Leonard Hamilton. It is also 10-2 ATS under Hamilton in home games when coming off 2 or more consecutive losses on the road. Prior to being blown out by Wake earlier in the month, the Noles had won 4 straight in the series with the last 3 wins coming by 24, 18 and 23 points. Everything points to FSU being extremely motivated here. Plus, it catches Wake in a letdown spot following its season-making win over Miami. Pound FSU.

5* Wiseguy Big 10 Game of the Week on Minnesota +6.5
Bottom Line: Minnesota is 13-2 at home this season with only 1 of the losses coming by more than 6 points. Plus, its won 9 of its last 12 home meetings with the Hoosiers. The Golden Gophers played Indiana to a 7-point game on the road in the first meeting and are catching nearly that number here as Indiana is being overvalued like you would expect the top team in the country to be. The Hoosiers are 4-14 ATS all-time in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games under coach Tom Crean. They've lost these contests by an average of 7.7 points. Trust me, the Gophers are big enough, athletic enough and physical enough to give Indiana some fits. Bet Minnesota.

4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* (ESPNU) on Seton Hall +5
Bottom Line: Both teams face the challenging task of competing on just one day of rest, but Seton Hall holds the advantage in this spot at home. That's because it is 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons in home games when playing with 1 day of rest or none. It's also worth mentioning that the Pirates have lost by more than 5 points at home to Villanova just twice in the last nine meetings.

4* Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* (ESPNU) on Texas Tech +19.5
Bottom Line: Texas Tech lost the season's first meeting with K-State and was blown out by 20 at Iowa State Saturday but underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent and are playing the 2nd road game in 3 days are 123-76 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, underdogs of 10 points or more that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent and are coming off a loss of 20 points or more to a conference foe are 82-48 ATS the last 5 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *PUNISHER* on Charlotte +1.5
Bottom Line: Charlotte is 11-1 at home this season and has won 4 of its last 5 at home versus Temple. The Owls are just 3-4 in their last 7 on the road and 2 of those wins came by a single point. The other came by only 2 points so I think there is solid value with the 49ers catching 1.5 here.

4* Major National TV *BLOOD BATH* (CBS) on Cincinnati +3.5
Bottom Line: The Bearcats were upset at home by Notre Dame last month but are an outstanding 8-0 ATS on the road when looking for revenge for a defeat to a foe over the last 2 seasons. They have won by an average score of 69.6 to 61.0 in this spot.

4* Major on Kentucky -1.5
Bottom Line: Expect Mizzou to suffer a letdown following an enormous win over Florida. It is just 1-6 in true road games while Kentucky is 13-2 at home and in need of building its resume. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a winning home record.

5* Wiseguy Big East Game of the Week on DePaul +5.5
Bottom Line: The Huskies haven't been on the road in nearly two weeks and that spells trouble as they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games following three or more consecutive home games. The Blue Demons were blasted last time out but are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of more than 20 points. Also, the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

4* Major on Oregon -5
Bottom Line: Huge revenge spot for Oregon which was embarrassed 76-52 at Stanford last month. The Ducks are 13-4 ATS when out for revenge for a loss to a team they allowed to score 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

4* Major on Tennessee Chat +5.5
Bottom Line: Elon is 0-3 ATS in its last 3 road games and 2-5 ATS in its last 7. The Mocs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.

4* Major on Wyoming +2.5
Bottom Line: UNLV is an ultra-soft 1-12 ATS as a road favorite or pickem over the last 2 seasons.

4* Major on Florida -18.5
Bottom Line: Highly motivated spot for Florida, which is off a loss to Mizzou and out for revenge for a loss to Arkansas. Prior to losing at Arkansas earlier in the month, the Gators had won back-to-back games against the Razorbacks by 30 or more.

4* Major on NC Wilmington +4
Bottom Line: The Seahawks are showing good value catching four at home considering they have won eight straight at home against Delaware.

4* Major on Duquesne +4.5
Bottom Line: The Bonnies are on a 4-13 ATS skid in road games following a home win against a conference opponent.

4* Major on Nevada +14.5
Bottom Line: Nevada was upset at home by Fresno State Tuesday but is on an 11-1 ATS run in road games following a home upset loss to a conference rival.

5* Wiseguy Pac-12 Game of the Week on Oregon State +1.5
Bottom Line: I'm expecting Cal to suffer a letdown following Thursday's big win at Oregon. The Beavers are dropped their last two but are 6-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. They are also 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series.

4* Major on Baylor +3.5
Bottom Line: Baylor lost the season's first meeting at home, but I expect it to return the favor. The Bears are on a 23-12 ATS run in road games when out to avenge a home loss to a foe.

4* Major on Washington State +15.5
Bottom Line: Zona is being overvalued, as it so often is in conference play, following a blowout win over Washington. The Wildcats are just 1-10 ATS off a home win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

4* Major on West Virginia +4
Bottom Line: I expect Oklahoma State to suffer a letdown on the road today following a devastating loss to Kansas. The Cowboys are on a 17-30 ATS slide in road contests, and the Moutaineers are on a 13-5 ATS run off a road loss of 10 points or more.

4* Major on Nebraska +6
Bottom Line: Nebraska has played some good teams tough at home (Michigan State, Ohio State and Wisconsin) so it can certainly hang with the Hawkeyes who are only 2-6 in true road games this season. One of those wins came by just 2 points against lowly Penn State.

4* Major on Fordham +6.5
Bottom Line: Fordham will be the more motivated team without a doubt as it was embarrassed 102-58 at Richmond in the last meeting. The Spiders are a soft 6-17 ATS in all lined games this season, including 2-8 ATS on the road. Fordham, on the other hand, is 7-1 ATS this season after 3 or more consecutive losses.

4* Major on Massachusetts -3
Bottom Line: Motivated by 3 consecutive defeats and a 33-point loss at Dayton in the last meeting, the Minutemen will be hungry here to say the least. The line is significant as UMass is 13-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pickem over the last 3 seasons.

4* Major on Seton Hall +19
Bottom Line: Fading home favorites or pickems that check in off 2 straight wins against conference rivals and are matched up against an opponent off 2 consecutive home losses of 10 points or more has produced a 44-15 ATS record since 1997.

4* Major A-10 *BLOOD BATH* (ESPNU) on Butler -2
Bottom Line: I'll gladly roll with Butler laying a small number at home in this revenge spot. The Bulldogs are 13-1 in their building this season, and this is a team that has wins over Indiana and Gonzaga. Butler is 28-11 ATS under coach Stevens when up against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). This trend tightens up to 13-4 ATS if the game takes place at least 15 games into the season.

5* Wiseguy Ivy League Game of the Year on Brown +7
Bottom Line: I believe Harvard gets caught looking ahead to tomorrow's big rivalry game at Yale. On the other side, there's no chance this experienced Brown team won't be focused as it looks to end a 7-game losing streak in the series. The Crimson are just 8-21 ATS under coach Amaker off 2 straight wins against conference rivals. They are 2-9 ATS in road games under their coach when off a home win against a conference rival. Also, the Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a losing road record. And, the Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Brown.

4* Major ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Duke -13
Bottom Line: Duke will be out for blood after losing at Maryland last time out. It has responded majorly with wins of 16 and 20 points following each of its previous two losses. Plus, VA Tech is 0-11 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Duke won at VA Tech by 15 last season and will certainly be motivated to run up the score on the Hokies here.

5* Wiseguy Big 10 Game of the Week on Northwestern +8.5
Bottom Line: Wisconsin won big last game but it shot 52.7% from the field. That rarely happens. Prior to that, the Badgers had shot below 40% in 5 of 7 games. Wiscy hasn't ran away from anyone on the road. It has lost 3 of its last 4 on the road and is just 3-5 in road games this season. None of its 3 road wins have come by more than 6 points. Pound the Wildcats.

4* Major on Baylor -4.5
Bottom Line: The Cyclones are capable of beating anyone at home, but they have shown that they are capable of losing to anyone on the road. They are 2-7 on the highway this season and have lost their last 4 road contests, including a bad loss to Texas Tech during this span.

4* Major on SIU Edwardsville +7
Bottom Line: The Tennessee State Tigers can't be trusted laying this many points on the road where they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

4* Major on Kentucky -10.5
Bottom Line: Called out by John Calipari and left out in Joe Lunardi's latest bracket, I'm expecting Kentucky to make a major statement with a blowout win. The Wildcats are on a 6-0 ATS run in home games versus poor offensive teams that average 64 points or fewer per game. They have won these contests by an average of 35.2 points.

4* Major on Drake -4
Bottom Line: Bradley won the first matchup but that was at home. It hasn't been nearly as good on the road where it has lost 6 straight by double digits and is 1-5 ATS in those games.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Super Tuesday *PUNISHER* on Missouri +5
Bottom Line: Missouri has been unstoppable at home where it is 14-0 and is winning by an average of 20.0 points per game. Florida won the first meeting handily but it will be a different story at Mizzou Arena where the Tigers are 29-1 the last 2 seasons. They were 2-0 at home against top 10 foes last season, beating Kansas by 3 and Baylor by 15. Pound Missouri.

4* Major ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Boston College +1.5
Bottom Line: Look for Maryland to suffer a letdown following Saturday's huge win over Duke. The Terrapins are just 2-9 ATS all-time under coach Turgeon when coming off a win over a conference rival. Boston College lost the season's first meeting 64-59, but it is 8-1 ATS all-time under coach Donahue in home games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent that held it to less than 60 points.

4* Big East *BLOOD BATH* (ESPNU) on Rutgers +10.5
Bottom Line: Fading favorites of 10 or more points that have covered the spread in 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, provided they are playing their second game in 3 days, has produced an 81-46 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Basically, this system shows how oddsmakers have a tendency to overvalue teams that have been cashing a lot of tickets even when they are in the unfavorable position of playing 2 games in 3 days.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Big Monday *PUNISHER* on Pittsburgh -10
Bottom Line: The books are begging for the money to come in on Notre Dame judging by the line as rarely will you see a team laying double digits against a team with an identical record. The books clearly don't trust Notre Dame on the road where it has lost its last two by 16. Fading road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that are playing with one or less days' rest in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) has produced a 29-12 ATS mark the last 5 seasons. These dogs have lost by an average of 15.3 points. Pound Pitt.

4* Major Pac-12 Bailout on USC +7
Bottom Line: USC has been a different team since firing Kevin O'Neill and yet it still isn't getting the respect it deserves from oddsmakers. The Trojans have won 4 in a row with a victory at UCLA during this stretch. Plus, they have only lost by more than 6 points on the road once in 6 conference road games this season. USC lost the season's first matchup by 8 points but that was before it started rolling. I expect this matchup to be much more competitive.

4* Major Big 10 *BLOOD BATH* on Northwestern +4.5
Bottom Line: Illinois is being overvalued here because it checks in off 3 consecutive wins. We can't forget that it is just 2-3 on the road in Big Ten play with only one of those wins coming by more than 4 points. Northwestern has won its last 2 at home, and it won by 14 at Illinois in the first meeting. While the Illini will be out for revenge, the odds are against it winning this one by 5 or more as the Wildcats have won 3 of the last 3 meetings with the loss coming by a single point.

5* Wiseguy Pac-12 *PUNISHER* on Arizona -9
Bottom Line: Utah played Arizona tough the first time around but the Wildcats were riding high at 13-0 heading into that game and were looking past a team they had defeated by 26 and 9 last season. Off back-to-back losses, the Wildcats won't be looking past the Utes this time around, and I'm expecting a blowout. Arizona is 6-0 in its last 6 games in the series with a 14.3-point average margin of victory.