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Jimmy Boyd NFL Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
09-20-21 Lions v. Packers UNDER 49.5 Top 17-35 Loss -110 177 h 29 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Lions/Packers under 49½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

09-19-21 Titans v. Seahawks OVER 52.5 33-30 Win 100 150 h 6 m Show

3* BEST BET on Titans/Seahawks over 52½ -106

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

09-19-21 Cowboys v. Chargers OVER 52.5 20-17 Loss -107 150 h 6 m Show

3* BEST BET on Cowboys/Chargers over 52½ -107

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

09-19-21 Saints v. Panthers UNDER 46 Top 7-26 Win 100 147 h 41 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Saints/Panthers under 46 -106

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

09-16-21 Giants +3.5 v. Washington Football Team 29-30 Win 100 22 h 31 m Show

4* MAJOR on Giants +3½ -115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

09-12-21 Packers v. Saints UNDER 50 Top 3-38 Win 100 124 h 19 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Packers/Saints under 50 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

09-12-21 Steelers v. Bills UNDER 49 23-16 Win 100 121 h 53 m Show

4* MAJOR on Steelers/Bills under 49 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

09-12-21 Steelers v. Bills -6.5 Top 23-16 Loss -110 835 h 48 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Bills -6½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

09-09-21 Cowboys v. Bucs -8 Top 29-31 Loss -110 30 h 22 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Bucs -8 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

01-24-21 Bucs +4 v. Packers Top 31-26 Win 100 6 h 46 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Bucs +4 -115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

01-17-21 Browns +10 v. Chiefs Top 17-22 Win 100 54 h 42 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Browns +10 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

01-16-21 Ravens v. Bills UNDER 50 Top 3-17 Win 100 53 h 30 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Ravens/Bills under 50 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

01-10-21 Bears v. Saints -10 Top 9-21 Win 100 7 h 7 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Saints -10 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

01-09-21 Bucs v. Washington Football Team +9.5 Top 31-23 Win 100 53 h 38 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Washington Football Team +9½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

01-03-21 Saints v. Panthers +6 33-7 Loss -109 28 h 30 m Show

4* MAJOR on Panthers +6 -109

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

01-03-21 Saints v. Panthers UNDER 47.5 Top 33-7 Win 100 30 h 2 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Saints/Panthers under 47½ -114

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

12-28-20 Bills v. Patriots UNDER 47.5 Top 38-9 Win 100 7 h 41 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Bills/Patriots under 47½ -105

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

12-27-20 Titans +3.5 v. Packers 14-40 Loss -113 135 h 40 m Show

3* BEST BET on Titans +3½ -113

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

12-27-20 Eagles v. Cowboys OVER 48.5 17-37 Win 100 131 h 45 m Show

4* MAJOR on Eagles/Cowboys over 48½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

12-27-20 Eagles -119 v. Cowboys Top 17-37 Loss -119 131 h 46 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Eagles -119

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

12-26-20 Bucs v. Lions +9.5 Top 47-7 Loss -108 26 h 8 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Lions +9½ -108

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

12-25-20 Vikings +7 v. Saints Top 33-52 Loss -105 55 h 29 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Vikings +7 -105

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

12-21-20 Steelers -13 v. Bengals Top 17-27 Loss -110 56 h 16 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Steelers -13 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

12-20-20 Chiefs v. Saints OVER 52 Top 32-29 Win 100 45 h 31 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Chiefs/Saints over 52 -106

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

12-20-20 Seahawks -4 v. Washington Football Team Top 20-15 Win 100 49 h 51 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Seahawks -4 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

12-17-20 Chargers v. Raiders -3 Top 30-27 Loss -114 8 h 20 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Raiders -3 -114

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

12-14-20 Ravens -2.5 v. Browns Top 47-42 Win 100 53 h 5 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Ravens -2½ -115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

12-13-20 Packers v. Lions OVER 55 31-24 Push 0 128 h 40 m Show

4* MAJOR on Packers/Lions over 55 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

12-13-20 Falcons v. Chargers OVER 49.5 Top 17-20 Loss -107 128 h 41 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Falcons/Chargers over 49½ -107

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

12-13-20 Chiefs v. Dolphins OVER 48.5 33-27 Win 100 124 h 15 m Show

3* BEST BET on Chiefs/Dolphins over 48½ -112

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

12-10-20 Patriots +6.5 v. Rams Top 3-24 Loss -115 56 h 53 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Patriots +6½ -115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

12-08-20 Cowboys v. Ravens -7 Top 17-34 Win 100 57 h 54 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Ravens -7 -105

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

12-08-20 Cowboys v. Ravens OVER 45 Top 17-34 Win 100 23 h 56 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Cowboys/Ravens over 45 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

12-06-20 Eagles +9 v. Packers Top 16-30 Loss -110 7 h 9 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Eagles +9 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

12-06-20 Jaguars v. Vikings OVER 51.5 24-27 Loss -110 145 h 29 m Show

4* MAJOR on Jaguars/Vikings over 51½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

11-30-20 Seahawks v. Eagles UNDER 51 Top 23-17 Win 100 177 h 20 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Seahawks/Eagles under 51 -106

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

11-29-20 Chargers +5.5 v. Bills 17-27 Loss -110 47 h 55 m Show

4* MAJOR on Chargers +5½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

11-29-20 Dolphins v. Jets UNDER 45.5 Top 20-3 Win 100 146 h 8 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Dolphins/Jets under 45½ -106

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

11-22-20 Chiefs -6 v. Raiders 35-31 Loss -110 142 h 24 m Show

3* BEST BET on Chiefs -6 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

11-22-20 Bengals v. Washington Football Team OVER 46.5 9-20 Loss -109 147 h 51 m Show

4* MAJOR on Bengals/Washington Football Team over 46½ -109

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

11-22-20 Eagles v. Browns OVER 45 Top 17-22 Loss -110 147 h 1 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Eagles/Browns over 45 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

11-19-20 Cardinals +3 v. Seahawks Top 21-28 Loss -100 33 h 14 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Cardinals +3 +101

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

11-19-20 Cardinals v. Seahawks UNDER 57.5 Top 21-28 Win 100 13 h 47 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Cardinals/Seahawks under 57½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

11-16-20 Vikings -2.5 v. Bears Top 19-13 Win 100 52 h 23 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Vikings -2½ -114

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

11-15-20 Jaguars +14 v. Packers 20-24 Win 100 147 h 49 m Show

3* BEST BET on Jaguars +14 -105

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

11-15-20 Bucs -4.5 v. Panthers 46-23 Win 100 108 h 11 m Show

4* MAJOR on Bucs -4½ -108

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

11-15-20 Texans v. Browns -3 Top 7-10 Push 0 147 h 49 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Browns -3 -104

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

11-09-20 Patriots v. Jets UNDER 41.5 30-27 Loss -109 12 h 9 m Show

3* BEST BET on Patriots/Jets under 41½ -109

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

11-08-20 Saints v. Bucs OVER 50 38-3 Loss -110 37 h 24 m Show

4* MAJOR on Saints/Bucs over 50 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

11-08-20 Raiders v. Chargers OVER 54 31-26 Win 100 141 h 10 m Show

4* MAJOR on Raiders/Chargers over 54 -106

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

11-08-20 Texans -6.5 v. Jaguars Top 27-25 Loss -114 52 h 39 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Texans -6½ -114

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

11-05-20 Packers -4 v. 49ers Top 34-17 Win 100 57 h 26 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Packers -4 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

11-02-20 Bucs v. Giants +12.5 Top 25-23 Win 100 32 h 33 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Giants +12½ -109

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

11-01-20 Chargers v. Broncos UNDER 45.5 30-31 Loss -102 150 h 28 m Show

3* BEST BET on Chargers/Broncos under 45½ -102

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

11-01-20 Titans v. Bengals OVER 54.5 20-31 Loss -103 147 h 23 m Show

3* BEST BET on Titans/Bengals over 54½ -103

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

11-01-20 Colts -2.5 v. Lions Top 41-21 Win 100 147 h 23 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Colts -2½ -114

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

10-29-20 Falcons +2.5 v. Panthers Top 25-17 Win 100 52 h 28 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Falcons +2½ -106

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

10-26-20 Bears v. Rams UNDER 46.5 Top 10-24 Win 100 175 h 16 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Bears/Rams under 46½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

10-25-20 Jaguars v. Chargers OVER 49 29-39 Win 100 150 h 58 m Show

4* MAJOR on Jaguars/Chargers over 49 -109

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

10-25-20 Browns v. Bengals UNDER 52 37-34 Loss -110 147 h 34 m Show

3* BEST BET on Browns/Bengals under 52 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

10-25-20 Panthers v. Saints OVER 51 24-27 Push 0 147 h 33 m Show

3* BEST BET on Panthers/Saints over 51 -109

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

10-25-20 Steelers -1.5 v. Titans Top 27-24 Win 100 147 h 34 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Steelers -1½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

10-22-20 Giants v. Eagles UNDER 45.5 Top 21-22 Win 100 82 h 54 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Giants/Eagles under 45½ -119

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

10-19-20 Cardinals v. Cowboys OVER 54 Top 38-10 Loss -105 178 h 56 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Cardinals/Cowboys over 54 -105

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

10-18-20 Browns v. Steelers UNDER 51.5 7-38 Win 100 126 h 6 m Show

4* MAJOR on Browns/Steelers under 51½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

10-18-20 Ravens v. Eagles UNDER 46.5 Top 30-28 Loss -109 126 h 6 m Show

5* BEST BET on Ravens/Eagles under 46½ -109

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

10-12-20 Chargers v. Saints -7.5 Top 27-30 Loss -115 59 h 14 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Saints -7½ -115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

10-11-20 Jaguars v. Texans OVER 54 14-30 Loss -108 157 h 58 m Show

3* BEST BET on Jaguars/Texans over 54 -108

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

10-11-20 Cardinals v. Jets OVER 46.5 30-10 Loss -115 147 h 27 m Show

4* MAJOR on Cardinals/Jets over 46½ -115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

10-11-20 Eagles v. Steelers UNDER 46.5 29-38 Loss -107 147 h 38 m Show

3* BEST BET on Eagles/Steelers under 46½ -107

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

10-11-20 Eagles v. Steelers -7 Top 29-38 Win 100 147 h 2 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Steelers -7 -109

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

10-08-20 Bucs v. Bears UNDER 45.5 Top 19-20 Win 100 93 h 53 m Show

5* Thursday Night Total of the Month on Bucs/Bears under 45½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

10-05-20 Falcons v. Packers -6.5 Top 16-30 Win 100 180 h 35 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Packers -6½ -105

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

10-04-20 Eagles v. 49ers -7 25-20 Loss -115 27 h 40 m Show

3* BEST BET on 49ers -7 -115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

10-04-20 Jaguars v. Bengals OVER 47.5 25-33 Win 100 145 h 16 m Show

3* BEST BET on Jaguars/Bengals over 47½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

10-04-20 Cardinals v. Panthers OVER 51 Top 21-31 Win 100 43 h 40 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Cardinals/Panthers over 51 -109

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

10-01-20 Broncos -2 v. Jets 37-28 Win 100 95 h 32 m Show

4* BEST BET on Broncos -2 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

09-28-20 Chiefs v. Ravens -3 Top 34-20 Loss -120 177 h 53 m Show

5* MNF GOY on Ravens -3 -120

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

09-27-20 Panthers v. Chargers -6 21-16 Loss -110 54 h 23 m Show

4* MAJOR on Chargers -6 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

09-27-20 Rams +2.5 v. Bills Top 32-35 Loss -115 51 h 24 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Rams +2½ -115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

09-24-20 Dolphins v. Jaguars -3 Top 31-13 Loss -100 35 h 17 m Show

5* NO BRAINER on Jaguars -3 +105

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

09-20-20 Patriots +4.5 v. Seahawks Top 30-35 Loss -110 167 h 13 m Show

5* BEST BET on Patriots +4½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

09-20-20 Lions v. Packers OVER 46 21-42 Win 100 160 h 52 m Show

3* BEST BET on Lions/Packers over 46 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

09-20-20 Vikings v. Colts OVER 46 11-28 Loss -110 160 h 52 m Show

3* BEST BET on Vikings/Colts over 46 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

09-20-20 Vikings v. Colts -2.5 11-28 Win 100 160 h 32 m Show

3* BEST BET on Colts -2½ -120

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

09-20-20 Bills v. Dolphins UNDER 42 31-28 Loss -110 145 h 42 m Show

4* BEST BET on Bills/Dolphins under 42 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

09-13-20 Bears +2.5 v. Lions 27-23 Win 100 50 h 42 m Show

3* BEST BET on Bears +2½ +100

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

09-13-20 Browns v. Ravens -7 Top 6-38 Win 100 51 h 41 m Show

5* BEST BET on Ravens -7 -115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

09-10-20 Texans v. Chiefs -9 Top 20-34 Win 100 58 h 48 m Show

5* BEST BET on Chiefs -9 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

02-02-20 49ers v. Chiefs UNDER 54.5 Top 20-31 Win 100 58 h 6 m Show

5* NFL - Super Bowl 54 (KC/SF) Total NO-BRAINER  on 49ers/Chiefs under 54½ -105

I'm confident we see Super Bowl 54 finish UNDER the mark. This will be the 7th time since 2000 that we have seen a total north of 50 in the Super Bowl and the UNDER has cashed in 5 of the previous 6. The only game that went OVER was Super Bowl 51 when the Patriots made that ridiculous comeback from down 28-3 to force OT and win 34-28. 

Just look at last year, everyone was calling for a shootout between the Rams and Patriots. The total for the game was 58 and it ended up being 13-3. I just think the number here is too high. Sure the Chiefs have the best QB in the league and all these weapons on offense, but they are going up against a really good 49ers defense. Also, San Francisco is a run heavy team and are going to try and limit the possessions of KC by chewing up the clock. 

Another big thing here is the Chiefs defense. Kansas City has really made remarkable strides on the defensive side of the ball. Not just from last year, but from earlier this season. KC's run defense gets a really bad wrap, but in their last 6 games they are giving up just 89 yards/game. Everyone thought Derrick Henry was going to run all over them and they held him to 69 yards on 19 attempts. 

Lastly, you got to factor in the edge these two defenses have with the two weeks to prepare for this game. There's just not a lot at this point that's not on tape for either offense, so both defense are going to be well prepared. I'm not saying it will be like last year, but the number is too high. Take the UNDER! 

02-02-20 49ers v. Chiefs -120 Top 20-31 Win 100 58 h 5 m Show

5* NFL - Super Bowl 54 VEGAS INSIDER on Chiefs -120

I really like the Chiefs to come out on top in Super Bowl 54. I've been saying Kansas City was the team to beat for a while now and I actually think the number here should be closer to the Chiefs -3 than a pick'em. 

No disrespect to the 49ers, but I just think they are up against it here. No question who has the better quarterback in this game. Patrick Mahomes is the best QB in the league and he's arguably got the most talent around him. I get the 49ers defense is good, but beating the Vikings and Packers is not exactly saying much. Sure Green Bay has Rodgers, but just look at what Rodgers has to work with compared to Mahomes. 

I also don't know that the Chiefs defense is all that far off from San Francisco. They don't have the talent up front like the 49ers, but as a whole these two were actually more similar than you might think. In fact, the Chiefs gave up fewer points/game and played a tougher schedule in terms of offenses faced. 

Say what you want about Andy Reid and him not winning the big game, the guy is one of the best in the business when it comes to getting his team ready with an extra week to prepare. As a head coach his teams are 18-3 ATS in the regular-season and 5-1 ATS in the playoffs. I just think Mahomes and that offense will be too much for SF to overcome. Take Kansas City! 

01-26-20 NFC v. AFC OVER 49.5 33-38 Win 100 87 h 46 m Show

4* NFL - Pro Bowl (AFC vs NFC) Total NO-BRAINER on NFC/AFC over 49½ -110

It's crazy to think the total for the Pro Bowl is less than that of the Super Bowl. I get the UNDER has cashed in each of the last 3 and 5 of the last 6 Pro Bowls, but the average score since 2014 is still at 49 points. I just think there's too much value here in an exhibition game to take a shot at this price. Take the OVER! 

01-19-20 Packers v. 49ers -7 Top 20-37 Win 100 149 h 10 m Show

5* NFL - Packers/49ers NFC GAME OF THE YEAR on 49ers -7 -109

I love the value here with the 49ers at home in the NFC Championship Game. As much respect as I have for Aaron Rodgers, San Francisco is simply better on both sides of the ball and I just don't see Green Bay being able to keep this close on the road. 

These two teams played in the regular-season at San Francisco and the 49ers led 23-0 at the half and would go on to win 37-8 with a 339 to 188 edge in total yards. SF not only limited Aaron Jones to just 38 yards on 13 attempts (2.9 yards/carry), they held Rodgers to mere 104 passing yards and sacked him 5 times. 

When healthy this 49ers defense has been the best in the league and with the returns of Kwon Alexander and Dee Ford in the Divisional Round, they are back to near full strength. When these two have been on the field there's just not a lot teams can do. I'm sure Green Bay will make some adjustments, but I don't think there's anything they can do to make up 25-points. I think it would take a near perfect game just for them to keep this within single digits and that's unlikely to happen. Take San Francisco! 

01-12-20 Seahawks +4.5 v. Packers 23-28 Loss -110 28 h 51 m Show

3* NFL - Seahawks/Packers ATS DESTROYER on Seahawks +4½ -110

The Seahawks are definitely worth a look here as a 4.5-point dog against the Packers. Green Bay may have ended up with the No. 2 seed in the NFC, but I'm not buying for a second that this is the second best team in the NFC.

Packer went 13-3 because of a really soft schedule and that's evident by the fact that they had a mere +63 point differential for the season. Green Bay only played 5 games all season against a team that made the playoffs. They went 3-2 in those games, but two of those wins were against a similarly fraudulent Vikings team and the other was against the Chiefs when they were without Mahomes. Their two losses were by 7 at home to the Eagles and by 31 at San Francisco. 

Seattle has a great home field edge, but that doesn't mean they aren't a good road team. Seahawks are 11-3-1 ATS last 15 road games and 22-8-2 ATS last 32 road games vs a team with a winning home record. They are also 34-16-3 ATS last 53 as a dog. Take Seattle! 

01-12-20 Texans v. Chiefs -9.5 Top 31-51 Win 100 150 h 57 m Show

5* NFL Divisional Round PLAY OF THE YEAR on Chiefs -9½ -110

I got no problem laying the big number with Kansas City on Sunday at home against the Texans. I think a lot of people will be drawn to Houston here, simply because Houston won at Kansas City earlier this season. Thing is, the Chiefs were up 17-3 in that game and this is really a different team than when they met back in Week 6. Most notably on the defensive side of the ball. 

Another common thought process for people is that Andy Reid is not a good coach in big games and while he's had his fair share of failures in the playoffs, you simply don't bet against him when he's got two weeks to prepare for an opponent. He's 18-3 ATS off a bye in the regular-season and 4-1 ATS off a bye in the playoffs. 

I think this Chiefs offense has been holding back a lot of things for the playoffs and this Texans defense is one they can exploit. Houston finished with the 29th ranked pass defense, giving up 267.3 ypg. Mahomes will have a field day and that much improved Chiefs defense will do their part behind an electric home crowd. Take Kansas City! 

01-11-20 Titans +10 v. Ravens Top 28-12 Win 100 91 h 20 m Show

5* NFL - VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Titans +10 -110

I love the value here with Tennessee as a double-digit dog against the Ravens. The betting public can't get enough of Lamar Jackson and Baltimore right now and I think the number here has been inflated to the point that this is a no-brainer on the Titans. 

Tennessee might have made it in as the No. 6 seed in the AFC, but this team likely would have won the AFC South had they started the season with Ryan Tannehill and not Marcus Mariota. Everyone likes to focus on what Derrick Henry is doing and it's hard to not get caught up that, but Tannehill has been outstanding for the Titans. 

No question the Patriots offense was broken, but New England's defense is the real deal and they had no answer for the 1-2 punch of Henry and Tannehill. As good as Baltimore was against the run, there's just no slowing down Henry. I think they are going to be able to shorten up the game and most importantly keep Jackson and that Ravens offense off the field. 

On the flip side of this, I think Tennessee has the defense to at least slow down Lamar Jackson and that high-powered Ravens run game. I think in doing so they can get Baltimore to press a little and really make this thing interesting. Give me the Titans +10! 

01-05-20 Seahawks v. Eagles UNDER 46 Top 17-9 Win 100 125 h 29 m Show

5* NFL - Seahawks/Eagles Wild Card VEGAS INSIDER on Seahawks/Eagles under 46 -110

I love the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's NFC Wild Card matchup between the Eagles and Seahawks. These two teams met up in Week 12 of the regular-season and the two combined for just 26 points in a 17-9 Seattle win at Philadelphia. 

It's hard to expect nearly double the offense in the rematch, especially with the problems both of these teams are facing offensively. Seattle's offensive line has been decimated with injuries and things got so bad at running back they had to bring back Marshawn Lynch. 

Eagles defense has played really well down the stretch and should continue that trend at home in this one. At the same time, Philadelphia's offense has been decimated with injuries and while Seattle's defense has struggled some down the stretch, they should be able to keep Wentz and the Eagles in check. 

UNDER is 15-5 in the Seahawks last 20 road games after a loss by 6 or less and 9-2 in their last 11 road games vs a NFC East team. UNDER is also 24-9 in Eagles last 33 home games and 7-0 in their last 7 at home off a division win. Take the UNDER! 

01-04-20 Titans +5 v. Patriots 20-13 Win 100 13 h 39 m Show

3*  NFL - Titans/Patriots Wild Card NO-BRAINER on Titans +5 -105

I like the value here with Tennessee in this one. I just think the perception a lot of people have is that now that it's the playoffs the Patriots are going to flip a switch and become this unbeatable team at home. 

I'm just not buying it. There's clearly something wrong with New England. For them to lose at home to the Dolphins in Week 17 with what was at stake, that says it all. Tom Brady and that offense are not anything close to what they use to be and as good as the defense is, they can only do so much. 

I think the Titans can pound Derrick Henry here as the New England defense is more built to stop the pass than it is the run and really make life miserable for Brady on the other side of the ball. Even if it's not enough to win the game, I don't see the Pats winning here by more than a field goal. Take Tennessee! 

12-29-19 Raiders +3.5 v. Broncos 15-16 Win 100 104 h 43 m Show

3* NFL - Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Raiders +3½ -110

This is just too good a price to pass up with the Raiders. Oakland is the only team in this one with something to play for and I would have them favored in this one. Denver is getting a lot of love for winning 3 of their last 4, but I just haven't been all that impressed with them. They were down 10-0 at home to the Lions last week and needed two 4th quarter scores to cover as a touchdown favorite. 

Not the first time the Broncos have struggled with a bad team. They are just 13-28 ATS last 41 vs a team with a losing record and a mere 9-24 ATS last 33 times they have faced a marginal losing team like the Raiders with a win percentage of 40% to 49%. 

On top of that Denver is awful in the role of home favorite, as they are just 2-7 ATS last 9 times they have been asked to lay points at home. They are also a miserable 4-11 ATS last 15 division games and have failed to cover each of their last 4 meetings with the Raiders. Take Oakland! 

12-29-19 Titans v. Texans UNDER 46 35-14 Loss -110 104 h 42 m Show

3* NFL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Titans/Texans under 46 -110

I really like the UNDER in Sunday's AFC South matchup between the Texans and Titans. I really think Houston is going to be going through the motions in this one. The only thing the Texans can do is move up from the No. 4 to the No. 3 seed, but chances are the Chiefs will beat the Chargers in the early slate of games and Houston will be locked into the No. 4. 

I could see the Texans either resting their starters or playing them for just a few series. There's just no incentive here for them to do anything special in this game. Offensively they are likely be very vanilla with a lot of runs and I could see them struggling to score more than 14. 

As for Tennessee they are in a must-win situation. Win and they are the No. 6 seed and in the playoffs. Lose and they are more than likely out. Titans are built for UNDERs. They are really good defensively and have an offense built around a power running game with Derrick Henry. 

UNDER is 6-0 in Houston's last 6 games vs good rushing teams that average 4.5 or more yards/carry. It's also 7-1 in their last 8 division games and 8-3 in their last 11 at home. Take the UNDER! 

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