3* ESPN Big Monday SMASH on Texas -13
This may seem like quite a big number at first glance, but the Sooners have lost by at least 13 points in 3 of their last 4 road games. Plus, Texas will be extremely motivated in this spot for several reasons. First off, it's senior night. Secondly, the Longhorns are coming off a poor performance against Texas A&M. Lastly, the Horns will be looking to avenge a loss at Oklahoma last month. This situation is very similar to one Texas was in back on Feb. 13. The Horns had just played poorly against Kansas and they went out and destroyed Nebraska by 40 points. The Sooners are just 14-36-1 ATS in their last 51 games as a road underdog. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the Sooners are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings at Texas. OU is 1-8 ATS in road games when playing their 2nd game in a week this season, losing in these spot by an average of 14.8 points. Texas is on a 17-6 ATS run in home games when playing its 3rd game in a week, winning in these spots by 16.3 points on average. It is also a tremendous 11-1 ATS in home games where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by 19.3 points on average. We'll lay the points.

5* NBA *BEST BET* Blowout on Bobcats -2
This is a tough spot for the Mavs, who just played last night, and will be playing their 9th game in 14 days. The Bobcats find themselves in a much better spot, playing at home where they are an impressive 20-7 this season, and playing with 2 full days of rest. Charlotte will also be looking for a little bit of revenge here after falling at Dallas by 1 point in December. Right away, you have to like the fact that plays against underdogs playing on back-to-back days, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season, are 164-109 the last 5 seasons (60.1%). You also have to like the fact that Charlotte is 13-4 ATS in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 97.8 to 90.6. The Bobcats are also a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. The Mavericks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing without any days rest. We'll take the Bobcats at home tonight.

5* Sunday Night NBA *BEST BET* (ESPN) on Hornets +8
New Orleans has showed up against elite competition. Just this month, we've seen the Hornets play the Magic to a 6-point game at Orlando to cover as a 9.5-point dog. We just saw the Hornets beat the Magic outright as a 5-point dog Friday. We have also seen them defeat the Celtics here recently and cover the number against the Cavs. The Hornets are very confident right now, even without Chris Paul, because of how well Darren Collison is playing. Plus, New Orleans has played the Mavs extremely tough, having won 8 of the last 11 meetings. You also have to like the fact that New Orleans is a perfect 8-0 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points under coach Bower. The Hornets are also 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on 1 days rest and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Mavericks are 6-23 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite and 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. We'll take the points.

4* Major Big Ten Bomb on Indiana +6
The Hoosiers may enter having lost 9 in a row, but I just can't justify Iowa laying this many points, especially since Indiana will be hungry to avenge an earlier season home loss to the Hawkeyes. This has been a matchup dominated by the dog as the underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. And the Hawks have proven they can't be trusted as a home favorite as they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in the role. The odds are certainly in Indiana's favor when you consider that road teams, after failing to cover the spread in 6 or more consecutive games, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season, are 72-30 ATS since 1997, 26-6 ATS the last 3 seasons and 5-1 ATS this season. Indiana knows this is its chance to end its losing streak and should come out with a lot or energy today. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Marquee Matchup (ABC) on Lakers -6
This is a statement game for LA, which has been crushed by the Nuggets by double digits twice already this season. While the Nuggets were able to win in LA earlier this month, that was an aberration as the Nuggets are just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 meetings in Los Angeles against the Lakers. A big key here will be the depleted energy level of the Nuggets, which have played a lot of games in few days. In fact, Denver is just 3-11 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. The Lakers are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and I look for them to put it on the Nuggets here.

5* NCAAB ESPN Game of the Year on Villanova +5.5
We'll take Villanova and the points today as its big game experience and experienced back court, led by Scottie Reynolds, gives the Wildcats the edge. Nova has won 3 straight in this series and 5 of the last 6. From a point spread perspective, the Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings at Syracuse and the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Nova has the type of guards that can really cause problems for the Cuse zone with their penetration and ability to knocks down threes. And that's why we've seen the Wildcats enjoy success against the Orange. With first place on the line, I just can't see Villanova getting beat by more than 5 points. And frankly, I can't see it getting beat period. The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 6.5 or fewer points and we'll take them in that role here today.

5* NBA Blowout of the Month on Pacers -1.5
With Joakim Noah doubtful this evening, and with Indiana out for revenge after losing at Chicago this week, we'll take the rested Pacers in this revenge spot against a Bulls team that just played an emotionally and physically draining OT game last night. Right away, you have to like the Pacers when you consider that plays on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. an opponent, after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points are 64-32 ATS since 1996. The last time Indiana played the same team twice in the same week, it lost the first game (by 15 at Toronto) but then responded with a 15-point win in the second game. We'll lay the points here as I like Indiana by double digits.

4* Major NCAAB *Early Blowout* on Colorado -4
After getting absolutely hammered by Mizzou, the Buffs will be extremely motivated today, especially since they will be looking to avenge a 1-point loss at Iowa State last month. Iowa State is coming off a conference win and that figures to be good news as the Cyclones are 0-6 ATS following a conference win over the last 2 seasons. What's even more shocking is that the Cyclones are losing by an average score of 63.8 to 82.2 in these spots. Iowa State is 3-8 away from home this season while the Buffs are 11-3 on their home floor. Colorado is 2-0 SU & ATS in its last 2 home meetings against ISU and it is 10-2 SU & 8-4 ATS in its last 12. Also, under coach McDermott, Iowa State is on a 1-10 ATS slide in road games off a conference win, losing in these spots by an average score of 60.1 to 79.1. The Buffaloes are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 6.5 or fewer points and we'll bet them in that role here today. Lay the points.

5* NBA Underdog of the Month on Pistons +10
Tough spot for the Nuggets playing back-to-back after such an uptempo game last night. The Nuggets shot out of their mind last night, but those shots will have a tougher time falling with tired legs. This is a similar spot to last week for the Nuggets. After beating the Cavs, the Nuggets lost the next night by double digits to Washington as they were looking ahead to a game with Boston. Tonight, I think they get caught looking ahead to a showdown with the Lakers. Detroit has fared well against the Nuggets. In fact, it has won 7 straight and 21 of the last 25. The Pistons are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 13-3 ATS in the last 16. The Nuggets are 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on zero day's rest, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400 and 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Detroit keeps this one within the number tonight.

3* SMASH on Clippers +9.5
The Clippers have won 3 in a row SU & ATS and they'll ride that momentum into Phoenix tonight where they are looking for revenge. The Clippers remember their 124-93 Christmas Day loss in Phoenix well, and that loss will have them extremely motivated tonight. The Suns have been playing well also, but their focus figures to wander to their next game against the Spurs. Here's the key: plays on road teams revenging a road blowout loss of 30 points or more are 29-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. Plus, the Suns are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and the Clippers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win. Take the points.

4* Major Marquee Matchup (ESPN) on Hawks -3
This is a letdown spot for Dallas after such a gratifying win over the Lakers. Atlanta is one of the toughest home teams in the NBA at 22-6 at home this season. Its athleticism has caused major problems for the Mavs in recent matchups. Atlanta has won the last 2 meetings by 8 and 5 points respectively. In fact, the Mavericks are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings and also 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Atlanta. Atlanta has been deadly in the small home chalk. The Hawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points and 29-14-1 ATS in their last 44 games as a home favorite period. We'll lay the points with one of the best home teams in the NBA tonight.

5* Pac-10 Game of the Year on Oregon State +5
UCLA doesn't deserve to be laying this many points against anyone in the Pac-10 this season when you consider that it is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games as a home favorite of 6.5 or fewer points. The Beavers have proven to be one of the best teams to back in college basketball as they are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games overall. The Beavers are an impressive 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog and 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games as an underdog period. Oregon State should be particularly hungry tonight coming off a double digit home loss to Stanford and having lost to UCLA by 10 points earlier this season. UCLA is coming off an absolutely embarrassing defeat of nearly 30 points at Washington, a place where the Beavers only lost by 6 points by the way. That loss will have the Bruins motivated, but this UCLA team just doesn't have the fire power to put away an equally motivated squad tonight. For all the beatings the Bruins have handed the Beavers in recent years, I expect to see Oregon State playing with some desire in this one. Plus Reeves Nelson and Brendan Lane are both listed as doubtful for UCLA. I like the Beavers in this spot catching points regardless, but it will be a huge blow if Nelson and his 11.0 ppg can't go. Take the points.

3* NBA on TNT SMASH on Warriors +6
It's going to be a little bit different feel for the Nuggets without head coach George Karl on the bench tonight. Plus the Nuggets have been very inconsistent on the road this season and they figure to get a major test from a very motivated Warriors team here. The Warriors have lost each of the 3 prior meetings this season, with the last two losses coming by just 1 point and 5 points respectively, so you can bet they'll be pulling out all the stops not to be swept in the season series. Denver is just 4-12 ATS as a road favorite this season and only 1-10 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season, only winning in these spots by 3.6 points on average. The Nuggets are also 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400. The Warriors are a terrific 34-13-4 ATS in their last 51 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. We'll back the Warriors in the home dog role tonight.

4* Major Non-Conference Game of the Month (ESPN 2) on Tulsa +18
Tulsa will leave it all out on the floor tonight in this national TV game against one of the best programs in the country. Right away I like the fact that plays on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points off an upset loss as a home favorite against an opponent off a home win are 60-29 ATS the last 5 seasons. As if playing Duke on national TV isn't enough motivation, a very good Tulsa team should be especially hungry here as it enters off 3 straight losses. Pulling the upset tonight would easily atone for those defeats and that's what the Golden Hurricane will be shooting for. Tulsa has often been overvalued in its own league and as a result has lost 9 straight games ATS. Because of this, we are getting a little bit better line than we would have otherwise got. Plus, one has to think that Duke's players will be a little bit more concerned with the rest of its league schedule no matter how hard coach K tries to convince them not to be. We'll take an extremely motivated Tulsa team catching big points tonight.

4* Major NBA Vegas Line Mistake on Bobcats +8
Can't see the Jazz covering this number without Deron Williams, who is doubtful with a quad injury, tonight. He is the engine of the Utah offense. Meanwhile, the Bobcats should be extremely hungry for a win here after back-to-back bad losses to the Bucks and Clippers. I expect a big game from Stephen Jackson tonight as he looks to rebound from a dreadful 1 of 16 performance in his last game. I know Utah is in a bounce back spot, but I can't see it winning this one by 8-plus with a banged up point guard against a Bobcats team that should be motivated. The Underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings and we'll side with the dog tonight.

5* NCAAB Underdog of the Month on St. Louis +5
The Billikens are not getting the respect they deserve at home tonight. This team is 9-3 SU & ATS in A-10 play and 14-1 SU at home and 7-2 ATS in home lined games this season. The Billikens have defeated Richmond (the conference leader), Dayton and Rhode Island outright in the home dog role in 2010, and I anticipate another upset here. Xavier, which is tied for 2nd in the A-10, has a date with Richmond up next, so St. Louis likely won't get the Musketeers' entire focus tonight, although it should. This is a matchup that has been dominated by the home team in terms of the point spread as the home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Billikens are also an impressive 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 6.5 or fewer points. St. Louis is also 6-0 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons and 8-0 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams scoring 77 or more points per game over the last 3 seasons. We'll take the points.

3* SMASH on Blazers +3
While Marcus Camby is doubtful and Jerryd Bayless is listed as questionable, I still give the edge to the Blazers catching points as the Raptors are expected to be without Chris Bosh. Without Bosh, the Blazers have the two best players on the floor in Brandon Roy and LaMarcus Aldridge and those guys should will the Blazers to victory here. While the Raptors have been good at home this season, consider that they are only 11-26-1 ATS in their last 38 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. We also can't dismiss the fact that the Blazers are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games playing on zero day's rest, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. We'll take the points.

5* NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Suns/Thunder UNDER 204
Plays Under on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200, Phoenix in this case; a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, in February games, are a perfect 15-0 this season. With Steve Nash not playing tonight, the Suns won't have as much success pushing the pace and their pick-n-roll game won't be nearly as smooth. Plus, Phoenix is 7-0 Under in the second half of the season this season and 10-0 Under in road games on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons. We'll bet the Under here.

4* Major MVC Game of the Month on Evansville +10
This is a big letdown spot for N. Iowa, who has already wrapped up the regular season MVC title, after a huge Bracket Buster win over Old Dominion last week. While Evansville is the worst team in the Valley, it has shown a spark of late, beating the league's second place team (Wichita State) and playing them to a 6-point game, in two meetings this month. One thing that can't be overlooked here is that N. Iowa is 0-7 ATS versus poor teams, outscored by their opponents by 4 or more points per game, under coach Jacobson. The Panthers are only beating these teams by 7.8 points on average. The Purple Aces are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. We'll take the points here tonight.

3* SMASH on Knicks +10
Boston wins tonight, but not by enough to cover this margin. The Celtics will likely be without Paul Pierce tonight, who is listed as doubtful with a thumb injury. Plus, they will undoubtedly be looking ahead to Thursday night's showdown with the Cleveland Cavaliers. New York just played last night, but the team will be happy to get a chance to avenge an absolutely horrific performance so quickly. The Knicks only scored 67 points in last night's game with the Bucks and I expect much better from them here. NY has either defeated or played the Celtics to within 10 or fewer points in 3 straight and 6 of the last 7 meetings. The Celtics are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. The Knicks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 28-12-1 ATS in their last 41 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Even if Tracy McGrady isn't able to go, I look for the Knicks to keep this one within the number.

3* NBA Marquee Matchup on Atlanta Hawks +5
The Jazz have been rolling, but this is an extremely difficult spot for them after expending a lot of energy to come from 25 down to win in OT against Portland last night. Atlanta will be very hungry off back-to-back losses, including a bad loss to a lowly Golden State team Sunday in a game where it blew an 18-point lead. The Hawks match up very well with Utah athletically and that's a big reason why they have won the last two meetings by 7 and 13 points. Revenge may not be too likely for the Jazz in this spot when you consider that plays against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a loss where they scored less than 85 points, playing on back-to-back days are 24-6 ATS the last 3 seasons, including 2-0 ATS already this season. The underdog is actually winning by 1.5 points on average in these spots. The Hawks are also 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. We'll take the points.

5* Monday Night NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers +9
I know Indiana has really struggled on the road this season, but it is coming off a nice confidence boosting win over the Rockets. Furthermore, this will be the Mavs 5th game in the last 7 days, making this a tough spot for a veteran team. Also, I have to think that Dallas will be much more concerned about Wednesday's showdown with the Lakers. With all this in mind, I really can't justify laying this many points when you consider that Dallas is just 5-20 ATS as a home favorite this season, only winning in these spots by an average of 1.5 points. Lastly, plays against home favorites, extremely tired team playing their 5th game in 7 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 22-4 ATS the last 5 seasons, 18-2 ATS the last 3 seasons and a perfect 2-0 ATS this season. Take the points.

3* ESPN Big Monday "Total" Dominator on WVU/UConn UNDER 134.5
UConn has played to the Under in 4 of its last 5 and 9 of its last 12 and I expect this trend to continue tonight. A win tonight could go a long way toward boosting UConn's NCAA tourney chances and Jim Calhoun knows that his best chance to win is not to get into a track meet. Last season, when the Huskies won at WVU, they controlled the tempo and played great defense. As a result, the two teams combined for only 116 points, easily coming in Under the posted total of 138. Odds makers have come down with this number a little bit, but not enough, especially when you consider that UConn is a perfect 6-0 Under in its last 6 games where the total is posted in the 130's or lower. With as badly as the Huskies need this win, I expect a very high intensity effort on the defensive end, keeping this one Under the number.

4* Major NBA *Crunch Time Bailout* (ESPN) on Blazers +1
The Blazers have plenty of incentive to show up tonight after getting embarrassed at home by Boston and having lost each of the season's previous 3 meetings by double digits to the Jazz. This is a matchup that has been dominated by the home team in terms of the point spread as the home team is 23-9 ATS in the last 32 meetings. Furthermore, the Jazz are just 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Portland. We also love the fact that plays on any team revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset loss by 10 points, are 72-36 ATS the last 5 seasons. With this in mind, I think it's safe to say we have the right side here. We also like the fact that the Trail Blazers are 31-14 ATS in their last 45 games as a home underdog and 22-10 ATS in their last 32 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. We'll take a very motivated Blazers team tonight.

5* Sunday Night NBA *BEST BET* on Timberwolves +6.5
The Thunder are coming off a taxing overtime win in New York last night so they are going to have a difficult time covering this number on the road tonight, especially against a division rival that has played them so tough. Minnesota has either won or lost by 5 or fewer points in 6 of the last 7 meetings. The only exception was a 7-point loss. The T-Wolves normally always get up for division games so it comes as no surprise that they are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. the NBA Northwest. Plus, they are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. While the Thunder are a much improved team this season, I think it's still a lot to be asking this team to lay this many points very often, especially in today's spot. In fact, the Thunder are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. I think it is also worth noting that they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games. We'll take the points.

3* NBA "Total" Dominator (ABC) on Cavs/Magic UNDER 195
I expect a very physical defensive battle as this game takes on the feel of a playoff game Sunday afternoon. After allowing 106 points or more in each of its last 3 games, expect a Cleveland team only allowing 94.9 ppg on the season to really clamp down on the defensive end. Orlando will be equally motivated to "D" up after allowing 115 points to the Cavs just 10 days ago. The Magic are only allowing 94.2 ppg at home this season. This is a very strong system as it applies to both teams: plays Under on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points, extremely well rested team playing 3 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, are 38-13 the last 5 seasons, including a perfect 2-0 already this season. The average total posted in these games has been 195 and we are only seeing a total of 187.1 points scored on average. Bet the Under.

3* Saturday Night NBA SMASH on Pacers +8
Houston has 4 new players that are expected to see the floor tonight, and that is bound to throw this team's chemistry for a loop. While Indiana has struggled on the road, it has had success against the Rockets. In fact, the Pacers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Houston just hasn't shown that it can be trusted laying this many points when you consider that it is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games overall, 1-10 ATS in its last 11 home games, 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games as a home favorite and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. We'll take the Pacers and the points.

5* NCAAB Blowout of the Year on Cal -6.5
After an embarrassing double digit loss at Oregon State, Cal has seen its lead in the Pac-10 shrink to a half game. The Bears have already defeated Oregon by 32 points this season and they won by 18 the last time they visited the Ducks. Cal is the much more talented side and it should be motivated enough to lay the wood in this spot. The Golden Bears are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a road favorite and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points (listed at -7 at some books). The Ducks are a terrible 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600, 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. loss and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points (listed at +7 at some books). Oregon is 5-16 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons, losing these games by 13.8 points on average. With all the factors that have presented themselves, Cal seems primed for a blowout win.

4* Major C-USA Game of the Month on Tulsa -1
UTEP leads the league and enters this game having won 9 in a row, yet Tulsa is the team odds makers have favored. I believe the books have tipped their hand here. This should be Tulsa's most motivated spot of the entire season. It will be looking to avenge an earlier season loss to UTEP and it will be looking to avenge back-to-back losses to Memphis and Marshall. Tulsa has had great success against the Miners, and I expect that success to continue in this extremely motivated spot. Tulsa is 15-1 at home this season. It is a perfect 2-0 SU & ATS at home against the Miners over the last 3 seasons and 9-2 SU & 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 home games against UTEP. The Miners are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings at Tulsa and 1-8 ATS in the last 9 meetings overall. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 6.5 or fewer points. Take Tulsa.

5* ESPN Game of the Month on Mavs +6.5
Dallas has had tremendous success against the Magic, winning 5 of the last 6 meetings with that lone loss coming by just 2 points. This is a matchup that has been dominated by the underdog in terms of the point spread as the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Magic are a team that have been very prone to losing in look ahead spots. In fact, they lost to Memphis on January 25th as a favorite with Boston up next, and they lost to Washington as a favorite on February 5th with Boston on deck again. With LeBron and the Cavs on deck, it will likely be difficult for the Magic to give complete focus to the task at hand. Also, plays against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, against an opponent after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 27-9 ATS the last 3 seasons. We'll take the points with the Mavs tonight.

3* Friday Night NBA SMASH on Bucks pk
Since winning the season's first meeting clear back on Halloween, the Bucks have dropped the last two to the Pistons. Expect Milwaukee to even the score tonight as it looks to stay in the hunt for the final playoff spot in the East. The Pistons are just 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall, including 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Meanwhile, the Bucks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The Bucks are also an impressive 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss of more than 10 points, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. The Bucks are also 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Bet the Bucks.

4* Major Ivy League Game of the Month on Brown +6
The Bears will be out for revenge tonight after losing the season's first meeting by 1 point at home. Plus, I just can't justify laying this many points with Penn when you consider that the Quakers 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Meanwhile, the Bears are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 6.5 or fewer points and 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings at Penn. In addition, Penn is 0-6 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 2 seasons, losing these games by an average score of 67.8 to 72.3. Take Brown and the points.

4* Major Pac-10 *Crunch Time Bailout* on Oregon State +6
We'll take the points with the Beavers tonight. Oregon State played Cal to a 4-point game on the road in the season's first meeting and has either won or lost by 5 or fewer points in each of the last 4 meetings. Oregon State is a terrific underdog because of its slow down style of play. The Beavers are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games overall, 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog of 6.5 or fewer points. Cal has not been the same team on the road at just 4-7 SU & ATS when playing away from home this season. The Golden Bears are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings with Oregon St. and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Take the points.

5* NBA on TNT Game of the Year on Nuggets +7
Denver believes it can win a championship and it has certainly showed that to be a possibility in its biggest games this season. The Nuggets have won both of their meetings with the Lakers and they won their only meeting with the Cavs in a game Carmelo Anthony did not play in. Now, with coach George Karl announcing that he has cancer, I expect his boys to play even harder. I have to think that the Nuggets will be the more focused team tonight as the Cavs try to adjust to life with Antawn Jamison and life without Zydrunas Ilgauskas. It is not clear whether Jamison will play, but it is certain that Big Z won't be in the lineup and the Cavs will miss him. We saw how bad the Mavs looked in their first game after making a big trade, only scoring 86 points against the Thunder. Chemistry was an issue and I expect it to be an issue for Cleveland here. Plus, the Cavs are still expected to be without Mo Williams so quality depth is also an issue. The Nuggets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The Nuggets are also 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. We'll take the points.

3* NCAAB *Under The Radar* SMASH on Pepperdine +10.5
Off a big win over St. Mary's, don't expect Portland to give Pepperdine its complete focus tonight, especially since it won the first meeting by 16 points. Meanwhile, the Waves will be extremely focused as they try to end a 7-game skid. We made a similar play last night with the Nebraska Corn Huskers catching big points against a K-State team that had blown them out in the season's first meeting. K-State clearly wasn't ready for the motivated Huskers who led at the half and only lost by 4 points as a 14.5-point dog. Pepperdine has played 3 straight on the road so it will be very happy to see its home floor again tonight. This is a team that played Gonzaga to a 7-point game on the road so it can certainly give Portland all it wants and more at home here. We'll take the points.

5* Never Lost NBA "Total" Dominator on Suns/Mavs UNDER 217.5
Plays Under on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200, Phoenix in this case; a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, in February games are 51-15 the last 5 seasons including a Perfect 10-0 this season. In addition, plays Under on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200, Dallas in this case; cold team failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of their last 15, well rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days, are 26-4 since 1996 and 10-1 the last 3 seasons. With the Mavs still adjusting to their new teammates, I don't think they will have enough offensive cohesiveness to push this one over the number.

3* Big Ten SMASH on Penn State +7
After a physically draining overtime win over Minnesota Sunday, and with a revenge game against Wisconsin on deck, don't expect the Wildcats to be completely focused on the task at hand here. Meanwhile, the Nittany Lions could not be more motivated as they are still looking for their first Big Ten win. With these things in mind, I believe odds makers are giving Penn State too many points. In fact, the Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5 points, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog period. Penn State is a perfect 6-0 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season, only losing in these games by an average score of 61.2 to 65.7. Plus, the Nittany Lions are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings in this matchup. We'll take the points.

4* Major Big 12 *BEST BET* on Nebraska +14.5
We'll take Nebraska catching big points in what should be its most motivated spot of the season. The Huskers are coming off a brutal 40-point loss to Texas and they will be further motivated by a 19-point loss to K-State earlier this season. The Huskers have played Kansas to a 12-point game and an 11-point game this season so they can definitely keep this one within the number. Plays against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points, an excellent offensive team scoring 76 or more ppg, against an excellent defensive team allowing 63 or less ppg, after a combined score of 125 points or less, are 40-14 ATS since 1997. We'll take the Huskers tonight as they save face by giving the Wildcats all they want and more.

5* ESPN Super Tuesday Total of the Month on Kentucky/Mississippi State UNDER 142.5
In Kentucky's last 3 road games, we have seen total scores of 139, 130 and 136. Plus, each of the last two meetings in this series have easily come in Under this number with total scores of 133 and 123. While Kentucky can be prone to turnovers when put under pressure, teams know that they don't want to get into a track meet with the Wildcats. Expect Mississippi State to take a cue from S. Carolina, slowing down the pace, to give the Wildcats all they want and more, and the Under should be the result. The Under is 8-2 in the Wildcats' last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The Under is also 7-2 in the Bulldogs' last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 and 11-4-1 in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600 period. With as solid as both of these teams are defensively, the Under gets the call tonight.

4* Major Tuesday NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz -2
The Jazz entered the All-Star break on a 9-1 tear, but a poor performance at home against the Lakers right before the break has left a sour taste in their mouth. Adding to that sour taste is an earlier season blowout loss to Houston. Expect the Jazz to bounce back strong tonight. The Rockets are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The Jazz are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 12-2-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall and 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. We'll lay the points with the Jazz.

3* NBA "Total" Dominator on Mavs/Thunder UNDER 195
The Mavericks have acquired DeShawn Stevenson, Brendan Haywood and Caron Butler and they are expected to see action right away. This is going to create some chemistry problems initially, especially on the offensive end, and this is the chief reason why I think this one comes in Under the number tonight. Plus, I like the fact that plays Under on road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points, well rested team playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%), are 43-18 since 1996, including 11-2 over the last 3 seasons. The Under is also 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams played in Seattle/Oklahoma City and 10-2 in the Thunder's last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. We'll bet the Under.

4* Major ESPN Big Monday Total of the Month on Kansas/Texas A&M UNDER 141.5
Texas A&M is one of the better defensive teams in the country on its home floor where it is allowing only 59.8 ppg. Kansas has proven to be solid defensively as well, allowing only 65.5 ppg on the road. Right away, I like the Under here when you consider that Texas A&M is on a 28-13 Unders run, even against very good shooting teams making >=48% of their shots, and we have only seen 137 total points on average in these games. The Under is 7-3 in the Jayhawks' last 10 road games and 5-2 in the Aggies' last 7 home games. It's also 8-3 in the Aggies' last 11 games as a home underdog and 13-6 in the Jayhawks' last 19 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. Texas A&M knows its best shot to win is not to get in a track meet with Kansas. I expect the Aggies to stick to the game plan tonight and for the Under to be the result.

3* NCAAB *Under The Radar* SMASH on UL Monroe +8
Last season, these two teams produced a pair of nailbiters with both games being decided by a total of 4 points. UL Monroe is coming off back-to-back wins over a pair of teams that have recently defeated the Red Wolves (Arkansas LR, Western Kentucky). I know Arkansas St. is a good home team, but I believe this line is a little steep, especially when you consider that the Red Wolves are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. It's also worth noting that Arkansas St. is on a 0-7 ATS slide when playing against a team with a win percentage between 40-49 percent after 15 or more games, actually losing to these teams by an average score or 65.9 to 74.7. It is also worth noting that Arkansas St. is 1-10 ATS in February games over the last 2 seasons. UL Monroe has won 2 of its last 3 road games SU as an underdog. We'll take the points tonight.

4* Major Big East *BEST BET* on Rutgers +11
Rutgers has proven to be pretty good at home with an 11-4 record on the season, including recent straight up wins as an underdog against Notre Dame and St. John's. Georgetown won the first meeting at home by 25 points so don't expect the Hoyas to bring their full attention and focus to the floor today, especially with a rematch against Syracuse up next on their minds. Remember what happened when Georgetown was looking ahead to a rematch with Villanova? It lost to S. Florida at home by 8 points as a 13-point favorite. Georgetown is 0-8 ATS after covering 3 of its last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons and 0-6 ATS after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons. The Hoyas are also 7-23-1 ATS in their last 31 games following an ATS win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. Take Rutgers.

3* NCAAB *Under The Radar* SMASH on Ohio +7.5
Ohio versus Akron is starting to become quite the heated rivalry in the MAC. 4 of the last 5 meetings between these schools have been decided by 5 points or less. Ohio comes in playing well, having won back-to-back games and 5 of its last 7, and motivation will not be an issue today as it seeks to avenge an earlier season loss to the Zips. Right away, I like the fact that plays on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, going up against an opponent off a road win, are 52-23 ATS the last 5 seasons. The average line in these games has the favorite favored by 6.1 points with a winning margin of only 2.6 points for that team. I also like the fact that Akron is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games with winning margins of just 5 and 4 in its last 2. It's also nice to know that the Zips are just 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400 and 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. In addition, the road team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. We'll take the points today.

3* Saturday Night Prime Time (ESPN) on Tennessee +9.5
Off an embarrassing loss at Vandy, expect the Vols and there pressure defense to show up and give the Wildcats problems tonight. Bruce Pearl is a great motivator. We saw the way he got his kids ready to play against Kansas, even in the face of adversity, and I expect him to do his part again tonight. While John Wall is no doubt talented, he has also been prone to turnovers, and I expect Tennessee's pressure to get to him in this one. In addition, the Vols were embarrassed twice by Kentucky last season so I expect those two losses to add fuel to the fire. The Volunteers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and we'll take them in that role here.

5* Big 12 Game of the Year on Texas Tech -1.5
This game is all about payback for Texas Tech after getting crushed by 15 at A&M. The Red Raiders are a superb home team at 13-1 SU & 7-2 ATS in home lined games this season so I'll back them laying less than a deuce on their home floor here today. First off, the home team is 9-4-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings so we see how important home court has been in this series. In addition, the Red Raiders are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 6.5 or fewer points. It's also nice to know that Texas Tech is 15-6 ATS when revenging a loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. We'll take Tech as our Big 12 Top Play.

4* Major Atlantic 10 Game of the Month on Rhode Island +4.5
This is a very motivated spot for Rhode Island, who is looking to get back in the win column after a loss to Richmond and also looking to avenge an earlier season OT loss to Temple. Rhode Island has proven to be a quality team when playing away from home. In fact, it is 9-2 SU and 7-2 ATS in lined games away from home this season. Looking further back, the Rams are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 road games. Plus, they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 6.5 or fewer points. It is still uncertain if Juan Fernandez, who was so instrumental in Temple's win over Rhode Island earlier this season, will go this afternoon. If he can't go, the Owls are certainly a mediocre team without him. If he can go, I expect to see some rust. We'll take the points with Rhode Island in this motivated spot.

4* Major MVC Monster on Drake +2.5
Indiana State really isn't too worthy to lay any amount of chalk right now when you consider that the Sycamores are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite. Plus, they are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite and just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 6.5 or fewer points. Drake may only be 4-8 away from home this season, but it is 8-3-1 ATS in those games. The Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 6.5 or fewer points, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. the Missouri Valley. Drake will be out for blood here after a home loss to rival Northern Iowa and after a 14-point home defeat to Indiana State earlier this season. The Sycamores are already without Jake Kelly and now they've lost Harry Marshall and Dwayne Lathan. That's a lot or points to make up. We'll take the Bulldogs.

4* Major NCAAB *Under The Radar* SMASH of the Week on Columbia +13.5
We have a lot going in our favor here. First off, Princeton will be much more concerned with its game tomorrow against Cornell as the Big Red are also undefeated in Ivy League play. Secondly, Princeton runs a methodical clock-eating offense. With odds makers setting the opening total of this game at just 105.5 points, it is apparent that they expect points to be at a premium. With that in mind, I feel pretty good about catching 13.5 of them with Columbia. In fact, the Lions are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog of 13.0 or more points. Plus, the Tigers are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 13.0 or more points and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 13.0 or more period. It is also worth noting that the Lions are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Another thing to keep in mind is the motivation level of Columbia. Plays on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 73-33 ATS since 1997. Columbia will be motivated by its recent poor performance against Yale and further motivated by playing an undefeated Ivy League team tonight. We

4* Major NCAAB *Crunch Time Bailout* (ESPN 2) on Saint Mary's +6
With a win, Saint Mary's takes a big step toward winning the WCC title so you can bet the Gaels are going to leave it all out on the floor tonight. Saint Mary's was very disappointed with how it played at home against the Zags in an earlier season loss so I expect a much better effort here. The Gaels have proven to be one of the best road teams in the country as they enter tonight's contest a perfect 7-0 in true road games. A couple other things really stick out to me. The first is that Saint Mary's is 13-4 ATS versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 4 or more points per game over the last 2 seasons. The second is that the Gaels are a perfect 6-0 ATS when looking to avenge a loss where they allowed 85 or more points under coach Bennett. Take the points tonight.

3* NBA on TNT SMASH on Spurs +6
It's gut check time for the Spurs. They only managed 89 points against the Lakers Monday in a double digit defeat in a game Kobe Bryant did not play in. If that doesn't get San Antonio motivated nothing will, but I have a hunch it will. The Spurs should be further motivated by two prior defeats to the Nuggets this season, including a double digit home loss on January 31st. It is certainly worth noting that this matchup has been all about the underdog with the dog covering the last 6 meetings. Plus, the Spurs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Denver. I also like the fact that the Nuggets are just 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a favorite and 1-7-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win. Denver is coming off a big win, and performances like that usually gain public backing the next game. That is the case here. With the odds makers' knowledge of such situations, I believe they have spotted us plenty of points to get the cover.

5* SEC Game of the Month (ESPN) on Ole Miss +4.5
Ole Miss lost the season's first meeting at home, but I expect the Rebels to pay back their struggling rivals, who have lost 4 of 5, tonight. The Rebels have been sensational against the spread when playing away from home at 8-2 in that role this season. In fact, Ole Miss is 13-4 ATS in road lined games over the last 2 seasons. But what's even more impressive is that the Rebs are a perfect 6-0 ATS in road games when looking to avenge a loss versus an opponent over the last 2 seasons. Take Ole Miss and the points.

5* MWC Game of the Year on New Mexico +5.5
New Mexico is catching too many points here when you consider the motivation it has to avenge an earlier season loss to UNLV. This matchup has been all about the underdog from a betting perspective as the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Plus, the Lobos are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog and the Runnin' Rebels are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 6.5 or fewer points. New Mexico is also 7-2 when playing away from home this season. In addition, a win by the Lobos would take them past UNLV in the MWC standings. They would then be all alone at the top in the win column and only tied with BYU in the loss column. That's further motivation for Steve Alford's boys tonight. And we certainly can't overlook the weapon that is coach Alford here as his teams are 20-8 ATS in road games when revenging a same season in all games he has coached since 1997, winning in these spots by an average score of 68.7 to 67.9. In other words, he has made the proper adjustments. I'll take the points tonight as New Mexico has an excellent shot at winning this one outright.

4* Major NBA Blowout of the Week on Celtics -4
After blowing a double digit lead and losing to Orlando on February 7th, I expect the Celtics to bounce back strong tonight to enter the All-Star break on a positive note. Darren Collison has played well in relief of Chris Paul, but now he's up against Rajon Rondo, one of the premier point guards in the game, so I expect to see him struggle tonight. The Hornets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. the NBA Atlantic Division. Boston has won 4 straight over the Hornets, all by double digits, and I expect this trend to continue tonight.

3* NCAAB *Under The Radar* SMASH on Furman +7.5
Furman usually always plays Wofford tough at home. In fact, it has won 8 of its last 12 home games against Wofford. The Paladins will be especially motivated tonight because they have now lost 3 straight to the Terriers, including a 3-point loss at home last season and an 11-point loss at Wofford earlier this season. But Furman is 14-4 ATS when revenging a same season loss over the last 3 seasons and 11-3 ATS in home games when revenging a road loss vs. an opponent over the last 3 seasons. The Paladins are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 7.0-12.5. We'll take the points with the home dog tonight.

3* NCAAB Line Mistake on Alabama +16
The Tide have lost 3 in a row so they should not be lacking any motivation tonight, especially since they have also lost their last 3 against Kentucky. Meanwhile, Kentucky just played as well as it could play against LSU and has Tennessee on deck so the Wildcats are in a tough spot here as far as motivation goes for this one. The Tide have been reliable of late on the road as they are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 road games and they are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 13.0 or more points. The Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win and this just goes to show you how much they have been overvalued following a victory. We'll take the points with Bama tonight.

3* NCAAB *Under The Radar* SMASH on Evansville +10.5
There is some value with Evansville in the home dog role tonight when you consider that the Purple Aces are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 7.0-12.5 points and the Shockers are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite. Evansville has either won, or lost by 5 or fewer points, in 4 of the last 5 meetings in this series. Plus, Wichita State is just 1-3 ATS in its last 4 MVC road games. Its lone ATS win during this stretch came against conference leader N. Iowa in a game where the Panthers were clearly overvalued because they were the team odds makers figured the public would be pounding. In this instance, the Shockers are the team the public is hitting hard, which is another reason why I feel we are getting pretty good value with the home dog here. Take the points.

3* NBA "Total" Dominator on Kings/Knicks UNDER 215.5
The Kings are 7-0 Under on Tuesday nights this season and we are only seeing 196.2 points in these games. I think it no coincidence either as the Kings are just 6-17 ATS on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons while only scoring 98.1 points in these games. Tuesday is a flat night for this team, most likely because it is often times their first game of the week. The Under is also 7-1 in the Knicks' last 8 Tuesday games and 5-0 in their last 5 games when playing on 2 days rest. NY is also 10-1 Under after trailing in its previous game by 20 or more points at the half over the last 3 seasons and Sac is 11-1 Under after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. We'll take the Under here.

3* NBA on TNT "Total" Dominator on Spurs/Lakers UNDER 194
With Andrew Bynum listed as doubtful and with Kobe Bryant clearly not at 100 percent (listed as questionable), we can't expect to see the Laker offense hitting on all cylinders tonight. Plus, these two teams always know that it is a possibility they could see each other in the postseason so these games tend to mirror the postseason in terms of defensive intensity. That's why we've seen so many low-scoring contests. The Under is a perfect 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles and 7-2 in the last 9 meetings overall. The Under is also 6-0 in the Spurs' last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 and 5-1 in their last 6 road games period. Over the last 80 games between these two teams, we have seen an average combined score of just 187 points. And in the last 6 meetings in LA, we are only seeing an average of 186 combined points. We'll take the Under.

3* ESPN Big Monday *BEST BET* on Texas +2
Texas got caught looking ahead Saturday, but as a result, it will be even more motivated tonight. The Longhorns have had great success against the Jayhawks at home, having won three straight home games in the series. We also must note that the Horns have won six in a row at home against teams ranked in the top 5. After getting off to a 17-0 start and a No. 1 ranking, things have not gone as smoothly for Texas. It has a chance to redeem itself tonight, and with that in mind, I expect Texas' best effort of the entire season. Playing so quickly after Saturday's defeat is actually a good thing as that loss still burns strongly. In fact, Texas is on a 15-4 ATS run in home games when playing with one or less day's rest. Meanwhile, Kansas is on a 0-9 ATS skid after having won 18 or more of its last 20 games. Plus, the Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 6.5 or fewer points and the Jayhawks are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 road games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. We'll take Texas and the points.

3* Under the Radar SMASH The Citadel +7.5
The Citadel has played Charleston very tough recently, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings by 9 and 14 points respectively in the underdog role. After losing to Charleston at home by 6 points earlier this season, I expect The Citadel to be especially motivated tonight. The Citadel has been one of the best underdogs in college hoops in recent seasons, as it is on a 22-5 ATS run as an underdog, a 15-4 ATS run as a road underdog or pick, and on a 17-5 ATS run in all lined road games. The Citadel enters off back-to-back wins and that is also significant as it is 6-0 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. The Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings at Charleston and the road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. We'll take the points.

3* SEC SMASH on LSU +12
We are getting pretty good value with LSU in the home dog role today as the Tigers could not be hungrier to end their 8-game losing streak. They showed that hunger in their last game when they played Tennessee to a 5-point game, and I expect them to show up again here. Expect a big game from Tasmin Mitchell, who only shot 4 of 12 against Tennessee. If he had any kind of offensive game against the Vols at all, LSU would have won. He is a good player, and I don't expect him to be outdone by the star power of Kentucky on his home floor this afternoon. The Wildcats are just 6-14 ATS in their last 20 vs. the SEC and we see a trend developing with Kentucky having lost its last 2 road games ATS. We'll take the points.

4* Major National TV Annihilator (CBS) on Michigan +1
It's been a disappointing season thus far for a Michigan team that won a game in the NCAA tournament last year. But one thing we have been able to count on is the Wolverines showing up at home where they are 9-3 on the season. Michigan should not be lacking motivation today as it looks to avenge a 6-point loss at Wisconsin and an embarrassing 15-point loss to Northwestern in its last game. Meanwhile, Wisconsin is just 2-4 in true road games this season, and we find it in a letdown spot today after a huge win over first place Michigan State. It's certainly important to note that the Wolverines are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400 and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games period. Take the Wolverines.

5* NCAAB False Favorite of the Month on Clemson +1.5
With or without Demontez Stitt, who is listed as questionable for this game, and who the Tigers did not need to defeat Maryland in their last game, I expect Clemson to hand VA Tech its first home defeat of the season today. The Tigers have not played since January 31 so they should be very well prepared and ready to go. I strongly feel that VA Tech has overachieved to this point. Clemson had played the much more difficult ACC slate and that will show out on the floor today. The key to VA Tech's home success is its defense, but the Hokies allowed a struggling UNC squad to hang 70 points on them last game, and we all know how badly the Tigers crushed the Heels. The Underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the Road team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Plus, the Tigers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 6.5 or fewer points and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 6.5 or fewer points. Really think the books have the wrong team favored here. Take Clemson.

4* Major Saturday Night NBA Blowout on Grizzlies -3
Memphis is the better team, and it should be ready to prove it after enduring back-to-back defeats, including an embarrassing home loss to Houston last night. Minnesota just rattled off its third straight win last night, but it has not had much luck against the Grizzlies lately, losing all three matchups against them this season. Minnesota is just 1-9 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, losing to these teams by an average score of 95.3 to 109. Minnesota is also just 1-10 ATS versus good rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 3 or more per game this season. The Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest while the Grizzlies are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400. I'll take the better team laying a small number in a motivated spot.

5* NBA Western Conference Total of the Year (ESPN) on Nuggets/Lakers UNDER 202.5
The Under is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings between these two teams, including 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in LA. The Under is also 6-1 in the Nuggets' last 7 road games and 5-0 in the Lakers' last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. The last time these two teams met, clear back in November, we only saw 184 total points scored with the Nuggets holding the Lakers to just 79 points. The Lakers have not soon forgotten that embarrassing loss and I expect them to really buckle down on the defensive end tonight. But on top of the motivation, the star power in this matchup is banged up. The Nuggets are expected to be without Carmelo Anthony once again and Kobe Bryant is listed as questionable with an ankle injury. We'll pound the Under.

3* Friday Night NCAAB SMASH on Montana -4
Montana is a sensational home team at 10-1 on the season while Weber State has struggled to the tune of 3-6 in true road games this season. Plus, the Grizzlies will be further motivated tonight after falling to the Wildcats on the road in early January. They've had this one circled ever since and I expect them to have their revenge tonight. The Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. Also, they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games following three or more consecutive road games. Meanwhile, the Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games following three or more consecutive home games. We'll take Montana in this highly motivated spot.

3* NBA Side of the Night on T-Wolves +10.5
First off, the Timberwolves are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Dallas. Secondly, Dallas is the worst favorite in the NBA right now. The Mavericks are 6-22 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite, 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points, and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Minnesota comes in well rested and with great momentum having won its last 2. Plus, Dallas is banged up with Dirk Nowitzki and Erick Dampier both nursing injuries. We'll take the points.

3* NBA on TNT SMASH on Heat +10
Cleveland is rolling right now, but Dwayne Wade and company always seems to play the Cavs tough. I know Miami just played in Boston last night, but we are getting additional value with this line because of it. Plus, the Heat will be extremely motivated to avenge a 1-point home loss to the Cavs late last month. 7 of the last 8 matchups between these two teams have been decided by 9 or fewer points. The only exception was a 10 point loss by the Heat. With this in mind, I feel very comfortable taking the points. This matchup has favored the road team and the underdog as the road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Plus, the Cavaliers are only 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. We'll take the points.

5* ACC Game of the Month (ESPN 2) on Duke -12.5
Duke is a perfect 12-0 at home this season and 8-3 ATS in all home lined games. The Blue Devils could not be more motivated tonight as they look to pay Georgia Tech back for an earlier season loss, and as they look to bounce back from a loss to Georgetown last game. Duke is 9-1 SU & 7-3 ATS in its last 10 home games against the Yellow Jackets, winning these games by an average of 17.2 points. Also, plays on home teams as a favorite or pick off an upset loss by 10 points or more, against an opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, are 25-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. Duke is also 7-1 ATS vs. top caliber teams outscoring their opponents by 12 or more points per game this season, winning these games by an average score of 70.6 to 55.6. The Blue Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points and they get the call tonight.

3* Under the Radar SMASH on Detroit +16
You have to like Detroit's chances catching this many points when you consider that it is a perfect s 8-0 ATS versus good defensive teams allowing 64 or fewer points per game this season. Plus, the Titans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games overall. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games and only 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite. We'll take the points here.

3* NBA SMASH on Kings +4
The Spurs usually get more than they bargain for in Sacramento and I expect that to be the case again tonight. Sacramento has either won, or lost by 3 or fewer points, in home games against the Spurs since November of 2007. Tony Parker is listed as doubtful, and if he indeed isn't able to go, the Kings have an even greater chance of winning this game outright. Also plays on home underdogs in a double revenge spot (2 straight losses vs. an opponent), if that opponent is coming off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite, are on a 53-24 ATS run. The home team is on a 3-0-1 ATS run in the last 4 meetings and the Spurs are just 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Sacramento. Take the points.

4* Major Wednesday Night NBA *BEST BET* on Blazers +7.5
I like the Blazers catching this many points at Utah tonight regardless, but especially with Carlos Boozer listed as doubtful. A big key here is that Utah has won the two prior meetings this season so the Blazers will be extremely motivated tonight. Plus, I love the fact that the Trail Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Take the points.

4* Major Early Cash Cow (Big 10 Network) on Penn State +14.5
The time to back Penn State has certainly been in the road underdog role. In fact, the Nittany Lions are 3-1 ATS in that role in Big Ten play and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog period. The Nittany Lions are also 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The Buckeyes are coming off a huge blowout win over Minnesota so I can't see them getting up for this game tonight. That's usually been the case for the Bucks as they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 20 points. Take the points.

5* NBA Public Massacre of the Year on Warriors +7
The Warriors may only by 4-20 on the road this season, but they are 13-10-1 ATS in those games, and they have been downright deadly lately. In fact, the Warriors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. They are also 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. It's also hard to justify laying this many points with the Rockets when you consider that they are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Plus, the Rockets have struggled to defend the uptempo Warriors in recent meetings, allowing Golden State to score 107 or more points in each of the last 3 meetings while not winning by more than 4 points. Plus, I love the fact that the public is all over Houston here, reaffirming that we have the smart money side. Take the points.

3* Early NBA SMASH on Pacers +1.5
The Pacers lost in Toronto by 15 points Sunday. But when we examine that matchup more closely, we find that these two teams were actually tied with 8 minutes remaining in the game before Indy ran out of gas. The Pacers will have much energy on their home floor tonight. We also find that Pacers star Danny Granger only scored 8 points in that game, 14.4 points lower than his team-best average. Looking further into things, the Raptors are expected to be without Hedo Turkoglu tonight. While the Raptors didn't need him Sunday, he is a very important part of this team and a guy they really rely on late in games, especially on the road. Toronto has had its fair share of struggles on the road, going just 9-16 away from home so far this season. The Raptors are playing their best basketball of the season right now, but I expect the Pacers to be extremely motivated in this spot following a loss to Toronto in their last game. Plus, I expect Granger to perform much better at home tonight, and I expect the Raptors to miss Turkoglu. Lastly, we can't ignore the fact that the home team is a perfect 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Take the Pacers.

4* Major ESPN Super Tuesday *BEST BET* on Ole Miss +11
The Rebs got caught looking ahead Sunday against Arkansas, and that loss should only add to their motivation tonight. Chris Warren, who is averaging a team-high 16.7 points will be especially motivated after missing both meetings with Kentucky last season due to injury. Right away, you have to like the fact that plays on underdogs of 10 or more points off an upset loss as a favorite, playing their 2nd game in 3 days, are 93-39 ATS since 1997. Ole Miss is also 12-4 ATS in all road lined games over the last 2 seasons and a perfect 7-0 ATS versus good offensive teams scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. We'll take the points.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Bobcats/Trail Blazers UNDER 189.5
Portland has gone over in 6 straight and Charlotte is 5-0-1 Over in its last 6 and this has elevated tonight's line. This matchup has typically been a low scoring one. In fact, we haven't seen a total set this high between these two teams since 2007, and that line was just 190. In the last two meetings, we have seen lines of 179.5 and 171 respectively, and we have seen total scores of just 162 and 154. Both of these teams prefer to play in the half court, and that

3* ESPN Big Monday *BEST BET* on Louisville -6
The public is all over UConn tonight and that only makes me like the Cards more. UConn is just 1-6 SU & 2-4 ATS when playing away from home this season, including 0-4 SU in true road games, and I don't think it will be able to handle the pressure of a very hungry Louisville team, that is 11-3 at home, tonight. The Cardinals are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400, an amazing 43-17-2 ATS in their last 62 vs. the Big East, and even 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 Monday games. This is also the month when Pitino typically really gets his boys going as they are 12-3 ATS in February games over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average of 10.6 points. Lay the points with Louisville at home.

3* NCAAB Sunday Night SMASH on So. Illinois +1.5
This is a sandwich game for the Wichita State. The Shockers are in a letdown spot following a big win over Illinois State, and they are in a look ahead spot with first place Northern Iowa on deck. Wichita State has lost its last 2 road games and is just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games as a road favorite. So. Illinois will be extremely motivated at home tonight after a loss to Indiana State, and the Salukis have certainly had Wichita State's number. The Salukis have won 6 straight over the Shockers overall and 11 of their last 12 at home. The Shockers are just 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings and 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings at So. Illinois. Take the Salukis.

3* NBA "Total" Dominator on Warriors/Thunder UNDER 214
The Under is a perfect 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams when the Warriors have visited the Thunder and I fully expect this trend to continue. The Thunder prefer to play at a slower pace, averaging just 98.7 ppg at home, and they are strong defensively, allowing only 94.7 ppg at home. In fact, OKC is even 15-5 Under in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots per game over the last 2 seasons, and we are only seeing an average of 196.5 points scored in these spots. The Thunder enter on a 6-1 Unders run and the Warriors are 4-1 Under in their last 5 road games. Bet the Under.

5* Big Ten Game of the Month (CBS) on Minnesota +7
The Gophers have only lost by more than 7 points one time this season so they should be able to keep this one within the number here today. They already have an 11-point win over Ohio State this season and have won 3 of their last 4 meetings with the Buckeyes. A big key here is Minnesota's defensive pressure as it has really rattled the Buckeyes in these recent contests. In fact, Ohio State is 0-6 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons, losing to these teams by an average score of 61.2 to 65.7. Plus, we couldn't picks a better day of the week to fade the Bucks as they are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Sunday games. Take Minnesota and the points.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Hawks/Magic UNDER 193.5
Each of the last 3 meetings between these teams have finished Under the number while averaging only 177.7 combined points scored. Revenge is a great defensive motivator. In fact, Atlanta is on a 25-7 Unders run when revenging a loss of 10 points, and we are only seeing 184.7 combined points in these games. The Under is also a perfect 8-0 in the Magic's last 8 games playing on 1 day's rest and 7-1-1 in the Hawks' last 9 games following a S.U. win. Bet the Under.

4* Major NCAAB Letdown Game of the Month on Georgia +7.5
This is a huge letdown spot for S.C. after pulling off the shocking upset over Kentucky. Meanwhile, a Georgia team that has been playing well, covering the spread in 5 of 6 with an upset win over Tennessee, got a wake up call with a bad loss at Florida. That loss should have the Dawgs refocused tonight. The Dawgs will be further motivated by getting swept in the season series by the Gamecocks last season. The Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. The Gamecocks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. Take the Dawgs.

5* C-USA Game of the Year on SMU +8
First of all Memphis isn't near the team it has been the past couple seasons, which gives us all the more reason to go against the Tigers here. Memphis will undoubtedly be looking ahead to UAB and SMU will be looking to pay the Tigers back for handing it an embarrassing 90-47 loss last season. SMU is greatly improved. It has won 3 straight heading into this contest and played UAB to a 1-point game and UTEP to a 4-point game. Memphis is 0-7 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. SMU is 6-0 ATS off a home win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. The Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The Mustangs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Conference USA. Take the points.

4* Major 33-0 ATS Friday Night NCAAB *BEST BET* on Wisconsin Green Bay +8
After getting crushed by 23 points at Butler, expect a quality Wisconsin Green Bay club to be motivated enough to give the Bulldogs a serious scare tonight. Right away, I like the fact that plays on home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a loss where they scored less than 60 points, against an opponent off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival, are 39-14 ATS the last 5 seasons. But, perhaps even more relevant is the fact that Green Bay is a perfect 8-0 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs. an opponent over the last 2 seasons. And furthermore, WGB is 8-0 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. And I'm not done yet; Butler is 0-7 ATS after a cover as a double digit favorite over the last 2 seasons and 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. And lastly, the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take WGB and the points.

3* Friday Night NBA SMASH on Blazers +6
I know the Blazers will be without Brandon Roy tonight but they have not been hopeless without him as LaMarcus Aldridge has picked up the slack. I like Portland catching these six points for a few reasons tonight. First off, the Blazers are only allowing 93.5 ppg on the road this season. Secondly, the Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite. And thirdly, the Trail Blazers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. I'll take the points here.

3* SMASH on Memphis Grizzlies +5
The Spurs are coming off a much-needed win over Atlanta, but they'll have a difficult time getting past one of the hottest teams in the NBA tonight without Tony Parker on the floor. The Grizzlies have won 7 of their last 8 with that lone loss coming by just 2 points on the road, including a 92-86 win over the Spurs. We can't exactly bank on revenge from the Spurs either when you consider that they are just 3-13 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss over the last 2 seasons and 5-19 ATS revenging a road loss vs. an opponent over the last 2 seasons. Expect Memphis to take the Spurs right down to the wire.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Lakers/76ers UNDER 204.5
I expect these two teams to keep this total Under the 200 mark tonight. The Lakers are 10-2 Under after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season, with the average total score coming in at just 190.1 in these spots. After an easy win over Indiana, the Lakers will be much more concerned about being fresh for their next game against Boston than they will about hammering the 76ers. Plus, this is the Lakers 6th straight road game so I expect Phil Jackson to give his bench plenty of minutes tonight, and that bench hasn't been getting the job done over the course of the season. Philly has played to the Under in 5 straight and 8 of its last 9 games as it has been held under the century mark in 7 of its last 9 contests. The Under is also 6-0 in the 76ers' last 6 home games. We'll take the Under here.

5* NCAAB Game of the Month on Oregon State +4
Really like Oregon State in the home dog role tonight. First off, the Beavers have been one of the best covering teams in the country at 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall, and they have been extremely dangerous as a dog at 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog. In fact, OSU is 8-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 62.0 to 59.7. Also, USC is 0-7 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons, losing in these spots by an average score of 62.9 to 63.3. We'll take the Beavers and the points tonight.

5* NBA on TNT Total of the Year on Celtics/Magic UNDER 190
This matchup has been an Unders machine with the last 6 meetings playing to the Under and 6 of the last 7 meetings in Orlando coming in Under the number. I fully expect this trend to continue this evening as these two Eastern Conference powers engage in a defensive battle. The Magic are struggling from the field, and as a result, we've seen them play to the Under in 5 of their last 6 and 8 of their last 10. Boston has played to the Under in 4 of its last 5 as well. One thing we can usually count on is Boston bringing the "D" against top notch competition, especially now that K.G. is back. In fact, Boston is 11-1 Under in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons and we are only seeing an average of 177.8 points scored in the games. The Under is also 5-0 in the Magic's last 5 games playing on 2 day's rest, 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record, and 6-0 in the Celtics' last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Under.

3* Thursday Night NBA SMASH on Knicks -3
This is a good opportunity to fade the Raptors tonight. First off, Toronto is just 8-16 on the road. Secondly, it is just 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games after playing a game the previous night. Thirdly, the Knicks will be extremely motivated to get the "W" here after falling at home to the Raptors just 13 days ago by 8 points. The thing that goes unseen with the score is that the Raptors shot 12 of 22 from 3-point land in that game playing with 3 day's rest. The 3's shouldn't fall as easily tonight in a back-to-back. The Knicks don't find themselves laying points very often these days, but they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. You also have to like the fact that they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. NY is also 15-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record in the 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Lay the small number here tonight.

3* NBA Non-Conf. SMASH on Spurs -3
Expect the Spurs to dig down deep after 3 straight defeats to get the win and cover tonight. The Hawks have struggled immensely in San Antonio, going 1-11 SU & 2-10 ATS in their last 12 meetings there. Also, the Hawks are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 3-15 ATS in road games versus teams outscoring their opponents by 3 or more points per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. It's gut check time for the Spurs and I have them answering the call.

5* Wednesday Night NBA *BEST BET* Blowout on Thunder -5.5
The Thunder are one of the most resilient teams in the NBA so I expect them to be extremely motivated to get back in the win column tonight after back-to-back defeats. In fact, OKC is 16-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season and 9-1 ATS off a road loss this season. This is also a great spot for the Thunder as they have had 3 days to rest while the Bulls are playing their 4th road game in 6 days. The Thunder are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on 3 or more day's rest and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. It's been a good road trip for the Bulls, but expect them to fall SU & ATS tonight against the much fresher Thunder.

3* 21-0 ATS NCAAB Under the Radar SMASH on George Mason -11
George Mason is rolling, having won 5 in a row, and it will be extremely motivated to take it to Delaware tonight as it remembers last season's 8-point loss at Delaware well. It is also worth noting that GM won by 23 points as a 12-point favorite at home against Delaware last season. We can't overlook the fact that GM is on a perfect 7-0 ATS run in home games versus terrible teams outscored by their opponents by 8 or more points per game after 15+ games into the season, winning in these spots by an average score of 85.0 to 59.3. GM is also 7-0 ATS after having won 8 or more of its last 10 games over the last 2 seasons and Delaware is 0-7 ATS after a close win by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. We'll lay the points.

5* 43-0 ATS Tuesday NBA *BEST BET* on Bucks +7
It's hard not to like the Bucks catching this many points in Dallas tonight when you consider that the Mavs are 0-11 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. And that's not all. The Mavericks are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 10 points and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Tuesday games. Meanwhile, the Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when their opponent scores 100 or more points in their previous game and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. And there's more. Dallas is 0-7 ATS this season at home when facing up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots per game. All together, we have a 43-0 ATS Angle in our favor tonight. In addition, it is also worth mentioning that the Bucks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 meetings with Dallas and the underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Take the points tonight.

3* NBA "Total" Dominator on Bucks/Mavs UNDER 198
This matchup has seen a lot of Overs in recent years, but tonight's situation looks very favorable to the Under. First off Milwaukee is 9-4 to the Under in its last 13 road games. Secondly, plays Under on any team, Milwaukee in this case, after a huge blowout win by 30 or more, against an opponent that led by at least 15 points at halftime in its last game, are 15-1 over the last 3 seasons. And when the team is off a blowout win by just 20 or more points in the above situation, the Under is 103-48 since 1996. Both of these teams had ridiculous shooting percentages from the floor in their last games, better than 57%. That won't happen again tonight. Bet the Under.

4* Major ACC Game of the Week (ESPN U) on Miami Florida +8.5
Miami has lost 3 straight, but the Canes should be well rested and well prepared tonight having not played in a week. In fact, Miami is on a 16-5 ATS run in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest, winning these games by an average score of 68.5 to 65.4. The Hurricanes are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Plus, it's still too early to trust Maryland laying this much chalk when you consider the Terrapins are only 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5. Take Miami and the points.

4* Major NBA Vegas Line Mistake on Pacers +5.5
This is the second game of a home and home between the Pacers and the 76ers. The 76ers took the first game at Indianapolis by 10 points which tells me that Indiana will be extremely motivated to return the favor here tonight. "This is one we could've and should've won," Brandon Rush said. "We couldn't make shots when we needed." A big reason for the loss was that Indiana was exhausted, playing their fourth game in five nights. They'll be much fresher tonight. A couple things that look good for us are the Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on 1 day's rest and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss. Plus, the Pacers are 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Philadelphia and Pacers are 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings overall. The underdog is also 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. I also can't justify laying this many points on a team that is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games as a favorite and 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. With all this in mind, odds makers are overvaluing the 76ers tonight. We'll take the points.