5* NBA Game of the Week on Warriors -3.5
This is a big letdown spot for the Clippers after an upset win over the Miami Heat in their last game. In addition, this is a big bounce back spot for Golden State off back-to-back defeats. One of those defeats was a double-digit loss to the Clippers, which ensures us the Warriors will be out for revenge this evening.

There are also plenty of numbers to support this play in addition to these 3 strong situational factors (letdown, bounce back, revenge). The Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. The Warriors are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the Clippers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 meetings at Golden State.

We also have another very special trend in our favor. Consider that LAC is 0-8 ATS in road games following a home game in which both it and its opponents topped the century mark over the last 3 seasons. The Clippers are losing by an average score of 112.9 to 95.0 in this spot. Lay the points.

3* NBA *Top Dog* on Bobcats +9
This game is all about revenge for a Bobcats team that has lost its last four to the Celtics by 18 or more points. An embarrassing 93-62 home loss to Boston last month will really fuel Charlotte's fire tonight.

Fortunately for us, this is not the same Bobcats team that was crushed by Boston a month ago. That was an anemic offensive team coached by Larry Brown. This team is 6-2 under interim coach Paul Silas and enters tonight contest having won 4 in a row.

In addition, the Bobcats catch a break with Kevin Garnett not expected to return until Monday's meeting with Orlando, a game the Celtics will no doubt be looking ahead to.

The Celtics are a lousy 13-28-1 ATS in their last 42 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. They are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win. They are just 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games following a S.U. win of more than 10 points. The Bobcats have covered the spread in 4 straight, and they are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings at Boston. Take the points.

3* Pac-10 Power Play on Stanford +7.5
Washington has won 6 in a row against the Cardinal, including 3 double-digit victories last season. In other words, Stanford won't be lacking any motivation when it takes the floor tonight.

Stanford is an unbeaten 7-0 at Maples Pavilion this season, where it is holding opponents to 53.7 points by playing some of the best defense in the Pac-10. Washington has dropped 3 of its last 5 when playing away from home and has only defeated Stanford on the road twice in the last 17 years.

The Cardinal will be further motivated by a 10-point loss at Arizona in their last game. Consider that Stanford is 9-2 ATS since Dawkins took over following a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival. It is bouncing back to win by an average score of 70.0 to 65.0 in this situation. Take the points.

3* NBA on TNT SMASH on Magic pk
Motivated by last night's loss at New Orleans, I expect the Magic to be ready to go tonight. Plus, Orlando has the big edge on defense. The Magic are only allowing 93.3 ppg on 43.9% shooting. The Thunder, meanwhile, are giving up 101.5 ppg on 46.8% shooting. The OKC "D" was especially bad last night, allowing a season-high 70 points in the paint. They won't get away with such poor interior defense against Dwight Howard and company this evening.

The Magic have won 9 of 10 overall and 8 of their last 9 against the Thunder. The Magic have been able to hold Durant to just 17.6 points in his career - his fewest versus any opponent. I'm taking the superior defensive team in a bounce back spot. Bet Orlando.

3* NCAAB Super System SMASH on Rhode Island +10
Off back-to-back embarrassing defeats, including a 72-45 loss to Xavier last game, Rhode Island will have plenty of motivation on its side tonight. In fact, plays on underdogs of 10 or more points off an upset loss by 15 or more points at home, are an impressive 72-35 ATS since 1997. In addition, plays against favorites of 10 or more points coming off a win against a conference rival and taking on an opponent off an upset loss by 10 points or more at home, are 69-32 ATS since 1997. This system is already 2-0 ATS this season.

The Rams have taken the Spiders down to the wire each of the last 2 seasons, losing by just 3 points in 2009 and 2 in 2010. In fact, Richmond hasn't defeated Rhode Island by more than 10 points in any of the last 10 meetings. 6 of those games have been decided by 3 points or less. Consider that the Spiders are just 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. Take Rhode Island.

4* NCAAB Under The Radar Blowout on TCU -6
Big letdown spot for Wyoming after a 1-point upset win over New Mexico. Plus, huge bounce back spot for TCU after 4 straight defeats, including an absolute pounding at UNLV.

Wyoming is 0-6 when playing away from this season, losing these games by 11.5 points on average. Meanwhile, TCU is 7-2 on its home floor, where it is winning by 12.9 points on average.

The Cowboys are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. Plus, TCU has won 4 straight at home in this series by an average of 12.5 points. Lay the number.

5* NBA *BEST BET* on Mavericks +1
The Mavs have struggled without Dirk Nowitzki and Caron Butler in the lineup, but I like their chances in Indianapolis tonight. Motivated by back-to-back defeats, and with 3 full days to rest and prepare, expect Dallas to bring its "A" game against a Pacers squad that just played last night.

The Mavs have been deadly recently when getting plenty of time off. In fact, they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 3 or more days rest. The Mavs have also been deadly against the Pacers, winning 5 straight and 9 of the last 10 in the series. How have the Pacers been when playing back-to-back you ask? They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing without rest.

The Mavericks are an impressive 50-24-1 ATS in their last 75 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or fewer points while the Pacers 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. Take Dallas.

4* Big 12 Blowout Game of the Week on Missouri -11.5
As if an upset loss at Colorado isn't enough motivation, an upset loss to the Huskers in last season's Big 12 tourney will certainly fuel the fire. Prior to that defeat, Mizzou had defeated Nebraska 3 straight times by an average of 18.3 points. I expect a similar outcome tonight.

Nebraska is not as good as its record might lead you to believe. The Huskers have benefited from a very soft schedule and are yet to play a true road game. Unfortunately for the Huskers, their first true road game of the season comes against a highly motivated Mizzou squad.

Perhaps no team in the country has bounced back better than the Tigers in recent years. Consider that Mizzou is a perfect 7-0 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons, exploding to win by an average score of 90.7 to 63.3 in this situation. The Tigers are also an unbeaten 6-0 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival over the last 3 seasons, bouncing back to win by an average score of 86.2 to 65.2 in this spot. Take the Tigers.

3* NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers +5
The Pacers will be extremely motivated tonight. Not only are they looking to snap a 3-game skid, but they are out to avenge an embarrassing 101-75 loss at Philly earlier this season.

Over the long haul, Indy has been extremely profitable in these spots. In fact, it is an impressive 74-42 ATS in its last 116 games when revenging a loss where it scored less than 85 points. It is winning by an average score of 93.1 to 91.0 in this situation.

Prior to their earlier loss at Philly, the Pacers had won 3 straight in the series. Plus, Indy has dominated this matchup in terms of the point spread. The Pacers are 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings and 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Philadelphia. Also, the underdog is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

Andre Iguodala could return for Philly tonight, but that could actually work against the 76ers. They've built a little chemistry with him out of the lineup. His return could throw things off offensively for a game or two. With or without Iguodala in the lineup, I like the Pacers to keep this one within the number.

5* Big Ten Game of the Month (ESPN) on Michigan State -3.5
Motivated by an upset loss at Penn State, I completely expect the Spartans to bounce back strong on their home floor tonight. In fact, Sparty is 9-2 ATS when coming off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite of 6 points or more under coach Tom Izzo. State is winning by an average score of 75.4 to 59.1 in this situation.

Michigan State has won 5 straight at home in this series with those wins all coming by at least 7 points. As a result, the Spartans are 5-0 ATS in those games. It is also worth noting that the home team has won the last 10 meetings.

Sparty has a nice advantage from beyond the arc in this one. Wisconsin has shot the ball poorly from 3 away from home this season (27.6%) and it has not defended the 3 well away from Madison (38.1%). Michigan State is knocking them down at a 38.8% clip at home. Consider that Wiscy is 0-6 ATS when playing away from home versus good 3 point shooting teams making 37% or more of their 3-point attempts since the beginning of last season. The Badgers are losing to these teams by 6.6 points on average. Take Michigan State.

4* Under the Radar Blowout on Kent State -8.5
Off 3 straight defeats, Kent State will be out for blood when it takes the floor tonight. Adding to this motivation is the fact that Bowling Green came in an upset the Golden Flashes as an 11-point dog last season. You can bet Kent hasn't forgotten.

Bowling Green is just 2-7 away from home this season where it is averaging just 58.8 ppg. That's just not going to get it done. In fact, Kent is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games, 15+ games into the season, versus poor offensive teams scoring 64 or fewer points per game. The Flashes are winning these contests by 14.2 points on average. In addition, Kent is a deadly 8-1 at home this season. Lay the points.

3* Monday Night NBA SMASH on Bobcats +3
The Bobcats are 4-2 while playing a more uptempo style under Paul Silas. Look for them to continue their winning ways against a Memphis team they have defeated 3 straight times at home.

The Bobcats will especially be motivated tonight as they remember an embarrassing 33-point loss at Memphis on Dec. 15 well. The fact that Charlotte enters with momentum is also a plus, considering it is 20-8 ATS in home games off a home win over the last 3 seasons, winning by 8.3 points on average in this situation.

Memphis is just 6-14 on the road this season and it is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 road games as a favorite. Plus, Charlotte is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take the points.

3* Monday Night NCAAB SMASH on Tennessee Martin +11
Austin Peay hasn't won by more than 9 points at Tennessee Martin in its last 3 tries or 8 of its last 9. The Governors come in riding high with 5 straight wins, including an upset win over Murray State in their last game. It will be hard for them to get up for this game following that big win.

Not getting up for lesser opponents has certainly become a trend. In fact, the Governors are 0-6 ATS in their last six games, 15 or more games into the season, against opponents that are getting outscored by an average of 8+ points per game. They are only defeating these teams by an average score of 76.5 to 76.0.

The Skyhawks, meanwhile, could not be more motivated as they look to notch their first Ohio Valley victory. They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the points.

3* Sunday Night NBA SMASH on Lakers -6.5
Off a highly emotional win for Amare Stoudemire against his former team, I don't expect the big fella to be mentally ready to play at the level he needs to for his team to be successful tonight. Besides, Stoudemire has rarely brought his "A" game at Staples Center.

In 11 career regular season road games against the Lakers, Stoudemire has averaged just 15.1 points - easily his lowest average away from home. LA's length and athletic ability on the interior has certainly bothered Stoudemire.

Before beating Phoenix, the Knicks had lost on the road to Cleveland, Miami and Orlando by at least 7 points. Plus, the Lakers have won 3 in a row against NY by 9 or more points. Expect the Lakers to rise to the occasion again tonight.

4* Saturday Night NBA Blowout on Hawks -7
Tough spot for the Pacers playing back-to-back following a tough loss to the Spurs. What makes this spot even tougher is the fact that Atlanta is rested and has defeated the Pacers by double digits in each of the last five meetings.

Atlanta is rolling, coming off an impressive win at Utah. In fact, Atlanta is 8-0 ATS in home games off an upset win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. It is winning by an average score of 104 to 91.5 in this situation.

Revenge is not a likely scenario for the Pacers. Consider that plays against road underdogs looking to revenge a loss in which they were held to less than 85 points, against an opponent off 3 or more consecutive road wins, are 29-6 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting into this system are losing by 14.6 points on average. It is also worth noting that this system is a perfect 7-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. Lay the points.

3* NCAAB *Marquee Matchup* (ESPN) on Texas -8
UConn lost by 15 to a more balanced Pitt team, and I see the same problems for the Huskies when they take on a balanced Texas squad today. The Huskies are too reliant one 1 player to score (Walker), and that will really hurt them against strong defensive teams.

Plus, this Texas team has not forgotten the 14-point loss it was handed by UConn a season ago. That defeat will serve as added motivation.

Texas is 9-0 at home this season and it has won 27 straight non-conference home games. The Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. This one stays close for a while but Texas should pull away in the 2nd half. Take Texas.

3* NBA on ESPN SMASH on Rockets +9.5
Motivated by 3 straight defeats, expect the Rockets to keep this one within the number tonight.

Because Houston has failed to cover the number in six straight games (according to the closing line), it is showing good value here. In fact, Houston is an impressive 20-4 ATS in its last 24 road games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games. Houston is also an impressive 84-39 ATS in its last 123 road games after 2 or more consecutive losses.

The Rockets are 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings in this series and 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Orlando. Take the points.

3* NCAAB SMASH on Illinois State +8.5
Off 3 straight defeats, with the last 2 coming on the road, Illinois State will be out for blood as it steps back on its home floor tonight.

The Shockers come in riding high with 7 straight wins, and I expect them to look right past a team they defeated twice last season (once at home and once in MVC tourney), especially since a big showdown with Missouri State awaits. That, however, would not be wise considering Illinois State has won its last 4 home meetings in this series convincingly. As a result, the Shockers are 0-4 ATS in those games.

In general, this matchup has been dominated by the home team, which is a perfect 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Redbirds may come up short this time around, but I fully expect them to keep the score within this generous number.

4* NBA *BEST BET* on Raptors +9.5
Toronto fell 93-79 to Boston Sunday. Motivated by that loss, I fully expect the Raptors to take the C's down to the wire tonight.

The Celtics have been a poor investment at home. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games and 12-27-1 ATS in their last 40 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Getting a little more specific, Boston is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points.

In addition, the road team is 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings. Toronto already has an upset win over Boston this season. It has also played the Celtics to a 9-point game at the Garden this season. I'm expecting an even better effort at the Garden this time around. Take the points.

4* Pac-10 Game of the Week on Washington State -12
Washington State is 5-1 at home this season, where it is winning by 23.8 ppg. The problem is it hasn't played a home game since Dec. 10. Happy to be back home, and hungry to end a 3-game skid, expect WSU to win big tonight.

Off 3 straight wins, odds makers are begging for action on Oregon State with this line. We won't bite. The Cougars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points.

The Beavers are just 1-3 in true road games this season. They were slaughtered by 26 points at Colorado to a team that doesn't defend nearly as well as the Cougars. Lay the points tonight.

3* NBA on TNT SMASH on Thunder -1.5
Nowitzki is expected to miss another game tonight, but I like the Thunder regardless in this spot. Off back-to-back losses, and looking to avenge back-to-back losses to Dallas, expect Kevin Durant and company to rise to the occasion tonight.

The Mavericks are 17-39-3 ATS in their last 59 home games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog. They are also 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 Thursday games.

The Thunder are one of the most resilient teams in the league. As a result, they are 38-14 ATS in their last 52 games following a S.U. loss. They are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite, 37-18 ATS in their last 55 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games.

The Thunder are 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings in this series and 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Dallas. Take OKC.

4* NBA Underdog Shocker on Clippers +4
Off back-to-back defeats, expect a motivated Clippers team to be ready to pull off the upset tonight. The Clippers have played the Nuggets tough at Denver two times already this season, losing by 7 and 5 points to cover the number each time. Now, I expect them to get the job done against a Nuggets squad that is just 5-10 on the road.

The Nuggets have been a terrible investment in the chalk. In fact, they are 4-12-2 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite. They are also 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Denver is also just 5-19-2 ATS in its last 26 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400.

Lastly, plays on any team off 2 or more consecutive home losses, extremely well rested team playing only its 2nd game in 7 days, are 62-37 ATS since 1996. Take the points.

5* NBA Game of the Week on Rockets -6
The Rockets have begun the New Year with back-to-back losses on the road. One of those losses was an embarrassing 100-85 loss at Portland. With a day to rest, and back at home, I expect Houston to have its revenge tonight.

It will be extremely difficult for Portland to recover from last night's loss at Dallas. Expect the Blazers to be deflated after blowing a five-point 4th quarter lead. Plus, Portland has had no success in Houston. In fact, it has averaged just 86.4 points while losing 12 of its last 13 there. Portland has struggled on the road in general, losing 6 of its last 7 and 10 of its last 12 away from home. Houston, meanwhile, has won 9 of its last 10 at home.

The Rockets are 6-0-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss and 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. Lay the points.

4* NCAAB Blowout on Richmond -13
After suffering a 1-point home loss to Bucknell, the Richmond Spiders will be out for blood tonight. In fact, Richmond is a perfect 6-0 ATS off a home loss over the last 3 seasons.

As if that isn't enough motivation, last season's 12-point upset loss at home to Charlotte should fuel the fire. And it just so happens that this is a very tough spot for Charlotte being its third straight road contest. Charlotte has been playing some solid ball lately, but we can't ignore the fact that it is 0-8 ATS after having won 6 or 7 of its last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.

The 49ers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog, 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog and 8-27 ATS in their last 35 vs. the Atlantic 10. The Spiders are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 13.0 or more points and 10-2-2 ATS in their last 14 vs. the Atlantic 10. Lay the points.

4* Never Lost NBA *BEST BET* on Lakers -12
Expect the Lakers to show up in a big way tonight after getting brutally embarrassed by Memphis. It will certainly be to their benefit that Detroit used a lot of energy in a loss to Utah last night. With tired legs, it will be tough for the Pistons to defend this motivated Lakers team.

The Lakers haven't had any trouble against the Pistons. In fact, they have won each of the last 4 meetings by at least 12 points, including a 13-point win at Detroit earlier this season. Plus, prior to Monday's matchup with Utah, Detroit had dropped their seven games against opponents currently above .500 by an average of 14.3 points.

Here's the clincher: Under coach Kuester, Detroit is 0-10 ATS in road games after having lost 4 of its last 5 games. The Pistons are losing by an average of 17.3 points in this situation.

The Lakers are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss of more than 10 points and the Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing without a day of rest. Lay the points.

4* 100% Perfect NCAAB Blowout on Northern Iowa -11.5
Off back-to-back close losses to Missouri St. and S. Illinois, the Panthers will be ready to bounce back strong at home tonight. As if those losses aren't enough motivation, a 1-point loss to the Purple Aces in the last meeting will fuel the fire.

N. Iowa defeated Evansville 65-46 at home last season. The Aces have had all kinds of trouble away from home. In fact, they are just 1-4 in true road games this season and were crushed by 34 points at Wichita State in their last road game. The Panthers are 6-1 at home this season where they are winning by an average score of 67 to 51.6.

The Panthers defended the 3-point line remarkably while holding the aces to just 46 points in last season's home win. Rest assured, this strong UNI defense will get the job done again tonight. In fact, the Panthers are 11-0 ATS over the last 2 seasons versus good 3 point shooting teams making 37% or more of their attempts. Lay the points.

3* NBA SMASH on Rockets +7.5
Here's what head coach Rick Adelman had to say about yesterday's 100-85 loss at Portland: "Just a poor effort. That is as bad as we have played all year. We were a step behind all night." Teams usually respond after such a poor showing, and Houston has been one of the best in bounce back spots.

The Rockets are 21-9 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons, bouncing back to win by an average score of 103.7 to 96.3. Denver, meanwhile, which is coming off a double-digit win over Sacramento, is 11-24 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. It is only winning in this situation by an average score of 106.8 to 104.6. It is also worth noting that Denver is 5-17-4 ATS in its last 26 games following a win of more than 10 points and the Rockets are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss period.

Denver is 14-3 at home this season but only 6-10-1 ATS in those games. The Nuggets are only 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite. The underdog has covered the number in 5 of the last 6 meetings. Take the points tonight.

4* NCAAB *BEST BET* on William & Mary -2
After 3 straight road games and 3 straight losses, I fully expect William & Mary to make some noise in its return home. As if getting back in the win column isn't enough motivation, a 1-point home loss to UNC Wilmington last season will certainly add fuel to the fire.

The Seahawks are coming off a big win over Toledo, so now is the perfect time to go against them. That's because the Seahawks are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win of more than 20 points. They are also 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 6.5 or less points.

UNCW has lost 4 of 5 true road games while W&M has won 4 of its 5 home games. Lay the small number with the Tribe at home tonight.

3* Sunday NCAAB *BEST BET* on Michigan -7
Huge bounce back spot for Michigan after getting embarrassed by Purdue in its Big Ten opener.

The Wolverines are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. It is also worth noting that Beilein's teams are an impressive 37-14 ATS off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival. Michigan is 11-3 ATS off a home loss to a conference rival under Beilein.

The Wolverines have won 9 of their last 11 at home against Penn State by an average score of 72-62. Take Michigan.

3* NBA New Year's Eve Blowout on Suns -5.5
Big letdown spot for Detroit following an upset win over Boston. Plus, very motivated spot for Phoenix as it looks to bring a 4-game skid to an end.

Detroit has had all kinds of troubles against the Suns in recent years. In fact it has lost 4 in a row SU and ATS in the series by no fewer than 10 points. Its 2 losses at Phoenix during this span have come by 18 and 26 points respectively. Also, we can't forget that Detroit is just 3-13 away from home this season, where it is losing by 7.7 ppg.

The Suns have spent a lot of time focusing on defense following one of their worst defensive performances of the season last time out. I fully expect them to put forth a much better effort on the defensive end tonight and the numbers certainly support this opinion. Consider that Phoenix is 18-6 ATS in its last 24 home games after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game. It is winning by 14.8 points on average in this situation. Lay the points.

4* NCAAB *BEST BET* on Nevada -4
Off back-to-back losses on the road, Nevada will be hungry to get back in the win column on its home floor tonight. I love their chances, when you consider that they have won 10 straight at home over Hawaii by an average score of 73 to 63 since 2001. We also can't ignore the fact that the Warriors are 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400.

Hawaii has the much better record and has covered the spread in its last 6 lined games. With this in mind, the books are looking for as much action on Hawaii as possible with this line. We won't bite. Lay the points with Nevada.

4* NBA on TNT Total of the Month on Knicks/Magic UNDER 213
New York is 0-2 against Boston and 0-2 against Miami. Looking for a signature win against an Eastern Conference powerhouse, the Knicks know they must bring the "D" tonight.

We can normally count on strong defensive performances from the Magic, which are only allowing 91.1 ppg at home this season. It is worth noting that the Under is 15-5-1 in the Magic's last 21 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. It is also worth noting that the Under is 3-0-1 in the Knicks' last 4 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points.

Getting a little more specific, we find that Orlando is 12-3 Under as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since the beginning of last season. We are only seeing 185.2 total points scored in these games.

There's sure to be playoff intensity tonight, and I expect it to result in the Under.

4* Never Lost NCAAB *BEST BET* on UNC Wilmington -9.5
Off back-to-back defeats, including a major wake up call loss to Campbell, the Seahawks will be ready to take out their frustration on Toledo tonight.

This is a terrible spot for Toledo, which is 0-5 when playing away from home this season. Consider that the Rockets are 4-13 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons, losing to these teams by an average score of 68.7 to 51.8. Toledo is also 4-13 ATS in its last 17 as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points, losing by an average score of 75.6 to 59.4 in this situation. In addition, the Rockets are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 when playing with 7 or more days rest.

I have extreme confidence that Coach Buzz Peterson will have his boys ready to go following such an anemic offensive effort. That's because Peterson's teams are a perfect 10-0 ATS all-time following an embarrassing road loss in which they scored less than 60 points. Lay the points.

3* 100% Perfect Horizon League Hard Hitter on Wright State -8.5
Wright State is a perfect 6-0 at home this season, where it is winning by 14.8 ppg, and it will hold nothing back tonight as it looks to notch its first conference win.

When Wright State is dictating the tempo - playing halfcourt hoops - it is normally covering the number. In fact, the Raiders are a perfect 7-0 ATS after a combined score of 125 points or less in 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons. It is winning by an average score of 62.0 to 48.9 in this situation.

Further motivated by a loss at Charlotte in their last game, expect the Raiders to return home and take care of business by a double-digit margin tonight.

3* Wednesday NCAAB Blowout on Utah State -19.5
Hawaii has not fared well when making the trip inland to face Utah State. In fact, Hawaii lost by 44 points in its last visit last January.

The numbers are certainly in our favor here when you consider how many unbeaten trends line up on the Aggies. Utah State is 7-0 ATS after game where it allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less over the last 3 seasons, 8-0 ATS in home games after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons, 6-0 ATS in home games after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last 2 seasons and 7-0 ATS in home games after a combined score of 125 points or less over the last 2 seasons. In addition, the Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 13.0 or more points. We'll bet Utah State behind this 32-0 ATS angle tonight.

4* NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons +6.5
This is an extremely motivated spot for the Pistons, who were brutally embarrassed by Boston at home last month. In that game, Kevin Garnett reportedly called Charlie Villanueva a "cancer patient." Villanueva and the Pistons have not taken kindly to those words, and I expect them to do something about it tonight.

The Celtics are coming off a double-digit win last night, and odds makers tend to overvalue teams following blowout victories. In fact, Boston is just 4-14 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more since the beginning of last season, only winning by 1.1 points on average in this situation.

The Pistons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. Pound the Pistons.

3* NBA *Marquee Matchup* on Lakers +3.5
After back-to-back embarrassing losses to Milwaukee and Miami, expect the Lakers to show up in a big way at San Antonio tonight.

The Lakers have had no problem winning on the road, where they have been victorious in 5 straight. They also haven't had much problem covering the spread against San Antonio. The Lakers are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio.

The Lakers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss of more than 10 points. In addition, plays on any team off an upset loss by 15 points or more, playing with 2 days rest, are 34-12 ATS the last 5 seasons. Plus, plays on road teams, explosive offensive team scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, are 76-41 ATS the last 5 seasons.

Expect the Lakers to rise to show everyone they are still a force to be reckoned with tonight.

3* NCAAB Top 25 Tango on Wisconsin -8
Wisconsin is 9-0 in conference home openers under coach Bo Ryan, and he'll make sure his boys are ready to go as they look to snap a 3-game skid against to Minnesota.

Similar to last night's UConn/Pitt matchup, odds makers want as much action on the higher ranked team as possible as they are expecting Wiscy to take care of business. Consider that the Golden Gophers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. Also, Wiscy is a perfect 6-0 ATS in home games versus very good teams that are outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game since the beginning of last season. The Badgers are defeating these teams by an average of 16.5 points. Lay the points.

3* NCAAB *Marquee Matchup* (ESPN2) on Pittsburgh -7
UConn has exceeded expectations early. I really believe it comes back down to earth at some point as it is far too reliant on 1 player (Walker). Pitt is an outstanding defensive team with the ability to slow down Walker. Offensively, the Panthers are very balanced.

Pitt has won the last 3 meetings in this series with all 3 of those wins coming by at least 8 points. The last 2 wins have come by 10 points each.

With a line like this, you know odds makers want as much action on the higher ranked Huskies as possible. We're not about to bite, however. Consider that the Panthers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. This is a statement game for Pitt. Lay the points.

3* NBA "Total" Dominator on Mavs/Thunder UNDER 203.5
The fact that Dallas won the season's first meeting at OKC plays right into our hands here. Consider that plays Under on all teams when the total is greater than or equal to 200 revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a home favorite, provided that team has won 60-75% or more of its games on the season, are 87-43 the last 5 seasons (66.9%). This system is already 2-0 this season.

The Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these teams in Oklahoma City. Odds makers have set the bar too high tonight. Bet the Under.

5* NBA Christmas Day *BEST BET* (ABC) on Lakers -2
The Lakers haven't played since a Dec. 21 embarrassing loss to the Bucks, which can't be sitting well. They'll be ready to go at home on Christmas day to show the Heat they are still the team to beat.

The Lakers are an impressive 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Meanwhile, the Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.

This is a game where the Heat will really miss a guy like Udonis Haslem alongside Chris Bosh. Zydrunas Ilgauskas, Juwan Howard and Erick Dampier just don't have the athleticism to match up well with the LA bigs.

Miami has already lost to Dallas twice and Boston twice, so it has certainly struggled with elite teams. I'm laying the points with the Lakers.

5* NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Magic -2
Orlando has been struggling, but it catches the Spurs in a great spot tonight. The Spurs used a lot of energy in last night's comeback win over Denver. They may be able to hang around for a while, but I expect this much fresher Orlando team to pull away in the second half.

The Spurs haven't had much luck in Orlando lately, losing their last 2 visits by 12 and 26 points respectively.

The Spurs were lucky to win the season's first meeting. They had to rally in the fourth to beat the Magic last month. Fortunately, Orlando is one of the best in the biz when out for revenge. In fact, it is 43-26 ATS in its last 69 games revenging a same season loss, winning by an average score of 101.1 to 94.3 in this situation. Lay the points.

3* 100% Perfect NBA SMASH on 76ers +9.5
As if last night's embarrassing loss to Chicago isn't enough motivation, a 1-point loss to Boston earlier this month will add extra fuel the fire.

The 76ers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall. They are also a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing without rest.

Boston is 4-13 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons, only winning these games by 6.2 points on average. Philly is 13-4 ATS in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, only losing by 1.7 points on average in these games. With Rajon Rondo out of the lineup tonight, it only helps Philly's chances. Bet the 76ers.

4* NCAAB *BEST BET* (ESPN2) on Michigan State -5
This is a tough spot for Texas, which is coming off a thrilling win at N. Carolina. After such an emotional victory, it will be tough for the Longhorns to bring the same level of energy on the road again tonight. That will be a major problem against this more experienced Michigan State team.

The Spartans also have a huge motivational edge as they look to avenge a loss at Texas last season. It is not good practice to go against Sparty at home, considering they have won 52 straight at home in non-conference play.

The Longhorns are just 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. They are just 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 road games and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog of 6.5 or fewer points. It is also worth noting that the Spartans are 22-8-2 ATS in their last 32 games as a favorite of 6.5 or less. Lay the points.

3* NCAAB SMASH (ESPNU) on Stanford +9.5
Stanford will be out for blood tonight after such an embarrassing loss at Butler. Plus, it will draw added motivation from a 1-point loss to Oklahoma State last season.

Stanford has suffered 5 straight ATS defeats while Oklahoma State has won 5 in a row ATS. This has forced odds makers to inflate the line, which has created some nice line value tonight.

The Cardinal are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Back Stanford in this highly motivated spot.

3* NBA SMASH on Bobcats +6.5
After getting absolutely destroyed last night, the Bobcats will show up in a big way at home. Oklahoma City is a talented team, but it has struggled in the road chalk this season, largely because of its defense. The Thunder are allowing 101.5 ppg on the road. Compare that to the 96.2 ppg the Bobcats are allowing at home. As a result the Thunder are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.

The Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Charlotte is also 18-6 ATS after being held to 80 points or less over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average score of 94.1 to 91.8 in this spot. Bet the Bobcats.

3* NBA *Marquee Matchup* on Heat -6.5
Miami's last loss was an 11-point defeat to these Dallas Mavericks. That loss triggered a players only meeting and the Heat have been rolling ever since. They have won 12 in a row and will be out for revenge tonight.

The Heat are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. the Western Conference. They are also a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Mavericks are just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. the Eastern Conference and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.

The Heat made a statement with a blowout win at Madison Square Friday, and they'll be looking to make an even bigger statement tonight. Lay the points.

3* Sunday NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons +4.5
The Pistons bit the dust hard after their big win over Atlanta. I expect the Hornets to follow suit following their big win over Utah.

The Hornets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. In addition, the Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 4.5 or less.

We also can't ignore the fact that New Orleans is 0-8 ATS in road games after 5 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons, losing in this situation by an average score of 98.1 to 88.7. New Orleans is 0-8 ATS after allowing 80 points or less over the last 3 seasons as well, losing by an average score of 101.4 to 97.9 in this spot. With a 30-0 ATS angle in our favor, I like our chances taking the Pistons and the points.

3* 100% Perfect NCAAB Blowout on Butler -9
We'll fade Stanford here in its first true road game of the season against the defending national runner-ups. First off, the Cardinal are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. They are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

It is also certainly worth noting that the Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. With Matt Howard, Shelvin Mack and Ronald Nored back, the Bulldogs have more talent on the floor than Stanford. Expect these three to help Butler pull away to a comfortable win in the second half. Lay the points.

5* NBA Game of the Week on Hornets +1.5
Chris Paul is sick and tired of hearing about how Deron Williams has his number. I fully expect him to do something about it at home tonight.

I'll gladly get behind the Hornets at home, where they are 10-3 this season, in this highly motivated spot. Utah won the first meeting at its place and New Orleans will be out for revenge here tonight.

The fact that odds makers have set such a low total says a lot about what they expect to happen. It tells us that they expect New Orleans, which is holding foes to 91.5 ppg at home, to have success slowing down the Jazz. A lower scoring game definitely favors the Hornets here. In fact, under coach Sloan, Utah is just 40-66 ATS in road games when the total is between 185 and 189.5 points. It is losing these games by an average score of 96.0 to 92.4.

It is also worth noting that the Jazz are just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Take the Hornets.

3* 100% Perfect NBA *Power Play* on Pacers -8.5
Off 3 straight losses to good playoff teams, I expect the Pacers to take out their frustrations on the lowly Cavs. Cleveland has lost 9 in a row with 7 of those defeats coming by double-digits. It will have a hard time bouncing back tonight after investing so much, emotionally and physically, into Wednesday's rematch with Miami.

The Pacers have had Cleveland's number, defeating the Cavs twice already this season by 14 and 11 points respectively. "I'm not very happy with the way we competed, in all candor," coach Jim O'Brien said. "You've got to bring a certain ethic to the game and frankly, we haven't." Those were O'Brien's public comments. You can only imagine the way he called out his team behind closed doors. They'll be ready to bounce back.

The Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Pacers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Pacers are also a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. We'll take this 32-0 ATS angle to the bank.

3* NBA on TNT SMASH on Spurs -1
Denver has won 10 in a row at home, but it has had a number of close calls - a 2-point win over the Knicks (11/16), a 1-point win over Chicago (11/26) and a 1-point win over Memphis (12/5). While Denver has found a way to win all but 1 home game this season, it is up against a different animal tonight.

The Spurs are 8-1 on the road, and they are very comfortable playing in the Pepsi Center. They won by 19 points in both games at Denver last season. The Spurs held Denver below 40% shooting in each of those games, and its defense will be the difference again tonight.

The Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Denver. Also, the road team is 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Spurs are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 4.5 or less points and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Lastly, we can't fail to mention that Chauncey Billups will miss tonight's game with a wrist injury. His veteran leadership will be missed against this savvy, veteran Spurs team. Take San Antonio.

3* NCAAB Blowout on UNLV -16.5
After suffering its first loss of the season at Louisville, expect the Runnin' Rebs to bounce back strong at home tonight. UC Santa Barbara has not played since Dec. 4, so I expect the Gauchos to be showing plenty of rust against this motivated UNLV squad.

UCSB is just 15-32 ATS in its last 47 games versus very good teams outscoring their opponents by 8 or more points per game. In addition, the Gauchos are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 13.0 or more points.

UNLV has failed to cover a few spreads recently, but that helps us get a better number tonight. Plus, UNLV is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread. Lay the points.

4* NBA *BEST BET* on Lakers -4
The Lakers just played last night, but none of the starting 5 played big minutes in an easy win over Washington. With fresh legs, and motivated by a home loss to Indiana last month, I expect LA to send a message to the Pacers tonight.

Plays on any team revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a home favorite of 7 points or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%), are 45-19 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting into this situation are winning by 8.4 points on average.

The Pacers are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 4.5 or less period. The favorite is also 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings. Look for LA to have its revenge.

4* NCAAB Blowout on Pacific -6
The last time Santa Clara visited Pacific (Nov. 2009), it was handed an 84-57 beatdown. I expect another double-digit win for the Tigers on their home floor tonight.

Pacific finds itself in a good spot following a blowout win over Stanislaus State. In fact, plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a non-conference game, off a home win scoring 85 or more points, are 270-174 ATS since 1997, 103-63 ATS the last 5 seasons and 57-31 ATS the last 3. Teams fitting into this situation are winning by 8.6 points on average.

In addition, Pacific is a perfect 7-0 ATS in home games after failing to cover in at least 2 of its last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. The Tigers are winning by 11.5 points on average in this situation.

Considering how poorly the Broncos have performed on the defensive end in road games (77.2 points allowed), I expect the Tigers to run up the score tonight. Lay the points.

5* NBA *BEST BET* on Bobcats -4.5
Expect a major response from the Bobcats at home tonight after such an embarrassing loss to Boston their last time out. The Bobcats have already defeated the Raptors by 5 points in Toronto this season, and they definitely have the edge in this highly motivated spot.

The Bobcats have been money in the small chalk, going 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. They are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after being held to less than 75 points in their previous game and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a losing road record. It is also important to note that Charlotte is a perfect 8-0 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average score of 99.8 to 90.5 in this situation.

The Bobcats have won 4 of the last 6 in this series by 5 or more points with 3 of those wins coming by at least 13 points. The Raptors are just 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Lay the points with the Bobcats.

3* Monday Night NBA SMASH on Bucks +7.5
Odds makers have overvalued the Mavs tonight. Having won 12 in a row, the public is naturally all over Dallas, so the books have made sure to set a line with which they can take advantage.

The Bucks are 13-4 ATS in the last 17 meetings in this series and the underdog is 14-3 ATS in the last 17 meetings. Milwaukee matches up very well with Dallas and played the Mavs to 2 and 1-point games respectively last season as a result. We also can't ignore the fact that Milwaukee is one of the premier defensive teams in the NBA, yielding just 92.9 ppg.

It hurt the Bucks badly when Andrew Bogut missed 5 games, but he's back and has helped them win 3 of their last 4. Dallas is 17-35 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons, including 9-20 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. The Mavs are also just 4-18 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. Take the points.

3* NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers +4
The Hawks have played 12 home games this season, and they are just 7-5 SU and 2-10 ATS in those games. Going back to last season, the Hawks are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games. With this in mind, the improved Pacers are showing excellent value catching points.

Indiana has proven that it can go on the road and win. It has won at Miami against LeBron James and company and at L.A. against Kobe Bryant and company. This Hawks team is minus its best player - Joe Johnson.

Both teams are playing back-to-back, but the edge has to go to Indy in this situation considering it is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing without rest. Plus, there is a lot of NBA betting action on Saturday. Hence, books like to inflate lines on teams perceived to be good. As a result, the Pacers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games while the Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games. Motivated by a home loss to the Hawks last month, look for the Pacers to have their revenge tonight.

5* NCAAB Game of the Week on Arizona +2.5
This game is all about revenge for the Wildcats. Arizona returns 4 starters from a team that was brutally embarrassed by BYU to the tune of 99-69 last season. That loss will be on Zona's mind when it takes the floor today, and it will give the Cats the motivational edge to get this "W".

BYU may be 9-0 and ranked in the Top 25, but it is yet to see a team even remotely as talented as this Wildcat club. That puts the Cougars at a disadvantage considering Arizona has had the benefit of playing top notch Kansas.

Arizona is an impressive 7-1 ATS in all lined games this season. It is also a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. The Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning record and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.

Lastly, BYU is a lousy 8-20 ATS in its last 28 when playing away from home (game at Salt Lake City) after 2 straight wins by 15 points or more. It is losing these games by an average score of 72.6 to 70.8. Take Arizona.

3* NCAAB *BEST BET* on Santa Clara +3.5
This experienced Santa Clara team has not forgotten last season's loss to San Jose State, and I fully expect it to return the favor here.

Winning at SJSU is nothing new for the Broncos. In fact, they have won their last 5 on the road in this series dating back to 2000. The road team has had a strong handle on this matchup from a point spread perspective, going 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

The Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 6.5 or fewer points and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. It is also worth noting that Santa Clara is 6-0 ATS in road games after losing 3 of its last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. Take the points in this one.

5* NBA Total of the Month on Blazers/Suns OVER 204.5
With the Suns out to avenge Tuesday's loss to Portland, and with the Blazers having just played last night, I love our chances with the Over. We saw 205 total points scored in Tuesday's matchup, and Blazers starting point guard Andre Miller didn't play in that game. He has thrived when playing at Phoenix, scoring 22.8 points and 8.0 assists in his last five visits.

Portland is a good defensive team, but it won't be able to bring the same energy to the defensive end tonight after just playing a game last night. In fact, the Over is 5-2 in the Trail Blazers' last 7 games playing on 0 days rest and 9-2 in their last 11 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day.

The Over is 14-3 in the Suns' last 17 games when playing on 1 day of rest. Phoenix is also a perfect 8-0 Over after playing a home game this season. We are seeing 230.4 totals points on average in this situation. Bet the Over.

3* Friday Night NBA Blowout on Spurs -8
This is an extremely difficult matchup for the Hawks, going up against the best team in the league without their best player (Joe Johnson).

Atlanta has had no luck in San Antonio, going 1-12 straight up and 2-11 ATS in the last 13 visits. It hasn't had much luck against the West period, going 0-5 ATS in its last 5 vs. the Western Conference.

Historical data points to the Spurs as well. In fact, plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, against an opponent off a home win in which it scored 110 or more points, are 24-4 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting in to this system have won by 11.4 points on average.

It is also worth noting that the Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Take the Spurs.

3* NBA *BEST BET* on Nets +10.5
The Nets may be 2-10 on the road, but they are only losing those games by 6.6 points on average. Dallas is 9-3 at home, but it is only winning those games by 4.7 points on average. With this in mind, the Nets are showing excellent value tonight.

As if back-to-back blowout losses aren't enough to fuel the fire, coach Avery Johnson and point guard Devin Harris will be looking for payback against their former team. Johnson knows Dallas' personnel inside and out, so I expect a much better defensive effort from the Nets this evening.

Dallas is just 3-18 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons, only winning by 3.2 points on average in these games. Dallas is also a poor 1-11 ATS in home games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average score of 97.8 to 97.2 in these spots. Also, NJ is an impressive 14-4 ATS as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons, only losing these games by 5.5 points on average. Take the points.

3* Wednesday Night NBA SMASH on Heat +1
The Heat finally have it going and this game is all about payback. Last month, Miami blew a big lead at home to Utah and ended up losing in overtime. Trust me, LeBron James and company have not forgotten.

In the season's first meeting, the Heat led by as many as 19 points as Utah had no answer for James and Dwayne Wade. Expect the same tonight. Utah is still a formidable team, but it is going to miss the star power of Carlos Boozer in big games like this. As you might recall, the Jazz needed 46 points from Paul Millsap the first time around. 11 of those points came in the final 28 seconds of regulation. Can you say fluke?

It's not easy winning in Utah, but this stacked Heat team is ready to silence doubters with its first signature road win. The Heat have covered the number in 4 straight, and I like them to cash another ticket tonight.

3* NBA *Marquee Matchup* (ESPN) on Nuggets +6.5
After failing to deliver George Karl his 1,000th career win last night, I expect the Nuggets to put together a much better effort in Boston this evening.

Boston is 9-1 at home this season but only 3-6-1 ATS. In addition, the Celtics are 9-25-1 ATS in their last 35 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Nuggets, meanwhile, are 7-3-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points.

Denver saw its 7-game win streak come to an end last night, and it will not go down without a fight in Boston. Take the points as Denver takes the Celtics down to the wire with a chance to win this one outright.

3* 100% Perfect NCAAB Wednesday Night Blowout on Wright State -7
Wright State is a completely different team on its home floor where it is 3-0 this season. Wright State enters this contest off 4 straight losses, but all 4 of those games have been away from home. Motivated by those defeats, it will be ready to go in its return to the Nutter Center.

This line is significant. Odds makers definitely want bettors on 5-1 Air Force, but taking the bait would be a big mistake. Consider that Wright State is a perfect 6-0 ATS in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average score of 68.9 to 47.8 in this situation. In addition, the Raiders are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games following three or more consecutive road games.

The Falcons are a poor 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points and 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. Take Wright State tonight.

3* Never Lost NCAAB Tuesday Night Blowout on Utah State -12.5
As if a blowout loss to Georgetown isn't enough to fuel the fire, Utah State will be out to avenge last season's loss at Long Beach State. That shouldn't be a problem at home, where the Aggies have won 6 in a row over Long Beach by an average score of 77.0 to 57.0.

In addition, the Aggies have never lost under coach Morrill following an embarrassing road loss where they were held to less than 60 points. They are a perfect 6-0 ATS all-time in this situation, bouncing back to win by an average score of 80.0 to 61.9. Lay the points.

3* NBA *TOP DOG* on Nets +6.5
This is a flat spot for Atlanta. After getting up for a pair of games with Miami and Orlando, the Hawks won't bring the same passion and energy to the floor tonight. Plus, they'll already be looking ahead to their next game with San Antonio, who owns the best record in the league.

New Jersey, meanwhile, has plenty of incentive to get up for this one following an atrocious performance against Boston in its last game.

Atlanta did lose to the Nets in New Jersey last month, but revenge hasn't been in the makeup of this team. In fact, it is just 11-23 ATS when revenging a straight up loss in a game in which it was favored over the last 3 seasons, actually losing by an average score of 99.2 to 97.4 in this situation.

In addition, Atlanta is 1-10 ATS in home games this season, where it is losing by an average score of 99.2 to 98.6. Bet the Nets.

4* NBA Tuesday Night Blowout on 76ers -7
The Cavs have lost 4 in a row by 10 or more points. One of those losses was a 34-point setback at lowly Minnesota. Cleveland has also dropped six in a row on the road by an average of 16.2 points.

Philly is starting to play some hoops. As a result, it has covered the spread in 5 straight and 7 of its last 8. In addition, the 76ers will be out for blood tonight. Cleveland has already defeated them twice this season, and there's no way they're going to drop a third to the struggling Cavs, especially with 2 days to prepare. The Cavaliers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Expect Philly to put the hurt on Cleveland in this highly motivated spot.

3* Monday Night NBA SMASH on Kings +4
I know the Kings lost by 18 in LA against the Clippers less than 2 weeks ago, but the 4-17 Clipps should not be laying 4 points to anyone. Tyreke Evans was just 2 of 13, scoring only 8 points, in that loss. We can expect much better from Evans tonight, and we can expect the Kings to be out for revenge after that embarrassing defeat.

The Clippers are a poor 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite. They also haven't proven to be a solid investment when playing on back-to-back days. In fact, they are only 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games when playing without rest.

The Kings gained a lot of confidence from playing Dallas so tough two nights ago, and I expect that to do wonders for them tonight. Lastly, plays on any cold team failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of their last 15, against an opponent that has covered 5 or 6 of their last 7, are 58-23 ATS since 1996, including 17-4 ATS the last 3 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have been underdogs of 3.7 points on average, but they have won outright by an average of 1.0 point. Take the Kings.

4* NBA Underdog *BEST BET* on Cavaliers +1.5
After getting absolutely embarrassed by Miami, expect the Cavs to save face with a win over lowly Minnesota tonight. Plus, it's going to be hard for the T-Wolves to be ready to play after such an emotionally deflating loss last night. They blew a 15-point lead against San Antonio.

In addition, tired legs will be an issue for Minnesota playing back-to-back. Consider that the T-Wolves are 6-18 ATS in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons.

The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points while the Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less. The Cavaliers are also 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Cash in with the Cavs.

3* National Title Rematch (ESPN) on Duke -14
Butler is not the same team without Gordon Hayward. That was made very evident in a loss to Evansville. Look for defending champion Duke to flex its muscles today and "prove it" so to speak.

Offensively, Duke is even more explosive than it was a season ago. This plays into our hands here as it is 6-0 ATS when playing away from home after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. The Blue Devils are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 13.0 or more points and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. Lay the points with Coach K's kids.

3* NBA Marquee Matchup (ESPN) on Bulls +5.5
The Bulls will be out for blood after an embarrassing loss to San Antonio in their last game. Chicago took Boston to OT at Boston earlier this season, and I like its chances of getting a win this time around.

Rajon Rondo is not at 100 percent, which means he's going to have his hands full with the bigger, stronger Derrick Rose.

The Bulls are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games as a road underdog and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games. The Bulls are also 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.

The Celtics are 8-25-1 ATS in their last 34 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games. Bet the Bulls.

4* NBA Underdog Shocker on 76ers +6
The 76ers have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games as they have been playing some solid basketball. I expect their solid play to continue against an Atlanta team playing without Joe Johnson.

The Hawks are just 1-9 ATS at home this season, and they will no doubt be more concerned with tomorrow's showdown with Miami.

The Hawks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

Coach Doug Collins knows the recipe to beat Atlanta is to slow the game down. That recipe will especially work well tonight since the Hawks are without their best half court player. Take the points.

3* NBA on TNT SMASH on Warriors -2.5
The Suns are just 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings at Golden State. In addition, the Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points.

Golden State was absolutely crushed by San Antonio in its last game, but that plays to our advantage here. The Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home and 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.

Phoenix is not the same team without Amare Stoudemire, and they are further hurt tonight by the absence of Robin Lopez. There is a chance they could be without Grant Hill as well (sprained foot). The Warriors, on the other hand, will benefit from having David Lee back in the lineup.

Monta Ellis did not play well last time out, but that should change tonight against the Suns' pathetic defense. The Warriors are 5-1 when Ellis has at least 25 points, and I expect a big game out of him this evening. Lay the number.

3* NBA *Crunch Time Bailout* on Clippers +7.5
I'll take the rested Clippers at home tonight against this veteran Spurs squad that just played an uptempo game last night.

The Spurs only won by 8 points when playing with rest in a matchup in LA against the Clippers earlier this season. Blake Griffin is a completely different player than he was a month ago, and I expect him to give the Spurs plenty of problems tonight.

The Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. the Western Conference, 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Take the Clippers and the points.

5* Western Conference Game of the Month on Timberwolves +10.5
Minnesota hasn't played since Saturday. Off 4 straight losses, expect the rested and prepared Timberwolves to give Dallas a game. This is Dallas' 6th game in 9 days so fatigue is starting to set in at this point. Plus, Dallas will be much more concerned with its next opponent - Utah.

History is on our side when you consider that plays against favorites of 10 or more points off 2 or more consecutive home wins, tired team playing 6 or more games in 10 days, are 42-16 ATS since 1996.

In addition, Dallas is 0-8 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons, only winning these games by an average score of 101.1 to 100.7. Lastly, the Timberwolves are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Dallas. Take Minnesota and the points.

3* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake on Creighton +8
Odds makers aren't giving Creighton the respect it deserves on its home floor tonight, especially considering it checks in off a loss. In fact, the Bluejays are a ridiculous 59-4 at home following a defeat.

Creighton is already off to a 4-0 start at home this season, and it will be pumped for No. 25 BYU. This is the Cougars first true road game of the season, and it comes against one of the toughest home teams in the country. I don't think BYU will be ready.

Under coach Dave Rose, BYU is just 16-32 ATS in road games versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points per game, losing to these squads by an average score of 73.7 to 70.4. Also, the Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win. Take Creighton and the points.

4* NBA *BEST BET* on Nets +5
The Knicks have won 6 of their last 7, but they have not performed well at Madison Square Garden. In fact, the Knicks are just 2-5 (2-4-1 ATS) at home this season. New Jersey may be 2-7 on the road, but it is 6-3 ATS in those games.

The Knicks have been a poor investment as a favorite. They are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite while the Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. In addition, the underdog is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings in this series.

New Jersey is coming off a nice upset win over Portland, so it should draw confidence from that. It is worth noting that the Nets are 54-33 ATS in their last 87 road games off an upset win. Take the points.

3* NCAAB National TV Cash Cow (ESPN) on Florida State +4.5
Odds makers were well aware that the money would come in on Ohio State, especially since the Buckeyes crushed Florida and FSU lost to the Gators. With this in mind, the books have set a number they are confident FSU can cover. I'm confident the Noles can keep this one within this number as well, as they have an excellent chance to win this game outright.

The Buckeyes have played 3 absolute patsies since their win over Florida. They won't be ready to match FSU's intensity right from the tip because of it. In fact, the Buckeyes are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 road games following three or more consecutive home games.

FSU just plain shot the ball awful against Florida, but they still defended. It is this defense that makes the Noles such an attractive play as a home dog. Under coach Hamilton, FSU is 18-6 ATS as a home underdog or pick, only losing in these games by an average of 0.6 points. The Noles are also 10-2 ATS in their last 12 as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick, winning these games by an average score of 71.3 to 67.0. Going back further, the Seminoles are 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home underdog of 6.5 of fewer points. We'll take the points tonight.

3* NBA Monday Night SMASH on Rockets +9
Off 3 straight big wins over Oklahoma City, San Antonio and Miami, this tired Dallas team will have trouble getting up for the 5-11 Rockets.

Dallas has been constantly overvalued at home by odds makers. In fact, the Mavericks are 15-37-3 ATS in their last 55 home games. Going back to the beginning of last season, Dallas is just 1-17 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record, only defeating these teams by 2.2 points on average. In addition, the Mavericks are 6-22-2 ATS in their last 30 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.

Lastly, the Underdog is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings. We'll take the points.

3* NCAAB Big Ten/ACC Challenge (ESPN2) on Minnesota -14
Expect the 6-0 Golden Gophers to keep right on rolling tonight against this young Virginia team. Minnesota head coach Tubby Smith loves to play high-pressure defense. This constant pressure should really where on the Cavs in the second half. Minnesota should be able to take advantage of quite a few Virginia turnovers as a result.

Virginia has already been hammered by Stanford and Washington by 21 and 43 points respectively, and neither of those teams are any better than Minnesota.

Minnesota is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 home games after a cover as a double digit favorite, winning in this situation by an average score of 80.3 to 61.2. Lay the points.

3* NCAAB *BEST BET* on Charleston +14
Charleston has defeated the Tar Heels in 2 of the last 3 meetings, and it has either defeated UNC or lost by just 4 points in 4 of the last 6. Carolina is young, and still hasn't figured out how to play defense.

UNC is 1-8 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons, only defeating these teams by 9.3 ppg. Plus, the Cougars are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games as an underdog and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 13.0 or greater. Take the points.

3* NBA "Total" Dominator on Heat/Mavs UNDER 189
Right away I love the fact that plays Under on any team off a road win versus a division rival, against an opponent coming off a home win, are 6-1 this season.

In addition, plays Under on road teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points off a home win, extremely tired team playing their 3rd game in 4 days, are 76-39 the last 5 seasons, including 2-0 already this season. We are only seeing 183 total points scored on average in this situation.

Miami is 15-3 Under in road games where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points over the last 3 seasons, and we are only seeing an average of 179.1 total points in these games. Lastly, the Under is 15-5-1 in the Mavericks' last 21 home games. Expect a hard-fought defensive battle between two of the best defensive teams in the league to result in the Under.

5* NBA Game of the Month on Nuggets -3.5
Denver has the big edge in terms of fresh legs as it hasn't played since Monday. Chicago played both Tuesday and Wednesday with Wednesday's double-OT come from behind win taking a lot out of the Bulls.

Denver also has the advantage playing on its home floor where it has won 4 in a row over Chicago by 4 or more points. The last three home wins in this series have all come by double digits.

In addition, Denver will be out to avenge a 2-point loss at Chicago earlier this month. The home team is 6-0-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings at Denver. The Nuggets are also 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Lay the points.

3* NCAAB Wednesday Night Blowout on Utah State -10.5
Utah State is the much more experienced team (4 starters return), and it will be out to avenge last season's 1-point defeat at Utah. Plus, with just 1 starter back, I expect Utah to struggle in its first road game of the season.

Going to the numbers, this is a very good spot for the Aggies. In fact, Utah State is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games following a no-cover win, winning in this spot by an average score of 72.7 to 56.8. It is also a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last 6 home games after allowing 55 points or less in its last game, winning by an average score of 82.1 to 58.1 in this spot.

In addition, the Aggies are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite, and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points.

There is a reason why odds makers have the Aggies laying double-digits. They don't think this young Utah team will be ready for a big step up in competition, especially in its first road game. I agree. Lay the points.

5* NBA *BEST BET* on Mavericks +4
Dallas has 4 losses this season, and 2 of those losses have come by 1 and 2 points respectively. This is a Dallas team that will be in just about every game this season because of how solid it is defensively. Dallas has a huge edge on the defensive end tonight. It is only allowing 91.6 ppg this season while OKC is giving up 102.2.

The Mavs may be playing back-to-back, but they are a tremendous 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing without rest. Dallas is also 15-5-1 ATS in its last 21 road games, and 4-0 ATS in its last 4 road games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. Conversely, the Thunder are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer.

The road team is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings and the underdog is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take the points.

3* NBA "Total" Dominator on Knicks/Bobcats UNDER 206.5
These 2 teams combined for 217 points in last night's meeting, but that certainly hasn't been the norm in this showdown. Prior to that game, 5 straight had easily found their way under this number. I expect Charlotte to tighten the screws defensively to keep this one under tonight.

This is a terrific unders situation. In fact, plays Under on all teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (Charlotte in this case) after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, against an opponent that has gone over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, are 70-33 the last 5 seasons. Bet the Under.

5* NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons +10
Dallas is a very good team, but it doesn't win very many games by double-digits, especially at home. In fact, the Mavs have only posted 1 double-digit win in 7 home games this season.

Dallas has had a tough time getting up for lesser opponents, and I expect that to be the case again tonight with a big game against Oklahoma City scheduled for tomorrow night. Looking at this numerically, we find that Dallas is just 1-16 ATS in its last 17 home games when playing against a team with a losing record. It is only defeating these teams by an average score of 101.8 to 99.6. It is also worth noting that Dallas is 0-8 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points since the beginning of last season. It is only winning these games by an average score of 101.1 to 100.7.

The Pistons are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog. We'll take the Pistons and the points tonight.

3* NBA SMASH on Cavaliers +5
Riding high from last night's convincing win over Miami, expect a letdown from the Pacers tonight. Indiana has only won back-to-back games once this season. It will certainly have its work cut out for itself tonight against a rested Cleveland squad that is hungry to avenge consecutive defeats. Plus, a double-digit loss to Indiana earlier this month will add a little extra fuel to the fire.

The Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win of more than 10 points, while the Cavaliers are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following a loss of more than 10 points. It is also worth noting that the Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Indiana, and the road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take the points.

4* Monday NBA *BEST BET* on Timberwolves +9.5
Jeff Green and Kevin Durant are both listed as questionable for this game, but I like Minnesota catching nearly double digits whether those two play or not.

Off back-to-back hard-fought road wins over Boston and Milwaukee, Oklahoma City returns home. But it will be much more concerned with its next opponent (Dallas) than these T-Wolves.

Minnesota is well-rested, having not played since Friday, and one has to like the way this team has performed on the road recently. The Wolves are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, defeating the Kings, and only losing to the Lakers, Hawks and Bobcats by 5, 6 and 3 points respectively. In addition, Minnesota has typically brought its "A" game against OKC. The Wolves have either won, or lost by 8 or fewer points, in 9 of the last 10 meetings.

The Thunder are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. They are also 4-13 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons, losing in this situation by an average score of 99.4 to 100.6. Take the points.

3* NCAAB Monday Night Blowout on Missouri State -15.5
This is a tough scheduling spot for a Pepperdine team that finished just 7-24 last season. The Waves will be asked to head east, for the first time this season, to play a game just two days after a heartbreaking loss to Cal State Bakersfield.

Missouri State has had an extra day to rest, and it will be happy to return home following back-to-back road defeats. All 5 starters return from a Missouri State team that led the Valley in scoring a year ago, and I'm expecting these boys to light up the hoop tonight. The Bears scored 78 and won by 17 in their only other home game this season, and I think tonight's margin of victory will be 20-plus.

The Waves are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. the Missouri Valley. The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Lay the points.

4* NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +3.5
Portland has managed to win two straight without Roy, but I don't think it can pull off a third against this hungry Jazz team. Utah will be out for revenge following last night's loss to San Antonio, and it will be lacking no confidence against a team it has defeated 4 straight times.

The Jazz are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. loss of more than 10 points, and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. The Trail Blazers are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win. Take the points with Utah tonight.

5* NBA Game of the Week (ESPN) on Bulls +5
Dallas is being overvalued at home tonight against a very good Chicago Bulls team. This really comes as no surprise because odds makers gave the Mavs too much respect at home all last season.

As a result, the Mavericks are 14-35-3 ATS in their last 52 home games. They are just 6-20-2 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Bulls have been outstanding in this same point spread range on the road, going 8-3 ATS in their last 11 as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. In also like the fact that the Bulls are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games period.

The Bulls have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 trips to Dallas. Plus, the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the Bulls and the points tonight.

3* SMASH on Bobcats +11
Miami is getting too much respect tonight. The Heat just blew out a tired Phoenix team, which isn't very good on the defensive end, but they will have a heck of a time beating Charlotte, which is great defensively, by double-digits.

This month, Charlotte has taken Orlando, San Antonio and Utah down to the wire, losing to these three teams by a combined 8 points. Plus, the Bobcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 11.0 or greater, while the Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater.

With 3 full days to prepare for this one, I expect Charlotte to keep the score within the number.

3* NBA on TNT SMASH on Nuggets +2
Playing without Brandon Roy, Portland was able to survive Memphis by 1-point in its last game, and they needed 30 points from Wesley Matthews to get that done. Roy won't be in the lineup tonight either, which means the Blazers will be looking for another big game from Matthews. Lightning won't strike twice in the same spot tonight.

The Blazers really struggled against the Nuggets last season, losing 3 of the 4 meetings. The last 2 defeats came by 12 and 17 points. From a betting perspective, the Nuggets have a long history of success against Portland, going 26-10-1 ATS in the last 37 meetings.

Look for Melo and company to get the job done against a Portland team minus its best player.

3* NCAAB SMASH (ESPN2) on Illinois -3
After playing a couple of complete patsies in Navy and Louisiana Tech, this young Texas team sees a major step up in competition tonight. Look for an experienced Illinois team (returns all 5 starters) to cover this small number.

It is also in Illinois' favor that it just played a game Saturday. It won't have quite the rust that Texas will have, having not played in over a week.

The Longhorns are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog, and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 6.5 or fewer points. Illinois is the better team, and I expect the Fighting Illini to play like it. Lay the points.

5* NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons +8
This is a tough spot for the Lakers playing back-to-back, especially since injuries to Andrew Bynum and Theo Ratliff have depleted their front line depth.

Detroit has covered the spread in 6 of its last 7, and it will have the advantage of fresh legs on its home floor tonight.

We have already seen this veteran Lakers team start to wear down. It was blowing out its opponents early, but it has either won by 5 or less, or lost, 4 of its last 6 games.

The Pistons are an impressive 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog. The Lakers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400. Take the Pistons and the points.

3* NBA "Total" Dominator (ESPN) Suns/Heat UNDER 209
The Heat have played to the Over in 6 straight. Plus, they are playing the Suns, who have annually been among the highest scoring teams in the NBA since Steve Nash landed in the desert. Because of the public perception associated with the 2 aforementioned facts, odds makers have purposely set the bar too high tonight. They are looking to trap the public, but we won't bite.

Miami held each of its first 7 opponents to 97 or fewer points. It held 5 of those below 90. Since, the Heat have given up 100 or more in 3 straight. I expect to see a defensive effort resembling the first 7 tonight. Miami is well rested, having not played since the 13th. Plus, it is facing a Phoenix team that will be playing its 4th game in 6 days.

In addition, Phoenix becomes an even more perimeter oriented team with the injury to Robin Lopez. Miami should have a lot of defensive success against a Suns team that will have to settle for a lot of contested jump shots. Bet the Under tonight.

3* NCAAB National TV *CASH COW* (ESPN) on Michigan State -16
With the return of Korie Lucious, expect Michigan State to flex its muscles against an inferior opponent on the ESPN stage.

South Carolina may have scored 94 points on Elon, but it won't have the same success on the offensive end against one of the better defensive teams in the country, especially after losing the SEC's leading scorer. The Gamecocks just don't have enough returning talent to make up the 22.5 points that Devan Downey averaged last season.

Michigan State has won 48 straight non-conference games at home, and it is 39-0 at home in November under coach Izzo.

The Gamecocks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win. Also, the Spartans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. the SEC. Lay the number with Michigan State.